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XRP is showing signs of mounting sell-side risk after a sharp rise in exchange inflows to Binance, with CryptoQuant contributor Darkfost (@Darkfost_Coc) tying the move to escalating geopolitical tensions involving the United States, Israel and Iran. The setup matters because large transfers onto exchanges often precede a spike in liquidations or discretionary selling, especially during broader risk-off shocks. Darkfost said the market reaction intensified after the weekend escalation in the Middle East, when “the first strikes were launched shortly after the close of traditional financial markets.” In his view, that timing mattered. “This timing amplified uncertainty across risk assets, with crypto reacting almost immediately to the geopolitical shock.” US-Iran Tensions Fuel $650 Million XRP Sell-Side Threat The clearest signal, he argued, is now visible in XRP flows to Binance. According to Darkfost, the exchange received more than 472 million XRP over the past week, equivalent to roughly $652 million. The chart he shared shows a cluster of unusually large inflow bars late-February, including several daily spikes well above prior February levels, while XRP’s price line remained relatively unstable and finished near $1.37. Darkfost described the move as the largest inflow stretch recorded on Binance for XRP during February. That does not confirm outright selling by itself, but it shifts a large amount of supply closer to the market at a time when macro nerves are already elevated. Related Reading: XRP Daily Liquidity Is Pointing To A Rally To $4, Analyst Explains What’s Going On “Such inflows typically reflect a more defensive posture from investors holding XRP,” he wrote. “When large amounts of tokens move onto exchanges, it often signals a potential willingness to sell or at least to position liquidity closer to the market.” That distinction is important. Not every exchange transfer turns into immediate spot selling, but the market generally treats sustained inflows as a sign that holders are preparing to act. In periods of geopolitical stress, traders tend to tighten risk, reduce directional exposure, and move assets into venues where they can exit quickly if volatility accelerates. Related Reading: Say What You Want — XRP’s Chart Is Screaming $50 — Analyst Darkfost said the current pattern is worth monitoring because flows of this size can change the short-term trading environment even without a full-scale unwind. “When amounts of flows like this are recorded, they can create the conditions for a sudden wave of selling pressure capable of impacting price action in the short term,” he said. The open question is whether the recent transfers mark the beginning of a broader distribution phase or simply a temporary burst of fear-driven repositioning. Darkfost framed it that way directly, saying traders should watch “whether it reflects the start of a broader distribution dynamic on XRP or simply short-term panic movements triggered by geopolitical uncertainty.” At press time, XRP traded at $1.3463. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

XRP’s liquidity structure on higher timeframes is in a situation where the path of least resistance could extend to the $4 level. The remark came from crypto analyst Bird in response to hourly and daily liquidity heatmaps shared by Cryptoinsightuk, which show a clear contrast between short-term and higher-timeframe liquidity positioning. At the time of writing, XRP is trading around $1.45, still below the large liquidity clusters visible above the current price. According to Bird, that imbalance may not stay unresolved for long. Hourly Liquidity Cleared, Short-Term Volatility Reduced XRP’s liquidity heatmap on the hourly candlestick chart shows that much of the nearby liquidity below the current price has already been swept. The visible clusters around the $1.30-$1.50 range have all been cleared, meaning that the short-term stop hunts and liquidation pools have largely been cleared out. Related Reading: Analyst Predicts Bitcoin Price Surge To $500,000 As Ribbon Fractal Emerges According to Bird, this trend shows that hourly XRP liquidity is basically gone. This means there is less immediate incentive for XRP to stay around current levels on lower timeframes. When short-term liquidity dries up like this, the outlook is that the price will gravitate to areas where larger pools are untouched. Since the nearby liquidity has already been taken, the next logical target is now where there are larger concentrations of resting orders. As noted by the analyst, these resting orders are stacked all the way up past $4.  XRP Hourly Liquidity. Source: @Cryptoinsightuk on X Daily Liquidity Stacked Above $4 Liquidity on the daily heatmap appears layered and dense above the current price, stretching through multiple resistance bands and extending above the $4 price level. The upper regions show heavy trading activity and visible liquidity clusters between $2.50 and $4.00, which is a reflection of a thick concentration of stop orders and resting interest. Related Reading: Bitcoin Final Sell-Off Coming? Analyst Says It’s Time To ‘Buckle Up’ In liquidity-based trading theory, price action is often drawn to areas where there are large position orders, especially when those zones have not yet been tapped. Bird described this higher-timeframe liquidity as stacked all the way up past $4, with the notion that the higher-timeframe liquidity is sitting there like a magnet. XRP Daily Liquidity. Source: @Cryptoinsightuk on X Bird also referenced a five-month breakdown in Bitcoin dominance. At the time of writing, the Bitcoin dominance is at 57.9%, down from 58.2% last week. This means Bitcoin has been steadily losing dominance. A decline in dominance is always due to capital rotation into altcoins. If that trend continues, XRP could easily become one of the best beneficiaries, particularly given its visible higher-timeframe liquidity targets. The analyst also noted that sentiment has not yet reached extreme lows. XRP, in particular, has maintained a relatively positive positioning among investors compared to other cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum. That combination of declining dominance and neutral-to-cautious sentiment can create conditions for XRP’s projected rally above $4. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com

XRP is hovering at a critical inflection point as price presses directly against the 200-week EMA, a level that has historically separated prolonged bear phases from powerful cycle expansions. This isn’t just another short-term test; it’s a high-timeframe battleground that has defined XRP’s macro direction in prior cycles. With the price sitting right on this line, the next decisive move could set the tone for months to come, making this a pivotal moment that traders cannot afford to ignore. Resistance Still Intact — Macro Plan Unchanged In a recent XRP update, ChartNerd stressed that the market is at a pivotal macro moment. The 200-week EMA has historically served as a clear dividing line in XRP’s long-term structure, separating full-scale bear markets and extended accumulation phases from the beginning of new cycle expansions. Related Reading: XRP Is About To Create History With This Latest Move At present, XRP is trading at the moving average, hovering around the $1.41 level. This positioning places price at a technically decisive zone that has repeatedly dictated broader trend direction in previous cycles.  Looking back at historical behavior, decisive breakdowns below the 200-week EMA have often led to prolonged downside pressure or drawn-out accumulation periods before any meaningful recovery took shape. Losing this level convincingly could therefore signal a tougher macro environment ahead. Conversely, when XRP has successfully defended the 200-week EMA, it has frequently acted as a springboard for multi-month reversals and strong upside expansions. As ChartNerd underscores, this is a genuine make-or-break moment that could define its trajectory for months to come. A Defining Macro Crossroads For XRP XRP has yet to break through resistance, meaning the broader macro plan remains firmly in place. CasiTrades pointed out that although price staged a bounce, it failed to clear the key resistance level, and importantly, it has not formed a new low either. As a result, the overall range structure persists, with no confirmed shift in trend. Related Reading: XRP Triangle Could Point To Support Between $0.60 And $0.90 The outlook only changes if one of two clear scenarios plays out. Either XRP drops into the lower support zones at $1.11 or $0.87, where deeper downside targets would come into focus, or it decisively breaks above the $1.67 resistance level, signaling strength and a potential structural reversal. Until one of those levels is breached, there is no reason to adjust the larger macro framework. For now, price action is simply oscillating within the same established range. CasiTrades is closely monitoring for signs of increasing selling pressure that could develop into a clear Wave 3 down (subwave of 5). If that structure begins to form, it would align with expectations for another leg lower before any meaningful breakout attempt. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com

Crypto analyst Austin is making a bold claim about XRP’s latest price action, and if he is right, the cryptocurrency could make history. Following a decline below $1.4 earlier this week, Austin believes XRP is now setting the stage for a move that could change its price trajectory, potentially ending its ongoing corrective phase and triggering a breakout into price discovery mode.  In a recent X post, Austin sounded the alarm on a potentially landmark moment for XRP, one that has never occurred in the cryptocurrency’s history.  The analyst stated that XRP may be on the verge of recording its first-ever monthly candle close within the critical $1.20 to $1.60 price range.  Why XRP’s Next Move Could Make History According to Austin, every time XRP has traded through this price zone, monthly candles have sliced through it without closing inside, suggesting no meaningful price structure was ever established there.  Related Reading: This Is Not The First Time XRP Has Crashed 69%, Here’s What Happened Last Time Looking at the accompanying chart, the pattern is visible across both the 2018 peak and the 2021 bull run. At the time, XRP briefly entered this key range, only for the candles to either close above or below it during the same monthly period. The analyst highlighted that the $1.20 to $1.60 zone never developed into a base of support or resistance despite price slicing through it on multiple occasions. As a result, the area was riddled with unfilled gaps and unresolved price action. With the current monthly candle now trading within this price band following XRP’s pullback from its 2025 highs above $3, Austin argues that the market may be in the process of filling “the final inefficiency gap” inside its macro range. Rather than viewing XRP’s price correction as a weakness, the analyst said the market is building the final base that has been absent throughout the cryptocurrency’s history.  If XRP can hold current levels and close the monthly candle within this band, Austin predicts that the cryptocurrency could eventually “break out into a full price discovery.” Notably, he highlighted in a previous analysis that price always revisits and balances inefficiency gaps. He added that once that gap is filled, a price expansion automatically begins.  XRP Could Be Preparing For A Parabolic Move In a more recent technical analysis, Austin revealed that XRP’s monthly Stochastic Relative Strength Index (SRSI) has been completely floored. The chart shows that the metric has declined from a peak of around 80 in 2025 to its current reading of 9.34.  Related Reading: Analyst Wans XRP Price Could Crash Below $1 If Bitcoin Reaches This Level According to the analyst, the last time XRP reached this level was in 2022, which coincided with a bear market bottom. He further noted that when the cryptocurrency approached this level again in 2024, it marked a major price low before staging a parabolic move to new highs. With XRP’s SRSI now at the same depressed level, Austin questions whether price action will follow historical trends or if this time will prove different.  Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com

XRP’s higher-timeframe structure is approaching a rare technical milestone on the monthly chart. The cryptocurrency is still on an extended pullback from its 2025 highs above $3 and is now trading around $1.38. If the current price action trajectory holds into month-end, XRP could close February with the fifth straight red monthly candle. Such streaks are uncommon for XRP, and they have always come before major turning points. Now that March is approaching, the question is whether XRP is about to extend its losing run or finally break the pattern with a reversal. Rare Five-Month Slide On The Monthly Chart The monthly XRP/USD chart shows a clear sequence of red candles stretching from late 2025 into early 2026. Each candle has closed below its open, forming a steady downward staircase from above $3.00 to the current range between $1.30 and $1.40.  Interestingly, this is part of an extended run of price corrections since XRP reached an all-time high of $3.65 in July 2025. Since this all-time high, XRP has only created one green monthly candlestick, which was in September 2025. Related Reading: Bitcoin Final Sell-Off Coming? Analyst Says It’s Time To ‘Buckle Up’ XRP opened February around $1.64. If February closes below this price level, it would mark five consecutive monthly declines. The last time XRP’s price action had five consecutive red months was in early 2017, a period that ultimately preceded one of XRP’s strongest bull phases. The only other time before then was when it printed six straight red monthly candles in 2014. That historical context is what makes the current setup notable. Long losing streaks on the monthly timeframe are ultimately going to lead to a slowdown in selling pressure, particularly since XRP is now above a notable structural support zone. At the time of writing, this structural support zone is the $1.20 region, where XRP bulls managed to stop further selling pressure in early February. XRP Monthly Price Chart. Source: @Bird_XRPL On X Is March More Likely To Turn Green? Now that February is about to end, the next outlook is how XRP performs in March. According to a crypto analyst known as Bird on X, based on previous price action, we’re closer to a green month than another red one. Therefore, there is a high probability that XRP closes March with a green candlestick. Related Reading: AI Explains What’s Driving The Ethereum Price Volatility, Can It Rise Above $3,000 Again? However, extended red runs do not automatically translate into explosive upside moves. Some market participants are speculating about a God candle that could erase the past five months of losses in a single month. However, the broader market structure today is different from previous cycles. XRP’s market capitalization is significantly larger than it was in earlier bull runs, and rallies would require more capital inflows. From a probability standpoint, XRP’s recovery could be much more steady over time, not through an immediate parabolic surge. That would likely involve reclaiming intermediate resistance zones first, including the $1.60, $2.00, and $2.50 levels, before a push above $2.80 and $3.00.  Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com

Crypto analyst CasiTrades has warned that the XRP price structure has turned bearish, putting the altcoin at risk of a further decline. The analyst also suggested that the price could still crash below $1 as it looks to find a bottom.  XRP Price Structure Shifts Bearish With Key Levels Below In an X post, CasiTrades stated that the XRP price structure has shifted bearish, with key levels below. She further revealed that price is starting to gather sell strength and that the trendline break is looking to form resistance. The analyst added that price is losing the B-wave low, shifting momentum toward supports.  Related Reading: The Uncomfortable Truth About XRP That Shows How High Price Can Actually Go CasiTrades also stated that the $1.11 and $0.87 levels are the main downside targets, indicating that the XRP price could still crash below $1. Meanwhile, the local resistance is at $1.40, with the analyst noting that as long as the price stays below it, the market is likely headed lower. As such, she believes that current levels are still a no-trade zone. She urged market participants to wait for lower supports to be reached or a flip of the $1.65 macro resistance.  It is worth noting that the XRP price has recently climbed above the $1.40 resistance and could invalidate the bearish structure if it breaks above the $1.65 macro resistance, as CasiTrades mentioned. This rally has come on the back of Bitcoin’s rally to around $70,000 following a drop to as low as $64,000 earlier in the week.  CoinGlass data shows an increase in activity in the derivatives market amid the XRP price’s rally above $1.40. Trading volume has surged by over 33% to $6.20 billion, while open interest is up by over 6% to $2.39 billion. The long/short ratio is above 1, indicating that most traders are currently long on the altcoin.  The Bottom Isn’t In Yet For XRP In an X post, crypto analyst TARA stated that she is not convinced that the bottom isn’t in for the XRP price. The analyst noted that an early indication that the bottom is in would be a break above the macro .618 level at $1.47. XRP is said to be testing that level as resistance right now, which TARA noted is a “super critical moment.” Related Reading: XRP Funding Levels Drop To Extreme Negative Levels, What This Means For Price The analyst suggested that for the bottom to be in for the XRP price, it would need a clean break above $1.88, with such confirmation still a long way away. However, she added that a break above the macro .618 support is a really good first step and a key level that it needs to hold if flipped.  At the time of writing, the XRP price is trading at around $1.44, up over 6% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from iStock, chart from Tradingview.com

During the Wednesday market recovery, XRP surged 7.9% to hit a one-week high of $1.47. The cryptocurrency has been hovering between $1.35-$1.50 over the past three weeks but has failed to break above the local range’s upper boundary. As the price nears this resistance once again, an analyst has suggested that a short-term rally toward another critical level could be brewing, potentially setting the stage for the altcoin to decide its next market direction by the end of Q2. Related Reading: The ‘Next-Generation Trading Chain’: BNB Chain Eyes 2026 Optimization Following Strong Ecosystem Momentum XRP To See March Breakout On Wednesday, analyst ChartNerd called for a short-term 20%-30% XRP rally in the next month or two, affirming that “relief is overdue” after six months of continuous downside pressure. In a video analysis, the market observer affirmed that the cryptocurrency is attempting to build a base within its local range to retest a crucial resistance level after losing the $1.80-$2.00 area as support in January. As he explained, XRP is attempting to form an ascending triangle or double bottom pattern in the daily timeframe, with the formation’s neckline sitting around the $1.50 mark. Based on this, if the altcoin “coils up inside this triangle and eventually gets a breakout heading into March, this is where the potential lies of rallying back up to $1.80” to retest this previous area of support as resistance. Meanwhile, if the cryptocurrency is forming a double bottom pattern, the analyst noted that “even a retrace to the $1.20 level would still mark a higher low before a short-term bullish reversal.” In both cases, breaking out of the $1.50 resistance would validate a move toward the $1.80-$2.00 area, which he considers “a critical inflection point” as XRP held it as support for 400 days. It would be a critical inflection point. I mean, potentially, we could respect some sort of ascending channel here as well, leading into March, which is what may guide us up to that $1.80 resistance. (…) If XRP does sort of respect these trend lines, it’s resistance. We’re back at support. Is A Critical Retest Ahead? Despite the bullish outlook, ChartNerd warned that XRP still risks a correction of up to 50%. Per the analyst, the $1.80 retest will determine whether this area has turned into resistance and the price will continue to go lower, or if it will be reclaimed and push to higher levels. “If the rally into $1.80/$2 unfolds in March/April, that will be the telltale sign of whether $0.70 is on the cards or not. Breaking cleanly above $2 signals strength and invalidation of that potential. Rejecting it as resistance would then cause a potential $0.70 drop,” he added on X. A reclaim of this key area as support could open the doors for a retest of the golden $2.40-$2.70 range, not visited since the Q4 2025 crash. It could also signal that the corrective period may be over. Related Reading: Bitcoin Positioned For More Pain Following Weekly Close Below This Critical Level However, he recently cautioned that losing the 200-week Exponential Moving Average (EMA) in the weekly timeframe and confirming it as resistance has historically signaled a major drop toward the $0.70 area. In previous cycles, XRP entered a deep corrective move when it failed to hold this level, crashing around 50% to its bear market bottom. Therefore, he emphasized that the cryptocurrency needs a convincing reclaim of its crucial area to invalidate this potential outcome. As of this writing, XRP is trading at $1.46, a 2.7% increase on the weekly timeframe. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com

The cryptocurrency market staged a broad recovery on Wednesday, led by a sharp rebound in the Bitcoin price that pushed the digital asset close to the $70,000 level once again. Bitcoin climbed roughly 8% on the day, approaching a price zone that has acted as firm resistance since it was lost earlier this month. The renewed strength was not limited to Bitcoin. Ethereum (ETH) advanced 12%, XRP gained 8%, and Solana (SOL) surged 13%, reflecting a wider return of risk appetite across digital assets.  Bitcoin Price Nears $70K As Altcoins Outperform Market experts suggest the bounce may be driven largely by investors stepping in after an extended period of weakness. Caroline Mauron, co-founder of Orbit Markets, told Bloomberg that the upward move likely reflects dip-buying activity following the recent selloff.  She added that a decisive move back above $70,000 for the Bitcoin price could alter the broader market narrative, potentially restoring confidence after weeks of pressure. Related Reading: Bitcoin May Be In A Price Slump—But Adoption Is In A Bull Market Recent trading patterns also suggest a change in investor positioning. Although demand for cryptocurrencies in the US has softened in recent weeks, it seems that capital is now rotating into altcoins, as evidenced by the gains made by ETH, XRP and SOL, which have outperformed Bitcoin in the last 24 hours.  Daniel Reis-Faria, chief executive officer of ZeroStack, noted that Bitcoin increasingly trades within the context of the broader financial system. When liquidity conditions tighten, he said, volatility tends to increase.  In that environment, assets such as Solana — which he described as generating “real yield” — may prove more resilient than tokens that were previously driven primarily by momentum. Still, some analysts caution against interpreting the rebound as a definitive turning point.  Is Bitcoin Forming A New Bottom? Alex Kuptsikevich, chief market analyst at FxPro, drew comparisons to the market environment in 2022, when a steep decline was followed by months of sideways consolidation before a sustained recovery eventually took hold.  He observed that after the 2022 Bitcoin price downturn, it took more than a year for the market to regain and surpass prior highs, suggesting patience may be required this time as well. Galaxy Digital’s head of research, Alex Thorn, offered a nuanced view in his latest Bitcoin price outlook. He argued that the most intense phase of downside pressure is likely already behind the market.  Among the supportive signals he cited were Bitcoin trading near its 200-week moving average (MA) and realized price, historically important technical levels.  Related Reading: Expert Forecasts $5 Trillions Pouring Into Crypto Post CLARITY Act Passage In addition, more than half of all Bitcoin in circulation is currently underwater, the relative strength index has reached levels often associated with capitulation, and several other on-chain indicators are flashing signs that a bottom may be forming. However, Thorn also warned that even if the worst of the decline has passed, further challenges could lie ahead for the Bitcoin price. He said that market bottoms typically take time to fully develop, and prolonged sideways movement remains a possibility.  A downturn in equities could exert additional pressure on digital assets, and the broader market still appears to lack a strong catalyst to drive sustained upside momentum.  Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com

XRP’s price action in February has reflected a market caught between fading momentum and cautious optimism. After weeks of steady decline, the token is trading near $1.37, down roughly 15% for the month, while broader crypto sentiment remains sensitive to macroeconomic signals and shifting liquidity conditions. Related Reading: Dogecoin Vs. Shiba Inu: What Meme Coin Should You Buy For Most Returns In 2026? Despite a weakening short-term structure, several market indicators suggest traders are closely watching for early signs of a potential recovery rather than abandoning the asset altogether. XRP's price trends to the downside on the daily chart. Source: XRPUSD on Tradingview Market Fatigue Emerges as Leverage and Momentum Decline Recent derivatives data points to growing investor exhaustion. According to analytics, XRP’s Estimated Leverage Ratio has fallen to around 0.16, indicating that heavily leveraged traders have largely exited. This reduction in speculative positioning has lowered the risk of sudden liquidation-driven volatility. Price structure supports that cautious mood. XRP continues to trade below its 50-day and 200-day exponential moving averages, signaling persistent bearish pressure. Data tracked on CoinGlass shows declining open interest alongside calmer funding rates, suggesting fewer aggressive bets from short-term traders. Meanwhile, whale activity has added uncertainty. More than 31 million XRP were recently transferred to Binance, raising concerns about potential sell pressure if those holdings reach order books. Three XRP Pre-Rally Signals Reappear Despite the slowdown, analysts note similarities with conditions that preceded XRP’s late-2024 rally, when prices surged following Donald Trump’s election victory. Three indicators have resurfaced: rising exchange inflows, tightening USD liquidity in automated market-making pools, and shrinking XRP liquidity. Liquidity compression historically reduces available supply during periods of renewed demand, often amplifying price movement. Current USD liquidity levels have dropped significantly from late-2025 highs, while XRP liquidity has fallen below thresholds seen before the previous breakout. Similarly, spot XRP exchange-traded funds recorded $3.04 million in net inflows on February 24, pushing cumulative deposits above $1.23 billion, a sign that institutional participation remains steady even during price weakness. Macro Pressure and Key Levels to Watch Macroeconomic factors continue to weigh on sentiment. Stronger-than-expected U.S. consumer confidence data reduced expectations of near-term Federal Reserve interest rate cuts. The CME FedWatch Tool showed June rate-cut odds slipping below 50%, limiting risk appetite across digital assets. According to CoinMarketCap’s pricing aggregates, XRP is consolidating above the $1.30 support zone, while resistance levels sit at $1.50, $1.60, and $2.00. Analysts suggest a sustained move above $1.60 would be required to shift momentum decisively in favor of buyers. Related Reading: Expert Forecasts $5 Trillions Pouring Into Crypto Post CLARITY Act Passage XRP appears to be transitioning from a leverage-driven market to one driven by genuine spot demand. Whether that shift becomes the foundation for a recovery or an extended consolidation phase will likely depend on broader crypto market strength and renewed buying interest. Cover image from ChatGPT, XRPUSD chart on Tradingview

The uncomfortable truth about XRP is that most people may be valuing it through the wrong lens. This point of view was made by commentator BarriC, who put forward a claim familiar among XRP enthusiasts: The altcoin was never designed to be a retail trade.  In a recent post on X, he noted that the asset was built to move institutional value, and once financial infrastructure actually requires XRP, the price will not climb slowly. Instead, it will reprice to levels the system demands. XRP As Infrastructure, Not A Trade BarriC’s outlook on XRP’s price action is based on the idea that XRP’s purpose has been misunderstood. From the beginning, the XRP Ledger was structured to facilitate high-speed settlement, cross-border liquidity, and asset tokenization, where people can be their own bank and no middlemen tax their transactions. XRPL creators like David Schwartz have always pointed to these functionalities as the reason why the XRP Ledger is different.  Related Reading: Cup And Handle Pattern Puts XRP Price At $60 After Hitting Resistance XRP is the bridge asset within that XRPL ecosystem. Through services built by Ripple, XRP has been positioned as a tool for on-demand liquidity between currencies and financial institutions. The reason offered by BarriC is that if banks and payment providers depend on it to settle value efficiently, demand would be based on usage, not just speculative trading like an average cryptocurrency. Under that framework, XRP’s valuation would no longer be based on retail buying pressure. It would reflect how much capital needs to flow through the network. How High Can The Price Actually Go? The most interesting part of BarriC’s statement is how much necessity pricing will affect the token’s price. The outlook is that when the token finally becomes required infrastructure, it does not grind higher step by step like a meme-based rally. Instead, it is going to reprice abruptly. That is why he dismisses price anchors such as $2 or even the three-digit mark at $100.  Related Reading: Why This Expert Is Predicting A $10,000 Base Price For XRP If the necessity pricing were to happen, the price action is going to look more like $1,000 per XRP, $10,000 per XRP, or $50,000 per XRP. However, BarriC acknowledged that projections of $1,000 to $50,000 sound unrealistic under today’s conditions. This is especially true, considering the implied market cap if the altcoin were to trade at those predicted price levels. At the time of writing, XRP is trading within normal market structures and is currently trading at $1.37, up by 2.7% in the past 24 hours. Institutional usage of the altcoin is still limited compared to global payment volumes. However, recent moves by Ripple are increasingly seeing XRP becoming entrenched in the niche of global payments. It is currently unclear which path this price repricing will take, as there is no historical precedent in crypto markets for an asset transitioning into deeply embedded global payments settlement infrastructure. Therefore, projections from BarriC and other bullish XRP proponents are only forward-looking predictions. Featured image from RenderHub, chart from Tradingview.com

Pseudonymous market expert XRP Queen has boldly forecasted that a $10 XRP price is possible in 2026. To support her bullish outlook, the XRP advocate has highlighted several key reasons, focusing more on utility and institutional rails than price patterns and hype-driven growth.  Reasons The XRP Price Could Reach $10 In 2026 In an X post this week, XRP Queen boldly forecasted that XRP could rise from its current price below $1.5 to $10 in 2026. She fired back at crypto members who had expressed skepticism about the ambitious target, asserting that those who had laughed at the possibility of a $10 surge would eventually delete their tweets once XRP reaches that milestone.  Although her bullish predictions of XRP are not supported by technical chart patterns or historical data analysis, XRP Queen outlined several other key reasons she believed the cryptocurrency could reach $10 in 2026. Her argument primarily centers on XRP’s fundamental utility as a payment solution and institutional settlement rail.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Final Sell-Off Coming? Analyst Says It’s Time To ‘Buckle Up’ Based on these factors, it’s likely the analyst expects XRP’s price to advance significantly, driven by the scale of adoption, rising demand, and broader recognition the cryptocurrency could achieve as it continues to be used for everyday transactions. The first point she highlighted was that XRP is already being used in “real payment corridors.” Currently, the cryptocurrency has expanded across multiple global regions and markets, where it facilitates cross-border transactions. One notable example of this traction is in South Korea, where XRP has emerged as the most actively traded cryptocurrency, underscoring its growing adoption and market demand.  The second reason XRP Queen believes the cryptocurrency could hit $10 in 2026 is the expanding role of the XRP Ledger (XRPL) in tokenizing real-world assets (RWA) and supporting stablecoin issuance.  Recent reports indicate that even the U.S. Treasury debt has been tokenized on the ledger, reflecting broader institutional interest in on-chain debt issuance. Furthermore, Circle’s USDC, one of the largest regulated stablecoins, has launched natively on XRPL, enabling issuance and use directly on the network.  This development has direct implications for XRP’s value. Each time a tokenized asset or stablecoin is issued, transferred, or traded on XRPL, XRP is used to pay transaction fees, effectively serving as a bridge currency for liquidity between different assets. Consequently, as more institutions adopt XRPL, demand for XRP could rise, potentially fueling a price appreciation.  Regulatory Clarity And Institutional Intent Another major point XRP Queen emphasized to support her ambitious $10 price forecast is the regulatory clarity XRP and Ripple have achieved recently. After nearly seven years of litigation with the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), the case was settled in 2025 with a $125 million fine on Ripple. This legal resolution puts XRP back into the spotlight, transforming sentiment and fueling demand for the cryptocurrency.  Related Reading: AI Explains What’s Driving The Ethereum Price Volatility, Can It Rise Above $3,000 Again? XRP Queen has also stated that “institutions do not build rails for fun,” implying that XRP’s vision is not merely theoretical or speculative, but a long-term effort to establish a global financial infrastructure. The crypto expert also hammered on the market capitalization argument, noting that even at $10, XRP’s valuation would still be below past cycle peaks for other major cryptocurrencies.  Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com

A crypto analyst and XRP enthusiast known as BarriC recently noted that XRP could experience two very different types of rallies: a retail-driven run or a utility-driven run. The price outcomes under each scenario would not only differ in magnitude but also in structure and sustainability. A retail surge could push the token into the $5 to $10 range. However, a broader utility run tied to global adoption could, in his view, send prices far beyond the double-digit price range. What To Expect With A Retail Run For XRP A retail run refers to a rally that’s based on inflows from individual investors. This type of move is usually due to hype, social media momentum, fear of missing out, and capital rotating into large-cap altcoins from individual retail and whale investors. Related Reading: A $117 Million XRP Deal Just Happened, And No One Knows Who Did It This is a scenario XRP’s price action has been subjected to multiple times. where demand spikes quickly, trading volume surges, and breakout levels are chased. Gains can materialize within weeks and months, especially if the broader crypto market enters a bullish phase. According to BarriC, the next retail-driven cycle could push the price to a price target between $5 and $10. That projection is on what retail enthusiasm alone can achieve. However, retail rallies tend to be volatile and can retrace once sentiment cools, and capital rotates away from the crypto industry. What A Utility Run Looks Like For The Altcoin A utility run is fundamentally different from a retail-based run. A utility run would be driven by sustained real-world usage of the XRP Ledger and integration of Ripple’s payment infrastructure into global finance. Related Reading: Analyst Predicts XRP Price Will Reach $13 In 3 Months As Accumulation Ends According to BarriC, with a utility run, we could see prices for XRP starting at a minimum of $100 and then moving rapidly to $1,000. Then we could see the altcoin skyrocketing from there into the $10,000 to $50,000 price range.  XRP was designed to facilitate cross-border settlements, liquidity provisioning, and fast value transfer. The outlook is that demand would come from usage once banks, payment providers, and financial institutions start to adopt XRP and the XRP Ledger at scale for on-demand liquidity and tokenization of real-world assets. Speaking of XRP utility, XRP’s utility is a symbiotic relationship with the XRP Ledger. According to XRPL validator Vet, you cannot do anything on XRPL without XRP. “XRP is in the middle of everything,” he said. These comments were made in a recent YouTube podcast where Vet explained that the Ledger was never built as a single-asset chain like Bitcoin. From launch, the XRP Ledger included a native decentralized exchange, tokenization through issued assets, and features of a multi-asset ledger. Users can create stablecoins, tokenize assets, and trade directly on-chain without relying on external smart contracts. XRP is at the middle of all these functionalities, and therefore, a utility price run is based on infrastructural adoption of the XRP Ledger. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com

XRP developers have proposed a new amendment that would introduce Batch Transactions on the XRP Ledger (XRPL). Vet, an XRPL dUNL validator, has revealed that the amendment was still under voting by validators. He also shared key insights into the proposed amendment, highlighting the main benefits it would bring to the ecosystem and some recent challenges it has faced.  About The New XRP Ledger Amendment The new amendment, XLS-56d: Batch Transactions, was created by Denis Angell, a software engineer at XRPL Labs. According to reports, the amendment will make it even easier for developers to build applications that can generate revenue directly on-chain. It will also simplify the process of offering paid features and help automate transaction flows. Related Reading: A Major XRP Ledger Win That Most Investors Might Have Missed Notably, Vet stated that the highly anticipated amendment would enable developers to execute multiple transactions atomically. He explained that this capability would support project monetization, trustless swaps, and enable businesses to issue service charges more sustainably. Additionally, it would help settle multiple accounts and assets atomically. To provide further context on the new amendment, Vet referenced a publication by Shawn Xie, a developer at RippleX. In the article, Xie explained the concept of atomic execution and outlined how the new batch amendment would enhance the XRPL ecosystem.  He explained that Batch Transactions allow developers to bundle up to eight transactions into a single atomic package, ensuring that all transfers are executed according to the set rules. This approach delivers more predictable, reliable outcomes, representing a significant advancement in programmability without relying on smart contracts.  For the XRP Ledger, Xie has stated that the amendment would create opportunities for cleaner code and safer applications. He emphasized that it would improve user experience by eliminating issues such as partial mints, broken offers, or failed transfers. Additionally, it will allow transactions to be grouped logically and signed together. Other benefits of the proposed amendment include introducing new monetization paths and design patterns. Xie also noted that Batch Transactions would enable immediate utility across many real-world sectors, including platform fees, DEX swaps, trustless multi-account swaps, fallback withdrawals, and NFT minting/offerings.  Batch Amendment Runs Into Bug Issues While still under validator voting, the XRP Ledger Foundation reported that the Batch amendment had run into a bug, discovered through the platform’s Bug Bounty program, before activation. The foundation has revealed that the issue has been resolved and the XRPL network remains unaffected and fully secure.  Related Reading: What Happens Now That The XRP Price Has Revisited The October 10 Lows? The foundation has advised XRPL validators to veto the Batch amendment while the team reviews the community-submitted bug report. They said the community’s collaboration was instrumental in catching the issue early and preventing potential disruptions.  Following this, Vet has shared an update, announcing that a new XRP software update will arrive next week, deprecating the current Batch amendment. He said follow-ups will likely include a detailed bug report and another software release introducing a fixed version of the amendment. Featured image from Free3D, chart from Tradingview.com

XRP is currently trading without a clear bullish sentiment, but a few analysts are of the notion that the token is on the verge of something bigger than a standard bull cycle.  A recent post on X by crypto commentator 24HRSCRYPTO predicts that what lies ahead for XRP may not resemble the typical 6-12 month surge seen in previous cycles. Instead, he believes a multi-year expansion phase could be unfolding, one based on liquidity and real-world utility. XRP Is About To Change Forever At the time of writing, XRP is now stuck trading within a consolidation structure between $1.30 and $1.50. However, this hasn’t stopped bullish proponents from projecting bullish price targets for XRP all over social media. This is mostly due to ongoing developments across the XRP Ledger ecosystem and Ripple’s expanding institutional footprint, which are all giving long-term holders reasons to hold on to their bullish predictions. Related Reading: AI Explains What’s Driving The Ethereum Price Volatility, Can It Rise Above $3,000 Again? According to 24HRSCRYPTO, prior XRP bull runs were pushed on by narrative momentum. This is actually visible in the 2017 and 2021 rallies, coinciding with speculative enthusiasm across the crypto sector, sending XRP to highs in a short period of time. Those moves were rapid, emotional, and heavily sentiment-driven by inflows from retail investors and individual whale investors. The XRP ecosystem’s dynamics have changed since then, and according to 24HRSCRYPTO, the next XRP price cycle will be driven by structural integration. Instead of hype cycles, the focus is on XRP’s core design as a bridge asset for cross-border settlement.  The expectation is that liquidity will start to flow across institutions that use XRP, and therefore, its price behavior will transition from volatile behavior to valuation tied more directly to usage. As networks scale, liquidity deepens, and real value moves on-chain, assets that fuel the system won’t behave like casino chips anymore.  Ledger Developments And Institutional Positioning Recent upgrades and ecosystem milestones also support the infrastructure narrative. Developers and validators of the XRP Ledger are introducing features to improve institutional accessibility of XRP. The most recent feature is the launch of permissioned decentralized exchange functionality, which is designed to make on-chain activity more attractive to regulated banks and financial institutions. Related Reading: Can Litecoin Price Bounce To $285? This Trend Maps Out 5 Major Levels Ripple, the company closely associated with XRP’s enterprise adoption strategy, has continued to position itself within the global payments and tokenization landscape. The company has expanded partnerships across financial institutions and has emphasized the tokenization of real-world assets as a key growth avenue.  Some of these partnerships include a recent strategic partnership with a UAE-based digital bank as part of its effort to break into financial institutions in the Middle East. There are other instances of this, ranging from partnerships to develop tokenized versions of traditional funds on the XRP Ledger to acquisitions of financial companies, all of which are part of Ripple’s plans to expand its global footprint. These are all moves that support an infrastructure-driven outlook for XRP’s future price action. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com

XRP is facing one of its most difficult stretches in years, with price action, on-chain data, and derivatives activity pointing to a market under pressure. Related Reading: Ready For A 443% Dogecoin Move? The Meme Coin Just Touched A Historically Explosive Level After weeks of steady declines, the token has now recorded its sharpest weekly downturn since 2022, triggering renewed debate among analysts over whether the sell-off marks the start of a deeper correction or the late stages of a broader market shakeout. Currently, XRP is trading near the $1.33–$1.36 range, down roughly 30% over the past month and more than 60% below its July 2025 peak of $3.65. The decline mirrors weakness across the wider digital asset market, where risk appetite has remained subdued amid macroeconomic uncertainty. XRP's price trends to the downside on the daily chart. Source: XRPUSD on Tradingview Capitulation Signals Emerge as Losses Spike One of the most closely watched developments is the surge in realized losses across the network. On-chain data shows investors locked in nearly $1.93 billion in losses over the past week, the largest spike in about 39 months. Realized losses occur when holders sell below their purchase price, often during panic-driven sell-offs. Historically, similar events have coincided with market capitulation phases, where short-term holders exit positions and tokens shift toward longer-term investors. A comparable spike in 2022 was followed by a significant recovery months later, though analysts caution that past performance does not guarantee a repeat. Despite falling prices, trading activity has increased. Spot trading volume jumped above $2.3 billion in 24 hours, while futures volume and open interest also climbed, suggesting traders are actively positioning rather than leaving the market. Key Levels and the “Shakeout” Narrative Technically, the $1.30 level has become a critical support zone. XRP briefly slipped below it before recovering, indicating buying interest remains present. However, analysts warn that a confirmed breakdown could open the path toward $1.20 or even the psychological $1.00 level. Some market watchers argue that the current structure resembles previous consolidation phases that preceded strong rallies. According to this view, another decline toward the $1.10 area remains possible as markets get rid of weaker participants before any sustained move higher. Momentum indicators also reflect pressure. XRP continues trading below key moving averages, and while the relative strength index suggests oversold conditions, no confirmed bullish reversal has formed yet. Structural Factors Shift Focus Toward Q2 Beyond short-term price action, attention is increasingly turning to structural developments that could influence performance later in 2026. Analysts point to improving regulatory clarity, institutional positioning, and planned upgrades to the XRP Ledger aimed at supporting tokenized assets, lending functions, and compliant trading environments. Related Reading: Political Meme Coins Implode: TRUMP Down 92%, MELANIA Nearly Wiped Out Derivatives data adds another layer to the outlook. Open interest remains elevated despite declining prices, a pattern that has historically preceded expansion phases when new capital enters the market. Cover image from ChatGPT, XRPUSD chart from Tradingview

Panic is rising at $1.39, but the bigger picture hasn’t broken. XRP remains within a broader bullish structure, with price testing key support after a sharp correction. Unless critical levels fail, the setup still favors a larger upside rotation rather than a trend reversal. 69% Drop Sparks Panic Across The Market XRP has plunged 69%, sparking widespread panic across the market, but history suggests this may not be the first time such fear has marked a major turning point. The last time XRP experienced a similar deep correction, it eventually followed up with an explosive 835% rally, leaving traders wondering whether a comparable setup is forming again. Related Reading: XRP Maintains Macro Bullish Structure Despite Deeper Correction According to Crypto Patel, XRP is trading around $1.39 after breaking down from the key $2 support zone. Price is now retesting a higher-timeframe demand level that previously acted as the upper boundary of a multi-year accumulation range, placing the asset at a technically significant area. The token has already corrected 69% from its recent $3.66 high, forming what some analysts view as a classic breakout-and-retest structure. After surging 835% from its prior accumulation phase, XRP is now testing a critical support zone. On-chain data adds another layer to the narrative. Ripple just recorded its largest realized loss spike since November 2022, attracting $1.93 billion in weekly losses as holders capitulate, according to Santiment. Historically, periods of extreme capitulation have often coincided with local bottoms, raising the question of whether this sharp correction could ultimately set the stage for the next major move. Key XRP Bullish Accumulation Zone: $0.86–$0.66 Crypto Patel further outlined XRP’s current technical structure, highlighting a key bullish support zone between $0.86 and $0.66. Maintaining a price above $0.66 is critical for preserving the broader bullish outlook. This area represents a confluence of a multi-year breakout retest and a historical accumulation range, reinforcing it as a strong demand zone. Related Reading: Analyst Predicts XRP Price Will Reach $13 In 3 Months As Accumulation Ends The analyst emphasized that the combination of a major capitulation event and price testing a key higher-timeframe support level creates a high-probability reversal area. However, he made it clear that a weekly close below $0.66 would invalidate the bullish thesis and signal a structural breakdown. Looking at upside projections, Patel outlined a series of potential targets at $2, $3, $5, and ultimately $10+, suggesting the possibility of a near 10x move from the accumulation zone if the structure holds and momentum returns. In his view, XRP is currently trading within what he describes as a generational re-accumulation zone following a breakout retest. He noted that the recent $1.93 billion capitulation event often marks market bottoms, arguing that while weaker hands exit during panic, larger players may be quietly accumulating at these levels. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com

The XRP price may be approaching a decisive turning point after fresh on-chain data revealed one of the most extreme capitulation events in years. According to Santiment analysis, XRP has just recorded its largest realized loss spike since 2022, a development that has previously preceded a major price recovery. The data is now fueling expectations that a bottom could be in, with a move back above $2 increasingly within reach if history repeats.  XRP Price Bottom Signals Emerge After Historic Loss Spike Santiment’s weekly Network Realized Profit/Loss chart, which tracks five years of XRP alongside price action, has revealed a dramatic spike in on-chain realized losses. The latest readings came in at roughly -908 million XRP, marking the largest capitulation event since November 2022, when weekly realized losses hit nearly -1.93 billion.  Related Reading: Cup And Handle Pattern Puts XRP Price At $60 After Hitting Resistance Notably, the 2022 capitulation event occurred after a period of compression and decline. At the time, XRP’s price had been trending downward for months before the -1.93 billion reading printed. This showed that investors were selling at heavy losses near what later proved to be a price bottom. After that point, the trend reversed, and over the next eight months, the XRP price rose more than 114%.  Based on Santiment’s analysis, XRP’s current structure is mirroring this 2022 setup. The cryptocurrency recently fell from above $3 to the mid-$1 range, with the chart showing price hovering around $1.45 to $1.65 as the realized loss spike emerged. This sharp increase in losses suggests widespread capitulation, as many holders appear to have sold at a loss out of fear and panic rather than waiting for a potential rebound.   Historically, this type of extreme loss spike tends to appear near price floors, suggesting that the recent -908 million reading in the current cycle could be a major bottom signal for XRP. The chart shows that the most negative readings cluster around key inflection points, where selling pressure peaks and then begins to fade. In both 2022 and the current setup, the realized loss spike came after a prolonged downtrend, reinforcing the idea that an XRP price bottom could be in. A Possible Recovery Toward $2 While the comparison to the 2022 capitulation event suggests a potential bottom for XRP, it also points to a potential bullish recovery. After the -1.93 billion realized loss spike in 2022, XRP did not rebound immediately. Instead, it gradually shifted structure and produced a 114% rally over the next eight months.  Related Reading: XRP Funding Levels Drop To Extreme Negative Levels, What This Means For Price From the current price range near $1.35, a similar gain would push XRP well above the $2 threshold. The chart shows that past capitulation phases were followed by expanding candles and stronger upward momentum once selling pressure eased. If the recent -908 million realized loss spike represents a similar emotional extreme to the one observed in 2022, it could indicate that downside pressure is diminishing and a recovery may be approaching. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com

XRP’s short-term setup is facing renewed pressure after a sharp burst of exchange inflows to Binance, with on-chain data showing that the move was driven primarily by large holders. The spike matters because it points to a sudden increase in potential sell-side supply at a time when broader market momentum remains weak. CryptoQuant contributor Darkfost flagged the move in a post on X today, tying the development to a softer backdrop for altcoins while Bitcoin remains rangebound. “BTC continues to range, offering limited directional clarity in the short term. This lack of momentum is weighing on the broader market, with altcoins continuing to underperform in the absence of a clear trend,” Darkfost wrote. Are XRP Whales Selling? That context is important for XRP. In a market with limited follow-through, large exchange deposits can carry more weight than they would during a strong risk-on phase, especially when the flows are concentrated in whale-sized cohorts. The chart shared by Darkfost, titled “XRP Ledger: Exchange Inflow – Value Bands – Binance,” shows a clear outlier on Feb. 21. Total inflows jump to more than 31 million XRP, far above the surrounding days in the Feb. 15–23 window, with the stacked bars dominated by the 100k–1M XRP and >1M XRP cohorts. Related Reading: Mapping Out XRP’s Path To $1,200: Analyst Shares Insights Darkfost summarized the move directly: “This week was notably marked by a significant XRP inflow to Binance, which remains the go-to exchange for large transactions thanks to its deep liquidity. More than 31 million XRP were transferred to the exchange in a single day yesterday.” The chart also suggests this was not a broad-based retail event. Smaller cohorts contributed relatively little to the spike, while large holders accounted for nearly all of the move. That pattern aligns with Darkfost’s central argument that the event raises short-term risk because it represents concentrated, potentially market-moving supply arriving at a highly liquid venue. According to the breakdown shared in the post, the inflows were led by the two largest cohorts: 14,236,825 XRP from wallets in the 100k–1M band and 14,494,865 XRP from whale wallets holding more than 1M XRP. Mid-sized wallets in the 10k–100k range added 2,938,809 XRP, while the sub-10k segments contributed only a small fraction of the total. Related Reading: XRP Ledger Gets x402 Facilitator For AI Agent Payments: Why This Is Bullish Taken together, the distribution reinforces that the event was whale-led rather than diffuse. In practical terms, that matters because large-holder exchange inflows are often watched as a proxy for potential intent to sell, even if inflow alone does not confirm execution. Darkfost framed the risk in dollar terms, writing: “Altogether, this represents a sudden potential sell-side pressure of nearly $45 million that warrants close monitoring. Should this selling pressure persist, XRP may struggle to recover from its ongoing correction in the near term.” The price line overlaid on the chart shows XRP trading lower across much of the same period, sliding from the upper end of the displayed range around Feb. 15–16 before bottoming near Feb. 19 and only modestly rebounding afterward. By the time the large Feb. 21 inflow hit Binance, price had recovered somewhat but remained below earlier levels in the week. However, the rebound was completely erased during the early European morning session, as XRP fell to as low as $1.33. At press time, XRP traded at $1.3947. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

t54.ai has launched an x402 “facilitator” on the XRP Ledger (XRPL), a payments relay that lets AI agents pay for API calls and digital services in-line with normal HTTP requests using XRP or RLUSD. The pitch is simple: turn pay-per-request into a native part of the web stack, no accounts, no API keys, and settlement that happens on-chain. AI Agents Can Now Pay Via XRP Ledger The release plugs XRPL into x402, an open payments standard built around the long-reserved HTTP status code 402 Payment Required. In an x402 flow, a client requests a resource, the server replies with a 402 and machine-readable payment requirements, and the client retries the request with proof of payment. Coinbase’s x402 documentation frames the goal as programmatic access “without accounts, sessions, or complex authentication,” so both humans and autonomous agents can pay for usage-based services directly over HTTP. Related Reading: The 200 Million XRP Exodus: Investors Swap Speculation For Private Custody On X, t54.ai described the facilitator as “now live on the XRPL,” adding that agents can pay with “XRP and RLUSD – no API keys, no accounts, no friction.” Another post positioned x402 as “the open standard for machine-native payments,” where the server responds with HTTP 402 “Payment Required” and the agent pays immediately, with the facilitator handling verification and settlement on-chain. Popular XRP community account BankXRP wrote via X: “t54ai just launched the x402 facilitator AI agents can now pay for API calls and services with frictionless $XRP or $RLUSD micropayments using the HTTP 402 standard. No API keys. No accounts. Instant, sub-cent fees. Real machine-to-machine economy on the fastest, most scalable ledger in crypto.” t54’s XRPL deployment is designed to be “plug and play,” emphasizing no custody and no API keys. The public documentation for the XRPL x402 facilitator says it processes x402 payments on XRPL using payer-signed presigned Payment transaction blobs, and supports XRP plus IOU tokens including RLUSD (and USDC). Resource servers verify and settle by calling standard facilitator endpoints like /verify and /settle, mirroring the core x402 architecture where the facilitator is the chain-aware component that validates payment payloads and executes settlement. Related Reading: This Korean XRP Exchange Data Has The Community Losing It t54.ai also claims the system is already “in production” with BlockRunAI, a unified gateway that provides agents access to “30+ models (GPT, Claude, Grok, etc.).” In that integration, agents pay per request via x402, and the resulting payment volume “is now settling on XRPL,” effectively turning model inference and tool calls into metered on-chain commerce. Why This Is Bullish For XRP The “bullish” framing here isn’t about a single partnership logo, it’s about inserting XRPL into a broader emerging standard for agent-native commerce. x402 is explicitly designed to be network-agnostic, but in practice, standards only become real once developers can ship them with minimal ceremony. A working facilitator on XRPL means one more credible rail for high-frequency, low-value payments where the unit economics break traditional billing. It also cleanly links XRPL’s identity—fast settlement and low fees—to a use case that’s structurally growing: autonomous software paying other software. x402’s ecosystem pages and docs emphasize pay-per-use pricing and minimal integration overhead; that aligns with agent workflows where “thousands of API calls” and tool invocations need granular billing rather than subscriptions. None of this guarantees meaningful volume. But it does make the path to volume legible: more x402-enabled endpoints, more agent clients, and more facilitators that can clear payments cheaply and predictably. At press time, XRP traded at $1.4126. sd   Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

XRP continues to maintain its macro bullish structure despite experiencing a deeper corrective move than initially anticipated. Although price action has tested lower levels, it has not confirmed a higher-timeframe breakdown, suggesting the pullback is still part of a broader consolidation within an ongoing uptrend rather than a full trend reversal. XRP Dips Deeper, But HTF Level Still Holds In a recent XRP update, Hov noted that price action pushed deeper toward the lows than what would typically be acceptable for the previously considered diagonal scenario. The move forced a reassessment of the short-term structure. Despite that deeper sweep, the broader setup has not completely broken down. Related Reading: Historic Trend That Led XRP To A Sharp 40% Trend Has Just Reappeared Importantly, XRP has yet to produce a higher-timeframe close below the critical support level. Price is holding the area by a narrow margin, and as long as a decisive HTF breakdown is avoided, the broader bullish structure cannot be invalidated. Given the recent price behavior, Hov adjusted the corrective count, labeling the structure as a sideways combination correction within a larger-degree Wave 4. The pullback delivered a precise tag of the 50% retracement level, adding technical confluence to the idea that this could be a mature corrective phase rather than the start of a broader reversal. The next key development to watch is a clear five-wave advance from the recent low. XRP has already shown a clean micro five-wave structure off the bottom; something many other altcoins are lacking, as they continue to print overlapping three-wave moves instead. That relative structural strength keeps the bullish case alive. A sustained push toward the $2 region in a confirmed Wave 5 would increase confidence that a durable low is in place. From there, analysts would look for a controlled wave 3 retracement into support as confirmation, signaling that the market is preparing for continuation rather than a deeper breakdown. Technical Structure Remains Firmly Bullish XRP continues to maintain a technically bullish posture despite recent consolidation. Price action has pulled back, but the broader structure has not shifted into bearish territory. Momentum may have cooled, yet the underlying trend remains constructive. Related Reading: XRP Spot ETFs Riding The Bullish Wave, Attracting Broader Wall Street Allocation According to Steph Is Crypto, the key level to monitor is the 200-week moving average. As long as XRP holds above that long-term indicator, the macro uptrend remains intact. In previous market cycles, sustained bearish phases often began after a decisive break below this level, something that has not occurred in the current setup. At present, XRP appears to be consolidating within a broader bullish framework, meaning the structure still favors upside continuation unless proven otherwise. Trend dynamics have not flipped, and until major support gives way, the long-term outlook stays technically positive. Featured image from Peakpx, chart from Tradingview.com

Recent market dynamics have given different reasons as to why the XRP price is programmed to shoot to double and triple digits. However, a supporter known as Remi Relief recently outlined a case for a four-figure XRP valuation, with the reason being that several unfolding events could lay the groundwork for a move toward $1,200 and even beyond. Remi Relief’s XRP price outlook is based on a combination of incoming regulations, geopolitical developments, and long-term pattern comparisons to XRP’s historic rally in 2017/2018. The Clarity Act And Regulatory Momentum According to XRP supporter Remi Relief, XRP’s price will break above $1,000 by the end of the cycle. This bullish outlook is based on how XRP reacts after the proposed Clarity Act is finally passed. The Clarity Act is an anticipated market structure bill that supporters believe could define clearer rules for digital assets in the United States and remove uncertainty around crypto regulation, including XRP. Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse is betting on the Clarity Act to be signed into law by April.  Related Reading: What Happens If XRP Is Building Its Final Base At These Levels? However, Remi Relief noted that US President Donald Trump wants progress on the legislation’s passing as early as March 1. According to this view, regulatory clarity would significantly benefit Ripple Labs and, by extension, XRP.  Advocates like Remi Relief are of the notion that once legal frameworks are solidified, institutional players that have will now be incentivized to begin allocating more capital into the crypto industry. As an institutional finance-centric crypto, XRP is well-positioned to attract a meaningful share of any large-scale inflows from financial institutions entering the crypto market. Another major point is with Ripple Treasury, which was recently introduced by GTreasury. Remi Relief noted that the platform handled $13 trillion in payments last year, none of which were processed through crypto rails. Imagine how much this would matter for XRP demand if even a fraction of that transactional volume were to migrate onto the XRP Ledger. The 2017/2018 Fractal And The $1,697 Projection XRP’s price action might currently be stuck under $1.50, but various technical analyses show it is still following price playbacks before bullish rallies in previous years. Remi Relief believes this is certainly the case, and a parabolic move is incoming, with a $1,697.27 XRP if the cryptocurrency follows the same pattern as the 2017/2018 cycle. Related Reading: XRP Emerges As Rotation Target As Investors Exit Bitcoin And Ethereum According to the analyst, not only is a $1200-$1700 target possible for XRP, but it’s also a conservative opinion. This plays into a prevailing sentiment where the $1,200 pathway is a high-conviction thesis among a segment of the XRP community. Some XRP proponents are even of the notion that market cap arguments of XRP reaching extravagant price targets like $1,000 and even five digits at $10,000 are misguided. Featured Image from Freepik, chart from Tradingview.com

XRP has struggled to generate sustained demand in recent weeks as broader crypto market conditions remain fragile and selling pressure continues to dominate sentiment. Price action has reflected a lack of strong buying conviction, with several analysts warning that further downside cannot be ruled out if liquidity conditions fail to improve. While volatility has moderated compared with earlier corrective phases, momentum remains weak, leaving traders cautious about the near-term outlook. Related Reading: The Altcoin Exodus: Trading Volumes Halve As Capital Flees To Bitcoin $65,000 Fortress A recent CryptoQuant report highlights exchange reserve dynamics as a key framework for understanding current investor behavior. Monitoring the amount of XRP held on trading platforms can offer insight into whether market participants are preparing to sell or accumulate. Typically, a sharp rise in exchange reserves suggests investors are transferring assets onto exchanges, often signaling readiness to liquidate positions. Such movements can increase immediate market supply and contribute to short-term selling pressure. Conversely, declining reserves on exchanges tend to indicate withdrawals into private custody or long-term storage solutions. This behavior usually reflects stronger conviction among holders and reduced willingness to sell at prevailing price levels. As a result, reserve trends can help contextualize whether XRP’s current weakness stems from distribution activity or a broader repositioning phase within the market. XRP Exchange Outflows Signal Emerging Accumulation Trend The analysis indicates that this pattern is currently visible in XRP’s supply ratio on Binance, a metric that measures the share of the asset’s total circulating supply held on a specific exchange. Over the past ten days, the ratio has declined from 0.027 to 0.025, signaling a measurable reduction in XRP balances on the platform. In absolute terms, this translates to roughly 200 million XRP withdrawn from Binance during that period. Although exchange-level movements can sometimes reflect internal reallocations, major platforms such as Binance publicly disclose custody addresses, allowing analysts to differentiate operational reshuffling from user-driven withdrawals with reasonable precision. In this context, the scale and direction of the change point more convincingly point toward organic outflows rather than technical adjustments. Related Reading: Ethereum’s Leverage Reset Clears The Path For A Healthy Rebound – Analyst Such a decline in exchange-held supply often reflects a shift in investor positioning. XRP has corrected by approximately 40% since the start of the year, a magnitude that can attract longer-term participants seeking discounted entry points. When investors withdraw assets from exchanges, they typically reduce immediate sell-side liquidity and signal a preference for private custody over active trading. Taken together, the data suggest that a segment of market participants may be accumulating XRP at current levels, positioning for potential recovery rather than preparing for near-term distribution. XRP Price Struggles Below Key Moving Averages XRP remains under sustained pressure, with the weekly chart showing a clear downtrend following the rejection near the $3.30–$3.50 zone seen in mid-2025. Since that peak, price structure has shifted toward a sequence of lower highs and lower lows, typically associated with weakening momentum rather than consolidation. The latest candles suggest XRP is attempting to stabilize near the $1.40 region, but conviction remains limited. Technically, XRP is trading below the major moving averages visible on the chart, which now act as dynamic resistance. The shorter-term average has already rolled over, while the longer-term trend line continues to slope upward more slowly, reflecting the lagging nature of macro support. Sustained trading below these levels generally signals cautious sentiment and limited upside follow-through unless a decisive reclaim occurs. Related Reading: Is Bitcoin Supply Moving To Strong Hands? Whale Data Suggest Structural Shift Volume patterns also indicate reduced participation compared with the impulsive rally phase. This decline often reflects fading speculative interest, although it can also precede a base-building period if selling pressure exhausts. From a structural perspective, the $1.30–$1.40 zone appears to function as immediate support, while the $1.80–$2.00 range likely represents the first significant resistance band. Until XRP reclaims higher levels with strong volume, the broader trend remains fragile and biased toward continued consolidation or downside risk. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com 

Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse sidestepped a direct question about whether the company would ever buy a bank, using the moment instead to restate Ripple’s institutional-first strategy and argue that clearer US rules are already unlocking demand for stablecoins and XRP Ledger based payments. Speaking with James Hasso at the Economic Club of New York on Feb. 18, Garlinghouse was asked whether Ripple might acquire a bank outright or lean into tighter partnerships as it works with large financial institutions and builds out its stablecoin business. “I’m going to dodge part of your question answer,” Garlinghouse said, before pivoting into why Ripple has historically embraced banks rather than positioning itself against them. What Is Ripple’s Plan? Garlinghouse framed Ripple’s posture as deliberately contrarian relative to early crypto culture. “Ripple took a contrarian and controversial strategy approach to how we went to market early on and that made us unpopular in crypto,” he said. “Early on Ripple said banks are our customers. If we want these technologies to have the biggest impact on the largest number of people, banks are the touch point for people in their financial services relationships.” Related Reading: Ripple Wins Key UAE Bank Partnership To Support Digital Asset Infrastructure He contrasted that with what he described as crypto’s initial instinct to build outside the existing system. “The earliest days of crypto was a very anti-bank anti-government uh let’s build a parallel universe,” Garlinghouse said. “Ripple always took the point of view that we’re going to be a bridge between what we would now call tradfi or traditional finance and defy decentralized finance.” That bridge-building claim also anchored his response on Ripple’s regulatory posture around its stablecoin business. Garlinghouse said Ripple launched RLUSD 13 months ago and claimed it now sits “about number five” among the largest stablecoins—an outcome he linked to leaning into oversight rather than avoiding it. Garlinghouse highlighted a New York Department of Financial Services trust license and a conditional OCC charter, characterizing the latter as “belt and suspenders” for the stablecoin business. “We think that uniquely positions us as you know almost overregulated,” he said. “But we want that…because we work with institutions we want them to look at us as going above and beyond to make sure there is that level of oversight so there’s no questions…is the stablecoin backed one to one [and]…the attestations on a regular basis about those backings.” Then came the cleanest non-answer of the session. “And I’m going to skip the question, will we ever buy a bank? They are customers,” Garlinghouse said. Related Reading: XRP Community Day Recap: The 7 Most Bullish Takeaways Pressed on whether additional US legislation could accelerate adoption, Garlinghouse pointed to an earlier example: “The Genius Act was the stable coin legislation that passed…President Trump signed it either at the end of July or early August,” he said. “That was an unlock for sure…we definitely saw a big uptick in stablecoin activity after that became law.” He argued a similar effect could follow if the Clarity Act passes, because clearer definitions would give boards, CFOs, and banks more room to move. For corporates, he emphasized operational utility—especially “24/7 ability to move” stablecoins—arguing that “being able to make a payment on a Sunday afternoon sometimes is important.” Garlinghouse said Ripple has kept its commercial center of gravity on payments because the value proposition is straightforward: faster, cheaper settlement. On tokenization, he was supportive but selective, noting friction in traditional settlement cycles like “T+3” and “T+1,” while also warning that some projects feel like “a technology in search of a problem.” He pointed to BlackRock CEO Larry Fink as a prominent advocate, saying Fink believes a “huge percentage of assets will be tokenized,” and added: “I agree with him.” But Garlinghouse stressed that execution will be “vertical by vertical,” arguing domain experts, not Ripple, need to drive sectors it doesn’t understand, like insurance. At press time, XRP traded at $1.4027. Featured image from YouTube, chart from TradingView.com

Crypto expert Remi has raised the possibility that XRP could have a base price of $10,000. This came as the expert noted that the XRP Ledger (XRPL) could become the go-to network for tokenization, boosting XRP’s utility.  How XRP Can Achieve A Base Price of $10,000 In an X post, Remi predicted that XRP could have a base price of $10,000. He suggested that this could happen if the altcoin has a “United States Crypto price Floor System.” Notably, he made this comment in reference to a report on the U.S. developing a critical minerals price floor system.  Related Reading: Analyst Shares XRP Roadmap To $10,000: What Happens With Each Milestone? Remi suggested that this could also happen for XRP if the U.S. eventually considers it a very important asset. Meanwhile, the expert also noted that the XRP Ledger will tokenize gold and Bitcoin, which would also boost the altcoin’s utility and possibly contribute to the base case price of $10,000.  In another X post, Remi declared that all the critical minerals will be tokenized on the XRPL with XRP as the bridge currency. He reiterated that the altcoin could reach $1,000, $10,000, and even $100,000 once these begin to happen on the XRPL. It is worth noting that the XRPL is already seeing a wave of tokenization of real-world assets (RWAs).  Billiton Diamond and Ctrl Alt announced earlier this month that they had tokenized over $280 million of certified polished diamonds. Ripple also backed the deal, with the crypto firm providing custody services for this tokenization initiative. RWA.xyz data shows that the total tokenized assets on the XRPL are currently valued at $1.9 billion. The network ranks sixth among all networks in terms of tokenized RWAs.  XRPL Gets New Upgrade  The XRP Ledger has activated the Permissioned DEX, which enables compliant institutional trading. This is expected to further boost the network’s adoption, which is positive for XRP. Commenting on this development, expert X Finance Bull noted that regulated institutions can now trade on the network with vetted counterparties.  Related Reading: Cup And Handle Pattern Puts XRP Price At $60 After Hitting Resistance He further remarked that this translates to compliant DeFi, on-chain order books, and KYC-gated trading. The expert also claimed that Ripple and its partner institutions have been waiting for this, and that the infrastructure is ready and the payment rails are open. X Finance Bull declared that this is how up to trillions of dollars will enter the XRP Ledger.  He also mentioned that the CLARITY Act, being signed into law, will be the next bullish catalyst for XRP. Once that happens, he predicts that institutional inflows into the XRP ecosystem will increase.  At the time of writing, the XRP price is trading at around $1.41, down over 4% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com

XRP is quietly leaving Binance at a pace that’s beginning to register in CryptoQuant’s exchange supply metrics, a pattern one CryptoQuant contributor Darkfost (X: @Darkfost_Coc)says is consistent with renewed accumulation after a sharp year-to-date drawdown. In a note published on CryptoQuant, Darkfost pointed to a steady decline in Binance’s XRP “supply ratio”, a measure of how much of the asset’s total supply sits on a given exchange as a signal that some holders are opting for custody over liquidity. Binance Ratio Slides As XRP Moves Off-Platform CryptoQuant’s framing is straightforward: rising exchange reserves often track increased readiness to sell, while falling reserves tend to reflect withdrawals into private wallets and longer time horizons. Darkfost described the current setup in plain terms: “A decline in reserves held on trading platforms suggests investors are withdrawing. Funds are moved into private custody solutions. This is the trend on Binance.” Related Reading: This Korean XRP Exchange Data Has The Community Losing It The data point at the center of the note is the Binance XRP supply ratio over the last ten days. “Over the past ten days, Binance’s XRP supply ratio fell from 0.027 to 0.025. About 200 million XRP left the platform,” Darkfost wrote, characterizing the move as “notable” in the context of short-dated flows. Exchange-specific ratios matter to traders because they’re a proxy for near-term sell-side availability (and Binance the most liquid exchange). When balances drift lower, it typically means fewer coins are sitting one click away from the order book, not a guarantee of higher prices, but a measurable shift in positioning. CryptoQuant also flagged a familiar caveat: not every large transfer is “organic.” Exchanges reshuffle wallets, rotate custody addresses, or consolidate funds for operational reasons, which can muddy any simplistic read of inflows and outflows. Related Reading: What Happens If XRP Is Building Its Final Base At These Levels? Darkfost argued the Binance dataset is still interpretable because public custody infrastructure provides some visibility. “Some movements may be internal reallocations. Binance publishes custody addresses, making it possible to distinguish organic user flows from operational adjustments,” the note said, suggesting the observed decline likely reflects at least some user-driven withdrawals rather than pure internal accounting. Why This Matters After A 40% Drawdown The note ties the withdrawal trend to price context without leaning on forecasts. Darkfost said XRP has “undergone a correction of around 40% since the beginning of the year,” and that the lower levels may be drawing interest from investors positioning with a longer horizon. That combination: a material year-to-date correction alongside a measurable reduction of exchange-held supply is often what analysts look for when they’re trying to identify accumulation phases. The logic is simple: coins moved off exchanges are, by definition, less immediately liquid, and that tends to be more consistent with holding than with imminent selling. At press time, XRP traded at $1.4161. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

XRP’s derivatives markets are still showing signs of bearish pressure, with funding rates across major exchanges now in negative territory. According to real-time data, funding rates have been predominantly below zero in recent trading sessions, with the lowest exchange funding rate recorded around -0.0748%.  At the same time, open interest has returned to levels associated with long-term base zones in previous years. Could this environment lead to a turning point, or is further downside still unfolding for XRP’s price action? Bearish Derivatives Positioning Shows In Deeply Negative Funding Real-time funding metrics from Coinglass reveal that XRP’s average funding across major exchanges has dipped into negative readings, and several crypto exchanges are on bearish rates. At the time of writing, the lowest funding observed is at -0.0748%, which is a clear indication that short positions are currently dominating sentiment. Related Reading: Analyst Reveals What XRP Price Will Move Toward In Bid For $4 Negative funding rates mean that perpetual futures shorts are paying longs, and bearish bets outweigh bullish ones across exchanges. In practice, heavily negative funding can reflect overcrowded short exposure. However, this is a condition that sometimes precedes sharp rebounds if the price begins to stabilize, as short sellers may eventually be forced to cover. Technical analysis posted on the social media platform X by crypto analyst Osemka shows that XRP’s aggregated funding rate, weighted by open interest, is in deep negative territory on a weekly timeframe. As it stands, this metric is now at its lowest level since late 2022, only bested by the week of the November 2022 FTX crash. However, the interesting thing is that the prolonged period of negative funding back then marked a bottom in 2022.  Open Interest Returns to Multi-Year Base Levels Open interest has also dropped significantly alongside funding in negative levels. The weekly aggregated open interest metric is now sitting on levels associated with previous multi-year accumulation bases. This base, shown in the chart above, has been acting as the base level for open interest since October 2022. Each time open interest has revisited this zone since then, it has been followed by a rebound to higher levels. Related Reading: Here’s The Mistake Most People Are Making With XRP; Pundit Reveals In terms of price action, XRP has been struggling to find a sustainable bottom because the wider crypto market is yet to turn bullish. As it stands, XRP now needs to hold above two intermediate supports. The first of these is around $1.45, where recent daily candles have registered wicks. Beneath this lies a larger demand area roughly spanning $1.15 to $1.30.  On one hand, the negative funding rate points to bearish positioning stress, but history shows this has always occurred just before lows. At the time of writing, XRP is trading at $1.49, although it recently traded above $1.60 during the weekly open. A weekly close above $1.50 will be the first step to confirming a return to bullish momentum. Featured image from iStock, chart from Tradingview.com

The long-term value of XRP is increasingly tied to the development of the global financial infrastructure it was designed to support. Rather than relying on short-term price speculation or fixed adoption timelines, XRP was designed to operate at the plumbing level of global finance, where adoption depends on regulatory clarity, institutional integration, liquidity depth, and real transaction flow. These systems are built quietly, tested extensively, and activated only when reliability is proven. Why Financial Infrastructure Comes Before XRP Mass Adoption XRP’s journey has never been hitting precise timestamps on the chart, because utility does not operate on a calendar. An analyst known as ChartNerd on X has revealed that the journey to $27 has been a projected path for years, and based on a stack of multiple Fibonacci time maps and extension targets, the road to 2030 is where the vision fully aligns. Related Reading: Ripple’s Next Steps: Where XRP Stops Being Trade And Starts Being Infrastrucutre ChartNerd argues that what the market is witnessing right now is the groundwork for the foundation-building phase led by Ripple, following regulatory clarity from the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). This phase includes expanding institutional infrastructure, banking charters, and ETF inflows, all of which require time to scale before translating into measurable price impact. In that context, the short-term noise might fluctuate about the price action. However, the macro trend for XRP points toward progressive valuation milestones of $8, $13, and ultimately the $27 zone targets as the global settlement adoption scales. This thesis is not about timing individual candles, but about a structural shift towards 2030, where utility-driven value overtakes market speculation. How The XRP Ledger Becomes A Safe Infrastructure To Integrate The passing of the Clarity Act would mark a decisive turning point for XRP. A crypto analyst known as Bird on X has noted that the leading altcoin already has a unique level of legal clarity due to prior court rulings that confirmed it is not inherently a security when traded on secondary markets, an advantage most digital assets are still waiting to acquire. Related Reading: Japan’s XRP Integration Signals A Shift In Global Capital Flows According to Bird, the Clarity Act would move a step further by establishing a defined regulatory framework for digital assets, especially how they are classified and used, removing uncertainty for institutions, payment providers, and large-scale capital allocators. Once the rules are written into law, the biggest barrier, which is regulatory hesitation, will no longer sit in the background of every integration decision. With regulatory hesitation reduced, broader adoption can accelerate, liquidity will deepen, and real utility can finally scale at speed, because companies can now gain the confidence to build on and integrate the XRP Ledger (XRPL) without worrying about sudden rule changes. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com

Crypto analyst CryptoBull has highlighted a bullish pattern that could send the XRP price to as high as $60. This ultra-bullish prediction comes as the altcoin continues to struggle below key resistance levels amid the current crypto market downtrend.  XRP Price Could Reach $60 With This Cup and Handle Pattern In an X post, CryptoBull revealed that a Cup and Handle pattern is unfolding on the monthly chart and that the measured target for XRP is $60. In another X post, the analyst suggested that the altcoin’s downtrend may be over soon and that it could begin a run into double digits.  Related Reading: Analyst Predicts XRP Price Will Reach $13 In 3 Months As Accumulation Ends This came as he drew attention to the Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the weekly and monthly timeframes, noting that it is below the 2020 bottom of $0.11. He added that the upside for the RSI is huge and that this will put the XRP price well above $10 very soon. Interestingly, the analyst declared that XRP, not Ethereum, will lead the altcoin season. He added that the chart shows a rounding bottom and that the next move is up.  Crypto analyst Dark Defender also predicted that the XRP price could reach double digits at some point. In an X post, he stated that the altcoin has been proceeding in an ascending trend channel since 2017 and that the W Pattern is intersecting the Fibonacci level at $18. He added that nothing can stop what is coming. His accompanying chart showed that the altcoin could reach this $18 price target this year.  XRP Is Still Facing Resistance At The Moment Crypto analyst CasiTrades noted that the XRP price is still facing resistance at the $1.65 level. The altcoin had rallied to this price level over the weekend but faced resistance there, leading to a sharp decline below key levels. With the price now below $1.53 again, CasiTrades stated that this suggests that the altcoin is losing momentum.  Related Reading: XRP On The Verge? The Major Bullish Structure Shift That Could Send Price Soaring The analyst further remarked that with the strength of the selloff a few weeks ago, it is unlikely that the market pivots straight into macro Wave 3 without one more wave down to fully exhaust sellers. As such, there is the likelihood of XRP dropping to new lows before any potential bullish reversal to a new all-time high.  CasiTrades stated that on the subwaves, there is alignment for a double bottom near $1.11, with a further drop to around $0.90 also still possible. She added that what matters now on the next low is seeing strong bullish divergence and momentum shift. On the bullish side, she noted that if the XRP price reclaims $1.65 and holds, it would be the first real sign of strength.  At the time of writing, the XRP price is trading at around $1.47, down in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Freepik, chart from Tradingview.com

XRP’s weekly structure is drawing increased scrutiny as price consolidates within a historically sensitive range. Rather than signaling an end, a prominent XRP enthusiast suggests this phase could be laying the groundwork for a major structural pivot. Understanding this setup is key to seeing how historical consolidation phases define XRP’s expansion framework. Historical Consolidation Phases Define XRP’s Expansion Framework In a recent assessment posted on X (formerly Twitter), XRP market commentator @Austin_XRPL highlighted the asset’s historical price behavior as evidence of a recurring structural process. According to a chart he posted, each major appreciation cycle was consistently preceded by prolonged consolidation, during which price carefully built acceptance before advancing. Related Reading: Historic Trend That Led XRP To A Sharp 40% Trend Has Just Reappeared He points to the $0.15–$0.30 range as the earliest modern base, where XRP spent roughly two years forming foundational support before moving higher. Similar behavior occurred between $0.30–$0.50, establishing another two-year launch platform that allowed accumulation to occur efficiently. As price climbed, consolidation periods shortened but remained critical: $0.50–$0.75 saw about 18 months of structured interaction, followed by nearly a year of basing between $0.75–$1.30. Even the upper macro region of $1.80–$3.40, often interpreted through a distribution lens, recorded more than a year of sustained trading and accumulation. Austin’s framework emphasizes that expansions only follow extended structural preparation and disciplined accumulation. If XRP is now building a “final base” at current levels, the implication is clear: adequate consolidation could lay the necessary groundwork for the next significant and potentially long-term markup phase. Building The Final Base: $1.30–$1.80 In Focus Austin identifies the $1.30 to $1.80 range as the only major zone on XRP’s macro chart that never formed a proper base. His chart shows the price moved through this corridor rapidly during prior rallies, leaving minimal consolidation. Related Reading: XRP Sees Re-Accumulation Signals From Korean Trading Desks As Traders Quietly Build Positions He classifies the area as an inefficient range, where price advances without establishing durable support. Structurally, markets often revisit such zones to stabilize liquidity and build balance where trading activity was previously thin. Recent weekly price action shows XRP transacting within this corridor rather than rejecting it. Austin interprets this as structural repair, describing the behavior as gap-filling — price rotating inside the range to establish acceptance. If this process continues, he views it as a base formation. Converting this historically underdeveloped corridor into support would close what he considers the final structural gap on the macro chart, leaving all lower zones with established consolidation histories. The implication is reduced resistance above. Because XRP spent limited time consolidating beyond this band in prior cycles, overhead supply may be thinner once expansion begins. Within this framework, completing a base here signals late-stage preparation. With the inefficiency resolved and support established, XRP would be structurally positioned to transition from consolidation into expansion, with any breakout reflecting completed market structure rather than sentiment-driven momentum. Featured Image from Peakpx, chart from Tradingview.com

Crypto market researcher Dom (@traderview2) says he’s identified what looks like a persistent, algorithmic XRP seller on South Korea’s Upbit: one that, by his estimates, has offloaded roughly 3.3 billion XRP into the XRP/KRW order book over the past 10 months. If the analysis holds, it reframes Upbit’s XRP flow as a venue-specific phenomenon rather than a simple reflection of global risk-on/risk-off sentiment. XRP/KRW Saw $5 Billion in Net Selling Dom analyzed “82 million trades on Upbit XRP/KRW” and mapped their net imbalance over time. His headline conclusion: “A $5 billion one directional selling pipeline running 24/7 for almost a year.” Dom said the work began after an intense intraday stretch that forced a closer look at the tape. “It started with yesterday’s price action. -57M XRP in CVD over 17 hours. It looked insane,” he wrote. “So I ran forensic queries – bot fingerprinting, iceberg detection, wash trade checks. The selling was real. Algorithmic. 61% of trades fired within 10ms. Single bot running 17 hours straight with one 33 second pause.” Related Reading: Analyst Reveals What XRP Price Will Move Toward In Bid For $4 Instead of treating that -57 million XRP cumulative volume delta as an outlier, Dom said he zoomed out and found it matched a longer-running pattern. “-57M isn’t an anomaly,” he wrote. “Upbit XRP/KRW has been net negative every single month for 10 months,” listing several months with large net selling: “Apr: -165M,” “Jul: -197M,” “Oct: -382M,” and “Jan: -370M.” In total, he put the figure at “3.3 BILLION XRP in net selling. ~$5B.” He also argued the flow is unusually consistent. “Only 1 week out of 46 was positive. One,” Dom wrote, adding that there is “no weekday/weekend distinction” and “no time of day where buying outweighs selling in aggregate.” That persistence is part of why he framed it as something closer to execution infrastructure than discretionary trading. “This isn’t a trader,” he wrote. “It’s infrastructure.” A key part of the thread is the cross-venue comparison. Dom said Binance’s XRP/USDT market showed materially less sell pressure during the same windows—“2-5x less sell pressure on the same coin,” he wrote, pointing to a June period where “Binance was net positive while Upbit bled -218M.” He also flagged a weak relationship between the two venues’ hour-by-hour flow, claiming “the hourly correlation between the two venues is only 0.37,” which would imply Upbit’s net selling is being driven by local factors rather than simply mirroring global positioning. XRP Traded Cheaper In Korea For Months Dom’s pricing observations added another layer. He said that from April through September, Upbit XRP traded “3-6% BELOW Binance,” calling it a “reverse Kimchi discount.” In his view, that detail matters because it suggests the seller was willing to accept consistently worse execution than what was available elsewhere. “The sellers were accepting 6% worse fills than available on global markets, for many months,” Dom wrote. “They don’t care about the price. They need KRW, are mandated to use Upbit, and/or are Korean holders taking profit…” Related Reading: XRP Vs Gold Hits Historic Zone As Sentiment Capitulates: Analyst He then pointed to what he described as a structural break around Oct. 10. “Korean retail went insane. Premium flipped from -0.07% to +2.4% in a single day. Trades 5x’d to 832K,” Dom wrote, adding that the premium “has only briefly gone negative since.” The seller, in his telling, did not back off—if anything, the pace increased. “And the sellers? They doubled their daily rate. From -6.3M/day to -11.2M/day.” Dom tried to connect that behavior to market regimes by “bucket[ing] every day by what XRP did on Binance globally,” reporting that Upbit flow skews heavily negative on down days and especially on crash days. He summarized the dynamic as feedback between a systematic seller and retail behavior: “On moon days, Korean retail becomes a NET BUYER. They’re accumulating,” he wrote. “On crash days, sell intensity is 8x heavier. The systematic seller + retail panic amplify each other. Korean retail buys every rip. The pipeline sells into all of it.” To support the “machine versus retail” framing, Dom contrasted order-size fingerprints on both sides of the tape. He claimed the sell side repeatedly used round-number clips—“10, 50, 100, 500, 1000 XRP”—with “57-60% of all trades fire within 10ms,” while the buy side showed a large fraction of “tiny fractional sizes,” such as “2.535, 3.679, 2.681 XRP,” which he argued is consistent with KRW-denominated retail tickets like buying a fixed won amount of XRP. “One side looks like retail,” he wrote. “The other looks like a machine.” The scale claim is also central to why the thread traveled. Dom said “3.3 billion XRP” represents “5.4% of XRP’s entire circulating supply,” moved through “a single trading pair, on a single exchange, in 10 months.” He emphasized he’s working from trade-level datasets: “This analysis used tick trade data I collected from Upbit and Binance,” he wrote, citing “82M Upbit trades + 444M Binance trades.” Dom stopped short of naming a specific entity behind the selling, instead posing a question he framed as the next investigative step: who can sustain “300-400M per month for a year straight,” seemingly “doesn’t care about 6% discounts,” and “needs KRW specifically or is in some walled garden and can only use Upbit?” At press time, XRP traded at $1.45. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com