THE LATEST CRYPTO NEWS

Bitcoin (BTC) slipped below $69,000 on Thursday, erasing gains seen earlier in the week as MARA Holdings (MARA), the largest crypto mining company in the United States, disclosed a substantial liquidation of its BTC holdings to fund an expansion into artificial intelligence (AI) computing. MARA Shares Climb On Debt-Repurchase Plan In its disclosure covering March 4–25, MARA said it sold 15,133 BTC for roughly $1.1 billion. The sale reduced Marathon’s holdings by roughly 28% from the 53,822 BTC it held at the start of March, according to BitcoinTreasuries.net data. Related Reading: Ethereum (ETH) May Be Reversing Course, Says Top Analyst; Watch These Key Resistances The market reaction to the move was notable on both fronts. Bitcoin’s price retreated to approximately $68,997 at the time of writing — a decline that places the cryptocurrency more than 45% below its record highs near $126,000 set during last year’s rally.  Meanwhile, MARA stock rose almost 7% intraday, bringing the stock closer to the $9-per-share level as investors digested the company’s pivot toward AI and high-performance computing. The Bitcoin miner said the proceeds from the sale will be used to repurchase $1 billion in convertible bonds maturing in 2030 and 2031 through privately negotiated buyback agreements expected to close on March 30 and March 31.  Management framed the transaction as a strategic refinancing move that both strengthens the balance sheet and increases financial flexibility. MARA CEO Fred Thiel stated:  This transaction enhances financial flexibility and increases strategic optionality as we expand beyond pure-play bitcoin mining into digital energy and AI/[high-performance computing] infrastructure. Sale Sees Holdings Fall To 38,689 Bitcoin In a similar vein, MARA Holdings’ CEO emphasized the sale was a deliberate capital-allocation decision intended to position the company for long-term growth.  By retiring more than $1 billion of face-value debt at a discount, the company said it captured approximately $88 million in value that otherwise might have been lost, reduced potential shareholder dilution, and used its Bitcoin holdings to de-lever the balance sheet on terms favorable to the company. The sale follows changes MARA disclosed earlier this month in a Form 10-K filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). The company revised its 2026 policy to permit the sale of Bitcoin held on its balance sheet during liquidity stress or market crises.  Related Reading: Crypto Bill Clash: Coinbase Rejects CLARITY Act Changes On Stablecoin Yields The filing warned that prolonged weakness in Bitcoin’s price could materially affect MARA Holdings’ financial health; sustained or further declines in BTC could significantly reduce the value of its holdings and weigh on liquidity and the balance sheet. MARA Holdings’ reduced stash is now valued at roughly $2.66 billion at current prices. BitcoinTreasuries.net shows the company has fallen to the third-largest public holder following the sale, overtaken by Twenty One Capital, which now holds 43,514 coins.  The industry leader remains Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy), which has maintained an aggressive acquisition strategy on a weekly basis and now holds 762,099 Bitcoin. Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com 

The market’s second-largest cryptocurrency, Ethereum (ETH), surged nearly 3% on Wednesday, extending a short-term recovery that has brought the altcoin to the key $2,160 level.  Market analyst Ali Martinez flagged the move as part of a potentially significant shift in Ethereum’s technical outlook, writing on social media platform X (previously Twitter) that price action is showing “signs of a major trend shift from bearish to bullish.” On‑Chain Signals Strengthen Breakout Case Martinez pointed to the altcoin’s weekly chart, where Ethereum appears to be tracing an ascending triangle formation. He noted that ETH’s bounce to $1,800 on February 26 lined up with the triangle’s hypotenuse—an alignment that, in past instances, has preceded bullish continuations.  Similar patterns seen in previous market cycles offer investors reason for optimism. As the price tightens toward the triangle’s apex, historical patterns suggest that a breakout to the upside is more likely. Related Reading: BlackRock Crypto Outlook: CEO Predicts $500M A Year In Revenue Within Next Five Years The analyst also highlighted on-chain context to bolster the bullish case. Martinez observed that the market value to realized value (MVRV) ratio fell below 0.8 at the same time ETH tested the triangle’s support.  According to his read, that specific MVRV threshold has previously coincided with important buy signals, which makes the recent reset more meaningful than a random bounce.  Adding to the technical narrative, the SuperTrend indicator flipped to bullish for the first time since May of last year, indicating that momentum may be shifting back in favor of buyers.  Martinez had previously observed in a social media analysis that this suggests that Ethereum’s consolidation or accumulation period may be coming to an end, with the $1,800 support playing a crucial role in a scenario where selling pressure emerges and challenges this crucial level.  Ethereum Price Targets Identified The analyst set out several price bands between market value and realized value that could serve as resistance points if Ethereum continues its recovery in the short, medium, and long term.  Martinez stated that the first significant objective to be reclaimed was $2,356, which was not exceeded in the broader market surge witnessed last week. Mid-term targets at $2,647 and $3,639 came next.  Related Reading: Bitcoin, XRP Rallies Won’t Hold Until Oil Falls Toward $80, Expert Warns Looking ahead, the analyst indicated $4,632–the last resistance before reaching all-time highs of $4,956–and $5,624 as longer-term “expansion” zones that would indicate further positive momentum. Despite the bullish signals, Martinez was careful to temper expectations: he emphasized that a full-blown bull market is not yet guaranteed.  Still, he argued that the convergence of technical support, the MVRV buy signal, and the SuperTrend flip represent the strongest combination of bullish indicators for Ethereum seen in a while. Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com 

Cryptocurrency exchange Coinbase has reportedly told Senate offices it cannot support the latest language inserted into the CLARITY Act, dealing a fresh setback to negotiations over the anticipated crypto market-structure bill.  The dispute centers on newly revised provisions governing stablecoin yield arrangements, a key point of contention that has been the subject of months of talks on Capitol Hill. Coinbase Says No To Late‑Stage Compromise  The Senate’s updated text would constrain how stablecoin yield programs operate, limiting structures that try to mirror bank deposit products and tightening the permissible scope of other activities.  The draft leaves open questions over the mechanisms for classifying activity-based stablecoins and how transaction-reward programs would be treated.  Related Reading: Bitcoin, XRP Rallies Won’t Hold Until Oil Falls Toward $80, Expert Warns Those uncertainties, combined with what some in the industry view as more restrictive wording, prompted Coinbase to inform lawmakers this week that it could not back the late-stage compromise language. The move marks a softer but still consequential reversal from Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong’s more forceful opposition in January, which previously stalled the bill’s markup.  Industry Split Over CLARITY Act Draft Beyond Coinbase, industry responses to the new draft have been mixed. One major trade association told Crypto In America that the revised language represented a marked departure from what had been discussed with the White House, and described the text as more restrictive for the crypto sector.  Related Reading: BlackRock Crypto Outlook: CEO Predicts $500M A Year In Revenue Within Next Five Years In contrast, another trade group leader characterized the provisions as largely in line with expectations, arguing they struck an acceptable balance by preserving rewards while preventing interest-like stablecoin offerings.   “This is the best possible result,” that source said, noting the new draft seemed broader than an earlier proposal advanced by Senators Thom Tillis and Angela Alsobrooks, and expressing confidence that “people will still get their rewards.” Coinbase’s stock, trading under the ticker name COIN, concluded Wednesday’s trading session at $181, down nearly 5% from its opening price above $190 per share.  Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com

In his 2026 annual shareholder letter, BlackRock CEO Larry Fink laid out an ambitious outlook for the firm’s presence in digital assets, forecasting that BlackRock’s crypto business — and the broader market — could be generating roughly $500 million in annual revenue within the next five years.  Tokenization Will ‘Update The Plumbing’ Of Finance As reported by Forbes, BlackRock has positioned itself as a market leader in Bitcoin (BTC), handling about 800,000 BTC worth approximately $55 billion for its clients through its iShares Bitcoin Trust exchange-traded fund (ETF).  Beyond Bitcoin exposure, BlackRock has expanded into tokenized funds: its USD Institutional Digital Liquidity Fund, known as BUIDL, became the world’s largest tokenized fund last year after surpassing $2 billion in assets under management (AuM). Related Reading: Circle (CRCL) Crashes Below $100 After Senate Revises Crypto Bill To Ban Stablecoin Rewards Fink singled out tokenized products and stablecoin operations as major pillars of the firm’s strategy, disclosing that BlackRock manages $65 billion of stablecoin reserves and nearly $80 billion of digital-asset exchange-traded products (ETPs).  Those figures, the executive said, reflect how BlackRock has moved quickly to establish institutional-quality offerings in the digital markets. Additionally, the CEO argued that tokenization has the potential to “update the plumbing of the financial system,” broadening access to investments in the same way the internet expanded commerce in the 1990s.  BlackRock CEO Warns US Risks Losing Crypto Lead Citing research from Juniper, Fink noted that about half the world’s population already carries a digital wallet on their phone, and suggested that those same wallets could one day be used to invest in diversified portfolios as easily as sending a payment. Fink painted tokenization as a generational opportunity and warned of strategic risk if the US falls behind. Last year, he urged faster adoption of digitization and tokenization, arguing that other nations could overtake the US if it lags.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Expert Predicts ‘Golden Entry Window’ For Next Bull Market In October 2026 At the same time, the BlackRock CEO pushed back on skeptics like Warren Buffett who dub Bitcoin “worthless,” characterizing the asset instead as one that people hold for reasons tied to insecurity.  “You own bitcoin because you’re frightened of your physical security. You own it because you’re frightened of your financial security,” he wrote in its shareholders letter, adding that a longer-term rationale for holding Bitcoin is protection against the debasement of financial assets driven by fiscal deficits. At the time of writing, Bitcoin was trading at $69,420, down 2% over the last 24 hours and down 7% over the last seven days, amid a broader market sell-off on Tuesday. This follows last week’s rejection at the $76,000 resistance level, which the cryptocurrency failed to surpass. Featured image from the Wall Street Journal, chart from TradingView.com 

Brent crude slid nearly 12% on Monday to trade around $94, but market expert Sam Daodu warns that oil prices will need to fall further — toward the $85–$80 range — before potential rallies in Bitcoin (BTC) and XRP prices can be sustainable.  According to Daodu, energy prices remain the key link between the ongoing Middle East conflict and crypto market direction, and until they ease, inflation fears and interest-rate concerns will continue to cap risk assets. Bitcoin, XRP Retrace Amid Oil‑Fueled Rate Risks Bitcoin currently sits just above the psychologically important $70,000 level, while XRP is consolidating near $1.44. Both tokens have retraced modestly from last week’s highs, with Bitcoin down roughly 4% and XRP off about 5% on the weekly chart after encountering resistance higher up. Those pullbacks, Daodu says, are tied to the same macro forces that have pushed oil above $100 on repeated escalation headlines since the Strait of Hormuz closures began in late February. Daodu emphasizes that high oil prices sustain inflationary pressure and, crucially, keep the Federal Reserve (Fed) from easing policy.  Related Reading: Analyst Predicts When Bitcoin Price Will Hit $145,000 The Fed’s message on March 19 has pushed out expectations for easier monetary policy. When rate-cut prospects fade, capital rotates away from risk-on assets, and crypto, which still behaves like a high-risk asset, tends to suffer. The expert also highlighted structural reasons crypto markets have appeared particularly sensitive to geopolitical shocks. Because digital-asset markets are open around the clock, they absorb the initial wave of risk sentiment instantly, often before traditional markets open.  That 24/7 liquidity profile can lead to sharper moves in Bitcoin and XRP price following weekend or overnight headlines, as selling is concentrated into thinner markets, as Daodu noted in his report. Brent Near $80–$85 Could Unlock Lasting Gains  Despite these headwinds, Daodu notes there are constructive technical patterns beneath the surface. Bitcoin has formed higher lows on successive sell-offs since late February, suggesting buyers step in during each dip.  XRP, on the other hand, has maintained a roughly $1.35–$1.45 holding zone through recent escalations, reflecting resilience even as rallies fail to hold. Crucially, Daodu argues that oil is the variable most likely to break the current pattern of short-lived crypto rallies. He noted that if Brent retreats toward $80–$85 on signs of a ceasefire or diplomatic progress, inflation pressures should ease and the Fed could regain room to consider rate cuts.  Renewed expectations for easier policy would likely return risk capital to crypto markets and give Bitcoin and XRP the momentum they need to sustain gains.  Conversely, if energy prices remain north of $100, every positive catalyst will be counterbalanced by the same inflation-and-rates dynamic that has dominated price action since February. Related Reading: Bitcoin Miner Selling Pressure Drops To Near Three-Year Low Daodu also reminded that several bullish fundamentals that existed before the conflict have not disappeared: the SEC’s movement toward treating Bitcoin as a commodity, inflows into XRP exchange-traded funds (ETFs), and forward progress on the CLARITY Act.  Those catalysts are still in place but, in his view, are on hold until broader macro conditions — led by a decline in oil — allow risk assets to reassert themselves. Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com

Circle Internet Financial, the issuer behind the USDC stablecoin — the second-largest dollar-pegged cryptocurrency — saw its stock, CRCL, tumble 22% on Tuesday to $98 as lawmakers reportedly moved to tighten rules around stablecoin yields.  The selloff followed reports that a revised draft of the Senate Banking Committee’s CLARITY Act would broadly prohibit platforms from offering yield “directly or indirectly” for holding stablecoins or assets that function like bank deposits. Circle Revenue Model At Risk? The proposed restriction, reported by Crypto in America journalist Eleanor Terrett, is written to cover digital-asset service providers and their affiliates — exchanges, brokers, and similar firms — in an effort to close potential workarounds.  Under the draft language, firms would be barred from providing anything “economically or functionally equivalent” to interest on stablecoin holdings.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Expert Predicts ‘Golden Entry Window’ For Next Bull Market In October 2026 If they were to materialize over the long term, the implications for Circle would be immediate and substantial. Circle derives approximately 96% of its revenue from interest earned on USDC reserve assets.  If platforms are prevented from offering yield or if demand for USDC softens because consumers and institutions cannot earn returns, Circle’s core revenue stream could be materially weakened.  The fallout was not limited to Circle. Coinbase (COIN), the largest US-listed crypto exchange, also experienced significant pressure, trading down roughly 21% to about $179 at the time of writing.  Tether’s Big‑Four Audit Move In a Tuesday post on the social media platform X, Terrett also pointed out that Tether’s latest move may have amplified the crash in Circle’s stock. Circle’s competitor recently announced that it had hired a Big Four accounting firm to audit its USDT reserves for the first time.  Related Reading: Strategy Discloses $42 Billion Fundraising Plan To Hit 1 Million Bitcoin Target By End Of 2026 Tether framed the engagement as a major step toward enhanced transparency and regulatory readiness, saying the audit would provide “deep assurance that USDT is fully backed, highly liquid, and operated with world-class risk management.”  Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com 

Strategy, formerly known as MicroStrategy and led by Michael Saylor, disclosed a new Bitcoin (BTC) acquisition on Monday while simultaneously unveiling an ambitious capital-raising program designed to push its holdings toward a 1 million‑coin milestone by the end of 2026. Strategy Reports Weekly Buy Amid Consolidation In its routine Monday filing with the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), Strategy reported spending $76.5 million to add 1,031 BTC to its treasury.  The purchase came as Bitcoin traded back within the consolidation band it has occupied for roughly two months, between about $60,000 and $72,000, after a failed attempt to break through and consolidate key resistance at $76,000 last week.  The move continues the public company’s weekly pattern of disclosing its purchases. Over the past few years, it has become the largest corporate holder of digital assets after beginning to rapidly acquire Bitcoin in 2021. Related Reading: Ethereum Bottom Signal? Analyst Maps Out Road To $10,000 Data compiled by Bitcointreasuries.net shows Strategy holds 762,099 BTC as of March 23. At the time of publication, that stake was valued at nearly $57.7 billion, based on an average entry price of $75,694 per coin.  Beyond that recent trade, Strategy also amended its corporate authorizations to support a much larger campaign to amass the market’s leading cryptocurrency.  The company disclosed plans to raise up to $42 billion in new capital, split evenly between as much as $21 billion of Class A common stock (MSTR) and $21 billion of Variable Rate Series A Perpetual Stretch Preferred Stock (STRC), which would give Strategy substantial purchasing power to accelerate its Bitcoin accumulation goal. 600,000 More Bitcoin By Year‑End? At current prices near $70,500, the $42 billion program could theoretically fund the purchase of roughly 595,000 additional Bitcoin, which would not only meet but materially exceed the company’s stated 1 million‑coin aspiration by year‑end.  If executed in full, the raise would push Strategy’s total holdings to more than 1.35 million BTC—surpassing even its ambitious public targets—and represent about 6.42% of BTC’s 21 million fixed supply, according to Bitcointreasuries.net. Related Reading: 4 Bitcoin Targets To Be On The Lookout For As Price Retests S/R Zone CEO Phong Le highlighted the symbolism of the $42 billion figure in a post on X (formerly Twitter), quoting The Hitchhiker’s Guide to the Galaxy: “42 is the Answer to the Ultimate Question of Life, the Universe, and Everything.” Le noted the neatness of the 21 + 21 split, which mirrors Bitcoin’s 21 million supply cap. Simultaneously, the cryptocurrency rebounded by almost 3% on Monday, beginning the day on the same optimistic note as the start of last week’s advance. However, short-term losses currently outweigh profits for BTC, as CoinGecko data show a 4% decline over the past week.  Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com 

Market expert Ali Martinez recently revealed on X (formerly Twitter) what he describes as “the secret to every major Bitcoin bull run since 2011,” saying October could offer one of the best entry points ahead of the next bull market.  Martinez shared an on‑chain fractal breakdown that points to a potential “final discount” in October of this year, where investors might find optimal buying opportunities before the next sustained uptrend. Bitcoin Could Bottom At $41,000-$45,000 In his social media post, Martinez suggests that Bitcoin is still operating within a four‑year rhythm that breaks down into a sequence of accumulation, markup, distribution, and a bear phase.  Within that larger cycle, he highlights two shorter subcycles and asserts the market is now moving into what he describes as the “final discount” period. Using that framework, Martinez puts a likely “golden entry” window between October 6 and October 16, 2026. Related Reading: Ethereum Bottom Signal? Analyst Maps Out Road To $10,000 Beyond timing, Martinez offered specific price bands for ideal buying opportunities. He identified entry points in the $41,500 to $45,000 range, which would represent declines of roughly 41% and 36%, respectively, from current trading levels of around $70,800. October Launchpad  Those potential retracements in the coming months imply that Bitcoin may still have substantial downside before the October window, according to his reading of past cycles. Related Reading: Dogecoin Could 200% Rally If This Floor Holds, Analyst Says However, Martinez framed the scenario as an actionable pattern rather than mere speculation: if the fractal holds, the October interval could serve as the launchpad that begins a fresh four‑year cycle and sets the stage for the next vertical price move.   The expert concluded his Monday social media post by saying the “countdown to the next Bitcoin vertical move has begun.” Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com 

Altcoin trading activity has continued to weaken across the crypto market, which is another sign of the current investor appetite for altcoins. New data shared by CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost shows spot trading volume on Binance and other major exchanges is now at extreme lows compared to levels seen during the crypto market’s more active phases in February and October 2025. Altcoin Trading Volumes Drop Across The Board Analysis of altcoin flows shows how much of the remaining altcoin activity is now flowing through Binance compared to the rest of the crypto market. Data from CryptoQuant shows altcoin spot volumes on Binance have collapsed to $7.7 billion, which is a fraction of the $40 billion to $50 billion trading volumes recorded during last year’s peak activity periods.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Gains Ground On Gold Even As Both Assets Slide On the other hand, other major exchanges combined account for about $18.8 billion in altcoin trading volume. That puts Binance’s share near 40% of the total market, meaning close to one out of every two dollars traded in altcoins is now passing through the exchange. MEXC ranks second at 7.62%, followed by Bybit at 6.07%, OKX at 6%, and Bitget at 5.61%. HTX, Coinbase, and Upbit each hold between 4.57% and 5.38%, while smaller platforms including Crypto.com, Gate.io, KuCoin, and Kraken account for the remainder. Altcoin Spot Trading Volume By Exchange. Source: CryptoQuant Those figures are far below altcoin trading volumes normally observed during more active periods. In October 2025, Binance alone recorded between $40 billion and $50 billion in altcoin trading volume, with other exchanges reaching around $63 billion. The February 2025 peak was even more pronounced, with competing platforms collectively processing approximately $91 billion in altcoin movements.  The Altcoin Spot Trading Volume chart from January 2025 through March 2026, which is shown below, reveals the decline very well. What were frequent spikes well above the $40 billion mark have given way to a prolonged suppression of activity, with readings largely hugging the baseline since the beginning of 2026. Altcoins Spot Trading Volume. Source: CryptoQuant Decline In Interest Could Matter For What Comes Next The fading interest in altcoins is happening against a context that is hostile to risk-taking. Ongoing geopolitical tensions and a bear market structure have left investors more defensive, and that caution has hit altcoins harder than Bitcoin. Capital inflows are now much more selective; Bitcoin is absorbing attention first, leaving the rest of the market struggling for momentum. Even so, Darkfost pointed to an idea that long-term investors will likely keep in mind. The volume spikes observed in October and February occurred when the crypto market was forming local tops. These phases are during periods of FOMO, during which well-positioned investors use the surge in demand as exit liquidity.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Holds As Gold Posts Worst Week Since 1983 Amid Iran War On the other hand, periods of extremely low interest are worth watching closely because they often develop when sentiment is most depressed and expectations are at their lowest. These are when the most attractive opportunities tend to emerge. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView

Shiba Inu is trading near a key support floor, and the numbers piling up on exchanges are giving traders reason to watch closely. Related Reading: Bitcoin Holds As Gold Posts Worst Week Since 1983 Amid Iran War The token is currently changing hands at around $0.000005603, down roughly 1% over the past 24 hours, while a growing stockpile of coins on trading platforms signals that more selling pressure may be building. RSI Reading Points To A Market In Wait-And-See Mode The Relative Strength Index for SHIB sits at 55 — technically neutral territory, where neither bulls nor bears have a clear edge. That number tells a story on its own. Buyers aren’t charging in. Sellers aren’t panicking out. Both sides are watching. Meanwhile, trading volume has fallen 24% in 24 hours to roughly $120 million, which means the market is quieting down at exactly the wrong moment for SHIB holders hoping for a breakout. On-chain data from CryptoQuant shows that around 200 billion SHIB tokens have flowed into exchanges over a short window. When traders move tokens onto exchanges rather than keeping them in private wallets, it usually means they’re positioning to sell or shift holdings. Sitting against a total exchange reserve of about 80 trillion SHIB, 200 billion may look small. But with a supply this large, even small movements carry weight. Price Stuck Below A Wall At $0.000006403 SHIB has tried and failed multiple times to push past the $0.000006403 resistance mark. The most recent attempt came on March 16, when the price briefly spiked before getting knocked back down in a single session, pulling the token toward its current support at $0.0000056. The pattern forming on the daily chart is one of distribution — meaning holders appear to be gradually offloading tokens rather than accumulating more. Active addresses on the network did nudge up about 1% in the past day, a sign that users are still engaged. But that uptick in activity hasn’t translated into any upward move in price, which suggests demand simply isn’t keeping pace with the tokens being pushed onto the market. Related Reading: Bitcoin Gains Ground On Gold Even As Both Assets Slide A Drop To $0.0000052 Could Follow If Selling Picks Up The next line of defense for Shiba Inu sits at $0.0000052. If exchange inflows keep rising and buyers stay on the sidelines, that level could be tested sooner rather than later. Reports indicate the token remains in a consolidating phase with no clear catalyst visible to break it higher in the short term. What happens next depends largely on whether demand picks up fast enough to absorb the growing exchange supply. For now, the balance is tilting in one direction. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView

Dogecoin is still trading below $0.10, but there’s still the question of just how far it can go if it plays out a breakout structure. A price target of $0.6533 is on the table for Dogecoin, and if that level breaks, analyst Javon Marks says $1.25111 comes into play next, which would mark an all-time high for the meme coin. Long-Term Breakout Still Keeping The Bullish Structure Alive The main feature on Marks’ chart is a multi-year breakout from a descending resistance line that had stopped Dogecoin’s price advances since its previous top in 2021. That trendline, which is drawn from the May 2021 peak through later lower highs, acted as a resistance for a long period before price finally broke through in early 2025 and began forming a new structure. Related Reading: XRP Still In Danger Zone Without This Key Breakout: Analyst The technical chart from Marks also references a sequence of higher highs and higher lows after that breakout, which shows the current trend dominated by Dogecoin. Even though the asset has since retraced below $0.10, the outlook is that the bigger breakout is still in play. In other words, the recent weakness has not yet erased the larger technical change that took place when Dogecoin pushed above that long-standing resistance. Marks also pointed to a regular bullish divergence on the MACD, and that is where the shorter-term optimism comes from. As shown in the lower part of the chart below, the momentum indicator has been forming a rising structure even as price pressed lower in 2026. That kind of divergence typically means that the downside momentum is weakening, although the price action has not fully reflected that. Dogecoin Price Chart. Source: @JavonTM1 On X How High Dogecoin Can Go From Here According to Marks, the current setup is pointing to a reversal and the continuation of a 581% breakout run. This 581% projection clarifies just how significant the projected move would be relative to the current price around $0.09. At the time of writing, Dogecoin is trading at $0.0952, but the first breakout target is at $0.6533. A move to $0.6533 would represent a gain of more than 585% from the current price, and this would place Dogecoin in sight of trading at new price highs. That target is not being presented as the end of the story either. Marks says a break above $0.6533 would bring $1.25111 into play. The chart visually highlights both levels, treating the first as the main breakout objective and the second as the next expansion target if bullish continuation strengthens further.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Gains Ground On Gold Even As Both Assets Slide Interestingly, that target of $0.6533 is not the end of the story. According to Marks, a break above $0.6533 would inevitably see Dogecoin break above $1 and bring a peak price of $1.25111 into target. The chart projects that move into late 2026 to mid-2027, with the annotated gain from current levels registering at approximately 421%.  Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView

Security certifications topped the list of concerns for financial institutions weighing tokenization partners, with 97% saying standards like ISO and SOC II were non-negotiable — a sign that trust, not just technology, is now driving deals in institutional crypto finance. Related Reading: Bitcoin Gains Ground On Gold Even As Both Assets Slide Stablecoins Lead As Finance Firms Shift Crypto Focus A new survey from Ripple, released Thursday, found that 72% of more than 1,000 financial industry executives worldwide believe their companies must offer digital asset solutions to remain competitive. Ripple surveyed 1,000+ global finance leaders in 2026. A few things stood out: https://t.co/414dTO9Qit → 72% say digital assets are now table stakes to stay competitive → 74% see stablecoins as a cash-flow tool, not just a payment rail → 89% of those surveyed say digital… — Ripple (@Ripple) March 19, 2026 The poll covered banks, asset managers, fintechs, and corporate firms across global markets. What stood out wasn’t just the appetite for digital assets — it was how differently each type of firm plans to get there. Fintech companies are moving fast and building in-house. About 47% of fintech respondents said they plan to develop their own digital asset infrastructure. Corporate firms are taking the opposite approach. Nearly three-quarters of them said they intend to work with outside providers. Banks and asset managers are looking for something in the middle — experienced partners who can guide strategy while also supplying the technology. Stablecoins drew the strongest interest across the board. According to Ripple, 74% of respondents said stablecoins have the potential to improve cash flow and free up capital that would otherwise sit idle. Ripple said institutions are treating stablecoins not just as payment tools, but as instruments for managing treasury operations. Custody Rises As A Core Priority Tokenization is also gaining ground, though institutions aren’t rushing in without safeguards. Among those assessing potential tokenization partners, 89% named secure asset storage as a top requirement. Token lifecycle management came in at 82%, and primary distribution ranked at 80%. Banks showed a particular appetite for advisory help. Based on survey data, 85% of bank respondents called pre-issuance structuring support important. Asset managers were close behind at 76%. Reports indicate that institutions aren’t just buying crypto infrastructure — they want guidance on how to use it. Ripple credited several forces for pushing digital assets higher on the priority list: shifting regulations, growing interest from major banks, wider use of fintech services, and the continued rise of stablecoins. Related Reading: XRP Still In Danger Zone Without This Key Breakout: Analyst The Build-Or-Buy Question Takes Center Stage The survey suggests the industry’s internal debate has moved on. The question is no longer whether to get involved with crypto. It’s who to work with and what to build. That shift, if accurate, marks a turning point in how seriously established financial institutions are treating the space. Featured image from Pexels, chart from TradingView

Bitcoin (BTC) is showing early signs of a prolonged decline after peaking in October 2025. Historical patterns highlighted by a crypto analyst suggest that the world’s largest cryptocurrency has not yet reached its macro bear market bottom, despite recent major declines. Analysis of historical patterns from past cycles suggests the current market crash may persist for many more months, and the analyst urges investors and traders to adjust their expectations accordingly. Related Reading: Bitcoin Gains Ground On Gold Even As Both Assets Slide Bitcoin Historical Correlation Points To Further Crash Crypto market expert Greeny shared a new technical analysis on X, noting that Bitcoin has consistently followed a pattern of peaks and bottoms across every major cycle over the past decade.  Historical data from the analyst’s chart shows that from 2013 to 2015, Bitcoin took roughly 410 days to reach a low.  Similarly, the 2017 to 2018 cycle lasted about 363 days, while the decline from the 2021 peak extended around 376 days. The average across these three cycles is approximately 383 days, roughly over a year. In this cycle, the analyst notes that the market is about five months past its October peak, suggesting that the current downtrend is far from over.  Greeny has also noted that historical drawdowns during past cycles have been severe. In 2011, Bitcoin crashed by a whopping 93% before hitting a bottom. Later in 2015, the cryptocurrency fell from its peak, marking an 85% slump, while it dropped by 77% again in 2022 following the 2021 bull market rally.  According to the analyst, Bitcoin is currently trading 42% below its all-time high of over $126,000 in this cycle, further reinforcing his belief that the market still has significant room for more losses. While Greeny acknowledged that institutional demand may prevent a crash as deep as previous cycles, he believes the timing of this bear market’s bottom is consistent with historical trends.  Beyond bear market durations and crash depths, Greeny also highlighted Bitcoin’s post-decline accumulation phases for each cycle. He noted that in 2015, Bitcoin spent 15 months trading sideways before a new uptrend emerged. Similarly, both 2018 and 2022 saw roughly 18 months of choppy trading before a market shift occurred.  Greeny strongly believes that the current market cycle is mirroring historical patterns. He expects the ongoing market crash to continue, with a meaningful accumulation phase still a long time off. This further supports the view that Bitcoin remains in the early stages of its bear market.   What To Expect In The Current Market Cycle  Greeny suggested that the average macro bear market bottom has historically appeared around 363 days after its cycle peak, placing a potential bottom near late 2026 or beyond. He explained that while Bitcoin has already started its price dump, its broader weakness is still ongoing. Related Reading: Over Half A Billion Dollars Wiped Out As Bitcoin Locks In At $70,000 The analyst warned that traders hoping for a quick “V-recovery” may be disappointed, as such rebounds have never occurred in Bitcoin’s history. He added that after BTC reaches a price floor, its accumulation phase is expected to last 12 to 16 months before any trend shift is confirmed. Greeny noted that the recent sharp drop in February may slightly shorten this phase, but a full trend shift is unlikely before 2027.  Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView

Bitcoin (BTC) has settled back into the familiar consolidation band between roughly $65,000 and $74,000 after a short-lived attempt to clear higher resistance walls at around $76,000 earlier in the week failed.  Trading around $69,000 at the time of writing, on-chain analytics from Glassnode and market commentary from analysts suggest the market is likely to remain in an accumulation phase through the end of March, with several indicators pointing to lower near-term volatility but heightened defensive positioning. Rising Demand For Downside Protection Glassnode’s posts on X (formerly Twitter) highlight record-high positioning in derivatives markets: options open interest reached a new all-time high ahead of the current quarter’s expiry.  That elevated positioning may still reflect short-term hedging rather than directional conviction, and the firm noted that the picture of refreshed positioning and sentiment should become clearer after the March 27 expiry. Volatility metrics are showing signs of normalization. At-the-money implied volatility (1‑week ATM IV) has cooled from about 70% to 53%, and longer-dated maturities have fallen roughly 10 vols from recent highs. This drop in implied volatility indicates traders are expecting less dramatic price swings in the immediate term. Related Reading: AI Model Ranks Bitcoin, XRP, And ETH For 2026: Expected Returns And Price Targets Despite falling IV, skew measures have widened back toward the downside. After the failed breakout to $75,000, demand for downside protection reemerged, and 25‑delta skew moved into the 15–20% range. The renewed premium for put options reflects caution among participants who are seeking protection against a reversal. That caution shows up in flow dynamics. Glassnode reported that the put/call ratio flagged limited momentum to sustain a push above $75,000. On the way up, flows were dominated by put buying above $72,000—a classic sign that the market was fading the breakout—while the pullback was accompanied by a brief surge in call purchases.  In the most recent 24‑hour tape, put buys led the way with a 30.7% share of activity, and calls lagged at roughly 10%, underscoring a defensive tilt after the rejection at $75,000. Consolidation Rather Than Immediate Breakout Gamma positioning has also been adjusted. For the Q1 expiry, short gamma exposure around the 75,000 strike contracted from $3.9 billion to $2.4 billion in under two days, a $1.5 billion unwind as prices moved away from that level.  Lower gamma exposure reduces the need for dealers to dynamically hedge, which in turn can dampen directional flows and help explain part of the pullback. Relatedly, the volatility risk premium (VRP) has reset. Over the past week, short-gamma positions had been profitable because implied volatility exceeded realized volatility, but realized volatility increased during the selloff, compressing the VRP.  With VRP near equilibrium, option prices now look more fairly valued—another indicator that the market may be settling into a consolidation range rather than preparing for an immediate breakout. Bitcoin Nears Key Multi‑Year Support  When it comes to full price analysis, market expert Ali Martinez recently flagged a longer-term technical backdrop that may be constructive. He noted Bitcoin is approaching a multi-year trendline that has supported major advances in previous cycles.  Related Reading: BTQ Unveils First Bitcoin Upgrade Testnet Designed To Thwart Quantum Attacks The expert asserted that every touch of this foundational support over the past nine years has preceded significant rallies: the 2017 parabolic run, the 2020 rebound from the COVID crash, and the 2022 recovery after the FTX collapse.  That trendline now lives between roughly $60,000 and $56,000; if it holds, Martinez believes the area could become more than just a bounce zone and serve as a potential launchpad for the next sustained bull phase. Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com 

Lawmakers signaled a major advance Wednesday toward passing the long-awaited CLARITY Act, the bill intended to create a clearer market-structure framework for cryptocurrencies in the United States.  Tentative Stablecoin Deal  Politico reported that key senators have reached a tentative agreement with the White House on language meant to bridge a central dispute between banks and crypto firms over stablecoin yields — a development that could unblock the legislation in the coming weeks. Related Reading: AI Model Ranks Bitcoin, XRP, And ETH For 2026: Expected Returns And Price Targets Senator Thom Tillis and Senator Angela Alsobrooks are the lead negotiators credited with forging the understanding alongside White House officials. Alsobrooks told reporters on Friday that she and Tillis “do have an agreement in principle,” adding that the deal represents substantial progress.  “We’ve come a long way. And I think what it will do is to allow us to protect innovation, but also gives us the opportunity to prevent widespread deposit flight,” she said. Tillis, while optimistic, emphasized that the tentative pact is not final. He told interviewers he feels “like we’re in a good place,” but stressed he still plans to review the details with industry stakeholders before moving forward.  CLARITY Act Markup In Mid‑ To Late‑April The timing for a Senate procedural move is also taking shape. Market expert MartyParty noted on X that Senator Cynthia Lummis has indicated the Senate Banking Committee plans to hold a markup in the second half of April, likely during the weeks beginning April 13 or April 20 after the Easter recess.  Related Reading: BTQ Unveils First Bitcoin Upgrade Testnet Designed To Thwart Quantum Attacks A planned CLARITY Act markup would expose the draft to changes and possible political maneuvering, but it would also be a crucial step toward floor consideration. As of right now, it’s unclear what more details will emerge from the current talks in Washington, D.C. for complete confirmation of possible dates. Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com 

Despite the crypto market’s renewed weakness on Thursday, a new AI-driven market model produced by Sam Daodu for 24/7 Wall St. projects higher year-end prices for Bitcoin (BTC), XRP, and Ethereum (ETH). AI Model Sees Bitcoin Rising 42% In 2026 Daodu’s analysis, which used ChatGPT as the modeling engine, places Bitcoin at the top of the trio, forecasting a roughly 42% gain from current levels and a year-end target near $105,000. Related Reading: Sen. Lummis Predicts Crypto Market Structure Markup In April, Senate Passage By Year-End The AI model identified institutional demand and exchange-traded funds (ETFs) as the primary catalysts for its Bitcoin prediction. The model also identified BTC’s tightened supply as a potential catalyst.  The latest Halving reduced daily issuance from 900 BTC to 450 BTC, cutting the annual inflation rate to 0.83%. This week, combined with ETF buying and large holders, institutional purchases outpaced miner issuance, creating a demand-supply imbalance that the model cited as a main reason for ranking Bitcoin first. XRP To Hit $2 By Year-End XRP ranked second in the AI’s predictions, with an expected return of approximately 32% and a year-end price near $2.00. ChatGPT noted the regulatory clarity provided by the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), which classified the altcoin as a commodity. This classification is expected to reduce a major barrier to institutional participation. The AI model also interpreted XRP’s most recent price breakout above the key $1.5 level as bullish, noting that sustained gains can move holders toward break-even positions and reduce selling pressure. However, the model highlighted a critical limitation: regulatory clarity has not yet translated into meaningful institutional demand for XRP, as ETF flows experienced $28 million in net outflows last week. In short, substantial institutional buying will be required for XRP to reach its predicted price point by the end of the year. ChatGPT Forecasts Modest ETH Rally Ethereum ranked third, with a comparatively modest forecast of about 20% upside to roughly $2,800 by year-end. ChatGPT argued that, despite Ethereum’s developer ecosystem and extensive infrastructure, the token faces the weakest near-term demand picture among the three major assets.  A key reason is migration of activity to layer-2 (L2) networks—Base, Arbitrum (ARB), and Optimism (OP) now handle a large share of user transactions because of lower fees.  Related Reading: XRP Price Projections Soar To $15-$30 On CLARITY Act Prospects And Bank Adoption That shift has reportedly compressed fee revenue on Ethereum’s base layer; weekly fees recently averaged about $2.3 million compared with peak weekly fees near $30 million. With fees now close to zero, burning has effectively stalled, and ETH’s supply is growing slightly rather than contracting. ChatGPT concluded that, until fee revenue rebounds or institutional flows reverse, Ethereum’s price will have to prove itself on other fundamentals. At the time of writing, Bitcoin was trading at $70,600, marking a 1% loss within the last 24 hours. XRP has seen a similar decline of 0.9%, but it is still holding onto gains of 6% recorded over the past week while trading at around $1.45 per token.  Surprisingly, Ethereum has outperformed Bitcoin during this period as well, with gains of 4.2%. However, over the past 24 hours, the market’s leading altcoin has retraced 2.3%, reaching approximately $2,148, according to CoinGecko data.  Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com 

Momentum has picked up on Capitol Hill this week as lawmakers and industry leaders converged at the DC Blockchain Summit, where Senator Cynthia Lummis said she expects the long‑delayed Senate Banking Committee markup on the crypto market‑structure bill (CLARITY Act) to be scheduled for late April.  Breakthrough On DeFi And Stablecoin Yield Senator Lummis told attendees she is confident the committee will approve the crypto market structure bill and that the full Senate could pass the legislation by the end of the year.  “We’re gonna have this thing done come hell or high water by the end of the year.” She added that a Banking GOP markup is likely in the second half of April after the Easter recess. “We think we’ve got it,” she claimed at the event.  Related Reading: This Week Could Be The Most Volatile For Bitcoin In 2026, Top Expert Warns Stablecoin yield has been one of the thorniest issues slowing talks; bank lobbyists have argued that such yield could effectively resemble deposit interest and threaten deposit accounts.  Lummis said negotiators have drafted language to block crypto platforms from marketing or delivering rewards in ways that sound like traditional deposit yield or that scale with the amount of assets a user holds.  “Anything that sounds like banking product terminology will not appear,” she said, noting she had not seen the most recent text but that Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong had signaled willingness to compromise. Senators Fast‑Track Crypto Bill  Lummis also said negotiators believe they have resolved outstanding questions around decentralized finance. “We think we’ve got the DeFi issue put to bed,” she said, reflecting industry and legislative efforts to clarify how peer‑to‑peer (P2P) and protocol‑level services should be regulated. The senator used social media to underscore the political moment, stating that there has “never been a more pro‑digital asset administration in United States history than @POTUS,” and urging colleagues to seize what she described as a unique opportunity to finalize crypto market‑structure reform.  Related Reading: Citigroup Lowers 12-Month Bitcoin Price Forecast To $112,000, ETH To $3,175—Here’s The Reason Reporting from Crypto in America added further signs of progress. Journalist Eleanor Terrett relayed comments from Senate Banking Committee Chairman Tim Scott, who told the summit he expected to have “the first proposal” on stablecoin yield by the end of the week.  Chair Scott credited Senators Angela Alsobrooks and Thom Tillis, along with Patrick Witt, executive director of the White House Crypto Council, for helping advance negotiations between the two financial sectors.  Importantly, Scott also said the committee is making headway on decentralized finance (DeFi), ethics, and quorum issues, and that some Democratic concerns are being addressed by proposing minority‑party representation at the SEC and CFTC — a concession aimed at broadening bipartisan support. Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com 

The XRP price slid 5% on Wednesday as a wider market pullback dragged most major tokens lower, knocking the altcoin back to roughly $1.43. Experts point to the same recurring forces behind the swing: persistent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and a shortage of fresh, bullish catalysts.  Despite the near-term weakness, market observers remain upbeat about XRP’s longer-term prospects, centering their optimism on an anticipated policy development in Washington.  Potential Surge In Adoption And ETF Inflows Industry analysts widely believe that passage of the CLARITY Act — the proposed crypto market-structure bill in the US Congress — would materially improve XRP’s institutional outlook by formally classifying the token as a digital commodity.  That legal status would place XRP on a regulatory footing similar to Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) and, according to proponents, remove a major barrier to large-scale adoption by banks, asset managers, and payment providers. Related Reading: Citigroup Lowers 12-Month Bitcoin Price Forecast To $112,000, ETH To $3,175—Here’s The Reason In a new analysis, Sam Daodu of 24/7 Wall St. argued that the CLARITY Act is the single most important catalyst that could propel the XRP price past key resistance levels.  He noted that commodity designation would allow US banks to use XRP for cross-border settlement via Ripple’s payment rails without the looming uncertainty that a regulatory reclassification might later introduce.  That legal clarity, Daodu said, would unlock institutional confidence and encourage sizeable inflows into XRP investment products such as exchange-traded funds (ETFs). XRP Price Targets Lifted  Daodu also cited forecasts from Standard Chartered’s Geoffrey Kendrick, who previously set an $8 target for XRP in 2026, premised on the passage of the CLARITY Act. Kendrick’s model anticipates $4 billion to $8 billion in cumulative ETF inflows by year-end if the bill passes. Consensus among many analysts places the XRP price between $5 and $10 should the legislation clear Congress, with an $8 price implying a market capitalization near $490 billion — a level Daodu argues is plausible if banks adopt XRP for actual payment use rather than the token remaining a retail trading vehicle.  Daodu went further in outlining further upside scenarios: if the CLARITY Act were approved and Ripple’s application for a master account at the Federal Reserve were also successful by late 2026, some models project XRP could trade in a $15–$30 range under full bank adoption. Related Reading: This Week Could Be The Most Volatile For Bitcoin In 2026, Top Expert Warns The CLARITY Act passed the House in July 2025 by a 294–134 vote and moved through the Senate Agriculture Committee on January 29. However, the Senate Banking Committee has yet to schedule a new markup since January, and negotiators have not published a reconciled draft that satisfies both crypto and banking stakeholders.  However, on Wednesday, pro-crypto Senator Cynthia Lummis indicated renewed momentum when she said that the Banking Committee plans to mark up the bill in April, following the Easter recess. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 

The US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) approved on Wednesday a significant rule change allowing one of the world’s largest stock exchanges, Nasdaq, to support trading in tokenized securities, a move that could accelerate the integration of blockchain technology into the mainstream financial markets.  Nasdaq Rule Amendments Approved Nasdaq’s modified regulations were approved by the SEC following a seven-month assessment that began in September 2025 and included adjustments to ensure compliance with federal securities laws and investor protection requirements. For context, tokenized securities are blockchain‑based representations of traditional financial instruments—stocks, bonds, or funds—where ownership rights are recorded as digital tokens on a distributed ledger.  Related Reading: Citigroup Lowers 12-Month Bitcoin Price Forecast To $112,000, ETH To $3,175—Here’s The Reason Proponents say tokenization can enable around‑the‑clock trading, speed up settlement, and permit fractional ownership, modernizing elements of market infrastructure that have long relied on legacy systems.  According to the SEC’s filing, Nasdaq’s approved pilot program will operate in coordination with the Depository Trust Company (DTC), providing a regulated pathway for market participants to trade these digital representations of securities. Cross‑Border Rails For Tokenized Securities The SEC’s approval clears the way for several industry initiatives already under development. Earlier this month, Payward — the parent company of crypto exchange Kraken — announced a partnership with Nasdaq to build an equities transformation gateway.  That project pairs Nasdaq’s regulated market infrastructure with Kraken’s xStocks framework, with the stated goal of allowing tokenized equities to move seamlessly between permissioned institutional environments and permissionless decentralized finance (DeFi) networks.  Related Reading: This Week Could Be The Most Volatile For Bitcoin In 2026, Top Expert Warns According to Nasdaq, the collaboration will underpin a new Nasdaq equity token design intended to preserve issuer control, maintain compliance with existing regulatory frameworks, and protect the traditional rights attached to company shares. The stock exchange also disclosed earlier in the month a partnership with Boerse Stuttgart Group’s tokenized settlement platform, Seturion, to link its European trading venues to settlement infrastructure tailored for tokenized securities.  Featured image from Reuters, chart from TradingView.com 

Bitcoin (BTC) is currently hovering above the recently breached $74,000 resistance, positioning to reclaim price levels not seen since the fourth quarter of last year. However, this week’s activity is set to be turbulent, with market expert Virtual Bacon predicting it could be the “most volatile week in Bitcoin all year.” Bear Market Prevails In a report shared on social media platform X, Virtual Bacon noted that, although the current Bitcoin price uptrend is optimistic, significant challenges remain.  The critical 200-day simple moving average (SMA) sits at $93,000, while the 50-week SMA is around $98,000. The last lower high resistance is pegged at $94,000, creating a confluence of resistance in the $93,000 to $98,000 range. Related Reading: Bitcoin Returns To Full Bull Mode: Key Indicators Signal Bottom And Major Relief Rally Simply said, there is a 15% downside risk to support levels in the low $60,000 zone, against a 30% upside potential to resistance. Virtual Bacon emphasized that the chances of a rejection back into the previous range outweigh the possibility of a full breakout into a bull market.  “This isn’t me being bearish,” he stated, emphasizing that the analysis is grounded in numerical realities. “We remain in a bear market until BTC decisively breaks above the $94,000 to $98,000 resistance.” Market Volatility Expected This Week  Virtual Bacon’s concern regarding the expected volatility this week is attributed to several volatility catalysts. The first is the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting taking place from March 18-19.  There is a 99.1% likelihood of no interest rate cuts. However, the expert believes that any comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell—particularly concerning hawkish stances influenced by oil-driven inflation—could trigger a hard market sell-off. Furthermore, the expiration of quarterly Bitcoin options on the same day enhances the potential for dramatic market movements. Current options data indicates heavy open interest clustered around the $74,000 to $75,000 range, suggesting that prices may stay constrained near this level until Friday’s expiry.  Virtual Bacon noted that, if the Bitcoin price moves above $75,000, it could surge toward $80,000. However, if it drops below $70,000, it may amplify the downward trend. The ongoing geopolitical tensions surrounding oil prices could further complicate market conditions. The expert contended that if oil prices approach $120, combined with FOMC and quadruple witching events, the market could experience significant instability. Two Scenarios For Bitcoin In the expert’s view, there are two main scenarios to consider by the end of the week. The first, a potential breakout, would see Bitcoin hold above the $75,000 mark through Friday’s expected volatility.  He said that this could facilitate a move toward $80,000 and set the stage for renewed bullish sentiment as the market looks for recovery toward the critical resistance levels of $94,000 to $98,000 in the second quarter of the year. Related Reading: Circle (CRLC) Boosted By USDC Demand: New Analyst Projections Suggest Rally To $136 The second scenario involves a rejection at the $75,000 resistance level, leading to a post-expiry drop back into the $63,000 to $70,000 range.  Virtual Bacon concludes that if such a decline occurs, the S&P 500 could break below its 200-day SMA, and oil prices could escalate, pushing Bitcoin back into prolonged bear market conditions, with scenarios suggesting prices could fall as low as $58,000 or even $43,000. Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com 

Despite a recent resurgence in prices, Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH), the two largest cryptocurrencies by market capitalization, are not expected to achieve new all-time highs this year, according to analysts at Citigroup.  The company significantly revised its forecasts for both cryptocurrencies on Tuesday, reflecting concerns about the slow pace of legislative progress in the United States, which limits the potential for regulatory catalysts that could drive increased demand from institutional investors and exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Bitcoin And Ethereum Price Targets Revised Downward In their latest update, Citigroup lowered its 12-month price target for Bitcoin from $143,000 to $112,000, while Ethereum’s forecast was reduced from $4,304 to $3,175.  This suggests that, based on current trade prices, Bitcoin is predicted to increase by nearly 50% in the remaining months of the year from $74,360. Ethereum, on the other hand, would see a nearly 62% increase in price from its present level of $2,314 per token over the course of the year.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Returns To Full Bull Mode: Key Indicators Signal Bottom And Major Relief Rally Citi strategist Alex Saunders emphasized that while regulatory catalysts are essential for fostering greater adoption and inflows into the market, the opportunity for significant US legislative action this year is diminishing. The report further highlights that, under a recessionary economic climate, Bitcoin could see its price dip to as low as $58,000, while Ethereum might fall to around $1,198.  Conversely, in a bullish scenario driven by heightened demand from end investors, Bitcoin’s price could reach $165,000, with Ethereum potentially climbing to $4,488. Tight Timeline For Crypto Legislation Progress The upcoming mid-term elections in November further complicate the legislative landscape for crypto-focused regulation. Should Democrats gain additional seats in Congress, the chances of passing the crypto market structure bill (CLARITY Act) could diminish. For the bill to advance, support from 7 Senate Democrats is required.  Citigroup analysts suggest that Bitcoin is likely to trade within a range while awaiting developments in the legislative arena, with $70,000 acting as a significant price point as the US election approaches. Related Reading: Circle (CRLC) Boosted By USDC Demand: New Analyst Projections Suggest Rally To $136 Earlier on Tuesday, Bitcoinist reported that Alex Thorn from the research team at Galaxy Digital pointed out that time is of the essence. He cautioned that if progress is not made this month, the likelihood of passing the CLARITY Act this year will become “extremely low.” While negotiations in Washington D.C focus on resolving the stablecoin rewards issue, Thorn highlighted that additional challenges could emerge. These challenges may include discussions regarding decentralized finance (DeFi), investor protections, and broader ethical considerations in the digital asset sector.  Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com 

Bitcoin (BTC) has briefly surpassed the critical resistance level of $74,000, generating renewed optimism among investors as key market indicators suggest the potential for a bottom and further recovery for the leading cryptocurrency.  A Potential Surge To $108,000 Market analyst Ali Martinez drew attention to a significant development in a social media post on Monday, noting that Bitcoin’s funding rates have turned negative. This particular signal has historically foreshadowed substantial relief rallies over the past three years.  Martinez added that current market sentiment reflects a state of “peak fear,” which often indicates that the local bottom is close. Historical patterns reveal a consistent trajectory: when the majority are paying to short Bitcoin, it typically signifies a market rebound. Related Reading: Analyst Predicts Dogecoin Price Will ‘Pump Hard’ Soon, Here’s Why The analyst has highlighted several past instances where this pattern played out effectively. For example, in December 2022, Bitcoin climbed from $17,800 to $24,800, a gain of 39%.  Similarly, from March 2023, the cryptocurrency surged from $20,000 to $30,700, marking a 53% increase in price. The trend continued with notable jumps in August 2023 and beyond.  Considering this pattern persists for the cryptocurrency, where Bitcoin has historically demonstrated an average gain of 46%, there is a possibility that the digital asset could rally back to approximately $108,000 for the first time since November of last year.  Bitcoin Whales Return In addition to funding rates, blockchain analysis firm CryptoQuant has reported further bullish signs for Bitcoin. Recent analysis by the firm indicates that the ratio of BTC whales on exchanges has reached its highest point in six years.  An increase in this whale ratio often signifies a short-term bottom, while peaks in the ratio typically mark the commencement of an upward trend. Presently, the ratio of retail investors is at a six-year low, suggesting that larger players in the market are accumulating aggressively. On-chain indicators support the notion that Bitcoin may be poised for an upward movement, with the exchange whale ratio reinforcing the idea that the current price levels represent a bottom. Related Reading: Ripple Pushes XRP Global With Multi-Continent Expansion Drive In another observation on social media platform X (previously Twitter), market expert Jesus Martinez pointed out the presence of an unfilled Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) gap between $80,000 and $84,000 for the leading cryptocurrency.  Nine out of ten CME gaps have been successfully closed since August 2025, sparking speculation that the cryptocurrency may experience an additional 13% increase should it promptly fill the gap at $84,000 in the short term.  At the time of writing, Bitcoin was trading slightly above the $74,100 mark, with gains of nearly 4% and 8% in the 24-hour and seven-day time frames, respectively.  Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com

Despite still having a market cap in the billions, Avalanche (AVAX) has struggled significantly over the last few years. The coin had seen its shine back in the DeFi summer of 2021-2022, but since then, it has essentially been downhill from there, save for a few recoveries over the years. Now, though, as the market enters what seems to be another accumulation trend, coins like AVAX are beginning to swim back to the fore, raising the question of whether there is still hope for them. Why AVAX Could Crash Further Crypto analyst RLinda shed more light on the current AVAX price movements and the bearish pressure that has engulfed it. Even while there has been an attempt on the altcoin’s part to actually recover, it has still fallen back to the bears, and declines continue to be the order of the day. Related Reading: Ethereum Foundation Sells ETH To BitMine As Whale Accumulation Intensifies The most recent recovery effort occurred last week as the digital asset pushed above $10 again. However, with the AVAX price falling back down, it showed that the altcoin was trapped within a broader bearish trend. The sell-off also showed that sentiment was still leaning well toward the negative, and investors are taking any opportunity to offload and get out of the coin. After testing resistance at $10, it has now marked a significant level for bulls to beat if there is to be a continuation rally. As the crypto analyst explained, there are currently mixed signals with the AVAX price, given the current resistance and support levels. For now, the first major resistance has lain around $9.75, a level where a rejection has been the order of the day in the past. Once broken, though, it doesn’t mean that the cryptocurrency is out of the woods. For one, there are still the $9.820 and $10.28 resistance levels, both of which will have to be surmounted or AVAX risk further crash. Related Reading: Bitcoin Crash Far From Over? Analyst Shares How Painful Bear Markets Can Get If the bulls are rejected at these resistance zones and a local short squeeze is followed by the AVAX price trending below $9.75, then the analyst predicts that it would lead to further weakness. In this case, triggering a drop to the $8.7-$9.0 level. In the event of a drop, then the first support level is placed at $9.48. Then it is followed by the budding support at $9.06, before moving toward $8.71, where the last stand is expected to be made by the bulls. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com

Circle, the firm behind the widely-used stablecoin USDC, has seen its stock, trading under the ticker CRCL, rise above $123 for the first time since October of last year.  This surge was accompanied by a new upgrade from Clear Street, which upgraded Circle’s stock from a “Hold” to a “Buy” and raised its price target from $92 to $136 in a research note released on Monday. USDC Adoption Soars Amid Increased Demand Since the beginning of February, adoption of Circle’s USDC stablecoin has increased significantly, indicating a growing interest from financial institutions and consumers in stablecoins.  This uptick contributed to a 7.5% jump in Circle’s stock price on Monday, currently trading at around $123 at the time of writing. Year-to-date, Circle shares have climbed 46%, reflecting a positive trend in the company’s performance. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Hits $74K As Geopolitical Tensions Spike, Is BTC Poised For a Fresh Leg Down? Several factors appear to be fueling this rally. According to a recent report from Barron’s, the ongoing conflict in Iran has disrupted banking and exchanges in the Middle East, which may have contributed to the increasing use of USDC for remittances and cross-border transactions. Clear Street analyst Owen Lau noted that during this volatile period, the market capitalization of USDC continued to rise, suggesting that the demand was driven primarily by its practical utility rather than speculative investment. The report also highlights a growing trend where financial institutions are tokenizing funds—digitizing these assets to trade on blockchain networks. Although USDC is not the sole settlement currency for such platforms, its regulatory compliance and wide compatibility make it an attractive option.  Additionally, USDC is gaining traction in prediction markets, particularly with Polymarket’s anticipated expansion into the US, which could further boost demand as numerous trades in these markets are settled in USDC.  Regulatory Clarity Seen As Key Driver For Circle Another significant development that Circle investors are optimistic about is the role of artificial intelligence (AI) in facilitating transactions. As AI agents increasingly perform tasks like booking travel and executing contracts independently, the need for digital wallets capable of instant settlement will grow.  Circle’s Arc blockchain protocol is being designed to serve as an infrastructure to support these types of automated payments, further enhancing its utility in the financial ecosystem. Lau emphasized a critical distinction that investors often overlook: the performance of speculative crypto assets is not necessarily indicative of the adoption trajectory for payment stablecoins.  “A central misperception among investors is conflating the fortunes of speculative crypto assets with the adoption trajectory of payment stablecoins,” he stated. Related Reading: Analyst Predicts Dogecoin Price Will ‘Pump Hard’ Soon, Here’s Why The report asserts that regulatory clarity has the potential to drive even more institutional investment into digital assets. Currently, there is a debate within the banking sector and the crypto industry concerning whether the CLARITY Act should permit stablecoin holders to earn yields on their deposits.  With calls from President Trump for various stakeholders to reach a compromise, Clear Street anticipates that the CLARITY Act may pass before the summer ends, which could further contribute to the stock’s positive performance along with broader crypto prices. “Our conversations with institutional allocators consistently highlight regulatory uncertainty as the primary barrier to increasing crypto exposure,” Lau concluded.  Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com 

Daily transaction volume on the XRP Ledger has surged to almost 3 million as of this week, a near-tripling of the approximately 1 million transactions recorded per day in mid-2025, according to data published by Evernorth, the largest public XRP treasury company. XRP Ledger Activity At Record Levels Recent data shows the XRP Ledger is now processing almost 3 million transactions daily, making it one of the busiest periods in the network’s history. The increase places current activity far above levels recorded earlier in the cycle, especially in the mid-2025 months, when XRP was pushing to new all-time highs.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Climbs Back To $73,000 As Short Squeeze Wipes Out $246M In Futures Bets The chart data revealed by Evernorth, sourced from XRPScan data, shows February 2026 as the strongest month in the observed window, with average daily transactions climbing to approximately 1.3 million over the month, up from 800,000 in May 2025 on a monthly average basis. Individual daily peaks in March are now at 3 million transactions. The XRP Ledger’s transaction count has not followed a linear path. Monthly average XRP transactions fluctuated between 800,000 and 950,000 from May to August 2025, before declining to lows around 700,000, and, on certain days in June and July, falling below that threshold. A recovery in the fourth quarter of 2025 proved modest, but transactions again fell during the end of the year. The XRP transactions changed meaningfully at the start of the current year. Monthly average transactions crossed above 1 million in January 2026, and daily transactions are now above 2.7 million in March 2026, up from a peak of 1 million per day in mid-2025. Chart Image From X. Source: @evernorthxrp  Activity And Price Moving In Opposite Directions Although transactions are high, XRP’s market price has not yet followed the increase in network usage. The cryptocurrency is still moving within a relatively narrow range around $1.4. However, that gap between network utility and token pricing may not persist indefinitely. While speaking in a recent interview with Paul Barron, Zach Pandl, Head of Research at Grayscale Investments, discussed how regulatory clarity in the United States could impact XRP’s long-term valuation. According to the executive, products tied to XRP have already been attracting huge demand from investors. However, regulatory clarity, specifically the passage of the CLARITY Act, could influence a meaningful repricing of XRP. “I think we would see a pricing across a range of assets, certainly including XRP,” he said. Interestingly, the Grayscale executive also identified the long-term token supply outlook of XRP as a particular area where legislative clarity could increase its value. Related Reading: Strategy’s Bitcoin Bet Now $3.35 Billion In The Red As Saylor Tells Investors To Wait This idea of institutional involvement in XRP is also reflected through Evernorth. The company announced a $1 billion valuation in October 2025 to accumulate XRP as a treasury reserve. Evernorth’s concept follows the same strategy popularized by Strategy, which has built a corporate treasury around Bitcoin. However, instead of just holding, Evernorth seeks to grow XRP per share over time by participating in institutional lending and other DeFi activities. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from TradingView

Bitcoin’s recent price action may be showing its first signs of relief as a closely watched indicator tied to US demand has just changed direction. The Coinbase Premium Gap has moved back into positive territory following nearly 10 weeks of persistent negative readings, a stretch that coincided with Bitcoin’s decline from around $95,000 to below $65,000 in February. Coinbase Premium Turns Positive The Coinbase Premium Gap, which measures the price difference between Bitcoin on Coinbase, the primary exchange for US-based institutional and retail investors, and its price on offshore platforms such as Binance, stayed in negative territory for the entirety of Bitcoin’s correction from $95,000 to the mid-$60,000 range.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Climbs Back To $73,000 As Short Squeeze Wipes Out $246M In Futures Bets Whenever the Coinbase Premium Gap is negative, it usually means that traders in the United States are selling Bitcoin at a faster pace than buyers are stepping in. A positive gap indicates the opposite dynamic of demand from US investors pushing Coinbase prices higher relative to the price in the global market.  Notably, the metric entered a sustained negative zone on January 1 and held there through March 7, which is a period during which US spot demand was largely absent among crypto investors At its worst, the gap reached -175 on February 2, coinciding with the most severe phase of Bitcoin’s price crash. At the time of writing, the Coinbase Premium Gap has now turned positive, registering a reading of +25.4 according to data shared by CryptoQuant analyst @IT_TECH_PL. The reversal of the Coinbase Premium Gap from a low of -175 to a positive reading is the first step in a meaningful change in market structure.  Chart Image From X. Source: @IT_TECH_PL The current reading, while still early and modest relative to the depth of the prior negative regime, is the first consistent sign that American spot demand may be returning to Bitcoin. It shows that those same participants may be slowly accumulating Bitcoin again compared to the rest of the world. However, the broader structure of Bitcoin’s price action still leaves room for further downside before the formation of a definitive bottom. Bitcoin Could Still Drop To $50,000 Before Bottom Although a few on-chain signals are slowly turning constructive, a few analysts are cautious before declaring the broader correction over. A technical analysis from crypto analyst Ted Pillows points to a longer-term technical indicator that has always coincided with Bitcoin bottoms. According to his observation, the last two major bear-market lows occurred below the 300-week exponential moving average (300W EMA). In both cases, Bitcoin fell more than 15% beneath the indicator before the final bottom was established. Bitcoin Price Chart. Source: @TedPillows On X Related Reading: Strategy’s Bitcoin Bet Now $3.35 Billion In The Red As Saylor Tells Investors To Wait Bitcoin’s 300-week EMA is currently around $57,100. Applying the same pattern would imply a possible move to around $50,000, which would represent a decline of roughly 15% below the indicator. Nonetheless, this projection does not guarantee that Bitcoin will revisit that level before forming a bottom. Featured image from Pexels, chart from TradingView

Bitcoin’s extended pullback from its all-time high has left traders in uncertainty, and many investors are unsure whether the worst of the decline has already passed.  One analyst known as Jelle on X is of the notion that the conversation may be missing an uncomfortable reality that Bitcoin bear markets often become far more painful than most participants expect. The price data, he argues, supports a more concerning interpretation of how Bitcoin’s current pullback will play out. Related Reading: Bitcoin Climbs Back To $73,000 As Short Squeeze Wipes Out $246M In Futures Bets Current Bitcoin Decline Still Smaller Than Previous Bear Markets Crypto analyst Jelle issued an interesting warning to investors who may be underestimating the depth and duration of Bitcoin bear markets. In a post on X, Jelle noted that Bitcoin is currently down roughly 44% from its all-time high of $126,080, with the February local bottom around $63,000 registering a 53% decline from the peak. These sound severe on the surface. However, they are  relatively modest against the historical record. Historical data shows that Bitcoin’s previous bear markets pushed the asset much deeper below its peak. The market collapse following the 2017 rally eventually erased about 84% of Bitcoin’s value, while the bear market that followed the 2021 cycle bottomed near a 77% decline. A review of the chart Jelle shared, which is shown below, illustrates just how consistent the cyclical structure has been. Since 2014, Bitcoin has oscillated through periods of sustained accumulation and declines. Each bull run lasts approximately 150 to 152 weeks, and each bear market persists for anywhere between 52 and 58 weeks. Bitcoin Price Chart. Source: @CryptoJelleNL On X The current bear phase, by that measure, is well short of the duration at which prior cycles found their floors. Projecting the bear market phase from the October 2025 all-time high would put the current correction lasting until sometime around October 2026. “Unfortunately, I think there is more pain ahead for BTC,” Jelle said. The RSI Is Telling Investors To Wait The analyst also examined Bitcoin’s relative strength index indicator, which has repeatedly provided clues about when bear markets are nearing completion, in another post. Jelle observed that every previous bear market eventually bottomed when the weekly RSI dropped below the 37 level. Once the indicator crosses below that threshold, it often falls further before the Bitcoin price reaches its final low. Bitcoin has declined roughly 30% since the RSI first moved below that level in the current cycle. That decline is smaller than what occurred in earlier cycles, though not enough to stand out as a clear anomaly given the limited number of examples. More important, according to Jelle, is the pattern that forms near the end of a bear market. The final low usually appears when the RSI creates a higher low close to the level recorded during the previous bottom. That higher low can occur alongside either a lower price low or a higher price low. Bitcoin Price Chart. Source: @CryptoJelleNL On X Related Reading: Ghana’s Crypto Push Begins As 11 Companies Enter SEC Sandbox When price forms a lower low but RSI prints a higher low, the price action produces a bullish divergence on the weekly chart. That signal has always preceded the transition from bear market conditions into the next accumulation phase. Until that structure becomes visible, patience is the best approach. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView

Bitcoin (BTC) made a notable recovery on Friday, witnessing a 4% surge that led the leading cryptocurrency to retest the critical $74,000 resistance level, which has remained unbroken for the past month.  However, even with this upward movement, the cryptocurrency has retraced to approximately $72,215, establishing itself at the upper boundary of its ongoing consolidation range. Further Declines For Bitcoin Ahead? Analyst Sunny Mom from CryptoQuant emphasizes that, despite these recoveries, Bitcoin has yet to establish a definitive bottom. She suggests that further price declines may be ahead, as current on-chain data reveals that the market is in a significant “stress test” phase.  Diving into the data, Sunny identifies several key factors that indicate the challenges ahead for Bitcoin. First, she points to the 6-12 month cohort of investors, who are currently underwater due to their Realized Price (RP) being concentrated around $100,000.  This means that many of these mid-term holders are seeing losses, which could continue to exert downward pressure on prices until this imbalance resolves.  Related Reading: Hyperliquid (HYPE) Under The Lens: These 3 Metrics Point To Severe Undervaluation Sunny also highlights the MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) ratio, which stands at 1.2. This figure is commonly regarded as a “DCA (Dollar-Cost Average) zone” for “smart money.” However, substantial cyclical bottoms typically require the MVRV to be less than 1.0, indicating a state of capitulation.  Furthermore, the importance of long-term holders (LTHs) cannot be overstated. A sustainable price floor generally requires that LTHs—those who have held their positions for over two years—constitute more than 20% of the Realized Cap.  Currently, they make up only about 15%, suggesting that the market lacks the robust structural support needed for a strong recovery. She outlines two potential paths for how Bitcoin could find its bottom.  Two Potential Paths To Find A True Bottom The first involves a “Black Swan” event—a sudden crash that triggers forced liquidations among high-cost investors. Although painful, Sunny believes this scenario could lead to a faster establishment of a solid Bitcoin price floor, potentially within one to two months.  The second path, referred to as “The Great Boring,” envisions institutions maintaining their positions, allowing Bitcoin to trade in the $60,000 to $80,000 range for an extended period.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Historically Surges 54% On Average Post-US Midterm Elections, Binance The analyst asserts that this would enable new investments to mature into long-term holdings, setting the stage for a bottoming process that could extend into late 2026 or early 2027. While the market may be at a “Value Bottom” conducive to long-term dollar-cost averaging, Sunny’s analysis suggests that a true “Structural Bottom” for Bitcoin has yet to form. Consequently, she noted that volatility within the $60,000 to $70,000 range is anticipated.  Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com 

Bitcoin and crypto exchanges built much of the cryptocurrency industry’s reputation by challenging traditional finance. However, as major Wall Street institutions deepen their involvement in crypto services, the structure of the market could begin to change in ways that place pressure on both exchanges and the broader ecosystem surrounding Bitcoin. Why Bitcoin And Crypto Exchanges Could Face Pressure Recent industry commentary highlights how large financial institutions are gradually positioning themselves to compete directly with crypto exchanges. Among them, Morgan Stanley has been expanding its digital asset capabilities, moving beyond simple exposure products toward services such as crypto trading, custody, and staking. The development signals a broader shift in which traditional finance is no longer observing the crypto sector from the sidelines. Related Reading: Here’s How Much Needs To Flow Through Ripple For XRP Price To Reach $3,700 One key factor behind this shift is infrastructure. In the early years of the industry, building a crypto trading platform required specialized blockchain engineering, complex wallet systems, and custom liquidity networks. That barrier created a protective moat for early exchanges such as Coinbase, Binance, and Kraken. Today, however, specialized infrastructure providers, including Fireblocks, Copper, Talos, and Zero Hash, allow financial institutions to integrate crypto trading systems far more quickly. With these tools, banks can launch digital asset services in just months. Distribution power further strengthens this advantage. If crypto trading becomes integrated into existing brokerage dashboards alongside equities and bonds, clients may access digital assets without leaving their primary investment accounts. In that scenario, exchanges would no longer be the default destination for crypto trading. Capital efficiency is another area where traditional institutions excel. Unlike exchanges, which operate as isolated platforms for digital assets, banks can offer multi-asset trading environments where stocks, bonds, foreign exchange, derivatives, and cryptocurrencies exist within the same account. This structure allows investors to move collateral across markets and execute complex strategies without transferring funds between separate platforms. Crypto Exchanges Face A Strategic Crossroads Another pressure point lies in pricing. Many crypto exchanges rely heavily on transaction fees as their primary revenue stream. Large financial institutions, by contrast, operate diversified business models that include lending, asset management, advisory services, custody, and prime brokerage. Because of these multiple revenue channels, banks could reduce trading costs significantly, potentially compressing the fee structures that exchanges depend on. Related Reading: Dogecoin Descending Channel Shows Where It Is In This Cycle Institutional trust also plays a role in shaping where large investors choose to trade. Established financial firms like Morgan Stanley have decades of regulatory infrastructure and longstanding client relationships. For institutions already managing capital through those firms, conducting crypto transactions within the same framework may appear more straightforward than onboarding to an entirely separate exchange. Analysts note that liquidity often follows institutional capital. Morgan Stanley’s $9 trillion asset base alone dwarfs the assets held on many crypto trading platforms. If even a fraction of that capital begins flowing through bank-operated crypto desks, trading activity could gradually shift away from traditional exchanges. For the crypto sector, this shift is prompting a strategic reassessment, as competition could increasingly favor traditional financial institutions entering digital asset markets. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com

Despite trading more than 40% below its all-time high, with $70,000 serving as a short-term support level, Bitcoin (BTC) may be poised for a repeat pattern that could lead to a 54% increase following this year’s US midterm elections.  New research from cryptocurrency exchange Binance suggests that, historically, the aftermath of midterm elections has been positive for both the Bitcoin price and the S&P 500. Will Bitcoin Follow Historical Patterns?  The research shows that since 1939, the S&P 500 has reported no negative returns in the 12 months following midterm elections, averaging gains of 19%. In the same periods, Bitcoin has experienced an average rally of 54% across all three previously recorded midterm years.  Binance’s analysis further reveals that midterm election years often lead to political volatility, resulting in average peak-to-trough drawdowns of about 16% for the S&P 500—marking them as the weakest years in the four-year presidential cycle.  Related Reading: Ripple Launches $750 Million Share Buyback, Boosting Valuation To $50 Billion Tracking Bitcoin from 2014 onward, the research indicates that the market’s leading cryptocurrency has mirrored these market dynamics, with an average decline of 56% during midterm years. The research emphasizes what they call “The Post-Election Opportunity,” as once election results are settled and uncertainties are cleared, markets historically tend to rally significantly.  The exchange asserts that the year following midterm elections has been shown to be particularly strong for market returns, thus setting the stage for potential Bitcoin gains as well.  If Bitcoin follows a similar trajectory, it could make a strong case for a rebound. However, potentially not toward new record highs. The cryptocurrency has fallen by an average of 70% from its previous all-time highs during previous bear market cycles.  With Bitcoin’s bull market peak at $126,000, a potential decline to $37,800 could precede a 54% surge pointed by Binance, potentially returning its price to nearly $58,000. However, some analysts are pointing out that the market bottom may already have been reached.  Is The End Of The Bear Market Near? NewsBTC reported Wednesday that CryptoQuant analysts suggest that Bitcoin might be in the final stages of its bear market, especially after it dropped to $59,900 on February 6. Related Reading: White House Crypto Advisor Denounces Attempts To Sabotage CLARITY Act’s Goals Currently, Bitcoin is consolidating between $65,000 and $70,000, eyeing the key resistance level at $73,000. This phase may indicate a final accumulation stage of the bear cycle, which is often succeeded by substantial recoveries, albeit not in a straight path. With this pattern in mind, if Bitcoin maintains its current trading levels, the post-midterm elections in the US could propel the cryptocurrency back toward $107,000 for the first time since November 2025.  Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com