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Bitcoin’s fresh record above $124,000 on Thursday set the stage for a stark test of one of oldest heuristics, according to Joe Consorti, Head of Growth at Theya. In a video published today, August 14, Consorti argued that the fourth quarter will reveal whether the market’s long-observed four-year halving cycle still governs price behavior—or whether the asset has entered a new regime shaped by deep, patient pools of traditional finance capital. “Bitcoin just hit a brand new all-time high of more than $123,700,” he said at the top of the segment. “It’s since corrected slightly…but we’re still pushing higher.” That print aligns with Wednesday’s tape across major dashboards: Bitcoin price topped above $124,4000 today as macro traders leaned into a prospective Fed easing path and risk sentiment firmed. Q4 Could Bury The 4-Year Bitcoin Cycle For Good Consorti framed the breakout against a month-long tug-of-war around $118,000–$120,000, describing how “longs and shorts have been fighting back and forth for market control,” with bulls “slowly but surely” grinding out the upper hand. He tied the setup to the seasonal transition out of the “summer doldrums,” and to a policy backdrop he expects to turn supportive: “As Wall Street returns from vacation… the Fed is positioned for its first maintenance rate cut in a year as the US economy rebounds.” Futures markets have increasingly priced a September cut, a shift that has underpinned risk assets broadly alongside dollar softness. The heart of Consorti’s thesis is that this expansion is structurally different. “This is also Bitcoin’s longest bull market ever… at 21 months compared to 13 months,” he said, using that duration to pose the key dilemma: “That begs the question, is the 4-year cycle dead? Well, at the very least, the 4-year cycle will be tested in Q4 of this year.” Related Reading: The Grand Bitcoin Roadmap: Crypto Expert Says $160,000 Still In The Works He pointed viewers to analysis from on-chain researcher James Check (Checkmate) at CheckOnChain. “If we see a massive run-up and blow-off top at 4-year end, the theory remains intact… but if not, Bitcoin’s behavior through market cycles has probably changed forever.” Check, for his part, has recently written that “if there was ever a time for the 4yr Bitcoin halving cycle to break, this market environment is likely it,” underscoring how veteran on-chain analysts are also bracing for a pattern shift. What’s changed, in Consorti’s view, is the buyer base. “Traditional finance capital pools have entered the picture, and they play by different rules.” He highlighted spot Bitcoin ETFs as the prime conduit: “These are purchased by retirees, pension funds, and endowments… These are allocators with no near-term intention of selling. They plan to hold it for years, even decades, and only gradually shave down positions over time.” To illustrate, he cited Harvard University’s endowment: “Their endowment purchased 1.9 million shares of iShares Bitcoin Trust, valued at $116.7 million in Q2.” That position—disclosed in a recent 13F—impressively demonstrates the institutional adoption of BlackRock’s IBIT. Related Reading: Two Forces Can Launch Bitcoin To $1 Million, Says Mike Novogratz Consorti extended the long-horizon argument to treasury adopters: “These are firms holding Bitcoin on their balance sheets with no plan to sell. Ever… the serious players… are permanent fixtures in the market.” The implication, he said, is a visible evolution in market structure and tempo: “Instead of the violent booms and busts of earlier cycles, we’re seeing something new, which is a consistent uptrend punctuated by periods of consolidation, then rapid expansion, then consolidation again.” As supply becomes increasingly lodged with long-duration holders and the asset’s capital base thickens, “volatility naturally compresses, but upside doesn’t vanish. It just plays out in longer arcs, with bigger dollar moves and a slower tempo.” He added that this maturation is already noticeable as Bitcoin grows “beyond its current $2.4 trillion market cap,” even as he acknowledged that the fourth quarter will be the crucible for the cycle debate. “In Q4, that dynamic could be on full display,” Consorti concluded. A “mix of easing financial conditions, renewed institutional inflows post-summer, and persistent structural demand from ETFs, corporates, and high net worth allocators could set the stage for another leg higher and a banner Q4.” But his sign-off was deliberately non-deterministic: “Only after the fourth quarter of this year will we truly know whether or not the four-year cycle is truly dead and buried… We’ll just have to wait and see.” At press time, BTC traded at $119,068. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

The Bitcoin Realized Price has surged above the asset’s 200-week moving average (MA). Here’s what could happen next, according to history. Bitcoin Realized Price Has Overtaken 200-WMA For First Time This Cycle As pointed out by analyst James Van Straten in a new post on X, the Bitcoin Realized Price and 200-week MA have seen a crossover. The “Realized Price” here refers to an on-chain indicator that, in short, keeps track of the cost basis of the average investor or address on the BTC network. Related Reading: Bitcoin Options Traders Don’t Expect Volatility: Contrarian Signal Brewing? When the value of this metric is higher than the spot price, it means the holders as a whole are in a state of net unrealized profit. On the other hand, it being under BTC’s value suggests the average investor is underwater. The 200-week MA, the other metric shared by the analyst, is a technical analysis (TA) pricing model that averages BTC’s closing price over the last 200 weeks. Since 200 weeks roughly equal four years, this indicator is used to gauge BTC’s trend shifts over a classic four-year cycle. Now, here is the chart shared by Van Straten that shows the trend in the Bitcoin Realized Price and 200-week MA over the past decade: As is visible in the above graph, the Bitcoin Realized Price has gone up over the past year, a natural result of BTC’s spot price following an uptrend. As investors trade at the higher prices, they reprice the cost basis of their coins higher as well, thus raising the market average. After the latest increase in the indicator, its value has surged above the 200-week MA. The last time that the former was higher than the latter was in the previous cycle. Back then, the crossover occurred in 2020, and the orientation was maintained until 2022. Interestingly, the timing of the crossover coincided with the start of that cycle’s bull run. In the 2017 cycle, no crossover preceded the bull run as the Realized Price never dipped under the 200-week MA, but a retest did occur, which sent the metric flying up alongside the spot price. “When the uptrend begins, so does the bull market,” notes the analyst. It now remains to be seen whether something similar as in the past would occur, with the Bitcoin Realized Price seeing a sustained surge above the 200-week MA. Related Reading: Ethereum Retail Mood Still Bearish: Perfect Setup For ATH Break? Speaking of bullish signals, Capriole Investments founder Charles Edwards has revealed that institutional buying represented 75% of Coinbase volume recently. Edwards has noticed an interesting pattern related to this metric. “All readings above 75% have seen higher prices one week later,” explains the analyst. BTC Price Bitcoin set a new all-time high above $124,000 on Wednesday, but the coin has plunged since then as its price is back at $118,300. Featured image from Dall-E, Glassnode.com, charts from TradingView.com

Bitcoin (BTC) surged to a new all-time high of $124,400 on early Thursday, fueled by strong institutional demand, bullish technicals, and favorable U.S. policy shifts. The move pushed the overall crypto market cap to a record $4.18 trillion. Related Reading: Ripple CTO Comments On Rising XRP Ledger Competition From Fintechs The rally followed a decisive breakout above key technical levels, including the 7-day SMA at $118,892 and the 200-day EMA at $101,566. The MACD histogram widened to its most bullish reading since July 2025, while the RSI14 at 68.5 suggests there’s still room before hitting overbought conditions. Fibonacci projections now place BTC’s next major resistance near $126,870. However, after briefly surpassing $124K, Bitcoin retraced to around $121,800, prompting traders to ask whether this is simply consolidation before the next surge. Institutional Demand and Policy Support Driving Momentum Corporate and institutional accumulation remains a major driver. SpaceX continues to hold 8,285 BTC worth over $1 billion, while Thumzup Media recently announced a $50 million crypto treasury. These moves mirror Metaplanet’s purchase of 2,205 BTC earlier this week. Political tailwinds are also in play. U.S. President Donald Trump’s administration has rolled back banking restrictions on crypto firms and signed legislation opening retirement accounts to digital asset investments. The GENIUS Act, introducing the country’s first federal stablecoin framework, has further boosted market confidence. ETF inflows have accelerated, with U.S.-listed Bitcoin ETFs pulling in over $1 billion in net weekly inflows. Total ETF holdings now stand at $154 billion, signaling deep institutional interest. BTC's price records some losses after a major spike on the daily chart. Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview  Bitcoin (BTC) Pundits Eye $150K If Momentum Holds Despite a notable July sell-off by long-term holders, the largest since 2021, market analysts see the pullback as a healthy pause. Vikram Subburaj, CEO of Giottus Crypto Platform, views $120K as a new “sturdy floor” and $126K as the breakout point that could open the path toward $150,000. “With strong macro tailwinds, robust ETF demand, and rising corporate adoption, every dip may be viewed as a buying opportunity rather than a reversal signal,” noted Himanshu Maradiya, Chairman of CIFDAQ. Related Reading: Ethereum CME Gap Threatens Recovery, Why A Crash To $4,080 Is Possible If bullish sentiment persists, Bitcoin could soon challenge higher psychological levels, making this latest pullback less a warning sign and more a pit stop before the next leg up. Cover image from ChatGPT, BTCUSD chart from Tradingview

Bitcoin (BTC) created a fresh all-time high (ATH) yesterday, touching $124,474 on Binance before stabilizing around $118,000 at the time of writing. Meanwhile, BTC reserves on Binance have surged significantly, raising concerns about a potential price correction. Bitcoin Reserves Spike On Binance: Time To Worry? According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Arab Chain, Binance’s Bitcoin reserves have seen a sharp increase in recent months. The exchange holds the largest BTC reserves, supported by its high liquidity and the largest trading volume in the market. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Eyes ATH With Falling Average Executed Order Size And Rising Retail Activity From the end of July until today, Binance-based BTC reserves have reversed a previous downtrend, climbing to 579,000 BTC. Arab Chain shared the following chart illustrating how BTC reserves – after a period of scarcity – have reversed course and now signal a short-term warning. Notably, BTC reserves on Binance had previously declined by approximately 50,000 to 60,000 BTC, a 9% to 10% drop from the 2024 peak to the July 2025 low. Recently, reserves recovered slightly, rising by 25,000 to 30,000 BTC, an increase of 5% to 6%. Despite this recovery, BTC reserves remain well below the peaks of late 2024, indicating that structural scarcity has not yet fully dissipated. Arab Chain highlighted two potential reasons for the recent spike in reserves. First, profit-taking or short-term supply could increase when traders – including whales and market makers – deposit BTC on exchanges. They may do this to sell part of their holdings or to use the digital asset as collateral in derivatives markets. Second, a liquidity boost for BTC can occur when growing demand leads to the replenishment of liquidity pools. Market makers may also rebalance their portfolios to help smooth price spreads. The analyst concluded: In practice, if daily or weekly reserve increases persist alongside high positive funding rates and rising open interest, the likelihood of a short-term correction grows. However, if reserves stabilize or decline quickly, this would suggest renewed scarcity and a continuation of the uptrend. BTC Rally Losing Momentum? BTC pulled back from its recent ATH, trading slightly above $118,000 at the time of writing, signaling a short-term price correction. Some analysts warn that this might indicate the flagship cryptocurrency is losing momentum. Related Reading: Two Forces Can Launch Bitcoin To $1 Million, Says Mike Novogratz In addition to rising exchange reserves, the Binance whale-to-exchange flow metric also points to increased selling pressure. The spike in Binance miner distributions reinforces this signal. That said, some analysts remain cautiously optimistic. Axel Adler notes that BTC’s current market structure makes a severe price correction unlikely. At press time, BTC trades at $118,464, down 0.8% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant and TradingView.com

Bitcoin’s performance in recent days has been nothing short of notable with an impressive rally. The leading cryptocurrency has managed to surge past $124,000 this week to register a new all-time high of $124,128 in the past 24 hours, according to CoinGecko data. Interestingly, technical analysis from a crypto analyst known pseudonymously as Stockmoney Lizards predicts that Bitcoin is now approaching a critical phase that will send its price over $300,000 by 2026. Bitcoin Reaches Pivotal Phase In Long-Term Trend Stockmoney Lizards shared a long-term Bitcoin macro chart that combines a price channel with a momentum oscillator in a post on the social media platform X. The analysis, which was done on the 2-week candlestick timeframe chart, shows that Bitcoin has been trading upwards within a rising parallel channel since 2012, with major cycle tops touching the channel’s upper resistance line. Related Reading: None Of These 30 Bitcoin Bull Market Top Indicators Have Been Triggered Recent price action has seen the Bitcoin price climbing toward the midline of the channel. According to the analyst, this is the most critical phase, and the current movement suggests it is about to repeat impulsive waves to the upside like both the 2018 and 2021 bull runs.  Furthermore, the analyst pointed to a bounce on the oscillator at the bottom of the chart, much like it did in 2017 and 2020 before the rallies in the subsequent year. This oscillator, combined with recent technical factors, has led the analyst to forecast a potential base Bitcoin price target of $180,000 to $200,000 by early 2026, while leaving open the possibility of an even stronger rally. Path To A $300,000 Bull Case Although Stockmoney Lizards noted that Bitcoin has matured and its market behavior is no longer a perfect mirror of past cycles, the market still has room for a “my-neighbor-just-asked-me-about-Bitcoin” type of frenzy phase. This stage, which is going to be characterized by a surge in mainstream retail interest, will be the one to generate the needed parabolic price surge for the bigger bull case.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Could Hit A Small Roadblock To ATH As CME Gap Threatens Crash If such a scenario unfolds, the analyst projected that Bitcoin’s bull case could extend beyond $300,000 before the current macro cycle peaks. Interestingly, the chart projection shows a price target as high as $350,000.  Bitcoin is already up by about 107% in the past year. Its rally in the past weeks is based on a few factors ranging from expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts to regulatory green lights for cryptocurrencies in retirement plans. A surge to $300,000 and $350,000 by 2026 would translate to another 145% and 188% increase, respectively, from the current price level. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $121,685, up by 1.8% in the past 24 hours. It has retraced by 1.9% from its new all-time high of $124,128 about seven hours ago. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com

Bitcoin surged to a fresh all-time high of $124,500 just hours ago, but the celebration was short-lived as the price quickly retraced to the $121,500 level. The sudden pullback has split market opinion: some analysts interpret the drop as a sign of waning momentum, while others see it as a healthy pause before another breakout attempt. Related Reading: Ethereum 30-Day Netflow Average Deepens Negative: Buyers Dominate Market Adding to the intrigue, key data from CryptoQuant reveals that BTC volatility — measured by the 30-day Price High & Low metric — has compressed to its lowest point in two years. This metric tracks the range between Bitcoin’s rolling 30-day high and low, and its current tight squeeze suggests a rare balance between supply and demand. Liquidity has been clustering above local highs near $120K and below recent lows around $113K, creating a coiled-spring effect in the price structure. Historically, such volatility compression phases often precede significant range expansions. The question now is whether Bitcoin will break upward, continuing its long-term bull trend, or slip into a deeper correction if selling pressure gains traction. With the market sitting near record highs and volatility at multi-year lows, traders are bracing for what could be the next decisive move in Bitcoin’s 2025 rally. Bitcoin Volatility Compression Signals Imminent Move According to top analyst Axel Adler, Bitcoin’s 30-day Price High & Low metric is showing one of its tightest readings in years. The range between BTC’s rolling 30-day high and low has narrowed significantly, while the bands themselves — representing the rolling maximum and minimum prices — have compressed tightly around the current price. This pattern is a textbook sign of volatility contraction. Adler explains that such compression typically reflects a balance between supply and demand and a period of low realized volatility. In this phase, liquidity tends to concentrate just above local highs, currently around $120,000, and just below local lows, near $113,000. This creates a situation where price movement is contained within a narrow band, with traders positioning themselves on both sides in anticipation of the next breakout. The coming days will be critical in determining Bitcoin’s short-term structure. If BTC can break above the $120K–$124K zone, it could trigger another leg higher in its uptrend. However, a breakdown below $113K would increase the risk of a deeper correction, potentially shifting market sentiment. Related Reading: Bitcoin Futures Power Index Hits Neutral Zone After Months Of Bullish Readings – Details Price Analysis: Testing Critical Resistance Zone On the 8-hour chart, Bitcoin (BTC) is trading at $121,596, down slightly by 0.14% after hitting $122,609 earlier in the session. The move comes just a day after BTC briefly broke above the key $123,217 resistance level, approaching the $124,000 psychological barrier before pulling back. This zone remains the most significant obstacle for bulls, as it has capped upward moves multiple times. Price action shows BTC maintaining a bullish structure above its major moving averages — the 50 SMA ($116,948), 100 SMA ($117,653), and 200 SMA ($112,495). This alignment signals continued strength in the medium term, with the 50 SMA acting as immediate dynamic support. Related Reading: Alameda Research Unlocks $35M In Solana After 4 Years – Imminent Distribution? The repeated tests of the $123K area suggest that market liquidity is heavily concentrated here. A decisive breakout and sustained close above $124K would likely trigger momentum buying and open the door to new all-time highs. Conversely, a failure to reclaim $123K could lead to renewed selling pressure, with initial support at $120K and deeper support near the $117K–$118K range. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

Bitcoin hit a new all-time high (ATH) on August 13, providing a bullish outlook for the leading cryptocurrency. Ethereum has also recorded remarkable gains in the last seven days, bringing it close to its ATH. This development has occurred thanks to macro factors, which are boosting risk-on sentiment.  Bitcoin Hits New ATH While Ethereum Records Massive Gains CoinMarketCap data shows that Bitcoin has reached a new ATH of $124,400, surpassing its previous ATH of around $123,091, which it hit just a month ago. Meanwhile, Ethereum is up almost 30% in the last seven days and is now just about 2% away from its ATH of $4,891. With the crypto market boasting this bullish momentum, ETH is expected to reach a new ATH sooner rather than later.  Related Reading: Pundit Predicts ‘Near Term’ Bitcoin And Ethereum Prices, There’s Still Room To Run These rallies for Bitcoin and Ethereum have occurred on the back of positive macro developments such as the U.S. CPI data, which has boosted hopes of a September Fed rate cut. The July CPI inflation data came in at 2.7%, which showed that inflation in the country was steady. This reading was also lower than the expected 2.8%.  Meanwhile, earlier on, the July job data had suggested that the U.S. labor market was weakening after nonfarm payrolls rose to 73,000, lower than the expected 147,000. Meanwhile, May and June figures were revised to 19,000 and 14,000 from 144,000 and 147,000, respectively.  These developments have proven bullish for Bitcoin and Ethereum as the odds of a 25-basis-point (bps) September Fed rate cut have reached as high as 99%, according to CME FedWatch. These odds are now at 95% while there is a 4.2% chance of a 50 bps, which would be more bullish for these crypto assets if it happens. Rate cuts inject more liquidity into the market and boost investors’ appetite for risk-on assets like BTC and ETH.  Higher Prices Still Likely For BTC Crypto analyst Ezy said that the Bitcoin price is in the ‘Sign of Strength’ phase, signaling that this is the beginning of a major bullish move after a period of accumulation by whales. The analyst added that the first target in this phase is typically the 1.618 Fibonacci, which is around $130,000.  Related Reading: None Of These 30 Bitcoin Bull Market Top Indicators Have Been Triggered Meanwhile, the Ezy stated that the second target is at the 2.0 Fibonacci level, near $145,000, and the final target is around $166,000. His accompanying chart showed that Bitcoin can reach these targets between September and October, around when the monetary easing cycle is expected to begin.  At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $122,600, up over 2% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Pixabay chart from Tradingview.com

Chris Burniske, the cofounder and partner at crypto venture firm Placeholder, laid out a time-boxed set of cycle targets for the market’s three bellwethers, arguing that the “crazier” price action gets through early autumn, the higher his conviction becomes that this cycle culminates in October. “Aiming for an October top in BTC, if I were to pick numbers, which we all know is a grade above guessing, I’d say BTC $142,690, ETH 6,900–8K, $SOL ~ $420. NFA, it’s a meme world we live in,” Burniske posted on X late on August 13. Predictions For Bitcoin, Ethereum And Solana The Placeholder co-founder expanded on the logic in follow-ups, saying he prefers the implied cross-asset relationships against Bitcoin at those levels. He suggested that if the run accelerates into August–September–October, his “conviction” in an October top rises; conversely, “if we pull back hard soon, and get more muted, then perhaps we can extend this bull for longer.” He also emphasized that once Bitcoin’s tide turns, lower-liquidity assets typically “drain out” faster—an admonition that aligns with past cycle behavior even if timing the inflection is, as he put it, “a grade above guessing.” Related Reading: The Grand Bitcoin Roadmap: Crypto Expert Says $160,000 Still In The Works By construction, Burniske’s slate of targets bakes in a meaningful repricing of the crypto complex’s internal ratios. At a $142,690 Bitcoin, an Ethereum band of $6,900–$8,000 implies an ETH/BTC ratio in roughly the 0.048–0.056 range, while $420 Solana would imply an SOL/BTC ratio near 0.003. That positioning squares with his aside that he “likes the implied ETHBTC and SOLBTC ratios,” and with a broader market dynamic he and others point to: sustained capital rotation out of Bitcoin into higher-beta assets as the cycle matures. On that rotation, Burniske amplified a dashboard from analytics firm Glassnode—shared via Swissblock—showing that market-cap-weighted seven-day returns across top altcoins have breached the +1σ band three times since April. Statistically, that constitutes significant outperformance relative to Bitcoin and is consistent with capital flowing from BTC into ETH and the long-tail. “It’s not that crypto inflows are drying up. Capital is rotating into ETH and altcoins, draining from BTC and fueling a torrent into the altcoin market,” Swissblock summarized alongside Glassnode’s chart. Related Reading: Two Forces Can Launch Bitcoin To $1 Million, Says Mike Novogratz Burniske also floated a tongue-in-cheek “meme world” extension to his Bitcoin call a few hours later—“BTC looking juicy, maybe $169,420 is a better meme world”—underscoring both the self-aware tone of the thread and the reality that upside blow-offs, if they occur, rarely stop on tidy round numbers. The thread was not purely about price targets. It doubled as risk management guidance for a market that has already pushed to new all-time highs this year. “Selling some isn’t the same as selling it all, and it’s best to ‘sell some’ in bits and pieces on the way up,” Burniske wrote in a separate post he referenced again on Wednesday. “I see too many people who want to do it all in one go. Buy it all in one go, sell it all in one go, full port into one thing—those are gambling techniques, not investing techniques.” Context for the Solana leg of the call arrived a day earlier. On August 12, Burniske suggested SOL “could be gearing up for a monster monthly” if capital rotation gives it “time in the sun” after Ethereum’s push—an argument that maps to the altcoin outperformance signals above and to his preference for the ETH/BTC and SOL/BTC skews into an October denouement. None of this is novel as far as cycle anatomy goes—lead asset first, majors second, long-tail last. Whether the market prints Burniske’s “meme world” or settles for the initial $142,690/$6,900–8,000/$420 matrix, the thread’s two practical takeaways are unequivocal: autumn is the window he’s watching, and process discipline matters more than clairvoyance when the tape gets euphoric. At press time, BTC traded at $121,799. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Despite recovering above $120,000 again, Bitcoin has not been able to completely shake off the bearish pull. This has resulted in what looks like the beginning stages of a price pullback that could result in a notable crash. There are also fair value gaps (FVGs) that are yet to be fully filled, suggesting that the uptrend may see a pause before resuming. Bitcoin Momentum Pulling Toward Bearish As crypto analyst TehThomas explains in an analysis, the Bitcoin price action shows that it has moved toward a key rejection block. This rejection block was around the $122,000 level, explaining why the cryptocurrency saw a pushback from here. Related Reading: How Western Union’s Acquisition Of Intermex Is A Win For Ripple And XRP Given this, Thomas explains that this movement points to exhaustion in the market. This could suggest more sellers are beginning to take profit, and with buyers taking a step back, there is not enough demand to hold off the supply being poured into the market. If this continues, then there will be a shift into the bearish territory for this. Moreover, the fact that he rejection block aligned with the 4-Hour charts shows there is a strong confluence zone for sellers. This puts bears in charge at this level, and with the price closing within this confluence zone, it gives more strength to the reversal trend and could push for a further retracement. Buying Into The Fair Value Gap There is currently a fair value gap that is yet to be filled above $112,000. This makes this level the first target in the event of a price retracement. The likelihood of a retracement to this level is high because historically, fair value gaps tend to be filled first before there is a continuation of the bullish momentum. Related Reading: Analyst Predicts XRP Price Crash Below $3, But There’s Good News Additionally, there is also the fact that the Bitcoin price moved “through a cluster of resting liquidity above recent highs.” This was the level that acted as the trap for late buyers and longs and triggered a wave of liquidations as the price moved downward again. If this bearish scenario does play out, then the analyst expects that the Bitcoin price will actually crash back as low as $110,000 to fill the gaps. However, a completion of this move would serve as the setup for the next upward wave toward the peaks. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com

Bitcoin options markets are showing a low volatility expectation, something that has actually preceded sharp price action in the past. Bitcoin Options ATM IV Has Been Going Down Recently In its latest weekly report, on-chain analytics firm Glassnode has talked about the latest trend in the Bitcoin Options At-The-Money Implied Volatility. Implied Volatility (IV) refers to an indicator that measures how volatile BTC is expected to be in the future, based on the pricing of Options contracts. At-The-Money (ATM) IV, the version of the metric of interest here, specifically calculates this expectation for the contracts that have their strike price closest to the asset’s current spot price. The “strike price” is the predetermined price at which the holder of an options contract can choose to buy (in the case of a call or bullish bet) or sell (put or bearish bet) the underlying asset. Related Reading: Ethereum Retail Mood Still Bearish: Perfect Setup For ATH Break? Now, here is the chart shared by the analytics firm that shows the trend in the Bitcoin Options ATM IV for all expiry timeframes: As displayed in the above graph, the Bitcoin Options ATM IV has been following a downtrend since a while now, indicating the traders aren’t expecting near-term volatility. If the past is anything to go by, though, BTC could go against these traders. “Historically, such subdued volatility expectations have often preceded sharp market moves, making them a potential contrarian indicator,” explains Glassnode. From the chart, it’s visible that such a contraction in Bitcoin Options ATM IV also occurred back in 2023 and what followed back then was a bull rally for the cryptocurrency. It now remains to be seen whether volatility in either direction would also follow this compression. Related Reading: XRP To $12? Analyst Reveals Bold Target From Multi-Year Pattern ATM contracts aren’t the only one expecting low volatility. According to the report, Deribit‘s DVOL index, which tracks a 30-day IV measure for all strike prices, has dropped to historically low levels recently. As is apparent in the chart, the Bitcoin DVOL has been going down in the last few months. The index is currently at lows so extreme that only 2.6% of trading days have witnessed a lower value. The analytics firm explains: Such levels often reflect market complacency and limited demand for hedging against large moves. While these conditions can persist, they leave the market exposed to sudden volatility spikes if a catalyst emerges, as past cycles have shown through sharp, disorderly price swings when risk is rapidly repriced. BTC Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading around $121,600, up 5% over the last week. Featured image from Dall-E, Glassnode.com, chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin has extended its upward momentum over the past week, gaining nearly 6% in that time and 1.8% in the past 24 hours. At the time of writing, BTC is trading at $120,499, maintaining its position near a key resistance zone between $119,000 and $120,000. Market data indicates that traders are watching this price area closely, given its significance in previous price action during July. Recent analysis from CryptoQuant contributor Arab Chain shows that Bitcoin’s open interest (OI) on Binance has climbed to around $13.7 billion, approaching its mid-to-late July highs. This metric, which tracks the total value of outstanding futures contracts, is often used to gauge market participation and potential volatility. The current levels suggest a notable build-up of speculative positions as the price approaches critical resistance. Related Reading: Bitcoin At Risk Of Pullback As Binance Miner Distributions Spike, Analyst Says Bitcoin Leveraged Positions and Potential Market Outcomes According to Arab Chain, a simultaneous rise in both price and open interest typically signals the entry of new speculative liquidity, most likely from traders taking long positions. While this can support short-term price increases, it also raises the market’s sensitivity to corrections. If open interest grows faster than price, the rally can become overleveraged, leaving the market vulnerable to a long squeeze in the event of a sharp pullback. The $119,000–$120,000 range has acted as a decision point in recent months. A breakout above this level with stable or slightly declining open interest could indicate the move is driven by spot buying or short covering, which generally carries less liquidation risk. In this scenario, Arab Chain sees potential for BTC to target the $122,000–$124,000 range. However, a sharp rejection at these levels with elevated open interest could trigger liquidation-driven declines toward nearby support. Monitoring Open Interest Trends for Confirmation Open interest is currently just below the all-time high of approximately $14 billion, leaving limited room for further leveraged build-up before reaching historic extremes. Arab Chain notes that after a decline in both price and OI from late July to early August, indicating capital exiting the market, both have since rebounded together, suggesting renewed confidence among derivatives traders. The analyst cautions that a significant jump in open interest without a corresponding price advance, or worse, with a price decline, would point to an overleveraged environment. Related Reading: Two Forces Can Launch Bitcoin To $1 Million, Says Mike Novogratz Conversely, price stability or gains above $120,000 while open interest holds steady or declines slightly would be a healthier sign, indicating the move is supported by actual buying rather than excessive leverage. At present, the intraday trend remains bullish, but the sustainability of this move depends on whether leverage levels stabilize as Bitcoin tests resistance. Traders are likely to focus on how BTC behaves around the $120,000 mark in the coming days, with open interest dynamics serving as a key signal for the next directional move. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Bitcoin is once again challenging the $120,000 resistance level after a stretch of massive volatility for BTC and strong performance from altcoins. While the flagship cryptocurrency has yet to decisively break above its current range resistance, Ethereum has been leading the broader market with an impressive uptrend since April, gaining over 230% and drawing strong institutional interest. Related Reading: Bitcoin Realized P&L Ratio Signals Sustainable Rally: Reversal Risk Remains Low The battle at $120K comes amid shifting sentiment in the derivatives market. Data from CryptoQuant shows that in August, the Bitcoin Futures Power index dropped to the zero mark, ending a series of positive readings that had previously accompanied BTC’s rally. According to top analyst Axel Adler, this index, which measures the combined influence of open interest, funding rates, and taker order imbalances, reflects the cooling momentum in the futures market. The next move could be pivotal, as Bitcoin’s ability—or failure—to push through $120K will likely set the tone for the remainder of the quarter, especially as altcoins continue to show signs of strength and sector rotation intensifies. Neutral Futures Index Raises Odds Of BTC Cooldown Adler notes that Bitcoin’s current positioning near its all-time high comes with a notable shift in derivatives sentiment. Adler warns that when the Bitcoin Futures Power index transitions from neutral into negative territory, it has historically coincided with market corrections. With BTC still holding close to record levels, the current reading increases the probability of such a shift. The broader market remains hot, fueled by significant capital inflows and heightened trading activity. However, some analysts are beginning to speculate that Bitcoin could face a short-term cooldown as momentum moderates and the derivatives market signals caution. While spot prices have been resilient, the loss of clear bullish signals in futures data has traders watching closely for signs of waning demand. At the same time, Ethereum’s explosive rally—up over 200% since April—has shifted market dynamics into a new phase where leadership is no longer solely dictated by Bitcoin. ETH’s strong fundamentals, reduced exchange supply, and institutional accumulation have drawn capital and attention away from BTC, creating a more balanced market structure. This diversification of momentum could mean that even if Bitcoin stalls, the overall crypto market retains bullish energy driven by large-cap altcoins. Related Reading: Alameda Research Unlocks $35M In Solana After 4 Years – Imminent Distribution? Bitcoin Price Analysis: Approaching Critical Level On the 4-hour chart, Bitcoin (BTC) is trading at $119,967, posting a modest gain of 0.34% as it approaches the critical $120,000 resistance level. The recent rally has brought BTC closer to the all-time high of $123,217, which remains a significant hurdle for bulls to clear. Price action shows a strong recovery from early August lows near $114,000, with BTC now trading above its key moving averages — the 50 SMA ($117,269), 100 SMA ($116,893), and 200 SMA ($117,475). This alignment indicates a bullish short-term structure, with the moving averages potentially acting as dynamic support if a pullback occurs. Related Reading: Ethereum Bullish Fundamentals Clash With Short-Term Leverage Risks The market is currently consolidating just below resistance, suggesting a potential breakout attempt if buying momentum strengthens. However, the repeated rejections near $123K in recent months highlight the importance of this zone as a major supply area. A decisive close above $123,217 would likely trigger momentum buying and open the path toward new price discovery. Conversely, failure to break higher could lead to a retracement toward the $117K support cluster, where the 50, 100, and 200 SMAs converge. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

Bitcoin may be setting up for another major push toward six-figure prices after reclaiming a key bullish pattern and ending a period of repeated downside deviations. According to well-known crypto analyst Rekt Capital, the recent move puts BTC back in position to aim for the $160,000 target, provided it can hold a crucial support level and break through evolving resistance. While short-term pullbacks are still possible, the broader technical picture remains intact. Historical price behavior suggests Bitcoin is still in a strong upward trend, but time and price pressures could soon force a decision point for the market. Bitcoin Bull Flag Breakout Revives Long-Term Bullish Outlook Rekt Capital’s latest analysis highlights that Bitcoin not only reclaimed its Bull Flag pattern but has positioned itself above it. This is an essential shift because a few weeks ago, BTC failed to confirm its breakout when it couldn’t hold the Bull Flag top. That earlier miss left the pattern unresolved and kept the market uncertain about the next big move. Related Reading: Raoul Pal Says He’s Been Long XRP For 4 Years After Calling It A “Moron” Trade By holding the $119,000 level as new support, BTC can confirm the breakout and solidify the foundation for a rally. The analyst cautions that the price could still dip back into the pattern temporarily, but as long as $119,000 holds, the bullish structure remains in play. Ending the recent downside deviation adds to the optimism. Several sharp deviations from bullish structures have marked this cycle, but reclaiming and holding above the Bull Flag shows renewed strength from buyers. For long-term bulls, this could be the technical reset needed to keep the $160,000 target alive. Key Resistance Levels That Stand Between BTC And $160,000 Despite a recent -9% dip, Bitcoin remains in what Rekt Capital calls “Price Discovery Uptrend 2.” This phase, which follows historical price tendencies, has stayed intact because the dip never broke the uptrend’s structure or confirmed a breakdown. However, the move into Week 6 of this uptrend is notable; historically, Weeks 5 and 6 have often been the “danger zone” for local tops. While history points to a potential pause here, the unique nature of this cycle may allow for an extension. Still, the decisive factor is now price, not just time. The analyst points to resistance that first appeared around $124,000 in July but has since evolved into a dynamic barrier closer to $126,000. Related Reading: Here’s What Is Going On In The Shiba Inu Community Amid Major Electoral Process Breaking this level in the next one to two weeks could trigger a sharp acceleration in the trend, putting the $160,000 roadmap back in focus. On the other hand, failure to clear $126,000 would create both time and price confluence for a pullback, which Rekt Capital calls “Price Discovery Correction 2.” Such a correction would not end the long-term bullish case but would delay the next leg up. Until then, all eyes are on these key levels: $119,000 for support and $126,000 for breakout. How Bitcoin handles them could decide whether the grand roadmap to $160,000 stays on track in the weeks ahead. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView.com

Mike Novogratz believes Bitcoin’s path to $1 million is powered by two engines—grassroots adoption and an unforgiving macroeconomic backdrop—and he would rather the ascent be measured than manic. “Bitcoin has two vectors that drive its valuation. One is adoption, right? How many people get orange-pilled? And the other is the macro environment,” the Galaxy CEO told Natalie Brunell in an August 12 interview on Coin Stories, adding that persistent fiscal profligacy across major economies remains a powerful tailwind. Novogratz Sees $1M Bitcoin Ahead Novogratz framed today’s market as the product of a decade of cultural and institutional conversion. On the cultural side, he argues that the social consensus around Bitcoin is now self-sustaining: “Some collection of first kooky people and then less kooky people and then all of us a little have successfully orange-pilled enough people that Bitcoin has value because we say it does.” On the institutional side, he singled out the moment the chief executive of the world’s largest asset manager embraced the asset class. “There’s before Larry Fink and after Larry Fink,” he said, praising the conversion of a once-skeptical standard-bearer as the symbolic turning point: “He blessed it as a real asset and it’s on the screen of every macro trader in the world.” Related Reading: Bitcoin-Money Supply Link Is A Myth, Glassnode Researcher Reveals The second engine is macro. Here Novogratz is blunt. He expects continued fiscal deterioration—regardless of political promises—to keep debasing fiat and, by extension, underwriting Bitcoin’s scarcity premium. “We have governments that can’t keep their pants on. They spend more money than they should… And you know what? The deficit’s going to be higher, not lower,” he said. In his telling, Bitcoin functions as both “report card” and governor on policymaking: the worse the stewardship, the stronger the bid for digital gold. The destination, in his view, is not in doubt. The route matters. “I think we will get to a million. I just hope we get there slowly,” Novogratz said. A disorderly sprint to seven figures, he warned, would likely reflect domestic or global dislocation: “People that cheer for the million-dollar Bitcoin price next year… it only gets there if we’re in such a [shitty] place domestically.” He prefers a glide path where adoption compounding meets macro drift, not panic. That stance informs his take on Bitcoin’s role and narrative. He wants Bitcoin to “stay in its lane” as digital gold—“the blockchain tailor-made for money”—and resists efforts to make it all things to all use cases. “The narrative is so clean when you say it’s digital gold,” he said, arguing that clarity invites the broadest acceptance from institutions and the public. That clarity has already translated into infrastructure: spot ETFs and traditional-market rails that deepen liquidity and lower frictions for allocators. Liquidity, he noted, has scaled to the point where even very large transfers can be absorbed with limited impact. Without naming the client, he acknowledged Galaxy’s execution of a high-profile sale of 80,000 BTC in the interview and observed that “the market held up very well… it barely made a blip.” For him, the episode illustrates the maturing of Bitcoin’s market structure—precisely the condition needed for large treasuries, lenders, and derivatives desks at “traditional firms [that] are going to start by lending against Bitcoin and Ethereum” to participate without destabilizing prices. Related Reading: Bitcoin Retraces Below $120,000: Is Coinbase Selling To Blame? Cycle-wise, Novogratz still sees room to run, though he is watching for signs of froth. “We’re getting five calls a week on new… balance sheet companies. At one point that’s what bubbles feel like,” he said. Even so, his “gut feeling” is for “one more leg up” with a potential ramp into the fourth quarter, helped by perceptions of an increasingly dovish Federal Reserve. He also reminded listeners that “the last gasp of the bull market is often the most violent upward… and we’re not there yet.” Despite his decades as a macro trader, Novogratz anchors his own crypto allocation with conservative asymmetry: “People ask me all the time… I’ve been roughly 70/30—70% Bitcoin, 30% other.” For newcomers outside crypto, he now sees room for materially higher exposure than in years past, citing the industry’s maturation. But all roads, in his framing, still lead back to Bitcoin’s dual-engine thesis: broaden the tent and let macro do the rest. “Adoption means orange-pilling people,” he said. “The more people we have bringing people into the tent, the price goes up.” The macro engine is unlikely to stall any time soon. The combination, he argues, is what ultimately propels Bitcoin to seven figures—ideally by steady climb, not crisis. At press time, BTC traded at $119,743. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin’s recent rally pushed the cryptocurrency to retest the $122,000 level before facing a pullback. At the time of writing, BTC is trading at approximately $119,053, marking a short-term correction after reclaiming significant highs earlier in the week. The move comes as traders and analysts watch closely for signs of market strength or weakness at current price levels. One metric drawing attention is Binance’s share of global trading volume. According to CryptoQuant analyst BorisVest, the exchange’s dominance in trading activity provides valuable context for interpreting Bitcoin’s performance at all-time highs (ATHs). By comparing volume distribution across exchanges during previous ATH periods, the analysis seeks to determine whether the broader market is participating in the rally or if activity is concentrated on a single platform. Related Reading: Bitcoin-Money Supply Link Is A Myth, Glassnode Researcher Reveals Bitcoin Exchange Volume Concentration and Market Signals BorisVest’s review found that during the first ATH in 2024, global market volumes were elevated, and Binance’s trading activity was more than double that of all other exchanges combined. When Bitcoin retested its ATH later that year, overall market volumes increased across multiple platforms, yet Binance maintained its lead in total trading share. In contrast, when Bitcoin set a new record in mid-2025, total market volume did not show a significant increase compared to previous rallies. While Binance still recorded nearly twice the trading volume of other exchanges combined, the absence of a wider market volume expansion raised concerns. The analyst noted that historically, ATHs supported by broad volume growth tend to indicate stronger market conviction. A lack of participation from other exchanges could signal potential challenges in sustaining higher prices over the coming months. On-Chain Patterns Suggest Gradual Market Progress In a separate assessment, CryptoQuant analyst Avocado onchain examined Binary Coin Days Destroyed (CDD), a metric tracking the movement of long-dormant coins. The indicator recently turned lower after a brief rise, with Bitcoin’s price trading within a sideways range. Historically, increases in Binary CDD have been linked to selling pressure from long-term holders, often leading to corrections. However, current market conditions, shaped by changes in custody solutions, over-the-counter trading activity, and institutional investment strategies, make interpreting CDD spikes more complex. Avocado onchain highlighted that in recent cycles, Binary CDD rises have been followed by either prolonged sideways trading or moderate corrections. The current data supports what the analyst describes as a “stair-step” rally, where the market advances gradually while cooling short-term speculative activity. This pattern, if sustained, could prevent rapid depletion of buying momentum and allow for more stable long-term growth. Related Reading: Bitcoin Retraces Below $120,000: Is Coinbase Selling To Blame? Other on-chain data suggests that selling from long-term holders remains subdued, indicating limited pressure to exit positions at current price levels. This aligns with the view that while near-term movements may be range-bound, the broader trend still holds the potential for future upside, contingent on broader participation and sustained investor demand. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

As Bitcoin (BTC) continues to hover just below the $120,000 level, miners have increased transfers to Binance crypto exchange. According to analysts, elevated BTC transfers to Binance could signal an upcoming price correction for the top cryptocurrency. Bitcoin Price Correction Upcoming? According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Arab Chain, there was a significant spike in BTC transfers from miners to Binance crypto exchange in late July – shown in the form of double tops in the following chart. These spikes were followed by several days of above-average flows to the exchange. Early August saw another surge, with transfers ranging from several thousand BTC to more than 10,000 BTC at their peak. Related Reading: Bitcoin Bull Run At Risk? Binance Whale-To-Exchange Flow Signals Price Correction This activity suggests that miners are continuing to distribute BTC to the exchange. The selling comes as the asset’s price remains close to its all-time high (ATH) of nearly $120,000. Arab Chain noted that compared to the April–June period, the current miner activity resembles “stockpiling or hedging behavior” rather than typical low-noise patterns. The analyst shared several behavioral indicators to support this view. For instance, sustained high inflows during elevated price levels suggest that miners are taking advantage of the rally to secure liquidity, cover operational costs, or manage post-halving treasury needs. However, such large inflows are often linked to short-term resistance. The market must have sufficient buying liquidity to absorb this supply and prevent it from triggering a sharp price decline. The high frequency of peaks over the past two weeks also indicates that this is not a one-off occurrence. Instead, it marks a phase of heightened activity among Binance miners, which increases Bitcoin’s price sensitivity to any drop in demand. According to Arab Chain, if daily flows remain above the recent weekly average – roughly 5,000 to 7,000 BTC per day – it would point to ongoing supply pressure. Conversely, a rapid drop back to lower levels would suggest that the distribution wave was temporary and has already been absorbed. BTC May Be Preparing For A New ATH Despite consolidating just under $120,000, recent on-chain data shows few signs of the Bitcoin market overheating. In addition, the average executed order size in the Bitcoin futures market has been steadily declining, indicating greater retail participation in the rally. Related Reading: Bitcoin Investors Turn To ‘Smart DCA’ As Market Trades Below On-Chain Fair Value Of $117,700 That said, a significant portion of short-term BTC holders have moved into profit, which could set the stage for a sell-off. At press time, BTC trades at $118,970, down 0.6% over the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant and TradingView.com

Bitcoin is once again at the center of market attention, trading at critical price levels after a 9% surge since the start of August pushed it to just below its $123,000 all-time high. The rally has reignited the bull-vs-bear debate, with analysts split on where BTC heads next. Some believe the momentum will be enough to break through resistance and set fresh record highs, while others warn of a looming deeper correction if buying pressure falters. Related Reading: Ethereum Bullish Fundamentals Clash With Short-Term Leverage Risks Adding to the intrigue, key data from CryptoQuant shows that despite Bitcoin’s climb to this milestone, the Realized Profit and Loss (P&L) Ratio remains close to its historical average. This metric, which measures the magnitude of gains or losses realized by market participants, suggests the current uptrend is not yet in the overheated territory that often precedes sharp reversals. For bulls, this could indicate room for further upside without excessive risk of a rapid downturn. For bears, it’s a reminder that Bitcoin’s long-term trend remains intact but vulnerable to sudden shifts in sentiment. With volatility still defining the crypto landscape, the next moves around this level could shape Bitcoin’s trajectory for the rest of the year. Bitcoin Faces Pivotal Test As ATH Breakout or Rejection Looms According to top analyst Axel Adler, Bitcoin’s current market structure presents a much lower risk of a sharp trend reversal compared to previous peaks in the Realized Profit and Loss (P&L) Ratio. In past cycles, this metric often spiked to overheated levels before major pullbacks, signaling that market participants were taking excessive profits all at once. Today, however, the P&L Ratio remains closer to its average range, indicating a more balanced market environment despite Bitcoin trading just below its $123,000 all-time high. This suggests that while volatility remains a constant in the crypto space, the immediate probability of a dramatic downturn is lower than in past overheated phases. Still, Adler emphasizes that Bitcoin is entering a critical price range where market direction will be decided. Breaking above the all-time high is essential for the uptrend to continue, as such a move would likely trigger a new wave of momentum buying and potentially set the stage for fresh record highs. On the other hand, failing to clear this level—especially after multiple attempts—could result in a sharp correction or an extended period of sideways consolidation, testing investor patience. Other analysts highlight the contrast between Bitcoin’s strong long-term fundamentals and the current market indecision. On-chain data points to healthy accumulation trends, steady network activity, and relatively contained leverage in derivatives markets—all signs of underlying strength. Yet, uncertainty over macroeconomic conditions, regulatory developments, and short-term profit-taking continues to weigh on sentiment. Related Reading: Bitcoin Open Interest Flips Negative After July Peak – Risk Appetite Cools BTC Price Analysis: Testing Critical Resistance Bitcoin’s price action shows a decisive rally since early August, climbing nearly 9% and approaching the all-time high at $123,217.39. On the 8-hour chart, BTC faced strong rejection near this resistance, pulling back to the $118,500 area. The recent move marks the second approach toward this level in the past three months, highlighting its importance as a critical breakout point. The chart also reveals that BTC remains above its key moving averages — the 50 SMA ($116,605), 100 SMA ($117,340), and 200 SMA ($112,019) — reinforcing the underlying bullish structure. The 50 SMA has recently crossed above the 100 SMA, a short-term bullish signal suggesting continued upward momentum if buyers can sustain pressure. Related Reading: Altseason Still On Hold – Metrics Reveal BTC Outpaces Large, Mid, Small Caps However, the failure to break above the $123K level could lead to renewed selling pressure, with potential retracements toward the 100 SMA or even the 200 SMA if momentum fades. A confirmed breakout above $123K would likely trigger a new wave of buying, pushing BTC into price discovery and setting fresh record highs. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

Майкл Сэйлор, известный сторонник Биткоина и сооснователь компании Strategy, снова использовал поп-культурный образ, чтобы продвинуть идею BTC в соцсетях. Он опубликовал сгенерированное ИИ изображение, на котором он предстает в роли Индианы Джонса внутри храма, напоминающего южноамериканский. Подпись к картинке гласила: “Я искал золото… и нашел кое-что лучше”. Коротко и по делу, пост повторяет давнюю мысль: Биткоин лучше золота. Сэйлор в стиле поп-культуры Судя по публикациям Сэйлора, это не разовая акция. Недавно он поделился еще одним ИИ-изображением, на котором предстал в образе Тайлера Дердена из фильма “Бойцовский клуб”. Визуалы простые, однако цепляющие, и они поддерживают Сэйлора в заголовках СМИ. По сообщениям, за этим креативом стоит и крупный корпоративный шаг, что объясняет, почему посты в соцсетях – больше, чем просто мемы. Согласно отчетам, 29 июля Strategy объявила о покупке 21 021 BTC примерно за $2,46 млрд. Эта сделка увеличила общий объем владения фирмы до 628 791 BTC. На момент объявления эти активы оценивались более чем в $70 млрд. Конкретные цифры такие: количество BTC фиксировано в реестре, а долларовая стоимость меняется в зависимости от рынка. BTCUSD сейчас торгуется по $118 768. Источник: TradingView Почему картинки имеют значение Эти изображения выполняют вполне понятную задачу. Они демонстрируют уверенность для инвесторов и подписчиков, а также направляют обсуждение в русло основной идеи Сэйлора: Биткоин превосходит золото как средство сохранения стоимости. Короткие сообщения быстро охватывают широкую аудиторию, а более развернутые публикации с фоном поддерживают интерес к истории. В отчетах поднимается еще один момент: использование ИИ-арта с заимствованием образов известных персонажей может затрагивать вопросы авторских прав и прав на изображение. Похоже, что эти посты не имеют официального отношения к киностудиям или правообладателям. Это может стать поводом для обсуждений, но не для немедленных действий. Кроме того, долларовая оценка, привязанная к Биткоину, будет колебаться вместе с рынком, поэтому указание количества BTC с датой дает читателям более точное представление. Согласно поданным документам и публичным сообщениям, факты просты: 29 июля Strategy приобрела 21 021 BTC и теперь владеет 628 791 биткоином. Изображение в стиле Индианы Джонса – это одновременно комментарий и маркетинговый ход. Оно привлекает внимание и напоминает, что современная корпоративная коммуникация сочетает финансы и шоу, но при этом базовые цифры – сколько BTC и когда были куплены – по-прежнему имеют первостепенное значение. TOKEN6900 объединяет истинный абсурд, любовь к криптовалютам и развлечения Тренды крипторынка, особенно в сегменте мем-монет, стремительно меняются: мемкоины уже завлекают инвесторов не ИИ-интеграциями и обещаниями реальной супер-полезности, а легкостью, долей абсурда и получением прибыли без особых усилий. В таком направлении движется проект TOKEN6900 – новая предпродажа июля с огромным потенциалом. За первые 4 дня предпродажи проект привлек более $150 000, а сейчас сборы составляют почти $2 млн! При стоимости одной монеты всего в $0.006925 это довольно впечатляющий результат. TOKEN6900 позиционирует себя как “паразит сознания” и “эталон brain rot finance”, честно заявляя: “мы отслеживаем не ВВП, нефть или прибыль, а высокую ликвидность”. И именно такая искренность привлекает массовую аудиторию! Аналитики прогнозируют десятикратный рост токену после его выхода на бирже – отличный способ заработать на ранних вложениях без сложных действий. Переходите на официальный сайт проекта и убедитесь в этом сами.

Blue Origin will now sell New Shepard spaceflight seats in Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana and selected dollar-pegged stablecoins through a new checkout integration with Shift4 (NYSE: FOUR), the payments company said in a Business Wire announcement. The integration is live and applies to upcoming commercial flights, adding crypto rails alongside traditional methods for one of the world’s best-known suborbital tourism offerings. Jeff Bezos Opens Blue Origin To Bitcoin, ETH, SOL Payments According to the joint release, customers “starting today” can pay for Blue Origin’s suborbital flights in BTC, ETH, SOL, USDT and USDC. Shift4 says the flow also supports direct connections to widely used self-custody and exchange wallets — “popular wallets like Coinbase and MetaMask” — enabling instant authorization and settlement on chain before conversion to US dollars on the merchant side. Shift4 framed the move as part of a broader push to reduce friction in high-value commerce. “Our mission has always been to revolutionize commerce by simplifying the transaction process,” CEO Taylor Lauber said, adding that the company is “thrilled to now extend that vision beyond Earth” and to offer a “simple, frictionless experience” for Blue Origin customers opting to pay in digital assets. Related Reading: Bitcoin-Money Supply Link Is A Myth, Glassnode Researcher Reveals The company emphasized three merchant benefits that have driven Bitcoin and crypto acceptance in other luxury verticals: tapping a growing base of crypto holders, enabling immediate international transactions, and achieving faster settlement in U.S. dollars at any time of day, seven days a week. Inside Shift4, the initiative is being led by the firm’s dedicated crypto unit. “Crypto is now a $4 trillion asset class,” said Alex Wilson, Shift4’s Head of Crypto, arguing that digital assets will become “an increasingly popular way for consumers to pay, particularly for high-end purchases,” where both buyer and seller can save on fees and delays relative to more complex cross-border card payments. Related Reading: $120K and Rising: What On-Chain Data Says About Bitcoin’s Next Move Blue Origin’s offering remains unchanged in terms of flight profile and vehicle: New Shepard is a reusable suborbital rocket-and-capsule system that carries passengers past the Kármán Line — roughly 100 kilometers above sea level — before returning to West Texas for capsule touchdown under parachutes. The company notes that “more than 75 humans” have already flown aboard New Shepard and highlights the vehicle’s panoramic crew-capsule windows, among the largest yet flown, for views of Earth during several minutes of microgravity. The companies did not disclose seat pricing or specific processing fees for Bitcoin and crypto transactions in today’s materials. It is also unclear if Jeff Bezos’s Blue Origin converts the Bitcoin and crypto payments into US dollars. What is clear is the operational stance: Shift4 says crypto and stablecoin payments are available “immediately” for Blue Origin bookings, and directs prospective passengers to the program’s information page, which invites would-be travelers to become “one of the first 1000 people to fly to space.” Notably, Blue Origin has already flown one high-profile industry figure: TRON founder Justin Sun. He rode on August 3, 2025, as part of mission NS-34 alongside five other passengers, after first winning Blue Origin’s inaugural seat auction in 2021—a $28 million bid whose proceeds were distributed to 19 space-focused nonprofits through the company’s Club for the Future. At press time, Bitcoin traded at $118,491. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin and Ethereum prices began to rally over the weekend, and interestingly, ETH was able to beat the $4,000 level for the first time in eight months. Bitcoin also recovered from its crash below $113,000 the previous week, taking the rest of the crypto market with it. Naturally, the reversal to bullish sentiment has brought investors out of the woodwork, with predictions now circling for where both Bitcoin and Ethereum prices are headed. Bitcoin To $150,000 And Ethereum To $8,000 Ex-Wall Street trader Vivek Raman has shared a prediction that has reignited hope once again in crypto investors. This comes after a notable weekend rally and the possibility of Bitcoin and Ethereum reaching brand-new all-time highs soon. Despite this already impressive rally, Raman does not believe that the move is over, sharing a near-term prediction for both cryptocurrencies. Related Reading: Bitcoin Nears $120,000 Again As El Salvador Opens Bitcoin Banks In the post, the pundit uses the ETHBTC chart, which has been on fire lately, to predict where both digital assets are headed next. Raman was responding to another crypto analyst, Pentoshi, who believes the ETHBTC chart was headed to 0.055 after moving above 0.036. Breaking this down, Raman explains that reaching this level would mean that the Ethereum price would be at $8,250 per coin, pushing it to a $1 trillion market cap. Amid this, he believes that the Bitcoin price could hit as high as $150,000 in the near term, making the likelihood of ETH touching $8,000 higher. The push for Ethereum to hit $8,000 comes amid ETH treasury companies gaining ground recently. Raman suggests that investors could rotate from Bitcoin treasury companies into ETH, triggering a Wall Street run on Ethereum. Looking at the longer timeframe, Raman forecasts that the Bitcoin price could hit as high as $250,000. At the same time, the Ethereum price is expected to hit $25,000, which would put the ETH market cap at a whopping $3 trillion market cap while Bitcoin moves in on a $10 trillion market cap. BTC And ETH Getting Big Predictions Raman is not the only crypto pundit who has shared major predictions for the Bitcoin and Ethereum prices recently. According to a report from Bitcoinist, another analyst Fapital has shared where they expect both Bitcoin and Ethereum to be by 2032. Related Reading: XRP Price Could Explode To $3.8 Amid Trend Continuation Fapital puts the Bitcoin price as high as $889,969, with Ethereum as high as $28,000 during this time. While both predictions span between shorter and longer timeframes, there is a similarity in the exception that the Ethereum price will eventually cross the $20,000 target. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin has seen a retrace back below the $120,000 level as data shows the Coinbase Premium Gap has dropped into the negative zone. Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap Has Plummeted Into The Red Region In a new post on X, CryptoQuant community analyst Maartunn has talked about the latest trend in the Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap. This indicator measures the difference between the BTC price listed on Coinbase (USD pair) and that on Binance (USDT pair). The former cryptocurrency exchange is popularly used by American investors, especially the large institutional entities, while the latter is the destination of the global investors. As such, the Coinbase Premium Gap tells us about how the buying or selling behaviors differ between US-based and foreign whales. Related Reading: Bitcoin-Money Supply Link Is A Myth, Glassnode Researcher Reveals When the metric has a positive value, it means the cryptocurrency is going for a higher price on Coinbase than Binance. Such a trend suggests the users of the former are applying a higher buying pressure or lower selling pressure as compared to the traders of the latter. On the other hand, the indicator registering a negative value implies the American investors may be selling more relative to global investors, which has brought the price on Coinbase lower than on Binance. Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap over the past day: As displayed in the above graph, the Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap was above the zero mark when BTC’s recovery run to the $122,000 level occurred, indicating that US-based whales were buying and helping fuel the surge. While BTC was at its high, however, the indicator’s value saw a sharp reversal and plunged into the negative zone. What has followed these red levels in the metric is a retrace for the coin to prices below $120,000. Thus, it seems the trend in the Coinbase Premium Gap foreshadowed the price action. This pattern is something that has been witnessed a lot since the start of 2024, as American institutional entities have been in the driving seat. Given the price action of the past day, it seems the influence of these investors remains strong, so the Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Gap could be worth keeping an eye on, as where it will go next may also carry hints about the cryptocurrency’s future trajectory. Related Reading: This XRP Signal Consistently Foreshadows Price Jumps: Analytics Firm In some other news, address generation on the BTC network has reached its highest level in a year, as analyst Ali Martinez has pointed out in an X post. From the chart, it’s apparent that the daily total number of new addresses on the Bitcoin blockchain has spiked to a high of 364,126. BTC Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading around $119,300, up around 5% over the past week. Featured image from Dall-E, Glassnode.com, CryptoQuant.com, chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin has continued its upward momentum over the past week, reclaiming price levels close to its all-time high. At the time of writing, the cryptocurrency is trading above $120,000, only a short distance from the record of more than $123,000. Over the last seven days, the asset has posted a gain of approximately 5.1%, placing it among the stronger performers in the digital asset market. Amid the price movement, on-chain data from the TRON network’s USDT transfers is offering insights into current market behavior. CryptoQuant contributor Amr Taha analyzed TRC-20 USDT transaction flows and identified patterns that may serve as potential indicators of Bitcoin price shifts. By categorizing transactions into six size groups, ranging from retail trades of $100 to large “super whale” transfers exceeding $10 million, the analysis aims to distinguish between everyday market activity and institutional-scale transactions. Related Reading: Bitcoin Bull Run At Risk? Binance Whale-To-Exchange Flow Signals Price Correction Large USDT Transfers as a Market Signal Taha’s research notes that when transactions exceeding $10 million in USDT on the TRON network surpass $5 billion in a single day, this often coincides with significant profit-taking in Bitcoin. Such activity typically involves converting BTC into USDT, followed by transferring the stablecoins to private wallets, reducing buying pressure in the spot market. Past examples include July 16, when $10M+ USDT transfers reached $5.2 billion, followed by a 4.5% decline in BTC, and July 23, when $5.8 billion in similar transfers preceded a 3.8% drop within 48 hours. Current data, however, shows a lack of such large-scale transactions, suggesting that major holders are not actively selling into stablecoins at present. This absence of substantial whale outflows may indicate that large investors are maintaining positions rather than exiting the market. Bitcoin Shifting Market Participation and Potential Breakout Scenarios A separate analysis from CryptoQuant’s ShayanMarkets examined the average executed order size in Bitcoin futures markets, providing another perspective on participation trends. This metric, which divides total traded volume by the number of executed orders, helps identify whether activity is being driven by retail participants or larger, institutional traders. Data from late 2024 and early 2025 showed periods of whale dominance, which coincided with strong rallies. In contrast, recent weeks have seen a rise in smaller, retail-sized orders, while whale-driven trades have diminished. This shift suggests that large-scale buyers may be holding positions acquired at lower price levels or waiting for new market conditions before re-entering with significant volume. Related Reading: Bitcoin Futures Bias Turns Neutral As OI Net Position Hits Zero – Details Historically, extended whale dominance near market highs has often been associated with distribution phases, where large holders take profits. The current absence of such behavior leaves open the possibility of a bullish breakout above Bitcoin’s previous all-time high, provided that renewed selling pressure from large investors does not emerge in the near term. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

The cryptocurrency market has seen a notable rebound in the lead-up to Tuesday’s US Consumer Price Index (CPI) release, with Bitcoin climbing above $122,000 over the weekend and Ethereum rising by nearly 20% in the past week to more than $4,300. The gains have coincided with improved sentiment in US equity markets, with QCP Capital noting that the correlation between Bitcoin and equity performance has strengthened since mid-July. Total market capitalization for digital assets also surged above $4.1 trillion, reflecting an increase on Monday. The upcoming CPI report is being closely monitored for signs of inflationary trends. Consensus expectations point to a year-over-year increase of 10 basis points in headline inflation, bringing it to 2.8%. Related Reading: Bitcoin Open Interest Flips Negative After July Peak – Risk Appetite Cools QCP Capital stated that a softer reading could reinforce expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut in September, while a higher-than-expected figure might disrupt the rally in risk assets, including cryptocurrencies. Analysts suggest that the market is preparing for both outcomes, with positioning in derivatives markets indicating hedging on the downside while still leaving room for upward momentum. Bitcoin and ETH Derivatives Data Signals Market Caution Options market activity shows that traders are actively preparing for volatility around the CPI release. QCP Capital highlighted demand for short-dated Bitcoin puts in the $115,000–$118,000 range, suggesting that some market participants are protecting against a potential price drop. At the same time, there has been continued short-call covering, indicating reduced willingness to bet against further gains. Aggregated Bitcoin options open interest stands at $43 billion, close to the $49 billion peak recorded in July. The firm expects implied volatility to remain elevated until the CPI release, after which it could compress if Bitcoin fails to break through resistance levels. Ethereum options activity is similarly strong, with open interest at $13.9 billion, the highest level so far in 2025 and approaching the all-time high of $14.6 billion set in March 2024. Elevated open interest in both BTC and ETH suggests that traders are heavily engaged in positioning around macroeconomic events, with the CPI print seen as a key catalyst for short-term price action. Institutional Flows and Longer-Term Outlook Beyond derivatives markets, institutional activity and flows into spot ETFs remain a focal point for analysts. CoinShares data shows that digital asset investment products saw $571 million in net inflows last week, driven by gains in both Bitcoin and Ethereum. QCP Capital noted that the market has absorbed recent large-scale sales from long-term holders without a breakdown in price trends, indicating resilience in market structure. Related Reading: Bitcoin Holds Strong Near All-Time High – Market Not Overheated Yet, Data Shows Despite short-term uncertainty, some analysts maintain a bullish view for the remainder of the year. Paul Howard, Senior Director at Wincent, reiterated his forecast of $150,000 for Bitcoin before year-end, citing historical post-halving cycle trends. Howard noted that historically, post-halving years have seen significant rallies, adding that while there may be periods of consolidation, the overall market structure suggests higher prices are achievable in 2025. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Earlier today, Bitcoin (BTC) surged past $122,000 for the first time since July 13, coming close to a new all-time high (ATH) before paring some gains, trading slightly above $119,500 at the time of writing. Bitcoin Eyes New ATH With Retail-Driven Rally According to a recent CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor ShayanMarkets, the average executed order size in the Bitcoin futures market has declined significantly over the past few months. This suggests that the recent price rally is being driven primarily by retail investors rather than institutional players. Related Reading: Bitcoin Derivatives Data Signals Fear As Binance Net Taker Volume Turns Bearish For context, the average executed order size is calculated by dividing the total traded volume by the number of executed orders. This metric helps identify whether market activity is dominated by retail participants or large-scale investors. ShayanMarkets shared the following chart showing large yellow and green clusters in late 2024 and early 2025, which corresponded with substantial whale inflows and fueled strong bullish rallies. However, recent weeks have seen a noticeable rise in red clusters, indicating that smaller, retail-sized orders are taking a larger share of market activity. The analyst noted that historically, whale dominance near market peaks has often coincided with local tops. Whale involvement in the BTC futures market has declined since Q2 2025, which could mean that institutional buyers are either holding existing positions from lower levels or waiting for more favorable re-entry points. ShayanMarkets concluded: This dynamic leaves Bitcoin in a position where a bullish breakout above its prior ATH could materialize in the coming weeks, unless renewed whale activity emerges to offload positions, triggering a distribution phase. Recent on-chain analysis suggests that BTC may currently be in a distribution phase. In a separate CryptoQuant post, analyst BorisVest noted that investors are employing a strategy called Smart dollar-cost averaging (DCA) to accumulate BTC at current levels ahead of potential price appreciation. Smart DCA is an upgraded version of the traditional DCA strategy, where investment amounts and timing are adjusted based on market conditions instead of fixed intervals. In crypto, it often uses indicators like moving average or RSI to increase buying during undervaluation phases. Is BTC At Risk Of A Price Correction? While rising retail participation in the BTC futures market can signal organic demand for the flagship cryptocurrency, other indicators point to a possible price correction that could disrupt Bitcoin’s bullish momentum. Related Reading: Bitcoin ETF Market Flashes Warning: IBIT Outflows Paired With Drop In Tron USDT Transfers For example, fresh on-chain data shows an uptick in Binance whale-to-exchange flows, often a precursor to near-term price pullbacks. In addition, recent changes in Bitcoin whales’ realized cap suggest a degree of fragility in the market. That said, not all signals are bearish. Some analysts believe BTC could be gearing up for another rally in the second half of the year, with targets as high as $150,000. At press time, BTC trades at $119,583, up 0.8% over the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant and TradingView.com

A senior researcher at Glassnode has challenged the idea that the Bitcoin price is correlated to US money supply or other major economies. No Structural Link Between Bitcoin & Money Supply Of Major Economies In a new post on X, Glassnode senior researcher CryptoVizArt.₿ has talked about the Correlation between Bitcoin and the money supplies of the Group of Seven (G7) economies. The “Correlation” here refers to an indicator that measures how tightly together the prices of two given assets are moving. When the value of this metric is positive, it means the price of one asset is reacting to movements in the other by moving in the same direction. The closer the indicator is to 1, the stronger the relationship. Related Reading: This XRP Signal Consistently Foreshadows Price Jumps: Analytics Firm On the other hand, the indicator being under the zero mark suggests a negative correlation exists between the prices. That is, they are moving in opposite directions. This behavior is the strongest at -1. Now, here are the charts shared by the analyst that provide a few representations of the Correlation between Bitcoin and the money supply of each G7 nation over a 90-day rolling window: As is visible in the graphs, the Correlation between Bitcoin and the money supplies of seven of the world’s largest economies has swung wildly over the years. Often, periods of positive values of the metric are succeeded by a phase of negative or neutral levels, with there being no clear macroeconomic triggers behind the shifts. “Bitcoin’s correlation with US M2 or other major economies’ money supplies demonstrates no consistent or predictive pattern,” notes the Glassnode researcher. A longer-term view through a 180-day rolling window also shows the same. “Despite frequent claims of a stable linkage, the data suggest the relationship is largely stochastic rather than structural,” says CryptoVizArt. While Bitcoin is certainly not independent of the global economy, this pattern would suggest that there is a mix of several other factors that also play a role in driving the coin. Related Reading: Dogecoin Is Right Where Past Bull Runs Have Taken Off: Analyst In an earlier X post, the analyst shared the trend in the 180-day Correlation between Bitcoin and two traditional assets: Gold and S&P 500. From the topmost chart, it’s visible that Gold and Bitcoin have seen their 180-day Correlation stand at a neutral level most recently, indicating that the two have pretty much been moving independently of each other. Meanwhile, the second graph shows a notable positive value for the metric between S&P 500 and BTC, implying the cryptocurrency has been moving in tandem with stocks to some degree. BTC Price Bitcoin crossed above $122,000 during the weekend, but it would appear the asset has kicked off Monday with a retrace as its price is back at $119,000. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin’s price movements often reflect broader macroeconomic trends. Analysts have uncovered a consistent pattern where BTC’s price follows these shifts with a roughly 12-week delay. With global liquidity now picking up steam, the macro-level signal now points toward a potential bullish phase ahead for BTC. How Liquidity Trends Fit Into Bitcoin’s Long-Term Cycle In an X post, Crypto expert MartyParty pointed out a compelling pattern in Bitcoin’s price behavior, stating that its high-timeframe follows global liquidity, indicated on the chart as the blue line following the red line lagged 12 weeks.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Miners Avoid Forced Selling: BTC Sits 7.4% Above Last Difficulty Bottom Currently, the global liquidity curve is on the rise, and the US has not started issuing new liquidity, meaning the current surge is being fueled externally. MartyParty argues that this global liquidity wave is primed to push BTC toward the $125,000 mark on foreign liquidity issuance. The current macro thesis suggests that BTC could reach $140,000, driven purely by the influx of foreign liquidity. In the meantime, the upcoming US liquidity issuance is expected to begin within the next quarter and will last up to a year to eighteen months.  Once the US liquidity kicks in, combined with expected rate cuts that will lower borrowing costs, it will create a compelling setup for the BTC price to potentially rally to $250,000 in the medium to long term.  Daan Crypto Trades has revealed that Bitcoin’s impressive resilience and steady upward trend relative to the US stock market have been trending since its bottom in 2022. Over this period, BTC has experienced only four moderate corrections ranging between 20% and 30%, while delivering a 420% gain from bottom to top. This steady outperformance suggests that BTC has carved out a strong position as a growth asset, especially in risk-on market environments. How Bitcoin’s Current Energy Value Growth Differs From Past Cycles Another notable development is the Bitcoin Energy Value, which just reached a new all-time high of $135,000 per BTC. According to StarPlatinum, in previous market cycles, reaching such peaks in Energy Value has been associated with sharp price moves or big drops. Related Reading: Bitcoin Moves Into $12 Trillion Sector: Why BTC In 401Ks Is A Big Deal Currently, the rise in Energy Value is gradual and steady, reflecting a more natural market progression. This data reveals several key points about BTC’s current state. First, BTC is stronger and more mature than ever, with demand steadily increasing over time. Despite hitting a new all-time high on Energy Value, the current price still sits about 15% below this metric, indicating there’s still room to run. Historically, the BTC cycle top occurred when its price surged 40% to 60% above its Energy Value. Meanwhile, many in the crypto community have spent three years saying BTC is close to the top, only to see those calls followed by waves of FOMO. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

The Bitcoin price has regained momentum, rising toward the $120,000 level after experiencing a short-lived pullback earlier this week. However, recent technical analysis warns that an unfilled Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) gap near $116,500 may act as a barrier, potentially creating the risk of a price crash as BTC makes its way toward a fresh all-time high.  Bitcoin To Face Short-Term Crash With CME Gap A new Bitcoin price analysis by crypto market expert Ted Pillows suggests that BTC could encounter another major hurdle on its path to a record high. His analysis, shared on X social media, points to conditions in cryptocurrency’s current market structure that may trigger a temporary correction.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Risks Another Crash Following Recovering Into Bearish FVG Zone Notably, Pillows reported that Bitcoin recently reclaimed and even surpassed the $118,000 level after a volatile week that saw the asset shed $2,000 to fill a CME gap from last week. The analyst’s chart highlights this gap in Bitcoin’s price action on the CME futures market around $116,500. Historically, such gaps tend to be “filled” as price retraces to trade within the missing range, making them critical areas of interest for traders.  Pillows has stated that the unfilled CME gap near $116,500 will likely be revisited soon. This week’s market action already saw BTC drop sharply to close last week’s gap before rebounding, suggesting that the same pattern could play out again. If the $116,500 CME gap is filled, it could momentarily disrupt Bitcoin’s ascent, triggering a potential crash in its price.  Although this scenario appears bearish, the analyst reassures that any pullback is expected to be temporary. Pillows anticipates that a brief correction could lay the groundwork for a fresh leg upward. Technical patterns also indicate that once Bitcoin begins this upward push, it could rise toward uncharted territory and establish a new all-time high.  Other Analysts Share Their Take On Bitcoin CME Gap Further discussing the Bitcoin CME gap, market analyst ‘Daan Crypto Trades’ on X pointed out the recently formed gap that opened this week. According to the analyst, the gap lies between $116,500 and $118,400, standing out not only for its size but its proximity to Bitcoin’s previous ATH range. Related Reading: Analyst Shares Where Bitcoin, Ethereum, And XRP Prices Will Be By 2032 Daan Crypto Trades noted that most CME gaps tend to close within the same day; however, this latest gap has extended farther than usual. He explained that the gap near Bitcoin’s record high creates the ideal conditions for a price discovery. In such scenarios, CME gaps often stay open for longer periods, as bullish momentum can drive prices upward without retracement.  Notably, the expert’s chart analysis indicates that Bitcoin’s latest CME gap is unlikely to close until its price comes within 1% or 2% of it, placing that level just under $120,000. At present, BTC is trading at $121,313.  Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

Биткоин (BTC) в настоящее время колеблется около отметки $118 000 после умеренного восстановления за последнюю неделю, что принесло рост цены на 4,17%. В преддверии новой недели известный аналитик под ником KillaXBT поделился техническим анализом текущей структуры рынка биткоина, а также возможными сценариями движения цены. Месячное открытие укрепляет прогноз по BTC, но будьте осторожны с “охотой за ликвидностью”, говорит аналитик В публикации в социальной сети от 9 августа KillaXBT представил недельный обзор движения цены биткоина за первую неделю августа и поделился дальнейшими ожиданиями. По его словам, актив начал месяц с сильной технической позиции, превратив уровень месячного открытия на $115 752 в поддержку. Это сигнал, который трейдеры часто воспринимают как бычий. Однако аналитик отметил, что исторически в начале нового месяца биткоин часто делает резкий прокол вверх или вниз, формируя одну из теней месячной свечи — явление, которое трейдеры называют “ловушкой месячного открытия”. Поэтому текущая ситуация заставляет участников рынка внимательно следить за тем, приведет ли это к устойчивому восходящему тренду или к коррекции, вызванной сбором ликвидности, перед продолжением роста. Источник: @KillaXBT  С точки зрения ликвидности, криптоаналитик также отметил, что за пределами уровня $120 000 накапливаются значительные двухнедельные ликвидации по BTC. Эта зона совпадает с уровнем открытия прошлой недели ($119 414), что делает ее высоковероятной целью, если бычья структура сохранится. В настоящий момент BTC тестирует нисходящую линию тренда на младшем таймфрейме (LTF). KillaXBT поясняет, что подтвержденный пробой выше этой линии может открыть путь к уверенному движению в сторону $120 000 и выше, при этом трейдеры остаются настороженными из-за возможной “охоты за ликвидностью”, которая может кратковременно снизить цену перед возобновлением роста. Сейчас для трейдеров вырисовываются два основных сценария. Первый: BTC сохраняет бычью структуру, продолжая рост к зоне ликвидности в районе $120 000 и, возможно, к месячному максимуму (ATH) на уровне $123 186. Этот сценарий соответствует текущей технической картине, которая не демонстрирует признаков немедленного разворота вниз.Второй: биткоину не удается пробиться выше, он формирует пониженную вершину и опускается ниже $115 700. В этом случае следующая крупная зона поддержки находится в диапазоне $110 000–$112 000, где расположен месячный разрыв справедливой стоимости (FVG) на $111 955. На данный момент KillaXBT считает, что первый сценарий выглядит более вероятным, так как рынок удерживает бычий импульс, и при отсутствии четких медвежьих сигналов аналитик ожидает, что BTC в ближайшие дни попытается обновить максимумы. Однако он также предупреждает, что в начале недели, особенно в понедельник или вторник, возможна краткосрочная просадка для ликвидации чрезмерно закредитованных лонгов перед новым ростом. TOKEN6900 собрал почти $2 млн на предпродаже: интерес инвесторов продолжает расти перед наступлением альтсезона Тренды крипторынка, особенно в сегменте мем-монет, стремительно меняются: мемкоины уже завлекают инвесторов не ИИ-интеграциями и обещаниями реальной супер-полезности, а легкостью, долей абсурда и получением прибыли без особых усилий. В таком направлении движется проект TOKEN6900 – новая предпродажа июля с огромным потенциалом. TOKEN6900 позиционирует себя как “паразит сознания” и “эталон brain rot finance”, честно заявляя: “мы отслеживаем не ВВП, нефть или прибыль, а высокую ликвидность”. И именно такая искренность привлекает массовую аудиторию! Аналитики прогнозируют десятикратный рост токену после его выхода на бирже – отличный способ заработать на ранних вложениях без сложных действий. А если воспользоваться механизмом стейкинга – то ваш доход от инвестиций еще кратно возрастет. Переходите на официальный сайт и присоединяйтесь к уникальному проекту без промедлений.

Bitcoin surged past the $120,000 mark, reaching an intraday high of $122,300 — just shy of its all-time high at $123,000. The move marks a strong bullish continuation after weeks of upward momentum, fueling hopes among traders that a new record could be imminent. However, seasoned investors are approaching the rally with caution, warning that current price action could represent a relief rally before another consolidation phase. Related Reading: Altseason Still On Hold – Metrics Reveal BTC Outpaces Large, Mid, Small Caps Fresh data from CryptoQuant adds a layer of complexity to the market outlook. After a sharp rise in average weekly open interest to over 20% — peaking on July 14 — the metric has since dropped significantly, now turning negative. This shift suggests that short-term risk appetite has diminished, potentially reducing speculative momentum in the near term. While open interest declines are not inherently bearish, they can indicate a cooling phase after periods of aggressive leverage. In some cases, such pullbacks in open interest, especially when paired with increased liquidations, have preceded attractive buying opportunities. For now, Bitcoin’s position near record highs offers both promise and risk, with the next few sessions likely to determine whether the market pushes higher or pauses for consolidation. Open Interest Signals Cooling Risk Appetite Top analyst Darkfost has shared fresh market insights, highlighting a notable shift in Bitcoin’s derivatives landscape. According to his analysis, the current weekly average for open interest change sits at -2.2%, marking a sharp reversal from the +20% levels seen just weeks ago. This drop signals that short-term risk appetite among traders has clearly diminished, with many participants reducing leveraged positions after an extended bullish run. Liquidations are a key factor in this development. Darkfost points out that when open interest experiences a sharp short-term drop alongside a spike in liquidations, it often presents a window for profitable long entries. This setup typically occurs when overleveraged positions are wiped out, allowing stronger hands to accumulate at more favorable levels. While not a precise buy signal, it remains a valuable tool for gauging market conditions and identifying potentially favorable entry zones. The current backdrop is particularly intriguing as Ethereum pushes toward all-time highs, drawing increased attention to the broader crypto market. Bitcoin’s stability above the $120K level, combined with improving sentiment across altcoins, sets the stage for potentially strong follow-through in the coming weeks. However, traders will be watching derivatives metrics closely for signs of renewed leverage or further cooling before committing to larger positions. Related Reading: Bitcoin Holds Strong Near All-Time High – Market Not Overheated Yet, Data Shows Bitcoin Tests Key Resistance Just Below All-Time High Bitcoin has surged to $121,337, marking a strong breakout from its recent consolidation phase and pushing to its highest level since setting the all-time high at $123K. The daily chart shows a decisive move above the $119K zone, confirming bullish momentum after holding support at the 50-day moving average near $114,155. This rally brings BTC within striking distance of the $123,217–$124,000 resistance area, a critical zone that previously capped upside attempts in July. A clean break and daily close above this level could open the door for a new all-time high, potentially triggering further upside momentum as traders chase the breakout. Related Reading: Ethereum Exchange Balances Decline To 18.8M ETH: Smart Money Drains Supply With Ethereum nearing its own record highs and altcoins showing renewed strength, Bitcoin’s performance in the coming sessions will be pivotal for broader market sentiment. If BTC manages to secure a sustained move above $124K, it could fuel a market-wide surge. However, failure to break higher may see a period of consolidation before the next decisive move. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

With US inflation center stage and oil-market supply guidance due, this is a data-heavy week where macro can decide whether Bitcoin’s tight consolidation resolves into fresh highs and the broader crypto market continues to explode further. Crypto Market Braces For Major Week The July Consumer Price Index arrives Tuesday, August 12, at 14:30 CEST (08:30 ET). The median economist call leans toward a firmer core and a still-contained headline: Bloomberg’s survey points to a 0.3% month-over-month increase in core CPI, while several desks expect headline CPI at 0.2% m/m and 2.8% y/y after 2.7% in June. The Cleveland Fed’s real-time nowcast is in the same ballpark on the year-over-year prints, showing ~2.7% for headline and ~3.0% for core going into the release. The schedule is official; the nuance is that a 0.3% core m/m is consistent with core holding near 3% y/y, which markets would read as sticky but not re-accelerating—until tariffs or energy change the calculus. Producer prices follow Thursday, August 14, also at 14:30 CEST (08:30 ET). Consensus pegs PPI final demand near +0.2% m/m after a flat June; the Bureau of Labor Statistics has confirmed the timing and flagged methodology changes that take effect with this release. Taken with CPI, a 0.2% PPI would imply only modest pipeline pressure—unless services margins surprise. Related Reading: USDC Emerges As Top Pick In Booming Crypto Payroll Trend—Survey Retail’s read-through for demand lands Friday, August 15, at 14:30 CEST (08:30 ET). The street is looking for +0.5% m/m on headline retail sales, with many desks also watching the control group for a steady goods-spending pulse after June’s 0.5%. One hour later, at 16:00 CEST (10:00 ET), the University of Michigan prints its preliminary August sentiment; July’s improvement into the low-60s set the base. None of these are binary for crypto, but a hot sales beat against a 0.3% core CPI would harden “higher-for-longer” rate chatter; a cooler mix would do the opposite. Energy is the wild card. OPEC’s Monthly Oil Market Report publishes Tuesday, August 12, with July’s edition having kept 2025 demand growth steady at ~1.3 mb/d; the cadence of OPEC+ supply guidance and the IEA’s Oil Market Report on Wednesday, August 13, will feed directly into headline-inflation expectations via the gasoline channel. The exact release dates are fixed on OPEC’s calendar and the IEA data portal. Related Reading: Crypto Set For $1.25 Trillion Tsunami As Trump Opens 401(k) Floodgates On crypto-native flows, FTX’s estate has set Friday, August 15 as the record date for its next cash distribution cycle, with disbursements expected to begin on or about September 30, 2025. The step is funded by a court-authorized $1.9 billion reduction of the disputed claims reserve (to $4.3B), and payments will route via BitGo, Kraken and Payoneer for eligible, fully onboarded claimants. Practically, that means Aug. 15 determines who’s in line; the actual liquidity arrives at quarter-end. Ethereum’s specific catalyst is corporate-treasury optics. SharpLink Gaming (Nasdaq: SBET)—which has been publishing weekly accumulation tallies—will hold its Q2 2025 call on Friday, August 15, at 14:30 CEST (08:30 ET). The company disclosed 521,939 ETH on the balance sheet as of August 3, alongside ongoing capital raises to expand that treasury. Any change in pace, staking strategy or financing mix could move the “ETH as a balance-sheet asset” narrative. Technically, Bitcoin sits a stone’s throw from July’s record at $123,153. Aksel Kibar, CMT, characterized the past week’s pause as “a text-book pullback to the neckline,” adding that “monitoring the chart for acceleration this week. Breach of 123.2K (minor high) can resume uptrend.” At press time, BTC traded at $121,699. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com