Bull flags are historically associated with more upside momentum, but Bitcoin price could still use a catalyst before rallying to new highs.
On-chain analytics firm Spot On Chain’s team of analysts, using Google Cloud’s Vertex artificial intelligence (AI), has conducted an in-depth analysis to forecast the future price of Bitcoin (BTC). Their latest report provides valuable insights into the leading cryptocurrency’s short-, medium-, and long-term outlook. Bitcoin Price Forecasts According to Spot On Chain’s report, Bitcoin prices are expected to fluctuate between $56,000 and $70,000 during May, June, and July 2024. This projected range indicates the potential for market volatility, with a 48% probability assigned to the scenario where BTC prices may dip below $60,000. Moreover, the report advises a cautious approach, acknowledging the possibility of short-term fluctuations or corrections in the price. Related Reading: SEC Anticipated To Reject Spot Ethereum ETFs In Upcoming Decision, ETH Price Takes 5% Hit Spot On Chain’s analysis reveals a significant movement in the latter half of 2024, with a compelling 63% probability of Bitcoin reaching $100,000. This mid-term projection reflects a prevailing bullish sentiment in the market, further fueled by anticipated rate cuts after the Federal Open Market Committee’s (FOMC) December 2023 meeting. These rate cuts aim to bring the federal funds rate down to 4.6% and are expected to boost demand for risk-on assets such as stocks and Bitcoin. Looking ahead to the first half of 2025, Spot On Chain’s modeling indicates a strong probability that Bitcoin will cross the $150,000 threshold. Specifically, a 42% probability is assigned to this scenario, indicating a bullish outlook for Bitcoin’s price trajectory. What’s more, looking at the entire year of 2025, the probability of Bitcoin exceeding $150,000 rises to an eye-popping 70%. Based on historical data and patterns in previous cycles, Bitcoin reached a new all-time high approximately 6 to 12 months after the Halving event. Price Consolidation On The Horizon? Crypto analyst Retk Capital has also provided insights into the current Bitcoin price action, shedding light on key resistance levels and the potential for a consolidation phase before an anticipated parabolic upside. According to Retk Capital’s analysis, Bitcoin has consistently been rejected from the $65,600 resistance level, failing to regain it as a support level. This resistance zone has significantly impeded Bitcoin’s upward movement in recent days, as seen on the cryptocurrency’s daily BTC/USD chart below. Related Reading: HBAR Prices Crashes 35% As BlackRock Denies Any Ties To Hedera Retk Capital further highlights that Bitcoin has been witnessing downside wicks into a pool of liquidity at approximately $60,600. This occurrence has been observed over multiple weeks, indicating the presence of buyers in that price range. If Bitcoin experiences further downward movement, the analyst believes that there is a possibility that it may approach this area once again. The analyst further notes: Price dropping without context can be emotionally challenging. However, understanding that this downside is part of the consolation within a technical range-bound structure that will precede Parabolic Upside makes this experience much more comforting. As of this writing, BTC is trading at $63,900, down nearly 8% over the past two weeks and the same percentage over the past 30 days. Featured image from Shutterstock, chart from TradingView.com
The Bitcoin price continues to fluctuate wildly after crashing from its all-time high price above $73,000. This has triggered a wave of bearish sentiment in the market, causing a large number of crypto traders to go short on the pioneer cryptocurrency. As a result, these bears lose, risking a large amount if the Bitcoin price resumes its bullish rally. Bears Will Lose $7.2 Billion If Bitcoin Reclaims All-Time High In a post shared on X (formerly Twitter), crypto analyst Ash Crypto revealed an interesting trend concerning Bitcoin that has been developing. The screenshot shared shows that a large number of short trades have been placed on BTC, with the expectation that the price could continue to fall. Related Reading: Analyst Singles Out VeChain And XRP For Parabolic Surge, Here Are The Targets Now, so far, these bulls look to be right as Bitcoin has failed to successfully clear $67,000. However, they stand to lose a lot of money if BTC is able to clear this resistance and resume upward. According to Ash Crypto, there is over $7.2 billion worth of BTC shorts which risk liquidation if Bitcoin were to reach a new all-time high price above $74,000. At the time, the Bitcoin price had recovered above $66,000, spurring a flurry of bearish activity in the market. However, these bears seem to have succeeded, as the BTC price has fallen below $64,000 at the time of writing. As a result, bears have been emboldened, with the expectation that the Bitcoin price will still from here. So far, the liquidation trends risks have continued to rise as the BTC price falls. Data from Coinglass shows that if Bitcoin were to recover above $44,000 and reach a new all-time high, bears stand to lose over $10 billion. Source: Coinglass BTC Bulls Are Not Giving Up Even though Bitcoin bears seem to be making bank with the price of Bitcoin falling, the bulls are far from done. Rather, they have been using this price decline as an opportunity to fill up their bags. This accumulation has been even more prominent among Bitcoin whales, who have picked up 1.4% of the total supply in the last month. On-chain data tracker Santiment reported that in the last four weeks, Bitcoin whales have added 266,000 BTC to their balance. The cohort responsible for this are those holding between 1,000 and 10,000 BTC, making them the mega whales. In total, they spent $17.8 billion on buying BTC in just one month. Related Reading: XRP Price Ready For 70% Breakout As Long-Term Consolidation Nears Its End As a result of this accumulation, these 1,000-10,000 BTC whales now hold 25.16% of all BTC in existence. Their numbers are also on the rise, with Santiment identifying this as the “Highest crowd bullish bias since all-time high week in early March.” For now, Bitcoin continues to struggle with the bears to hold the $63,000 support. Its price is down 4.05% in the last day to trade at $63,600, at the time of writing. BTC bears pull price down | Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview.com Featured image from Coinpedia, chart from Tradingview.com
Investors are still gauging macroeconomic factors, one observer said.
Bitcoin price climbed above the $66,000 resistance zone and started consolidation. BTC is now eyeing the next move above the $67,200 resistance zone. Bitcoin is eyeing a decent increase above the $67,200 resistance zone. The price is trading above $65,500 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at $65,900 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair could gain bullish momentum if it clears the $67,200 resistance zone. Bitcoin Price Eyes More Upsides Bitcoin price started a fresh increase above the $65,500 and $66,000 resistance levels. BTC even climbed above the $67,000 level. It traded as high as $67,200 and is currently consolidating gains. There was a minor decline below the $66,500 level, but the price remained stable above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $64,280 swing low to the $67,200 low. Bitcoin price is still trading above $65,500 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is also a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at $65,900 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. The trend line is near the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $64,280 swing low to the $67,200 low. Immediate resistance is near the $67,000 level. The first major resistance could be $67,200. A clear move above the $67,200 resistance might send the price higher. The next resistance now sits at $68,500. If there is a clear move above the $68,500 resistance zone, the price could continue to move up. In the stated case, the price could rise toward $70,000. Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com The next major resistance is near the $70,500 zone. Any more gains might send Bitcoin toward the $72,000 resistance zone in the near term. Are Dips Limited In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $67,000 resistance zone, it could start a downside correction. Immediate support on the downside is near the $66,200 level. The first major support is $66,000 or the trend line. If there is a close below $66,000, the price could start to drop toward $65,400. Any more losses might send the price toward the $64,200 support zone in the near term. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now losing pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $66,200, followed by $66,000. Major Resistance Levels – $67,000, $67,200, and $68,500.
Crypto analyst Bluntz Capital has predicted a strong price surge for Bitcoin in the coming days, and a new all-time high could be in the books. Bluntz dropped his two cents on Bitcoin’s trajectory on the social media platform X, amidst various price outlooks for the cryptocurrency in recent days. Bluntz is well known for […]
Bitcoin price has gained 58% since January, but Unchained researcher Joe Burnett says there are plenty of reasons for investors to keep buying BTC.
Bitcoin price is outperforming Tesla stock for the first time since 2019, though the EV giant still maintains a sizeable BTC stash.
A recent analysis paints a rosy picture of Bitcoin’s future, even with a conservative growth projection. Taking to X, Michael Sullivan predicts that the world’s most valuable coin could reach a staggering $245,000 within just five years if it maintains a mere 30% compound annual growth rate (CAGR). Bitcoin Projections: From Conservative To Exponential Growth The analysis explores various growth possibilities for Bitcoin. Assuming the coin’s growth rate significantly contracts in the coming years, growing at just 30% CAGR, Sullivan projects the coin to reach $245,000 by 2029. A decade later, it will be at $909,000; by 2039, each coin in circulation will be trading at a whopping $3.37 million. If, however, the CAGR rises to 40%, Bitcoin would be worth $10.3 million in 15 years and $1.9 million in 10 years. Related Reading: Market Expert Predicts New Paradigm For Bitcoin: ‘Days Under $100,000 Numbered’ Still, even at these mega valuations, Bitcoin has been soaring at unprecedented rates, outperforming all traditional finance assets since launching. To demonstrate, Bitcoin registered a CAGR of 73.7% over the past four years. Therefore, if this trend continues, Sullivan says BTC will smash above the $1 million level a year after halving in 2028. However, half a decade later, each coin will change hands at over $16.5 million. A look back at Bitcoin’s history makes it clear that the coin has been on a tear. Following this historical trend and making projections for the future, BTC could be far more valuable in the next five or ten years. There Are No Guarantees, Crypto Is Dynamic While these projections are undoubtedly exciting for Bitcoin holders, it’s crucial to remember that they are just projections. The crypto market, just like any other tradable asset, doesn’t move in straight lines. Related Reading: Shiba Inu Whales Move Over 3.19 Trillion SHIB, Where Are They Headed? As an illustration, after peaking at nearly $70,000 in 2021, prices crashed to as low as $15,600 the following year. In 2017, BTC rose to around $20,000 before tanking to below $4,000 a year later in 2018. This volatility and the dynamic market, influenced by new circumstances, don’t guarantee these lofty projections. Nonetheless, analysts remain optimistic of what lies ahead, especially after the historic Halving event on April 20. As traditional finance players join in, finding exposure in BTC through spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs), prices might rise, even breaking above the all-time highs of around $74,000. Feature image from DALLE, chart from TradingView
Bitcoin price extended its increase and climbed above the $66,000 resistance zone. BTC is now showing positive signs and might find bids near $65,500. Bitcoin gained pace for a move above the $65,500 resistance zone. The price is trading above $65,500 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a key bullish trend line forming with support at $65,700 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair could correct lower, but the bulls might remain active near the $65,500 support. Bitcoin Price Gains Strength Bitcoin price started a fresh increase above the $64,500 and $65,000 resistance levels. BTC bulls even pushed the price above the $66,000 resistance. It traded to a new weekly high at $67,200 and is currently consolidating gains. The price is slowly moving lower toward the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $64,281 swing low to the $67,200 low. Bitcoin price is still trading above $65,500 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is also a key bullish trend line forming with support at $65,700 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. The trend line is near the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $64,281 swing low to the $67,200 low. Immediate resistance is near the $67,000 level. The first major resistance could be $67,200. The next resistance now sits at $68,500. If there is a clear move above the $68,500 resistance zone, the price could continue to move up. In the stated case, the price could rise toward $70,000. Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com The next major resistance is near the $70,500 zone. Any more gains might send Bitcoin toward the $72,000 resistance zone in the near term. Downside Correction In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $67,000 resistance zone, it could start a downside correction. Immediate support on the downside is near the $66,500 level. The first major support is $65,700 or the trend line. If there is a close below $65,500, the price could start to drop toward $65,000. Any more losses might send the price toward the $64,200 support zone in the near term. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now losing pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $66,500, followed by $65,500. Major Resistance Levels – $67,000, $67,200, and $68,500.
Bitcoin exchange Mt. Gox has reportedly begun repaying its users, providing a glimmer of hope for those affected by the exchange’s infamous hack over a decade ago. The trustee of Mt. Gox confirmed the verification process for eligible repayment clients three months ago, and now users are seeing actual payments being made. However, the repayment […]
Analysts expect Bitcoin price to test the $80,000 zone now that the halving is complete and BTC’s funding rate reset.
Bitcoin price recovered and climbed above the $64,000 resistance zone. BTC is now facing hurdles near the $65,500 and $66,000 levels. Bitcoin is now struggling to gain pace for a move above the $65,500 resistance zone. The price is trading above $64,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a key contracting triangle forming with resistance at $65,100 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair could start a fresh surge if it clears the $65,500 resistance zone. Bitcoin Price Starts Increase Bitcoin price found support above $60,000 and started a fresh increase. BTC climbed above the $62,500 and $63,500 resistance levels. The bulls even pushed the price above the $65,000 level. However, the bears seem to be active near the $65,500 zone. The recent high was formed at $65,598 and the price is now consolidating gains. There was a drop below the $65,000 level, but the price is still above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $59,666 swing low to the $65,598 low. Bitcoin price is trading above $64,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. Immediate resistance is near the $65,100 level. There is also a key contracting triangle forming with resistance at $65,100 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. The first major resistance could be $65,500. The next resistance now sits at $66,000. If there is a clear move above the $66,000 resistance zone, the price could continue to move up. In the stated case, the price could rise toward $67,500. Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com The next major resistance is near the $68,500 zone. Any more gains might send Bitcoin toward the $70,000 resistance zone in the near term. Downside Correction In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $65,500 resistance zone, it could start a downside correction. Immediate support on the downside is near the $64,500 level. The first major support is $64,000. If there is a close below $64,000, the price could start to drop toward the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $59,666 swing low to the $65,598 low at $62,500. Any more losses might send the price toward the $61,200 support zone in the near term. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now losing pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now near the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $64,500, followed by $64,000. Major Resistance Levels – $65,100, $65,500, and $66,000.
Experts say the price of Bitcoin could top $200,000 by 2028 but concerns around network security and miner profitability still loom.
Crypto expert Michaël van de Poppe has provided insights into what to expect when the Bitcoin halving occurs on April 19. As part of his analysis, van de Poppe suggested that the attention might shift from Bitcoin once the event occurs. A Narrative Shift To Occur Post-Halving Van de Poppe mentioned in an X (formerly Twitter) post that narratives will change as the halving event approaches but failed to specify what the new narrative will be when this happens. However, in a previous X post, the crypto expert laid out some of his expectations for the crypto market going forward, which included what he expected the new narrative to be. Related Reading: XRP Whales Are On The Move Again, But Are They Bullish Or Bearish? According to Van de Poppe, the narrative will shift to Ethereum (ETH) and projects that are focused on Decentralized Physical Infrastructure Networks (DePIN) and Real World Assets (RWA). These sectors, along with Artificial Intelligence (AI) and meme coins, have been projected to be among the leading narratives in this bull run. Meanwhile, the crypto expert, who has so far continued to state that altcoins are greatly undervalued, expects these crypto tokens to bounce “in their Bitcoin pairs” once the hype around the halving is over. Furthermore, Van de Poppe mentioned that altcoins will show bullish strength from this second quarter until the summer after which a correction will come in the third quarter of the year. Before now, the crypto expert listed ten altcoins he believes could make the most price gains when the altcoin season begins in full force. These tokens include Chainlink (LINK), Celestia (TIA), Arbitrum (ARB), Polkadot (DOT), Cosmos (ATOM), DYDX (DYDX), WooNetwork (WOO), Sei (SEI), Skale Network (SKL), and Covalent (CQT). Expectations For Bitcoin In the short term, Van de Poppe expects Bitcoin to experience a relief bounce to around $70,000. However, he didn’t sound so bullish about the flagship crypto’s long-term trajectory, predicting that Bitcoin will face a period of consolidation that he doesn’t expect to change in the “coming months.” In another X post, he said, “It’s a waiting game on Bitcoin currently, as momentum is relatively gone.” He added that he expects Bitcoin to continue “the retracement and consolidation,” while altcoins will bounce up in their BTC pairs during this period. Related Reading: Crypto Analyst Predicts Cardano Rally To $3 As Price Reaches ‘Ultimate Support Test’ This predicted consolidation period looks to be the re-accumulation phase in the stages of Bitcoin halving, which crypto analyst Rekt Capital once referred to. Elaborating on what this period is like, Rekt Capital stated back then that many investors get “shaken out in this stage due to boredom, impatience, and disappointment with lack of major results in their BTC investment in the immediate aftermath of the Halving.” Once this period is over, Bitcoin is expected to make its “parabolic uptrend,” a phase that Rekt Capital noted historically lasts just over a year. In line with this, it is worth noting that most of Bitcoin’s price gains usually come between six months to a year after the Bitcoin halving has occurred. BTC price shows bullish momentum ahead of halving | Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview.com Featured image from Yahoo Finance, chart from Tradingview.com
In a recent interview on the future of Bitcoin, Anthony Scaramucci, the founder and managing partner of Skybridge Capital, has made a compelling prediction that the Bitcoin price could potentially reach $200,000 following its forthcoming halving event. This forecast comes at a time of considerable volatility within the crypto markets, exacerbated by recent geopolitical tensions and broader economic uncertainty. Bitcoin Poised To Hit $200,000 During the interview, Scaramucci provided insights into the forces he believes will drive Bitcoin’s price in the coming months. “Well, I mean, look, you could get shocks like wars and you could get, you know, God forbid a terrorist calamity or something like that that could take Bitcoin down 10 or 15%,” he explained. Despite potential short-term setbacks, Scaramucci emphasized the underlying demand dynamics bolstering Bitcoin’s price, particularly highlighting the influence of new financial products like ETFs and the growing interest from institutional investors. Related Reading: Bitcoin Miners Always Sell Into Halvings, Is This Time Any Different? He elaborated on his bullish outlook, linking it to the anticipated Bitcoin halving, an event that historically impacts the supply side of Bitcoin economics by reducing the reward for mining new blocks, thereby constraining supply. “But long term with the halving coming this week, I think this thing trades to $170,000, possibly to $200,000,” Scaramucci asserted. The discussion also veered into the broader implications of Bitcoin’s integration into traditional financial products, such as ETFs. Scaramucci argued that these instruments play a critical role in broadening Bitcoin’s investor base. He dismissed concerns over the potential for ETFs to lead to centralization of Bitcoin ownership. “In terms of adoption vis-a-vis the ETF, you look out your four-year time horizon. […] It will still be less than 10 % of the overall ownership of Bitcoin. So this whole notion that the ETFs are gonna overly centralize Bitcoin, I don’t buy it. I think what the ETFs are, though, is they’re a great conduit for people that are used to buying them.” BTC Is Still In The Web 1.0 Era Scaramucci compared Bitcoin’s trajectory to the early internet era, particularly drawing parallels with significant tech stocks like Amazon during the dot-com bubble. “In 1999, Amazon was an emerging stock on an emerging technology, and it was quite volatile. And you lost 20 to 50 % eight times on Amazon. You lost 80%. Yeah, that one time in March of 2020, it went down 80%. But if you held Amazon over that period of time, $10,000 is worth a little over $14 million today.” Related Reading: No Fed Rate Cuts? No Worries For Bitcoin, Says Research Firm He also addressed concerns about Bitcoin’s practical uses, contrasting its current utility with more traditional assets like gold, which also do not offer direct cash flow. Scaramucci highlighted innovative financial practices within the crypto ecosystem that provide returns similar to traditional cash flow, such as yield-generating accounts and borrowing agreements available through platforms like Galaxy Digital. Regarding potential market downturns akin to the dot-com bust, Scaramucci acknowledged the risks but remained optimistic about Bitcoin’s resilience and long-term value proposition. “I think if we go through a dot-com bust in the broader market in the next year or two, I think you’ll have a price shock in Bitcoin consistent with a dot-com bust. However, if you’re willing to hold that asset, which we are over a rolling four-year period of time, no one has ever lost money in Bitcoin,” he noted, underscoring the importance of a long-term investment horizon. At press time, the BTC price rallied back above $64,000. Featured image from Bloomberg, chart from TradingView.com
A record 27,700 Bitcoin was sent to ‘accumulation addresses’ on April 16, as the price of Bitcoin tumbled below $63,000.
Analysts at Goldman Sachs, a leading global banking and investment management firm, have offered valuable insights into the anticipated effects of the forthcoming Bitcoin halving, on the price of the cryptocurrency. They emphasize that while the Bitcoin halving is a noteworthy event, other major factors will likely exert greater influence on Bitcoin’s future value. Bitcoin Halving To Play Lesser Role In BTC’s Outlook In a note to clients, Goldman Sach’s analysts have cautioned against reading too much into the past Bitcoin halving cycles and their impact on the cryptocurrency. Based on historical trends, the Bitcoin halving cycles tend to have a favorable effect on the value of Bitcoin, often triggering a bull run. The bank noted that whether the Bitcoin halving scheduled for April 20, becomes a “buy the rumor, sell the news event,” it would hold less significance for the cryptocurrency’s medium-term outlook. They argue that the future performance of the pioneer cryptocurrency would be more heavily influenced by the supply and demand dynamics within the current market. Additionally, the analysts highlighted that the growing interest and demand for Spot Bitcoin Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) combined with the self-reflexive nature of the crypto market would be the primary contributing factor to Bitcoin’s price action and future outlook. Sharing a similar perspective, analysts at CryptoQuant disclosed earlier in April that the 2024 Bitcoin halving was no longer a primary catalyst for Bitcoin’s bullish surge. They highlighted that factors such as increasing demand from large-scale investors and diminishing supply were now the key drivers of Bitcoin’s upward momentum. Analysts Warn Of Macroeconomic Influence On New Halving Cycle Analysts at Goldman Sachs have predicted that macroeconomic factors such as inflation could have a significant influence on the upcoming Bitcoin halving event. “Caution should be taken against extrapolating the past cycles and the impact of halving, given the respective prevailing macro conditions,” Goldman Sachs analysts noted. Related Reading: Crypto Analyst Says Don’t Buy Altcoins Just Yet – Here’s Why Unlike previous halving cycles, the present economic conditions display high inflationary pressures and interest rates, which could cause the 2024 Bitcoin halving cycle to diverge from historical patterns. In other words, the analysts have suggested that for Bitcoin’s historical halving bull runs to occur, macro conditions need to be supportive of investor risk-taking. Currently, the United States faces challenges with high inflation, while interest rates stand above 5%. These conditions may exert pressure on Bitcoin’s market dynamics. However, despite the prevailing circumstances, many see the digital currency as a formidable inflation hedge and a beacon of hope against escalating inflationary pressures. BTC price at $62,000 | Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview.com Featured image from CryptoSlate, chart from Tradingview.com
Bitcoin has seen its price suffer from the tremendous selling pressure that has filled the market over the last few weeks. However, as investors hope for relief, it seems that the sellers are far from done, with one notable Bitcoin sell transaction in particular sending the market into a frenzy. Whale Dumps $1 Billion Worth Of Bitcoin Whale tracker Whale Alert took to X (formerly Twitter) to inform the crypto community of a large Bitcoin transaction that was participating in the sell-off. The transaction was carrying a total of 16,276 BTC which was worth around $1 billion at the time that the transaction was carried out. Related Reading: XRP Whales Are On The Move Again, But Are They Bullish Or Bearish? While large transactions are not out of the ordinary, their destination is often the determinant of whether it is a bearish or bullish transaction. In cases where the coins are headed away from centralized exchanges and into personal wallets, it can be bullish because this often means that the investors are consolidating their coins into personal private storage and don’t plan on selling. However, in cases where coins are being transferred to centralized exchanges, it can be very bearish since it often means that investors are looking to sell their coins. This was the case with the $1 billion Bitcoin transaction, as the 16,276 BTC were transferred to the Binance exchange. Naturally, the transaction caused a stir among investors who contemplated the impact that such a large sell-off could have on the price of the cryptocurrency. However, the origin of the transaction would be revealed soon after, and prices would stabilize as a result. Binance Says 16,276 BTC Transaction Was SAFU Fund Conversion In the early hours of Thursday, Binance, the largest crypto exchange in the world, took responsibility for the 16,276 BTC transaction that was sent to the exchange. The funds were reportedly from its emergency insurance fund known as the Secure Asset Fund for Users (SAFU) fund. Related Reading: Crypto Analyst Says Don’t Buy Altcoins Just Yet – Here’s Why According to the announcement, the exchange is converting this insurance fund into stable coins to avoid fluctuations in price associated with Bitcoin. Binance explains that it maintains the balance of this fund at $1 billion, which represents an ample level that is enough to safeguard user funds on the exchange. As to why the exchange chose USDC as its stablecoin of choice, it said, “Making use of a trusted, audited, and transparent stablecoin for SAFU further enhances its reliability and ensures it remains stable at $1B.” The Bitcoin has since been converted to USDC, and the SAFU wallet maintains a balance of 1 billion USDC. BTC price stages another recovery | Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview.com Featured image from Bitcoin News, chart from Tradingview.com
As the US economy grapples with rising inflation expectations and scaled-back forecasts for Federal Reserve rate cuts, the Bitcoin market remains buoyant, according to a detailed analysis by Reflexivity Research. With the US CPI headline inflation projected to accelerate to 4.8% by the November 2024 elections, according to Bank of America, conditions are seemingly unfavorable for a loosening of monetary policy. Despite this, the cryptocurrency sector, particularly Bitcoin, appears insulated and optimistic. Bitcoin Unfazed By Delayed Rate Cuts? The bond market now anticipates only three Federal Reserve rate cuts this year, a significant reduction from the earlier forecast of six. The CME FedWatch tool indicates that the majority of market participants do not expect a rate cut to occur before the mid-September FOMC meeting. This adjustment reflects a recalibration of expectations regarding the Fed’s capacity to manage persistent inflation pressures. Amidst these macroeconomic shifts, Ritik Goyal, in a guest post for Reflexivity Research, presents a compelling analysis in his report titled “The Fed is Unable to Cause a Recession. Risk Assets are Yet to Realize This.” Related Reading: Pre-Halving Jitters: Bitcoin Price Briefly Slips Below $60,000 The report argues that, contrary to conventional wisdom, the Federal Reserve’s rate hikes have had unintended stimulative effects on the economy. Goyal elucidates three specific mechanisms through which this phenomenon operates: 1. Increased Government Interest Payments: “Rate hikes raised interest payments by the government to the private sector,” Goyal notes. As the Fed raises rates, it increases the interest burden on the government, which has borrowed extensively during the post-COVID period. With the federal debt-to-GDP ratio exceeding 120%, the doubled interest payments now effectively act as a stimulus, channeling approximately $1 trillion annually to the private sector 2. Direct Subsidy to Banking System: The Fed’s policy adjustments have also led to a redistribution of wealth within the financial system. “Rate hikes raised the Fed’s direct subsidy to the banking system,” states Goyal. This has occurred as the yield curve inversion resulted in the Fed incurring losses on its balance sheet, losses that directly benefit the banking sector, translating to an estimated $150 billion annual subsidy. Related Reading: Bitcoin Displays Bullish Adam And Eve Double Bottom: What It Means 3. Induced Housing Construction Boom: The rate hikes have paradoxically stimulated the housing market. “Rate hikes induced a housing construction boom,” according to Goyal. As higher rates discourage existing homeowners from selling, the only viable option to meet housing demand is new construction, a sector with one of the highest GDP multipliers. Goyal’s insights underline a critical misalignment in the Fed’s current approach against the backdrop of substantial fiscal interventions since the pandemic. “The traditional monetary policy framework is breaking down under the weight of fiscal dominance,” Goyal concludes, suggesting an environment that could favor non-traditional assets like Bitcoin. Echoing Goyal’s findings, crypto expert Will Clemente highlighted the broader implications for cryptocurrencies on X (formerly Twitter), stating, “With debt/GDP as high as it is, we’re in a backwards world where high rates mean interest payments on debt are stimmy checks for people that buy assets—~$1T will be paid out in 2024. Big picture is very constructive for the internet coins.” At press time, BTC traded at $61,173. Featured image from Shutterstock, chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin price losses crucial support at $60,000 as inflows to the spot Bitcoin ETFs stagnate.
Cryptocurrency exchange and trading platform, Bybit has released a new report highlighting the impacts of the upcoming Bitcoin halving event on the supply dynamics of Bitcoin within exchanges in the crypto space. The crypto firm has provided valuable insights on how the halving event would enhance scarcity and considerably influence the price of BTC. Exchanges Set To Face Bitcoin Supply Crunch On Tuesday, April 16, Bybit published a new report, providing a detailed analysis of the Bitcoin halving event set to take place this month. The crypto firm disclosed that the Bitcoin reserves within the world’s crypto exchanges have been depleting at a rapid pace, leaving only nine months of BTC supply left on exchanges. Related Reading: Arbitrum’s Massive $107 Million Token Unlock Threatens To Send Price Below $1 For a clearer perspective, Bybit explains that with just two million Bitcoin left in its total supply, a daily influx of $500 million into Spot Bitcoin ETFs would result in approximately 7,142 BTC leaving exchanges daily. This suggests that it would take only nine months to completely consume all of the remaining BTC reserves on exchanges. Bybit has stated that a major contributor to this supply squeeze would be the upcoming Bitcoin halving event, which would reduce the cryptocurrency’s total supply by 50% by cutting Bitcoin miners’ rewards in half. The crypto exchange has also disclosed that after the halving event, the sell-side supply of BTC flowing into Centralized Exchanges (CEXs) will become grossly reduced. Additionally, Bitcoin’s “supply squeeze will ostensibly be worse.” BTC To Become “Twice As Rare As Gold” In its report, Bybit compared Bitcoin’s supply after the halving event with that of gold. The crypto exchange revealed that Bitcoin was steadily growing to become one of the safest investment choices, even for the most seasoned and sophisticated investors within the crypto space. According to the exchange, the Bitcoin halving event would significantly impact the cryptocurrency’s scarcity factor, making it an even rarer asset than gold. Basing this analysis on the Stock-to-Flow (S2F) ratio, Bybit disclosed that Bitcoin’s S2F ratio is around 56 currently, while gold’s ratio is 60. After the halving event this April, Bitcoin’s S2F ratio is projected to increase to 112. Related Reading: Arkham Releases Top 5 Crypto Rich List – You Won’t Believe How Much Is Inaccessible “Each Bitcoin halving sharpens the narrative of Bitcoin as not just a currency, but a scarce digital asset, akin to digital gold. This upcoming halving in 2024 will thrust BTC into an era of unprecedented scarcity, making it twice as rare as gold,” the Co-founder and CEO of Bybit, Ben Zhou stated. While highlighting the significance of Bitcoin’s rarity following the halving event, another report also disclosed that the price of Bitcoin would experience significant upward pressure post-halving. This suggests that BTC’S supply squeeze could potentially propel its price to new heights during this period. Furthermore, the report revealed that several crypto analysts predict that the post-halving increase in Bitcoin’s price would be less remarkable than the early pre-halving surge which saw the price of Bitcoin hitting new all-time highs of more than $73,000. BTC price drops below $63,000 | Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview.com Featured image from Analytics Vidhya, chart from Tradingview.com
The market for Bitcoin L2s could meet and exceed Ethereum L2s with continued development, according to Stacks’ product lead.
Bitcoin Core has officially launched version 27.0, incorporating an array of enhancements and updates designed to bolster the functionality and security of the Bitcoin network. The update, which can be downloaded from the Bitcoin Core website and GitHub, includes notable changes in network protocols, security measures, and wallet operations. Bitcoin Core is the fundamental software […]
Asset manager Blackrock has emerged as the frontrunner in the Bitcoin ETF race in terms of inflows with its IBIT ETF, which is increasingly attracting institutions’ attention as a key development showing its success. Many fund managers have flocked to invest in BlackRock’s ETF, signaling a growing interest in digital assets among traditional financial institutions. […]
Despite the active on-chain accumulation, demand for Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in the United States appears to have stagnated over the past four weeks, according to Ki Young Ju, the founder of CryptoQuant, an on-chain analytics platform. This assessment, the founder notes, is even when excluding ETF settlement transactions. Spot Bitcoin ETF Demand Slumps In The […]
Markus Thielen of 10x Research unveiled a significant shift in his crypto strategy in response to mounting financial pressures and market instability, as detailed in an investor note released earlier today. Thielen, an influential figure in the analysis sector, cited a concerning outlook on risk assets, which encompasses both technology stocks and cryptocurrencies, primarily driven by unanticipated and ongoing inflation rates. According to projections from Bank of America, US CPI headline inflation is expected to reach 4.8% by the November 2024 election. Over the past three months, month-over-month CPI inflation has averaged 0.4%. An acceleration at this speed would mean the rate is more than twice the Federal Reserve’s inflation target of 2% by November. Why 10x Research Sold (Almost) All Crypto And Risk Assets In light of this, 10x Research’s decision to divest from risky assets was catalyzed by an adverse shift in economic indicators. Notably, the US bond market is currently projecting fewer than three Federal Reserve rate cuts this year, a significant adjustment from earlier more optimistic forecasts. According to the CME FedWatch tool, the majority of market participants now think that a rate cut by the Fed will not come before the mid-September FOMC meeting. Additionally, the 10-year Treasury Yields have reached a peak of 4.61% this month, marking the highest rate since November 2023, further complicating the investment landscape for risk assets including technology stocks and cryptocurrencies. Related Reading: Bitcoin, Altcoins Price Decline As Crypto Liquidations Near $900 Million In The Past Day “Our growing concern is that risk assets are teetering on the edge of a significant price correction,” Thielen stated in the note. “We sold all our tech stocks last night as the Nasdaq is trading very poorly and reacting to the higher bond yield. We only hold a few high-conviction crypto coins. Overall, we are bearish on risk assets.” The bearish stance is further supported by the disappointing performance of US-listed spot Bitcoin ETFs. Despite the SEC’s approval of nearly a dozen such ETFs in January, which initially spurred a surge in Bitcoin prices, the influx of capital has markedly slowed. This month, the five-day average net inflows into these ETFs plummeted to zero, a stark contrast to the nearly $12 billion that flowed into these investment vehicles earlier in the year. Thielen’s comments also touched on the broader implications of the upcoming Bitcoin network’s quadrennial halving, scheduled for April 20. This event will reduce the reward for mining a block of Bitcoin by 50%, from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC. While such halvings have historically spurred bullish sentiment and price increases due to a perceived scarcity of Bitcoin, Thielen suggests that the current market conditions might dampen any potential rallies. “It is essential to understand that trading is a continuous game with high-conviction opportunities. The key is to keep analyzing the markets and uncovering those opportunities when the odds are in your favor. There are times when we advocate for a total risk-on approach and when the priority is safeguarding your capital, enabling you to seize opportunities at lower levels,” Thielen stated. Related Reading: Nervos Network CKB Token: The Market Disruptor With 75% Uptrend, Outshining Top 100 Cryptos In a notable exchange with Matthew Graham of Ryze Labs, Thielen defended his firm’s trading strategy amid criticism for what was described as erratic decision-making. Graham pointed to recent fluctuations in 10x Research’s stance on Bitcoin, citing a research note from early April that predicted a potential rally to $80,000, followed by a more cautious view and the recent sell-off. Thielen responded, “Actually, no. We have been cautious since March 8, and when the triangle breakout failed, we worked with the $68,300 stop loss. This is simply risk-reward trading.” This defense highlights the volatile nature of crypto trading and the necessity for agile strategies in response to rapidly changing market conditions. Thielen concluded, promising a strong re-entry into the market under more favorable conditions: “Will buy back with both hands at 52,000 – promise.” At press time, BTC traded at $63,045. Featured image from Shutterstock, chart from TradingView.com
Risk assets could be at a tipping point, warns Markus Thielen, who announced selling all the company’s tech stocks as his outlook turned bearish.
Over the weekend, the Bitcoin (BTC) crash had the crypto community on its toes. With the price dropping to $60,000, many investors worried that the flagship cryptocurrency was in trouble ahead of the “Halving” event. Amid the correction, Bitcoin critic Peter Schiff claimed that his previous predictions regarding spot Bitcoin ETFs (exchange-traded funds) were correct and presented the possibility of a doom drop for BTC. Related Reading: Breaking: Spot Bitcoin And Ethereum ETFs Approved In Hong Kong Peter Schiff’s Doomsday Prediction For Bitcoin Back in March, known Bitcoin opposer Peter Schiff asserted what he thought was the problem with Bitcoin ETFs. According to the economist, the problem with owning these investment products was that liquidity was limited to US market hours, which would mean that investors could not sell if the market crashed overnight. As I warned if #Bitcoin starts selling off tonight, #BitcoinETF owners can do nothing but watch and wait until the NYSE opens tomorrow morning. In the meantime it will be a long night hoping that Bitcoin doesn't crash before they have a chance to sell. https://t.co/GfLtl6Wc1S — Peter Schiff (@PeterSchiff) April 14, 2024 On Sunday afternoon, Schiff claimed that, as he previously warned, Bitcoin ETF owners would be helpless if the flagship cryptocurrency started selling off that night. BTC traded around $63,460 at the time of his post and recovered in the following hour to trade above the $65,000 support level. Earlier that day, Schiff had warned of a critical support zone for BTC. To the economist, breaking below $60,000 could “create a formidable triple top.” This trend reversal could lead to an “immediate downside projection” of $20,000. Following his dooming scenario, Schiff stated that, at that price, MicroStrategy would “have a $2.7 billion unrealized loss on 214K Bitcoin acquired at an average price of $34K.” Additionally, he believes that BTC’s price could increase “before it crashes.” Analysts Unfazed By BTC’s Correction Several analysts concurred that the correction was a “minor drop” in the macro picture. According to MacroCRG, Bitcoin’s chart “looks incredible.” The analyst stated: “They threw a full-on war at her and all it managed to do was wick the range low.” Similarly, trader and analyst Rekt Capital considers that BTC “successfully protected the Range Low of its Re-Accumulation Range as the week of the Bitcoin Halving begins.” Per the analyst’s chart, Bitcoin is at the “Last Pre-Halving Retrace” during the “Pre-Halving Rally.” If history is to repeat itself, after April 19, BTC will enter the “Re-Accumulation” phase before experiencing the “Post-Halving Parabolic Upside.” Bitcoin phases during the "Halving" event. Source: Rekt Capital on X Moreover, Crypto Jelle urged investors to “not get shaken out” as BTC is “consolidating above the previous cycle highs.” The analyst and investor reaffirmed his prediction of $82,000 after the upcoming “Halving” event. However, Jelle also set a higher target for this bull cycle. The bullish megaphone pattern on BTC’s chart “still has a pattern of $180,000” despite the recent correction, as stated in the post. The analyst claims he wouldn’t be surprised “if the meme pattern plays out once again.” The correction caused BTC to register bleeding numbers for several periods. The biggest cryptocurrency exhibits an 8.4% and a 3.1% dip in the weekly and monthly timeframes. Similarly, BTC’s market activity has decreased by 32.1% in the past day, with a trading daily volume of $42.56 billion. Nonetheless, Bitcoin has recovered 3.5% from its price 24 hours ago, currently trading at $66,275. Since the lowest point of this correction, BTC has surged 10.3%. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Downside Thrust Over Or The Bears Are Not Done Yet? Bitcoin's performance on the three-day chart. Source. BTCUSDT on TradingView Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com
The Bitcoin Halving is set to take place this week. Miners’ rewards will be cut in half from 6.25 BTC to 3.125. This event is expected to have far-reaching effects on the miners themselves, as they are bound to lose a significant amount of revenue once the halving occurs. Bitcoin Miners Could Lose Up To $10 Billion In Revenue According to a Bloomberg report, Bitcoin miners could lose up to $10 billion annually following the Bitcoin Halving. This is because these miners, who currently earn 900 BTC daily from validating transactions, would see their income drop to 450 BTC once the halving happens. However, it is worth noting that this projected revenue loss is based on Bitcoin’s current price. Related Reading: Ethereum Whales Go On Buying Spree As Market Crash Leaves Retail Panicking Therefore, this revenue loss can be cushioned if Bitcoin’s price experiences a significant surge after the halving. These miners will, however, have in mind that reliance on Bitcoin’s price rise isn’t sustainable, considering that they will also encounter subsequent bear markets, which would lead to a price decline for the flagship crypto. That is why miners like Marathon Digital and CleanSpark are reported to have invested in new equipment and have sought to weed out the competition by buying out their smaller rivals. Buying out the competition can reduce the number of miners competing for block rewards and cushion the drop in their daily revenue. Bitcoinist also previously reported that Bitcoin miners were looking to diversify their operations in a bid to boost their revenue streams and earn additional income that could cushion the effects of the halving. The artificial intelligence (AI) sector is one of those areas in which these miners are actively seeking opportunities, considering that Bitcoin mining’s infrastructure is well suited for certain AI operations. BTC Miners Facing Competition From Tech Giants Bloomberg also reported that US Bitcoin miners are facing competition from the largest tech companies in the world for electricity to power their operations. These tech giants, who also happen to be high-energy consumers, are looking for as much energy as Bitcoin miners to power their data centers. Related Reading: Market Expert Reveals Why Solana Price Is Poised To Go Higher The report further noted that electricity constraints in the US, alongside the high demand for electricity among miners and tech giants, have led to a surge in electricity rates. This development is also making it harder for Bitcoin miners to run their operations smoothly in the country. Tech companies are said to have an edge over them when acquiring power from utility companies due to their consistent revenue streams, unlike Bitcoin miners, whose success largely depends on Bitcon’s volatile price. BTC bulls reclaim control | Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview.com Featured image from Atlantic Council, chart from Tradingview.com