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The cryptocurrency market, a landscape famed for its volatility and rapid innovation, operates on a rhythm dictated by the dominance of Bitcoin and the subsequent explosion of Altcoins. This pattern is proof that the market still moves to BTC’s beat, positioning it as the unseen conductor of this vast digital sector. How Bitcoin Dominance Peaks Before Altcoin Euphoria In an X post, Swissblock has mentioned that the Bitcoin and Altcoin cycle continues to indicate that the crypto market remains firmly anchored to BTC dominance. Despite the rise of narratives and market behavior, the market is now approaching the full BTC season zone, a phase where capital seeks safety and structure within BTC. Related Reading: Lower Bitcoin Dominance Reinforces Altcoin Strength — Here’s How However, this cycle has an interesting nuance that dominance isn’t surging higher as expected, but stabilizing, hinting at early signs of rotation readiness. BTC still leads the narrative, commanding attention and confidence, but the dominance curve appears to be plateauing.  If BTC can maintain its stability while altcoin impulses broaden, the market could soon evolve from a BTC-led phase into a mixed regime, a stage where altcoin leadership will begin to re-emerge. Leading full-time crypto trader and investor, Daan Crypto Trades, has also recently offered a key technical perspective on the current state of the crypto market, Bitcoin Dominance, and its implications for a potential all-time high (ATH) breakout. According to Daan’s analysis, BTC has been steadily outperforming altcoins in recent weeks, a dynamic he views as healthy and necessary for the broader market. As BTC dominance rises, capital and attention consolidate around BTC, reinforcing confidence and creating the conditions needed for a convincing break toward ATH. The analyst noted that this phase of BTC strength could extend further, potentially pushing BTC dominance as high as 60% before altcoins begin to catch up again. He believes that this dominance rally may be a bounce within a larger downtrend on the BTC dominance chart. Despite the shift, Daan maintains a balanced approach, keeping a 50/50 split portfolio between BTC and ETH altcoin spot positions, a strategy he has held for some time. Why Bitcoin Strength Still Matters While Bitcoin dominance is trending up, Koroush AK, Founder of ZCTraders, highlighted that as long as BTC’s price maintains above the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level around $119,400, altcoins won’t enter panic mode. In addition, the broader market will continue positioning for potential all-time high breakouts. Related Reading: Bitcoin Bear Trap Over? Pundit Reveals Where The Market Is At Right Now However, BTC may experience a short-term pullback toward the midpoint at around $116,000. Thus, if BTC remains resilient above current support, an extension toward $125,000 could trigger a clean breakout to new highs, reaffirming bullish market structure. Koroush also addresses the psychology behind this kind of trading approach, that a disciplined trader must always prepare for two scenarios when trading. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

New Bitcoin (BTC) price forecasts suggest that the leading cryptocurrency could cross $140,000 before the end of October. Based on historical data and advanced empirical modeling, a crypto analyst has confirmed that the probability of Bitcoin finishing the month above this key level appears increasingly likely.  Bitcoin Price Set For Major October Rally According to a price prediction shared by crypto analyst and economist Timothy Peterson on X social media, Bitcoin’s trajectory in October appears promising. His AI-based bootstrapped simulation chart also suggests that half of the month’s gains may have already been realised.  Related Reading: Can The Bitcoin Price Explode To $200,000? The Gold Chart That Tells It All The empirical model, which draws on data from October 2015 to 2024, reveals a 50% probability that BTC could end the month above $140,000, representing a roughly 15% surge from current levels of around $121,000. Additionally, the model indicates a 43% probability that the Bitcoin price will finish below $136,000 within the same time frame.  Peterson’s chart displays observed daily prices leading into October 2025 and a projected range extending into early November. The model’s mean prediction, represented by the dashed blue line, suggests a gradual climb from the $120,000 range toward the $140,000 mark. The 68% confidence interval remains comfortably positioned above $130,000 for much of the forecast period.  The model also includes a 95% confidence interval, shown by the wider orange band, which highlights the full range of likely outcomes. It suggests that Bitcoin has only a slight chance, about 5%, of finishing October below $110,000 and above $170,000.    Interestingly, Peterson noted in an earlier post that October has historically been one of Bitcoin’s strongest months. His analysis highlights that specific days within the month, including the 9th, 20th, and 28th, have been bullish 71% of the time, while the 29th has seen gains 78% of the time since 2015. This historical tendency of October surges lends additional weight to the analyst’s bullish Bitcoin price forecast, suggesting that recurring patterns could help propel the cryptocurrency to new all-time highs soon.   Long-Term BTC Setup Supports Steady Growth Toward $200,000 In another report, Peterson presented a chart illustrating Bitcoin’s long-term price structure since 2022. While he clarified that he is not a proponent of traditional technical analysis, he emphasized his belief in repeating market cycle patterns. The chart depicts Bitcoin’s price movement within two parallel red trend lines, showing a consistent upward trajectory since the market bottom.  Related Reading: Here’s The Best Time To Buy Bitcoin As Impulse Wave Sets Path To $150,000 Within this framework, several green upward segments indicate recurring phases of rapid price appreciation. According to this cyclical model, Bitcoin remains firmly within an established growth channel, projecting a potential rise toward $200,000 within the next 170 days. Peterson assigned this bullish scenario a “better than 50/50 chance,” suggesting that current market structure and historical recovery patterns support the case of continued Bitcoin price appreciation well into 2026.  Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

Bitcoin’s latest pullback has little to do with crypto-native flows and everything to do with the dollar, according to chief crypto analyst at Real Vision Jamie Coutts. Sharing two charts on X, Coutts argued that a rebound in the US Dollar Index (DXY) is briefly tightening global liquidity and pressuring risk assets across the board. “Bitcoin’s dip isn’t mysterious — it’s macro,” he wrote. Why Is Bitcoin Down? “The dollar’s rebound is tightening global liquidity. DXY is retesting 100–101 — a key resistance and natural mean-reversion zone after one of the sharpest declines in decades in 1H25. Positioning had become crowded on the short side, so a bounce was always likely. The real question: is this the start of a new dollar cycle or just the setup for the next leg lower? Base case: liquidity tailwinds and an improving business cycle keep the outlook for risk assets bullish into mid-2026,” he added. Related Reading: Bitcoin’s Rally Still Looks Intact, CryptoQuant Says: Here’s Why The first chart he shared juxtaposes the USD COT Index with the US Dollar Index. After a prolonged slide in 1H25, speculative positioning flipped aggressively against the dollar, with the COT index sinking into negative territory in mid-2025. That capitulative stance created fertile conditions for a counter-trend squeeze. The price panel shows DXY clawing back toward the 100-101 area—a zone that lines up with prior congestion and the underside of this year’s breakdown—while the COT bars remain below zero, consistent with short-covering dynamics rather than a fully rebuilt long-dollar consensus. Coutts’ second chart overlays the Global Liquidity Index with the inverse of DXY. The series track each other closely: when the dollar weakens (inverse DXY rises), the global liquidity proxy rises too, historically coinciding with stronger performance for duration-sensitive risk assets such as equities and crypto. Related Reading: The Old Bitcoin Rules No Longer Apply, Arthur Hayes Warns Over recent weeks, the white liquidity line has rolled over modestly as the blue inverse-DXY line has done the same, illustrating the transmission mechanism Coutts highlights: a firmer dollar equals tighter global dollar liquidity at the margin, which in turn dents risk appetite and crypto beta. What This Means For BTC Price Framed this way, Bitcoin’s slip is a straightforward function of FX mean reversion and futures positioning, not a breakdown in crypto’s structural flows. The “crowded short” in dollar futures telegraphed vulnerability to a bounce, and the mean-reversion target around 100–101 offered a logical waypoint for that move. If DXY stalls and resumes lower from that band—consistent with the broader 2025 downtrend—liquidity conditions would likely ease again, restoring the bid under high-beta assets. If, instead, the index pushes through and holds above that zone, Bitcoin would be contending with a more durable dollar impulse and a slower return of positive liquidity momentum. Coutts’ “base case” remains constructive despite the near-term headwind: an improving global business cycle and continued liquidity tailwinds into mid-2026. In that framework, Bitcoin’s drawdowns on dollar strength look cyclical, not secular. The immediate pivot point sits in plain view on his charts: the DXY’s 100–101 retest, born from stretched speculative shorts and classic mean reversion, is dictating BTC’s temperature for now. At press time, Bitcoin traded at $121,703. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

After an impressive rally that propelled Bitcoin (BTC) to new heights above $126,000, the cryptocurrency market is now facing a wave of uncertainty. Major cryptocurrencies, including BTC, have seen a retracement to critical support levels, leaving many investors questioning the market’s direction.  Bitcoin And Ethereum Prices Projected To Skyrocket Market expert Ash Crypto recently shared insights on social media platform X (formerly Twitter), suggesting that this pullback serves to liquidate bullish positions, particularly among retail investors. He predicts a potential rebound in mid-October, expressing optimism that the market will rally significantly by the end of the month. Related Reading: BNB Price Soars 600% From Bear Market Lows, Eyeing $1,980 As Next Target According to Ash Crypto, the prevailing sentiment among traders is one of fear, leading many to believe that the anticipated “PUMPTober” has been canceled. However, he argues that when market sentiment is at its most pessimistic, a substantial bounce is likely to occur, setting the stage for a parabolic rally in the fourth quarter.  The expert’s projections estimate that Bitcoin could soar to between $150,000 and $180,000, while Ethereum (ETH) might reach between $8,000 and $12,000. This surge, he contends, would ignite a genuine altcoin season, with altcoins potentially experiencing gains of 10 to 50 times their current values within a few months. Analysts Predict Explosive Altcoin Phase Supporting this bullish outlook, analysts from The Bull Theory have noted that the cryptocurrency market is on the brink of its most explosive phase for altcoins. They draw parallels to the market behavior of 2020, when altcoins experienced a significant breakout after a lengthy base-building period.  The analysts point out that the current market structure mirrors that of 2020, with a multi-year base formation and higher lows indicating that buyers are increasingly absorbing supply.  The total altcoin market cap, excluding Bitcoin and Ethereum (referred to as TOTAL3), currently hovers around $1.14 trillion, just below a key resistance level of approximately $1.2 trillion. Historically, altseason has not commenced until this resistance is breached. As long as Bitcoin continues to reach new highs, liquidity tends to concentrate in BTC, leaving altcoins in the shadows.  However, once TOTAL3 breaks through its ceiling, the analysts anticipate a massive upside, potentially pushing the altcoin market cap to between $5 trillion and $7 trillion.  Related Reading: XRP Bull Run Reloaded: Analyst Says Momentum Mirrors 2017’s Explosive Rally This potential breakout is occurring alongside favorable conditions, including high Bitcoin dominance, significant inflows into Ethereum exchange-traded funds (ETFs), improving regulatory clarity, and the resumption of global liquidity injections from countries like China and Japan. The current period of consolidation, rather than indicating weakness, is seen as a necessary phase before a broader expansion. As analysts emphasize, altseason does not begin arbitrarily; it commences when TOTAL3 decisively breaks out of its resistance. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 

On-chain data shows the Bitcoin mega whales are still in a phase of distribution despite the other cohorts shifting to buying. Bitcoin Mega Whales Have Continued To Sell During This Rally According to the latest weekly report from Glassnode, the Bitcoin Accumulation Trend Score suggests a resurgence in buying among the investors. This on-chain indicator basically tells us whether the BTC holders are buying or selling. The metric calculates its value by not only looking at the balance changes happening in the wallets of the investors, but also accounting for the size of the wallets themselves. This means that the behavior of the larger entities has a larger influence on the score. Related Reading: Bitcoin’s Rally Still Looks Intact, CryptoQuant Says: Here’s Why When the value of the indicator is above 0.5, it implies the large investors (or alternatively, a large number of small hands) are participating in accumulation. The closer is the indicator to 1, the stronger is this behavior. On the other hand, the metric being under the threshold suggests distribution is the dominant behavior among BTC holders. The zero mark serves as the extreme level for this side of the scale. Now, here’s the chart shared by Glassnode in the report that shows the trend in the Bitcoin Accumulation Trend Score separately for the various investor cohorts: As displayed in the above graph, the Bitcoin Accumulation Trend Score assumed a neutral-distribution value across the market in mid-September, but a shift has occurred recently. The sharks, investors holding between 100 to 1,000 BTC, were the first to pivot to buying. And it wasn’t just any degree of accumulation, but a strong one, with the metric sitting close to 1. The 10 to 100 BTC cohort followed soon after, though its Accumulation Trend Score has still not achieved a value as high as the sharks’. Together, the buying from these mid-sized holders appears to be what backed the recent price surge to a new all-time high (ATH). Very recently, the retail investors (below 1 BTC and 1 to 10 BTC groups) have also embraced accumulation, potentially attracted by the hype of the Bitcoin bull run. While sharks and smaller entities have been accumulating, the top end of the scale has shown a different behavior. The whales (1,000 to 10,000 BTC) have continued to hold a neutral behavior, neither buying nor selling, while the largest of entities on the network, those holding above 10,000 BTC, have been in stark contrast to the sharks with their Accumulation Trend Score sitting deep in the distribution zone. Related Reading: XRP Could Retest Triangle Support At $2.72, Analyst Warns It now remains to be seen how long these Bitcoin holders, popularly called the mega whales, will continue their selloff, and whether they will provide impedance to the run. BTC Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin is floating around $120,900, down 2.5% over the last 24 hours. Featured image from Dall-E, Glassnode.com, chart from TradingView.com

Following a slight slump yesterday from its recent highs, Bitcoin (BTC) is now trading in the low $120,000 range. Meanwhile, BTC’s miner correlation has undergone a significant shift over the past few months, indicating a clear change in market dynamics between miner behavior and price direction. Bitcoin Miner Correlation Turns Negative According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Arab Chain, fresh data from Binance shows that Bitcoin price and miner flows to the crypto exchange have undergone a significant shift in recent months. Related Reading: Bitcoin Whales Are Back: Three Indicators Suggest A Run Toward $130,000 Specifically, the 30-Day Rolling Correlation indicator has tumbled to its lowest level since March 2025. On October 3, this indicator fell to -0.157, its lowest reading in more than five months. Since then, it has remained close to the -0.10 range. For the uninitiated, the 30-day rolling correlation indicator measures how closely two variables, such as Bitcoin’s price and miner flows, move together over the past 30 days. A positive value means they typically rise or fall in tandem, while a negative value means they move in opposite directions. It is worth noting that the indicator had previously been moving within a positive range of 0.1 to 0.5 during Q2 2025. The shift from positive rage to negative suggests that the recent surge in BTC price has not been driven by miner flows to exchanges. This is in stark contrast to previous cycles, where miner flows to exchanges played a key role in BTC’s price movement. However, the current cycle’s positive price action can be attributed to increased demand from investors and institutions. Arab Chain added: In past cycles, when the price rose, miners often transferred larger amounts of Bitcoin to exchanges to sell and take profits, creating a positive correlation between price and miner flows – meaning that as prices increased, flows also increased. Arab Chain added that the decline in correlation indicates a phase of “price independence” where miners opt to hold their BTC rather than sell it during times of price appreciation. A fall in miner signal is usually considered a bullish signal, as it reduces BTC’s circulating supply. That said, if the correlation turns strongly positive again, it could signal the return of selling pressure and a medium-term price correction could be expected. At present, the BTC market is showing a healthy balance between demand and supply. BTC Needs To Defend This Level Following BTC’s fall to the low $120,000 range, some crypto analysts say that the top cryptocurrency must defend the $120,600 level to avoid further crash. However, not all analysts are bearish on BTC just yet.  Related Reading: $140K Or Bust? Simulation Says Bitcoin’s Odds Are Now 50-50 For instance, crypto entrepreneur Arthur Hayes predicts that US President Donald Trump could send BTC to $250,000 by the end of 2025. At press time, BTC trades at $121,375, down 0.8% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant and TradingView.com

Bitcoin (BTC) is holding a tight range around $121,000–$123,000 after tapping a fresh all-time high near $126,000 earlier this week. Under the surface, demand remains robust as U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs just logged an eighth straight day of net inflows, with one session alone adding $441 million. Related Reading: Why The Bitcoin Price Might Never Drop Below $100,000 Again Over the past week, cumulative ETF net flows have climbed by billions, pushing total Bitcoin ETF assets toward $160 billion. This steady pipeline of capital, now a fixture of pension funds, RIAs, and asset managers, continues to soak up more BTC than miners create, tightening free float and muting deeper pullbacks. The setup reinforces Bitcoin’s evolving role as a portfolio diversifier and inflation hedge, especially as the U.S. dollar wobbles and macro uncertainty lingers. Technical Levels Point Bitcoin (BTC) to $117K Support, $125K–$126K Ceiling After the spike to new highs, BTC is digesting gains in a sideways band. $125,000–$126,000 remains the near-term ceiling; a decisive daily close above that zone would likely unlock momentum toward $128,000–$130,000 and extend price discovery. On the downside, $117,000 is developing as the first key support, aligning with a heavy cost-basis cluster and prior breakout structure. A deeper fade could probe $114,000 near the 50-day moving average, where trend buyers may re-engage. Momentum indicators are neutral-to-constructive (RSI mid-zone, MACD flattening), consistent with healthy consolidation above rising MAs. Traders are watching for: Spot-led strength over derivatives (cleaner advances). ETF inflows staying positive (supports dips). Range break above $126,000 on expanding volume (bullish confirmation). BTC's price records losses on the daily chart. Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview Scarcity Meets Institutional Liquidity Bitcoin’s post-halving issuance of 450 BTC/day collides with institutional demand that’s arriving “on schedule” via ETFs, creating a structural supply deficit. Year to date, institutional accumulation has outpaced new supply many times over, a dynamic that historically precedes trend extensions. Add in the dollar-debasement narrative, stubborn inflation, rising debt, and policy ambiguity, and credibly scarce assets like BTC and gold remain in favor. Related Reading: $200 Million Rescue Plan: TRUMP Meme Coin Fights For Survival With net inflows recurring and macro tailwinds intact, a range break toward $130,000 looks increasingly plausible in Q4, provided $117,000 holds on dips and $125,000–$126,000 gives way on a high-volume push. Cover image from ChatGPT, BTCUSD chart from Tradingview

On-chain analytics firm CryptoQuant has explained how there aren’t any signs of a Bitcoin price peak yet, based on this indicator. Bitcoin Net Realized Profit/Loss Is Still At Moderate Levels In a new post on X, CryptoQuant has shared the latest trend in the Bitcoin Net Realized Profit/Loss. This indicator tells us about whether the Bitcoin investors are selling their coins at a net profit or loss. The metric works by going through the transaction history of each token being spent to see what price it was moved at before this. If this previous selling price for any coin was less than the spot price it’s now being transacted at, then the token’s sale is assumed to be leading to the realization of some net profit. Related Reading: XRP Could Retest Triangle Support At $2.72, Analyst Warns The degree of profit realized is naturally equal to the difference between the two prices. In tokens of the opposite case (that is, the last price is higher than the latest spot BTC value), the sale realizes a loss instead. In the context of the current discussion, the version of the Net Realized/Profit Loss that’s of interest is specifically the 1-year sum, denominated in BTC. Below is the chart for the metric that shows how its value has fluctuated over the past few years. From the graph, it’s visible that the Bitcoin Net Realized Profit/Loss witnessed an uptrend in 2024 and reached a high of 5.1 million BTC in January 2025. This suggests that the market took part in a significant amount of profit-taking that year. After the January peak, however, the metric reversed course and started going down instead. This decline in profit realization was a result of the bearish price action that the cryptocurrency faced in the first few months of the year. After bullish winds returned for the cryptocurrency, though, the Net Realized Profit/Loss once again began to move up. This upward trajectory has naturally continued alongside BTC’s latest rally to a new all-time high (ATH) and the indicator has reached the 4.4 million BTC mark. Though this value is significant, it’s clearly lower than the January 2025 top. This earlier peak itself was still lower than the 7.7 million October 2021 high from the previous cycle. Related Reading: Bitcoin & Altcoin OI Forming Same Warning Setup As Dec 2024, Analyst Says “Bitcoin’s rally still looks intact,” notes CryptoQuant based on the trend. “No signs yet of a price peak.” It now remains to be seen how BTC’s price action will look in the near future and whether the Net Realized Profit/Loss will observe any shift. BTC Price Bitcoin has been down since setting its ATH above $126,000, as its price currently floats around $122,700. Featured image from Dall-E, CryptoQuant.com, chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin traded just above $121,000 on Wednesday, holding onto gains after a drop from a recent peak above $126,000. According to analyst Egrag Crypto, a small market move could trigger a much larger rally, building on a pattern he says has repeated across past cycles. Related Reading: XRP Fear Index Spikes To 6-Month High, And That Could Spark Its Next Breakout Historic Channel Breakouts Egrag’s view is based on a three-month look at price channels that, he argues, have preceded major rallies. Based on reports, similar channel breakouts were visible before the 2013 surge to about $1,163, the 2017 rise past $19,000, and the 2020–2021 rally that pushed prices above $69,000. He says the current channel began forming in April 2022, and that a modest “blip” upward could push Bitcoin to $175,000. That target would require roughly a nearly 43% rise from $122,620. Short-term swings have ranged from $115,000 to $125,000 this week, while the present price sits near $121,900. #BTC – $175K Is Just a Blip: If we look at the historical behavior of #BTC on a 3-month time frame, we can see a clear channel formation. In the past three cycles, we’ve consistently seen a breakout at the end of these channels. While diminishing returns are evident, they are… pic.twitter.com/TabFoVlXBT — EGRAG CRYPTO (@egragcrypto) October 8, 2025 Targets And Risks To Watch Egrag outlined a range of possible outcomes. He placed $175,000 as his primary target. He also suggested a midpoint near $250,000 and an upper scenario around $400,000. Those are ambitious numbers. They are presented as part of a longer-term view rather than promises of an immediate move. The analyst compared his Bitcoin call to a past gold forecast—he set a $3,500 target for gold that later saw prices near $4,000—using that as a reference for his forecasting approach. At the same time, on-chain data offer a mixed picture. Blockchain analytics firm Glassnode reported that 97% of Bitcoin’s supply is now in profit following the recent rally. That high level of realized profit suggests many holders sit above their purchase price. Some analysts interpret elevated profit as a sign that markets may pause so investors can take gains. Related Reading: XRP Open Interest Nears $3B As CEO Sees $10B ETF Inflows Ahead Others point to crowded positions and rising leverage as signs that short-term volatility could increase. Reports have disclosed concern about what some call a “Suckers Rally,” a spike that tempts late buyers and is followed by a drop. Market Behavior And Investor Moves Accumulation has been visible in many wallets. Some investors reallocated gains rather than selling out entirely, which, according to reports, can indicate a controlled rotation of capital rather than a panic sell-off. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from TradingView

The Bitcoin price rise is not going to slowing down, according to market expert Anthony Pompliano. The well-known investor and founder of Professional Capital Management believes the top cryptocurrency still has a long way to go. In a recent video post on X, Pompliano revealed that Bitcoin’s value will continue to grow as long as governments and central banks continue to print more money.  Anthony Pompliano Links Bitcoin Price Endless Rise To Global Money Printing During an interview with CNBC, Pompliano said Bitcoin’s rally is far from over. According to him, when more money enters the system, the value of paper currencies decreases, and people begin seeking more effective ways to protect their savings. Now the best approach for investors is to work hard, earn money, spend only what is necessary, and save the rest in Bitcoin. Related Reading: Pundit Says XRP Price Can Easily Hit $1,000 If This Happens As observed by Pompliano, this is what could drive the growth in Bitcoin prices. According to the market expert, Bitcoin could quickly become the preferred choice for people looking to protect their savings from inflation, serving as a simple ‘savings technology’ that preserves the value of their hard work.  Pompliano emphasized that this idea is not about making money quickly, but about understanding how money loses value when central banks print more currency. Each dollar becomes weaker, while Bitcoin, with its fixed supply, continues to gain strength as more people use it for saving and investing. Scarcity resulting from Bitcoin’s fixed supply, combined with growing demand, could drive the Bitcoin price higher. Pompliano believes the pattern will last for many years.  Bitcoin Becomes The New Benchmark In Modern Finance Pompliano also described Bitcoin as the new “hurdle rate” in modern finance. In simple terms,  he said investors now compare all other assets to Bitcoin to judge whether they’re truly profitable. If a traditional asset cannot outperform Bitcoin, it is not a substantial investment. He compared Bitcoin’s growth to the S&P 500, noting that while the S&P has doubled since 2020, it has dropped nearly 90% when measured against Bitcoin. Related Reading: Pundit Predicts Potential XRP Price Rally From $3-$1,000 As It Replicates This Move From 2017-2018 Pompliano said that many traditional financial assets, including stocks and bonds, look profitable only when measured in fiat currencies. But when compared to Bitcoin, their returns fall short. Because of this, he said, investors are left with few options: they either buy Bitcoin or risk missing out on more substantial returns. Pompliano’s comments come after the Bitcoin price reached a new all-time high of $126,198, followed by a drop to $124,714. Even with the slight dip, the market expert believes the rally is not close to ending. As he put it, this is not just a rally — it’s the start of a long-term shift in how the world sees money and value. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com

Crypto analyst PlanB has explained why the Bitcoin price may never drop below $100,000 again. This comes as market participants continue to speculate on whether the flagship crypto could fall below this psychological level if a full-blown bear market were to occur.  Bitcoin Price Has Likely Turned $100,000 Into Support PlanB stated in an X post that he will not be surprised if the Bitcoin price does not drop below $100,000 again as the market witnesses the $100,000 resistance turn into $100,000 support. The analyst further noted that the September close was the fifth consecutive monthly close above that psychological price level.  Related Reading: Here’s The Best Time To Buy Bitcoin As Impulse Wave Sets Path To $150,000 PlanB stated that the same thing happened when the Bitcoin price was trading at $10,000, $1,000, $100, and $10. The analyst’s remarks came as he noted that 63% of people think that Bitcoin will drop below $100,000. Notably, there were more calls for a drop below $100,000 towards the end of September when BTC dropped to as low as $108,000. Crypto influencer Ansem was among those who predicted that the flagship crypto would likely retest $90,000.  However, the Bitcoin price has since staged a remarkable comeback from the $108,000 lows, rallying to a new all-time high (ATH) above $126,000 to start the month. As a result, BTC is already up 7% to start the month, with October notably the flagship crypto’s second-best performing month after November, based on historical data.  It is worth noting that the Bitcoin price has traded above $100,000 since May 8 and has now been above this psychological level for over 150 days, its longest streak. Meanwhile, market participants are currently betting that it will likely stay this way. According to Polymarket data, there is only a 25% chance that BTC will drop below $100,000 by the end of this year.  BTC Bull Market Still On Crypto analyst Titan of Crypto declared that the crypto market is still on and questioned why market participants were in a rush to call the top. The analyst noted that the Stoch Relative Strength Index (RSI) crossovers keep aligning with strength. He added that the chart will tell them when the bull run is over, but for now, that is not the case.  Related Reading: Bitcoin’s 2021 Playbook Shows The Final Price Target For This Bull Cycle In another analysis, Titan of Crypto revealed that the Bitcoin price continues to print higher highs and higher lows. Based on this, he raised the possibility that BTC could rally to as high as $160,000 by the end of the year. This aligns with predictions by JPMorgan and Standard Chartered, which predict that BTC can reach $165,000 and $200,000, respectively, by year-end.  At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $122,000, up in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

Arthur Hayes argues that Bitcoin’s widely cited four-year halving cycle has broken down and that macro liquidity—not protocol mechanics—will dictate the next leg of the market. In a new essay titled “Long Live the King!” published on October 9, 2025, the BitMEX co-founder contends that policy choices in Washington and Beijing are setting up a structurally easier money regime that should keep pushing BTC higher, even as many traders look for a textbook cycle peak. “The four-year anniversary of this fourth cycle is upon us,” he writes, but those applying the old pattern “miss why it will fail this time.” The 4-Year Bitcoin Cycle Is Dead Hayes’ framework is explicit: the price of money and its quantity are the dominant variables for risk assets, and Bitcoin’s USD value rises and falls with dollar liquidity. “Bitcoin in the current state of human civilization is the best form of money ever created,” he says, yet its dollar price “will ebb and flow ‌because of the price and supply of dollars.” He extends the lens to China, arguing that the yuan credit impulse has historically amplified or dampened crypto cycles alongside US conditions. To make the case that halving-anchored timing is obsolete, Hayes revisits four eras and links each to turning points in dollar and yuan liquidity. The “Genesis Cycle” (2009–2013) rode post-GFC quantitative easing and a surge in Chinese credit until both decelerated into 2013, “popp[ing] the Bitcoin bubble.” Related Reading: From Greed To Fear: Expert Says 2026 Bitcoin Bubble Will Dwarf 2017 The “ICO Cycle” (2013–2017) was powered less by dollars than by “a fuck ton of yuan sloshing around the global money markets,” as the China credit impulse spiked in 2015 amid a yuan devaluation, before tightening and higher U.S. rates ended the run. The “COVID Hoax” period (2017–2021)—Hayes’ label for the pandemic-era policy response—saw “helicopter money” under President Donald Trump and a rapid doubling of dollar supply with rates pinned at zero, propelling all risk assets, including crypto, until inflation forced tightening in late 2021. In the current “New World Order” phase (2021–?), Hayes argues that liquidity plumbing, not halvings, explains Bitcoin’s resilience. He highlights the US Treasury’s issuance tilt toward short-dated bills, which drained the Fed’s reverse repo facility and “unleashed ~$2.5 trillion of liquidity into the markets,” and he characterizes this as a political choice to “run the economy hot.” Related Reading: Veteran Macro Strategist Says Bitcoin Is Entering A 1950s-Style Supercycle He links the macro pivot directly to today’s setup: “The Fed resumed cutting interest rates in September even though inflation is above its own target,” while the administration seeks to “lower the cost of housing” and loosen bank regulation to spur lending to “critical industries.” In Hayes’ reading, the policy signals are unambiguous: “money shall be cheaper and more plentiful.” China, in his view, won’t reprise the extreme credit surges of 2009 or 2015, but it also won’t be a headwind. While Beijing grappled with deflationary pressure and a property-sector reckoning, Hayes expects pragmatism to prevail: “When the economic pressure proves too intense… Chinese policymakers print money.” The upshot, he says, is that China may not drive global fiat creation, “but it won’t hinder it either.” The unifying thesis is that cycles have always been monetary cycles wearing different masks. Bitcoin’s earlier peaks coincided with decelerating dollar and yuan liquidity; its latest advance reflects a new alignment of political priorities with easier money, regardless of the halving calendar. Hayes puts it bluntly: “Listen to our monetary masters in Washington and Beijing. They clearly state that money shall be cheaper and more plentiful. Therefore, Bitcoin continues to rise in anticipation of this highly probable future.” His closing line distills the claim to a coronation metaphor: “The king is dead, long live the king!” At press time, BTC traded at $122,147. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Amid the calls for new all-time highs for Bitcoin, one analyst is going against the trend and calling a crash. The prediction not only expects Bitcoin to break below the $100,000 level, which many believe was already left in the past, but to actually fall by more than 60% from here. The analysis, which depicts a flash crash, shows a possible price reversal into levels not seen in years. Entering A Bitcoin Short With Conviction The crypto analyst who goes by the pseudonym Dick Dandy revealed that their next move was to enter into a Bitcoin short position between $121,400 and $121,700. However, the more interesting part is the take-profit targets that Dandy set for this position. Related Reading: Is A 900% Rally To $2.98 ATH Possible As Pi Network Announces New DeFi Updates? First of these lies at the $105,700 level, moving down all the way through to $85,800. From here, the crypto analyst expects the Bitcoin price to continue to crash until it falls below $50,000 and registers prices not seen since 2024. Falling to the $43,900 target would mean an over 60% decline in the price, but the analyst expects Bitcoin to crash further. With the possibility that Bitcoin could see a recovery from $35,000, the analyst explains that they plan to open a long position to hedge their short. But maintains their belief in the fact that the Bitcoin price will continue to decline. Ultimately, Dandy believes that the Bitcoin price will eventually reach $10,000, which is the end of the target. Anatomy Of The Crash Explained In Theory In another post, Dandy explained the theory behind the Bitcoin flash crash as mostly a battle between traders and the market-makers. According to the analyst, market makers essentially enable crypto traders to utilize liquidity to enter leveraged positions. But ultimately, they want their money back while making sure that traders do not profit from their trades. Such cases lead to rapid price movements, which have become known in the market as “stop hunts.” These work to take a large number of traders out of their positions very quickly by liquidating them, essentially returning the liquidity, and then some, back to the market makers. Related Reading: This Major Bitcoin Metric Just Made A New Low For The First Time In 6 Years, Is An ATH Above $130,000 Coming? As for why such a large move is possible, the analyst explains that this is because most of Bitcoin’s market cap is all liquidity used for leveraging and derivatives trading. In fact, the analyst believes that the “floor price” of Bitcoin lies around $8,000, taking into account the stable sources and dividing it by the “dispersed amount of bitcoin on the market.” Dandy predicts that this move will happen very quickly, hence terming it a flash crash, and that traders will have very little time to react. “The more sell orders there are, and the greater the quantity of Bitcoin ordered to be sold, the faster price will drop down,” the analyst explained. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com

As Bitcoin (BTC) takes a brief breather after creating a new all-time high (ATH) above $125,000, on-chain data shows that three key indicators played a major role in the digital asset’s latest rally to new highs.  These Three Indicators Suggest More Room For Bitcoin According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Arab Chain, fresh data from Binance suggests that BTC is witnessing one of its most significant buying phases since mid-year. Notably, BTC’s price has surged from around $117,000 to $124,000 since the beginning of October. Related Reading: Bitcoin’s On-Chain Roadmap Shows $111,000 – $143,000 As The Range To Watch Arab Chain emphasized three key indicators that suggest the return of whales into the Bitcoin market. First, the net buying pressure (vol_delta) surged past $500 million on some days, indicating that buying pressure outweighed selling pressure from this amount. Similarly, the imbalance ratio (imbalance_pct) recently hit a high of 0.23, suggesting that BTC buy orders on Binance were roughly 23% higher than sell orders. Higher buy orders than sell orders usually indicate strong demand and potential upward pressure on the asset’s price. Finally, the Z-score recorded a value of 0.79, reflecting above-average buying activity. For the uninitiated, a Z-score measures how many standard deviations a data point is from the mean. The CryptoQuant analyst remarked that these indicators confirm that institutional buyers and whales have returned to the Bitcoin market in force. Arab Chain added: This activity coincides with a clear increase in daily trading volumes, which have reached their highest levels since last July, suggesting that the rally is being supported by real liquidity rather than temporary speculation. Recent trading sessions have shown a few of these indicators – especially vol_delta – slightly declining in value, and temporarily moving to negative territory. That said, the broader indicators still favor a continued upward trend for the top cryptocurrency. Notably, the average daily volatility has remained low, confirming strong market confidence and stable demand. This is in stark contrast to the market behavior shown in September, when BTC was struggling in the $100,000 range. To conclude, both technical and behavioral indicators support BTC’s continued rise to $125,000 – $130,000 in the near term. Unless a strong wave of sell-off emerges, any price correction should be viewed as an opportunity to accumulate BTC, Arab Chain noted. What’s Next For BTC? While it is typically a challenge to predict BTC’s future, some analysts are not shying away from giving predictions about the flagship digital asset’s upcoming price trajectory. For instance, BTC’s pricing bands suggest a move toward $140,000 is likely. Related Reading: Bitcoin UTXO Falls To Lowest Level Since April 2024 — What This Means For Price Similarly, rapidly dwindling BTC reserves on crypto exchanges may propel the cryptocurrency’s price to even greater highs, potentially to $150,000 and beyond. At press time, BTC trades at $122,373, up 0.3% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant and TradingView.com

Bitcoin’s recent price action suggests a cooling phase after its failed attempt to secure a close above the $123,000–$124,000 all-time high zone. While short-term retracement appears likely, the broader market structure remains bullish. This correction could serve as a healthy reset before Bitcoin gathers momentum for its next major wave, with $150,000 standing as the next target. Heatmap Reveals Key Gaps In Bitcoin’s Support Levels ZYN, a prominent crypto analyst, recently posted an update on X highlighting a key observation from Bitcoin’s cost basis heatmap. The analyst noted that there’s limited support between the $121,000 and $120,000 levels, creating a fragile zone that Bitcoin could easily slip through if selling pressure intensifies. Related Reading: Did Bitcoin Top? Top Trader Warns Of Brutal $98,000 Liquidity Sweep Below that, ZYN pointed out a major area of interest around $117,000, where approximately 190,000 BTC had been previously purchased. This accumulation zone reflects a strong base of recent buyers and could serve as a critical level where market participants step in to absorb any downside pressure. If Bitcoin does pull back toward $117,000, the analyst believes it could set the stage for renewed accumulation rather than a deeper correction. Historically, retracements into strong support levels like this have provided fuel for the next leg higher as both existing and new investors take advantage of lower entry points. Summing up, ZYN emphasized that while Bitcoin lacks meaningful cushioning around $121,000, a solid foundation appears to be forming at $117,000.  BTC Struggles To Hold Above All-Time High Zone In a recent market update, Crypto Candy observed that BTC once again struggled to maintain momentum above its ATH resistance zone between $123,000 and $124,000. The level has proven to be a tough barrier, with price attempts above it quickly met by selling pressure. As a result, BTC failed to close and sustain above this critical area, leading to a retracement that aligns with earlier expectations outlined in their analysis. Related Reading: Bitcoin Momentum Indicator: Why 600,000 Transactions Threshold Matters Most Presently, this short-term correction is viewed as part of a natural and healthy market cycle, not a signal of weakness. The analyst noted that if the current momentum persists, Bitcoin could dip toward the $116,000–$118,000 region before finding strong support. This range is viewed as a potential accumulation zone where buying interest could re-emerge, setting the stage for renewed bullish momentum. Despite the pullback, the broader outlook remains optimistic. Crypto Candy reaffirmed a psychological long-term target of $150,000 for Bitcoin, suggesting that the current price action is merely a temporary pause before the next leg higher. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

A cryptocurrency analyst has pointed out how the Open Interest for Bitcoin and the altcoins is forming a setup that previously led to a market downturn. Bitcoin & Altcoins Have Seen A Jump In Open Interest Recently In a new post on X, CryptoQuant community analyst Maartunn has discussed about the latest trend in the Open Interest for Bitcoin and the altcoins. This indicator measures the total amount of positions related to a given asset or group of assets that are currently open on all centralized derivatives exchanges. It takes into account both long and short positions. Related Reading: Bitcoin Plummets To $120,600: This Could Be The Next Support When the value of the Open interest rises, it means speculative interest in the market is going up as traders are opening up fresh positions. Generally, new positions come with more leverage for the sector, so volatility can go up following a jump in the metric. On the other hand, the indicator going down implies investors are either pulling back on risk or getting forcibly liquidated by their platform. Such a washout of leverage typically results in greater market stability. Now, here is the chart shared by Maartunn that shows the trend in the Open Interest for Bitcoin and that for all altcoins combined over the last couple of years: As is visible in the above graph, the Bitcoin Open Interest has witnessed a notable increase alongside the latest price rally, implying investors have been opening up new bets on the derivatives market. This isn’t an unusual trend, as rallies tend to attract attention to the cryptocurrency, especially in the case of a run like the latest one, which has taken the coin to a fresh all-time high (ATH). The scale and speed of the increase can be worth monitoring, however, as such conditions can make the market prone to a liquidation squeeze. Another factor that can be worth noting is that the altcoin Open Interest has also shot up at the same time, indicating speculative activity across the sector has ramped up. From the chart, it’s visible that something like this also occurred in December 2024. “Back then, it led to months of sideways chop followed by a 30%+ drop,” notes the analyst. The market could already be starting to feel the effects of heating in the Open Interest as Bitcoin and the altcoins have gone through notable volatility in the past day. BTC plunged from above $125,000 to below $121,000 in the matter of a few hours, before recovering back near $123,000. Others, like Ethereum, are yet to make any significant recovery from the plunge. Related Reading: Social Media Turns Bearish On XRP: Is This A Buy Signal? This volatility resulted in liquidations of almost $644 million in the cryptocurrency derivatives market, according to data from CoinGlass. BTC Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading around $122,900, up over 5% in the last week. Featured image from Dall-E, CoinGlass.com, charts from TradingView.com

Bitcoin is entering a critical phase, preparing for a decisive move that will determine its short-term trajectory. After weeks of volatility and record-breaking highs, BTC now faces a pivotal test — it must either reclaim its all-time highs and enter a new phase of price discovery, or continue its correction to establish a stronger base of consolidation around current levels. The market appears finely balanced, with traders watching closely for signs of direction. Related Reading: Grayscale Stakes 32,000 Ethereum Worth $150 Million – Institutional Demand Grows Recent onchain data highlights a surge in new buyers, marking one of the strongest inflows of fresh capital seen in months. This trend suggests renewed bullish momentum, as investors increasingly view Bitcoin’s current range as an opportunity rather than a peak. According to key metrics, the supply held by short-term holders has grown substantially, reflecting the entry of new participants eager to ride the next major impulse. While short-term volatility remains a concern, analysts agree that the underlying structure of the market remains strongly bullish. As long as Bitcoin holds above its major support zones, the stage could be set for another breakout — one that propels the asset beyond its previous highs and into uncharted territory once again. Short-Term Holders Signal a New Phase for Bitcoin Top analyst Axel Adler shared key insights revealing that over the past quarter, short-term holders’ supply has increased by 559,000 BTC, climbing from a low of 4.38 million to 4.94 million BTC. This rise marks a clear influx of new participants entering the market, a pattern often seen during the early stages of bullish expansions. The growth in short-term holder supply suggests that fresh demand is building up — as new investors accumulate Bitcoin, older coins are redistributed, creating a healthier market structure. Historically, periods of rising short-term holder activity have coincided with momentum shifts, as fresh liquidity enters the system and fuels upward volatility. This dynamic reflects renewed market confidence following Bitcoin’s recent push to new all-time highs. More importantly, it shows that retail and short-term investors are re-engaging, positioning for what many analysts expect to be the next major impulse in the cycle. While some caution that high short-term holder activity can also lead to faster profit-taking and volatility, the broader outlook remains constructive. With long-term holders maintaining strong conviction and institutions continuing to accumulate, the combination of new inflows and resilient fundamentals supports a bullish continuation setup. Adler notes that this expansion in short-term supply typically precedes a new phase of market acceleration, as liquidity and optimism return in tandem. If Bitcoin manages to reclaim and sustain levels above its previous all-time high, the growing base of active short-term investors could provide the momentum needed for another breakout. In short, the data suggests that the market isn’t exhausted — it’s recharging, setting the stage for the next leg of the bull cycle. Related Reading: Ondo Secures SEC-Registered Infrastructure With Oasis Pro Acquisition Bitcoin Holds Above Key Support Amid Healthy Pullback Bitcoin is currently trading near $122,600, showing resilience after a sharp rejection from the $126,000 area earlier this week. The 12-hour chart highlights that BTC has entered a consolidation phase following its explosive breakout, with the $120,000–$121,000 range now acting as a short-term support zone. The yellow line at $117,500, a previous resistance from earlier in the cycle, continues to serve as a key structural level that could define the next move. The blue 50-period moving average is trending upward, reinforcing bullish momentum, while the 200-period moving average remains far below the current price, confirming that Bitcoin is still in a strong uptrend. Despite the recent correction, the price structure remains constructive — higher highs and higher lows continue to form, suggesting that bulls are maintaining control. Related Reading: BNB Keeps Printing New ATHs, Breaks $1,200 For The First Time Ever A decisive rebound above $124,500 could mark the beginning of a renewed push toward all-time highs, while a breakdown below $120,000 could open the door for a deeper retest of $117,500. Overall, this chart reflects a healthy cooldown after an aggressive rally, allowing momentum indicators to reset. As long as BTC holds above its key supports, the broader trend remains firmly bullish, setting the stage for another attempt toward price discovery. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com

A prominent macro-crypto commentator argues that digital assets are transitioning from a greed-driven cycle to a “fear bubble,” with Bitcoin poised for a more powerful and more parabolic phase in 2026 than the euphoric surge of 2017. In a post on X from October 8, the analyst known as plur_daddy (@plur_daddy) contends that two narratives—monetary debasement and artificial intelligence—are now the dominant behavioral drivers, and that they operate less on promise than on anxiety. 2017 Vibes: Trump And AI Could Ignite Next Bitcoin Rally “We are in a bubble, and the most parabolic leg is approaching. The true fireworks will be next year but this Q4 we shall get a taste,” he wrote, adding that the stories animating this cycle are “fueled by twin narratives: debasement and AI. What is especially potent about these stories is the way they operate on fear, not hope. You NEED to buy gold/BTC to avoid getting your net worth debased away, and you NEED to have AI exposure to offset your future loss of labor market value.” While the themes are familiar to market professionals, he argues they have not yet been fully internalized by the broader public or by “bureaucratic real money funds such as pensions and endowments,” which he characterizes as slow to reposition for debasement risk. The result, he suggests, is under-owned exposure that can be forced higher once allocation committees catch up. “There is also a lot of investor capital that still hasn’t reflected these views yet,” he wrote, laying the groundwork for what he believes will be a structurally higher demand base for both Bitcoin and gold as the cycle matures. Related Reading: Bitcoin Will Not Crash: Jeff Park Rejects Paul Tudor Jones’ 1999 Comparison A central pillar of his thesis is a policy pivot he expects under the current administration, which he describes as “shifting in a pro-cyclical manner, leaning hard into the bubble, and ready to step on the gas ahead of the midterms.” He outlines four channels. First, “Trump Fed Hijacking,” shorthand for rate cuts followed by yield curve control to cushion the bond market and stimulate housing—timed “most likely… not… until May of next year,” which he frames as the ignition point for the final, steep ascent. Second, a Treasury issuance tilt to bills to pull down long-end yields and free up risk appetite. Third, enabling the GSE balance sheets to expand into mortgage bonds, compressing mortgage spreads and transmitting stimulus to housing via purchases and refinancing. Fourth, stimulus checks delivered through budget reconciliation—politically contested, he concedes, but with “decent odds” of prevailing given “ironclad” party control. Each mechanism, as he describes it, reduces financial frictions at the same time that fear-based narratives pull new capital into hard assets and AI-adjacent equities. The macro mix, in his view, is complicated but ultimately supportive. “The economy is not robust, but it is chugging along, floated by AI capex… a two speed economy, with real world businesses and the average consumer not doing great, but the high end and asset owners are soaring.” Moments later he sharpened the framing: “the two speed economy makes it goldilocks as the genuine weakness in parts of the economy creates a justification for continued fiscal/monetary stimulus while continuing to benefit asset owners. Be the asset owner, the beneficiary of it all.” This is the crux of the “fear bubble” argument: soft spots provide the political cover for policy support, while debasement concerns and job-market anxieties around AI keep households and institutions defensively overweight exposure to scarce assets and growth narratives. Why Q1 2026 Could See A Bitcoin Rally Pause For Bitcoin specifically, he lays out a path that interleaves seasonal strength, cycle reflexivity, and a final acceleration. “My base case is a strong Q4 for BTC, then a sharp downturn as the 4 year cycle debate must be played out in the markets, and finally a rebound that leaves doubters in the dust.” He later endorsed the possibility of “truly manic vertical days at the very end. Similar in vibes to early Dec 2017 in BTC,” invoking the last cycle’s most frenetic stage but recasting the psychology from greed to fear-driven defensiveness. Related Reading: Bitcoin’s On-Chain Roadmap Shows $111,000 – $143,000 As The Range To Watch The thread triggered broader speculation about end-cycle dynamics. Responding to a scenario from another user—“some kind of point in 2026 or 2027 where everyone collectively decides that the USD is going to 0 very quickly and impulsively buys whatever they can to get rid of it… Everything pumps +30% for 3 days straight… And then that is the top”—plur_daddy didn’t endorse the currency-collapse framing but did agree on the “truly manic vertical days at the very end.” Despite the bullish architecture, the analyst does not claim the underlying economy is healthy or that the path will be smooth. He argues instead that policy engineering—whether via issuance tactics, mortgage-market plumbing, or outright transfers—can keep liquidity channels open long enough to accelerate asset prices into a blow-off. “This is an environment where you want to stay long over the next 12 months, but you should be thoughtful in shifting portfolio composition between gold, BTC, and stocks,” he wrote, describing a rotation that acknowledges both macro dispersion and the possibility of sharp drawdowns en route to a higher peak. The bottom line of his thesis is unambiguous: the next stage of this cycle is fear-led, policy-fueled, and likely to exceed 2017’s magnitude. The difference, he argues, is psychological and structural. Where 2017 fed on retail euphoria, 2025–26 is animated by the defensive compulsion to preserve purchasing power and job relevance—“fear… is a much more potent driver of behavior than hope or even greed.” If his timeline holds, a taste in Q4, a shakeout on cycle debates, and a policy-catalyzed vertical in 2026 could define Bitcoin’s next act. At press time, BTC traded at $122,512. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin faced a swift correction below the $125,000 level after reaching a new all-time high of $126,200 on Monday, triggering widespread volatility across the market. The price retraced over 4% to around $120,000, liquidating millions in leveraged positions as traders anticipated further upside. The move caught many off guard, especially after days of strong momentum and renewed optimism that Bitcoin was preparing to enter another price discovery phase. Related Reading: Grayscale Stakes 32,000 Ethereum Worth $150 Million – Institutional Demand Grows Despite the pullback, key on-chain data reveals a contrasting trend beneath the surface — a massive accumulation by US investors. Analysts note that while short-term traders faced liquidations, spot demand from US-based buyers continues to grow, particularly through regulated platforms and ETFs. This steady inflow of capital provides a strong foundation for long-term market strength, even amid short-term volatility. The correction may have flushed out excessive leverage, resetting market conditions for a healthier continuation. As Bitcoin consolidates around the $120,000–$122,000 range, analysts are watching closely to see whether institutional accumulation can offset the selling pressure. For now, the broader trend remains bullish, with growing evidence that US investors are using every dip to increase exposure to the world’s leading digital asset. US Demand Surges As Coinbase Premium Gap Signals  Accumulation Top onchain analyst Maartunn shared new data revealing a sharp increase in US-based Bitcoin accumulation, driven largely by activity on Coinbase, one of the most influential exchanges for institutional and retail investors in the United States. According to his insights, the Coinbase Premium Gap — which measures the price difference of Bitcoin between Coinbase and other global exchanges — has surged to its second-highest level since the ETF launch earlier this year. This spike signals an aggressive buying spree from US investors, suggesting strong spot demand that is outpacing global averages. Historically, similar jumps in the Coinbase Premium Gap have coincided with phases of major market expansion, often preceding new highs as US capital flows into Bitcoin-led rallies. The data indicates that US traders are willing to pay a higher premium compared to their counterparts on platforms like Binance or OKX — a clear expression of localized demand. Analysts interpret this as a bullish signal in the context of Bitcoin’s current consolidation near all-time highs. After a brief correction from $126,000 to $120,000, strong institutional interest could provide the liquidity needed for a new breakout. Many market watchers believe that such robust accumulation is rarely random; it often precedes a significant expansive move, as buyers position themselves before another upward leg. If this buying pressure sustains, Bitcoin could soon reclaim its highs and enter a new phase of price discovery. Combined with growing ETF inflows and steady US accumulation trends, Maartunn’s data reinforces the narrative that the market’s next major impulse may once again be led by US demand — the same catalyst that ignited Bitcoin’s previous all-time high breakout earlier this year. Related Reading: Ondo Secures SEC-Registered Infrastructure With Oasis Pro Acquisition Bitcoin Consolidates After Sharp Rally Bitcoin is currently trading around $122,500, showing signs of stabilization after the recent surge to an all-time high near $126,000 earlier this week. The chart highlights a healthy pullback from the highs, with BTC finding support just above the $120,000 level — a zone that previously acted as resistance and has now turned into a short-term support range. The 8-day and 21-day moving averages are trending upward, confirming the continuation of a bullish structure. Meanwhile, the 50-day moving average remains below the price, indicating that momentum still favors the bulls despite short-term volatility. If Bitcoin manages to hold above the $120,000–$121,000 region, the setup could attract renewed buying pressure for another attempt to break above the $125,000 resistance. Related Reading: TRX Repeats Its 2021 Setup: Volume Cooldown Signals Smart Money Accumulation However, failure to maintain these levels could open the door for a retest of the $117,500 area, where the next major support lies. This would still be within a healthy correction range following the recent 15% rally. Overall, Bitcoin’s structure remains bullish, with strong higher lows forming and institutional demand — led by Coinbase inflows — continuing to support the market. A decisive move above $125,000 could signal the beginning of a new price discovery phase. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com

Bitcoin has shown renewed strength on the weekly timeframe by resuming a steady uptrend that began earlier in the year. After several weeks of ranging between $110,000 and $120,000, Bitcoin is now on intense momentum supported by institutional demand, which has led to a new all-time high in the past 24 hours.  Interestingly, technical analysis of Bitcoin’s weekly price chart shows the cryptocurrency is gearing up for an explosion to $200,000. This projection is based on Bitcoin’s ongoing price behavior being an exact replica of Gold’s rally during the 1970s. Bitcoin Aligning With the 1970s Gold Rally An interesting technical analysis shared by Mikybull Crypto on the social media platform X details how Bitcoin’s price action on the 1-week and 2-week candlestick charts is following a path walked by Gold in prior decades. His latest post on X draws parallels between Bitcoin’s ongoing price behavior and Gold’s rally during the 1970s, an era that saw the precious metal surge massively. Now, it seems that Bitcoin is now mirroring that same macro setup and could be gearing toward a price explosion to $200,000 or higher. Related Reading: Here’s The Best Time To Buy Bitcoin As Impulse Wave Sets Path To $150,000 In one of the charts shared by Mikybull, Gold’s price action from the mid-1970s to 1980 is overlaid with Bitcoin’s multi-year trajectory. This Gold price chart shows a consolidation phase followed by a powerful breakout in the late 1970s. According to Mikybull, Bitcoin’s structure follows this trend almost perfectly. In his analysis, he noted that Bitcoin’s price is forming higher lows above a macro ascending trendline, the same kind of structure that preceded Gold’s explosive run. Gold’s third breakout wave (Wave 5) ushered in this run, and Mikybull projected that Bitcoin is now entering a similar phase, as shown by the blue ellipse in the chart below. Mikybull’s comparison also integrated the legendary Livermore Speculative Chart, which is an early 20th-century framework, to track Bitcoin’s behavior. Bitcoin’s price action on the weekly timeframe follows a structure labeled from one through ten, each level corresponding to phases in the Livermore Speculative Chart. Why Bitcoin Can Explode To $200,000 May Only Be the Beginning For Bitcoin As shown in the chart above, Bitcoin is currently trading around the 1.272 Fibonacci extension level below $125,000 and is playing out the eighth stage of Livermore’s speculative cycle. Current market trends point to Bitcoin advancing past the eighth stage at the 1.618 Fib level ($145,355) to then advance to the ninth stage of the cycle, which is just above the 2.618 Fibonacci extension level at $204,000. Related Reading: This Major Bitcoin Metric Just Made A New Low For The First Time In 6 Years, Is An ATH Above $130,000 Coming? After that lies the tenth stage, around the 3.618 extension at $262,000, projected to be the final peak of this cycle based on Livermore’s speculative cycle. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $121,450, having retraced slightly after its most recent all-time high of $126,080 on October 6. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com

Bitcoin’s next leg higher sits inside a broader “everything, everywhere, all at once” bull market that echoes the 1950s more than the 1990s—and the underlying engine is fiat debasement that will continue to funnel monetary premiums into neutral reserve assets such as Bitcoin and gold. That is the core of veteran macro analyst and investor Mel Mattison’s thesis in a wide-ranging interview on Milk Road Macro published Monday, October 7. Mattison, a former fintech executive with 25+ years in finance, argues that investors are misreading the cycle by citing relationships from the 1970s and 1980s instead of the earlier regimes that rhyme more closely with today. “I actually think the most similar decade is the 50s,” he said, noting that the S&P 500’s average annual return then “was over 19%,” outpacing the 1990s. He described 2024–2025 as an “everything everywhere all at once rally… bonds, stocks, gold, Bitcoin, real estate,” driven by a multi-decade interest-rate cycle and a global “debasement trade” that has finally gone mainstream. “The scariest thing to me right now is that Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs are saying the same thing that I was a year ago.” Bitcoin And Gold To Dominate The Debasement Era Within that framework, Bitcoin plays the role of digital gold—one of two “neutral reserve assets” poised, in Mattison’s view, to absorb more monetary premium as the fiat system adapts to rising debt loads and geopolitical realignment. He framed the moment as a “gold war, not a cold war,” pointing to the steady build-up of official gold reserves and alternative settlement rails. Related Reading: Bitcoin Will Not Crash: Jeff Park Rejects Paul Tudor Jones’ 1999 Comparison “People do not understand… this is just getting started,” he said of the bull market in both gold and Bitcoin. While he sees gold as temporarily stretched near-term, he reiterated a long-horizon target in line with arguments from other macro commentators: “Do I think [gold is] going to $20,000 in the next 10 to 15 years? Yes, absolutely.” Bitcoin, he suggested, shares in that secular bid as the programmable counterpart: “Bitcoin I see as digital gold and that’s being accepted.” Mattison’s supercycle call rests heavily on policy architecture. He contends that markets are underpricing the US Federal Reserve’s statutory mandate to maintain “moderate long-term interest rates,” alongside price stability and maximum employment. “Under the statute, the FOMC has three distinct mandates… unemployment, price stability, and making sure that long-term interest rates are moderate,” he said, criticizing the idea that the third leg is secondary. In practice, he expects this to pull policymakers toward yield-curve control (YCC)–style interventions if needed to cap long-tenor yields and stabilize debt service. “There’s no way that they can let interest rates get out of hand,” he argued, adding that the Fed could halt quantitative tightening and significantly expand its balance sheet without necessarily reigniting 2021–2022-style inflation. “The Federal Reserve could… easily take [its balance sheet] to $20 trillion in the next decade without creating massive inflation,” he claimed, emphasizing that money-supply growth and velocity, not the level of public debt per se, drive sustained price pressure. That policy trajectory, in his telling, is inherently supportive of assets with monetary characteristics. He dismissed recurring fears over foreign selling of Treasuries: “When people talk about… China or Japan [selling], there’s no threat from that,” he said, arguing that domestic absorption—by banks, mutual funds, stablecoin balance sheets, or the Fed itself—can readily backstop issuance. Related Reading: Bitcoin STH Whale Profits Hit $10.1 Billion, Highest For The Cycle He called interest payments “stimulus,” preferring they recycle to US holders rather than abroad. In this setting, he believes index-heavy exposure will underperform active positioning in the new winners: “To me the big alpha is… in gold and bitcoin,” with emerging markets also benefiting from easier global financial conditions if YCC or related measures anchor US duration. Markets Can Go Much Higher For Longer Mattison’s historical lens also shapes his risk calendar. He likens the current mix of post-pandemic fiscal-monetary coordination and geopolitical fault lines to the period spanning World War II, the Marshall Plan, and the Korean War. He expects the rally to broaden beyond mega-cap tech as artificial intelligence redistributes value away from traditional SaaS moats, but he also flags a latent social-cohesion shock—an eventual phase when “not only do you want to reduce, you want to just get out of risk… even gold.” The timing, he said, is not imminent: “I honestly think that’s at least 12 to 24 months away at a minimum and possibly longer.” Until then, he urges investors not to underestimate how far markets—and Bitcoin—can run in a true bubble phase. “If you’ve never lived through [the late 1920s or late 1990s], you don’t understand what the markets can actually do,” he said. “In a bubble environment, which I think we’re heading into, it can go a lot higher and a lot quicker.” Why This Could Be the Biggest Bull Run Since the 1950s w/ @MelMattison1 Want to know how we survive $34T of U.S. debt? Mel makes the contrarian case for why debt isn’t the problem… and why interest payments could actually stimulate the economy. Tune in to know more ⏱ TIME… pic.twitter.com/TqZML1j9TZ — Milk Road Macro (@MilkRoadMacro) October 7, 2025 For Bitcoin specifically, the implication is straightforward in Mattison’s model: as long as the policy mix trends toward looser effective financial conditions to manage public debt and geopolitical competition channels settlement into neutral assets, BTC accrues monetary premium alongside gold. Near term he anticipates volatility—“very short term [gold is] due for… a rest,” he noted, implying risk for correlated trades—but the secular path, he insists, remains higher. “I’m not saying this time is different,” he said. “I’m actually saying this time is like all the other times”—just not within the living memory of most investors. At press time, BTC traded at $122,451. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

According to economist Timothy Peterson, Bitcoin has a 50% chance of topping $140,000 before the month ends. He posted that likelihood on X and backed it with simulation work that uses a decade of price moves to map likely outcomes. Related Reading: Bitcoin Breaks $126K — Bitwise CIO Sees $1 Trillion Wave Coming Simulation Based On Historical Data Peterson said the model runs hundreds of simulations using daily Bitcoin prices going back to 2015. Based on those runs, he put the chance Bitcoin finishes the month above $140,000 at 50%. He also gave a 43% probability that the price will end the month below $136k. At the time he spoke, Bitcoin was trading at $121,200. That means a rise of about 11% would be needed to reach $140,000 from the current level. Half of Bitcoin’s October gains may have already happened, according to this AI simulation. There is a 50% chance Bitcoin finishes the month above $140k But there is a 43% chance Bitcoin finishes below $136k. pic.twitter.com/LPhFr0mry9 — Timothy Peterson (@nsquaredvalue) October 7, 2025 Bitcoin set a fresh all-time high of $126,200 on Monday, then cooled off. The coin began October at roughly $116,500, so the month has already produced gains. According to data, October has been the second-best month on average since 2013, with typical gains of 20%. Reports have disclosed that November is the strongest month historically, averaging 46% gains since 2013. No Human Emotion Peterson described his forecast as driven by data rather than human emotion. He said each projection follows price changes that mirror Bitcoin’s past volatility and rhythm. That approach aims to remove bias from short-term sentiment. Still, there are limits to what historical simulations can show. Bitcoin has sometimes moved in ways that did not match past patterns. Market reactions, policy moves, and other forces can push prices off the script that history suggests. Market Sentiment Remains Bullish Other analysts on social platforms urged continued optimism after the recent high. One analyst said the market was retesting prior highs and could move higher. Another wrote that pressure was building for further gains. These views sit alongside data-led forecasts and are being watched by traders and funds. Bitcoin is the new hurdle rate. If you can’t beat it, you have to buy it. I explained on @SquawkCNBC this morning why so many investors are not producing the returns they think they are. pic.twitter.com/re98rjCDua — Anthony Pompliano ???? (@APompliano) October 7, 2025 Macro Notes From A Prominent Investor Reports have also carried comments from Anthony Pompliano, who argued on CNBC that Bitcoin’s rally can continue if governments and central banks keep printing money. JUST IN: Anthony Pompliano tells CNBC Bitcoin will never stop going up. “They will never stop printing money.” pic.twitter.com/qeWJnTsIb3 — Bitcoin Archive (@BTC_Archive) October 7, 2025 His view links monetary policy to Bitcoin demand, and it is widely shared among supporters who see the asset as a hedge. Related Reading: All Eyes On Solana: $15-B Stablecoin Supply, ETF Demand Drive Next Leg Up Featured image from Verdict, chart from TradingView

Bitcoin has seen a pullback below the $121,000 mark in the past day. Here’s where the next support level could lie, according to on-chain data. Bitcoin Has Witnessed A Fast Plunge During The Last 24 Hours Bitcoin looked to be entering into an extended all-time high (ATH) exploration mode as it set multiple new records over the weekend and Monday, but the market has been delivered a Tuesday shock as the cryptocurrency has seen a quick crash back below $121,000. Compared to the new ATH around $126,200, Bitcoin is now down more than 4%. The altcoins have also taken a hit during the past day, with many top coins even printing returns worse than the number one digital asset. 24-hour losses stand at 5% for Ethereum and 6% for XRP. BNB is the only cryptocurrency among the large caps that has managed a positive return of 5%. Related Reading: Social Media Turns Bearish On XRP: Is This A Buy Signal? With Bitcoin now sliding down, one question naturally arises: how much lower can the asset go? While markets are unpredictable, there can still be some factors worth keeping an eye on. One such factor may be on-chain support clusters. BTC CBD Shows Support Cluster Around $117,000 In a new post on X, on-chain analytics firm Glassnode has talked about how the Cost Basis Distribution (CBD) is looking for Bitcoin. The CBD is an indictor that tells us about how many tokens of the cryptocurrency were last acquired at the various spot price levels. Below is the chart for the metric shared by Glassnode. As displayed in the above graph, the $120,000 to $121,000 range, which the cryptocurrency is retesting right now, carries the cost basis of a thin amount of supply. In on-chain analysis, investor cost basis is considered an important topic because holders tend to react in a special manner whenever their break-even level is retested. The more supply that was last purchased at a particular level, the stronger is the market’s reaction to a retest. When investors face a retest of their profit-loss boundary from the above, they may decide to buy more, believing the drawdown to be a “dip” or for simply defending their cost basis. Given that the current range contains the cost basis of some investors, some degree of accumulation could happen, but it only remains to be seen whether it will be enough for a bottom. Related Reading: Ethereum Faces TD Sell Signal At Key Resistance—$4,100 Next? In the scenario that BTC declines further, the next key support cluster to watch is located near $117,000, where a notable 190,000 BTC was acquired. “A pullback into this area could attract demand as recent buyers defend the level,” explains the analytics firm. Featured image from Dall-E, Glassnode.com, chart from TradingView.com

As Bitcoin (BTC) resumes recording new all-time highs (ATH), focus is back on key price levels that could provide investors with an idea about the next possible resistance levels that may see a sell-off in BTC. Fresh on-chain data offers a map of BTC’s most important price levels. Bitcoin May Face Resistance At These Levels According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Crazzyblockk, the cost basis (Realized Price) of BTC Short-Term Holders (STH) provides a snapshot of important support and resistance zones. Related Reading: Bitcoin Sharpe-Like Ratio Shows Market In Wait-and-See Mode At $119,000 Notably, the STH Realized Price highlights the aggregate price at which recent market participants acquired their BTC. This information can give analysts an idea about potential price levels that can influence investors’ behavior to either take profits or hold their positions. Crazzyblockk highlighted multiple price levels that could function as potential profit-taking zones. For instance,

Arthur Hayes believes Bitcoin can double into year-end—and he says the catalyst is a White House blueprint to capture the levers of US monetary policy. In an appearance on The Rollup, the BitMEX co-founder sketched a path to $250,000 per coin predicated on what he calls a “secret weapon”: a rapid consolidation of control over the Federal Reserve (Fed) that would clear the way for aggressive credit creation, yield-curve engineering, and an eventual flood of fiat liquidity into digital assets. Trump’s Fed Plan Could Catapult Bitcoin To $250,000 Hayes’ $250,000 year-end Bitcoin call rests on a narrow but explosive thesis: Donald Trump can seize functional control of the Federal Reserve within months, trigger yield-curve control by executive-pressure and personnel power, and unleash a credit impulse that spills straight into crypto via stablecoins. The BitMEX co-founder framed the pathway not as conjecture but as institutional mechanics. “It just is math. I love math,” he said. At the center is the Fed’s architecture—two bodies, two vote thresholds, one choke point. Hayes recited the plumbing crisply. “There’s a Fed Board of Governors. There’s seven members on this board. All are presidential appointees confirmed by the Senate and simple majority wins. So you need four votes out of seven to control that board.” With that majority, the White House gains three levers at once: the interest rate paid on reserve balances and terms at the discount window; supervisory stance over bank regulation; and decisive influence over who runs the 12 regional Reserve Banks—because those presidents must be approved by the governors. Related Reading: Bitcoin STH Whale Profits Hit $10.1 Billion, Highest For The Cycle The second body, the FOMC, has 12 votes; seven governors and five district presidents. Stack sympathetic leaders at the districts and the tally follows. “By having four in the governors and seven of the FOMC you’re effectively controlling the central bank,” Hayes argued. Why, then, is Governor Lisa Cook “the final domino”? Hayes ties the timing to Stephen Miran’s recent dissent on rate policy among sitting governors. He contends Trump already has two aligned votes and a plausible third; Cook is the hinge for a fourth. In his formulation, mounting legal and political pressure could force her departure on a compressed calendar. “I think it’s before the end of the year,” he said, describing an “imminent” court determination related to a mortgage- or bank-fraud matter and the likelihood of a negotiated exit irrespective of guilt or innocence: “This is all politics… what is she going to get promised in the back end to step down and exit stage left?” If Cook leaves and a replacement sails through while the Senate math still favors confirmations, the Board majority flips. With four of seven, the administration can then approve or block district-president selections coming up on the two- and four-year rotation—“in every year that ended in a one and a five… all 12 district bank presidents are up for reelection,” he noted—giving a path to seven of 12 on the FOMC. Yield Curve Control And Liquidity The policy intent is explicit: steepen the curve and run the economy hot via regional banks—what Hayes calls “QE for poor people.” The operational tools start on the short end. A governor-aligned Board can cut the rate paid on excess reserves to pull down front-end benchmarks, cheapen funding for banks, and reopen the discount window with friendlier terms. Supervision can be eased to encourage loan growth outside the money-center complex. In parallel, an FOMC majority can direct the System Open Market Account to expand—classic balance-sheet policy—while rhetorically committing to pins on the curve. The template, Hayes says, is the 1940s. “A politician can declare exigent circumstances… there are so many things that [they] could use as an excuse… and therefore the Fed is justified in combining with the Treasury and fixing the money supply.” The effect is curve management, not just cuts: “They’re going to steepen the yield curve. And so steepening the yield curve is going to bring the near end down,” while longer maturities reprice around higher nominal growth and inflation expectations. Even if long rates fall from peak levels as policy eases, the slope widens, repairing bank net-interest margins and pushing credit creation into the “heart of America.” Related Reading: 99% Of Bitcoin Supply In Profit – What This Means For Price This is the bridge to Bitcoin. A steepened curve and looser supervision channel new lending through regional banks, raising the money multiplier and nominal GDP, and pushing inflation. “When the regional bank is lending… they’re creating this new loan… they need to hire more workers… and obviously inflation grows along with it,” Hayes said. Liquidity then leaks into Bitcoin through stablecoins he expects to proliferate under a dollar-hegemony strategy. First comes T-bill carry in tokenized dollars; next comes on-chain yield; finally comes speculation. “Once you have a stablecoin… now you’ve got a dollar bank account… I can make 10–15%… I’m still broke… I’m going to speculate,” he said, pointing to perpetuals venues as the ultimate release valve for global retail leverage. The price call follows from the plumbing. Hayes reiterated a “double into the end of the year” toward $250,000 if the personnel puzzle clicks—Cook exits, replacements are confirmed, district appointments swing, and the Fed’s balance sheet plus short-end levers are brought to heel. He also flagged the political clock: razor-thin Senate margins and the risk that a post-2026 Congress could block confirmations. “If Trump has anyone who needs to be approved… it better happen before then,” he warned, adding that Powell’s chair term ending in May 2026 could compound the realignment if the earlier pieces are in place. Hayes’ macro coda is stark: the debt arithmetic forces either inflation or explicit restructuring, and both are bullish for scarce assets. He even entertained revaluing US gold to book a trillion-dollar gain—an admission of dollar devaluation that he said would carry unknowable Treasury-market consequences. Either route, he insists, is hostile to bonds and supportive of Bitcoin. “At the end of the day, you don’t want to own bonds… you want to be selling dollars and owning a hard asset like Bitcoin or gold.” At press time, BTC traded at $124.468. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

While most eyes remain fixated on Bitcoin’s price swings and ETF inflows, the real revolution is unfolding quietly in its code. This silent evolution is redefining how value, contracts, and trust can operate on the leading secure blockchain. How Layer-2s Are Turning Bitcoin Into A Dynamic Ecosystem Bitcoin’s new all-time high (ATH) is dominating the timeline, but it’s not the real story. Under the surface of price charts and speculation, a quiet technological revolution is taking shape and could redefine BTC’s utility in the ecosystem. In an X post, High Tower revealed the real ATH is in the code, and the movement centers on BitVM2, an evolution of the original BitVM model. While some are watching the price, projects such as Fiamma are turning this concept into working code. Related Reading: Here’s Why The Bitcoin Price Crashed After Hitting $125,700 All-Time High At its core, BitVM was a concept that enabled complex computations to run off-chain using BTC only as the final arbiter. However, the system came with a catch, and it relied on a single verifier that had to stay online 24/7 to detect fraud, acting as a single point of oversight. If the verifier went offline or missed a dishonest move, the integrity of the system was compromised. BitVM2 fundamentally flips this model. Instead of depending on the verifier, it shifts the burden of honesty onto the prover. The prover doing the computation must continuously prove they are honest. If they cheat, that collateral can be claimed by anyone monitoring the chain. For the first time, on-chain proofs are not dependent on a single constantly online watchdog. This change unlocks the door to truly trust-minimized bridges and Layer-2 solutions on BTC that don’t rely on federations or wrapped assets. Instead, the system relies on economic incentives and on-chain fraud proofs. Thus, using native BTC in DeFi, not wrapped versions like wBTC, could soon move freely across DeFi systems, which is where projects like Fiamma Labs come in.  Fiamma is building the first EVM-compatible layer on top of BitVM2, enabling smart contracts to run directly with BTC’s native security. Tower added that it’s too early to call this the endgame for Layer-2s, but architecturally, it’s a major leap forward.  Where Bitcoin Could Catch Its Breath Bitcoin’s climb to new all-time highs has once again captured market attention. Crypto trader Lennaert Snyder has mentioned that the move isn’t as one-sided as it looks. While momentum remains strong, Bitcoin’s chart reveals significant liquidity pools to the downside.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Bear Trap Over? Pundit Reveals Where The Market Is At Right Now According to Snyder, BTC’s recent breakout has left behind multiple support zones, represented as boxes on his chart, and two paths are likely from here. Either BTC holds these highs and continues to run, or BTC flushes out longs before a sharp reversal upward. The trader specifically highlights the $113,500 to $114,800 range as a key liquidity flush. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com

Matt Hougan, Bitwise’s Chief Investment Officer, posted a brief, bullish note on social media on Oct 6, 2025, writing “$1 trillion inbound….” Related Reading: All Eyes On Solana: $15-B Stablecoin Supply, ETF Demand Drive Next Leg Up Based on reports, that short message kicked off fresh coverage and debate about how large Bitcoin-focused funds could get if current trends continue. Bitcoin was trading near a fresh high at the time, which helped the comment spread quickly. Context Around The Claim Bitcoin hit a new all-time high of $126,080 on Oct 7, 2025. At the same time, data cited by several outlets put global Bitcoin fund assets under management at about $200 billion. Those two figures were used by many market watchers to give the $1 trillion remark context: higher prices + rising fund flows = a much larger market for managed Bitcoin products. $1 trillion inbound…. https://t.co/6qTb3cOqg9 — Matt Hougan (@Matt_Hougan) October 6, 2025 Hougan’s post was not a detailed forecast. It was short and informal. According to coverage, many crypto sites simply reposted the message and tied it to recent ETF inflows and renewed institutional interest. The post did not include a timetable or the assumptions required to get from roughly $200 billion to $1 trillion, and the lack of detail left room for analysts to disagree. Market Reactions And Caution Several mainstream outlets treated the remark as bullish but urged caution. Reuters and other outlets pointed out that institutional adoption is still limited when compared to traditional asset classes. According to some analysts, getting to $1 trillion in Bitcoin fund AUM would mean a big, sustained shift by large investors such as pension plans and big wealth managers, not only short-term retail buying or a single strong month of inflows. Simple Math, Big Gaps If global fund AUM is about $200 billion now, reaching $1 trillion would mean a growth of five times that level. That implies adding roughly $800 billion in assets to crypto funds. Those are not small sums. They would require consistent flows over many months or years, plus choices by big institutions to allocate meaningful portions of their portfolios to Bitcoin. Related Reading: 2%–4% In Crypto? Morgan Stanley Thinks That’s The Smart Move Now What Needs To Happen Analysts say several things would have to happen for that scenario to play out. Based on reports, regulators would need to stay predictable, more large money managers would have to offer and scale Bitcoin products, and major institutional investors would have to shift part of their capital toward these funds. Hougan’s short message has, at minimum, renewed a public conversation about how big Bitcoin investment products might become. Featured image from Wallpapers.com, chart from TradingView

Bitcoin supply on exchanges has hit a new low for the first time in six years, providing a bullish outlook for BTC. This comes as the flagship crypto continues to hit new all-time highs (ATHs), with the $130,000 target now in sight.  Bitcoin Supply On Exchanges Hit Six-Year Low Glassnode data shows that the Bitcoin supply on exchanges has fallen to a six-year low of around 2.8 million BTC. The last time the BTC balance on exchanges was this low was in June 2019, when the flagship crypto was trading at around $8,745. This development confirms that investors are accumulating Bitcoin at an unprecedented pace.  CryptoQuant data also confirms this development, with the Bitcoin exchange reserve currently at 2.5 million BTC, even lower than what is shown on Glassnode’s dashboard. This is bullish for the BTC price, as such massive demand usually precedes a major supply squeeze. Notably, this comes amid an increased demand from institutional investors, with the BTC ETFs recording $3.2 billion in weekly inflows last week, their second-largest since their launch last year.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Still On Track To Hit $165,000, JPMorgan Analysts Reveal Timeline This comes as institutional investors move to Bitcoin as a safe-haven asset as part of the debasement trade during this period of uncertainty caused by the U.S. government shutdown. Thanks to the increased demand, BTC is already up 9% to start this month and rallied to multiple all-time highs amid the ‘Uptober’ rally.  The Bitcoin price topped $126,000 for the first time ever yesterday and now looks on course to test the $130,000 milestone. With the massive demand from the BTC ETFs, there is the belief that the flagship crypto could hit this milestone this month. SoSo Value data shows that these funds took in $1.19 billion in net inflows yesterday, their highest daily inflow this year.  BTC Could Break Above $130,000 Crypto analyst Titan of Crypto has suggested that Bitcoin is on track to make a new all-time high (ATH) above $130,000. He noted that BTC is testing the same trendline that rejected it a few weeks ago. However, this time around, the weekly MACD is crossing bullish, which could spark the rally above $130,000. His accompanying chart showed that a rally to as high as $140,000 was a possibility if the flagship crypto flips $130,000 into support.  Related Reading: Bitcoin’s 2021 Playbook Shows The Final Price Target For This Bull Cycle Crypto analyst Mikybull Crypto also noted that Bitcoin is currently facing resistance around its current price level, making it a key level to watch. He added that a meaningful breakout above this level will send BTC to between $136,000 and $150,000.   At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $124,500, up in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com

Bitcoin (BTC), the leading cryptocurrency, has made headlines this week by consistently breaking all-time highs, recently surpassing the $126,000 mark for the first time.  However, the current price action has not only drawn attention from investors but also reignited discussions surrounding a notable prediction made two years ago. An anonymous user had forecasted that Bitcoin would achieve a peak on October 6, 2025—a prediction that came to fruition just yesterday. Potential New Bear Market Ahead Despite this milestone, Bitcoin has retraced to around $121,000 within hours after today’s record, leading to a wave of liquidations from long positions across various exchanges.  This rapid price fluctuation has led many to speculate that the recent peak could potentially mark the cycle’s all-time high, suggesting that Bitcoin might soon enter a new bear market phase. Related Reading: Is A $10,000 Ethereum Price Within Reach? Here’s What Experts Are Forecasting Next The prediction made in December 2023 posits that if historical patterns hold true, the bear market low is expected to occur precisely 364 days later. This theory has gained traction amidst today’s volatility, with experts warning that a shift in market sentiment could be imminent.  Market analyst Doctor Profit has recently cautioned that despite the current bullish trend, the market is entering a precarious phase. He noted that while there is a prevailing sense of euphoria, underlying financial indicators are signaling a potential liquidity crisis. Highlighting the current situation, Doctor Profit pointed to the Reverse Repo (RRP) market, which has plummeted from a peak of $2.2 trillion in mid-2022 to a mere $8–10 billion today.  This decline raises concerns about the stability of interbank liquidity, suggesting that the financial system may soon face significant dislocations if the RRP continues to dry up. Historical parallels from 2018, 2019, and 2023 indicate that such liquidity issues often precede major market corrections. Moreover, US banks are reportedly grappling with approximately $395 billion in unrealized losses as of the second quarter of the year, putting additional pressure on their balance sheets.  Expert Sounds The Bitcoin Alarm In the crypto space, recent trends reveal substantial inflows into exchange-traded funds (ETFs), with firms like BlackRock contributing over $1 billion in Bitcoin and $200 million in Ethereum just last week.  However, Doctor Profit contends that the market’s broader liquidity picture remains concerning. While retail traders are expressing optimism about a “liquidity flood,” the expert cautions that the influx of cash into money market funds could actually drain liquidity from broader markets rather than enhance it. Related Reading: BNB Price Hits $1,240 Record High: Partners With Chainlink For On-Chain US Economic Data The current market environment is also characterized by a notable uptick in insider selling, according to the expert’s broader landscape analysis, in which executives are reportedly offloading shares at an unprecedented rate, even as retail investor inflows surge.  The expert believes that this alleged market manipulation often signals a market cycle peak, creating what he believes “a highly toxic mix” that could have adverse implications for future price movements. In conclusion, Doctor Profit notes that the overall sentiment paints a bearish picture at a macro level. Both the crypto and stock markets are seen as being at an increased risk of entering a bear market after the fourth quarter.  Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 

Jeff Park, chief investment officer at ProCap BTC and an advisor to Bitwise, pushed back against Paul Tudor Jones’ latest warning that markets “feel exactly like 1999,” arguing that the macro regime of 2025 is structurally different from the dot-com era and, crucially, more supportive of Bitcoin. Park’s commentary followed Jones’ interview on CNBC, where the billionaire trader said the setup resembles the late-cycle blow-off that preceded the tech crash, even as he continued to praise Bitcoin as an asset with high appeal. Bitcoin Will Thrive, Not Crash In a X post, Park called comparisons to 1999 “lazy,” contending that the drivers of asset prices today are dominated by fiscal and monetary dynamics that bear little resemblance to the surplus-era, pre-QE backdrop of the late 1990s. “In 1999, markets were driven by private sector exuberance at a time with minimal fiscal drag—the US govt was actually running a budget surplus,” he wrote. “Today the markets are entirely influenced by massive fiscal spending and debt monetization as the US is obviously drowning in debt.” Park concluded flatly: “So no. To me it doesn’t ‘feel exactly like 1999’ at all. It feels like the opportunity of a lifetime for those who are prepared.” Park contrasted the Federal Reserve’s present posture with that of the Greenspan Fed at the height of the dot-com boom. “In 1999, Fed was raising rates, balance sheet was small, and there was no QE. In 2025, rates are declining, the balance sheet is massive, and we have more acronyms than we can count,” he said, arguing that abundant liquidity—now more globally synchronized—has become the defining feature of this cycle. He added that with the US Treasury General Account refilled, the world is “about to embark on a global liquidity binge.” Related Reading: Bitcoin STH Whale Profits Hit $10.1 Billion, Highest For The Cycle He further emphasized the presence of powerful cross-border feedback loops that did not exist 25 years ago, pointing to policy transmission and supply-chain realignments that tether US risk assets to the global economy. Park cited Japan as an example of how overseas policy can amplify liquidity conditions, referencing pro-stimulus signals from incoming leadership. On Monday, Japanese equities surged after Sanae Takaichi won leadership of the ruling LDP on expectations of ongoing fiscal support—an event markets read as another nudge toward accommodation. Park also drew a sharp distinction between the late-1990s dollar cycle and today’s macro hedging behavior, arguing that, unlike in 2000–2002, gold is now “literally on a tear with every sovereign actor playing the board.” On the day of his remarks, spot gold printed fresh all-time highs above $3,900 per ounce, a move widely attributed to safe-haven demand and expectations of further US rate cuts—context that underscores Park’s point about the current reflex to hard assets. Related Reading: Bitcoin UTXO Falls To Lowest Level Since April 2024 — What This Means For Price Where Jones sees echoes of exuberance that could end badly, Park sees a regime that channels liquidity into scarce, non-sovereign assets—bitcoin foremost among them. He argued that “in 1999 there was no bitcoin, social media, nor smartphones. In 2025, everyone around the world has an escape valve in their pocket,” a line that cuts to Bitcoin’s structural difference from dot-com equities: bearer settlement, programmatic issuance, and a growing base of global distribution that can be mobilized in real time. Paul Tudor Jones On Bitcoin Jones’ own stance on Bitcoin remains constructive even as he warns of a frothy tape. In his CNBC appearance, he said the environment “feels exactly like 1999,” invoking the Nasdaq’s parabolic move into March 2000, but he also reiterated the asset’s appeal—continuing a years-long thread in which he has described bitcoin as a powerful inflation hedge and “one of the fastest horses.” The split-screen—macro caution on equities, optimism on bitcoin—helped catalyze Park’s rebuttal that this cycle is “built for Bitcoin, not bubbles.” Notably, Park’s argument neither denies the possibility of sharp drawdowns nor guarantees a unidirectional path. Rather, it hinges on the composition of liquidity, the nature of fiscal dominance, and the behavior of hard-asset hedges in an era of heavy sovereign balance sheets. Gold’s concurrent breakout, Japan’s policy bias toward stimulus, and investors’ hunt for non-dilutive stores of value all feed his core contention that 2025’s setup “is nothing like 1999”—and that Bitcoin, more than the dot-com darlings of yesteryear, is positioned to be the principal beneficiary. At press time, Bitcoin traded at $124,024. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com