After a slight weekend slump that saw Bitcoin (BTC) dip to $106,600, the leading cryptocurrency has recovered most of its losses and is currently trading close to the $110,000 level. With bullish momentum building, several crypto analysts now believe that BTC may be on track to hit a new all-time high (ATH) in the coming days. Bitcoin To Surge To $112,000? Analyst Says Yes According to a recent CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor ibrahimcosar, Bitcoin is forming a classic bullish pattern on the hourly chart – the double bottom. The analyst described this setup as “one of the strongest reversal signals” in technical analysis. Related Reading: Bitcoin Rebound Signals Healthier Bull Market Without Overheating, Analyst Says Ibrahimcosar explained that this pattern signals a weakening of bearish pressure, with buyers poised to regain control of the market. The first bottom of this formation was observed on May 23 at $106,800, followed by a second low on May 25 at $106,600. For the uninitiated, the double bottom is a bullish reversal chart pattern that forms after a downtrend, characterized by two distinct lows at a similar level with a moderate peak – called neckline – in between. According to the CryptoQuant contributor, the current neckline is around $109,000. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is hovering just above this neckline, confirming the breakout. Importantly, the breakout was accompanied by a surge in trading volume, which analysts interpret as a sign of robust bullish momentum. If $109,000 holds as support, then price levels beyond $112,000 could be on the horizon. The analyst explained in their Quicktake post: Double bottoms are where the market says: ‘We’ve sold enough.’ When buyers defend the second bottom, it sends a message: Now it’s our turn. But remember, not every pattern plays out. Know your risk, make your decision. Fellow analyst Ali Martinez echoed this sentiment in a recent post on X, sharing the following BTC hourly chart that highlights a breakout from the recent downtrend. According to Martinez, Bitcoin is now targeting the $110,000 level and potentially higher. Good Days Ahead For BTC Following a rough first quarter in 2025, Bitcoin has shown significant recovery, surging from a local bottom of $74,508 on April 6 to nearly $110,000. This recent rally has revived bullish sentiment across the market. Related Reading: Technical Analyst Predicts Bitcoin Price Blow Off Top To $325,000 – The Timeline Will Shock You Fueling the optimism are strong inflows into spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs), indicating renewed institutional interest. Meanwhile, Bitcoin’s open interest recently hit a fresh all-time high, reinforcing expectations of continued price momentum. However, not all indicators are aligned. Bitcoin whales – large holders of BTC – have shown mixed behavior, with some accumulating while others appear to be taking profits. At press time, BTC trades at $109,998, up 2.2% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant, X, and Tradingview.com
As Bitcoin (BTC) hit a new all-time high (ATH) of $111,980 on Binance crypto exchange yesterday, technical data suggests that the latest BTC rally is being dominated by buyers. If this trend continues, BTC may see further price appreciation in the near term. Buyers Regain Control Of Bitcoin Spot Market According to a recent CryptoQuant Quicktake post by crypto analyst ibrahimcosar, buyers appear to be dominating the BTC spot market. The analyst observed that the Bitcoin Spot Taker Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) has shifted back into green territory. For the uninitiated, Bitcoin Spot Taker CVD measures the difference between taker buy and taker sell volumes on spot exchanges over time. A rising Spot Taker CVD indicates that aggressive buyers are dominating the market, signalling potential bullish momentum. Related Reading: Bitcoin Retail Demand Rises 3.4% As Small Investors Return To The Market – New ATH Soon? BTC Spot Taker CVD turning green is signficant. Most notably, it means buy orders have regained dominance after an extended period in which sell orders led the market. A higher volume of buy orders over time suggests that Bitcoin’s current bullish momentum may persist. As shown in the chart shared by ibrahimcosar, the CVD remained mostly red for the majority of Q1 2025 – indicating strong selling pressure. This selling behavior aligned with BTC’s price action, which saw the asset fall from its previous ATH in January to a low of around $76,000 in April. The fact that BTC’s Spot Taker CVD has turned green while the asset is setting fresh ATHs makes this trend especially noteworthy. It indicates that buyers are willing to accumulate BTC even at historically high prices, likely in anticipation of continued upside. That said, recent price action might temporarily interrupt BTC’s momentum. In an X post, crypto analyst Ali Martinez suggested that BTC could soon break down from its current range of $110,400 to $111,100. A Different Kind Of Rally Typically, BTC hitting a new ATH is usually met with wider market euphoria, leading to a sharp price decline that catches most investors off-guard. However, experts opine that the current rally is different from previous cycles. Related Reading: Bitcoin Near ATH, But Long-Term Holders Aren’t Selling – More Upside Ahead? Recent analysis by CryptoQuant contributor Crazzyblockk suggests that new and short-term BTC investors are sitting on substantial unrealized profits, and not showing any signs of panic selling amid the cryptocurrency’s price surge to new highs. Similarly, whale reaction to BTC’s bullish price trajectory has been mixed. While new whales have been taking major profits during the ongoing rally, old whales have resisted selling their holdings, showing minimal selling activity. Finally, the neutral funding rates in the BTC futures market reinforce the idea that the current rally is more organic and less driven by speculation than those in the past. At press time, BTC trades at $108,553, down 2.6% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant, X, and Tradingview.com
Yesterday, Bitcoin (BTC) made a fresh all-time high (ATH) of $111,880 on Binance crypto exchange following months of downward action during the first quarter of the year. The leading cryptocurrency has rebounded over 45% from its April 6 low of approximately $76,000, and recent whale behavior suggests that long-term holders see further upside potential. Bitcoin ATH Sees Mixed Reaction From Whales According to a recent CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Crazzyblockk, new whales – wallets that have held substantial BTC amounts for less than 30 days – have been aggressively taking profits during the current price rally, contributing to increased selling pressure. Related Reading: Bitcoin Retail Demand Rises 3.4% As Small Investors Return To The Market – New ATH Soon? In contrast, old whales – wallets holding significant BTC for over six months – have shown minimal selling activity. This indicates long-term confidence in Bitcoin and expectations of continued price appreciation. Meanwhile, whales active between 7 to 30 days ago have engaged in moderate profit-taking, suggesting cautious participation in the ongoing rally. While the restrained activity from old whales is a positive signal, some indicators point to caution regarding the rally’s sustainability. For example, the Net Realized Profit/Loss (NRPL) during the current price surge is significantly lower than levels observed during previous 2024-2025 market tops. This indicates weaker overall profit-taking momentum among investors. For the uninitiated, NRPL measures the net profit or loss investors are locking in when they sell their Bitcoin, based on the price difference between acquisition and sale. A high NRPL indicates strong profit-taking behavior, while a low or negative NRPL suggests reduced enthusiasm or capitulation. Is The Market Headed Further Up? Although a low NRPL may imply that the market is not yet euphoric – a potentially healthy sign – it also raises concerns about the strength and sustainability of the ongoing rally. These dynamics could influence BTC’s price trajectory across different timeframes. Related Reading: Buy Bitcoin, Ditch The Banks Before It’s Too Late—Kiyosaki In the short-term, continued profit-taking by new whales may trigger a price correction to neutralize overheated market conditions. A drop in price could send BTC back to the $100,000-$105,000 support zone. In contrast, in the mid-term, the ongoing inactivity of old whales coupled with low NRPL levels could support a bullish continuation after a consolidation phase. Investors may view pullbacks as opportunities to accumulate more BTC. To conclude, while a short-term price correction remains possible, the mid-term outlook for Bitcoin is largely optimistic – assuming old whales maintain their positions and NRPL remains low. This aligns with recent on-chain analyses showing that many new BTC investors are sitting on solid unrealized gains and are not showing signs of panic selling, despite Bitcoin trading close to ATHs. At press time, BTC trades at $111,500, up 4.2% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant and TradingView.com
Having surged about 22.5% over the past 30 days, Bitcoin (BTC) has sparked concerns in the crypto market that its rally may be nearing exhaustion, with a potential price correction on the horizon. However, the latest on-chain data reveals that despite elevated unrealized profits, there are still no signs of increased selling pressure for the leading cryptocurrency. Bitcoin Unrealized Profits Remain High But No Panic Selling Yet According to a recent CryptoQuant Quicktake post by Bitcoin analyst Crazzyblockk, the cohort of new investors – those who have held BTC for less than one month – is currently sitting on unrealized profits of 6.9%. Related Reading: Bitcoin Near ATH, But Long-Term Holders Aren’t Selling – More Upside Ahead? In the same vein, short-term investors – holders who have held Bitcoin for less than six months – are sitting on unrealized profits of 10.7%. These figures highlight that the unrealized profit/loss ratio remains elevated, with unrealized profits far outweighing unrealized losses. Crazzyblockk noted that while historically, a high percentage of unrealized profits across the network tends to precede sharp price corrections, the current setup appears different. They added: Past cycles have shown that extreme profit concentration tends to precede volatility; however, current market structure shows no outsized concentration of risk in one participant group. The relatively narrow spread in unrealized profits between new and short-term holders indicates that profit distribution is balanced. Furthermore, although profit levels are high, loss levels remain compressed, suggesting limited pressure from distressed sellers. The contributor remarked: While macro conditions and volatility risk remain elevated, and a price correction cannot be ruled out, there is no strong behavioral signal suggesting a high willingness to trigger major distribution or selling. Further Upside For BTC? Meanwhile, seasoned crypto analyst Ali Martinez recently predicted further upside for Bitcoin. In a post on X, Martinez noted that BTC has undergone another bullish breakout, with the potential to reach a new all-time high (ATH) around $111,500. The current momentum has also drawn in retail investors. According to CryptoQuant contributor Carmelo Aleman, wallets holding less than $10,000 worth of BTC are steadily returning to the market – a sign of growing retail participation. Related Reading: Bitcoin Market Cycle Indicator Hints At Bullish Breakout Ahead, Analyst Says That said, some warning signs may still dampen BTC’s current bullish trajectory. For instance, despite the recent encouraging price action, Bitcoin’s Demand Momentum remains subdued. Similarly, Bitcoin’s “supply scarcity” narrative still lacks meaningful strength, as Aleman recently stressed that despite depleting exchange reserves, BTC is not likely to face genuine supply scarcity in the near term. At press time, BTC trades at $106,528, up 1.8% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant, X, and TradingView.com
Retail participation in the Bitcoin (BTC) market is on the rise, as on-chain data indicates that smaller investors are gradually re-entering the space. This renewed activity is often a sign of growing confidence in the asset and can act as a catalyst for the next leg up in price. Bitcoin Witnesses Rise In Retail Participation According to a recent CryptoQuant Quicktake post by on-chain analyst Carmelo Aleman, retail investors – defined as wallets holding less than $10,000 worth of BTC – are steadily returning to the market. These participants are typically the most reactive to market movements. Related Reading: Bitcoin Market Cycle Indicator Hints At Bullish Breakout Ahead, Analyst Says Aleman noted that while retail investors may not always time the market as effectively as institutional players, their behavior remains a key barometer of broader market sentiment. As more retail investors join, they tend to create a positive feedback loop, reinforcing bullish narratives and driving increased buying pressure, which can attract even more participants. The BTC: Retail Investor 30-Day Change indicator reflects this trend. Since turning positive on April 28, the indicator has shown a 3.4% increase in retail buying through May 13, signalling a strong resurgence in small-investor activity. Aleman added that if Bitcoin maintains its upward momentum, the broader crypto market could benefit, as retail investors may begin diversifying into other assets in search of higher returns. He wrote: This could benefit the entire crypto space, as small investors are likely to diversify into other projects, including DeFi, staking, futures, and other instruments. All signs point to this shift in retail behavior being the start of a new wave of mass adoption in the cryptocurrency market. Aleman also emphasized monitoring other on-chain indicators such as active addresses, unspent transaction output (UTXO) count, new addresses, and transfer volume, which often rise in tandem with growing retail activity. A Few Warning Signs For BTC While rising retail interest is encouraging, a few red flags suggest caution. Notably, the Exchange Stablecoins Ratio (USD) recently surged to 5.3 during Bitcoin’s rally to $104,000. This suggests that BTC reserves on exchanges now exceed stablecoin balances – a signal that selling pressure could be building. Related Reading: Bitcoin Flashing Pre-Rally Signals Seen Before Major 2024 Breakouts, Analyst Says According to CryptoQuant contributor EgyHash, a reading above 5.0 is historically significant. A similar spike to 6.1 in January was followed by a sharp price correction, indicating that investors may be rotating from BTC back into cash. Despite some cautionary indicators, Bitcoin continues to exhibit bullish momentum. The Stochastic RSI is showing renewed strength, and other technical signals suggest the rally could continue. At press time, BTC trades at $103,993, up 0.3% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant and Tradingview.com
Ethereum (ETH) has surged over 40% in the past two weeks, trading in the mid-$2,000 range at the time of writing. Notably, several key indicators suggest that the ongoing ETH rally is being driven more by spot market demand than leveraged trading – an encouraging sign of a potentially sustainable bull run. Ethereum Rally Driven By Spot Demand After lagging behind other major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin (BTC), Solana (SOL), and XRP for much of the past year, ETH is now showing signs of an organic uptrend. According to CryptoQuant analyst ShayanMarkets, the current momentum appears to be primarily spot-driven, rather than fueled by speculative futures trading. Related Reading: Ethereum Stuck Between Retail Sell-Off And Whale Accumulation, Analyst Explains In a recent CryptoQuant Quicktake post, ShayanMarkets highlighted that ETH funding rates have remained ‘relatively flat’ despite the price surge. This is significant because funding rates are typically a reflection of sentiment in the perpetual futures market. To explain, funding rates are periodic payments exchanged between traders in perpetual futures contracts to keep the contract price aligned with the spot price of the asset. Positive funding rates indicate that long positions are paying shorts, typically signaling bullish market sentiment, while negative rates suggest bearish sentiment. In Ethereum’s case, flat funding rates during this recent rally indicate that the upward price action is being powered by genuine buying in the spot market, not speculative leverage. This makes the uptrend less prone to sudden reversals triggered by mass liquidations. As ShayanMarkets noted: Still, for the bullish momentum to be sustained and validated, funding rates should begin to rise, reflecting increased confidence and more aggressive positioning by futures traders. Meanwhile, other analysts predict further upside for ETH. For instance, noted crypto analyst Ali Martinez recently remarked that if ETH can decisively break through the $2,380 resistance level, then it could enter a new bull rally. In his latest X post, Martinez emphasized that ETH’s new critical support range lies between $2,060 and $2,420. The analyst noted that close to 10 million wallets hold more than 69 million ETH between these levels. New ETH ATH On The Horizon? Although Ethereum remains well below its all-time high (ATH) of $4,878 reached in November 2021, many market watchers believe a new ATH for the second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap could be on the horizon. Related Reading: Ethereum ‘Insanely Undervalued’ As Accumulation Addresses Keep Stacking – Is A Rally Imminent? In the same vein, crypto analyst Titan of Crypto recently noted that ETH is following a V-shape recovery. The analyst shared the following weekly chart that compares BTC and ETH price action, predicting that ETH is likely to follow BTC’s trajectory. Meanwhile, analyst Ted Pillows outlined five bullish factors that could push ETH to $12,000 in 2025 – including favorable regulatory developments and strong inflows into spot exchange-traded funds (ETF). At press time, ETH trades at $2,555, up 3% in the past 24 hours. Featured image created with Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant, X, and TradingView.com
According to a recent CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor burakkemeci, Bitcoin (BTC) is beginning to show signs of a trend reversal after weeks of downward movement. Notably, BTC surged past $100,000 yesterday for the first time since February 3. Bitcoin On The Verge Of Trend Reversal? At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading slightly above $100,000, approximately 5.2% below its all-time high (ATH) of $108,786, set earlier this year on January 20. The leading cryptocurrency has staged an impressive rebound of over 20% from its recent low of $74,508 recorded on April 6. Related Reading: Bitcoin ‘Apparent Demand’ Makes Sharp Rebound – Will BTC Breakout Soon? In their analysis, crypto analyst burakkemeci referred to the CryptoQuant Bull-Bear Market Cycle indicator, saying that it is flashing the early signs of a potential bullish trend reversal. The analyst noted: With Bitcoin surging back above $100K, the indicator has started flashing bullish signals again – for the first time in weeks. Although the signal is still weak (coefficient: 0.029), the mere appearance of a positive shift is encouraging. To explain, the CryptoQuant Bull-Bear Market Cycle indicator is an on-chain tool that tracks long-term and short-term market sentiment by comparing price momentum and investor behavior trends. It uses two key components – the 30-day and 365-day moving averages (MA) – to identify shifts between bull and bear cycles. Importantly, the analyst pointed out that the Bull-Bear 30-day MA has started to turn upward. If this metric crosses above the 365-day MA, historical trends suggest Bitcoin could enter a phase of parabolic price growth. Recent macroeconomic developments may further support the bullish narrative for Bitcoin. Julien Bittel, Head of Macro Research at Global Macro Investor, recently highlighted the relationship between the global M2 money supply and the price of BTC. Bittel shared a chart that overlays BTC’s price with the M2 money supply, adjusted with a 12-week lag. The data reveals a steep increase in global liquidity since early 2025, implying that BTC could follow this trend and continue rising in the months ahead. Warning Signs Still Linger For BTC Despite recent strength, not all signals are bullish. Analysts caution that the current rally has been accompanied by aggressive profit-taking, increasing the chances of a local top forming. Related Reading: Bitcoin Still Far From A True Supply Shock, Analyst Explains Further, recent analysis shows that BTC’s Demand Momentum is yet to come out of negative territory. The analyst noted that such market behavior is mostly prevalent during late-cycle distribution phases or macro-level consolidation periods. That said, Bitcoin’s Stochastic Relative Strength Index (RSI) is beginning to reflect renewed bullish momentum. At press time, BTC trades at $103,444, up 4% in the past 24 hours. Featured image created with Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant, X, and TradingView.com
According to a recent CryptoQuant Quicktake post, Bitcoin (BTC) investors are aggressively taking profits following the latest surge in the digital asset’s price. This uptick in profit-taking mirrors investor behavior typically seen during the late stages of a bull market. Bitcoin Profit-Taking Rises – A Cause For Worry? Bitcoin’s 7-day moving average (MA) net realized profit/loss has mostly remained positive since early 2024. The metric surged as high as $1 billion a day as the flagship cryptocurrency pushed towards new all-time highs (ATH) last year. Although BTC experienced a sharp downturn between March and April 2025, profit-taking remained robust as Bitcoin recovered most of its losses. The asset is currently trading in the mid-$90,000 range. Related Reading: Bitcoin Flashing Pre-Rally Signals Seen Before Major 2024 Breakouts, Analyst Says CryptoQuant contributor Kripto Mevsimi noted that such strong realized profits – even as prices rise – typically signal a late-stage bull market. Drawing comparisons to the 2021 market cycle, Mevsimi pointed out that similar patterns preceded a local top. However, the launch of spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in January 2024 has altered the market structure to a great extent. That said, investor psychology has remained the same in that profit-taking patterns still align with historical patterns, though now with greater speed and volume. Mevsimi shared several possible scenarios that may play out in the market. First, If realized profits remain high, the likelihood of a sharp correction increases. This may push BTC back toward $90,000. On the contrary, if profit-taking declines, it could indicate the start of a market cycle transition. Either way, short-term volatility is expected to rise. The post adds: The signal is not calling a full macro top, but it’s flashing a local caution zone. As always: zoom out, and follow behavior — not just price. BTC Could See A Temporary Pullback Meanwhile, seasoned crypto analyst Ali Martinez warned that BTC may retest the $97,700 resistance ahead of today’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, which could trigger another short-term pullback. Additionally, Bitcoin’s supply scarcity narrative is being questioned. While exchange reserves continue to dwindle, recent on-chain data suggests a supply squeeze is unlikely in the near term. Related Reading: Bitcoin Surpasses Realized Price Of Recent Buyers — Rally Incoming Or Double Top? In similar news, Bitcoin’s demand momentum is yet to recover from negative territory. Recent data shows that market participants are still favoring short-term speculation over holding BTC for the long-term. That said, momentum indicators like the Bitcoin Stochastic RSI are showing renewed strength, bolstering the case for BTC to reach a new ATH. At press time, BTC trades at $97,248, up 3.4% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant, X, and Tradingview.com
According to a recent X post by crypto trader Coinvo, Ethereum (ETH) is ‘insanely undervalued’ at its current price. Several on-chain metrics appear to support Coinvo’s assessment, as ETH accumulation addresses continue to stack the digital asset despite lackluster price performance over the past few years. Ethereum May Be Due A Rally Soon Although ETH has risen 8% over the past two weeks, it remains down 43% over the past year, trading around $1,700 at the time of writing. From its all-time high (ATH), Ethereum is down 63.6%, in stark contrast to Bitcoin (BTC), which is trading just 13.7% below its ATH. Related Reading: Ethereum Capitulation Nearing Its End? Key On-Chain Metric Reveals Insights Ethereum’s relatively poor performance compared to other major cryptocurrencies has raised questions about its long-term outlook. While Bitcoin benefits from its first-mover advantage and broader institutional adoption, Ethereum faces increasing competition from rival smart contract platforms like Solana (SOL), SUI, and Polkadot (DOT). Despite prevailing negative sentiment, some analysts believe ETH could be on the verge of a turnaround. Coinvo, for instance, claims that Ethereum is significantly undervalued and could be poised for a massive rally. The trader shared the following chart leveraging the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) Z-score – a metric used to identify potential market tops and bottoms. According to the chart, Ethereum’s MVRV Z-score has now entered the green zone – between 0 and -1 – a range that historically signals a market bottom and possible trend reversal. Meanwhile, inflows into Ethereum accumulation addresses have surged to historic highs. In an X post, analyst CryptoGoos shared a chart showing record ETH inflows into these addresses in 2025. High inflows to accumulation addresses indicate that long-term investors are actively buying and holding ETH, even during market downturns. This behavior often reflects growing confidence in Ethereum’s future value and suggests a potential bullish sentiment building beneath the surface. In a separate post, CryptoGoos also highlighted that Ethereum’s exchange reserves are at a multi-year low. Diminishing reserves on exchanges point to reduced selling pressure and a tightening supply, which could strengthen ETH’s scarcity narrative and drive prices higher in the near term. ETH Holders Not ‘Bullish Enough’ Noted analyst Crypto Rover drew parallels between ETH’s current price action and BTC’s 2021 trajectory. According to the analyst, if Ethereum mirrors Bitcoin’s past performance, it may be on track to reach a new ATH in the coming months. Related Reading: Ethereum Holders Stay Committed Despite Unrealized Losses – Signs Of An Incoming Rally? That said, concerns remain around further decline in ETH’s price if the global macroeconomic situation worsens amid the US President Donald Trump’s looming reciprocal trade tariffs. At press time, ETH trades at $1,754, down 2.1% in the past 24 hours. Featured image created with Unsplash, charts from X and TradingView.com
According to a recent CryptoQuant Quicktake post, Ethereum (ETH) accumulation addresses are continuing to stack ETH despite mounting unrealized losses. In the analysis, CryptoQuant contributor Carmelo Aleman noted that these addresses have increased their exposure to ETH, even as the asset trades well below recent highs. Ethereum Holders Are Staying Put Despite Unrealized Loss Since reaching its cycle high of $4,107 in December 2024, ETH has experienced a sharp pullback of over 50%, currently trading around the $1,800 mark. Despite this steep correction, long-term ETH holders – particularly those behind accumulation addresses – have not been deterred. Instead of exiting their positions, they continue to hold firm. Related Reading: Ethereum Capitulation Nearing Its End? Key On-Chain Metric Reveals Insights Interestingly, since March 10, on-chain data reveals that many of these accumulation addresses have entered unrealized loss territory. For context, ETH fell to a local low of $1,866 while its Realized Price stood at $2,026. For the uninitiated, an accumulation address is a crypto wallet that steadily receives and holds a particular asset – like Ethereum – without sending it out. These addresses are typically long-term holders, ones who have held ETH for more than 155 days. When accumulation addresses continue to acquire assets in the face of declining prices, it often signals that investors expect a bullish reversal in the near future. These wallets essentially represent “strong hands” in the market. Similarly, Realized Price is the average price at which all coins in a cryptocurrency network were last moved, calculated by dividing the total realized market cap by the circulating supply. It reflects the aggregate cost basis of holders and is often used to assess whether the market is in profit or loss. Since March 10, the Realized Price for these addresses has dropped by 2.32%, from $2,026 to $1,980 as of May 3. Yet, rather than scaling back, these addresses have increased their ETH holdings significantly. Aleman adds: Despite the continued downtrend, and even while in unrealized losses, accumulating addresses have not abandoned their strategy. Instead, they increased their ETH exposure: on March 10 they held 15.5356M ETH, and by May 3 this rose to 19.0378M ETH, a 22.54% increase, as seen in the ETH Cohort analysis and Balance on Accumulation Addresses. Has ETH Hit Market Bottom? While some analysts warn that ETH could fall further – possibly to as low as $1,200 – others believe that the second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap may have already bottomed out for this cycle. Related Reading: Is Ethereum Repeating Its 2020 Trend Reversal? Analyst Predicts ETH To ‘Explode’ In Q2 2025 Adding to the optimism, ETH recently formed a golden cross on the daily chart, a bullish technical signal that typically precedes upward momentum. As press time, ETH is trading at $1,801, down 1.4% in the past 24 hours. Featured image created with Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant and TradingView.com
According to a recent CryptoQuant Quicktake post, Bitcoin (BTC) could be preparing for its next major move. Contributor Crypto Dan highlighted that BTC is currently forming an accumulation pattern similar to those observed in 2024 – patterns that were followed by significant rallies. Bitcoin Showing Signs Of Big Rally Bitcoin has surged over 13% in the past week, signaling renewed optimism in the digital assets market. This momentum comes amid easing global tariff-related tensions, which had previously created headwinds for risk-on assets. Alongside Bitcoin’s rise, the total cryptocurrency market capitalization has increased substantially – from approximately $2.5 trillion on April 8 to over $3.1 trillion at the time of writing. Related Reading: Bitcoin Surpasses Realized Price Of Recent Buyers — Rally Incoming Or Double Top? Adding to the positive sentiment is BTC’s evolving technical structure. In a recent analysis, CryptoQuant contributor outlined how BTC is forming an accumulation pattern that preceded major price rallies in 2024. The contributor shared the following chart, stating that BTC’s current movement appears to be mirroring that from January and October 2024. On both the instances, BTC entered a significant uptrend that was powered by a sharp increase in the activity of short-term holders. By “short-term holders,” the analyst refers to investors who typically hold BTC for one day to one week. In previous cycles, a sudden increase in activity from this group was followed by strong rallies – not only in BTC, but also across major altcoins. The analyst explained: Notably, this indicator has historically moved ahead of major price surges, making it a reliable signal of accumulation. If this trend continues in the short term, Bitcoin may be on track to break above $100K and enter a strong upward phase. Meanwhile, prominent crypto analyst Ali Martinez identified $97,530 as the next major resistance level. Martinez emphasized that surpassing this price point could clear the path for Bitcoin to reach new all-time highs (ATH). Despite The Momentum, Concerns Persist Despite growing optimism, not all indicators support an immediate breakout. Some analysts caution that Bitcoin still faces obstacles. Notably, the 30-day Demand Momentum remains in negative territory – suggesting that recent bullish sentiment may not be fully sustainable yet. Related Reading: Bitcoin Battles Key Resistance Level – Is A Breakdown Imminent? Additionally, on-chain metrics reveal that a truly parabolic move could take more time. CryptoQuant contributor Carmelo Aleman observed that while BTC reserves on exchanges continue to decline, indicating long-term holder confidence, there may not yet be enough pressure to trigger a full-blown supply shock. That said, one positive signal is a recent sharp rebound in Bitcoin’s Apparent Demand, which could indicate the early stages of a trend reversal. As of press time, Bitcoin is trading at $96,370, up 1.9% over the last 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant, X, and Tradingview.com
According to a recent CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Carmelo Aleman, Bitcoin (BTC) is “still far from a true supply shock.” The analyst cited several on-chain metrics to argue that despite declining exchange reserves, the leading cryptocurrency is unlikely to face genuine supply scarcity in the near term. Bitcoin Supply Shock? Not Just Yet Since April 21, BTC has been trading within a tight range between $91,500 and $95,800, offering few signals about its next directional move. While some analysts have repeatedly highlighted a potential supply shock that could drive Bitcoin’s price much higher, Aleman’s analysis offers a more cautious outlook. Related Reading: Bitcoin Demand Momentum Yet To Recover From Deep Negative Zone, Analyst Says According to Aleman, BTC reserves on centralized exchanges (CEXs) have declined steadily over the past year. Specifically, reserves dropped from 2,942,077 BTC on November 11, to 2,490,318 BTC as of April 28 – marking a 15.35% decrease in just five months. During the same period, Bitcoin’s Realized Capitalization – a metric that calculates the total value of BTC based on the price at which each coin last moved – has surged from $669.32 billion to $883.03 billion. This reflects an increase in the actual capital invested in the Bitcoin network, rather than market speculation alone. Aleman explains that as BTC becomes more “expensive,” a purchase of approximately 500,000 BTC at current prices could potentially drive the cryptocurrency’s price to $130,000–$140,000. However, he cautions that such a scenario would likely trigger significant selling pressure from miners. He adds: This behavior could counteract the decline in exchange reserves, since historically, miners tend to sell more as the price goes up. So even if reserves keep falling, a price surge would likely encourage enough selling to partially offset that drop. The analyst concludes that a true supply shock in this market cycle is unlikely unless Bitcoin sees a massive influx of capital – enough to push its Realized Capitalization to three or four times its current level. Technicals Point Toward BTC Breakout Despite the low probability of a supply-driven rally, all is not lost for the leading digital asset. Several technical indicators point toward an impending bullish rally for the cryptocurrency. Related Reading: Bitcoin ‘Apparent Demand’ Makes Sharp Rebound – Will BTC Breakout Soon? Notably, Bitcoin’s weekly Relative Strength Index (RSI) recently broke a long-standing downward trendline, indicating a potential momentum shift. This development could help BTC reclaim the $100,000 mark in the coming weeks. In addition, recent on-chain data shows that short-term holders are refraining from selling their BTC – even while in the red – which may signal growing investor confidence and a potential bullish reversal. At press time, BTC trades at $94,374, down 0.4% in the past 24 hours. Featured image created with Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant and TradingView.com
Despite Bitcoin (BTC) gaining notable traction over the past week – rising from approximately $85,000 on April 21 to nearly $95,000 today – the top cryptocurrency’s Demand Momentum remains significantly subdued, signalling caution among investors. Bitcoin Demand Momentum Continues To Be In Negative Zone According to a recent CryptoQuant Quicktake post by analyst Crazzyblockk, Bitcoin’s 30-day Demand Momentum is still firmly in negative territory. Currently, the 30-day Demand Momentum stands at around -483,860 BTC, while the 30-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) of the same metric is hovering near -310,700 BTC. Related Reading: Bitcoin Must Clear This Critical Cost Basis Level For Continued Upside, Analyst Says To clarify, the 30-day Demand Momentum is calculated by subtracting the 30-day Long-Term Holder (LTH) Supply from the 30-day Short-Term Holder (STH) Supply. This metric effectively measures the net shift in active demand for BTC. A rise in short-term holder supply relative to long-term holders implies that market participants are increasingly opting to speculate rather than hold Bitcoin for the long haul. Trading in the negative zone suggests waning demand from short-term investors. This could be attributed to profit-taking – especially after BTC’s recent 10% rally over the past seven days – or lingering market uncertainty amid global economic concerns, including renewed trade tariff tensions. Furthermore, the market is experiencing a dynamic where long-term holders are absorbing fewer BTC than what short-term holders are distributing. According to Crazzyblockk, such behavior is commonly observed during late-cycle distribution phases or macro-level consolidation periods. It is worth noting that Bitcoin has previously experienced similar deep negative divergences in Demand Momentum, specifically during mid-2021 and the second quarter of 2022. In both instances, these divergences were followed by sharp price pullbacks. On an optimistic note, the ensuing market recovery on both the instances coincided with market bottoms. They also marked the resumption of sustainable bullish momentum in the following months. If Bitcoin can reverse this negative demand trend and push the metric back into positive territory, it could signal a strong resurgence in investor conviction. A return to the “green zone” would likely mark a renewed uptrend, potentially pushing BTC to a new all-time high (ATH) in the near term. Positive Signs Emerging For BTC While Demand Momentum remains weak, other market signals suggest that Bitcoin could be nearing a trend reversal. For example, Bitcoin’s Apparent Demand – a separate on-chain metric – has recently shown a sharp rebound, hinting at a possible return of buying pressure. Related Reading: Bitcoin Surpasses Realized Price Of Recent Buyers — Rally Incoming Or Double Top? Additionally, BTC exchange reserves continue to decline rapidly. According to recent data, Bitcoin just recorded its highest exchange withdrawal volume in two years. This ongoing depletion of exchange-held BTC could lead to a supply squeeze, further supporting bullish price action. Technical indicators also point toward the possibility of BTC testing its current ATH of $108,786. At press time, Bitcoin is trading at $94,773, up 0.3% over the past 24 hours. Featured image created with Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant and TradingView.com
Bitcoin (BTC) continues to hover in the mid-$90,000 range, posting modest gains over the weekend following reports that China has exempted certain US-based products from a 125% tariff rate. However, the leading cryptocurrency now faces a critical resistance level that could determine its near-term price trajectory. What Do On-Chain Metrics Indicate? In a recent CryptoQuant Quicktake post, on-chain analyst BorisVest noted that BTC has entered a stagnation phase as short-term holders have begun realizing profits. The contributor warned that if this ongoing profit-taking is not fully absorbed, it could trigger a fresh wave of selling. Related Reading: Bitcoin Must Clear This Critical Cost Basis Level For Continued Upside, Analyst Says BorisVest also highlighted that BTC exchange reserves – which had been depleting at a significant rate until last week – are now starting to stabilize. As a result, enhanced selling pressure could emerge for the apex cryptocurrency. The analyst added that both BTC inflows and outflows on crypto exchanges are currently balanced, suggesting a neutral market state. Moreover, while short-term holders were previously selling at a loss, they have now entered profitable territory. The Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR) has risen to 1.04, indicating that investors who bought BTC at recent lows – possibly around $76,000 earlier this month – are now cashing out. For those unfamiliar, SOPR measures the profit or loss of Bitcoin transactions by comparing the price at which coins were originally acquired to the price at which they are now spent. A SOPR value above 1 signals that holders are selling at a profit, while a value below 1 indicates they are selling at a loss. Additionally, the current SOPR metric reveals increased selling activity with rising prices, suggesting that BTC whales and institutional investors are likely taking profits. The Net Realized Profit and Loss (NRPL) metric supports this view, having sharply rebounded from about $2 billion in realized losses to $3 billion in realized gains. Bitcoin Faces Critical Resistance – Can BTC Continue Its Rally? According to the post, Bitcoin now faces significant resistance at $96,000. If BTC manages to break through this level with strong volume and momentum, it could turn this resistance into a new support base and continue its rally. Related Reading: Bitcoin Following Gold’s Footsteps? Analyst Sets Mid-Term Target At $155,000 Conversely, a failure to decisively break through $96,000 could stall Bitcoin’s rally and potentially trigger a price pullback toward the $80,000 range. Therefore, monitoring BTC’s price behavior around this critical resistance level will be crucial. That said, Bitcoin’s apparent demand has recently shown a sharp momentum shift, reigniting hopes for a sustained rally that could lead to a new all-time high. At press time, BTC is trading at $93,972, up 0.3% over the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant and Tradingview.com
As Bitcoin (BTC) edges closer to the psychologically significant $100,000 milestone, several technical and on-chain indicators suggest that a major breakout could be on the horizon. One such metric – Bitcoin’s Apparent Demand – has shown a strong rebound, signalling renewed interest and sustained accumulation in the market. Bitcoin Sees Sharp Rebound In Apparent Demand According to a recent CryptoQuant Quicktake post, contributor IT Tech pointed to a significant rise in BTC’s Apparent Demand. Most notably, this key indicator has returned to positive territory after spending several consecutive weeks in the red. Related Reading: Bitcoin Enters New Phase: Analyst Predicts Positive Movement In 2025 For the uninitiated, Bitcoin’s Apparent Demand (30-day sum) measures the cumulative net demand for BTC over the past 30 days by tracking wallet accumulation and exchange outflows. A sharp increase in this metric suggests strong, sustained buying pressure, which can indicate bullish sentiment and potential for a price rally. The following chart illustrates this rebound in BTC’s Apparent Demand, which essentially reflects net changes in one-year inactive supply adjusted by daily block rewards – a metric designed to better represent organic demand growth. Previously, this metric had fallen deeply into negative territory – dipping below -200,000 (highlighted in red) – suggesting waning demand. However, its recent reversal into positive territory signals that long-dormant capital is flowing back into the market. As noted in the post: The demand pivot is closely aligned with the recent price rebound above $87K, implying this recovery is underpinned by real on-chain behavior rather than purely speculative flows. This marks the first positive Apparent Demand reading since February and aligns with rising inflows into spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs), as well as growing accumulation by long-term holders. Data from SoSoValue shows that US-based spot BTC ETFs have recorded five consecutive days of net positive inflows, totalling more than $2.5 billion. The cumulative net inflow into spot BTC ETFs now stands at an impressive $38.05 billion. Is A BTC Rally In Sight? IT Tech noted that past reversals in Apparent Demand have historically preceded either significant rallies or periods of strong price support. If the current trend continues, BTC may have the momentum needed to challenge the $90,000 level in the near term. Related Reading: Bitcoin Surpasses Realized Price Of Recent Buyers — Rally Incoming Or Double Top? However, analysts caution that Bitcoin must hold its current support around $91,500 to maintain upward momentum. This level is particularly important because it is close to the realized price of short-term BTC holders, according to CryptoQuant contributor Crazzyblockk. Further adding to this outlook, prominent crypto analyst Rekt Capital emphasized that Bitcoin needs to secure a weekly close above $93,500 and reclaim it as support in order to establish a clear path to $100,000. At press time, BTC trades at $94,492, up 2% in the last 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant and Tradingview.com
Ethereum (ETH), the second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap, is up 9.9% over the past week. Recent analyses suggest the digital asset may continue its bullish momentum in the near-term. Ethereum Flashes Golden Cross According to a recent X post by crypto analyst Titan of Crypto, Ethereum has formed a golden cross on the daily chart. A golden cross typically precedes significant price rallies, and the continuation of this bullish price action could push ETH beyond $2,000 soon. Related Reading: Ethereum Nears ‘Critical Zone’ Historically Linked To Market Bottoms – Is A Rebound Incoming? For the uninitiated, a golden cross is a technical indicator that flashes when the 50-day moving average (MA) crosses the 200-day moving average (MA). The indicator often suggests a shift from a downtrend to an uptrend in the underlying asset’s price. The following chart shows the golden cross, with the upward-sloping red line (50-day MA) overtaking the downward-sloping blue line (200-day MA). If this trend holds, it could set the stage for further gains, with the $2,000 mark acting as the next psychological resistance level. Other analysts also support Titan of Crypto’s bullish outlook for ETH. For example, fellow analyst JJcycles shared a weekly chart illustrating striking similarities between ETH’s current structure and that of Bitcoin (BTC) during past cycles. JJcycles noted that ETH may currently be trading near the bottom of the range – close to the support trendline – similar to BTC’s price action around $5,000 following the March 2020 COVID-19 crash. Potential ETH Targets? In another X post, crypto trading account Bitcoinsensus pointed out that Ethereum is forming a large bull flag pattern on the monthly chart. The account noted that ETH is currently near the lower boundary of the flag, with a potential breakout target of up to $8,000. Likewise, seasoned analyst TraderPA suggested ETH is in a reaccumulation phase and could be poised for a strong rally. According to TraderPA, ETH may surge to $6,000 before the year ends. On-chain metrics also support the case for a bullish reversal. Crypto analyst Ali Martinez recently noted that Ethereum’s Entity-Adjusted Dormancy Flow has dropped below one million – a level that often indicates the asset is undervalued. Related Reading: Ethereum Sentiment Dips Among Retail Investors, Yet A Breakout Looms Despite the positive indicators, concerns about further downside remain. Ethereum’s weak performance in recent months, coupled with repeated breakdowns through key support levels, raises the risk of a drop to $1,200. Nonetheless, ETH is projected to see significant price appreciation in Q2 2025, with some analysts forecasting a new all-time high by year’s end. At press time, ETH trades at $1,755, down 3.3% in the last 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from X and Tradingview.com
Recent positive price action has propelled Bitcoin (BTC) above the short-term holders’ realized price of $91,000. This development has prompted some crypto analysts to question whether BTC’s newfound strength is sustainable – or merely a bull trap ahead of a major pullback. Is Bitcoin About To Rally Or Will It Double Top? US President Donald Trump’s recent statement that tariffs on China will be “substantially” lower than the proposed 145% provided a boost to risk-on assets. Both equity and crypto markets responded positively, with BTC up 5.6% over the past 24 hours. Related Reading: Bitcoin Rally Ahead? Analysts Say These Key Indicators Look Bullish Bitcoin is currently trading in the low $90,000s for the first time since March, renewing hopes for an extended rally that could push it past the $100,000 mark. However, CryptoQuant contributor Avocado_onchain urges caution. In a recent CryptoQuant Quicktake post, the on-chain analyst provided insights into the behavior of the 1–3 month holder cohort. This group typically enters the market during bullish phases and tends to hold their BTC through price corrections. The analyst shared the following chart, illustrating how these short-term participants often transition into the 3–6 month holding category – highlighted with a yellow arrow – during extended drawdowns. Conversely, during strong rallies – highlighted with a green arrow – this group tends to take profits by selling to new market entrants. As the market nears the final stages of a rally – highlighted with a red circle – this cohort usually grows significantly in size. When a drawdown begins, these short-term holders often exit the market as prices approach their realized cost basis. Avocado_onchain also shared another chart showing how the peaks of previous BTC halving cycles have consistently surpassed the average realized price of 1–3 month holders. Further, the analyst warned that the current market cycle may mirror the double top formation witnessed in 2021. They added: When Bitcoin hit its all-time high of $109,000 in January 2025, it significantly exceeded this realized price level, suggesting that may have been the first top of a potential double top formation. Hence, rather than chasing the rally, it may be wiser for current holders to adopt a more cautious approach. Macro Headwinds Could Derail BTC Momentum The analyst further cautioned that limited market liquidity and macroeconomic factors – such as US-China tariff tensions – could weigh heavily on risk-on assets like BTC. That said, market sentiment can shift rapidly, and the entry of fresh liquidity could reignite a full-scale bull market. Related Reading: Bitcoin Following Gold’s Footsteps? Analyst Sets Mid-Term Target At $155,000 Meanwhile, crypto analyst Xanrox recently warned that BTC’s breakout from a falling wedge pattern may be a whale-driven trap designed to lure retail investors before another leg down. At press time, Bitcoin is trading at $93,754, up 5.6% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant and Tradingview.com
In a recent CryptoQuant Quicktake post, contributor Crazzyblockk highlighted key Bitcoin (BTC) cost basis zones that the leading cryptocurrency must clear – or avoid breaking below – to sustain its bullish momentum. Analyst Highlights Key Bitcoin Cost Basis Zones Bitcoin is beginning to show signs of newfound strength, with the top digital asset surging nearly 3.5% over the past week and trading in the high $80,000 range at the time of writing. BTC’s rise amid the global equity market downturn has reignited discussions about the cryptocurrency’s potential to ‘decouple’ from traditional markets. Related Reading: Bitcoin Rally Ahead? Analysts Say These Key Indicators Look Bullish In a recent Quicktake post, CryptoQuant contributor Crazzyblockk outlined Bitcoin’s various cost basis zones and realized price cohorts to identify key resistance and support levels. The analyst noted that short-term holders – those who have held BTC for less than 155 days – currently have their realized price, or average cost, sitting at the $91,500 resistance level. Crazzyblockk added that this group tends to be the most price-sensitive. On the other hand, the cost basis for new holders – those who have held the digital asset for one to three months – currently has its strongest support level around $83,700. The analyst pointed out that this level represents the cost basis of recent market participants, who often lead short-term trend changes. To clarify, cost basis zones are price levels where a significant amount of BTC was last moved or acquired. A potential breakout above the short-term holders’ realized price would suggest new bullish momentum, as these holders would be back in profit and less likely to sell their holdings. Conversely, a break below the new holders’ cost basis support level could signal potential downside movement, as recent buyers might begin incurring losses and be forced to capitulate. Notably, each cost basis line highlighted in the chart below is calculated based on the realized price of Unspent Transaction Outputs (UTXOs) held within a specific age band. Similarly, realized price is determined by dividing the total value of all UTXOs by the number of coins. Are Investors Expecting Further Upside? Recent on-chain analysis suggests that BTC holders may be anticipating further upside. Short-term holders appear to be holding onto their BTC despite being in a loss position. Related Reading: Bitcoin Undervalued? Analyst Breaks Down Bullish On-Chain Metrics Additionally, crypto exchange net flow data hints that a BTC price rally may be imminent. Some analysts are also drawing parallels to gold’s recent historic price action and predicting that ‘digital gold’ may soon experience similar momentum. That said, Bitcoin futures index sentiment is pointing toward rising pessimism surrounding BTC, driven by macroeconomic uncertainty. As of press time, BTC is trading at $88,759, up 1.7% in the last 24 hours. Featured image created with Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant and TradingView.com
Bitcoin (BTC) posted modest gains earlier today, trading above $87,000 for the first time since April 1. Crypto analysts now suggest that BTC may be on the verge of a sustained rally, as several key indicators are flashing bullish signals. Bitcoin Rally Ahead? These Indicators Say Yes According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post published today, BTC is showing multiple short-term bullish signals, fuelling optimism that a breakout above $90,000 could be imminent. Related Reading: Bitcoin Undervalued? Analyst Breaks Down Bullish On-Chain Metrics In their analysis, CryptoQuant contributor EgyHash highlighted two key indicators that hint at bullish reversal for the apex cryptocurrency. First, the contributor outlined BTC’s Exchange Inflow metric. EgyHash noted that exchange inflows – the amount of BTC being deposited into exchanges – have dropped significantly in recent months. Since peaking at 120,000 in November 2024, the metric has seen a sharp decline, suggesting that holders are choosing not to move their BTC to exchanges, thereby potentially reducing sell pressure. The chart below shows a consistent drop in exchange inflows since November 2024, despite BTC’s price gains in December 2024 and January 2025. As of now, exchange inflows sit around 9,300. In addition, EgyHash pointed out that Bitcoin’s open interest has surged by $6 billion over the past two weeks. This rise has been accompanied by a positive shift in funding rates, signalling a bullish market outlook. To explain, a rise in open interest shows that more money is flowing into BTC futures or perpetual contracts, indicating increased trader participation and confidence. Similarly, positive funding rates suggest that long positions – bets on BTC price going up – are dominant, and traders are willing to pay a premium to hold these positions. That said, there is some caution to be considered here. If the BTC derivatives market becomes too leveraged, then it may increase the risk of a sharp price correction due to mass liquidations. BTC Breaks Multi-Month Downtrend In a separate X post, crypto analyst Rekt Capital brought attention to BTC breaking out of a falling wedge pattern on the daily chart. Typically, a breakout from the falling wedge pattern indicates a bullish reversal, hinting that the asset’s price may rise after a period of downward consolidation. Related Reading: Bitcoin Buy Signal Confirmed? Analysts Highlight Key Reversal Zone In Play Simultaneously, BTC’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) is approaching the 60 level, indicating renewed buying strength. That said, if RSI nears 60 but fails to push higher, it could also point to weakening momentum and a potential bull trap. Further, BTC’s futures sentiment index is showing signs of warning as the metric has been on a prolonged decline since February 2025. At press time, BTC trades at $87,386, up 3.4% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant, X, and TradingView.com
According to a recent CryptoQuant Quicktake post, Bitcoin (BTC) may be close to completing its price correction for the current market cycle. The premier cryptocurrency appears primed for positive movement in 2025, despite lingering macroeconomic uncertainty. Bitcoin Looks Ready To Reverse Trend In a Quicktake post, CryptoQuant contributor Crypto Dan highlighted that BTC is currently undergoing a correction phase similar to the one observed in 2024. The analyst noted that the amount of BTC held for less than one week to one month can serve as an indicator of how “overheated” the crypto market is. Related Reading: Bitcoin Following Gold’s Footsteps? Analyst Sets Mid-Term Target At $155,000 For context, in markets with high speculative activity – such as crypto – price pullbacks tend to be significant. In contrast, markets with lower speculation, like gold, typically experience shallower corrections. Crypto Dan shared the following chart showing three major phases of the crypto market – a market rally (red arrow), an increase in the ratio of BTC held for less than one week to one month (green pattern), and a subsequent correction (yellow arrow). He explained that this pattern has played out twice during the current bull market, with both instances showing similarly elevated levels of short-term BTC holdings, suggesting a comparable degree of market overheating. This ratio has now reached a cycle low, highlighted in the yellow-box region of the chart. Notably, this same region also marked the bottom of the 2024 market cycle. If the pattern mirrors its behaviour from 2024, it could indicate that the current cycle has also bottomed out. Crypto Dan explained: In other words, the overheating is now resolved, and although we may need to wait a little longer, with the progress of macroeconomic issues, 2025 is likely to show a positive movement. Adding to the optimism, a separate post on X by crypto analyst Titan of Crypto also points to a possible shift in momentum. The analyst noted that BTC recently formed a golden cross on the daily chart – a bullish signal that often suggests a trend reversal is underway. For the uninitiated, a golden cross occurs when Bitcoin’s 50-day moving average crosses above its 200-day moving average, signalling a potential long-term bullish trend. It’s widely seen as a buy signal by traders, indicating growing upward momentum. BTC Futures Sentiment Index Signals Caution Despite these bullish signals, not all analysts are convinced. Fellow CryptoQuant contributor abramchart recently observed that BTC’s futures sentiment index has continued to decline since February, suggesting a more cautious outlook among derivatives traders. Related Reading: Bitcoin Flashes ‘Death Cross’ Amid Tariff-Induced Market Turmoil – Is Further Decline Inevitable? Adding to the leading digital asset’s woes, a recent report suggested that China may be preparing to sell a large amount of confiscated BTC, which may increase selling pressure and potentially suppress prices in the short term. At press time, BTC trades at $84,766, down 0.1% in the past 24 hours. Featured image created with Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant, X, and TradingView.com
As gold continues to set new all-time highs (ATH) – trading at $3,333 per ounce at the time of writing – Bitcoin (BTC) has seen more subdued price action, consolidating in the mid-$80,000 range. However, analysts suggest that the top digital asset may soon mirror gold’s recent momentum. Bitcoin Set To Follow Gold’s Momentum? In a recent post on X, crypto trading account Cryptollica hinted that BTC may be poised to replicate gold’s historic price movement seen over the past few months. The account shared the following chart, highlighting the striking similarities between the price actions of gold and BTC. The chart shows both gold and BTC forming a macro-bottom around early 2023, followed by a rejection at the range top in early 2024. Gold eventually broke out in the following months, while BTC lagged slightly, breaking out around November 2024. Related Reading: Bitcoin Undervalued? Analyst Breaks Down Bullish On-Chain Metrics According to Cryptollica, BTC now appears to be breaking out of a consolidatory wedge pattern, with a potential mid-term target as high as $155,000. Currently, Bitcoin’s ATH stands at $108,786, recorded earlier this year in January. BTC is also likely to benefit from several favorable macroeconomic trends. For example, the global M2 money supply is expected to increase in 2025, a development that typically supports risk-on assets like Bitcoin. BTC Maturing As A Safe Haven Asset Beyond technical chart patterns, BTC has demonstrated remarkable resilience amid escalating global tariff-induced uncertainty. According to the latest The Week On-Chain report, both gold and BTC have performed well during the ongoing tariff war. The report notes: Amidst this turmoil, the performance of hard assets remains remarkably impressive. Gold continues to surge higher, having reached a new ATH of $3,300, as investors flee to the traditional safe haven asset. Bitcoin sold off to $75k initially alongside risk assets, but has since recovered the week’s gains, trading back up to $85k, now flat since this burst of volatility. The report also mentions that BTC recently experienced its largest price correction of the 2023–25 cycle, a -33% drawdown from its ATH earlier this year. However, this correction remains relatively modest compared to those seen in previous market cycles. Related Reading: Bitcoin Weekly RSI Breakout Signals Trend Shift – Is $100,000 Next For BTC? The following chart illustrates BTC bull market correction drawdowns since 2011. As shown, the recent -33% correction is the shallowest among past cycles, with the deepest being -72% during the 2012–14 bull market. While BTC continues to show signs of maturing as a reliable asset during times of geopolitical uncertainty, institutional investors appear to be taking profits. This is evidenced by recent outflows from Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs). At press time, BTC is trading at $84,694, up 0.7% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from X, Glassnode, and Tradingview.com
According to a recent CryptoQuant Quicktake post, while Bitcoin (BTC) has seen a steady rise in price from November 2024 to February 2025, sentiment in the cryptocurrency’s futures market has not shown a corresponding uptick. Bitcoin Futures Sentiment Index Signals Caution Bitcoin’s price surged from approximately $74,000 in November 2024 to a peak of $101,000 by early February 2025. However, following US President Donald Trump’s tariff announcements, risk-on assets – including BTC -have experienced a significant pullback. Related Reading: Bitcoin Boom Still In Play? Analyst Predicts Final Leg Up After hitting a potential local bottom of $74,508 earlier this month on April 6, the apex cryptocurrency has recovered some of its recent losses. The top digital asset is trading in the mid $80,000 range at the time of writing. Despite this recovery, BTC’s futures sentiment has continued to decline since February. Even as the price holds near local highs, sentiment in the futures market has notably cooled. CryptoQuant contributor abramchart highlighted this divergence, noting that it could indicate increasing caution or profit-taking behavior despite the ongoing bullish trend. The analyst commented: This indicates a cooling interest or increased fear in the futures market, possibly due to macroeconomic uncertainty, regulatory concerns, or expected corrections. A look at the BTC futures sentiment index shows a resistance zone around 0.8 and a support level near 0.2. The index is currently hovering around 0.4, pointing to a predominantly bearish sentiment across futures markets. Similarly, Bitcoin’s average price has steadily declined from its early 2025 highs. It is now ranging between $70,000 and $80,000, signalling possible market indecision amid heightened tariff tensions. According to abramchart, if futures sentiment remains low, BTC could face extended price consolidation or even downward pressure in the near term. However, any emerging bullish catalyst could quickly shift the sentiment and renew upward momentum. Is BTC Close To A Momentum Shift? Some analysts believe Bitcoin may be nearing a breakout. After consolidating in the mid-$80,000s for several weeks, on-chain metrics suggest BTC may be undervalued at current levels. Indicators such as BTC exchange reserves and the Stablecoin Supply Ratio support this view. Related Reading: Bitcoin Buy Signal Confirmed? Analysts Highlight Key Reversal Zone In Play In addition, momentum indicators like Bitcoin’s weekly Relative Strength Index have begun to break out of a long-standing downward trendline – raising hopes for a potential bullish rally back toward $100,000. However, several risks still remain. The recent appearance of a ‘death cross’ on BTC’s price chart – combined with persistent macroeconomic concerns related to trade tariffs – could still weigh heavily on market sentiment. At press time, BTC trades at $83,917, down 1.8% over the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, Charts from CryptoQuant and TradingView.com
In an X post shared earlier today, crypto analyst Ali Martinez noted that Bitcoin (BTC) is flashing a buy signal. Another analyst, Titan Of Crypto, highlighted that BTC is currently trading in a reversal zone – suggesting that the leading cryptocurrency may soon experience a shift in price momentum. Bitcoin Flashes Buy Signal Amid Market Pullback Compared to the price action seen last year, Q1 2025 has been relatively sluggish for digital assets. On a year-to-date (YTD) basis, BTC is down nearly 30%, dropping from around $97,600 on January 1 to approximately $78,000 at the time of writing. Related Reading: Shifting Sentiment? Short-Term Bitcoin Holders Stay Put Despite Losses Following yesterday’s tariff-induced crypto market pullback – which wiped over $140 billion from the total crypto market cap – BTC is now beginning to show early signs of strength. Martinez emphasized that Bitcoin is flashing a weekly TD Sequential buy signal. For the uninitiated, the weekly TD Sequential buy signal is a technical indicator that suggests a potential trend reversal or buying opportunity after a prolonged downtrend. It typically appears when a specific 9-count pattern completes, signalling that selling pressure may be exhausted and a price rebound could be near. Meanwhile, fellow crypto analyst Titan Of Crypto pointed out that BTC is trading within a potential reversal zone. He noted that as long as BTC remains above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level, the broader uptrend would remain intact. Additionally, Titan highlighted that BTC’s Fair Value Gap (FVG) at $80,000 has now been filled – a development that further boosts the case for a potential trend reversal or significant price action at current levels. To explain, an FVG is a price imbalance on a chart, often created by a strong move in one direction, where little to no trading occurred. It indicates a potential area where price may return to “fill the gap” before continuing its trend. Recent BTC Price Drop Not Out Of The Ordinary Another crypto analyst, Master Of Crypto, remarked that although the recent BTC price decline may have alarmed some investors, it’s well within the bounds of historical norms. The analyst pointed out that BTC is currently trading about 26.6% below its all-time high (ATH) of $109,500. Related Reading: Analyst Identifies Key Bitcoin Demand Zone For ‘Substantial Gains’ – Details However, this decline is still less severe than previous market cycle drawdowns, such as 83% in 2018 and 73% in 2022. The analyst added that besides the price pullback, BTC’s weekly Relative Strength Index (RSI) has also been trending down for five weeks. That said, technical indicators suggest that it may take more time before BTC sees a meaningful shift in price momentum. For instance, the top cryptocurrency recently flashed a death cross, a bearish pattern that could signal further short-term downside. At press time, BTC trades at $78,543, down 0.3% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, Charts from X, and TradingView.com
The global equity and cryptocurrency markets experienced significant downturns earlier today, as US President Donald Trump’s country-specific reciprocal tariffs are set to take effect on April 9. The leading cryptocurrency, Bitcoin (BTC), has declined by more than 7% in the past 24 hours, and analysts predict further near-term challenges for the digital asset. US Tariffs Lead To Crypto Market Rout Notably, Trump’s baseline 10% tariffs on all countries went into effect on April 5, while the higher, country-specific reciprocal tariffs are scheduled to commence on April 9. These developments have raised fears of a global recession and widespread job losses. Related Reading: Shifting Sentiment? Short-Term Bitcoin Holders Stay Put Despite Losses The digital assets market has felt the impact of these tariffs, with BTC slipping over 7% in the past 24 hours – from approximately $82,300 on April 6, to a low of around $74,500 earlier today. Altcoins such as Ethereum (ETH), Solana (SOL), and XRP have experienced even greater declines, tumbling by 17.2%, 16%, and 15.8% respectively over the past 24 hours. Similarly, the total crypto market capitalization has shed almost $130 billion during the same period. Commenting on BTC’s price action amid the market turmoil, seasoned crypto analyst Ali Martinez highlighted that there may be more challenges ahead for the leading digital asset, as it has flashed the infamous death cross on the daily chart, indicating the potential for further price pullbacks. For the uninitiated, a death cross is a bearish technical signal that appears when the 50-day moving average (MA) drops below the 200-day MA. It often suggests a potential downtrend or increased selling pressure in the market. Similarly, veteran trader Peter Brandt shared the following chart, showing BTC trading in a symmetrical triangle pattern, with a wedge retest located at $81,024. The trader hinted that BTC may follow a drop to the 50% retracement level of $54,000. To elaborate, a symmetrical triangle pattern in trading is a chart formation where the price consolidates with converging trend lines connecting a series of lower highs and higher lows, indicating a period of indecision before a potential breakout in either direction. Similarly, a wedge retest refers to the price action where, after breaking out from a wedge pattern – a formation with converging trend lines – the price returns to test the breakout level before continuing in the breakout direction. An Opportunity To Stack Bitcoin? While heightened fears surrounding further price declines in BTC have unsettled investors and traders alike, some risk-seeking investors view this as an opportunity to accumulate more BTC at lower prices. Related Reading: Is a Bitcoin Rally Coming? Exchange Net Flow Data Suggests So For instance, CryptoQuant analyst BorisVest, in a recent analysis, emphasized that if BTC falls between $65,000 to $71,000, it could offer a favorable buying opportunity for investors with a decent risk-reward ratio. At press time, BTC trades at $76,678, down 7.5% in the past 24 hours. Featured image created with Unsplash, charts from X and TradingView.com
According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post published earlier today, Bitcoin (BTC) may not have reached the peak of the current market cycle just yet. A key on-chain metric suggests that there could be one final leg up for the leading cryptocurrency before this bull market concludes. Bitcoin To Hit New Peak Soon? Data from CoinGecko shows that Bitcoin has dropped more than 23% since reaching its most recent all-time high (ATH) of $108,786, on January 8. The top digital asset has largely been affected by ongoing global macroeconomic uncertainties, particularly those related to US President Donald Trump’s new tariff policies. Related Reading: Analyst Identifies Key Bitcoin Demand Zone For ‘Substantial Gains’ – Details Despite the pullback, CryptoQuant contributor Crypto Dan believes Bitcoin may still have room to run. In a recent Quicktake post, he pointed to the ratio of BTC volume traded over a six to 12-month period as a crucial indicator of the current market cycle’s progression. This ratio reflects the amount of new capital entering the crypto market during the cycle and has historically been tightly correlated with market movements. According to Crypto Dan: Typically, this ratio first declines, signalling the end of the early phase of the bull cycle. After some time, it declines again, reaching a lower level than the first drop, marking the end of the bull cycle. Following the first decline in the ratio, the market often regains bullish momentum. Subsequently, the second leg of the rally tends to attract latecomers and retail investors whose participation sends BTC to new highs. Finally, as market euphoria begins to peak and distribution phase begins, the volume ratio experiences a second, sharper decline. Finally, the second drop in the ratio marks the end of the bull cycle and precedes a significant market correction. According to the following chart, BTC hit a critical midpoint in March 2024, when the six to 12-month volume ratio experienced its first notable decline – consistent with patterns observed in previous cycles. The ratio now appears to be entering its second and final dip, potentially leading Bitcoin toward this cycle’s ultimate peak. BTC Holders Seeing Current Pullback As Temporary Multiple indicators suggest that Bitcoin holders see the ongoing market correction as short-term. For example, recent analysis by CryptoQuant contributor Onchained revealed that short-term BTC holders are continuing to hold their coins despite being in a loss – possibly in anticipation of an upcoming bullish reversal. Related Reading: Bitcoin Whales Make Big Moves As Bullish Momentum Resurfaces Additionally, exchange net flow data points toward a potential price rally, indicating reduced selling pressure. At press time, BTC is trading at $82,086, down 1.5% in the last 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant and TradingView.com
According to a recent CryptoQuant Quicktake post, short-term Bitcoin (BTC) holders are choosing to retain their digital assets despite incurring unrealized losses. CryptoQuant contributor Onchained explained that short-term BTC holders have recorded significantly lower realized losses compared to their unrealized losses. Short-Term Bitcoin Holders Expecting A Price Rally? The first quarter of 2025 has been marked by high price volatility in the cryptocurrency market, including Bitcoin. BTC has dropped from approximately $97,000 on January 1 to around $83,000 at the time of writing, reflecting a decline of more than 15%. Related Reading: Bitcoin Whales Make Big Moves As Bullish Momentum Resurfaces Despite this price pullback, short-term BTC holders continue to hold onto their assets instead of selling at a loss. CryptoQuant contributor Onchained analyzed the Short-Term Holder Net Realized PNL to Exchanges, highlighting a shift in selling behavior. According to the analyst, BTC holders who have owned their coins for one to three months have been the most active sellers in recent days, even at the cost of realizing losses. This is unusual, as short-term investors holding BTC for less than a week are typically the most reactive sellers. However, recent data shows a significant decline in selling pressure to cryptocurrency exchanges. This suggests that BTC holders who purchased their coins in the last six months are opting to hold onto their assets rather than panic sell. This shift in selling behavior among short-term holders could have multiple implications. A decline in selling pressure may indicate a change in investor sentiment, with holders willing to endure short-term losses in anticipation of long-term gains. While the analyst cautioned that this data does not predict future price movements, it does provide valuable insights into market psychology. The analysis states: Are short-term holders finally holding the line? If so, this could reduce downside volatility and set the stage for stabilization, or even a reversal. Onchained concluded that short-term holders currently control 28% of BTC’s circulating supply. If a significant portion of these holdings transitions to long-term holders, it could pave the way for Bitcoin’s price to surge beyond $150,000. Is BTC About To Stage A Comeback? Alongside the decline in short-term BTC selling pressure, several other exchange-related metrics suggest the possibility of an upcoming price surge for the world’s largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization. Related Reading: Bitcoin Breaks Daily RSI Downtrend, But Analyst Warns Of Strong Resistance Ahead Recently, crypto entrepreneur and market commentator Arthur Hayes claimed that BTC “probably” hit this market cycle’s bottom during its plunge to $77,000 on March 10. However, Hayes noted that the stock market could still experience further pullbacks. While Bitcoin has been in a downtrend for the past few months, gold has surged to multiple new all-time highs (ATHs) due to ongoing global macroeconomic uncertainty. BTC’s poor performance against the precious metal is likely to continue as the US trade tariff threat looms. At press time, BTC trades at $83,953, up 2.2% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant and TradingView.com
According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post published earlier today, Bitcoin (BTC) may be on the verge of a significant price rally. Since February 6, net flow across crypto exchanges has remained negative – a historically bullish signal for the digital asset. Bitcoin To Benefit From Negative Exchange Net Flow The past 24 hours have been highly volatile for the crypto market, with liquidations exceeding $360 million, the majority involving long positions. However, despite this market pullback, on-chain data remains bullish, suggesting that concerns may be overstated. Related Reading: Bitcoin Could Hit $112,000, But Only If It Holds Above This Key Level – Analyst Explains In a Quicktake post shared today, CryptoQuant analyst ibrahimcosar highlighted Bitcoin’s exchange flows. He noted that since February 6, BTC has experienced a persistent negative net flow across trading platforms. To explain, when a large quantity of BTC is withdrawn from exchanges, it often indicates that investors – likely those who bought at lower prices – are expecting a price rally. These investors move their holdings to cold wallets, anticipating long-term gains and paying network fees to secure their assets. Over time, this behavior results in a negative net flow of BTC across exchanges, a bullish indicator. Conversely, when a significant amount of BTC is deposited onto exchanges, it increases selling pressure, often signalling a bearish trend. Extended periods of high crypto deposits lead to positive net flows, typically preceding price declines. The analyst stated that recent data – from February 6 onwards – suggests that a large amount of BTC is being withdrawn from crypto exchanges. The analyst added: Historically, such high outflows have led to significant price increases in Bitcoin. This suggests that market volatility to the upside could be on the horizon. Ibrahimcosar’s insights align with a recent analysis from CryptoQuant analyst ShayanBTC, who noted that BTC reserves on exchanges are rapidly decreasing. A sustained decline in exchange reserves could set the stage for a supply shock-driven price rally, reversing Bitcoin’s recent downtrend. Momentum, Macroeconomic Factors Point Toward Bullish Trend Beyond on-chain metrics, technical indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) have also turned bullish. A recent analysis by Rekt Capital highlighted that BTC’s daily RSI has broken its multi-month downtrend, suggesting that a price rally may be imminent. Related Reading: Bitcoin Posts Modest Gains After February CPI Inflation Comes In Cooler Than Expected Additionally, macroeconomic factors appear to be fueling optimism. Reports suggest that US President Donald Trump may reconsider upcoming reciprocal tariffs set to take effect on April 2, potentially easing market concerns. Meanwhile, Bitcoin whales – wallets with substantial BTC holdings – have resumed accumulation after a brief period of dormancy, further reinforcing a bullish sentiment. At press time, BTC trades at $85,071, down 2.1% in the past 24 hours. Featured image created with Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant and TradingView.com
Retail sentiment toward Ethereum (ETH) remains weak, but analysts suggest that a significant breakout could be on the horizon. Despite Ethereum’s sluggish price action, multiple on-chain indicators and technical patterns hint at an impending bullish reversal. Ethereum Retail Sentiment At Low Amid Sluggish Price Action According to cryptocurrency analyst Mister Crypto, retail interest in ETH is “extremely low,” as indicated by Google Trends data. Compared to its 2017 and 2021 peaks, Ethereum’s current sentiment ranks significantly lower, suggesting that many retail investors are sitting on the sidelines. Historically, low retail sentiment often signals a prime buying opportunity for institutional investors looking to accumulate assets before the next price surge. While weak sentiment reflects a lack of confidence among small investors, institutions tend to take advantage of such conditions, positioning themselves ahead of the next bullish cycle. Related Reading: Is Ethereum Breaking Free from the Bear Trap? Analysts Weigh In Despite the pessimism, crypto analyst Ted pointed out that the potential approval of an Ethereum exchange-traded fund (ETF) staking and the upcoming Pectra update could serve as key catalysts for a breakout. He suggests that these developments may help Ethereum regain momentum and push its price toward new highs. Fellow analyst Crypto Patel echoed this sentiment, noting that ETH is currently consolidating within an accumulation range. Based on historical price cycles and on-chain data, Patel expects Ethereum to break out after April, with a long-term target of $10,000. Additionally, analyst Titan of Crypto highlighted a bullish crossover on Ethereum’s weekly Stochastic RSI, a signal that has historically marked market bottoms. He suggests that ETH may be nearing the end of its bearish cycle, setting the stage for a strong rally. Further Pain For ETH? Sharing a contrasting viewpoint, noted crypto analyst Ali Martinez emphasized that there has been “no change in the outlook for Ethereum.” The analyst hinted that ETH is still likely to hit the lower-end of its current price range at $1,300. However, some on-chain indicators suggest Ethereum may already be undervalued. An analysis using the Market Value to Realized Value Z-score (MVRV-Z) indicates that ETH is trading at levels historically associated with price rebounds. This metric, which compares Ethereum’s market value to its realized value, suggests that ETH might be primed for accumulation. Related Reading: Ethereum Flashing Bullish Signals, But Rising Exchange Reserves Raise Concerns – Details For Ethereum to confirm a bullish reversal, it must break through strong resistance at $2,300. A successful breakout could push ETH toward $3,000 in the short term. Failure to surpass this level, however, might result in extended consolidation or another price decline. At press time, ETH trades at $2,007, down 0.5% in the last 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from X and Tradingview.com
On-chain data suggests that Bitcoin (BTC) whales – cryptocurrency wallets holding significant BTC amounts – have resumed accumulation after a brief period of dormancy. Bitcoin Accumulation Rises Among Whales In an X post published today, seasoned crypto analyst Ali Martinez highlighted a notable increase in BTC whale activity. He shared the following chart showing that 48 new wallets now hold 100 or more BTC. A surge in whale accumulation often signals rising confidence in Bitcoin’s long-term value. The leading digital asset has climbed over 15% from its March 10 low of approximately $76,600. As of writing, BTC is trading in the high $80,000s. Related Reading: Bitcoin Surge Fueled by $32B in Open Interest—Here’s What Could Happen Next Renewed optimism around BTC’s price trajectory stems from several recent macroeconomic developments, including cooler than expected Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation data for February and reports of US President Donald Trump adopting a softer stance on retaliatory tariffs scheduled to go into effect from April 2. On-chain intelligence firm Arkham reported long-dormant BTC whales becoming active again. In an X post, the firm highlighted how a wallet that held $3 million worth of BTC in 2017, recently became active after 8 years, with its holdings now valued at close to $250 million. Fellow crypto analyst Crypto Rover shared the following chart, illustrating a sharp rise in whale accumulation since late 2024. It is worth noting that the data excludes wallets tied to non-US exchanges and US Spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Is BTC Eyeing A New Record High? Several crypto analysts believe BTC may have already bottomed out this cycle and entered a new bullish phase, potentially setting the stage for a fresh all-time high (ATH). Related Reading: Bitcoin’s Bullish Pattern Returns – Is A Massive Uptrend Imminent? Noted crypto entrepreneur and former BitMEX CEO Arthur Hayes recently suggested that BTC ‘probably’ hit this cycle’s bottom during the March 10 dip to $76,600. Hayes added that while bottom may be in for BTC, stocks could still face further downside. Momentum indicators – such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) – also appear bullish. Bitcoin’s daily RSI recently broke out of a multi-month downtrend, fuelling hopes of sustained upward momentum. Additionally, Martinez projected that BTC could surge to $112,000 if it decisively breaks the $94,000 resistance level. However, a drop below $76,000 could open the door to a deeper decline, potentially falling to $58,000. Moreover, in their latest investor memo, digital asset management firm Bitwise hinted that on a risk-adjusted basis, now could be an opportune time to buy BTC. As of press time, BTC is trading at $88,069, up 1% in the last 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from X and TradingView.com
After hitting a low of nearly $76,000 on March 10, Bitcoin (BTC) has finally broken its daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) downtrend, now trading in the high $80,000s at the time of writing. However, crypto analyst Ali Martinez warns that strong resistance may lie ahead. Bitcoin Finally Breaks Daily RSI Downtrend In a recent X post, crypto analyst Rekt Capital highlighted that BTC has broken through a multi-month RSI downtrend. The analyst shared a Bitcoin daily chart, showing how the leading cryptocurrency’s RSI has broken free from a prolonged downtrend that began at the start of the year. For the uninitiated, the RSI is a momentum indicator that suggests when the underlying asset – in this case, BTC – may be overbought or oversold. A rising RSI after sustained downtrend can indicate growing bullish momentum and a possible trend reversal. Related Reading: Bitcoin Could Hit $112,000, But Only If It Holds Above This Key Level – Analyst Explains Fellow crypto analyst Merlijn The Trader echoed Rekt Capital’s analysis, stating that the RSI breakout confirms bullish momentum and could pave the way for a significant price rally. Another key indicator turned bullish this week – the Bitcoin Hash Ribbons. In an X post, crypto analyst Robert Mercer noted: One of the most accurate mid-term indicator is bullish now. Expecting BTC to go back above $100,000 in Q2 of 2025! To explain, the Hash Ribbons indicator turning bullish signals that Bitcoin miners – after a period of capitulation – are returning to the network, suggesting mining recovery and reduced selling pressure. This often marks a strong buy signal, and has historically aligned with the end of bear markets and the start of new uptrends. Analyst Warns Of Stiff Resistance Ahead Despite BTC’s more than 15% surge from its March 10 low, seasoned analyst Ali Martinez cautions that the top digital asset is likely to encounter strong resistance around the $89,000 level. Martinez explained: Bitcoin $BTC faces a key resistance cluster at $89,000, where the 50-day moving average and the descending trendline from the all-time high converge. That said, several positive macroeconomic factors could support BTC’s bullish momentum. In a recent analysis, crypto analyst The M2 Guy emphasized that the expanding M2 money supply is likely to benefit risk-on assets like BTC. Related Reading: Bitcoin ‘Probably’ Hit Its Bottom At $77,000, Arthur Hayes Says However, other cryptocurrency analysts – such as Maartunn – argued that BTC must decisively clear the $87,000 price level to have a shot at sustained upward price movement. At press time, BTC trades at $87,674, down 0.7% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, Charts from X and TradingView.com