XRP’s prolonged decline has seen its price down more than 60% from its 2025 peak, placing it inside what can be viewed as an extended corrective phase. As expected, this has led to questions among crypto investors as to whether XRP can still go on a rally this year that would see it push to new all-time highs and possibly above $4. One analyst has now laid out a scenario suggesting XRP could soon complete its correction and begin another upward wave that may eventually push the price to new highs. XRP May Be Nearing The End Of A Long Corrective Phase The prevailing discussion around XRP’s decline in the past few months has largely centered on the cryptocurrency topping out at its summer 2025 all-time high of $3.65. According to one analyst posting on X, that reading may be fundamentally incorrect. Related Reading: Expert Trader Shows ‘Simple Math’ To Calculate The Bitcoin Price Bottom Based on this analysis, the impulsive wave for XRP completed as far back as January 2025, when XRP reached a peak above $3.30. This was several months before the all-time high was printed. The subwaves originating from July 2024 fit best as an impulsive structure that concluded in January 2025, with the price action that followed, including the ATH, forming a corrective pattern. The last major corrective stretch on the weekly chart lasted 61 weeks from top to bottom and erased about 85% of XRP’s value before the next meaningful recovery began. Applying that same time window to the January 2025 high would place the current correction close to completion around mid-March 2026. XRP Price Chart. Source: @protechtor On X As shown in the chart above, XRP’s earlier correction after 2021 unfolded inside a descending channel and lasted 61 bars, or 427 days, before finding a low. The price decline during that phase reached about 85.34%. The current structure on the right side of the chart is looking like that earlier breakdown in both shape and duration. This time, the decline has so far reached about 71.52%, with the same 61-week duration highlighted as a key timing marker. A descending trendline cuts through the current price structure and converges at $1.05. According to the analyst, that level could serve as the final downside target if XRP has not already bottomed. Can XRP Still Reach $4 In 2026? A move to $4 in 2026 would require XRP to do far more than just bounce from support, but the scenario is not unrealistic if the current correction is approaching its end. A rally from the analyst’s suggested downside at $1.05 to $4 would represent a gain of about 281%. Even from the price zone shown on the chart, around $1.38, XRP would still need to climb 200% to reclaim and break beyond the upper boundary of the current corrective structure. Related Reading: Bitcoin Liquidation Map Predicts The Next Targets To Watch Out For A confirmed monthly bottom followed by a strong push above the horizontal resistance area at $1.80 would likely be the first signal. From there, the upper trendline of the current structure and the prior highs around the $3.4 to $3.6 range would become the next price targets. This is where the $4 discussion will become more realistic. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
A fresh cluster of on-chain and fund-flow data is feeding a familiar XRP market question: are buyers using the recent weakness to accumulate? New figures highlighted by CryptoQuant contributor Darkfost suggest that Binance withdrawal activity has surged just as spot XRP ETFs continue to absorb capital despite the token’s pullback. XRP Accumulation In Progress? Darkfost framed the move against a broader altcoin backdrop that still looks selective rather than expansive. “Despite a period of uncertainty that has been quite detrimental to the cryptocurrency market, altcoins are starting to show some early signs of resilience,” he wrote. “Total3, which represents the market capitalization of altcoins excluding Ethereum, is currently consolidating within a range between $640B and $740B, with a performance of around +11% since the beginning of February.” That matters because his XRP read is not based on a broad-based altcoin revival. It is based on capital concentration. As Darkfost put it, “despite a complicated macroeconomic environment and still limited market liquidity, a portion of capital remains positioned in altcoins.” But with liquidity still constrained and the listed universe of tokens continuing to expand, he argued that “asset selection is becoming increasingly important.” Within that framework, XRP has started to stand out. A CryptoQuant chart tracking XRP Ledger exchange withdrawal transactions from Binance shows several sharp spikes in recent weeks, with the most notable move exceeding 14,000 transactions on March 6. Those bursts came while XRP’s USD price remained under pressure, a pattern some traders often read as coins leaving exchange inventory rather than moving onto venues for sale. Related Reading: Why XRP’s Long-Term Vision Lies In The Internet Of Value Stack Darkfost was careful not to overstate the signal, but his interpretation was clear. “At the moment, a few positive signals are emerging around XRP,” he wrote. “The number of XRP withdrawal transactions on Binance has shown several sudden spikes in recent days, including more than 14,000 transactions on March 6. This type of movement may indicate that some investors are accumulating and then choosing to transfer their tokens to private wallets rather than keeping them on the exchange.” The second leg of the story is ETF demand. Bloomberg ETF analyst James Seyffart said spot XRP products “have actually held up pretty well despite the massive pullback in price” and have taken in roughly $1.4 billion in cumulative inflows since launch. A Bloomberg Intelligence chart shared by Seyffart shows flows rising from about $150 million on Nov. 13, 2025 to $1.44 billion by March 4, 2026, suggesting that allocations continued even as market conditions became less forgiving. Related Reading: Why XRP’s Infrastructure May Be Positioned For The Tokenisation Boom Seyffart also pointed to the limited visibility around who exactly is buying. “Who are these buyers/holders?” he wrote. “Well we only know a small portion of them because the vast majority don’t file 13Fs. But here are the holders as of 12/31/2025.” The Bloomberg Intelligence holder table shows Goldman Sachs Group at the top with $153.8 million in exposure, equal to 83.6 million XRP. Millennium Management follows with $23.1 million and 12.5 million XRP, while smaller positions appear across firms including Citadel Advisors, Jane Street, DRW Securities and others. That combination is what gives the current XRP setup its edge. On one side, there is exchange-withdrawal activity that may point to coins moving off Binance and into private wallets. On the other, there is steady ETF absorption and at least some evidence of institutional exposure building through traditional reporting channels. At press time, XRP traded at $1.3768. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
The XRP price has experienced a modest 5% recovery in the last 24 hours, managing to reclaim the crucial support level at $1.40. However, it remains substantially below its all-time highs reached in 2025. Despite this, technical analyst Egrag Crypto believes that this year could see the XRP price soaring to a price point as high as $42, meaning a potential gain of up to 2,900% from its current levels. XRP Price Cycles Egrag delineates his forecast by identifying four macro formations on the cryptocurrency’s monthly chart, each of which follows a similar cyclical pattern over the past decade. These cycles demonstrate that the XRP price tends to undergo a period of compression into a tight range before breaking out and embarking on a significant rally, ultimately resetting before the next structure emerges. Related Reading: What’s Fueling Hyperliquid’s Surge? HYPE Outperforms Top 100 Cryptos In Latest Rally The first formation occurred in October 2014, when XRP rose from $0.0046 to $0.028 by December. Following this initial surge, the price consolidated within the range of $0.006 to $0.009 for nearly three years until early 2017. The second formation initiated in March 2017, leading to a breakout that pushed the XRP price from under $0.01 to $0.40 by May of the same year, resulting in over 4,000% gains. After another consolidation period through November 2017, XRP reached a peak of $3.31 in January 2018 before experiencing a prolonged decline that ultimately brought it down to around $0.17 by June 2020. The fourth formation began from the $0.17 low in June 2020, where XRP rallied to $1.96 by April 2021. After another extended period of consolidation around the $0.50 mark, XRP broke through a significant descending trendline in November 2024, which had been constraining its price since 2018. This breakout propelled the XRP price to $3.65 by July 2025. The current price pullback to the $1.30–$1.40 range is effectively retesting that breakout level. If XRP continues along the same proportional trajectory as previous cycles, Egrag’s target of $42 could be within reach. Two Scenarios To Keep An Eye On It’s important to note that Egrag does not position $42 as the immediate target. Instead, he has laid out intermediate goals that are much lower—such as $4.50 if a breakout occurs, and potentially $10–$13 if the rally expands further. But when averaging across all four macro scenarios, Egrag estimates that an XRP price around $11 would be plausible, suggesting a market cap of about $670 billion for the altcoin. Related Reading: BitMine Acquires 60,000 ETH; Chair Discusses Outlook For Ethereum And Crypto Prices Lastly, Egrag presents a cautious perspective regarding the $42 target, outlining two potential scenarios moving forward. One possibility is that the bullish structure may fail, leading the XRP price into a deeper bear market. Alternatively, Egrag leans toward the thought that the current drawdown is merely a retest within a new growth cycle. He emphasizes that this structural framework must remain intact for his projections to hold. Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com
Solana (SOL), currently the seventh-largest cryptocurrency by market cap—trailing behind Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), USDT, Binance Coin (BNB), XRP, and USDC—may be on the path of surpassing its closest competitor, XRP. This potential shift is largely attributable to the intensifying infrastructure race between the two projects, as highlighted by market analyst Alex Carchidi from The Motley Fool in a Tuesday report. The Race For Tokenization Capital While XRP holds a larger market cap of approximately $87 billion compared to Solana’s $50 billion at the time of writing, both assets are vying to become the backbone for the tokenization of real-world assets (RWAs), such as stocks and commodities converted for trading on blockchains. Carchidi notes that Solana’s strengths lie in its speed and cost-effectiveness, making it particularly suited for managing tokenized assets that require rapid movement at scale—like stocks, bonds, and commodity contracts. The Solana platform currently has around $272 million in tokenized stocks circulating within its ecosystem, marking a 14% increase over the 30-day period that ended on March 5. Related Reading: What’s Fueling Hyperliquid’s Surge? HYPE Outperforms Top 100 Cryptos In Latest Rally Predictions suggest the total market value of tokenized stocks could climb to over $38 billion by 2035, up from about $1 billion today, indicating a substantial growth area ripe for competition. The argument for Solana’s potential to overtake XRP hinges on its aspiration to become the central hub for trading equities, exchange-traded funds (ETFs), and institutional funds around the clock—all at minimal costs. Carchidi asserts that Solana doesn’t necessarily need to capture 100% of the tokenized assets market to see significant price appreciation. Its current market cap is already so close to that of XRP’s that even a modest gain at XRP’s expense could tip the scales in Solana’s favor. Carchidi acknowledges that Solana may indeed flip XRP. However, the path for SOL to surpass XRP is not without challenges. XRP’s Edge Against Solana At present, the XRP Ledger (XRPL) holds approximately $453 million in tokenized assets specifically available for trading, rather than just for record keeping. The stablecoin base on XRPL is currently around $432 million. A substantial portion of XRP’s tradeable tokenized assets comprises US Treasury bills and government bonds valued at about $294 million. On the surface, this setup may not seem to threaten Solana’s growth trajectory. Yet, the analyst contends that XRP has its own advantages. Known for its speed and low transaction costs, XRP also benefits from a robust compliance infrastructure that is integrated into its blockchain. Related Reading: BitMine Acquires 60,000 ETH; Chair Discusses Outlook For Ethereum And Crypto Prices This allows financial institutions looking to tokenize assets—such as bonds, stocks, or securities—to avoid the time-consuming process of developing a compliance framework from scratch. As a result, XRP may attract more capital inflows related to tokenization over the next few years. Despite these challenges, the analyst believes that Solana would eventually outperform XRP in terms of valuation, possibly in 2030 and beyond, owing to its plans for a larger ecosystem. At the time of writing, Solana was trading at roughly $88.48, up 2.7% in the previous 24 hours. XRP, on the other hand, has surpassed SOL’s growth over the same period, with gains approaching 5% and the token trading at $1.43. Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com
XRP is trading around $1.40 after the market recorded modest upside following a volatile week that saw sharp intraday swings across several major cryptocurrencies. While price action has stabilized in the short term, on-chain data suggests that underlying market participation may be entering a quieter phase. Related Reading: Bitcoin Exchange Reserves Fall To 2019 Levels As ETFs And Corporate Treasuries Accumulate According to a CryptoQuant analyst, activity across centralized exchanges has dropped significantly in recent weeks. Data tracking XRP deposits and withdrawals across major trading platforms shows that transaction counts have fallen to the lowest levels recorded since the metric began tracking exchange behavior. The indicator, known as the Multi Exchanges Daily Depositing and Withdrawing Transactions Delta, monitors the net number of XRP transfer transactions across 15 major cryptocurrency exchanges. Unlike traditional flow metrics that measure the volume of coins moving on and off exchanges, this dataset focuses on the number of transactions themselves. This distinction provides insight into user behavior rather than capital size. In practical terms, the metric reveals how many participants actively interact with exchanges by sending or withdrawing XRP. The recent decline, therefore, suggests a slowdown in user-driven exchange activity. Such periods often emerge when markets transition between phases, as traders step back from short-term speculation while waiting for clearer price direction. XRP Exchange Activity Signals Market Cooling Phase The report also explains how the deposit and withdrawal transaction metrics should be interpreted within a broader market context. Unlike volume-based indicators, this dataset focuses on the number of transactions occurring across exchanges, which helps reveal shifts in investor behavior rather than simply measuring capital flows. When the metric rises sharply, it typically indicates that more users are sending XRP to exchanges than withdrawing it. In market terms, that behavior often precedes increased selling pressure, as traders move coins to trading platforms in preparation for potential liquidation. The opposite dynamic emerges when the metric declines. Lower readings generally suggest that investors withdraw XRP from exchanges into private wallets. This behavior often aligns with accumulation phases, when participants move assets off trading platforms and reduce their intention to sell in the short term. Related Reading: Altcoins Approach Historic Stress Levels as 38% of Tokens Near All-Time Lows Recent data shows a pronounced decline in the number of XRP deposit and withdrawal transactions. In practical terms, fewer investors currently interact with exchanges using XRP, creating an unusually quiet market environment. The broader context also matters. XRP has fallen more than 60% from its previous highs, a move that appears to have significantly reduced retail participation. The last major spike in exchange deposits occurred in January 2025 when XRP approached the $3 level. Binance remains the primary exchange driving transaction activity. XRP Struggles to Reclaim Key Resistance as Downtrend Persists XRP continues to trade near the $1.40 level after a prolonged correction that has defined its price structure since late 2025. The daily chart shows the asset attempting to stabilize following a sharp sell-off that pushed prices from above $2.30 down toward the $1.20–$1.30 range earlier this year. The broader technical structure remains bearish. XRP has consistently traded below its major moving averages, including the 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day trends, all of which now slope downward. This alignment typically reflects sustained selling pressure and a lack of strong bullish momentum. Related Reading: Post-Crash Purge: XRP’s 60% Valuation Reset Meets a Record Low in Exchange Liquidity Recent price action suggests that the $1.30–$1.35 zone is currently acting as short-term support. Buyers stepped in after the February capitulation wick that briefly pushed XRP near the $1.20 area, triggering a rebound that brought the asset back toward the $1.40 region. However, upside attempts remain limited. The declining 50-day moving average near $1.60 now represents the first meaningful resistance level. A recovery above that zone would signal improving momentum and could allow XRP to test the $1.80–$2.00 range. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com
XRP is in a spot that could decide whether the cryptocurrency’s larger cycle still has room to run. Although the price action is perambulating around $1.40, one new technical outlook contends that the current weakness may not be the start of a deeper collapse. Instead, it may be a familiar pause inside a structure that looks very similar to the one XRP formed before its 2017 rally. If this holds, then XRP might be well on track to hitting a 1,500% rally to $20. A Familiar Breakout Structure For XRP According to technical analysis posted on the social media platform X by crypto analyst Javon Marks, XRP’s current pattern setup and breakout process are extremely similar to the move that preceded its major 2017 rally. Related Reading: XRP Starts New Week With Bullish Confirmation, But This Level Is A Problem Interestingly, the analyst’s view is based on a side-by-side comparison of two large market structures on the long-term chart, both of which appear to form symmetrical triangle-like consolidations that ended with a breakout attempt, a brief fakeout beneath support, and then an upside expansion. To understand why Marks is making this call, you have to go back to 2014. XRP spent nearly three years carving out a descending triangle that was defined by a series of lower highs pressing against a flat or declining support base. The chart shows multiple rejected peaks between 2014 and 2016, with each bounce leading to lower highs. Most traders watching at the time would have seen a broken asset grinding lower. The twist came in late 2016, when the price briefly fell below the triangle’s lower boundary to create a false breakdown. From there, XRP snapped back violently, broke out of the entire structure, and launched a 2,029.78% rally that pushed to new all-time highs. The current chart structure appears to follow the same sequence. XRP spent multiple years coiling between descending resistance and rising support between 2018 and 2024, printed another false breakdown near the end of the formation, and then broke upward in 2025. That move already produced a powerful surge to a new price high of $3.65, but the overall breakout process may not be finished yet. XRP To Rally Above $20 The important part of the analysis is that XRP may now be in the same stage where it briefly cooled off before the next leg of the 2017 move. According to Marks, this current retreat, back to the $1.30s and $1.40, is structurally identical to the brief consolidation that followed XRP’s 2017 breakout before the parabolic leg higher truly kicked off. In his words, “Right now is only a temporary pullback before a move well above the $20 mark.” Related Reading: Analysts Predict Conservative XRP Price If It Follows 2017 Run However, the $20 target is not the last stop. Based on a purely technical outlook, the chart also shows a much larger measured move, with a peak projection just above $90 based on how the 2017 rally finally peaked. Featured image from iStock, chart from Tradingview.com
As the financial industry accelerates its push toward tokenising real-world assets, attention is increasingly turning to the infrastructure that could support this transformation. Advocates argue that XRP and the XRP Ledger may already have the tools that are needed for this shift and have supported asset issuance and tokenized value transfers long before the concept became a mainstream focus in global finance. How The XRP Ledger Handles Asset Issuance At Scale The current developments around XRP are becoming increasingly difficult to ignore as the broader financial world begins focusing on tokenisation. According to a post on X by crypto analyst XFinanceBull, the former Ripple executive Ashish Birla has recently highlighted a crucial detail that many investors may overlook: the XRP Ledger was already capable of tokenizing assets such as gold more than a decade ago. Related Reading: Ripple Exec Clears The Air On Blocked XRP Transactions – When Does It Happen? Meanwhile, the infrastructure was built long before the current wave of institutional interest in tokenised finance. Currently, major financial firms such as BlackRock and Franklin Templeton are actively entering the tokenisation race. As regulatory clarity gradually evolves, institutional capital is flowing into the digital asset infrastructure, and the market is finally focusing on the same challenge the XRP Ledger was designed to address. If tokenised real-world assets moving on-chain eventually reach trillions of dollars in scale, the network that provides the rails that settle value could become extremely important. Xfinancebull argues that the technology cycles tend to follow a predictable path, in which infrastructure is built first, and then price follows adoption. The Math Behind XRP Ledger’s Massive Throughput Potential The question of whether the XRP Ledger can handle real global-scale transaction volume is best answered with simple math. Crypto investor Grape explained that the network closes roughly every 3 to 5 seconds and can sustain about 1,500 transactions per second under normal conditions, which translates to roughly 129 million transactions per day without reaching its limits. Related Reading: XRP’s Real Value Will Arrive When Infrastructure Is Ready — Here’s Why Grape pointed out a major stress test conducted in 2021 involving Ripple and Pyypl pushing the public XRPL beyond 50,000 transactions per second while still maintaining a settlement time of 3 to 4 seconds, which amounts to approximately 4.3 billion per day. When compared to other payment and blockchain systems, the numbers are notable. Visa averages around 1,700 transactions per second, with a peak capacity of 65,000, while Ethereum processes roughly 15 to 30 transactions per second, and Bitcoin averages 7 transactions per second. Ripple CTO David Schwartz noted that the upper limits of the network are still unknown. Despite that capacity, the XRPL network is currently processing only about 1 million transactions per day, which represents less than 1% of its tested capacity. In this view, the limiting factor for XRPL is not infrastructure, but the level of real-world adoption. Featured image from Peakpx, chart from Tradingview.com
XRP has entered the new week with a technical setup that is beginning to tilt in favor of bulls, even though the price action is stuck inside a range. A bullish divergence has appeared on the daily chart, hinting that downside momentum may be fading and that a rebound could be close. However, XRP’s price structure is fragile, and technical analysis has revealed a level that could either support a recovery attempt or lead to another round of selling pressure. Bullish Divergence Shows Selling Pressure Is Losing Strength The foundation of the bullish case is the daily divergence now visible on the daily candlestick chart. XRP has been holding inside a narrow range near the $1.34 to $1.50 range, but momentum is no longer falling at the same pace as the price. Related Reading: XRP Bull Flag Breakout After 8-Month Consolidation To Send Price To $11 When price makes a lower low, but momentum refuses to follow, as the RSI is clearly showing on the XRP daily chart right now, it tells traders that the selling pressure behind each leg lower is weakening. The Bears are still in control on paper, but they’re running out of fuel. This is exactly what unfolded in the February lows. Price crashed to the $1.13 range in a capitulation flush; the RSI fell into oversold territory below 25. However, the price action is now beginning to stabilize and consolidate between roughly $1.34 and $1.40, but this hasn’t led to the creation of higher highs. However, RSI shows momentum and is beginning to quietly recover to build a higher low. That divergence is now confirmed on the daily timeframe with the start of the new week. Why $1.34 Is The Level Bulls Cannot Afford To Lose Despite the improving short-term outlook, the bullish thesis has a very clear line in the sand. According to technical analysis from a crypto analyst known as “Guy on the Earth,” anything below $1.34 would invalidate the setup in the short term. That makes it the level traders are likely to watch most closely at the start of the week. At the time of writing, XRP is trading at $1.36, just a little higher than the important $1.34 level. This support matters because it has effectively become the price floor of the current range. XRP has already spent several sessions trading just above it, and this shows that buyers are still willing to defend that zone. According to the analyst, a clean break below $1.34 would open the door to another leg lower or see a capitulation wick closing back above $1.34. Related Reading: Pundit Says XRP Price Could Reach $1,000 By End Of 2026 If This Happens Signals are one thing; confirmation is another, and for XRP, confirmation only comes at $1.50. The chart above shows the upper boundary of the current range around $1.50, and that is the level bulls need to break if XRP is going to shift from recovery talk to a real trend reversal. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com
The long-term vision of XRP has often been debated within the crypto market, where price speculation and retail trading tend to dominate the narrative. The proponents of the asset argue that XRP’s core purpose extends beyond short-term market cycles. Instead, they view it as a key component of the emerging concept of the Internet of Value, and enable the seamless transfer of money and assets across global networks as easily as information moves across the internet. XRP’s long-term significance has never been rooted in retail speculation, but in its potential fit-in-purpose utility within an emerging Internet of Value infrastructure. Analyst Rob Cunningham has mentioned on X that the world markets advance toward regulated digital commodity venues, clearer token classification, and tokenized movement of value across interoperable rails. Thus, assets designed for fast settlement, liquidity bridging, and neutral transfer between networks become relevant. How The Internet Of Value Requires Interoperable Assets Cunningham noted that regulatory developments such as the Clarity Act framework are not designed as an XRP bill, and no law can guarantee XRP adoption. However, clearer market structure legislation could address one of its long-standing challenges in the US: legal ambiguity, which is an inference from the legislation’s structure and purpose, not a promise. Related Reading: Cardano Founder Shares What To Expect For XRP If The Clarity ACT Is Passed Analyst Cunningham frames this transition as the “shipping container moment” for finance, meaning the financial world is standardising the movement of value, similar to how it standardised the movement of goods. When this shift happens, the winners are rarely the loudest brands, but it’s the rails, standards, and protocols that reduce friction across the system. From this perspective, the growth of Distributed Ledger Technology (DLT) adoption signals a deeper transformation of truth, and settlement and ownership are being re-architected at the protocol level. Cunningham views this trend as a “sound-money renaissance” focused less on nostalgia and more on restoring transparent rules and reliable measurements for digital finance. Related Reading: Pundit Explains How XRP Becomes A Global Reserve Asset In that broader macro context, the debate around the Clarity Act reflects a decision about whether the US will lead the digital asset transition through clear legislation or allow innovation to remain in regulatory ambiguity. Meanwhile, the XRP implications become strongest in a world that requires neutral, fast, and interoperable value transfer under well-defined rules, where the macro-direction is increasingly favourable, as the regulated utility will ultimately matter more than the narrative cycle in the market. A Liquidity Shift Is Unfolding In The XRP Market A notable shift is emerging in the XRP market liquidity. Crypto commentator XFinanceBull revealed that the data from exchange heatmaps shows that Upbit has recently moved into the top position for XRP trading volume, surpassing major global platforms such as Binance and Coinbase. This development shows that market liquidity is positioning before the broader narratives become recognised. According to XFinanceBull, the surge in XRP activity on a South Korean exchange suggests that regional traders are betting on the network. Featured image from Freepik, chart from Tradingview.com
The possibility of a massive surge in the XRP price has been raised again following comments made by financial commentator Jake Claver during an interview on the Paul Barron podcast. During the discussion, Claver suggested that XRP could eventually move into three or four digits, suggesting that the cryptocurrency might reach as high as $1,000 under the right conditions. Notably, the ‘right conditions’ are based on institutional adoption of Ripple’s financial infrastructure and the continued expansion of the company’s acquisitions. Related Reading: SEC Vs. Justin Sun Case Ends In $10M Settlement, Traders Eye TRX Price Reaction XRP Could Hit $1K By End Of The Year Claver’s comments came as part of discussions among crypto analysts about how blockchain infrastructure is increasingly being adopted by major financial institutions. In the Paul Barron YouTube podcast interview, he stated that XRP could eventually trade in three or four digits in 2026, with an emphasis on the potential role of the asset in global financial settlement. XRP is currently trading below $1.40, which is far below the double-digit threshold, let alone three digits yet. However, according to Claver, the single biggest factor behind a price move to three or four digits would be a full-scale adoption of XRP by major banks and institutional players. He cited Monica Long, President of Ripple Labs, as pointing to institutional adoption as the defining growth story for XRP in 2026. Claver named specific institutions he believes are positioned to lead the charge, including BNY Mellon, Fidelity, Citi, Franklin Templeton, and JPMorgan. In his view, XRP needs to reach a high and stable market cap before institutions will feel comfortable moving significant capital into it. “If you have a huge market cap for XRP, something much higher than people can comprehend, it will be very difficult to move that price with the inflows or outflows,” Claver said. He added that spot Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) and Digital Asset Treasuries (DATs) will contribute massively to the adoption of XRP by financial institutions. Recent market dynamics have already seen steady inflows into US-based Spot XRP ETFs, although not currently at a scale that would lead to a surge to $1,000 by the end of the year. Ripple’s Unique Position To Capitalize Claver also pointed to Ripple’s recent strategic moves as evidence that the company is positioning itself for institutional growth. These strategic moves are related to Ripple’s acquisitions that are now placing the company outside of simple payment processing. During the interview, he noted that Ripple is now involved in treasury management solutions and updates on RLUSD that could increase the use of its ecosystem. “They’re doing treasury management at this point, so if they did want people to hold RLUSD and be able to generate a return on, that’d be great,” Claver said. Related Reading: Solana Stablecoins Hit $650 Billion In Monthly Transactions He added that Ripple’s acquisitions, like the purchase of Hidden Road, which has been integrated into Ripple Prime, along with the acquisition of GTreasury and launch of Ripple Treasury, have expanded Ripple’s institutional offerings. According to Claver, these developments form part of the broader Ripple One product stack. “They’re in a very unique position to capitalize on this,” he said. Featured image from Shutterstock, chart from TradingView
XRP is at the center of ultra-bullish calls after two crypto commentators pointed to a 2017-style fractal as the basis for a major breakout. The latest discussion started with analyst CryptoBull, who predicted that the XRP price is on track for $10 to $11 by the end of March if its price action continues to follow its 2017 structure. That outlook then led to a much bigger response from Remi Relief, who said his own conservative target for this cycle is four digits between $1,200 and $1,700. Related Reading: Solana Stablecoins Hit $650 Billion In Monthly Transactions CryptoBull’s Fractal Call To Double Digits CryptoBull’s prediction is built around a familiar XRP talking point: that the cryptocurrency is tracing a structure similar to its 2017 breakout. A 2017 comparison is one of the strongest bullish narratives available for the crypto because it points to the one period in XRP’s history when price moved from relative quiet into a parabolic run in a short time period. In his technical analysis, CryptoBull said he now believes XRP is following the 2017 fractal and that this setup could take the cryptocurrency to $10-$11 by the end of March, adding that he expected six more days sideways before a push higher. The chart attached to that post shows XRP moving through a flat, compressed range under a horizontal resistance zone on the daily candlestick chart, with the green fractal path projecting a rally once that resistance is broken. The structure is simple enough to explain: long consolidation, breakout through resistance, brief pause, then a vertical continuation. In other words, the chart is not presenting a slow grind upward like you might expect considering XRP’s recent price action. It is presenting a replay of XRP’s most explosive behavior back in 2017. XRP Price Chart. Source: @CryptoBull2020 On X Remi Relief Takes The Same Setup To An Extreme Remi Relief took that same broad idea and pushed it far above CryptoBull’s target. In his response, he said that in 2024 he had already stated XRP would follow the 2017 run and go to $1,200 conservatively in this cycle. The move was delayed, although this is something he warned about back in June 2025 and after revising his thinking, his target range became $1,200 to $1,700. CryptoBull’s $10 to $11 call is already a massive move from current levels, but it still sits within the realm of numbers that are possible based on XRP’s current circulating supply. A $10 price would imply a market capitalization of about $610 billion, and $11 would imply about $671 billion. On the other hand, a move to $1,200 would imply about $73.2 trillion, while $1,700 would imply about $103.7 trillion in market cap. Related Reading: SEC Vs. Justin Sun Case Ends In $10M Settlement, Traders Eye TRX Price Reaction The real significance of these predictions may not be whether XRP actually reaches four-digit prices. It may be what they say about sentiment among XRP traders right now. At the time of writing, XRP is trading around $1.37, with an intraday range of $1.35 to $1.41. This shows that the cryptocurrency is far below the predicted price levels. However, there are many traders with an ultra-bullish bias who are still willing to rally around any setup that resembles 2017. Featured image from Shutterstock, chart from TradingView
According to recent on-chain data, large investors in the XRP market seem to be adjusting their positions. Further analysis suggests that if XRP finds favorable alignment with the current conditions, it could be at the start of a larger upside rally. 44 Million XRP Leave Binance Late In February In a Quicktake post on CryptoQuant, market analyst Amr Taha shared that there have recently been major withdrawals of XRP tokens from Binance, the world’s largest cryptocurrency exchange by trading volume. This outflow trend is based on the Multi Exchanges Daily Whales Netflow metric. Related Reading: Bitcoin May Hit $180,000 This Year, But Only If This Scenario Plays Out: Amber Data For context, this metric monitors the daily net flows of XRP held by whale wallets across 15 major crypto exchanges (all of which Binance leads in trading volume). Positive readings from the metric indicate that XRP is moving into the exchanges; on the other hand, negative netflows signal an efflux of XRP from these exchanges. According to the analyst, there has been a significant increase in negative netflows from the Binance platform. This is also reflected in the chart shared below, where, as of February 27th, about 44 million XRP tokens flowed out of Binance’s whale wallet addresses. Interestingly, this event was not a one-off in the month of February, as roughly 30 million XRP had left these same wallets on the 6th of the month. What This Means For XRP Price Increasing netflows on exchanges is often a tell-tale sign of investors’ intention to sell off their holdings or exchange their coins, thereby adding bearish pressure to the market. So, when whale netflows lean towards the negative, it means there is less bearish intent among this investor cohort. Also, when two withdrawals of this magnitude happen within the same month, it is a clear suggestion that these large market players might actually be accumulating XRP in equally large amounts. It could also be a sign that, rather than accumulation, these large holders are locking up their tokens for long-term storage. Based on historical precedent, events like this are often bound to have positive effects on the price of an asset. In the event that netflows are significantly large, the analyst points out that there is a corresponding reduction in available XRP supply. This means there would be less XRP in the market than is currently being demanded by buyers. Demand exceeding supply is a typical economic situation that drives an asset’s price to the upside. It then becomes clear that if current demand levels persist or increase, the altcoin’s price would likely follow an upward trajectory. At the time of writing, XRP is valued at approximately $1.37, reflecting a 2.9% decline in the past day. Related Reading: Analyst Shares Timeline For When A New Bitcoin Bull Run Will Begin This Year Featured image from iStock, chart from TradingView
Crypto analyst Luke has drawn attention to an XRP bull flag breakout, which could send the price to $11, which would mark a new all-time high (ATH) for the altcoin. This comes as the altcoin faces further downside amid the U.S.-Iran war, which threatens to drag on for a long time. XRP Eyes Rally To $11 Amid Bull Flag Breakout In an X post, Luke stated that a bull flag breakout is forming on the XRP weekly chart, with the target being $11. The analyst noted that this is a textbook bull flag after the 8-month consolidation. A pole height measured move points to a rally to exactly $11 while the altcoin could reach $11.20 based on the 1.618 Fib extension. Related Reading: XRP Price Ladder Shows What Conditions Are Needed For $18, $100, And $500 An XRP rally to $11 from the current price represents an upside of almost 700%. Luke indicated that such a rally is possible, with institutions also accumulating, a development that shows a “parabolic leg” is incoming. However, it is worth noting that the XRP ETFs have seen daily net outflows in the last two days as tensions between the U.S. and Iran intensify. SoSoValue data shows that the funds recorded outflows of $6.15 million and $16.62 million on March 5 and 6, respectively. As a result, the net assets of these XRP ETFs have dropped below $1 billion. The altcoin, alongside the broader crypto market, is currently facing downside pressure, with the U.S.-Iran tensions pushing oil prices to multi-year highs. Crypto analyst CasiTrades predicted that XRP could drop to as low as $0.87, as it remains below the $1.67 resistance level. Crypto analyst Egrag Crypto also stated that XRP could drop to as low as $0.85 after facing rejection at the $1.55 level. Insight Into the Current Price Action In an X post, crypto analyst JB stated that all previous wicks, including the one on October 10, have been filled down into the demand zone. The analyst opined that there isn’t much additional downside fuel left if XRP is still in a higher timeframe (HTF) bullish environment. JB also mentioned that the first attempt to reclaim $1.61 failed, so a retest of the $1.25 and $1 level are now back on the table. Related Reading: Analyst Predicts 1,500% XRP Price Increase To $15 If This Is A Wave 2 For an invalidation of this bearish structure, XRP needs to reclaim $1.61 and break the diagonal resistance. JB noted that this would significantly increase the odds of resuming the broader uptrend after about 15 months of correction. “The current area offers one of the strongest R:R setups for HTF spot longs, with invalidation below the gray demand zone,” the analyst added. At the time of writing, the XRP price is trading at around $1.36, down over 2% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Freepik, chart from Tradingview.com
Bitcoin has experienced a modest recovery after several weeks of persistent selling pressure, allowing the asset to stabilize as broader market sentiment begins to improve. While volatility remains elevated across the crypto market, XRP has recently shown signs of short-term relief, with price action attempting to consolidate after an extended period of downside movement. The shift comes as analysts begin to examine on-chain data for clues about how supply dynamics within exchanges may be evolving. Related Reading: The $73,000 Test: Crowded Shorts And Negative Funding Fueled Bitcoin’s 15% Recovery According to CryptoQuant data, exchange reserve metrics can provide valuable insight into market behavior by tracking how assets move between private wallets and trading platforms. These flows often reveal subtle changes in investor positioning, liquidity conditions, and potential shifts in supply available for trading. The report highlights the XRP Binance Exchange Daily Flow as a critical indicator. This metric tracks billions of dollars in XRP reserves to reveal how the asset moves across the exchange. Unlike simple token balance metrics that only count the number of coins stored on the platform, this indicator also incorporates the market price of XRP. As a result, the reserve value reflects two interacting components: the number of XRP tokens held on Binance and the prevailing market price of the asset, providing a more complete view of liquidity dynamics. Binance Reserve Decline Points To Changing Supply Dynamics The report further explains that exchange reserve data can act as a proxy for available market liquidity. When large amounts of a cryptocurrency remain on trading platforms, those balances represent potential sell-side supply. Conversely, declining reserves often suggest that investors are withdrawing assets from exchanges, reducing the amount immediately available for sale. CryptoQuant’s analysis highlights a notable shift in Binance’s XRP reserves. The total dollar value of XRP held on the exchange has fallen sharply, reaching approximately $3.9 billion by March 6. This represents a significant contraction compared with previous peaks observed during the cycle. Looking back at historical periods provides useful context. The highest levels of XRP reserves on Binance occurred in January and July 2025, when the total value of reserves exceeded $10 billion. During that period, a large quantity of XRP remained on the exchange, indicating abundant liquidity and significant potential selling pressure. Following those peaks, the market entered a prolonged decline, with XRP eventually dropping more than 60% and trading below $1.35. From a structural perspective, the current reduction in reserves may alter supply dynamics. When XRP leaves exchanges, the immediately tradable supply decreases. If market demand remains stable while exchange balances shrink, the reduced availability of tokens can gradually ease selling pressure and create conditions that support price stabilization or recovery. Related Reading: The $1.35 Floor: How Extreme Negative Funding Is Priming XRP For A High-Velocity Trend Reversal XRP Consolidates After Sharp Correction The chart shows XRP trading near $1.40 following a steep correction that pushed the asset significantly below its previous cycle highs. After peaking above $3.40 during the mid-2025 rally, XRP entered a prolonged downtrend characterized by a sequence of lower highs and sustained selling pressure. Technically, the asset recently broke below its 100-day moving average and remains well under the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, indicating that the broader trend is still tilted to the downside. The sharp drop in early 2026 forced XRP briefly below the $1.20 region before buyers stepped in, triggering a short-term rebound and allowing the price to stabilize in the $1.30–$1.45 range. Related Reading: Manufacturing The Bitcoin Reserve: Inside The Trump Family’s 11,000-Miner Expansion At American Bitcoin This zone is now acting as a temporary consolidation area as the market attempts to absorb the heavy selling pressure that defined the previous weeks. However, the inability to reclaim the $1.50 level highlights that bullish momentum remains limited in the short term. From a structural perspective, XRP must reclaim the descending moving averages to signal a stronger recovery. The first major resistance sits near the $1.90–$2.00 region, where the 200-day moving average is currently trending. On the downside, the $1.25–$1.30 zone remains the closest support. Losing that level could reopen the path toward the recent lows near $1.20 if selling pressure intensifies again. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com
A new outlook from market analyst Luke Suther shows a long-term valuation path for the XRP price, stretching from its current value of under $1.5 to over $18, $100, $500, and even $10,000 per coin. The projection ties price to real-world adoption and institutional use rather than speculation, highlighting how XRP’s value could grow as payment infrastructure integrates blockchain settlement. XRP Price Ladder From $2 To $100 In his post on X, Suther laid out a detailed price ladder for XRP, arguing that the cryptocurrency’s progress toward major milestones reflects real-world utility and institutional adoption. At the $2 mark, the framework begins with early-adopter corridors opening and pilot programs demonstrating genuine bank participation. In this stage, financial institutions begin experimenting with XRP, testing whether blockchain-based settlement can improve speed and reduce cost compared to traditional banking systems. Related Reading: Analyst Predicts 1,500% XRP Price Increase To $15 If This Is A Wave 2 From there, the path to $18 is built on the scaling of cross-border payments, with activity expected to expand significantly. This target is also supported by improvements in regulatory clarity that enable financial flows to move more freely and give institutions confidence in the legal framework surrounding XRP. The next major milestone arrives at $100. At this level, Suther expects XRP to serve as a core bridge asset for global payments, meaning it would be regularly used to convert value between different national currencies during international transactions. In such a scenario, liquidity becomes the driving force behind the price rally. As more institutions tap into the XRP Ledger (XRPL), deeper pools of XRP would be needed to ensure that payments move instantly across corridors connecting banks and financial markets. XRP Price Expansion From $500 To Over $10,000 Following its projected price rally to $100, Suther has set $500 as XRP’s next ambitious target. The analyst has stated that for XRP to reach this level, the asset would need to support deep liquidity pools capable of handling multi-trillion dollar flows. At this stage, he says the network effect would also become a powerful growth driver. Related Reading: Pundit Says XRP Price At $100 Is Not Insane If You Understand This The next target after the $500 target is $1000. By this level, the analyst stated that systemic reliance on XRP would begin to form. In that environment, banks, multinational corporations, and payment providers would conduct routine financial operations directly on rails powered by XRP’s liquidity. Such reliance would mean XRP would no longer be treated as a speculative token but a digital asset supporting real economic activity. For his final and most dramatic target, Suther predicts an explosive surge above $10,000. In this stage, XRP is expected to serve as a global settlement backbone used across international financial systems. He stressed that the cryptocurrency’s price growth would not be based on hype or market excitement. Instead, it would reflect structural demand that highlights the scale of utility underpinning the XRPL network. Featured image from Freepik, chart from Tradingview.com
A crypto analyst’s Elliott Wave chart suggests XRP could be on the verge of one of its most explosive moves yet, but the real fireworks depend on where exactly we are in the cycle. In a post on X, crypto analyst HovWaves said his macro primary expectation is still the same, adding that he has been looking for a $15-$20 price target for XRP and that the destination does not change even if the current structure turns out to be a different corrective leg than first assumed. The $15-$20 Target That Hasn’t Changed XRP’s price action since the start of the year has hardly resembled that of an asset preparing for an explosive move into double-digit territory. Even so, the lack of strong upward price momentum has not discouraged many bullish proponents from maintaining extremely optimistic projections based on technical and fundamental analyses. Related Reading: XRP Price Turns Completely Bearish, But Is A Crash To $1 Still Possible? One such analyst is HovWaves, who has been consistent in his projections. In a recent post on X, the analyst wrote: “Macro primary expectation remains the same for XRP. Been looking for that 15-20 macro target.” The basis of HovWaves’ prediction is that the Elliott Wave label on the XRP price chart can change, but the larger price objective of double digits stays on the table. He looked at the current XRP structure as a choice between a smaller-degree pullback and a deeper corrective phase, stating that the price action could either be a 4th on the immediate degree or a deeper Wave 2. That matters because Wave 2 and Wave 4 corrections can look similar in real time, but they usually imply different upsides once the correction ends. HovWaves also added a key condition: if the market is actually carving a Wave 2, then the final target will likely be much higher. This is interesting because it means that the $15 to $20 bracket could be a waypoint if the bigger impulse thesis plays out. Bi-Weekly Elliott Wave Count Points To Final Impulse The chart features an Elliott Wave count stretching all the way back to 2013. In it, HovWaves shows a completed five-wave impulse structure from XRP’s earliest days through its 2018 peak at $3.4, followed by a lengthy corrective phase. This was a sprawling ABC correction that bottomed out in 2020 before a new impulse began taking shape. Related Reading: XRP Mirrors The Russell 2000, What This Means And Why It’s Important The wave structure currently in focus is a five-wave advance from that 2020 low. Waves 1 and 2 look complete, and Wave 3 culminated in the July 2025 all-time high at $3.65. According to the chart, XRP is now working through a Wave 4 consolidation with a downtrend and intermediate choppy phases before what would be the final fifth wave launch to a peak between $15 and $20. At the time of writing, XRP is trading at $1.43, and traders are anticipating a break above $1.50. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com
Crypto pundit Bird has explained why an XRP price target of $100 is not “insane” when one understands what the XRP Ledger (XRPL) can do. He highlighted how the network could dominate tokenization and on-chain settlement, causing trillions of dollars to flow through the XRPL. Why An XRP Price Target Of $100 Is Not “Insane” In an X post, Bird indicated that an XRP price rally to $100 could happen due to the XRP Ledger’s capabilities and the network’s potential to dominate several crypto sectors. He noted that the XRPL can tokenize real-world assets, including asset classes worth trillions of dollars. These include treasury bonds, land, gold, silver, and several global currencies. He added that this is just the surface, as other RWAs will also be tokenized on the network. Related Reading: XRP Price Gears Up For A Major 680% Move Against Bitcoin To Reach $10 Furthermore, Bird also alluded to liquidity pools, locked yield mechanisms, on-chain settlement, and the broader tokenization trend as factors that could spark the XRP price rally to $100. The pundit added that once these other crypto sectors are factored in, market participants can begin to see what is possible in the hundreds of trillions of dollars. The pundit also noted that when real-world value moves on-chain, then networks that handle liquidity efficiently win, which is where the XRP Ledger comes in. “That’s the bigger picture most people are missing,” he added. It is worth noting that the tokenized value on the network continues to climb. RWA.xyz data shows that the XRP Ledger currently ranks 6th in terms of tokenized value on the network, which stands at $2 billion. This marks a positive for the XRP price, as the tokenization trend could boost XRP’s utility, thereby increasing demand. Meanwhile, like Bird, crypto pundit Austin also mentioned that a $100 target for XRP is not “crazy.” XRP Is Eyeing A Bullish Reversal In an X post, crypto analyst Egrag Crypto revealed that the XRP price is pushing above the 200 EMA, which could lead to a bullish reversal. The analyst stated that if XRP gets a weekly close above the 200 EMA and $1.55, then the short-term strength increases and momentum shifts. However, if the price remains inside the descending channel, then the broader structure remains corrective. Related Reading: Why XRP Is Being Hailed As The Top Trade Over Bitcoin And Ethereum For now, the key levels to watch for the XRP price are the $1.55 reclaim, which signals short-term strength, and the $2.20 weekly close, which would signal a bullish expansion. On the other hand, a rejection below $1.55 could lead to a sweep toward $1.26, putting the macro supports at between $0.95 and $0.85 on the cards. At the time of writing, the XRP price is trading just around $1.41, up over 4% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Freepik, chart from Tradingview.com
The XRP price returned to a technical level that, historically, has defined some of its most explosive rallies. After enduring a sharp 62% correction that culminated in a drop toward $1.10 on February 6, the token is once again testing its long-term ascending support trendline. Amid this, the broader crypto market has shown signs of recovery this week, offering some relief. On Wednesday, the XRP price rebounded roughly 6%, while Bitcoin (BTC) climbed back above the critical $70,000 level, restoring a measure of optimism across risk assets despite ongoing global tensions. Historic XRP Price Support In a Wednesday report, market analyst Sam Daodu pointed out that the XRP price is sitting on the same rising trendline that has historically preceded dramatic upside moves — including a 630% rally in 2024 and an extraordinary surge of more than 60,000% in 2017. Related Reading: CFTC Chair Says Crypto Perps Approval Is Close — Why This Is Huge For Hyperliquid? What makes this retest different, Daodu noted, is that it is happening for the first time with a fully established spot XRP Exchange-traded fund (ETF) infrastructure behind it. Since their launch in November 2025, US spot XRP exchange-traded funds have attracted $1.24 billion in cumulative inflows over four consecutive positive months. Approximately 797 million XRP are now held in ETF custody. At the same time, institutional wallets accumulated an additional 170 million XRP during the most recent price dip. Ripple also re-locked 700 million XRP into escrow on March 1, maintaining its standard release cycle and limiting new supply from entering the market. March seasonality adds another layer to the setup. Over the past 12 years, XRP has delivered an average return of 18% in March, making it statistically the strongest month of the first quarter. $4 Target Emerges From a technical standpoint, the $1.27 level represents the first area of support to monitor. It aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level and has served as a bear market floor throughout the correction. Below that, the $1.10–$1.11 zone marks the precise location of the long-term ascending trendline that held in February. A decisive break beneath $1.10 would represent the first failure of this channel since 2015 and could expose the XRP price to a deeper pullback toward $0.85–$1.00. Related Reading: MARA Revises Bitcoin Treasury Strategy, Opens Door To Selling $3.5 Billion In BTC On the upside, $1.47 stands as the nearest Fibonacci resistance, followed closely by the $1.50 neckline of the double bottom. A sustained close above $1.50 would confirm the pattern and project a move toward $1.68–$1.70. Beyond that range, on-chain data shows roughly 1.85 billion XRP accumulated between $1.76 and $1.80, a zone where holders may look to exit at breakeven, potentially creating substantial resistance. The most significant supply cluster lies between $2.40 and $2.60; a weekly close above that band would invalidate the broader descending structure and signal a more decisive trend reversal. Combining historical March strength, capitulation signals, and structural supply constraints, Daodu suggests the XRP price could potentially reach a range between $2.50 and $4.00 by late 2026. Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com
XRP is approaching a pivotal technical moment as it pushes against the 200 EMA while holding firm at the base of a descending channel. With support still intact and momentum building near resistance, the chart is compressing into a potential breakout setup. A confirmed move above the EMA could shift short-term sentiment, while failure would keep the broader corrective structure in play. XRP Tests The 200 EMA Barrier According to technical analyst Egrag Crypto, XRP is currently attempting a significant breakthrough as it pushes against the 200 EMA. This move has the community questioning if the bulls finally have enough momentum to sustain the climb. While the immediate price action is encouraging, the next few days are critical for determining whether this is a genuine trend shift or merely a temporary spike. Related Reading: XRP Price Begins Consolidation, Breakout Pressure Gradually Builds The primary condition for a bullish transition is a weekly candle close above the 200 EMA and the $1.55 horizontal resistance. Achieving this would signal a surge in short-term strength and a meaningful shift in market momentum. Despite this push, XRP remains confined within a long-term descending channel, suggesting the broader macro structure is still technically corrective. Egrag highlights two major upside targets for those looking for a “bullish expansion.” First, the $1.55 level must be reclaimed and held to solidify current strength. If successful, the next major milestone is a weekly close above $2.20, which would likely trigger a more aggressive upward move. A rejection at or below the $1.55 mark would likely result in a liquidity sweep toward the $1.26 level. If the selling pressure intensifies from there, the downside risk extends much further, with potential targets sitting in the $0.95–$0.85 range. Channel Floor Holding — Buyers Step In In a recent market update, analyst Jonathan Carter revealed that XRP’s descending channel support is holding remarkably strong. The altcoin is currently trading near the lower boundary of this multi-month descending channel on the daily chart, a zone that has historically acted as a springboard for price recoveries. Related Reading: XRP Triangle Could Point To Support Between $0.60 And $0.90 The focus for traders now shifts to a confirmed bounce from this support level. If the daily chart can print a strong reversal candle, it would validate the channel’s integrity and signal the start of a new upward leg. Should the bulls successfully ignite this bounce, Carter has outlined a series of ambitious price targets. The initial recovery would likely target $1.50 and $1.80, with a successful breach of those levels opening the door for a climb toward $2.35 and $2.70. In a full bullish extension, the analysis points to macro targets at $3.10 and $3.55. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com
Ripple’s push into traditional finance appears to have taken another step forward after its institutional brokerage platform, Hidden Road, was listed in the National Securities Clearing Corporation (NSCC) directory under the Depository Trust & Clearing Corporation (DTCC). The implications of this development, which recently went live, are massive for both Ripple and XRP. Members of the XRP community are seeing the development as a signal that Ripple is steadily positioning itself inside the infrastructure that powers conventional financial markets. Hidden Road’s DTCC Listing Places Ripple Inside Wall Street’s Infrastructure On March 2, 2026, a quiet but seismic event occurred in the crypto world. The Depository Trust & Clearing Corporation, the backbone of the US securities market, officially added Hidden Road Partners CIV US LLC to its National Securities Clearing Corporation (NSCC) Market Participant Identifiers directory. Related Reading: Ripple Exec Clears The Air On Blocked XRP Transactions – When Does It Happen? Ripple’s decision to acquire Hidden Road was already one of the boldest moves the crypto industry had ever seen. Hidden Road, now operating as Ripple Prime following Ripple’s $1.25 billion acquisition in 2025, is a global prime brokerage. Before Ripple acquired the company, Hidden Road was already processing financing trades for over 300 institutional clients, moving approximately $3 trillion annually. Gaining a listing on the NSCC directory grants a firm direct operational standing within the post-trade workflows used by the world’s largest financial institutions. Ripple has done something no crypto company has done before: it has embedded itself into the very machinery of Wall Street. The NSCC listing means Ripple Prime can now process over-the-counter trades through the NSCC’s centralized clearing system. Ripple’s former CTO, David Schwartz, also acknowledged the development on X, responding to a post about the update with the short remark: “Seems important.” Interestingly, Schwartz also noted that the update comes from something that’s been in the works since a bit before Ripple’s acquisition of Hidden Road and rebranding to Ripple Prime was 100% final. XRP Holders See The Writing On The Wall The XRP community’s reaction has been a mix of serious institutional analysis and unmistakable excitement. Many holders see the DTCC listing as the clearest signal yet that Ripple is no longer building toward mainstream finance but is now arriving inside it. That perspective gained further traction after David Schwartz publicly reacted to the update with his brief response. Related Reading: The Uncomfortable Truth About XRP That Shows How High Price Can Actually Go “Important milestone for Ripple Prime,” wrote one X user. Another X user known as SMQKE noted that Ripple’s Hidden Road acquisition and the recent move will supercharge XRP’s utility. The contention is that Ripple Prime will start to gradually move parts of its post-trade processes onto the XRP Ledger. Even if only a portion of that institutional volume were to eventually move through XRPL-based settlement systems, the development could significantly increase blockchain activity tied to Ripple’s ecosystem. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com
Digital Ascension Group CEO Jake Claver is still arguing that XRP could reach both three-digit and four-digit price territory before 2030, even if the US Digital Asset Market Clarity Act is not yet in place. In his latest YouTube comments, Claver framed that outcome not as a simple market cycle call, but as a function of utility, liquidity, and a potential supply shock tied to institutional adoption. Could the Clarity Act Be The Trigger For $1,000 XRP? His central point is that XRP would need to reach a much higher price before it could be used at the scale he envisions for back-end settlement across tokenized markets. “I really think three and four digits are both possible prior to the Clarity Act,” Claver said. “I think that three digits is much more likely prior to the Clarity Act and four digits could absolutely come after the Clarity Act. And the reason for that is it really can’t start being used for back-end settlement till it’s at least three digits at scale.” That logic sits at the heart of his thesis. Claver is not describing price appreciation as a side effect of utility arriving later. He is arguing the reverse: that XRP must first reach what he called a kind of critical mass in price and liquidity before large-scale settlement usage can begin. In his telling, a low-priced asset would not have the bandwidth required to handle settlement flows tied to markets such as equities, foreign exchange, commodities, or tokenized real-world assets. Related Reading: Pundit Explains How XRP Becomes A Global Reserve Asset He also argued that XRP is positioned unusually well for that transition. Claver said banks can already hold crypto to settle transactions, citing what he described as authority from the OCC, and added that XRP is “already a commodity” in the US in his view. He pointed to XRP’s listing on Bitnomial against USD and its treatment there alongside Bitcoin and Ether as part of that reasoning. From there, the argument becomes more aggressive. Claver said a crisis moment could trigger the kind of supply shock needed to force XRP materially higher. “I think it’s in a unique position to be used in a crisis moment and we’ll have a supply shock that pushes it to at least three digits,” he said. “But four digits could happen before the Clarity Act, but I think I don’t have a certainty on that. It could be that four digits does not happen until after the Clarity Act is passed.” In a separate video, Claver addressed whether XRP could still appreciate meaningfully by 2030 even if his broader “domino theory” for adoption never fully plays out. His answer was yes, but with limits. Without simultaneous demand from exchanges, institutions, markets, and potentially retail, he said the “big exponential move” would be hard to achieve, even if ETFs continue to consume available supply in OTC venues and dark pools. Related Reading: US-Iran War Sparks Crypto Fear, But XRP Stands Out He rejected the idea of a fixed repricing or peg, arguing that XRP would need a dynamic price that can keep rising as network volume expands. “It needs to be dynamic and fluid,” Claver said. “If it is fixed or stagnant like it would be if it was pegged, it doesn’t provide the same bandwidth over the long term.” He tied that to a much broader forecast, saying he believes 80% of global value will be tokenized by the end of 2030 and that XRP will settle that back-end activity. To illustrate the “critical mass” concept, Claver compared XRP to ETF adoption thresholds. He said an ETF may need to reach $100 million before certain institutions can participate meaningfully, because of position limits and minimum allocation sizes. XRP, he argued, faces a similar hurdle: without enough liquidity first, meaningful institutional use does not begin; without that use, the extreme price targets many holders discuss do not materialize. The result is a thesis that rises or falls on one key assumption: that markets will need XRP to be expensive before they can use it at scale. If that demand shock arrives, Claver sees room for a rapid repricing. If it does not, he suggested, the four-digit scenario remains out of reach. At press time, XRP traded at $1.4067. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Crypto analyst Javon Marks has predicted that the XRP price could rally 680% against Bitcoin, reaching $10 in the process. The analyst also indicated that the altcoin could rally higher, reaching the $15 target. XRP Price Eyes 680% Rally Against Bitcoin In an X post, Javon Marks stated that the XRP price against Bitcoin looks to be setting up for an over 680% run, which could spark a larger rally for the altcoin. He noted that this could lead to a move to the $10 price point for XRP. The analyst added that this price rally aligns with the current measured move target, which is above $15. Related Reading: Why XRP Is Being Hailed As The Top Trade Over Bitcoin And Ethereum An XRP price rally to as high as $15 would mark new all-time highs (ATHs) for the altcoin. Marks had, in an earlier analysis, alluded to how XRP outran Bitcoin by over 240%, when it rose by over 570%. As such, the analyst is confident that the altcoin could again significantly outperform the leading crypto. His accompanying chart showed that the XRP price could record this 680% rally against Bitcoin next year, a period which could mark a new bull market cycle for the crypto market. It is worth noting that XRP was one of the standout performers at the start of the year, outperforming Bitcoin and other major crypto assets, which led to CNBC describing it as the trade of the year. At the moment, the XRP price is facing downside pressure alongside Bitcoin and the broader crypto market due to the ongoing war between the U.S. and Iran. XRP has typically mirrored BTC’s price action during this period, declining when Bitcoin does and rallying when it does. XRP’s Price Action Is Still Corrective In an X post, crypto analyst Egrag crypto stated that the XRP price is still inside a descending channel and that momentum is currently corrective, not impulsive. As long as the altcoin remains within this channel, the analyst declared that XRP is in a distribution phase rather than a breakout. Related Reading: XRP Mirrors The Russell 2000, What This Means And Why It’s Important For the XRP price to flip bullish, Egrag Crypto stated that the first trigger will be $1.55, with a major invalidation of the bearish structure a weekly close above $2.20. A rally to this level could trigger a bullish continuation, opening the door to a rally to between $2.70 and $3.60, and then a new ATH will be on the cards. For the bearish scenario, Egrag Crypto predicted that the XRP price could drop to the $0.95 to $0.85 macro support if the altcoin faces rejection below the $1.55 level. He stated that there is a higher probability of the altcoin facing a deeper sweep to the downside than an early breakout reclaim. At the time of writing, the XRP price is trading at around $1.35, down in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Freepik, chart from Tradingview.com
Currently sitting under $1.5, the XRP price is projected to reach $100, representing a more than 6,500% increase. While this bullish forecast may seem ambitious given the cryptocurrency’s low price and slow growth over the years, analysts and market participants still believe a surge to $100 is inevitable. They base their outlooks on the expansion of the tokenization industry, predicting that such growth could become a catalyst for XRP, which recently entered this new and thriving market via its XRP Ledger (XRPL). Tokenization Growth To Fuel $100 XRP Price In a recent analysis report, market expert X Finance Bull made a compelling case for XRP’s future, predicting its price could ultimately soar above $100. This optimistic outlook is primarily based on the rapid growth anticipated in the tokenization sector, which the report estimates could leap from a current valuation of $20 billion to an astonishing $200 trillion. Related Reading: CMT-Certified Expert Flags Bitcoin Buy Signal, Is It Time To Go All In On BTC? With XRP at the center of this multi-trillion–dollar growth, driven by the XRP Ledger, X Finance Bull believes that the estimated growth of the tokenization market could potentially fuel a price surge to $100. Further supporting his bullish forecast, the analyst shared a video featuring Bitwise Chief Investment Officer (CIO) Matt Hougan, who echoed similar optimistic projections for the tokenization industry. Hougan highlighted his enthusiasm for the sector, drawing comparisons to traditional asset classes to underscore its potential scale. He noted that global stocks are valued at approximately $110 trillion, bonds at $140 trillion, real estate at $250 trillion, and ETFs at $30 trillion, suggesting that tokenization could ultimately tap markets of comparable size. Based on the valuation and continued growth of these asset classes, Hougan projected that the overall tokenization market could grow by 10,000 times, with room to grow further in the future. XRP’s Correlation With The Tokenization Sector XRP’s connection to the tokenization market is already being built through the XRP Ledger. As of 2026, XRPL hosts approximately $2.3 billion in tokenized Real-World Assets (RWAs), a figure that jumped sharply from $991 million at the start of the year. The over $1.3 billion added in just two months underscores the already accelerating pace of institutional adoption. The XRPL is specifically designed to make tokenization accessible to financial institutions without the overhead of complex smart contracts. Its in-built features, including a native decentralized exchange (DEX), automated market makers (AMM), near-instant settlement, and low transaction costs, give it structural advantages over larger programmable networks like Ethereum. Related Reading: 5 Monthly Red Candles: How XRP Is About To Create A Historical Losing Streak For asset managers and bankers seeking to issue and manage tokenized securities, these capabilities can significantly reduce developmental costs and operational risks. The Ledger is already being used to tokenize government debt, with recent reports revealing an increase in tokenized US Treasury holdings on the blockchain network. X Finance Bull’s $100 thesis for XRP assumes that if the global tokenization market skyrockets to $200 trillion and XRPL captures a meaningful share of that settlement activity, the downstream demand for XRP, its native token, could increase substantially. Under such a scenario, sustained capital inflows and transaction volume across the network could drive the cryptocurrency to a much higher valuation. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
Crypto analyst Amonyx recently drew attention to a CNBC video in which XRP was described as the hottest crypto trader of the year, ahead of Bitcoin and Ethereum. This comes as the XRP ETFs continue to see inflows even as other crypto funds see outflows. Why The Altcoin Is The Top Trade Over Bitcoin and Ethereum In an X post, Amonyx shared the CNBC video in which XRP was described as the top trade ahead of Bitcoin and Ethereum. The analyst then questioned whether the market was seeing something or about to. CNBC’s Mackenzie Sigalos noted that the token was already gaining a lot of attention towards the end of last year, with investors piling into the XRP ETFs while the spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs saw outflows. Related Reading: What Happens To The XRP Price If It Follows The Amazon Trend And Begins Parabola She further stated that these investors likely saw XRP as a less crowded trade than Bitcoin and Ethereum as crypto prices declined in the fourth quarter of last year. Sigalos added that this trade had paid off, considering that the altcoin recorded a 20% gain at the start of the year. Meanwhile, she also touched on XRP’s use case and why it might be gaining so much attention. The CNBC news host noted that XRP and Solana are the two most popular altcoins right now and that XRP has gained prominence for its utility in cross-border payments. Sigalos also suggested that XRP, alongside Solana, may have an edge over Bitcoin and Ethereum in terms of having more room to rally to the upside. Regarding blockchain adoption, she noted that users and investors may be turning to cheaper, faster networks like Solana over Bitcoin and Ethereum, especially for payments and tokenization. The XRP Ledger is also gaining traction for tokenization, recently surpassing Solana in terms of tokenized value on the network, according to RWA.xyz. XRP ETFs Continue To See Inflows SoSoValue data shows that the XRP ETFs continue to see daily net inflows even as the crypto market wavers. These funds are currently on a five-day streak of consecutive net inflows and have notably only seen six days of outflows since the start of the year. They currently boast net assets of $1.02 billion, which represents 1.20% of XRP’s market cap. Related Reading: Analyst Says XRP’s $15 Target Has Still Not Changed – Here’s Why However, the XRP funds recorded lower inflows than the Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana funds last week. A CoinShares report revealed that the XRP funds saw weekly flows of $1.9 million last week. On the other hand, the BTC, ETH, and SOL funds recorded weekly flows of $881.5 million, $116.9 million, and $53.8 million. At the time of writing, the XRP price is trading at around $1.36, up in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Freepik, chart from Tradingview.com
Versan Aljarrah of Black Swan Capitalist is making a broader case for XRP than the usual market-cycle prediction. In a X post titled How XRP Becomes a Global Reserve Asset, he argues that XRP’s long-term role is not limited to payments or bridge liquidity, but could extend to becoming a neutral settlement layer inside a digitized global financial system. Aljarrah’s central point is that the XRP debate has been trapped in the wrong frame. “The conversation around XRP is usually clouded by speculation and price predictions,” he wrote. “But beneath all the noise lies a far more fascinating story, one that bridges regulation, sovereign integration, and institutional recognition at the highest levels of global finance. The true potential for XRP isn’t just as a payments token or bridge asset. It’s a foundational layer in a digitized financial order where liquidity, interoperability, and neutrality are all that matter.” How XRP Becomes A Global Reserve Asset That thesis rests on three pillars. “To understand how XRP evolves into a global reserve asset, there are a few pillars that must align, sovereign adoption, regulatory clarity, and institutional recognition, which ultimately comes from the IMF,” Aljarrah wrote. In his telling, the process starts with nation-state usage rather than market enthusiasm. Related Reading: US-Iran War Sparks Crypto Fear, But XRP Stands Out He argues that reserve assets derive legitimacy from official acceptance, not price action. “Before any asset can become a global reserve instrument, it first needs sovereign legitimacy,” he wrote. “Reserve assets, whether gold, the US dollar, or Electronic Special Drawing Rights (ESDRs) derive their credibility not from market speculation but from their acceptance and usage by nation-states.” From there, Aljarrah shifts to how XRP could fit into cross-border finance, especially for countries looking to reduce dependence on dollar-based settlement systems. “Emerging markets are all exploring blockchain-based solutions to improve liquidity, reduce costs, and stabilize their currencies,” he wrote.“For nations with volatile or dollar-dependent economies like the BRICS, XRP’s design presents a unique advantage as a neutral settlement bridge, meaning it can connect local currencies without forcing countries into the geopolitical influence of the military-industrial complex that comes with the dollar-based system.” That leads into one of the strongest claims in the thread. “Therefore, it is not a matter of ‘if,’ but ‘when’ nations begin leveraging XRP to solve monetary inefficiencies,” Aljarrah said. “Countries all over the world have already integrated XRP into their payment rails and are already using it for cross-border settlements. That sets the stage for global institutional acknowledgment.” The next phase, in his view, is legal clarity. Aljarrah points to the CLARITY Act as a turning point because it could make XRP more accessible to institutions and sovereigns if Ripple’s influence over supply is reduced far enough. “By reducing its holdings, Ripple effectively decentralizes its influence over XRP, making it legally neutral, non-sovereign, and globally accessible, requirements for an asset to achieve reserve and settlement status,” he wrote. “Once Ripple’s holdings fall under the Clarity Act’s compliance thresholds, institutional adoption accelerates, and sovereign nations can hold and transact with XRP without triggering securities laws.” Related Reading: XRP Faces $650 Million Sell Risk As US-Iran Conflict Sparks Risk-Off Move Only after those two conditions are met does Aljarrah bring in the IMF. He argues that in a tokenized financial system, XRP could begin to resemble a programmable reserve settlement instrument. “Once integrated as a reserve asset, the valuation of XRP would be determined by its settlement utility, liquidity depth, and transaction output within a network of sovereign participants and multilateral institutions such as the BRICS,” he wrote. “This is probably the most important piece because price discovery would shift from noise to institutional liquidity corridors, where value reflects the asset’s function in global settlement operations. In essence, XRP’s price would be measured by how much value it moves.” Aljarrah closes by framing XRP less as a speculative crypto asset and more as infrastructure. “This isn’t just about XRP, it’s about the transition from a centralized, dollar-dominated financial order to a multipolar, interoperable system powered by digital assets, infrastructure, and neutral settlement technologies,” he wrote. For readers following the XRP story, the message is clear: this is not a near-term trading thesis, but a long-horizon argument about reserve status, monetary plumbing and the future architecture of global liquidity. At press time, XRP traded at $1.3576. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
US-Israeli strikes on Iran over the weekend have pushed geopolitical risk back to the center of crypto markets, but in CryptoInsightUK’s latest weekly note, the immediate takeaway for XRP is not simple downside. Founder Will Taylor argues that the first shock may be arriving at a moment when bearish positioning is already crowded, creating conditions where XRP could hold up better than Bitcoin and Ethereum if the market absorbs the news without fresh breakdowns. Writing in the Week 184 edition of The Weekly Insight, Taylor framed the conflict first as a volatility event. “There could be extreme volatility in the near term,” he wrote, adding that this was also the kind of backdrop where bottoms can form “on the onset of bad news.” He pushed the point further in a longer passage that gets to the core of his market view: “I am not saying number three is the definite outcome here. But I am saying, and I have said this for a while, that when people are overly invested emotionally in an event and are deeply worried about it, that is often where markets form bottoms. Especially if you do not see strong follow through to the downside.” Related Reading: XRP Faces $650 Million Sell Risk As US-Iran Conflict Sparks Risk-Off Move That distinction matters for XRP because Taylor is not arguing that war is bullish for crypto in itself. He is arguing that the market’s reaction function matters more than the headline. In his read, Bitcoin initially sold off on the news, but the move lacked the kind of follow-through that would usually confirm a deeper washout. He noted that liquidity still sat lower on Bitcoin, around $60,000, and said he would still prefer to see that level swept before calling for a more durable move higher. Ethereum, in his telling, looked similar. Taylor said there was still downside liquidity near $1,720, but stressed that the larger pools of low-timeframe liquidity were sitting above price rather than below it. That left room for another dip, but not necessarily for a structurally bearish reset. Why XRP Looks Different XRP is where his framework becomes more interesting. Taylor argued that XRP had already done some of the work Bitcoin and Ethereum were still waiting to do. “XRP had a spike to the upside about ten days ago that Bitcoin and Ethereum did not have. It showed relative strength there,” he wrote. “And now XRP has already moved down into the liquidity pools that Bitcoin and Ethereum are still waiting to touch. So in a way, XRP has already done what the others have not.” Related Reading: XRP Triangle Could Point To Support Between $0.60 And $0.90 He stopped well short of calling that confirmation, but the implication was clear. If the market was entering a fear-driven macro event and XRP had already traded into nearby liquidity while its larger peers had not, then XRP could be better positioned if the selling pressure fades instead of accelerating. Taylor said he had been discussing the possibility of XRP leading altcoins and “potentially leading the market generally,” with this low-timeframe setup offering at least a hint in that direction. Taylor’s broader thesis rests less on the war itself than on market structure. He continues to argue that Bitcoin still has significant daily liquidity above current levels and can make new all-time highs, while altcoins outperform on the way there. He tied that view to Bitcoin dominance, where he said Bollinger Bands were as tight as they had ever been on the weekly and extremely compressed on the monthly. If that volatility resolves lower, altcoins would be positioned to take share. That is also why he ended the note on XRP against Ethereum. Taylor said the XRP/ETH chart “has started a new trend to the upside” and may be the beginning of a larger impulsive move. His closing framework was blunt: if Bitcoin pushes to new highs, if dominance weakens, and if XRP continues to hold momentum against Ethereum, then “XRP could be setting up for an explosive move.” At press time, XRP traded at $1.3437. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
XRP has remained under sustained pressure since July 2025, losing more than 60% of its value from its all-time high and establishing a persistent downtrend. What initially appeared to be a corrective phase gradually evolved into structural weakness, as lower highs and fading momentum signaled deteriorating conviction across the market. Recent macro developments have only intensified that fragility. Related Reading: The Distribution Trap: Why Bitcoin’s Reserve Growth Proves Sellers Still Hold The Tape According to analyst Darkfost, the broader crypto environment has been heavily influenced by escalating geopolitical tensions involving the United States, Israel, and Iran. The situation deteriorated further over the weekend, when the first military strikes were launched shortly after traditional financial markets had closed. This timing proved significant. With equities offline, crypto became the primary venue for immediate risk repricing, amplifying volatility and uncertainty. XRP’s on-chain data reflects this instability. Inflows to Binance have surged sharply, with more than 472 million XRP — approximately $652 million — transferred to the exchange over the past week alone. This marks the largest inflow period recorded in February. Exchange Inflows Signal Defensive Positioning Risk The magnitude of recent XRP inflows to Binance suggests a clear behavioral shift among holders. Large-scale transfers to exchanges rarely occur without intent. While not every deposit translates into immediate selling, positioning tokens on a liquid venue increases optionality. In periods of heightened uncertainty, that optionality often leans defensive. When hundreds of millions of XRP move onto exchanges within a compressed timeframe, it changes the short-term supply equation. Even if only a fraction of those tokens are sold, the visible expansion of available liquidity can pressure bids and weaken market depth. In thin environments, such flows can amplify volatility disproportionately. However, context matters. Exchange inflows during geopolitical stress may reflect precautionary liquidity management rather than coordinated distribution. Investors sometimes consolidate holdings on centralized platforms to hedge, rotate, or react quickly — not necessarily to exit outright. The critical variable is persistence. If inflows remain elevated and are followed by rising exchange balances and negative netflow stabilization, the probability of broader distribution increases. Conversely, if inflows fade and reserves stabilize, the move may prove transitory. At this stage, XRP sits at a behavioral inflection point. Monitoring exchange balances and subsequent netflow trends will clarify whether this marks structural distribution or short-lived panic repositioning. Related Reading: Ethereum’s Market Order Imbalance Hits Record Negatives: $1,850 Is Now The Line In The Sand XRP Struggles Below Key Moving Averages XRP’s 3-day chart reflects a clear structural deterioration following its mid-2025 peak. After topping near the $3.30–$3.50 region, the price entered a persistent sequence of lower highs and lower lows, confirming a transition from expansion to distribution. The most recent breakdown accelerated once XRP lost the 100-day and 50-day moving averages, both of which have now rolled over and are acting as dynamic resistance. Currently trading near $1.35, XRP sits well below the 200-day moving average (red), which is positioned around the $1.90–$2.00 zone. This level previously acted as support during earlier consolidation phases but has now flipped into overhead supply. The inability to reclaim that region suggests sellers remain in control of the broader trend. Related Reading: Engine Stalled: How The $8 Billion ‘October Shock’ Left Bitcoin’s Spot Market In A Liquidity Trap Volume spikes during sharp downside candles, particularly in late February, point to liquidation-driven moves rather than orderly retracements. Although price is attempting to stabilize above the $1.30 area, the structure resembles a relief consolidation within a bearish regime rather than a confirmed base. For momentum to shift meaningfully, XRP would need to reclaim the 200-day moving average and establish higher highs on sustained volume. Until then, rallies are likely to encounter supply, and the broader technical bias remains defensive. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com
Rising tensions around the Strait of Hormuz, one of the world’s most critical oil chokepoints, have sent shockwaves through global markets, driving oil price volatility, rattling currencies, and exposing vulnerabilities in cross-border trade flows. The Strait of Hormuz chaos could spark the XRP moment, and Ripple’s new financial era has ignited amid global oil turmoil. Crypto analyst Pumpius revealed on X that the Strait of Hormuz handles roughly 20% of the global oil flows, but the US and Israel strikes on Iran have slashed vessel traffic by 70%. According to coverage from Reuters and The New York Times (NYT), major tankers are suspending operations. How Ripple Positions Itself As A Payments Infrastructure Play This Strait serves as a critical energy lifeline for major Asian economies, including China, India, Japan, and South Korea, which rely heavily on the 70-80% route for crude imports. With limited bypass alternative routes, even partial disruption threatens severe supply shocks, and the possibility of oil surging past $100 per barrel becomes high, a risk scenario highlighted by Al Jazeera. Related Reading: Why XRP Retail Holders Are Positioned Ahead Of Institutional Adoption Pumpius suggested that this geopolitical firestorm could accelerate Ripple’s and XRP revolution. With the ISO 20022 adoption ramping up and the Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC) on the horizon, Ripple technology could be positioned as the backbone of a new, resilient global financial order, bypassing chokepoints of fiat chaos. While the crypto markets held relatively steady over the weekend, the US open on Monday could unleash the risk-off waves. For XRP, this might be the catalyst for escalating a faster shift to digital assets. Why Dubai Is Quietly Building On XRP Ledger The growing adoption of the XRP Ledger by UAE companies is no coincidence. An analyst known as Xfinancebull has stated that Ripple is the first blockchain payments provider to receive licensing approval from the Dubai Financial Services Authority (DFSA) within the country’s International Financial Centre. This milestone grants Ripple full regulatory authorization to offer cross-border crypto payment services in the UAE. Related Reading: XRP Ledger Positioned For Real World Asset Explosion As Securitize Teases $400-T Market With regulatory approval secured, major real-world asset projects are now building directly on the XRP Ledger. Billiton Diamond has tokenized $280 million in certified diamonds on XRPL, with assets secured by Ripple Custody and infrastructure support from Ctrl Alt. At the same time, real estate title deeds are being tokenized with the Dubai Land Department through the same pipeline. Meanwhile, the total real-world assets (RWA) have surpassed $2 billion. The UAE continued to prefer the XRP Ledger because Ripple already has the regulatory green light that other chains are waiting for. Ripple holds more than 60 licenses globally, including approvals from the DFSA, MAS, NYDFS, and the Central Bank of Ireland. Also, the regulated infrastructure tends to attract institutional flows; this is not theory, but what is happening right in Dubai. “From diamond today to real estate next, the rest is time, and XRP is really taking over,” Xfinancebull noted. Featured image from Render, chart from Tradingview.com
Recent commentary from crypto analyst Egragcrypto has stirred fresh debate around the XRP price’s long-term trajectory. In a recent X post, the analyst pointed to a potential high-volatility phase ahead, suggesting that even a short-term drop could set the stage for a powerful rally. His chart outlines both risk and opportunity, framing the coming period as decisive for patient investors. The Meaning Behind The XRP Price ‘Face-Melting Phase’ According to Egragcrypto’s outlook, XRP may be approaching what he describes as a dramatic expansion phase. The analyst emphasized that this stage is unlikely to be comfortable for market participants. He framed the move as one that historically rewards traders who withstand early volatility rather than those seeking immediate confirmation. Related Reading: Analyst Predicts Bitcoin Price Surge To $500,000 As Ribbon Fractal Emerges In his view, even if price follows the projected yellow downside path first, such weakness should not be seen purely as bearish. He characterized it as a potential accumulation window that could precede a much larger upside move to $27. He insists that the market may demand endurance before offering meaningful gains. This perspective aligns with his broader principle that strong returns in crypto markets often follow periods of stress. The analyst stressed that many investors underestimate this dynamic, implying that emotional discipline could become a key differentiator if the projected scenario unfolds. Within this framework, short-term pain is positioned as part of a larger bullish structure rather than a breakdown of the trend. Chart Structure Points To High-Volatility Setup The accompanying chart provides the technical backbone for the thesis. XRP is shown trading within a long-term rising structure formed after the major breakout that began around 2017–2018. More recently, price action has compressed inside a large triangular formation, with the upper boundary gradually descending and the lower boundary steadily rising. The chart highlights several critical zones. A purple “death zone” sits below the current price, while a clearly marked psychological by support area near the $1.30 region acts as the first key defense. Above, a psychology resistance band around the $3 range caps the recent advance and defines the upper barrier XRP must reclaim. Related Reading: Bitcoin Final Sell-Off Coming? Analyst Says It’s Time To ‘Buckle Up’ Notably, the yellow projected path shows a possible dip back toward support before any sustained breakout attempt. From there, the analyst maps an aggressive expansion phase that extends toward the $27 region. This level sits well above previous cycle highs, signaling the scale of the move being proposed. The structure suggests that XRP is at a decision point rather than already in breakout mode. Price recently pulled back after testing the upper resistance zone, reinforcing the analyst’s warning that volatility may increase before any major upside confirmation. Overall, the commentary and chart present a high-risk, high-reward outlook. The projected “face-melting phase” is not portrayed as imminent without turbulence, but as a potential outcome if key supports hold and the broader structure resolves upward. For now, the market appears to be entering the proving ground that the analyst believes will separate patient holders from reactive traders. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
Technical analysis of XRP’s current price action has presented an interesting structural comparison to Amazon that could lead to an upside cycle stretch for the cryptocurrency. The comparison focuses on structure and symmetry between XRP’s current price action and how Amazon’s stock price played out after it broke a resistance. The implications for price would be dramatic if XRP were to follow what Amazon did after breaking a similar long-term resistance. The 8-Year Resistance Neckline Holding XRP Back Technical analysis of XRP’s chart shows a clearly defined horizontal resistance band stretching back roughly eight years. This 8-year resistance band is drawn across XRP’s all-time high since 2018. This analysis was posted on the social media platform X by crypto analyst ChartNerd. Related Reading: XRP Is About To Create History With This Latest Move The most recent touch of the resistance band was in July 2025, when XRP reached a new peak price of $3.65. However, price action since then has been corrective in nature, and XRP has been on a downward path for the past seven months. Interestingly, this downward path has led to the formation of a higher low compared to lows in the past eight years. This is visible in the XRP weekly price chart below as a series of higher lows supported by an ascending green trendline. The next outlook is how the XRP price resolves from here. As it stands, the decline is yet to find a defined bottom, and there is still enough room for the formation of another higher low relative to prior cycle lows. In this context, crypto analyst ChartNerd outlined a possible resolution path, pointing to a comparable technical setup that developed over 10.5 years on Amazon’s stock chart before its eventual breakout. The Amazon Structural Comparison Amazon spent years trading below a major horizontal resistance zone that capped its upside for more than a decade. During that period, price repeatedly formed higher lows along a rising support trendline, compressing into the ceiling without immediately breaking it. Related Reading: XRP’s Macro Plan Hasn’t Changed, And This Target Remains Valid There was also a notable drawdown from its prior peak, followed by a lower high, which created the impression that momentum had faded. However, once Amazon broke above its long-term resistance, the result was a sustained parabolic advance that carried price significantly higher over time. These all mirror how the XRP price is currently playing out. ChartNerd describes the structural similarities as strikingly uncanny. From a purely technical standpoint, both charts show compression beneath a horizontal ceiling, rising higher lows, and repeated rejection just before a breakout attempt. At the time of writing, XRP is trading around $1.35 on the monthly chart, down by 3.3% in the past 24 hours. The neckline area is around $3.60, which is about 170% higher than the current price. If XRP were to follow the Amazon blueprint, the first stage would involve flipping this resistance trendline into support with sustained monthly closes above. Featured image from Free3D, chart from Tradingview.com