A confidential draft bill circulating among Senate Democrats proposes sweeping new oversight of DeFi, extending Know-Your-Customer (KYC) and Anti-Money-Laundering (AML) duties to DeFi interfaces, validators, and even node operators. According to reports, the leaked bill was intended as the Democrats’ counterweight to the House-backed market-structure bill. However, internal backlash has reportedly stalled those broader discussions […]
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Kelly Ye and Helena Lam of Avenir Group explore how liquidity indicators could reveal underlying capital flows and liquidity conditions for ether, and how there may still be ample room for expansion as institutional interest accelerates.
deBridge has integrated Tron, bringing the largest USDT network into its cross-chain routing to allow swaps between Ethereum, Solana and 25+ blockchains.
The Solana memecoin launchpad says its new Glass Full Foundation will inject liquidity into select ecosystem tokens.
Ethereum has had a significant expansion in liquidity over the past three months, with aggregated 2% market depth rising from $278.35 million on April 25 to $393.34 million on July 21. This 41% increase comes from a clear buildup in resting orders on both sides of the order book, suggesting heightened participation by market makers […]
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The liquidity engine that has supported risk assets, including Bitcoin, since the beginning of 2025 is now shifting into reverse. According to macro analyst Tomas (@TomasOnMarkets), the six-month upswing in Federal Reserve liquidity has ended, and a potentially destabilizing wave of debt issuance by the US Treasury is about to begin. In a post published on X late Sunday, Tomas warned: “ Federal Reserve Liquidity set to fall… The Fed liquidity upswing that began on January 1 2025 is now over.” Bitcoin Enters Danger Zone The catalyst behind this reversal is the recent $5 trillion debt ceiling increase passed by Congress last week. That legislative decision gives the Treasury Department the green light to aggressively rebuild its cash balance at the Federal Reserve—known as the Treasury General Account (TGA)—which had been intentionally drained to inject liquidity into the system during the first half of the year. “The US Government had previously been draining the Treasury General Account (liquidity injection). But a new debt ceiling agreement was reached last week ($5 trillion raise). This means the Government will start to flood the market with new debt to ‘refill’ the TGA (liquidity drain),” Tomas wrote. He emphasized that the refill target is currently set at $850 billion, up from recent levels around $350 billion, implying roughly $500 billion in liquidity will be removed from the system in the coming months. Related Reading: Bitcoin Investor Sentiment Back To ‘Very Bullish’ — What This Means The implications for Bitcoin are stark. Risk assets have historically benefited from rising dollar liquidity—particularly in the context of elevated ETF inflows, corporate adoption, and a weakening US dollar. But that backdrop is now shifting. As Tomas put it, “All else being equal, this TGA rebuild process should be bullish for the US dollar.” A strengthening dollar, when coupled with falling bank reserves, is generally a bearish environment for Bitcoin. The pressure on liquidity won’t necessarily come all at once, but the mechanics are clear. Treasury will issue large volumes of new short-term debt—primarily T-bills—to finance the TGA refill. This issuance will compete with other dollar-denominated assets for funding, draining cash out of banks and money markets. Tomas notes that this dynamic could be softened if money market funds rotate their cash out of the Fed’s Overnight Reverse Repo Facility, which still holds about $214 billion. “It’s possible that Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent could lower the target level, meaning less of a refill,” he adds. “I’d expect we may see a lot of T-bill issuance, which could tempt some of the remaining $214bn left in the Reverse Repo to leave the facility (liquidity injection) and lessen any negative impact of the TGA refill.” Still, even with some reallocation from RRP, Tomas expects the overall effect to reduce reserve balances—bank reserves as a percentage of GDP are likely to fall below 10%, he estimates. While this is not as dire as the 7% level reached in 2019 (which triggered the repo crisis), it represents a sharp tightening compared to the first half of this year. “There could be some funding stress around the end of September (end-of-quarter),” Tomas cautioned. Related Reading: Bitcoin Breakout Is A Trap—Analyst Predicts Pain Before $160,000 Surge Bitcoin’s performance has coincided with the exact window Tomas outlines as a liquidity upswing. As documented, Bitcoin’s price has closely tracked the direction of aggregate G5 central bank balance sheets and the level of US bank reserves. When those reserves shrink—especially in the face of stronger Treasury issuance and a rebounding dollar—Bitcoin has historically struggled to sustain upside momentum. This concern is compounded by Tomas’s warning that speculative short positioning against the dollar has reached extremes. “Back in January, I was shouting about a fall in the dollar. Now everybody and their mothers are bearish on the dollar, and positioning is massively short across the board. It’s time for, at the very least, an upward correction/consolidation for the US dollar, in my opinion.” Such a reversal in the dollar would mark a critical macro headwind for Bitcoin. The 90-day rolling correlation between Bitcoin and the US Dollar Index (DXY) remains firmly negative. In environments where the dollar strengthens—especially when driven by tightening liquidity—Bitcoin has rarely outperformed. The next several weeks will be critical. If Treasury proceeds with aggressive issuance and market participants demand higher yields, liquidity could tighten faster than anticipated. While Tomas does leave open the possibility that Secretary Bessent may adjust the TGA target downward, the baseline scenario remains a $500 billion net liquidity drain—directly reversing the conditions that allowed Bitcoin to surge. At press time, BTC traded at $108,148. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin’s role as a safe haven is getting a fresh boost from turmoil in U.S. treasuries and a weakening dollar, analysts said.
Bitcoin behaved differently on Sunday, with CME futures leading the volatile price action.
Bitcoin’s market structure has shifted decisively toward leverage, with derivatives now overwhelmingly accounting for the majority of daily trading volume. Data from CryptoQuant showed that the derivatives market consistently comprised over 90% of Bitcoin’s total trading activity in 2025, pushing the average derivative-to-spot volume ratio to 13.2x YTD. This ratio peaked at 16.6× on May […]
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Kaiko said bitcoin market depth on Bybit rebounded to pre-hack levels following Lazarus Group's historic $1.5 billion attack.
The exchange stablecoins ratio (ESR) and stablecoin supply ratio (SSR) provide important insight into Bitcoin’s liquidity and potential buying power. ESR measures the proportion of stablecoins relative to Bitcoin exchange reserves, serving as a gauge of spot liquidity. A low ESR reflects limited immediate buying power, while a high ESR points to abundant capital waiting […]
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Securing sustainable liquidity will be essential for DeFi's future, says Jason Hall of Turtle Club.
With Bitcoin’s price indicating that capital inflows are softening and investors are stepping back from large-scale buying, on-chain data provides clues about how Bitcoin holders react to market conditions. The sell-side risk ratio (SSR) is an important predictor of holder behavior. The Sell-side Risk Ratio (SSR) measures the potential “risk” of sell-side pressure entering the […]
The post Bitcoin floats in a midrange limbo as sell-side risk ratio remains subdued amid downtrend in spot volume trends appeared first on CryptoSlate.
Intent-based solutions offer a promising approach to tackle DeFi’s liquidity fragmentation, simplifying crosschain interactions and enhancing user experience.
In a recent blog post, serial crypto entrepreneur and commentator Arthur Hayes predicted that fresh liquidity injections into the US economy following President-elect Donald Trump’s inauguration could spur a Bitcoin (BTC) rally in Q1 2025. Money Printing To Propel Bitcoin? Despite surging past $100,000 on January 6, BTC faced a sharp decline to as low as $94,543 earlier today, casting doubt on the so-called “Trump rally” that many expected to last until Trump’s inauguration on January 20. Related Reading: Bitcoin May Surge To $200,000 By Mid-2025 Amid ‘Mild’ Price Pullbacks: Report Recent market action aligns with Hayes’ December forecast, in which he warned of a potential “harrowing dump” in the cryptocurrency market around Trump’s inauguration. At the time, Hayes attributed this predicted sell-off to perceived regulatory disappointments from the incoming Trump administration. However, in his latest post, Hayes suggested that the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) plan to inject $612 billion of fresh liquidity into the economy could make up for the lack of regulatory progress and ignite new bullish momentum for BTC. The BitMex co-founder remarked: A letdown by team Trump on his proposed pro-crypto and pro-business legislation can be covered by an extremely positive dollar liquidity environment, an increase of up to $612 billion in the first quarter. Hayes explained that the Fed is expected to ramp up money printing after Trump’s inauguration, likely driving BTC and other digital assets to a local top before a subsequent pullback. He added that market disappointment over lagging crypto regulation under Trump’s administration would exacerbate the correction. The crypto entrepreneur advised selling towards the end of Q1 2025 and waiting for favorable liquidity conditions to return in Q3 2025. Once fresh liquidity enters the market, Hayes suggested it would be time for risk-seeking investors to “turn the risk dial to degen.” Opinion Split On BTC Price Action While Hayes anticipates a BTC rally later this quarter, other analysts and market commentators remain cautious. For instance, a recent report by 10x Research noted that the Fed’s delay in cutting interest rates could dampen BTC’s bullish momentum. Similarly, technical analysis suggests that BTC may be forming a bearish head-and-shoulders pattern on the weekly chart, raising fears of a drawdown to as low as $80,000. Yesterday’s failure to decisively reclaim the $100,000 price level has further unsettled the bulls. On the other hand, the CEO of Bitcoin mining firm MARA recently advocated a long-term “invest and forget” strategy for BTC. He suggested that a US strategic Bitcoin reserve could spark a global race among nations to accumulate BTC, driving up its price. Institutional interest in BTC is already on the rise, as evident from record inflows received by US spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETF). At press time, BTC trades at $95,154, down 3.6% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, Chart from TradingView.com
Tether USDt’s trading has wiped $100 billion since mid-December, but it “may be premature to turn bearish,” according to Matrixport.
Bitcoin’s price action over the past week has been remarkable, marked by its milestone climb past $100,000. While this monumental level was short-lived, with BTC quickly correcting to around $91,000 before rebounding to around $97,000, it remains a significant achievement. Since first breaching the milestone, Bitcoin has passed through the $100,000 mark several times, indicating […]
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Once RLUSD is available, Ripple plans to use both RLUSD and XRP in its cross-border payments solution.
The objective of Cycles is to “clear the most debt for the most people with the least money,” Informal Systems’ CEO Ethan Buchman said.
Bloomberg’s senior ETF analyst Eric Balchunas said “$1.9 billion is unheard of for day one,” as the debut for options on BlackRock’s spot Bitcoin ETF saw huge volumes.
The exchange stablecoin ratio (ESR) is an on-chain metric that indicates the balance of liquidity between Bitcoin and stablecoins held on exchanges. The metric is calculated as the ratio of the total Bitcoin reserves to the total stablecoin reserves, essentially showing the market’s buying power and selling pressure. A low ESR indicates that stablecoin reserves […]
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Learn about impermanent loss in DeFi and strategies to mitigate risks. Discover practical tips, tools and the potential rewards of providing liquidity.
AUSD now powers AggLayer on Polygon, optimizing crosschain liquidity and eliminating token bridges.
Assetera and Archax are collaborating to provide UK and global investors with regulated access to tokenized funds, including real-world and digital assets.
The U.S. election combined with an easier monetary environment could spark the next crypto bull market, says David Lawant.
Low liquidity, represented by market depth, is often seen at market bottoms, Hyblock Capital said.
Liquidity of Ether on US exchanges has plunged as much as 40% since the first spot Ether exchange-traded funds entered the market on July 23, 2024. Related Reading: Cardano Bull Sees ADA Jumping 1,000% In An ‘Insane’ Rally That is a move rather expectedly coming for traders and analysts that had previously viewed the ETFs as a means to improve market liquidity and therefore stabilize prices. Instead, what has taken place is rather different: the average market depth of 5% for ETH pairs has fallen to around $14 million. Meanwhile, offshore exchanges are posting a similar decline at about $10 million in liquidity. Ether Liquidity Down Following the launch of nine ETFs in July, Ether’s liquidity plummeted 20% on US markets and 19% on offshore locations. The decline in liquidity is one thing that raises concerns and, more importantly, it signals greater sensitivity to large orders. With shallow market depth, it follows that even minor trades can result in dramatic changes in prices. Jacob Joseph, a research analyst at CCData, said that liquidity is still better than at the beginning of the year but has really dropped almost 45% since its peak in June. Poor market conditions and seasonal effects are mainly responsible as summer months will have fewer trading activities. Market Dynamics And ETF Performance Their introduction was expected to increase liquidity, much as it had done in the case of the Bitcoin ETFs introduced earlier this year. However, the Ether market hasn’t responded as well. In the period since their introduction, Ether ETFs have suffered from over $500 million in cumulative outflows. That has contributed to a general decline in liquidity, making markets even more volatile. Surprisingly, ETFs have had their own performances. For instance, Grayscale’s ETHE ETF witnessed an outflow as high as $10.7 million, while BlackRock’s ETHA ETF saw an inflow as low as $4.7 million. Such mixed results hint that Ether markets are yet to come out of their troubled times, with investments reflecting investors’ reluctance to commit capital in unsure times. Related Reading: Aptos (APT) Dips 15% As New Innovations Fail To Spark Momentum Implications For Traders And Investors A drop in liquidity is a challenge for traders and investors alike, actually. In states of low liquidity, the slippage is much higher, and the price for the execution is costlier. The big problem lies in the fact that the institutional investors like their markets stable and with good liquidity. If these large players stop full operations, that could create some kind of vicious cycle when the liquidity will be even lower and prices go further down. For now, Ether trades hands at about $2,258, down over 4% in the past 24 hours. The wider cryptocurrency market is also under stress: All major altcoins, including Solana and Ripple, are in the red, posting losses in a range between 2% to 4%. Going forward, market participants will be in a position where expected benefits of the ETF introductions have not materialized for Ether. With potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, market attention in the future might shift to how these changes are going to affect liquidity and trading activity in the months ahead. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from TradingView
Order book liquidity refers to the market's ability to absorb large buy and sell orders without influencing the spot price.
According to ETC Group, the new high is a sign that the halving-induced supply shock is intensifying.
Stakers with Lido, Frax, Origin and Mantle can “restake” with the DeFi protocol.