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Bitcoin’s price movements often reflect broader macroeconomic trends. Analysts have uncovered a consistent pattern where BTC’s price follows these shifts with a roughly 12-week delay. With global liquidity now picking up steam, the macro-level signal now points toward a potential bullish phase ahead for BTC. How Liquidity Trends Fit Into Bitcoin’s Long-Term Cycle In an X post, Crypto expert MartyParty pointed out a compelling pattern in Bitcoin’s price behavior, stating that its high-timeframe follows global liquidity, indicated on the chart as the blue line following the red line lagged 12 weeks.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Miners Avoid Forced Selling: BTC Sits 7.4% Above Last Difficulty Bottom Currently, the global liquidity curve is on the rise, and the US has not started issuing new liquidity, meaning the current surge is being fueled externally. MartyParty argues that this global liquidity wave is primed to push BTC toward the $125,000 mark on foreign liquidity issuance. The current macro thesis suggests that BTC could reach $140,000, driven purely by the influx of foreign liquidity. In the meantime, the upcoming US liquidity issuance is expected to begin within the next quarter and will last up to a year to eighteen months.  Once the US liquidity kicks in, combined with expected rate cuts that will lower borrowing costs, it will create a compelling setup for the BTC price to potentially rally to $250,000 in the medium to long term.  Daan Crypto Trades has revealed that Bitcoin’s impressive resilience and steady upward trend relative to the US stock market have been trending since its bottom in 2022. Over this period, BTC has experienced only four moderate corrections ranging between 20% and 30%, while delivering a 420% gain from bottom to top. This steady outperformance suggests that BTC has carved out a strong position as a growth asset, especially in risk-on market environments. How Bitcoin’s Current Energy Value Growth Differs From Past Cycles Another notable development is the Bitcoin Energy Value, which just reached a new all-time high of $135,000 per BTC. According to StarPlatinum, in previous market cycles, reaching such peaks in Energy Value has been associated with sharp price moves or big drops. Related Reading: Bitcoin Moves Into $12 Trillion Sector: Why BTC In 401Ks Is A Big Deal Currently, the rise in Energy Value is gradual and steady, reflecting a more natural market progression. This data reveals several key points about BTC’s current state. First, BTC is stronger and more mature than ever, with demand steadily increasing over time. Despite hitting a new all-time high on Energy Value, the current price still sits about 15% below this metric, indicating there’s still room to run. Historically, the BTC cycle top occurred when its price surged 40% to 60% above its Energy Value. Meanwhile, many in the crypto community have spent three years saying BTC is close to the top, only to see those calls followed by waves of FOMO. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

The Bitcoin price has regained momentum, rising toward the $120,000 level after experiencing a short-lived pullback earlier this week. However, recent technical analysis warns that an unfilled Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) gap near $116,500 may act as a barrier, potentially creating the risk of a price crash as BTC makes its way toward a fresh all-time high.  Bitcoin To Face Short-Term Crash With CME Gap A new Bitcoin price analysis by crypto market expert Ted Pillows suggests that BTC could encounter another major hurdle on its path to a record high. His analysis, shared on X social media, points to conditions in cryptocurrency’s current market structure that may trigger a temporary correction.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Risks Another Crash Following Recovering Into Bearish FVG Zone Notably, Pillows reported that Bitcoin recently reclaimed and even surpassed the $118,000 level after a volatile week that saw the asset shed $2,000 to fill a CME gap from last week. The analyst’s chart highlights this gap in Bitcoin’s price action on the CME futures market around $116,500. Historically, such gaps tend to be “filled” as price retraces to trade within the missing range, making them critical areas of interest for traders.  Pillows has stated that the unfilled CME gap near $116,500 will likely be revisited soon. This week’s market action already saw BTC drop sharply to close last week’s gap before rebounding, suggesting that the same pattern could play out again. If the $116,500 CME gap is filled, it could momentarily disrupt Bitcoin’s ascent, triggering a potential crash in its price.  Although this scenario appears bearish, the analyst reassures that any pullback is expected to be temporary. Pillows anticipates that a brief correction could lay the groundwork for a fresh leg upward. Technical patterns also indicate that once Bitcoin begins this upward push, it could rise toward uncharted territory and establish a new all-time high.  Other Analysts Share Their Take On Bitcoin CME Gap Further discussing the Bitcoin CME gap, market analyst ‘Daan Crypto Trades’ on X pointed out the recently formed gap that opened this week. According to the analyst, the gap lies between $116,500 and $118,400, standing out not only for its size but its proximity to Bitcoin’s previous ATH range. Related Reading: Analyst Shares Where Bitcoin, Ethereum, And XRP Prices Will Be By 2032 Daan Crypto Trades noted that most CME gaps tend to close within the same day; however, this latest gap has extended farther than usual. He explained that the gap near Bitcoin’s record high creates the ideal conditions for a price discovery. In such scenarios, CME gaps often stay open for longer periods, as bullish momentum can drive prices upward without retracement.  Notably, the expert’s chart analysis indicates that Bitcoin’s latest CME gap is unlikely to close until its price comes within 1% or 2% of it, placing that level just under $120,000. At present, BTC is trading at $121,313.  Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

Биткоин (BTC) в настоящее время колеблется около отметки $118 000 после умеренного восстановления за последнюю неделю, что принесло рост цены на 4,17%. В преддверии новой недели известный аналитик под ником KillaXBT поделился техническим анализом текущей структуры рынка биткоина, а также возможными сценариями движения цены. Месячное открытие укрепляет прогноз по BTC, но будьте осторожны с “охотой за ликвидностью”, говорит аналитик В публикации в социальной сети от 9 августа KillaXBT представил недельный обзор движения цены биткоина за первую неделю августа и поделился дальнейшими ожиданиями. По его словам, актив начал месяц с сильной технической позиции, превратив уровень месячного открытия на $115 752 в поддержку. Это сигнал, который трейдеры часто воспринимают как бычий. Однако аналитик отметил, что исторически в начале нового месяца биткоин часто делает резкий прокол вверх или вниз, формируя одну из теней месячной свечи — явление, которое трейдеры называют “ловушкой месячного открытия”. Поэтому текущая ситуация заставляет участников рынка внимательно следить за тем, приведет ли это к устойчивому восходящему тренду или к коррекции, вызванной сбором ликвидности, перед продолжением роста. Источник: @KillaXBT  С точки зрения ликвидности, криптоаналитик также отметил, что за пределами уровня $120 000 накапливаются значительные двухнедельные ликвидации по BTC. Эта зона совпадает с уровнем открытия прошлой недели ($119 414), что делает ее высоковероятной целью, если бычья структура сохранится. В настоящий момент BTC тестирует нисходящую линию тренда на младшем таймфрейме (LTF). KillaXBT поясняет, что подтвержденный пробой выше этой линии может открыть путь к уверенному движению в сторону $120 000 и выше, при этом трейдеры остаются настороженными из-за возможной “охоты за ликвидностью”, которая может кратковременно снизить цену перед возобновлением роста. Сейчас для трейдеров вырисовываются два основных сценария. Первый: BTC сохраняет бычью структуру, продолжая рост к зоне ликвидности в районе $120 000 и, возможно, к месячному максимуму (ATH) на уровне $123 186. Этот сценарий соответствует текущей технической картине, которая не демонстрирует признаков немедленного разворота вниз.Второй: биткоину не удается пробиться выше, он формирует пониженную вершину и опускается ниже $115 700. В этом случае следующая крупная зона поддержки находится в диапазоне $110 000–$112 000, где расположен месячный разрыв справедливой стоимости (FVG) на $111 955. На данный момент KillaXBT считает, что первый сценарий выглядит более вероятным, так как рынок удерживает бычий импульс, и при отсутствии четких медвежьих сигналов аналитик ожидает, что BTC в ближайшие дни попытается обновить максимумы. Однако он также предупреждает, что в начале недели, особенно в понедельник или вторник, возможна краткосрочная просадка для ликвидации чрезмерно закредитованных лонгов перед новым ростом. TOKEN6900 собрал почти $2 млн на предпродаже: интерес инвесторов продолжает расти перед наступлением альтсезона Тренды крипторынка, особенно в сегменте мем-монет, стремительно меняются: мемкоины уже завлекают инвесторов не ИИ-интеграциями и обещаниями реальной супер-полезности, а легкостью, долей абсурда и получением прибыли без особых усилий. В таком направлении движется проект TOKEN6900 – новая предпродажа июля с огромным потенциалом. TOKEN6900 позиционирует себя как “паразит сознания” и “эталон brain rot finance”, честно заявляя: “мы отслеживаем не ВВП, нефть или прибыль, а высокую ликвидность”. И именно такая искренность привлекает массовую аудиторию! Аналитики прогнозируют десятикратный рост токену после его выхода на бирже – отличный способ заработать на ранних вложениях без сложных действий. А если воспользоваться механизмом стейкинга – то ваш доход от инвестиций еще кратно возрастет. Переходите на официальный сайт и присоединяйтесь к уникальному проекту без промедлений.

Bitcoin surged past the $120,000 mark, reaching an intraday high of $122,300 — just shy of its all-time high at $123,000. The move marks a strong bullish continuation after weeks of upward momentum, fueling hopes among traders that a new record could be imminent. However, seasoned investors are approaching the rally with caution, warning that current price action could represent a relief rally before another consolidation phase. Related Reading: Altseason Still On Hold – Metrics Reveal BTC Outpaces Large, Mid, Small Caps Fresh data from CryptoQuant adds a layer of complexity to the market outlook. After a sharp rise in average weekly open interest to over 20% — peaking on July 14 — the metric has since dropped significantly, now turning negative. This shift suggests that short-term risk appetite has diminished, potentially reducing speculative momentum in the near term. While open interest declines are not inherently bearish, they can indicate a cooling phase after periods of aggressive leverage. In some cases, such pullbacks in open interest, especially when paired with increased liquidations, have preceded attractive buying opportunities. For now, Bitcoin’s position near record highs offers both promise and risk, with the next few sessions likely to determine whether the market pushes higher or pauses for consolidation. Open Interest Signals Cooling Risk Appetite Top analyst Darkfost has shared fresh market insights, highlighting a notable shift in Bitcoin’s derivatives landscape. According to his analysis, the current weekly average for open interest change sits at -2.2%, marking a sharp reversal from the +20% levels seen just weeks ago. This drop signals that short-term risk appetite among traders has clearly diminished, with many participants reducing leveraged positions after an extended bullish run. Liquidations are a key factor in this development. Darkfost points out that when open interest experiences a sharp short-term drop alongside a spike in liquidations, it often presents a window for profitable long entries. This setup typically occurs when overleveraged positions are wiped out, allowing stronger hands to accumulate at more favorable levels. While not a precise buy signal, it remains a valuable tool for gauging market conditions and identifying potentially favorable entry zones. The current backdrop is particularly intriguing as Ethereum pushes toward all-time highs, drawing increased attention to the broader crypto market. Bitcoin’s stability above the $120K level, combined with improving sentiment across altcoins, sets the stage for potentially strong follow-through in the coming weeks. However, traders will be watching derivatives metrics closely for signs of renewed leverage or further cooling before committing to larger positions. Related Reading: Bitcoin Holds Strong Near All-Time High – Market Not Overheated Yet, Data Shows Bitcoin Tests Key Resistance Just Below All-Time High Bitcoin has surged to $121,337, marking a strong breakout from its recent consolidation phase and pushing to its highest level since setting the all-time high at $123K. The daily chart shows a decisive move above the $119K zone, confirming bullish momentum after holding support at the 50-day moving average near $114,155. This rally brings BTC within striking distance of the $123,217–$124,000 resistance area, a critical zone that previously capped upside attempts in July. A clean break and daily close above this level could open the door for a new all-time high, potentially triggering further upside momentum as traders chase the breakout. Related Reading: Ethereum Exchange Balances Decline To 18.8M ETH: Smart Money Drains Supply With Ethereum nearing its own record highs and altcoins showing renewed strength, Bitcoin’s performance in the coming sessions will be pivotal for broader market sentiment. If BTC manages to secure a sustained move above $124K, it could fuel a market-wide surge. However, failure to break higher may see a period of consolidation before the next decisive move. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

With US inflation center stage and oil-market supply guidance due, this is a data-heavy week where macro can decide whether Bitcoin’s tight consolidation resolves into fresh highs and the broader crypto market continues to explode further. Crypto Market Braces For Major Week The July Consumer Price Index arrives Tuesday, August 12, at 14:30 CEST (08:30 ET). The median economist call leans toward a firmer core and a still-contained headline: Bloomberg’s survey points to a 0.3% month-over-month increase in core CPI, while several desks expect headline CPI at 0.2% m/m and 2.8% y/y after 2.7% in June. The Cleveland Fed’s real-time nowcast is in the same ballpark on the year-over-year prints, showing ~2.7% for headline and ~3.0% for core going into the release. The schedule is official; the nuance is that a 0.3% core m/m is consistent with core holding near 3% y/y, which markets would read as sticky but not re-accelerating—until tariffs or energy change the calculus. Producer prices follow Thursday, August 14, also at 14:30 CEST (08:30 ET). Consensus pegs PPI final demand near +0.2% m/m after a flat June; the Bureau of Labor Statistics has confirmed the timing and flagged methodology changes that take effect with this release. Taken with CPI, a 0.2% PPI would imply only modest pipeline pressure—unless services margins surprise. Related Reading: USDC Emerges As Top Pick In Booming Crypto Payroll Trend—Survey Retail’s read-through for demand lands Friday, August 15, at 14:30 CEST (08:30 ET). The street is looking for +0.5% m/m on headline retail sales, with many desks also watching the control group for a steady goods-spending pulse after June’s 0.5%. One hour later, at 16:00 CEST (10:00 ET), the University of Michigan prints its preliminary August sentiment; July’s improvement into the low-60s set the base. None of these are binary for crypto, but a hot sales beat against a 0.3% core CPI would harden “higher-for-longer” rate chatter; a cooler mix would do the opposite. Energy is the wild card. OPEC’s Monthly Oil Market Report publishes Tuesday, August 12, with July’s edition having kept 2025 demand growth steady at ~1.3 mb/d; the cadence of OPEC+ supply guidance and the IEA’s Oil Market Report on Wednesday, August 13, will feed directly into headline-inflation expectations via the gasoline channel. The exact release dates are fixed on OPEC’s calendar and the IEA data portal. Related Reading: Crypto Set For $1.25 Trillion Tsunami As Trump Opens 401(k) Floodgates On crypto-native flows, FTX’s estate has set Friday, August 15 as the record date for its next cash distribution cycle, with disbursements expected to begin on or about September 30, 2025. The step is funded by a court-authorized $1.9 billion reduction of the disputed claims reserve (to $4.3B), and payments will route via BitGo, Kraken and Payoneer for eligible, fully onboarded claimants. Practically, that means Aug. 15 determines who’s in line; the actual liquidity arrives at quarter-end. Ethereum’s specific catalyst is corporate-treasury optics. SharpLink Gaming (Nasdaq: SBET)—which has been publishing weekly accumulation tallies—will hold its Q2 2025 call on Friday, August 15, at 14:30 CEST (08:30 ET). The company disclosed 521,939 ETH on the balance sheet as of August 3, alongside ongoing capital raises to expand that treasury. Any change in pace, staking strategy or financing mix could move the “ETH as a balance-sheet asset” narrative. Technically, Bitcoin sits a stone’s throw from July’s record at $123,153. Aksel Kibar, CMT, characterized the past week’s pause as “a text-book pullback to the neckline,” adding that “monitoring the chart for acceleration this week. Breach of 123.2K (minor high) can resume uptrend.” At press time, BTC traded at $121,699. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin’s march to reclaim the $120,000 milestone again is gaining pace with a combination of tightening supply and interesting events around the world.  Harvard University recently revealed its $116.6 million allocation to BlackRock’s IBIT Bitcoin ETF. Meanwhile, El Salvador is welcoming Bitcoin-focused investment banks, while regulatory delays have put Japan’s first crypto ETF on hold. Related Reading: Bitcoin Is Still King Of Capital Inflows, According To Michael Saylor El Salvador Opens Door To Bitcoin Investment Banks El Salvador has passed a landmark Investment Banking Law that allows regulated investment banks, which are distinct from commercial lenders, to hold Bitcoin and other digital assets on their balance sheets. These institutions will cater exclusively to sophisticated investors and are required to have a Digital Asset Service Provider license and at least $50 million in starting capital.  The law, which was approved on Thursday, effectively paves the way for banks to choose to operate entirely as Bitcoin banks. Government officials say the framework is designed to attract foreign capital and cement the country’s status as a crypto finance hub. Critics, however, warn that the benefits may largely favor wealthy institutions over everyday Salvadorans. This move comes as Japan’s entry into the Bitcoin ETF market is being held back. While US-based Bitcoin ETFs are making ground with inflows and jurisdictions like El Salvador move forward, Japan is yet to be home to a Spot Bitcoin ETF.  There were multiple reports this week about Japan’s SBI Holdings filing for spot crypto ETFs. However, the company has clarified that it has not yet submitted any applications for crypto-related ETFs. Nonetheless, the company did note in its Q2 2025 earnings report that it is planning to launch crypto-asset-linked investment trusts and ETFs upon regulatory approval. Harvard University Commits Over $116 Million To Bitcoin ETF Institutional confidence in Bitcoin received a major boost with Harvard University’s decision to invest $116.6 million into BlackRock’s IBIT spot Bitcoin ETF. This interesting investment was revealed in a recent filing with the US Securities and Exchange Commission by the Harvard Management Company. This sizable position elevates Bitcoin to a prominent role within Harvard’s equity portfolio, which is a notable shift in its investment choices, particularly following its decision last quarter to scale back exposure to several major Big Tech stocks. According to the filing, the endowment purchased 1.9 million shares of iShares Bitcoin Trust, valued at $116.6 million. This value places Bitcoin as the fifth-largest holding in Harvard’s equity portfolio behind Microsoft, Amazon, Booking Holdings, and Meta. Harvard’s allocation aligns closely with investment trends in the US, as US spot Bitcoin ETFs have attracted more than $54 billion in inflows since their launch in early 2024. Related Reading: Ripple-SEC Legal Drama Ends; XRP Skyrockets 13% The move comes at a time when liquidity on major exchanges is tightening, and it has contributed to an increase in bullish sentiment surrounding Bitcoin.  At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $118,320, up by 4% in the past seven days. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView

Bitcoin is holding firm above the $115,000 level after several days of trading below it, signaling renewed strength in the market. The bullish tone is building as Ethereum posts massive gains and altcoins begin to show strong moves over the past few days. For some analysts, this could be the start of the long-awaited altseason; for others, it’s simply the rest of the market catching up to Bitcoin’s earlier rally. Related Reading: Bitcoin–S&P 500 Correlation Hits 80%, Tying Crypto To Stocks Top analyst Axel Adler noted that Bitcoin’s price is now trading close to its all-time high, with the BTC Z-Score (Price, 30/365) sitting around +1.5σ above its one-year norm. This reading is well below the +2.5σ level typically associated with overheating, suggesting that while momentum is strong, it is not yet at extreme levels. The current environment offers a favorable backdrop for potential upside, with room for the market to expand further before reaching overheated conditions. With altcoins gaining traction and Ethereum’s rally adding fuel to the market’s optimism, the coming days could determine whether this is a sustainable breakout or just another phase of consolidation before the next major move. On-Chain Activity Still Lags Behind Price According to Adler, Bitcoin’s current market setup is showing a positive backdrop but with some important caveats. Adler points out that the Adjusted Price Divergence (APD) remains negative near −1.5 after rebounding from local lows around −2. This metric suggests that Bitcoin’s price is still outpacing on-chain activity, although the gap between the two is narrowing. In other words, while price momentum is firm, the network’s transactional activity and usage haven’t yet fully caught up. This discrepancy creates an interesting dynamic for the market. Adler explains that the bias still favors price, meaning momentum is being driven more by investor positioning and sentiment than by on-chain fundamentals. For the rally to gain more structural support, a healthier setup would see APD move toward zero. This could happen in one of two ways: either network activity increases significantly while price moves sideways or posts modest gains, or Bitcoin’s price cools off to better align with current usage levels. Importantly, Adler warns against interpreting APD moving toward zero as a direct buy or sell signal. Instead, it represents a sign of normalization — a point where market price and underlying network fundamentals are better aligned. For now, Bitcoin’s technical and macro backdrop remains bullish, but sustained long-term growth will likely require the network to catch up with price action. Related Reading: Ethereum Exchange Balances Decline To 18.8M ETH: Smart Money Drains Supply Bitcoin Price Holds Key Support Near $115K Bitcoin is consolidating above the $115,724 support level after a brief dip below it earlier this month. The daily chart shows price stabilizing just above the 50-day simple moving average (SMA), currently near $113,324, which has acted as a strong dynamic support throughout the recent uptrend. The short-term structure remains bullish, with BTC trading inside a range between $115,724 support and the $122,077 resistance level. Volume has tapered off slightly since the early August rebound, suggesting the market is in a wait-and-see mode before a potential breakout. A decisive close above $118,000 could invite another test of the $122,077 resistance, a key level that has capped upside attempts multiple times. If broken, this could open the door toward new all-time highs. Related Reading: Bitcoin Miners Avoid Forced Selling: BTC Sits 7.4% Above Last Difficulty Bottom On the downside, losing $115,724 would shift focus to the 100-day SMA at $108,983 as the next major support. Until then, the higher-lows pattern suggests buyers are defending the mid-$115K zone aggressively. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

Bitcoin is trading around key levels after reclaiming the $115,000 mark, with bulls firmly in control despite ongoing consolidation below the $120,000 threshold. The trend remains bullish, supported by steady buying interest and strong technical positioning. Related Reading: Bitcoin Miners Avoid Forced Selling: BTC Sits 7.4% Above Last Difficulty Bottom Key data shows that the correlation between Bitcoin and the S&P 500 has surged to 80%. In this high-correlation regime, a continued rally in US equities could provide Bitcoin with a tailwind toward new highs, while an equity pullback could amplify downside volatility. With the S&P 500 currently in a bullish phase, BTC appears to be tracking the same trajectory. Still, market watchers caution that such high correlation levels are often short-lived and prone to sharp reversals. For now, traders are closely monitoring both equity and crypto charts, knowing that any shift in risk appetite across traditional markets could quickly ripple into Bitcoin’s price action. S&P 500 Correlation Strengthens Bitcoin’s Macro Link According to top analyst Axel Adler, the recent 80% correlation between Bitcoin and the S&P 500 underscores how deeply macroeconomic forces are influencing the crypto market. In this environment, key drivers such as interest rate expectations, liquidity conditions, and the broader risk-on/risk-off sentiment are directly transmitted to BTC’s price action. Under this regime, a sustained recovery in US equities will likely provide a supportive backdrop for Bitcoin. Conversely, if stock markets experience a downturn, the negative sentiment could quickly spill over into the crypto space, amplifying sell-offs and triggering broader market weakness. Adler points out that the current reading is based on a 1-week rolling correlation metric, which is inherently volatile. Historically, such correlation spikes are rarely sustained for long periods. The present level, while significant, is unlikely to hold for more than a few weeks before reverting toward its mean. Despite the short-term nature of this spike, the analyst emphasizes that the growth of crypto adoption in the US—from institutional products like ETFs to corporate treasury allocations—sets the stage for a bullish long-term outlook. Still, traders must remain mindful that macroeconomic downturns, tightening liquidity, or shifts in Federal Reserve policy could rapidly reverse market sentiment. Related Reading: Bitcoin Futures Bias Turns Neutral As OI Net Position Hits Zero – Details Bitcoin Price Analysis: Bulls Defend Key Support Bitcoin (BTC) is trading around $116,565, holding steady after reclaiming the $115,724 support level, which coincides with a key horizontal zone from late July. On the 4-hour chart, BTC recently broke above the 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day SMAs, signaling short-term bullish momentum. These moving averages, now converging near $116,000, could act as a strong support cluster if tested again. The immediate upside target remains the $122,077 resistance, last tested in mid-July. However, BTC has faced selling pressure near $117,000, indicating short-term consolidation before a possible push higher. Volume has tapered slightly after the breakout, suggesting that buyers may need fresh momentum to sustain the move. Related Reading: Bitcoin STH Realized Price Signals Fragile Support: Correction Risk Intensifies If BTC holds above $115,724 and the moving average cluster, bulls could attempt a breakout toward the $118,000–$122,000 zone. However,  rejection might trigger a retest of $115,724, with a deeper pullback. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

After failing to decisively break above the $120,000 level in mid-July, Bitcoin (BTC) could face further price corrections as whales continue to increase BTC inflows to the Binance crypto exchange. Is Bitcoin Losing Its Bullish Momentum? According to a recent CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Arab Chain, fresh data from the Binance Whale-to-Exchange Flow indicator suggests that BTC may soon experience additional downside pressure. Related Reading: Bitcoin ETF Market Flashes Warning: IBIT Outflows Paired With Drop In Tron USDT Transfers The analyst noted that despite growing retail participation in the BTC market, persistently high whale inflows into Binance – combined with a declining Bitcoin price – signal that the market could be entering a technical correction phase. Arab Chain shared the following chart, where the purple zone shows that whale inflows to Binance remained consistently high throughout July and early August. At the same time, the drop in BTC price reflects a distribution pattern, where whales begin unloading BTC on exchanges following a sharp rally. Although there were no extreme spikes, whale inflows into Binance stayed elevated in the $4 billion to $5 billion range, indicating that these large holders are actively moving BTC onto the exchange – often a precursor to major sell-offs. The fact that these inflows remain high on Binance despite the drop in BTC price suggests that either whales are still selling their holdings on the exchange, or they are waiting for a price rebound to exit the market. Similarly, the light blue area in the chart shows a notable increase in retail inflows to Binance during late July and early August. Historically, such late-stage retail participation often marks the final phase of a bullish cycle, providing exit liquidity for whales. The analyst concluded: Despite the rise in retail participation, the market shows signs of internal weakness, with sustained whale inflows to Binance and loss of upward momentum. If this behavior continues, the market may be entering a medium-term correction phase. Investors Still Optimistic About BTC While signals suggest the current BTC rally may be overextended, some investors remain confident, employing strategies like Smart Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) to accumulate BTC in anticipation of further price gains. Related Reading: Bitcoin Holds Steady At $115,000, But Realized Price Data Warns Of Fragility Fellow CryptoQuant analyst Oinonen noted that while the recent pullback in BTC price may have raised concerns about further declines, the asset’s historical Q4 performance could propel it to a new all-time high of $200,000 by the end of 2025. After hitting a recent low around $111,800, BTC has recovered part of its losses and is now trading near $116,500. Still, some analysts caution investors against “excessive optimism.” At press time, BTC was trading at $116,501, up 0.2% over the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant and TradingView.com

The debate over whether the crypto market is in Bitcoin Season or on the verge of Altcoin Season has dragged on for many months, especially due to Ethereum’s price action in the past few days. LUCIE, Shiba Inu’s marketing lead, recently touched on the matter, sharing insights on what’s currently happening, what to expect for an altcoin season, and when to anticipate a breakout in the Altcoin Season Index. Altcoin Season Index Points To Bitcoin Dominance Many traders and analysts have been closely watching the Altcoin Season Index, with posts on the social media platform X and news reports increasing in anticipation of a market-wide move that could favor altcoins against Bitcoin. Although the current market still tilts toward Bitcoin, signs of change are starting to emerge, especially with Ethereum now approaching the $4,000 price level. Related Reading: No Altcoin Season If Bitcoin Dominance Reclaims This Level According to the Altcoin Season Index from BlockchainCenter.net, which was also shared by Shiba Inu’s marketing lead, the index is currently standing at 39, well below the 75 threshold required to confirm altseason. Notably, the data from BlockchainCenter.net shows that the index has been hovering in this range after bouncing from lower levels earlier in the year. As shown in the chart below, despite recent momentum from Ethereum and XRP, Bitcoin is still holding a dominant position in the total market cap. At the time of writing, Bitcoin dominance is currently around 61%, above the 60% level that typically signals room for altcoins to take over. Interestingly, this is a notable reduction from Bitcoin’s 64.3% dominance from three weeks ago.  Lucie attributed this decline in Bitcoin dominance to alt momentum slowly gaining traction across various sectors, including major altcoins and meme-based projects. This gradual build-up, she suggested, could represent an accumulation phase. This is a familiar August pattern that’s mostly always seen before stronger altcoin rallies. Eyes On September For Possible Breakout Although the current readings confirm that it is still Bitcoin Season, Lucie believes everything may already be setting the stage for an altcoin breakout next month. The combination of a drop in BTC dominance and a surge in the Altcoin Season Index above 75 would officially mark the shift. For now, eyes are on this breakout. Particularly, Lucie noted a September window for a decisive move that could ignite a true altseason. Related Reading: Hold On For Dear Life: This Bullish Bitcoin Metric Just Touched A 15-Year High At the time of writing, Bitcoin’s market dominance is at 60.0%, according to data from Coinmarketcap. Ethereum, on the other hand, has a market dominance of 12.2%. The last time the market saw altcoin dominance was in December 2024, when the Altcoin Season Index spiked to a reading of 88.  Since then, Bitcoin has maintained control, with the most recent attempt to push the index higher stalling at a 59 reading on July 21. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com

Bitcoin has reclaimed the crucial $115,000 level after briefly dipping to $112,000 earlier this week, signaling renewed strength from the bulls. The sharp recovery highlights buyers’ resilience following recent volatility, with price action now showing signs of bullish dominance. This rebound comes as traders and investors brace for the potential next leg up, eyeing higher resistance levels. Related Reading: Bitcoin STH Realized Price Signals Fragile Support: Correction Risk Intensifies Key market data adds weight to the bullish case. The Bitcoin Futures Open Interest Net Position — a closely watched indicator that tracks the balance between long and short positions — has shifted in favor of the bulls, showing a clear edge over shorts. This change in positioning suggests that sentiment is turning more optimistic, with market participants increasingly betting on further upside. However, while momentum is building, the coming days will be decisive. Bitcoin must maintain its hold above the $115K level to confirm this shift and open the door to a push toward the next major resistance. Failure to do so could invite fresh selling pressure, putting the recent gains at risk. For now, market structure and derivatives data suggest that bulls are in control, and the stage is set for Bitcoin’s next significant move. Bitcoin Market Sentiment Shifts as Technical and Fundamental Tailwinds Align According to top analyst Axel Adler, Bitcoin’s market structure is undergoing a notable shift. After a prolonged bearish regime since late July — marked by sustained short pressure and represented in the red zone — the SMA-120 line for the Bitcoin Futures Open Interest Net Position has reversed upward, reaching the neutral zero mark. This indicator, which reflects the balance between long and short positioning, signals that the market has moved from aggressive short dominance to a neutral-bullish stance. Adler notes that a similar reversal attempt occurred just a week ago but failed to hold, leading to renewed selling pressure. This time, if the SMA-120 remains above zero for another two consecutive days, it would confirm a regime change, potentially paving the way for a more sustained bullish phase. On the fundamental side, momentum is being supported by a major policy development: US President Donald Trump has signed an executive order permitting alternative assets, including cryptocurrencies, to be included in 401(k) retirement plans. This landmark decision could open the door for millions of Americans to gain exposure to Bitcoin and other digital assets through their retirement savings, significantly expanding potential demand. Related Reading: XRP Whale Activity Signals Warning: Distribution Pattern Resurfaces BTC Tests Key Liquidity Levels Bitcoin’s daily chart shows a strong recovery after recently dipping to the $112K region, with bulls reclaiming the critical $115,724 support level. The rebound has pushed BTC toward the $116,700 area, signaling renewed buying interest after a period of panic selling. The 50-day SMA (blue) is currently providing dynamic support near $113K, helping reinforce the bullish case in the short term. Above, the next major resistance is at $122,077, which marks the upper boundary of the recent consolidation range. A decisive breakout above this level could open the door for a retest of all-time highs. Related Reading: Ethereum Bears Dominate Market Orders: -$418.8M Daily Net Taker Volume Signals Trouble The market’s bias leans bullish as long as BTC remains above the 50-day SMA, but traders should watch for momentum signals. If price gains slow while approaching $122K, the risk of a pullback grows. Overall, BTC’s current structure reflects a market attempting to shift back into a bullish posture, with $115,724 acting as the key line in the sand for trend continuation. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

Onchain analytics platform Glassnode has revealed that most Bitcoin short-term holders are in profit. This development has raised the possibility of the flagship crypto facing another sell-off from this category of holders, who may be unable to hold during this period of sideways action. 70% of Bitcoin Short-Term Holders Are in Profit A Glassnode report revealed that 70% of the Bitcoin short-term holders’ supply is in profit despite the recent Bitcoin price pull-back. The platform noted that the deeper the correction, the more their supply is likely to fall into loss, a development which could affect these holders’ confidence.  Related Reading: Pundit Reveals When To Take Profit From Bitcoin Ahead Of Parabolic Rally The report further stated that, considering that the Bitcoin price is currently trading within a relatively thin air-gap, the sell pressure is likely to come from late-stage profit-taking, should this happen. For now, the sell pressure from these Bitcoin short-term holders looks to be relatively low.  Glassnode pointed out the percentage of spent volume originating from Bitcoin short-term holders who were in profit to assess how much this corrective phase has influenced these investors. This metric measures the number of recently acquired coins that are taking profit. The platform noted that the proportion of short-term holders spent coins taking profit has cooled off, currently at 45%, which is a neutral position.  Glassnode stated that this suggests that the market is in a relatively balanced position, calming fears about a potential sell-off from Bitcoin short-term holders. Meanwhile, the platform also alluded to the Bitcoin ETFs, which also create sell-side pressure for the flagship crypto. These ETFs recorded a net outflow of 1,500 BTC on August 5, the largest wave of sell-side pressure since April 2025.  The report noted that outflows from the Bitcoin ETFs have been relatively brief events, with only a few instances of an extended streak of daily outflows, which create sustained sell-side pressure. Glassnode believes that keeping an eye on the ETF flows will help to identify whether this latest outflow is just a repeat of the short-lived trend or a shift in investors’ sentiment.  $116,900 Is The Resistance Level BTC Needs To Break Above Glassnode indicated that the Bitcoin price needs to break above the $116,900 level decisively to build any momentum for the next leg up. This level serves as the cost basis of local top buyers who bought BTC over the last month. The platform claimed that a sustained price move above this level would signal that the demand side is regaining control.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Crash To $100,000 Or Rally To $122,000? Analyst Shows Game Plan For BTC Furthermore, it also offers early confirmation that the Bitcoin price has found reliable support and could continue its move to the upside. On the other hand, if BTC remains below this level for a longer period, Glassnode remarked that it increases the risk of a deeper correction. Bitcoin could drop toward the lower bound of the air gap near $110,000.  At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $116,800, up over 2% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

Bitcoin is trading with renewed volatility after successfully pushing back into the previous price range above the $115,000 level. This move signals resilience from the bulls, who are showing strength following several days of panic selling and heightened fears of a deeper correction. Market sentiment, while still cautious, is improving as BTC buyers reclaim ground. Related Reading: XRP Whale Activity Signals Warning: Distribution Pattern Resurfaces According to CryptoQuant data, the % BTC price change since the last difficulty bottom indicator currently sits at +7.4%, placing it in the green zone. This metric is a valuable tool for assessing miner health and market stability. Historically, real miner capitulation phases occur when this reading drops into sustained negative territory between –10% and –30%, typically after a series of difficulty decreases. Such conditions force weaker miners to sell holdings under pressure, often contributing to market downturns. At present, Bitcoin’s position above zero on this indicator suggests the market has emerged from significant miner stress. This reduces the risk of forced selling from mining operations, providing a steadier backdrop for price action. While not yet in an euphoric phase, the current reading indicates a moderate but constructive environment — one that could allow BTC to build a stronger foundation for the next upward move. Bitcoin Miner Health Signals Neutral-to-Positive Market Backdrop Top analyst Axel Adler shared fresh data suggesting that Bitcoin’s miner health remains in a neutral-to-positive state. According to Adler, the price is currently above the last difficulty bottom level, meaning there is no capitulation among miners. This reduces pressure from forced sales by weaker mining operations, a dynamic that often adds selling pressure during market downturns. The current +7.4% reading on the “% BTC price change since last difficulty bottom” indicator points to moderate momentum. While this is a constructive signal, Adler noted that it is far from the euphoric conditions seen in past market peaks, when readings surged between +50% and +80%. Looking ahead, Adler outlined several key factors to monitor: Next difficulty adjustment during falling prices: This would be a warning sign, indicating potential stress for weaker miners. Hashprice/revenue per TH/s: Tracking miner profitability can confirm or refute whether the sector is under pressure. Miner reserves: An increase in selling during weak price action would be an early signal of mounting stress. The bottom line, according to Adler, is that the miner factor is not currently dragging the market down, but it is also not a strong bullish driver. Instead, it serves as a steady, supportive backdrop — as long as Bitcoin does not break sharply above the last difficulty bottom level with double-digit percentage gains or, conversely, drop below it. In this environment, BTC’s price action will depend more on demand-side catalysts and macroeconomic developments than miner-driven pressures. Related Reading: Bitcoin STH Realized Price Signals Fragile Support: Correction Risk Intensifies BTC Price Analysis: Testing Key Resistance Level Bitcoin’s 4-hour chart shows the price attempting to sustain gains after reclaiming the $115,724 support zone. Following a strong bounce from recent lows, BTC pushed above the 50-day (blue), 100-day (green), and 200-day (red) moving averages, signaling a short-term shift in momentum. Currently, BTC is consolidating around $116,585, with immediate resistance at $116,600–$116,700, aligned with the 100-day SMA. A breakout above this area could open the path toward the $118,000–$118,500 region, with the next major resistance at $122,077, the previous range high. On the downside, $115,724 remains a crucial support level. A failure to hold this could trigger a pullback toward $114,000, with stronger support near the $112,500 zone. Volume has been relatively modest on this rebound, suggesting that bulls need stronger participation to maintain upside momentum. Related Reading: Ethereum Bears Dominate Market Orders: -$418.8M Daily Net Taker Volume Signals Trouble The recent move above multiple SMAs is a positive short-term sign, but BTC is still trading within the broader range established in July. Until the price decisively breaks above $118K, the market remains in a consolidation phase, vulnerable to reversals if buying pressure fades. Maintaining support above $115.7K will be key for bulls aiming to test higher resistance levels in the coming sessions. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

On Thursday, the decades-old wall separating US retirement accounts from direct crypto exposure came down — and the potential capital inflow is staggering. President Donald Trump signed an executive order that will open 401(k) retirement plans to a broader range of alternative assets, including private equity, real estate, and — for the first time — crypto assets such as Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana. Is A Trillion-Dollar Crypto Flood About To Hit? The news marks a sharp reversal from the US Department of Labor’s (DOL) aggressive stance just three years ago, when the agency issued an unprecedented warning urging retirement plan providers to “exercise extreme caution” before offering crypto in 401(k) plans. As Ryan Rasmussen, Head of Research at Bitwise Asset Management, noted, “It was the first — and only — time the DOL singled out an asset class like this. Not even junk bonds or ESG funds.” In 2022, the DOL went further, stating that adding crypto to a 401(k) could be interpreted as a failure to meet the required fiduciary standard of professional care. The message was unambiguous: providers who failed to meet that standard could be held personally liable for any losses. This effectively froze the market before it began. “401(k) providers had to decide if adding crypto to plans was worth the risk of DOL scrutiny. Most didn’t,” Rasmussen explained. The chilling effect was immediate — sponsors backed off, firms paused crypto-linked retirement products, and investors “missed out on life-changing returns.” Related Reading: USDC Emerges As Top Pick In Booming Crypto Payroll Trend—Survey By mid-2025, however, the tide had turned. Mounting legal pressure, pushback from 401(k) providers, and Congressional criticism of regulatory overreach led the DOL to rescind its “extreme caution” guidance in full. More strikingly, the agency admitted that its 2022 approach was a deviation from its historically neutral treatment of investment strategies. As Rasmussen put it, “Once again, the US government admitted it had singled out crypto.” Now, the executive order will not merely remove the roadblocks but actively open the gates. According to Bloomberg data cited by Rasmussen, the US 401(k) market is valued at approximately $12.5 trillion. Even a 1% allocation to crypto would translate to $125 billion in inflows; a 10% allocation could reach $1.25 trillion. Rasmussen believes the earliest beneficiaries will be assets with existing exchange-traded fund (ETF) structures, naming Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana, while adding that “a rising tide lifts all boats.” More Implications For industry observers, the implications extend beyond a one-time capital injection. Tom Dunleavy, Head of Venture at Varys Capital, stressed that the mechanics of 401(k) investing create a powerful and persistent demand driver. “In the US, roughly 100 million Americans have a retirement investment vehicle known as a 401(k),” Dunleavy explained. Related Reading: Crypto Is Here To Stay—Even The SEC Can’t Do Anything About It, Analyst Says “Every 2 weeks, a portion of their paychecks are routed directly into purchasing a mixture of stocks and bonds… This is a HUGE driver of the equity market run and resilience over the past 20 years. A constant background bid for assets.” With around $50 billion entering these funds biweekly, even a modest portfolio allocation to crypto — 1%, 3%, or 5% — could create recurring inflows of $120 billion to $600 billion annually. “And these aren’t one-time flows. THEY KEEP BUYING ONCE ALLOCATIONS ARE SET,” Dunleavy emphasized. Jan Happel and Yann Allemann, the founders of Glassnode and Swissblock, are already calling the move a watershed for mainstream adoption. They remarked via X, “People don’t realize yet how big today’s news has been for crypto… this will be seen as the watershed moment for mainstream adoption, much more than the ETF.” Scott Melker, known as “The Wolf of All Streets,” highlighted the transformational nature of the change: “Until now, the average American couldn’t touch Bitcoin or Altcoins in a 401(k). Soon, they might be able to DCA and trade like a degen tax-free for decades. This isn’t just policy — it’s a paradigm shift.” As Dunleavy summed it up, with 401(k)s and direct asset trusts in place, the policy “put[s] a ridiculous floor under crypto going forward and move[s] the limit from the moon to Jupiter.” At press time, the total crypto market cap stood at $3.82 trillion. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin’s recent price action has drawn renewed attention as the asset attempts to rebound from last week’s decline. Following its July peak above $123,000, BTC experienced a downturn, hitting lows around $112,000 over the weekend. However, the latest data now suggest a gradual recovery in progress, with the cryptocurrency trading above $116,000 at the time of writing. Despite this modest rebound, some analysts are warning that underlying market sentiment could be pointing to a potential correction. Recent insights from contributors on the CryptoQuant QuickTake platform highlight signs of increasing optimism among traders, particularly on Binance. The balance between long and short positions is showing a distinct bias toward the long side, a pattern historically associated with short-term reversals. Related Reading: US Delay On Bitcoin Audit Is A Bullish Red Flag, Says Strike CEO Sentiment Indicators Raise Red Flags on Binance CryptoQuant analyst BorisVest recently discussed how sentiment on Binance, based on long-short positioning, has shifted notably into positive territory. According to BorisVest, the platform’s sentiment metric has shown a surge in long positions as BTC moved from $112,000 to $115,000. He noted that such spikes often coincide with price corrections. “The clustering of green bars in the sentiment chart suggests that traders are increasingly expecting prices to rise. However, excessive optimism tends to be countered by market corrections,” he explained. The analyst added that Binance, given its dominant share in trading volume, provides valuable insight into broader trader behavior. When the long position concentration grows during price increases, it may indicate a potential round of profit-taking. BorisVest stated that a meaningful correction would likely require BTC to fall below the $110,000 mark, which could offer more favorable re-entry points for buyers while restoring balance to the market structure. Bitcoin Leverage Data Shows Mixed Signals for Recovery In a related post, another CryptoQuant analyst, Arab Chain, examined the ongoing decline in Binance’s leverage ratio. Typically, a reduction in leverage is interpreted as a signal that overleveraged traders are exiting the market, thereby reducing volatility and risk of forced liquidations. “Lower leverage suggests less speculative behavior in the short term,” Arab Chain noted, “which often contributes to more stable price action.” Related Reading: Japanese Financial Giant SBI Moves Forward With Bitcoin-XRP ETF Application However, Arab Chain also pointed out that both leverage and price have been falling in tandem, which may reflect weak demand from spot buyers. This combination indicates that the recent downturn lacks sufficient buying support, raising concerns about the strength of Bitcoin’s current recovery. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

The US markets have seen a surge of digital coins. Millions of Americans now hold tokens in their wallets. Blocking all of it suddenly would be nearly impossible. At the same time, leaving this sector with no rules puts everyday investors in harm’s way. Related Reading: Bitcoin Insult Alert: Pro Trader Dubs HODLers ‘Idiots,’ Saylor Fires Back Why Ban Is Off The Table According to Bloomberg columnist Matt Levine, outright banning crypto is off the table. He points out that tens of millions of people own digital assets today. Pulling the plug now would ripple through trading platforms, payment apps, and even major Wall Street firms. Levine argues that such a move would simply drive innovation and jobs offshore. Hostile Past Still Looms Under former SEC Chair Gary Gensler, most tokens were treated as stocks. That meant they needed to register under securities laws—a process that almost no project could clear. In practice, that stance rendered crypto “illegal” in the US. Many developers and investors felt shut out. Matt Levine: “We will ban crypto” is no longer feasible for the SEC, and “we will ignore crypto because it’s not a security so not our problem” is not very attractive for the SEC. The only choice left is “we will regulate crypto, but in a way that you like. pic.twitter.com/hBFXTmMnh5 — Sar Haribhakti (@sarthakgh) August 7, 2025 According to analysts, crypto serves two purposes: it powers networks and it offers investment chances. That split role creates regulatory headaches. Many tokens act much like shares in a company, yet they also run on open software and community rules. The SEC knows how to protect stock investors, but digital coins need different safeguards. Project Crypto Signals Change Current SEC Chair Paul Atkins launched “Project Crypto” this year. The goal is to carve out faster, clearer paths for token registration. Projects that truly function as securities could follow a new, streamlined process. At the same time, tokens used mainly for network services would face lighter requirements. Related Reading: Bitcoin Remains ‘Undefeatable’, Tether Chief Says Levine warns that drawing clear lines won’t be easy. How do you tell a governance token from a pure utility token? What level of disclosure makes sense when code can update itself overnight? Those questions will test regulators and industry alike. However, having defined categories would guide honest developers and protect small investors. The SEC now faces a clear choice: use its power, but adapt its toolkit. A full ban would leave retail holders stranded. Total hands-off would leave them exposed to fraud. Featured image from Meta, chart from TradingView

In a bold move that could reshape the crypto landscape, the US President is reportedly preparing to sign an executive order aimed at protecting access to BTC and digital assets. If enacted, this landmark policy would redefine the relationship between digital assets and the US financial system. Bitcoin Steps Into The Political Spotlight Bitcoin has officially entered the hall of power, as the US President Donald Trump is preparing to sign an executive order that would prohibit banks from refusing services to Bitcoin and crypto-related companies. This move signals a major shift in the US policy and ends years of financial censorship against the crypto industry. Related Reading: Strategy Expands Bitcoin Holdings With Massive Third-Largest Acquisition According to a crypto enthusiast, Henry, with this impending order, the crypto industry appears to be getting serious respect from the White House, after years of regulatory uncertainty and political pushback. In the coming days, Henry suggests that positive developments are on the horizon, especially involving Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. This kind of attention from the highest levels of government could shake up the entire market and trigger a wave of institutional interest and volatility. If this happens, it would be more than just good news, as it would be a game-changer. Not only could it act as a major catalyst for BTC, it would also open the doors for crypto businesses to access traditional financial services, which they need for growth. Bitcoin is gaining recognition among the highest forms of governments across the world. Reports show that the Indonesian Vice President Gibran Rakabuming Raka is exploring the possibility of adding Bitcoin to the country’s national reserves, according to a recent post from Bitcoin Indonesia. The move represents a bold step toward integrating digital assets into sovereign finance. If implemented, Indonesia would become one of the first major Asian economies to formally recognize BTC as a reserve asset, signaling a shift in how governments hedge against inflation, currency risk, and geopolitical uncertainty. The global spotlight is increasingly turning to crypto adoption at the state level. The Bhutan Government Moves $59.2 Million In BTC Several countries are engaging BTC globally at a rapid rate. In a significant and quietly executed move, the government of Bhutan has transferred 517 BTC, valued at approximately $59.2 million, to a new cryptocurrency wallet. This substantial transfer of BTC, reported by Crypto Rover on X, has sparked speculation among analysts and the crypto community about potential custody changes or strategic moves.  Related Reading: Bitcoin’s $115K Struggle: Is a Deeper Drop on the Horizon? The Himalayan kingdom of Bhutan has consistently maintained a low profile in the world of sovereign crypto holdings, making it one of the most discreet yet active state players in the digital asset space. This recent movement may indicate a shift toward enhanced security and measures in BTC reserves. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

Following a brief dip to $112,200, Bitcoin (BTC) has recovered slightly, trading around the $116,300 level at the time of writing. While concerns remain about BTC’s inability to decisively break the $120,000 resistance level, on-chain data suggests the asset may be in an accumulation phase – potentially gearing up for its next breakout toward a new all-time high (ATH). Bitcoin Currently In Accumulation Phase, Analyst Says According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor BorisVest, a strategy called Smart Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) may help Bitcoin investors accumulate the asset more strategically and improve long-term performance. Related Reading: Bitcoin Rejected At $120,000: Binance Whale Inflows Suggest Possible Drop To $110,000 In his analysis, BorisVest noted that investors often struggle to time their entries into BTC. Many tend to buy during local tops due to fear of missing out (FOMO) and avoid entering the market during bottoms out of fear of further declines. Smart DCA offers a way to bypass these emotion-driven decisions. The strategy recommends accumulating BTC when its market price falls below the 1-week to 1-month realized price – a period during which short-term holders are often in loss, resulting in heightened sell-off. BorisVest explained: At these levels, short-term holders are usually underwater, leading to increased sell pressure. Smart DCA activates hourly purchases during such periods, helping to bring the BTC and USD cost basis closer together. Currently, the 1-week to 1-month realized price stands at approximately $117,700. As long as BTC trades below this level, Smart DCA continues to flash an accumulation signal. Once BTC climbs above this threshold, the strategy advises gradually selling previously accumulated coins. With Bitcoin now trading near $116,000, the analyst suggests that the asset is still in an accumulation phase – though it’s approaching the realized threshold. According to data from CoinGecko, BTC remains about 5.2% below its ATH of $122,838, recorded on July 14. Is BTC Unlikely To Hit A New ATH? Despite holding steady around $115,000, some analysts warn that Bitcoin’s realized price is slowly beginning to show signs of fragility. A drop below the $105,000 mark could lead to increased downside momentum, potentially triggering a larger sell-off. Related Reading: Bitcoin Sees Rising New Investor Dominance, Old Holders Yet To Capitulate Notably, Binance’s net taker volume has slipped back into negative territory, raising concerns about a near-term correction. Additionally, rising Bitcoin ETF outflows have shown signs of weakness, adding another layer of uncertainty. Still, not all indicators are bearish. Some on-chain metrics suggest BTC may simply be entering a cooling-off period after a brief overheated phase. At press time, BTC trades at $116,316, up 2.1% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant and TradingView.com

Last Friday’s US July Employment Situation release has delivered the kind of statistical jolt that rarely shows up outside crises, forcing traders to re-evaluate both the macro outlook and Bitcoin’s near-term path. Payrolls grew by just 73,000, but the shock lay in the record-large negative revisions: May and June were marked down by a combined 258,000 jobs, slicing the three-month hiring average to 35,000 and erasing nearly all of the second-quarter’s reported momentum. The Bureau of Labor Statistics notes that revisions of that magnitude have been seen only during the Covid collapse. Is Bitcoin Really Facing A Black Swan Event? Bloomberg Economics chief US economist Anna Wong wrote: “The downward revisions to May and June payrolls in the July jobs report constitute a black swan event – a three-standard-deviation move with less than a 0.2% chance of occurrence in the last 30 years. Adjusted for our estimate of the job overstatement from the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ birth-death model, the three-month hiring pace turns outright negative.” The data, she wrote in a terminal note circulated Friday, “flipped the labor-market script” from re-acceleration to abrupt cooling. Related Reading: Bitcoin Could See Another Crash To Fill This Imbalance Before Rally To $120,000 The market’s crypto voice on the issue has been Bitwise Europe’s head of research, André Dragosch, who spent the morning posting a string of warnings on X. First came the news, ”According to Bloomberg chief economist Anna Wong, the most recent payroll revisions were a ‘black swan event’.Will probably get even worse before it gets better…”, then the maxim, “Yes – bad for payrolls = good for bitcoin, at least over the medium to long term.” Minutes later he argued that deeper revisions could force emergency easing: “NOTE: There is a strong case for a negative June jobs print after further downside revisions which could lead to a 50 bps rate cut in September… Plan accordingly. #Bitcoin” By mid-afternoon he pushed the point to its logical extreme: “ATTENTION: We are probably just a single negative NFP print away from a significant repricing in Fed rate cut expectations. US labor market & inflation data surprises are still as bad as during Covid but traders only price in 2 cuts until Dec 2025… Printer is coming… ” Interest-rate futures moved sharply in Dragosch’s direction. On Wednesdays, the CME FedWatch Tool showed a 91 percent probability of at least one cut at the 17–18 September FOMC meeting. Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari acknowledged that “the real underlying economy is slowing,” while Governor Lisa Cook called the size of the revisions “concerning.” Related Reading: US Delay On Bitcoin Audit Is A Bullish Red Flag, Says Strike CEO Bitcoin’s price action captured the tug-of-war between recession fear and liquidity hope. The flagship cryptocurrency slumped to $111,920 on 2 August, its lowest print since early July, immediately after the payroll release and President Donald Trump’s subsequent firing of BLS Commissioner Erika McEntarfer. A tentative rebound toward $111,500 followed as rate-cut odds ballooned this week. Yet, Bitcoin remained tethered to macro headlines rather than its own cycle. Still, the first clear sign of positioning for easier policy has emerged in fund flows. Spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded a net $91.6 million inflow on 7 August, snapping a four-day outflow streak that had drained more than $380 million from the vehicles. Whether Bloomberg’s and Dragosch’s black-swan framing proves prescient will depend on the next few data prints and the Fed’s tolerance for risk. For now the market is caught between those poles: one bad jobs number away from a full-blown policy response, but one more shock away from a broader risk-off spiral. The only certainty, as Wong’s probability math and Dragosch’s full-throated alerts both imply, is that the margin for error has evaporated. At press time, BTC traded at $116,359. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

On-chain data shows that the Bitcoin short-term holders have switched to loss-taking recently. Here’s what this could mean for the asset. Bitcoin Short-Term Holder SOPR Has Dropped Below 1.0 In a new post on X, the on-chain analysis platform Checkonchain has talked about how the behavior of the Bitcoin short-term holders has changed recently. The indicator shared by Checkonchain is the Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR), which tells us about whether the BTC investors are selling/moving their coins at a profit or loss. Related Reading: Dogecoin Whales Buy The Dip: $1 Billion DOGE Added When the value of the metric is greater than 1, it means the holders as a whole are participating in profit-taking. On the other hand, it being under the mark suggests the market is realizing a net loss. In the context of the current discussion, the SOPR of the entire network isn’t of interest, but rather that of only a specific part of it: the short-term holders (STHs). This cohort includes the holders who purchased their coins in the past 155 days. Statistically, the longer investors hold onto their coins, the less likely they are to sell them at any point. But since the STH group is made up of holders with a short holding time, conviction tends to be weak among its members, with panic selloffs often taking place. Recently, Bitcoin has seen a decline, so it would be expected that the STHs would have shown some kind of reaction. Below is the chart shared by the analytics firm, showing the nature of selling that the cohort has participated in. As is visible in the graph, the Bitcoin STH SOPR shot up to a notable level above 1 when the asset’s price set its all-time high (ATH), indicating that these fickle-minded hands took the opportunity of the rally to exit in profit. The profit-taking, however, declined in the consolidation phase that followed this peak, and the recent bearish price action has outright pushed the metric below 1. The indicator currently has a value of 0.99, which is still almost neutral, but it does show that some top buyers have started to capitulate. As Checkonchain explains, “many recent top buyers and ‘Weaker’ hands are selling around their buy-in price and saying ‘get me out.'” In the past, capitulation events from the Bitcoin STHs have often meant a flush of weak hands, facilitating bottom formations for the cryptocurrency. Sometimes these events can go on for a while before the market reaches a turnaround, as happened in the lead-up to the April low. Related Reading: Binance Inflows A Leading Indicator For Altcoins? Analyst Explains How But interestingly, the STH SOPR’s dip into the loss-taking zone in June was quite short-lived and led into a quick reversal for the asset. It now remains to be seen which trend will play out for BTC this time. BTC Price Bitcoin has shown some recovery during the past day as its price has jumped to $116,400. Featured image from Dall-E, charts.checkonchain.com, chart from TradingView.com

Франция переходит на новый этап внедрения криптовалют, поскольку партия крайнего правого крыла Rassemblement National (RN) готовит законопроект, разрешающий использовать неиспользуемую ядерную энергию для майнинга Биткоина. По информации французской газеты Le Monde, лидер партии и трижды выдвигавшийся в президенты Марин Ле Пен продвигала этот план во время визита на АЭС Фламанвиль 11 марта, заявив, что это разумный способ превратить упущенное электричество в “надежные и крайне прибыльные” цифровые активы. План Франции: майнить Биткоин с помощью ядерной энергии Предложение Rassemblement National стало одной из самых обсуждаемых криптоинициатив во Франции. Партия утверждает, что поскольку Франция часто производит больше электроэнергии, чем потребляет, излишки не должны пропадать впустую. Законодатель от RN Орелиен Лопес-Лигуори подготовил законопроект о размещении оборудования для майнинга Биткоина на ядерных объектах компании Électricité de France (EDF), государственной энергетической компании. Идея состоит в том, чтобы направить неиспользуемую ядерную энергию (до одного гигаватта избытков) прямо на майнинговые фермы. Поскольку более 70% французской электроэнергии производится на АЭС, избыточные объемы электроэнергии продаются с убытком или даже за счет Франции передаются соседним странам. Вместо того чтобы продавать лишнюю энергию в убыток, Франция будет использовать ее для более выгодного дела – майнинга Биткоина и сохранения прибыли. Законопроект, поданный в Национальное собрание Франции 11 июля 2025 года, предусматривает пятилетнюю пилотную программу, которая позволит энергетическим компаниям создавать майнинговые предприятия непосредственно на АЭС. По внутренним оценкам, это может приносить от 100 до 150 миллионов долларов дохода в год. Политический поворот: от скептиков к сторонникам криптовалют Поддержка майнинга Биткоина со стороны Rassemblement National обозначает резкий поворот в отношении партии к криптовалюте. В 2016 году Марин Ле Пен была категорически против криптовалют, считая, что они лишат граждан контроля над финансами и увеличат власть глобальных банков, выступая за полный запрет их использования во Франции. Однако к 2022 году Ле Пен смягчила свою позицию, начав поддерживать регулируемое использование криптовалют в финансовой сфере. А к 2025 году она открыто выступает за майнинг Биткоина как часть национальной стратегии, что отражает значительные изменения как внутри её партии, так и в общественном политическом дискурсе по теме крипто. После неудачи подобного предложения в июне 2025 года депутат Лопес-Лигуори переработал законопроект, сделав акцент на национальную инфраструктуру и экономическое восстановление, утверждая, что план поможет сделать Францию более экономически независимой и решить давнюю проблему с избыточной энергией. В случае принятия Франция станет первой страной в Европе, официально связавшей майнинг Биткоина, поддерживаемый государством, с ядерной энергией, задавая пример другим странам, стремящимся заработать на избыточной возобновляемой или ядерной энергии. Быки стремятся превратить уровень $114 000 в поддержку. Источник: BTCUSD on TradingView.com Токен Maxi Doge (MAXI) собирает $400 тыс. на предпродаже, поскольку трейдеры проявляют интерес Maxi Doge (MAXI) – это новый смелый мем-коин, построенный вокруг культуры “только вверх”, которая определяет крипто-бычьи рынки. Токен дает сообществу шанс “выйти из душной комнаты”, уйти от ограничений и получить доступ к потенциальным сделкам x1000 через Maxi Fund. 25% общей эмиссии направлены на поиск самых взрывных токенов цикла, без стоп-лоссов, без страха и с одним правилом: если цена падает – удваивай ставку! Такие инвестиции с высоким риском и высокой уверенностью для тех, кто хочет либо поучить максимальную прибыль, либо уйти с рынка с пустыми руками. Maxi Doge создан для настоящих криптоэкстремалов! Предпродажа еще актуальна: неавно бло собрано целых $400 000. Чтобы купить токен $MAXI прямо сейчас, достаточно зайти на официальный сайт Maxi Doge и подключить свой криптокошелек (например, Best Wallet). Вы можете обменять USDT или ETH на токен, либо инвестировать в проект с помощью банковской карты.

Bitcoin is entering a critical phase after losing the crucial $115,000 support level, with selling pressure mounting across key timeframes. The bullish momentum that previously fueled upside moves has faded, and price action now signals growing market weakness. As investor sentiment shifts from cautious optimism to concern, fears of a deeper correction below $110,000 are gaining traction among analysts. Related Reading: Ethereum Bears Dominate Market Orders: -$418.8M Daily Net Taker Volume Signals Trouble According to CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler, Bitcoin has established a short-term resistance level at $112,000—a constructive sign that the market is attempting to stabilize. However, Adler warns that the $112K–$105K zone remains structurally fragile, acting as a buffer that separates current price levels from more aggressive downside risk. If sellers push BTC below $105K, it could trigger a cascade of long liquidations and shake out short-term holders. With macroeconomic uncertainty and declining ETF flows weighing on sentiment, Bitcoin’s path forward depends on how it reacts within this range. A recovery above $112K would signal resilience, while a breakdown could open the door to a broader market correction. Short-Term Holder Risk Grows As Bitcoin Fails To Reclaim Momentum According to Adler, the current structure of the Bitcoin market shows growing vulnerability, particularly among short-term holders (STHs). Adler points out that the 1-week to 1-month STH Realized Price sits at $117,000, meaning this entire cohort is now underwater. These investors, who tend to react emotionally to short-term volatility, may be the first to panic-sell if any negative catalysts emerge—potentially triggering a cascade of sell-offs across the broader market. Adler further highlights the $105,000 level as a critical support zone, based on the aggregated STH Realized Price. If Bitcoin drops into this range, the pressure to hold will intensify, but it may also act as a strong technical and psychological level that could slow or even reverse the downtrend. “The market remains weak,” Adler reaffirmed, maintaining his bearish stance from the day prior. He emphasized that retail investors are failing to push the price higher, and the lack of sustained demand adds to the growing structural weakness in the market. Compounding the stress is recent weak US jobs data, which has sparked fresh speculation about potential interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve. While this could be bullish for risk assets in the long run, the current uncertainty is adding pressure to already fragile market sentiment. Related Reading: Bitcoin Net Taker Volume Stays Bearish – Fragile Market Structure Risks Liquidation Cascade Bitcoin Attempts Recovery Amid Resistance Cluster The 4-hour chart for Bitcoin (BTC) reveals a key battle playing out below the $116K resistance zone. After briefly dipping below $113K earlier this week, BTC has rebounded and is now trading around $115,478, approaching the 100 and 200 moving averages—currently acting as overhead resistance at $116,596 and $115,799, respectively. The price is also attempting to break back above the horizontal support-turned-resistance at $115,724, a level that held during July’s consolidation range. This cluster of resistance—formed by the SMAs and horizontal level—poses a significant short-term hurdle. A clean breakout above this zone with strong volume could signal renewed bullish momentum and open the path toward retesting the $122K range high. Related Reading: Is Bitcoin Overheated? Key Signal Flashes Warning Similar To 2021 And 2024 Market Tops However, volume remains relatively low compared to the July breakout, and the failed attempts to reclaim higher levels suggest buyers are cautious. Unless BTC can reclaim and consolidate above $116K, the rejection risk remains high, potentially pushing the price back into the lower $112K–$113K support band. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

James Howells, the British man who famously lost access to 8,000 Bitcoin in a 2013 landfill accident, is setting the record straight. Taking to X (formerly Twitter), Howells pushed back against recent social media claims that he has abandoned his search. He firmly denied the rumors and revealed a new strategy to reclaim his lost fortune, now worth roughly $923 million. Although he’s no longer seeking permission from his local council to search the landfill, he’s far from done.  Howells Debunks Rumors, Plans To Turn His Lost $1 Billion In Bitcoin Into Ceiniog Coin In the post shared on X, Howells confirmed he has not given up and slammed years of rejection from Newport City Council. For over a decade, he says he tried public proposals, legal talks, mediation, and even offered over $30 million to recover the drive buried in the landfill. “$1 billion and they ignored it all,” he wrote. With no response from the council, he has decided to stop waiting. Related Reading: Shiba Inu Team Member Reveals ‘Primary Challenge’ And ‘Top Priority’ Amid Market Uncertainty Instead of continuing legal fights or making more offers, Howells announced a new plan: to tokenize the entire wallet of 8,000 BTC into a new cryptocurrency called Ceiniog Coin (INI). Named after an ancient Welsh coin, Ceiniog will act as a Layer 2 token built on Bitcoin, matching 1:1 with satoshis, the smallest unit of Bitcoin. He plans to create 800 billion INI tokens, each directly linked to the 8,000 BTC sitting on the lost drive. According to Howells, Ceiniog will launch in late 2025, powered by Bitcoin’s OP_RETURN functionality. It will integrate with Web3 projects like Stacks, Runes, and Ordinals. With the ICO planned later this year, Howells hopes the coin’s market value will eventually match that of the lost BTC, making him a theoretical billionaire, just 8.34% away from that goal based on current prices. How He Lost The Bitcoin And What He’s Done To Get It Back The saga began in 2013, when James Howells, a British IT professional, accidentally threw out a hard drive that contained the keys to 8,000 BTC, now worth nearly a billion dollars. Realizing the mistake too late, Howells spent the next 12 years trying to recover it. Related Reading: Spot Ethereum ETFs Set A New Record In July With $5.4 Billion Monthly Inflow He submitted detailed recovery proposals, including environmental clean-up plans and AI-powered landfill scans. He even offered to raise $75 million by selling 21% of the Bitcoin’s value to fund the excavation. His most recent formal offer in July 2025, worth between $33 million and $40 million, included a full purchase of the landfill and a cleanup strategy. Citing environmental risks and lack of confidence in the outcome, the Newport City Council rejected the plan. Now, instead of digging through landfill waste, Howells is building Ceiniog Coin as his way of reclaiming what he believes is rightfully his. He plans to debut the coin at a discount, letting early supporters buy in before the coin reaches its full value. Over time, he hopes the token’s value will naturally rise to reflect the worth of 8,000 Bitcoin. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView.com

Jack Mallers, founder and CEO of Strike, ignited fresh debate over Washington’s still-undisclosed Bitcoin balance on Wednesday night, arguing that the US government is withholding the numbers because its position is “too small to lead” the digital-asset economy. “The US won’t disclose their BTC holdings. Why? Because they realized they don’t own enough,” Mallers posted on X, adding that the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve (SBR) race is “far from over” and “I expect this to heat up.” US Bitcoin Silence Hints At Bigger Problem In a video attached to the post, the 30-year-old entrepreneur expanded on the point. He praised the administration’s decision in March to create an SBR but said the follow-through has fallen short: “The US government has kind of let us down in not giving us the full audit of how much Bitcoin the US government owns. … Clearly that information is sensitive or else they would disclose it. … I think that the US government is ashamed of its Bitcoin position.” Related Reading: Bitcoin Net Taker Volume Stays Bearish – Fragile Market Structure Risks Liquidation Cascade President Donald Trump’s Executive Order 14233 on 6 March formally established the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve alongside a broader Digital Asset Stockpile, framing Bitcoin as a “unique store of value in the global financial system.” A follow-up White House fact sheet stressed the goal of “positioning the United States as a leader among nations in government digital-asset strategy.” Yet when the administration unveiled its 163-page digital-assets strategy on 30 July, the document offered only a fleeting reference to the SBR and no hard figures. Robert “Bo” Hines—executive director of the President’s Council of Advisers on Digital Assets—noted, “I can’t discuss that right now … There are several reasons we’re not disclosing that at this time.” Over the past months, Hines’ tone was not apologetic. “We want as much Bitcoin as we can possibly get, and we’re going to continue to work on that,” he said in a separate interview, describing Bitcoin as “digital gold”. For years analysts believed the US government controlled well over 200,000 BTC thanks to Silk Road, Bitfinex-hack and other forfeitures. But a Freedom of Information Act response released in mid-July showed the US Marshals Service holding just 28,988 BTC—about $3.3 billion at today’s prices—rekindling speculation that earlier administrations quietly liquidated a large share of the trove. Separate on-chain data confirm that federal wallets sent 30,175 BTC to Coinbase Prime as early as April 2024, with additional transfers worth $1.9 billion following in December 2024. Related Reading: Bitcoin Stuck In Macro Purgatory—Top Analyst Says Q4 Or Bust Mallers seized on those numbers. “I think the Democrats sold off a bunch of that Bitcoin, and they don’t want to announce anything until they can build the position back,” he said, calling the audit delay “a branding problem” for a country that bills itself as the future Bitcoin super-power. Market Backdrop Bitcoin is trading above $114,000 after peaking at $123,000 last week, up more than 100 percent year-on-year. The float is already constrained: roughly 92 percent of all coins are mined, and large swaths sit in dormant or long-term-holder wallets. Should the Treasury accelerate SBR purchases—as Mallers predicts—the incremental buy-side pressure could tighten supply further. From Mallers’ vantage point, the political embarrassment he describes is ultimately price-positive: “If the US wants to plant its flag as the crypto capital, it has no choice but to accumulate. That’s the bullish takeaway. We’re talking about a buyer with the deepest pockets on Earth.” Whether Congress will backstop those purchases is another matter. Senator Cynthia Lummis has re-introduced a bill directing the Treasury to acquire up to one million BTC over five years, but appropriations committees have yet to schedule hearings. At press time, BTC traded at $114,572. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

After the bearish price action that began over the last weekend, Bitcoin has left some unfilled gaps open that could point to where the price is headed next. With two Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) yet to be filled, according to crypto analyst TehThomas, investors should expect a wave of uncertain movement in either direction. This is because Bitcoin needs to clear multiple liquidity levels before it is finally in a position to make a clean breakout. The Two FVGs Holding The Bitcoin Price Down In the analysis, Thomas explains that Bitcoin has created fair value gaps both above and below the current support level. The first of these lies above $117,000 and is expected to be the first to be filled. This position holds a lot of liquidity, and it is likely that this upper imbalance will be targeted first. Such a move would trigger stop losses and trap late longs who are tricked into buying the breakout. Related Reading: Market Expert Debunks Possible Bitcoin Top In November Using 9-12 Months Retail Cycle However, this Bitcoin breakout is not expected to last for long since only one FVG will have been filled at this level. The next FVG is way below the recent lows recorded at the start of August, sitting just above $111,000. The crypto analyst expects that a retracement from the breakout will push it back down to this level. This decline is, in itself, bullish as it will fill the imbalance at a point where there is a lot of demand. Just like the sweep upward above $117,000, the retracement to $111,000 is expected to clear internal liquidity. This will provide a clean slate from the compressing structure that the Bitcoin price has been trading within and could be the start of the next major move upward. What’s Next After Internal Liquidity Is Cleared? Once this move is in motion, the analyst points to the descending trendline as the next important formation on the Bitcoin price chart. For the price to continue upward, Thomas explains that Bitcoin would have to react from the upper imbalance of the trendline before falling back lower. This is the level that would determine confirmation for the next move. Related Reading: Cardano Marks Historical Milestone With Governance Vote, Hoskinson Reacts With internal liquidity also completely cleared at the end of the trend, Bitcoin is expected to have a “clean position to rally.” Targets would be the liquidity build-up at the previous wicks and area of rejection, which pushes all the way up toward $120,000. “This would complete the full cycle of imbalance fill, liquidity grab, and directional expansion,” Thomas said. However, he also added that “Price is unlikely to sustain a move higher until both zones have been addressed.” Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com

Japan’s largest bank, SBI, has unveiled plans to launch the country’s first exchange-traded fund (ETF) that will be linked to both Bitcoin (BTC) and XRP.  SBI Unveils Japan’s First Bitcoin And XRP ETF  According to circulating reports, this investment vehicle aims to trade on the Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE), offering institutional investors a regulated avenue to gain exposure to two of the market’s largest cryptocurrencies.  In addition, the country’s financial giant has introduced a second product, the Digital Gold Crypto ETF, which will allocate 51% to gold and 49% to cryptocurrencies.  Related Reading: Dogecoin Price Crash Could End Soon With A Roadmap For $5 This structure is reportedly designed to mitigate investment risks through diversification, catering to a growing interest in combining traditional assets with digital currencies. This announcement arrives at a pivotal moment as Japan’s Financial Services Agency (FSA) is contemplating regulatory changes that could simplify the approval and tax processes for cryptocurrency-related financial products.  Such developments may further enhance the attractiveness of these offerings to investors looking for regulated investment opportunities in the crypto space. Meanwhile, across the waters in China, the focus is shifting towards the introduction of the country’s first stablecoin.  Hong Kong Emerges As Crypto Testing Ground Reports from the Financial Times indicate that Hong Kong has emerged as a testing ground for cryptocurrency initiatives, particularly in light of the stringent bans imposed on the mainland.  Recently, Hong Kong passed legislation allowing licensed businesses to issue tokens backed by any fiat currency. However, the Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA) has adopted a cautious approach, announcing that only a limited number of licenses will be granted starting next year. Chinese policymakers are increasingly recognizing the significance of stablecoins, particularly in the context of dollar-backed tokens that dominate the global economy.  Related Reading: Is The Bitcoin Bull Run In Jeopardy? Expert Reveals Strategy’s Alleged Plan To Sell All BTC Holdings In a speech made in June, Pan Gongsheng, the governor of China’s central bank, noted that stablecoins have “fundamentally reshaped the traditional payment landscape.”  This acknowledgment reflects a growing interest in stablecoins from Chinese state-owned enterprises, especially for payment and settlement solutions. Several state-owned companies operating in Hong Kong are reportedly preparing to apply for stablecoin licenses, although only one of China’s four major state-owned banks is anticipated to receive a license from the HKMA in this initial phase.  Notably, the HKMA has not ruled out the possibility of approving licenses for stablecoins backed by offshore renminbi, a potential move that could greatly facilitate cross-border payments—an increasingly vital area for China as it seeks to enhance its financial influence globally. When writing, Bitcoin trades at $115,245, recording a 1% recovery in the 24-hour time frame. When compared to its recently achieved all-time high (ATH) of $123,000, the cryptocurrency has retraced over 6%.  Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 

CryptoQuant analyst Maartunn used today’s price weakness to publish a granular, 10-part “Bitcoin Market Analysis” on X that dissects the post-ATH landscape with on-chain detail and a clear technical line in the sand. “Bitcoin broke its all-time high, but here’s the catch: long-term holders are [starting] to sell into the strength,” he wrote, adding that what matters now is how the market digests that supply above and around the breakout zone. In his framing, the first stress test is underway. Is The Bitcoin Bull Run Over? The thread anchors around one headline-grabbing datapoint: “the LTH selling pressure includes the 80,000 BTC sold by the Satoshi-era wallet.” That description is Maartunn’s interpretation of July’s extraordinary movement of eight “ancient” wallets that shifted roughly 80,000 BTC after ~14 years of dormancy via Galaxy Digital. Beyond the drama of this single entity, Maartunn argues that behavior across the holder spectrum is what’s driving the tape. “Retail is stepping in after the ATH,” he noted, describing a familiar pattern of late-cycle enthusiasm that followed Bitcoin’s push through $120,000 in mid-July. That surge set a new record near $123,000 before momentum faded; spot prices are now revolving around $113,000–$115,000. Related Reading: Bitcoin Is Secretly Tracking This Market Signal: Weiss Crypto The bid didn’t vanish entirely. “Fresh capital did help the ATH-breakout buyers,” Maartunn wrote, pointing to balance-sheet demand “from firms like Strategy and Metaplanet.” Those purchases are verifiable. Strategy—the rebranded MicroStrategy—disclosed 21,021 BTC bought between July 28 and Aug. 3 at an average of ~$117,256, lifting its holdings to ~628,791 BTC. Tokyo-listed Metaplanet added 463 BTC on Aug. 4, taking treasury holdings to 17,595 BTC. Even so, those corporate flows “weren’t enough to hold Bitcoin around the ~$120k level,” the analyst said. Where the thread turns more cautionary is on short-term hands. “Short-Term Holders started to puke and sell at a loss,” Maartunn wrote, quantifying realized-loss waves of 52,230 BTC (July 15–18), 42,493 BTC (July 24–28), and 70,028 BTC “after July 31.” He called the last episode notable “not just [for] the size, but the duration,” arguing that prolonged STH loss-realization is a pressure valve that typically needs time to exhaust. These are Maartunn’s on-chain tallies; they have not been separately published by data vendors in aggregate form. The flows picture from listed products has begun to rhyme with that stress. “ETFs are also seeing outflows,” he observed. Multiple trackers confirm a downswing: CoinShares logged the first net weekly outflow in 15 weeks (-$223 million) with Bitcoin funds leading at -$404 million, while daily tallies this week show US spot Bitcoin ETFs bleeding for several sessions, including about -$196 million on Tuesday. Framing differs by window, but the direction is clear: the bid from ETFs is wobbling at the margin. Related Reading: Bitcoin Risks Another Crash Following Recovering Into Bearish FVG Zone Technically, Maartunn fixes attention on the former breakout zone. “Bitcoin is finding support around its previous ATH — roughly $112K,” he wrote, pointing to a confluence between chart structure and on-chain price-distribution. His on-chain map “backs it up,” flagging “strong support in the $108K–$112K range,” an area where a large volume of coins last changed hands. Context matters. Bitcoin’s July all-time high sits around $123,000 on major benchmarks—an extension of 2025’s institutional-heavy advance—so calling $112,000 a “previous ATH” refers to the nearer-term breakout plateau that preceded price discovery, not the absolute record. That nuance is why Maartunn concludes with a conditional: “So far this cycle, we haven’t seen any previous ATH break down… Until that changes, this looks like a normal pullback. But if we do break below a former ATH ($112k), that’s a real shift in market behavior.” In the near term, the credibility of that ~$108,000–$112,000 “shelf” will likely be decided by whether supply from profit-taking long-term holders, loss-realizing short-term holders, and ETF redemptions continues to outweigh balance-sheet demand and organic spot inflows. If the shelf holds, Maartunn’s base case is “a normal pullback” that bleeds off excesses from the ATH push. If it fails decisively, he argues, the cycle would be showing its first meaningful breach of a prior breakout—an observable change in behavior rather than a narrative turn of phrase. At press time, BTC traded at $114,238. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Despite the recent Bitcoin (BTC) price correction after a significant rally that propelled the cryptocurrency to a record high of $123,000, some analysts remain optimistic about the potential for a renewed bull run. However, one expert has raised a concerning warning that could signal the end of this bullish cycle. Fears Of Mass Sell-Off According to market expert OxArtikal’s thesis shared on social media platform X (formerly Twitter), Michael Saylor’s Strategy (previously MicroStrategy), the largest corporate holder of Bitcoin, is reportedly planning to sell all of its Bitcoin holdings by 2025.  This revelation comes amid movements of their substantial Bitcoin reserves to different wallets, raising alarms about the potential implications for the market. Related Reading: XRP Soars 35% in a Month: Will Ripple’s Legal Win and Whale Activity Send Price to New Highs? Strategy currently controls over 628,000 BTC, representing more than 3% of Bitcoin’s total circulating supply. For context, the collapse of FTX, which held approximately 20,000 BTC, triggered a significant downturn in the market.  The expert believes that the potential sale of Strategy’s Bitcoin holdings could have a dramatically larger impact, estimated to be 30 times more severe. Notably, Saylor has long maintained that Strategy would never sell its Bitcoin. However, the expert identified that in late June, the company quietly transferred 7,382 BTC—valued at nearly $800 million—out of its wallets and into three new wallets with no prior transaction history.  This Bitcoin was subsequently sent to Coinbase Prime, a sell-side custodian, without any public announcement or clarification during the company’s Q2 earnings report.  If Strategy were to liquidate even a small portion of its holdings, the psychological ramifications could be profound, OxArtikal further stated. He shared that this could lead to a mass sell-off, while institutional investors could reconsider their BTC allocations.  Bitcoin Could Crash Below $70,000  Historically, Strategy’s actions have coincided with significant market shifts. In 2022, the company transferred 34,000 BTC to secure a loan, shortly before a major market crash. Now, as they appear to be moving substantial amounts of Bitcoin again, the expert fears that a similar scenario could unfold.  OxArtikal asserts that sell-off by Strategy could potentially drive the price below $70,000 within days, undermining the retail comeback and deterring new investors who view Bitcoin as a long-term safe haven. Related Reading: Bitcoin Stuck In Macro Purgatory—Top Analyst Says Q4 Or Bust While it is not confirmed that Saylor will sell his holdings, the signs are troubling: the recent wallet movements, the involvement of Coinbase Prime, and a lack of transparency during earnings calls all point to a potential shift in strategy.  If Strategy were to exit the Bitcoin market, the expert claims that it wouldn’t merely result in a correction; it could trigger a market-wide reset, erasing years of built-up trust and confidence in Bitcoin as “digital gold.” Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 

Bitcoin is showing signs of life after a sharp drop from the $115,000 level, with bullish momentum quietly rebuilding beneath the surface. As volatility settles, a potential recovery is beginning to take shape, fueled by key technical signals on lower timeframes. With the market stabilizing, the next move could define the short-term trend. Sharp Pullback Follows Rejection At $115,000 Resistance Zone Providing an update on the current state of the crypto market, Kurnia Bijaksana pointed out that Bitcoin, along with several altcoins, experienced a sharp decline last night. The sudden move caught the attention of traders and analysts alike, prompting a closer look at both the technical and fundamental factors driving the action. Related Reading: Bitcoin Buying Spree Ends On Coinbase: Temporary Pause Or Trend Shift? From a purely technical perspective, the decline appears to have been triggered by Bitcoin hitting a key resistance zone near the $115,000 level. Despite the pullback, Kurnia observed that Bitcoin’s price is now showing early signs of recovery. This area has acted as a ceiling for prices in recent sessions, and the rejection sparked selling pressure across the broader crypto market.  However, on the intraday chart, a rebound is already underway, suggesting that buyers are stepping in to defend key levels and potentially absorb the recent selling. Whether this bounce can turn into a sustained move higher remains to be seen, but for now, the charts suggest that Bitcoin may be stabilizing after the initial drop. 1-Hour Chart Reveals Early Signs Of A Trend Reversal Kurnia Bijaksana provided further analysis, focusing on Bitcoin’s price action within the 1-hour timeframe. According to the analyst, BTC is currently forming a higher low—a classic indicator that signals growing bullish momentum and the potential for an upward continuation in the near term. Related Reading: Bitcoin Pullback Remains Within Normal Volatility Range: Drawdown Analysis Shows No Signs Of Panic Bijaksana also highlighted the potential development of an inverse head and shoulders pattern, which is typically seen as a strong bullish reversal signal. In this case, the neckline of the pattern is located around the $115,300 level, a key resistance zone that Bitcoin must break through to confirm further upside. If Bitcoin manages to break and hold above this neckline, Bijaksana believes it could trigger a measured move toward the $118,000 level. A confirmation of this breakout would provide a clear bullish signal, possibly paving the way for continued strength in the coming sessions. Bitcoin is currently priced around $114,315, boasting a market capitalization exceeding $2.2 trillion. Over the past 24 hours, it has recorded a trading volume of more than $58.8 billion, reflecting strong market activity. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

Bitcoin is trading in a vulnerable position, hovering below the critical $115K level and flirting with a potential breakdown towards $110K. After weeks of bullish momentum that propelled BTC to new highs, the market has entered a phase of caution and fear. The enthusiasm that once drove relentless buying has faded, replaced by increased selling pressure and defensive positioning from traders. Related Reading: Is Bitcoin Overheated? Key Signal Flashes Warning Similar To 2021 And 2024 Market Tops Key data from CryptoQuant reveals that the futures market is leaning bearish, even as Bitcoin attempts to consolidate within its current range. Open interest remains elevated, but the Net Taker Volume suggests that sellers are increasingly aggressive, prioritizing execution speed over price. This shift in sentiment is a warning sign that the market structure is fragile. Analysts caution that Bitcoin is now highly susceptible to negative catalysts. Any adverse news or market trigger could unleash a cascade of long liquidations, amplifying bearish pressure and pushing BTC below key support levels. With market sentiment teetering and futures positioning skewed to the downside, Bitcoin is entering a critical phase where the next move could define whether it stabilizes for another rally — or accelerates into a deeper correction. The coming sessions will be pivotal for Bitcoin’s short-term trajectory. Bitcoin Futures Market Remains Fragile Despite Slight Easing Of Bearish Pressure Top analyst Axel Adler shared critical insights regarding Bitcoin’s current market structure, highlighting rising concerns in the futures market. After Bitcoin reached a new all-time high, bearish pressure on futures intensified, peaking at –7.5% on July 29th. Although this figure has slightly eased to –5.2%, Adler warns that the market structure remains fragile and highly susceptible to external shocks. Despite Bitcoin’s attempts to consolidate above $110K, futures market dynamics suggest an underlying weakness. Open interest remains high, and taker sell volume continues to outpace buying activity. Adler points out that while the immediate selling pressure has cooled off marginally, the imbalance between aggressive sellers and passive buyers exposes the market to a potential liquidation cascade. Any negative catalyst — such as regulatory developments, macroeconomic shifts, or a large sell-off — could trigger a rapid sequence of long liquidations. This would instantly amplify bearish momentum, pushing Bitcoin’s price lower and potentially accelerating a deeper correction phase. Some analysts are now warning of a possible drop below the $100K psychological level if the market fails to stabilize. The coming weeks will be critical, as Bitcoin hovers near key support zones while futures market sentiment remains bearish. Related Reading: Ethereum Consolidation Deepens As Taker Buy/Sell Ratio Hits One Of The Lowest Levels This Year BTC Struggling Below Key Resistance Amid Weak Momentum Bitcoin is currently trading at $114,061, showing signs of weakness after failing to reclaim the $115,724 resistance level. The recent bounce from the $112,000 zone lacked strong follow-through, as price action remains trapped below the key moving averages. The 50, 100, and 200-period SMAs are now acting as dynamic resistance levels, compressing BTC within a tight range and signaling a fragile market structure. Bears are defending the $115,724 resistance, which coincides with the 100 and 200 SMA zones, making it a significant barrier for bulls to overcome. If Bitcoin fails to break above this level in the coming sessions, the probability of a retest of the $112,000 support increases, with potential downside extensions toward $110,000. Related Reading: Bitcoin Demand Holds Strong Despite Price Drop: Accumulation Trend Remains Intact The overall structure indicates a bearish consolidation, with lower highs forming since late July. The next decisive move will likely be triggered by external catalysts, as the market awaits fresh momentum to determine the trend. A breakout above $115,724 could open the door for a test of $117,000, while failure to reclaim that level keeps BTC vulnerable to deeper corrections. For now, caution dominates the short-term outlook. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView