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Earlier this week, the US Federal Reserve (Fed) cut interest rates by 25 basis points, providing the much-required impetus to the economy after a cycle of raising interest rates to keep inflation under check. A cut in interest rates is likely to benefit risk-on assets, including Bitcoin (BTC). Fed Cuts Interest Rate, Bitcoin Supply Ratio Falls According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Arab Chain, the latest data from Binance shows that the interest rate cut has rekindled investors’ interest in BTC. Notably, the exchange supply ratio has declined to 0.0291, hinting that investors are choosing to withdraw their BTC from exchanges and hold it for the long-term instead of selling it. Related Reading: Bitcoin Breaks Above Mid-Term Holder Breakeven – Is A Fresh Rally Brewing? To support their analysis, Arab Chain shared the following chart, which shows a tumbling exchange supply ratio while the BTC price continues to shoot up. The analyst noted that the interest rate cut has increased risk appetite and improved liquidity in the market. This behavior shows that the Fed’s monetary policy will remain dovish for the near term, which could mitigate selling pressure on BTC for the time being. Low exchange supply is creating relative buying pressure, as Bitcoin’s stability above $115,000 further supports this trend. The analyst remarked that if BTC outflows from crypto exchanges continue at the current pace, then the digital asset may target the $120,000 resistance level. However, liquidity must continue to flow into digital assets, driven by the Fed’s decision. Arab Chain added: The continued decline in the Exchange Supply Ratio for Bitcoin, coupled with a rising price, reinforces the bullish scenario, especially if traditional markets stabilize after the Fed’s decision. Conversely, if the Exchange Supply Ratio turns upward again (if Bitcoin reenters exchanges), it could signal that investors are preparing to take profits at levels near 118K–120K. Meanwhile, crypto analyst Titan of Crypto had similar thoughts. In an X post, the analyst shared the following chart, saying that BTC is currently stuck under the bearish fair value gap. A daily close above this gap – highlighted in red – could pave the way for a new high for BTC. Is BTC Facing A Supply Crunch? A declining exchange supply ratio further suggests that BTC may be approaching a bullish ‘supply crunch’ that could lead to significant price appreciation for the digital asset in the near term. Related Reading: Bitcoin Sentiment On Binance Turns Bullish – But Is The Market Setting A Trap? Recently, the Bitcoin Scarcity Index recorded its first spike since June 2025, indicating potential upward price pressure on BTC. Meanwhile, BTC outflows from Binance continue at a rapid pace, further reducing the digital asset’s active circulating supply. That said, some concerns still linger, specifically due to the lack of participation of whales in recent BTC price action. At press time, BTC trades at $116,374, down 1.3% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant, X, and TradingView.com

CryptoQuant chief executive Ki Young Ju has revived a cycle-top debate with a fresh model-based call that puts Bitcoin’s upper bound at roughly $208,000 per coin. Sharing CryptoQuant’s “Price Prediction Based on Realized Cap” dashboard on X, Ki wrote: “Nobody cares about my calls anymore, but just saying I’m bullish on Bitcoin. Too much capital inflows onchain. Way too much.” The post reprises his data-driven commentary from early 2024, when he argued that “#Bitcoin could reach $112K this year driven by ETF inflows, worst-case $55K.” That framework came conspicuously close: Bitcoin went on to register a 2024 high above $108,000, narrowly under his $112,000 projection. Why Bitcoin Price Could Top Above $208,000 The chart Ki published on September 18 visualizes three time series derived from CryptoQuant’s realized-cap methodology: the spot price of BTC (black), a model “ceiling_price” (red) and a model “floor_price” (green). As of 17 September 2025 (UTC), the panel annotated a spot marker at $116,453, a ceiling at $208,310 and a floor at $41,662, with the dashboard showing it was “last run” two hours prior. In other words, the model currently locates Bitcoin well above its inferred floor and still materially below the band it treats as an overvaluation zone. Related Reading: Bitcoin Holds $117,500 On Retail Support While Whales Stay Quiet – Cause For Concern? The implication of Ki’s share is not a guarantee, but a statement that, given prevailing on-chain capital inflows and the realized-cap structure, the market has room—by this metric—to extend toward that $208,000 upper band. Realized cap values the network by summing each coin at the price it last moved on-chain rather than the current market price, a construction that tends to track investor cost basis over time. CryptoQuant’s dashboard projects dynamic “floor” and “ceiling” bands around spots that, historically, have framed multi-year expansions and contractions. Ki’s renewed bullishness ties those bands to what he describes as surging demand pressure visible in settlement flows and ETF-linked capital migration onto the network. The continuity with his February 2024 note is explicit: then he cited exchange-traded product inflows as the dominant driver of an advance toward six figures; now he points to “too much capital inflows onchain” while circulating a model that places the ceiling near $208,000. Related Reading: $1 Million Bitcoin Is Coming: Arthur Hayes Says Fed Just Pulled The Trigger It is noteworthy that Ki is not presenting an open-ended forecast but rather a model snapshot that updates with market structure. The same dashboard that prints a $208,310 ceiling today also marks the risk floor at $41,662, underscoring the spread of outcomes the realized-cap approach contemplates. His track record with the $112,000 “this year” guidance—followed by a print just above $108,000—will inevitably color how traders receive the new post. But the framing remains analytical: a data readout of where Bitcoin sits relative to its realized-value envelope after a year and a half defined by US spot ETF adoption and deepening institutional participation. For now, Ki’s message is simple and blunt—“I’m bullish on Bitcoin”—and anchored in the same on-chain lens he used 10 months ahead of the 2024 peak. Whether the market ultimately approaches the model’s $208,000 ceiling will depend on how those on-chain inflows evolve against macro liquidity, ETF and corporate treasury demand as well as miners’ supply behavior. What his chart makes clear is that, by CryptoQuant’s realized-cap bands, Bitcoin has not yet tested the top of its statistical range in this cycle. At press time, BTC traded at $116,173. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

A pseudonymous crypto analyst, known as Borovik on X, has released a bold set of three-month predictions for some of the largest cryptocurrencies by market capitalization.  Taking to the social media platform X, the analyst released a list of projected prices for Bitcoin (BTC), XRP, Dogecoin (DOGE), and other top-ranking cryptocurrencies Ethereum (ETH), Binance Coin (BNB), and Solana (SOL). The predictions show a strongly bullish stance for the coming quarter, though they also keep the current market cap rankings intact among these cryptocurrencies. Very Bullish Predictions For Bitcoin, XRP, And Dogecoin Borovik’s predictions are based on an ultra-bullish outlook for the crypto market that places these cryptocurrencies at top prices before the end of the year. However, the analyst’s prediction doesn’t envision any dramatic overtake among these cryptocurrencies in market cap rankings. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price To $150,000, Ethereum At $8,000, And An Altcoin Season? Analyst Reveals When Unsurprisingly, Bitcoin is the centerpiece of the analyst’s outlook. According to Borovik, Bitcoin’s price could climb to $194,846.63 within the next three months. That’s an enormous jump from its current spot level around $117,000, representing more than 66% upside. Such a price would lift Bitcoin’s already commanding market capitalization well beyond its current $2.3 trillion to about $3.88 trillion and increase its dominance over the rest of the market.  The forecast is equally bullish for XRP and Dogecoin. Borovik set XRP’s three-month target at $5.056 and a market cap of $302 billion. Considering XRP is currently priced around $3.04, this prediction suggests a 66% rally that would see the cryptocurrency trading at new all-time highs. Dogecoin’s target of $0.4465 is no less remarkable, although the analyst doesn’t see it breaking into new all-time highs. The meme coin king is trading around $0.275 today, so the forecast translates to an increase of about 62%. That would drive Dogecoin’s valuation well above $67 billion. Ethereum, BNB, And Solana Complete The Bullish Picture According to the analyst, Ethereum, Solana, and BNB are also expected to rise to new all-time highs before the end of the year. Particularly, the prediction places the Ethereum price at $7,537.60 within the next three months and puts its market cap bordering the trillion-dollar mark at $910 billion. However, the analyst’s projection does not suggest ETH is anywhere close to challenging Bitcoin’s dominance. Related Reading: Bitcoin, Ethereum Open Interest Are Sitting Close To ATH Levels, What Happened Last Time? BNB, which recently made a new all-time high of $1,004 on September 18, was predicted to continue its upward trajectory in the next three months to reach $1,603.05.  Solana is one of the standout performers of the past year, and it isn’t surprising that the analyst gave it a three-month target of $392.98. At the time of writing, SOL is trading at $244, and so this prediction implies a gain of roughly 61%. The analyst’s forecasts show an average increase in the range of 60% to 66% for cryptocurrencies across the board before the end of the year. Featured image from iStock, chart from Tradingview.com

Following the recent decision by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) to cut interest rates, the Bitcoin price has resumed its upward trajectory after a brief period of consolidation below $115,000.  This shift aligns with forecasts from leading analysts, who suggest that the market’s top cryptocurrency may reach a new all-time high (ATH) in the coming months. Some experts even believe that this milestone could be achieved as soon as two weeks from now. Bullish Indicators Emerge Market expert Axel Adler has highlighted key indicators supporting this outlook. He noted on social media platform X that BTC futures are trading at a premium compared to spot prices, with a consistently positive basis. Additionally, the seven-day basis is above the thirty-day average, suggesting a bullish market regime.  Related Reading: Coinbase Vs. State Regulators: Crypto Exchange Fights Legal Fragmentation Adler’s analysis suggests a base case probability of around 70% for a continued stepwise uptrend or sideways movement over the next two weeks for the Bitcoin price.  He emphasized that if a cluster of bullish signals emerges—such as rising prices, an increasing basis, and growing open interest—this would likely attract fresh long positions and enhance the likelihood of the Bitcoin price achieving a new ATH. Importantly, the Short-Term Holder (STH) Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) Z-scores for both the 155-day and 365-day periods are hovering near zero, indicating that the market is balanced and not in an overheated or oversold state.  With the Bitcoin price positioned just above its Short-Term Realized Price, Adler stresses that the stage is set for potential consolidation over the next week or two, followed by a possible surge toward new highs. Adler referred to this anticipated movement as a new “uptober” for Bitcoin and the broader digital asset market. Bitcoin Price Boost Predicted Amidst Strong US Stock Market Performance Adding to the bullish sentiment surrounding the Bitcoin price is the recent performance of US stocks, which have been on a significant uptrend for the past two weeks.  Analysts at The Bull Theory have noted a correlation between stock market rallies and the Bitcoin price action, with the analysts suggesting that Bitcoin tends to rise when US equities hit new highs.  Related Reading: Next XRP ‘Monster Leg’ Will Start No Earlier Than 2026: Analyst Historical data supports this notion: as seen in the chart below, after an all-time high in the S&P 500, the Bitcoin price has averaged an increase of 12% over 30 days and an impressive 36% over 90 days. If this were to occur again, the Bitcoin price would reach $131,000 and even $178,000 respectively.  Similarly, following a Nasdaq all-time high, Bitcoin’s average gains are 16% in 30 days and 46% in 90 days. This scenario would position the market’s leading cryptocurrency at $136,000 and $199,000 if similar price action unfolds from current trading levels of $117,770.  Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin (BTC) is holding near $117,500, up about 6.1% over the past two weeks. However, recent data from Binance shows that BTC’s current price action is largely supported by retail investors, while whales have been noticeably absent. Bitcoin Holds $117,500 Amid High Retail Inflows According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Arab Chain, Bitcoin is hovering around the $117,500 price level, supported by active inflows from retail investors. Notably, large whale inflows have been completely absent, indicating that the current market is being driven by individuals more than by large wallets. Related Reading: Bitcoin Miners Shift Strategy: Accumulation Over Selling Signals Stronger Bull Cycle Inflows ranging from 0 to 0.001 BTC recorded approximately 97,000 BTC. Similarly, inflows from the 0.001 to 0.01 BTC segment totaled nearly 719,000 BTC. The distribution above suggests that Bitcoin’s current rally is largely driven by retail investors. These investors conduct numerous but small-volume transactions, confirming that individual investors are shaping the market dynamics. Arab Chain added: The figures reveal that the bulk of inflows are concentrated in small and medium-sized transactions, reflecting the dominance of retail activity in Bitcoin trading. This liquidity, despite its limited scale, has helped keep the market balanced at current levels. It is worth emphasizing that there has been almost no whale pressure during the current market rally. Specifically, no significant surges in inflows of more than 100 BTC were observed, mitigating the likelihood of a sharp short-term price correction. To conclude, the current market situation shows that Bitcoin is experiencing a state of equilibrium, largely due to heightened retail investor participation. Such a scenario gives the market an opportunity to steadily surge toward the important $120,000 resistance level. That said, it would be wise to keep an eye on any whale activity, as it could quickly alter the market’s direction. Any sudden entry of whale inflows could trigger a rapid price correction, similar to previous market tops. Experts Divided On BTC Price Action As Bitcoin trades about 5.4% below its all-time high (ATH), there are signs that the top cryptocurrency by market cap may be on the cusp of a fresh rally. For instance, BTC recently broke above the mid-term holder breakeven, reducing the likelihood of an immediate sell-off. Related Reading: Bitcoin Market Faces Supply Squeeze As Scarcity Index Turns Positive Again Recent positive developments – such as the US Federal Reserve (Fed) reducing interest rates by 25 basis points – could reinvigorate the crypto market. Against that backdrop, crypto entrepreneur Arthur Hayes recently reiterated his ambitious $1 million BTC prediction. That said, gold bug Peter Schiff opines that BTC has likely already peaked for this market cycle. At press time, BTC trades at $117,523, up 1.8% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant and TradingView.com

Zeus Network is positioning itself at the heart of cross-chain innovation by linking Bitcoin’s unmatched security with Solana’s high-speed infrastructure. If successful, Zeus Network could become a cornerstone of cross-chain adoption, reshaping how value flows between blockchains in the ecosystem. Unlocking New Use Cases For Bitcoin In Solana DeFi Zeus Network is stepping into the spotlight as the project is designed to connect Bitcoin and Solana into one seamless ecosystem, the two most powerful blockchains in the crypto space. SkyeOps, in a post on X, has highlighted the core of Zeus Network’s technology, a decentralized permissionless communication layer that enables interaction between BTC and SOL. This innovative architecture is referred to as Layer 1.5, a hybrid model that leverages BTC security while tapping into SOL performance. Related Reading: Bitcoin Lightning Payment Zaps Across Satellite In Historic First SkyeOps identifies APOLLO as one of Zeus Network’s flagship products, a decentralized Bitcoin-paged token zBTC, an application that enables operations natively on the Solana blockchain. According to the analyst, this is a revolutionary step because it allows Bitcoin holders to participate and earn yield in Solana’s vibrant DeFi ecosystem without having to surrender custody of their BTC to a centralized third party. Furthermore, the network utilizes a novel architecture combining ZeusNode and the Zeus Program Library (ZPL) to facilitate secure cross-chain interactions. The Zeusnode serves as the backbone of the network, with a decentralized system of Guardians who validate and sign cross-chain transactions. Meanwhile, Zeus Program Library (ZPL) provides the essential tools that empower developers to build new applications and services that leverage BTC functionality directly on Solana. Bitcoin Liquidity On Solana Hits An All-Time High The founder of Sensei Holdings and Namaste group, Solana Sensei, has also pointed out a major milestone, celebrating the fact that the supply of BTC on the Solana network has hit a new all-time high, surpassing $1 billion for the first time. Related Reading: Bitcoin Consolidates Gains – Is a Bigger Move Coming Next? According to Solana Sensei, bringing the digital gold onto Solana’s high-performance blockchain enables BTC to gain the speed, low fees, composability, and deep liquidity of the most performant L1 in all cryptocurrencies. As a result, Bitcoin can operate at internet scale, enabling instantaneous trading, use as collateral in lending markets, seamless settlement in DeFi applications, and integration with real-world assets. This connection will create a perfect dynamic. Solana supercharges BTC utility, while BTC lends SOL the ultimate credibility and security as the backbone store of value. “Together, they are turning the vision of Web3 into a true global financial layer. My two favorite cryptos are winning,” Solana Sensei noted. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

The market has been gaining momentum in recent weeks, with industry leaders suggesting that the Bitcoin price is only at the beginning of its next major rally. As the digital asset shows resilience against broader market volatility, Adam Back, the co-founder and Chief Executive Officer of Blockstream, a blockchain technology company, has made a bold prediction that Bitcoin at $100,000 is still cheap. The crypto founder believes the flagship cryptocurrency holds far greater potential, predicting its real peak value for this cycle.  Why Bitcoin Price At $100,000 Is Still Cheap Back, a long-time advocate of Bitcoin, recently emphasized that the market continues to underestimate BTC’s long-term potential. According to him, debates around diminishing returns from each halving cycle may not fully reflect the current economic climate. The crypto founder pointed out that the most recent halving cycle was impacted by macroeconomic disruptions, such as pandemic-related money printing and global supply chain issues, which may have suppressed Bitcoin’s potential upside.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Turns Bullish Above $114,000 With Hidden Divergence Forming The Blockstream CEO explained that Bitcoin’s previous peak above $73,000 occurred prematurely and should not be treated as the natural top of the last cycle. Instead, he views it as a temporary cap influenced by external economic headwinds. With those obstacles easing and market conditions aligning more favorably, Back argues that a $100,000 valuation for Bitcoin is “too cheap” relative to its true cycle top.  Looking forward, the Blockstream co-founder believes Bitcoin could climb significantly higher during this current cycle, projecting a peak in the range of $500,000 to $1 million. This bullish forecast underscores his conviction that institutional adoption, increasing scarcity, and a shifting global economic environment are setting the stage for BTC’s most explosive rally yet.  Chart Analysis Suggests BTC Could Hit $124,000 This Week Crypto analysts are also observing strong technical patterns that suggest Bitcoin may be preparing for another significant breakout. IncomeSharks, a prominent market analyst, has projected that BTC could reach $120,000 by the end of the week.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Flashes ‘Rarest Signal’ Ever, Is A 100% Rally Possible? His analysis, shared on X social media, is supported by a chart indicating a recovery from recent dips and a potential continuation of the upward trend. Currently, Bitcoin has rebounded from its correction below $108,000 and is now trading above $117,000. IncomeSharks’ chart highlights a “small support break” that has already been recovered, strengthening the bullish case for further price movement. If momentum continues as anticipated, a decisive test of resistance levels near $124,000 appears imminent.   Adding to the optimism, market expert Ash Crypto has noted that Bitcoin is experiencing its strongest September in over a decade. Historically, September has often been a bearish month for the cryptocurrency, but this year has shown exceptional resilience. The analyst noted that when BTC closed September in the green, October and November have been “giga bullish.” If this pattern holds, he suggests that the final quarter of 2025 could mark the beginning of a major bull run.  Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

Bitcoin is targeting the $118,000 level, reigniting bullish momentum and fueling speculation of a potential push toward a new all-time high. With buyers regaining control after recent volatility, this breakout could open the path toward $120,000 and beyond. Pullback Seen As Final Shakeout Before Rally Crypto VIP Signal, in a recent update, pointed out that Bitcoin experienced a sharp pullback yesterday after news of a rate cut, coupled with remarks from Jerome Powell, triggered a wave of volatility. The decline caught the attention of traders across the market, but the expert’s analysis suggests that this movement is more likely a final shakeout rather than the start of a broader correction.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Turns Bullish Above $114,000 With Hidden Divergence Forming Interestingly, despite the pullback, Bitcoin has quickly shown signs of resilience. This recovery suggests that the underlying demand for BTC remains intact, and market participants are still confident about its bullish trajectory.  Crypto VIP Signal emphasized that the most critical level to watch in the short term is $118,000. A successful breakout above this resistance would serve as a strong bullish confirmation, potentially accelerating the rally toward $120,000. If achieved, this would not only mark another key milestone but also signal that Bitcoin remains firmly within a bullish cycle, raising the likelihood of a new all-time high on the horizon.  Bitcoin Bollinger Bands Signal Possible Path To $120,000 Based on the latest BTC update from EGRAG CRYPTO, the bullish outlook for Bitcoin is being reinforced by key technical indicators. The report highlights that a decisive close above the middle upper section of the Bollinger Bands (BB) could be the catalyst needed to propel the price higher.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Trend Constructive As Long As This Metric Holds, Glassnode Says Analysts often interpret this technical formation as a sign of building momentum and can spark a breakout from a period of consolidation. If Bitcoin successfully achieves this, it would pave the way for a run toward the significant $120,000 resistance level. The update paints a highly optimistic picture for the short term, suggesting that a new record could be within reach. According to EGRAG CRYPTO, should BTC manage to break through and sustain a price above $120,000 today, it may set a new all-time high. Basically, this milestone might trigger a fresh wave of investor excitement and market liquidity as the price moves into uncharted territory. Despite the strong bullish sentiment, the analysis includes a critical warning for traders. The $117,300 mark is identified as a crucial level to watch. If the price encounters a strong rejection at this point, it could trigger a temporary reversal to the $113,300 support level. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

The Federal Reserve’s first rate cut of 2025 has landed—25 basis points on September 17—and, in Trader Mayne’s telling, that removes the last macro “X-factor” hanging over the crypto market. In a video analysis posted the same day, the veteran price-action trader argued that with the policy move now in the rear-view mirror, crypto can “just focus on the charts,” sketching a roadmap in which Bitcoin posts one more leg higher into new all-time highs before a pullback ushers in a classic altseason blow-off. “We had FOMC today and the rates got cut finally… It’s 25 basis points,” he said. “Now the market’s going to digest it.” Where Is Bitcoin Price Going Next? The policy backdrop he’s reacting to is straightforward: the FOMC lowered the fed funds target range by a quarter point to 4.00%–4.25% on Sept. 17, with Chair Jerome Powell describing the move as a risk-management response to weakening labor dynamics and leaving the door open to additional easing this year. The decision drew an 11–1 vote, with newly appointed Governor Stephen Miran dissenting in favor of a larger, 50 bps cut—an unusually hawkish dissent in a dovish direction—while the Board’s implementation note reset key administered rates effective Sept. 18. Markets read the statement and projections as signaling scope for further cuts into year-end. Related Reading: Crucial Ten Days Ahead For Crypto: Will They Ignite Mega Altcoin Season? From here, Mayne’s framework is unapologetically technical. He characterizes Bitcoin’s most recent upswing as corrective relative to the prior impulse and expects price to “push above the mid-range” toward a range high around $120,000–$121,000, where he will watch for rejection at a higher-time-frame confluence defined by a weekly swing-failure pattern (SFP) and an H12 breaker. If momentum stalls there, he plans to short into a washout to clear out built-up leverage—“HYPE made another all-time high today. PUMP has tripled in the last two weeks… there’s some leverage in the system”—and then buy the dip for what he calls the last parabolic leg of the cycle. “Any sort of dip on BTC, I want to be looking for a long,” he said, adding that a shallow retest in the $110,000–$111,000 area or a deeper sweep of recent lows would both be acceptable springboards if the rebound is decisive. If, instead, price grinds through the $120,000 s with no signs of exhaustion, Mayne says he has “no problem” flipping to breakout longs above the all-time high once strength is confirmed intraday—an approach that mirrors his playbook from prior expansions (“Once this thing broke out aggressively… you’re looking for longs”). He emphasizes sequence over prediction: the short he’s eyeing is counter-trend—“a pullback in an uptrend”—and the prime objective remains to position for the next impulsive advance. When Will The Crypto Market Top? Timing-wise, he situates the prospective cycle top in Q4 2025 or Q1 2026, describing a pattern in which Bitcoin’s final vertical leg into the $150,000 to $180,000 region is followed by distribution while altcoins reprice higher—the archetypal altseason. “This parabolic leg I think would be the last leg of the bull run,” he said, before outlining notional alt targets consistent with a late-cycle melt-up: Ethereum $5,000–$7,000, Solana $300–$500, Dogecoin $0.50–$0.70. The mechanics, as he narrates them: a last BTC push, a corrective wash, a V-shaped reclaim of the 2024 ATH “very quickly,” then Q4 “mania” with breadth shifting to large-cap alts as Bitcoin distributes. Related Reading: December 2024 Crypto Crash Signal Returns As Altcoins Go Wild The technical scaffolding behind that view leans on concepts familiar to discretionary price-action traders. Weekly SFPs (failed breaks of prior extremes) set the trap line at range edges; H12 breakers and order blocks frame high-probability reaction zones; and fair-value gaps guide where liquidity vacuums might fill during a corrective flush. On structure, he insists the weekly trend remains up, so any short is tactical and any deeper dip must resolve in a swift V-bottom and reclaim of the former highs to keep the cyclical script intact. His invalidation is equally clear: “If we spend any significant time back below [the 2024 all-time high], it’s really bad… I’m probably going to reassess my thoughts.” Macro, in Mayne’s view, now recedes to the background. The rate cut may have helped pull forward some September strength—“you could argue… the up move we’ve seen on Bitcoin… is in anticipation of this rate cut”—but with the decision made and Powell hinting there “could be another one… there could be two,” his emphasis is squarely on execution: wait for price to trade into the $120,000s and signal weakness for the clean counter-trend short; or, absent weakness, wait for the breakout continuation and ride it. Either way, he’s explicit about the north star for the coming weeks: “Focus on Bitcoin… Any sort of dip on BTC, I want to be looking for a long… Then altseason.” At press time, BTC traded at $117,176. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Jack Mallers, co-founder and CEO of Twenty One Capital, told NYSE TV that he expects Bitcoin to climb much higher from current levels. Related Reading: FalconX Moves 413K Solana Worth $98M – Impact On SOL Price According to Mallers, the size of global wealth available for savings gives Bitcoin room to grow in a big way. He made the bold remark that Bitcoin could be “100 to 200 times from here,” and his firm’s buying behavior appears to follow that view. Analyst’s 200x Bitcoin Claim According to Mallers, total global wealth across assets like stocks, property, gold and art is about $900 trillion. He argued roughly $400–500 trillion of that is used mainly as savings.   Right now, Mallers said, Bitcoin’s market value sits near $2 trillion. At the price cited in reports — about $115,570 per coin — he sees a path for dramatic expansion if Bitcoin captures only a slice of that savings market. Jack Mallers says, “#Bitcoin will 200x from here.” “Bitcoin is going after a $400-500 trillion market, and it’s only $2 trillion.” pic.twitter.com/urpR8HelFO — Maestro (@GoMaestroOrg) September 16, 2025 Twenty One Capital’s Buying Strategy Reports have disclosed that since April, Twenty One Capital has acquired 43,514 BTC, a haul worth roughly $5 billion at current prices. The firm has backing from players such as Tether, Bitfinex, and SoftBank, and it plans to merge with SPAC Cantor Equity Partners to pursue a public listing. Mallers’ team has been buying aggressively, and the stash already exceeded the firm’s initial target by about 1,500 BTC. How Other Big Names See Bitcoin Several high-profile figures have also made bullish calls, and their forecasts are often cited alongside Mallers’ views. According to public remarks, BlackRock CEO Larry Fink has suggested Bitcoin could reach $700,000. Anthony Scaramucci of SkyBridge has said he expects Bitcoin to hit about $200,000 by the end of 2025. Bill Barhydt, CEO of Abra Global, has outlined a base-case of $350,000 and a more aggressive scenario as high as $700,000. These estimates differ in timing and method, but they share a common theme: large upside is possible if demand and adoption keep rising. Related Reading: XRP’s Biggest Rally Yet? Analyst Projects $20+ In October 2025 Where Twenty One Capital Fits In Based on reports, Mallers’ firm is joining a larger group of companies that hold Bitcoin as a reserve asset. Michael Saylor’s Strategy has accumulated 638,985 BTC — a figure that dwarfs most other corporate treasuries and is valued near $74 billion. Mining companies such as MARA Holdings hold about 52,477 BTC. One important contrast is funding approach: Strategy leaned on debt to build its position, while Twenty One Capital has avoided that route so far. Featured image from Meta, chart from TradingView

Over the years, different trends have emerged for the Bitcoin price depending on how the month ends, either in the green or in the red. September has been historically bearish, but the few times that the month has ended in the green, there have been bullish implications for the cryptocurrency. As this month is already shaping up to end in the green, this report takes a look at what has happened in previous years when the month of September has been green. Expect Bullishness From Bitcoin Price If September Closes Green In an X post, crypto analyst Rekt Fencer highlighted an interesting trend in the Bitcoin price when the month of September has been favorable. This trend has to do with what happened in the years when September closed in the green, ushering in an even more bullish month of October. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Turns Bullish Above $114,000 With Hidden Divergence Forming According to CryptoRank data, in the last 14 years, only five months of September have closed in the green. Out of these five instances, in four cases, the bullish close opened up a more bullish move for October. A close example is the last two years of 2023 and 2024, both seeing the months of September close in the green. September 2023 ended with a 3.99% gain for the Bitcoin price, and the next month saw Bitcoin rally 28.5% in response. A similar case was recorded in September 2024 after the Bitcoin price saw a gain of 7.11% and the subsequent month of October ended with an 11.2% gain for the cryptocurrency. Going further back, September 2015 ended with a 2.52% gain for the Bitcoin price, and then October 2015 saw a 33.1% gain. Similarly, September 2016 ended with a 5.94% Bitcoin price gain, and October 2016 saw a 14.9% gain. Only the year 2012 has seen a deviation from this trend, after a 13.1% close in September ended with a 9.96% loss in October. What Happens If This Trend Repeats? A reoccurrence of this trend would mean that the Bitcoin price could be headed for double-digit gains in the month of October. So far, the cryptocurrency is already seeing gains of 6.24% and if this holds, then the bulls could establish a stronghold for a continuation next month. Related Reading: Dogecoin Price Eyes 1,250% Surge To $3.5 – Here’s The Roadmap Add in the fact that the month of October is one of the most bullish months in the history of Bitcoin, and it is already brewing a recipe for success. There is still the possibility of a price decline as profit-taking could ramp up quickly at these levels. However, with institutional inflows on the rise, the Bitcoin price could see a favorable last quarter of the year. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin has observed a recovery surge toward $117,000 as on-chain data shows Binance users have been making consistent withdrawals recently. Binance Bitcoin Netflow Has Been Negative Recently As pointed out by CryptoQuant community analyst Maartunn in a Quicktake post, BTC has been flowing out of Binance recently. The on-chain indicator of relevance here is the “Exchange Netflow,” which keeps track of the net amount of Bitcoin that’s entering into or exiting out of the wallets connected to a given centralized exchange. When the value of this metric is positive, it means the inflows are overwhelming the outflows on the platform. Generally, one of the main reasons why investors deposit their coins in exchanges is for selling-related purposes, so this kind of trend can be a bearish sign for the asset’s price. Related Reading: Bitcoin Trend Constructive As Long As This Metric Holds, Glassnode Says On the other hand, the indicator having a value under zero implies the holders are taking a net number of tokens out of the custody of the exchange. Such a trend may be a sign that the investors are accumulating, which is naturally something that can be bullish for BTC. Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the Bitcoin Exchange Netflow for Binance, the largest exchange in terms of trading volume, over the past month: As displayed in the above graph, the Bitcoin Binance Exchange Netflow has been negative for the last nine days, indicating that investors have constantly been pulling supply out of the platform. In the same period as these outflows, BTC has seen a recovery run toward the $117,000 level, so it would appear possible that the withdrawals have had a role to play in it. The outflows are also interesting in the context of the two-day Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, which kicked off on Tuesday and will conclude on Wednesday with a speech from US Fed Chair Jerome Powell. “Most analysts expect the Fed to cut rates this week, with prediction markets like Polymarket showing a 92% probability of a rate cut,” notes Maartunn. “The steady outflows from Binance may reflect early positioning ahead of this event.” It now remains to be seen how the market will react when Powell delivers the Fed decision, and whether the streak of Bitcoin net outflows from Binance will continue. Related Reading: Bitcoin Bull Score Sees Sharp Jump, No Longer Signals Bear Phase Bitcoin outflows aren’t the only thing that has occurred on Binance ahead of the FOMC meeting. As CryptoQuant author Darkfrost has pointed out in a Quicktake post, the exchange has also seen massive stablecoin inflows. From the chart, it’s visible that Binance has seen a large stablecoin netflow spike corresponding to the deposit of nearly $2 billion worth of stablecoins. Investors transfer their fiat-tied tokens to exchanges when they want to buy into an asset like Bitcoin, so this could be another indication of investors repositioning in anticipation of the Fed decision. BTC Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading around $116,400, up around 3.6% over the last week. Featured image from Dall-E, CryptoQuant.com, chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin is trading above the $115K level as the market enters a decisive week, with attention squarely on tomorrow’s Federal Reserve meeting. Investors prepare for potential policy changes, as they expect the Fed to announce its decision on interest rates—an outcome that could set the tone for global markets in the coming months. Related Reading: Whale Unstakes 2M HYPE After 9 Months – $89.8M Profit On The Line Top analyst Axel Adler explains that Bitcoin’s price action reflects cautious optimism. Ahead of the FOMC meeting, BTC is locked in a narrow corridor of $114.6K–$117.1K, with its high/low levels gradually shifting upward. Adler points out that this structure suggests a constructive trend, indicating that buyers are slowly gaining the upper hand despite the lack of a decisive breakout. Currently, Bitcoin is holding in the upper third of its range, but without a strong impulse before the Fed event. This positioning reflects a market waiting for confirmation rather than aggressively speculating. Traders and long-term investors alike are watching closely, knowing that the Fed’s policy stance—whether a modest or aggressive cut—could spark volatility across risk assets. Bullish Sentiment Supports Breakout Scenario According to Axel Adler, bullish sentiment currently dominates the Bitcoin market, creating conditions that favor an upward breakout. Adler highlights that Advanced Sentiment sits at 68.8%, a level that is close to the upper boundary of High Bull Sentiment. This indicates that optimism is prevailing among traders and investors, with market psychology leaning heavily toward an expectation of higher prices. Such a backdrop provides a clear advantage should tomorrow’s FOMC outcome be interpreted positively by the market. Adler emphasizes that while the market remains in a consolidation range, bullish sentiment tilts the balance toward strength. When bullish sentiment rises to such elevated levels, it often signals that large participants are positioning themselves in anticipation of a breakout. Historically, similar sentiment dynamics have accompanied strong upward moves, especially when combined with supportive macroeconomic events. The Federal Reserve’s decision on interest rates is seen as the key trigger that could unleash this next leg higher. Even amid ongoing uncertainty and inherent volatility, most analysts align with Adler’s perspective that Bitcoin and the broader crypto market are setting up for higher levels. If the Fed confirms a moderate rate cut, it could provide the spark that aligns technical structure, sentiment, and macro drivers in favor of Bitcoin’s continuation toward uncharted highs. Related Reading: Dormant Bitcoin Moves Align With Recent Price Reactions: 7,547 BTC Awakens Bitcoin Price Analysis: Sideways With Bullish Bias The 8-hour chart of Bitcoin shows the price currently trading at $116,607, consolidating near short-term highs after a steady recovery from early September’s dip around $110K. This sideways price action is forming just below the major resistance zone at $123,217, which remains the key breakout level for bulls. The moving averages provide important context: the 50 SMA has turned upward, signaling renewed momentum, while the 100 SMA is flattening, and the 200 SMA still acts as a deeper support at $115,387. Bitcoin holding above these averages reinforces the constructive setup, with buyers continuing to defend key levels. Related Reading: Bitcoin Risk Index Signals Stability: All Eyes On Fed Decision The narrow range between $114.6K and $117.1K highlights indecision ahead of tomorrow’s FOMC meeting. A break above $117.5K would increase the probability of a retest toward $123K, while a drop below $114K could expose Bitcoin to deeper corrections around $112K–$113K. Overall, the chart suggests that Bitcoin is in a sideways consolidation with a bullish bias. Momentum remains constructive, but a decisive move will likely depend on the Federal Reserve’s decision. Traders are watching for a breakout confirmation, as the current positioning favors bulls but leaves room for volatility. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

Bitcoin’s price action has managed to break above $115,000 after spending the majority of the past two weeks trading below this level. Bitcoin is now holding firm above $114,000, and the leading cryptocurrency has regained momentum over the past week that shows signs of renewed bullish strength.  According to technical analysis, a hidden bullish divergence is forming with the recent price action this week, and this could be the setup that pushes Bitcoin to new price highs. Bitcoin Revealing Hidden Bullish Divergence Technical analysis of Bitcoin’s weekly candlestick timeframe chart, which was posted on the social media platform X by crypto analyst CrypFlow, shows that Bitcoin could be on track to resume its journey of new all-time highs. Related Reading: Here’s How The Bitcoin Price Macro Correction Could Play Out Next Last week’s close means that Bitcoin has confirmed a higher price low in the weekly timeframe following the pullback that began after its August all-time high. As shown in the weekly candlestick chart below, this low is a higher low compared to June’s low below $100,000.  On the other hand, while the price printed a higher low, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) posted a lower low in the same time frame. This mismatch between price and momentum creates what is called a hidden bullish divergence, which is a technical pattern that suggests bullish continuation.  The weekly candlestick chart shared by CrypFlow shows Bitcoin defending an important support level around $114,000 and is now on two bullish weekly candlesticks. According to the analyst, if this divergence is confirmed as expected, it could provide the foundation for Bitcoin to push to new highs again. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading 5.7% below its current all-time high of $124,128. Stochastic RSI Flips Bullish The stochastic RSI indicator on the weekly timeframe has just flipped bullish, though confirmation will depend on how Bitcoin closes in the coming sessions. The last time such a bullish flip occurred on the weekly timeframe was in April, just before Bitcoin kickstarted a run that saw it close at bullish prices for seven consecutive weeks. A similar playout could see Bitcoin register at least five more bullish weekly closes in the coming weeks. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Flashes ‘Rarest Signal’ Ever, Is A 100% Rally Possible? The upcoming macroeconomic events could introduce volatility into the crypto industry, and this is worth keeping an eye on. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is set to meet on Wednesday, and expectations are running high that policymakers will announce an interest rate cut of 25 basis points or possibly even 50 basis points. An interest rate cut could have different effects, and history has shown that this could shift investor sentiment toward Bitcoin and other large-cap cryptocurrencies. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $117,040, already playing out bullish continuation by being up by 9% from its September open. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

Arthur Hayes believes the macro domino that sends Bitcoin to $1 million has just tipped. In a post on X late Monday, the BitMEX co-founder argued that the US Federal Reserve is preparing markets for “yield curve control” (YCC) under what he called a “third mandate,” pointing to the confirmation of economist Stephen Miran to the Fed’s Board of Governors and a fresh Bloomberg report raising the same specter. “With Fed board member Miran now confirmed, the MSM is preparing the world for the Fed’s ‘third mandate’ which is essentially yield curve control. LFG! YCC -> $BTC = $1m,” Hayes wrote. His comment came hours after Bloomberg published “Fed ‘Third Mandate’ Forces Bond Traders to Rethink Age-Old Rules,” which frames the possibility that the Fed will more actively shepherd long-term rates as part of its statutory goals. Miran’s arrival at the Board is no longer hypothetical. He was narrowly confirmed by the US Senate and sworn in ahead of this week’s policy meeting while simultaneously the broader political fight over the central bank’s independence is flaring up. Related Reading: How To Trade Bitcoin Into September FOMC, Top Analyst Reveals The crux of Hayes’s claim is that the Fed’s oft-described “dual mandate” is, in fact, three-part, and that emphasizing “moderate long-term interest rates” could lead policymakers toward direct control of the yield curve. That wording is not a meme; it is statutory. Under 12 U.S.C. § 225a, Congress instructs the Fed to promote “maximum employment, stable prices, and moderate long-term interest rates,” a formulation also reflected on the Fed’s own website. What Yield Curve Control Means For Bitcoin On X, several market voices quickly co-signed the framing. Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan simply replied, “Agree.” Macro investor Lawrence Lepard reacted, “Wow! Miran saying the quiet part out loud!” Others noted they’ve been flagging the “third mandate” for months. Mel Mattison highlighted the statute in June, writing that keeping the long end “moderate” is “just as much part of their mandate as are price stability and unemployment,” and argued that in a conflict of goals—as during Covid—policymakers could “sacrifice one to get two,” i.e., use balance-sheet tools to stabilize the long end and employment even if it risks higher inflation. His point underscores the operational hinge in Hayes’s thesis. What YCC would mean in practice is contested but conceptually clear. Unlike standard QE—which sets a purchase size and lets yields float—YCC targets specific yields on medium- or long-dated Treasuries, enforcing caps with unlimited buying if needed. The St. Louis Fed describes YCC as “imposing interest rate caps on particular maturities,” a framework seen in Japan since 2016 and, briefly, in Australia. Such a regime would aim to arrest disorderly jumps in long rates that complicate debt service and risk transmission; critics view it as a soft form of financial repression with inflationary tail risks. Related Reading: Bitcoin Trend Constructive As Long As This Metric Holds, Glassnode Says Hayes has tied this macro lever to an extreme Bitcoin upside for years. In 2022 he wrote that “YCC = $1mm BTC,” a refrain he revived in 2023 and again today. The logic is straightforward in his telling: if the Fed caps long-term yields while fiscal deficits remain wide, real yields are suppressed and fiat debasement accelerates, directing marginal flows into hard-cap assets like Bitcoin. Whether that causal chain unfolds is an open question, but the call is consistent with his prior essays and public posts. Bloomberg’s piece did not declare YCC policy imminent; instead it documented how traders are re-pricing duration risk in light of Miran’s remarks about “moderate long-term interest rates” and the political context surrounding the Fed. Still, the statutory anchor gives the “third mandate” narrative more than rhetorical weight. As the Fed convenes its September meeting—with a rate cut widely anticipated and the Board’s composition in flux—debate over whether the institution will ultimately be pushed from guidance to control on the long end has moved from fringe threads into mainstream coverage. For Bitcoin, Hayes argues that merely acknowledging that path is the “trigger.” For markets more broadly, the stakes lie in whether managing the curve becomes a policy choice—or a policy necessity. At press time, BTC traded at $116,694. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

On-chain analytics firm Glassnode has explained how the Bitcoin price trend remains constructive as long as the asset trades above the short-term holder cost basis. Bitcoin Is Still Maintaining Above Short-Term Holder Realized Price In a new post on X, Glassnode has discussed about the Realized Price of the Bitcoin short-term holders. The “Realized Price” here refers to an indicator that keeps track of the cost basis of the average investor or address on the BTC network. Related Reading: Bitcoin Bull Score Sees Sharp Jump, No Longer Signals Bear Phase When the value of the metric is greater than BTC’s spot price, it means the investors as a whole are sitting on some net unrealized profit. On the other hand, it being under the asset’s value implies the overall market is in a state of net loss. In the context of the current topic, the Realized Price of a specific segment of the userbase is of interest: the short-term holders (STHs). This cohort includes the investors who purchased their tokens within the past 155 days. Now, here is the chart shared by Glassnode that shows the trend in the Bitcoin Realized Price for the STHs over the last few years: As displayed in the above graph, Bitcoin retested the STH Realized Price at the start of the month and found support at it. Since then, the coin’s price has seen some recovery. This pattern of the STH Realized Price acting as a support barrier has actually been seen many times through this bull market. The reason behind the pattern may lie in investor psychology. Statistically, the longer an investor holds onto their coins, the less likely they become to sell them in the future. Since the STHs have a relatively low holding time, however, they don’t tend to be resolute, and thus, easily make panic moves when shifts occur in the market. The STHs can particularly be susceptible to panic when the cryptocurrency retests their break-even level. When the market mood is bullish, the reaction comes in the form of buying. This is because the STHs look at drawdowns to their cost basis as dip-buying opportunities. Similarly, STHs react to surges to their Realized Price by selling during bearish periods instead, fearing that the asset would decline again in the near future and send them back into a state of loss. Related Reading: Bitcoin Inflows In Last 1.5 Years Surpassed First 15 Years Combined: Data For now, Bitcoin is maintaining above the STH Realized Price. “As long as the price respects this level, the trend remains constructive,” notes the analytics firm. “Losing this support has coincided with phases of contraction or pullbacks.” BTC Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin is floating around $116,200, up almost 5% over the last seven days. Featured image from Dall-E, Glassnode.com, chart from TradingView.com

CryptoQuant’s Bitcoin Bull Score Index has jumped from 20 to 50 in just four days, suggesting a swift shift out of bearish territory for the asset. Bitcoin Bull Score Index Is Back In Neutral Region In a new post on X, CryptoQuant head of research Julio Moreno has talked about the latest trend in the analytics firm’s Bull Score Index. This indicator basically tells us about which phase of the market Bitcoin is in right now. The index combines the data of several key on-chain metrics to determine its value. Some of these indicators include the Market Value to Realized Cap (MVRV) Ratio, keeping track of average investor profitability on the network, and the Stablecoin Liquidity, measuring the amount of capital stored in the form of fiat-tied tokens. Related Reading: Bitcoin Inflows In Last 1.5 Years Surpassed First 15 Years Combined: Data When the Bull Score Index has a value of 60 or higher, it means the majority of the underlying metrics are currently giving a bullish signal. On the other hand, the metric’s value being 40 or lower implies BTC is in a bear phase according to its indicators. Now, here is the chart shared by Moreno that shows the trend in the Bitcoin Bull Score Index over the past year: As is visible in the above graph, the Bitcoin Bull Score Index was sitting at a low of just 20 four days ago, but since then, its value has witnessed a sharp climb to the 50 level. This means that on-chain metrics are signaling neutral market conditions for the asset now. This shift comes just as the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) kicks off its two-day meeting on Tuesday. BTC price itself has taken to sideways movement ahead of it, indicating that the market is divided about the event’s outcome. Analytics firm Santiment has shared in an X post about how social media users are reacting to the meeting. In the chart, Santiment has attached the data of the “Positive/Negative Sentiment,” an indicator that compares the bullish and bearish posts related to Bitcoin that are appearing on the major social media platforms. This metric has surged recently and hit the 1.77 mark, suggesting that there are 1.77 positive comments being made for every negative comment related to the cryptocurrency. This is the most bullish that retail traders have been on social media in around 10 weeks. Related Reading: XRP Bearish Signal: Whales Offload $486 Million In Asset While some excitement can be normal, an excess of it isn’t usually a positive sign. As the analytics firm explains, “historically, markets move in the opposite direction of retail’s expectations.” BTC Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading around $115,700, up more than 2.5% over the last week. Featured image from Dall-E, Santiment.net, CryptoQuant.com, chart from TradingView.com

With the Federal Reserve set to announce policy on Wednesday, September 17, a closely followed trader has laid out a precise, level-by-level playbook for navigating Bitcoin’s next move. In his weekly “Market Outlook #51,” published on September 15, Nik Patel (@cointradernik) for Ostium Research maps out both long and short triggers around a tight cluster of resistance at $117.5k–$120k and a “line in the sand” support at $112k—frameworks he argues should contain BTC’s path through the FOMC and into quarter-end. How To Trade Bitcoin Into September FOMC Nik’s higher-timeframe read starts with a strong weekly close that reclaimed the August open near $115.3k and, crucially, kept price above $112k. “This is now the line in the sand for short-term bullishness,” he writes, warning that a weekly close back below would reopen the route to July’s local lows around $107k and, in a deeper flush, the $99k swing low. To the upside, he highlights $117.5k as the next inflection; a clean acceptance over $120k would set up a swift run at all-time highs, where $123k is the first major cap on the daily timeframe. Into the event, his directional bias remains conditional rather than dogmatic. On the long side, he favors a liquidity sweep early in the week: “On the long side you want to see a sharp flush lower… into $113.5k, where you could layer bids with invalidation on a daily close below $112k,” aiming for a reaction back to $117.5k (TP1) and $119k (TP2) into the FOMC. Related Reading: Analyst Raises Red Flags On Bitcoin Price: Allegations Of Market Manipulation Conversely, if BTC grinds higher without that flush, his short plan is to “short above $119k pre-FOMC,” then “add… on acceptance back below $117.5k post-FOMC,” with $112k as the first target and scope to trail for lower lows if structure weakens. The trader concedes the next couple of weeks are “a lot more unclear… with many variables,” but his base case still envisions “the second half of Q4 will be very strong.” The setup lands as BTC churns around $115k ahead of the decision—a zone multiple analysts have framed as pivotal. Heading into the weekly close, market commentary stressed that a sustained reclaim of ~$114k is a prerequisite for renewed momentum, with one widely tracked technician arguing, “The goal isn’t for Bitcoin to break $117k… The goal is for Bitcoin to reclaim $114k into support first.” Over the weekend and into Tuesday, BTC’s price action remained pinned in that band, keeping both the upside break toward $119k–$123k and the downside sweep into $113.5k–$112k on the table. Related Reading: Bitcoin Set For Short Squeeze Before Long Trap In October Macro context heightens the stakes. Markets broadly expect the Fed to cut its policy rate by 25 bps on September 17, shifting the target range from 4.50% to 4.25%—a baseline Nik explicitly builds into his calendar. Yet traders are equally focused on Chair Jerome Powell’s guidance and the updated “dot plot,” which will shape the path for additional cuts into year-end. While a cut is priced, the tone—whether the Fed signals a shallow or accelerated easing path—could be the catalyst that resolves BTC’s tight $114k–$119k coil. Positioning provides further texture to Nik’s plan. He flags three-month annualized basis and the split between Bitcoin and altcoin open interest, along with concentrated one-week and one-month liquidation pockets just below spot and above the recent range highs—context for why he prefers either reactive longs on a downside flush or fades into strength near $119k–$120k if derivatives chase the move. The framework leans heavily on acceptance/rejection around well-defined levels rather than attempting to front-run the policy outcome itself. Bottom line: in the Ostium playbook, bulls want a controlled dip that holds $112k on a daily closing basis and then forces a reclaim of $117.5k on the way to $119k–$123k; bears get their best shot if price runs late into $119k–$120k pre-FOMC and then loses $117.5k on the reaction. With BTC glued to the mid-$110ks and the market already bracing for a quarter-point cut, the catalyst may come down to Powell’s nuance. At press time, BTC traded at $115,427. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin has long been celebrated as the digital gold, a peer-to-peer electronic cash system, and a reliable store of value. Portal To Bitcoin (PTB) is being recognized as one of the most transformative innovations in the crypto space. By serving as a direct gateway to Bitcoin’s liquidity, PTB bridges gaps that have long limited adoption and accessibility. Why Portal To Bitcoin Is A True Revolution Investor in crypto and blockchain, BATMAN, has identified Portal To Bitcoin as a transformative force in the crypto landscape. PTB is a decentralized protocol that is fundamentally changing the BTC exposure dynamic. According to the BATMAN post on X, PTB is a game changer, and it’s the essential key to unlocking a new era for BTC and the broader decentralized finance (DeFi) ecosystem. Related Reading: Norway Sovereign Wealth Fund’s Indirect Bitcoin Exposure Reaches Over $860M The expert asserts that PTB allows seamless connection of Bitcoin to DeFi by providing a suite of products, making it more liquid and accessible than ever before. The protocol operates on a trust-minimized model, where there are no custodians, no wrapped tokens, only pure trust, and minimized access with Bitcoin. Meanwhile, this will enable every player to use their Bitcoin globally, without having to rely on gatekeepers or centralized entities. BATMAN concludes that this is what the ethos of BTC has always been about: permissions, trustless, and decentralized finance. Thus, any product that improves BTC utility in a way that respects its foundational principles should be welcomed. Diversification Beyond Land And Real Estate While the exposure to Bitcoin is being revolutionized around the world, financial analyst Gichuki Kahome has made a compelling case for including BTC in a diversified investment portfolio, specifically for Kenyan investors. Kahome advises allocating a 5-10% portion of a portfolio to BTC, viewing the flagship asset not as a speculative gamble but as a strategic long-term holding. Related Reading: Bitcoin Investors Are Back In The Market—Why A Momentum-Driven Rally May Be Near The advisor’s perspective is based on the idea that BTC offers low correlation with traditional investments such as land and real estate, making it an ideal tool for better diversification. Kahome noted that BTC has averaged an astonishing 82% annual return in the last 10 years. While performance is not a guarantee of future results, he anticipates that Bitcoin will continue to deliver strong returns, with an expected average of 30% per annum in the next decade. Furthermore, the expert has underscored Bitcoin’s financial prowess. According to the expert, BTC is a superior hedge against the weakening of fiat currencies, particularly mentioning the Kenyan Shilling (KES) and the US Dollar (USD). He further states that BTC is digital gold, and it is a better store of value than gold itself. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

Bitcoin (BTC) is trading in a sideways consolidation phase after hitting its all-time high near $124,000, with volatility keeping investors cautious. The price has been fluctuating in a relatively tight range, showing resilience but also failing to establish a clear directional trend. For many traders, this period feels like the calm before a potential breakout, as the market sits at what analysts describe as a pivotal setting. Related Reading: Bitcoin Consolidates Above $115K As Market Eyes Fed’s Sept 17 Policy Move While short-term traders navigate intraday moves, long-term investors are focusing on structural signals that could define Bitcoin’s next phase. Top analyst Maartunn recently highlighted a significant on-chain dynamic: dormant whale coins are increasingly moving, and these transfers appear closely connected to recent price swings. Historically, such movements have often preceded stronger market reactions, either reinforcing bullish momentum or triggering corrective phases. This alignment between dormant whale activity and price volatility is fueling speculation that a decisive move may be imminent. With Bitcoin consolidating near critical levels, the coming days could set the tone for whether BTC attempts another push toward its highs or corrects further. Dormant Bitcoin Movements Align With Fed Decision According to onchain analyst Maartunn, a remarkable event just unfolded: 7,547 BTC aged between 3–5 years have moved onchain. This is no small occurrence, as coins of this age bracket are often considered firmly in the hands of long-term holders. Their sudden activity has historically acted as a precursor to major market moves. Maartunn emphasizes that investors should carefully note how this metric has consistently aligned with sharp price reactions in recent months. In his analysis, Maartunn presents data showing that every time this specific group of dormant coins becomes active, the Bitcoin market reacts with significant volatility. These swings can be bullish or bearish, but the common denominator is that they rarely go unnoticed. Essentially, when whales who have held coins for several years begin moving them, it signals strategic repositioning that tends to ripple across the broader market. This latest movement coincides with one of the most pivotal macroeconomic events of the year—the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision, scheduled for this week. The Fed’s choice, whether to cut rates by 25bps or 50bps, will dictate investor sentiment across all risk assets. For Bitcoin, the timing of dormant whale activity could amplify the impact of this decision, potentially setting the stage for a massive price swing in the days ahead. With BTC consolidating around $115K, the convergence of long-term whale moves and macroeconomic uncertainty underscores the fragility of the current market structure. Traders and investors alike are bracing for what could be the beginning of Bitcoin’s next decisive trend, fueled by both on-chain signals and global monetary policy. Related Reading: Bitcoin Spot Trading Volumes Decline To $322B: Market Shifts To HODL Mode Technical Analysis: Testing Resistance Levels The 4-hour chart shows Bitcoin consolidating around $115,555, with the price holding above both the 50-day and 100-day moving averages, currently at $114,341 and $112,378, respectively. This setup indicates short-term bullish momentum, as BTC managed to defend higher lows after its September rebound. The next major resistance lies near $116,000, where sellers are actively defending. A breakout above this zone could open the path toward the key $123,217 resistance, last tested in mid-August. However, repeated failures to clear $116K increase the risk of short-term exhaustion, especially with uncertainty ahead of tomorrow’s Fed rate decision. Related Reading: Bitcoin Crawls Up On Weak Supply: 30D Momentum Reveals It Lacks Real Demand On the downside, support is established around the $114,000 region, which aligns with the 50-day SMA. Losing this level could push BTC back toward $112,000, where both the 100-day SMA and prior demand clusters converge. As long as BTC holds above $112K, the broader structure remains constructive. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

Peter Schiff, the outspoken gold advocate, warned that Bitcoin may be “topping out” as traders await a Federal Reserve decision this week. Related Reading: XRP’s Biggest Rally Yet? Analyst Projects $20+ In October 2025 According to a post on his X account, Schiff said gold and silver have broken out while Bitcoin is showing signs of losing momentum. The comment has drawn attention because it comes just before a key Federal Reserve meeting that many expect to affect risk assets. Market Resistance At $116,000 Bitcoin has been stuck near the $116,000 level and has not been able to push well past that mark, even after recent gains. Based on market reports, BTC logged about a 4% rise over the past week but ran into strong resistance at roughly $116,000, which traders are watching closely. That hesitation is part of why some voices, like Schiff’s, are warning a top could be forming. The Fed is about to make a major policy mistake by cutting interest rates into rising inflation. Gold and silver have broken out, with the rally finally confirmed by mining stocks leading the way. Yet instead of breaking out, Bitcoin is topping out. Time to change horses HODLers. — Peter Schiff (@PeterSchiff) September 14, 2025 Fed Timing And The Rate Cut Question The Federal Open Market Committee meets on September 17, and many participants are expecting a rate cut at that meeting. Reports have linked Schiff’s warning to the timing of that move, arguing that a policy shift from the Fed could alter flows into crypto and other risk assets in ways the market does not yet fully price. Traders are parsing both macro signals and on-chain data as they set up for what may be a volatile session. Gold And Silver Rally Schiff contrasted Bitcoin’s flatness with what he called strong moves in gold and silver. In his post he suggested that mining stocks have confirmed the metals’ rally, and then added that Bitcoin, by comparison, looks tired. That blunt comparison is part of his wider message that some investors might want to re-balance into metals if the current pattern persists. How Other Analysts See It Not everyone agrees with the gloomier take. Some commentators point out Bitcoin’s recent weekly gains and highlight large buyers and corporate treasuries continuing to add BTC. Others caution that calling a top is hard and that the market often gives false signals around major policy events. Still, Schiff’s tweet has widened the debate and spurred fresh calls for caution among certain traders. Related Reading: Dogecoin Defies Odds, Jumps 21% Even As ETF Debut Gets Pushed Back Volume on rallies, whether Bitcoin can close decisively above $116,000, and the Fed’s announcement on September 17 are the near-term triggers to watch. If BTC fails to hold support after the Fed news, some technical traders may step aside or reduce risk exposure. Conversely, a clean break above resistance would weaken the topping argument and could prompt renewed buying. Featured image from Meta, chart from TradingView

Bitcoin is trading above the $115,000 mark as markets brace for tomorrow’s critical decision from the US Federal Reserve. This week promises to be decisive, as the outcome of the Fed meeting will provide a clearer macroeconomic picture, shaping the outlook for risk assets, including cryptocurrencies. Related Reading: Bitcoin Consolidates Above $115K As Market Eyes Fed’s Sept 17 Policy Move Investors are widely expecting an interest rate cut, but uncertainty remains over the scale and pace of policy easing. A 25-basis-point cut could be seen as a measured pivot, signaling confidence in a controlled economic adjustment. In contrast, more aggressive action might spark concerns about deeper issues in the US economy, injecting fresh volatility into markets. Beyond rates, attention will also turn to any hints about quantitative easing policies, which many analysts believe could play a pivotal role in fueling liquidity flows into risk assets. For Bitcoin, the stakes are high. Despite recent volatility, the cryptocurrency has held key levels, supported by structural demand and growing institutional interest. According to top analyst Axel Adler, the Bitcoin Risk Index is currently at a low level, indicating a relatively calm environment with limited probability of sharp pullbacks or liquidations. This backdrop offers bulls a cushion, but the Fed’s decision could quickly shift the balance. Bitcoin Risk Index Signals Calm Before Fed Decision According to Axel Adler, the Bitcoin Risk Index offers a clear view of the market’s underlying stability. The higher the index, the more dangerous the configuration relative to the past three years, as it signals increased probability of rapid pullbacks or liquidations. Currently, the index sits at just 23%, a relatively low level that suggests the market environment is calm and the probability of sharp drops remains minimal. Adler points out that a similar setup unfolded between September and December 2023, when the index stayed subdued, allowing Bitcoin to gradually build strength. During that period, volatility was limited, and the calm conditions set the foundation for a continuation of the bullish trend. This historical parallel reinforces the idea that the current environment may be favorable for sustained growth if external shocks are avoided. Still, Adler notes that the immediate risk lies in macroeconomic uncertainty. With Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve set to announce their latest decision tomorrow, investors remain cautious. Adler even remarked that he hopes there won’t be any surprises from Powell, as unexpected moves could quickly disrupt the calm backdrop. As the market braces for volatility, many analysts believe Bitcoin could surge in the coming weeks. With risk indicators low, exchange supply tightening, and institutional demand resilient, conditions appear supportive for further upside once clarity from the Fed emerges. Related Reading: Bitcoin Spot Trading Volumes Decline To $322B: Market Shifts To HODL Mode Price Action Details: Holding Key Demand Bitcoin is trading at $115,739 after a steady recovery from early September lows, showing resilience as it approaches a decisive range. The chart highlights that BTC is holding above the 50-day (blue) and 200-day (red) moving averages, while pressing against the 100-day SMA (green), which sits near current levels at $114,417. This area is proving to be a pivotal battleground for bulls and bears alike. Despite intraday volatility, BTC has managed to stay above the critical $114,500–$115,000 support zone, showing demand from buyers whenever the price dips. The next significant resistance lies near $123,217, the previous peak and key psychological barrier that bulls must reclaim to confirm a breakout toward $125,000 and beyond. Related Reading: Three Whales Buy $205M Ethereum From FalconX: Institutional Flows Accelerate Momentum remains cautious but constructive. The higher lows formed since early September signal that buyers are gradually absorbing supply, even as the market faces macroeconomic uncertainty ahead of the Fed’s interest rate decision tomorrow. A dovish outcome could fuel further upside, while a hawkish surprise risks pulling BTC back toward $112,000. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

On-chain data shows inflows into Bitcoin have recently been so large that they outweigh the cumulative capital that entered BTC in its first 15 years. Bitcoin Realized Cap Shows Acceleration In Inflows Recently In a new post on X, CryptoQuant founder and CEO Ki Young Ju has shared the trend in the Realized Cap of Bitcoin over its entire history. The “Realized Cap” here refers to an on-chain indicator that measures, in short, the total amount of capital that the investors as a whole have put into the cryptocurrency. Related Reading: XRP Bearish Signal: Whales Offload $486 Million In Asset When the value of this metric rises, it means the investors are feeding a net amount of capital into the network. On the other hand, it going down suggests the cryptocurrency is facing outflows. Now, here is the chart shared by Young Ju that shows how the Realized Cap has developed over the history of Bitcoin: As displayed in the above graph, the Bitcoin Realized Cap saw an acceleration in 2024, implying capital started to enter into the digital asset at a faster rate. In the past year and a half, the metric has seen an explosive growth of $625 billion. Interestingly, between 2009 and 2024, the Realized Cap cumulatively grew by $435 billion. This means that not only have recent capital flows overtaken these inflows that occurred over a much longer timespan, they have actually gained a notable distance. The much sharper capital inflows are a reflection of how BTC is growing as an asset. A relatively modest amount of inflows may have been enough to double the asset’s value in the past, but today, a huge amount of capital is needed to move the needle. A new catalyst for growth this cycle has been in the form of the spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs). These investment vehicles allow investors to gain exposure to Bitcoin without having to own any sats themselves. This has made these funds a popular way to invest for the traditional traders unfamiliar with cryptocurrency wallets and exchanges, and brought in previously untapped capital. In some other news, on-chain analytics firm Glassnode has shared an update on how Bitcoin investor cohort behavior has recently looked from the lens of the Accumulation Trend Score. Related Reading: Analyst Sets Bold $1,314 Target For Solana After Cup-And-Handle Breakout This indicator tells us about whether the BTC holders are buying or selling right now. Below is the chart posted by Glassnode that shows the trend in the metric for the various investor groups. From the chart, it’s visible that the indicator is in the neutral-to-distribution region for all groups currently, a sign that the Bitcoin investors as a whole are in a phase of selling. BTC Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading around $115,400, up 3% over the last week. Featured image from Dall-E, Glassnode.com, CryptoQuant.com, chart from TradingView.com

As investor anxiety grows over the possibility of a new bearish cycle, the case for Bitcoin (BTC) to resume its halted upward trajectory has gained significant traction among top market experts.  Market analyst Ash Crypto recently highlighted several key factors, including demand and supply dynamics, a surge in US equities, and increasing inflows from exchange-traded funds (ETFs), suggesting that the current market conditions could favor Bitcoin’s resurgence. Market Makers Accused Of Manipulating Bitcoin Prices In a post on X (formerly Twitter), Ash pointed out that while US stocks are reaching new all-time highs, Bitcoin has struggled to break above the $117,000 mark, currently consolidating between $110,000 and $115,000.  He argues that this situation is not indicative of weak demand, but rather the result of an alleged situation that is gaining strength among analysts: manipulation by market makers and exchanges. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Plunge Sparks Outrage: Binance Targeted For Alleged Market Manipulation The analyst further highlights that historical data show Bitcoin’s price movements were primarily driven by spot market activities. Buyers would purchase coins, absorbing supply and driving prices higher. However, today’s landscape is markedly different. Ash Crypto suggests that the introduction of futures and derivatives has transformed how Bitcoin is traded. He alleges that exchanges discovered that creating synthetic Bitcoin contracts is often more profitable than dealing in actual spot Bitcoin.  The analyst notes that this shift allows undisclosed cryptocurrency exchanges to manipulate market movements using leverage and bypass the need for tangible Bitcoin. What Historical Patterns Suggest Ash pointed out that a situation indicative of this alleged manipulation was when Bitcoin recently touched $124,000, market makers and larger investors quickly shorted the asset through futures and exchange-traded funds.  This triggered a wave of liquidations for bullish investors that predicted a new leg up, causing the price of Bitcoin to plummet to the $107,000 mark only two weeks ago.  The analyst noted that although US equities are experiencing significant growth and liquidity is flooding into risk assets, Bitcoin is still caught in a cycle of manipulation that obscures its true value. Related Reading: The Big PEPE Price Breakout: Falling Wedge Pattern Points To 64% Rally In short, spot demand for Bitcoin continues to build, ETFs are steadily absorbing more coins, cryptocurrency exchange reserves are dwindling, and long-term holders are refraining from selling.  However, Ash Crypto notes that the presence of futures and derivatives for the cryptocurrency creates an “illusion of weakness,” reportedly designed to shake out retail investors from current market levels. Despite the current challenges, he notes that the current bullish cycle remains intact. Historical patterns from 2017 and 2021 show that Bitcoin often experiences periods of suppression and sideways movement before exploding higher, suggesting a potential new price discovery phase ahead for BTC. At the time of writing, Bitcoin was trading at around $114,969. It is still recording gains of nearly 3% and 6% in the seven- and fourteen-day time frames, respectively.  Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 

After hitting a weekend high of $116,689 on September 15, Bitcoin (BTC) fell slightly, trading just above $114,000 at the time of writing. However, fresh data from Binance crypto exchange indicates that the Bitcoin Scarcity Index recently witnessed its first spike since June 2025. Bitcoin Scarcity Index Spikes, Will BTC Rally? According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Arab Chain, the Bitcoin Scarcity Index witnessed its first spike yesterday since June 2025. The analyst referred to the latest exchange data from Binance to confirm the spike in Bitcoin Scarcity Index. Related Reading: Bitcoin Miners Shift Strategy: Accumulation Over Selling Signals Stronger Bull Cycle For the uninitiated, the Bitcoin Scarcity Index measures how limited the available supply of Bitcoin is on exchanges relative to immediate buying demand. A spike in the index usually indicates strong accumulation by large investors or institutions, signaling potential price pressure to the upside. In their analysis, Arab Chain remarked that the latest spike in the Bitcoin Scarcity Index means that either a large amount of BTC was withdrawn from Binance, or the volume of sell orders fell significantly on the exchange. As a result, the available supply of BTC on Binance suddenly became scarce. Notably, such movements are usually associated with the entry of large investors – such as whales or sharks – who hold substantial quantities of BTC. Arab Chain added: The index jumps when immediate buying power exceeds available supply, as if buyers are racing to acquire Bitcoin on the market This type of spike is often linked to positive news or sudden capital inflows. The same pattern occurred last June and persisted for several days, after which Bitcoin climbed to around $124,000. BTC may confirm the beginning of a strong accumulation phase and the continuation of the uptrend if the Bitcoin Scarcity Index remains positive for several consecutive days.  However, if the index rises rapidly – followed by an equally quick descent – it may suggest speculative activity or order liquidations. Such a phase is often followed by a period of calm or a price correction. In recent months, the Bitcoin Scarcity Index has reached new all-time highs (ATH). The chart below shows the metric reaching as high as +6, before quickly falling toward neutral and even negative territory. Is BTC Losing Momentum? Arab Chain concluded by saying that the contrast between BTC’s high price, and the index’s quick move back to or below zero suggest that some strong buying momentum has started to decline.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Holds $112,000 Support As Binance Whale Activity Cools Off – What’s Ahead? That said, some positive signs persist. For example, the flagship cryptocurrency recently broke above the mid-term holder breakeven, hinting that a fresh rally to the upside may be on the horizon. From a technical perspective, BTC recently flashed the Golden Cross, a rare bullish signal that has crypto pundits forecasting a potential price appreciation of 100%. At press time, BTC trades at $114,601, down 0.9% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant and TradingView.com

A closely watched derivatives strategist expects Bitcoin’s next major move to begin with a violent short squeeze, only to flip into a punishing “long trap” as October opens—a sequence he argues rhymes more with late-2023 than with the euphoric blow-offs of March and December 2024. In a thread posted on September 12 and expanded over the weekend, analyst Nik Patel (@cointradernik) said the current positioning backdrop “is less like March and Dec ’24 crossovers and more like Dec ’23,” warning that the market is set up for a “multi-week whipsaw going into early/mid Oct.” He added a specific liquidation map: “Give me $1.5bn in shorts liqs on the weekly and then $2.8bn of long liqs into Oct 7th pls.” pic.twitter.com/LVsY4bU99o — Nik (@cointradernik) September 12, 2025 What Is Different This Time For Bitcoin? What makes this setup different, in his view, is the balance between spot and derivatives flows and the breadth of basis trades. “Spot vol as % of total vol [is] lower here than prior crossovers for Others OI vs BTC OI (March ’24 and Dec ’24),” he wrote, arguing that if spot demand were truly in the driver’s seat “we should expect spot vol as a % of total vol to be higher not lower.” Related Reading: Bitcoin Breaks Above Mid-Term Holder Breakeven – Is A Fresh Rally Brewing? Instead, he sees “a combination of basis trade across a broader range of markets than just BTC & ETH but also more directional levered shorts than prior occasions,” with the immediate “upside risk… even greater for a short liq cascade first.” Funding, he noted, is “benign” relative to those earlier peaks. Real-time funding data broadly corroborate the “benign” characterization. Across major venues, BTC perpetual funding hovered close to flat in recent sessions—generally in the +0.005% to +0.01% per-8-hour range—well below the overheated prints typical of euphoric tops. That keeps the door open to a squeeze without the need to first unwind extreme long leverage. Sentiment, Nik argued, is still closer to “disbelief” than euphoria. He contrasted March 2024’s ETF frenzy and December 2024’s post-election optimism with today’s more skeptical tone, pointing to a still-elevated pool of sidelined capital. “Both prior crossovers had stablecoin dominance trough at 5% ish. We are currently at 6.1% — imo this is textbook disbelief/Sidelined September positioning,” he wrote. In his base case, that war chest ultimately fuels year-end risk-taking once the whipsaw plays out: “We will almost certainly get the positioning whipsaw and bear trap during that quarterly end & monthly open window of weakness, but there are a lot more stables ready to be deployed here into year-end.” In a self-aware aside, Nik even shared a machine-generated distillation of his view: “ChatGPT coming to a similar conclusion here after I fed all these charts in, idk if that inspires confidence or concern about my view though lol.” Related Reading: Analyst Says Bitcoin Is A Strong Buy If It Overcomes $118K — Here’s Why ChatGPT wrote: “Past crossovers: signaled end-phase altseason blowoffs, fueled by euphoric longs with no dry powder left. This crossover: signals pre-phase potential — leverage is already there, but it’s balanced/shorter, with capital still on the sidelines (stables). This is why the funding differential is so important: • High funding + low stables = top-like conditions. Low funding + high stables = squeeze-ready conditions.” Renowned crypto analyst CRG (@MacroCRG) consented: “Agree with him that a big short liq event is likely before a big long liq event still lots of positioning to unwind imo from ppl expecting a bearish September. In saying that, would like the coins to bounce soon, many are at/near key pivots.” As ever with path-dependent derivatives tape, the trigger matters. Nik cautioned that a “massive short liquidation event” in the coming week could flip the script if it invites “late longs” and spikes funding into October. But absent that sudden shift, his base case remains a two-step: an upside liquidation cascade that resets shorts, followed by a rug-pull on over-eager longs into the October 7 window. Traders watching for confirmation will focus on whether funding stays contained as price lifts, whether spot participation actually broadens rather than fades, and whether stablecoin deployment reduces the cash cushion he cites. At press time, Bitcoin traded at $114,852. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin has been the undisputed leader of the crypto market, but the balance of power is starting to shift. Recent market moves indicate that Bitcoin’s dominance is slipping as altcoins surge into the spotlight, driven by institutional interest and network upgrades. While Bitcoin remains the anchor of the digital asset space, altcoins are carving out their own narratives, and investors are beginning to take notice. Bitcoin Consolidates While Altcoin Captures Momentum In an X post, full-time crypto trader and investor, Daan Crypto Trades, has been observing a significant trend in the crypto space. Bitcoin’s dominance (BTC.D) is still trending lower, which shows that altcoins are currently outperforming the market leader. Related Reading: Bitcoin Dominance Falls Below Critical Level For The First Time This Cycle, Altcoin Season Coming? Daan points to the possibility of a crazy end-of-cycle run for altcoins, which could see BTC dominance drop to the 48-49% level. He notes that this is a level where he would personally consider scaling out of his altcoin positions more aggressively.  While Daan sees the potential for a short-term drop in Bitcoin’s dominance, he remains bullish on BTC and ETH for the long term. The expert emphasizes that these two assets will always be his main long-term holdings, and doesn’t expect them to lose a significant amount of market share over the next decade. However, their market share will likely increase over time, but that doesn’t mean traders get to play some nice volatility in between. Analyst Fabdarice has highlighted a compelling trend from 2025 on-chain data. Ethereum whale holdings are rising, while Bitcoin whale balances continue to trend down. This divergence mirrors the surge in institutional demand for ETH and the growing recognition that Ethereum is emerging as a credible store of value, not just a utility asset. For the first time, ETH and BTC are being treated as equals on the institutional playing field. Bitcoin remains the original reserve asset of crypto, but Ethereum’s dual role as both infrastructure and wealth preservation is reshaping investor behavior. The ETH/BTC Ratio As A Market Sentiment Indicator Popular crypto commentator CryptosRus has also provided a key insight into the current state of the market by highlighting the significant disparity between Ethereum’s and Bitcoin’s performance relative to each other. CryptosRus pointed out that the ETH and BTC ratio hit its all-time high of 0.148 on June 12, 2017, fueled by the ICO-mania bull run. Related Reading: Ethereum As The Default Crypto Backbone: The Real Reason Behind Tom Lee’s Pick However, the expert observes that in 2025, the ETH/BTC ratio averaged a mere 0.027, showing how much ground Ethereum has lost against Bitcoin over the years. Despite ETH’s role as the backbone of DeFi and its growing institutional presence, it has yet to repeat that level of relative dominance. Featured image from iStock, chart from Tradingview.com

Bitcoin has gained 7% since the start of September, showing renewed strength after weeks of uneven price action. Yet, the market is bracing for heightened volatility in the coming days as attention shifts to this Wednesday’s Federal Reserve meeting. Investors widely expect a rate cut, but the size of the move remains the key question shaping sentiment. Related Reading: Three Whales Buy $205M Ethereum From FalconX: Institutional Flows Accelerate If the Fed opts for a 25 basis point cut, many analysts see it as a measured and healthy pivot that could support risk assets, including Bitcoin, without sparking fears of deeper economic weakness. Such a move would likely reinforce confidence in a controlled transition toward easier monetary policy. On the other hand, a 50 basis point cut could send a very different signal. While it may initially provide liquidity relief, markets could interpret it as a sign of serious underlying fragility in the economy. That scenario risks triggering panic, especially if investors fear the Fed is reacting to problems worse than expected. Bitcoin Holds Key Levels Ahead Of Fed’s Decision According to top analyst Axel Adler, Bitcoin is showing signs of resilience as it trades at the upper boundary of its channel near $116,400, supported by a sustained bullish momentum score of 0.8. This score, which reflects the balance of market forces, suggests that despite recent volatility, Bitcoin’s structural strength remains intact. Adler notes that the market is heavily driven by expectations of a rate cut, which has injected confidence into risk assets. The timing of this setup could not be more critical, with the Federal Reserve set to announce its interest rate decision on September 17, 2025, at 2:00 PM Eastern Time. Interestingly, while Bitcoin has held its ground at key resistance levels, altcoins have started to show strength independently for the first time in months. This decoupling suggests that capital rotation is taking place, with investors diversifying beyond Bitcoin. As liquidity expands, this dynamic could mark the start of a new market phase, where both Bitcoin and altcoins drive momentum instead of BTC alone. Related Reading: Bitcoin Crawls Up On Weak Supply: 30D Momentum Reveals It Lacks Real Demand Testing Key Resistance Levels Bitcoin is currently trading around $114,938, showing consolidation just below the $116,000 resistance zone. The chart highlights a notable rebound from early September lows near $110,000, with BTC climbing steadily back into its mid-range. Price is now attempting to hold gains above the 50-day moving average (blue line) and is hovering around the 100-day (green line) and 200-day (red line) moving averages, which are converging and creating a dense resistance cluster. This setup reflects a tense balance between bulls and bears. Bulls have managed to protect $110,000 and push BTC higher, signaling renewed strength. On the other hand, BTC has repeatedly failed to establish momentum above $116,000, a level that must be cleared decisively to target the major resistance near $123,217, marked on the chart as the next critical upside barrier. Related Reading: Dormant Bitcoin Waking Up: Over 600K BTC Moved Onchain In Weeks The current sideways structure suggests a drift phase, with traders waiting for catalysts such as the upcoming Fed rate decision. A successful breakout above $116,000 could reignite momentum toward $120,000 and beyond. However, failure to hold above the 50-day SMA risks a retest of $112,000 or even $110,000 support. For now, Bitcoin remains range-bound, but pressure is building for a directional move. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

Bitcoin is trading at a critical level after a quiet weekend, with bulls managing to defend key supports but struggling to generate fresh upside momentum. The market remains tense as investors await the US Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision scheduled for this Wednesday. A potential 25-basis-point cut is widely anticipated, which many see as a sign of a gradual pivot rather than an aggressive measure. Such a move could spark optimism across risk assets, including crypto, as it signals a more supportive monetary environment without triggering fears of economic distress. Related Reading: Three Whales Buy $205M Ethereum From FalconX: Institutional Flows Accelerate For Bitcoin, the focus is on whether it can sustain its position above critical price levels while macroeconomic factors shape broader sentiment. Data from CryptoQuant shows that BTC is increasingly shifting into “HODL mode,” with supply moving off exchanges and into long-term storage. This pattern suggests that conviction-driven holders are accumulating rather than selling, reducing available liquidity on the market. The combination of macro catalysts and strengthening onchain fundamentals sets the stage for a pivotal week. If Bitcoin holds its ground through the Fed’s announcement, the groundwork could be laid for renewed momentum once volatility surrounding the decision begins to fade. Bitcoin Spot Volumes Halve Bitcoin enters a decisive week with a striking shift in market behavior. Top analyst Axel Adler shared insights showing that in January 2025, spot trading volumes peaked at $636 billion, but by August, that figure had nearly halved to $322 billion. This sharp decline in trading activity on centralized exchanges (CEXs) underscores a market in transition, with participants moving away from active speculation and into what Adler describes as “HODL mode.” The drop in volumes reflects a broader cooling of short-term trading enthusiasm. Investors appear less inclined to chase rapid price moves, instead opting for long-term accumulation strategies. Exchange data supports this, showing consistent outflows as Bitcoin is withdrawn into private wallets and cold storage. Such behavior indicates a growing conviction that BTC’s value lies in its long-term potential rather than short-term trading gains. For Bitcoin, the combination of halving spot activity and mounting anticipation for the Fed’s move creates a tense equilibrium. On one hand, reduced selling pressure from sidelined traders supports price stability. On the other hand, thin liquidity raises the risk of sharper swings once volatility returns. As Bitcoin holds near critical levels, the coming days may determine whether this HODL-driven environment provides the foundation for resilience—or if macro forces spark a more dramatic revaluation across the crypto market. Related Reading: Bitcoin Crawls Up On Weak Supply: 30D Momentum Reveals It Lacks Real Demand Technical Details: Holding Key Demand Bitcoin is currently trading near $114,987, showing signs of consolidation after its recent bounce from early September lows around $110,000. The daily chart highlights that BTC has reclaimed both the 50-day SMA at $114,399 and the 100-day SMA at $112,681, strengthening the short-term bullish outlook. These moving averages now serve as immediate support levels, indicating that buyers are regaining momentum. The key resistance remains at $116,000–$117,000, where BTC has struggled to establish a sustained breakout. A successful close above this zone would clear the path toward retesting the cycle high at $123,217. This level has been a major barrier since July and will be the defining hurdle for bulls in the weeks ahead. Related Reading: Bitcoin Holds 4% Above STH Cost Basis As Mature Bull Cycle Demands Discounts On the downside, support is around $112,500, aligning with the 100-day SMA. A break below this level could reopen the risk of a retest of $110,000, which has acted as a critical floor. The 200-day SMA at $102,652 remains the ultimate safety net in case of deeper corrections. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

Crypto analyst Maartunn (@JA_Maartun) warned on September 14 that a familiar—and historically unfriendly—market pattern has reappeared: speculative leverage pouring into altcoins while Bitcoin’s derivatives positioning stays conspicuously muted. “History doesn’t repeat, but it often rhymes, and right now a major warning signal is flashing,” he said, stressing that his message is not to incite panic but to flag a shift in market climate that “any smart investor” should not ignore. At the core of Maartunn’s diagnosis is open interest, the notional value of active futures and perpetual positions across venues. “We keep throwing around this term, open interest. What is it? Well, to put it simply, it’s a way to measure the total amount of money and active bets in the market. When open interest rises, it means new money, often speculative money, is coming in,” he explained. Crypto’s ‘Musical Chairs’ Moment In his read, altcoin open interest is “through the roof,” while Bitcoin—“the anchor of the whole market”—is flat. The divergence, he argued, is precisely what preceded the late-2024 drawdown. “Altcoin speculation is heating up — the gap between BTC and Altcoin Open Interest just hit a new high,” Maartuun wrote via X. Maartunn anchored his warning in a recent analogue. “Back in December of 2024, the exact same story played out. Altcoin speculation was running wild, while Bitcoin was just stagnating. And the result? It wasn’t pretty.” The immediate aftermath, he recalled, was a sharp, broad-based markdown and then a tedious consolidation. Related Reading: Crypto Faces Liquidity Endgame—Debt And Inflation Risks Mount By 2026 “We’re talking [about] a 30% drop,” he said of Bitcoin’s move, adding that such declines “don’t happen in a vacuum.” Liquidity retreats to safety, correlations rise, and “those high-flying, speculative altcoins… get hit the hardest.” What followed was “three whole months” of rangebound “chop modus,” a period that historically bleeds momentum strategies and punishes late-cycle leverage. To illustrate how leverage-heavy phases can abruptly unravel, he leaned on a metaphor. “It’s a high-stakes game of musical chairs,” he said. As long as flows are positive, “the party’s in full swing, and everyone feels like a genius.” The structural risk emerges at the moment “the music stops”—an adverse headline, an exogenous macro shock, or simply fatigued bid depth. “Everyone makes a mad dash for a chair, for safety. But in a panic, there just aren’t enough chairs for everybody, and someone always gets left holding the bag.” In crypto’s derivatives-driven microstructure, that dash translates into forceful de-risking and liquidations that can cascade across thin order books. Related Reading: Kraken Co-CEO And Barry Silbert Warn Of Crypto Bubble; 99% Tokens Could Tank Crucially, Maartunn framed his assessment as situational risk—not a deterministic crash call. “This isn’t about predicting a crash or trying to cause a panic, not at all,” he said at the outset. The point, rather, is to recognize that the “growing split in the market” between exuberant altcoin leverage and a subdued Bitcoin base “can’t last forever.” “The level of risk in the market has clearly gone up,” he concluded. “The music is absolutely still playing, but it’s probably a good time to know where the emergency exits are.” The open question is the one he leaves viewers with: whether this is merely “the market… enjoying the music before another painful dip,” as in December 2024, or whether “this time really [is] different.” In either case, Maartunn’s thesis hinges on the same observable setup: a momentum-chasing build-up of altcoin derivatives exposure with no confirming expansion in Bitcoin’s positioning. If the past is a guide, the divergence is less a timing tool than a warning label on the current phase of the cycle—one that tends to end not when everyone expects it, but when liquidity blinks. At press time, the total crypto market cap stood $4.0 trillion. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com