According to a recent report by 10X Research, Bitcoin (BTC) may be attempting to form a local bottom, as US President Donald Trump is expected to soften his stance on reciprocal tariffs, which are set to go into effect on April 2. Up Only For Bitcoin? Bitcoin’s plunge to $77,000 on March 10 may have marked the bottom for the top cryptocurrency in the current market cycle. Since then, the digital asset has appreciated by more than 10%, trading in the mid $80,000 range at the time of writing. Related Reading: Bitcoin Needs Weekly Close Above This Level To Confirm Market Bottom, Analyst Says The 10X Research report suggests that Trump’s recent pivot toward “flexibility” on the upcoming April 2 reciprocal trade tariffs may have alleviated some concerns about further deterioration in the global macroeconomic outlook. Additionally, the report emphasizes the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) comments following this month’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, where the central bank indicated that it would slow the pace of balance sheet drawdown and end the current cycle of quantitative tightening. The Fed’s remarks followed the release of the February 2025 Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation data, which came in line with expectations, easing concerns about inflation. The report’s claim that BTC has formed a bottom aligns with crypto entrepreneur Arthur Hayes’ recent statement, where he noted that BTC may have “probably” bottomed at $77,000. The following chart illustrates a bullish reversal in BTC’s 21-day moving average, which currently sits at $85,200. The report points out that these weekly reversal signs are back at levels typically seen when past bull markets have resumed. For example, in September 2023, BTC benefited from bullish momentum as the Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETF) narrative gained traction. Similarly, BTC embarked on a historic rally in August 2024 as the US presidential election drew closer. Additionally, a recent post on X by seasoned crypto analyst Ali Martinez highlights that Bitcoin transaction fees have nearly tripled over the past week, indicating an uptick in network activity as market sentiment improves. BTC Still Not Completely Bullish While Trump’s softening stance on tariffs is good news for risk-on assets like cryptocurrencies, BTC still needs to break through and sustain certain price levels to regain strong bullish momentum. Related Reading: Bitcoin Uptrend Soon? Dollar Index Breakdown Sparks Optimism Among BTC Bulls Recent analysis by Martinez identified $94,000 as a critical price level for BTC to overcome. If the digital asset decisively breaks through and sustains this level, it could be poised to climb as high as $112,000. That said, concerns remain about BTC’s relatively weak price performance compared to other safe-haven assets like gold. At press time, BTC is trading at $87,650, up 3.6% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from 10X Research, X, and TradingView.com
In an X post published yesterday, seasoned crypto analyst Ali Martinez highlighted that, based on price band analysis, Bitcoin (BTC) could surge to $112,000 if it breaks and holds above a key level. Analyst Outlines Key Bitcoin Level Following a slight uptick after the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) announcement to slow the pace of its balance sheet drawdown, Bitcoin is currently trading in the low $80,000 price range. However, according to Martinez, the leading cryptocurrency could reach a new all-time high (ATH), subject to certain conditions. Related Reading: Bitcoin Needs Weekly Close Above This Level To Confirm Market Bottom, Analyst Says Using Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) Extreme Deviation Pricing Bands, Martinez pointed to two crucial price levels that could determine Bitcoin’s next major move. According to the analyst, if BTC breaks and holds above $94,000, it has a ‘high probability’ of rallying to $112,000. On the flip side, if BTC falls below $76,000, it risks plunging to $58,000 – or even $44,000 – if market conditions turn bearish. Notably, BTC previously hit $76,606 on March 10 before rebounding to its current range in the low $80,000s. For the uninitiated, MVRV Extreme Deviation Pricing Bands show whether an asset, like Bitcoin, is priced too high or too low compared to its past averages. It helps spot when the market might be overbought – potential market top – or oversold – potential buying opportunity. According to Martinez’s chart, BTC is currently trading between the mean – yellow band – and +0.5 standard deviation – orange band. A sustained breakout above or below these bands could indicate Bitcoin’s next significant price direction. Fellow crypto analyst Rekt Capital noted that Bitcoin is re-testing the crucial $84,000 support level. A successful hold at this price could set BTC up to challenge the $94,000 resistance, potentially paving the way for a new ATH. The analyst stated: BTC has produced long wicks below this level before which is why a Daily Close above $84k is essential for this retest to be successful. Will BTC Witness A Short Squeeze? In a separate X post, crypto trader Merlijn The Trader suggested that widespread pessimism around BTC’s recent price action might fuel a powerful short squeeze. According to the analyst, roughly $2 billion worth of short positions could be liquidated if BTC reaches $87,000 – potentially driving the price even higher. Related Reading: Is Bitcoin Undervalued? Crypto Sentiment Index Flashes “Massive Contrarian Buy Signal” Adding to the bullish outlook, crypto entrepreneur Arthur Hayes suggested that BTC’s March 10 drop to $77,000 may have marked the bottom of this market cycle. At the time of writing, BTC is trading at $84,043, down 2% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, Charts from X and TradingView.com
According to a recent X post by crypto entrepreneur Arthur Hayes, Bitcoin (BTC) probably hit its bottom during the plunge to $77,000 on March 10. However, Hayes cautioned that while BTC may have bottomed, stock markets could face more pain ahead. BTC Bottomed At $77,000? Hayes Thinks So Former BitMEX CEO Arthur Hayes recently took to X to declare that BTC may have likely bottomed at $77,000. The acclaimed crypto market commentator referred to the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) latest remarks signaling the end of quantitative tightening (QT). Hayes remarked: JAYPOW delivered, QT basically over Apr 1. The next thing we need to get bulled up for realz is either SLR exemption and or a restart of QE. Was BTC $77K the bottom, prob. But stonks prob have more pain left to fully convert Jay to team Trump so stay nimble and cashed up. Related Reading: Bitcoin Needs Weekly Close Above This Level To Confirm Market Bottom, Analyst Says For the uninitiated, QT is one of the Fed’s monetary policies aimed at reducing the money supply by selling off assets like government bonds or letting them mature without reinvesting. While this helps control inflation, it can also lead to higher interest rates and slower economic growth. The Fed began its most recent QT cycle nearly three years ago in June 2022 to combat high inflation resulting from COVID-era economic stimulus. Now that inflation appears to be easing, the Fed has little reason to continue QT. Yesterday, the Fed announced that from April 1 onwards, it will slow the pace of its balance sheet drawdown. Such a shift in monetary policy is likely to benefit risk-on assets like BTC and stocks. As stated in his X post, Hayes emphasized that the next potential bullish catalysts could be either a Supplementary Leverage Ratio (SLR) exemption or the start of quantitative easing (QE). To explain, the SLR exemption temporarily allowed banks to exclude certain assets, like US Treasuries and central bank reserves, from their leverage calculations to encourage lending and support financial markets during crises. Similarly, QE is a monetary policy through which the Fed increases the money supply in the economy, potentially benefiting high-risk assets like BTC. Axie Infinity co-founder Jeff Jirlin echoed Hayes’ sentiments, stating that an end to QT from April onwards would be “great for both crypto and equity markets.” Jirlin added that the current monetary policy is the tightest he has observed since 2010. Bitcoin Not Out Of The Woods Yet While market optimism has increased following the Fed’s recent comments, the premier cryptocurrency is not fully out of the woods yet. For instance, BTC recently broke down through a 12-year trend line against gold, raising fears of heightened economic uncertainty in the near term. Related Reading: As Bitcoin Sell Pressure Fades, Could A Local Bottom Be Forming? Analyst Explains Further, CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju recently spooked the market by declaring that the Bitcoin bull run is likely over. At press time, BTC trades at $85,203, up 2% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, Chart from TradingView.com
As Bitcoin (BTC) struggles amid the latest crypto market pullback – failing to decisively break past the $84,000 resistance – gold (XAU) continues its impressive rally, soaring to a record high of $3,000 per ounce on March 14. Bitcoin Gets Outshined By Gold 2025 has started on a shaky note for the world’s largest cryptocurrency. BTC is down over 10% year-to-date (YTD), falling from approximately $94,000 on January 1 to around $84,000 at the time of writing. On the flip side, gold has surged nearly 13% in the same period. Related Reading: Bitcoin Needs Weekly Close Above This Level To Confirm Market Bottom, Analyst Says Market analyst Northstar shared the following chart on X yesterday, illustrating the BTC-to-gold ratio over the past 12 years. According to the chart, BTC is beginning to break below a critical support line that has held strong for more than a decade. If Bitcoin sustains price action below this support line for several weeks or months, it could signal the end of the current crypto bull run. BTC’s underperformance against gold is also evident in the contrasting capital flows into BTC and gold exchange-traded funds (ETFs). According to data from the World Gold Council, US-based spot gold ETFs have attracted inflows exceeding $6 billion YTD. Globally, spot gold ETFs have seen more than $23 billion in inflows. Meanwhile, data from SoSoValue indicates that US-based spot BTC ETFs have experienced nearly $1.5 billion in net outflows YTD. This sharp contrast in capital movement reflects a shift in investor strategy from risk-on to risk-off assets. Several factors may explain investors’ growing aversion to risk-on assets, including US President Donald Trump’s new trade tariffs, the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) hawkish monetary policy, and the recent stock market rout. Is The Crypto Bull Run Over? BTC’s underperformance relative to gold casts doubt on the longevity of the current crypto bull market. The total crypto market cap has shed over $600 billion since the start of the year, now standing at approximately $2.8 trillion. Related Reading: Bitcoin To Bottom Around $70,000? Arthur Hayes Says Correction ‘Very Normal’ In A Bull Market Renowned gold advocate Peter Schiff argues that BTC has already been in a bear market for the past three years. In an X post, Schiff stated: One Bitcoin now buys 27.7 ounces of gold. At its peak in 2021, one Bitcoin bought 36.3 ounces of gold. That means that in terms of gold, which is real money, the price of Bitcoin has fallen by 24%. So Bitcoin has been in a stealth bear market for the past three and a half years. That said, positive macroeconomic developments could still turn the tide in BTC’s favor. For example, US inflation appears to be cooling, which may pressure the Fed to pivot toward quantitative easing and boost market liquidity – a potential boon for risk-on assets. Likewise, a breakdown in the US dollar index could reignite optimism for assets like stocks and cryptocurrencies. At press time, BTC trades at $84,902, up 3.8% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from X and TradingView.com
In an X post published yesterday, crypto analyst Matthew Hyland highlighted that according to the weekly timeframe chart, Bitcoin (BTC) is likely to test the support level between $69,000 to $74,000 in the coming months. Is The Bitcoin Bottom In? Hyland noted that BTC’s weekly resistance level currently hovers around the $90,500 level. The analyst emphasized that if BTC has a weekly close above $89,000, then it may indicate that the market bottom is in. He added: If we do get a weekly close above this area ($89,000 to $91,000), I think the low is in for Bitcoin, and we are not going down to this area. To recall, BTC last traded above $89,000 earlier this month on March 9. From there, the cryptocurrency experienced a breakdown to lower price levels, primarily due to rising macroeconomic uncertainties due to US President Donald Trump’s trade tariffs on numerous countries. Related Reading: Bitcoin Slips Under 200-Day Moving Average – Will The Downtrend Continue? According to data from cryptocurrency exchange Binance, after failing to defend the $89,000 level, BTC ended up falling as low as $76,606 on March 10. Since then, the digital asset has made slight recovery, buoyed by lower than anticipated US CPI inflation data and is currently trading in the low $80,000 level. BTC Faces Strong Resistance At $86,100 Similarly, in a recent Quicktake post on CryptoQuant, analyst Yonsei_dent highlighted the significance of short-term holder (STH) Realized Price in determining the digital asset’s future price trajectory. Related Reading: Bitcoin Uptrend Soon? Dollar Index Breakdown Sparks Optimism Among BTC Bulls For the uninitiated, Bitcoin’s Realized Price refers to the average acquisition cost of investors while STH refers to holders who have held BTC for less than six months. These investors are typically more sensitive to market movements. The analyst remarked that the weighted average Realized Price for STHs who have held BTC for one week to six months lies around $91,800, suggesting that these investors are currently in a loss position. The three months to six months STH cohort has a Realized Price of $86,100, denoting a strong resistance level for the digital asset in the short-term. Notably, this group of holders has the highest share of Realized Cap among STHs, hinting that selling pressure could magnify around this price level. With regard to major support levels, long-term holders (LTH) with a holding time of six months to twelve months have a Realized Price of $63,700. The post adds: The highest volume profile over the past year is concentrated around $64,000. This reinforces the idea that this area could serve as a strong support level. If BTC fails to clear some of its immediate resistance levels, there is a high possibility that it may follow Arthur Hayes prediction of finding a bottom around $70,000. That said, several indicators suggest that BTC may be undervalued at its current market price. At press time, BTC trades at $81,745, up 0.7% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin (BTC) recorded slight gains as the Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation rate for February came in lower than expected. The softer inflation reading fuelled hopes of interest rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve (Fed), potentially benefiting risk-on assets. Bitcoin Jumps As Inflation Cools According to data from the US Bureau of Labor Statistics, the CPI increased by 0.2% in February on a seasonally adjusted basis, bringing the annual inflation rate down to 2.8%. This figure not only fell below economists’ projection of 2.9% but also marked a decline from January’s 0.5% monthly increase. Related Reading: Bitcoin Faces CPI Shock—But Research Firm Says ‘Buy The News’ Additionally, the core CPI – an inflation measure excluding food and energy prices – rose 0.2% month-over-month, underperforming most forecasts of 0.3%. On an annual basis, core CPI came in at 3.1%, slightly below the 3.2% consensus. The lower-than-anticipated inflation data has reignited investor optimism, with hopes the Fed may pivot to a more dovish monetary policy by cutting interest rates to boost market liquidity. Lower interest rates typically favor risk-on assets like stocks and cryptocurrencies. Following the data release, BTC posted modest gains, climbing from approximately $81,000 to $84,500. Leading memecoin Dogecoin (DOGE) also saw a 2.9% rise in the past 24 hours. It’s worth noting that last month, BTC declined after CPI data came in hotter than expected. Since then, US President Donald Trump’s economic policies – particularly high trade tariffs on countries like Canada, Mexico, and China – have further hindered bullish momentum for digital assets. Earlier this month, BTC experienced one of its sharpest declines, dropping from around $94,700 on March 2 to as low as $76,800 on March 11. Over the same period, the total crypto market cap shrank by approximately $600 billion, falling from $3.2 trillion to approximately $2.6 trillion at the time of writing. BTC Price Projected To Make Recovery While the current bearish trend has dragged BTC and other cryptocurrencies to multi-month lows, industry experts believe digital assets are likely to rebound in the later quarters of 2025. Related Reading: Bitcoin Plays Chicken With Central Banks As Dollar Falls, Says Expert For instance, crypto entrepreneur Arthur Hayes recently suggested that while BTC may face further declines in the short term, central banks will likely resort to quantitative easing to stabilize stock markets – a move that could also help risk-on assets recover their losses. Similarly, recent analysis by CryptoQuant contributor ibrahimcosar forecasts that despite the current downturn, BTC is poised to reach $180,000 by 2026. A weakening US dollar is also likely to hasten the price recovery. At press time, BTC trades at $81,541, reflecting a 0.6% gain over the past 24 hours. Featured image created with Unsplash, charts from TradingView.com
Bitcoin (BTC) has dropped 11.3% over the past week, currently trading in the low $80,000 range at the time of writing. The recent decline has pushed the leading cryptocurrency below the 200-day moving average (MA), raising concerns about a potential deeper pullback. Bitcoin Must Defend This Key Price Level According to an X post by seasoned crypto analyst Ali Martinez, BTC is now trading below the 200-day MA, a key price level that has historically functioned as a strong support for the top digital asset. Related Reading: Bitcoin Sellers Incur Loss As SOPR Drops To 0.95 – A Sign Of Market Bottom? For the uninitiated, the 200-day MA is a famous technical indicator that essentially represents the average closing price of BTC over the last 200 days to identify the long-term price trend. Historically, a sustained movement above the 200-day MA has led to long-term uptrends while a prolonged price movement below the level has often preceded further declines. Martinez stressed that BTC must remain above the TD Sequential indicator’s risk line at $79,280. He added that a sustained move above this level could set the stage for a strong rebound to the upside. The potential for a BTC recovery was echoed by fellow crypto analyst Ted. In a post on X, he pointed out that over the past two years, BTC has frequently undergone 25% to 30% corrections before rebounding to new all-time highs (ATHs). Ted noted: In 2023, BTC went from $30K to $22K. In 2024, BTC went from $74K to $50K. This year, BTC has dumped from $109K to $79K. We all know what happened after the last 2 major corrections. If BTC follows a similar pattern and climbs 30% from its current price, it could reach approximately $104,000 in a short period. However, broader macroeconomic factors – such as US President Donald Trump’s trade tariffs and the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) monetary policy – could significantly impact BTC’s trajectory. BTC Needs To Reclaim $84,000 First In another post on X, Martinez outlined BTC’s potential path to a new ATH, emphasizing that BTC must first reclaim $84,000 as a support level before any major upside movement. Once this milestone is secured, the digital asset could rally toward $128,000. Related Reading: Bitcoin Fills CME Gap Between $78,000 and $80,000 – Is A Reversal Around The Corner? Several indicators suggest that BTC may have already found a local bottom, increasing the chances of a trend reversal. Crypto analyst Rekt Capital recently noted that BTC’s plunge to $78,258 could mark the cycle low. Additionally, the US Dollar Index (DXY) has just recorded one of its largest weekly breakdowns since 2013, a move that historically signals bullish momentum for risk-on assets like BTC. At press time, BTC trades at $80,137, down 3.5% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from X and TradingView.com
The US dollar index (DXY) is experiencing one of its largest weekly declines since 2013, fuelling optimism for a potential rally among risk-on assets, including Bitcoin (BTC). The last time the DXY saw such a sharp pullback was during the height of the FTX fiasco in November 2022, which coincided with a Bitcoin bottom. Will Bitcoin See An Uptrend? BTC is down nearly 10% over the past two weeks, largely due to the hawkish stance of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) and concerns over trade tariffs from the US against Canada, Mexico, and China. Related Reading: Is Bitcoin Showing Early Signs Of Bullish Divergence? Analyst Explains Since March 3, the DXY has slid more than 3%, tumbling from 107 to 103 at the time of writing. This decline has sparked hope among cryptocurrency investors for a potential rally. Historical data supports this outlook. In addition to the $15,000 BTC bottom formed in November 2022, the DXY has experienced similar sharp declines on two other occasions – during the COVID crash in March 2020 and back in the 2015 bear market when the premier cryptocurrency traded at $250. On all three occasions when the DXY dropped more than -4 standard deviations, BTC formed a bottom followed by a trend reversal that saw the digital asset resume its bullish momentum. Crypto analyst Merlijn The Trader shared their thoughts on the DXY-BTC relationship. In an X post, the analyst noted that whenever the DXY Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) has turned bearish, BTC has rallied. The analyst illustrated this with the following chart. Fellow crypto analyst Rekt Capital had a similar perspective. The analyst emphasized that BTC has likely formed a higher low after another downside deviation, which saw the cryptocurrency hit a low of $78,258 on February 28. Important To Clear The $90,000 Resistance Another crypto trader, Daan Crypto Trader, hinted that BTC may target new all-time highs (ATH) around $120,000 if it continues to consolidate near range lows. The trader explained: We’ve seen this during every consolidation this cycle where it breaks lower, fails to see continuation, retakes the range and moves higher from there. Let’s see how this one turns out. That ~$90K level remains key. Related Reading: As Bitcoin Sell Pressure Fades, Could A Local Bottom Be Forming? Analyst Explains Recent analysis from CryptoQuant supports the view that BTC may have already formed a bottom. Additionally, seasoned crypto analyst Ali Martinez recently highlighted that BTC has hit oversold levels not seen since August 2024, likely signalling a trend reversal in the short-term. That said, BTC is also facing a bearish deviation as it fills a new Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) gap, which may dampen hopes for a swift price recovery. At press time, BTC is trading at $86,870, down 3.3% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from X and Tradingview.com
According to a key on-chain indicator, Ethereum (ETH) may be undervalued at its current market price. The last time ETH was this undervalued was in October 2023, after which it experienced a 160% rally. Ethereum May Be Undervalued, On-Chain Indicator Suggests Ethereum’s current MVRV-Z score suggests that the second-largest cryptocurrency by total market capitalization may be undervalued at its present price. This metric – used to determine whether an asset is overvalued or undervalued – is currently at its lowest level in 17 months. Related Reading: Ethereum Exchange Balances Drop To 9-Year Low – Time For A Major Price Move? ETH’s low MVRV-Z score indicates that the digital asset may be approaching a local bottom. Notably, the last time this metric was at a similar level in October 2023, ETH surged by 160%. For the uninitiated, the MVRV-Z score compares the difference between an asset’s market value and its realized value to assess overbought or oversold conditions. A high score indicates potential market tops, while a low score suggests possible bottoms. Besides October 2023, Ethereum’s MVRV-Z score has entered the green band two other times – once in December 2022 and again in March 2020. On both occasions, ETH subsequently entered a bullish phase. Additionally, on-chain analytics indicate that crypto whales are quietly accumulating ETH in anticipation of a significant upward move. Data from CryptoQuant reveals that ETH inflows into accumulation addresses have surged to multi-year highs, surpassing levels seen before major bull runs. High inflows into accumulation addresses suggest that institutional investors and large holders anticipate a rise in ETH’s price. This aligns with recent analysis predicting that ETH is poised for a substantial rally this year, potentially driving the digital asset to $9,000. Furthermore, ETH whales – wallet addresses holding between 1,000 and 10,000 ETH – have been aggressively accumulating since July 2024. This coincided with the US Securities and Exchange Commission’s (SEC) approval of the first spot ETH exchange-traded fund (ETF). Is ETH Going To Surprise The Market? Beyond a bullish MVRV-Z score and increasing ETH inflows into accumulation addresses, several other indicators suggest that ETH may be on the verge of a surprise rally, despite prevailing bearish sentiment. Related Reading: Is Ethereum ‘Most Hated Rally’ About To Begin? Analyst Finds Bitcoin Cycle Similarities Following the recent market pullback, ETH’s weekly Relative Strength Index (RSI) has dropped to a three-year low, fuelling optimism for an imminent rally. However, increasing ETH reserves on exchanges could pose a challenge to upward momentum. Similarly, concerns remain regarding the Ethereum Foundation’s continuous selling of ETH, which may be contributing to price suppression. As of press time, ETH is trading at $2,268, reflecting a 3.7% increase over the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from Glassnode, CryptoQuant and Tradingview.com
Bitcoin (BTC) has declined by more than 10% in the last two weeks, falling from approximately $98,000 to around $86,000 at the time of writing. The high selling pressure has pushed the flagship cryptocurrency to oversold levels it had not seen since August 2024. Bitcoin Is Oversold, Time To Buy? According to an X post by seasoned crypto analyst Ali Martinez, BTC has entered oversold conditions it hadn’t seen since August 2024. Specifically, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for Bitcoin has dropped to the lowest level in the last seven months. Related Reading: Is Bitcoin Showing Early Signs Of Bullish Divergence? Analyst Explains For the uninitiated, the RSI measures Bitcoin’s momentum on a scale of 0-100, with values above 70 signaling overbought conditions and below 30 indicating oversold levels. According to the following chart, BTC’s RSI has tumbled below 30, indicating the digital asset may be significantly oversold. Notably, the last time BTC was this oversold – in August 2024 – it led to a 33% price surge, pushing the digital asset from $49,000 to $64,000 in two weeks. A similar trajectory today could propel BTC to around $110,000. Acclaimed crypto investor The Wolf Of All Streets had similar thoughts on Bitcoin’s RSI. The investor shared the following 4-hour chart, saying: Bullish divergence with oversold RSI still very much in play. At the moment, RSI still is making a higher low. We need to see a clear “elbow up” on the next candle to confirm. Nothing here yet. Meanwhile, crypto analyst Rekt Capital predicts that there may be further downside for BTC. The analyst emphasized that BTC is getting closer to filling the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) gap between $78,000 to $80,700, which was created in November 2024. For the uninformed, a CME gap refers to the price difference between Bitcoin’s last traded price on the CME before the weekend and its price when the market reopens. Bitcoin is often believed to fill these gaps as part of a natural market correction, with the gap acting as a level of price support or resistance. Mixed Opinion On BTC Price Action The recent crypto market pullback has led to split opinions among analysts. For instance, a former Glassnode analyst recently said that the odds of being in a bear market are “not large.” Related Reading: Bitcoin 4-Year CAGR Drops To 14.45% But Still Outshines Gold, Stocks – Details Similarly, recent analysis by Andre Dragosch, European Head of Research at Bitwise, indicates that BTC may be undervalued at current market prices. On the contrary, Standard Chartered predicts that there may be another 10% drop in BTC price. Although the opinion on Bitcoin’s short-term price action may be divided, the long-term bullish case for the digital asset remains intact. At press time, BTC trades at $84,963, down 2.4% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, Charts from X and TradingView.com
Earlier this morning, Bitcoin (BTC) hit a yearly low of $86,888 amid a broader market downturn. According to data from CoinGlass, the crypto market sell-off led to over $1.5 billion in liquidations in the past 24 hours, impacting 394,944 traders. More Downside For Bitcoin? After trading in the mid-$90,000 range for several weeks, BTC crashed to $86,888 on the Binance cryptocurrency exchange, marking its lowest point this year. The premier cryptocurrency is down 7.6% in the last 24 hours. Related Reading: As Bitcoin Sell Pressure Fades, Could A Local Bottom Be Forming? Analyst Explains Similarly, other major cryptocurrencies have suffered sharp declines. Ethereum (ETH) is down 10.5%, XRP has dropped 14.5%, and Solana (SOL) has plummeted 18.2% in the past 24 hours. Meanwhile, the total crypto market cap has shrunk by 9%, tumbling from $3.3 trillion to $3.01 trillion over the same period. Despite the sharp market pullback, the worst may not be over for BTC just yet. According to Geoff Kendrick, Global Head of Digital Assets Research at Standard Chartered, Bitcoin could still see further losses. Kendrick noted that while BTC has performed “relatively well,” the flagship cryptocurrency remains caught in a broader market sell-off, partly driven by Solana-based meme coins. He warned that another 10% decline may be on the horizon, potentially pushing Bitcoin’s price down to the low $80,000s. Macroeconomic Uncertainty Weighs On Crypto Further, Kendrick emphasized that although a decline in US Treasury yields could eventually benefit BTC, the large outflows from Bitcoin spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) suggest that “it is not time to buy yet.” In addition to the crypto market downturn, US President Donald Trump reiterated yesterday that his proposed trade tariffs on Canada and Mexico are set to take effect on March 4. As a result, the equity market is expected to open lower today, adding further pressure to risk assets like cryptocurrencies. The uncertainty in equity markets is expected to spill over into the digital assets sector, potentially leading to deeper pullbacks for cryptocurrencies. At the time of writing, the Crypto Fear and Greed Index has dropped to a five-month low of 25, signaling “extreme fear” in the market. Bitcoin’s recent price breakdown aligns with an earlier forecast by seasoned crypto analyst Ali Martinez, who predicted that if BTC broke below $93,400, it could experience significant volatility. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Forecast Of $150,000 ‘Too Low’ Amid Rising Adoption, Crypto Trader Says Beyond the recent price action, other warning signs for BTC indicate that reduced network activity could signal waning overall interest in the asset class. However, despite these headwinds, Bitcoin continues to outperform traditional asset classes like gold and stocks. That said, many industry leaders remain bullish on Bitcoin, viewing the current macroeconomic environment as a “generational opportunity” to accumulate BTC. At press time, BTC trades at $88,150, down 7.6% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, Chart from TradingView.com
According to a recent post on X by crypto analyst Rekt Capital, Bitcoin (BTC) may finally be showing early signs of bullish divergence. If this pattern plays out, BTC could target the $101,000 level as its first milestone before moving higher. Bitcoin Showing Signs Of Bullish Divergence? Analyst Weighs In Since the beginning of February, the flagship cryptocurrency has endured multiple macroeconomic uncertainties, including US President Donald Trump’s proposed trade tariffs, the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) hawkish statements, and the stock market downturn triggered by the release of China’s DeepSeek AI model. Related Reading: Bitcoin Slides To $94,000 After CPI Surprise – Will The Downtrend Continue? Despite these challenges, BTC has remained range-bound between $93,000 and $98,000. However, early signs of a potential bullish divergence are beginning to emerge. Rekt Capital pointed out BTC’s repeated failure to achieve a successful daily close above the $97,700 level, forcing it to find support around $93,000 at the lower end of its trading channel. While BTC continues to consolidate within this tight range, it is displaying a bullish divergence, as the cryptocurrency’s relative strength index (RSI) has formed a higher low on the daily chart. In this context, bullish divergence occurs when the price continues making lower lows while the RSI reverses course and forms a higher low. This momentum shift often signals an impending trend reversal, potentially propelling BTC toward the crucial $100,000 level. However, not all analysts are convinced that BTC is out of the woods just yet. Crypto analyst Merlijn The Trader shared his perspective on BTC’s price action, emphasizing how the top cryptocurrency recently touched the 100-day exponential moving average (EMA) at $93,500. They cautioned: Historically, closing below this level often means a drop to the 200EMA—currently at $86k. But until the daily 100EMA breaks, there’s no need for panic. Stay sharp, the market is at a pivotal point! Will BTC Fill The CME Gap? Meanwhile, crypto market analyst CryptoBullet pointed to a CME gap from November that BTC may need to fill before resuming its upward momentum. The analyst highlighted a double-top formation, which could lead BTC to retrace down to $76,000 to close the gap. Related Reading: Bitcoin Faces Persistent Resistance at $100K, Analyst Eyes Next Step For those unfamiliar, the “CME gap” refers to a price difference on CME’s Bitcoin futures chart that arises when trading pauses for the weekend while BTC continues moving on other exchanges. These gaps often attract price action, as traders anticipate a revisit due to liquidity, technical factors, and market psychology. On a more optimistic note, Bitwise executives maintain that Bitcoin currently offers a “generational opportunity” despite the ongoing global macroeconomic turmoil. At press time, BTC trades at $96,168, up 1.3% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, Charts from X and TradingView.com
In a post on X published yesterday, Jeff Park, Head of Alpha Strategies at Bitwise, stated that Bitcoin (BTC) currently presents a “generational opportunity” amid intensifying global macroeconomic turmoil. Park pointed to factors such as US President Donald Trump’s proposed trade tariffs, concerns over the US debt ceiling, and the growing sentiment of deglobalization as key contributors to the current economic uncertainty. Bitcoin Reigns Supreme Amid Global Political And Economic Turmoil The year 2025 has started on an unstable footing, marked by rising global economic and political instability due to trade tariffs, US debt ceiling issues, and the broader push toward deglobalization. These factors could significantly impact financial markets and geopolitical stability. Related Reading: Bitcoin Holds Steady Amid NASDAQ Decline, Analyst Calls It ‘Extremely Bullish’ Adding to the uncertainty is the impending expiration of the US Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) later this year, which could lead to unprecedented tax policy shifts and heightened economic unpredictability. Park also underscored the “gold run tail risk,” referencing gold’s extreme price volatility during periods of financial distress. At the time of writing, gold is trading at $2,900 per ounce, up significantly from around $2,585 in December 2024. Despite these mounting risks, Bitcoin has remained resilient, maintaining a price range between $90,000 and $100,000. Park highlighted BTC’s implied volatility (IV) percentile – a measure that reflects how its current volatility compares to historical levels. He noted that BTC’s IV percentile is at its lowest level of the year, reinforcing his view that Bitcoin presents a “generational opportunity.” Echoing this sentiment, Bitwise CEO Hunter Horsley remarked that many are underestimating “the massive leaps Bitcoin is going to take into the mainstream this year.” Indeed, Bitcoin continues to gain mainstream traction and demonstrate resilience amid rising global economic uncertainty. For example, BTC remained largely unaffected by the tech market sell-off triggered by the release of the Chinese AI model DeepSeek. No Altseason Anytime Soon? As Bitcoin strengthens its dominance, the altcoin market has struggled, weighed down by thin liquidity and waning retail interest. One key indicator supporting this trend is Bitcoin dominance (BTC.D), which measures BTC’s market cap relative to the total cryptocurrency market. Related Reading: Bitcoin Dominance Sliding Below This Level Could Signal Start Of Altseason, Trading Firm Says The weekly BTC.D chart shows a strong rebound from around 54% in December 2024. At the time of writing, BTC.D stands at 60.65%, a level not seen since March 2021. That said, some analysts remain optimistic about a potential Ethereum-led (ETH) altseason later in 2025. Recent analysis by Titan of Crypto suggests that Ethereum is poised for a major upward move this year. The analyst also pointed out similarities between ETH’s current price action and BTC’s behavior during its third market cycle, implying that Ethereum may soon enter what he calls its “most hated rally.” At press time, BTC trades at $95,362, down 0.4% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, Charts from X.com and Tradingview.com
Bitcoin (BTC) has faced heightened volatility in recent weeks, initially driven by Donald Trump’s proposed trade tariffs and later exacerbated by the latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. The inflation report sent BTC plummeting to as low as $94,000 before it managed to recover some losses. However, according to crypto analyst Ali Martinez, Bitcoin must defend a critical price level to avoid a significant correction. Analyst Identifies Critical Bitcoin Price Level In an X post shared earlier today, Martinez brought attention to the Pi Cycle Top Indicator. For the uninitiated, the Pi Cycle Top Indicator is a Bitcoin market tool that aims to identify market cycle peaks. Related Reading: Bitcoin Taps $100,000 But Fails To Hold Amid Mixed US Jobs Report The indicator tracks the 111-day moving average (MA) and a multiple – typically 2x – of the 350-day moving average. When the 111-day MA crosses above the 2x 350-day MA, it historically signals a market top. According to Martinez, Bitcoin tends to experience steep price corrections when it drops below the 111-day MA. Currently, this moving average stands at approximately $93,400. If BTC falls below this level, it could trigger a major downside move. Fellow crypto analyst Merlijn The Trader shared their thoughts on the current BTC price action. The analyst shared the following chart which shows the similarity between BTC price action in 2021 and 2025. According to the chart, BTC is currently in the midst of completing a bullish diamond pattern. A successful completion of this pattern followed by a bullish breakout may propel BTC to new all-time highs (ATH) beyond $120,000. Where Is BTC Headed Next? Crypto investor Daan Crypto Trades also analyzed Bitcoin’s latest price movement, particularly in response to the CPI data. The report confirmed that inflation remains hot in the US, reducing the likelihood of further interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve (Fed) in the near future. Daan noted: Most of the liquidity below was taken on the lower time frames. There’s a lot of untapped liquidity sitting higher after all these lower highs the past couple of weeks. If BTC can flip this local downtrend around, those could act as fuel for the move higher. The investor also warned that if BTC slides below $90,000, it could enter a “danger zone.” This level has served as a key support area, with Bitcoin rebounding from it multiple times. A decisive break below it could increase the risk of a larger sell-off. Related Reading: Bitcoin May Surge To $200,000 By Mid-2025 Amid ‘Mild’ Price Pullbacks: Report Despite the recent bearish developments, Bitcoin has held firm in the mid-$90,000 range. However, some market participants remain cautious about the possibility of a drop to $80,000 if selling pressure intensifies. At press time, BTC trades at $95,324, down 1% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, Charts from X and TradingView.com
Bitcoin (BTC) reacted sharply to today’s hotter-than-expected US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, dropping from around $96,600 to as low as $94,088. Notably, BTC was already trending downward due to escalating geopolitical tensions following Donald Trump’s proposed tariffs on all aluminum and steel imports. Bitcoin Slumps Amid Surprising Inflation Data The latest US inflation data came in higher than anticipated, triggering declines in both equity and cryptocurrency markets. Instead of the expected 0.3% increase, the CPI rose by 0.5% in January, compared to December’s 0.4% reading. Related Reading: Bitcoin Withstands DeepSeek Dip And FOMC Volatility – How Close Is A New ATH? On a year-over-year (YoY) basis, inflation climbed 3%, exceeding forecasts of a 2.9% increase. For those unfamiliar, the CPI measures the average change in prices consumers pay for goods and services over time and is a key indicator of inflation. Meanwhile, Core CPI – which excludes food and energy costs – rose by 0.4% in January, surpassing the expected 0.3% gain. YoY, Core CPI climbed 3.3%, higher than the forecasted 3.1%. As a result, US stocks followed the crypto market downturn, with stock index futures falling roughly 1% after the report. On the other hand, the 10-year Treasury yield jumped 10 basis points to 4.63%, while the Dollar Index (DXY) strengthened by 0.5%. Could There Be More Downside Ahead? Following the CPI release, markets are now pricing in fewer or possibly no interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve for the remainder of 2025. In an X post, financial journalist Walter Bloomberg noted: Capital Economics’ Paul Ashworth thinks a cut this year looks increasingly unlikely. “With tariffs likely to keep core PCE inflation close to, or above, 3% this year now, the Fed will stand pat for at least the next 12 months.” Treasury yields jumped on the inflation data and are holding on to their gains, with the 10-year at 4.651%, on path for its highest close since mid-January. A reduced likelihood of rate cuts poses additional downside risk for risk-on assets like BTC. Further compounding this uncertainty, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell testified before Congress yesterday, emphasizing that central bank rate cuts remain unlikely in the foreseeable future. Related Reading: Bitcoin Holds Steady Amid NASDAQ Decline, Analyst Calls It ‘Extremely Bullish’ Crypto analyst HurryNFT shared insights on BTC’s price movement following the CPI data release. The analyst noted that while inflation remains above the Fed’s 2% target, Trump is pushing for rate cuts to stimulate the economy. The ongoing friction between the Federal Reserve and Trump could increase market volatility, potentially pushing BTC further down to $92,000. Additionally, the recent US employment report did little to support Bitcoin’s price. On the contrary, however, a recent CryptoQuant report posits that BTC may surge to anywhere between $145,000 to $249,000 under the Trump administration. At press time, BTC trades at $95,240, up 0.8% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, Chart from TradingView.com
After a relatively subdued price performance in 2024, Ethereum (ETH) could be on the verge of a significant breakout. A recent analysis by a well-known crypto analyst suggests that the second-largest digital asset may soon enter what they call its “most hated rally.” Is It Finally Ethereum’s Time To Shine? Since reaching its all-time high (ATH) of $4,878 in November 2021, Ethereum has struggled to regain momentum, while other cryptocurrencies such as Solana (SOL), SUI, and XRP have delivered substantial returns to investors. Related Reading: Ethereum Positioned For A ‘Major Move Upward’ In 2025, Analyst Forecasts Currently, ETH is trading at $2,649 – only 5.5% higher than its price exactly one year ago. In stark contrast, XRP has surged an astonishing 365% during the same period. Even Bitcoin (BTC), despite its much larger market cap, has recorded a 100% gain in the past year. As a result, investor confidence in ETH appears to be dwindling. Recent on-chain analysis indicates that ETH ‘whales’ – wallets with significant ETH holdings – have been offloading, even at a loss. However, this trend could change dramatically. According to crypto analyst Titan of Crypto, Ethereum’s “most hated rally” could be just around the corner. The analyst draws parallels between Ethereum’s current price action and Bitcoin’s behaviour during its third market cycle between 2018 and 2020. The weekly chart below illustrates the striking similarities between the two assets. According to the analysis, Ethereum is currently in what is known as the “manipulation phase.” If history repeats itself, ETH is likely to enter the “run-up phase” once it decisively breaks through the “re-accumulation phase.” Notably, the chart also highlights that ETH has faced rejection at a crucial resistance level around $4,000 exactly three times – mirroring Bitcoin’s behaviour during its third market cycle before eventually breaking out. Similarly, another crypto analyst, Ted, has compared Ethereum’s price chart to that of XRP. He notes that XRP remained in a consolidation phase for nearly three years, experiencing little to no price movement, only to surge by 250% within just five weeks. Bullish Signs For Ethereum Despite hedge funds holding a large short position on ETH due to its recent subpar price performance, analysts are optimistic that 2025 will bring joy to the ETH bulls. Related Reading: Ethereum Holds Multi-Year Bullish Pattern – Expert Suggests The Next Move Will Be ‘The Real Deal’ For instance, recent analysis by crypto analyst Kiu_Coin suggests that ETH is on the cusp of an explosive price rally that may send it to $17,000. Another report published in January 2025 projects ETH price to climb to $8,000, outperforming BTC. Another sign of growing confidence in Ethereum is the increasing capital inflow into Ethereum exchange-traded funds (ETFs), outpacing Bitcoin ETFs in recent weeks. This trend indicates renewed optimism and a possible capital rotation into ETH. At press time, ETH trades at $2,649, down 1.1% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from X and Tradingview.com
Ethereum (ETH), the second-largest cryptocurrency by reported market cap, is facing unprecedented short selling from hedge funds. Notably, short positions in ETH have soared by 500% since November 2024, indicating heightened bearish sentiment toward the digital asset. Institutional Investors Losing Faith In Ethereum? According to a recent post on X by The Kobeissi Letter, Ethereum price is witnessing mounting challenges as short positioning in the cryptocurrency has ballooned in recent times. Notably, ETH short positions are up 40% in the last week, while they are up 500% in the last three months. It is worth highlighting that this is the highest level ever that Wall Street funds have been short Ethereum. Earlier this month, the crypto market got an indication of this bearish ETH positioning, as the digital asset crashed 37% in 60 hours amid Donald Trump’s proposed trade tariffs on Canada, China, and Mexico. Related Reading: Ethereum Poised For A Bullish Q1 2025? Here’s What Experts Say Interestingly, capital inflows to Ethereum exchange-traded funds (ETF) were significantly high in December 2024. In just 3 weeks, ETH ETFs attracted more than $2 billion in new funds, with a record breaking weekly inflow of $854 million. However, hedge funds’ positioning on ETH suggests that they are not very confident in the cryptocurrency’s short-term price outlook. Several factors could be at play for institutional investor’s waning interest in ETH. For instance, ETH is currently trading almost 45% below its current all-time high (ATH) of $4,878 recorded way back in November 2021. In contrast, Bitcoin (BTC) has had a stellar 2024, hitting multiple new ATH, and commanding a market cap that is almost six times larger than that of ETH. The Kobeissi Letter attributes ETH’s current lacklustre price performance to potential “market manipulation, harmless crypto hedges, to bearish outlook on Ethereum itself.” However, the market commentator indicates that this excessive bearish outlook may set ETH up for a short squeeze. They add: This extreme positioning means big swings like the one on February 3rd will be more common. Since the start of 2024, Bitcoin is up ~12 TIMES as much as Ethereum. Is a short squeeze set to close this gap? ETH Short Squeeze To Initiate Altseason? A short squeeze on ETH could teleport its price to as high as $3,000, or even $4,000. However, according to seasoned crypto analyst Ali Martinez, ETH must defend the $2,600 support level to climb higher. Related Reading: Will Ethereum Bounce Back? Crypto Analysts Discuss Potential Price Recovery Recent reports indicate that ETH has likely bottomed, paving the way for a trend reversal to the upside. Another report by Steno Research suggests that ETH is likely to outperform BTC in 2025, with potential targets as high as $8,000. That said, concerns still remain about the Ethereum Foundation regularly dumping ETH. At press time, ETH trades at $2,661, up 0.1% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, Charts from X and TradingView.com
In a recent client note, Standard Chartered’s Head of Digital Assets Research, Geoff Kendrick, predicted that Bitcoin (BTC) could surge to $500,000 by the end of 2028. The executive attributed BTC’s potential extraordinary price rise to two major factors. Factors Propelling BTC Price While 2024 was a landmark year for the world’s largest cryptocurrency – seeing it reach multiple all-time highs (ATH) and surpass $100,000 for the first time – 2025 has seen more moderate price action. Since January 1, BTC has climbed from around $94,000 to $98,486 as of February 5. Related Reading: Bitcoin Holds Steady Amid NASDAQ Decline, Analyst Calls It ‘Extremely Bullish’ However, Kendrick believes that from the latter half of 2025 through 2028, Bitcoin could enter another parabolic growth phase. He forecasts BTC reaching $200,000 by the end of 2025, $300,000 by the end of 2026, $400,000 by the end of 2027, and ultimately $500,000 by the end of 2028. Kendrick attributes this ambitious price trajectory to two key factors: improved investor access and decreasing volatility. The approval of spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in the US in January 2024 significantly simplified investor access to BTC. Additionally, as Bitcoin’s price and market capitalization grow, its volatility has been decreasing. A larger market cap makes it more difficult for any single trader or entity to manipulate BTC’s price. Kendrick expects this trend to continue as ETF markets mature and supporting financial infrastructure within the crypto market strengthens. Kendrick added: The ETFs have attracted a net $39 billion of inflows so far, supporting the theory of pent-up demand being unleashed by increased access. Donald Trump’s January 23 order that the administration evaluate a potential national digital assets stockpile is also important, as this could encourage other central banks to consider Bitcoin investments. If Trump’s administration moves forward with establishing a national digital assets reserve, Bitcoin’s volatility could decline even further. This could attract traditionally risk-averse investors who were previously hesitant due to BTC’s price swings. Bitcoin Price Forecasts Have Bullish Undertones Over the past few days, BTC has faced increased volatility, briefly plummeting to $91,000 amid concerns over US trade tariffs on Mexico, Canada, and China. However, analysts remain confident in Bitcoin’s long-term bullish outlook. Related Reading: Bitcoin Withstands DeepSeek Dip And FOMC Volatility – How Close Is A New ATH? For instance, seasoned crypto trader Alex Becker recently stated that a $150,000 price target for BTC is too conservative. Likewise, a report by CryptoQuant predicts BTC could reach anywhere between $145,000 and $249,000 under a Trump administration. On-chain data also suggests that Bitcoin ‘whales’ – investors controlling crypto wallets with large BTC holdings – are positioning themselves for a bullish price trajectory, signaling confidence in BTC’s long-term growth under the Trump regime. At press time, BTC trades at $98,486, down 1.3% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, Chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin (BTC) enjoyed a brief sigh of relief yesterday as the US delayed its proposed 25% trade tariffs on Mexico and Canada by a month. However, the US proceeded with its 10% tariffs on China, prompting retaliatory measures from Beijing. The escalation has pushed BTC back below the critical $100,000 price level. Bitcoin Suffers Amid Trade Wars After a volatile 24 hours filled with uncertainty surrounding US trade tariffs on Mexico and Canada, BTC experienced a short-lived relief rally to $102,000. This came after US President Donald Trump announced a 30-day delay in imposing tariffs on the two North American nations. Related Reading: Bitcoin Indicator Shows Market Far From Overheating – Details However, today’s implementation of US tariffs on China triggered a sharp downturn, causing BTC to break below the $100,000 level. In response, China’s Ministry of Finance announced new countermeasures. Starting February 10, China will impose an additional 15% tariff on coal and liquefied natural gas, along with a 10% tariff on agricultural equipment, crude oil, and certain vehicles. Additionally, Beijing has accused the US of violating World Trade Organization (WTO) regulations with its one-sided tariff policies. The Chinese Ministry of Commerce also stated that it would tighten export controls on key raw materials, including molybdenum, indium, bismuth, tellurium, and tungsten, citing national security concerns. With trade tensions escalating between the US and China, analysts predict heightened volatility in the crypto market in the coming days. Well-known crypto strategist Michael van de Poppe shared his outlook: Bitcoin bounced back swiftly and is currently acting within the range. I assume we’ll see new ATHs in February and it’s quite normal to correct after such a strong bounce. Volatility through the roof, but, as long as Bitcoin remains above $93K, a new ATH is likely. Meanwhile, crypto trader and investor Phoenix suggested that BTC could establish a new trading range amid the ongoing trade war. However, history suggests that heightened tariffs could spell trouble for cryptocurrencies. Web3 enthusiast merts.eth pointed out in an X post that BTC plummeted 65% in 2018 when Trump first initiated a trade war with China. The effects were not limited to digital assets, as the S&P 500 also dropped 12% in the weeks following the implementation of tariffs. More Downside For BTC? As Bitcoin struggles to hold the $100,000 price level, concerns are mounting about another potential breakdown in price. Crypto analyst Ali Martinez recently pointed out that if BTC fails to hold the $97,190 support level, there could be more pain for the top digital asset. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Must Hold Above $97K To Sustain Momentum – Metrics The analyst made another observation about how BTC is currently trading in a bearish flag pattern. At press time, BTC trades at $99,961, up 1% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from X and TradingView.com
Bitcoin (BTC) has had a volatile 24 hours, plunging from $99,500 to as low as $91,231 amid mounting concerns over impending US trade tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China. However, some crypto analysts see this sharp decline as a buying opportunity, suggesting that BTC may be oversold and poised for a rebound. Is Bitcoin Poised For A Relief Rally? Yesterday, the crypto market experienced one of its largest sell-offs in history, with over $2.3 billion in liquidations affecting more than 742,000 traders. This level of liquidations surpasses those seen during the COVID market crash in March 2020 and the FTX collapse in November 2022. Related Reading: Crypto Traders Wrecked As Trump’s Tariffs Spark $2 Billion Liquidation Despite the downturn, some analysts argue that BTC may have entered oversold territory, signaling a potential relief rally. Crypto analyst Caleb Franzen shared insights in a post on X, highlighting that Bitcoin’s 4-hour Relative Strength Index (RSI) has dipped into oversold levels. He noted: For the 5th time since August 2024, Bitcoin’s 4-hour RSI is becoming oversold. Each of the prior signals were attractive accumulation periods, even if price made new short-term lows after the signal flashed. For the uninitiated, the RSI is a momentum indicator that measures the speed and magnitude of recent price changes to determine whether BTC is overbought or oversold. A reading above 70 suggests overbought conditions – potential for a pullback – while a reading below 30 indicates oversold conditions – potential for a rebound. According to Franzen’s chart, Bitcoin’s current RSI is hovering around 24 on the 4-hour timeframe, indicating that BTC may be in an attractive accumulation zone. If historical trends hold, BTC could be on the verge of a short-term recovery. Is There More Trouble For BTC Ahead? As of the latest updates, Donald Trump and his Mexican counterpart Claudia Sheinbaum have agreed to temporarily delay the proposed trade tariffs, offering some relief to financial markets. However, uncertainty remains regarding trade negotiations with Canada, leaving investors cautious about BTC’s next move. Related Reading: Is The Crypto Market ‘Satiated’ For Now? Analysts Say Bitcoin Will Continue Sideways Move Meanwhile, fellow crypto analyst Johnny’s analysis indicates that “the meat” of BTC’s current down move is likely over. The analyst added that as long as BTC continues to trade above range lows and the yearly open, it will “look good compared to the rest of the market.” However, not all experts are optimistic. Renowned businessman and author Robert Kiyosaki warns that BTC could face further downside pressure if Trump follows through with his tariff plans. According to Kiyosaki, increased tariffs could strengthen the US dollar, potentially driving investors away from risk assets like Bitcoin in the short term. At press time, BTC trades at $98,644, up 0.4% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, Charts from X and TradingView.com
Lido (LDO), a decentralized autonomous organization (DAO) that provides liquid staking solutions for Ethereum (ETH) and other proof-of-stake (PoS) blockchains, saw its token surge 20% in the past 24 hours. The token’s price jumped from $1.98 on January 30 to $2.37 at the time of writing. Kraken Reintroduces Staking Services In Select States On January 30, cryptocurrency exchange Kraken announced the relaunch of its staking services for US clients in 37 states and two territories. The exchange also noted plans to expand these services to additional states as regulatory conditions allow. Related Reading: Lido Finance Cements DeFi Lead, Expands To Optimism: Is LDO Undervalued? For the uninitiated, Kraken facilitates staking by delegating users’ staked tokens to network validators, who are responsible for transaction validation and block production. These validators then return rewards – minus fees – to clients who have staked their tokens with them. Commenting, Mark Greenberg, Global Head of Consumer at Kraken said the launch of this staking product in the US is a positive development for the entire US crypto industry. Greenberg added: Kraken serves as a bridge so people can access the crypto space and participate in an increasingly broad range of related activities from an interface and platform that they’re familiar with. Onchain staking is a key component of how we fulfill this role and we believe the resumption of staking in the US today will play a significant role in the development and mass adoption of crypto. Following the announcement, LDO experienced a sharp spike in buying activity, propelling its price above the psychologically significant $2 level. At the time of writing, LDO boasts a total market cap of $2.1 billion, making it the 63rd largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization. Lido Soars 20%, What Do The Analysts Say? LDO’s surge has caught the attention of crypto analysts, many of whom see further upside potential. Crypto analyst World of Crypto noted that LDO is breaking out of both a bullish pennant and a descending broadening wedge. A successful breakout could send the token to the $7–$8 range within a few weeks. Related Reading: Lido Finance (LDO) Is Down 18% In 7 Days, Time To Buy The Dip? Similarly, crypto analyst Daan Crypto pointed to $3 as a crucial resistance level for LDO to break. He attributed the token’s outperformance to investors positioning themselves ahead of the Ethereum staking narrative. They added: It’s just a matter of time before we’ll see the first ETH Spot ETF filing with staking included. That should kick off the ETH & staking narrative and should help boost the performance on these Liquid Staking Derivatives coins. As a token closely tied to Ethereum staking, LDO’s price trajectory remains heavily influenced by ETH’s performance. Fortunately for LDO holders, analysts remain optimistic about an upcoming Ethereum rally. Earlier this month, crypto analyst Mister Crypto remarked that ETH looks ‘bottomed out’, potentially getting ready for a strong rebound. At press time, LDO trades at $2.37, up 19.1% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, Charts from X and TradingView.com
In the past few days, Bitcoin (BTC) has withstood two key developments that could have derailed the cryptocurrency’s bullish momentum. Given Bitcoin’s resilience, analysts are now predicting a new BTC all-time high (ATH) in the coming weeks. Bitcoin Defies DeepSeek Sell-Off, FOMC Uncertainty Earlier this week, US stocks took a hit after Chinese AI firm DeepSeek unveiled its open-source LLM, raising concerns over the high market valuation of its American counterparts. As a result, the S&P 500 saw a strong sell-off, with NVIDIA leading the losses, dropping 16% in a single day. Related Reading: Bitcoin Holds Steady Amid NASDAQ Decline, Analyst Calls It ‘Extremely Bullish’ Similarly, in its latest meeting, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) left interest rates unchanged, in line with market expectations. While the hawkish stance was expected to deal another blow to crypto markets, BTC remained relatively unscathed after an initial dip. At the time of writing, BTC is trading at $105,839, having essentially recouped all its losses from the DeepSeek-induced market crash. In fact, BTC has outperformed the S&P 500 over the past five days, surging 1.53%, compared to the latter’s 1.25% decline. New BTC ATH In February? Seasoned crypto trader Pentoshi commented on BTC’s strength, saying that the digital asset has held up well despite the turmoil. The trader added that they see no reason why BTC shouldn’t hit a new ATH soon. Another Bitcoin enthusiast, Castillo Trading, noted that Bitcoin’s price structure “looks flawless.” They added that both lower- and higher-time frames suggest that BTC will likely go higher. Related Reading: Bitcoin May Target $145,000 To $249,000 Under Trump Administration: Report In a similar vein, crypto trader and entrepreneur Michael van de Poppe said that the market will likely see a new BTC ATH in the ‘coming weeks,’ potentially hinting at February as the target month. Further, crypto trader Roman shared the following chart, commenting that “Stoch & RSI have plenty of room to break $108,000 resistance and head higher.” They added that bullish divergence on BTC is also playing out nicely. For the uninitiated, both Stochastic Oscillator (Stoch) and Relative-Strength Index (RSI) are momentum indicators that help traders identify whether the underlying asset is oversold or overbought in current market conditions. While projections for a new BTC ATH may be focused on the short-term, market cycle peaks are expected to occur in the summer of 2025. For instance, a recent report by Bitfinex forecasts that BTC could surge to $200,000 by mid-2025, amid shallow price pullbacks. Meanwhile DeepSeek predicts that BTC may top out between $500,000 and $600,000 by Q1 2026. At press time, BTC trades at $105,839, up 3.1% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, Charts from X and TradingView.com
According to crypto analyst Titan of Crypto, Ethereum (ETH) could be on the verge of a “major move upward” this year as it continues to form higher lows on the weekly chart. However, breaking through the persistent $4,000 resistance level remains a key hurdle for the cryptocurrency, before it goes on to create new highs. Ethereum On The Brink Of A Massive Rally? While frustration may be getting the better of ETH holders due to the digital asset’s below par price performance over the past two years, there could still be a chance to witness a complete turnaround in ETH’s price trajectory. Related Reading: Ethereum Foundation Sells Another 100 ETH, But There’s Still ‘Hopium’ For Holders In a post on X, Titan of Crypto shared the following ETH weekly chart, illustrating how the digital asset has been consistently forming higher lows since 2022. If ETH maintains this trend, it could soon break through the crucial $4,000 level and potentially set new all-time highs (ATH) later this year. The analyst also applied Fibonacci extensions to estimate potential price targets, with the most optimistic projections reaching as high as $13,000 in 2026. Crypto trader Ted shared a similar outlook on ETH’s price action. According to Ted, once ETH reclaims the $4,000 mark, it could soon surpass its previous ATH. He further predicted that ETH could surge to $9,000 within 3 to 4 months. Additionally, he noted that US President Donald Trump’s recent ETH purchases could provide further upside momentum for the digital asset. Indeed, Trump’s decentralized finance (DeFi) project dubbed World Liberty Financial (WLF) has been on an ETH buying spree. In December 2024, WLF bought 722 ETH, worth $2.5 million at the prevailing market price. Technical analysis trader Alex Clay also sees ETH’s current downtrend as a potential buying opportunity. Clay highlighted that ETH has not only completed its falling wedge pattern but also successfully defended the $3,000 support level. He added: Time to reverse the short-term trend! Send $ETH to $4,000, $4,500, $5,000. ETH: An Overcrowded Trade? While the above analyses may offer hope to ETH traders, seasoned crypto analyst Ali Martinez cautions that the bullish head-and-shoulder pattern on ETH’s daily chart could be turning into an overcrowded trade. He added: If the pattern holds, any dip to $2,900 could be a buying opportunity, but keep your stop-loss tight between $2,700 and $2,500. Related Reading: Ethereum Struggles As Bitcoin Dominance Pushes ETH/BTC Pair To 4-Year Low That said, crypto analyst Mister Crypto recently remarked that Ethereum has “likely bottomed out” and could be on the verge of a breakout to the upside. At press time, ETH trades at $3,095, down 2.2% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from X and Tradingview.com
Yesterday, the NASDAQ slid 3% as China’s low-cost AI model, DeepSeek, sent shockwaves through the tech industry, triggering a steep sell-off in US chipmakers. While Bitcoin (BTC) also dipped to a low of $97,777, the flagship cryptocurrency has since recovered most of its losses, trading above the key $100,000 price level. Bitcoin Holding Strong Despite NASDAQ Sell-Off Bitcoin’s resiliency amid the stock market sell-off is ‘extremely bullish’, says Bitwise’s European Head of Research, Andre Dragosch. They highlighted that the leading digital asset has outperformed NASDAQ over the past two days and is currently showing limited downside risk. It is worth noting that BTC has gained close to $5,000 since yesterday’s dip to $97,777, trading at $102,758 at the time of writing. In contrast, the S&P 500 closed yesterday’s last trading session down 1.5%. Related Reading: Bitcoin Profit-Taking Drops 93% From December Peak – What’s Next For BTC? The decoupling between BTC and the stock market is further evidenced by differing investor sentiments. According to the ‘Fear & Greed Index’, the stock market currently sits at 44/100, indicating lingering fear among investors after yesterday’s market downturn. Conversely, the Index’s reading for the crypto market stands at 72/100, suggesting a sentiment of greed toward digital assets. However, this could also indicate that the crypto market is lagging behind the stock market and may experience a further drawdown while the stock market seeks stability. Meanwhile, Keith Alan, co-founder of Material Indicators, shared a post on X, viewing BTC’s brief slump as a dip-buying opportunity and adding to his BTC position. Alan noted: That wick to $97,750 should not shake your confidence in this Bitcoin bull run, but it should remind you that a deep correction can, and most likely will, develop when the market gets over hyped. Similarly, seasoned crypto trader and analyst Rekt Capital shared insights on Bitcoin’s current price momentum, stating that it is “still relatively early” in BTC’s parabolic phase for this market cycle. Historically, this phase has lasted about 300 days on average, and BTC is currently at day 82. BTC Top Not In Yet? Although BTC reached a new all-time high (ATH) of $108,786 on January 20, some analysts believe the top is not yet in for the cryptocurrency. According to analysis by Stockmoney Lizards, BTC could reach a cycle peak of $400,000 by November 2025. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Forecast Of $150,000 ‘Too Low’ Amid Rising Adoption, Crypto Trader Says A further rally for BTC seems plausible, as ‘whales’ have started accumulating the cryptocurrency since Donald Trump’s inauguration. Other projections suggest BTC may peak at $249,000 under the Trump administration. On a longer-term horizon, BTC could reach as high as $1.5 million according to Metcalfe’s Law. At press time, BTC trades at $102,758, up 1.1% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, Charts from X and TradingView.com
Following Donald Trump’s inauguration on January 20th, Bitcoin (BTC) has remained range-bound, trading between $101,000 to $110,000. However, a new report by CryptoQuant states that behind this routine price action, Bitcoin ‘whales’ are quietly back to accumulating the premier cryptocurrency. Bitcoin Whales Back In Accumulation Mode According to the report, large BTC holders – commonly referred to as Bitcoin ‘whales’ – have re-entered the accumulation phase. Recent data shows a significant uptick in the monthly percentage growth of BTC holdings among these large investors. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Forecast Of $150,000 ‘Too Low’ Amid Rising Adoption, Crypto Trader Says Notably, Bitcoin whale holdings increased from a decline of -0.25% on January 14 to a growth of 2% by January 17, marking the highest monthly growth rate since mid-December. In absolute terms, these investors’ BTC holdings rose from 16.2 million on November 4 to 16.4 million as of January 24. The surge in whale accumulation appears to be driven by several bullish developments early in Trump’s administration. For example, the US president has already signed an executive order establishing a Working Group on Digital Asset Markets. This Working Group has been tasked with proposing a federal regulatory framework for cryptocurrencies – including stablecoins – within six months. Additionally, the group will evaluate the potential creation of a national digital asset stockpile, fueling speculation about a potential US strategic Bitcoin reserve. Besides growth in whale holdings, selling pressure for BTC has declined sharply since major profit-taking in December. This aligns with a recent report which found that BTC profit-taking has dropped by 93% from its December peak. The report reads: Bitcoin holders realized daily profits as high as $10 billion as Bitcoin approached $100K in December. However, daily realized profits have fallen to levels around $2-$3 billion in January, which indicates market participants may have finished selling Bitcoin for the most part. Moreover, the traders’ unrealized profit margins have declined near zero, a level which typically marks a price floor during bull markets. However, the report also highlights that overall Bitcoin spot demand has weakened over the past month, raising concerns about the likelihood of another bullish rally. Specifically, the rate of demand growth for Bitcoin has fallen from 279,000 BTC in early December to just 75,000 BTC at the time of writing. Analysts Confident Of Another BTC Rally Despite the cooling of on-chain demand, crypto analysts remain optimistic about another major price rally for Bitcoin. For instance, a recent report suggested that BTC could target a price as high as $249,000 during Trump’s presidency. Related Reading: Could Bitcoin Hit Its Peak In Summer 2025? Analysts Weigh In Another report by Bitfinex predicted that BTC is likely headed to $200,000 by mid-year amid mild price pullbacks. However, a lot depends on how the US Federal Reserve handles interest rate adjustments this year. From a technical standpoint, BTC’s cup-and-handle pattern projects a price target of as high as $275,000. At press time, BTC trades at $106,074, up 0.1% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, Chart from TradingView.com
After testing the low $90,000 price level multiple times over the past two months, Bitcoin (BTC) briefly broke out of its tight trading range earlier this week, reaching a new all-time high (ATH) of $108,786. However, a recent report by Glassnode suggests that the sustained consolidation observed in recent months may be nearing its end, with the leading cryptocurrency primed for its next significant move. Bitcoin Profit-Taking Declines Sharply According to the latest edition of Glassnode’s ‘The Week On-Chain Report,’ BTC profit-taking volumes have dropped significantly, falling from a peak of $4.5 billion in December to approximately $316.7 million – a sharp decline of 93%. This drop in profit-taking signals a substantial reduction in sell-side pressure for Bitcoin. Currently, BTC is trading within a tight 60-day price range, a pattern that has often preceded significant market volatility. Related Reading: Bitcoin May Target $145,000 To $249,000 Under Trump Administration: Report When Bitcoin trades in a narrow price range, it either signals the beginning of a bull market rally or the final stages of a bear market capitulation. One key metric highlighted in the report is the Realized Supply Density, which measures Bitcoin’s supply concentration around the current spot price within a 15% range, both up and down. Currently, approximately 20% of Bitcoin’s supply is within this price band, indicating heightened price sensitivity. Small price movements within this range could significantly impact investor profitability, thereby fueling market volatility. The report also points to a key metric, CoinDay Destruction (CDD), as further evidence of declining sell-side pressure. During late December and early January, CDD values were notably high, reflecting increased activity by long-term holders. However, the metric has cooled off in recent weeks. For the uninitiated, CDD measures the economic activity of spent BTC by tracking how long coins were held before being moved. It multiplies the number of coins by the number of days they remained idle, highlighting whether long-term holders are spending their coins. The recent decline in CDD suggests that many BTC investors who planned to take profits have already done so within the current price range. As a result, the market may enter a new price range to unlock the next wave of supply and liquidity. Long-Term Investors Return To Accumulation Mode The report also highlights the Long-Term Holder (LTH) Binary Spending Indicator, a key metric that tracks Bitcoin held by long-term investors. The report notes: Aligned with the heavy profit-taking volumes from before, we can see a significant decline in the total LTH Supply as the market reached $100k in December. The rate of LTH Supply decline has since stalled out, suggesting a softening of this distribution pressure in recent weeks. Additionally, LTH inflows to crypto exchanges have fallen sharply, dropping from $526.9 million in December to just $92.3 million. That said, the total LTH BTC supply is showing signs of growth, indicating that long-term investors are returning to accumulation mode. Related Reading: Could Bitcoin Hit Its Peak In Summer 2025? Analysts Weigh In Meanwhile, retail demand for BTC remains strong. Investors holding less than 10 BTC collectively purchased approximately 25,600 BTC in the past month. In comparison, Bitcoin miners minted only 13,600 BTC during the same period. At press time, BTC trades at $104,207, up 0.5% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, Charts from Glassnode and TradingView.com
Ethereum (ETH) continues to lose ground to Bitcoin (BTC) as the latter’s dominance rises, with US President-elect Donald Trump set to take office later today. At the time of writing, the ETH/BTC trading pair stands at 0.031, marking a four-year low for the ratio. ETH/BTC Continues To Decline As Trump Focuses On Bitcoin Over the past year, Bitcoin has appreciated by an impressive 158%, surging from approximately $41,000 on January 21, 2024, to $107,608 at the time of writing. The cryptocurrency has consistently reached new all-time highs (ATH) throughout the year. In contrast, Ethereum has delivered a modest return of approximately 35% over the same period and remains 32% below its November 2021 ATH of $4,878. Related Reading: Will Ethereum Bounce Back? Crypto Analysts Discuss Potential Price Recovery According to the weekly chart below from TradingView, the ETH/BTC trading pair — also referred to as the ETH/BTC ratio within the crypto industry — has reached a fresh four-year low. This decline has raised concerns about the likelihood of an Ethereum-led altcoin season. Currently trading at 0.031, the ETH/BTC ratio has erased all gains accumulated since March 2021. The pair peaked at 0.087 in December 2021, during the height of that year’s altcoin season. Since then, however, Ethereum, the second-largest digital asset by market capitalization, has experienced a steady decline against Bitcoin. In May 2024, the ratio fell below 0.054, a critical support level that had previously held firm in June 2022. Several factors have contributed to Ethereum’s underperformance, including Trump’s perceived preference for Bitcoin and the rising competition from rival smart-contract platforms like Solana (SOL). Unlike Bitcoin, Ethereum has struggled with adoption. Corporations worldwide are increasingly incorporating Bitcoin into their balance sheets, reinforcing BTC’s status as a premier digital asset. Additionally, speculation about the creation of a US strategic Bitcoin reserve has further bolstered the narrative around Bitcoin’s limited supply, driving its price higher. Conversely, Ethereum’s relatively high issuance rate has cast doubt on its “ultrasound money” narrative. Ethereum’s 2024 performance has also eroded confidence among some of its largest holders. Notably, an ETH whale recently sold 10,070 ETH at a $1 million loss, signaling waning investor trust. Will 2025 Change Ethereum’s Fortunes? While 2024 was a challenging year for Ethereum in terms of price performance, crypto analysts remain optimistic about the asset’s prospects in 2025. For example, a report by Steno Research predicts that Ethereum could surge to as high as $8,000 this year. Related Reading: Ethereum Poised For A Bullish Q1 2025? Here’s What Experts Say Similarly, crypto analyst Daan forecasts that the ETH/BTC trading pair could rise above 0.04 during Q1 2025. In December 2024, Ethereum exchange-traded funds (ETFs) experienced renewed interest from institutional investors, fueling hopes for significant capital inflows into the smart-contract platform. That said, Ethereum must first overcome strong resistance at the $4,000 price level. At press time, ETH trades at $3,368, down 1.3% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, Charts from TradingView.com
As Bitcoin (BTC) surges past $100,000 once again, edging closer to a new all-time high (ATH), most crypto analysts predict the premier cryptocurrency will peak around $150,000 during this market cycle. However, some experts argue that such a target is “too low” for BTC, considering its growing adoption and evolving market dynamics. $150,000 Target Too Low For Bitcoin Crypto trader Alex Becker recently took to X to share his thoughts on Bitcoin’s price momentum. The trader said that although the consensus points to BTC peaking at $150,000 this cycle, he believes that the target is “way too low and way too short.” Related Reading: Bitcoin Primed For A Major Rebound Following ‘Final Capitulation,’ Analyst Predicts Becker argued that at $150,000, Bitcoin’s market capitalization would only represent one-sixth of gold’s, leaving significant room for growth. He described the idea of BTC reaching merely one-sixth of gold’s market cap as “silly low.” At the time of writing, Bitcoin’s total market cap stands at $2.06 trillion. In comparison, gold commands a significantly larger market cap of approximately $18.5 trillion. As for why, the trader noted that unlike past market cycles, things are vastly different for BTC during the current cycle. The top cryptocurrency is poised to benefit from favourable regulations under Donald Trump’s administration, alongside increasing adoption by corporations and sovereign nations as a store of value. Becker projects that, driven by these factors, BTC could peak anywhere between $250,000 and $400,000. His outlook aligns with that of crypto analyst Will Clemente. In a recent post on X, Clemente noted that if a nation adopts Bitcoin as a strategic reserve asset, it could trigger a domino effect, compelling other countries to follow suit. Clemente elaborated: Once a nation adopts BTC as a strategic reserve asset, it becomes inherently nationalist to DCA into said asset. Then apply this to every nation on Earth that wants to keep its purchasing power simultaneously in game theoretic fashion. BTC Supply Crunch Nearing? As more corporations add Bitcoin to their balance sheets and speculation grows about the potential establishment of a US strategic Bitcoin reserve, the active supply of BTC may come under pressure. Related Reading: Bitcoin Reserve Idea Sparks Cautious Response From Japan PM: Report Crypto analyst Miles Deutscher recently pointed out in an X post that Bitcoin balances on crypto exchanges have hit a fresh seven-year low. Historically, reduced exchange supply correlates with sharp, parabolic price increases for the asset. Other projections estimate BTC could reach a peak of around $200,000 by the summer of 2025. At press time, Bitcoin is trading at $103,973, up 5.7% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, Charts from X and TradingView.com
A recent report by crypto index fund management firm Bitwise outlines varying price projections for Solana (SOL) based on its adoption and scalability improvements. According to the report, the ‘bull case’ scenario could see SOL’s price soar to $6,636 by 2030. What Sets Solana Apart? Solana, currently the sixth-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, has experienced a volatile few years. The digital asset was heavily impacted by the FTX collapse, plummeting from its previous all-time high (ATH) of $250 in November 2021 to a low of $9 in November 2022. Related Reading: Solana Market Cap Surpasses $100 Billion, Setting Up SOL For Potential ATH Rally However, despite the bear market triggered by the FTX debacle, SOL staged an impressive recovery, achieving a new ATH of $263 in November 2024. Bitwise’s report suggests that SOL’s growth potential remains significant in the coming years. The report identifies three core pillars supporting Solana’s investment case: sustainable economics, developer attraction, and consistent execution. It highlights Solana’s remarkable outperformance compared to other major smart contract platforms in terms of price growth in 2024. Dubbed the “iPhone moment for blockchain” by the report, Solana’s standout features include its ability to process 65,000 transactions per second (TPS) and its low transaction costs. This high throughput positions it as an ideal platform for building decentralized, high-volume, low-latency applications, such as decentralized exchanges (DEXs). The chart below demonstrates that Solana’s TPS rivals that of Visa and far surpasses competing smart contract platforms like BNB Chain and Ethereum. Additionally, Solana experienced a parabolic increase in daily active addresses (DAA) in 2024, surpassing the combined DAA of Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH), indicating growing adoption. In terms of tokenomics, the report notes that 80.7% of SOL’s total supply is currently in circulation, with the remaining 19.3% classified as non-circulating supply. While concerns about potential token inflation persist, Solana’s inflation rate decreases annually and is projected to drop to 1.85% by 2030. The SOL Bull Case The report applies Metcalfe’s Law to estimate Solana’s network value. For those unfamiliar, Metcalfe’s Law posits that a network’s utility increases proportionally to the square of its user base. The report states: For the sake of simplicity, we assume the Daily Active Addresses (DAA) to be the number of users and the market capitalization to represent the utility of the network represented in monetary terms. Accordingly, the report shares the bear case, the base case, and the bull case for Solana. The bear case for SOL foresees a cumulative annual growth rate of 35.1%, yielding a target price of $2,318 by 2030. Related Reading: Solana Targets $209 Mark With A Recovery Above The 4-hour SMA Similarly, the base case assumes a CAGR of 47.2%, resulting in a price of $4,025 by 2030. On the contrary, the bull case for SOL projects a price target of $6,636 by 2030, propelled by a CAGR of 59.1%. The report adds that the aforementioned forecasts take into account the natural deceleration that occurs as networks mature and achieve significant scale. At press time, SOL trades at $214.86, up 8% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, Charts from Bitwise and TradingView.com
In a significant development for the ongoing discourse surrounding the digital asset sector, US Senator Cynthia Lummis (R-WY) has raised serious allegations against the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC). In a letter directed to FDIC Chair Marty Gruenberg, Lummis claims whistleblowers from within the agency have reported efforts to destroy documentation related to the FDIC’s digital asset activities. The senator’s letter demands an immediate cessation of these alleged actions in anticipation of Congressional oversight. FDIC Staff Threatened Over Digital Asset Oversight Senator Lummis has positioned herself as a strong advocate for Bitcoin (BTC) and other cryptocurrencies, and her concerns about the FDIC come amid heightened scrutiny of the agency’s handling of digital assets. In her letter, she emphasizes the gravity of the allegations, stating, “The FDIC’s alleged efforts to destroy and conceal materials from the US Senate related to Operation Chokepoint 2.0 is not only unacceptable, it is illegal.” Related Reading: Top Analyst Reports Massive Breakout For XRP Price, Eyes $10 As Next Milestone For context, operation Chokepoint 2.0 refers to a controversial initiative aimed at regulating financial institutions that engage with certain “high-risk industries,” including the digital asset sector. Lummis’s correspondence outlines specific claims made by whistleblowers who allege that FDIC staff members have faced threats of legal action to discourage them from disclosing information to the Senate. She asserts that management has been closely monitoring access to documents to prevent potential leaks before any materials can be destroyed. This alleged behavior, if proven true, violates the principles of transparency that the American public deserves, the Senator stated. ‘Documentation Must Be Secured And Preserved’ In her letter, Lummis explicitly instructs Chair Gruenberg to ensure that all destruction of materials ceases immediately and that all existing documentation related to the FDIC’s digital asset activities since January 1, 2022, is preserved. The senator defines “digital asset activities” broadly, encompassing a range of topics, including the supervision and resolution of banks involved in the crypto sector—specifically Signature Bank and Silvergate Bank—as well as the development of rules and policies governing digital assets. Lummis further underscores the importance of retaining any materials containing terms associated with digital assets, such as “crypto,” “cryptocurrency,” “Bitcoin,” and “Ethereum.” Related Reading: Dogecoin Open Interest Spikes To Nearly $5 Billion – Impact On Price She makes it clear that any classification of these documents as confidential or privileged does not exempt them from the Senate’s oversight powers, insisting that the FDIC must take all necessary steps to secure and maintain the integrity of these records. The senator warns that if evidence emerges indicating that FDIC staff have knowingly destroyed materials or obstructed Senate oversight, she will not hesitate to refer the matter to the US Department of Justice (DOJ) for criminal investigation. At the time of writing, the market’s leading cryptocurrency, Bitcoin, is once again trading above the $101,000 mark, up nearly 8% on a weekly basis. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com