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After months of uncertainty and sideways trading, fresh technical analysis suggests that Bitcoin (BTC) may have finally exited its bear trap phase. A leading crypto pundit indicates the market has entered a classic cycle of emotions, transitioning from fear to optimism. If this trend continues, the next phase could spark a major rally, with altcoins set to explode.  Bitcoin Bear Trap Ends, Altcoins Next Crypto analyst Ardizor posted on X social media on Wednesday that Bitcoin has officially reached the end of its bear trap stage. He argued that the recent downturns were not signs of further collapse but a final shakeout before the next stage of the cycle.  Related Reading: Analyst’s Prediction Plays Out As Bitcoin Price Rebounds, Here’s The Full Forecast To support his view, the crypto expert shared a chart illustrating the classic psychology and emotional transitions of a market cycle. From early momentum building to euphoric peaks and painful capitulation, the chart identifies where traders currently stand in the market. Ardizorn’s chart also emphasized that the declines and false breakdowns that rattled investors and caused extreme fear in recent weeks have concluded, and now, the market is at the stage of “renewed optimism.”  Interestingly, this shift has led the analyst to believe that altcoins could soon start outperforming as traders rotate their capital from BTC. Based on this trend, Ardizor boldly predicts that altcoins will explode next, with many potentially reaching new all-time highs.  His outlook is reinforced by another market analyst, Mister Crypto, who argues that September was merely a bear trap for Bitcoin, and that October, often dubbed “Uptober” in trading circles, will spark a new bullish phase, with altcoins poised to outperform dramatically. Adding further weight to the bullish case, crypto expert Jelle pointed out that both of Bitcoin’s last two cycles lasted exactly 1,064 days. If history repeats, the current cycle could peak around October 27, giving altcoins extra room to perform strongly into late November.    Altcoin Season On The Horizon With the broader altcoin market already recovering from past declines, market analyst Chiefy paints a similarly bullish picture for these assets in 2025. His chart demonstrates a series of breakouts, each marking a significant surge in altcoin valuations relative to Bitcoin. According to the crypto expert, altcoins could reach their breakout stage on October 5, ushering in what he calls “the biggest altseason in history.”  Related Reading: Expert Says ‘The Time Has Come’, What Could Drive The Next Explosive Altcoin Season The analyst’s chart highlights past breakout points that have multiplied prices by 120x, 175x, and 150x, with the next stage projected to reach as high as 200x. This exponential growth pattern mirrors what traders witnessed in previous cycles, reinforcing the idea that the crypto market trends to rhyme, if not repeat.  Chiefy has stated that the unfolding altcoin season could push prices to new ATHs and deliver massive opportunities for traders. He highlighted that, after months of consolidation and endless shakeouts, the market momentum has officially shifted toward a clear uptrend phase, with low-cap cryptocurrencies poised to kick off rallies. According to him, back in 2017 and 2021, traders who accumulated altcoins in this stage saw life-changing gains. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

The time for optimistic predictions about the Bitcoin price reaching a new record is swiftly running out. Many analysts initially predicted that the market’s leading cryptocurrency would achieve a milestone of $200,000 this year.  However, as time progresses, these forecasts are being adjusted, with some traders on crypto prediction platforms lowering their price targets. Despite this, the potential for new all-time highs (ATHs) still lingers for the remainder of the year. Historical Data Points To New Records In Q4 Recently, the Bitcoin price once again surged past the significant $120,000 threshold, a level that has acted as a major resistance barrier over the past months. However, a sustained weekly close above this mark could set the stage for Bitcoin to reach new heights.  This price movement follows the release of softer private payrolls data, which has bolstered expectations for potential interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve (Fed).  Related Reading: Here’s Why Analysts Are Predicting A Massive Shiba Inu Price Rally In October According to the CME FedWatch tool, traders now estimate a 99% probability of a quarter-point reduction on October 29, a noticeable increase from 86% just a week earlier. As such, analysts from the Motley Fool remain optimistic, suggesting that the Bitcoin price could still achieve a price target of $140,000 by early 2026. Historical data supports this optimism, as Bitcoin has consistently shown strong performance in the fourth quarter (Q4).  Over the years from 2013 to 2024, the average Q4 return for Bitcoin has been an impressive 85%. Notably, in 2020, Bitcoin saw an increase of 168% in the final quarter, while in 2017, it skyrocketed by 215%. Even further back to 2013, Bitcoin posted an extraordinary return of 480%. Key Months For The Bitcoin Price Looking at the data, October and November have historically marked significant turning points for the Bitcoin price. November stands out as the most lucrative, with an average return of 46%, followed closely by October at 22%.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Calm Is Over — ‘Every Time This Happened, Price Went Vertical,’ Says Analyst Current predictions from prediction markets suggest that traders are granting Bitcoin a 63% chance of reclaiming its previous all-time high of $125,000 by the year’s end. The likelihood of Bitcoin reaching $130,000 by early 2026 stands at 47%, while the chance of hitting $140,000 has been estimated at 32%.  However, the window for achieving higher price levels is quickly closing, as evidenced by a mere 22% chance of reaching $150,000 this year and only a 5% chance of hitting $200,000. Despite the optimism, Motley Fool analysts have noted that market sentiment has soured since August. Prediction markets reflect this shift, indicating a 6% probability of Bitcoin slipping below $70,000. Moreover, there’s a 2% chance that the Bitcoin price could dip below $50,000. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com

A cryptocurrency analyst has pointed out how Bitcoin could target $139,000 next, according to this on-chain pricing bands model. Bitcoin Has Broken Past 0.5 SD MVRV Deviation Band In a new post on X, analyst Ali Martinez has talked about where Bitcoin may be heading next based on the MVRV Extreme Deviation Pricing Bands. This pricing model is based on the popular Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) Ratio, an indicator that compares the market cap of Bitcoin against its realized cap. Related Reading: Bitcoin Short-Term Holder RVT Nears Cycle Lows: A Healthy Reset? The former represents the value currently held by the BTC investors, while the latter is a measure of the value that they initially put in. As such, the MVRV Ratio basically represents the profit-loss balance of the overall network. When the value of the metric is greater than 1, it means the market cap is greater than the realized cap and the average investor is sitting on an unrealized gain. On the other hand, it being under the threshold suggests the investors as a whole may be considered underwater. The MVRV Extreme Deviation Pricing Bands takes the mean of the MVRV Ratio and calculates standard deviations (SDs) from it. It then determines price levels that correspond to these standard deviations. Below is the chart for this Bitcoin pricing model shared by the analyst. As is visible in the graph, the mean of the MVRV Ratio is currently situated at $94,650 in the model. What this means is that if Bitcoin declines to this level, the MVRV Ratio would attain a value equal to its mean. During BTC’s recent decline, its price slipped below the +0.5 SD level of $116,700. With the latest recovery run, however, it has smashed past it. The next level on the model is the +1 SD, located at $138,800. Bitcoin has surged above this band twice in the current cycle so far, with a top following for the cryptocurrency shortly after each break. The explanation behind the trend could lie in the fact that investors become more likely to participate in profit-taking selloffs the higher their gains get. Related Reading: Bitcoin’s Next Big Move? CryptoQuant Says These Alerts Are To Watch The MVRV Ratio being 1 SD above its mean corresponds to holder gains being notably higher than the norm. As such, it’s not surprising to see that BTC topped out shortly after crossing the threshold during both of the 2024 breakouts. It now remains to be seen whether this latest surge above the +0.5 SD level will lead Bitcoin to another retest of the +1 SD band, or if the run will fizzle out before it can happen. BTC Price Bitcoin has witnessed a recovery run of almost 7% over the last week that has taken its price to the $119,200 level. Featured image from Dall-E, Glassnode.com, chart from TradingView.com

As Bitcoin (BTC) steadily makes its way toward its current all-time high (ATH) of $124,128, optimism seems to be returning to the market. However, fresh data from Binance shows that BTC’s gains barely outweigh the risks posed by the digital asset’s volatility. Bitcoin Maintaining A Risk-Reward Balance According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Arab Chain, latest data from Binance – the world’s leading cryptocurrency trading platform in terms of liquidity – suggests that BTC is currently maintaining a risk-reward balance. Related Reading: Bitcoin Funding Dynamics Shift As Binance Premium Signals Aggressive Longs Specifically, the Sharpe-like ratio on Binance currently stands at 0.18, a figure very close to neutral territory. To explain, a Sharpe-like ratio measures how much return an investment generates relative to the risk it takes, similar to the Sharpe ratio but often using adjusted benchmarks or risk measures. When the Sharpe-like ratio is above 0.5, investing in Bitcoin becomes attractive since the potential returns outweigh the risks. On the contrary, a negative reading of the ratio discourages investors from taking risks, since volatility exceeds returns. During 2024, when the cryptocurrency market was largely weak and volatile, the Sharpe-like ratio spent most of the time in the negative territory. In contrast, the ratio reached elevated levels, signaling a strong uptrend, at the beginning of 2025. Currently, the Bitcoin market is trading between the two extremes – the market is neither dangerous nor in a powerful uptrend. Notably, the market appears to be in a phase of equilibrium and accumulation, as it trades close to $119,000. Arab Chain added: The latest figures show that the 30-day average return stands at just 0.26%, highlighting that the market is not delivering outsized gains; investors entering now are likely to see only modest profits relative to risk. Meanwhile, 30-day volatility is around 1.37%, which indicates a natural, moderate level of price fluctuation – not excessively calm but not alarmingly unstable either. BTC Needs A Catalyst For Next Leg Up The CryptoQuant analyst added that the BTC market is currently awaiting a bullish catalyst or strong inflows to extend its uptrend. However, if the Sharpe-like ratio falls below zero again, then a period of price correction may follow. Related Reading: Bitcoin Momentum Indicator: Why 600,000 Transactions Threshold Matters Most On the flipside, the ratio sustaining above 0.5 for several days – coupled with a price breakout above the $120,000 to $122,000 range on healthy volume – would suggest a fresh upward trend for the top cryptocurrency by market cap. Recent on-chain data hints toward a potential rally setup for BTC. Notably, the short-term holder (STH) spent output profit ratio (SOPR) recently recovered slightly to 0.995. That said, Bitcoin must defend the important $90,000 support level to avoid entering a new bear market. At press time, BTC trades at $118,788, up 1.3% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant and TradingView.com

Bitcoin has reclaimed key levels above the $118,000 mark, shifting momentum back in favor of the bulls after weeks of uncertainty. The breakout has reinvigorated sentiment across the market, with traders increasingly confident that BTC could be on the verge of a major move. Historically, October has been one of the strongest months for Bitcoin performance, and some analysts are already calling for a massive impulse that could carry the asset toward new highs. Related Reading: Metaplanet Expands Bitcoin Holdings To Over 30K BTC – Details What makes this rally especially notable is the underlying stability reflected in market data. Top analyst Axel Adler shared insights showing that Bitcoin currently sits in equilibrium, where buying and selling pressure are balanced. This condition often signals a healthy market structure, creating a strong base for potential upside. If momentum holds, the combination of bullish seasonal patterns and a stable equilibrium could fuel an aggressive continuation of the cycle. Still, analysts caution that the next few days will be critical. Reclaiming $118,000 is a strong first step, but Bitcoin will need to build support above this threshold to confirm the breakout and sustain its trajectory. With volatility returning, October may once again prove to be a decisive month for Bitcoin. Bitcoin Dynamics Align With A Key Indicator In a CryptoQuant report, Adler explains that Bitcoin’s current price behavior aligns closely with the STH-MVRV pricing corridor, a metric designed to reflect the average profitability of recent buyers. This corridor provides a framework for evaluating when short-term holders are in profit and more likely to sell, versus when they are at a loss and likely to capitulate. At present, Bitcoin sits comfortably within this range, suggesting a healthy equilibrium in market dynamics. The upper boundary of the corridor, defined as +1σ, currently hovers around $130,000. Adler notes that this level represents a zone where short-term holders typically begin to lock in profits more aggressively. Historically, price approaches to this boundary have triggered waves of selling, providing a natural cap until stronger demand emerges. Nevertheless, the existence of this upper bound gives the market a clear target, and if current dynamics persist, a move toward $130K appears increasingly realistic. Equally important is the baseline of the corridor, which reflects the average realized price of short-term holders. Since the beginning of 2024, Bitcoin has consistently held above this level (marked by the yellow line on the chart). This persistent strength signals sustained bullish sentiment, as short-term drops below the baseline have been quickly bought up, reflecting robust demand. In effect, Bitcoin remains in a state of equilibrium—neither overheated nor oversold—within the established volatility corridor. This balance, combined with the historical seasonality of October rallies and strong institutional flows, positions the market favorably for potential upside. If buying pressure continues and volatility contracts, the probability of an advance toward the $130K zone becomes a tangible scenario in the weeks ahead. Related Reading: Galaxy’s Digital Bitcoin Sales Continue: 1,190 Bitcoin Moves To Binance Bitcoin Faces Resistance After A Rally Bitcoin is trading around $118,800 on the 12-hour chart, extending its breakout from earlier this week. Price has surged past the key $117,500 resistance, a level that capped rallies throughout September, and is now testing the $119,000–$120,000 area. This zone represents the final hurdle before a potential retest of summer highs near $125,000. The moving averages show improving momentum. BTC has reclaimed the 50-period (blue) and 100-period (green) moving averages with strong follow-through, turning them into short-term support zones around $114,000–$115,000. Meanwhile, the 200-period (red) moving average continues to rise from below, reinforcing the longer-term bullish trend. The decisive break above multiple averages in just a few sessions highlights the strength of buyer conviction. Related Reading: The Bitcoin Long: Bybit Traders Push BTC Taker Buy/Sell Ratio Above 24 However, the chart also suggests that Bitcoin is entering overextended territory in the short term. After four consecutive bullish candles, a period of consolidation around $118,000–$119,000 would not be surprising. A failure to hold above $117,500 could see a pullback toward $115,000, while sustained buying could confirm a path to $120,000 and beyond. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com

USDT issuer Tether has added a significant amount of Bitcoin to close out the third quarter, a development that has caught the attention of the crypto community. Tether’s CEO, Paolo Ardoino, also confirmed this purchase, as the company ranks among the largest BTC treasury companies.  Tether Adds 8,889 BTC To Bitcoin Holdings Arkham data shows that Tether bought 8,889 BTC for $1 billion, with the coins transferred from Bitfinex’s hot wallet to the USDT issuer’s Bitcoin reserves wallet. The company now holds 86,335 BTC, which is valued at $10.23 billion. Ardoino also confirmed the purchase in an X post, highlighting their effort to keep accumulating BTC.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Reaches ‘Critical Junction’: How A Rally To $139,000 Would Play Out BitInfoCharts data shows that Tether is currently one of the largest Bitcoin holders, controlling 0.4% of the flagship crypto’s supply. Meanwhile, based on BitcoinTreasuries data, the USDT issuer will rank as the second-largest BTC treasury company, just behind Michael Saylor’s Strategy.   Notably, Tether also has more Bitcoin exposure through its stake in Twenty One Capital (XXI), which is currently the third largest BTC treasury company, behind Strategy and Mara Holdings. XXI holds 43,514 BTC on its balance sheet, some of which it received from Tether as part of the USDT issuer’s investment.  Meanwhile, Tether has made it clear that it intends to continue buying as much Bitcoin as possible. Ardoino stated last month that while the world continues to become darker, they will continue to invest part of their profits in safe assets like BTC, gold, and land. This came as he clarified that his company wasn’t selling Bitcoin to buy more gold but was instead buying both assets for their reserves.  It is worth mentioning that Tether generates the most revenue among crypto protocols. DeFiLlama data shows that the stablecoin issuer has earned $22.27 million in revenue in the last 24 hours and $155.27 million in the last seven days. As such, the firm makes enough profits to keep buying BTC.  The Bottom For BTC Notably, Tether’s latest Bitcoin purchase came just as the BTC price bottomed out. The USDT issuer had bought these coins when the flagship crypto was trading at around $110,000. Since then, BTC has staged a parabolic rally, beginning this month with a gain of around 6%. Bitcoin had dropped to as low as $108,000 about a week ago.  Related Reading: These Analysts Predicted The Bitcoin Price Crash And Their Forecasts Say It’s Not Over Bitcoin is expected to record significant gains this month based on historical data. October is its second-best performing month, recording average gains of 20% over the years. Factors like a Fed rate cut could also help spark massive gains for the flagship crypto.  At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $118,400, up over 3% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap.  Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com

On-chain data shows the Bitcoin short-term holder RVT has plummeted recently. Here’s what history suggests could happen next for BTC. Bitcoin Short-Term Holder Realized Value RVT Is Approaching Cycle Lows In a new post on X, on-chain analytics firm Glassnode has shared the latest trend in the Bitcoin Realized Value RVT of the short-term holders. The Realized Value RVT is an oscillator that measures the ratio between the sum of profits and losses being realized by BTC investors, and the total transfer volume on the network. In simple terms, what the metric tells us about is whether holders are participating in a high or low amount of profit-taking/loss-taking compared to the value being shifted around on the blockchain. Related Reading: Bitcoin’s Next Big Move? CryptoQuant Says These Alerts Are To Watch In the context of the current topic, the version of the indicator that’s of interest is the one specifically for short-term holders (STHs), investors who purchased their Bitcoin during the past 155 days. Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the Bitcoin Realized Value RVT for the STHs over the last few years: As displayed in the above graph, the Bitcoin STH Realized Value RVT has witnessed a decline recently, implying the investors have been realizing a lower amount of profit/loss compared to the volume. The metric’s recent decline has been so drastic that it has taken its value near cyclical lows. Such a trend suggests the BTC network is currently observing most of its coins moving at or near break-even. “Historically, such resets often align with periods of market detox, helping build a foundation for more durable recoveries,” explains the analytics firm. From the chart, it’s visible that the market saw similar STH Realized Value RVT values during the mid-2024 and early-2025 lows. In 2023, however, the indicator had to sink even lower before Bitcoin regained its footing. It now remains to be seen whether the latest low levels of STH Realized Value RVT mean the cryptocurrency has already bottomed, or if the metric will have to go further lower. Related Reading: Cardano Whale Makes $54 Million Coinbase Outflow: Sign Of Dip Buying? Another healthy development for BTC could perhaps be the reversal in its market cap dominance, as Glassnode has pointed out in another X post. From the chart, it’s visible that the Bitcoin dominance declined to 57% earlier, but it has since seen a rebound back to 59%. “This mean reversion suggests a healthier market structure, as BTC-led rallies have historically proven more sustainable than those driven by altcoins,” notes the analytics firm. BTC Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading around $117,000, up 3% over the last week. The trend in the price of the coin over the last five days | Source: BTCUSDT on TradingView Featured image from Dall-E, Glassnode.com, chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin (BTC) witnessed a slight surge earlier today, climbing from $113,000 to around $117,000 at the time of writing, in contrast to expectations of several crypto analysts who were predicting a decline in risk-on assets due to the US government shutdown. Bitcoin Rises Despite US Government Shutdown The US federal government shut down at midnight on September 30, as President Donald Trump and Congress failed to reach a deal on funding. Specifically, the two camps were at odds over enhanced Obamacare subsidies, with neither party willing to take the blame. Related Reading: Bitcoin Momentum Indicator: Why 600,000 Transactions Threshold Matters Most However, Bitcoin made a surprise move to the upside despite the uncertain environment created by the US government shutdown, recording strong gains earlier today. CryptoQuant analyst Kripto Mevsimi stated that September saw deeper losses among short-term holders (STH), as their Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR) fell as low as 0.992. As a result, most of September was marked by STH continuing to sell their BTC holdings at a loss. However, the metric recovered slightly to 0.995, although it is still below August’s reading of 0.998. The current STH-SOPR reading is showing signs of stabilization after a period of depression. It is interesting to note the timing of this recovery, as it occurred at a time when BTC is trading in the high $110,000 range, slightly below a heavy resistance zone. Past data shows two potential scenarios that can happen following such a reset in the STH-SOPR. First, it could be early warning signs of a weakening momentum for BTC, as extended loss realization can precede corrective phases where weak hands capitulate. The other, more bullish scenario, is that it could be a healthy reset. Quick absorption of realized losses often paves the way for more sustainable rallies, which could catapult BTC to new all-time highs (ATH) in the near term. The CryptoQuant analyst added: With BTC consolidating under resistance, this rebound in STH-SOPR is a key barometer of market health. If buyers continue to absorb weak-hand selling, it could mirror past resets that paved the way for the next leg higher. Will BTC Decline In Q4 2025? While the dwindling active circulating supply of Bitcoin offers some hope to the bulls, others are not as optimistic. According to recent analysis by fellow CryptoQuant contributor Axel Adler, demand for BTC cooled after it failed to hold above $115,000. Related Reading: Bitcoin Could Go To Zero, Hedge Fund CEO Warns Meanwhile, crypto analyst Doctor Profit recently remarked that BTC is likely to experience another 20% decline from its current price, reaching his projected target range between $90,000 – $94,000. At press time, BTC trades at $117,226, up 3.5% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant and TradingView.com

Bitcoin price started a strong increase and traded above $118,000. BTC is now consolidating gains and might correct some points in the short term. Bitcoin started a major increase above the $116,500 zone. The price is trading above $117,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a short-term bullish trend line forming with support at $117,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might continue to move up if it clears the $119,500 zone. Bitcoin Price Starts Fresh Surge Bitcoin price managed to stay above the $115,000 zone and started a fresh increase. BTC settled above the $115,500 resistance zone to start the current move. The bulls were able to pump the price above the $117,000 and $118,000 levels. The bulls even cleared the $118,800 level. A high was formed at $119,453 and the price is now consolidating gains above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $112,806 swing low to the $119,453 high. Bitcoin is now trading above $117,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. Besides, there is a short-term bullish trend line forming with support at $117,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. Immediate resistance on the upside is near the $119,000 level. The first key resistance is near the $119,250 level. The next resistance could be $119,500. A close above the $119,500 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $120,500 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $122,500 level. The next barrier for the bulls could be $123,00. Pullback In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $119,500 resistance zone, it could start a fresh decline. Immediate support is near the $117,000 level and the trend line. The first major support is near the $116,150 level. The next support is now near the $115,500 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $114,000 support in the near term. The main support sits at $113,500, below which BTC might struggle to recover in the short term. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now gaining pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $117,000, followed by $116,150. Major Resistance Levels – $119,500 and $120,500.

Bitcoin is now back trading above $115,000, but the recovery comes with a shadow that cannot be ignored. A new gap opened on the CME Bitcoin futures chart, and while the spot market has pushed higher since then, the presence of this gap opens up a bearish scenario. These gaps have a history of pulling Bitcoin back down to fill them, and the most recent one opens up questions about how long the current bullish momentum can last. Bitcoin Opens Up Huge CME Gap Crypto analyst Daan Crypto noted on the social media platform X how Bitcoin opened the week with a huge CME gap that has continued higher since the futures open. This gap is important, as it has been a while since Bitcoin opened with such a huge gap. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Forms Bearish Evening Star Pattern On Weekly Chart, But Can Price Go Below $100,000? As shown in the chart image below, this CME gap is between $110,000 and $111,300. Gaps on CME futures have a tendency to close fairly quickly, meaning that Bitcoin often retraces to the level of the gap before resuming its trend. If that happens this time, the short-term structure of Bitcoin’s price action could deteriorate into a bearish momentum.  However, Daan also noted that this gap should not be considered in play unless Bitcoin drops below $111,000. But if that happens, the futures chart could drag spot prices lower and turn recent strength into weakness. What Does This Mean For Bitcoin? A CME gap occurs because the Chicago Mercantile Exchange does not trade over the weekend, unlike the spot Bitcoin market, which operates 24/7. When Bitcoin makes a big move on Saturday or Sunday, CME futures reopen on Sunday evening at a different level than they closed on Friday, and this leaves an empty gap on the price chart.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Bull Run Is Over? These Signals Show Where The Market Is At It’s common knowledge that Bitcoin tends to fill these gaps by returning to the level of the gap before continuing in its trend. If Bitcoin retraces to close this latest gap between the $110,000 to $111,000 range, it would erase the recovery that pushed it to $115,000 and bring the price back into a zone of uncertainty. According to Daan Crypto, if that were to happen here, then the entire structure would look pretty bad in the short term. However, this might be one of those very few gaps that never closes or not until months later. This would most likely be the case, unless Bitcoin breaks below $111,000. A dip below $111,000 could ultimately see Bitcoin losing the $110,000 price level again.  If Bitcoin can stay above $115,000 and there’s enough buying pressure, then the gap can be ignored in the short term. The next test will be whether buyers can sustain the recently found momentum and push towards $120,000. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $116,380, up by 1.4% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

Bitcoin surged past the $115,000 level just a few hours ago, sparking speculation among investors about the potential for further upside. The move comes after weeks of tight consolidation that began in July, a period marked by choppy trading and indecision. Now, with momentum showing signs of returning, many analysts believe the next breakout could be aggressive, setting the tone for the final quarter of the year. Related Reading: The Bitcoin Long: Bybit Traders Push BTC Taker Buy/Sell Ratio Above 24 The reclaim of $115,000 has reignited bullish sentiment, with traders closely watching whether Bitcoin can build a base above this threshold and aim for the next major resistance at $117,500. Historically, prolonged consolidation phases have often preceded strong directional moves, and the current setup suggests that volatility could soon accelerate. Adding weight to the bullish narrative, fresh data reveals that Metaplanet has expanded its Bitcoin treasury once again. The firm added 5,268 BTC to its holdings, bringing its total stash to 30,823 BTC. This significant purchase highlights growing institutional conviction in Bitcoin, even as prices remain locked in a range. Metaplanet Becomes 4th Largest Bitcoin Holder Top analyst Maartunn highlighted that Metaplanet’s latest purchase has further cemented its position among the largest Bitcoin holders in the world. With the addition of 5,268 BTC this week, Metaplanet’s treasury now stands at 30,823 BTC. This accumulation places the firm as the 4th largest corporate Bitcoin holder, trailing only industry giants such as Strategy (prev. MicroStrategy) and a few other leading institutions. The move underscores the growing appetite for Bitcoin among companies looking to diversify reserves and position themselves ahead of what many see as a long-term adoption cycle. This development comes at a crucial time for the market. Bitcoin has recently reclaimed the $115,000 level, sparking fresh optimism after months of consolidation. Analysts point out that institutional moves like Metaplanet’s provide strong underlying support, reinforcing the argument that Bitcoin remains attractive even at elevated prices. The coming days will be critical, as several analysts expect Bitcoin to continue pushing upward through October. Historically, this month has delivered some of the strongest rallies for BTC, earning the nickname “Uptober” within the community. If the pattern repeats, Metaplanet’s accumulation could prove to be well-timed, fueling further confidence in the asset. Related Reading: Bitcoin Short-Term Holders At Cost Basis: SOPR At 1 Signals Market Equilibrium BTC Challenges Key Resistance Bitcoin is trading near $116,200 after staging a sharp recovery from recent lows around $109,000. On the daily chart, the price has reclaimed both the 50-day (blue) and 100-day (green) moving averages, signaling renewed strength from buyers. This rebound has put Bitcoin within striking distance of the $117,500 resistance zone, highlighted in yellow, which has repeatedly capped rallies since July. A decisive breakout above this level would represent a major shift in momentum, potentially opening the path toward $120,000 and retests of the late-summer highs above $125,000. The fact that BTC has recovered so quickly from last week’s weakness underscores strong demand at lower levels. Related Reading: Bitcoin Retail Demand Retreats: 30D Change Falls To Lowest Level Since July However, the market is not free of risk. The $117,500 level remains a critical barrier, and failure to clear it could invite profit-taking that pulls the price back toward $114,000 or even $112,000. The 200-day moving average (red), currently trending near $105,000, continues to provide a deeper layer of support that reinforces the broader uptrend. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

Bitcoin (BTC), the leading cryptocurrency, has ignited a notable recovery in the broader cryptocurrency market, recording a 5% gain during Wednesday’s trading session to recover the $117,000 mark.  This momentum has positively impacted major altcoins, including Ethereum (ETH), XRP, Solana (SOL), and Binance Coin (BNB), which have seen average increases of around 3% in what may signal the onset of a new altcoin season. Crypto Prices Surge Amidst US Government Shutdown The surge in crypto prices coincided with political developments as the US Senate’s failure to pass a temporary funding bill resulted in a government shutdown shortly after midnight on Wednesday. Related Reading: Did Bitcoin Top? Top Trader Warns Of Brutal $98,000 Liquidity Sweep Such uncertainty often leads investors to seek alternatives to the US dollar, and cryptocurrencies are increasingly viewed as a hedge against economic instability. On Wednesday, the dollar remained stable against a basket of other currencies, further bolstering the appeal of digital assets. Historically, October has been a favorable month for Bitcoin, with the cryptocurrency finishing in positive territory 10 out of the past 12 years. Joel Kruger from LMAX Group also noted that Q4 has consistently been the strongest seasonal period for cryptocurrencies, adding to the bullish sentiment. However, not all analysts share the same optimistic outlook.  Extended Bull Cycle For Bitcoin? Ash Crypto expressed caution, suggesting that the current rally might be a precursor to a more significant downturn, predicting a potential drop that could see Bitcoin retrace to around $106,000 and Ethereum to near $3,800.  This anticipated correction, he argues, could liquidate overly optimistic positions, particularly among retail investors. He forecasts that this phase of uncertainty could persist until mid-October, potentially leading to a market rebound when bearish sentiment peaks. Related Reading: XRP Flips Green For First Time Since 2017, Pundit Predicts 500% Rally Conversely, Lark Davis has indicated a more bullish long-term perspective, suggesting that the current cycle may extend well into 2026 rather than peaking in the fourth quarter of the year as traditionally expected.  The general sentiment remains that if the market can navigate through the short-term fluctuations, a substantial rally could occur, potentially driving Bitcoin to prices between $150,000 and $180,000, with Ethereum reaching between $8,000 and $12,000.  According to Davis, such a scenario, in which could result in a major 53% and 200% for BTC and ETH respectively, could catalyze a significant altcoin season, with some assets potentially increasing in value by 10 to 50 times within just a few months. When writing, Bitcoin trades at $117,130, further posting gains of nearly 8% on the monthly time frame. This positions the market’s leading cryptocurrency just 5.7% below its all-time high, currently at $124,100, Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 

The recent technical picture for Bitcoin presents a tug-of-war between short-term momentum and macro necessity. While the bulls are aggressively defending support and pushing toward the $117,000 resistance area, the yet-to-be-filled CME gap hangs over the market. This historical pattern suggests that although the price action is bullish, a mandatory downside move may be required to reset the chart before the target can truly be breached. Gap-Filling Before The Next Big Rally Ezy Bitcoin, in a recent short-term market outlook shared on X, explained that Bitcoin may need to close an existing gap before it can build momentum for its next major rally. However, such a move should not be seen as a weakness but rather as a healthy reset, one that could set the stage for a stronger push upward. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Bounces Higher – Clears Resistance, But Next Barrier Still Looms He referenced the Bitcoin CME Futures chart, where the CrossX indicator highlights unfilled gaps that often act like magnets for price action. Historically, Bitcoin has shown a tendency to revisit these areas before resuming its climb, making them a key part of the near-term structure. Over the last five months, Ezy Bitcoin has noted every single gap has been filled, while maintaining a flawless 100% success rate. This consistency adds weight to the likelihood of a short-term retracement before another rally begins, reinforcing his expectation that the pattern will hold. With that in mind, he concluded that a minor pullback could create a valuable opportunity to accumulate more Bitcoin. Rather than fearing a dip, traders and investors might see it as an entry point before the next strong upward move. Bitcoin Bulls Eye Recovery Momentum Despite Market Pressure According to the latest update from Crypto VIP Signal, Bitcoin demonstrated a rapid recovery after experiencing a sharp drop. The price briefly fell below the $113,000 mark but quickly managed to bounce back. This swift bounce from this level signals that buyers remain active and willing to step in at key zones, preventing any deeper correction for now.  Related Reading: Bitcoin’s $90,000 Level Holds Key To Preventing A New Bear Market, Top Analyst Says Currently, the price is moving upward again, and the immediate challenge is defined by a narrow resistance zone between $114,600 and $114,800. This range is acting as a local ceiling where selling pressure is likely to be concentrated. Overcoming this level is crucial for the continuation of the bullish move. Looking ahead, Crypto VIP Signal emphasized that a successful breakout above the $114,600–$114,800 resistance will open up the path to significantly higher targets between the $116,000 and $117,000 area. A move into this range would solidify the positive momentum and confirm that the recent drop was merely a brief shakeout, allowing the rally to continue. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com

Bitcoin has reclaimed the $115,000 level, restoring momentum after weeks of uncertainty and signaling that bulls are regaining strength. The move comes as traders push back against selling pressure, with renewed optimism spreading across the market. For many, the rebound highlights Bitcoin’s resilience and its ability to bounce after testing key support levels. Related Reading: The Bitcoin Long: Bybit Traders Push BTC Taker Buy/Sell Ratio Above 24 Yet, not everyone feels convinced. Several analysts warn that despite the recent upside, Bitcoin may still face the risk of a deeper correction. The recovery looks promising, but the broader structure remains fragile, and cautious voices continue to dominate discussions. A failure to hold above $115,000 could once again expose the market to volatility and downside pressure. Adding another layer of concern, key data shows that Galaxy Digital’s Bitcoin sales remain ongoing. These sales, taking place even as Bitcoin rises, highlight the complex dynamics at play and temper the optimism around the recent rally. Galaxy Sales Weigh On Bitcoin Top analyst Darkfost shared fresh data that revealed a significant move in Bitcoin markets yesterday. According to him, 1,190 BTC were sent mainly to Binance, most likely to be sold. At current prices, that transaction represents more than $135 million worth of Bitcoin, underscoring that large-scale institutional selling continues even as bulls fight to sustain momentum above $115,000. Such transfers often signal that sellers, in this case Galaxy Digital, are actively reducing exposure, which can pressure the market during sensitive periods. While Bitcoin has managed to rebound from its recent lows near $108,000, these heavy sales create an overhang of supply that traders must absorb before a convincing uptrend can take hold. The timing adds even more weight, as Bitcoin enters a new stage marked by macro uncertainty. The looming US government shutdown now stands as one of the biggest risk factors for global markets. Political deadlock in Washington threatens to disrupt financial stability and could trigger volatility across equities, bonds, and digital assets. For Bitcoin, this situation creates both risk and opportunity: on one hand, fear-driven selling could drag prices lower; on the other, Bitcoin’s role as a hedge may attract inflows from investors seeking protection. Related Reading: Bitcoin Short-Term Holders At Cost Basis: SOPR At 1 Signals Mareket Equilibrium BTC Approaches Resistance After Strong Rebound Bitcoin is trading near $116,200 after a sharp rebound from last week’s lows around $109,000. The 8-hour chart highlights renewed bullish momentum, with price now pressing toward the key resistance zone at $117,500. This level has repeatedly capped rallies since late August, making it the line to watch for confirmation of a broader breakout. The recent move higher also pushed BTC back above its 50-period (blue) and 100-period (green) moving averages, both of which had previously acted as resistance. The price is now consolidating above these levels, showing that bulls are regaining short-term control. However, the 200-period moving average (red) sits just overhead near $115,000, and Bitcoin has only just cleared it — leaving the breakout unconfirmed. Related Reading: Bitcoin Retail Demand Retreats: 30D Change Falls To Lowest Level Since July Momentum remains constructive, but the market still faces a pivotal test. A decisive close above $117,500 could invite stronger buying pressure, opening the door for a run toward $120,000 and potentially retesting the yearly highs near $125,000. Conversely, rejection at this level could trigger profit-taking, dragging the price back toward $114,000 or even $112,000. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

On-chain analytics firm CryptoQuant has revealed the five key Bitcoin on-chain alerts that could be to keep an eye on in the coming week. Bitcoin Is Observing Developments On These Metrics In a new thread on X, CryptoQuant has discussed about some Bitcoin on-chain alerts that could be to watch amid the consolidation phase in the cryptocurrency’s price. Related Reading: Cardano Whale Makes $54 Million Coinbase Outflow: Sign Of Dip Buying? The first indicator shared by the analytics firm is the 60-day change in the market cap of USDT, the number one stablecoin. As is visible in the above chart, the 60-day change in the USDT market cap has continued to sit at a notable positive level recently, implying the stablecoin has been witnessing growth. Stablecoins are one of the main inlets of capital into the cryptocurrency sector, so growth in them can generally be a positive sign. Currently, the 60-day change in the USDT market cap has a value of $10 billion. “This is a clear sign of fresh liquidity entering the market,” notes CryptoQuant. Another stablecoins-related indicator that can be relevant for Bitcoin is the Stablecoin Supply Ratio (SSR), which measures the ratio between the market cap of BTC and combined that of all stables. A low value in the indicator can prove to be a bullish sign, as it implies investor purchasing power in the form of stablecoins is high compared to the Bitcoin market cap. From the below chart, it’s apparent that the Relative Strength Index (RSI) of the BTC SSR stands at a value of 21 right now, which is considered to be inside the “buy” territory. Another bullish sign that’s developing for Bitcoin is in the Accumulator Address Demand, an indicator that measures the demand that’s coming from addresses that have zero history of selling the cryptocurrency. These perennial HODLers now own 298,000 BTC, which is a new record. A metric that’s still inside the bearish zone, however, is the Inter-Exchange Flow Pulse (IFP). This metric keeps track of the BTC flows happening between spot and derivatives exchanges. The indicator has been following a downtrend during the past few months, which is considered to be a bear market pattern. “Watch closely: a shift upward often marks the start of bullish momentum,” says the analytics firm. The final metric shared by CryptoQuant is the Realized Price of the short-term holders (STHs), which measures the average cost basis of the Bitcoin investors who got in during the last 155 days. Related Reading: Bitcoin Sentiment Returns Back To Neutral As BTC Breaks $114,000 During BTC’s recent plunge, the STHs briefly dipped into losses, but the asset has since recovered above their Realized Price of $109,775. Bullish trends have historically continued when the coin has traded above this level. BTC Price Bitcoin has climbed back to $114,200 following its recovery surge in the last couple of days. Featured image from Dall-E, CryptoQuant.com, chart from TradingView.com

Tether, the issuer behind the leading stablecoin, USDT, has made headlines by acquiring $1 billion worth of Bitcoin—approximately 8,800 BTC—during the third quarter of this year.  While many investors have reacted positively to this significant investment, caution has emerged from industry experts like Jacob King, CEO of SwanDesk, who warns that this move may contribute to what he believes could be the “largest bubble in history.” Bitcoin’s True Value Could Be Below $1,000 In a recent post on social media platform X (formerly Twitter), King raised serious concerns about the Bitcoin market, claiming that 80-90% of the total buy volume is artificially inflated.  He argues that Tether essentially creates money “out of thin air,” injecting it into Bitcoin and thereby exacerbating the speculative environment. Despite the growing trend of exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and institutional accumulation of Bitcoin as a treasury reserve, the cryptocurrency’s real value might be “far below $1,000.” Related Reading: Will October Crown Bitcoin Or Break It? Key Levels In Play This narrative has been ongoing for years, provoking varied responses within the community. One investor countered King’s assertion by asking why major institutional players, including sovereign ETFs and Fortune 500 companies, continue to invest in Bitcoin if such a large portion of the trading volume is deemed fake.  His argument suggests that either these institutions are misinformed or that the real bubble lies within traditional fiat currencies rather than cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin. King refuted this notion, alleging that the idea of significant institutional investment in Bitcoin is largely “a myth.” He contended that most inflows into ETFs are driven by retail investors, not large institutions.  Skepticism Vs. Optimism Further amplifying his skepticism, King criticized Strategy (previously MicroStrategy), the largest publicly traded company holding over 600,000 BTC, describing it as a “leveraged Bitcoin casino.”  He alleged that the company’s co-founder, Michael Saylor, has a history of inflating numbers during the dot-com bubble, suggesting that the current situation is a repetition of “past mistakes.” Related Reading: Analyst Forecasts Dogecoin Price To See Face-Melting Rally: The Bullish Pattern That Suggests New Highs In contrast, other experts like Quinten Francois view Tether’s recent Bitcoin purchase through a more optimistic lens. Francois highlights the US government’s push for stablecoin adoption via the GENIUS Act, which mandates that stablecoin issuers be licensed, transparent, and fully backed by US Treasuries.  He argues that this regulatory framework could channel trillions in offshore Eurodollars into US bonds through stablecoins, effectively continuing quantitative easing but through these private entities rather than the Federal Reserve (Fed). At the time of writing, BTC is trading within the lower channel of its consolidation range at $113,200, with no clear indication of where prices will move next. According to CoinGecko data, the leading cryptocurrency is currently 8% below its all-time high.  Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 

Bitcoin (BTC) continues to navigate a phase of consolidation, hovering just above $113,000, leaving investors uncertain about the BTC’s next move. This uncertainty has led one analyst, known for accurately predicting BTC’s trajectory during this cycle, to suggest that a new bear market may be closer than many investors anticipate. Bear Market Warning In a recent post on social media platform X (formerly Twitter), the analyst, who goes by the name Doctor Profit, expressed ongoing confidence in his bearish outlook. Since adopting a negative stance in August, he has maintained that Bitcoin is likely to reach the $90,000 to $94,000 range.  While he initially expected this target to be hit this month, he noted that the price has spent an average of 77% of the time below his short position entry point of $115,500. This has reinforced his belief in the validity of his analysis. Related Reading: Solana Gaining Ground On Ethereum: These Key Metrics Show Colossal Growth Doctor Profit emphasized that the critical test for BTC involves the $90,000 to $94,000 range. He predicts that not only will this level be tested, but there is a strong possibility that Bitcoin could break below it, effectively signaling the end of the current bull market.  While the probability of a bear market is alarmingly high, Doctor Profit insists that confirmation hinges on how Bitcoin reacts within this key price band. He clarified that reaching this target does not need to happen immediately, nor does a temporary bounce back to $116,000 or $117,000 invalidate his bearish thesis.  The analyst views any upward price movements, such as the mid-September surge to $117,800, as mere opportunities to enter short positions at more favorable levels, instead of being signals of a new bullish catalyst. 4 Key Indicators For The Bitcoin Price Analytics platform CryptoQuant has identified four critical indicators to watch based on on-chain data. Notably, Tether’s USDT market cap has seen a substantial increase of $10 billion over the past 60 days, signaling fresh liquidity entering the market, which is typically a positive sign during bullish phases. Moreover, the Stablecoin Supply Ratio (SSR) RSI currently sits at 21, which indicates a “buy” signal. This metric assesses the buying power of stablecoins in relation to Bitcoin’s market cap.  Related Reading: Ethereum Founder Dumps Billions In These Meme Coins, Is This A Repeat Of Shiba Inu In 2021? Additionally, the number of accumulator addresses, which are wallets that have made multiple purchases of the leading cryptocurrency without selling, has reached an all-time high of 298,000 BTC. Conversely, the Inter-Exchange Flow Pulse (IFP), which tracks Bitcoin flows between spot and derivatives exchanges, is currently trending downward—an indicator commonly associated with bearish market conditions.  Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin (BTC) showed resilience over the last weekend as it defended the crucial $108,000 support level amid heightened whale selling on leading crypto exchanges around the world, including Binance. Bitcoin Survives September Whale Selling Pressure According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Arab Chain, September was marked by clear fluctuations between Bitcoin’s attempts to rally and exposure to selling pressure by whales and long-term holders. Binance trading volume data confirms this. Related Reading: Bitcoin Faces Bearish Pressure As Exchange Inflows Stay Elevated – Will BTC Lose $112,000 Support? Arab Chain highlighted Binance’s Exchange Inflow Coins Days Destroyed (CDD) indicator, which showed significant volatility throughout September. The indicator recorded multiple peaks at various points during the month, especially during mid-September. For the uninitiated, the Exchange CDD indicator tracks the movement of older, long-held Bitcoin when it flows into exchanges, weighting transactions by the age of the coins being spent. Spikes in this indicator signal that long-term holders or whales are moving coins with the intent to sell, which can create selling pressure. It is worth noting that despite the high peaks hit in September, the Exchange CDD indicator did not reach the extreme levels that it did in the previous months. However, the repeated spikes seen in September indicate inflows from older wallets into Binance. The CryptoQuant analyst stated that the multiple spikes in the Exchange CDD indicator reflect a state of caution among long-term investors. Some of these investors tried to test the market by moving their BTC to the exchange, without turning it into a mass sell-off event. Another point worth emphasizing is that the Exchange CDD spikes often coincided with price pullbacks in BTC, reinforcing the hypothesis that these flows likely represent short-term selling pressure. The analyst added: However, these pressures did not lead to a breakdown of key support levels around $108K, indicating the presence of corresponding buying liquidity that absorbed these moves. In conclusion, although some long-term investors showed willingness to take some profits, the absence of large waves of sell-offs shows that they have not fully lost confidence in the market yet. Similarly, Bitcoin’s price remaining above $108,000 despite repeated selling pressure shows that the market still possesses the capacity to absorb BTC inflows, confirming the robust underlying demand for the top digital asset. What Does October Hold For BTC? In a separate CryptoQuant post, analyst crypto sunmoon remarked that past data suggests that a surge in taker buy orders has often preceded major Bitcoin bull runs. However, currently, there are no signs of any increase in taker buy orders. Related Reading: Bitcoin Funding Dynamics Shift As Binance Premium Signals Aggressive Longs The analyst added that even if BTC witnesses some price increase, it is unlikely to record the same magnitude of gains as before. That said, improving Bitcoin network fundamentals offers some hope to the bulls. For instance, Bitcoin network transactions are once again approaching the important 600,000 transactions threshold, which could spark bullish momentum for the digital asset. At press time, BTC trades at $113,200, down 0.6% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant and TradingView.com

Bitcoin price started a recovery wave and traded above $114,200. BTC is now consolidating gains and facing hurdles near $114,750. Bitcoin started a fresh recovery wave above the $114,000 zone. The price is trading above $114,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a short-term bullish trend line forming with support at $113,300 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might continue to move up if it clears the $114,750 zone. Bitcoin Price Eyes Upside Break Bitcoin price managed to stay above the $112,000 zone and started a recovery wave. BTC settled above the $113,200 resistance zone to start the current move. The bulls were able to pump the price above the $114,000 and $114,200 levels. The bulls even cleared the $114,500 level. A high was formed at $114,770 and the price is now consolidating gains. There was a minor decline below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $108,677 swing low to the $114,771 high. Bitcoin is now trading above $114,200 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. Besides, there is a short-term bullish trend line forming with support at $113,300 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. Immediate resistance on the upside is near the $114,750 level. The first key resistance is near the $115,000 level. The next resistance could be $115,500. A close above the $115,500 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $116,500 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $117,500 level. The next barrier for the bulls could be $118,00. Another Drop In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $114,750 resistance zone, it could start a fresh decline. Immediate support is near the $113,300 level and the trend line. The first major support is near the $112,200 level. The next support is now near the $111,750 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $111,000 support in the near term. The main support sits at $110,500, below which BTC might struggle to recover in the short term. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now gaining pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $113,300, followed by $112,200. Major Resistance Levels – $114,750 and $115,000.

Bitcoin has shown signs of resilience after setting a fresh low near $108,000, staging a recovery that lifted the price back above the $113,000 level. Bulls now try to reclaim the $115,000 level, but momentum weakens as sellers push back. The recovery eased pressure in the short term, yet uncertainty builds while the market tracks major macro risks. Related Reading: Bitcoin Retail Demand Retreats: 30D Change Falls To Lowest Level Since July The biggest concern comes from Washington, where the threat of a US government shutdown looms large. Traders expect volatility if policymakers fail to strike a deal, and risk assets like Bitcoin often react sharply to such headlines. As the deadline approaches, investors grow cautious and price action reflects that tension. Amid this backdrop, top analyst Maartunn flagged a notable Bitcoin Alert on Bybit. The Taker Buy/Sell Ratio surged to unusually high levels, signaling that traders opened aggressive long positions. Such spikes often reveal strong bullish conviction, but they can also create instability if those positions unwind. Bybit Data Shows Surge in Long Positions Analyst Maartunn highlighted a striking development in Bitcoin’s market structure: the Taker Buy/Sell Ratio on Bybit has surged to 24.26, marking the highest level since September. This unusual spike signals that traders have opened an aggressive wave of long positions, a move often interpreted as a strong bullish signal. According to Maartunn, this type of imbalance reflects a market where buy orders significantly outweigh sell orders, pointing to a sudden shift in sentiment. When the ratio reaches such extremes, it suggests that a large amount of fresh capital is entering through the long side of the order book. This indicates confidence among traders that Bitcoin’s rebound above $113,000 may have further room to expand if momentum holds. However, the implications are not one-sided. A surge in long positioning can add fuel to rallies, but it can also increase vulnerability if price action turns against overleveraged traders. In such cases, the market risks a cascade of liquidations, which can accelerate downward moves just as quickly as they amplify upward momentum. The coming days will be critical as Bitcoin tests the $115,000 resistance zone. A decisive breakout could validate the bullish positioning and pave the way toward $117,500. On the other hand, failure to push higher may trigger profit-taking or liquidations, pulling the price back toward $110,000. Related Reading: Ethereum Outflows Hit Spot Exchanges Again: Bullish Signal Or Neutral Flows? Bitcoin Holds Key Support But Faces Strong Barrier Bitcoin trades near $113,100 after bouncing from lows around $109,200, showing resilience in the face of recent selling pressure. On the 3-day chart, the price sits between critical levels: support from the 50-period moving average (blue) and resistance at the $117,500 zone, highlighted in yellow. This range has defined Bitcoin’s behavior for several weeks, and the market continues to consolidate within it. The broader structure reveals a series of lower highs since the July peak near $125,000, suggesting waning momentum in the medium term. However, the long-term trend remains intact, with the 100-period (green) and 200-period (red) moving averages trending upward and providing a strong base around $100,000 and $80,000 respectively. Related Reading: Ethereum OI Suffers Its Biggest Cleanup Since Early 2024 – Details A decisive break above $117,500 would invalidate the current lower-high structure and open the door for a retest of $120,000 and beyond. Conversely, failure to hold above $110,000 could drag Bitcoin lower, exposing the $105,000 region and testing investor confidence. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

As he reflects on the choices he made in the past and how they have shaped his understanding of Bitcoin today, an early Bitcoin investor, Jeff Ross, is opening up about his journey in the crypto market and sharing a lesson he says still stays with him. After years of watching Bitcoin grow and evolve, he says one decision still stands out as his biggest mistake.  Jeff Ross Admits His Biggest Bitcoin Mistake Jeff Ross says his biggest mistake was selling all his Bitcoin years ago. Instead of holding Bitcoin, he decided to move it into a substantial and diversified basket of altcoins. He believed coins like Litecoin would rise and even called it the “silver to Bitcoin’s gold.”  Related Reading: XRP Price May Not See An Explosive Rally In October As Expected, Here’s Why At that time, Ross thought spreading his bets was the wise choice. Looking back now, that choice clearly proves to be the wrong move. He explains that giving up his Bitcoin for other coins has remained his biggest regret after years in the market. The memory of this mistake remains alive, and today Ross speaks openly about it so that others do not fall into the same trap. Ross says it was not until 2020 that he fully understood what Bitcoin meant. Before then, he had seen the cryptocurrency only as a means to trade and make quick gains.  Lessons Ross Shares With Bitcoiners Today Now, Jeff Ross uses his experience to send a message to other Bitcoiners. At first glance, fiat looks safe because it is widely accepted and backed by governments. However, Ross warns that the same money is quietly losing value every year due to inflation. What feels stable on the surface is, in reality, the “ultimate wealth-extracting unit,” a system that slowly drains people’s savings without them even noticing. Related Reading: Pundit Says Bitcoin Is Still In A Bull Market Despite Price Crash; Here’s Why According to Ross, Bitcoin fights this by protecting purchasing power and moving it away from fiat money. Moving value into this network, in his view, is the real strength of Bitcoin and the reason it stands apart from the countless digital tokens that come and go. Unlike fiat money, which loses purchasing power over time, Bitcoin removes value from government-backed currency and locks it into a transparent system where it remains safe and immutable. For Ross, Bitcoin could represent freedom, fairness, and the separation of money from state control. His personal story adds weight to these ideas and serves as a clear warning for other investors. By sharing how easily he once got caught up in the excitement of altcoins, Ross illustrates the temptation of short-term gains, as well as the often costly consequences that follow over time. The lesson he draws is that holding Bitcoin could be far more rewarding than chasing quick wins in today’s volatile markets.  Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com

Bitcoin is once again trading at a critical juncture after a sharp Monday rally pushed the price above the $114,000 level. The surge comes as bulls attempt to counteract days of persistent selling pressure, with momentum beginning to tilt back in their favor. This move marks a potential turning point in the market, signaling that investors are testing whether Bitcoin can hold above this key threshold and establish it as a new base for higher gains. Related Reading: Bitcoin Retail Demand Retreats: 30D Change Falls To Lowest Level Since July Supporting this view, fresh on-chain data from CryptoQuant highlights a notable development in short-term holder behavior. The Short-Term Holder Spent Output Profit Ratio (STH SOPR) has reset to 1, a crucial equilibrium level. At this point, the average sale by short-term holders is occurring at their cost basis, suggesting neither widespread profit-taking nor capitulation. Instead, the market is balanced, with buyers and sellers meeting in a zone of neutrality. This equilibrium often precedes decisive market moves. A sustained push higher could validate the bulls’ efforts to regain control, while failure to hold above $114,000 risks opening the door to renewed downward pressure. Traders and analysts alike are watching closely, as Bitcoin’s next move could define the tone for the weeks ahead. SOPR Signals Market Equilibrium Top analyst Axel Adler highlighted the importance of the Short-Term Holder Spent Output Profit Ratio (STH SOPR) in assessing Bitcoin’s current market state. According to Adler, when this metric hovers around 1, momentum tends to slow because of the delicate balance between buyers and sellers. Any push above the 1 threshold quickly shifts yesterday’s breakeven holders into profitable territory. As a result, many short-term investors seize the opportunity to sell, which injects additional selling pressure into the market and dampens the strength of upward moves. Adler explained that this dynamic often creates a self-limiting environment for rallies. As Bitcoin rises, more short-term holders lock in gains, fueling waves of profit-taking that prevent the price from sustaining higher levels. This cyclical pattern highlights why the 1.0 mark on SOPR is often referred to as an “equilibrium” zone: it represents the point where the market resets, and short-term participants face little incentive to either capitulate or aggressively accumulate. For the broader trend to truly accelerate, Adler emphasized the need for a decisive breakout above this equilibrium. Specifically, he noted that a consistent rise in SOPR above 1.002 for several consecutive days would signal a shift in sentiment. Such a development would indicate that sellers are no longer overwhelming the market with profit-taking, allowing buying momentum to build and sustain higher price levels. Until then, Bitcoin remains at risk of choppy, range-bound action, with rallies vulnerable to short-term selling pressure. This perspective underscores the importance of closely tracking SOPR in the coming sessions. While the recent move above $114,000 has revived bullish hopes, the data suggests that without a clear breakout in this critical metric, Bitcoin may struggle to generate lasting momentum. Related Reading: Ethereum Outflows Hit Spot Exchanges Again: Bullish Signal Or Neutral Flows? Bitcoin Tests Resistance as Bulls Eye $117,500 Bitcoin is currently trading around $113,400 after briefly climbing above $114,800 earlier in the session. The chart shows that the $117,500 level, marked in yellow, remains a critical resistance zone that has capped multiple rallies since mid-August. Bulls will need a decisive close above this area to confirm renewed upside momentum. The 50-day moving average (blue) is now acting as near-term resistance, while the 100-day moving average (green) is serving as support. The price recently bounced from this zone, suggesting buyers are attempting to re-establish control. However, the wider structure still reflects consolidation, with BTC trapped between the $110,000 support region and the $117,500 ceiling. Related Reading: Ethereum OI Suffers Its Biggest Cleanup Since Early 2024 – Details The 200-day moving average (red), currently trending around $102,500, remains far below spot price and continues to provide a strong base for the longer-term trend. Until BTC clears the $117,500 barrier, rallies risk fading into selling pressure, keeping price action choppy. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

As the Bitcoin price has staged a rebound coming out of the weekend, the momentum has begun to skew bullish again, and expectations remain that the price will wax higher from here. Some predictions have placed the digital asset’s price lower. However, there are some who expect this to be the start of the next upward wave for Bitcoin. One of those is crypto analyst Arman Shabann, who shared an analysis of the Bitcoin price that seems to be playing out quite well. Why The Bitcoin Price Is Headed For Higher Levels In the analysis, Arman explained the current Bitcoin price trajectory as being bullish, especially with the formation of a clear ascending channel. The digital asset had been moving within this ascending channel, and this is seen in the recent upward push that the Bitcoin price went on. Related Reading: XRP Price Is About To Close A 3M Candle Above This Major Region, Here’s What It Means For Price So far, the cryptocurrency looks to be moving according to plan, after bouncing off support between $108,000 and $109,000. After this bounce, the analyst believes that the Dogecoin price has now entered what is known as a natural correction phase. At this level, the Bitcoin price is still trending along the midline, and this is where the next move could be determined. Now, there is still the possibility that the price continues to trend down and retests the support area just above the $105,000 region, as shown in the chart. However, in this case, the Bitcoin price would be preparing for another bounce if this level holds. Additionally, the analyst points out that this would be an ideal entry point if the price were to actually reach this level, given that it’s expected to actually rebound from this point. Related Reading: Dogecoin Price Skirts Potential Demand Zone, What Happens If It Hits Right? For the bullish scenario, the Bitcoin price does need to hold the upper boundary of the channel to continue its uptrend. Once bulls take control, then the price is likely to continue upward, with the analyst predicting an over 30% move. Such a move would put the Bitcoin price as high as $156,000 before the rally is over. On the other hand, the bears still have the opportunity to actually reclaim control of the digital asset from here. This lies in breaking below the support level and shifting the momentum back into the negative territory. If the support at $105,000 does break, then the next possible target is the dynamic support just above the $100,000 area. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com

Data shows the Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index has retreated into the neutral territory as the BTC price has made recovery back above $114,000. Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index Is Exactly In The Balance Right Now The “Fear & Greed Index” refers to an indicator created by Alternative that measures the average sentiment present among traders in the Bitcoin and wider cryptocurrency markets. Related Reading: XRP Bounce Incoming? Analyst Targets $3–$3.15 After Support Holds The index uses the data of the following five factors to determine the investor mentality: volatility, trading volume, market cap dominance, social media sentiment, and Google Trends. The metric represents the sentiment as a score lying between zero and hundred, where all values above 53 correspond to a sentiment of greed and those below 47 to one of fear. Its value being between these two thresholds implies a net neutral mentality. Besides these three regions, there are also two “extreme” zones called the extreme fear (below 25) and extreme greed (above 75). Historically, these two regions have held significance for Bitcoin and other digital assets, as tops and bottoms have occurred while the investors have held these sentiments. The relationship has been an inverse one, however, meaning extreme fear has been where bottoms have taken place, while extreme greed has facilitated top formations. Now, here is how the sentiment in the cryptocurrency sector is like at the moment, according to the Fear & Greed Index: As displayed above, the Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index has a value of 50 right now, which suggests the average trader sentiment is exactly in the balance. This is a change from how it was in the last few days, when the investors were fearful. From the chart, it’s visible that the indicator fell to a low of 28 just a few days ago, implying investor sentiment was deep in the fear zone, just shy from turning into extreme fear. The fearful mentality was a result of the crash in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. Related Reading: Crypto Suffers Nearly $1 Billion In Liquidations As Bitcoin Extends Decline Interestingly, since this peak in fear, BTC has regained footing and made some recovery. This could be an indication that the contrary effect of crowd sentiment may have once again come into play, despite the index not quite reaching extreme fear. With the market rebound, sentiment has quickly improved. But with it still being at neutral levels, the crowd is uncertain about where the asset would head next. It now remains to be seen how the investors will respond if the price recovery continues in the coming days. BTC Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin is floating around $114,300, up more than 3% over the last seven days. Featured image from Dall-E, Alternative.me, chart from TradingView.com

As Bitcoin (BTC) continues to trade in the low $110,000 range, a key on-chain indicator has flipped bullish, show signs of an upcoming price rally that could propel the top digital asset to new all-time highs (ATH) in the near term.  Bitcoin’s 600,000 Transactions Threshold Takes Center Stage According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Ibrahim Cosar, an important correlation between BTC price and the total number of transactions over time stands out.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Cycle Confluence Hints No Bottom Before October – What This Means The analyst shared the following chart to highlight the relationship between Bitcoin’s price and the total number of transactions. Notably, whenever the total transaction count surges above the 600,000 level – or even approaches it – BTC’s price tends to initiate an upward move. The above chart shows three previous instances in 2025 when BTC’s total transaction count climbed beyond 600,000, with an ensuing price appreciation. In May, there was a sharp price increase shortly following Bitcoin’s transaction count jump. Similar combinations of transaction count increase and price action surge were witnessed in August and early September. The CryptoQuant analyst remarked that this pattern has become particularly evident since Q4 2024. Cosar added: I’ve been studying on-chain data for a long time, but it’s rare to see such a clear pattern. The 600K transaction threshold seems to act almost like a signal that triggers Bitcoin’s “price engine.” This is my personal discovery, and the chart confirms it quite clearly. The analyst stated that rising transaction activity on the network is a leading indicator of Bitcoin’s underlying usage and demand. As the number of transactions on the Bitcoin network rises, the network becomes more vibrant and active. The growing usage of the Bitcoin network creates a natural buying pressure on Bitcoin’s price, adding fuel to the cryptocurrency’s bullish momentum. According to Cosar, the 600,000 transaction level is an “activity explosion” threshold that leads to a “price explosion.” That said, the analyst cautioned that no single factor can completely influence BTC’s price, as it is dependent on a mix of various factors, including macroeconomic backdrop, regulations, and trading activity. Still, the significance of an on-chain indicator with such a strong correlation with BTC’s price should not be ignored. If the total transaction count rises past the 600,000 level again, expect BTC to hit a new record high. Will BTC Fall Below $100,000? Bitcoin’s inability to decisively break through its current ATH of $124,128, recorded on August 14, has bulls worried about the digital asset’s fading momentum. The cryptocurrency is currently at its most oversold level since April 2025. Related Reading: Bitcoin Tipped To Peak In 2026 – Here’s Why From a technical standpoint, BTC has formed a bearish evening star pattern on the weekly chart, raising the possibilities of a price dip below $100,000. At press time, BTC trades at $114,117, up 3.8% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant and TradingView.com

The Bitcoin price opened Monday with a slight recovery, reclaiming the $113,000 mark after a dip that brought the price down to $109,000—a level that has proven to be significant support for the top cryptocurrency. Despite this temporary bounce, one expert warns of further challenges ahead for bullish investors. Warns Of Further Bitcoin Price Drops  In a recent post on social media platform X (formerly Twitter), Doctor Profit expressed confidence in his market analysis, indicating that BTC is on track to reach his projected target range between $90,000 to $94,000, meaning an additional 20% drop for the Bitcoin price.  He posited that the cryptocurrency is poised to move toward a new short-term downside target at approximately $106,000. According to his assessment, a minor bounce in this area could attract additional liquidity before the market potentially moves lower. Related Reading: Everyone’s Wrong About XRP: Here’s Why, Says Top Analyst Doctor Profit also paints a bleak picture of the broader economic landscape, highlighting troubling signs such as Japan’s 10-Year Bond Yield reaching its highest level since the Global Financial Crisis.  He notes that the repo-to-reserves ratio is approaching 99%, a metric that hints at funding stress and margin strain, leading to forced selling. While he acknowledges that a surge in liquidity from central banks could provide a bullish pivot, he remains skeptical given the current market conditions. The analyst also referenced a range of indicators and charts he has shared since August, emphasizing that many key market charts, including the Dow Jones, are at significant resistance levels, some of which have formed over a century.  He pointed out the record levels of alleged insider selling witnessed in recent weeks, alongside a surge in retail investor inflows, suggesting a disconnect between retail enthusiasm and the actions of larger players in the market. October Could Signal Recovery  In contrast to Doctor Profit’s cautious stance, market expert Timothy Peterson offers a more optimistic outlook for the Bitcoin price trajectory in the months to come. Peterson believes that October could bring a positive shift for Bitcoin, drawing on historical trends and current market dynamics.  Related Reading: Ethereum Outflows Hit Spot Exchanges Again: Bullish Signal Or Neutral Flows? As recently reported by NewsBTC, Peterson has outlined two potential bullish scenarios that he believes remain for the cryptocurrency: one forecasting a rise to as high as $240,000, while another more conservative estimate suggests a surge to $160,000. As the month of September draws to a close, Doctor Profit’s prediction that Bitcoin would trade below $100,000 could still play out. With only a 9% decline needed to breach the $100,000 threshold, the outlook remains uncertain. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 

Bitcoin price started a recovery wave and traded above $114,000. BTC is trading above $114,000 and facing hurdles near $115,000. Bitcoin started a fresh recovery wave above the $113,500 zone. The price is trading above $114,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at $112,200 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might continue to move up if it clears the $115,000 zone. Bitcoin Price Gains Traction Bitcoin price managed to stay above the $110,500 zone and started a recovery wave. BTC settled above the $112,500 resistance zone to start the current move. The bulls were able to pump the price above the $113,500 and $114,000 levels. Besides, there was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at $112,200 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. The bulls even cleared the $114,000 level. A high was formed at $114,771 and the price is now consolidating gains above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $108,677 swing low to the $114,771 high. Bitcoin is now trading above $114,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. Immediate resistance on the upside is near the $114,750 level. The first key resistance is near the $115,000 level. The next resistance could be $115,500. A close above the $115,500 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $116,500 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $117,500 level. The next barrier for the bulls could be $118,00. Another Drop In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $115,000 resistance zone, it could start a fresh decline. Immediate support is near the $113,500 level. The first major support is near the $112,500 level. The next support is now near the $111,750 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $111,200 support in the near term. The main support sits at $110,500, below which BTC might struggle to recover in the short term. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now gaining pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $113,500, followed by $112,500. Major Resistance Levels – $114,750 and $115,000.

Michael Saylor, the executive chairman of MicroStrategy, which recently rebranded to Strategy, has once again drawn attention to the company’s aggressive Bitcoin acquisition strategy by reviving and actively utilizing the public BTC Tracker. What Is The Bitcoin Tracker And Why Does It Matter Michael Saylor has once again released the Strategy Bitcoin tracker, a chart that the market has come to watch closely. According to the X post, the latest buy brings Strategy’s total Bitcoin treasury holdings to 639,835 BTC, which is approximately $70.01 billion. Related Reading: Michael Saylor Says Bitcoin Is Not Just An Asset; What Is It Then? CryptosRus has stated that the familiar orange dots continue their steady climb upward and to the right, a simple yet powerful indicator hinting that additional BTC buys may be on deck. Every time this chart comes out, the market leans in. Saylor’s conviction has transcended simple corporate policy to become a genuine market signal. An analyst known as BitBull has confirmed a crucial turning point for the Bitcoin market, highlighting that BTC Open Interest has fallen to its lowest level in a month, effectively wiping out all the leverage that had built up during September. BitBull views this deleveraging event as a positive and healthy development for the market. By purging excessive leverage, the market is now considered to be in a healthier state, which could set the stage for a reversal upward in BTC price. Why The Current Bitcoin Run Is Only The Beginning Market analyst Zynx has offered insights into the BTC market and future price targets, pointing out that the bull market is still in its early stages and has significant room to run. He stated that BTC needs to cross $151,000 just to equal its all-time high in Gold, which suggests a specific metric where BTC’s price, relative to the price of an ounce of gold, would match its previous peak ratio.   Related Reading: Bitcoin Daily RSI At Most Oversold Level Since April — Time To Buy? Historically, every cycle since the inception, BTC has more than doubled its price in Gold at a minimum, usually much more than that. However, the $300,000 target is looking increasingly realistic. While it is impossible to give a time frame, if history repeats, crossing the $151,000 all-time high within the next six months is expected. Furthermore, what makes this cycle fascinating is the macro overlay. Some analysts, such as EneaDenkt and others, are using the US Business Cycle Institute for Supply Management (ISM) as a key indicator for predicting the timing when BTC will peak. Zynx concluded by acknowledging that this is definitely a very interesting time for the BTC rally, and this cycle will definitely be like no other. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

Bitcoin has managed to reclaim the $110,000 level, but momentum remains fragile as the market shows early signs of exhaustion. After recent volatility, BTC’s inability to extend gains higher has fueled speculation that a deeper correction may be in play. Traders are closely watching whether Bitcoin can hold above this critical threshold or if selling pressure will drag it lower in the coming sessions. Related Reading: Ethereum OI Suffers Its Biggest Cleanup Since Early 2024 – Details Despite the cautious outlook, some analysts view the current consolidation as a healthy reset in a broader bullish cycle. They argue that periods of cooling price action often serve as foundations for more sustainable rallies, reducing leverage and strengthening long-term support levels. Adding to this cautious optimism, top analyst Maartunn shared fresh data showing that retail demand is backing off. According to his findings, the 30-day Retail Demand Change has dropped to -5%, marking its lowest level since July. This trend suggests smaller investors are stepping aside, leaving price direction increasingly in the hands of larger players and institutions. Retail Capitulation And Macro Risks The current retreat in retail demand could carry a bullish undertone for Bitcoin. Historically, retail investors often act as a contrarian signal—buying aggressively near cycle tops and capitulating near market bottoms. With the 30-day Retail Demand Change dropping, smaller investors appear to be stepping aside just as Bitcoin consolidates above the $110,000 level. This reduction in retail activity may be a sign that the market is flushing out weaker hands, setting the stage for stronger accumulation by institutions and high-conviction holders. At the same time, broader macroeconomic risks add complexity to the picture. The looming threat of a US government shutdown is stirring concerns across risk assets, as investors weigh potential impacts on liquidity, market confidence, and the trajectory of Federal Reserve policy. Historically, periods of political gridlock and fiscal uncertainty tend to increase volatility, with Bitcoin often caught in the crosscurrents. However, uncertainty does not always translate into downside. In some cases, Bitcoin has benefited from macro turbulence as investors seek alternative assets outside of traditional financial systems. If retail investors remain on the sidelines while larger players accumulate, this dynamic could create a launchpad for a new bullish phase once macro conditions stabilize. Related Reading: MrBeast Enters The Aster Game: $1M Buy Signals Growing Interest Bitcoin Price Dynamics: Struggling At $112K Bitcoin is currently trading around $112,141, showing signs of resilience after its recent dip below the $110,000 level. The chart reflects a short-term recovery, but BTC is still facing strong resistance from the 50-day and 100-day moving averages, both positioned slightly above the current price zone. These averages have acted as dynamic barriers in recent weeks, capping upward momentum and reinforcing the market’s corrective phase. The rejection from the $123,217 resistance level, marked earlier in September, highlights the ongoing difficulty for bulls to sustain rallies. Since then, the structure has shifted into a lower-high formation, signaling fading momentum. Despite the bounce, the failure to reclaim and hold above the $114,000–$115,000 zone could expose BTC to further downside risk, with the 200-day moving average near $105,000 serving as the next critical support. Related Reading: Ethereum Outflows Hit Spot Exchanges Again: Bullish Signal Or Neutral Flows? For now, Bitcoin’s short-term outlook remains cautious: bulls need a decisive break above $115,000 to regain momentum, while bears may target deeper retracements if the $110,000 floor gives way again. The coming sessions will be crucial in determining whether this rebound is sustainable or just another pause in the correction. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

Bitcoin price found support near $108,680 and started a recovery wave. BTC is trading above $111,000 and facing hurdles near $112,500. Bitcoin started a fresh recovery wave above the $110,500 zone. The price is trading above $110,500 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There was a break above a connecting bearish trend line with resistance at $109,600 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might continue to move up if it clears the $112,500 zone. Bitcoin Price Starts Recovery Bitcoin price managed to stay above the $108,500 zone and started a recovery wave. BTC settled above the $109,500 resistance zone to start the current move. There was a clear move above the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward wave from the $113,940 swing high to the $108,680 low. Besides, there was a break above a connecting bearish trend line with resistance at $109,600 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. The bulls even pushed the price above $112,000 before the bears appeared. Bitcoin is now trading above $111,500 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. Immediate resistance on the upside is near the $112,400 level. The first key resistance is near the $112,500 level and another trend line. The next resistance could be $113,700 or the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the downward wave from the $113,940 swing high to the $108,680 low. A close above the $112,700 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $113,500 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $114,500 level. The next barrier for the bulls could be $115,00. Another Drop In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $112,500 resistance zone, it could start a fresh decline. Immediate support is near the $111,300 level. The first major support is near the $110,500 level. The next support is now near the $109,500 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $108,800 support in the near term. The main support sits at $107,500, below which BTC might struggle to recover in the short term. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now gaining pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $111,300, followed by $110,500. Major Resistance Levels – $112,500 and $112,700.