A crypto analyst has revealed that the price of Bitcoin might be gearing for a fresh rally after the appearance of a bullish on-chain signal. Bitcoin UTXOs In Profit At Lowest Level Since 2023 — Here’s Why In a QuickTake post on the CryptoQuant platform, an analyst with the pseudonym EgyHash shared an interesting on-chain insight into the Bitcoin price. This on-chain observation revolves around the Bitcoin UTXO (unspent transaction output) metric, which tracks the amount of cryptocurrency that remains following the execution of a transaction. Related Reading: Here’s How Cardano Price Will ‘Survive’ A US Recession: Crypto Analyst The percentage of these unspent cryptocurrencies in profit gives an insight into the market’s current condition. For instance, an increase in Bitcoin UTXOs in profit suggests that most investors are in the green, which can either motivate them to keep faith in the coin or, in some scenarios, push them to take profit. On the other hand, when a higher percentage of UTXOs are in loss, it means that more investors are holding a loss, suggesting a negative market sentiment. According to the CryptoQuant analyst, the percentage of Bitcoin UTXOs in profit has steadily declined, recently falling to its lowest level since October 2023. Data from CryptoQuant shows that the proportion of Bitcoin UTXOs in profit decreased from 99% in June 2024 to 68.5% in September 2024. Interestingly, this market phenomenon has coincided with a recent fall in the price of Bitcoin. The crypto analyst noted that the decline in Bitcoin’s price seems to be associated with profit-taking, as investors are selling their coins to realize some gain. Meanwhile, this is supported by the aforementioned decline in the percentage of Bitcoin UTXOs in profit. Nevertheless, it may not be all bad news for the premier cryptocurrency with the UTXO metric currently at a multi-month low. Historical data shows that the proportion of BTC UTXOs in profit being at its current level could be a signal of a market bottom. The last time the Bitcoin UTXOs in profit slumped to 68.5%, the price of Bitcoin rallied 175% from $26,700 to a new all-time high of $73,737. While there is no guarantee there will be a repeat rally from the current point, investors might still want to pay attention to other relevant on-chain metrics. BTC Price At A Glance As of this writing, the price of Bitcoin is slightly under the $54,000 level, reflecting a 4.1% decline in the past 24 hours. According to data from CoinGecko, the flagship cryptocurrency is down by more than 9% in the past week. Related Reading: Solana To $100 Inevitable After This Break? SOL Forms A Triple Bottom Featured image from iStock, chart from TradingView
The recent Bitcoin and crypto market crash has seen prices plunge into the red across the board. As a result, sentiment among crypto investors has plunged rapidly and this has caused the Fear & Greed Index to plunge into the Extreme Fear territory. This suggests that investors are less likely to put money into the market, but it could also come with good news for the market. Fear & Greed Index Sitting At Extreme Greed The Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index is one of the best indicators of telling how investors are feeling toward the market at any time. This index uses a scale of 1-100, representing sentiments ranging across Fear, Extreme Fear, Neutral, Greed, and Extreme Greed. Each of these can show how investors are feeling and could be a tell for where the Bitcoin price could be headed next from here. Related Reading: Shiba Inu Recovery To $0.000081 ATH Levels Still In Play Usually, when the Fear & Greed Index is sitting on either extreme, it could mean that the price is about to swing in the opposite direction. So, for example, the Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index is in Extreme Greed could suggest that the price is about to fall, and vice versa. This trend would be positive for the Bitcoin price right now as the Fear & Greed Index has fallen into the Extreme Greed territory. As of Friday, the Fear & Greed Index had fallen as low as 22, which put it firmly in the Extreme Fear territory. Going by the Bitcoin price having a tendency to recover when the index is in the red, it could mean that the price is reaching a bottom. An example of this is when the Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index fell to 20 in August, before the crypto market seeing a quick rebound. If that happens here, the Bitcoin price could be on the verge of a recovery. Bitcoin Rebound Not Likely In September While the Fear & Greed Index sitting in the Extreme Fear territory could point towards a bottom, the rebound may not materialize for a while. This is because the month of September has historically been very bearish and expectations are that this month will not be different. Related Reading: Dogecoin Moving Averages Say Accumulation Has Ended, Here’s Where Price Is Headed Next Veteran analyst Benjamin Cowen outlined this in a post on X (formerly Twitter), revealing that this month is already on track with previous September months. So far, the Bitcoin price has already fallen 8.16%, and “If BTC closes the month at this price, it would be a fairly typical September,” the analyst explains. The avg. return of #BTC in September is -6.3% So far this month, BTC’s return is already -8.16%. The only time in the last 5 years where the Sep. monthly return was worse than this was 2019 (-13.91%) If BTC closes the month at this price, it would be a fairly typical September pic.twitter.com/bZ9cRIl9OU — Benjamin Cowen (@intocryptoverse) September 6, 2024 However, the month of October is usually bullish, so if this trend continues, then September is likely to end in the red. But then when October rolls around, prices are expected to pick back up. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
Bitcoin (BTC) is at a crucial level after a sharp 15% retrace from recent local highs. While traders and enthusiasts speculate about the causes of this downturn, the consensus is clear: demand is weakening. Related Reading: Bitcoin (BTC) Short-Term Holders At Risk As Unrealized Losses Remain High CryptoQuant’s head of research, Julio Moreno, has provided […]
Bitcoin traders appear to be throwing in the towel and coming to terms with the reality that BTC price could fall below $50,000 in the short term.
Declining trading volumes and slowing ETF inflows could set the stage for a correction below $50,000 before a rally to new highs.
Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) have started September in the red, having already suffered price declines since the beginning of the month. This bearish sentiment towards the foremost cryptocurrencies and, by extension, the broader crypto market is due to several macroeconomic factors. Market Still Feeling The Effects Of The Yen Carry Trade Recent developments suggest Bitcoin and Ethereum are still feeling the effects of the abandonment of the Yen carry trade. The Yen recently surged against the US dollar, suggesting that investors are still selling riskier assets like these cryptocurrencies to unwind their carry trade positions, which utilized the low-yielding Yen. Related Reading: Bitcoin Short-Term Holder Behavior Reminiscent Of 2019 As BTC Remains Below $60,000 In an X (formerly Twitter) post, hedge fund manager James Lavish also suggested that the effects of the Yen carry trade was still in play. He noted that the Nikkei 225 had dropped by 3.7% while the USD/Yen trading pair was heading lower. The Bank of Japan (BOJ) Kazuo Ueda also recently made a hawkish statement that they will continue to hike rates if the economy and prices continue to perform as expected. This has also sparked fear among traders and prompted them to close their carry trade positions, thereby putting more selling pressure on Bitcoin and Ethereum. Bitcoin and Ethereum suffered major losses during the August 5 market crash, which was caused by the BOJ’s decision to hike interest rates for the second time since 2007. Bitcoin, on its part, dropped below $50,000, while Ethereum dropped to as low as $2,200. As such, with the effects of the Yen carry trade still in play and the BOJ hinting at more rate hikes, Bitcoin and Ethereum risk suffering further price declines. US Stock Market Crash Contributes To Bitcoin And Ethereum’s Fall Furthermore, Bitcoin and Ethereum’s correlation with the US stock market has also contributed to their price crash since the beginning of September. Specifically, on September 3, over $1.05 million was wiped out from the stock market, which also sparked fear in the crypto market and led to a wave of sell-offs for Bitcoin and Ethereum. Related Reading: XRP Price To $8: Analyst Says Repeat Of 2017 Could Drive Rally This was evident in the outflows that both Spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs witnessed on that day. Data from Farside investors showed that the Spot Bitcoin ETFs and Spot Ethereum ETFs witnessed total net outflows of $287.8 million and $47.4 million, respectively. With such a bearish outlook for Bitcoin and Ethereum, there is an urgent need for a spark that could provide bullish momentum for the crypto market. Crypto community members are hoping that the US Federal Reserve will cut interest rates at the next FOMC meeting set to be held between September 17 and 18, as that will provide some relief to the market and help inject more liquidity into Bitcoin and Ethereum. At the time of writing, Bitcoin and Ethereum are trading at around $57,160 and $2,400, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
Crypto analyst Astronomer, known by the handle @astronomer_zero on X, has put forth a potentially compelling bottom signal for Bitcoin, which hinges on the electricity costs incurred by miners to produce BTC. According to him, this particular metric has historically served as a reliable indicator for identifying optimal buying opportunities within Bitcoin’s price cycles. Is The Bitcoin Bottom In? The analysis titled “BTC Miners electricity cost, a 100% accurate bottom signal,” leverages data to illustrate a scenario where the cost of Bitcoin production dips below its market price, suggesting a pivotal moment for potential investors. Astronomer elaborated on his methodology and findings by referencing his previous predictions which successfully pinpointed market tops, notably a 30% drop from a $70,000 peak, which was guided by similarly data-driven signals. Related Reading: Is Another Bitcoin Crash Coming? Top Analyst Highlights Alarming Trend! Astronomer’s current focus on the cost of mining stems from its significant implications on Bitcoin’s supply dynamics. Despite the halving events designed to reduce the reward for mining Bitcoin, there remains a 0.84% annual inflation in its supply, equating to roughly $10 billion worth of Bitcoin entering the market each year. This is equivalent to the total holdings of significant corporate investors like MicroStrategy, indicating a substantial influx of Bitcoin from miners, who are inclined to sell gradually to sustain their operations. However, the current market conditions, as described by Astronomer, have reached a rare state where the market price of Bitcoin has fallen below the average weighted cost of electricity required to mine it. This situation typically constrains miners from selling their holdings at a profit, thus potentially reducing the sell pressure on the market. “Not only does that mean that the miners can’t sell their BTC for a profit. It also means that it is simply cheaper to just log into a CEX and buy 1 Bitcoin, instead of going through the pain of mining 1 Bitcoin. So not only does this make the miners (the people controlling BTC) not want to sell, it also makes them want to buy, because it is cheaper to just buy instead of mine them,” Astronomer suggests. Related Reading: $170 Million In Crypto Longs Bite The Dust As Bitcoin Plunges Under $57,000 This shift not only impacts the selling behavior of miners but also their buying strategies, contributing to a decrease in supply pressure and possibly triggering upward price movements. Astronomer supports his claim by pointing out that historically, when the cost of production fell below the market price, it has consistently led to substantial price recoveries. He detailed instances from the recent past, including notable dips in March 2023 when Bitcoin hit $19,500, November 2022 at $16,500, June 2022 at $18,000, May 2020 at $8,900, March 2020 at $4,700, and November 2018 when it bottomed out at $3,500. Each of these moments was followed by robust bull runs, underlining the potential reliability of this signal. “How many times? 17 out of 17 times, it meant that price was at levels that, according to history (with high statistical significance), you would want to buy, or would miss and regret it for a very long time,” the analyst adds. Currently, with the production cost of Bitcoin, according to Capriole Investment’s data, standing at $60,711 and the price lingering at $56,713, the conditions described by Astronomer are manifesting yet again. This juxtaposition poses a critical question to the market: Is now the time to buy? While Astronomer’s analysis is backed by historical data and detailed market observation, he remains cautiously optimistic about the outcomes, encapsulated in his closing remark, “Will this time be different? Maybe.” At press time, BTC traded at $56,804. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Summers have historically been very bearish for the Bitcoin price, and the year 2024 has been no different. Since summer began in June, the price of Bitcoin has been very weak, with multiple flash crashes rocking the pioneer cryptocurrency at various points. So far, the Bitcoin price has gone from over $70,000 to below $50,000 at one point. However, this could all be coming to an end as a crypto analyst has pointed out similarities with the summer of 2023 that suggest a recovery is imminent. When The Summer Chop Might End Crypto analyst Crypto Jelle, comparing the number of days that previous summer chops have lasted, has come up with a likely timeline for when the Bitcoin price decline could come to an end. Mainly, he takes into account the performance of Bitcoin in the summer of 2023 and how many days it lasted before it officially came to an end. Related Reading: XRP Price To $8: Analyst Says Repeat Of 2017 Could Drive Rally According to the post, the summer chop of 2023 actually lasted a total of 219 days, or approximately seven months. Given that trends like these tend to mirror each other, there is a chance that the current summer chop could last around the same time as that of 2023 did. The analyst points out that the current summer chop has been going on for 190 days, or approximately six months. Going by the duration of summer 2023, it means there is still around one month left to go before the bearish phase is finally over. This suggests that the month of September will continue to be choppy for the Bitcoin price. However, the good news is that it is likely the last month of downtrend before another rally begins. “If this chop-season lasts as long as the previous one, it will end around the start of October,” the crypto analyst stated. Day 190 of chop-season today. The previous summer chop lasted for 219 days, after which price more than doubled in the months that followed. If this chop-season lasts as long as the previous one, it will end around the start of October.#Bitcoin pic.twitter.com/dXYMVCbmM9 — Jelle (@CryptoJelleNL) September 4, 2024 Bitcoin Open Interest Flush Good For Price Another crypto analyst who has predicted a potential surge in the Bitcoin price is @CredibleCrypto on X (formerly Twitter). The analyst had previously predicted a drawdown for the cryptocurrency. By the middle of the week, the Bitcoin price had completed the drawdown, prompting the analyst to move to the next phase of the prediction. Related Reading: Bitcoin Short-Term Holder Behavior Reminiscent Of 2019 As BTC Remains Below $60,000 According to him, the drawdown below $57,000 could mean that the BTC price is now ready for a recovery. He explained that “Didn’t get that move up first unfortunately but we have now hit my downside target so hopefully this just means we are now ready for that relief rally sooner rather than later.” The price crash also saw a massive wipe of open interest (OI) from the market, but the crypto analyst believes that this could be good, although buyers are yet to arrive. “Nice wipe on OI here but no immediate signs of buyers stepping in just yet,” Credible Crypto said. “Let’s see how things develop.” Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
Bitcoin price started a recovery wave from the $55,600 zone. BTC is now struggling to clear the $58,500 resistance and might decline again. Bitcoin is struggling to recover above the $58,500 zone. The price is trading below $58,200 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at $57,250 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair could struggle to recover above the $58,500 or $58,750 resistance levels in the near term. Bitcoin Price Faces Hurdles Bitcoin price extended losses below the $57,200 support level. BTC even traded below the $57,000 support. A low was formed at $55,591 and the price recently started a recovery wave. There was a move above the $56,500 and $57,000 resistance levels. It cleared the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $59,772 swing high to the $55,591 low. The price even cleared the $58,000 level but faced sellers near $58,500. Bitcoin is now trading below $58,200 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is also a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at $57,250 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. On the upside, the price could face resistance near the $58,500 level. The first key resistance is near the $58,750 level or the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $59,772 swing high to the $55,591 low. A clear move above the $58,750 resistance might send the price further higher in the coming sessions. The next key resistance could be $59,500. A close above the $59,500 resistance might spark more upsides. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $60,000 resistance. Another Decline In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $58,500 resistance zone, it could start another decline. Immediate support on the downside is near the $57,250 level and the trend line. The first major support is $56,850. The next support is now near the $56,200 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $55,500 support in the near term. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now losing pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now near the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $57,250, followed by $56,850. Major Resistance Levels – $58,500, and $58,750.
An analyst has explained how Bitcoin could witness a drop to the $40,600 level based on a pattern forming in its 2-month price chart. Bitcoin Has Seen A TD Sequential Sell Signal On Its 2-Month Price In a new post on X, analyst Ali Martinez has discussed about a Tom Demark (TD) Sequential signal that has formed in the 2-month price of Bitcoin. The TD Sequential is an indicator in technical analysis (TA) that’s generally used for spotting positions of probable reversal in any asset’s price. This indicator involves two phases: setup and countdown. In the first of these setups, candles of the same color (that is, whether red or green) are counted up to nine. After these nine candles are in, the asset could be assumed to have reached a point of turnaround. Related Reading: Bitcoin Investors Beware: MVRV Has Given Bear Market Signal Naturally, if the candles that led to the setup’s completion were green, then the TD Sequential would give a sell signal. Similarly, red candles could suggest a bottom may be here. Once the setup is done with, the second phase of the indicator, the countdown, begins. The countdown works much like the setup, with the main difference being that candles here are counted up to thirteen, instead of nine. Following these thirteen candles, the asset may be considered to have reached another potential top or bottom. Bitcoin has completed a TD Sequential phase of the former type recently. Here is the 2-month price chart of the cryptocurrency shared by the analyst, which shows this signal: As displayed in the above graph, the Bitcoin 2-month price has recently finished a TD Sequential setup with nine green candles, implying that the cryptocurrency may have encountered some kind of top. Since the signal has appeared, BTC has been on the way down, with its price currently under the $57,000 level. Thus, it’s possible that this pattern’s bearish effect may already be taking hold. As for how deep this drawdown can take Bitcoin, Martinez has pointed out the support level at $51,000. This level corresponds to the 0.236 Fibonacci Retracement level from the recent BTC top. Related Reading: Bitcoin, XRP See Declining Whale Activity: What It Means Fibonacci Retracement levels are based on the Fibonacci series, where dividing each number (beyond 5) in the series by the next numbers produces ratios that are consistent throughout the series. It’s possible that Bitcoin may find support at the next such important ratio, but the analyst notes that if the $51,000 support gets breached, the cryptocurrency could end up going all the way down to $40,600, which corresponds to the 0.382 Fibonacci Retracement level. In the scenario that BTC does end up revisiting this level, its price would have gone through a drawdown of more than 28% from the current level. It now remains to be seen how the asset’s trajectory plays out from here. BTC Price Bitcoin has furthered its latest decline during the past day as its price has now slipped to $56,600. Featured image from Dall-E, charts from TradingView.com
In a video release on Wednesday, Howard Lutnick, CEO of Wall Street firm Cantor Fitzgerald, delivers some striking predictions about the future relationship between traditional financial institutions and Bitcoin. The video, titled “Howard Lutnick on Bitcoin and tradfi,” is making waves within the community as Lutnick outlines a bold future where big banks will deeply […]
A crypto pundit has identified striking similarities between the Bitcoin (BTC) market behavior in 2023 and 2024. Based on the analyst’s observation, he believes that Bitcoin is experiencing a comparable cycle of decline, characterized by widespread investor sell offs, which could precede a significant price breakout to new levels. Comparing The Bitcoin Markets Of 2023 And 2024 In a rather lengthy X (formerly Twitter) post on September 3, a crypto pundit identified as ‘Dana Crypto Trades’ shared some intriguing details about the current Bitcoin market, comparing it to the market environment and trends observed in 2023. The analyst noted that Bitcoin’s price fluctuated within a range for over six months, much like it did last year. Related Reading: Major Dogecoin Indicator Flashes Bullish, Is It Time To Buy? He highlighted that despite the cryptocurrency‘s bearish performance, the expectations about the market’s future outlook in the fourth quarter of 2024 remain particularly optimistic. Last year, numerous crypto investors chose to sell off their Bitcoin holdings when they were priced around $25,000, hoping to buy back at a lower value. This massive sell-off occurred despite the more than 90% probability that Spot Bitcoin ETFs would gain approval this year. Interestingly, A similar behavior is unfolding in the present Bitcoin market. The market sentiment has turned negative due to Bitcoin’s recent price volatility, leading investors to become bearish. Most of these investors are now liquidating their holdings, with the expectation to repurchase it at a 10% to 20% lower price. Daana Crypto has warned that while trying to buy Bitcoin at a lower price might seem like a great investment strategy, it carries a significant amount of risks. Basically, if the market moves upwards instead of the expected decline, investors who sold their Bitcoin may miss out on substantial gains. He referenced a situation last year, where some investors had missed out on a 3X price increase in Bitcoin because they had sold off their coins and were waiting for a slight price dip. While providing insights into current market set up, Daan Crypto acknowledged that he is unable to predict Bitcoin’s short term market movements, therefore advises that investors remain cautious. He indicated that for most investors, holding Bitcoin over the long term might be the best strategy, especially if the market could witness a significant breakout to the upside once bearish trends turn stable. BTC Eyes Next Target At $100,000 In Q4 Another crypto analyst, known as ‘Stockmoney Lizards,’ on X has also drawn comparisons between Bitcoin’s current market patterns with those from the early years. Related Reading: Solana Sees 7,600% Surge In Institutional Inflows, Here’s Why He observed similar trends in Bitcoin’s price action in 2016 and 2024, indicating that the pioneer cryptocurrency could experience a comparable but less dramatic price increase to what was seen in 2016. Despite this, the crypto analyst has set a price target of $100,000 for Bitcoin by the end of Q4 2024. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
Bitcoin (BTC) is navigating through a storm of fear and uncertainty, with recent volatile price action causing significant shakeouts among traders and investors. Since August 24, BTC has experienced a sharp retrace of over 12%, plunging below the $60,000 mark—a crucial psychological level that often serves as a pivot point for both price action and […]
On Monday, the Bitcoin price fell as low as $57,100, continuing its decline from a one-month high of $65,000 on August 25th. However, the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) upcoming decision to cut interest rates could spell further trouble for the largest cryptocurrency on the market. September And Bitcoin Price Forecast According to a recent report […]
Amid ongoing volatility for the Bitcoin price, which has struggled to reclaim its all-time high of $73,700, bullish predictions continue to emerge for the leading cryptocurrency. The latest forecast comes from VanEck, asset manager and Bitcoin ETF issuer with over $100 billion in assets under management. Bitcoin Price Projection In a recent update, VanEck projected that by 2050, the Bitcoin price could solidify its position as a key international medium of exchange, potentially becoming one of the world’s reserve currencies. This assertion is rooted in the anticipated decline in trust in current reserve assets, prompting a shift toward more stable alternatives like Bitcoin. One of the primary barriers to Bitcoin’s widespread adoption has been its scalability issues. However, VanEck anticipates that these challenges will be addressed through the development of Layer-2 (L2) solutions, which enhance Bitcoin’s functionality and efficiency. By combining Bitcoin’s immutable property rights with the advanced features of L2 solutions, VanEck envisions a global financial system better equipped to meet the needs of the developing world. Related Reading: Bitcoin Ends August Down 8%: What To Expect From Historically Bearish September With this in mind, the firm believes that by 2050, Bitcoin could be used to settle 10% of international trade and 5% of domestic transactions, leading to central banks potentially holding 2.5% of their assets in BTC. Based on projections of global economic growth, BTC demand and turnover, VanEck estimates a potential price of $2.9 million per Bitcoin, which translates to a total market capitalization of approximately $61 trillion. This forecast incorporates assumptions about the global trade landscape, with trade growth expected to lag behind overall Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth—projected at 2% versus 3%. Moreover, VanEck anticipates a market share decline for traditional currencies, such as the US dollar and the Euro, due to deteriorating economic fundamentals, which would allow Bitcoin and other emerging currencies to gain traction. Store Of Value Potential From a medium-of-exchange perspective, VanEck suggests that Bitcoin could capture 10% of cross-border payments and 5% of domestic trade. The firm also highlights that as Bitcoin becomes increasingly recognized as a store of value, approximately 85% of the circulating supply may be effectively removed from the market, further driving its value. The analysis reflects a broader trend of the Bitcoin price correlation with traditional risk assets, suggesting that its movements will remain closely linked to macroeconomic conditions. Related Reading: SUI Crashes 23% As September Unleashes Market Panic—Is A Comeback Possible? As the global economy evolves, VanEck predicts that Bitcoin will become an essential component of the International Monetary System, gaining market share from existing reserve currencies. At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price stands at $59,140, up 3% in the last few hours after rebounding from a drop towards $57,000 on Monday. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
Analysts say upcoming rate cuts could be a boon for Bitcoin’s price action but the market is still in “wait and see” mode.
Bitcoin may be decoupling from concerns about a US recession and aligning more closely with the US dollar's performance and signs of easing monetary policy, according to ETC Group.
Could Bitcoin see a correction below $40,000 before breaking out toward a six-figure valuation?
CoinShares expects that crypto investment products will become “increasingly sensitive” to interest rate expectations in September.
Bitcoin whales have been increasingly active lately, gobbling up more crypto as smaller traders feel the pressure and sell their holdings.
Bitcoin price extended losses below the $58,500 support zone. BTC is struggling and could continue to move down toward the $55,000 support zone. Bitcoin is gaining pace below the $60,000 support zone. The price is trading below $59,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at $58,400 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might extend losses if it fails to stay above the $57,200 support. Bitcoin Price Extends Losses Bitcoin price started a fresh decline and traded below the $60,000 support level. The bears were able to push the price below the $58,500 support levels. BTC even spiked below $57,200. A low was formed at $57,124 and the price is now consolidating losses. There was a minor recovery wave, but the price remained well below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $60,954 swing high to the $57,124 low. Bitcoin is now trading below $60,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is also a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at $58,400 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. On the upside, the price could face resistance near the $58,000 level. The first key resistance is near the $58,400 level and the trend line. A clear move above the $58,400 resistance might send the price further higher in the coming sessions. The next key resistance could be $59,040 or the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $60,954 swing high to the $57,124 low. A close above the $59,040 resistance might spark more upsides. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $60,000 resistance. More Downsides In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $58,400 resistance zone, it could start another decline. Immediate support on the downside is near the $57,200 level. The first major support is $56,500. The next support is now near the $56,200 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $55,000 support in the near term. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now gaining pace in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now below the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $57,200, followed by $56,500. Major Resistance Levels – $58,000, and $58,400.
A crypto analyst has pinpointed the $66,000 mark as a crucial level for the Bitcoin price and its trajectory over the coming weeks. Bitcoin Price Needs To Climb Above $66,000 — Here’s Why Popular crypto pundit Ali Martinez took to the X platform to share an interesting on-chain observation for the price of Bitcoin. This on-chain revelation revolves around the warm supply realized price metric, which is derived from the average purchase price of Bitcoin that has been inactive for one to three months. Related Reading: ADA At A Crossroads: Approaching $0.3389 Support With Potential For A Deeper Decline As the name suggests, this realized price accounts for warm (relatively recent) supply metrics, as opposed to “hot” (very recent) or “cold” (old) market activity. This metric is especially relevant because it offers a psychological and technical reference point for investors. Typically, when the Bitcoin price is above the warm supply realized price, it means that the recent investors are in the green. On the other hand, the BTC price being below the warm supply realized price indicates that a significant percentage of recent investors are currently at a loss, which may potentiate selling pressure and result in a bearish trend. #Bitcoin above the warm supply realized price is a positive sign, while dropping below it may indicate the start of a longer bear market. Right now, this level is $66,000. If $BTC stays under it, bulls should proceed with caution! pic.twitter.com/QWzTquQ5Mh — Ali (@ali_charts) August 31, 2024 Data from Glassnode shows that the warm supply realized price is currently around $66,000. According to Martinez, bulls should approach the market with caution especially if the Bitcoin price continues to struggle beneath this level. This is because a sustained sub-$66,000 stay might be indicative of the start of a long-term bear phase, where prices could slip even lower as selling pressure increases. BTC Price Could Continue To Range Between $58,000 And $65,000 Interestingly, it appears that the premier cryptocurrency would still lag under the crucial $66,000 level for a while. According to analysts at QCP Capital, the Bitcoin price is likely to remain within the $58,000 and $65,000 consolidation range over the next few weeks. This projection comes as the Bitcoin market has become somewhat desensitized to the usual bullish triggers. The QCP analysts believe that the price of the flagship cryptocurrency will continue to consolidate until certain positive catalysts ignite the market. Related Reading: Bitcoin Set For Further Losses As Data Points To Stormy September – Details As of this writing, the Bitcoin price stands at around the $58,950 level, reflecting a mere 0.3% decline in the past 24 hours. According to data from CoinGecko, the market leader is down by more than 8% in the last week. Featured image from iStock, chart from TradingView
Bitcoin is currently experiencing volatile and uncertain price action, with the latest 10% correction raising concerns among investors. While this decline is smaller than the 30% retracements seen in recent months, it is causing significantly more damage to market sentiment as investors grow increasingly weary of the ongoing market dynamics. Related Reading: Bitcoin (BTC) Stumbles […]
In a recent interview with TIME, Nayib Bukele, El Salvador’s pro-Bitcoin president, assessed the impact of his plan to position the country as a hub for the largest cryptocurrency on the market. While he acknowledged that adoption has not met expectations, he emphasized that the overall results have been “net positive.” Bitcoin In El Salvador […]
Bitcoin price remained stable above the $58,500 support zone. BTC is struggling and could only start a steady increase if it clears $61,500. Bitcoin is struggling to rise above the $60,200 and $61,500 resistance levels. The price is trading below $61,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at $58,800 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might extend losses if it fails to stay above the $58,500 support. Bitcoin Price Stuck In A Range Bitcoin price remained stable above the $58,000 and $58,500 support levels. A base was formed, and the price attempted a recovery wave above the $59,500 level. However, the bears were active near the $61,200 level. There was a fresh decline, and the price retested the $58,800 support. A low was formed at $58,717 and the price is now consolidating losses. It is stuck near the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $61,143 swing high to the $58,717 low. Bitcoin is now trading below $61,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is also a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at $58,800 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. On the upside, the price could face resistance near the $59,650 level. The first key resistance is near the $60,200 level. It is near the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $61,143 swing high to the $58,717 low. A clear move above the $60,200 resistance might send the price further higher in the coming sessions. The next key resistance could be $61,200. A close above the $61,200 resistance might spark more upsides. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $62,500 resistance. More Downsides In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $60,200 resistance zone, it could start another decline. Immediate support on the downside is near the $58,800 level and the trend line. The first major support is $58,500. The next support is now near the $58,000 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $56,500 support in the near term. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now losing pace in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now below the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $58,800, followed by $58,000. Major Resistance Levels – $60,200, and $61,200.
Bitcoin’s summer illiquidity could carry on into September, but lower interest rates could kickstart the real bull market in early 2025, according to analysts.
Bitcoin is weaving through a consolidation phase since marking a new all-time high of $73,777 in mid-March. Since then, Bitcoin’s daily closing prices have exhibited significant restraint, never sealing above $71,500 and maintaining a floor above $54,000, though it has seen a major intraday low touching $49,000. This consolidation phase has nudged the Fear and Greed Index towards a cautious “fear” score of 30, revealing an atmosphere of apprehension amongst traders who find themselves frequently whipsawed by the volatile market dynamics. Is $60,000 The New $10,000 For Bitcoin Price? Despite the prevailing market nerves, some market experts believe that this is a potential buying opportunity, reminiscent of similar market conditions seen in 2019. Bloomberg ETF expert James Seyffart remarked via X: “Bitcoin right now around $50k-$70k over the last 6 months kinda sorta reminds of BTC trading around $7k – $10k from mid 2019 through early to mid 2020.” Related Reading: Expert Explains Why Bitcoin Price Could Explode To $1 Million This Cycle He acknowledges the complexities of comparing historical and current charts, emphasizing that while historical patterns should not dictate future outcomes, the comparative dynamics offer insightful parallels. “I obviously know not to equate historical charts with current charts. i know all the differences of the current price dynamics etc. $10k was way further off the $20k+ ATH that 60K is. But go ahead — make fun of me. I can take it,” Seyffart added. James “Checkmate” Check, a leading on-chain analyst and co-founder of Checkonchain, concurred with Seyffart’s observation. “The similarities between the 2024 chop-consolidation, and the one we experienced back in 2019 are strange, and uncanny.” In 2019, the market notably surged from $4,000 to $14,000 within three months, significantly driven by the PlusToken Ponzi scheme in China, which absorbed approximately 2% of Bitcoin’s total circulating supply at the time. This was followed by a mass sell-off of these acquired coins on Huobi by the Chinese CCP, contributing to prolonged market choppiness until the sharp downturn in March 2020. Drawing a parallel, Check noted that a similar sequence unfolded in 2024 when the market climbed from $40,000 to $73,777, catalyzed by a substantial uptake in spot bids from US spot ETFs, absorbing around 5% of the Bitcoin supply. This was succeeded by substantial selling activities from the US and German governments, involving approximately 70,000 BTC, which contributed to sustained market chop until the 5-August Yen Carry Trade unwind. “Seriously, it is truly bizarre how similar these events are, and this is just based on the headline events. There is even more evidence below the surface,” Check concluded. He shared several on-chain metrics which highlight the strong similarities. Related Reading: Top Economist Predicts Bitcoin Price Top Before Worst Recession Since 1929 His “Supply Overheads During 2024 Chop-consolidation” chart showed that the 6-month sum of spent coins older than 1 year was quite similar to historical movements. In 2019, 1.75 million BTC was moved by this cohort; comparably, in 2024, as of today, 1.9 million BTC has been mobilized. Noteworthy, the large entities, including the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC), German Government, and the US government, accounted for about 454,000 BTC of this movement. Additional data from Check’s analysis highlighted the “Realized Profits” during these periods. In 2019, 3.4 million BTC were sold for profit over six months. In 2024, this figure stands at 3.33 million BTC. However, the analysis of realized losses provides a stark contrast between the two periods. In 2019, losses equaled 30% of the profits, indicating a market fraught with investor fear and readiness to sell at losses. Conversely, in 2024, losses are only 10% of the profits. This comparison demonstrates how market sentiment has shifted from 2019 to 2024, with investors in 2024 appearing more confident and less prone to panic selling. At press time, BTC traded at $59,689. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
In a move to broaden access to Bitcoin (BTC) futures for retail investors, CME Group has unveiled a new, smaller-sized futures contract dubbed the “Bitcoin Friday Futures” (BFF). According to Bloomberg, the cash-settled BFF will be priced at one-50th the size of a full BTC, currently around $1,200 per contract. This is significantly more affordable […]
There are now 85,400 Bitcoin millionaires, more than double the amount from last year.
Bitcoin price gained pace and tested the $65,000 resistance. BTC must clear $65,000 to continue higher in the near term. Bitcoin started a steady increase above the $63,000 zone. The price is trading above $63,500 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a key bullish trend line forming with support at $63,450 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might attempt a fresh increase if it clears the $65,000 resistance zone. Bitcoin Price Eyes More Gains Bitcoin price remained stable above the $60,000 pivot level. BTC formed a base and started a steady increase above the $62,000 resistance zone. The price climbed above the $63,200 and $63,500 resistance levels. Finally, the bears appeared near the $65,000 resistance zone. A high was formed at $64,950 and the price is now consolidating gains. There was a minor decline below the $64,500 level. The price tested the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $58,572 swing low to the $64,950 high. Bitcoin is now trading above $63,200 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is also a key bullish trend line forming with support at $63,450 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. On the upside, the price could face resistance near the $64,500 level. The first key resistance is near the $65,000 level. A clear move above the $65,000 resistance might send the price further higher in the coming sessions. The next key resistance could be $65,500. A close above the $65,500 resistance might spark more upsides. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $67,200 resistance. Another Decline In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $65,000 resistance zone, it could start a downside correction. Immediate support on the downside is near the $63,800 level. The first major support is $63,500. The next support is now near the $62,800 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $61,750 support zone or the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $58,572 swing low to the $64,950 high in the near term. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now losing pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $63,800, followed by $63,500. Major Resistance Levels – $64,500, and $65,000.