Fundstrat’s head of research, Tom Lee has doubled down on his initial Bitcoin prediction, strongly emphasizing that the pioneer cryptocurrency will surge to $150,000. The Wall Street strategist highlighted Bitcoin’s strong bullish outlook, believing that the cryptocurrency will eventually pull out of bearish trends soon. Bitcoin To Hit $150,000 In 2024 In a recent interview with CNBC Television, Lee expressed bullish optimism over Bitcoin’s future outlook, reaffirming his previous prediction that the cryptocurrency would reach new all-time highs of $150,000 by the end of 2024. Related Reading: Bitcoin Investors Place $500 Million In Spot BTC Bids Below Market Price Earlier in May, Lee made a bullish forecast for Bitcoin, anticipating a dramatic surge to $150,000 before the year ends. At the time, the Fundstrat head of research attributed his ambitious forecast to the cooling down of inflation in the United States (US) and a subsequent increase in the demand for BTC. However, now Lee adds that BTC could witness a sharp rebound following the conclusion of Mt Gox’s Bitcoin repayment process to creditors. During the interview, Lee suggested that the upcoming Bitcoin redistribution by Mt Gox might be driving the bearish pressure on Bitcoin’s price. Earlier in June, Mt Gox disclosed that it would officially start its $9 billion worth of BTC and Bitcoin Cash (BCH) repayment plans in July. The redistribution will see creditors being refunded and compensated for the Bitcoin exchange’s hack attack in 2014. With $9 billion worth of BTC and BCH set to flood the market, speculations are rising concerning potential sell-offs from creditors. This sentiment has led to BTC’s downward spiral, triggering stronger selling pressures from investors. Bitcoin’s price also fell below $60,000 at some point, recording even more declines as miners sold off their holdings to purchase more effective mining tools. Lee believes that following any Gox’s repayment process, Bitcoin may have a “pretty sharp rebound” in the second half of the year. Bearish Trends May Be Over For BTC Bitcoin price has successfully crossed the $60,000 threshold and is now trading at $62,523, as of writing. Since early June, the cryptocurrency has experienced a sharp downward trend, crashing by up to 20% due to the substantial outflows from Spot Bitcoin ETFs. However, Bitcoin may be getting ready for a fresh upside as analysts foresee a major rebound as miners’ selling pressure cool off and the broader crypto market stabilizes. Related Reading: Dogecoin Flashes Major Bullish Signal On 3-Day Chart, Here’s The Target Particularly, on-chain market intelligence platform, CryptoQuant has projected a potential upside for Bitcoin in the third quarter of 2024 (Q3). Furthermore, crypto analyst Ali Martinez has expressed bullish sentiment for BTC’s price prospects. In an X (formerly Twitter) post, Martinez highlighted Bitcoin’s underperformance in the previous month, describing this bearish event as a “negative June.” Despite the downtrend, the analyst foresees a strong rebound for Bitcoin in July, with an average return of 7.98% and a possible price increase to $63,200 or $63,800. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
Capriole Investments founder Charles Edwards says that multiple onchain metrics point to a “sign of weakness” in Bitcoin price.
In the latest edition of Capriole Investments’ “Bitcoin Update,” Charles Edwards, founder and CEO, examines the current state of Bitcoin through a detailed analysis of thirteen on-chain indicators to address the critical question: Is the Bitcoin cycle top in? A month after a promising technical breakout above $65.5K, which briefly touched $70K, Bitcoin experienced a […]
Some crypto analysts expect Bitcoin’s price consolidation to end based on technical chart patterns and falling exchange reserves.
Bitcoin and Ethereum users are experiencing exceptionally low fees, but why?
Bitcoin price recovered and tested the $63,650 resistance zone. BTC is now consolidating gains and might make another attempt to surpass $63,650. Bitcoin started a decent increase above the $62,500 and $63,000 levels. The price is trading above $62,250 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at $62,800 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might gain bullish momentum if it clears the $63,650 resistance zone. Bitcoin Price Holds Ground Bitcoin price started a decent upward move above the $61,200 zone. BTC was able to clear the $62,000 and $63,000 resistance levels to move into a short-term positive zone. However, the bears took a stand near the $63,650 zone. A high was formed at $63,798 and the price recently corrected some gains. There was a move below the $63,200 level. The price tested the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $59,950 swing low to the $63,798 high. Bitcoin price is now trading above $62,250 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is also a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at $62,800 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. If there is another increase, the price could face resistance near the $63,250 level. The first key resistance is near the $63,650 level. The next key resistance could be $64,000. A clear move above the $64,000 resistance might start a steady increase and send the price higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $65,000 resistance. Any more gains might send BTC toward the $66,500 resistance in the near term. Are Dips Supported In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to climb above the $63,650 resistance zone, it could slowly move down. Immediate support on the downside is near the $62,800 level and the trend line. The first major support is $62,200. The next support is now forming near $61,800 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. It is close to the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $59,950 swing low to the $63,798 high. Any more losses might send the price toward the $60,500 support zone in the near term. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now losing pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $62,800, followed by $61,800. Major Resistance Levels – $63,650, and $64,000.
It is no secret that Bitcoin miners are currently experiencing significant financial stress, especially following the completion of the fourth halving event. As a result, these vital network participants are being forced to offload their BTC holdings to offset the increasing operational costs. Interestingly, the latest on-chain data shows that the Bitcoin market is experiencing […]
Recent on-chain data shows that substantial amounts of Bitcoin have made their way to centralized exchanges in the last few days. How could this impact the Bitcoin price? Bitcoin Price To Face Further Selling Pressure? In a new post on the X platform, prominent crypto analyst Ali Martinez revealed that Bitcoin investors have been transferring their assets to centralized exchanges in recent days. The relevant indicator here is CryptoQuant’s Exchange Reserve metric, which tracks the total amount of a particular cryptocurrency held on all exchanges. Related Reading: Shiba Inu Army On The Move: 35 Billion SHIB Invade Shibarium It is worth noting that the value of this metric rises when investors are making more deposits than withdrawals of a cryptocurrency (Bitcoin, in this scenario) into centralized exchanges. Meanwhile, when the metric’s value falls, it means that holders are transferring their assets out of the trading platforms. According to CryotoQuant data, more than 14,000 BTC (valued at approximately $851.2 million) have been sent to crypto exchanges in the last four days. As shown in the chart below, the exchange reserve metric is at its highest level in nearly a month. Typically, an increase in the exchange reserve indicates high selling pressure, as investors often use centralized exchanges to sell assets. Consequently, the movement of huge amounts to trading platforms could exacerbate the downward pressure on the Bitcoin price. Furthermore, the exodus of significant amounts to centralized exchanges could trigger price volatility for the premier cryptocurrency. This would imply an increased likelihood of big price movements in the future. However, there has not been any impact on the Bitcoin price in the past day. As of this writing, the price of the premier cryptocurrency stands at around $60,700, reflecting a bare 0.3% increase in the last 24 hours. Price Rebound Imminent For BTC: Santiment Fortunately, it is not all gloom for the Bitcoin price at the moment. Prominent on-chain analytics platform Santiment has offered a positive outlook for the price of the market leader. According to the blockchain firm, Bitcoin’s recovery following dips in the past two weeks has been short-lived. Santiment believes that a price rebound is imminent for the premier cryptocurrency. The rationale behind this analysis is based on two factors; the recent negative sentiment from the crowd and the low relative strength index (RSI). Santiment said in its post: But note the continued negative sentiment pouring in from the crowd, indicating their patience is wearing thin. This, along with a low RSI of just 36, are strong indications a bounce is close. Related Reading: BlackRock Global Allocation Fund Reveals Major Bitcoin ETF Stake With 43,000 Shares Featured image from iStock, chart from TradingView
In a recent filing with the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), the BlackRock Global Allocation Fund disclosed its ownership of 43,000 shares of the asset manager’s Bitcoin ETF, iShares Bitcoin Trust, as of April 30. This announcement follows two previous filings by BlackRock on May 28, which disclosed the fund’s exposure to Bitcoin in its Strategic Global Bond Fund and Strategic Income Opportunities Portfolio. BlackRock Bitcoin ETF Investment Plan The investment giant’s move towards Bitcoin integration became evident in March when it submitted a filing to the SEC, expressing its intention to include Bitcoin ETFs in its Global Allocation Fund. BlackRock’s objective is to invest in Bitcoin ETFs that directly hold BTC, aiming to mirror the performance of the digital currency market. The company’s filing specified that the Global Allocation Fund may acquire shares in exchange-traded products (ETPs) that seek to reflect the price of Bitcoin by directly holding the cryptocurrency. However, it clarified that investments in Bitcoin ETPs will be limited to those listed and traded on recognized national securities exchanges. Related Reading: Dogecoin Profitability Rises To 75% As Shiba Inu Plunges To 52% This initiative aligns with BlackRock’s broader investment strategy for its Global Allocation Fund, a mutual fund designed to diversify investors through a wide range of assets, including equities, bonds, and potentially Bitcoin ETPs. With $17.8 billion in assets under management (AUM) and a year-to-date return of 4.61% as of March 2024, the fund aims to capitalize on global investment opportunities while effectively managing risk and pursuing long-term capital growth and income. This marks the third internal BlackRock fund to invest in Bitcoin through the iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) ETF. The Strategic Global Bond Fund, Strategic Income Opportunities Portfolio, and now the Global Allocation Fund have all recognized the potential of Bitcoin as an investment asset. Bitcoin Price Analysis In the past 24 hours, Bitcoin has shown resilience by reclaiming the $61,780 level after experiencing a dip to as low as $58,000 on Monday. This recovery suggests that the leading cryptocurrency is withstanding the selling pressure it has encountered over the past week, indicating a potential continuation of its halted uptrend. According to technical analyst Ali Martinez, Bitcoin is forming an Adam & Eve bottoming pattern, which could lead to a projected 6% increase towards $66,000 if BTC maintains a candlestick close above the $62,200 level. Furthermore, historical data indicates that July has historically been favorable for Bitcoin’s price growth, particularly in years of Halving. Analyzing the image above, 7 out of the previous 11 July months resulted in positive gains. The green months, in particular, generated an impressive upside of 16.52%, while the red months experienced a downside of 6.99%. Examining the performance of Bitcoin in the third quarter (Q3), the data presents a more balanced picture. Out of the previous 11 Q3 periods, 5 were positive. Green Q3s, on average, produced a significant upside of 33.52%, while red Q3s generated an average downside of 16.023%. Related Reading: Chainlink (LINK) To Hit New Highs? Analysts Predict $25 Target Whether historical price performance will repeat itself, leading to price gains for BTC, remains to be answered. If history were to repeat in this scenario, it could potentially result in Bitcoin retesting its all-time high, which reached $73,700 in March, potentially even surpassing it. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
Despite a recent uplift in Bitcoin market price, which saw the crypto momentarily breach the $62,000 mark, the widespread consensus among crypto analysts suggests that this increase is temporary and that the bearish pressure is far from over. Particularly, prominent crypto analyst Willy Woo voiced earlier that the minor surge was primarily a “technical” response to oversold conditions and did not indicate underlying market strengths. Related Reading: Bitcoin To Hit New Heights? Analyst Predicts 10x Growth In Few Years — Here’s How Bitcoin Bears Are Still In Control Diving into Woo’s analysis shared on Elon Musk’s X platform, Woo remarked that although Bitcoin recently rebounded from a significant dip below $60,000, fundamental market indicators remain weak, signifying that the recent price action is not a reliable indicator of sustained recovery. According to Woo, the bounce back is driven by technical factors such as the TD9 reversal and a hidden bullish divergence rather than genuine market recovery. “The markets would correct for overselling,” Woo explained, highlighting that current trading activities do not reflect a shift in the basic supply and demand dynamics essential for a genuine bullish market turnaround. He further emphasized that spot buying needs to be substantially increased for a true bullish sentiment to take hold, which remains lackluster. Nice to see some of the speculation getting purged the last few days. Still a bit heavy, still too much speculation. Bears still in control, but #Bitcoin got so oversold in the liquidations that it’s really hard to go lower without an uptick. pic.twitter.com/EJeqmaLe0Z — Willy Woo (@woonomic) June 26, 2024 Woo further points out that speculative pressures are still rampant, with an excess of synthetic coins in circulation yet to be replaced by genuine market purchases. This imbalance underscores a market dominated by speculation rather than investment, with long-term sustainability in question. The analyst suggests the market might experience a few more weeks of stagnation or minimal gains, reminding of the anticipated bounce from hash rate. Woo noted: And we are still waiting on hash rate to bounce which is a leading sign that miners have stopped selling to fund hardware upgrades. So be prepared for very boring price action for many more weeks. It’s not moon boy time. It’s time for speculators to liquidate themselves, or until they get bored and close positions. Then we can move on. Best path here is to stack spot and let degens die. BTC’s Volatile Journey And Potential 40% Drop The leading cryptocurrency by market cap has endured a tumultuous few months, marked by a significant downturn. After reaching a new high above $73,000 in March, Bitcoin has since retreated by nearly 20%, recently rebounding to just over $61,000 after briefly dipping to a 24-hour low of $60,606. This volatility aligns with analyst comments suggesting that bearish trends may continue to dominate. An analyst recently noted on X that Bitcoin holders might face further declines. Related Reading: Bitcoin’s Correction Is Not Done: $54K Could Be On The Horizon, Says Top Analyst The analyst pointed to the selling patterns of long-term holders (LTHs) during previous cycles, predicting a potential 40% drop from all-time highs. Meanwhile, on-chain data indicates that Bitcoin is hovering near a threshold that typically marks the transition into the ‘euphoria’ phase of market cycles. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
Bitcoin price is consolidating above the $60,550 support zone. BTC could avoid more downsides if it manages to recover above the $62,400 resistance. Bitcoin is still struggling to recover above the $62,200 and $62,400 levels. The price is trading above $61,500 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There was a break above a major bearish trend line with resistance at $61,250 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might start another decline unless there is a close above the $62,400 resistance zone. Bitcoin Price Faces Hurdles Bitcoin price struggled to rise above the $62,400 resistance zone. BTC again declined below $62,000, but the bulls were able to protect the $60,550 support. The recent high was formed at $62,297 and the price is now consolidating. Recently, there was a break above a major bearish trend line with resistance at $61,250 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. It is trading above the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $60,580 swing low to the $62,297 high. Bitcoin price is now trading above $61,500 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. If there is another increase, the price could face resistance near the $62,250 level. The first key resistance is near the $62,400 level. The next key resistance could be $62,500. A clear move above the $62,500 resistance might start a steady increase and send the price higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $63,500 resistance. Any more gains might send BTC toward the $64,400 resistance in the near term. Another Decline In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to climb above the $62,400 resistance zone, it could start another decline. Immediate support on the downside is near the $61,450 level and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. The first major support is $61,150 and the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $60,580 swing low to the $62,297 high. The next support is now forming near $60,550. Any more losses might send the price toward the $58,500 support zone in the near term. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now losing pace in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $61,150, followed by $60,550. Major Resistance Levels – $62,250, and $62,400.
Bitcoin is in focus, especially now that the broader market is in the red and some sectors, mostly meme coins, are sliding. Even as BTC comes under immense selling pressure, on-chain data points to strength. Over 1 Million Bitcoin Wholecoiners While the price struggles for traction, the number of wholecoiners, or addresses with at least […]
Bitcoin is struggling to shake off weakness, judging by its performance in the last few trading days. After the dump on June 24, the overall sentiment has been bearish, and sellers will likely double down, wiping gains posted in the last two days. As things stand, the sale of 4,000 BTC by the United States government is a dent for buyers. It comes hours after the German government dumped thousands of BTC early this week, forcing prices to lower. Bitcoin Trending At Oversold Territory One analyst is upbeat even amid this sense of unease across the crypto and Bitcoin markets. Citing formation in the RSI indicator, a tool for gauging momentum, the analyst is convinced prices could recover strongly going forward. Bitcoin is at its lowest overbought level in over 300 days at spot rates. This formation echoes a similar situation in 2023 when prices were stuck below $30,000. Once BTC swung to the oversold territory, prices rebounded strongly, breaking above $50,000 and reaching an all-time high in the coming months through March 2024. Related Reading: Solana Trading Plunges 93% In 24 Hours: Where Did The $100 Billion Go? Thus far, Bitcoin finds itself in the oversold territory after consolidating for roughly three months after peaking in March 2024. Then prices shot to as high as $73,800 before dumping sharply, reaching $56,500 by May 2024. Though prices have recovered, finding another ceiling at $72,000, the path of least resistance in the short term is bearish. Bitcoin is testing its horizontal range’s lower boundary for the fifth time since March. For bulls to take charge, prices must hold above the $56,500 and $60,000 zones for the bullish bias to remain. However, a confirmed breakdown below the range low might see BTC crater dropping to as low as $50,000-$52. Will BTC Bounce Higher? Capital Flow To Spot ETFs Another analyst also expects prices to recover, emphasizing the importance of the bull market support band. Sharing on X, the analyst said this support band has served as a reliable loading zone in the past bull cycle. Related Reading: Cardano (ADA) Faces Further Decline, $0.3389 Support Under Threat Its successful defense in January 2024 offers a positive precedent. With BTC at the same level, the probability of a refreshing bounce is high on the cards, providing a glimmer of hope. Despite the recent price decline and days, if not weeks, of outflows, interest in spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) is increasing. On June 26, there was $21.5 million into these products. Out of this, Fidelity and Grayscale saw inflows, according to SosoValue data. Feature image from DALLE, chart from TradingView
Amidst waves of concern surrounding the sale of Bitcoin by the US and German governments, industry experts have come forward to dispel fears, suggesting that these moves could be bullish for the market. Yesterday, the Bitcoin sector experienced heightened volatility following actions by two major governments. The German Federal Criminal Police (BKA) continued with its sales of Bitcoin, reducing its holdings from 50,000 BTC to 45,264 BTC. Concurrently, the US government transferred 4,000 BTC to Coinbase, likely aiming for liquidation, retaining a substantial 213,546 BTC in its reserves. Why This Is Bullish For Bitcoin (Long-Term) Travis Kling, founder of Ikigai Asset Management, remarked on the synchronicity of these events. “All at the same time—US Govt selling seized Silk Road Bitcoin, US Govt selling seized Banmeet Singh BTC, German Govt selling seized Movie2k BTC, Mt Gox distributing BTC after a decade. Interesting… I can’t help but look at all these actions and wonder about some kind of coordination/underlying intention,” Kling stated via X. Related Reading: Bitcoin Near ‘Euphoria’ Boundary: What Happens After A Breach? Despite concerns that these sales could pressure Bitcoin prices, experts argue that the impact on the market is likely minimal. Ki Young Ju, CEO of CryptoQuant, countered the prevalent fear, uncertainty, and doubt (FUD). He noted, “US gov’t sold 4K Bitcoin today, but it’s less likely to impact the market. Coinbase Prime handled 20-49K BTC in sell-side liquidity daily during high spot ETF inflows and 6-15K daily during low spot ETF inflows. Posting this because I’m tired of ‘gov’t selling’ FUDs,” as shared via X. Crypto analyst Skew (@52kskew) provided insights into how these transactions typically occur, “US Gov sent 3.94K BTC to Coinbase Prime to be handled by Coinbase Institutional. There’s typically two options here: OTC desks can auction off the BTC to clients (off-market buyers), or an open market auction (sold over time on the market).” Skew’s explanation makes it clear that the impact on the price is likely to be rather small. Adam Cochran, managing partner at CEHV, highlighted the resilience of Bitcoin in light of multiple bearish catalysts, “Also with US Gov FUD, Mt Gox FUD, most major airdrops finished, markets down, Nvidia off highs, BTC has had every reason to go lower, and it’s still mostly held $60k. Negative news struggling to make a dent.” Will Gold’s History Repeat Itself For BTC? Echoing a historically bullish sentiment, Alistar Milne, CIO of Altana Digital, drew parallels to past government sales of assets, “Government selling is bullish. Gordon Brown famously sold the UK’s Gold reserves for less than $300/ounce. One of the worst decisions made by a Chancellor of the Exchequer, ever. Germany & America are making far worse mistakes by selling seized BTC now. They can only sell once.” Government selling is bullish Gordon Brown famously sold the UK’s Gold reserves for less than $300/ounce. One of the worst decisions made by a Chancellor of the Exchequer, ever Germany & America are making far worse mistakes by selling seized BTC now. They can only sell once pic.twitter.com/i0rZMpuiS0 — Alistair Milne (@alistairmilne) June 26, 2024 For context, during his tenure as Chancellor of the Exchequer from 1997 to 2007, Gordon Brown made the decision to sell approximately 60% of the UK’s gold reserves between 1999 and 2002, a period known as the “Brown Bottom.” Related Reading: Bitcoin Selloff: German Gov’t Offloads Another $67 Million As Price Wobbles The sales were conducted in a series of auctions at prices that ranged between $256 and $296 per ounce—significantly below the gold price in subsequent years, which saw a substantial rise. This action is widely regarded as a financial misstep that cost the UK treasury billions in potential revenue, as gold prices surged to over $1,500 per ounce in the following decades. Moreover, there’s another bullish aspect to this. The finalization of these BTC sales could remove a significant overhang on the market as these sales are hanging above the market like a Damocles sword; once done, there’s a major downside risk for the market forever eliminated, better early than late. At press time, BTC traded at $61,117. Featured image created with DALL·E, chart from TradingView.com
Quinn Thompson, Chief Investment Officer (CIO) at Lekker Capital, articulated a strong buy signal for cryptocurrencies amidst a landscape fraught with bearish sentiment. In a statement released through the social media platform X, Thompson described the present market conditions as “one of the most obvious and attractive crypto buying opportunities of recent memory.” Lekker Capital, which has carved a niche in trading cryptocurrencies based on macroeconomic cues, provides an analysis that contrasts sharply with the prevailing market mood. Thompson’s commentary comes at a time when the broader crypto community appears enmeshed in pessimism. He expressed concern over the current trend where it’s become fashionable among crypto investors to adopt a bearish stance. “In all of my 5 years in crypto, I have never seen it be so ‘cool’ amongst crypto native investors as it is right now to be bearish,” Thompson noted, reflecting on the cyclical nature of market sentiments. Related Reading: ‘Crypto Queen’ Wanted: FBI Puts $5 Million Price Tag On OneCoin Founder’s Arrest Thompson pointed to the reactive nature of the market, particularly surrounding major events like ETF launches. He revisited the aftermath of the US spot Bitcoin ETF launch, which contrary to the bullish anticipation, saw Bitcoin’s price plunge from $49,000 to $38,000, marking a steep 22% decline in just 12 days. This event, he argued, should serve as a cautionary tale about the market’s tendency to move against consensus expectations. Addressing the most recent market dynamics, Thompson highlighted the significant impact of the sell-off that dampened the spirits of market participants, discouraging the usual strategies of buying the dip with leveraged positions. “It’s clear this most recent selloff has finally stung market participants given the lack of leveraged long dip buying,” he observed. This scenario, according to him, sets the stage for a market correction that typically follows a pattern of initial slow recovery, stabilization, and then a rapid upward movement once a catalytic event occurs. He recalled the BTC ETF leak in October as a “buy the news” event that realigned market sentiment. Furthermore, Thompson discussed the forward-looking nature of financial markets, emphasizing that the crypto market is no exception. He believes that the market has already adjusted to past events such as the Mt. Gox saga and Bitcoin sell-offs from the US and German governments. “The key thing to remember here is markets are forward looking. Citing the Mt. Gox or US and German government supply overhangs is old news – the market has priced this in. Fear and capitulation invokes an irrational near-sightedness,” the Lekker Capital CIO remarked. Related Reading: Here’s Why The Bitcoin Bottom Is In, New Highs Imminent: Crypto Expert Looking ahead, he underscored several macro and microeconomic developments poised to influence the market. “On the macro front, these include a November election and additional Fed liquidity. On the micro front, they are the ETH ETF, Circle IPO, and improved BTC miner profitability thanks to AI,” he explained. These factors are expected to reduce selling pressure (e.g. Bitcoin miners) and invigorate market sentiment. Delving deeper into market technicals, Thompson pointed out that several key indicators are at cycle lows, which historically precede upward movements. He noted, “BTC and ETH CME basis, alt open interest as a percentage of total, and macro relative value all sit at cycle lows while stablecoin supply is finally growing again.” This combination of factors, according to Thompson, signals a potential market bottom forming. In a bold closing prediction, Thompson projected significant rallies for major cryptocurrencies in the near future. “Personally, I think ETH will reach $7,000 and BTC will make its first attempt at $100,000 by the election in November,” he stated confidently. At press time, BTC traded at $60,766. Featured image from Shutterstock, chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin, Ethereum, and top altcoins are falling at spot rates. As of writing, Bitcoin is teetering around the $60,000 level and still unable to reverse the sharp losses of June 24, when prices cratered, dipping to the $50,000 territory. Bitcoin And Ethereum Put-Call Ratio Falling Even so, there appear to be changes. According to Kaiko, […]
In a continued effort to liquidate its substantial Bitcoin holdings, the German government has once again engaged in significant transactions involving BTC, according to data from blockchain analytics platforms Arkham Intel. This morning, the Federal Criminal Police Office (BKA) executed nine transactions involving a total of roughly 2,786 BTC. German Gov’t Continues Its Bitcoin Sell-Off Arkham Intel’s data shows that four of them are internal transfers while five transactions were direct transfers to crypto exchanges and market makers, suggesting an intent to sell. The five potential sales amount to 1,095.339 BTC worth approximately $67 million. Specifically, the BKA made two 125 BTC transfers, each worth approximately $7.7 million, to well-known crypt exchanges Bitstamp and Kraken. An additional transaction involved a minute test transfer of 0.001 BTC to Flow Traders, a leading market maker. This small transaction was soon followed by a much larger transfer of 345.338 BTC to the same entity, strongly suggesting preparation for a substantial sell order. Related Reading: Here’s Why The Bitcoin Bottom Is In, New Highs Imminent: Crypto Expert Another noteworthy transfer of 500 BTC was directed to an enigmatic address tagged as “139Po.” This address has seen previous activity linked to the German government but remains shrouded in mystery, speculated to be another sale point. These transactions form part of a broader trend observed since last week. Just a day prior, on June 25, the government had disposed of 400 Bitcoin worth $24 million on Kraken and Coinbase, as well as 500 BTC to address “139Po.” This is in addition to significant movements earlier last week: $130 million worth of BTC were transferred to exchanges on June 19 and $65 million on June 20. Counterbalancing these outflows, the government received $20.1 million back from Kraken and $5.5 million from wallets associated with Robinhood, Bitstamp, and Coinbase. Related Reading: Will Bitcoin Have A ‘Red Monday, Green Week’? Analyst Sets $63,500 Target Currently, the German government’s holdings amount to 45,264 BTC, valued at around $2.8 billion. This makes Germany one of the top nation-state holders of Bitcoin, trailing only behind the United States, China, and the United Kingdom, which hold 213,246 BTC, 190,000 BTC, and 61,000 BTC respectively, according to data from Bitcoin Treasuries. BTC Price Hangs Above Critical Level The pattern of large-scale disposals by the German government has contributed to fluctuations in Bitcoin’s market price, which has experienced a decline of approximately 6% since the onset of these transactions. Bitcoin’s value briefly fell below the $60,000 threshold following the announcement from Mt. Gox about disbursing approximately $9 billion worth of Bitcoin and Bitcoin Cash starting in July. Market analysts and investors are also keenly observing these governmental actions as the sell-off seems to continue at a slow pace. This strategic liquidation by the German government arrives at a pivotal juncture for market sentiment, with Bitcoin prices teetering just above critical support levels. Should the daily trading price close below the $60,000 threshold, it could potentially trigger a more pronounced downturn in Bitcoin’s price, exacerbating market volatility and uncertainty. At press time, BTC traded at $61,451. Featured image created with DALL·E, chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin, the undisputed king of cryptocurrencies, faces a challenge as it approaches a critical moment. After a stellar run in the first half of 2024, breaking past the crucial $71,000 barrier, the digital gold has retreated, currently hovering around the crucial $61,000 support zone. This recent dip has sparked a debate amongst analysts, with some clinging to bullish long-term outlooks and others cautioning of potential headwinds. Related Reading: Don’t Fret The DOGE Dip: Analyst Predicts Big Rebound To $2 Rainbow Whispers: A Golden Buying Opportunity Or Fool’s Gold? One factor keeping some bulls optimistic is the Bitcoin Rainbow Chart, a popular tool that analyzes price movements on a logarithmic scale. This chart currently positions Bitcoin in the “Buy” zone, suggesting there’s ample room for growth before reaching a peak. Additionally, historical price cycles, specifically those following halving events (where the number of Bitcoins rewarded to miners is halved), point towards a potential maximum price point around September-October 2025. This optimistic timeline translates to a potential price target of $260,000 or even higher, according to some analysts. However, not everyone is swayed by the Rainbow’s charm. Critics point out that the chart is a historical indicator, and past performance doesn’t guarantee future results. The recent decline in the “Coinbase Premium Index” throws a bucket of cold water on the optimist’s parade. This index reflects the difference in price between Bitcoin traded on US exchange Coinbase and international markets. A negative index, as seen currently, suggests waning interest from US investors, a significant market segment. Investor Jitters And Declining Open Interest Another cause for concern is the palpable fear and caution gripping investors. The recent price drops have shaken confidence, with many adopting a wait-and-see approach. This sentiment is reflected in the sharp decline of “Open Interest,” a metric that tracks the total value of outstanding futures contracts. With investors hesitant to take long positions on Bitcoin due to the recent slump, Open Interest has dropped significantly, indicating a potential pullback in market participation. However, some analysts see this decline as a necessary correction. They argue that an overheated futures market fueled by excessive leverage can lead to unsustainable bubbles. The current drop, they believe, is weeding out these overleveraged players, paving the way for a more stable, long-term growth trajectory for Bitcoin. Related Reading: Injective (INJ) Price Prediction: Analyst Foresees Huge Jump To $380 A Bumpy Ride Ahead For Bitcoin? The future of Bitcoin remains shrouded in some uncertainty. While the potential for significant growth based on historical trends and the Rainbow Chart is undeniable, short-term investor sentiment and declining US market participation cannot be ignored. The coming months will be crucial in determining whether Bitcoin can weather the current storm and resume its ascent or succumb to bearish pressures. Featured image from Shutterstock, chart from TradingView
In a significant development for the crypto industry, Republican Congressman Matt Gaetz is set to introduce a new bill allowing federal income tax payments to be made using Bitcoin (BTC). Gaetz believes that by allowing taxpayers to utilize Bitcoin for their federal tax obligations, the country can foster innovation, enhance efficiency, and provide greater flexibility […]
Bitcoin price recovered above the $62,000 resistance zone. BTC must clear the $62,500 resistance zone to continue higher in the near term. Bitcoin started a recovery wave above the $61,500 and $62,000 levels. The price is trading below $63,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $62,500 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might struggle to rise above the $62,500 and $63,000 resistance levels. Bitcoin Price Faces Resistance Bitcoin price extended losses below the $60,000 support zone. BTC even tested the $58,500 support zone, where the bulls emerged. A low was formed at $58,448 and the price is now correcting losses. There was a decent increase above the $60,000 level. The price climbed above the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward wave from the $64,460 swing high to the $58,448 low. It even moved above the $62,000 pivot level. However, Bitcoin price is still trading below $63,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. The price seems to be facing a rejection zone near the $62,500 resistance, as discussed yesterday. There is also a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $62,500 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. It is close to the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward wave from the $64,460 swing high to the $58,448 low. The next key resistance could be $63,000. A clear move above the $63,000 resistance might start a steady increase and send the price higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $63,500 resistance. Any more gains might send BTC toward the $65,000 resistance in the near term. Another Decline In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to climb above the $62,500 resistance zone, it could start another decline. Immediate support on the downside is near the $60,500 level. The first major support is $60,000. The next support is now forming near $59,500. Any more losses might send the price toward the $58,500 support zone in the near term. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now gaining pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $60,500, followed by $60,000. Major Resistance Levels – $62,500, and $63,000.
The German government is continuing to actively liquidate portions of its substantial Bitcoin (BTC) holdings, transferring significant sums to various cryptocurrency exchanges and wallets, according to data from Arkham Intelligence. This wave of transfers includes the recent movement of $24 million worth of Bitcoin, underscoring a broader strategy that may be influencing Bitcoin’s current market […]
The Bitcoin price has experienced a significant correction after failing to consolidate above the $70,000 level and retesting its all-time high of $73,700, which it reached in March. With a retracement of nearly 10% over the past week, BTC is now trading just above support at the $60,000 level. However, based on historical data, further price drops may be expected in the coming days, aligning with patterns observed before explosive bull runs. Bitcoin Price Analysis Crypto analyst Rekt Capital has compiled data showing the depth and length of retracements during previous market cycles. Historical patterns show retracements of approximately -23% (February 2023), -21% (April/May 2023), -22% (July/September 2023), -21% (January 2024), -23.6% (April/May 2024), and the current -16% retracement. Related Reading: Solana Developer Shares “Big News” That Could Send The SOL Price Flying Notably, the current retracement has not yet reached the average depth or length. Considering these statistics, Bitcoin could potentially retrace a further 6% to a trading price of $56,400. Additionally, the downtrend may continue for the next seven days until July 1st, possibly marking the final retrace below the sub $60,000 levels before a potential restart of the bull run and explosive price gains. However, the Bitcoin Crosby Ratio, a key indicator, is approaching the oversold territory. Throughout Bitcoin’s history, this has often signaled crucial reversal points for the cryptocurrency. Notably, the last time this occurred, Bitcoin rallied over 190% from approximately $25,000 to new all-time highs above $73,000. Furthermore, the Bitcoin daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) has entered the oversold zone for the fourth time since the $15,500 bottom reached in November 2022. In the past, such occurrences have frequently preceded rallies, resulting in gains of over 100%. Time To Buy The Dip? Renowned market expert Ali Martinez has identified a compelling correlation between Bitcoin’s market value to realized value (MVRV) Ratio and subsequent price jumps. The MVRV Ratio is a metric that compares the market capitalization of Bitcoin to the realized value of its coins. It provides insights into whether Bitcoin holders are at a profit or loss based on when they acquired their coins. Related Reading: Solana Slides 13% – Can It Recover Despite Analyst’s $1,000 Prediction? When the MVRV Ratio dips into negative territory, it suggests that many Bitcoin holders are in unrealized losses, potentially indicating an attractive buying opportunity. Analyzing the historical data, Martinez observed a consistent pattern where Bitcoin’s price experienced notable jumps following MVRV Ratio dips below -8.40%. On four occasions, these dips were followed by price surges of 63%, 100%, 92%, and 28%, respectively. These findings indicate that periods of negative MVRV Ratios can indicate strong market support and a subsequent bullish trend. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
A popular crypto analyst has explained how the Bitcoin price could be at risk of further downside based on the current distribution of BTC supply around the price. This Bitcoin Price Range Holds A Critical Supply Barrier In a recent post on the X platform, prominent crypto pundit Ali Martinez discussed how the price of […]
Crypto analyst Willy Woo recently explained what needs to happen for Bitcoin to continue its bull run. The flagship crypto has been on a decline for a while now and has failed to make a significant run since hitting its current all-time high (ATH) of $73,750 in March earlier this year. What Needs To Happen […]
Dell's message on X follows his $2.1 billion cash out from his Dell Technologies Class C common stock holdings.
The Bitcoin price performance over the past week failed to bring glory to the crypto market, as the leading cryptocurrency struggled once again. This trend was mirrored across almost all large-cap assets, many of which experienced significant losses. Unfortunately, recent price action data suggests that the Bitcoin price is not safe yet, as there is potential for further downside over the coming days. Is $60,000 The Next Stop? In a new report, blockchain intelligence firm CryptoQuant put forward an interesting prognosis for the price of Bitcoin based on its recent movement. According to the analytics platform, the premier cryptocurrency could be headed for the $60,000 price mark after losing a significant support level. Related Reading: Survival of the Fittest: Here’s How Bitcoin’s Next Rally Hangs on Miner Capitulation On Tuesday, June 18, the Bitcoin price fell below 65,000 for the first time in over a month. The price of BTC didn’t stay beneath this level for too long, as it quickly climbed back to $66,000 by Thursday. However, the premier cryptocurrency succumbed to the bearish pressure, falling as low as $63,500 on Friday, June 21. In its analysis, CryptoQuant postulates that the price of Bitcoin is currently beneath the vital $65,800 level, which is the trader’s on-chain realized price. This price indicator can act as a support level, signaling an impending decline if the BTC price breaks it to the downside. According to CryptoQuant, every time the Bitcoin price crosses beneath the on-chain realized price, it undergoes an 8-12% correction, which explains the $60,000 price target. Interestingly, the waning on-chain metrics of the market leader support this bearish projection. As explained by CryptoQuant, traders’ demand for Bitcoin has continued to decline, as the short-term holders are not purchasing BTC but rather decreasing their holdings. Meanwhile, the demand from large investors (whales) currently lacks the strength often associated with bullish momentum. Furthermore, stablecoin liquidity has been on a steady decline, putting a strain on the Bitcoin bull run. For instance, the 60-day growth in Tether USD’s (USDT) market capitalization has slowed down from $12.6 billion in late April to $3.7 billion as of now — the slowest growth rate since November 2023. Naturally, higher stablecoin liquidity is required to kickstart price rallies in the crypto market. Bitcoin Price At A Glance As of this writing, the Bitcoin price continues to hover around $64,000, with a 1.2% decline in the last 24 hours. In the past two weeks, the premier cryptocurrency has decreased in value by nearly 8%, according to data from CoinGecko. Related Reading: Bitcoin Spot ETFs Effect: Bernstein Analysts Revise BTC Target To $200,000, Here’s When Featured image from iStock, chart from TradingView
Analysts say Bitcoin price will rally only after BTC miners capitulate and the network’s hashrate recovers.
Bitcoin is experiencing a significant decline today, dipping below the $64,000 mark to a low of $63,564. This drop represents a 2.5% decrease in the last 24 hours and an overall 12% decline over the past two weeks. Amidst this downward trend, Arthur Hayes, the co-founder of BitMEX, is not only maintaining his bullish stance on Bitcoin but actively encouraging investment, advocating a strategy to ‘buy the dip.’ His optimism and advice are deeply rooted in an analysis of global economic conditions and central bank policies, which he believes will favor cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin. Buy The Bitcoin Dip? Hayes’s insights draw attention to the aggressive monetary policies implemented by central banks, particularly the US Federal Reserve. These policies, including rapid interest rate hikes—the most aggressive since the 1980s—were initiated in response to rising inflation in the United States. The hikes have had a profound impact on the bond market, particularly affecting US Treasuries (USTs), which saw a decrease in prices due to the rising yields. Japanese banks, in search of yield amid domestically near-zero interest rates, had heavily invested in these USTs. Related Reading: 3 Reasons To Invest In Ethereum, 1 To Stay Bitcoin-Only: Bitwise CIO The strategy backfired when US rates rose, leading to significant paper losses for these banks. Hayes specifically points to the situation with Norinchukin Bank, which was compelled to sell off $63 billion in foreign bonds, mostly USTs, to reduce these losses. This scenario underscores a broader trend among Japanese banks, which may need to continue offloading USTs and other foreign bonds as they adjust to the new economic realities imposed by US monetary policy. Hayes argues that these developments have critical implications for the crypto market, particularly Bitcoin. He notes that the responses by central banks to stabilize financial markets—such as the Federal Reserve’s decision to provide a blanket backstop in March 2023 following a series of bank failures—indirectly benefit cryptocurrencies. This intervention led to a surge in Bitcoin’s price, reinforcing its status as a viable alternative investment during times of financial instability. Moreover, Hayes points out the operational details of the FIMA repo facility, which was expanded by the Fed to bolster liquidity. He explains, “A rise in the FIMA repo facility indicates an addition of dollar liquidity to the global money markets. Y’all know what that means for Bitcoin and crypto … which is why I thought it necessary to alert readers about another avenue of stealth money printing.” This mechanism allows central banks to exchange their holdings of USTs for dollars, increasing the dollar supply without flooding the market with bonds and potentially driving up yields. Related Reading: German Government’s Bitcoin Dump Surpasses $195M As Selling Spree Persists The implications for Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies are profound, according to Hayes. He suggests that as central banks, particularly the Bank of Japan, might use these facilities to manage their exposure to USTs, the resultant increase in dollar liquidity could drive investors towards cryptocurrencies. This movement is seen as a hedge against potential inflation and currency debasement resulting from these monetary expansions. Hayes vividly describes the effect of these macroeconomic maneuvers on the crypto market: “Just as many began to wonder where the next jolt of dollar liquidity would come from, the Japanese banking system dropped Origami cranes composed of crisply folded dollar bills upon the laps of crypto investors. This is just another pillar of the crypto bull market. The supply of dollars must increase to maintain the current Pax Americana dollar-based filthy financial system.” In a rallying call to the crypto community, Hayes concludes, “Say it with me, ‘Shikata Ga Nai’, and buy the fucking dip!” Through this declaration, he underscores his belief that despite the volatile market conditions, the underlying economic and monetary developments are creating favorable conditions for Bitcoin’s growth. His analysis suggests that savvy investors should view the current price drops as buying opportunities, given the broader economic backdrop that he believes will continue to propel interest and investment in cryptocurrencies. At press time, BTC traded at $64,159. Featured image from Forkast News, chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin price failed to climb above the $66,500 resistance. BTC is again moving lower and might decline below the $64,600 support zone. Bitcoin started a fresh decline from the $66,500 resistance level. The price is trading below $65,500 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There was a break below a connecting bullish trend line with support at $65,250 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair could extend losses if there is a clear move below the $64,600 and $64,200 support levels. Bitcoin Price Faces Rejection Bitcoin price started a recovery wave above the $65,000 level. BTC climbed above the $65,500 and $66,200 levels. However, the bears were active near the $66,500 zone. A high was formed at $66,444 and the price started another decline. There was a move below the $65,500 and $65,400 support levels. The price dipped below the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $64,050 swing low to the $66,444 high. Besides, there was a break below a connecting bullish trend line with support at $65,250 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair The price tested the $64,600 support zone and the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $64,050 swing low to the $66,444 high. Bitcoin is now trading below $65,500 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. If there is another upward move, the price might face resistance near the $65,250 level. The first major resistance could be $65,500. The next key resistance could be $66,000. A clear move above the $66,000 resistance might start a steady increase and send the price higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $66,500 resistance. Any more gains might send BTC toward the $67,500 resistance in the near term. More Downsides In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to climb above the $65,250 resistance zone, it could continue to move down. Immediate support on the downside is near the $64,600 level. The first major support is $64,200. The next support is now forming near $64,000. Any more losses might send the price toward the $63,200 support zone in the near term. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now gaining pace in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now below the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $64,600, followed by $64,000. Major Resistance Levels – $65,250, and $66,500.
The Bitcoin price crash below $66,000 has taken the market by surprise, leading to over $90 million in liquidations in a 24-hour period. But even after dropping so much already, analysts do not believe that the worst is over. In particular, crypto analyst Ali Martinez has said that Bitcoin may still have a ways to go before the crash is over, prediction another 20% decline from here. Bitcoin Falls Below Major Pricing Band Crypto analyst Ali Martinez posted a new analysis on X (formerly Twitter) on the Bitcoin price that paints a rather bearish picture for the pioneer cryptocurrency. According to Martinez, the Bitcoin crash below $68,000 had actually pushed it below an important level. Related Reading: Analyst Says XRP Price Is Long Overdue For Bullish Wave, Here’s The Target The major level of importance here is the $67,890 pricing range, which the price has now fallen below. As Martinez explains, this area is important as the “+0.5σ MVRV pricing band” lies here. It also means that a crash below this level is very bearish for the price, and as Martinez shows, Bitcoin has already fallen below it. This fall puts a bearish motion in place as the crypto analyst believes it may trigger a correction. Now, while corrections are normal, the expectation for how far the crash will go is what is worrying because the analyst has placed a possible $54,930 target for the price. #Bitcoin has dropped below the +0.5σ MVRV pricing band at $67,890, which may trigger a correction toward the mean pricing band at $54,930. pic.twitter.com/zZvswgpUpS — Ali (@ali_charts) June 19, 2024 Such a crash would mean that the Bitcoin price would fall another 20% from its current level. Given the previous crashes, this could be devastating for altcoins, whose prices could fall another 50% if BTC were to crash below $55,000. Navigating The Drop In Interest One interesting development for Bitcoin is the drop in interest that has been experienced this week. For example, the daily trading volume, according to CoinMarketCap, fell 43.5% in the last day along. This brings the Bitcoin daily trading volume to around $19 billion from the almost $40 billion recorded the previous day. Related Reading: Cardano Bucks Bears As Large Transactions Climb To $10 Billion, Can This Drive Price To $1? This drop in trading volume indicates that investors are taking fewer positions. With the uncertainty surrounding the market, this comes as no surprise, given that investors are prone to wait for the situation to improve before taking more positions. The Crypto Fear & Greed Index has also declined, showing that fear is growing in the market. It is now sitting at a score of 60, which shows greed, a long way from May’s score of 76, which showed extreme greed in the market. At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is holding at $65,667, with a 0.77% gain in the last day. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com