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As the Bitcoin price exhibits signs of recovery, climbing back above $90,000, the cryptocurrency community finds itself sharply divided. Some analysts believe this movement is merely a relief rally preceding another downturn, while others maintain that a bull market is still in play despite a recent 30% correction. Current Data Suggests No Cycle Top Market analyst OxChain went on social media platform X (formerly Twitter), focusing on on-chain data to shed light on the current market dynamics and what investors might expect in the near future. He argues that the recent downturn does not exhibit characteristics typical of a cycle top.  In October, Bitcoin reached the mid-$120,000 range before experiencing a subsequent decline of approximately 35%. Notably, this drop transpired without the hype, fervor, or speculation that usually accompany a market peak. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Climbs Back To $91,000: Is The Decline Over? Key Levels To Watch The loss of nearly $1 trillion in market value underscores the underlying challenges. As Ethereum (ETH) and mid-cap cryptocurrencies simultaneously declined, there wasn’t an evident frenzy of speculation driving the downturn. Instead, OxChain attributes the decline primarily to a drop in demand.  A slowdown in stablecoin creation and diminished inflows from exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have led to reduced buying activity. Derivatives traders have also stepped back, with funding conditions softening and open interest unwinding. With market expectations recently leaning toward a potential interest rate cut in December, many buyers have opted to remain on the sidelines, preferring not to chase riskier assets. This hesitancy has led to a “fragile liquidity environment,” the analyst asserted.  OxChain notes that even medium-sized orders can cause price changes of several percentage points due to the scarcity of resting bids. An examination of order book snapshots reveals that market depth has been waning during active trading periods, leading to a scenario where the market appears to be “running on fumes.” Bitcoin Market Struggles Without Conviction The situation in the derivatives market further supports this cautious outlook. Volatility has risen, with traders now leaning toward protective measures rather than building long positions.  Interestingly, interest in futures contracts has decreased even amid small relief rallies, indicating that many traders are hesitant to take on larger positions. OxChain highlights a crucial trend: without leveraged conviction, market trends often struggle to gain momentum. On-chain data shows a more cautious sentiment among investors rather than outright fear.  While the coin days destroyed (CDD) metric has risen due to older coins moving, much of the long-held Bitcoin remains with patient holders who are not in a rush to sell. Related Reading: Metaplanet In Jeopardy: Bitcoin Needs To Surpass $108,000 By December 18 To Prevent New Crisis Furthermore, the adjusted spent output profit ratio (aSOPR), hovering near 1, signals that there is neither extensive profit-taking nor widespread panic selling taking place.  The analyst identified that the majority of selling activity has come from mid-term holders, contributing to a muted and indecisive market flow.  Additionally, institutional investors remained relatively inactive throughout November. Significant outflows were reported in both Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs, which further contributed to the current state of the market. OxChain concluded his analysis by saying: The broader bullish narrative isn’t gone, but the near-term setup is fragile. Until a strong catalyst appears, expect a wandering market that drifts, chops, and tests lower levels. When writing, the leading cryptocurrency was trading just above the $91,550 level, recording a 4% price recovery in the 24-hour time frame.  Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 

Bitcoin is showing new signs of strength after its sharp decline, with buyers stepping back in and momentum shifting upward. With price reclaiming key support levels, the path toward the major $98,000 imbalance zone is now back on the table, but bulls still need to prove this rebound has real conviction. FVG Filled, Bearish OB Tagged — What Comes After The Perfect Hit? Crypto analyst Crypto Patel, in a recent market update, noted that Bitcoin has now completed a key technical move by filling the Fair Value Gap (FVG) and tapping directly into the Bearish Order Block exactly as previously projected. He emphasized that traders who avoided shorting the $81,000–$85,000 region and instead positioned for the upside likely captured a clean and predictable long setup. Related Reading: Bitcoin’s New ‘Line In The Sand’ May Be $82,000, Not $56,000: Analyst With that phase now complete, the focus shifts to Bitcoin’s next major target. Patel highlights the $96,800–$98,000 FVG as the upcoming high-timeframe imbalance zone. From a broader perspective, Patel still expects Bitcoin to make a move toward the $98,000 zone before any significant corrective leg unfolds. This aligns with his macro outlook, which continues to favor a final upward sweep into that region before momentum weakens again. However, he also outlines a clear invalidation point for the bearish bias. A sustained high-timeframe close above $107,550 would negate the existing bearish market structure entirely. Such a breakout would signal the start of a new bullish phase for Bitcoin, potentially setting the stage for a fresh all-time-high trend.  Promising Bounce As BTC Defends the $90,000 Support Zone According to The Boss, Bitcoin’s latest price action is showing early signs of strength. After the sharp decline, BTC reacted firmly at the local support and managed to push back above the $90,000 level, indicating that buyers are stepping in with renewed confidence. The chart now reflects a stable support zone that has held up against downward pressure. Related Reading: Bitcoin Bear Market Confirmed? Expert Predicts Price Target Of $40,000 By Late 2026 Part of this rebound appears to be driven by improving macro sentiment. Softer expectations around Federal Reserve tightening, a rise in overall risk appetite, and a shift back toward risk-on assets are all contributing to Bitcoin’s recovery attempt.  From a technical perspective, The Boss notes that Bitcoin must continue to hold above the $90,000–$91,000 range to form a meaningful upward wave from this base. However, caution is still warranted. Without clear confirmation from momentum indicators and sustained trading volume, the current move has the potential to be limited. The possibility of a dead-cat bounce remains on the table, especially following such an aggressive sell-off. Featured image from Pngtree, chart from Tradingview.com

On-chain analytics firm Glassnode has revealed in a report how long-term Bitcoin liquidity has witnessed a sharp decline alongside the market downturn. Bitcoin Long-Term Holder Liquidity Ratio Has Plunged Recently In its latest weekly report, Glassnode has talked about how liquidity in the Bitcoin market has changed following the recent downturn. Glassnode has gauged the “liquidity” using the Realized Profit/Loss Ratio, an on-chain metric that measures the ratio between the profit and loss that BTC investors are realizing through their transactions. Related Reading: Bitcoin’s New ‘Line In The Sand’ May Be $82,000, Not $56,000: Analyst Current demand momentum can be tracked using a version of this indicator that specifically tracks the profitability of the short-term holders (STHs), investors who purchased their coins within the past 155 days. As the below chart shows, the STH Realized Profit/Loss Ratio was at relatively high levels earlier, but since early October, its value has plummeted. With a value of just 0.07, the indicator is now sitting deep inside the loss region, a sign that the recent Bitcoin buyers have overwhelmingly been capitulating at a loss. “Such overwhelming loss dominance confirms that liquidity has evaporated, especially after the heavy demand absorption seen in Q2–Q3 2025 as long-term holders increased their spending,” explained the analytics firm. The metric fell to similar lows back in Q1 2022, but so far, market weakness hasn’t been as prolonged. The report noted that if the ratio continues to be depressed, market conditions could mirror those from back then. While short-term demand momentum has collapsed, the same hasn’t been true for long-term liquidity, at least not yet. Long-term momentum can be measured using the Realized Profit/Loss Ratio of the long-term holders (LTHs), representing the more resolute section of the market (holding time greater than 155 days). From the above chart, it’s visible that the 7-day exponential moving average (EMA) of the Bitcoin LTH Realized Profit/Loss Ratio has witnessed a sharp decline as BTC has crashed. Despite the drop, however, the metric’s value is still 408, implying LTHs are realizing, on average, a profit that’s 408 times the loss. This means that the long-term liquidity is still healthy compared to Q1 2022, or even the major bottom formations from the current cycle. Glassnode warned, however, “if liquidity continues to fade and this ratio compresses toward 10x or lower, the probability of transitioning into a deeper bear market becomes difficult to ignore.” Related Reading: XRP Rebounds From Channel Bottom, Analyst Says $2.60 Could Be Next It now remains to be seen how the LTH Realized Profit/Loss will change for Bitcoin in the near future, and if liquidity will see a further squeeze. BTC Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading around $90,600, down 1.3% over the past week. Featured image from Dall-E, Glassnode.com, chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin price started a recovery wave above $90,000. BTC is now struggling to clear $92,000 and might start another decline below $90,000. Bitcoin started a recovery wave and climbed toward $92,000. The price is trading above $90,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There was a break below a short-term bullish trend line with support at $90,800 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might continue to move down if it settles below the $90,000 zone. Bitcoin Price Faces Resistance Bitcoin price managed to stay above the $88,500 level. BTC formed a base and recently started a recovery wave above the $90,000 resistance zone. The pair climbed above the $91,000 level. A high was formed at $91,878 and the price is now correcting some gains. There was a break below a short-term bullish trend line with support at $90,800 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. The pair is now approaching the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $86,299 swing low to the $91,878 high. Bitcoin is now trading above $90,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. If the bulls remain in action, the price could attempt another increase. Immediate resistance is near the $91,200 level. The first key resistance is near the $92,000 level. The next resistance could be $92,500. A close above the $92,500 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $93,750 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $94,500 level. The next barrier for the bulls could be $95,000 and $95,500. More Losses In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $92,000 resistance zone, it could start another decline. Immediate support is near the $90,500 level. The first major support is near the $89,080 level or the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $86,299 swing low to the $91,878 high. The next support is now near the $88,450 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $87,500 support in the near term. The main support sits at $86,300, below which BTC might accelerate lower in the near term. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now losing pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now below the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $89,080, followed by $88,450. Major Resistance Levels – $91,200 and $92,000.

As the market matures and the broader economic landscape shifts, Bitcoin has once again found itself at a thrilling crossroads, with the entire crypto market watching closely as momentum builds on both sides of the chart. This moment of market volatility is a profound inflection point, where the interplay of rising institutional adoption and changing global macroeconomic conditions is converging. Historical Breakout Zones Align With Price Structure Bitcoin is currently sitting at a thrilling crossroads. In an X post, an analyst known as CryptoCrewU has stated that BTC is witnessing the strongest bearish divergence in years, paired with a rare 2-week close below the 21-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) of this bull run. Related Reading: Bitcoin Retail Flees, But Sharks & Whales Quietly Growing: Data Furthermore, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently dipping into levels reminiscent of past pivotal moments in 2015, 2018, the COVID-19 pandemic, and the 2022 bottoms. Meanwhile, the Stoch RSI has yet to cross upwards, hinting at the full extent of the potential move ahead. While fear is at its peak in the market right now, history shows that buying during these market lows has consistently led to significant profits over the past 5 years. “Let data guide you, not emotions,” CryptoCrewU noted. Trader_XO highlighted that since 2015, one pattern has remained remarkably consistent in Bitcoin’s cycle. Historically, whenever breaks below the 50-week Moving Average (MA), it has often signaled a deeper move toward the 200-week MA, or even the 300-week MA. Meanwhile, BTC tends to treat the 200-week MA as a major cycle support area.  The price has only dipped below the 300-week MA once in history, and anything trading below the 200-week MA has been relatively short-lived, aligning with the best part of the cycle lows. According to Trader_XO, if the price were to revisit those lower moving average levels, and the broader market context aligns, that area would be viewed as a high-probability buying opportunity, unless this time the move is different. Market Structure Shows Early Signs Of Strength Returning Bitcoin is finally showing signs of strength again. A Full-time crypto teacher, Sykodelic, has pointed out that for the first time since the drop from $116,000, the price has broken above its previous low-time-frame (LTF) range, with a strong push above the 50 SMA.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Powers Over $90K as Buyers Suddenly Regain Control of the Trend Since the $116,000 rejection, every time BTC attempts to move into an upper range, it gets rejected and makes new lows. This time, BTC has finally pushed higher. Currently, this is simply an LTF action, but these subtle shifts are exactly what to watch out for when it comes to understanding the nature of trend reversals. A daily close above $87,000 will confirm the breakout of the trend. Sykodelic concluded that moving higher after a drop like that is intricate, and it can take time. Therefore, observe the signs and move accordingly to see how the daily close goes. Featured image from Pngtree, chart from Tradingview.com

Bitcoin has pushed back above the $90,000 level after several days of intense selling pressure, bringing a brief moment of relief to a market overwhelmed by fear and uncertainty. Despite the rebound, bulls remain under pressure as speculation of an incoming bear market continues to grow. Many investors are still digesting the sharp correction from October’s all-time high, and confidence has yet to fully return. Related Reading: Major Bitcoin LTH Sell-Off Signals Cycle Exhaustion as Supply Drops to 13.6M BTC According to top analyst Darkfost, one of the key indicators reinforcing this cautious environment is the Coinbase Premium Index, which remains negative. This metric compares Bitcoin’s price on Coinbase — the preferred exchange for US institutions and professional investors — with Binance, which is widely used by retail traders. When the index is negative, as it is now, it signals that institutional players and US whales are selling more aggressively than retail participants. Darkfost notes that part of this ongoing sell-side pressure is tied to continuous spot ETF outflows, which have weighed heavily on sentiment. Although the recent bounce above $90K shows a temporary shift in momentum, Bitcoin must demonstrate strong follow-through to prevent the market from slipping deeper into a bearish phase. Institutional Selling Pressure Begins to Ease Darkfost explains that since the peak in panic selling on November 21, institutional and US-based selling pressure has noticeably cooled off. During that period, the Coinbase Premium Index showed a sharp dive into negative territory, signaling that professional actors were offloading Bitcoin far more aggressively than retail participants. This imbalance amplified the market’s decline, helping push BTC toward its recent lows. However, over the past several days, the intensity of this selling has started to fade. While the Coinbase Premium Index remains negative — meaning institutions are still net sellers — the depth of that negativity has significantly softened. Darkfost notes that although the metric has not yet flipped into positive territory, the trend is improving. If this continues, it could give the market some much-needed breathing room and potentially stabilize price action. Still, analysts remain cautious. The next few sessions will be critical, as Bitcoin needs to demonstrate that this easing in sell pressure can translate into sustained demand. A decisive move — either reclaiming higher levels or breaking down again — appears imminent. As institutional activity continues to shift, the market may soon reveal whether this was only a temporary relief bounce or the start of a larger recovery. Related Reading: Ethereum ICO Whale Sells 20,000 ETH ($58M), Raising Questions Over Market Timing Bitcoin Attempts Recovery But Faces Key Resistance Levels Bitcoin is showing its first meaningful recovery attempt after the steep decline that dragged price from the $126,000 all-time high down to the $80,000 zone. On the 3-day chart, BTC has bounced sharply from the 200-day moving average (red line), a level that historically acts as a major dynamic support during deep corrections. This rebound pushed price back toward the $91,000 area, but momentum remains fragile. The chart shows BTC trading below both the 50-day and 100-day moving averages, which have now turned downward—an indication of short-term trend weakness. Until the price reclaims these moving averages, particularly the 100-day near $103,000, the broader structure remains vulnerable to further downside. Related Reading: XRP OI Collapses to Lowest Level Since Nov 2024: Binance Data Shows Liquidity Is Fading Volume during the sell-off was substantially higher than during the bounce, suggesting that sellers were more aggressive than buyers. This imbalance highlights that the recent uptick may be more of a reactionary relief move than a confirmed reversal. Still, the rejection wicks below $85,000 show clear buyer interest at lower levels. If BTC can maintain this higher low structure and continue closing above the 200-day MA, bullish momentum could gradually rebuild. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com

The Bitcoin price appears to be entering a new recovery phase, as the leading cryptocurrency recaptured the $91,000 level after falling by more than 30% from all-time highs last Friday, tumbling to an 8-month low of $80,000. Critical Bitcoin Price Range Technical analyst Daan Crypto Trades highlighted on social media site X (formerly Twitter) on Wednesday that the critical region for investors to monitor right now is between the $89,000 and $91,000 range.  He observed that this price level acted as support in late 2024 and early 2025 before becoming a point of resistance during President Donald Trump’s recent tariff negotiations with the world’s top economies, including China.  Related Reading: Has The Bitcoin Price Hit Its Bottom? Key On-Chain Data Signals Potential Rebound Ahead After breaking out of this zone almost exactly one year ago, the Bitcoin price reached new highs of $109,000 in January, which held until a new uptrend in May of this year resulted in BTC reaching $112,000.  Daan emphasizes that a strong consolidation above these levels could pave the way for a rally toward the $106,000 to $108,000 range. Conversely, if Bitcoin falls back below these levels, it could revisit last week’s low of $80,000, which he identifies as the nearest support. Bullish Sentiments Amid Caution Another analyst, BitcoinVector, echoed Daan’s bullish sentiment but cautioned that the market remains in a high-risk environment and that the current momentum has yet to strengthen significantly.  According to BitcoinVector, steady momentum is required for Bitcoin to break out of the compression pattern that has formed since its all-time high.  He laid out the bullish path: first, the Bitcoin price must close within the $89,000 to $90,000 zone, followed by consolidation above this area, and finally, a breakout through the $93,500 to $95,000 compression band. For this recovery to gain traction, BitcoinVector stressed the importance of a “Risk-Off Signal,” indicating that buyers must begin to overpower sellers while generating momentum. Without such momentum, each upward movement would merely be a tactical reaction rather than indicative of a structural recovery. Prolonged Bear Market Ahead?  Market analyst Skew provided additional insights, noting that the four-hour chart for Bitcoin appears more constructive for bulls. He pointed to several indicators suggesting upward momentum, including the price being above the four-hour 50 EMA, the RSI remaining above 50, and the Stochastic RSI trending higher.  Skew identifies the $88,000 mark as a crucial “line in the sand,” arguing that a drop below this level would signal weakness and a failed attempt to gain momentum. Related Reading: Tether Faces Downgrade By S&P Global Amid Concerns Over Disclosure And Assets Holdings Despite the cautious optimism from some analysts, others, like Jacob King, offer a starkly different perspective. He argues that given the Bitcoin price decline from its all-time high in October, it has never experienced such a fall followed by a sustained bull market.  According to King, Bitcoin is now in a bear market that may persist for years, poised to affect the fortunes of countless investors, particularly those heavily leveraged. As of this writing, the Bitcoin price stands at $91,390, marking a 4% recovery within the last 24 hours. This places the cryptocurrency 27% below its all-time high.  Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 

An analyst has explained how Bitcoin’s bottom in the current cycle may not follow the same pattern as historical bear markets. Bitcoin Could Bottom Around True Mean Price Instead This Time In a new post on X, Checkonchain co-founder Alec Dejanovic has talked about a couple of pricing models related to Bitcoin. The first of these is the “Realized Price,” keeping track of the cost basis of the average investor on the BTC network. Related Reading: XRP Rebounds From Channel Bottom, Analyst Says $2.60 Could Be Next When the BTC spot price is trading above this level, it means that the network as a whole is in a state of net unrealized profit. On the other hand, the asset being under the metric suggests that the average token is being held at some loss. This indicator has displayed an interesting relationship with the cryptocurrency in the past. “Historical Bitcoin bears usually bottom around the Realised Price level,” explained Dejanovic. Below is the chart shared by the analyst that shows this effect in action.   As is visible in the graph, the 2015, 2018, and 2022 bear markets all found their bottoms when the Bitcoin spot price plunged under the Realized Price. Even the COVID crash in 2020 bottomed out below the indicator. The explanation behind this pattern could lie in the fact that below this line, the majority of the network can be considered underwater, so there wouldn’t be many profit-takers left. In these conditions, resolute entities take coins off investors capitulating at a loss and selling pressure slowly reaches exhaustion, allowing BTC to regain its footing. Today, the Realized Price is situated at $56,000. Considering the past pattern, perhaps this cycle’s bear market would also bottom out around or below this level. Dejanovic thinks things can go differently this time, however, saying, “with ETF flows remaining resilient and no FTX-style fraud in sight, that target feels excessive.” If not Realized Price, then where else could Bitcoin find its bottom? The answer may be the second price model listed in the chart: the True Mean Price. This metric functions similarly to the Realized Price, except for the fact that it represents the cost basis of just the active market participants, not the entire network. A chunk of the Bitcoin supply has become lost due to associated wallets no longer being accessible. As BTC is growing older, this supply is only increasing in size, making the Realized Price a somewhat inaccurate representation of the real network situation. Related Reading: Capriole Founder Not Bearish On Bitcoin Despite Headwinds—Here’s Why By focusing on only the active part of the supply, the True Mean Price sidesteps this issue. Its value is currently $82,000, which is around where BTC found its recent low. “This could be the new line in the sand we are hammering out,” noted the analyst. BTC Price Bitcoin has shown a sharp jump during the past day that has taken its price back above $90,000. Featured image from Dall-E, checkonchain.com, chart from TradingView.com

Metaplanet, often dubbed Japan’s MicroStrategy for its adoption of Michael Saylor’s Bitcoin investment strategy, is nearing a critical juncture as Bitcoin (BTC) retraces below 30% of its all-time highs in under a month.  Metaplanet Bitcoin Holdings Plummet As of November 26, Metaplanet ranks as the fourth largest public Bitcoin treasury company, holding just over 30,000 BTC valued at approximately $2.7 billion, with an average acquisition cost of around $108,000 per coin. Currently, Bitcoin is trading at approximately $87,700, placing the firm at a nearly 17% loss on its investments. The company finds itself about $640 million underwater, compounded by a steep drop in its stock price, which has plummeted 81% from June highs of ¥1,935 to its current valuation of ¥366 per share on the Tokyo Stock Exchange.  Related Reading: Has The Bitcoin Price Hit Its Bottom? Key On-Chain Data Signals Potential Rebound Ahead Recently, Metaplanet borrowed an additional $130 million to bolster its Bitcoin holdings, a decision disclosed in a filing on November 21 under a previously established $500 million credit facility announced in late October.  This loan is structured with a floating interest rate that renews daily, allowing for repayment at any point. Importantly, the loan is fully secured by the company’s Bitcoin reserves.  However, market expert Shanaka Anslem has raised concerns on social media platform X (formerly Twitter) about the implications of these maneuvers for Metaplanet’s short-term stability.  Key Dates Approach Anslem highlighted two pivotal dates that the market should closely monitor: December 18, when the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will decide on interest rates, and December 22, when Metaplanet shareholders will vote on a proposed $135 million fundraising initiative. The outcomes of these events are intertwined. The expert asserts that if the Bank of Japan opts for tighter monetary policy, resulting in a strengthened yen, Bitcoin prices may decline, potentially collapsing Metaplanet’s stock premium and jeopardizing the fundraising vote.  Conversely, should the central bank maintain its loose policies, leading to a weakened yen but stable Bitcoin prices, the vote may pass, allowing the company to survive. Related Reading: Monad (MON) Price Skyrockets 80%, Emerges As Best Performer Among Top 100 Cryptos This situation holds significance beyond Metaplanet itself. Japan currently lacks a Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF), making Metaplanet the sole avenue for Japanese investors to gain exposure to Bitcoin via the stock exchange.  This factor contributed to a 4,000% increase in the company’s stock value in 2024; however, the price plunged 81% when Bitcoin dropped by 30% over the past month amid rising selling pressure that has prompted fears of a new bear market among investors. Leverage further amplifies the existing risks. For Metaplanet to break even, Bitcoin must reach $108,000. For their investment model to function effectively, however, BTC must surpass $130,000. If Bitcoin falls below $70,000, Metaplanet may have to sell assets to meet collateral requirements. Anslem further noted:  For now, Metaplanet stands as neither triumph nor failure but as the most consequential experiment in corporate Bitcoin allocation currently running… The hotel company that bet everything on Bitcoin approaches its moment of truth. The world should be watching. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 

Bitcoin is sitting at a critical crossroads once again, hovering dangerously close to a liquidity pocket that could trigger deeper losses if bulls fail to respond. Momentum has slowed, volatility is tightening, and attention is now locked on one key level that could determine whether BTC stages a recovery or slips further into the trap below $82,000. Key Resistance at $89,000 Remains Bitcoin’s Biggest Hurdle Analyst Lennaert Snyder highlighted in a recent update that BTC is currently locked in a critical fight for the key $89,000 resistance level. He acknowledged the recent price action, noting that Bitcoin had a “nice bounce” from the support box he posted yesterday, advising those who longed for the bottom to “enjoy the gains. Related Reading: Bitcoin’s Sudden Volatility Jump Signals Options Could Be Calling The Shots—Analyst Snyder confirmed that the $86,000 support box is still valid, but stressed that this level should now only be used for reversals. A return to this support would be interpreted as a weak sign, indicating that buyers are struggling to maintain the current altitude. The primary objective remains to break the immediate overhead barrier. Lennaert Snyder states that Bitcoin still needs to decisively reclaim the $89,000 resistance to trigger a meaningful rally and long entries to the next target at $93,000. Given the ongoing struggle at resistance, the analyst confirms that it is “totally understandable” if traders are looking for local short entries. Losing the crucial $86,000 support level would confirm a structural breakdown, triggering shorts to the next major target at the $82,200 rangelow. Finally, Lennaert Snyder warned about the potential for a deeper move, stating that if the market goes for the lows again, it should be treated as a reversal opportunity only. He notes a high probability that sellers will sweep the $80,600 low to “tank new fuel.” Smart Risk First: Analyst Stresses Discipline Over Aggression According to crypto expert and investor Ted Pillows, the current Bitcoin setup is a moment that demands strict risk management. He emphasized that BTC continues to face heavy rejection around the $88,000 resistance level, making this zone a decisive barrier for further upside. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Recovery Loses Strength, Traders Watch $90K as Last Line of Defense In response to the ongoing uncertainty, Ted noted that he has manually taken partial profits across all open trades. The move is meant to reduce exposure and protect capital until Bitcoin provides a clearer directional signal. With volatility tightening, he believes caution is the smarter play. Ted added that he intends to scale back into his positions only after Bitcoin successfully flips the resistance level into support and holds above the S/R zone. Featured image from Pngtree, chart from Tradingview.com

Bitcoin price started a recovery wave above $90,000. BTC is now consolidating and might soon aim for a move above the $91,500 zone. Bitcoin started a recovery wave and climbed toward $92,000. The price is trading above $90,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at $88,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might continue to move up if it settles above the $91,500 zone. Bitcoin Price Eyes Steady Gains Bitcoin price managed to stay above the $86,500 level. BTC formed a base and recently started a recovery wave above the $88,000 resistance zone. There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at $88,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. The pair surged above the $90,000 level. There was a clear break above the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $92,872 swing high to the $80,595 low. Bitcoin is now trading above $90,500 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. It is also above the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $92,872 swing high to the $80,595 low. If the bulls remain in action, the price could face resistance near the $91,500 level. The first key resistance is near the $92,000 level. The next resistance could be $92,500. A close above the $92,500 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $93,750 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $94,500 level. The next barrier for the bulls could be $95,000 and $95,500. Another Decline In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $92,000 resistance zone, it could start another decline. Immediate support is near the $89,750 level. The first major support is near the $88,500 level. The next support is now near the $88,000 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $86,500 support in the near term. The main support sits at $85,000, below which BTC might accelerate lower in the near term. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now gaining pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $89,750, followed by $88,000. Major Resistance Levels – $92,000 and $92,500.

Bitcoin has struggled below the $90,000 level since last week and is now attempting to stabilize as selling pressure continues to shape market sentiment. The sharp downturn from the recent cycle high has left bullish traders on the defensive, with confidence weakening across spot and derivatives markets. Analysts who just weeks ago projected continuation toward new all-time highs are now shifting their tone, with many calling for the beginning of a bear market. Related Reading: Bitcoin Short Squeeze Flushes Out Late Longers as Funding Turns Negative: Classic Capitulation Signal The broader market environment has amplified these concerns. Momentum has flipped downward, liquidity has thinned, and buyers have been unable to reclaim key resistance levels that would signal strength. As Bitcoin searches for support, investors are now watching reactions around the high-$80K region to determine whether this decline is part of a deeper structural reversal or a temporary correction within the larger trend. According to top analyst Axel Adler, Long-Term Holders have played a pivotal role in the current downturn. He reports that this cohort conducted the largest profit-taking event of the entire cycle, reducing positions by 1.57 million BTC over the quarter as prices fell toward $80,000. This scale of distribution historically aligns with exhaustion phases and late-cycle tops, intensifying speculation that Bitcoin may be entering a more prolonged period of weakness. Long-Term Holder Distribution Signals Major Cycle Shift Axel Adler highlights that Long-Term Holders (LTH) are conducting massive profit-taking, pushing supply levels back to early 2023 lows. According to his data, the 30-day Net Position Change now reflects one of the deepest sell-offs seen in the entire bull cycle. LTH supply has fallen sharply from the peak of 15.75 million BTC to the current 13.6 million BTC—marking the lowest reading since the beginning of the cycle. Adler notes that this pattern aligns with a classic smart-money distribution phase often observed near major market tops. Over just the past two weeks (November 11–25), LTH sold 803,399 BTC, representing a drop of 5.54% and averaging 53,560 BTC per day. Historically, such compression in supply has only occurred during major inflection periods. Adler compares the current reading to previous extremes—March 2024, following the $73,000 all-time high sell-off, and October 2024, when Bitcoin corrected from the ATH toward $85,000. The present phase demonstrates aggressive coin dumping, with deeply negative red bars on the Net Position Change while price simultaneously declined from the October peak. This combination of rapid supply reduction and falling price suggests that LTH distribution is exerting meaningful pressure on the market. The data implies that the cycle may be transitioning toward a structurally weaker phase unless new demand re-enters to absorb the sell-side volume. Related Reading: XRP OI Collapses to Lowest Level Since Nov 2024: Binance Data Shows Liquidity Is Fading BTC Attempts Stabilization After Sharp Breakdown Bitcoin’s price action on the daily chart shows a market struggling to regain footing after a steep decline from the $120K region to a recent low near $80K. The current trading level around $86,800 reflects an attempted relief bounce, yet the broader trend remains clearly bearish. Price is positioned below the 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day moving averages, all of which are now sloping downward—a structure that typically signals sustained downside momentum. The rejection from the mid-November breakdown zone reinforces the idea that former support has flipped into resistance. Related Reading: 63K Bitcoin Exits Long-Term Wallets: A Surge of Speculative Short-Term Buying Volume spikes during the selloff indicate forced liquidation and capitulation-driven selling rather than orderly distribution, while the recent bounce has occurred on noticeably lighter volume, suggesting weak conviction from buyers. For bulls, the key focus is whether Bitcoin can build a base above the $85K region to avoid another wave of selling pressure. Losing this level could expose further downside toward $78K and potentially $72K. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com

According to crypto analyst Tony Severino, the Bitcoin price has broken below the 50-week Moving Average (MA) for the first time in the current cycle, triggering renewed fears of a deeper decline. With price momentum weakening and long-term trend indicators flashing bearish warning signals, the possibility of a price crash to $38,000 is becoming hard to ignore.  50-MA Breakdown To Trigger $38,000 Bitcoin Price Crash The Bitcoin price action took a decisive turn this week as the market slipped below the 50 MA for the first time in this four-year cycle. Severino noted in his technical analysis shared on X this Monday that the 50 MA has historically marked the beginning of extended downturns. He stated that following Bitcoin’s launch over 14 years ago, every time it has closed below the 50 MA, a prolonged bear market has followed.  Related Reading: Financial Strategist Debunks Prediction That Bitcoin Price Will Reach $220,000 In 45 Days Severino’s price chart highlights BTC’s price performance from 2017 to date. In the past three Bitcoin bear markets, after the price fell below the 50-week MA, BTC continued to drop an additional 61%, 59%, and 67%. On average, the cryptocurrency has lost 62% from the break point.  Applying the 62% drawdown to this cycle’s 50 MA level, the analyst predicts Bitcoin could soon experience a price crash to $38,000. From the cryptocurrency’s current price of above $87,000, this represents a staggering 60% decline. Additionally, it would imply a roughly 70% decline from its all-time high of more than $126,000.  Severino warns that traders calling for a price bottom may be ignoring how far Bitcoin has historically fallen once this long-term trend fails. He indicated that the 50-week MA has repeatedly served as a dividing line between bullish and bearish phases, and that price slipping below it has more often led to extended periods of weakness and capitulation.    Bitcoin Momentum Indicator Falls To Historic Lows A second analysis presented by Severino focuses on Bitcoin’s daily LMACD, which is now near levels not seen in more than 1,250 days. The oscillator has only pushed below this level six times since BTC’s 2017 macro peak. These past instances correspond to periods of heavy downside momentum where the cryptocurrency had yet to complete its bottoming process.  Related Reading: One Of The Most Popular Bitcoin Advocates Dumps Millions In BTC, Here’s Why Looking at Severino’s price chart, the extended period without revisiting this lower bound suggests Bitcoin may be overdue for a momentum reset. The LMACD indicator’s current reading is also unusually weak historically, signaling that market momentum has not yet reached extreme pessimism.  The readings further indicate that, although BTC remains in a downtrend, price corrections remain possible before a true bottom is established. According to CoinMarketCap data, Bitcoin is trading below $87,000 amid volatile, choppy conditions that have contributed to its 24% decline over the past month. Featured image from Pngtree, chart from Tradingview.com

Bitcoin’s (BTC) latest upward move arrives at a time when confidence in the market remains uncertain, with many traders unsure whether the slight price recovery marks early strength or another temporary bounce. With last week’s pullback still fresh, a crypto analyst argues that most traders may label the recent recovery a dead cat bounce. However, he believes the narrative is misleading and predicts that Bitcoin’s rebound this week may be setting the stage for a stronger rally.  Why The Bitcoin Price Recovery Is Not A Dead Cat Bounce Market analyst and founder of The House of Crypto, Peter Anthony, has released a new technical analysis of Bitcoin that challenges the prevailing bearish sentiment among traders. In his post on X, Anthony stated that the repeated claims of a dead cat bounce are part of a recurring pattern that has appeared at multiple stages of previous Bitcoin price recoveries.  Related Reading: XRP Has Just Flashed ‘The Real Signal’, Analyst Reveals Where Price Is Headed He explained that market sentiments have swung so far into fear that many traders may have already locked in their worst losses just as the market began to recover. According to his analysis, last week’s BTC sell-off and price crash prompted many participants to exit their positions near the bottom. Now that the cryptocurrency is recovering, the analyst believes those same traders will hesitate to re-enter the market, convinced that the recent rebound is nothing more than a dead cat bounce.  In his chart, Anthony highlighted several instances in the past when similar skepticism emerged after Bitcoin continued trending higher following a downturn. The analyst expects this pessimistic behavior to persist, stating that traders may continue labeling every upward push a dead cat bounce until BTC reaches $100,000 and beyond. This suggests that investors might interpret each step higher as a warning sign that the price rally is only temporary and bound to fail.  While he believes the underlying trend is bullish, Anthony has acknowledged that a correction could still emerge as Bitcoin approaches previous highs. However, he reassures that the routine pullback would not negate the broader recovery underway.  The analyst’s report indicates that the dead cat bounce narrative will prove to be a false signal. He predicts that disbelief in the market will eventually give way to Fear of Missing Out (FOMO) once Bitcoin decisively moves above $115,000. At that point, Anthony forecasts that many traders who sold during the downturn will scramble to buy back in at higher levels, completing a cycle of selling low and buying high.  BTC Could Hit $115,000 Before Skeptics Turn Bullish In a follow-up post, Anthony issued a sharp critique of the emotional trading patterns and bearish sentiment dominating the crypto market. According to him, many of these traders who insist the Bitcoin rally has ended will continue to call every upward move a dead cat bounce, even as the price advances.  Related Reading: Attack On Cardano Founder Leads To Network Halt, What Really Happened? By the time Bitcoin hits $115,000, the analyst expects investor sentiment to shift abruptly, triggering a late surge of bullishness from traders who had doubted the initial recovery. Anthony argues that these sudden changes in viewpoint will have little to do with careful analysis and everything to do with watching the chart move and reacting afterward.  Featured image created with Shedevrum, chart from Tradingview.com

The founder of Capriole Investments says he “cannot be bearish” on Bitcoin, pointing to key indicators that remain inside green territories. Bitcoin Heater & NVT Are Both Inside Bullish Zones In a new post on X, Capriole Investments founder Charles Edwards has shared a couple of indicators related to Bitcoin that could paint a picture different than what the crowd is thinking right now. Related Reading: XRP Jumps 7%, But Watch Out For Speculative Froth The first indicator is Capriole’s “Heater,” gauging the situation related to the derivatives market. The metric tracks the data associated with the entire sector, including perpetual swaps, futures, and options markets. When this indicator has a high value, it’s a sign that investors are using high leverage and have an extreme level of bullish positioning across the various derivatives markets. Now, here is the chart for the metric shared by Edwards that shows the trend in its value over the last few years: As is visible in the above graph, the Heater has witnessed a plunge recently as the Bitcoin price has crashed, indicating a cooldown in sentiment on the different derivatives markets. The metric is now inside the green zone, which has historically facilitated at least local bottom formations for the cryptocurrency. The same signal also emerged alongside the bear market bottom back in November 2022. The other indicator that’s bullish on Bitcoin right now is the Dynamic Range NVT. The Network Value to Transactions (NVT) Ratio is a popular BTC metric that’s used for measuring whether the asset’s value (that is, the market cap) is fair compared to the network’s ability to transact coins (the transaction volume). When this metric has a high value, it means that the market cap is high relative to the transaction volume. Such a trend could be a sign that a correction may be due for the coin. On the other hand, a low value on the metric can suggest the cryptocurrency’s value may not be inflated relative to its volume, and thus, could potentially have room to grow. Capriole’s Dynamic Range NVT defines lower and upper bands for the metric, beyond which the asset may be considered underbought and overbought, respectively. As the metric’s name suggests, these bands are dynamic, meaning that they change with time and reflect the recent Bitcoin environment. From the above chart, it’s apparent that the Bitcoin NVT Ratio has declined below its lower band recently, implying the coin may be undervalued. The last time this signal appeared was during the bearish period earlier in the year. Related Reading: Bitcoin To $40,000? Signal Behind Past 60% Crashes Is Back “We have some big headwinds to resolve (like institutional selling), but I cannot be bearish with Heater in the deep green zone today + fundamental value across the board,” said Edwards. The analyst suspects BTC might climb higher for at least the coming week. BTC Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin is floating around $87,000, down over 7% in the last seven days. Featured image from Dall-E, Capriole.com, chart from TradingView.com

Following a significant downturn that saw Bitcoin (BTC) plunge to the $80,000 mark on November 21, the leading cryptocurrency has managed to stabilize above this critical threshold for several days.  This development has sparked speculation about whether this level represents a short-term bottom and if a new upward trend might follow. Potential Local Bottom For Bitcoin According to analysis from CryptoQuant analyst Carmelo Aleman, on-chain data indicates a market landscape characterized by institutional redistribution, structural weakness, and signs of a rebound that may hint at a local bottom. Related Reading: Bitcoin Faces Less Than 50% Chance Of Hitting $100,000 By December 31, Says AI Model One of the observations made is that large whale investors have been actively distributing their holdings. The cohorts holding more than 10,000 BTC and those with 1,000 to 10,000 BTC appear to be primarily in a selling position.  Carmelo stated that this kind of behavior reflects ongoing profit-taking by institutions looking to reduce their risk exposure, which leads to an overall offloading of supply into the market. Retail investors have also been contributing to the distribution trend. Over the past 60 days, wallets holding between 0 to 1 BTC and 1 to 10 BTC have demonstrated net selling rather than accumulation, suggesting a lack of purchasing support from the retail sector. In contrast, mid-sized BTC holders—those in the 100 to 1,000 BTC range—appear to be acquiring steadily, while the 10 to 100 BTC group is showing consistent accumulation.  Hidden Bullish Divergence After this 11-day selling spree, signs of stabilization have emerged. Bitcoin has rebounded above $89,000 on late Monday, which may suggest the formation of a local bottom, although this has yet to be conclusively confirmed.  However, while momentum is positive, Aleman warned that the possibility of a trend reversal is heavily reliant on ongoing accumulation from crucial investor cohorts, notably mid-sized investors. While there are obvious rebounds and support from particular groups, the continued distribution of the 1,000 to 10,000 BTC cohort prevents definitive confirmation of a trend reversal.  Related Reading: Latest Crypto Crash Wipes $1 Billion Off Trump Family’s Wealth Other analysts, including Ash Crypto, have noted bullish indicators that further support this outlook. He highlighted that Bitcoin is experiencing a hidden bullish divergence on the weekly timeframe, suggesting that selling pressure is easing, momentum is stabilizing, and the weekly Relative Strength Index (RSI) may soon reverse. If this hidden bullish divergence is confirmed, it typically precedes a strong continuation rally, according to the analyst, adding to the argument that BTC may be on the verge of a new upward trajectory. Bitcoin is currently trading at $87,150, 30% below its all-time high of $126,000. This momentum has caused the top cryptocurrency to erase all gains recorded in all time frames, including year-to-date, with a drop of roughly 9% during this period.  Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 

Bitcoin price started a recovery wave above $88,000. BTC is now consolidating and might soon aim for a move above the $90,000 zone. Bitcoin started a recovery wave and climbed toward $89,000. The price is trading above $87,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $88,200 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might continue to move up if it settles above the $90,000 zone. Bitcoin Price Eyes Upside Break Bitcoin price managed to stay above the $83,500 level. BTC formed a base and recently started a recovery wave above the $85,500 resistance zone. There was a move above the $86,000 resistance zone. The bulls pushed the price above the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $92,872 swing high to the $80,595 low. However, the bears are currently preventing an upside break above the $90,000 zone. Besides, there is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $88,200 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. Bitcoin is now trading above $87,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. If the bulls attempt another recovery wave, the price could face resistance near the $88,200 level. The first key resistance is near the $89,000 level. The next resistance could be $90,000 or the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $92,872 swing high to the $80,595 low. A close above the $90,000 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $91,750 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $92,500 level. The next barrier for the bulls could be $93,500 and $94,000. Another Drop In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $90,000 resistance zone, it could start another decline. Immediate support is near the $86,700 level. The first major support is near the $86,200 level. The next support is now near the $85,000 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $83,500 support in the near term. The main support sits at $82,000, below which BTC might accelerate lower in the near term. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now gaining pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $86,200, followed by $85,000. Major Resistance Levels – $89,000 and $90,000.

In the dynamic and often volatile landscape of digital assets, Bitcoin’s position as the premier store of value in the digital asset space remains firmly intact, even as the broader crypto ecosystem evolves. Its unmatched network strength, fixed supply, and resilient global infrastructure continue to make it the benchmark against all digital assets. Unmatched Network Security Keeps Bitcoin In The Lead Bitcoin remains the largest and most secure store of value in the crypto ecosystem, with a market capitalization surpassing $1.7 trillion and increasingly unmatched institutional adoption. However, analyst Ted has noted on X that the BTC base layer was never built for decentralized finance (DeFi).  Related Reading: Historic Downturn: Bitcoin Nears Worst Weekly Performance In Over A Year Most of BTC’s capital sits idle and is unable to support the complex financial applications. This is where the BTCFi emerges, and it’s rising because it activates this dormant capital without forcing users or liquidity away from BTC’s security. Ted highlighted that Arch Network is a utility layer that enables the development of expressive rush in smart contracts directly to BTC for high performance. It offers real-time state management, true interoperability, and fast parallel execution, while remaining fully aligned with the BTC UTXO model. This ensures that all settlements and final state changes remain anchored directly to BTC for maximum security. The applications on ArchVM generate Zero-Knowledge (ZK) proofs for each batch of transactions, and BTC nodes verify those proofs on-chain; a design that enables fast trading, money lending, credit markets, and real-world asset (RWA) applications with the L1-level trust. Furthermore,  Ted describes the Arch Network as aiming to become a core piece of the infrastructure pillar for the emerging BTCFi ecosystem. Bitcoin Stabilizes As Market Volatility Cools Off The cryptocurrency market is now showing signs of stabilization, positioning Bitcoin for a potential resurgence. According to CryptosRus, last Friday, BTC appeared to have firmly bottomed just above the $82,000 level, a crucial development that analysts are pointing to as a potential renewed market strength. While the selling pressure is fading, these key developments could trigger a near-term bounce for BTC. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Recovery Loses Strength, Traders Watch $90K as Last Line of Defense Swissblock outlines a sharp risk-off signal, suggesting that the worst phase of capitulation may be over. The market might still experience a second weaker wave of selling pressure, which would mark the exhaustion of any remaining sellers, and shift the market towards the bulls. Fed rate cuts are surging, as the December cut probability is climbing back to 70%, fueling optimism for liquidity support. Furthermore, liquidity injection is possible, and market analysts are highlighting that the actions from the Fed could expand reserves, which have historically proven to be bullish for the crypto market. With selling pressure easing and policy tailwinds building, BTC’s climb may continue signaling a potential recovery. Featured image from Pngtree, chart from Tradingview.com

Bitcoin is struggling to reclaim the $90,000 level as selling pressure continues to dominate across the crypto market. The sharp decline from the all-time high has fueled growing speculation that the current cycle may have already peaked, with many analysts now calling for the beginning of a bear market. Sentiment has shifted rapidly, and fear is spreading as traders question whether the bullish structure has been permanently broken. Related Reading: Bitmine Scoops Up Another 28,625 Ethereum ($82.1M) as Market Bleeds – Details However, not everyone agrees with the bearish outlook. A segment of market participants still expects a rebound, arguing that the correction is part of a broader continuation pattern rather than the end of the cycle. These optimistic observers believe that higher prices could still unfold once selling exhaustion sets in. According to top analyst Darkfost, the recent price action reflects a notable behavioral shift in traders. He explains that investors who attempted to long the market throughout the correction have finally been squeezed out. Funding rates, which had remained elevated during the decline, have now cooled and even turned negative — a strong signal that sentiment has flipped. Darkfost notes that traders waited for Bitcoin to correct more than 30% before shifting aggressively into short positions, highlighting a delayed reaction that often appears near market inflection points. Funding Rates Flip Negative as Short Dominance Takes Over Darkfost explains that the latest shift in funding rates is more meaningful than it appears on the surface. He notes that traders often assume the neutral funding level is 0%, but that is not the case. Most exchanges — including Binance — embed an interest component of roughly 0.01% into the funding calculation. This means that when funding drops below 0.01%, it already reflects short-side dominance. Therefore, when funding turns negative, it signals an even stronger tilt toward aggressive short positioning. According to Darkfost, this marks a clear behavioral change among derivatives traders, suggesting that the market has transitioned from forced long unwinds to conviction-based short exposure. Historically, these shifts tend to occur only once a correction is already deep into its progression. Darkfost highlights that such funding transitions often reflect trader capitulation — where participants who fought the downtrend finally flip and attempt to follow momentum, but only after most of the move has already unfolded. This phenomenon has appeared in previous cycle retracements and has frequently coincided with late-stage bottoms. He adds that Bitcoin may now be entering a disbelief phase, where price begins climbing while shorts continue to pile in. If this dynamic persists, it could act as fuel for an upside reversal, especially if spot demand wakes up and liquidations pressure the short side instead. Related Reading: 63K Bitcoin Exits Long-Term Wallets: A Surge of Speculative Short-Term Buying BTC Price Testing Short-Term Supply Bitcoin is attempting to stabilize after a sharp decline, with the chart showing price currently trading around $87,000 following a rebound from the recent plunge near $80,000. The downtrend remains clearly defined, as BTC continues to trade below the 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day moving averages, signaling persistent bearish momentum. The slope of these moving averages has turned downward, reinforcing the shift in trend structure. Despite the bounce, the recovery lacks strong volume support, which suggests that buyers have not yet returned with conviction. Related Reading: STH Panic Emerges as Bitcoin Crashes To $81K: Realized P/L Turns Negative For The First Time This Cycle The chart shows that previous support levels around $95,000 and $100,000 have now become resistance areas, making them key levels to watch for any attempted recovery. A failure to reclaim these zones could trigger renewed selling pressure and a retest of the recent lows. However, the wick below $80,000 indicates aggressive buying at the lows, which could signal that a short-term bottom is forming if buyers continue to defend higher lows in the coming days. Market sentiment remains fragile, yet the stabilization above $85,000 hints at a potential consolidation phase rather than immediate continuation of the decline. A sustained move above the 100-day moving average would be the first meaningful signal of regained bullish momentum. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com

A recent claim that the Bitcoin price could surge to $220,000 in just 45 days has drawn sharp criticism from a financial strategist. The analyst frames such ambitious forecasts as unrealistic and highly speculative. Considering the recent decline in the BTC market, if the projection is taken at face value without supporting data, it overlooks ongoing market trends, macroeconomic conditions, and potential investor risks.  Strategist Labels $220,000 Bitcoin Price Forecast “Nonsense” South Korean scientist YoungHoon Kim, who holds the world’s highest reported IQ of 276, recently predicted that Bitcoin could more than double its current price and reach $220,000 within 45 days. Based on this forecast, the BTC price is expected to surge by over 151% from current levels below $87,500, potentially reaching a new all-time high by mid-January 2026.  Related Reading: Analyst Who Predicted Bitcoin Price Action With Chinese Astrology Shares When Prices Will Surge With Bitcoin down more than 31% from its ATH above $126,000, the bold forecast came as a surprise to many crypto members. The founder of Black Swan Capitalist, Versan Aljarrah, in particular, criticized the projection, calling it “nonsense.” He described it as an example of the speculative behavior that has long characterized the crypto space.  Aljarrah argued that predictions like Kim’s, which lack the visible support of a technical analysis, are what transform the crypto space into a “circus.” He highlighted that Bitcoin maxis will often go to extreme lengths to sustain the hype, promoting narratives that keep the speculative bubble alive even when market fundamentals raise caution. The Black Swan Capitalist founder also disclosed that Bitcoin has historically functioned more as a tool for predators and bad actors. His statements suggest that Kim’s forecast oversimplifies the complexities of the crypto market and distracts investors and traders from the fundamental structural factors driving Bitcoin’s price.   Bitcoin Price Continues To Falter Amidst Bullish Forecasts The Bitcoin market remains at a crossroads, with analysts forecasting sharp upward moves despite choppy price action. Despite predictions of a potential rally, BTC’s recent performance paints a more cautious picture, as its price has fallen by more than 20% over the past month, according to CoinMarketCap.  Related Reading: Why Bitwise Thinks Bitcoin Still Hits $200,000 In 2026 Crypto analyst Pepesso recently issued a bullish forecast, suggesting that Bitcoin may have hit its bottom and could potentially start a recovery toward levels between $126,000 and $160,000. However, broader market indicators, such as the Fear and Greed Index, point to extreme fear, suggesting investors remain highly uncertain about BTC’s near-term outlook.  Other analysts, like Gen Detector, have presented a more conservative outlook, predicting that Bitcoin could first stabilize around the $100,000 psychological level before its next bear wave begins. However, he has not ruled out the likelihood of further price corrections, highlighting the potential for BTC to revisit the $70,000 to $50,000 range before the next major bull run. Featured image from Pngtree, chart from Tradingview.com

A cryptocurrency analyst has pointed out how a technical analysis (TA) signal that led into major price declines in the past has returned for Bitcoin. Monthly MACD Has Turned Bearish For Bitcoin In a new post on X, analyst Ali Martinez has talked about a signal that has formed in the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) for Bitcoin. MACD is a TA indicator that’s generally used for timing buys and sells in an asset’s price chart. Related Reading: USDC Floods Exchanges: Are Traders Buying The Bitcoin Crash? The indicator consists of two lines: MACD line and signal line. The first of these, the MACD line, is found by subtracting the 26-period exponential moving average (EMA) of the price from its 12-period EMA. The signal line tracks the 9-period EMA of this difference. Crossovers between the two lines can provide buy or sell signals for the asset. The MACD line breaking above the signal line could be considered a bullish signal, while the reverse type of crossover a bearish one. Now, here is the chart shared by Martinez that shows how the monthly MACD has changed for Bitcoin over the last several years: As displayed in the above graph, the Bitcoin MACD has registered a crossover recently. The MACD line has plunged as the asset has witnessed its bearish momentum and it’s now sitting under the signal line. As mentioned earlier, such a signal can be a bearish one. In the chart, the analyst has highlighted the past instances of this pattern. It would appear that the last three sell signals from the indicator all led into declines of more than 60% for the cryptocurrency. “If that repeats, the chart points to $40,000,” noted Martinez. It now remains to be seen whether the MACD will hold for Bitcoin, or if a different trend from the past will follow this time around. The MACD line falling under its signal line isn’t the only bearish crossover that BTC has faced recently. As the analyst has pointed out in another X post, a classic death cross has also appeared between the asset’s 50-day simple moving average (SMA) and 200-day SMA. From the chart, it’s apparent that the 50-day SMA has declined below the 200-day SMA alongside the latest Bitcoin market downturn. During the past couple of years, each such signal has marked local bottoms for BTC, but in 2022, this crossover kicked off the bear market. Related Reading: Is Bitcoin Yet To Top In This Cycle? What aSOPR Suggests So far since the death cross has appeared, the asset has continued to decline, a potential sign that this death cross may be different from the recent ones. BTC Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin is floating around $88,800, down over 4% in the last seven days. Featured image from Dall-E, charts from TradingView.com

Bitcoin (BTC) is undergoing one of the most challenging periods of the year, with prices retracting nearly 30% from its all-time high of $126,000 reached last month. This decline has raised concerns about a potential bear market, fueling fears within the cryptocurrency community and among BTC investors. Despite this, a new AI-driven simulation by Bitcoin analyst Timothy Peterson offers a more tempered outlook. In a post on X (formerly Twitter), Peterson indicated that while the situation remains complicated, the simulation suggests that the bottom might have already been reached or could occur within the week.  Bitcoin Predicted To Experience Slow Recovery In his analysis, Peterson predicts a slow recovery for the Bitcoin price leading up to the year’s end, though he projects less than a 50% chance that Bitcoin will reclaim the $100,000 mark by December 31. Related Reading: CEO Reveals Ripple’s XRP Is Driving A JPMorgan Competitor, Is SWIFT Next? The model presented suggests a nuanced scenario where there is at least a 15% chance that Bitcoin could close lower at approximately $84,500 and an 85% chance of finishing higher.  However, it is crucial to note that these estimates are based on seasonal averages and do not account for anticipated changes in the broader economic situation, to which BTC has shown vulnerability throughout the year. Historically, Bitcoin has shown a pattern where significant price movements are often followed by periods of consolidation. If this trend holds, Bitcoin may stabilize within a new range between $84,000 and $90,000, with the $80,000 level serving as a crucial support point for short-term price action. Fed’s December Rate Path According to recent reports, one factor contributing to Bitcoin’s current struggles is the sentiment among investors, particularly those who purchased when prices hovered around $90,000.  Related Reading: Attack On Cardano Founder Leads To Network Halt, What Really Happened? With the cryptocurrency now trading below this threshold, approximately at $88,900 when writing, many investors may be hesitant to buy in again, especially if they are facing margin calls due to borrowed funds. The upcoming days could prove pivotal for the broader cryptocurrency market as delayed economic data is set to be released ahead of Thanksgiving.  Barron’s reports that if the data strengthens the narrative for the Federal Reserve (Fed) to reduce interest rates in December, it could provide a boost to Bitcoin and its peers. Conversely, if the Fed opts to maintain interest rates, it might trigger further sell-offs in the crypto sector. Victoria Scholar, head of investment at Interactive Investor, emphasizes the importance of the $80,000 technical support level for Bitcoin. She stated that a breach below this level could further embolden bearish sentiments, adding additional downward pressure on prices.  Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 

As Bitcoin (BTC) attempts to reclaim the $88,000 area, some market observers believe that the recent lows marked the bottom, and a price recovery rally is underway. Nonetheless, other analysts have warned that the flagship crypto’s November pain could continue if the current levels don’t hold. Related Reading: Why XRP Price Crash Below $2 Is Not A Problem – $20 Is Still The Target Bitcoin Finds Local Support On Monday, Bitcoin continued its price recovery from the latest correction, nearing a key resistance for the second consecutive day. Throughout November, the cryptocurrency has struggled to hold multiple crucial levels amid the crypto market volatility, falling below the $100,000 psychological barrier and trading around multi-month lows. Last week, BTC plummeted below the $90,000 level for the first time since April, reaching a low of $80,600 on Friday. Over the weekend, the flagship crypto’s price stabilized, trading between $84,000-$87,000 and briefly retesting the $88,000 resistance before being rejected. Arthur Hayes, co-founder of crypto exchange BitMEX, suggested that Bitcoin’s price will benefit from “minor improvements” in US liquidity trends. In a Monday X post, he forecasted that the price would likely chop below the $90,000 level in the coming weeks, potentially dropping to the $80,000 level once more, but ultimately holding. Similarly, analyst Rekt Capital asserted that Bitcoin is revisiting a key re-accumulation region between $82,500-$93,000, where the price consolidated in Q1 2025 after losing the upper boundary as support. This is where Bitcoin built its base before reversing upward earlier in the cycle, and it continues to define the bottom boundary of the current structure. Together, these levels establish a clear Monthly Range between $82.5k and $93k, framing the broader context for this phase of consolidation. The analyst also highlighted that BTC’s weekly close above the $86,000 level aligns with the crucial monthly range, adding that its price could now begin building a floor around this area to develop a new range between this level and the $93,000 resistance. To him, investors shouldn’t worry if price downside wicks into the liquidity pool between $78,000-$86,000 “as long as general stability persists” at the current levels. No BTC Party Until 2028? Market observer Ted Pillows noted that Bitcoin was unable to reclaim the local highs in the daily and weekly timeframe, suggesting that if the $88,000-$90,000 zone is not successfully turned into support soon, its price could drop toward a new monthly low below the $80,000 mark. Meanwhile, Crypto Bullet shared a bearish outlook for the flagship crypto, affirming that BTC “will not make a new ATH until 2028” based on historical data. He explained that if BTC is repeating its four-year cycle performance, its price potentially reached its cycle top in October and is entering a new corrective phase. The analyst pointed out the similarities between the 2021-2022 bull run and the current one. According to the chart, BTC hovered within an ascending channel, with price rallying to the upper boundary for a second time after a key retest of the ascending support level. Related Reading: Attack On Cardano Founder Leads To Network Halt, What Really Happened? However, when Bitcoin retested the channel’s lower boundary a second time, its price bounced to the channel’s mid-zone before being rejected at the 50-week Moving Average (MA) and losing the multi-year pattern. As BTC is currently retesting the key ascending support, the analyst suggested that BTC will likely retest the $110,000 area in the coming weeks before retracing around 60% to the $40,000 area in 2026. As of this writing, Bitcoin is trading at $88,692, a 2% increase in the daily timeframe. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com

The recent downturn in the crypto market, which saw total valuations plummet from an all-time high of nearly $4.3 trillion to below the $3 trillion mark, has severely impacted many investors.  Among those affected is the Trump family, whose wealth reportedly decreased by $1 billion over the past month, according to Bloomberg. Their current net worth now stands at approximately $6.7 billion, down from $7.7 billion in September. Trump Family’s Crypto Portfolio Takes Major Hits The family’s crypto portfolio has suffered significant losses as a result of recent market conditions, including President Trump’s official memecoin, TRUMP, Eric Trump’s Bitcoin (BTC) mining firm, American Bitcoin (ABTC), and Truth Social—all of which are Bitcoin-related. Related Reading: XRP Real Purpose: Documentation Shows Payment Utility Contrary To Viral Claims — Details One of the hardest-hit entities is Trump Media & Technology Group (TMTG), the parent company of Truth Social. Last week, shares of the firm dropped to a record low, resulting in an estimated $800 million decline in Trump’s stake since September.  The company has invested heavily in Bitcoin, spending roughly $2 billion on digital assets. Its stockpile of approximately 11,500 BTC, purchased when Bitcoin prices hovered around $115,000, now represents a significant downturn of about 25%. In addition, World Liberty Financial (WLFI), regarded as the Trump family’s principal crypto operation, has seen its value diminish rapidly. WLFI, which was once trading at $0.26, has now fallen to around $0.15 when writing. At its peak, the token’s total valuation reached about $6 billion, but it is now worth just over $4 billion. Despite the difficulties, a spokesperson for World Liberty Financial expressed optimism, stating that “Crypto is here to stay.” The spokesperson emphasized a long-term conviction in the technologies that support digital assets, suggesting that these innovations could transform financial services. Eric Trump Remains Optimistic Following his return to office in January, President Trump’s sons, Eric Trump and Donald Trump Jr., also began collaborating with Hut 8 Corp, a crypto company that supplies Bitcoin mining equipment.  In exchange, they secured a controlling interest in a newly formed organization called American Bitcoin Corp. Eric Trump reportedly holds about 7.5% of this new venture.  Related Reading: Attack On Cardano Founder Leads To Network Halt, What Really Happened? However, shares of Hut 8, which are traded on Nasdaq, have been cut by nearly half, wiping out over $300 million from Eric Trump’s wealth since September, with shares previously valued at $9.31. Amidst these financial challenges, Eric Trump conveyed a sense of optimism, suggesting that the recent market declines may present “a great buying opportunity.” He emphasized that those who purchase during downturns and embrace market volatility are likely to be the long-term winners in the cryptocurrency landscape. Currently, the market’s leading cryptocurrency has seen a 1.5% recovery on Monday toward $88,430, after reaching an 8-month low of $80,000 last Friday. This positions BTC nearly 30% below all-time highs of $126,000 reached back in October.  Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 

Bitcoin has been in freefall recently, but this popular indicator is yet to reach the same highs as the last two cycles. Is the real top still ahead for the asset? Bitcoin aSOPR Has Been Consolidating For The Last Two Years As pointed out by an analyst in a CryptoQuant Quicktake post, the Bitcoin aSOPR has been consolidating between converging trendlines for nearly two years. The Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR) is an indicator that tells us whether the BTC investors are selling their coins at a profit or loss. Related Reading: USDC Floods Exchanges: Are Traders Buying The Bitcoin Crash? When the value of this metric is greater than 1, it means the average holder is transferring their coins at some net profit on the blockchain. On the other hand, the indicator being below this threshold implies the dominance of loss taking on the network. Naturally, the SOPR being exactly equal to 1 suggests profit realization is canceling out loss realization. In other words, the investors as a whole are just breaking even on their sales. In the context of the current discussion, the version of the SOPR that’s of interest is the Adjusted SOPR (aSOPR). This indicator eliminates from the data sales of all coins that moved within an hour of their last movement. Such moves are usually relay transactions and carry no consequences for the market. Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the Bitcoin aSOPR over the last few years: As the quant has highlighted in the graph, the 2017 and first-half 2021 bull runs both interestingly topped out as the aSOPR rose to the red line. This level corresponds to a notable degree of profit realization among the investors. Similarly, the bear markets of the last two cycles found their bottoms at about the same time as the aSOPR hitting a low at the green line, some distance below the 1 mark. At this level, loss-taking is dominant, so weak hands capitulating and resolute entities accumulating their coins could be behind the bottom formation pattern. In the current cycle so far, the aSOPR hasn’t touched the red line. Instead, the indicator has been stuck in consolidation inside two converging trendlines in a mild profit-taking region for almost the last two years. Considering the pattern of the last two cycles, it’s possible that the latest one hasn’t hit its top yet. Another possibility, however, could very well be that the aSOPR simply isn’t going to touch the red level in this cycle at all. Related Reading: Bitcoin Mayer Multiple Retraces To Lower Bound—What Comes Next? The Bitcoin aSOPR is now slowly inching toward the end of its converging channel, so a breakout one way or the other could happen soon. It only remains to be seen which direction the indicator will exit. BTC Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading around $86,300, down 9% over the last week. Featured image from Dall-E, CryptoQuant.com, chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin price started a recovery wave above $88,000. BTC is now struggling and might face hurdles near the $89,500 zone and $90,000. Bitcoin started a recovery wave and climbed toward $89,000. The price is trading above $86,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $89,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might continue to move down if it settles below the $86,000 zone. Bitcoin Price Faces Resistance Bitcoin price managed to stay above the $82,000 level. BTC formed a base and recently started a recovery wave above the $85,000 resistance zone. There was a move above the $86,500 resistance zone. The bulls pushed the price above the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $92,872 swing high to the $80,595 low. However, the bears seem to be active below the $90,000 zone. Besides, there is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $89,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. Bitcoin is now trading above $87,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. If the bulls attempt another recovery wave, the price could face resistance near the $88,500 level. The first key resistance is near the $89,000 level and the trend line. The next resistance could be $90,000 or the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $92,872 swing high to the $80,595 low. A close above the $90,000 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $92,500 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $93,200 level. The next barrier for the bulls could be $94,500 and $95,000. Another Decline In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $89,000 resistance zone, it could start another decline. Immediate support is near the $86,750 level. The first major support is near the $86,000 level. The next support is now near the $83,500 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $82,500 support in the near term. The main support sits at $80,000, below which BTC might accelerate lower in the near term. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now losing pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $86,000, followed by $83,500. Major Resistance Levels – $89,000 and $90,000.

Bitcoin is struggling to reclaim momentum as it trades below the critical $90,000 level, with selling pressure dominating the market and fear spreading rapidly. Many analysts are leaning toward calling the start of a new bear market, arguing that Bitcoin likely topped in early October near $126,000. Momentum has weakened sharply since then, and investor behavior now reflects a shift toward risk-off positioning. Related Reading: Anti-CZ Whale Loses Big: $61M in Profit Wiped Out As Ethereum and XRP Longs Collapse A new report from CryptoOnchain, published via CryptoQuant, highlights one of the most significant developments of this cycle: a historic 63,000 BTC has moved from long-term holders (LTHs) to short-term holders (STHs). This unprecedented transfer is clearly visible in the Long-Term Holder Net Position Change chart, which shows a massive red bar — a negative daily difference signaling heavy outflows from long-term holder wallets. This type of behavior typically appears during late-stage bull markets or near local and cycle tops, when long-time investors with substantial profit margins begin realizing gains. At the same time, the corresponding Short-Term Holder Net Position Change chart shows a huge green bar, confirming that newer, more reactive market participants are buying these coins, often at elevated prices. Long-Term Holders Distribute as Short-Term Buyers Absorb Supply CryptoOnchain explains that the current market structure is being shaped by a clear divergence in behavior between Long-Term Holders (LTHs) and Short-Term Holders (STHs). LTHs — historically considered the “strong hands” of the market — are now heavily distributing, sending large amounts of Bitcoin into the market after months or even years of holding. At the same time, STHs are aggressively buying and accumulating this supply, often entering positions at elevated prices despite growing volatility. This dynamic is not inherently a bearish signal on its own. In fact, such transitions are common during late-stage bull markets, where early investors secure profits while new participants enter the market with fresh capital. It reflects a natural rotation of supply from experienced holders to newer ones, a pattern seen repeatedly in previous cycles. However, the volume of distribution is significant, and it raises an important risk: if incoming demand fails to fully absorb the coins being offloaded by LTHs, the market could face a deeper correction or extended consolidation phase. This supply pressure can weigh on price, especially in a context where sentiment is fragile and macro conditions remain uncertain. Related Reading: STH Panic Emerges as Bitcoin Crashes To $81K: Realized P/L Turns Negative For The First Time This Cycle Weekly Chart Signals a Critical Retest of Macro Support Bitcoin is attempting to stabilize around the $87,000 level after an intense multi-week sell-off that dragged price as low as $85,946. On the weekly chart, Bitcoin has now tapped the 100-week moving average (green line), a historically important support level during bull-market retracements. This line acted as a springboard in previous cycles, but the current bounce remains weak and indecisive, reflecting the fear dominating the market. Momentum has clearly shifted bearish. The breakdown from the $110K–$100K consolidation zone triggered accelerated selling, confirming a loss of market structure on the weekly timeframe. Candles over the past three weeks show high-volume distribution, with sellers overwhelming demand each time Bitcoin attempted to reclaim higher levels. The steep slope of the 50-week MA turning slightly down is another sign that trend strength has softened. Related Reading: Bitcoin OG Owen Gunden Deposits Final 2,499 BTC ($228M) to Kraken – Details However, the reaction at the 100-week MA is critical. Bulls aggressively defended this area in prior macro corrections, and holding above $83K–$86K keeps the long-term bull structure intact. A weekly close below this zone, however, opens the door to deeper downside toward the 200-week MA near $56K–$60K. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com

Crypto analyst Crypto Waterman, who predicted the Bitcoin price action with Chinese Astrology, has revealed when the flagship crypto will surge alongside altcoins. This comes as BTC looks to rebound from its recent crash to as low as $81,000.  Analyst Reveals When The Bitcoin Price Will Surge  In an X post, Crypto Waterman predicted that the Bitcoin price would surge from December 5 after it bottoms between November 28 and 29, when Mercury retrograde ends. He further remarked that there will be high swings up and down between November 29 and December 5, noting that the current market action is similar to mid-July 2021 in the previous cycle.  Related Reading: Analyst Who Sold Bitcoin At $102,000 Predicts Crash To $40,000, But There’s Something Else The crypto analyst stated that the Bitcoin price rise will happen from December 5 to December 18 for two weeks, with the relief rally sending BTC to between $100,000 and $110,000. Once that happens, he predicts a three-week dip from December 18 to January 6, which will push BTC down to between $90,000 and $100,000.  After the dip, Crypto Waterman predicts that the Bitcoin price will rise from December 6 to mid-February, hitting a new all-time high (ATH) during that period. He expects the flagship crypto to rally to between $140,000 and $145,000. Notably, the crypto analyst has so far accurately predicted the November BTC price action, which he claimed was with the help of Chinese astrology.  Based on this, the crypto analyst is confident that the Bitcoin price is about to have its final leg in this bull market cycle. He also expects altcoins to witness one final rally to the upside, predicting that altseason should happen between January and February. Crypto Waterman also revealed that he plans to exit most of his bags in mid-February or the beginning of March as the market enters the horse year.  ‘Too Early’ To Call For New ATH Crypto analyst Colin has indicated that it is too early to predict that the Bitcoin price could reach a new all-time high. This follows the recent BTC rebound from its lows of around $81,000 last week. The analyst explained that a bounce was inevitable after the flagship crypto was so oversold. However, he isn’t flipping macro bullish on expecting a new ATH too quickly.  Related Reading: Bitcoin To Suffer 40% Crash From All-Time High? Analyst Reveals ‘Final Target’ The analyst further remarked that such a bounce says nothing about new ATHs and that BTC must reclaim major key levels well above current levels to have a chance of reaching new ATHs. He added that he expects the Bitcoin price to reach $100,000 on this bounce, but that won’t mean that a new ATH is in sight.  At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $87,500, up almost 2% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Pngtree, chart from Tradingview.com

Bitcoin price started another decline below $88,000. BTC is now attempting to recover and might face hurdles near the $89,500 zone. Bitcoin started a fresh decline below $90,000 and $88,000. The price is trading below $89,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $89,500 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might continue to move down if it settles below the $85,000 zone. Bitcoin Price Attempts Recovery Bitcoin price failed to stay in a positive zone above the $90,000 level. BTC bears remained active below $88,000 and pushed the price lower. The bears gained strength and were able to push the price below the $85,000 zone. A low was formed at $80,595, and the price is now attempting to recover. There was a move above $85,000. The price climbed above the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $92,872 swing high to the $80,595 low. Bitcoin is now trading below $89,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. Besides, there is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at $89,500 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. If the bulls attempt another recovery wave, the price could face resistance near the $88,150 level and the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $92,872 swing high to the $80,595 low. The first key resistance is near the $89,500 level and the trend line. The next resistance could be $90,000. A close above the $90,000 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $92,500 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $93,200 level. The next barrier for the bulls could be $94,500 and $95,000. More Losses In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $89,500 resistance zone, it could start another decline. Immediate support is near the $86,500 level. The first major support is near the $85,000 level. The next support is now near the $83,500 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $82,500 support in the near term. The main support sits at $80,000, below which BTC might accelerate lower in the near term. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now losing pace in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $86,500, followed by $85,000. Major Resistance Levels – $89,500 and $90,000.

After days of intense bearish action, the price of Bitcoin appears to be entering a calmer state, as it recovers above the $86,000 level. The latest on-chain data shows that several investors tried to take some profit in the past week, providing a basis for the premier cryptocurrency registering a double-digit loss.  Bitcoin Exchange Inflow Spikes As Price Faces Downward Pressure  In a recent post on the social media platform X, crypto analyst Ali Martinez revealed that significant Bitcoin amounts were sent to centralized exchanges in the past week. Data from Santiment shows that about $20,000 BTC (worth nearly $2 billion) has been moved to these exchanges in the past seven days. Related Reading: Risks To Crypto Market Ahead Of Key MSCI Ruling: Will It Spark A New Bitcoin Sell-Off? The relevant indicator in this on-chain observation is the Exchange Inflow metric, which tracks the volume of an asset (in this case, Bitcoin) that flows to centralized exchanges within a specified period. This metric is often important because one of the prominent exchanges’ service offerings is selling. Hence, an increase in the Exchange Inflow metric suggests the potential offloading of an asset by investors. The resulting increased supply of this cryptocurrency in the open market often adds downward pressure on the coin’s price, especially if there is no corresponding increase in demand. In a separate post on X, CryptoQuant’s head of research, Julio Moreno, shared a data piece supporting the recent spike in exchange inflows. According to data highlighted by the crypto researcher, the Bitcoin exchange inflows stood at about 81,000 BTC (the highest level seen since mid-July) on Friday, November 21. Ultimately, this recent spike in exchange inflows explains the volatility experienced by the price of Bitcoin on Friday. The flagship cryptocurrency succumbed to significant bearish pressure, seeing its price fall to just above $80,000 as the weekend approached. As of this writing, the price of BTC stands at around $86,070, reflecting an over 2% jump in the past 24 hours. Bitcoin In Profit-Taking Phase: CryptoQuant CEO CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju revealed that Bitcoin is in a profit-taking phase, as evidenced by the rising exchange inflows. The crypto founder made this assertion based on the PnL Index Signal, which measures profit and loss levels using all wallets’ cost basis. With the current reading of the PnL Index Signal, Ju proclaimed that the classic cycle theory says that BTC is entering a bear market. According to the CryptoQuant CEO, only macro liquidity can override the profit-taking cycle—just as seen in 2020.  Hence, all eyes will be on the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting in December, especially with the falling expectations of an interest rate cut by the US Federal Reserve (Fed).  Related Reading: XRP Price Has Surged 15% Anytime This Metric Appeared In The Past Featured image from iStock, chart from TradingView