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Bitcoin has seen a modest decline in price after climbing above $94,000 earlier in the week. At the time of writing, BTC is trading at $92,775, reflecting a 1.3% decrease over the past 24 hours. The move comes after a multi-day rally that saw Bitcoin gain nearly 10% since the beginning of the week, raising questions about whether the recent momentum is sustainable or a temporary uptick amid broader market uncertainty. While price action has stalled slightly, on-chain data and exchange behavior are beginning to shape a clearer narrative for Bitcoin’s short-term outlook. Related Reading: Bitcoin Explodes Above $94,000 — What’s Igniting The Fire? Shift in Exchange Flows Signals Accumulation and Reduced Selling Pressure According to a new analysis from CryptoQuant contributor Novaque Research, investor behavior on Binance, currently one of the largest retail-focused crypto exchanges, may offer valuable insight into what comes next for BTC, particularly regarding liquidity conditions, positioning, and potential short-term price squeezes. Novaque Research pointed to notable changes in exchange flow patterns that appear to coincide with Bitcoin’s recent price behavior. Between April 6 and April 10, Bitcoin inflows into Binance exceeded 15,000 BTC. During this same period, Bitcoin’s price hovered in the $85,000 to $87,000 range. The analysts interpret this as indicative of increased sell-side pressure, likely driven by short-term traders liquidating positions or preparing for tax-related obligations. In contrast, between April 19 and April 23, Binance experienced over 15,000 BTC in outflows as the price moved above $93,000. This activity suggests a shift toward accumulation, with investors moving assets into self-custody—a trend often viewed as bullish since it implies reduced short-term selling risk. Supporting this view, the Exchange Reserve metric shows a declining trend since April 18, while the Exchange Whale Ratio fell below 0.3 on April 23, suggesting that large-volume traders are stepping back, and the market is becoming more influenced by retail behavior. Bitcoin Short Squeeze Potential Emerges as Leverage and Whale Activity Decline Alongside changes in exchange flows, Novaque Research notes that the structure of Bitcoin’s leveraged positions has also evolved. According to the analysis, leveraged long positions were largely flushed out in the $82,000 to $88,000 range, indicating that many short-term traders exited during the recent price swings. At the same time, short positions remain concentrated just above the $92,000 level, which could make them vulnerable to a short squeeze if the market gains further upward momentum. Related Reading: Bitcoin Buyers Take Control on Binance, But Funding Rates Flash a Warning The report concludes that market conditions are now more balanced, with fewer large players influencing price direction and thinner liquidity zones above current levels.  The CryptoQuant contributor noted: With the market structure cleaned up and liquidity thin above present levels, any trigger (ETF flows, Fed pivot , EM weakness) may rapidly propel BTC above $98K-$100K. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Bitcoin has reclaimed significant ground after a steep correction earlier this month, now trading above $93,000. The cryptocurrency is currently priced at $94,014, reflecting a 5% increase over the past 24 hours and more than 20% in gains over the last two weeks. This price level marks a renewed effort to recover from the recent drop that saw BTC reach as low as $74,000, placing attention on both market sentiment and underlying network behavior. With renewed interest in Bitcoin following last year’s Halving event, a CryptoQuant analyst has revealed interesting insights on BTC’s mining dynamics. Related Reading: Bitcoin Rockets To Monthly Highs As Open Interest Explodes By Over $3 Billion Post-Halving Emission Rates Deviate From Theoretical Output CryptoQuant contributor Carmelo Alemán has presented new insights into Bitcoin’s block issuance and total daily mining output, revealing a gap between theoretical assumptions and real-world data. His observations suggest that while Bitcoin’s block schedule is largely predictable, on-chain measurements may provide a more accurate view of post-Halving supply behavior. According to Bitcoin’s protocol, one block is expected to be mined every 10 minutes. Following the April Halving last year, the reward for each block was reduced from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC. This would imply that approximately 144 blocks are produced daily, leading to an estimated 450 BTC entering circulation each day (3.125 BTC × 144 blocks). However, Alemán’s analysis indicates that the actual number of newly mined coins is often lower than this theoretical estimate. By using the “Bitcoin: Total Supply” metric from CryptoQuant with daily resolution, Alemán examined the actual change in circulating supply and found discrepancies between the expected output and on-chain reality. These variances may result from slower-than-average block times, network difficulty adjustments, or temporary congestion within the mining ecosystem. While the Bitcoin protocol maintains a ten-minute block target, real-world mining activity does not always align with that schedule precisely on a daily basis. Bitcoin On-Chain Metrics Offer Real-Time Supply Monitoring The significance of Alemán’s findings lies in their implication for how Bitcoin supply is tracked and understood by investors, miners, and analysts. Instead of relying solely on theoretical projections based on protocol rules, on-chain metrics provide a view of actual blockchain activity. These insights can help refine market models, particularly during transitional periods such as post-halving adjustments. The halving event, which reduced the block reward by 50%, is designed to limit Bitcoin’s inflation rate and enforce its fixed supply cap. However, Alemán’s data suggests that monitoring total supply growth through blockchain records offers a more granular understanding of how much BTC is entering circulation on a day-to-day basis. This can influence market supply-demand calculations and even miner profitability estimates. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Bitcoin has now been seeing a consistent price increase, indicating a resumption in upward momentum. So far, the asset has regained some of its losses from its recent period of correction, with its price now trading above $87,000, closing in on the $90,000 psychological level. At the time of writing, BTC trades at $87,361, surging a 3.4% in the past day. Interestingly, despite the positive price movement, underlying activity in the broader Bitcoin market presents a more complex narrative. While spot price action appears relatively stable, significant outflows have been recorded from Bitcoin spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs), suggesting that institutional flows may not be aligning with the current rally. This contrast has led analysts to examine market dynamics beyond just price, particularly through the lens of on-chain behavior and historical patterns. Related Reading: Bitcoin Enters New Phase: Analyst Predicts Positive Movement In 2025 Bitcoin Spot ETF Outflows Reach Record Levels Amid Steady Price Action Recent analysis from CryptoQuant contributor Darkfost highlights an ongoing trend of capital outflows from spot Bitcoin ETFs. According to the data, over $4.8 billion has exited these products since they reached their cumulative inflow peak. Notably, this marks the largest drawdown since the ETFs were launched, signaling a shift in institutional behavior. However, Bitcoin’s price has shown limited sensitivity to this decline in ETF holdings, maintaining relative stability despite what might otherwise be interpreted as bearish pressure. Darkfost contextualized this by noting that ETF volumes currently represent around 1.5% of the total aggregated trading volume when factoring in both spot and futures markets. This suggests that although the ETF outflows are numerically significant, their overall impact on market structure may be limited due to the broader scale of liquidity available through other instruments. The data imply that short-term fluctuations in ETF holdings may not directly dictate market direction, particularly in periods of strong retail or futures-driven participation. Historical On-Chain Indicators Suggest a Potential Cycle Repeat Another CryptoQuant analyst, BilalHuseynov, examined long-term on-chain indicators and noted similarities between the current cycle and previous market phases. Drawing comparisons between 2018 and 2025, the analyst highlighted how Bitcoin’s recent price movement mirrors the behavior observed at the end of the 2018 bear market. According to the analysis, historical patterns suggest a potential turning point, where bearish sentiment transitions into a longer-term bullish trend. BilalHuseynov wrote: After an extended period in the red zone, Bitcoin is once again approaching a key threshold. The structure of the recovery and sentiment indicators appears aligned with those seen in previous transitions from downturn to uptrend. While the analyst acknowledged that macroeconomic variables and market sentiment can still alter the outcome, the pattern recognition suggests that historical precedent could offer insight into the present market state. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Bitcoin’s price action continues to draw attention as it briefly surpassed $87,000 in today’s trading session, marking a notable 3.3% increase over the past 24 hours. Though it has since slightly pulled back to around $86,815 at the time of writing, the asset’s gradual recovery since last week appears to be building a foundation for potential upward movement. Analysts now seem to be monitoring technical and on-chain trends as sentiment begins to lean toward a short-term bullish outlook. Particularly, on-chain data platform CryptoQuant has highlighted notable shifts in market behavior, including insights into funding rates, investor positioning, and psychological resistance levels. Despite the gains, not all investor groups are experiencing profits, with short-term holders still facing unrealized losses. Related Reading: What’s Next For Bitcoin After Crossing $87,000? Expert Discusses Possible Outcomes Several Bitcoin Bullish Signals Identified A recent analysis shared by CryptoQuant contributor EgyHash outlines several indicators suggesting that Bitcoin could be preparing for another upward leg. The analyst points out a significant $6 billion rise in open interest across derivatives markets over the past two weeks. Open interest measures the total value of outstanding futures contracts, and its growth typically reflects increased participation or confidence in the direction of price movement. This metric, coupled with a rise in funding rates, indicates an uptick in long-position interest among traders. Another key metric, exchange inflows, which track how much Bitcoin is being moved onto centralized exchanges, has declined notably during this same period. When fewer coins are sent to exchanges, it can imply reduced intent to sell, as holders typically deposit assets to liquidate them. This reduction in exchange inflow has been interpreted as a decrease in selling pressure, potentially supporting a more stable price environment in the short term. These on-chain metrics collectively hint at a market that may be gearing up for a continuation of its current trend, assuming external variables remain favorable. New Investors In Profit While Short-Term Holders Face Struggle While certain metrics lean bullish, a deeper look at investor categories reveals diverging outcomes. Another CryptoQuant analyst, Crazzyblockk, points out that Short-Term Holders (STHs), or those who purchased BTC within the last six months, remain in an unrealized loss position. Their average acquisition price stands at approximately $91,000, forming a key resistance level that may influence upcoming price movement. As long as Bitcoin trades below this level, latent sell pressure could persist, especially if upward momentum stalls. Conversely, new investors — defined as those who entered the market within the past month — have recently returned to profit. With a realized gain of 3.73%, this group is showing signs of renewed confidence, potentially contributing to near-term price support. Related Reading: Bitcoin Surges Above $87,000 In Sudden Move — Here’s The Catalyst However, according to the analyst, the current risk zone remains active until Bitcoin firmly closes above the $91,000 mark. Crazzyblockk wrote: Until BTC closes above the $91K threshold, Short-Term Holders remain in loss. This may sustain latent sell pressure, especially if price momentum weakens — reinforcing the importance of a decisive breakout above STH realized price to neutralize this overhang. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Despite broader market interest, Bitcoin continues to hover near the $84,000 mark, showing limited upward momentum. At the time of writing, the asset is trading at $84,596, down 0.1% in the last 24 hours. This places BTC approximately 22% below its all-time high of over $109,000 set earlier this year. The price action follows a recovery from earlier lows but remains range-bound, suggesting hesitancy among investors as macroeconomic uncertainties persist. One of the emerging observations comes from CryptoQuant analyst Crypto Dan, who compared Bitcoin’s current behavior to past correction cycles. Related Reading: Bitcoin Sentiment Still Close To Extreme Fear—Green Sign For Recovery? Speculation Eases, Setting the Stage for Potential Recovery In Dan’s recent QuickTake post titled “Cryptocurrency Market, Similar to the 2024 Correction Period,” Dan assessed the speculative dynamics of the market through the lens of short-term holder activity. His analysis suggests that the recent cooling-off period might mirror patterns observed during last year’s correction phase. According to Dan, one reliable gauge of market overheating is the percentage of Bitcoin supply held for one week to one month. When this metric rises, it often signals speculative enthusiasm, which can precede corrections. During previous bullish phases, such increases in short-term holdings were followed by pullbacks, marking peaks in investor exuberance. In the current cycle, Dan notes that this metric has once again reached a region previously associated with market bottoms—the same yellow box (on the chart shared) that aligned with the 2024 correction low. Based on this, he posits that speculative excesses have largely subsided, opening the door to renewed price growth if macroeconomic conditions continue to improve. However, he also emphasized that further consolidation may still occur before a broader trend shift materializes. Crypto Market, Similar to the 2024 Correction “Given that this ratio has now reached the yellow-box region, which was the bottom of the 2024 correction period, it seems likely that the current market will follow a similar path as the 2024 correction.” – By @DanCoinInvestor pic.twitter.com/YGNZxQnUXj — CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) April 18, 2025 Bitcoin Whale Activity Suggests Imminent Volatility Complementing this analysis, CryptoQuant contributor Mignolet pointed out a notable shift in coin movement behavior. In a separate post, he observed that around 170,000 BTC recently moved from the 3–6 month holding cohort. This group typically includes mid-term holders, and substantial activity from them has historically preceded increased price volatility. Related Reading: Bitcoin’s Futures Sentiment Weakens, Is The Ongoing Recovery Running Out of Steam? Mignolet illustrated his findings with data, noting that such movements have often signaled major price action, both upward and downward. Green box indicators on his chart marked rallies, while red boxes highlighted periods of decline. While the direction remains uncertain, he highlighted that the increased activity is an early warning sign that traders should be alert for a breakout or breakdown in the near future. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Bitcoin appears to be entering a period of consolidation following a brief burst of upward momentum earlier this week. After reaching nearly $86,000, the cryptocurrency has retraced slightly and is trading around $84,650 at the time of writing. Despite the pullback, analysts continue to monitor on-chain data to assess whether renewed buying pressure could support a more sustained recovery. One of those analysts, CryptoQuant contributor Avocado Onchain, recently shared his insights in a post titled “Coinbase Premium Signals Signs of Recovery Amid Market Turmoil, While Korea Premium Index Remains Lagging.” Avocado noted that escalating trade tensions between the US and China have added volatility to global markets, including Bitcoin. As gold rallies in response to the risk-off environment, Bitcoin has managed to hold above a critical support level after undergoing a more than 30% correction. Related Reading: Bitcoin Sentiment Still Close To Extreme Fear—Green Sign For Recovery? Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Tightens While Korea Lags According to Avocado, the Coinbase Premium, which measures the price difference between Bitcoin on Coinbase and other major exchanges, has begun to show a constructive pattern. The analyst wrote: Since the beginning of the prolonged correction in March 2024, the Coinbase Premium has displayed a pattern of compressing highs and lows. This was followed by a sharp rise in buying activity on Coinbase, causing the premium to spike and Bitcoin’s price to surge. Currently, the premium is once again narrowing into a triangle pattern of lower highs and higher lows. Avocado interprets this as a potential precursor to renewed upside momentum in the market, similar to past cycles. “This pattern suggests that institutional and US-based demand is recovering, even as overall market conditions remain unstable,” he added. In contrast, the Korea Premium Index, which tracks the price spread between Korean exchanges and global averages, has shown a weaker profile. Avocado explained that this index trended lower throughout 2024 and only began to rise after Bitcoin had already started to rally, indicating delayed participation from Korean retail investors. This divergence between the two metrics highlights a shift in regional market leadership, with US investors currently taking a more proactive role. Highlighting the Role of Regional Indicators in Market Recovery In his analysis, Avocado concluded that although macroeconomic uncertainty continues to influence short-term movements, indicators like the Coinbase Premium are showing signs of healthy demand. He pointed to the ongoing formation of a support base near $84,000 as a positive development in market structure. Related Reading: Bitcoin Faces Pressure As Report Flags Chinese Sell-Off Plans “Although overall market conditions remain unstable, the upward trend in the Coinbase Premium’s lows indicates healthy demand,” he noted. “This bodes well for a potentially strong mid- to long-term recovery in Bitcoin’s price trajectory.” Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Bitcoin’s upward momentum appears to be slowing down following a recovery phase earlier this week. After climbing close to $86,000, BTC has retraced slightly, hovering just above the $84,000 mark at the time of writing. The mild pullback comes after a 10% rise seen over the past seven days, which helped the asset recover from recent corrections triggered by macroeconomic pressures. While the price movement may suggest a healthy retracement or consolidation phase, market sentiment tells a more complex story. According to CryptoQuant contributor abramchart, futures sentiment has not mirrored the price surge, indicating caution among derivative traders. This divergence between price action and market sentiment could suggest growing uncertainty or a broader shift in investor behavior. Related Reading: Bitcoin At $1 Million? BPI Says One US Move Could Make It Happen Bitcoin Futures Sentiment Signals Cooling Conviction In his recent post titled “Weakening Futures Sentiment Signals Caution Amid Bitcoin Rally,” abramchart explained how sentiment indicators have not kept pace with BTC’s recent price movements. From November 2024 through early 2025, Bitcoin experienced strong gains, but the futures sentiment index peaked early and has since been declining steadily. Despite prices staying relatively high, the index now trends near the support zone around 0.4, suggesting increased bearish sentiment. The sentiment index’s resistance is historically around 0.8, with support near 0.2. According to abramchart, the index hovering closer to support may reflect ongoing profit-taking, growing macroeconomic uncertainty, or investor hesitation around regulatory developments. He also noted that Bitcoin’s average trading range between $70K and $80K suggests possible accumulation rather than strong directional conviction. If sentiment continues to linger at current levels, further consolidation or downside action may be expected in the absence of strong bullish catalysts. Weakening Futures Sentiment Signals “The chart shows that while Bitcoin reached significant highs, futures sentiment weakened, which can be a warning signal of potential retracement or at least a lack of strong bullish conviction.” – By @abramchart pic.twitter.com/zzSmUJsQ8Y — CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) April 16, 2025 Binance Derivatives Show Bullish Signs Returning In contrast to the cautious sentiment observed in the broader futures market, activity on Binance derivatives is showing signs of renewed optimism. Another CryptoQuant analyst, Darkfost, highlighted a shift in the Binance taker buy/sell ratio—a metric used to measure which side, buyers or sellers, is dominating trading volume on the exchange’s derivatives platform. According to Darkfost, the 30-day exponential moving average of this ratio had remained below 1 for much of 2025, indicating sustained bearish sentiment. However, recent readings show a return to neutral territory, with bullish activity picking up. The ratio trending above 1 indicates buyer dominance, and current data suggests that long traders are becoming more active again. Related Reading: Bitcoin Bulls Positioning Aggressively On Binance, Data Shows Although this doesn’t guarantee a market reversal, it may signal short-term momentum returning in favor of bulls, especially on trading venues like Binance that play a key role in crypto price discovery. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

On the higher time frame, Bitcoin appears to still be in a bearish market with the asset recording a 21.7% decrease away from its all-time high (ATH) above $109,000 recorded in January. However, when slightly zoomed in, it is seen that the asset is seeing a gradual and steady rebound surging 6.8% in the past week to bring its asset closer to the psychological $90,000 mark with a current trading price hovering above $85,000. The latest analysis from CryptoQuant analyst Crypto Dan offers context for this cautious optimism. In a post titled “Why does this cycle feel so boring?”, Dan explained that, unlike previous bull cycles that featured fast-paced rallies and surging interest from short-term participants, the current cycle appears subdued. Related Reading: Bitcoin Lags Gold As Wall Street Doubts Persist, Claims Expert Why The Current Cycle Is Different One major indicator supporting Dan’s observation is the notably lower percentage of Bitcoin held for short durations (1 week to 1 month), reflecting minimal engagement from newer market entrants. Dan attributes this behavioral shift to two primary structural changes. First is the macroeconomic environment. In contrast to the aggressive liquidity injections and near-zero interest rates of the 2020–2021 period, the current market faces tight liquidity and high interest rates, reducing the pace and scale of capital inflows. Second is the transition in market leadership from retail traders to institutional investors. The approval and growing adoption of Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have transformed the nature of capital movement into the space, making price movements more measured and incremental. As a result, the market’s development is more cautious, lacking the euphoria typically seen in previous cycles. Dan emphasized that while some on-chain metrics may suggest a cycle top, the current structure could instead be pointing to a more extended and gradual market evolution. He suggested that long-term patience, rather than short-term speculation, may yield better outcomes under these conditions, noting: In times like this, what matters most isn’t chasing quick pumps— It’s understanding the slower structure and having the patience to stay with it. Bitcoin On-Chain Metrics Signal Strength Despite Unusual Cycle Supporting this longer-term perspective, another CryptoQuant analyst elcryptotavo noted that a key on-chain metric remains strong. According to his analysis, over 70% of the Bitcoin supply remains in profit—a level historically associated with price stability. This metric tracks the percentage of circulating BTC with a cost basis below the current market price. A supply-in-profit ratio that remains elevated, particularly above the 70% mark, has often served as a foundation for further upward momentum. Elcryptotavo added that the next target is to push this metric back toward the 80% level, which would reinforce bullish momentum and possibly sustain the current upward trend. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Forms This Bullish Pennant On Daily Chart That Could Trigger Rise To $137,000 If this threshold is achieved alongside improving macro conditions and continued ETF inflows, Bitcoin could see renewed strength even in the absence of speculative enthusiasm. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Bitcoin has experienced a notable rebound over the past week, following a brief period of downside pressure earlier this month. After dropping below $80,000 amid the tariff turmoil, the asset has regained its losses and is now trading above $85,000. This recovery marks a nearly 10% surge over the last seven days and comes as investors reassess macroeconomic cues and on-chain signals. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Forecast: What Experts Anticipate Following The Jump Toward $85,000 Bitcoin On-Chain Trends Indicate Continued Uptrend The market’s resilience appears to be underpinned by several important metrics. According to a recent post by CryptoQuant analyst BorisVest, various on-chain indicators continue to suggest that Bitcoin remains undervalued in the current cycle. The analysis points to declining exchange reserves, a stablecoin supply ratio that suggests available liquidity for new purchases, and normalized funding rates that may indicate a reduced risk of overheated market conditions. One of the striking observations in BorisVest’s analysis is the ongoing reduction in exchange-held Bitcoin reserves, which have now returned to levels not seen since 2018. The total number of BTC on exchanges stands at around 2.43 million, significantly down from the 3.4 million observed during the 2021 bull market peak. This reduction implies a shift toward long-term holding behavior among investors, limiting available supply for immediate sale and potentially contributing to upward price pressure. In addition, the Stablecoin Supply Ratio (SSR) currently stands at 14.3. The SSR is a metric used to gauge the purchasing power available in the market via stablecoins. A lower SSR indicates higher purchasing power and potential for further buying activity. Since the SSR has not reached the elevated levels seen during the last cycle’s peak, the data implies that capital remains on the sidelines and could be deployed as prices stabilize or rise. Normalized Funding Rates and Bullish Implications Another significant factor highlighted in the report is the normalization of funding rates. During Bitcoin’s recent all-time highs, funding rates spiked as long positions accumulated rapidly, suggesting an overheated market and increased short-term risk. However, since the correction, these rates have returned to neutral territory, now hovering between 0.00% and 0.01%. This return to balance is interpreted as a reset of market sentiment, reducing the likelihood of immediate downside caused by over-leveraged longs. The report concludes that the combination of declining exchange reserves, a stable SSR, and subdued funding rates supports a constructive outlook for Bitcoin in the near term. Related Reading: Strategy’s Bitcoin Portfolio Grows To Nearly 600,000 BTC After Recent Purchase While broader macroeconomic factors, such as the global tariff environment and monetary policy, will continue to influence sentiment, current on-chain dynamics suggest that investor confidence remains intact. The focus now shifts to whether these conditions will translate into sustained upward momentum or if a period of consolidation will take hold before the next major move. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Following Bitcoin’s correction dropping to as low as $74,000 earlier this month amid the recent global tariff war, the asset has now begun to see steady recovery with its price hovering above $85,000 after a 10% surge in the past week as President Trump’s 90-day tariff pause affecting all countries except China. The announcement helped ease market concerns, contributing to renewed momentum in both equity and digital asset markets. Related Reading: Bitcoin Holds Above 365-Day Moving Average, But Market Sentiment Remains Subdued Bitcoin Whales Show Restraint as Market Climbs As Bitcoin finds its footing in upward momentum, a new analysis from CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost suggests that large holders on Binance—one of the most active crypto exchanges—are responding to macroeconomic uncertainty with a cautious, but notably non-reactive, approach. The insights were detailed in a post titled “How Are Binance Whales Reacting to Market Uncertainty?” which examined key on-chain metrics. According to Darkfost, two primary indicators reveal the evolving behavior of Binance whales. The first, the Exchange Whale Ratio (EWR), compares the top 10 inflows to total inflows on Binance to gauge whale involvement. A rising 365-day moving average (DMA) for the EWR reflects a growing concentration of inflows from large holders over time, indicating their stronger influence during long-term trends. However, a recent decline in the 30DMA points to reduced short-term activity. This suggests that whales may be taking a step back from active trading, neither selling aggressively nor showing signs of panic. The second metric, Whale to Exchange Flow, analyzes the value of whale inflows to Binance over a 30-day period. Here too, the trend is down—falling over $3 billion, mirroring similar drawdowns observed during past corrections in 2024. Combined, these signals suggest that Binance whales are opting to hold their positions rather than sell into current market conditions, potentially signaling confidence in longer-term prospects despite ongoing uncertainty. Buying Strength Persists Despite Uncertain Outlook In a related CryptoQuant post, analyst Mignolet highlighted a continued pattern of buying strength on Binance. According to the analyst, the market buy ratio—an indicator tracking the volume of market buy orders—has not only remained intact but has recently surpassed previous highs. This trend highlights persistent demand despite recent market corrections and volatility. The recurring nature of this pattern suggests that there is underlying buyer strength even as external macroeconomic forces, such as trade policies and regulatory shifts, continue to influence sentiment. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Rises Steadily—But Can the Rally Hold This Time?? Historically, a sustained increase in the buy ratio has preceded medium-term rallies, although confirmation of a new trend will require follow-through in both price action and volume metrics. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Bitcoin has begun showing early signs of recovery following a recent correction that saw the asset fall to $74,000 earlier this month. At the time of writing, Bitcoin trades above $82,000, inching closer to the $85,000 range with its market capitalization now sitting above $1.6 trillion. A recent market report from CryptoQuant outlines several contributing factors to this rebound. According to the firm, crypto price volatility remained high throughout the week, fueled by trade tensions and macroeconomic developments. Prices dipped sharply earlier in the week after retaliatory tariffs were introduced by China and the European Union. However, they began recovering on April 9 following the tariff suspension. The temporary policy reduced tariffs to 10% for most countries, while China remained subject to a 125% rate. Related Reading: Is The Bitcoin Bottom In After Trump’s Tariff Pause? Here’s What To Expect Bitcoin Technical Support and Market Sentiment CryptoQuant’s report also emphasized the importance of Bitcoin’s 365-day moving average (MA), which currently stands at $76,100. This level has previously served as a key technical support in historical market cycles, including in August 2024, July 2021, and December 2021. The recent bounce from this level is being closely monitored as a potential base for a renewed uptrend. A breach below this moving average, however, would increase the likelihood of Bitcoin entering a bearish phase. Despite this positive movement, investor sentiment remains subdued. CryptoQuant noted in the report: Nevertheless, although market sentiment has improved after the tariff pause, Bitcoin remains in one of its least bullish phases since November 2022, according to CryptoQuant’s Bull Score Index. The Index is now at 10—its lowest reading since that time—signaling continued weak investor sentiment and a low probability of a sustained rally in the near term. According to the firm, a longer-term rally is unlikely unless the score climbs above 40.  Furthermore, with BTC’s price currently on the rise, CryptoQuant mentioned that the asset could find resistance at $84,000 and $96,000—zones historically linked to the Trader Realized Price, which has served as both support and resistance in different market phases. Altcoin Accumulation Signal Emerges In a separate commentary, CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost presented data that may indicate favorable conditions for altcoin accumulation. The analyst observed that the 30-day moving average of trading volume for altcoins paired with stablecoins has dropped below its annual average. This market behavior, according to Darkfost, has previously marked buying zones, with the last occurrence seen in September 2023. The analysis suggests that while Bitcoin’s near-term outlook remains uncertain, altcoins may be entering a phase conducive to dollar-cost averaging (DCA) strategies. Related Reading: Ethereum Long-Term Holders Show Signs Of Capitulation – Prime Accumulation Zone? Darkfost cautioned that these windows can last for weeks or months but have historically aligned with the early stages of altcoin market recoveries. If the macroeconomic environment stabilizes and capital flows return, these conditions could lead to broader participation across the crypto sector. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Bitcoin and other crypto assets faced headwinds in the first quarter of 2025 as global economic tensions intensified. After a strong start to the year driven by optimism over President Donald Trump’s return and supportive macroeconomic expectations, the crypto market struggled with a sharp drop in trading volumes. According to a new report by Kaiko, the tariff measures introduced by the Trump administration contributed to increased volatility and risk-off behavior among market participants. Related Reading: Is The Bitcoin Bottom In After Trump’s Tariff Pause? Here’s What To Expect Crypto Q1 Volume and Liquidity Performance Bitcoin, which had rallied to new highs in January, has now fallen by over 25% from its peak, ending the quarter down approximately 12%. Ethereum and the top altcoins also saw declines, with AI and memecoins posting average losses above 50%. Weekly volumes for BTC, ETH, and other major tokens averaged $266 billion, down 30% from levels seen in late 2024. Kaiko attributed much of the decline to offshore exchange activity falling and traders pulling back due to rapid market swings and uncertainty. U.S.-based exchanges maintained strong market depth despite broader selloffs, buffering the impact on Bitcoin’s liquidity. Platforms like Coinbase, Kraken, and CEX.IO collectively comprised 60% of BTC’s market depth in Q1. This allowed BTC to outperform many altcoins, which suffered from both reduced demand and thinner liquidity. Kaiko noted that this environment favored larger-cap assets and further highlighted the resilience of BTC compared to other riskier assets in the crypto space. The report noted: Altcoin volatility surged in early 2025, reaching multi-year or all-time highs for certain tokens, notably Cardano’s ADA. Bitcoin’s volatility also rose, from 34% in February to 51% in March, though it stayed below the peaks observed during last August’s carry trade unwinding. The growing volatility gap between Bitcoin and altcoins may discourage risk-averse traders from entering the market in the near future. The Path Ahead: Outlook For Q2 Looking forward, Kaiko analysts believe the second quarter could offer renewed opportunities. The White House’s recent decision to delay tariff implementation by 90 days has already sparked a short-term rally, suggesting sensitivity to macroeconomic developments remains high. More importantly, structural tailwinds are building: the expansion of the stablecoin market, pending ETF approvals for altcoins, and the appointment of pro-crypto SEC Chair Paul Atkins could all support a recovery In addition, the stablecoin sector, led by USDT and USDC, has grown 33% since late 2024, now exceeding $230 billion in supply. Historical data from Kaiko suggests that expansions in stablecoin supply often precede broader crypto rallies. Related Reading: Bitcoin Bulls Crushed: $500 Million Liquidation Shakes Market Confidence With over 40 crypto-related ETF applications pending review and two stablecoin bills gaining momentum in Congress, the potential for renewed institutional participation is rising. Kaiko’s report concluded that if market volatility subsides and regulatory clarity improves, Q2 may mark a shift in sentiment. While risks remain from geopolitical tensions and economic policies, the combination of macro catalysts and maturing infrastructure may pave the way for renewed growth, particularly for Bitcoin. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Bitcoin is currently trading at $76,899, marking a 3.7% decline in the past 24 hours and a 29.4% drop from its all-time high above $109,000 recorded in January. After falling below $80,000 on Sunday, the digital asset has struggled to reclaim upward momentum, reflecting persistent selling pressure in the broader crypto market. While price action continues to dominate headlines, on-chain data reveals deeper shifts in market dynamics. A recent analysis by CryptoQuant contributor Onchained highlights a notable transition in Bitcoin ownership patterns.  Related Reading: Next Bitcoin Peak Delayed To Late 2026, Business Cycle Expert Warns Bitcoin Short-Term Losses and Long-Term Accumulation In the post titled “Short-Term Capitulation Meets Long-Term Conviction: A Structural Shift in Bitcoin Ownership,” the analyst identified structural changes between short-term and long-term holders, providing insights into the asset’s underlying market behavior. According to the insight, Bitcoin has seen a ~15% drawdown from $88,000 to $74,400 over the past week. On April 7, Short-Term Holders (STH) realized a significant $10 billion drop in their realized cap—a metric reflecting the price at which coins were last moved—marking their largest single-day loss of the cycle. This decline was met with an almost equivalent $9.7 billion increase in Long-Term Holders’ (LTH) realized cap, suggesting a substantial transfer of coins from recent buyers to more experienced holders. By April 8, realized losses from STHs declined to $693 million, indicating a possible exhaustion of panic selling. In contrast, LTHs continued increasing their cost basis by an additional $1.13 billion, reflecting ongoing accumulation despite minimal price recovery. Onchained interprets this as a typical sign of supply transitioning from weaker hands to those with higher conviction, which has historically occurred near market bottoms or early recovery stages. The analyst noted: “This is not merely a coincidence: this is the market transferring coins from weak to strong hands.” Adding: Long-term investors are stepping in with conviction: buying weakness and absorbing supply. – This behavior has historically marked the late stages of corrections or the early phase of recovery. Potential Impact on Market Structure This divergence between STH and LTH behavior may hold broader implications for Bitcoin’s market structure. As STHs reduce their holdings, potential short-term sell pressure and overhead resistance may decline. At the same time, rising accumulation by LTHs suggests confidence in Bitcoin’s long-term prospects, even amid current volatility. Historically, similar patterns have preceded stabilization or trend reversals. A shrinking supply in the hands of reactive traders coupled with consistent buying by long-term participants can form the foundation for renewed price support. Whether this shift signals the end of the current correction or an early stage of recovery remains to be confirmed, but on-chain trends continue to suggest meaningful repositioning within the Bitcoin market. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Bitcoin is continuing to face downward pressure in the market, with the cryptocurrency falling below $80,000 on Sunday for the first time since last year. Despite a 4.1% recovery in the past 24 hours bringing it back to $79,825, Bitcoin remains down 26% from its all-time high of over $109,000 recorded in January 2025. Market sentiment remains mixed, as investors weigh on-chain data, short-term volatility, and the broader macroeconomic environment. Related Reading: Short-Term Holders Under Pressure as Bitcoin Slides—Capitulation Coming? Bitcoin Open Interest Reflects Cautious Sentiment Bitcoin’s open interest metric has revealed cautious behavior among leveraged traders. CryptoQuant analyst Maartunn reported a 17.8% drop in Bitcoin open interest over the past week. This decline represents a significant reduction in the number of outstanding derivative contracts and may reflect investor hesitation following recent price volatility. Historically, such sharp declines in open interest have occurred before major market rebounds, as speculative leverage is flushed out of the system. With leverage reset, market participants may begin re-entering positions, especially if prices find a strong support level or if further whale accumulation signals renewed bullish momentum. Bitcoin Open Interest dropped -17.8% ???? This is over the last 7 days – shedding billions in leverage. Over the last 2 years, these flush-outs often set the stage for major buy opportunity’s. pic.twitter.com/wXIxSXr7Nz — Maartunn (@JA_Maartun) April 8, 2025 Accumulation Trends Signal Long-Term Confidence Meanwhile, there has been a notable trend in the behavior of long-term holders and whales. According to on-chain data shared by CryptoQuant contributor Onchained, a substantial number of accumulating addresses have continued to buy Bitcoin aggressively even during the asset’s climb to new highs. This cohort’s realized capitalization has surged from around $20 billion in 2023 to $160 billion in 2025, with BTC supply held by these entities increasing from approximately 800,000 to 3 million BTC. This trend suggests that rather than scaling back during price increases, large holders significantly accelerated their buying efforts, indicating a high level of conviction. The analyst wrote: This indicates the average acquisition price per bitcoin for accumulating addresses rose substantially, yet accumulation accelerated rather than slowed. A strong evidence of high-conviction buying regardless of price increases. Onchained also noted a widening gap between retail and whale realized capitalization, pointing to the growing role of high-capital investors in market dynamics. These whale wallets, typically less reactive to short-term market swings, are continuing to remove BTC from circulation, a pattern that may contribute to future supply constraints. Onchained’s analysis further highlights three key implications: a growing supply-side pressure as more BTC enters inactive wallets, strong conviction from holders through all market phases, and the potential for future supply shocks as long-term accumulation continues. Featured image created with Dall-E, Chart from TradingView

Bitcoin faced a notable sell pressure earlier today, with its price trading as low as $74,604. However, at the time of writing, the asset is seeing a quiet rebound with prices now hovering back above $79,000. Regardless of this slight uptick, the asset is still down by 3.1% in the past day and nearly 30% from its peak above $109,000 registered in January. According to CryptoQuant contributor IT Tech, a significant shift may be underway. Related Reading: Understanding Bitcoin Struggles: Why Realized Cap Indicates A Bear Market Old Coins Starts To Move: Sell Off ahead? In a recent analysis titled “Massive spike in Exchange Inflow CDD signals old coins are waking up,” IT Tech noted a considerable surge in the Exchange Inflow Coin Days Destroyed (CDD) metric. CDD measures the movement of older coins—those that have not changed hands for a long time. When coins with high coin days are moved, it often indicates that long-term holders are transferring their assets to exchanges, potentially with the intent to sell. Historically, spikes in Exchange Inflow CDD have preceded large price corrections. IT Tech highlighted that the latest surge in this metric coincided with Bitcoin’s drop from $82,000 to $76,000, suggesting that some veteran holders may be preparing to liquidate their positions. Such behavior tends to exert additional sell pressure on the market, particularly during already volatile conditions. These movements could indicate an inflection point, with older investors potentially looking to secure profits amid broader market uncertainty. If this trend continues, it could serve as a bearish signal, as coins dormant for months or years re-enter circulation. Bitcoin Short-Term Metrics Indicate Possible Cooling Trend Meanwhile, in a separate analysis, another CryptoQuant analyst BilalHuseynov offered insights into short-term holder behavior through the lens of realized price data. In a post titled “Bitcoin: Realized Price – UTXO Age Bands,” the analyst examined how the realized prices for coins held by short-term investors—specifically those held for one week to one month and one to three months—can reveal the health of the ongoing market trend. These UTXO age bands help determine whether recent buyers are holding in profit or loss. In bullish phases, these bands trend upwards, signaling accumulation. However, at market tops, the lines tend to flatten or decline, indicating distribution by short-term participants. According to Huseynov, this is what the current data reflects. The 1-month to 3-month realized price is curving downward, echoing patterns seen at previous peaks in April and November 2021, and more recently in March 2025. Related Reading: Bitcoin’s Bullish Fate Hinges On These 2 Resistance Zones – Details If this trend persists, it could mean that newer holders are facing losses and may soon capitulate, possibly leading to further downside. Conversely, during past bear cycles, these bands have often marked bottom zones where prices found support and reversed. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Bitcoin, the leading cryptocurrency, continues to exhibit uncertain momentum since hitting its all-time high above $109,000 in January 2024. Since then, the digital asset has experienced diminished bullish activity and steady downward pressure, reflected by its latest price of approximately $82,000, marking a marginal weekly drop of about 0.6%. Related Reading: Bitcoin Market Sentiment Worsens as Bull Score Index Drops to 10 Market Implications of Volume Ratio Trends Amid these market conditions, Crypto Dan, an analyst contributing to CryptoQuant’s QuickTake platform, has provided insights highlighting a notable market trend. According to Dan, Bitcoin’s trading volume over six to twelve months acts as an indicator of the amount of capital entering the cryptocurrency market during specific market cycles. As highlighted in the chart shared, the metric typically undergoes two distinct phases of decline: the first signals the conclusion of the early bull cycle phase, while the second, lower drop, traditionally marks the peak and subsequent end of the cycle. The volume ratio trend outlined by Crypto Dan provides insights into investor behavior and market sentiment. Essentially, as this ratio decreases for the second time, historical patterns suggest that investor interest and speculative activity may begin to taper, potentially signaling the culmination of the ongoing bull run. Investors typically interpret such movements cautiously, as similar past events often preceded significant corrections in the market Technical Analysts View on Bitcoin Technical analysts add additional perspectives on Bitcoin’s current status. Analyst RektCapital recently pointed out significant developments in Bitcoin’s Relative Strength Index (RSI)—a momentum oscillator measuring the speed and magnitude of recent price movements to assess overbought or oversold conditions. RektCapital highlighted that the Monthly RSI level of 60 previously represented resistance levels during Bitcoin’s dominance peaks in August 2019 and December 2020. #BTC Dominance The Monthly RSI 60 (green) represented the peak for Bitcoin Dominance in August 2019 & December 2020 In previous cycles, Monthly RSI 60 was the ceiling In this cycle, Monthly RSI 60 is the floor$BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin pic.twitter.com/G47KSa33ZR — Rekt Capital (@rektcapital) April 4, 2025 Notably, this cycle differs, with the Monthly RSI 60 acting as a support floor rather than resistance. This change could suggest ongoing strength and potential resilience in Bitcoin’s price. Meanwhile, Javon Marks, another market analyst, emphasizes a bullish chart pattern currently forming for Bitcoin. Related Reading: Corporate Bitcoin Buying Hits Record Levels, Yet Prices Are Down—Here’s Why Marks believes these signals indicate an impending significant rally, suggesting that despite current market caution, underlying indicators remain strong, hinting at future bullish momentum. He argues investors ignoring these patterns may soon have to acknowledge a substantial upward price movement. Just another warning from us that Bitcoin can be getting massively bull soon. They can ignore the signs all they want but they are there and present and soon, they may have no choice but to face the major results of. Soon.$BTC pic.twitter.com/68ceDUyfU5 — JAVON⚡️MARKS (@JavonTM1) April 4, 2025 .Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Bitcoin’s recent price trajectory has continued to show considerable instability. After briefly climbing past the $87,000 mark earlier this week, the cryptocurrency experienced a significant pullback, declining to $81,332 earlier today. As of the latest data, Bitcoin is trading at around $82,600, reflecting a weekly decrease of about 7.6%. This downward momentum indicates ongoing market uncertainty, influencing investor strategies and market sentiment. With frequent retracements and short-lived surges, the current pattern highlights persistent volatility in the cryptocurrency space. This instability has prompted some analysts to explore more profound insights into investor behavior to predict potential market directions. Related Reading: Bitcoin On High Alert: US Recession Odds Top 50% On Kalshi Analyzing Binance User Activity for BTC Market Signals CryptoQuant analyst Maartunn recently provided a perspective on Bitcoin market dynamics through an analysis of user activity on Binance, the world’s largest cryptocurrency exchange by trading volume. Maartunn’s investigation into Binance user retention patterns offered some interesting insights into trading behavior that could influence Bitcoin’s market performance. According to the analyst’s findings, over half of returning Binance users make their second deposit within 16 days following their initial transaction. Nearly 10% of users perform their second deposit within just one day, indicating active trading behavior rather than passive investment strategies. Furthermore, approximately one-third of returning users reload their accounts by day seven, reinforcing the notion that Binance predominantly attracts traders engaging in frequent transactions. Over 50% of Returning Binance Users Make a Second Deposit Within 16 Days “Some interesting takeaways: ???? Nearly 10% return on Day 1, showing immediate trading interest. ???? By Day 7, one-third of users have already reloaded. ???? By Day 16, over 50% of returning users have made a… pic.twitter.com/OG6d6BKUdt — CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) April 4, 2025 What Does This Mean for Bitcoin? This high frequency of early deposits by returning users highlights a pattern of short-term trading rather than long-term holding. Such active engagement on Binance can directly impact Bitcoin’s price volatility, as rapid buying and selling contribute significantly to market fluctuations. Increased trading activity shortly after initial deposits often implies speculative market behavior, potentially leading to quick price movements in both directions. Overall, the behavioral trends observed on Binance suggest that Bitcoin might continue to experience sharp volatility in the near term. The quick return rate of traders to deposit funds signals a market where trading volume spikes are frequent, influencing Bitcoin’s price stability. Related Reading: Bitcoin Market Sentiment Worsens as Bull Score Index Drops to 10 As traders rapidly enter and exit positions, the market can witness sudden price shifts driven by speculative trades rather than sustained investment interest. Meanwhile, recent data has revealed Bitcoin bull score index has seen a notable drop to 10. CryptoQuant Bull Score Index has been signaling bearish conditions (40 or below) since Bitcoin was at $96K. 100 represents the most bullish conditions and 0 the least bullish (or bearish). The Index currently stands at 10. pic.twitter.com/J5vZWYg5Nb — Julio Moreno (@jjcmoreno) April 3, 2025 Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Bitcoin’s price appears to have resumed its downward trajectory after briefly recovering to the $87,000 level earlier this week. At the time of writing, Bitcoin has experienced a 5.7% decline in the past 24 hours, bringing its price significantly below recent highs. Currently, BTC is down approximately 24.7% from its all-time high recorded above $109,000 in January, highlighting ongoing bearish pressure in the market. As Bitcoin continues to navigate turbulent market conditions, analysts are paying close attention to various indicators to predict the asset’s next move. Related Reading: Analyst Identifies Key Bitcoin Demand Zone For ‘Substantial Gains’ – Details Bull Score Index and Spent Output Age Bands Indicator CryptoQuant analyst Julio Moreno recently highlighted the significance of the CryptoQuant Bull Score Index, a tool designed to measure market sentiment for Bitcoin. According to Moreno, the Bull Score Index has been flashing bearish signals—below the critical threshold of 40—since Bitcoin traded around $96,000. At present, the Index has dropped even further, reaching a remarkably low level of 10, indicating severely bearish market conditions. The Bull Score Index is a metric developed to quantify the bullish or bearish sentiment of the Bitcoin market. Scores closer to 100 indicate highly bullish sentiment, suggesting strong buying momentum, while scores approaching 0 indicate overwhelmingly bearish conditions, with significant selling pressure and negative market sentiment. With the index now at 10, investor confidence appears notably weakened, pointing towards caution in the short term. Adding to these bearish signals, another CryptoQuant analyst, Maartunn, reported increased activity among older BTC holders, known as “Spent Output Age Bands.” This indicator measures the age of Bitcoin that is actively being moved or transacted. When a large volume of older coins (coins held for several years) is moved, it typically suggests that long-term holders might be preparing to sell. 1,057 Bitcoin that hadn’t moved in 7–10 years just woke up. Long-term holders may be preparing to sell. https://t.co/A6I7Mo3ljX — CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) April 3, 2025 Maartunn noted that over 1,057 BTC aged between 7 to 10 years recently moved, pushing this indicator above the critical 50 threshold, signifying potential increased selling pressure from long-term investors. Contrasting Views from Technical Indicators Despite these bearish warnings, some analysts remain optimistic about Bitcoin’s potential near-term performance. Crypto analyst Javon Marks has pointed to the Relative Strength Index (RSI), a momentum indicator that measures the speed and change of recent price movements, to justify his bullish stance. A breakout in the RSI typically signals growing bullish momentum and could precede significant price increases. According to Marks, Bitcoin’s daily RSI has recently held its breakout level, similar to previous bullish occurrences that have historically preceded significant upward moves. Related Reading: Corporate Bitcoin Buying Hits Record Levels, Yet Prices Are Down—Here’s Why However, another analyst known as Titan of Crypto has issued a cautionary note. Titan stressed that Bitcoin needs to maintain its position within a key support channel and keep the weekly RSI above important support levels to avoid further correction. If Bitcoin fails to hold these levels, Titan predicts that a deeper market downturn could ensue, causing additional challenges for traders and investors. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Bitcoin has seen a notable price consolidation over the past few weeks, trading between the $84,000 and $86,000 levels. Despite the initial surge in price, the cryptocurrency has faced a decline of 3.7% in the past week and nearly 10% in the past month, signaling a period of stagnation in its upward momentum. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is priced at $84,263, raising questions about the future trajectory of the asset as investors await a clear direction. Related Reading: Bitcoin Reverses Losses—Analysts Say $100K Is On The Horizon The Dead Cross: A Signal for a Potential Price Drop? BilalHuseynov, a contributor to CryptoQuant’s QuickTake Platform, has offered valuable insights into Bitcoin’s current market behavior. In his latest post, titled “Will Bitcoin Drop Anymore?”, he sheds light on key on-chain metrics that may help predict the next movement in Bitcoin’s price. His analysis revolves around the behavior of two important metrics: Realized Cap and Thermo Cap, particularly focusing on their recent crossover, which could have significant implications for Bitcoin’s price direction. Huseynov explains that the Realized Cap metric, which tracks Bitcoin’s total value based on its last movement price, gives a more accurate representation of the network’s economic value. On the other hand, Thermo Cap measures the total capital introduced into the BTC network through mining. When Thermo Cap crosses below Realized Cap — known as a “Dead Cross” — it signals that Bitcoin might be heading toward a price decline. Huseynov points out that this situation is unfolding and predicts that BTC’s price could drop to as low as $75,000 if the second Dead Cross materializes. Is The Bitcoin Market Condition Still Healthy? In addition to Huseynov analysis, another CryptoQuant’s analyst Banker has provided insight into the Coin Days Destroyed (CDD) metric, which tracks the movement of long-dormant BTC. Since March 2025, the CDD 60-day moving average has remained low, indicating that long-term holders are not selling their Bitcoin in large quantities. This behavior is often a sign of confidence among seasoned investors, suggesting that they believe in Bitcoin’s long-term potential. Related Reading: Is The Bitcoin Bull Run Over? Watch This Key Price The absence of major CDD spikes indicates that the market is not experiencing extreme price volatility, which could signal a period of consolidation or eventual upward momentum as selling pressure remains low. This development also coincides with recent reports of short-term holders exhibiting less selling pressure after their initial move of taking profits. Decrease in selling pressure by 1-3 month holders “These holders appear to show reduced activity in the market after taking profits from their short-term trades.” – By @CryptoOnchain Read more ⤵️https://t.co/ThyGe7pjPO pic.twitter.com/0minPLfiWM — CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) April 1, 2025 Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Bitcoin has recently displayed signs of upward momentum, trading at $85,215, marking a 2.2% increase in just the past day. Despite this short-term gain, the asset remains down by over 21.2% from its all-time high of $109,000 reached in January. The ongoing price fluctuations have left Bitcoin in a downward trend on a broader time scale, with investors and analysts closely watching for signs of a rally. Related Reading: Will Bitcoin Downtrend Continue? This Metric Suggests Yes Path To $150k: Short-Term Holders’ Changing Behavior Despite the recent dip, data from CryptoQuant provides interesting insights into Bitcoin’s market dynamics. According to one of CryptoQuant’s contributors, Onchained, the behavior of short-term holders is a key factor to observe in the current market. Onchained’s analysis suggests that short-term holders, defined as those who have held Bitcoin for between one and three months, are no longer panicking and selling at a loss as they did in previous market cycles. The analysis reveals a slowdown in the selling pressure from this group, suggesting a shift in sentiment. Onchained’s report highlights the importance of the Short-Term Holder Net Realized PNL to Exchanges (CEXs) metric. This metric helps determine the selling pressure on Bitcoin, showing who is selling, whether they’re selling at a profit or loss, and the overall intensity of the market’s movement. The data indicates that while short-term holders are selling, the realized losses have been relatively low compared to unrealized losses. This suggests that these holders, despite being in the red, are opting to hold their positions rather than panic sell. Onchained further notes that this reduction in selling pressure could indicate the formation of a market bottom. Historically, when realized losses from short-term holders have been low and selling pressure has diminished, it has marked the end of a downward trend and the beginning of a recovery phase. With 28% of Bitcoin’s circulating supply in the hands of short-term holders, if these coins transition into long-term holders, it could significantly contribute to Bitcoin’s price surge beyond $150,000. Related Reading: Saylor’s Strategy Adds $1.9 Billion Worth Of Bitcoin To Growing Portfolio Decreasing Selling Pressure and What It Means for Bitcoin’s Future Another CryptoQuant analyst, CryptoOnchain, has pointed out that the selling pressure from short-term holders is indeed decreasing, as reflected in both the Short-Term SOPR chart and the UTXO Age Band for holders between one to three months. The data shows a decrease in Bitcoin being moved by this group, suggesting that short-term investors are holding off on making further sales. This aligns with Onchained’s view that a reduction in short-term selling pressure could signal a market bottom. Decrease in selling pressure by 1-3 month holders “These holders appear to show reduced activity in the market after taking profits from their short-term trades.” – By @CryptoOnchain Read more ⤵️https://t.co/ThyGe7pjPO pic.twitter.com/0minPLfiWM — CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) April 1, 2025 If the trend of lower selling pressure continues, Bitcoin could see more stability or even a price rebound. As we approach a crucial phase for Bitcoin, all eyes will be on these short-term holders and the potential for a longer-term shift in sentiment. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

After experiencing a bearish trend earlier in the week, Bitcoin (BTC) seems to have regained upward momentum. The asset started the day with a 2.1% rise. It is currently trading above the $84,000 mark, signaling a potential return to its previous price levels. Despite this positive movement, Bitcoin remains subject to fluctuating market conditions, influenced by external factors and internal metrics impacting its performance across different exchanges. Related Reading: Arthur Hayes Predicts $250,000 Bitcoin As Fed Caves To QE Pressure Shifting Trends in Bitcoin’s Exchange Flows As BTC continues to make strides above $84,000, an interesting trend has emerged in exchange flows signaling investor behavior. A recent analysis by CryptoQuant’s Joao Wedson provides a fascinating perspective on the current state of the Bitcoin market. According to Wedson, Bitcoin’s price action has been significantly impacted by lower selling pressure on certain exchanges, particularly Binance. In his report titled “Lower Selling Pressure: Binance and the BTC Flow Across Different Exchanges”, Wedson highlights that Short-Term Holders (STHs) are sending significantly fewer Bitcoin to Binance compared to other exchanges. The current amount of BTC being sent to Binance stands at 6,300 BTC, much lower than the average of 24,700 BTC transferred to other platforms. This suggests that many traders on Binance may be adopting a more neutral stance, potentially waiting for clearer signals before making further moves. On the other hand, Bitcoin inflows to other exchanges are increasing, indicating that investor behavior may vary based on the platform they use. Binance, despite having the highest trading volume, seems to be seeing less activity from short-term holders, whereas other exchanges are experiencing higher inflows. This shift could suggest that while Binance remains a trusted exchange, other platforms are beginning to see more action from BTC traders. Binance Dominates Spot Trading Volume In another analysis by CryptoQuant’s Maartunn, the focus shifted to spot trading volumes across various exchanges, with Binance taking the lead. In the year-to-date data for 2025, Binance has been the dominant player in spot trading volume, handling a cumulative total of $1.9 trillion. This is more than three times the volume of its closest competitor, Crypto.com, which stands at 12.12%. The dominance of Binance is significant, as higher trading volumes typically result in greater liquidity and tighter spreads, benefiting traders with better pricing and smoother entry and exit opportunities. Related Reading: Is Bitcoin (BTC) Poised For A Q2 Recovery? Analyst Points To 2017 Similarities The increasing liquidity on Binance makes it an attractive option for many investors, and its dominance in spot trading volume further solidifies its position as a key player in the cryptocurrency market. Binance Leads Spot Trading Volume in 2025 So Far “The cumulative spot volume chart clearly shows Binance leading with the largest share of activity, with 1.9T since the beginning of 2025… Binance controls 43.66% of the total spot market volume (4.56T), which is: – More than… pic.twitter.com/t1ohcg3GA9 — CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) April 1, 2025 Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Bitcoin has continued to show weakness in price movement, with limited upside momentum over the past several weeks. The cryptocurrency has declined by 22.3% in the last month alone, bringing its price down to $83,191 at the time of writing. The drop reflects ongoing uncertainty in the broader crypto market, as investors are struggling with reduced risk appetite and a lack of strong bullish catalysts. Related Reading: Bitcoin RSI Targets Daily Retest That Triggered 2024 Price Rally, What Happened Last Time Whale Accumulation Patterns Echo Previous Bull Market Phases Despite the downtrend, recent on-chain activity suggests that certain investor cohorts remain confident in Bitcoin’s long-term value. In particular, whale addresses—wallets holding between 1,000 and 10,000 BTC—have demonstrated a historical correlation with Bitcoin’s price trends. According to CryptoQuant contributor Mignolet, the current market cycle bears a resemblance to the 2020 bull cycle, where these whales exhibited accumulation behavior during bearish sentiment phases. Mignolet noted that these patterns occurred three times throughout the 2020 cycle, each coinciding with brief drawdowns in price. In the current phase, similar accumulation activity is being observed among whale entities, particularly those with holdings in the 1,000 to 10,000 BTC range. These patterns, as Mignolet suggests, may indicate that these market leaders are not exiting their positions, despite price pressure. Notably, the significance of whale behavior lies in its historical influence on market direction. As long as whales remain in accumulation mode, it could provide a base of support for the broader market and reduce the likelihood of further rapid declines. However, this dynamic does not eliminate the possibility of continued volatility, especially if broader market sentiment does not improve. Bitcoin Short-Term Holders Show Signs of Capitulation In contrast to whale activity, short-term holders (STHs) are showing signs of distress. Another CryptoQuant analyst, Darkfost, highlighted that the Short-Term Holder Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR) has remained below 1.0 for over two months, currently hovering around 0.98. This metric compares the selling price of Bitcoin with its acquisition price. When it falls below 1, it suggests that holders are selling at a loss—often viewed as a sign of capitulation. STH Capitulation “When this ratio drops below 1, it signals capitulation among STHs, often leading to short-term price declines. We can confirm this trend by observing the $BTC being sent to exchanges at a loss.” – By @Darkfost_Coc Link ⤵️https://t.co/BUIo9caGck pic.twitter.com/QfNfFpT9VL — CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) March 31, 2025 Additionally, on-chain data shows that approximately 46,000 BTC have been sent to exchanges at a loss in recent weeks, highlighting the stress among STHs. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Slips Under $84,000 — Key Support Levels To Watch Historically, periods of heavy short-term capitulation have often preceded market bottoms, as weak hands exit positions and longer-term investors take advantage of the discounts. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

After showing signs of recovery last week, Bitcoin appears to have lost its upward momentum once again. The cryptocurrency was closing in on the $90,000 psychological level but has since reversed direction, falling by 6.4% over the past week to hover around $82,000 at the time of writing. This decline has placed renewed attention on market metrics that suggest the rally may have been short-lived. Amid this downward movement, several on-chain analysts have raised questions about whether recent price trends reflect real demand or speculative behavior. Particularly, insights from CryptoQuant contributors point to warning signs, including a divergence between market capitalization and actual network activity. Related Reading: Bitcoin Weekly Preview: Tariffs, Whales, And Volatility Ahead NVT Indicator Signals Caution Amid Low Transaction Volume In a recent post titled “Manipulative Moves or True Value? A Bitcoin and NVT Analysis,” CryptoQuant analyst BorisVest pointed to the Network Value to Transactions (NVT) ratio as a critical metric for understanding current market dynamics. The NVT ratio is calculated by dividing Bitcoin’s market capitalization by its daily transaction volume. According to BorisVest, Bitcoin’s elevated NVT Golden Cross reading indicates a high market cap against low transaction activity — a combination that historically suggests price inflation driven by speculative interest rather than organic growth. BorisVest emphasized that periods with a high NVT often precede market corrections. In contrast, when the NVT falls into the green zone — signaling a low market cap with rising transaction volume — it may present a stronger foundation for price appreciation. As of now, the metric suggests Bitcoin’s recent price rise lacks transactional support, and continued pullbacks remain possible unless volume returns to the network. Bitcoin Speculators Absent, Sentiment Remains Cautious Adding to the cautious outlook, another CryptoQuant contributor known as crypto sunmoon highlighted the role of leverage in driving crypto bull markets. The analyst pointed out that funding rates have recently “dead-crossed,” which occurs when short-term funding rates fall below long-term rates, often indicating bearish sentiment among traders. According to sunmoon, this shift suggests that speculators are currently unwilling to take on risk — a key component needed to fuel bullish price movements. The analyst concluded that the return of speculative trading behavior, typically marked by rising funding rates and leveraged positions, is essential for reigniting upward momentum in Bitcoin. Related Reading: Bitcoin Rising Wedge: Expert Warns Of Imminent Breakdown In Coming Days Until then, market sentiment may remain subdued, with sideways or declining price action more likely. According to these CryptoQuant analysts, watching Bitcoin’s transaction volumes and funding trends will be crucial in determining whether Bitcoin is set for a renewed breakout or further consolidation. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Bitcoin (BTC) continues to trade above the $84,000 mark despite a slight decline in momentum this week. After briefly touching higher levels of nearly $90,000, the asset has seen a 3.3% decrease over the past day, bringing its current price to roughly $84,222. While price volatility remains a short-term concern, Bitcoin’s broader trend shows signs of consolidation within this range. Amid the movement from BTC’s price, on-chain analysts are offering insights into Bitcoin’s behavior beyond the surface-level price action. Related Reading: CEO On Bitcoin: A Big Idea Whose Time Has Finally Come Bitcoin Mean Coin Age and Supply Dynamics in Focus A recent analysis by CryptoQuant contributor Onchained points to Bitcoin’s Mean Coin Age (MCA) as a crucial metric for understanding current market sentiment. The MCA represents the average age of unspent transaction outputs (UTxOs), which can help reveal the behavior of long-term holders. According to Onchained, Bitcoin’s recent upward momentum is not a product of short-term speculation or news-driven hype. Rather, it is being influenced by the strategic actions of long-term holders. These participants typically acquire BTC during market downturns and hold through volatile phases, reducing the available supply and gradually increasing scarcity. This behavior creates conditions in which even moderate increases in demand can lead to stronger price responses due to reduced liquidity in the market. With Bitcoin’s supply capped at 21 million, the accumulation of coins by long-term holders contributes to a tightening of supply. As these coins become increasingly illiquid, they apply upward pressure on price when demand strengthens. This mechanism is a core feature of Bitcoin’s market dynamics and is viewed by some analysts as a signal of potential bullish continuation. Onchained wrote: This illiquidity creates a supply-demand imbalance, contributing to upward pressure on prices when demand increases. As fewer coins are available for trading, the price becomes more sensitive to buy-side pressure, leading to stronger upward price movements. Monitoring Behavioral Shifts for Market Signals The analysis also highlights the significance of a sudden drop in MCA, which can indicate long-term holders are beginning to move their coins. Such behavior may signal changing sentiment, profit-taking, or reactions to broader macroeconomic conditions. According to Onchained, “the movement of these coins from long-term holders can drive short-term volatility and is a signal that market dynamics are changing.” Onchained emphasized that relying solely on public commentary or high-profile announcements—such as regulatory statements, ETF launches, or tweets from influential figures—may distract from the deeper, data-driven trends that govern Bitcoin’s performance. Related Reading: Bernstein Projects Strategy Holdings Skyrocket To 1 Million BTC By 2033 Instead, the blockchain itself provides transparent insights into actual investor behavior, offering a clearer view of market conditions. The analyst noted: The truth lies within the data itself. The blockchain speaks clearly and transparently, and it is through this data that we can understand bitcoin’s true movement. S.N architected Bitcoin to ensure that the financial information we need is open and accessible to all, so we can make informed decisions, not be misled by the stupidity of popular narratives. Let the data guide us, not the whims of outsiders who misunderstand what is truly happening. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

The crypto market continues to evolve as shifts in market capitalization among major digital assets reflect both investor sentiment and fundamental developments. A recent analysis from CryptoQuant provides a closer look at how top crypto have performed in terms of market cap and drawdowns over the past several months. Related Reading: Bitcoin Breaks Daily RSI Downtrend, But Analyst Warns Of Strong Resistance Ahead BNB, XRP, and Ethereum Show Diverging Trends One of the most notable shifts has been Binance Coin (BNB) reclaiming its position as the fifth-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization. BNB’s market cap rose to approximately $92 billion, surpassing Solana (SOL), which now sits at $74 billion. This shift follows a strong rally in SOL during late 2024, largely fueled by growth in its meme coin ecosystem. However, the attention of speculative activity appears to have transitioned toward the BNB Chain, where similar crypto ecosystem momentum has helped support its recovery. Another significant market cap development involves XRP. According to CryptoQuant, XRP’s market capitalization increased substantially following the 2024 US presidential election. Market Cap Evolution of Top Cryptocurrencies BNB and Bitcoin are currently experiencing the lowest drawdowns among this group, each down approximately 20% from their all-time highs, indicating relatively strong price performance and resilience. pic.twitter.com/dW3tXlvSMG — CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) March 27, 2025 From a valuation of $30 billion in early November, XRP’s market cap climbed to $141 billion by March 2025. The timing of this rise appears to align with the outcome of the US election, which some believe could potentially influence regulatory sentiment around crypto assets. In contrast, Ethereum (ETH) has faced a more challenging trajectory. After peaking in late 2024, ETH’s market capitalization declined by 50% to around $240 billion as of March 2025. This sharp drop highlights the current volatility in the altcoin market and raises questions about Ethereum’s ability to maintain its prior valuation levels amid shifting macro and sector-specific factors. Crypto Price Resilience and Drawdown Metrics CryptoQuant’s report also evaluated drawdowns—the decline from an asset’s all-time high—as a measure of relative performance. Bitcoin (BTC) and BNB emerged as the most resilient assets among the group, each down approximately 20% from their respective all-time highs. BNB’s stability has been linked to its continued utility within the Binance ecosystem, including usage for transaction fees and platform-related activities. Meanwhile, ETH and SOL have struggled to recover from deeper drawdowns. Both assets are currently more than 50% below their previous peaks, highlighting higher levels of volatility and reduced investor momentum. Related Reading: Solana Tags Upper Bollinger Band For First Time Since ATH — Is Momentum Returning? Although XRP has seen a rise in market capitalization, its price still reflects a drawdown of roughly 36%, indicating that much of the new capital inflow has yet to translate into price recovery. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Bitcoin continues to show signs of price consolidation, with its value hovering just below the $87,000 mark. As of today, BTC is trading at approximately $86,990, reflecting a 0.8% decline over the past 24 hours. Despite the slight dip, the broader picture shows that Bitcoin has stabilized above $85,000 for several consecutive sessions, signaling a pause in the strong upward or downward momentum observed in previous weeks. Related Reading: Bitcoin Holds Steady Above $86K as On-Chain Data Points to ‘Bullish Shift’ Long Liquidation Indication For The Market While volatility appears subdued, market dynamics remain active behind the scenes. CryptoQuant contributor Amr Taha recently provided insights into Bitcoin’s latest market structure, highlighting a key development: the liquidation of $359.7 million worth of long positions. This event has drawn attention to potential shifts in sentiment and important technical levels that may act as support or resistance in the short term. According to Taha, a long liquidation occurs when traders holding leveraged long positions are forced to close their trades after the price drops below their margin thresholds. When this happens at scale, as seen recently, it reflects a sudden change in sentiment and often forces short-term sell-offs. However, Taha points out that such events can also set the stage for a potential market rebound, as many overleveraged positions are cleared, giving space for new demand to emerge. Liquidation event of $359.7M in long positions “If BTC holds above the short-term realized price, it suggests strength in demand. A breakdown below these levels might indicate a potential reversal or correction.” – By Amr Taha Full post ⤵️https://t.co/SW9e16kofW pic.twitter.com/0YR9rfreGa — CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) March 27, 2025 Bitcoin UTXO Metrics Paint a Mixed Picture Complementing this observation is Bitcoin’s realized price distribution by UTXO age bands. Taha notes that Bitcoin’s current market price remains above the realized price for UTXOs aged 1 day to 1 week, indicating that recent buyers are holding unrealized profits. Meanwhile, UTXOs in the 1-week to 1-month range have their realized price near $84,740—a level that could act as technical support if Bitcoin dips in the near term. This confluence of short-term holder profitability and support near $84K may serve as an important signal. If Bitcoin maintains its position above these realized price zones, it suggests continued strength from recent buyers. However, if the price begins to fall below these thresholds, it could point to increased selling pressure or a broader correction phase. Related Reading: Bitcoin Whales Make Big Moves As Bullish Momentum Resurfaces While the liquidation of long positions and UTXO age metrics offer some insight into market sentiment, Taha’s conclusion of a possibility for the price to either fall or continue rising gives more reason to remain cautious. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TraingView

Bitcoin has shown signs of stabilization above the $86,000 mark after reclaiming the level earlier this week. This recovery marks a shift in short-term sentiment after several weeks of price turbulence. While the asset remains down approximately 20.2% from its all-time high set in January, the current rebound suggests a pause in downward pressure and a potential reassessment among market participants. Despite the recent uptick, traders and analysts remain cautious. Market behavior has been mixed, with on-chain metrics and trading activity offering differing signals. CryptoQuant contributor Nino recently provided a breakdown of the Coinbase Premium Index and its implications for Bitcoin’s short-term direction, pointing to changing sentiment in the US market. Related Reading: Bitcoin Pushes Past $88K Amid Rising Volatility and On-Chain Resistance Zones Coinbase Premium Turns Positive Amid Stabilizing Price In a recent QuickTake post titled “Is the Coinbase Premium Signaling a Bullish Shift for Bitcoin?”, Nino observed that the index—which measures the price gap between Bitcoin on Coinbase and other exchanges—had hovered near zero for weeks. However, it now appears to be entering positive territory. This trend, if sustained, may reflect a growing appetite from US-based traders and institutions. Historically, a positive Coinbase Premium has coincided with increased spot demand and broader upward price momentum. Nino added that while this shift can be a bullish signal, it should be evaluated alongside other market indicators such as trading volume and on-chain metrics. These combined factors help clarify whether the move represents real buying conviction or short-term speculation. In parallel, renowned market analyst Ali noted that following Bitcoin’s surge above $70,000 in late 2024, stablecoin reserves grew from $26 billion to $46 billion—often an indication of profit-taking by investors. Now that reserves have plateaued, the market may be entering a period of reduced selling pressure, as participants appear to be waiting for new catalysts before re-entering. After #Bitcoin $BTC broke $70,000 in late 2024, stablecoin reserves jumped from $26 billion to $46 billion, signaling heavy profit-taking. Now that reserves have plateaued, it looks like investors are sitting on the sidelines. pic.twitter.com/PRtOQnNq5x — Ali (@ali_charts) March 26, 2025 Bitcoin Whale Accumulation and Long-Term Signals Further reinforcing this narrative, Ali also pointed to new whale accumulation trends. Specifically, 48 new Bitcoin wallets have surpassed the 100 BTC threshold, indicating growing holdings among large-scale investors. This increase in whale addresses is generally interpreted as a sign of confidence in long-term price appreciation. When whales accumulate during consolidation phases, it can reflect expectations for upward movement once market uncertainty subsides. Related Reading: Bitcoin Breaks Daily RSI Downtrend, But Analyst Warns Of Strong Resistance Ahead Whale behavior has historically played a significant role in shaping Bitcoin’s market structure. Accumulation at higher levels can act as price support while selling activity from these holders can introduce major volatility. In the current cycle, rising whale accumulation coupled with improving Coinbase Premium readings may suggest that strategic buyers are positioning themselves for potential future rallies. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Bitcoin has maintained its upward trajectory so far this week, with the asset reclaiming and holding above the $85,000 mark. This performance reflects a weekly gain of approximately 4.7%, indicating a possible shift in momentum after weeks of sideways and bearish activity. While short-term gains have been recorded, signs that might determine Bitcoin’s next major move appear to have emerged. Particularly, a renewed analysis of market health and investor behavior has accompanied the current price action of BTC. On-chain metrics and sentiment indicators are being used to assess whether the current recovery signals a continuation of the bull cycle or if the market may be transitioning into a new phase. One such framework recently shared by CryptoQuant contributor Woominkyu offers a broader view of Bitcoin’s positioning using the Bitcoin Combined Market Index (BCMI). Related Reading: Bitcoin Rally To $95K? Market Greed Suggests It’s Possible Assessing Market Health Through BCMI Metrics According to Woominkyu, the BCMI provides a comprehensive overview of Bitcoin’s market condition by aggregating four core metrics: MVRV (30%), NUPL (25%), SOPR (25%), and the Fear & Greed Index (20%). Each component reflects key aspects of network valuation, investor sentiment, realized gains/losses, and emotional market trends. The index assigns weightings to each metric and calculates a combined score, which can indicate whether the market is overheated or undervalued. Historically, a BCMI score below 0.15 is associated with extreme fear and potential buying opportunities, while scores above 0.75 often precede market tops or sharp corrections. At present, the BCMI remains below the 0.5 level, suggesting that Bitcoin has not yet entered the overheated zone. Woominkyu suggests two possible scenarios: the market is either undergoing a normal correction within an ongoing bull cycle, or it is showing early signs of an atypical transition into a bearish phase. The moment of decision for Bitcoin “During this current market cycle, BCMI hasn’t yet reached the typical ‘overheated’ zone (above 0.75). It’s currently hovering below 0.5, suggesting we’re at a crucial market juncture.” – By @Woo_Minkyu Read more ⤵️https://t.co/sfyunRuWbh pic.twitter.com/he77VS98t7 — CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) March 26, 2025 Key Thresholds to Watch in Bitcoin The analyst points to the importance of monitoring the 7-day and 90-day moving averages of the BCMI for clearer direction. Related Reading: Now Is The Best Time To Buy Bitcoin, Says Investment Giant Should the index begin to trend upward, it may signal renewed momentum and a potential return to higher price levels. Conversely, a sustained decline could confirm a broader trend reversal. Meanwhile, IntoTheBlock has recently shared resistance zones of BTC identified onchain. The market intelligence platform particularly emphasizes the $97.400 level noting that this is “where roughly 1.44 million BTC are currently holding at a loss,” therefore should BTC price hit that point we could see a pullback. Is Bitcoin on its way to test its highs? The red bubbles in this chart highlight levels where underwater investors could sell as they break even, especially if uncertainty persists. A key zone is around $97.4k, where roughly 1.44 million BTC are currently holding at a loss. pic.twitter.com/LKaDBen7cU — IntoTheBlock (@intotheblock) March 24, 2025 Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingViiew

Bitcoin has started the week maintaining relative stability, with its price currently hovering around $87,000 despite a minor 0.4% dip over the past 24 hours. The crypto asset showed upward momentum earlier in the week, briefly rallying beyond $88,000. Although the rally has slowed, the broader market remains focused on whether Bitcoin’s recent performance signals a temporary correction or a more substantial shift in trend. Market analysts have turned to on-chain metrics for additional clarity. One such analyst, Burak Kesmeci, a contributor to CryptoQuant’s QuickTake platform, recently examined four key cyclical indicators to assess whether Bitcoin’s bullish phase is losing steam. Related Reading: Bitcoin’s Realized Cap and UTXO Data Signal a Major Shift—Here’s What to Watch Key Indicators Reflect Mixed Sentiment According to Kesmeci, while some metrics suggest weakness, they do not yet indicate a market top. Kesmeci’s first point highlights the Internal Funding Pressure (IFP) metric, which currently stands at 696K—below its 90-day simple moving average (SMA90) of 794K. Historically, a cross above the SMA90 tends to signal renewed bullish momentum, but for now, the metric suggests a lack of reversal strength. The second metric analyzed is the Bull & Bear Market Cycle Indicator. Kesmeci notes the current setup mirrors earlier soft bearish signals observed during this cycle. The 30-day moving average (DMA30) sits at -0.16, while the longer-term 365-day moving average (DMA365) is at 0.18. Until the shorter-term average crosses above the longer-term trend, the indicator remains tilted toward bearish sentiment. Do 4 Different Cyclical On-Chain Metrics Signal the End of Bitcoin’s Bull Market? “All of these metrics suggest that Bitcoin is experiencing significant turbulence in the short to mid-term. However, none of them indicate that Bitcoin has reached an overheated or cycle-top… pic.twitter.com/tPw74wqERy — CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) March 25, 2025 Bitcoin MVRV and NUPL Provide Additional Clues Kesmeci also assessed the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) score, which remains below its 365-day SMA. Historically, this positioning tends to precede increased selling pressure, although a rebound is possible once the score crosses back above its moving average. The last such event occurred during the August 2024 carry trade crisis, which was resolved with a recovery after macroeconomic pressures eased. Similarly, the Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) metric sits below its SMA365. Currently, NUPL stands at 0.49, compared to a moving average of 0.53. While not a definitive end to the bullish trend, the metric’s position implies that further strength is needed for Bitcoin to regain bullish footing. Related Reading: Bitcoin Bottom In Sight As Trump Expected To Soften Stance On Reciprocal Tariffs: Report Kesmeci concludes that these on-chain indicators collectively point to short- and mid-term uncertainty but fall short of confirming a market top. Drawing comparisons to last year’s macro-driven selloff, he suggests that external factors—such as recent economic uncertainty and tariff-related tensions—may be temporarily suppressing BTC’s performance. If macroeconomic conditions stabilize, BTC could resume its upward trajectory, mirroring the recovery seen in 2024. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Bitcoin has maintained its upward momentum since the week started, signaling renewed interest and optimism in the market. The asset reclaimed the $88,000 price level on Monday and continues to trade above this zone, marking a nearly 10% rise in value over the past seven days. The steady price recovery comes after weeks of retracement, during which Bitcoin experienced considerable selling pressure and fell from previous highs. Related Reading: Bitcoin Under Threat? Analyst Explores Two Bearish Black Swan Scenarios to Watch On-Chain Resistance Zones Identified IntoTheBlock, an on-chain analytics platform, provided insights on whether Bitcoin could be on track to retest its all-time high. The firm highlighted several key resistance ranges that may impact Bitcoin’s price action in the near term. These include the $88,355.91 to $90,920.05, $90,920.05 to $93,591.02, $93,591.02 to $96,262.00, $96,262.00 to $98,932.97, and $98,932.97 to $101,603.95 levels—zones where many addresses are currently holding Bitcoin at a loss. Is Bitcoin on its way to test its highs? The red bubbles in this chart highlight levels where underwater investors could sell as they break even, especially if uncertainty persists. A key zone is around $97.4k, where roughly 1.44 million BTC are currently holding at a loss. pic.twitter.com/LKaDBen7cU — IntoTheBlock (@intotheblock) March 24, 2025 Notably, around the $97.4K level alone, approximately 1.44 million BTC are held by investors in unrealized loss positions, which could introduce selling pressure as prices recover. Despite the resistance ahead, other on-chain activity shows signs of investor confidence. According to IntoTheBlock, Bitcoin saw over $220 million in net outflows from centralized exchanges in the past 24 hours. Over the past week, total outflows have exceeded $424 million, often interpreted as a sign of investors moving assets into cold storage rather than preparing to sell. Meanwhile, crypto analyst Burak Kesmeci noted that Bitcoin’s 30-day volatility index has surged to 52.31 points—its highest level in the past six months. The spike in volatility coincides with anticipation around the US Core PCE report expected Friday, a macroeconomic event that could introduce further price swings. Technical Outlook On Bitcoin From a technical perspective, analysts remain divided. Crypto analyst Ali pointed out that Bitcoin is approaching a key resistance zone around $89,000, where the 50-day moving average intersects with a descending trendline drawn from the January all-time high. The outcome at this level may influence the direction of the next major move. On the other hand, analyst Javon Marks highlighted what he described as a potential breakout pattern forming on Bitcoin’s chart. BREAKOUT ALERT on Bitcoin and the last breakout after similar action led into one of the most powerful and FASTEST bullish moves so far this entire cycle!$BTC can be ready to deliver another powerful and speedy run to new All Time Highs… https://t.co/tchC9wsLFl pic.twitter.com/QKbDAUV88l — JAVON⚡️MARKS (@JavonTM1) March 25, 2025 He pointed to a previous breakout that triggered one of the fastest rallies in the current cycle and noted similar technical behavior emerging again. Marks believes that if momentum continues, Bitcoin could be positioning itself for another rapid climb toward new record highs. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView