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Bitcoin has faced persistent challenges in recent weeks, struggling to maintain a stable upward momentum. After recently slipping below $100,000, the cryptocurrency now hovers around the $95,000 mark, causing uncertainty among investors. Despite these setbacks, some analysts see signs that the market’s bull cycle may still have room to run. CryptoQuant contributor MAC_D recently examined the current state of Bitcoin’s realized market capitalization, offering insights into what might lie ahead for the asset. Related Reading: Bitcoin’s Struggle Below $100K: Could These Market Signals Trigger the Next Rally? Bitcoin Realized Cap as a Bullish Indicator According to Mac’s analysis, Bitcoin’s realized market capitalization—calculated by summing the value of each Bitcoin based on its last recorded transaction price—has reached an all-time high, surpassing $857 billion. This increase occurred even as Bitcoin’s price experienced a downturn. Traditionally, a rising realized cap indicates that coins are being sold by long-term holders and absorbed by new investors. This redistribution cycle often reflects a healthy, ongoing bull market rather than the end of one. Mac noted that the proportion of long-term holders who have held Bitcoin for more than six months currently stands at 39.74%, compared to 15.66% during the previous market peak. This higher percentage suggests that long-term holders remain active, and the market has yet to reach its zenith. While the data indicates that the bull cycle continues, external factors such as trade tensions and inflation could still influence short-term corrections. However, Mac believes these macroeconomic elements won’t derail the market’s long-term upward trajectory. The analyst wrote: The increase in realized market cap and the decrease in long-term holder ratio indicate that the market is still in a bull cycle. However, investors should also consider macroeconomic factors such as trade tensions and inflation. While these factors may lead to short-term corrections and periods of price stability, the long-term upward trend is expected to persist. Retail Activity Shows Signs of Revival In addition to realized cap metrics, other market indicators also suggest potential positive developments. Another CryptoQuant analyst, caueconomy, highlighted retail investor behavior as a key factor to watch. While retail demand for Bitcoin has been muted over the past month—declining by just 2% compared to a steeper 20% drop in January—there are signs that this normalization period is ending. Historically, increases in retail activity have coincided with improved market sentiment and short-term price rallies. If retail participation resumes, it could strengthen Bitcoin’s market structure and contribute to a broader recovery. Although Bitcoin’s current consolidation phase has tempered its recent performance, these underlying metrics provide some optimism for investors. Related Reading: Bitcoin OTC Balances Decline, Raising Market Supply Questions The data suggests that both long-term and retail participants remain engaged, setting the stage for potential growth once the market regains momentum. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

 Binance founder Changpeng Zhao, also known as “CZ,” has taken the crypto market by storm after sharing his dog’s name and picture. The announcement sparked the launch of multiple tokens inspired by the pet and was further fueled by BNB Chain’s memecoin launchpad’s name-guessing contest. Related Reading: BNB Flips Solana’s Market Cap Amid Market Retrace – Breakout To $700 Coming? CZ Sparks Memecoin Frenzy On Wednesday, Changpeng Zhao acknowledged the cycle’s memecoin frenzy after an X user asked if he had a dog. The Binance founder revealed he had “not a Shiba Inu, but a Belgian Malinois,” which resulted in the crypto community asking for the name and picture of his dog. CZ inquired about how it would work if he shared the information, asking if people would create memecoins based on the dog, how investors would know which one is the “official” token, and if it even mattered. He joked he would mull whether to “respect his privacy, or dox the dog for the cause,” sparking massive speculation about an official memecoin launch. On Thursday, CZ shared on X that he would officially share his dog’s picture and name at 8:00 PM Dubai time, or 4:00 PM UTC, sending investors into a frenzy over the upcoming post. Community members launched several tokens with the possible names of CZ’s four-legged companion, some reaching up to $60 million in market capitalization. Arkham noted that the two frontrunner tokens on the BNB chain, BROWNIE, and PERRY, significantly surged on Thursday morning. Remarkably, an investor made over $1 million with less than a $12,000 initial in 12 hours. Four.Meme Kicks-Off Token Event BNB Chain’s token launchpad, Four.Meme joined the frenzy, announcing a “CZ Dog Name Meme Token Betting Event.” According to the X post, the tokens with the same then-unknown name of CZ’s dog would be part of a competition. The tokens created today before 4:00 PM UTC would be eligible to participate and “become the next big meme.” The announcement detailed: 30 minutes after CZ’s post, the highest market cap token on Four.Meme wins! The winner’s token will have its tokens in LP revenue regularly burned by Four.Meme! At 4:12 UTC, the Binance founder shared a picture with his dog, Broccoli. The dog was named after the vegetable because he wanted “a name that started with B and has some green in it.” CZ wrote that he and Broccoli bonded over their difficulty socializing, adding that the dog helped him get a “good break” from the “intense negotiations with the DOJ back then.” He also stated that he never imagined his pet would be part of the blockchain ecosystem, adding that there’s “never a dull day in crypto.” Broccoli Immortalized In The Blockchain CZ clarified that he was “just posting” his dog’s pictures and name and not issuing a memecoin himself. He considered it was up to the community whether to launch a token. The BNB foundation “may provide rewards for the top memes on the BNB Chain, giving LP support or other rewards,” but the details are still being discussed. After the “Pet reveal,” the tokens guessing Broccoli’s name plummeted, with the leading memecoin falling from a $22 million market cap to less than $1 million in less than a minute. Related Reading: Bitcoin Finds Price Stability: Reclaiming $101,000 Depends On This Level Meanwhile, the creation of memecoins inspired by CZ pet’s real name spiked, with several BNB Chain and Solana-based tokens flooding DexScreener’s feed. At the time of writing, CZ’s Dog (BROCCOLI), launched a minute after Zhao’s post, has become the largest gainer. The memecoin reached a $300 million market capitalization minutes after being created and is currently trading at $0.0745, with a $75 million market cap. The winning token of the Four.Meme contest is yet to be announced. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com

Ethereum price action amid the broader crypto market bearish sentiment over recent weeks hasn’t been any different from the performance recorded in the past months. Over this period, Ethereum’s price has struggled to gain significant upward momentum, remaining in a prolonged consolidation phase. Amid this, a recent analysis by CryptoQuant contributor MAC_D has shed light on Ethereum’s current state and factors that may influence its future price trajectory. The analysis notes that Ethereum’s “ultrasound money” narrative—an idea tied to its post-Merge deflationary tokenomics—has faced challenges. Total supply has reached record highs, and the staking ratio has decreased by 1% since November. However, despite these supply-side hurdles, several demand-side factors suggest Ethereum might be positioned for long-term growth. Related Reading: Ethereum Outflows On Derivative Exchanges Hit Record Lows: What It Means for ETH Undervaluation, Holder Behavior, and Institutional Interest One other key insight from the analysis is that Ethereum appears undervalued based on its realized price. The realized price reflects the average acquisition cost of ETH holdings across all wallets, currently sitting at approximately $2,200. With the current market price around $2,600, the analyst calculates a market value to realized value (MVRV) ratio slightly above 1, indicating that ETH remains undervalued relative to historical norms. This level could act as a strong support base, potentially limiting further downside. Another factor supporting Ethereum’s potential upside is the behavior of long-term holders. The analysis highlights an increasing number of addresses that accumulate Ethereum without selling, akin to Bitcoin’s “permanent holders.” Although some larger investors have sold during recent downturns, their positions have been absorbed by these long-term holders, helping stabilize the market. This trend suggests that Ethereum’s investor base is maturing, with a growing segment committed to holding the asset through market volatility. Ethereum: A Major Rebound On The Horizon? Furthermore, the analyst points out that selling pressure in the futures market has eased. Data shows a notable reduction in market price trading volume on the sell side since Ethereum’s price near $4,000 in November last year. This decline in selling activity, even as prices fell, signals a relative influx of buying power, which could set the stage for a recovery if market conditions improve. Institutional participation is another encouraging factor. Major players, including BlackRock, Cumberland, and other prominent firms, have reportedly accumulated substantial amounts of ETH during the recent downturn. For example, BlackRock is said to have purchased over 100,000 ETH, valued at more than $270 million. Such significant institutional inflows not only boost demand but also lend credibility to Ethereum’s long-term investment thesis. Despite these positive indicators, the analysis acknowledges lingering challenges. The increase in total supply and the slight dip in the staking ratio could weigh on sentiment, particularly if macroeconomic conditions remain uncertain. Related Reading: Analyst Says You’ll Regret Not Buying Ethereum At These Prices, Here’s Where It’s Headed Moreover, Ethereum’s price movement may remain constrained in the short term as the broader market digests ongoing economic shifts. However, the combination of undervaluation, strong long-term holder participation, reduced selling pressure, and institutional accumulation paints a more optimistic medium- to long-term outlook. While Ethereum may continue to trade sideways in the near term, the factors outlined in the analysis suggest that it could be well-positioned for growth once broader market conditions stabilize. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Analysts say the price surge indicates that investor confidence has strengthened as they digest macroeconomic factors.

Toncoin (TON), which once saw significant hype leading to consistent new highs, has struggled to regain upward momentum. After a series of steady declines in the past week, the asset’s price has now slipped below the $4 mark, leaving investors concerned about its near-term potential. This prolonged downtrend has caused speculation about whether TON might be approaching a crucial turning point that could result in a major reversal in price. Related Reading: Is Toncoin Set for a Comeback? Key Market Signals Point to a Possible Rebound TON’s NMR Hits Rock Bottom: A Golden Opportunity for Investors? Amid the bearish trend, Joao Wedson, a contributor on CryptoQuant’s QuickTake Platform, recently highlighted some intriguing insights. In a recent post, titled “TON Reaches NMR Lows: A Signal for Medium- to Long-Term Accumulation,” Wedson explained that the Normalized Metric Risk (NMR) for TON has hit its lowest levels yet. This indicator assesses the asset’s valuation by comparing its current price against weighted moving averages, including 50-day and 374-day averages. By factoring in logarithmic differences and time-weighted adjustments, the NMR offers a deeper perspective on TON’s market standing. Wedson’s analysis suggests that TON’s current low valuation phase could present a potential opportunity for investors. According to his findings, the NMR’s historic low levels indicate that the token might be undervalued. TON Reaches NMR Lows: A Signal for Medium to Long-Term Accumulation “This indicator, which evaluates the relationship between the current price and weighted moving averages… reveals that the TON token is in a historically low valuation phase.” – By @joao_wedson pic.twitter.com/P8ckhnSFck — CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) February 11, 2025 For those who adopt a medium- to long-term investment horizon, this may be an opportune moment to begin accumulating TON, with the expectation that its price will appreciate over time. However, it’s worth noting that such a strategy is not without risks. While historically low valuation metrics may hint at future growth, the broader market conditions and TON’s overall adoption will play critical roles in determining whether this approach pays off. Toncoin Price Performance And Outlook Meanwhile, Toncoin is currently trading at $3.78—this market price marks not only a 1.1% decline for Toncoin in the past 24 hours but also adds to the prolonged bearish trend in TON in recent weeks marking a 22.5% drop in TON price over the past two weeks. Notably, so far, TON has fallen roughly 54% from its all-time high of $8.25 registered in January last year. Interestingly, despite this bearishness, another CryptoQuant analyst known as Darkfost has highlighted a bullish indicator for TON. Related Reading: Toncoin Stabilizes Above $5: Is Now The Time To Buy TON? According to Darkfost, TON’s risk appetite has soared, “signaling an influx of liquidity into the TON ecosystem.” ???? Risk Appetite Soars Among $TON Speculators ???? We are currently witnessing a historic high in risky investments, such as derivatives, options, and lending, on TonCoin. This suggests that speculative investors have increased their risk exposure to TON following the recent… pic.twitter.com/HCQ1va4VOV — Darkfost (@Darkfost_Coc) February 11, 2025   Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Bitcoin has experienced a challenging period recently, with its price consistently declining over the past several days. After failing to maintain its position above the six-figure mark, the leading cryptocurrency now trades below $97,000. At the time of writing, BTC trades at a price of $96,939, marking a 0.8% decline in the past day and a 10.9% decrease from its peak established in January. This downturn comes amid several underlying factors that are also related to on-chain developments. Related Reading: Bitcoin’s Exchange Reserves Plunge—Are We On The Brink Of A Rebound? Bitcoin OTC Balances Decline: The Implications One notable trend has been recently highlighted by CryptoQuant contributor Darkfost, concerning the sharp decline in Bitcoin’s over-the-counter (OTC) desk balance. Notably, institutional players—such as hedge funds, governments, and large corporations—have traditionally relied on OTC desks to acquire Bitcoin without impacting the broader market. However, Darkfost points out that since September 2021, the OTC balance has dropped from approximately 480,000 BTC to just 146,000 BTC as of now. Bitcoin OTC Desk balance is declining sharply “In September 2021 the OTC desk balance was around 480k BTC and today it sits at 146k BTC left.” – By @Darkfost_Coc Read more ????https://t.co/RCNlSeauDT pic.twitter.com/S0P2jLu8ta — CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) February 10, 2025 He notes that even after Bitcoin hit $100,000, the OTC desk balance continued to fall, reflecting steady demand. This declining balance raises questions about where these institutional buyers will source Bitcoin when the remaining OTC supply is depleted. The analyst added: When this balance will be fully empty, all buying will have to occur directly on exchanges, which could significantly impact BTC’s price. By looking at the sell side liquidity inventory, we can observe that US exchanges currently hold almost 1M BTC. Miners could also sell their BTC via OTC, but their current balance is around 117k BTC, and not all miners rely on OTC transactions. Miners and Hash Rate Trends Darkfost also highlights another key market factor: miner capitulation. Mining activity, measured through indicators like the Hash Ribbons, provides valuable insight into the health of Bitcoin’s network. The Hash Ribbons track hash rate fluctuations, and according to Darkfost, they have historically served as a reliable signal of market entry points. While this indicator has only failed once—during the COVID-19 market shock—its current flashing suggests that miners might be capitulating. According to Darkfost, when miners struggle, they may sell off reserves, further influencing market supply and demand dynamics. Miners are capitulating! “This indicator consistently highlights optimal entry zones, both for mid-term positioning and long-term accumulation. Each time Hash Ribbons has flashed in the past, a Bitcoin rally has followed.” – By @Darkfost_Coc Link ????https://t.co/s0mwgeKiOc pic.twitter.com/Xxuwx4HyRz — CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) February 11, 2025 Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Bitcoin is now experiencing a break from last week’s steady decline, which saw the asset drop as low as $94,000. As of today, BTC’s price has steadily climbed, hovering above $97,000 at the time of writing—a 1.3% gain in the past day. Amid this Bitcoin price performance, a CryptoQuant analyst known as Crypto Lion has identified a meaningful decline in leverage and open interest (OI) ratios since November 21, following the presidential election. What does this indicate for the Bitcoin market? Related Reading: Could Fear Fuel Bitcoin’s Comeback? Analyst Spots a Surprising Pattern Leverage Ratio Decrease And Its Implications In a recent QuickTake post titled “Leverage ratio decreased. Risk Off,” Crypto Lion explained that the leverage ratio of Bitcoin has fallen, along with the derivatives buy-sell ratio and the OI-to-market-cap ratio. This suggests a gradual unwinding of leverage as more Bitcoin leaves centralized exchanges (CEXs). The analyst also highlighted that much of this Bitcoin has shifted to Coinbase Prime or been used to back exchange-traded funds (ETFs), indicating a shift toward long-term holding and possibly a broader “risk-off” stance among large investors. The analyst particularly wrote: The large decrease in the leverage ratio means that OI is decreasing relative to the CEX BTC reserve. It is important to note that the CEX reserve has been declining for a long time and has been moved to the coinbase prime and bought to back ETFs. This means that risk-off may be more advanced than it appears. Bitcoin Exchange Outflows Reach 2022 Levels Adding to this narrative, another CryptoQuant analyst, Papi, reported a significant development in Bitcoin’s exchange dynamics. According to Papi, the largest net outflow of Bitcoin from exchanges since 2022 occurred last week, reducing the supply of Bitcoin on these platforms by 3%. The last time outflows reached a comparable scale was shortly after the collapse of FTX, a major exchange event that reshaped market sentiment. This latest exodus of Bitcoin from exchanges may signal growing confidence among institutional players and long-term holders. Despite recent price fluctuations, large buyers appear to be “stacking on dips,” as Papi noted. This behavior suggests that these entities anticipate future price appreciation and are accumulating while prices remain comparatively low. Related Reading: Bitcoin Indicator Signals Short-Term Holders Have Been Taking Profits – Is The Next Rally Near? The shift of funds off exchanges into private wallets or institutional custody often reflects a strategy of long-term holding rather than short-term trading, potentially providing a stable foundation for future market growth. Looking ahead, the reduced leverage ratios, coupled with significant outflows from exchanges, could point to a more cautious yet optimistic market sentiment. If these patterns continue, they may set the stage for a more sustained recovery in Bitcoin’s price and a shift toward healthier market conditions over time. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

After the recent crypto market corrections, some investor’s and market watchers’ bullish sentiment appears to have decreased, with many claiming the top is in. However, other analysts point out that several indicators don’t signal a cycle peak yet, suggesting that the bull still has some gas in its tank. Related Reading: Aptos (APT) Could See A 95% Rebound, But It Must Hold This Level – Analyst Crypto Market Capitalization Retests Key Level The crypto market has recently suffered continuous corrections that have halted the momentum from the post-US election. During the November-December rally, the industry achieved many milestones, including Bitcoin’s breakout from the $100,000 barrier for the first time in history. The crypto market also surpassed its 2021 all-time high (ATH), reaching a market capitalization of $3.73 trillion on December 17, 2024. Nonetheless, its recent shakeout sent the total crypto market cap (TOTAL) to its lowest range in nearly three months. On Monday, the market retraced to the $2.8 trillion mark, briefly losing the key $3 trillion support level before bouncing. Market observer Daan Crypto Trades highlighted that the TOTAL chart retested the 2021 ATH during the pullback, turning the weekly candle “into a pretty interesting one.” The trader explained that the $3 trillion mark is crucial to hold going forward despite the chart showing “plenty of demand for the time being.” Meanwhile, the $3.7 trillion mark remains the key resistance level, as it is “what’s in the way of further expansion higher.” Daan also noted that the Altcoins market capitalization, which excludes Bitcoin and Ethereum, swept the 2024 highs and bounced after briefly losing its current range during the market correction, which could suggest that the long-awaited altseason is still ahead. He pointed out that Altcoins might continue moving sideways within their current range, but a breakout could see them test the December highs, as they are yet to break their 2021 ATH properly. Cycle Top Coming In Q4? Analyst Sjuul from AltcryptoGems shared an analysis of the total crypto market chart. The analyst stated that he doesn’t see the “warning signs” other investors and market watchers have mentioned online. From a technical perspective, the crypto market’s rally is a “straightforward support and resistance situation” since flipping the 2021 ATH level, which the market is currently holding. Sjuul compared this cycle to the previous one, stating that it technically is the beginning of the “real bull run.” Timewise, the chart presents various similarities between the two cycles, suggesting the top is around 230 days away. He explains that the 2021 breakout from the previous cycle’s top occurred 1,120 days from the 2017 ATH. Additionally, the 2021 cycle top occurred 1,400 days after the 2017 peak. Related Reading: Bitcoin Volatility ‘Relatively Low’ Despite Market Shakeouts – Analysts Eye This Crucial Level Meanwhile, this cycle’s breakout from the 2021 ATH happened approximately 1,120 days after the top, similar to the last cycle. If history repeats itself, this cycle’s timing suggests that the crypto market top is around 7-9 months away. Ultimately, the analyst projected the market peak to occur in Q4 2025 and potentially hit a market capitalization of $4.5 trillion. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin price in recent days seems to have dimmed investor’s confidence in the asset for now with the community seeing less buzz as BTC sees fewer green days.  Regardless of this, some analysts are still eager to analyze BTC and its major metric to at least get a perspective on if there’s hope around the corner. An instance is a CryptoQuant analyst known under the pseudonym ‘Avocado Onchain’ who recently shared an insight on BTC focusing on Binance funding rates. Funding rates, which represent the cost of holding long or short positions in the futures market, can provide insight into market sentiment. A decrease in funding rates often suggests growing pessimism, as traders who previously held bullish positions are forced to cover their positions due to mounting losses. This shift in sentiment can have cascading effects, leading to mass liquidations and further price declines. Related Reading: Bitcoin Volatility ‘Relatively Low’ Despite Market Shakeouts – Analysts Eye This Crucial Level Binance’s Funding Rates And Potential for Rebound Avocado, has recently examined the implications of Binance’s funding rates in a post titled “Monitoring Binance Funding Rates: Will Bitcoin Rebound After Extreme Fear?” According to the analysis, a notable wave of long position liquidations occurred recently, leaving the market in a state of extreme fear. Funding rates on Binance, a platform known for its large retail investor base, have shown a pattern that may hint at future price movements. Historically, negative funding rates on Binance have been relatively rare, but when they do occur, they have often preceded significant price rebounds. Avocado suggests that this dynamic is linked to the behavior of retail traders, who dominate Binance’s trading volume. When these traders display heightened fear—manifested through negative funding rates—Bitcoin has tended to defy the prevailing sentiment and recover. The analyst also pointed out that during past bull markets, Bitcoin’s price has rebounded after hitting negative funding rates triggered by large-scale liquidations. This historical pattern could indicate that, while the current market environment appears grim, further declines in funding rates might signal a reversal. Essentially, if negative funding rates reappear on Binance, it may suggest that the market has reached a point of capitulation, often a precursor to a sustained recovery. Bitcoin Market Performance Meanwhile, Bitcoin has continued to face challenges in its upward momentum. Although the asset briefly rebounded to $100,000 earlier today following a mixed US jobs report, it quickly lost ground and was unable to sustain this recovery. At the time of writing, BTC is trading at $98,226, reflecting a modest 1.8% gain in the past day. Interestingly, while Bitcoin’s price was higher at this time last week, today’s trading volume surpasses last week’s levels. Notably, so far, BTC’s daily trading volume climbed from $34 billion last Friday to over $55 billion today. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Bitcoin’s price performance remains subdued, with the cryptocurrency trading above $97,000 at the time of writing—a roughly 6.5% decline over the past week. The crypto asset has yet to reclaim the $100,000 level it lost earlier this week, leaving market participants uncertain about the near-term direction. Amid this backdrop, one CryptoQuant contributor, known as caueconomy, provided an analysis of a significant development involving Bitcoin’s exchange withdrawals. Related Reading: Bitcoin Still In Bull Market, On-Chain Indicator Confirms Largest Exchange Withdrawals Since FTX Collapse In a recent post, caueconomy highlighted the largest volume of exchange withdrawals since the FTX collapse. According to the data, over 47,000 BTC were removed from exchange reserves. While some of these movements may be internal, they also indicate potential accumulation by a large market player or institutional entity. This trend of Bitcoin moving off exchanges typically signals a long-term bullish perspective, as fewer coins available for trading may lead to reduced sell-side pressure over time. However, the analyst clarified that this shift does not produce an immediate supply shock capable of impacting Bitcoin’s price in the short term. Instead, it points to a gradual accumulation phase that could provide support for future price appreciation. The largest volume of exchange withdrawals since the collapse of FTX “While these withdrawals do not reflect an immediate “supply shock” to the price of bitcoin… it still reveals a trend of accumulation by large players.” – By @caueconomy Full post ????https://t.co/ZjYBijDOZp pic.twitter.com/ZEWj95wtfD — CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) February 7, 2025 Bitcoin Breakout On The Horizon? Meanwhile, another CryptoQuant analyst, Onatt, offered insights into potential breakout scenarios for Bitcoin. Onatt pointed to the strong buying interest captured in the Coinbase Premium Index, a measure that compares Bitcoin’s price on Coinbase to other exchanges. A positive premium often reflects heightened demand from institutional investors, suggesting that the market’s upward potential is intact. Onatt also noted the crossover of key moving averages—SMA14 and SMA60—indicating a possible build-up of bullish momentum. The analyst further highlighted Bitcoin’s increasing correlation with gold and the S&P 500, indicating that the cryptocurrency’s performance may align more closely with traditional risk assets. If the broader financial markets adopt a “risk-on” sentiment, Bitcoin could see an upward trend. Related Reading: Bitcoin Network Activity Slumps To One-Year Low – Is BTC Overpriced? Additionally, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s recent comments regarding the limited impact of employment data on inflation have helped stabilize market expectations. As long as economic data remains within forecasted ranges, positive sentiment toward Bitcoin and other risk assets may continue to grow. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Following the market’s recent corrections, Aptos (APT) has revisited the lows of its Macro Range, hitting a six-month low at the start of February. According to an analyst, the cryptocurrency’s recovery and ongoing retests of this crucial level could lead to a rebound in the following months. Related Reading: Bitcoin Volatility ‘Relatively Low’ Despite Market Shakeouts – Analysts Eye This Crucial Level Aptos Recovers From 6-Month Low Aptos has recovered 24% from the recent market correction, which sent Bitcoin to $91,000 and most cryptocurrencies to monthly lows. On Sunday, the token briefly nosedived 34% from its daily high above $7 to its lowest price since August 2024. Market watcher Daan Crypto Trades noted that APT has been moving within two horizontal levels since its launch. The higher horizontal level ranges from $15 to $17, while the lower zone ranges from around $4.80 to $5.45. During the pullback, Aptos “didn’t quite sweep the August lows” but “held on to that same ~$5 area again,” Daan pointed out. Similarly, Crypto Analyst Rekt Capital analyzed the cryptocurrency’s recent performance, explaining that “APT has now dropped into the Macro Wedge Bottom, holding support there while producing downside wicking below it.” APT’s Macro Wedge Bottom is also the “technical uptrend line dating to early 2023,” which is crucial to maintaining the technical uptrend and the macro market structure in general. Rekt Capital suggests that the cryptocurrency must print Weekly Closed above this line, at around $5.97. However, he noted that, in the monthly timeframe, APT appears to be in a Macro Range. The analyst explains that, in this Macro Range, APT seems to be developing a third cluster, but the price needs to hold the crucial $5.45 support zone to maintain this range and rebound. If the cryptocurrency holds continued stability above this level, it could reverse in the following months, as previous clusters saw “several after three monthly candles at the Range Low.” However, the price could see several retests before a rebound. He pointed out that the previous consolidations included a “downside wicking below support.” APT To Breakout In Three Months? If Aptos reverses, its price must break its 11-month downtrend. According to Rekt Capital’s analysis, a rejection from the downtrend line, followed by a drop to the Range Low, could “spell that the rebounds from the Macro Range Low are getting weaker, signaling weakening support there.” As a result, APT needs a strong rebound from this Macro Range Low “to go against the diminishing returns” that seem to be developing from this range. The 2023 rebound saw Aptos bounce 211% from the range lows before facing resistance near ATH levels, while 2024’s price rebound recorded a 145% jump before retracing from the $13 mark. Related Reading: Memecoins Crowned As ‘Defining Narrative Of 2024’, What’s The Next Key Sector To Watch? This suggests a potential diminishing in returns from the range low, signaling that Aptos must climb 95%, above the $11 resistance, to break out of the downtrend line. The analysis concluded that price stability at $5.45 is vital for the cryptocurrency’s rally, and a Monthly Close above this level is necessary for a future price rebound and retest of the downtrend. As of this writing, APT trades at $5.74, a 23% decrease in the weekly timeframe. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin is experiencing a challenging period, with its price remaining below the $100,000 mark after a significant drop earlier this week. Today, Bitcoin hovers just above $98,000, marking a nearly 10% decline from its all-time high of over $109,000 recorded last month. Interestingly, while BTC’s price has slowed, its exchange reserve has faced the same fate, with data showing a continuous decline from this metric. Related Reading: 49,700 Dormant Bitcoin Just Moved—What’s Next For BTC’s Price? Does This Suggest An Incoming Rebound For Bitcoin? ShayanBTC, one contributor to the CryptoQuant QuickTae platform, particularly pointed out this trend in a post titled “Bitcoin Exchange Reserves Plunge: Is Supply Shock Driving the Next Rally.” According to Shayan, there is a chance that this reserve plunge will become favorable for BTC in the near term. In the post, Shayan disclosed that exchange reserves—the amount of Bitcoin held on trading platforms—have steadily decreased. This trend often signals an accumulation phase by investors, as more market participants withdraw their BTC from exchanges to secure long-term holdings. This reduced circulating supply can create a “supply shock,” potentially driving higher prices in the coming weeks. “As shown in the chart, Bitcoin’s exchange reserves have been on an aggressive decline, signaling an accumulation phase by investors,” Shayan explained. The analyst added: Given that exchange reserves serve as a supply-side indicator, this persistent decline could contribute to further price appreciation in the coming weeks. Bitcoin Exchange Reserves Plunge “As shown in the chart, Bitcoin’s exchange reserves have been on an aggressive decline, signaling an accumulation phase by investors.” – By @ShayanBTC7 Full post ????https://t.co/xxyCDSg3Vw pic.twitter.com/ntVY7AuDpD — CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) February 6, 2025 Coinbase Premium Reaches 0 Zone Besides the exchange reserves, another important metric worth looking at to get the full picture of BTC’s likely trajectory in the near term is the Coinbase premium index. This index measures the price difference between Bitcoin on Coinbase, often a go-to platform for institutional investors, and other exchanges. A positive premium can indicate strong buying pressure on Coinbase, signaling institutional demand. The latest data shows that in recent days, the Coinbase Premium Index broke through the critical “0” resistance level with substantial volume, an occurrence that traders closely monitor. TraderOasis, another CryptoQuant analyst, highlighted that this breakout area also functions as a support/resistance level, making it a crucial point of interest. Related Reading: Key Indicator Signals DCA Opportunity Amid Bitcoin Buyer Momentum A sustained positive premium might indicate continued institutional accumulation, which could boost Bitcoin’s price recovery. Conversely, a failure to hold this level could suggest lingering bearish sentiment or a potential for further declines. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Ethereum has continued to face headwinds, mirroring the broader downward trend in the global cryptocurrency market. The persistent market slump has made it challenging for ETH to sustain upward momentum, even as it attempts to recover from recent losses. Interestingly, it appears there might be some notable factors behind the scenes influencing Ethereum’s price movements, particularly the exchange netflows on derivative platforms. Related Reading: Ethereum Leverage Elevated Despite Long Squeeze, Glassnode Says Ethereum Faces Record Outflow: Implications Amr Taha, a contributor on the CryptoQuant QuickTake platform, recently offered insights into the Ethereum market’s ongoing dynamics. In a detailed post on the QuickTake platform, Taha noted that Ethereum’s netflow on derivative exchanges dropped below -300,000 ETH for the first time since August 2023. This significant shift, according to Taha, holds potential implications for price direction and market structure. Taha outlined several key factors to consider when assessing the impact of ETH outflows on pricing. First, when large amounts of ETH leave derivative exchanges, it often signals that traders are either closing leveraged positions or transferring funds to cold storage. This reduction in available supply can alleviate selling pressure, creating conditions that are favorable for a price increase—provided demand remains stable or grows. However, the nature of these outflows can lead to short-term market volatility. If the withdrawals are driven by the liquidation of leveraged long positions, the market may experience a temporary reset. While this can dampen buying demand in the short term, it often results in a healthier and more balanced market structure over time. Current Liquidity Stance And Key Metrics to Watch Additionally, Taha highlighted the significance of liquidity conditions in the broader financial system. Using a metric known as Fed Net Liquidity—which subtracts the Treasury General Account (TGA) and Reverse Repo (RRP) from the Federal Reserve’s balance sheet—he pointed out that rising liquidity levels often have a bullish effect on risk assets. Recently, the metric increased from 5.85 trillion to 5.95 trillion, suggesting more capital is available to flow into markets such as cryptocurrency. Historically, higher net liquidity correlates with increased asset prices, potentially benefiting Ethereum’s outlook. Furthermore, one of the more immediate indicators to monitor according to Taha is Ethereum’s liquidation map. Taha observed that certain price levels might force short positions into capitulation if ETH continues to climb. Related Reading: Ethereum Price Sets Its Sights on Higher Levels: Can Bulls Maintain Momentum? This could serve as a trigger for further upward movement if market conditions remain favorable. Additionally, the trajectory of net liquidity will remain an essential factor, as its direction often signals the broader sentiment toward risk assets. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Amid the recent market shakeouts, Bitcoin (BTC) has shown strength, remaining near the crucial $100,000 barrier during its drops. While the flagship cryptocurrency is momentarily expected to continue its horizontal trajectory, some analysts forecast that BTC’s next leg up might start once it reclaims the recently lost key level. Related Reading: Memecoins Crowned As ‘Defining Narrative Of 2024’, What’s The Next Key Sector To Watch? Bitcoin Volatility Lower Than Q1 2024 The post-election pump saw the crypto market jump to new highs, with Bitcoin leading the climb. Two months ago, the flagship cryptocurrency crossed the $100,000 barrier for the first time, hitting $108,000 in mid-December. However, the market has seen several significant shakeouts since then, which has halted investors’ sentiment. Following its December peak, the flagship crypto recorded a 14% retrace, sending its price to the lower zone of its $90,000-$108,000 post-election range. In early January, BTC recorded a similar pullback after reclaiming the $100,000, falling nearly 13% before rebounding. Mid-month, Bitcoin retraced another 10% after hitting its latest all-time high (ATH) of $109,588 but held the $100,000 mark in the following days. However, the most recent correction saw BTC fall 14% from its Friday high of $106,000 and nearly 10% in 24 hours, triggering the largest single-day of crypto liquidations. Despite these retraces, Bitcoin has bounced from the local lows and continues to move within the mid-zone of its post-election range. Market observer Daan Crypto Trades noted that BTC’s volatility has been “relatively low” in the past few weeks, especially compared to the start of 2024. The cryptocurrency saw more violent swings when Bitcoin passed the $70,000 region in March, retracing up to 20% during these corrections. Since then, Volatility has “slowly dwindled” while Bitcoin’s price has been “creeping higher this cycle.” Bitfinex analysts previously noted the cycle’s “unique” conditions that drove the diminishing trend. According to the report, mainstream recognition, institutional adoption, and increasing confidence in the sector have kept BTC’s corrections smaller than past cycles, likely to continue for the rest of the bull run. Is A Takeoff Coming Soon? As BTC’s price continues to move sideways within its range, the flagship crypto looks “much stronger” than most of the market, “still looking perfectly fine when zooming out.” Daan added that “the demand for BTC is just so much higher compared to the rest of the market, especially during times of uncertainty.” However, crypto analyst Miles Deutscher highlighted that BTC’s search interest “is still sitting way below 2021 levels, despite sitting just under $100k.” This suggests that institutions are fueling the Bitcoin bull run while it is “no longer reliant on retail mania to pump BTC prices.” Related Reading: Solana (SOL) $200 Level Recovery Looks ‘Very Solid’, Is The Bleeding Over? Meanwhile, crypto analyst Jelle stated that Bitcoin is playing out similarly to Q1 2024, listing the “choppy” period, liquidity being taken out, and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) retests as “flashing” signals again. This performance preceded the flagship crypto’s breakout to its March 2024 ATH and, if history repeats, could signal a price takeoff soon. Nonetheless, Jelle added that $100,000 remains the level to break and hold before any major price move. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com

Recent market turbulence has impacted Shiba Inu (SHIB) and Dogecoin (DOGE), with both memecoins experiencing significant price declines over the past few days. This setback comes amid a broader downturn in the crypto market, yet some analysts remain optimistic about the potential trajectories for these popular memecoins. Javon Marks, a well-known analyst on Elon Musk’s social media platform X, has shared his perspective on both SHIB and DOGE, offering insight into where these memecoins might be headed next. Related Reading: Shiba Inu Burn Rate Explodes 7,240% With 1.1 Billion Tokens Burned In 24 Hours, What’s Driving It? Shiba Inu On The Verge Of A Major Rally In his analysis of Shiba Inu, Marks highlighted several technical signals that could indicate a bullish continuation. He noted that SHIB has already broken out of a larger resistance trend, setting a potential target at $0.000081. Marks emphasized that recent price dips have been met with substantial buyer activity, creating a strong rejection of selling pressure. This, he suggested, could indicate that the market has enough support to shift sentiment back toward a bullish stance. Near 10X to $0.0001553 for $SHIB ????: SHIB (Shiba Inu) has already confirmed Bull Signals that suggest a continuation while also being broken out of a much larger resisting trend that implies $0.000081 to be in play as the target On top of that, buyers in the recent dip showed… https://t.co/DVZmRNVaQZ pic.twitter.com/CwGHrUdLwr — JAVON⚡️MARKS (@JavonTM1) February 4, 2025 According to Marks, these conditions could pave the way for SHIB to eventually reach a higher target of $0.0001553, a level that would represent a significant gain from its current price. In his words: With Shiba’s recent sideways action and dip while holding broken out, this can actually be a positive and contribute to the longevity and scale of this run, making it much more likely for a break above the $0.000081 target to take place which would then welcome $0.0001553 into play! $0.0001553 is currently over 840% way Dogecoin Path Toward Higher Levels Turning his attention to Dogecoin, Marks outlined a similarly optimistic scenario. He pointed out that DOGE has shown a strong breakout response, with recent price action suggesting a potential climb to $0.6533. Marks also indicated that if DOGE were to surpass this level, it could set its sights on a higher target of $1.25111, representing a significant upward move from current levels. $DOGE (Dogecoin) to $0.6533 is looking like its only a matter of time here with such a major breakout response and climb thus far but a move above is looking more and more likely! A move above $0.6533 brings in play $1.25111 which is currently over 333% away… https://t.co/fAGPkw2n2F pic.twitter.com/RyUuojWxsh — JAVON⚡️MARKS (@JavonTM1) February 4, 2025 Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Bitcoin recent price movements have been nothing short of a rollercoaster ride. Earlier this week, BTC traded below $90,000 and quickly bounced back to above $100,000. As of today, the asset now hovers above $98,000. Amid this price performance, CryptoQuant contributor XBTManager has provided insights into an important on-chain metric, highlighting a notable shift in the 6-12 month spent output age bands. This activity sheds light on possible market dynamics and future price developments. Related Reading: Why Bitcoin’s Price Crash Could Be a Buying Opportunity for Big Players Analyzing Bitcoin’s Spent Output Age Bands The 6-12 month spent output age band reveals instances where long-held Bitcoin is moved, offering a glimpse into shifting market behavior. According to XBTManager, a significant amount—49,700 BTC—has recently been spent in this category today. Such substantial movement can often precede market volatility, as it may signal larger holders or dormant wallets re-entering active circulation. This sudden activity raises questions about how the market might react. Historically, large movements in older Bitcoin holdings can create temporary selling pressure. If these coins are sold, it can lead to short-term further price drops, potentially causing retail investors to panic. However, this downward trend can also set the stage for a rebound, with prices recovering as buyers absorb the new supply. The analyst wrote: A large portion of these Bitcoins is expected to be sold in the coming days, potentially creating selling pressure in the market. This could cause retail investors to panic and sell at lower prices. Subsequently, prices might be pushed back up, enabling these Bitcoins to be sold to retail investors at higher prices. Therefore, such movements can be seen as signs of market manipulation. Investors should remain cautious about potential market fluctuations in the coming days. Bitcoin Market Performance Meanwhile, Bitcoin continues to face selling pressure, with the asset unable to sustain a notable rebound or reclaim key levels. So far, Bitcoin has seen quite a plunge dropping roughly 10% from its all-time high above $109,000 registered in January. Related Reading: Bitcoin Traders Fearful For First Time Since October: Buying Signal? In the past week, the asset has also declined 3.5% bringing its price to trade at $98,485, at the time of writing down by 0.5% in the past day. This price decline in BTC has affected the broader crypto market significantly with over $3 billion liquidated in the crypto market in just the past few days. Interestingly, despite this negative price performance from BTC, the asset’s daily trading volume has however seen an opposite trend recording an increase from below $40 billion this time last week to sitting above $58 billion as of today. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Memecoins have been the leading narrative of the cycle after surpassing all expectations and becoming the top-performing sector of 2024. As we navigate 2025’s crypto market, emerging sectors like Artificial Intelligence (AI) agents could rival memecoins’ narrative mindshare. Related Reading: Solana (SOL) $200 Level Recovery Looks ‘Very Solid’, Is The Bleeding Over? Memecoins Defined 2024’s Crypto Market On Tuesday, Binance Research shared its “Full-Year 2024 & Themes for 2025” report, crowning memecoins as the “Defining Narrative of 2024. The platform highlighted the sector’s outstanding performance last year, which drove significant attention to the crypto market. According to the report, memecoins played a “significant role in onboarding new users to the crypto space and offer a unique way to monetize attention in the social media era.” Additionally, the notion of “so-called ‘blue-chip’ memes” served as a testament to the “growth and diversity of the memecoin market and its structure,” the report noted. The crypto community saw the creation of various sub-sectors within the memecoin space, encapsulating the events that shaped the year. For instance, PolitiFi tokens, which rose amid the American electoral campaign, recorded the many changes in the political landscape through these tokens. This narrative eventually led to the launch of the Solana-based TRUMP memecoin, the first-ever token officially backed by a politician. The memecoin was created in January to “celebrate Courage & Strength” after the July 2024 assassination attempt on President Trump. Binance Research points out that memecoins meteoric rise could be attributed to various factors, including increased transparency and a perception of fairness, accessibility, and addressing users’ frustration with the “low float, high FDV” issue. Additionally, it noted the sector’s high-risk, high-reward nature appears to have fulfilled the industry’s search for the first crypto AAA game. The report argues that the “thrill of creating memecoins of the smallest moments in cultures” trade them into “sky-high valuations” could be perceived as a game, keeping the community invested in the sector and increasing its popularity. AI Agents: The Growing Narrative Second to memecoins, the AI crypto sector took 12.6% of the narrative mindshare in 2024, opening the stage for the market’s “newer fascination,” AI Agents. This sub-sector captured investors’ attention throughout Q3 2024, fueled by Truth Terminal and GOAT’s growing popularity, and became a leading narrative in recent months. AI agents, initially sparked by Truth Terminal and $GOAT, have captured the market since October and become a dominant narrative. Infrastructure providers like Virtuals Protocol (G.A.M.E. framework) and ai16z (ElizaOS framework) have been key players. The sector has also faced backlash from the crypto community. Some investors consider the new trend “worse than other past trends,” arguing that it is “overrated.” Similarly, an anonymous poll showed that Solana founders consider AI agent tokens to be overhyped. Nonetheless, it has continuously evolved and has “lots more in development.” As of this writing, the sector has a market capitalization of $7.84 billion, according to CoinGecko data. What’s Next? Binance Research pointed out the issue of memecoin longevity, as many of the tokens see a rapid rise and fall. It considers that, despite not all tokens having the level of popularity to stand the test of time, memecoins are “likely to have some staying power” in some form. Related Reading: TRUMP Coin Tanks 18%—Even Donald Trump Couldn’t Save It Meanwhile, AI Agents are significantly earlier in their development but share the “power to onboard users (AI is a key topic across business and finance) and monetize attention.” As a result, the growth of the “AI x crypto” intersection is almost certain. The report concludes that the “entry of web2 into AI Agents, and the rapid development and anticipated trajectory of AI x crypto” are some of the key areas to watch this year. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin price performance over the past week has been marked by volatility and mixed signals for investors. After briefly rising above the $100,000 price mark on Tuesday, BTC has since fallen back and now hovers just above $99,000. The rebound that initially raised market sentiment appears to have been short-lived, as the cryptocurrency struggles to regain the upward momentum needed to break through higher resistance levels. Related Reading: Why Bitcoin’s Price Crash Could Be a Buying Opportunity for Big Players Bitcoin Smart DCA Flashes—What This Means While BTC faces these ups and downs, Darkfost, a contributor on CryptoQuant’s QuickTake platform, highlighted a potential opportunity for investors employing a dollar-cost averaging (DCA) strategy. According to Darkfost, the Smart DCA indicator was recently triggered, suggesting that current price levels may be a “favorable” entry point for those looking to accumulate BTC over time. Darkfost explained that by comparing Bitcoin’s average price to its short-term realized price—ranging from one week to one month—this indicator aims to identify optimal zones for long-term accumulation. The analyst added: When executed properly, a DCA strategy can generate substantial returns in the short, mid, or long term, depending on the investor’s goals. However, this indicator should be used alongside other metrics and a broader market analysis for optimal accuracy and effectiveness. Signs of Bullish Momentum Emerge While short-term price fluctuations have rattled some investors, other analysts point to underlying trends that hint at bullish potential. Another CryptoQuant analyst, Onatt, observed that buyer activity is beginning to outweigh selling pressure. Related Reading: After The Bitcoin Crash: Will It Rise Or Drop Again? 5 Key Indicators Using data from Coinbase, Onatt noted a visible premium indicating strong demand for Bitcoin, even in the face of recent volatility. Furthermore, negative funding rates—driven by approximately $2 billion in long liquidations—suggest a market environment where buyers are taking advantage of discounted prices to position themselves for a potential upward movement. Onatt also explained: Bitcoin’s upward momentum remains likely as long as USDT dominance stays below 4.65%, signaling continued market confidence and potential for further recovery. Adding to this sentiment, analyst Ali identified a critical demand zone for Bitcoin between $96,475 and $99,360. According to Ali, as long as this range holds as a support level, the market outlook favors the bulls. A breakout above the $102,350 to $103,900 supply zone could further strengthen the bullish case, potentially setting the stage for a sustained recovery. #Bitcoin $BTC has reclaimed a critical demand zone between $96,475 and $99,360 as support. As long as this level holds, the odds favor the bulls; especially if the $102,350–$103,900 supply wall breaks. pic.twitter.com/FLpwRqYVuu — Ali (@ali_charts) February 4, 2025 Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Bitcoin market activity over the past day has been marked by turbulence, with its value falling to as low as $90,000 levels earlier today before rebounding to just above $94,000. Despite this partial recovery, the cryptocurrency remains down 5.8% over the past week and more than 13% below its all-time high of $109,000, reached in January. This recent price movement has led a CryptoQuant analyst to suggest that Bitcoin may be transitioning into a distribution cycle, a phase where price gains start to slow as supply shifts toward newer market participants. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Is Trading In This Bearish Flag — What’s The Downside Target? Bitcoin Transitioning From Accumulation to Distribution The analyst known as Oinonen, discussed the current state of Bitcoin’s market cycle in a recent post titled “Entering the Distribution Cycle.” Oinonen noted that after gaining 129.2% over the past year and surpassing $100,000, Bitcoin might be nearing a “cycle top.” He cited comments from Ki Young Ju, who suggested that the market is in the “early distribution phase” and could potentially see a few more quarters of growth, influenced by retail investors entering the market and broader promotional efforts. Applying Dow Theory to Bitcoin’s recent market patterns, Oinonen explained that the cryptocurrency’s market movements can be divided into accumulation and distribution phases. He pointed out that while 2022 represented a clear distribution cycle, Bitcoin transitioned into an accumulation cycle in 2023, which extended through 2024. Now, as 2025 unfolds, Bitcoin appears to be shifting back into a distribution phase. Despite this shift, Oinonen emphasized that the market still has the potential for further price discovery, citing relatively low funding rates and a lack of overleveraged conditions. Price Supports and Future Outlook Oinonen also cited Axel Adler Jr, another market observer, who shared similar sentiments, noting that Bitcoin’s current market environment is not overheated and retains the potential for additional growth under stable macroeconomic conditions. This view is supported by the ongoing institutional demand reflected in MicroStrategy’s recent Bitcoin purchases. The company has continued its pro-cyclical acquisition strategy, adding 10,107 bitcoins in early 2025 and bringing its total holdings to 471,107 BTC. Related Reading: Bitcoin Eyes $108K: Can Bulls Sustain Momentum Against Bearish Signals? This sustained institutional interest serves as a leading indicator of market confidence and highlights Bitcoin’s continued appeal as a long-term investment. Oinonen mentioned that as Bitcoin hovers near its “fair price” support level of $87,990—identified by its power-law fit—further developments should be watched out for. The analyst added: Despite the approaching distribution cycle, Bitcoin might still reach significantly higher spot price levels. Bitcoin’s funding rate is relatively low and comparable to summer 2024 levels. We’re far from an overleveraged market, and the structure supports further spot price discovery. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Bitcoin (BTC) has experienced a significant drop, with its value plunging to $91,000 in the early hours of Monday. The decline follows unfavorable macroeconomic developments, including newly imposed US tariffs. This price movement has left investors and analysts closely scrutinizing the market for signs of a reversal or further downturn. According to a recent analysis by CryptoQuant analyst TraderOasis, Bitcoin’s decline below critical support levels has resulted in increased panic selling. Despite this, the Coinbase premium index indicates that institutional investors are continuing to accumulate BTC rather than offloading their holdings. This contrast between retail-driven selloffs and institutional accumulation suggests that larger players are using the current dip to boost their positions. Related Reading: Analyst Says Bitcoin Is Bullish But It’s Time For Caution Bitcoin Market Dynamics And Institutional Activity TraderOasis highlights several key market indicators that shed light on the current dynamics. Open interest—a measure of active trading positions—has dropped significantly, pointing to a wave of forced liquidations as leveraged traders exit their positions. Oasis wrote: A drop in funding rates suggests that market participants are taking short positions (betting on a price decrease) and that bearish sentiment is increasing. Notably, this ongoing pattern described by the analyst hints at a strategic accumulation phase by so-called “whales,” or large-scale investors. Oasis mentioned that while retail traders face stop-loss liquidations, these larger entities appear to be absorbing Bitcoin at discounted prices. This accumulation during periods of panic is not uncommon and often precedes a market recovery. Rising Liquidations and Signs of Recovery Another CryptoQuant analyst, Mignolet, echoed these observations, emphasizing the scale of recent long-position liquidations. The current liquidation volume is reportedly the highest since September 2023, with many traders caught off guard by the abrupt price drop. Mignolet compares this event to past market shocks, including the FTX collapse and the COVID-induced crash. The market has been cleaned out “BTC price drop shock has led to the largest liquidation of long positions in recent times… The market has been cleansed, and the open interest trend has finally broken down” – By @mignoletkr Link ????https://t.co/fYs10fAIo6 pic.twitter.com/27znZMRzqs — CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) February 3, 2025 Related Reading: Crypto Traders Wrecked As Trump’s Tariffs Spark $2 Billion Liquidation Despite the significant liquidations, there are signs of optimism on the horizon. The Coinbase Premium Gap (CPG) data points to aggressive buying by institutional investors, who are capitalizing on the sudden influx of liquidity.  While the market remains volatile, this accumulation activity suggests that larger players anticipate a reversal soon. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

As the first month of 2025 comes to an end, Bitcoin (BTC) continues moving within its post-US election price range but nears two historical closing candles. Some analysts weighed in on the market’s state, suggesting that it could be satisfied with good news for the time being. Related Reading: SUI Rally Eyes Double-Digits: VanEck Analyst Forecasts $16 Price By Year-End Bitcoin Near Historical Monthly Candle Despite the recent corrections, Bitcoin has been moving inside the $90,000-$108,000 range since December 2024, consolidating within the mid-zone of its price range for most of this period. Some analysts have pointed out that the flagship crypto has had a decent performance this month, not staying away from the $100,000 mark for long. Moreover, its recent recovery of the $104,000-$105,000 range is setting the stage for a historical monthly and weekly candle. As noted by analyst Rekt Capital, Bitcoin is hours away from closing the month above the $100,000 barrier for the first time and “printing a new Monthly Candle to confirm a breakout from its Monthly Bull Flag.” Additionally, Bitcoin could see a “historic Weekly Close” if it ends the week above $104,416. According to the analyst, similar closes above major weekly resistances at this point of the cycle have historically preceded a “continued upside to new all-time highs.” Nonetheless, Rekt Capital has also pointed out that BTC is most likely preparing for the second leg of its Post-halving Parabolic Phase, which suggests that a new Price Discovery rally could start mid-February. The second leg has historically started around the 16th week of the Parabolic Phase, the analyst explained, while BTC is currently in the 14th week, recovering from the First Price Discovery Correction. Based on this timeline, the flagship crypto is expected to continue gearing up for the rally for another week and a half, and investors are advised to “patiently HODL” BTC. Is The Crypto Market’s Confidence Shaken? Another market watcher noted that Bitcoin has been “stuck in rage for a while now,” adding that he expected to see some bullish momentum after the FOMC news. The trader considers that the lack of significant price movement suggests BTC’s price will “be sideways for the coming few days.” Recently, Aurelie Barthere, Principal Research Analyst at Nansen, weighed in on the market’s current state. Barthere suggested that the market appears to be “satiated for now,” as most of the recent bullish news has been seemingly overlooked. The report highlighted the latest regulatory changes, including the overturn of SAB 121 and the executive order for a US Crypto Stockpile, have been “extremely bullish” and will likely facilitate a wider crypto adoption. Additionally, the Elon Musk-led Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) is reportedly considering public blockchain to track and manage public expenses. However, the news has been ignored and followed by “underwhelming price action by BTC and the rest of the crypto market.” This suggests that the market is momentarily satiated and “more reactive to negative sentiment than positive news.” Barthere pointed out how the DeepSeek-triggered pullback from Monday bled into the crypto market. Related Reading: Dogwifhat (WIF) Surges 16% Amid Las Vegas Sphere Project Expectation, Breakout Coming? Based on the price and volume action right after the shakeout, the analyst noticed “that ‘buyers’ confidence has been somewhat shaken,” resulting in an initially timid recovery. Nonetheless, unlike other higher-beta tokens, Bitcoin had a shallow and brief intra-day sell-off on Monday, which “shows an interesting level of ‘dispersion’ between tokens, with BTC still the darling token of this new, policy-driven, market environment.” Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin price has regained upward traction, trading back above $105,000 after a temporary dip below $104,000 earlier today. This 1.2% increase over the past hour reflects renewed optimism in the market. Amid this price performance, Crypto Dan, a CryptoQuant analyst has shared his analysis of on-chain data and market behaviors that may shape Bitcoin’s trajectory in the weeks and months ahead. Related Reading: Bitcoin Outflows Signal Bullish Strength As Demand Remains High At $100K – What This Means Bitcoin Bullish Market But Caution According to Dan, the amount of Bitcoin held for less than six months continues to show notable growth with each market cycle. This trend suggests that as Bitcoin’s appeal widens, new capital inflows—particularly from the expected introduction of Bitcoin spot ETFs—could further drive demand. Dan anticipates that both institutional and retail investors will ramp up their involvement as these ETFs gain traction by the first half of 2025. Additionally, while current indicators remain bullish, Crypto Dan warns that surging interest in Bitcoin and altcoins, paired with an influx of new investors, could signal that the current cycle may be nearing its peak. If Bitcoin pushes through its all-time high with significant momentum, and altcoins follow suit, it could trigger a wave of inflows that may mark the cycle’s final stages. Dan advises investors to start considering risk management strategies. The Crypto Market Remains Bullish… But It’s Time for Caution “If Bitcoin breaks through its all-time high with strong momentum and altcoins follow suit, triggering a wave of new investor inflows, it may indicate that the end of the cycle is approaching.” – By @DanCoinInvestor… pic.twitter.com/NvKB8Ly1DE — CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) January 31, 2025 Diverging Inflows from Retail and Whales This cautionary note is reinforced by observations from another CryptoQuant analyst, Darkfost, who highlights a discrepancy in the behavior of retail investors and whales. According to recent Binance data, retail investors have significantly increased their BTC deposits over the past month, with inflows reaching approximately 6,000 BTC. In contrast, whale activity on Binance has dwindled, with their BTC inflows dropping to around 1,000 BTC—a fourfold decrease. Darkfost notes that retail investors often use exchanges to liquidate their holdings, whereas whales’ reduced inflows suggest they are holding onto their Bitcoin. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Enters Ascending Phase After Cup And Handle Formation At $105,000, Here’s The Next Target This contrasting behavior offers insights into broader market sentiment: retail participants appear eager to capitalize on short-term gains, while larger, more established investors maintain a more cautious stance. Historically, following whale behavior rather than retail trends has provided a more reliable signal for long-term market moves. Darkfost highlighted this noting: This is a perfect example of the contrasting behaviors between whales and retail traders and it is often considered a better choice to follow whales rather than retail investors Featured Image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Bitcoin has recently faced a slowdown in its upward trajectory after reaching over $105,000 earlier this week. The cryptocurrency had shown signs of a potential breakout, but key indicators have come into focus as the market evaluates its next move. The latest insights from analysts have raised questions about whether Bitcoin’s market momentum can overcome the resistance level at $108,000, its previous all-time high. Related Reading: MVRV Ratio Reveals Bitcoin’s Market Position Amid Short-Term Selling Pressure Analyzing Bitcoin’s Market Indicators Amid the price performance from BTC, CryptoQuant analyst ShayanBTC has provided insights on the challenges and possibilities ahead for Bitcoin. Shayan noted that despite Bitcoin’s recent price increases, the funding rates—a critical on-chain indicator—have started to decline. This bearish divergence suggests that demand in perpetual markets may be weakening, casting doubt on whether the current bullish momentum is sufficient to push Bitcoin above its all-time high. Particularly, one of the primary hurdles for Bitcoin’s price to surpass $108,000 is the lack of strong market enthusiasm, as reflected in the funding rates. According to Shayan, typically, rising funding rates indicate an increase in long positions and market optimism. However, the current decline in these rates signals that traders are hesitant to bet on further price increases. Shayan emphasized that without a significant boost in optimism and a greater influx of long positions, Bitcoin’s resistance at $108,000 could hold firm, potentially leading to a consolidation phase or even a temporary price rejection. The analyst wrote: For Bitcoin to decisively breach $108K, the funding rates must rise further, signaling an increase in optimism and a greater influx of long positions. Without this market-wide enthusiasm, the resistance at $108K could hold, leading to potential consolidation or a temporary rejection. Indication from Long-Term Holders Metric On the other hand, long-term holders—investors who have maintained their Bitcoin holdings for seven years or more—have shown no inclination to sell their assets. Another CryptoQuant analyst reporting this in a post on the QuickTake platform noted: Holders who have held bitcoin for seven years or more sold some of their holdings before the end of the previous bull market. Long-term bitcoin holders have not yet moved their holdings to exchanges. This behavior highlights a trend seen in previous market cycles: long-term holders often remain resilient through price fluctuations, providing a steady base of support for the cryptocurrency. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Enters Ascending Phase After Cup And Handle Formation At $105,000, Here’s The Next Target The decision of these holders to keep their Bitcoin off exchanges suggests confidence in the asset’s long-term value, even as short-term market sentiment fluctuates. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

SUI has jumped 14% in the last 24 hours amid the market recovery. The token is attempting to recover a key support level, which could set the stage for a retest of its latest all-time high (ATH). Following its recovery, an expert at VanEck has forecasted a 300% surge in SUI’s price this year. Related Reading: Dogwifhat (WIF) Surges 16% Amid Las Vegas Sphere Project Expectation, Breakout Coming? SUI Retests Key Support Level The crypto market is moving toward a green end-of-week after a bloody Monday. The correction saw Bitcoin lose the $100,000 zone, and most cryptocurrencies significantly retrace from their January highs. Amid the pullback, SUI lost the $4 support for the first time since December, dropping to its lowest price in over a month. The cryptocurrency has been one of the strongest altcoins this cycle, leading the market throughout the Q2 2024 retraces and Q3 rally. This year, SUI has also risen as one of the leading cryptocurrencies, surging above the $5 barrier for the first time and hitting its latest all-time high (ATH) of $5.36 at the start of the month. Since then, the token has hovered between the $4.05 to $5.20 price range. After Monday’s fall to $3.49, the $4 mark acted as resistance, with the cryptocurrency failing to break past it until today. SUI jumped 9.8% to recover the key support zone, bouncing another 5% to $4.2 on Thursday morning. Crypto analyst Carl Runefelt noted that the token is testing its ascending level again after losing it as support. This ascending line has been a key support level over the last few months but acted as resistance after the recent correction. To turn this line back into support and continue its ascending trajectory, SUI must hold above the $4.18 mark. Reclaiming the ascending line could also propel SUI’s price to retest the $5 barrier. SUI’s Price Eyes Double-Digits This Year Patrick Bush, senior investment analyst at asset manager VanEck, shared his outlook for SUI’s long-term performance in a recent competitive analysis against Aptos (APT), which are often compared. According to the analyst, SUI is set to outperform APT this year due to the Network’s advantages, efficiency, and scaling potential, which has translated into a better-priced DeFi ecosystem to market makers: We believe the evidence supports Sui over Aptos due to its performance advantages and scaling potential. We find that It currently offers capabilities that are not replicated in Aptos. Among these are Local Fee Markets, Pilot Fish, and Fast Path. Additionally, Sui may offer a set of technical capabilities and economics that prove more attractive to market markers, resulting in a better-priced DeFi ecosystem. The analysis underscores that SUI’s attractiveness has drawn token investors and application builders, resulting in a better token performance and a more vibrant ecosystem. Related Reading: Bitcoin Preparing For A February Rally? Analyst Says New High Is Two Weeks Away Bush also pointed out that the cryptocurrency leads in retail investment: “In Fact, in the last 90 days, global search interest for Sui was higher than it was for Solana on 17 days and higher than Ethereum on 16 days,” he noted. The analyst projected the token to reach a market capitalization of $61 billion by the end of 2025, which would see the price rising to around $16, a 300% increase from the current range. As of this writing, SUI trades at $4.13, a 14% increase in the daily timeframe. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com

Ethereum appears to be regaining momentum, showing a notable recovery after reclaiming the $3,200 level. The asset has surged over 5% in the past day, pushing its market capitalization and daily trading volume higher. This recent movement has narrowed the gap between Ethereum’s current price and its all-time high to just 33%, giving investors reasons to pay closer attention. Various analysts have weighed in on the potential implications of this price action, offering a mix of short- and long-term outlooks. Related Reading: Ethereum’s Prolonged Consolidation: What Is Really Going On? Analyst Weighs In Analysts Discuss Key Levels and Future Targets Elite, a well-known crypto analyst, pointed out that Ethereum’s resilience came in the face of “hawkish signals” from the Federal Reserve. The analyst wrote: Despite the Fed’s hawkish signals yesterday, ETH broke past the $3,200 mark, showing impressive resilience. But that’s not all—on-chain activity is soaring. According to IntoTheBlock data, active Ethereum addresses have increased by 37% over the last few months, reaching 670,000—significantly surpassing the 400,000 level seen in early 2024. This sharp rise in network activity is viewed by some as an indication of growing demand and renewed bullish momentum as the new year unfolds. Several other analysts have also shared their perspectives on Ethereum’s price trajectory. WorldofCharts highlighted the cryptocurrency’s consolidation within a tight range, forming a bullish pennant. He suggested that a successful breakout from this pattern could propel Ethereum toward the $4,000 resistance area. This ascending triangle level, previously outlined in his analysis, may serve as a critical milestone for the asset’s upward trajectory. $Eth #Eth Consolidating Within Tight Range Of Bullish Pennant, Expecting Upside Breakout Soon, Incase Of Successful Breakout Ethereum Can Target 4000$ Area Ascending Triangle Resistance Area “Which I Shared Recently” https://t.co/Gq5sYBiKfA pic.twitter.com/B36VRnN9Qm — World Of Charts (@WorldOfCharts1) January 30, 2025 Ethereum On The Path To A $9,000 Rally? Another prominent analyst, Ted, emphasized that Ethereum’s higher lows on longer timeframes signal a strengthening bullish structure. He identified the $4,000 level as pivotal, predicting that its recovery could open the door to a new all-time high. Related Reading: Ethereum Price Struggles Against Resistance: A Tough Road Ahead Ted went even further, forecasting that Ethereum could reach $9,000 to $10,000 within the next three to four months if these bullish conditions persist. This optimism is supported by growing on-chain activity and sustained investor interest. Ethereum is forming higher lows on the longer timeframe. $4K remains the most crucial level, and the reclaim of that will send $ETH to new ATH. Once that happens, I’m expecting Ethereum to hit $9K-$10K within 3-4 months. Trump will buy more and more ???? pic.twitter.com/c3fFVXh8Xl — Ted (@TedPillows) January 29, 2025 Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

While the broader cryptocurrency market appears to be gradually recovering, Toncoin (TON) has yet to join the upward trend. Over the past week, TON has faced significant challenges, seeing its price dip by 5.4%. Amid this price performance, a CryptoQuant analyst has highlighted signs of a potential reversal, especially as recent data sheds light on underlying market dynamics that could impact the coin’s near-term trajectory. Related Reading: Is Toncoin Price Gearing For A Rebound At $5? This On-Chain Metric Suggests So Toncoin Open Interest and Potential Reversal Signals The CryptoQuant analyst Joao Wedson has provided an intriguing perspective. In a recent post titled “TON: Signs of a Reversal?” Wedson highlighted a pattern within the open interest data that could hint at a price rebound. This analysis comes at a critical time, with market participants seeking any indicators that TON might stabilize and regain lost ground. Wedson’s analysis centers around the weekly variation in Toncoin’s open interest—a measure of the total number of outstanding derivatives contracts on the asset. According to the data, the open interest delta has shown a consistent increase whenever TON experiences volatility spikes. Historically, these patterns have been observed ahead of significant price surges, raising the possibility that a similar recovery could be on the horizon. TON: Signs of a Reversal? “We’ve observed a pattern where the Open Interest Delta increases with each volatility spike—a behavior that previously preceded a sharp price surge.” – By @joao_wedson Full analysis ????https://t.co/FC8q4QYIp6 pic.twitter.com/5luN5VojDn — CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) January 29, 2025 TON Market Performance In recent weeks, TON’s price action has been noticeably less bullish. Even as the broader cryptocurrency market experiences gradual gains, TON has struggled to recover, consistently declining and now down roughly 11% over the past two weeks. This divergence from the broader market’s upward momentum may suggest that TON is facing its own bearish pressures, whether driven by chart patterns or on-chain factors. Related Reading: Toncoin Gears Up For A Fresh Rally With Bullish Momentum Building For instance, Renowned crypto analyst Ali recently highlighted that TON has faced significant transfers to exchanges signaling increasing sell-offs. Over 240,000 #Toncoin $TON have been transferred to exchanges in the past week, potentially signaling increased selling pressure as shown by on-chain data from @santimentfeed! pic.twitter.com/FF9BBEMJzL — Ali (@ali_charts) January 29, 2025 Although TON is trading at $4.84 as of now, up 0.4% on the day, this small increase has not been enough to lift the asset out of its current correction. The continued decline in TON’s price has not only reduced its market capitalization but also significantly diminished its daily trading volume. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Ethereum performance has lagged behind the broader cryptocurrency market in recent months, with the asset failing to capitalize on the bullish momentum recently seen in the market. While Bitcoin has repeatedly reached new all-time highs, Ethereum has struggled to break past $4,000 and remains well below its 2021 peak of $4,800. Amid this slow recovery, a crypto analyst known as ProjectW has shared insights on the potential for Ethereum’s resurgence, urging investors to consider the long-term picture. In a detailed post on X, ProjectW outlined several factors that could drive Ethereum’s next breakout. The analyst highlighted Ethereum’s years of accumulation within a broad trading range, suggesting that such prolonged consolidation often precedes significant price expansions. Despite the negative sentiment around Ethereum and narratives favoring other networks like Solana, ProjectW emphasized that Ethereum’s long-term upward trend remains intact. A possible retest of the sub-$ 3,000 range could serve as a catalyst, providing the liquidity needed to push Ethereum past $4,000 and set the stage for a broader recovery. Related Reading: Ethereum Foundation Sells Another 100 ETH, But There’s Still ‘Hopium’ For Holders ETH/BTC Performance And Outlook A key point in ProjectW’s analysis is Ethereum’s ongoing underperformance against Bitcoin. So far, Ethereum has struggled to match Bitcoin’s gains during market rallies and has often faced steeper declines during market corrections. This trend is reflected in the ETH/BTC trading pair, which remains in a bearish structure on higher timeframes. However, the analyst identified a potential reversal zone around $2,700 for Ethereum, which could coincide with a structural shift if ETH/BTC stabilizes at these levels. THE BIG COMEBACK OF ETHEREUM: An Unbiased Evaluation “Ethereum is dead. Solana stole the show.” You’ve probably heard this take a hundred times. The sentiment around ETH has never been worse. And yet – if we strip away emotions and narratives – Ethereum’s long-term… pic.twitter.com/ipkXvuXbnj — ProjectW (@fitforcrypto_) January 29, 2025 The analyst also touched on the role of market makers and institutional players in shaping Ethereum’s price trajectory. According to ProjectW, recent negative coverage of Ethereum—ranging from concerns about the Ethereum Foundation to repeated comparisons with Bitcoin—may not be coincidental. Instead, it could represent a deliberate effort by major market participants to accumulate Ethereum at lower prices, a pattern observed in past market cycles. The involvement of institutional players, such as Trump-affiliated World Liberty Financial reportedly acquiring significant amounts of Ethereum, adds another layer of complexity to the current market dynamics. The analyst wrote: We know how this game works. MMs move price where they want – especially to areas with high liquidity. And how do they do it? Media narratives. Recently, we’ve seen an aggressive push of ETH FUD in major publications. – The Ethereum Foundation being questioned – ETH’s underperformance against BTC being highlighted everywhere Is this really a coincidence? Or is it the same old SM playbook? Flood the market with FUD → Retail panic sells at the bottom → Institutions accumulate. Ethereum’s Core Strengths and Future Outlook Despite recent underperformance, the analyst argued that Ethereum’s core fundamentals remain strong. ProjectW wrote: Despite all the noise, Ethereum remains the most important smart contract network. – The deepest liquidity in DeFi – The highest security & decentralization – It has the strongest developer ecosystem While sentiment is at rock bottom, the actual fundamentals suggest ETH is still the backbone of the space. So where does this leave us? Related Reading: Ethereum Price Forms Flag And Pole Pattern For Possible Breakout, New Targets Emerge While no rally is guaranteed, ProjectW suggested that Ethereum’s long-term conditions are aligning for potential growth. The analyst concluded with a call to closely monitor Ethereum’s progress in the coming weeks, as market participants await signs of a sustained upward trend. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Bitcoin (BTC) has shown a swift recovery, climbing back above $95,000 after experiencing a notable dip below this level just a day prior. This price rebound has reignited discussions among analysts about the underlying market dynamics and potential future trends. Recent insights from CryptoQuant contributors shed light on key metrics influencing Bitcoin’s price behavior, focusing on the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) Ratio. Related Reading: Bitcoin Short-Term Holders Now Capitulating: Bottom Here? Current Stance On MVRV Ratio And Its Implications For Bitcoin The MVRV Ratio is a widely used metric that measures Bitcoin’s market value relative to its realized value. It can be used to identify whether the market is overbought or oversold. CryptoQuant analyst KriptoBaykusV2 has analyzed the current MVRV Ratio, which stands at 2.2, indicating a balanced market state. This metric offers valuable insights into Bitcoin’s price cycles, shedding light on historical overbought and oversold conditions. The MVRV Ratio is calculated by dividing Bitcoin’s market value (the total Bitcoin supply multiplied by its current price) by its realized value (the aggregate value of all Bitcoins based on their last movement price). This ratio provides insight into the profitability of Bitcoin holders, helping to gauge market sentiment. Historically, an MVRV above 3 has signaled overbought conditions with higher correction risks, as seen during the 2017 and 2021 bull runs. Conversely, an MVRV below 1 has identified oversold zones, marking potential buying opportunities during bear markets like those in 2018 and 2020. Currently, with the MVRV Ratio at 2.2, the market is in a neutral state, suggesting neither overbought nor oversold conditions. This indicates a balanced environment with the potential for trend shifts. According to KriptoBaykusV2, the MVRV Ratio’s position provides critical signals for both short-term traders seeking tactical opportunities and long-term investors aiming for strategic positioning. Selling Pressure and Short-Term Market Trends Meanwhile, another CryptoQuant analyst, G a a h, highlighted the prevailing short-term selling pressure affecting Bitcoin’s market dynamics. The Take Buy Sell Ratio indicator reveals that selling activity outweighs buying, suggesting that supply currently exceeds demand. This trend is often observed during profit-taking phases near resistance levels, resulting in price corrections or sideways trading. Additionally, short-term holders are reportedly liquidating positions, with many sales occurring at little to no profit. This behavior contributes to increased market volatility and short-term downward pressure on Bitcoin’s price. Although Bitcoin has seen a quick recovery in price now trading above $96,000, G a a h wrote: On the price chart, a bearish structure is forming with a high probability of continuation given the circumstances in the data presented. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Ethereum is experiencing a gradual recovery as its price climbs above $3,100. This marks a 2.3% increase over the past day. However, the asset remains in a state of overall decline, down 3.3% over the week. While this modest rebound offers some relief, Ethereum is still grappling with the effects of an overall bearish trend. The ongoing price movement has prompted some analysts to revisit Ethereum’s underlying on-chain metrics to understand what may lie ahead for the cryptocurrency. One key area of focus is Ethereum’s spot exchange reserves. According to a recent analysis by Cryptoavails, a contributor to the CryptoQuant QuickTake platform, the total reserves of Ethereum held on spot exchanges have been steadily declining. This long-term trend points to a shift in how market participants are managing their holdings. Related Reading: Ethereum Foundation Sells Another 100 ETH, But There’s Still ‘Hopium’ For Holders Ethereum Spot Exchange Reserves Trend According to Cryptoavails, Ethereum reserves on spot exchanges have gone through significant changes over the years. During the 2017-2018 bull market, reserves reached their peak, driven by a surge in investor interest. The 2020-2021 period saw another substantial increase, fueled by the rise of the DeFi ecosystem and Ethereum-based projects. However, starting in late 2021, reserves began a sharp decline as large withdrawals from exchanges became more common. By 2023, reserve levels hit a low point, and by 2024, these reduced levels persisted, signaling a potential supply shortage. This reduction in reserves often indicates that holders are withdrawing Ethereum from exchanges for long-term storage, rather than leaving it available for immediate trading. As a result, the diminished supply on exchanges can create upward pressure on prices. Cryptoavails noted that from 2022 onward, as reserves decreased, Ethereum’s price started to stabilize at higher levels. This pattern suggests that low reserve levels could support further price increases, potentially triggering a new upward trend. Technical Analysis Of ETH From a technical standpoint, Ethereum has shown patterns that analysts interpret as bullish. Several prominent figures in the crypto community have shared their insights. One renowned analyst known as Crypto Ceaser recently highlighted a bounce in Ethereum’s price as a significant opportunity, expressing a view that the cryptocurrency is undervalued and may be poised to reach new all-time highs. $ETH – #Ethereum bounced as expected. This was a huge opportunity. Send it. In my opinion Ethereum is heavily undervalued. I think we will see new ATH’s soon. pic.twitter.com/ljMa1lEpJO — Crypto Caesar (@CryptoCaesarTA) January 28, 2025 However, not all analyses paint a uniformly optimistic picture. Anup Dhungana, another crypto analyst, pointed out a divergence between Bitcoin and Ethereum’s market behavior. While Bitcoin has maintained a steady uptrend, Ethereum’s performance against Bitcoin has been less robust, with the ETH/BTC pair forming lower lows. This divergence reflects reduced investor interest in Ethereum relative to other assets. Related Reading: Ethereum Poised To Test $2,800 Support Level If Market Downtrend Persists – Analyst According to Dhungana, the next technical support level for ETH/BTC may lie between 0.028 and 0.026. A rebound from this level could potentially revive broader interest in Ethereum and altcoins, paving the way for another phase of growth. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Bitcoin is showing signs of a gradual recovery following its earlier pullback. After dipping below the $100,000 mark, the cryptocurrency has regained ground, currently trading above $102,000. This represents a 6.3% increase over the past two weeks. Amid this upward trajectory, a CryptoQuant analyst has assessed the patterns of Bitcoin’s realized capitalization and UTXO age bands for clues about what might come next. Related Reading: Bitcoin Hovers Above $104K—Analyst Reveals What’s Next Based on Funding Rates What the Data Suggests About Bitcoin’s Future IT Tech, a contributor to the CryptoQuant QuickTake Platform, recently shared insights on Bitcoin’s current cycle behavior. According to the analysis, the proportion of younger UTXOs—coins that have moved recently—has begun to rise. Historically, high levels of younger UTXOs have coincided with cycle tops, as seen during the peaks of 2013, 2017, and 2021. Although the current cycle has not yet reached these extreme levels, the increase in younger UTXOs suggests that newer market entrants are becoming more active. According to IT Tech, based on historical trends, a high proportion of young UTXOs typically signals increased speculation, which can lead to heightened volatility and a potential market top. If this trend continues, Bitcoin could see another leg up before significant distribution takes place. Conversely, if long-term holders maintain their positions, the current rally may still have room to grow. IT Tech emphasized that while current indicators point to increased market activity, the younger UTXO levels remain below historical peaks. Bitcoin’s Next Move: Are We Approaching a Cycle Top or Just Gaining Momentum? “Suggests that we are entering a phase of increased market activity, but the proportion of young UTXOs is not yet at the historical peak levels.” – By @IT_Tech_PL Link ????https://t.co/fVO3Kuavlw pic.twitter.com/pxegbBrpBX — CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) January 28, 2025 This provides room for Bitcoin to continue its upward trajectory, but market participants should remain vigilant. IT Tech concluded by noting: The chart suggests that we are entering a phase of increased market activity, but the proportion of young UTXOs is not yet at the historical peak levels. This could mean that Bitcoin still has room for further upside, but traders should closely monitor the ratio of young coins to long-term holdings for potential warning signs of a top. Bitcoin Market Performance At the time of writing, Bitcoin trades at a price of $102,768 marking a 1.3% increase in the past day. This slight surge in price has boosted BTC’s market cap back above $2 trillion—a notable surge from $1.96 trillion seen on Monday. Interestingly, despite this increase, Bitcoin’s daily trading volume has seen an opposite trend currently sitting at a valuation of $50.2 billion, a notable decrease from over $100 billion seen last week. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView