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The XRP price has hit oversold levels, marking its lowest readings in history. A crypto analyst has reported that each time XRP has reached these levels, a price bounce has followed. Based on this, he believes that XRP could be on the verge of another major rebound, projecting a potential rally above $2.  XRP Price Sinks To Oversold Levels Ahead Of Rebound A crypto market analyst known as ‘Ripple Bull Winkle’ on X has outlined a short-term bullish outlook for XRP. Despite consistently breaking key support levels and now trading around $1.4, the analyst argues that XRP may be positioning itself for a substantial recovery that could ultimately push its price back above $2.  Related Reading: Pundit Says XRP Price Is Not A ‘Crypto’ Question, But A Systemically Important Liquidity Asset The basis for Ripple Bull Winkle’s optimism stems from a recurring historical pattern that, in his view, has never failed to produce a bounce in the XRP price. Specifically, the analyst highlights a repeating Relative Strength Index (RSI) pattern. He announced that XRP recently reached an RSI of 20 on the daily chart, marking the most oversold reading in its history.  According to the analyst, every time XRP has entered similarly extreme oversold territory, a price bounce of approximately 15-40% has always followed. He said such rebounds typically occur within two weeks of reaching these levels. He also emphasized that this recovery has not happened occasionally but consistently, reinforcing his confidence that XRP is likely to follow the same pattern and bounce again.     If everything plays out as expected, Ripple Bull Winkle projects that XRP could see a relief bounce to $2.20-$2.50 before the end of February 2026. He noted that a rally to this bullish target is the highest-probability event the market has had this year.  Analyst Shares Multiple Resistance Targets For XRP Looking at Ripple Bull Winkle’s accompanying price chart, he has marked several key resistance zones using red horizontal lines, indicating areas where XRP may encounter selling pressure or struggle to advance. These levels range from approximately $1.8-$1.91 to $2.06-$2.19, followed by $2.29-$2.41, $2.67-$2.78, and a higher resistance band near $3.10-$3.18.  Related Reading: Rising Above The Ashes: XRP ETFs Set New Record Despite Market Crash Collectively, these levels serve as both potential barriers that could slow price movement and upside targets that XRP is expected to reach. The upward-pointing blue arrows in the chart also signal the analyst’s expectation of a bullish breakout or a sustained rally toward the stacked resistance levels if XRP builds enough momentum.  As of writing, XRP appears to be recovering from its recent downtrend. Its price has rebounded by more than 10% over the past 24 hours and is currently trading above $1.4 after briefly dipping below $1.3, according to CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com

The XRP price was on the verge of losing the $1 level merely two days ago, as the entire crypto market succumbed to an almost unprecedented level of volatility and bearish pressure. The altcoin fell to as low as $1.16, its lowest level since November 2024. While the general cryptocurrency market appears to be showing some signs of recovery, the XRP price activity has been particularly impressive since bottoming out at around the $1.15 mark. According to a prominent crypto analytics firm, below are the reasons behind the altcoin’s latest resurgence. Whale And Network Activity Throw XRP A Lifeline On Friday, February 6, popular blockchain firm Santiment took to the social media platform X to discuss the recent correction and the subsequent recovery experienced by the XRP price going into this weekend. With the strong volatility witnessed in the market, XRP seemed to be bound for $1 in that downward movement.  Related Reading: Ethereum Coinbase Premium Drops To 2022 Bear-Market Levels: Capitulation Or Further Downside? Santiment said on X: Panic sellers should have stopped to notice the massive activity on the XRP Ledger as speculators were discussing whether the coin would fall below $1.00. However, the fourth-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization briefly reclaimed the $1.5 level on Friday, signaling the return of fresh buying momentum to the market. According to Santiment, this XRP price jump might have been triggered by the group of large investors known as the whales. The latest on-chain data shows that an “obvious” whale accumulation took place while the XRP price headed for the bottom. Santiment data shows that about 1,389 $100,000 whale transactions occurred during the dip, the highest volume seen over the past four months. Meanwhile, activity on the XRP Ledger has been on the rise since the altcoin’s price fell to its lowest level in over a year. According to Santiment’s post on X, the amount of unique addresses on the blockchain saw a notable surge to 78,727 in just one 8-hour candle, its highest level in approximately six months. The crypto analytics noted that these occurrences are both significant to the potential price resurgence of any asset. With an uptick in whale demand and network activity, the XRP price could build the foundation required to return to a bullish structure. However, investors might want to approach the market with extreme caution, as a relief rally is not the strangest phenomenon in a bear market. XRP Price At A Glance As of this writing, the price of XRP stands at around $1.46, reflecting an almost 25% jump in the past 24 hours. However, this single-day action is not enough to erase the past week’s losses, which still sit roughly over 16%. Related Reading: XRP Social Sentiment Still Bullish While Bitcoin Mood Sours Featured image from iStock, chart from TradingView

XRP’s price crash earlier this week has kept many bullish investors in the XRP community on edge, but one outspoken voice in the community believes the move is not as random as it looks.  A crypto pundit known as Stellar Rippler has encouraged XRP holders to pull their cryptocurrencies off centralized exchanges immediately, with the outlook that the recent volatility is not just another routine market dip but a warning sign of what’s to come. Related Reading: Bitcoin Edges Past Gold In Appeal, JPMorgan Says Engineered XRP Crash? Stellar Rippler’s position is based on the idea that XRP is being treated differently from most digital assets behind the scenes. He pointed to past remarks from David Schwartz, co-creator of the XRP Ledger, where XRP was described as a form of pre-allocated liquidity for institutional use, as well as statements suggesting that XRP currently held in escrow can be sold to institutions but will not be circulated until NDAs are disclosed.  He went further to name large financial players, including BlackRock, JPMorgan, Bank of America, and institutions linked to the BRICS, the United Arab Emirates, the United Kingdom, and European central banking structures. According to the pundit, all these institutions have bought the right to buy the XRP currently held in escrow by Ripple. At the time of writing, there are no public filings that confirm coordinated buying of XRP escrows by these entities, but the argument has found receptive ears among investors unsettled by the recent sell-off. From that angle, the pundit noted that sudden downside moves, such as the recent drop to $1.15, are engineered. By “engineered,” this means the price crash serves a strategic purpose of creating opportunity for large financial players to accumulate XRP at lower prices before any market repricing takes place. Should You Take Your XRP Off Exchanges? Another part of the warning focused on user experience at major crypto exchanges. According to the pundit, Binance and Coinbase users have reportedly been facing difficulties getting their crypto off the exchanges. This, in itself, is a warning for XRP holders to get their cryptos off crypto exchanges and into a cold wallet. That message taps into conversation in crypto about self-custody versus keeping holdings on crypto exchanges.  Calls to be your own bank tend to resurface whenever price action turns volatile. The alarm was sounded against the backdrop of a Bitcoin price crash below $70,000 that pulled most cryptocurrencies lower. XRP, in particular, dipped to around $1.15 during the sell-off before rebounding.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Sell-Off May Be Done, Analyst Flags Recovery Signs At the time of writing, XRP is trading near $1.42, easing some immediate pressure but not fully restoring confidence. On the subject of confidence, sentiment surrounding XRP on social media is relatively optimistic. Data shows XRP is drawing more positive commentary than other large-cap assets such as Bitcoin and Ethereum despite the recent market-wide crash. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView

XRP is being talked about in a different way now — not just as a token to trade, but as something that could plug into real finance. Related Reading: Bitcoin Sell-Off May Be Done, Analyst Flags Recovery Signs The talk is shifting from ticker-watchers to companies that want reliable settlement rails and liquid collateral for on-chain assets. That shift shows up in moves on the ledger and in comments from people building businesses around it. XRP Seen As Financial Lifeline According to Jake Claver, CEO of Digital Ascension Group, XRP should be thought of as foundational collateral rather than a short-term bet. He called it “the most pristine collateral” and warned that 99% of holders “have no clue” what they actually hold. Those are strong words, and they line up with wider signals from developers and some institutional players who are testing XRPL’s features for real-world use. 99% of people that own XRP have no clue what it really is…. It’s the most pristine collateral the world has ever seen… It’s the oxygen the new financial system will need to breathe.. I do not know how to impress upon you how important XRP will be for the world moving forward. — Jake Claver, QFOP (@beyond_broke) February 4, 2026 Growing Tokenized Commodity Activity Reports say the XRPL now hosts roughly $1.14 billion in tokenized commodities. That number is important. It shows companies are putting things like energy-linked tokens and diamonds onto the ledger, and it positions XRPL just behind Ethereum in the specific area of tokenized commodity value. These assets aren’t just experiment tokens; they are intended to be tied to physical goods and cash flows, which changes how XRP might be used in settlement and collateral roles. Ripple’s Plan For Institutional DeFi Based on reports from Ripple’s roadmap, the ledger is being prepared for deeper institutional use. Permissioned domains and credentials are being highlighted as tools to let regulated firms operate with KYC and compliance baked in. XRP Price Action Market moves reacted to these developments. After a slide to about $1.11 amid broad market stress, XRP climbed back to roughly $1.53 on February 7, a move of over 35% from the recent low. Trading has since cooled off a little. Some traders point to renewed institutional flows and accumulation by large wallets, while others say global risk sentiment and macro headlines remain the main drivers of day-to-day swings. Institutional Steps Toward On-Chain Credit Meanwhile, reports note early institutional participants are preparing to put capital to work to increase yield and liquidity on XRPL. Planned features like a permissioned DEX, confidential transfers, and smarter escrow controls are meant to make the ledger easier for banks and regulated funds to plug into existing processes. Related Reading: Bitcoin Edges Past Gold In Appeal, JPMorgan Says XRP As ‘Oxygen’ If those pieces arrive and are adopted, XRP’s role as an on-ledger liquidity provider and settlement asset would be reinforced. There are good reasons to watch both the tech and the market. The ledger’s growing base of tokenized goods and the roadmap for lending give a clear use case for XRP as operational collateral. At the same time, price swings show that broader macro forces and speculation still matter a great deal, and adoption by banks and funds will be what really tests the claim that XRP can act as the “oxygen” for a new financial plumbing. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView

XRP’s current pullback has diverted attention away from short-term volatility and back toward the bigger picture on the chart. The cryptocurrency is now down by over 60% from its July all-time high, and the decline is showing signs of more downside.  As the price continues to break below support levels, one analyst whose earlier outlook preceded a major XRP rally says the cryptocurrency may be approaching a bottom for another accumulation phase. Analyst Points To A New Accumulation Phase XRP’s recent price action has seen many analysts projecting a bottom where the decline might end. However, a technical analysis of XRP’s price action on the 2-week candlestick timeframe chart, which was posted on the social media platform X, frames the current XRP price action as an entry into an accumulation zone.  Related Reading: XRP Price Falls Below $1.6: You Won’t Believe What Institutions Are Doing Amid The Crash According to the analysis, XRP has now corrected roughly 58% from its recent peak, placing it directly inside what he calls the first accumulation zone between $1.50 and $1.30. The outlook by Crypto Patel is that this area is not about catching an exact bottom but about building exposure gradually as the price stabilizes. Based on this, the analyst predicted that XRP’s decline will bottom somewhere between $1.5 and $1.3, and this is a great time to start buying slowly at these levels.  However, Patel’s outlook also accounts for a deeper drawdown scenario. Should XRP lose the $1.30 region, then the next focus is in a secondary accumulation band between $0.90 and $0.70. Nonetheless, a move into that lower range would still not invalidate the bullish thesis. Instead, it would represent what he describes as the best long-term accumulation opportunity for maximum profits. The $10 Target Is Still In Play XRP’s current price action is a far stretch from reaching $10, and that target seems out of reach at the moment. However, despite adopting a near-term caution, many analysts have not changed their long-term projections. Related Reading: XRP’s 173-Day Theory: What Happens If This Historical Trend Plays Out Again Patel, for example, noted that his long-term target is $10. Although the $10 target remains the same, the analyst noted that buying at $3 or $2 is not ideal since there are opportunities for entries at $1.50-$1 during hard dips for much bigger returns. To support his confidence, Patel pointed back to his previous cycle call, where he shared an XRP setup around $0.50 during the last bear market. That setup preceded a rally to $3.66, delivering gains of over 600%. XRP’s price action in the past 24 hours is characterized by a crash from an intraday high of $1.44 to an intraday low of $1.14. The cryptocurrency is now back to trading at $1.30 at the time of writing, 670% away from reaching the $10 price target. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com

The debate over whether the XRP price could reach $10,000 has reignited in the crypto market. However, this time, one crypto analyst challenges the common argument that market capitalization could limit XRP’s growth. According to the analyst, this claim is flawed and does not take into context XRP’s liquidity and utility as a global settlement currency.  Why Market Cap Does Not Limit Price Surge To $10,000 Some critics argue that XRP would never hit $10,000 because doing so would make its market capitalization exceed the global money supply. Market analyst Crypto_Luke has addressed this misconception in a recent X post, emphasizing that market cap does not limit the XRP price in any way.  Related Reading: Expert Explains Why The Market Cap Theory Doesn’t Apply To XRP The analyst explained that market cap is simply the last traded price multiplied by a cryptocurrency’s circulating supply, which is a snapshot of overall trading activity and not a reflection of how much money is required to achieve a certain price. He noted that the common criticism that market capitalization represents the amount of money invested in an asset is inaccurate.  One reason Crypto_Luke believes the market cap argument is flawed is that it fails to account for how XRP operates. Unlike assets designed primarily for storing value, such as BTC, XRP is designed for rapid liquidity and settlement across global corridors. He stated that XRP can be used multiple times in a single day, facilitating transactions without requiring additional capital. As a result, he suggests that XRP’s price is determined by its “actively traded float,” rather than by the total supply that is idle.   In his analysis, Crypto_Luke emphasized that liquidity and price adjustments go hand-in-hand in XRP’s design. He explained that assets that move quickly through settlements allow the blockchain network to satisfy demand without requiring equivalent dollar-for-dollar backing. As XRP’s transaction volume increases, its price naturally adjusts to reflect the value of its utility rather than a fixed market cap.  The analyst noted that XRP’s supply was intentionally designed to be large, fixed, and non-reissuable. This structure supports a multi-trillion-dollar liquidity pool and enables the network to handle high-volume settlement throughput.  XRP Market Cap Crashes Nearly 10% More recently, XRP faces additional downward pressure, as CMC data shows that the cryptocurrency’s market capitalization has crashed by nearly 10%. As of writing, XRP’s market cap has fallen to approximately $79.25 billion following a massive decline in its price over the past 24 hours.  Related Reading: XRP Completes ‘Super Guppy Compression’ Against Bitcoin, Next Target Emerges The downturn aligns with the broader market sell-off across major cryptocurrencies, as sentiment has become increasingly bearish. XRP has been among the worst affected, with its price slipping toward $1.3, marking its lowest levels since 2024. The cryptocurrency shows no clear signs of a rebound despite a recent surge in daily trading volume, which has increased by more than 148%. Featured image from Freepik, chart from Tradingview.com

Heavy capital outflows and large-scale liquidations have pushed the crypto market firmly into the red, with XRP recording a 26.5% decline over the past week. As prices slide and panic-driven selling accelerates, analysts are shifting focus away from rebound timing toward where support is most likely to form. One prominent market analyst, Casi, has now identified XRP’s next key macro levels, outlining where the asset could either stabilize or face deeper downside pressure. Panic-Driven Market Breakdown Keeps XRP Under Pressure According to Casi’s market assessment, the ongoing selloff reflects broad panic conditions rather than controlled profit-taking. Bitcoin has already shed close to 10% in the current downswing, while XRP has recorded losses approaching 20%, underscoring the scale of liquidation moving through altcoin markets. Related Reading: This Analyst Called The Bitcoin Price Crash 4 Months Ago, But There’s More She emphasized that attempted bullish divergence signals are being consistently invalidated. In structural terms, this means momentum indicators are failing to confirm price strength, removing a key early signal that traders typically rely on to anticipate reversals. Instead of basing, price continues to expand lower, suggesting the market is still in active discovery mode for demand. This context reframes XRP’s decline. Rather than viewing the drop as an isolated retracement, Casi interprets it as part of a broader emotional unwind sweeping crypto. Fast downside expansions, thin bid support, and reactive positioning all point to forced selling rather than strategic rotation. Until volatility compresses and divergence structures hold, the probability of sustained recovery remains limited. Key Fibonacci Zones Define XRP’s Stabilization Path Within this high-pressure environment, the analyst mapped precise macro retracement zones where structural support could emerge. For XRP, the immediate focus sits near the $1.09 region, aligning with the macro 0.786 Fibonacci retracement. This level represents deep correction territory. Reinforcing this outlook, XRP has breached multiple interim supports while following a descending trend, signaling ongoing distribution. The projected drop into the 0.786 zone aligns with historical demand clusters, marking the next area where sellers may tire and buyers could re-enter. However, the analyst stopped short of calling a bottom. The current price behavior was described as fast and emotionally driven, conditions that often produce overshoots before equilibrium returns. In this framework, the $1.09 level is not a guaranteed floor but a structural checkpoint where stabilization can begin forming if sell pressure weakens. Related Reading: Why The Bitcoin Price Could Quickly Revisit $81,000 Again After The Crash Bitcoin’s positioning adds macro context to XRP’s outlook. The analyst is monitoring $64,500 on BTC, corresponding with its macro 0.5 Fibonacci retracement. Should Bitcoin secure support there, it could provide the cross-market stability required for XRP to defend its deeper retracement zone. Failure, however, would increase the probability of extended downside across altcoins. In sum, XRP’s trajectory is now tightly linked to panic dynamics and macro support validation. Until structural confirmation emerges, the market remains in support-seeking mode, with $1.09 standing as the next major level where price may attempt to regain footing. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com

XRP price extended losses and traded below $1.30. The price is now consolidating losses but faces hurdles near $1.30 and $1.350. XRP price started another decline and traded below the $1.30 zone. The price is now trading below $1.30 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $1.380 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could continue to move down if it stays below $1.40. XRP Price Dips Over 15% XRP price failed to stay above $1.50 and extended its decline, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price declined below $1.450 and $1.40 to enter a short-term bearish zone. The price even extended losses below $1.250. A low was formed at $1.1356, and the price is now consolidating losses. There was a minor upward move above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $1.6320 swing high to the $1.1350 low. The price is now trading below $1.30 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is also a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $1.380 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair. If there is a fresh recovery move, the price might face resistance near the $1.30 level. The first major resistance is near the $1.320 level. A close above $1.320 could send the price to $1.380, the trend line, and the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $1.6320 swing high to the $1.1350 low. The next hurdle sits at $1.40. A clear move above the $1.40 resistance might send the price toward the $1.420 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $1.450 resistance. The next major hurdle for the bulls might be near $1.50. Another Drop? If XRP fails to clear the $1.320 resistance zone, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $1.240 level. The next major support is near the $1.2250 level. If there is a downside break and a close below the $1.2250 level, the price might continue to decline toward $1.20. The next major support sits near the $1.1650 zone, below which the price could continue lower toward $1.150. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for XRP/USD is now losing pace in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for XRP/USD is now below the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $1.220 and $1.20. Major Resistance Levels – $1.320 and $1.380.

Data shows social media users are still optimistic about XRP even as sentiment around Bitcoin and Ethereum has declined alongside the market downturn. XRP Positive/Negative Sentiment Is Still At A Notable Level In a new post on X, analytics firm Santiment has talked about how social media sentiment has compared across Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP during the latest market decline. The indicator of relevance here is the “Positive/Negative Sentiment,” which tells us about how positive comments related to a given asset stack up against the negative ones on the major social media platforms. Related Reading: Social Media Now Talking Sub-$60,000 Bitcoin Prices As Fear Rises The metric works by assembling posts/comments/messages containing mentions of the asset and feeding them into a machine-learning model to classify them as bearish or bullish. It then counts up the number of posts in each category and finds their ratio. When the value of this ratio is greater than 1, it means positive comments related to the cryptocurrency outweigh the negative ones. On the other hand, the indicator being under this threshold suggests the dominance of bearish sentiment. Now, here is the chart shared by Santiment that shows the trend in the Positive/Negative Sentiment for Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP over the past month: As is visible in the above graph, the Positive/Negative Sentiment plunged across the three cryptocurrencies at the end of January as prices crashed. The indicator’s value slipped below 1 for each of them during this drop, indicating traders became bearish on the market as a whole. As prices have continued to slide down since then, however, a shift has occurred in the Positive/Negative Sentiment, with its value separating for the three. The chart shows that the metric’s latest value for XRP is nearly 2.2, indicating that social media users have become more optimistic about the coin. Meanwhile, the indicator continues to be inside the bearish zone for Bitcoin with a value of 0.79. Ethereum has seen some improvement in the metric to a neutral value of 1, but compared to the normal for January, this level could still be considered to reflect a bearish sentiment among the retail social media crowd. Related Reading: Bitcoin MVRV Z-Score Compresses To Levels Last Seen Near $29,000 Historically, digital asset markets have often tended to move in a direction contrary to the expectations of retail traders. This means that an extreme amount of fear can help prices rebound, while overhype can lead to tops. “There remains a strong argument for a short-term relief rally as long as the small trader crowd continues to show disbelief toward cryptocurrency as a whole,” explained the analytics firm. Given that trader sentiment has diverged for XRP recently, however, it only remains to be seen how the sector will develop in the near future. XRP Price At the time of writing, XRP is floating around $1.35, down more than 27% over the last seven days. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView.com

The XRP price is facing renewed selling pressure, even as Ripple announces another step toward deeper institutional integration with the decentralized finance (DeFi) ecosystem. Related Reading: Bitcoin Crash To $72,000 Signals Major Reset: On-Chain Metrics Deteriorate The token is trading near $1.42, down more than 10% over the past 24 hours, as market participants focus less on corporate developments and more on weakening technical and on-chain signals. The divergence shows a familiar pattern in the markets, positive infrastructure news does not always translate into price support. The latest drop accelerated after XRP slipped below $1.60, a level that had previously served as short-term support. Once that floor gave way, automated selling and stop-loss orders appear to have intensified the move, pushing prices closer to levels not seen since the last broader market pullback. XRP's price trends to the downside on the daily chart. Source: XRPUSD on Tradingview XRP Price Slides as Key Support Breaks Technical indicators suggest the sell-off has been sharp. The Relative Strength Index is approaching oversold territory, reflecting strong downside momentum rather than a slow grind lower. Trading volumes have also picked up during the decline, a sign that sellers are acting with conviction rather than hesitation. On-chain data adds to the cautious outlook. Recent metrics show reduced network activity and limited evidence of sustained accumulation at current levels. In previous corrections, XRP price often stabilized when wallet activity and transaction counts began to rise. If the price fails to reclaim $1.60, analysts increasingly point to the $1.00 psychological level as the next area to watch. While oversold conditions can sometimes trigger short-term bounces, the broader structure suggests XRP remains vulnerable unless sentiment improves. Ripple’s Hyperliquid Integration Fails to Lift XRP The price weakness comes despite Ripple announcing that its institutional prime brokerage arm, Ripple Prime, has added support for Hyperliquid, a decentralized derivatives platform. The integration allows institutional clients to access on-chain perpetual futures while cross-margining those positions with assets such as foreign exchange, fixed income, and other digital assets through a single account. Market reaction has been mixed. While the move underscores Ripple’s push to bridge traditional finance and DeFi, it does not create a direct new demand driver for XRP itself. Some investors had hoped Ripple would prioritize deeper integration of the XRP Ledger. Diverging Signals Across the Market The contrast is clear elsewhere. Hyperliquid’s native token, HYPE, has shown relative strength following the integration news, trading above key moving averages even as the broader market weakens. That divergence suggests capital is flowing toward platforms tied to institutional trading activity, rather than toward legacy large-cap tokens facing technical breakdowns. Related Reading: Are We Near A Bitcoin Bear Market Bottom? History Offers A Framework For now, XRP’s trajectory appears driven more by market structure and on-chain signals than by Ripple’s expanding institutional footprint. Until buyers step in decisively, the risk of a deeper XRP price move toward $1.00 remains on the table. Cover image from ChatGPT, XRPUSD chart on Tradingview

XRP investors are closely monitoring market signals as the cryptocurrency navigates turbulent trading conditions and choppy price action. A recent analysis by market analyst Egrag Crypto identifies a critical exit candle, which could signal the next major step for XRP holders. As volatility increases and downside risks intensify, traders are debating whether to hold, sell, or buy more assets.  Analyst Identifies XRP Investors’ Next Exit Candle Egrag Crypto shared a cautious chart analysis for XRP on X this week, highlighting the importance of understanding upcoming price movements if the market is indeed in a bearish phase. He warned that if traders truly believed XRP could decline another 50-60%, then the pump after this price crash should be considered the traders’ next exit candle. Related Reading: XRP Price Falls Below $1.6: You Won’t Believe What Institutions Are Doing Amid The Crash Although he highlighted an exit pump for investors, Egrag Crypto stated that he will not sell his XRP and intends to hold it even if prices fall below $1. He emphasized that, unless XRP breaks below the blue support channel in the chart, his strategy remains long-term, ignoring the market noise.  The analyst further noted that XRP’s market structure could soon challenge bearish sentiment, potentially forcing many traders to exit in panic. He said that external factors, such as regulatory changes in the United States (US), could pose significant risks for investors. In particular, Egrag Crypto highlighted the possibility of US President Donald Trump appointing Kevin Warsh as new FED chair, replacing former chairman Jay Clayton. The crypto expert said that if this happens, things could get even worse in the market, potentially accelerating downside pressure.  Despite the warnings of a bearish outlook for XRP, Egrag Crypto emphasized that many investors will follow their own strategies. He said that some will continue to hold XRP even if it goes back to $0.5, marking a more than 83% decline from its price high above $3 earlier last year. He also stated that other investors might see the decline as an opportunity to buy and accumulate more tokens, ahead of any future price surges.  Market Discipline and Emotional Strategy Remain Critical At the start of his post, Egrag Crypto stressed that his XRP chart analysis is meant to guide investors facing panic, confusion, or emotional overload due to recent market downturns and sudden price crashes. He compared being a crypto investor and trader to competitive sports like basketball or football, describing it as a game that requires skills, preparation, and patience to succeed.  Related Reading: Pundit Says XRP Price Is Not A ‘Crypto’ Question, But A Systemically Important Liquidity Asset Since the market runs 24/7, Egrag Crypto asserts that managing both emotional and financial resources is essential. He advised traders to step away from the market when needed and avoid letting any asset dominate their emotional state. He also highlighted the importance of strategy and discipline when investing or trading. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com

XRP has been misunderstood as just another retail-traded crypto asset, when in reality, it was engineered from the ground up to serve institutional finance. Most retail investors approach XRP through the lens of short-term price action, but that framing misses what the asset was actually built to do. XRP was never built for retail investors. Crypto trader Adam highlighted on X that from the outset, XRP was designed as institutional-grade infrastructure, powering liquidity corridors, cross-border settlements, and the movement of value between financial systems fast and efficiently. How Early Liquidity Providers Sit Ahead Of Demand The goal isn’t hype or speculation, but rather plumbing for global money flow. In this framework, the retail participant isn’t the target audience. Instead, retail holders occupy an early position, providing optional liquidity and gaining front-row access while the underlying rails are still being built. Related Reading: Ripple’s Next Steps: Where XRP Stops Being Trade And Starts Being Infrastrucutre As institutional adoption continues to expand, retail holders are positioned ahead of the curve and may benefit from utility demand, which ultimately drives long-term value. In this contest, being early doesn’t mean being excluded; it simply means being advantaged ahead of the curve. XRP has already transitioned into an institutional-grade asset. Analyst Xfinancebull has pointed out that the narrative from just two years ago was that many believed institutions would avoid XRP due to its uncertainty, perceived risk, and regulatory clarity, but that landscape has shifted. Currently, XRP exposure is available on major institutional platforms, including Vanguard, which manages over $10 trillion in assets and serves more than 50 million investors globally, and is second only to BlackRock. Multiple XRP ETFs are now live and accessible, including the Bitwise XRP ETF, Franklin Templeton XRP ETF, Canary XRP ETF, and Teucrium 2x XRP ETF. Despite this progress, XRP’s price remains low, and institutions are not emotional about the dip because they don’t buy green candles; they accumulate during the times of fear, and position their capital when retail interest is distracted or discouraged. XRP is now available on the same platforms used in managing retirement funds for millions of Americans and now offers direct XRP exposure. Once institutional allocations begin to flow, available supply can be absorbed quickly. “You’re either positioned before institutions move, or chasing after they’ve already entered,”  Xfinancebull noted. Banks Are Already Testing XRPL Infrastructure According to Jake Claver, the CEO of DAGFamilyOffice, the global banking system currently has roughly $27 trillion locked in pre-funded accounts, which only exist because banks can’t settle transactions in real-time. Meanwhile, the XRP ledger alternative can handle that settlement in seconds, and banks are already testing this infrastructure. Related Reading: XRP Tops All Assets On Risk/Reward, Analyst Says The key question, as Claver frames it, is not whether real-time settlement is possible, but how long the current system can persist before the efficiency gains become impossible for banks to ignore. Featured image from Freepik, chart from Tradingview.com

XRP is back at a level traders remember all too well. The cryptocurrency suffered a sharp flash crash on October 10 that sent the price crashing down from $2.82 to $1.58 before an equally fast rebound toward $2.36. Months later, that same zone is back in play, but this time without the volatility spike or immediate recovery that characterized the earlier move.  At the time of writing, XRP is trading around $1.44, down 10.4% over the past 24 hours. This sustained selling pressure has pushed the XRP price back into the flash crash low, and the next question is about what happens from here. Why The October 10 Wick Low Matters So Much According to a technical analysis done by crypto analyst Hov on the social media platform X, the October 10 wick low has been one of the most important structural levels to hold on XRP’s weekly candlestick timeframe chart.  Related Reading: XRP Just Hit A Golden Pocket, Relief Bounce Puts Price At $2.5 During the October 2025 flash crash, the XRP price registered a low of around $1.58, which acted as a panic extreme where the XRP price snapped back quickly once forced liquidations were cleared. However, the current situation looks different. XRP has now revisited and slightly undercut that wick low through real bearish trading, and as noted by crypto analyst Hov, things are starting to shape up. Hov’s technical analysis framework places XRP in the final stages of an expanded flat correction, with the current decline forming the C-wave. Notably, the analyst is tracking an ending diagonal within the C-wave. This is because ending diagonals are known for overlapping price action, compressed ranges, and false breakdowns that can shake out late sellers. If the structure holds, then XRP might transition into a stabilization phase and a potential reversal sequence. If it fails, then the corrective phase is not yet complete. $1.43 Is The Line That Changes Everything The most important thing to note going forward is how XRP reacts at $1.43 on the weekly timeframe. Technical analysis shows that this is the level XRP must hold to keep the current structure intact. A close below $1.43 would invalidate the ending diagonal thesis and shift the outlook decisively bearish. In the analyst’s words, that is where “things get real ugly real quick.” Related Reading: XRP’s 173-Day Theory: What Happens If This Historical Trend Plays Out Again The bullish scenario laid out on the chart also depends on XRP managing to hold above this $1.43 area. In that case, the projection shows the price stabilizing at this support before reversing higher and eventually going into a powerful rebound.  Under this outlook, XRP would be entering an Impulse Wave V within a larger Elliott Wave structure. If that impulse plays out as expected, the chart points to long-term upside price targets stretching as high as $5.53. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com

XRP is down 58% from its all-time high, and two popular chart-focused accounts on X are framing the drawdown as a potential accumulation window rather than a trend break. How Low Will XRP Price Go? Crypto Patel (@CryptoPatel) told followers on Feb. 4 that XRP/USD has “entered our first accumulation zone at $1.50–$1.30.” In his post, he urged staggered entries rather than trying to time a single bottom. “Start buying slowly at these levels, no rush, just steady accumulation,” he wrote, positioning the move as capital-preservation after what he described as an earlier call highlighting a “bottom accumulation zone.” On the risk side, Patel tied his next decision point to the $1.30 level, suggesting a deeper set of bids if that floor breaks. “If XRP breaks below $1.30, place your entry bids between $0.90–$0.70,” he wrote. “But here’s the thing — if price hits that zone, it could be the best long-term accumulation opportunity for maximum profits.” Related Reading: XRP Enters ‘Washout Zone,’ Then Targets $30, Crypto Analyst Says He added that his “long-term target remains $10,” arguing that entry discipline matters more than headline targets: “Buying at $3 or $2? Not ideal in my view. If the target is $10, why not aim for entries at $1.50–$1 during hard dips for much bigger returns?” Patel also leaned on his prior public call as evidence of a repeatable framework. He said he shared an XRP setup at $0.50 in the last bear market and that XRP later rallied to $3.66, which he characterized as “over 600% profit.” XRP Bottom In March? A separate post from Charting Guy framed the selloff less as a new regime and more as a familiar cycle structure. “XRP repeating 2021, bottom in march roughly around $1.20 imo,” he wrote, adding: “maybe wick to $1 to scare the hoes. The bear market is almost over.” When asked directly by another user—“Bear market ends in march?”—Charting Guy replied: “yep.” In Charting Guy’s weekly XRP/USD chart, the roadmap is framed around a rising multi-year trendline and a Fibonacci ladder drawn across the move, with several of those Fib levels clustering right where he expects a March low. On the retracement side, the chart labels the key downside bands at roughly 0.618 ($0.915) and 0.702 ($1.2149), with additional levels below at 0.5 ($0.615) and 0.382 ($0.413). Charting Guy’s “bottom in March roughly around $1.20” lines up almost directly with the 0.702 Fib (~$1.215), while his “maybe wick to $1” comment points toward a deeper flush into the space between $1.00 and the 0.618 Fib (~$0.915). Related Reading: Analyst Predicts XRP Price Wil Target 450% Rally To $7 What makes that zone more than just a horizontal level on his layout is the trendline confluence. The green, rising trendline he’s drawn from the 2020–2022 base is shown catching price into early March (his vertical marker sits around Mon 02 Mar ’26), with the trendline effectively rising into the same $1.00–$1.20 neighborhood. In other words, his implied “March bottom” isn’t just a date call, it’s a confluence call: trendline support rising into the 0.702 retracement area, with room for a volatility wick closer to the 0.618 if the market tries to force capitulation. Above spot, the chart also shows the upside Fib extensions he’s using as reference points: 0.786 ($1.612), 0.888 ($2.274), and the prior swing reference around 1.0 ($3.317), with higher extensions marked at 1.236 ($7.349), 1.272 ($8.297), 1.414 ($13.389), and 1.618 ($26.630). At press time, XRP traded at $1.3888. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP have all retreated to deep cycle lows, dragging the broader crypto market back to valuation levels not seen since late 2024, according to CryptoSlate's data. While price action across the board appears uniformly grim, with BTC heading below $70,000 and XRP recently trading around $1.35, sentiment toward the Ripple-linked token is […]
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Bitcoin retreated below the closely watched $70,000 threshold, leading a broad selloff in digital assets that has erased over $1 billion in trading positions. According to CryptoSlate's data, the world’s largest cryptocurrency fell to lows not seen since the November 2024 election, dragging the wider market into the red. Ethereum slid 7% to around $2065, […]
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Russia’s Moscow Exchange (MOEX) is moving to broaden which digital assets it tracks and trades. Reports say the exchange plans to roll out new indices and futures tied to XRP, Solana, and Tron this year. That will give traders ways to follow price moves without owning the coins directly. Related Reading: Crypto Could Bounce Soon As Fundamentals Firm Up, Tom Lee Says New Crypto Indices Planned According to local coverage, Maria Silkina, who runs the derivative products group at the exchange, outlined the expansion on a recent radio broadcast. MOEX already lists benchmarks for Bitcoin and Ethereum. Now the exchange is preparing indices that mirror three more of the bigger, actively traded tokens, and it intends to offer futures contracts based on those indices. Trading interest in these coins has been high elsewhere. Here, such contracts will be cash-settled and follow the Bank of Russia’s rules. Settlements will happen monthly under the current regime. Perpetual Contracts And Options Under Review Reports note the exchange is also thinking about perpetual futures and options for Bitcoin and Ethereum down the line. Perpetuals do not expire. They use funding rates to stay close to the spot market and allow positions to be held for as long as a trader wishes. That differs from the monthly settled contracts MOEX already uses. Some of the new ideas remain under study and will be launched step by step. The approach looks designed to keep the products inside a tightly regulated frame while allowing more sophisticated trading strategies. Russia Pushes Toward Broader Access In 2025 the exchange added a set of crypto-linked futures, and it listed indices connected to Bitcoin and Ether alongside other structured products tied to overseas ETFs. Reports say that trend continued with some big Russian financial firms offering crypto-tied investment options. Sberbank has already rolled out a product that links to Bitcoin’s price. Market access is slowly widening, but access is still likely to be limited to qualified investors at first. That said, more instruments usually bring more liquidity and more ways to manage risk. Related Reading: Trump Says He Was Unaware Of Abu Dhabi Royal’s $500 Million WLFI Investment What This Means For Traders For investors, the shift offers both opportunity and restraint. Cash settlement removes the need for custody of the underlying token, which can reduce some operational hassles. At the same time, the Bank of Russia’s standards mean the products will be boxed in by clearing and reporting requirements. If adopted, these additions could help price discovery for XRP, Solana, and Tron inside Russia and might attract institutional flows that have been sitting on the sidelines. Featured image from The Moscow Times, chart from TradingView

XRP price extended losses and traded below $1.50. The price is now consolidating losses but faces hurdles near $1.5320 and $1.550. XRP price started another decline and traded below the $1.5250 zone. The price is now trading below $1.50 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $1.5850 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could continue to move down if it stays below $1.60. XRP Price Dips Again XRP price failed to stay above $1.5320 and extended its decline, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price declined below $1.5250 and $1.50 to enter a short-term bearish zone. The price even extended losses below $1.4850. A low was formed at $1.4330, and the price is now consolidating losses with a bearish angle below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $1.6322 swing high to the $1.4330 low but failed. The price is now trading below $1.50 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is also a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $1.5850 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair. If there is a fresh recovery move, the price might face resistance near the $1.480 level. The first major resistance is near the $1.5320 level or the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $1.6322 swing high to the $1.4330 low. A close above $1.5320 could send the price to $1.5850. The next hurdle sits at $1.60. A clear move above the $1.60 resistance might send the price toward the $1.620 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $1.650 resistance. The next major hurdle for the bulls might be near $1.70. Another Drop? If XRP fails to clear the $1.5320 resistance zone, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $1.4320 level. The next major support is near the $1.4250 level. If there is a downside break and a close below the $1.4250 level, the price might continue to decline toward $1.412. The next major support sits near the $1.4650 zone, below which the price could continue lower toward $1.450. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for XRP/USD is now gaining pace in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for XRP/USD is now below the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $1.4320 and $1.4250. Major Resistance Levels – $1.5320 and $1.550.

XRP has entered what Korean Certified Elliott Wave Analyst XForceGlobal (@XForceGlobal) calls a “washout” phase inside a broader Elliott Wave corrective structure, a zone he argues can set the stage for a renewed macro advance, with eventual cycle targets stretching into the $20–$30 region. In a Feb. 3 video breakdown, XForceGlobal said the recent pullback does not change his larger framework, but rather pushes XRP deeper into what he described as the “alternative” macro scenario: an expanded flat correction where a prior push to new highs becomes a “fake out” before a final leg lower attempts to flush late buyers. “Nothing new here, we’ve been talking about this for quite some time where we have 2 extreme points of interest,” he said. “The B Wave here creating a fake out point at the all time high, and then the current C Wave that we are also in that creates a fake out point below the market structure of this previous low here, that Wave A.” XRP May Needs A Final Dump Before $30 The core of his argument rests on a measured target for Wave C derived from the pivot points of Waves A and B, specifically the 1.618 Fibonacci extension, which he framed less as a mystical level and more as a behavioral marker where corrections turn emotional. In his telling, Wave A is the initial counter-trend move, Wave B is the “overconfidence phase,” and Wave C becomes the forced exit: stop losses, broken conviction, and liquidation pressure. Related Reading: Where’s XRP Price Headed As Exchange Reserves Plunge To 1.7 Billion? “Basically, it’s a trap and kind of a liquidation structure where Wave A is the first counter trend of the larger trend that we were expecting,” XForceGlobal said. “And then the B Wave is the overconfidence phase and then the C Wave becomes the reality check where everyone who bought the B Wave at the top is now wrong and exiting at the local bottoms because of their stop losses or they just lose confidence in the overall structure of the XRP.” He argued that because Wave C is driven by “emotion and not balance,” it tends to resolve as a five-wave decline rather than a three-wave correction, often terminating around the 161.8% extension as selling pressure exhausts. The key, he said, is not that the asset becomes “cheap,” but that sellers run out of ammunition and divergences begin to appear. “The markets will not reverse there because prices are really cheap,” he said. “It reverses because the sellers are exhausted at those levels and usually you’ll see sellers being really exhausted. You’ll start to see some bullish divergences occurring.” From a levels perspective, XForceGlobal described a volatile “free for all” zone where bulls and bears battle for a base, pointing to a range he labeled between roughly $1.50 down toward $1.08–$1.09. He suggested that, if the expanded flat thesis holds, that area could evolve into a buy zone, but only after the five-wave move down completes and a reversal sequence provides confirmation. Related Reading: XRP Market Structure “Very Similar” To April 2022, Glassnode Says Macro context remains central to his conviction. XForceGlobal pointed to XRP breaking out of a prior multi-year triangle and then rallying roughly 500% as evidence of an objective five-wave advance, followed by corrective structures consistent with an expanded flat setup: a non-impulsive pullback, a B-wave push to an extreme, then a new downside extreme below prior market structure. $XRP One of the most important #XRP videos to date! A complete 10-minute breakdown covering targets and invalidation levels. More importantly, I cover how to properly manage expectations in the midst of chaos using the macro structure, and why the overall trend remains bullish. pic.twitter.com/E2g9ga52N9 — XForceGlobal (@XForceGlobal) February 3, 2026 If XRP does complete the corrective leg and transitions into what he frames as a new impulsive cycle, with the classic wave three, wave four, wave five sequence, his roadmap opens higher targets over time. “We got a wave three in the making here, a wave four, and then a wave five that’s pending that could bring us up into that $20 to $25, $30 region that we’re looking for at a later stage,” he said. He also flagged $6 as a major level where he expects profit-taking and a reassessment, framing it as part of a broader risk-management approach rather than a single-shot price call. At press time, XRP traded at $1.5887. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Ripple has announced new support for Hyperliquid, one of the fastest‑growing decentralized exchanges (DEXs) in the crypto sector, a move that has added momentum to the platform’s native token, HYPE, even as the broader market remains under pressure. Ripple Expands Prime Brokerage Platform With Hyperliquid In a press release issued on Wednesday, Ripple confirmed that Ripple Prime, its institutional prime brokerage platform, has integrated support for Hyperliquid. Related Reading: Bitwise CIO Warns Market Is Facing A ‘Full-Bore’ Crypto Winter, Not A Pullback According to Ripple, the integration allows institutional clients to tap into on‑chain derivatives liquidity on Hyperliquid while cross‑margining their decentralized finance (DeFi) positions alongside other assets already supported by Ripple Prime.  These include digital assets, foreign exchange, fixed income products, over‑the‑counter swaps, and cleared derivatives. The structure is designed to give professional traders greater capital efficiency while operating across both decentralized and traditional markets. Michael Higgins, International CEO of Ripple Prime, said the move reflects the company’s broader strategy of bridging DeFi and traditional financial infrastructure. He noted that Ripple Prime aims to offer direct support for trading, yield generation, and an expanding range of digital assets.  Higgins added that extending the prime brokerage platform into decentralized finance is intended to improve client access to liquidity while delivering the efficiency and innovation institutional customers increasingly expect. HYPE Surges As XRP Slides The announcement comes at a time when market performance has sharply diverged between the largest cryptocurrencies and Hyperliquid’s ecosystem.  Ripple’s associated cryptocurrency, XRP, has fallen roughly 20% over the past week, broadly tracking the downturn across the wider crypto market. In contrast, Hyperliquid has surged by about 64% over the past two weeks, standing out as one of the strongest performers during a period of overall market weakness. That rally has pushed HYPE toward what traders see as a critical technical zone. At the time of writing, the token is trading just above $34, with the $35 level emerging as an important short‑term support area.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Crashes Below $73,000, Hitting Lowest Level Since 2024 Over the past week, Hyperliquid has struggled to hold above that threshold on a sustained basis, despite briefly breaking through it on Tuesday. During that move, the token climbed as high as $38, marking its highest price since November of last year. On the downside, Hyperliquid’s price action suggests that buyers have established a solid base around the $30 level. Daily chart data shows this area acting as a key support floor, repeatedly halting declines and helping to preserve the recent recovery in the weekly time frame.  Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com 

Crypto analyst Diana has predicted that the XRP price could rally to $7, representing a 450% gain for the altcoin. She alluded to technical setups that prove that the token could reach this price target this year, which would mark a new all-time high (ATH). XRP Price Eyes 450% Rally To $7 In an X post, Diana stated that the XRP price technical setup targets $7 next based on the Elliot Wave and Fibonacci levels. She noted that right now, the altcoin is sitting at a critical support zone between $1.50 and $1.55 and that this is the level buyers must defend. If this support holds, the analyst predicts that XRP can rise to between $1.88 and $2 with volume, which could lead to the chart opening up fast.  Related Reading: XRP Price Crash Is Not Over If This Support Doesn’t Hold Diana also highlighted the short, medium, and long-term outlook for the XRP price even as it looks to surge to the $7 target this year. In the short term, she expects a clean breakout above $2, which could send XRP to between $2.20 and $2.70, a move that the analyst noted will finish the current local wave.  For the medium-term outlook, Diana noted that the XRP price structure looks like the start of a larger wave 5 impulse from the 2025 to 2026 lows. Using Fibonacci extensions and channel projections, she stated that the major target lands in the $5 to $8 zone, with $7 lining up perfectly as the next realistic cycle high.  The analyst also predicted that the XRP price could reach this target within the next four to eight months if momentum continues. She added that XRP could peak between June and October 2026 in bullish scenarios.  XRP Could Soon Begin Wave 4 Move To The Upside In an X post, crypto analyst CasiTrades stated that she expects the Wave 4 relief move to begin soon for the XRP price as the altcoin has held its current support nicely. She noted that the first resistance she is watching is the .382 retrace at $1.78, which also coincides with the prior support breakdown.  Related Reading: XRP Price Falls Below $1.6: You Won’t Believe What Institutions Are Doing Amid The Crash CasiTrades also noted that the Wave 2 move was very shallow, with the XRP price only retracing to .382, and that in Elliot Wave, shallow Wave 2 moves often lead to deeper Wave 4 retraces. As such, she believes that it is possible that this Wave 4 move could push higher toward $1.93 or even up to the $2.03 macro .5 retracement level.  The analyst added that the XRP price needs to reclaim $2.03 and hold it as support. This would invalidate the need for another wave down toward $1.55 or lower, thereby causing Wave 5 to fail.  At the time of writing, the XRP price is trading at around $1.58, down in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Peakpx, chart from Tradingview.com

The move marks the platform’s first direct integration with a DeFi venue, a Ripple Prime spokesperson told The Block.

XRP is showing signs of a potential bullish turnaround after recently hitting a Golden Pocket. Analysts say this Golden Pocket could trigger a strong relief bounce in the XRP price, potentially propelling it toward $2.50. At the same time, they predict that a price drop to new lows remains possible if the market does not unfold as expected.   In an X post on Monday, crypto market analyst CasiTrades announced that XRP has hit a Golden Pocket, bringing attention to an upcoming W4 relief bounce that could fuel a rally to $2.5. Sharing a detailed Elliot Wave chart, she noted that XRP experienced an expected flush into the Golden Pocket around the 0.618 Fibonacci level near $1.93. At the same time, the cryptocurrency aligned well with the 1.618 Extension for Wave 3, which CasiTrades describes as a textbook move.  XRP Golden Pocket Signals Rally To $2.5 According to the analyst, this sets the stage for a full Wave 4 relief to begin. She pointed out that the first resistance to watch is the 0.382 Fibonacci Retracement level at $1.78, which also coincides with a previous support breakdown and could serve as a backtest of resistance.  Related Reading: XRP To $11, And Then $70: The Next Impulse Wave To Watch Out For CasiTrades noted that XRP experienced a very shallow Wave 2, only retracing to the 0.382 Fibonacci level in the Elliott Wave chart structure. She explained that modest Wave 2 corrections often signal a deeper Wave 4 retracement, indicating the XRP price could experience a stronger pullback during the next corrective phase before potentially resuming its upward trend.  Based on this pattern, the analyst stated that Wave 4 could push XRP higher, potentially reaching the $1.93 level from its current price of around $1.60. She added that the cryptocurrency could climb further to $2.03, which corresponds to the macro 0.5 retracement level. CasiTrades emphasized that XRP would need to reclaim the $2.03 level and hold it as support before a sustained upward move could begin. This highlights $2.03 as a key turning point that could trigger XRP’s next breakout phase above $2.50.  The analyst further explained that holding $2.03 as support would eliminate the need for another corrective wave down toward $1.55 or lower. She added that maintaining this level could also prevent  Wave 5 from failing.  What Happens If Support Fails In her Elliott Wave analysis, CasiTrades admitted that “nothing is confirmed yet,” keeping her bullish outlook for XRP speculative. She noted that XRP’s recent drop to new lows created a Bullish Divergence, but the market could still revisit lows. Related Reading: XRP Price Could Surge Another 30% If This Trend Is Confirmed CasiTrades said that XRP’s bullish scenario will only be confirmed once it breaks through the key resistance level. The accompanying chart highlights the potential downside of support failing, projecting a roughly 8% decline from $1.60 to $1.47.   Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com

XRP price extended losses and traded below $1.5320. The price is now attempting to recover but faces hurdles near $1.6250 and $1.650. XRP price started a recovery wave from the $1.5250 zone. The price is now trading below $1.6220 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $1.6250 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could continue to move down if it stays below $1.6350. XRP Price Recovery Faces Hurdles XRP price failed to stay above $1.550 and extended its decline, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price declined below $1.5250 and $1.520 to enter a short-term bearish zone. The price even spiked below $1.5120. A low was formed at $1.50, and the price is now attempting to recover. There was a move above the $1.550 level. The price already attempted to settle above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $1.93 swing high to the $1.50 low but failed. The price is now trading below $1.6220 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. If there is a fresh upward move, the price might face resistance near the $1.6220 level. There is also a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $1.6250 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair. The first major resistance is near the $1.650 level. A close above $1.650 could send the price to $1.7190 or the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $1.93 swing high to the $1.50 low. The next hurdle sits at $1.770. A clear move above the $1.770 resistance might send the price toward the $1.80 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $1.8250 resistance. The next major hurdle for the bulls might be near $1.850. Another Drop? If XRP fails to clear the $1.6250 resistance zone, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $1.550 level. The next major support is near the $1.5250 level. If there is a downside break and a close below the $1.5250 level, the price might continue to decline toward $1.50. The next major support sits near the $1.4650 zone, below which the price could continue lower toward $1.450. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for XRP/USD is now losing pace in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for XRP/USD is now above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $1.550 and $1.5250. Major Resistance Levels – $1.6250 and $1.650.

XRP’s recent price rebound has come at an unusual moment. The token is slowly recovering from levels last seen nearly two years ago, even as fresh controversy arises around resurfaced Jeffrey Epstein emails and renewed scrutiny of early XRP-related experiments such as Mojaloop. Related Reading: Bitcoin’s Crash Spells Trouble For Strategy: 10-Month Low Stings Below Average Purchase Price For many traders, the timing raises a simple question, Why is XRP finding buyers now, despite headlines that could have weighed on sentiment? The answer appears to lie less in historical debates and more in present-day market structure, regulation, and real-world use cases that are beginning to show measurable traction. XRP's price trends to the downside on the daily chart. Source: XRPUSD on Tradingview Epstein Emails and Mojaloop Reignite Old Debates Recently released emails linked to Jeffrey Epstein have drawn attention to how early crypto insiders viewed XRP and similar payment networks. Parity involving figures from Bitcoin-centric firms suggested that supporting projects like XRP or Stellar was seen as politically and strategically risky within early crypto circles. Separate leaked discussions from the Mojaloop Foundation compared XRP-based models with Stellar, highlighting push payments and real-time settlement, while also pointing to integration and adoption challenges. Industry figures, including Ripple’s chief technology officer David Schwartz, have stressed that these documents show opinion and proximity, not involvement or control. The emails largely reinforce what was already known, XRP’s design and goals put it at odds with Bitcoin-aligned investors in its early years, slowing adoption despite technical promise. While the renewed attention has stirred online speculation, it has not introduced evidence of misconduct or direct operational ties. XRP Price Rebound Driven by Market and Regulatory Signals Despite the chatters, XRP recently bounced from around $1.50, its lowest level in almost two years, as the broader crypto market staged a modest recovery. Bitcoin and Ethereum also moved higher, helping lift sentiment across major tokens. XRP has since traded near $1.60, even after falling more than 15% over the past month. Beyond market beta, regulatory developments have played a role. Ripple’s approval for a full Electronic Money Institution license in Luxembourg allows it to operate across the European Union and expand its regulated payment services. In parallel, a partnership with DXC Technology is integrating XRP into banking systems for settlement and payments, reinforcing its utility narrative at a time when investors are looking for assets with tangible use cases. Real-World Activity Offers Counterweight to Controversy Another factor supporting sentiment is growing activity on the XRP Ledger beyond payments. In the UAE, more than $280 million worth of polished diamonds have been tokenized using Ripple-backed custody infrastructure and the XRPL. While the project remains in a controlled phase pending regulatory approvals, it highlights how the network is being used for real-world asset experiments rather than speculation alone. Related Reading: Bitcoin Net Taker Volume Sees Third-Largest Bearish Spike In 2 Years Taken together, XRP’s bounce appears to be driven less by the dismissal of historical concerns and more by current fundamentals. Regulatory progress, institutional-facing partnerships, and broader market stabilization have, for now, outweighed renewed debate over old emails and early adoption struggles. Cover image from ChatGPT, XRPUSD chart on Tradingview

The XRP price might be trading in a bearish mood, but exchange-held supply behind the scenes points to a trend that could matter for price direction in the months ahead. A recent report from 21Shares shows that exchange reserves have dropped to a seven-year low of 1.7 billion XRP. The report shows how tightening liquidity, ETF demand, and investor behavior are quietly lining up for a possible repricing for XRP in 2026. Falling XRP Exchange Supply Meets ETF Demand According to 21Shares, three pillars will shape XRP’s price action in 2026: regulatory clarity, substantial investor demand through spot ETFs, and real-world adoption of XRPL. As noted in a report by the Switzerland-based financial services company, exchange reserves are at roughly 1.7 billion XRP, their lowest level in over seven years. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Crash To $76,000: Why This Analyst Is Warning Against Buying This number coincides with an institutional demand in XRP ETFs, which is intersecting with a community that is increasingly adopting the outlook of holding. This narrowing of readily tradable supply is a catalyst for nonlinear repricing if sustained through the year. According to 21Shares, this is creating a supply-shock mechanism that mirrors the GameStop revolution on Reddit. ETF products in the US have attracted over $1.3 billion in their first month with a record streak of consecutive inflows regardless of market conditions and outflows from other crypto ETFs. That persistent demand indicates, in the report’s view, a transition from speculative trading to structural capital allocation. This demand is still strong, although the cumulative total net inflow of these ETFs has since dropped to $1.18 billion at the time of writing. The report also looked at the path set by Bitcoin spot ETFs as an analog, where nearly $38 billion of net inflows helped double Bitcoin’s price from $40,000 to $100,000 in under a year. Keeping this precedent in mind, XRP’s much smaller market capitalization at ETF launch, roughly one-eighth of Bitcoin’s, means that its inflows are going to exert a proportionally larger impact on price discovery. According to 21Shares, capital velocity on XRP could be higher, which is expected to amplify the reflexive price feedback loop if inflows continue. XRP ETF Assets. Source: 21shares XRP Price Outlook For 2026 The 21Shares report envisioned 2026 as a year where XRP’s valuation will be impacted by a combination of regulatory access, sustained ETF flows, and significant RWA volume on the XRP Ledger. In terms of pricing, it lays out a scenario range for 2026 that centers on a base case peak of $2.45 (assigned 50% probability), a bull case peak of $2.69 (30%), and a bear case peak of $1.60. Related Reading: Why Gold & Silver’s All-Time Highs Are Very Bullish For Bitcoin And Altcoins The base case assumes regulatory stability supports steady ETF inflows and gradual improvement in real-world utility, while the bull case leans on institutional-scale tokenization and tighter liquid supply creating a stronger repricing effect. The bear case, on the other hand, is tied to stagnant adoption and capital rotation away from XRP. Right now, XRP is trading around this bear case, and bulls are struggling to hold above $1.6. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com

Hougan said institutional ETF and digital asset treasury flows masked the severity of losses across much of the crypto market last year.

XRP sits at a crossroads. Trading around the $1.6 area after a steep run higher and a later pullback, the token now rests on a weekly support band that traders are watching closely. According to crypto analyst Scott Melker, this is one of the cleaner risk/reward setups in crypto right now — a small stop can limit losses while a bounce could offer meaningful gains. Related Reading: Crypto Funds Bleed $1.80 Billion As Metals Rally Heats Up Support Zone Holds The Key Based on reports, the zone around $1.55 to $1.60 is important. It lines up with the midpoint of the breakout that began in November 2024 and has acted as resistance before flipping to support. When price briefly dipped toward $1.50 and then closed January above the $1.60 mark, some traders read that as a liquidity sweep that cleared short orders. That kind of action can presage either a bounce or a deeper move, depending on whether fresh buying shows up. What History Shows XRP moved sideways in 2023 and much of 2024 before breaking out from roughly $0.50 to $0.60 in November 2024. A fast advance followed, carrying price toward the $2.00 area and then higher into the $3.66 peak in July 2025. $XRP Crazy chart. Trading exactly at the last meaningful support on the chart before a huge air pocket. For traders, this is about the best risk/reward you get on an asset. Easy to cut loose with a small loss if support fails. pic.twitter.com/wySapwsnT0 — The Wolf Of All Streets (@scottmelker) January 31, 2026 Those gains set a higher structure, but they also left large pockets of profit taking above current levels. Reports say that repeated failed attempts above $3.50 marked weakening demand, which helped trigger the current drop back to the $1.6 region. Tight Downside, Open Upside According to Scott Melker, a.k.a. “Wolf of All Streets”, traders can manage risk with a stop between $1.45 and $1.50. That makes the downside measured. On the flip side, a recovery would likely test $2.00 first, then run into supply around $2.50–$2.60, before facing heavier resistance near $3.00 and the old highs. That path is straightforward on paper, but market context changes outcomes. Volume confirmation is absent from many of the bullish takes; a support hold without visible buying on the tape is fragile. Broader liquidity in US markets and risk appetite for crypto will also play a major role in whether the bounce can sustain itself. Related Reading: Crypto Hacks Explode: $370 Million Stolen In January Alone: Researchers XRP’s Sweet Spot: Small Risk, Big Upside For Melker, setups like XRP’s current level are rare in crypto right now — a defined support, a tight stop, and clear upside targets create a scenario where the potential reward outweighs the risk. He emphasizes that traders don’t need to predict every twist in the market; instead, focusing on trades with controlled losses and meaningful gains can be the difference between surviving and thriving in volatile conditions. In XRP’s case, the near-term risk is small relative to the possible rebound, making it a setup many are watching closely. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView

XRP price extended losses and traded below $1.550. The price is now attempting to recover but faces hurdles near $1.650 and $1.70. XRP price started a recovery wave from the $1.50 zone. The price is now trading below $1.620 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $1.6150 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could continue to move down if it stays below $1.650. XRP Price Faces Resistance XRP price failed to stay above $1.650 and extended its decline, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price declined below $1.620 and $1.60 to enter a short-term bearish zone. The price even spiked below $1.520. A low was formed at $1.50, and the price is now attempting to recover. There was a move above the $1.5750 level. The price surpassed the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $1.9388 swing high to the $1.50 low. The price is now trading below $1.620 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. If there is a fresh upward move, the price might face resistance near the $1.620 level. There is also a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $1.6150 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair. The first major resistance is near the $1.650 level. A close above $1.650 could send the price to $1.720 or the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $1.9388 swing high to the $1.50 low. The next hurdle sits at $1.750. A clear move above the $1.750 resistance might send the price toward the $1.780 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $1.80 resistance. The next major hurdle for the bulls might be near $1.825. Another Drop? If XRP fails to clear the $1.650 resistance zone, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $1.5760 level. The next major support is near the $1.550 level. If there is a downside break and a close below the $1.550 level, the price might continue to decline toward $1.5250. The next major support sits near the $1.50 zone, below which the price could continue lower toward $1.4650. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for XRP/USD is now losing pace in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for XRP/USD is now below the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $1.5760 and $1.550. Major Resistance Levels – $1.6150 and $1.650.

As XRP slides below $1.60, on-chain analytics firm Glassnode has highlighted how the current structure is looking similar to that of April 2022. XRP Is Fast Approaching Its Realized Price In a new post on X, Glassnode has talked about where XRP is currently trading with respect to its Realized Price. This on-chain indicator measures the cost basis or acquisition price of the average address on the blockchain. When the spot price of the cryptocurrency is trading above this metric, it means the investors as a whole can be assumed to be in a state of profit. On the other hand, it being below the indicator suggests the majority of the supply is underwater. Related Reading: Bitcoin Death Cross That Last Preceded A 66% Drop Is Back Now, here is the chart shared by Glassnode that shows the trend in the XRP Realized Price over the last several years: As is visible in the above graph, the XRP spot price has been above the Realized Price since 2024, indicating that holders have been enjoying net unrealized gains. The degree of profitability, however, hasn’t been constant in this period. The asset’s price had the largest gap over the metric back in late 2024, owing to a fast bull rally. Then, over the first three quarters of 2025, profitability gradually dropped as tokens changed hands at higher levels, leading to an increase in the Realized Price. The indicator hit a plateau in the last quarter of the year, but the bearish shift in the asset meant that it was now the price’s turn to approach the line, cutting back on average investor profits further. This trend has deepened recently. Following the sector-wide crash during the past week, XRP has come dangerously close to the Realized Price, which now sits at $1.48. “The current market structure is very similar to that of April 2022,” noted the analytics firm. Back then, the asset was transitioning to a bear market and its price fell to the Realized Price. That retest failed, and what followed was a steep move down that eventually led to the cycle low. Given the proximity that the current XRP price has to the indicator, it now remains to be seen whether a retest will occur in the near future and if it would lead to further bearish action like in 2022. Related Reading: Bitcoin Supply In Loss Turns Upward—Early Bear Market Signal? In the scenario that the cryptocurrency’s decline continues, technical support levels pointed out by analyst Ali Martinez may come into play. As displayed in the chart, Martinez has drawn levels based on a parallel channel pattern. “For XRP, resistance sits at $1.86, while support is at $1.38 and $1.02,” noted the analyst. XRP Price At the time of writing, XRP is trading around $1.60, down nearly 15% over the last week. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView.com