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Bitcoin’s price action has broken above $96,000 in the past 24 hours, strengthening the case for a sustained move into six-figure territory. This recent price action is particularly significant as it marks a clean breakout above a key on-chain resistance zone stretching from $93,000 to $95,000, which many analysts believe could determine whether Bitcoin’s next leg takes it into six-figure territory.  Supporting this momentum is a long-term technical outlook by renowned trader Peter Brandt, who projected that Bitcoin remains on course to set new all-time highs, with a potential price peak exceeding $150,000 on his projected timeline. Peter Brandt Maps Timeline For $150,000 Bitcoin Top With Parabolic Structure Veteran trader Peter Brandt shared a weekly candlestick Bitcoin price chart on social media, highlighting a path toward $150,000 by late summer 2025. According to Brandt’s post on social media platform X, Bitcoin is currently trading below a parabolic trendline that is key to the final leg of the current bull cycle. Interestingly, this parabolic trendline has served as an upper resistance for Bitcoin’s price peaks and all-time highs since 2021.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Prediction: The Last Leg-Up That Confirms A Resounding Rally To $150,000 Brandt’s chart captures a variety of classical technical formations, including multiple head and shoulders patterns, expanding triangles, and consolidation wedges. The breakout from the recent wedge pattern serves as his basis for suggesting that the bull market is structurally intact. According to his projection, the parabolic slope that Bitcoin needs to overcome currently sits around the $120,000 mark. A decisive breakout above this threshold would set the stage for a run-up to a cycle top. Brand noted that this cycle top would be between $125,000 and $150,000, and the timeline is by August or September 2025. On-Chain Indicators Reveal Pressure Points Around $93,000 To $95,000 On-chain data from on-chain analytics firm Glassnode shows that Bitcoin is currently testing the convergence of two critical resistance points: the 111-day simple moving average, which now sits at $91,300, and the short-term holder cost basis, which sits at $93,200.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Price: Analyst Peter Brandt Says BTC Still Bearish Unless This Happens Notably, Bitcoin’s price structure has confirmed a higher high relative to a high of $94,000 in early May, effectively breaking the downtrend from early April. This suggests that the market may be shifting into a more aggressive accumulation phase. However, this region also represents a significant cluster of previously bought coins, meaning investors underwater during earlier pullbacks now find themselves near break-even. This could cause increased sell-side pressure if some traders take profit or exit at breakeven. Meanwhile, long-term holders continue to exhibit strong HOLDling behavior, with realized profits exceeding 350% for many. In fact, over 254,000 BTC have crossed the 155-day threshold since Bitcoin’s recent local bottom, indicating that a significant portion of the supply is maturing into long-term holdings. Many of these coins were acquired at prices above $95,000.  Although current momentum clearly favours the bulls, the $93,000 to $95,000 range is a major battleground that could define Bitcoin’s trajectory in the months ahead of reaching Peter Brandt’s target of $150,000. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $96,635. Featured image from Pexels, chart from Tradingview.com

The Bitcoin market saw another rebound in the past week as prices leaped by over 12% to hit a local peak of $95,600. Amid the ongoing market euphoria, prominent blockchain analytics company Glassnode has shared some important developments in the Bitcoin derivative markets. Related Reading: Bitcoin ‘Apparent Demand’ Makes Sharp Rebound – Will BTC Breakout Soon? Bitcoin Short Bets Rise Despite Price Rally, Setting Stage For Volatility Despite a bullish trading week, derivative traders are approaching the Bitcoin market with skepticism, as evidenced by a build-up of leveraged short positions. In a recent X post on April 25, Glassnode reported that Open Interest (OI) in Bitcoin perpetual swaps climbed to 218,000 BTC, marking a 15.6% increase from early March. In line with market activity, this rise in Open Interest aligns with increased leverage, introducing the potential for market volatility via liquidations or stop-outs.   Generally, a rise in Open Interest amidst a price rally is expected to signal long-term market confidence. However, Glassnode’s findings have revealed an opposite scenario. Despite Bitcoin’s bullish strides in the past week, short market positions appear to be dominating the perpetual futures markets. This concerning development is indicated by a decline in the average funding rate, which has now slipped into negative territory to sit around -0.023%. The perpetual funding rate is a periodic payment between long and short traders aimed at keeping the contract price in line with the underlying spot price. A negative funding rate indicates short traders pay long traders as Bitcoin’s perpetual contract price is trading below the spot price. This is caused by a higher number of short positions as traders are largely bearish about Bitcoin, even despite recent gains. Furthermore, the 7-day moving average (7DMA) of long-side funding premiums has dropped to $88,000 per hour, reinforcing this short-dominant sentiment. This downtrend indicates a waning demand for long positions, as traders exhibit a short bias. However, Glassnode presents a bullish note stating that the present combination of rising leverage and short positions paves the way for a potential short squeeze, where an unexpected upward price move forces short-sellers to close their positions, thereby driving prices even higher. Bitcoin Price Overview At the time of writing, Bitcoin trades at $94,629 following a 1.01% retracement from its local peak price on April 25. Despite creeping developments in the perpetual futures market, the BTC market remains highly bullish, indicated by gains of 1.02%, 11.12%, and 8.32% in the last one, seven, and thirty days, respectively. With a market cap of $1.88 trillion, the premier cryptocurrency ranks as the largest digital asset and fifth-largest asset in the world. Related Reading: Ethereum To Hit $5k Before Its 10th Birthday, Justin Sun Says Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview

The on-chain analytics firm Glassnode has revealed how the large Bitcoin investors have been buying during this price rally so far. Accumulation Trend Score Suggests Strong Buying From Mega Whales In a new post on X, Glassnode has discussed about how the Accumulation Trend Score has changed for the different Bitcoin investor cohorts recently. The “Accumulation Trend Score” refers to an on-chain indicator that basically tells us about whether the BTC holders are buying or selling. The metric calculates its value by not only making use of the balance changes happening in the wallets of the investors, but also the size of the wallets themselves. This means that large addresses have a higher weightage in the indicator’s value. Related Reading: Bitcoin Short-Term Holders Back In Green As Price Breaks $94,000 When the Accumulation Trend Score is greater than 0.5, it suggests that the large investors (or a large number of small holders) are participating in accumulation. The closer the metric is to 1.0, the stronger is this behavior. On the other hand, the indicator being under 0.5 implies the investors are distributing or simply not doing any buying. On this side of the scale, the zero mark acts as the point of extreme. In the context of the current topic, the combined Accumulation Trend Score of the entire Bitcoin market isn’t of interest, but rather the separate scores for the different investor cohorts. There are two main ways to divide holder groups: holding time and balance size. Here, the cohorts are based on the latter categorization. Below is the chart shared by the analytics firm that shows the trend in the Accumulation Trend Score for these groups over the past year. As displayed in the above graph, the Bitcoin market as a whole has been in a state of distribution during the last few months, but one cohort started to pull away from the rest last month: the 10,000+ BTC holders. The investors holding between 1,000 and 10,000 BTC are popularly known as the whales, so these investors, who are even more humongous, could be termed as the mega whales. From the chart, it’s visible that the rest of the market continued to sell into this month, but the mega whales, who were already dropping off their distribution, pivoted to buying instead. They have since only strengthened their behavior, with the metric now even reaching a near-perfect score of 0.9. The whales have also turned things around very recently, as the score has hit 0.7 for them. Thus, it would appear that the big-money investors as a whole have been accumulating Bitcoin during the latest recovery rally. Related Reading: Bitcoin Spot Volume Nearly Triples As BTC Breaks $91,000 Among the rest of the market, the sharks (100 to 1,000 BTC) are the closest at catching up to the whales, with their Accumulation Trend Score sitting at 0.5. The investors on the smaller end are still continuing to distribute. The current pattern is sort of similar to what was witnessed back in December 2024, where the Bitcoin mega whales started participating in strong distribution ahead of the rest. Bitcoin Price Bitcoin crossed above the $94,000 level earlier, but it seems the coin has seen a pullback since then as its price is back at $92,600. Featured image from Dall-E, Glassnode.com, chart from TradingView.com

The on-chain analytics firm Glassnode has revealed in a report how this historical bear market confirmation is yet to appear for Bitcoin in the current cycle. Bitcoin Unrealized Loss Hasn’t Spiked For Long-Term Holders Yet In its latest weekly report, Glassnode has discussed about the trend in the Unrealized Loss for the two major Bitcoin cohorts. The “Unrealized Loss” is an on-chain indicator that measures the total amount of loss that the BTC addresses as a whole are carrying. The metric works by going through the transfer history of each coin in circulation to see what price it was last moved at. If this previous trading price is more than the current spot price for any token, then that particular token’s assumed to be holding a net loss. Related Reading: Bitcoin Realized Cap Sets New Record, But Momentum Fades The indicator takes the difference between the two prices to find the exact measure of this loss. It then adds up this value for all coins part of the circulating supply to find the network total. In the context of the current topic, the usual version of the Unrealized Loss isn’t the one of interest, but rather a new variant known as the Unrealized Loss per Percent Drawdown. As the analytics firm explains, As the market continues to contract, it’s reasonable to expect the absolute size of unrealized losses to grow. To account for this and normalize across drawdowns of varying magnitudes, we introduce a new variant of the metric: Unrealized Loss per Percent Drawdown, which expresses losses held in BTC terms relative to the percentage decline from the all-time high. First, here is a chart that shows the trend in this Bitcoin indicator specifically for the short-term holders: “Short-term holders” (STHs) refer to the Bitcoin investors who purchased their coins within the past 155 days. BTC is currently trading under the levels that it was at during most of this window, so these holders would majorly be in a state of loss. The Unrealized Loss per Percent Drawdown showcases this trend, as its value has shot up recently. Interestingly, the indicator is already at a high-enough level to be comparable with values seen during the start of previous bear markets. While the STHs are in substantial losses, the same isn’t true for the other side of the market: the “long-term holders” (LTHs). These investors, who have been holding onto their coins since more than 155 days ago, are carrying no unrealized loss at all right now. In the past, the LTHs have generally seen their loss spike up during the transition to a bear market. As the report notes, Historically, substantial expansions in unrealized losses among long-term holders have often marked the confirmation of bear market conditions, albeit with a delay following the market peak. Related Reading: Bitcoin Sentiment Still Close To Extreme Fear—Green Sign For Recovery? So far, this signal hasn’t appeared for Bitcoin. Something to keep in mind, though, is the fact that the top buyers will soon promote into the LTHs. Once that happens, the loss among the group is probable to register an increase. BTC Price Bitcoin has seen a pause in the recovery rally as its price has taken to sideways movement around $85,000. Featured image from Dall-E, Glassnode.com, chart from TradingView.com

STH MVRV dropped to 0.82, signaling investor stress — while long-term holders quietly accumulate.

Mantra has just gone through a crash that has wiped out most of its value. Here’s how on-chain metrics have changed during this collapse. Mantra Has Seen A Reaction In Several On-Chain Indicators In a new post on X, the on-chain analytics firm Glassnode has discussed about the sudden price plunge that Mantra saw in the past day. During this crash, the asset’s value went from above $6 to around $0.50 in the matter of a few hours. Related Reading: Cardano Could Drop To $0.54 If This Support Gives Out, Analyst Says First, here is how the Exchange Inflow (that is, the total amount of OM being transferred to centralized exchanges) changed along with this volatile move: As displayed in the above graph, Mantra interestingly didn’t see any large spikes in the indicator in the leadup to the crash. Investors use exchanges for selling-related purposes, so large deposits tend to appear before intense volatility. In OM’s case, though, it seems there were no such inflows. Large deposits have still occurred in the past day, but they only came after the collapse was already over. These late inflows likely corresponded to reactionary moves from the investors. The opposite indicator, the Exchange Outflow, also saw spikes following the price plummet, as the below chart shows. While the largest withdrawals only came after the crash was over, there were some significant outflows also made before the low was reached. “This could reflect withdrawals post-liquidation, opportunistic buys followed by self-custody, or exchanges reducing exposure,” explains the analytics firm. A metric that did register a change ahead of time was the percentage of the Mantra supply held by the top 1% addresses. The top 1% addresses reduced their supply share from 96.4% to 95.6% before the OM collapse took place. “While not the largest drop in recent months, it’s notable,” notes Glassnode. Another indicator that showcases the market panic is the Number of Transfers, which observed a huge spike as OM went through its volatility. The Number of Transfers peaked at around 1,400 inside a 10-minute window. Given the scale involved, it’s likely that a large amount of traders were responsible for these moves. Related Reading: Bitcoin Sharks & Whales Show Highest Growth Since Feb: Confidence Returning? And indeed, the trend in the Active Addresses, a metric keeping track of the number of addresses becoming involved in transactions on the chain, would confirm this. From the chart, it’s apparent that the Active Addresses mimicked the trend in the Number of Transfers very closely, so the Mantra selloff wasn’t contained to a few addresses at all. OM Price At the time of writing, Mantra is trading around $0.50, down more than 91% in the past day. Featured image from Dall-E, Glassnode.com, chart from TradingView.com

Ethereum (ETH) prices have surged by over 3% in the past day in line with a bullish upswing across the broader crypto market. However, Ethereum on-chain data reveals the altcoin has stumbled in a range-bound market hinting at a potentially prolonged sideways movement. Related Reading: Bitcoin Long-Term Holders Show Conviction: 63% Of Supply Hasn’t Moved In A Year Ethereum Trapped In $1,548 – $1,599 Range – Glassnode In a recent post on X, prominent blockchain analytics firm Glassnode reports that Ethereum is trading in a tight range between $1,548 and $1,599. This development is revealed by the asset’s cost basis distribution (CBD), which shows the various price levels at which current ETH holders bought their coins. CBD is an important on-chain metric used to identify potential support or resistance levels based on the accumulation levels seen at price zones. According to Glassnode, a combined 1.53 million ETH, valued at $2.4 billion, was acquired between $1,548 and $1,599 indicating a high level of investor interest at these price regions. In particular, 793,900 ETH currently in circulation was purchased at $1,548, ultimately transforming this price floor into a major support zone for the current Ethereum price. Meanwhile, 732,400 ETH is held by investors at $1,599 representing a significant price barrier to any upward price movement.  Interestingly, Ethereum has tested both price zones over the past day failing to produce either a price breakout or breakdown. Considering the accumulation level at both prices, the altcoin might maintain a range-bound movement barring the introduction of a market catalyst.  Interestingly, such price behavior would align with the broader market uncertainty amidst unstable macroeconomic factors and tightening liquidity conditions. Related Reading: XRP Price Flashes Symmetrical Triangle From 2017, A Repeat Could Send It as Flying To $30 Important Ethereum Support Forms At $1,461 In other developments, Glassnode also notes that Ethereum bulls are building a critical support zone at $1,461 at which 380,000 ETH, valued at $595.8 million have been acquired. In the case of any breakdown from the current consolidation zone, this price level is expected to act as the next major support preventing any further downside. However, a daily price close below $1,461 could cause ETH to trade as low as $1,400 or $1,200. At the time of writing, Ethereum trades at $1,562 reflecting a 3.35% gain in the past 24 hours. However, the ETH market remains in a deep corrective phase with 14.56% and 18.45% losses in the last seven and thirty days, respectively.  Meanwhile, the asset’s daily trading volume has declined by 34.06%, indicating a fall in market participation and a potential reversal of the recent rally, which would allow Ethereum to maintain a range-bound movement.   Featured image from Bankrate, chart from Tradingview

On-chain data analytics firm Glassnode has identified an intriguing shift in retail investor preference, spotlighting XRP as a focal point of speculative interest. The findings, which come from Glassnode’s newly published report titled “Rippling Away,” reveal that while Bitcoin market indicators edge closer to a bearish zone, XRP has seen remarkable inflows of capital and user activity—albeit with signs of waning momentum. According to Glassnode’s report, Bitcoin has been consolidating between the $76,000 and $87,000 price range. Indicators such as the Realized Profit/Loss Ratio are showing “signs of near-term seller exhaustion but not yet a renewal of sustained bullish momentum.” Furthermore, a longer-term on-chain “Death-Cross” suggests the market’s current weakness could persist for some time. “Supply in loss remains elevated at 4.7M BTC,” the report states, underlining the depth of investor stress. These conditions, as Glassnode notes, paint a picture of “deepening bearish conditions” for the leading cryptocurrency. Retail Flocks To XRP In contrast to Bitcoin’s cautionary signals, Glassnode points to XRP as a proxy for heightened retail speculation this cycle. The report highlights: “For this cycle in particular, Ripple (XRP) has been a preferred asset for trade amongst retail investors, and studying its behavior can, therefore, serve as a proxy for measuring retail speculative demand.” Related Reading: XRP Price Prediction For April: Analyst Explains What To Expect From the 2022 cycle low, XRP’s daily active addresses have “jumped by +490%” on a quarterly average basis, while Bitcoin’s rose by only 10%. This sharp divergence underscores the retail community’s enthusiasm for XRP, which Glassnode views as indicative of broader speculative appetite in the market. The enthusiasm for XRP translated into a near-doubling of its Realized Cap—leaping from $30.1 billion to $64.2 billion during its rally from December 2024 to early 2025. Glassnode estimates that approximately $30 billion of this new capital came in over the last six months, pointing to a fresh wave of market participants. Alongside the short surge in capital flows, there’s been a rapid concentration of wealth in the hands of new investors,” the report explains. However, Glassnode also warns: “When viewed together with the heavy retail participation, this sharp uplift in new holders raises caution signs.” Related Reading: XRP Bull Cycle Could End If This Happens: Analyst Glassnode warns that these new investors are vulnerable to downside volatility, especially as XRP’s cost basis becomes more top-heavy. Thus, despite initial excitement, the report notes a cooling of speculative interest since late February 2025. Glassnode’s Realized Loss/Profit Ratio for XRP has declined steadily since January 2025, suggesting a slip in profitability and “waning confidence.” This might reflect a more fragile market structure, where large swaths of relatively new holders face mounting paper losses. “The XRP market is showing signs of a top-heavy structure, with many investors caught on a relatively high-cost basis,” the report adds. This fragility in XRP’s positioning could also imply broader caution for retail-driven altcoin markets. Overall, Glassnode’s latest research underscores the dichotomy in today’s digital asset landscape. While Bitcoin’s drift below $80,000 spurred increased losses for long-term holders, XRP’s meteoric rise and subsequent slowdown depict a market driven by short-term retail enthusiasm that may be approaching saturation. “For more speculative assets like XRP, demand may have already peaked,” the report concludes, “suggesting caution may be warranted until signs of a robust recovery start to emerge.” At press time, XRP traded at $2.00. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

The Bitcoin price put in one of its strongest performances in recent times over the past week, rallying to above the $88,000 level early on. However, the premier cryptocurrency experienced a steep correction on Friday, March 28, following the latest February core inflation data. With the price of BTC now hovering beneath $84,000, panic seems to be growing in the market as investors fear further correction for the world’s largest cryptocurrency. Interestingly, the latest on-chain data show the critical support levels for the Bitcoin price. Is BTC At Risk Of A Fall To $71,000?  In a recent post on the X platform, blockchain analytics firm Glassnode explained the recent investor behavior and how it could impact the Bitcoin price action over the next few days. This evaluation is based on the cost basis distribution data of investors around the Bitcoin price. Related Reading: Bitcoin And Ethereum Face $14 Billion Options Expiry—Market Impact Ahead? According to Glassnode, the cost basis distribution data reflects the total Bitcoin supply held by addresses with an average cost basis within specific price buckets. As observed in the chart below, the heat map (color intensity) represents the magnitude of BTC supply in a price zone. Source: @glassnode on XGlassnode data shows that a significant percentage of traders purchased roughly 15,000 BTC at the $78,000 level on March 10 before selling at the recent $87,000 local top. Following this latest round of redistribution, the BTC supply at the $78,000 level is now thin, weakening the support cushion.  It is worth noting, though, that the next crucial support levels lie around $84,100, $82,090, and $80,920, where investors purchased 40,000 BTC, 50,000 BTC, and 20,000 BTC, respectively. However, the Bitcoin price could be at risk of a deep correction if it loses these levels. In case of a deeper correction, $78,000 might not offer a strong enough cushion for the flagship cryptocurrency following the recent sell-off by investors previously holding at the level. Glassnode data shows that the Bitcoin price could fall to as low as $74,000, the next significant support level after $80,000. The on-chain analytics platform highlighted $74,000 (where investors bought 49,000 BTC) and $71,000 (where investors bought 41,000 BTC) as the next support levels should the Bitcoin price fall beneath $80,000. “These levels reflect conviction-driven accumulation zones that could absorb additional downside pressure,” Glassnode added. Bitcoin Price At A Glance As of this writing, the price of Bitcoin stands at around $83,800, reflecting an almost 4% decline in the past 24 hours. Related Reading: XRP Must Break Above $3 To Invalidate Bearish Pattern And Flip Bullish – Analyst Featured image from iStock, chart from TradingView

Market prices of Chainlink (LINK) suffered another major decline in the past 24 hours as the general crypto market continued to react negatively to US new international tariffs. Over the last two months, LINK has exhibited a prolonged downtrend losing over 40% of its market value. Amidst this bearish market, popular analytics company Glassnode has highlighted two price cluster levels that have shaped investors’ behavior in this period. Related Reading: 640,000 Chainlink (LINK) Withdrawn From Exchanges In 24 Hours – Bullish Accumulation? Chainlink’s CBD Data Reveals Key Investor Clusters At $14.6 And $16 – What Could This Mean? In a recent post on X, Glassnode shared valuable on-chain insights on the LINK market using Cost Basis Distribution (CBD) – a metric that reveals at what prices investors acquired their assets, thus helping to determine potential resistance or support zones. According to Glassnode, LINK’s data has identified two price levels with high accumulation activity i.e. $16 and $14.6, noting that both price zones feature long-term investors who have remained active since August-October 2024. In analyzing transactions at the $16 price level, Glassnode discovered that investors at this level have shown strategic repositioning by actively accumulating during downtrends. Source: @glassnode on XThis positive development has been observed during a price drop from $29 to $19 in December, a correction to around $18 in February, and most recently as prices reached a new low of $12.70 on March 11. Glassnode explains that these recurring transactions indicate the presence of high-conviction holders at $16.0 with strong long-term confidence in LINK and are thus less likely to sell their holdings. Conversely, LINK holders at $14.6 have shown a less active but more timely accumulation by investors at this price level. Glassnode shows that these investors increased their holdings during key phases such as when LINK traded at $17 and $28 in December, at $25 in January, and on March 15 following a major price gain from $12. These observations also suggest current LINK holders are not fast money allocators but patient and confident of a future price accumulation. Related Reading: Whale Grabs 506 Billion PEPE—Is A Price Explosion Near? What Next For Chainlink? At press time, LINK trades at $14.0  just below the key cluster level at $14.6. The proximity to this accumulation zone indicates the market is at a critical juncture. However, Glassnode data suggests that holders at the $14.6 are not fast money traders and are likely to reinforce their position through another accumulation. If this positive scenario occurs, LINK could reclaim $14.6 and $16 which could serve as important support structures in a potential market rebound. Featured image from Token Metrics, chart from Tradingview 

Open interest in Bitcoin trading is a crucial metric to assess the market’s current sentiment on the digital asset, including potential price movements. In theory, an increase in Bitcoin’s open interest suggests liquidity, which can also support an ongoing price trend. According to the latest Glassnode data, Bitcoin’s OI has dipped from $57 billion to $37 billion, or a loss of 35%, since the world’s top digital asset hit its all-time high.  Related Reading: XRP Turnaround Moment? Analyst Says It’s Lift-Off Time Interestingly, Bitcoin hit an all-time high of $108,786 on January 20th, the day United States President Donald Trump was inaugurated for a second term. Bitcoin is trading between $83k and $86k, down more than 22% from its peak, at the time of writing.  Bitcoin Open Interest And Its Possible Impact On Price Investors and holders use the open interest metric to assess the sentiment and potential market performance of the asset. A digital asset with a falling open interest means that traders and investors are closing their positions due to uncertainties or lack of confidence or are moving away from leveraged trading. Futures open interest has dropped from $57B to $37B (-35%) since #Bitcoin’s ATH, signaling reduced speculation and hedging activity. This decline mirrors the contraction seen in on-chain liquidity, pointing to broader risk-off behavior. pic.twitter.com/XPbXiHXlRS — glassnode (@glassnode) March 20, 2025 In Glassnode’s analysis, the drop in Bitcoin’s OI reflects a broader trend of decreasing on-chain activities and liquidities, where investors have less confidence in the asset. Bitcoin’s current status suggests that most investors are now looking at short-term trades for quick gains at the expense of long-term positions. There’s A Shifting In Positions – Glassnode According to Glassnode, traders and investors are now in the cash-and-carry trade, with a weakening of long positions. It adds that the CME futures closures and ETF outflows reflect a shift in investors’ strategy and also add to the selling pressure. Also, the availability of ETFs, which have less liquidity than futures, may impact the alpha crypto’s short-term market volatility. Data Highlights Hot Supply Metric Glassnode also highlighted the asset’s Hot Supply metric. This is another important metric that tracks the Bitcoin holdings at one week or less. According to the same Twitter/X thread, the numbers have dropped from 5.9% of the total BTC in circulation to 2.8%, reflecting a drop of more than 50% in the last three months. The decline in the hot supply suggests that fewer new Bitcoins are traded in the market, reducing the asset’s liquidity. Related Reading: 1 Million Bitcoin In New Whale Hands—A Mega BTC Rally On The Horizon? Glassnode further painted a gloomy picture for Bitcoin by explaining that exchange inflows have dropped from 58,600 Bitcoins daily to 26,900 Bitcoins, a 54% decrease. This Bitcoin trend suggests weaker demand since fewer assets are moving to crypto exchanges. Featured image from Olhar Digital, chart from TradingView

Bitcoin’s long-term holders have resumed accumulation in what is a notable shift in investor sentiment despite the turbulence that has gripped the market in recent weeks. Particularly, data from on-chain analytics platform Glassnode shows that the “BTC: Long-term holder net position change” metric has flipped positive for the first time this year. This suggests that long-term Bitcoin investors are capitalizing on market conditions to add significant amounts of BTC to their holdings. Long-Term Holders Add 167,000 BTC Amid March Crash Earlier this month, Bitcoin’s price plunged from above $90,000 to around $80,000 during a rapid sell-off​. This price stunned many traders and triggered a continuous wave of liquidations among short-term investors. Yet despite this steep correction, long-term holders treated the sub-$90,000 levels as a buying opportunity rather than a reason to capitulate.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Long-Term Holders Officially Enter Into Greed Territory, Is This Good Or Bad For Price? In other words, coins are moving into wallets that haven’t spent their BTC in a long time, which is a notable reversal after starting 2025 with a negative net position change. This marks the first net accumulation by these “HODLers” in 2025. Glassnode’s Long-Term Holder Net Position Change metric, which had been in the red, flipped “green” as long-term investors aggressively accumulated through the downturn​. On-chain data shows that this flip to green has seen long-term holders increase their net Bitcoin holdings by more than 167,000 BTC in the past month. This notable influx is valued at nearly $14 billion. In short, the cohort of seasoned holders began scooping up cheap BTC while short-term sentiment was at its bleakest. Is A Bitcoin Price Recovery Brewing? The timing of this flip from red selloff to green accumulation among long-term holders is striking, considering what the Bitcoin price went through in the past two weeks. This data suggests that a large part of the Bitcoin crash was caused by panic-selling among short-term holders. This behavior aligns with past market cycles between August and September 2024, where long-term holders accumulated aggressively during a price dip. Related Reading: Is Bitcoin Price Headed For $70,000 Or $300,000? What The Charts Are Saying Interestingly, Glassnode’s long-term holder metric isn’t the only one pointing to positive Bitcoin sentiment among large holders. After weeks of uncertainty, Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have started seeing net inflows again. On March 17, spot Bitcoin ETFs collectively drew in about $274.6 million, the largest single-day inflow in 28 days and a clear signal of renewed investor interest​. The very next day brought another wave of fresh capital, with roughly $209 million pouring into Bitcoin funds on March 18​. In fact, this three-day streak represents the first sustained run of positive inflows since February 18, a period during which Bitcoin funds have experienced consecutive days of outflows. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $83,500. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from Tradingview.com

The Ethereum (ETH) market has experienced some recent good fortunes rising by over 5% in the past 24 hours. Despite this price gain, the prominent altcoin remains in a downtrend as indicated by its 11.17% loss in the past week.  However, prominent analytics platform Glassnode has discovered an important price level that could offer some short-term support. Related Reading: Ethereum Consolidates Since ‘The Big Dump’ – Local Trend Reversal Or Continuation? Investors Boost Accumulation By 300,000 ETH At This Price Region – What Could It Mean? In an X post on March 14, Glassnode provided an intriguing analysis of the ETH market highlighting a potential strong support level. Based on the Cost Basis Distribution (CBD) metric, these analysts believe ETH is likely to hit a major support zone at the $1,886 price level in the case of a further price decline. In the crypto market, CBD represents a crucial on-chain metric that tracks the price levels at which tokens were last sold or bought. When a significant number of coins is acquired within a specific price range, that zone often serves as a support or resistance level. According to Glassnode, Ethereum’s CBD data shows that investors’ supply at $1,886 has grown from 1.6 million ETH to 1.9 million ETH indicating the acquisition of an additional 300,000 ETH when price last reached this level. This development postulates that a significant portion of investors view $1,886 as a crucial price point and are likely to increase their holdings in this region to prevent any further decline thus creating a viable support zone. Glassnode notes that this postulation aligns with insights from its custom capitulation metric design to capture price capitulation events leveraging the use of weighted sell volumes and non-linear economic pain experienced by investors. However, it’s worth noting that the $1,886 price level can only offer short-term support suggesting a likely price capitulation in the presence of overwhelming selling pressure. Related Reading: Bitcoin Faces Rejection At $84,000, But Analysts Show 2020 Similarities – Recovery Ahead? Ethereum Price Overview  At the time of writing, Ethereum trades at $1,924 following a 5% gain on the last day as previously stated. Meanwhile, the market’s daily trading volume is down by 29.29% and valued at $12.91 billion. Interestingly, the Relative Strength Index metric suggests Ethereum could soon enter the oversold region and potentially experience a price reversal. However, ETH bulls are confronted with multiple resistance zones at $2,249, $2,539, and $2,829 if they are to pull off any significant rebound and halt the current downtrend. On the other hand, any decisive price fall below $1,886 could lead to lower levels Such as $1,650 and $1,132. Featured image from iStock, chart from Tradingview

The on-chain analytics firm Glassnode has revealed in a report how the Bitcoin investors have seen a shift toward strong distirbution recently. Bitcoin Accumulation Trend Score Has Been At A Low Level Recently In its latest weekly report, Glassnode has talked about the latest trend in the Bitcoin Accumulation Trend Score. The “Accumulation Trend Score” is an indicator that tells us about the degree of accumulation that the BTC investors as a whole are participating in. Related Reading: XRP Faces Bearish MVRV Crossover—Price Plunge To Continue? The indicator calculates its value not just by looking at the balance changes that happened in investor wallets over the past month, but also by weighing said changes against the size of the holdings themselves. When the value of the metric is close to 1, it means the large investors (or a large number of small entities) are adding to their holdings. On the other hand, it being near 0 suggests the market is observing distribution, or simply, a lack of accumulation. Now, here is the chart shared by the analytics firm that shows the trend in the Bitcoin Accumulation Trend Score over the last couple of years: In the chart, the dark shades correspond to values related to accumulation, while the light ones to distribution. It’s apparent that the market was seeing the Accumulation Trend Score sitting at a very dark shade during the last couple of months of 2024, meaning that heavy accumulation was taking place This strong accumulation from the large entities was likely what fueled the price rally to new all-time highs (ATHs). A similar phase of buying was also seen during the first quarter of 2024 and the asset enjoyed a rally then as well. From the chart, it’s visible that this previous period of accumulation was followed by a phase of strong distribution. It would appear that a similar pattern has also emerged this time, as the Accumulation Trend Score has been flashing distribution values since January. Last year, the distribution phase kicked off a long period of consolidation for Bitcoin, but this time, the cryptocurrency has outright seen a significant decline. It’s possible that as long as the Accumulation Trend Score remains in this zone, the coin’s price will continue to suffer. While the Accumulation Trend Score is a useful indicator for gauging the trend being followed by the market as a whole, the metric can hide the granular details related to market behavior. Glassnode has shared another metric in the the report, that contains these details by looking at how much buying last occurred at particular cost basis levels. As the analytics firm has highlighted in the chart, the Bitcoin investors were buying the ‘dip’ when BTC first entered into this bearish phase, implying they still believed the bull run to be on. Related Reading: Bitcoin Bear Market Is Below This Level, Analyst Reveals During the latest crash, however, this hasn’t been the case, as these price levels still don’t host the cost basis of any significant part of the supply. BTC Price Bitcoin fell under $77,000 earlier in the week, but the asset has since been making some recovery as its price is now back at $82,500. Featured image from Dall-E, Glassnode.com, chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin’s recent price crash took the entire market by surprise, leaving bullish investors reeling in losses. Particularly, this crash saw Bitcoin losing its foothold at the $90,000 price level and extended a crash across multiple cryptocurrencies.  Technical analyst Rekt Capital identified this pullback as a downside deviation within a re-accumulation range, hinting at potential market changes in the coming weeks. Bitcoin’s Drop Below $90,000: A Necessary Reset? Bitcoin’s break below $90,000 in the past few days marks its first time trading below this level since November 2024. After months of sustained upward momentum, Bitcoin started to consolidate below the $100,000 price level, spending most weeks trading between $90,000 and $100,000.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Long-Term Holders Officially Enter Into Greed Territory, Is This Good Or Bad For Price? This consolidation phase, while unsettling to some investors, was interpreted by some analysts as a natural part of Bitcoin’s broader market cycle. Crypto analyst Rekt Capital has pointed out that Bitcoin frequently undergoes phases of re-accumulation during bull cycles, allowing the market to reset before the next leg upward. According to his assessment, the current price movement aligns with historical trends, where Bitcoin establishes an accumulation floor before another rally. Interestingly, Bitcoin’s recent break below $90,000 is part of this reaccumulation range phenomenon. Rekt Capital describes this as a “downside deviation” below the range low, which is a pattern Bitcoin has exhibited multiple times in past cycles.  What To Expect From BTC’s Next Move Re-accumulation phases are generally highlighted by buying pressure among a few whales and retail investors while the larger market continues to sell. According to data from on-chain analytics platform Glassnode, some long-term Bitcoin holders have remained unfazed by the recent price crash. In fact, the latest selloff has presented them with a key accumulation opportunity, with these long-term addresses increasing their total Bitcoin holdings by 20,400 BTC in the past 48 hours. Related Reading: This Analyst Correctly Predicted The Bitcoin Price Crash To $99,000, Here’s What’s Supposed To Happen Next Bitcoin’s future trajectory will depend on how it reacts within this re-accumulation range. If Bitcoin successfully reclaims $90,000, it could confirm that the break below was merely a shakeout before further gains. A strong rebound from this level would likely reignite bullish sentiment, potentially paving the way for a substantial break above $100,000. However, an extended decline below $90,000 could be very devastating for Bitcoin and its long-term holders who are currently accumulating in the reaccumulation zone, as there isn’t much of a support level to prop up any downtrend until the $70,000 price level. At the time of writing, BTC is trading at $88,628, reflecting a 7.5% decline over the past seven days. However, the cryptocurrency has shown early signs of stabilization, having rebounded by roughly 2% after hitting an intraday low of $86,867. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com

The on-chain analytics firm Glassnode has revealed where the next Bitcoin support level could be based on different pricing models. Bitcoin Is Currently Retesting 1-Year MVRV Z-Score Mean In a new post on X, the on-chain analytics firm Glassnode has discussed about how BTC has been looking on a couple of pricing models recently. The first of these models is based on the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) Z-Score, which compares the market cap of Bitcoin with its realized cap and applies a standard deviation test to pull out the extremes. Related Reading: Bitcoin Finally Independent? BTC-S&P 500 Correlation Hits Zero The “realized cap” here refers to an on-chain indicator that basically keeps track of the total amount of capital that the holders as a whole have invested into BTC. As the market cap represents the value that the investors are holding in the present, its comparison against this initial investment in the MVRV Z-Score provides information about the profitability of the userbase. Now, here is the model shared by the analytics firm, that uses the mean and two standard deviations (SDs) of the 1-year MVRV Z-Score to define Bitcoin price levels: As displayed in the above graph, the mean of the MVRV Z-Score is situated at $96,300 right now. Bitcoin’s spot price has been trading around this mark recently, which suggests the MVRV Z-Score has been equal to its 1-year mean. So far, BTC has managed to recover back above this mean level each time it has plunged under it recently, but if the line ends up failing, the cryptocurrency might have to search for support elsewhere. From the chart, it’s visible that the next support level in this model is currently at $80,100. At this price, the 1-year MVRV Z-Score would be -1.5 SD away from its mean. Related Reading: Toncoin (TON) Investors Sitting On 54% Profit Despite Price Plunge This isn’t actually the next major on-chain support level that Bitcoin can rely on, however, as this second model shared by the analytics firm has a historically significant line that’s closer. In the above graph, the average cost basis (formally called the realized price) of the Bitcoin short-term holders is shown. The “short-term holders” (STHs) refer to BTC investors who purchased their coins within the past 155 days. The realized price of the STHs has often acted as an important support boundary during bullish periods. At present, this level is equivalent to $92,000. As such, before BTC can retest the lower MVRV Z-Score pricing band, it will have to go through this line. BTC Price Bitcoin appears to have declined under the 1-year MVRV Z-Score mean today as its price is now trading around $95,400. It remains to be seen whether this is only a temporary deviation or not. Featured image from Dall-E, Glassnode.com, chart from TradingView.com

The on-chain analytics firm Glassnode has revealed how the Ethereum futures market is still overheated despite the long squeeze that just occurred. Ethereum Open Interest Still Notably Above The Yearly Average In a new post on X, Glassnode has discussed about how the Ethereum futures market has changed during the past day. ETH, like other digital assets, has witnessed significant volatility inside this window. Sharp price action usually means chaos for the derivatives side of the sector and indeed, a large amount of liquidations have piled up on the various exchanges. Related Reading: Indicator That Foreshadowed XRP’s 14% Crash Gives Buy Signal For Solana Given that the price action has been majorly towards the downside for Ethereum, the long investors would be the most heavily affected. Below is the chart shared by the analytics firm that shows the trend in the long liquidations related to ETH over the past year. From the graph, it’s visible that the Ethereum futures market has just witnessed a massive amount of long liquidations. “Yesterday, $76.4M in ETH long liquidations hit the market, with $55.8M wiped out in a single hour – the second-largest spike in a year, just behind Dec 9’s $56M,” notes Glassnode. These liquidations have meant that a notable ETH leverage flush-out has occurred on the derivatives platforms. Here is another chart, this time for the Open Interest, which showcases the market deleveraging: The “Open Interest” is an indicator that keeps track of the total amount of Ethereum-related futures positions that are open on all centralized derivatives exchanges. At the start of the month, this metric was sitting around $20.5 billion, but after the mass liquidation event, its value has come down to $15.9 billion. This suggests $4.6 billion in positions have been wiped out from the market. While this represents a large decrease, it has actually not been enough to cause a sufficient cooldown in the Open Interest. As displayed in the above chart, the 365-day moving average (MA) of the Ethereum Open Interest is currently situated at $13 billion. Thus, the metric’s daily value is around 22% higher than the average for the past year. This could be a potential indication that the leverage in the sector is still at elevated levels, despite the massive amount of liquidations that the long investors have suffered. Related Reading: Bitcoin Traders Fearful For First Time Since October: Buying Signal? Historically, an overheated futures market has generally unwound with volatility for the coin’s price, so it’s possible that more sharp action could follow for ETH in the near future. ETH Price Ethereum saw a crash towards the $2,100 mark yesterday, but it would appear the cryptocurrency has seen a rebound as its price is now trading around $2,800. Featured image from Dall-E, Glassnode.com, chart from TradingView.com

Ethereum adoption is soaring, with the network just passing a critical milestone that has analysts forecasting a price recovery. Related Reading: Bitcoin Sudden Breakdown: Price Falls Below $100,000 Support On January 24th and 25th, Ethereum experienced a rise in daily active addresses, exceeding 200,000—a number not seen since October 2022. This huge increase reflects the network’s increased engagement and importance in decentralized finance (DeFi) and non-fungible tokens (NFT), Glassnode data shows. Ethereum Network Activity And User Engagement The increase in daily active addresses is one of the most important measures of Ethereum adoption since it demonstrates that more users are interacting with decentralized apps (dApps) and conducting DeFi transactions. The recent increase in new Ethereum addresses shows that more people are entering the market. This may be because price changes are drawing in newcomers, even though prices have fallen recently. The increase in addresses shows past patterns seen during times of market instability and price changes, when fluctuations usually lead to more activity on the network. Ethereum addresses with a non-zero balance have likewise steadily grown; in January 2025 they will have topped 136 million. This consistent rise—even in the face of declining prices—showcases Ethereum’s resilience and suggests that network acceptance is transcending simple speculative trading, therefore showing substantial, long-term demand in the platform. Price Recovery And Market Volatility Now, the question is whether this pattern will lead to a price recovery for Ethereum, even as its use is growing. Ethereum’s price has had difficulty breaking past significant resistance levels, even if the network’s user base is expanding. The price of ETH is still below its peak in January 2025, even with strong adoption signs. ETH was down 4.0% and 1.0% on the daily and weekly charts at $3,203 at the time of writing. Analysts are keeping a close eye on the price movement, and some predict that as more institutional investors and individual traders look to profit from the rising demand for ETH-powered services, Ethereum’s price will rise. On Macroeconomic Conditions & Bitcoin Price Performance Meanwhile, macroeconomic conditions, especially Bitcoin performance and broader market mood, continue to have a significant impact on Ethereum’s price swings. The cryptocurrency market’s volatility continues to be an issue, with unexpected drops and spikes forcing traders to be hesitant. However, if Ethereum can sustain its present acceptance trend and continue to grow its network of active users, its price may finally gain the upward impetus it has been lacking. Related Reading: Want To Get Rich? Here’s How To Create A Coin Like XRP From Scratch—Expert What Triggered The Spike? The increase in new Ethereum addresses on January 24 and 25 is a result of rising market volatility, which attracts more users. This increase shows the growing engagement with DeFi and NFTs and suggests a future usage beyond speculative trading. The network’s operations show that consumer interest is expanding, regardless of price reduction. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView

After testing the low $90,000 price level multiple times over the past two months, Bitcoin (BTC) briefly broke out of its tight trading range earlier this week, reaching a new all-time high (ATH) of $108,786. However, a recent report by Glassnode suggests that the sustained consolidation observed in recent months may be nearing its end, with the leading cryptocurrency primed for its next significant move. Bitcoin Profit-Taking Declines Sharply According to the latest edition of Glassnode’s ‘The Week On-Chain Report,’ BTC profit-taking volumes have dropped significantly, falling from a peak of $4.5 billion in December to approximately $316.7 million – a sharp decline of 93%. This drop in profit-taking signals a substantial reduction in sell-side pressure for Bitcoin. Currently, BTC is trading within a tight 60-day price range, a pattern that has often preceded significant market volatility. Related Reading: Bitcoin May Target $145,000 To $249,000 Under Trump Administration: Report When Bitcoin trades in a narrow price range, it either signals the beginning of a bull market rally or the final stages of a bear market capitulation. One key metric highlighted in the report is the Realized Supply Density, which measures Bitcoin’s supply concentration around the current spot price within a 15% range, both up and down. Currently, approximately 20% of Bitcoin’s supply is within this price band, indicating heightened price sensitivity. Small price movements within this range could significantly impact investor profitability, thereby fueling market volatility. The report also points to a key metric, CoinDay Destruction (CDD), as further evidence of declining sell-side pressure. During late December and early January, CDD values were notably high, reflecting increased activity by long-term holders. However, the metric has cooled off in recent weeks. For the uninitiated, CDD measures the economic activity of spent BTC by tracking how long coins were held before being moved. It multiplies the number of coins by the number of days they remained idle, highlighting whether long-term holders are spending their coins. The recent decline in CDD suggests that many BTC investors who planned to take profits have already done so within the current price range. As a result, the market may enter a new price range to unlock the next wave of supply and liquidity. Long-Term Investors Return To Accumulation Mode The report also highlights the Long-Term Holder (LTH) Binary Spending Indicator, a key metric that tracks Bitcoin held by long-term investors. The report notes: Aligned with the heavy profit-taking volumes from before, we can see a significant decline in the total LTH Supply as the market reached $100k in December. The rate of LTH Supply decline has since stalled out, suggesting a softening of this distribution pressure in recent weeks. Additionally, LTH inflows to crypto exchanges have fallen sharply, dropping from $526.9 million in December to just $92.3 million. That said, the total LTH BTC supply is showing signs of growth, indicating that long-term investors are returning to accumulation mode. Related Reading: Could Bitcoin Hit Its Peak In Summer 2025? Analysts Weigh In Meanwhile, retail demand for BTC remains strong. Investors holding less than 10 BTC collectively purchased approximately 25,600 BTC in the past month. In comparison, Bitcoin miners minted only 13,600 BTC during the same period. At press time, BTC trades at $104,207, up 0.5% in the past 24 hours.  Featured image from Unsplash, Charts from Glassnode and TradingView.com

Over 1 million bitcoin has been sold since September by long-term holders.

Bitcoin and the general market seemed to have steadied their ship after garnering some momentum to build on in the first week of the year. Unfortunately, the sector appears to be back where it started, with the total market capitalization declining by nearly 3% in the last week. One of the events that might have […]

The Bitcoin price has been somewhat quiet since hitting its all-time high of $108,135, struggling to hold a six-figure valuation for long. Case in point — the premier cryptocurrency barely lasted a day above $100,000 before crashing to under $92,000 in the past week. This sluggish price action has triggered discussions about the likelihood of a top being in and the Bitcoin bull market being over. However, the latest on-chain observation suggests that the flagship cryptocurrency might still have room for further upward price movement. What’s The Current Bitcoin Short-Term Holders Cost Basis? In its latest post on the X platform, blockchain analytics firm Glassnode revealed that the Bitcoin bull market might not be over just yet. This on-chain observation is based on the movement of the BTC price in relation to the short-term holders (STH) cost basis. Related Reading: Is Dogecoin’s 30% Decline A Chance To Buy On Discount? Here Is the Pertinent Level To Watch The STH cost-basis metric tracks the average price at which short-term holders (investors who have held Bitcoin for less than 155 days) purchased their coins. It represents a psychological level for BTC investors and could serve as a technical point for analyzing prices, especially during bull cycles. Typically, the price of Bitcoin floats above the STH cost basis during bull markets, indicating significant buying interest and positive sentiment from short-term traders. Conversely, when the BTC price falls beneath this level — as often seen in bear markets, this means that newer investors are in the red, leading to substantial selling pressure. According to data from Glassnode, Bitcoin’s price is roughly 7% above the STH cost basis, which currently stands at around $88,135. While the premier cryptocurrency is a little closer to the cost basis, the inkling is still that short-term holders are less likely to offload their assets. If the price of Bitcoin manages to sustain above the STH cost basis, it means the potential continuation of the current bull market. On the flip side, a move beneath $88,000 could set the stage for a trend reversal, with the market shifting from a bull to a bear phase. As of this writing, the price of BTC sits just above $94,000, reflecting barely a 1% increase in the past 24 hours. According to data from CoinGecko, the flagship cryptocurrency is down by more than 3% in the last seven days. Is A Market Rebound Imminent? The crypto market has been in terrible form over the past week, with several large-cap assets dipping by double digits. Unsurprisingly, many crypto traders have indicated interest in offloading their assets on various social media platforms. Related Reading: SUI Defies Odds With A Sharp Rebound Above $4.9: New Highs Loom? However, this shift in investor sentiment increases the odds of a market recovery, as prices tend to move in the crowd’s opposite direction. On-chain intelligence firm Santiment noted in a post on X that this was the case in the rally witnessed in 2024 Q4, as higher prices followed increased bearish mentions. Featured image from iStock, chart from TradingView

The Bitcoin market experienced a modest recovery over the past week following the 15.7% correction in the latter half of December 2024. Amidst this recent price gain, developments from the short-term holders (STH) activity have revealed significant indications for Bitcoin in the coming days. Related Reading: Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Sinks To Lowest Since FTX Crash: Bottom In? Bitcoin STH MVRV At 1.1 With More Room To Run According to a recent X post, blockchain analytics firm Glassnode shared a data report on the Bitcoin short-term holders’ MVRV ratio in relation to market price.  In crypto, the market value to realized value ratio (MVRV) is a critical analysis tool used to gauge whether an asset is overvalued or undervalued. It is also used to track the holders’ profitability with values above 1 indicating profit and below 1 meaning a loss.  Based on Glassnode’s report, the Bitcoin STH MVRV ratio currently stands at 1.1 suggesting that short-term holders i.e. investors who acquired Bitcoin within the past 155 days, are on average, experiencing a 10% profit. Considering BTC’s price fall in recent weeks, there might be increased selling pressure as these holders move to realize their gains, leading to short-term price resistance.  However, data from Glassnode indicates that the Bitcoin MVRV STH ratio previously reached peaks of 1.35 in November 2024, and 1.44 in March 2024. These MVRV values suggest that short-term holders may tolerate higher profitability levels before triggering a widespread sell-off. If Bitcoin bulls maintain the current price recovery with rising demand, the STH MVRV ratio could rise closer to these historical peak levels, which could signal a confirmation of Bitcoin resuming its market uptrend.   Related Reading: On The Horizon: Bitcoin $140,000 Projection And SOL, XRP ETFs Approval In 2025 Crypto Forecast BTC Must Avoid Fall Below $87,000 – Here’s Why In relation to the Bitcoin STH MVRV ratio, it is understood that 1.0, which indicates no profit or loss, is a pivotal value acting as a support during bullish trends or resistance in a market downtrend.  Glassnode report reveals that the current STH MVRV ratio shows that 1.0 corresponds with the $87,000 price zone. According to data from the Cumulative Bid-Ask Delta, there is an air pocket between $87,000 and $71,000 i.e. there is low trading activity or fewer significant buy orders in this price range. Therefore, if the price of BTC slips below $87,000, it will hit no significant support until $71,000 translating into a major price decline. At the time of writing, the premier cryptocurrency continues to trade at $98,081 reflecting a 1.02% gain in the past day. With a market cap of $1.94 trillion, Bitcoin continues to rank as the largest asset in the crypto market. Featured image from BBC, chart from Tradingview

With recent price developments, Solana could be set for a major rally in the coming days or weeks. Due to the general market’s resurgence, several bullish forecasts from seasoned crypto analysts suggest that the altcoin might be entering the next phase of its bull cycle. Breakout Setting The Stage For A Bullish Surge In Solana’s […]

Amid a crypto market mayhem over the past week, Solana (SOL) has suffered significant losses to the tune of 17.13%,. according to data from CoinMarketCap.  This decline adds to the token’s steep price movement after it reached a new all-time high of $263.83 following the US Presidential elections in November. However, with the crypto bull cycle still in its early stages, analysts at Glassnode remain positive on the token’s ability to regain its bullish form despite not establishing any higher highs in the past three weeks. Related Reading: Solana Holds Monthly Support As Network Activity Grows – Time For A Breakout? More Room For SOL Price Growth, Analysts Say In a recent blog post on December 20, Glassnode in collaboration with crypto analysts UkuriaOC and CryptoVizArt shared vital insights on the current state of the Solana market.  By analyzing the Net Realized Profit/Loss metric, these market experts discovered that Solana has experienced a positive net capital inflow since early September 2023, with a recorded peak inflow of $776 million of new capital per day.  During this period, the SOL market witnessed minor inflows with the majority of the profit-taking volume coming from coins aged 1 day-1 week, 1 week-1 month, and 6 months-12 months, demonstrating the endearment of Solana to both long and short-term holders. To ascertain the status of Solana amidst these recent market activity, Glassnode employs the MVRV ratio to determine if the market is overheated. For context, the Market Value To Realized Value (MVRV) ratio is used to assess if an asset is potentially overvalued (>1)  or undervalued (

Bitcoin’s price retracement from its new all-time high of $108,353 on Tuesday to around $96,000 (a -11.5% pullback) has ignited intense speculation about whether the current bull cycle is nearing its peak. To address growing uncertainty, Rafael Schultze-Kraft, co-founder of on-chain analytics provider Glassnode, released a thread on X detailing 18 on-chain metrics and models. “Where is the Bitcoin TOP?” Schultze-Kraft asked, before laying out his detailed analysis. Has Bitcoin Reached Its Cycle Top? 1/ MVRV Ratio: A longstanding measure of unrealized profitability, the MVRV ratio compares market value to realized value. Historically, readings above 7 signaled overheated conditions. “Currently hovering around 3 – room to grow,” Schultze-Kraft noted. This suggests that, in terms of aggregate unrealized profit, the market is not yet at levels that have previously coincided with macro tops. 2/ MVRV Pricing Bands: These bands are derived from the number of days MVRV has spent at extreme levels. The top band (3.2) has been exceeded for only about 6% of trading days historically. Today, this top band corresponds to a price of $127,000. Given that Bitcoin sits at around $98,000, the market has not yet reached a zone that historically marked top formations. 3/ Long-Term Holder Profitability (Relative Unrealized Profit & LTH-NUPL): Long-term holders (LTHs) are considered more stable market participants. Their Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) metric is currently at 0.75, entering what Schultze-Kraft terms the “euphoria zone.” He remarked that in the 2021 cycle, Bitcoin ran another ~3x after hitting similar levels (though he clarified he is not necessarily expecting a repetition). Historical top formations often saw LTH-NUPL readings above 0.9. Thus, while the metric is elevated, it has not yet reached previous cycle extremes. Notably, Schultze-Kraft admitted his observations may be conservative because the 2021 cycle peaked at somewhat lower profitability values than prior cycles. “I would’ve expected these profitability metrics to reach slightly higher levels,” he explained. This may signal diminishing peaks over successive cycles. Investors should be aware that historical extremes may become less pronounced over time. 4/ Yearly Realized Profit/Loss Ratio: This metric measures the total realized profits relative to realized losses over the past year. Previous cycle tops have seen values above 700%. Currently at around 580%, it still shows “room to grow” before reaching levels historically associated with market tops. Related Reading: Bitcoin Crashes: Here’s Where The Nearest On-Chain Support Is 5/ Market Cap To Thermocap Ratio: An early on-chain metric, it compares Bitcoin’s total market capitalization to the cumulative mining cost (Thermocap). In prior bull runs, the ratio’s extremes aligned with market tops. Schultze-Kraft advises caution with specific target ranges but notes that current levels are not close to previous extremes. The market remains below historical thermocap multiples that indicated overheated conditions in the past. 6/ Thermocap Multiples (32-64x): Historically, Bitcoin has topped at roughly 32-64 times the Thermocap. “We’re at the bottom of this range,” said Schultze-Kraft. Hitting the top band in today’s environment would imply a Bitcoin market cap just above $4 trillion. Given that current market capitalization ($1.924 trillion) is significantly lower, this suggests the possibility of substantial upside if historical patterns were to hold. 7/ The Investor Tool (2-Year SMA x5): The Investor Tool applies a 2-year Simple Moving Average (SMA) of price and a 5x multiple of that SMA to signal potential top zones. “Which currently denotes $230,000,” Schultze-Kraft noted. Since Bitcoin’s current price is well beneath this level, the indicator has not yet flashed an unequivocal top signal. 8/ Bitcoin Price Temperature (BPT6): This model uses deviations from a 4-year moving average to capture cyclical price extremes. Historically, BPT6 was reached in previous bull markets, and that band now sits at $151,000. With Bitcoin at $98,000, the market is still short of levels previously associated with peak overheating. 9/ The True Market Mean & AVIV: The True Market Mean is an alternative cost basis model. Its MVRV-equivalent, known as AVIV, measures how far the market strays from this mean. Historically, tops have seen more than 3 standard deviations. Today’s equivalent “amounts to values above ~2.3,” while the current reading is 1.7. “Room to grow,” Schultze-Kraft said, implying that by this metric, the market is not yet stretched to its historical extremes. Related Reading: US Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Could Push Price To $500,000: Expert 10/ Low/Mid/Top Cap Models (Delta Cap Derivatives): These models, based on the Delta Cap metric, historically showed diminished values during the 2021 cycle, never reaching the ‘Top Cap.’ Schultze-Kraft urges caution in interpreting these due to evolving market structures. Currently, the mid cap level sits at about $4 trillion, roughly a 2x from current levels. If the market followed previous patterns, this would allow for considerable growth before hitting levels characteristic of earlier tops. 11/ Value Days Destroyed Multiple (VDDM): This metric gauges the spending behavior of long-held coins relative to the annual average. Historically, extreme values above 2.9 indicated that older coins were heavily hitting the market, often during late-stage bull markets. Presently, it’s at 2.2, not yet at extreme levels. “Room to grow,” Schultze-Kraft noted, suggesting not all long-term holders have fully capitulated to profit-taking. 12/ The Mayer Multiple: The Mayer Multiple compares price to the 200-day SMA. Overbought conditions in previous cycles aligned with values above 2.4. Currently, a Mayer Multiple above 2.4 would correspond to a price of approximately $167,000. With Bitcoin under $100,000, this threshold remains distant. 13/ The Cycle Extremes Oscillator Chart: This composite uses multiple binary indicators (MVRV, aSOPR, Puell Multiple, Reserve Risk) to signal cycle extremes. “Currently 2/4 are on,” meaning only half of the tracked conditions for an overheated market are met. Previous tops aligned with a full suite of triggered signals. As such, the chart suggests the cycle has not yet reached the intensity of a full-blown peak. 14/ Pi Cycle Top Indicator: A price-based signal that has historically identified cycle peaks by comparing the short-term and long-term moving averages. “Currently the short moving average sits well below the larger ($74k vs. $129k),” Schultze-Kraft said, indicating no crossover and thus no classic top signal. 15/ Sell-Side Risk Ratio (LTH Version): This ratio compares total realized profits and losses to the realized market capitalization. High values correlate with volatile, late-stage bull markets. “The interesting zone is at 0.8% and above, while we’re currently at 0.46% – room to grow,” Schultze-Kraft explained. This implies that, despite recent profit-taking, the market has not yet entered the intense sell pressure zone often seen near tops. 16/ LTH Inflation Rate: Schultze-Kraft highlighted the Long-Term Holder Inflation Rate as “the most bearish chart I’ve come across so far.” While he did not provide specific target values or thresholds in this excerpt, he stated it “screams caution.” Investors should monitor this closely as it may signal increasing distribution from long-term holders or other structural headwinds. 17/ STH-SOPR (Short-Term Holder Spent Output Profit Ratio): This metric measures the profit-taking behavior of short-term holders. “Currently elevated, but not sustained,” Schultze-Kraft noted. In other words, while short-term participants are taking profits, the data does not yet show the kind of persistent, aggressive profit-taking typical of a market top. 18/ SLRV Ribbons: These ribbons track trends in short- and long-term realized value. Historically, when both moving averages top out and cross over, it indicates a market turning point. “Both moving averages still trending up, only becomes bearish at rounded tops and crossover. No indication of a top at this time,” Schultze-Kraft stated. Overall, Schultze-Kraft emphasized that these metrics should not be used in isolation. “Never rely on single data points – confluence is your friend,” he advised. He acknowledged that this is a non-comprehensive list and that Bitcoin’s evolving ecosystem—now with ETFs, regulatory clarity, institutional adoption, and geopolitical factors—may render historical comparisons less reliable. “This cycle can look vastly different, yet (historical) data is all we have,” he concluded. While numerous metrics show that Bitcoin’s market is moving into more euphoric and profitable territory, few have reached the historical extremes that marked previous cycle tops. Indicators like MVRV, profitability ratios, thermal metrics, and various price-based models generally suggest “room to grow,” although at least one—LTH Inflation Rate—raises a note of caution. Some composites are only partially triggered, while classic top signals such as Pi Cycle Top remain inactive. At press time, BTC traded at $96,037. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

The on-chain analytics firm Glassnode has revealed the reason why Solana (SOL) has recently been lagging behind Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH). Solana Realized Cap Growth Has Slowed Down Recently In a new post on X, Glassnode has discussed about how the recent performance of Solana has stacked up against the two largest coins in the sector. “Looking at price performance, SOL outpaced both ETH and BTC for most of Q4 2024,” notes the analytics firm. “However, since early December, ETH has taken the lead, outperforming the other two assets.” As it stands right now, Bitcoin is up around 18% over the past month, Ethereum 28%, and Solana 3%. Thus, SOL has clearly fallen off after being the market leader just earlier. Related Reading: Bitcoin Top Here? What Historical HODLer Selloff Pattern Says What could be behind this shift in the market? The answer to the question could lie in the capital flows that these cryptocurrencies have recently been observing. In order to estimate the capital flows for the assets, Glassnode has made use of the Realized Cap indicator. The “Realized Cap” refers to an on-chain capitalization model that calculates the total value of any digital asset by assuming that the ‘real’ value of any token in circulation is the price at which it was last transacted on the blockchain. Since the last transfer for any coin is likely to represent the last point at which it changed hands, the price at its time could be considered its cost basis. Thus, the Realized Cap is a sum of the cost basis of all coins in the circulating supply or, more simply, a measure of the total amount of capital that the investors as a whole have put into the cryptocurrency. In this view, changes in the Realized Cap essentially reflect the amount of capital that’s exiting out of or entering into the asset. Below is the chart for the 7-day change in the indicator shared by the analytics firm, which showcases these outflows/inflows happening for Solana and others. From the chart, it’s visible that the 7-day change in the Realized Cap was at notable positive levels between September and early December. Bitcoin and Ethereum also observed capital inflows in this period, but SOL was simply growing at a significantly faster pace. Related Reading: Bitcoin Miners Now In Selling Mode For A Year: Should You Be Concerned? This month, though, the sector has seen a flip as both Bitcoin and Ethereum have pulled ahead of Solana. The earlier higher capital inflows were likely the drivers behind SOL’s outperformance, so with them gone, it makes sense that the top two assets would take over. SOL Price Whereas Bitcoin and Ethereum have enjoyed a surge over the last few days, Solana has been moving in a sideways trajectory as its price is still trading around $221. Featured image from Dall-E, Glassnode.com, chart from TradingView.com

The general cryptocurrency community is brewing with excitement and optimism following Bitcoin’s rally to a new all-time high on Monday. Despite the significant price growth, there are speculations that the uptrend may not be ending anytime soon, suggesting BTC’s potential for more increases to higher levels or milestones. Next Big Milestone For Bitcoin On The […]

Solana (SOL) has been in the news over the last few weeks, albeit for different reasons. The popular altcoin was one of the many benefactors of a Donald Trump presidential victory, rising by 67.69% in three weeks after November 5 to reach a new-all time of $263.  However, this price surge has been followed by a gradual recorrection of 15.13% in the last two weeks. Albeit, recent data on investors’ behavior shows significant market optimism on the fifth-largest cryptocurrency. Related Reading: Solana To New ATH Before Christmas – Analyst Expects $300 Soon Solana ‘New’ Investors Buoyant On Bullish Future In an X post on December 13, blockchain analytics company Glassnode shared an insightful report on Solana investors’ activity in recent weeks. According to Glassnode, Solana investors who entered the market 1-2 years ago have now offloaded significant portions of their holdings. The analytics team explains that these investors likely bought Solana during its 2021 bull run and have now taken profits during the price rally in November, reducing their market share from 48% in June to below 5% currently. While a drop in long-term holdings can sometimes signal doubts about an asset’s future potential, Glassnode views these recent sales as purely transactional with most investors looking to sell ahead of the next bull run now exiting the market. Importantly, this selling pressure has been absorbed to a significant extent by new Solana investors of the last 6-12 months who increased their market holdings to 24% during Solana’s latest price surge. Such massive investment at rising price levels indicates confidence among new holders in Solana’s long-term profitability despite its current price dip. Related Reading: Solana Set For Explosive Growth: Expert Predicts 1650% Price Increase Based On This Pattern VanEck Predicts SOL To Reach $500 In Q1 2025 In other news, prominent asset manager VanEck has dropped a bullish prediction for Solana ahead of 2025.  In their latest insight on digital assets, Head of Digital Assets Research Matthew Sigel, and Senior Investment Analyst Patrick Bush have jointly forecasted the general crypto market to maintain its bullish form going into the new year.  On that note, the digital assets will attain their first market peak in Q1 2025 with Bitcoin attaining a price of $180,000. During this rally,  Solana is projected to trade at $500, indicating a potential 124.21% gain on the asset’s current price.  However, VanEck analysts warn that this surge will likely be followed by Bitcoin experiencing a 30% price recorrection while altcoins including Solana record declines of about 60% as the market enters consolidation in summer. At the time of writing, Solana continues to trade at $227 reflecting a 0.34% gain in the past day. Meanwhile, the asset’s trading volume is down by 14.28% and valued at $4.12 billion. Featured image from CoinJournal, chart from Tradingview

Leading cryptocurrency asset Solana (SOL) is demonstrating notable renewed price momentum as it aims to challenge several key resistance points. These crucial levels have proven vital for its next major rally to higher levels, possibly to a new all-time high in the upcoming weeks. Price Breakout To Propel Solana’s Value Amid rising market optimism, Negentropic, […]