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Bitcoin’s price is still struggling to regain its upward momentum following the establishment of a new all-time high above $111,000 last week. Today, Bitcoin trades below $106,000 with a current trading price of $105,381, marking a 1.2% increase in the past day and a 5.8% decrease from its peak. The current movement suggests a cooling-off period as traders and analysts monitor for potential market reentry points. Despite the price retreat, the mood across the market remains relatively stable, with the Crypto Fear & Greed Index still hovering in the neutral zone. This suggests that the market is yet to enter the euphoric stage typically associated with aggressive buying sprees. While the immediate trend appears sideways, analysts are beginning to highlight certain technical and on-chain signals that may shape Bitcoin’s short-term trajectory. Related Reading: Bitcoin Warning Signs? Long-Term Holders Exit While Retail Buyers Rush In Bitcoin Short-Term Investors Watch $96.7K as Critical Support A recent assessment by an on-chain contributor to CryptoQuant’s QuickTake platform, known as abramchart, identifies $96,700 as a crucial level of interest. This figure aligns with the average acquisition price for short-term holders, making it a potential rebound zone if Bitcoin experiences a further dip. According to the analyst, this support may serve as a trigger point for renewed buying interest should a correction continue to unfold. Additionally, rising Bitcoin dominance is placing pressure on alternative cryptocurrencies, including Ethereum. The analyst notes that corrections in Bitcoin often redirect capital away from altcoins, potentially weakening their short-term performance. In this context, the broader crypto market may experience liquidity fragmentation until Bitcoin reestablishes directional clarity. Abrahchart wrote: If liquidity is available, it is advisable to wait and observe market movements, with the possibility of entering new positions after the anticipated correction completes. Accumulation Activity Suggests Institutional Involvement In a separate insight shared on CryptoQuant, another analyst, Mignolet, highlights a notable relationship between movements in Bitfinex’s Bitcoin reserves and price action. Historically, declining reserves on Bitfinex have often preceded upward trends in Bitcoin’s price, suggesting these outflows may signal increased accumulation. On the latest occasion, around 24,000 BTC were transferred to two wallets, one of which has been officially identified by Bitfinex and Tether CEO Paolo Ardoino as belonging to 21 Capital (XXI), a Tether-backed entity. The second wallet involved in receiving 14,000 BTC was not formally disclosed, but timing and transaction behavior suggest a similar purpose. Unlike earlier transactions often linked to cold storage adjustments, these movements appear to reflect strategic acquisitions. Related Reading: Analyst Suggests Altcoin Recovery May Follow Bitcoin’s Final Cycle Stage—Here’s Why This level of accumulation, particularly by a known Tether-affiliated entity, adds another dimension to Bitcoin’s current price narrative. As institutional players position themselves, retail participants may find additional confirmation of long-term interest in the asset despite short-term fluctuations. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Bitcoin continues to showcase resilience in the current cryptocurrency market cycle, consistently setting new records while many altcoins remain below their previous peaks. Currently trading just above $104,000, Bitcoin has recently retraced from its all-time high above $111,000, set last month. Contrasting Bitcoin’s consistent growth, Ethereum and other prominent altcoins have yet to surpass historical highs that they reached several years ago, highlighting a notable divergence in market performance. This divergence has been a focal point among analysts, prompting a deeper examination of investor behavior and capital flows between Bitcoin and altcoins. Recent insights from CryptoQuant analyst Dan suggest that while Bitcoin remains dominant, the situation for altcoins might shift in the upcoming phase of the crypto market cycle. Related Reading: Crypto Bulls See $644M Bloodbath As Bitcoin Dips Below $105,000 Bitcoin Investor Behavior Suggests Potential Shift Ahead CryptoQuant analyst Crypto Dan recently explored the broader implications of this Bitcoin-dominated cycle in his market commentary. According to Dan’s analysis, previous market cycles typically saw a gradual reduction in mid-to-long-term Bitcoin holdings as investor capital redistributed into altcoins. This shift traditionally drove altcoins significantly higher, usually marking the late stages of a bullish cycle. However, this cycle exhibits a different pattern. Frequent minor corrections in Bitcoin’s price are followed by more significant and sharp downturns for altcoins, demonstrating persistent weakness. Crypto Dan notes that currently, very few altcoin investors have realized meaningful profits, an unusual circumstance compared to prior cycles. Related Reading: Bitcoin Sharpe Ratio Says It’s Time For ‘Cautious Optimism’ — Further Upside Growth Incoming? Despite this ongoing difficulty for altcoin holders, the analyst maintains optimism, emphasizing that historical patterns suggest Bitcoin’s dominance typically declines towards the end of each cycle. If history repeats, altcoins might experience substantial upward movements as the cycle approaches its maturity. Thus, while altcoins currently underperform, investors are advised to maintain patience until Bitcoin’s momentum reaches its final bullish push, potentially signaling a turning point. Whale Activities Hint at Upcoming Altcoin Attention Complementing this perspective, another analyst from CryptoQuant, Maartunn, provided insights into stablecoin inflows to major exchanges. Specifically, Maartunn highlighted that over 75% of Tether (USDT) deposits to Binance, tracked via the TRC-20 network, originated from large wallets, commonly known as whales, since November 2023. Over 75% of USDT Inflows to Binance Are from Whales “The data shows a clear trend: whales prefer Binance. Since November 2023, approximately 75% of total USDT deposits to Binance have originated from whale addresses.” – By @JA_Maartun pic.twitter.com/KCBA8cVCdb — CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) June 2, 2025 This substantial concentration of whale activity suggests that major market participants prefer Binance for significant capital movements involving stablecoins. The notable whale-driven inflows to Binance could indicate preparation for substantial market activity, including potential purchasing of Bitcoin or an eventual shift towards altcoins. Historically, stablecoin deposits from large holders precede increased volatility and trading activity, as whales position themselves strategically in anticipation of market shifts. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Bitcoin (BTC) has experienced a noticeable retracement after recently achieving a record high above $111,000 last month. Currently priced at $104,115, the cryptocurrency has declined approximately 5.2% in the past 7 days, marking roughly a 7% drop from its peak price. This sudden decrease has sparked considerable attention among market participants, who closely observe potential signals that might clarify Bitcoin’s next move. A recent analysis from CryptoQuant contributor Crazzyblockk has shed some light on the internal dynamics influencing this price action. Related Reading: Bitcoin’s Price Sees Drop as Altcoin Traders Face Increased Pressure Binance’s Dominance and Its Market Implications In his report, titled “Divergence of Binance Taker Buy/Sell Behavior From Other CEXs — Sellers Outnumber Buyers on the Market’s Main Venue,” the analyst provides detailed insights into recent trading behaviors observed across major cryptocurrency exchanges, with a particular emphasis on Binance. The analysis highlighted a divergence between Binance and other major centralized exchanges (CEXs). While a brief spike in overall buying activity was recorded across various exchanges, Binance, which accounts for around 60% of global Bitcoin spot trading volume, exhibited a contrasting scenario. Data revealed a significant tilt towards selling, with Binance’s Taker Buy/Sell ratio falling below 1.0. This indicates a clear preference among Binance traders to sell rather than purchase Bitcoin, in contrast to the net-buy behavior observed elsewhere. Given Binance’s considerable market share, this divergence is notable. Binance’s trading volume and futures open interest typically guide broader market sentiment and price discovery. Historical data support this correlation, as past events where Binance’s market behavior diverged from other exchanges, such as in February 2024 and August 2023, resulted in notable Bitcoin price corrections of between 5% and 10% shortly thereafter. Bitcoin Current Market Dynamics and Near-Term Expectations Notably, the latest metrics illustrate Binance’s Taker Buy/Sell ratio hovering around 0.98, representing approximately a 12% decline over the past week and a 25% decline over the past month. Despite a brief surge in overall market buying activity across exchanges, with the aggregate Taker Buy/Sell ratio peaking at about 1.35, Binance’s bearish stance has dampened this bullish signal, causing the broader indicator to revert downward rapidly. Related Reading: Bitcoin Tipped For $340,000 Target If This Support Level Holds – Details This scenario suggests the possibility of heightened market volatility in the short term. The dominance of Binance’s trading behaviors potentially amplifies the effects of this selling pressure through futures market funding rates, which can intensify market moves. In conclusion, the CryptoQuant analyst wrote: Because the largest liquidity pool is net-selling, today’s aggregate uptick risks turning into a bull trap. Unless Binance’s Taker Buy/Sell flips decisively above 1.05—and stays there—expect heightened volatility and a greater probability of a near-term price decline as broader sentiment realigns with the market leader’s flows. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Bitcoin’s recent upward trajectory has encountered resistance after reaching a record-breaking peak of over $111,000 last week. Following this new all-time high, Bitcoin has retraced approximately 4% in the past seven days, bringing its current trading price down to $105,485. This represents a daily decline of 1.8%, reflecting cautious market sentiment and potential profit-taking among traders. In light of these recent price movements, a CryptoQuant analyst has been closely observing market dynamics, particularly concerning the launch of the Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF). A detailed analysis provided by Joao Wedson, a contributor to CryptoQuant’s QuickTake platform, has shed new light on the liquidation trends observed in Bitcoin compared to other cryptocurrencies, also known as altcoins. Related Reading: This Chart Warns Bitcoin’s Momentum May Be Running Out, Here’s Why Liquidation Disparity Between Bitcoin and Altcoins Since the launch of the Bitcoin ETF, market behaviors have demonstrated a notable divergence between Bitcoin and altcoin liquidations. According to Wedson, Bitcoin liquidations on Binance have predominantly involved short positions, indicating traders who bet against Bitcoin were systematically liquidated during its recent price rise. Specifically, the Cumulative Liquidation Delta (CLD) showed short liquidations surpassing longs by approximately $190 million. This suggests market participants holding bearish positions were compelled to exit as Bitcoin’s value surged, pushing the price further upward. In stark contrast, altcoins have experienced a markedly different scenario. During the same period, altcoins faced nearly $1 billion more in long liquidations compared to shorts. This liquidation imbalance indicates that traders betting on a broad altcoin recovery faced substantial losses. The sustained downward pressure on altcoins reveals the failure of expectations surrounding an “Altseason,” a period when alternative cryptocurrencies typically outperform BTC. Implications of Market Asymmetry The distinct patterns in liquidations between BTC and altcoins reflect critical shifts in investor risk sentiment and leverage usage. BTC’s favorable price performance primarily impacted traders with bearish outlooks, forcing the liquidation of short positions and contributing to a bullish market perception. Conversely, the altcoin sector’s persistent price declines have led to widespread liquidation of bullish positions, highlighting the misalignment between trader expectations and actual market behavior. According to Wedson, since December 2024, this liquidation asymmetry has widened considerably, underscoring a shift in market focus. Investors have increasingly viewed BTC as a safer or more reliable bet amidst broader market uncertainty, while altcoins have suffered due to heightened leverage and speculative positioning. Related Reading: Bitcoin Surges With Low Retail Interest – Is A Second Wave Coming? This trend has intensified following the ETF’s approval, as traders appear more confident betting on Bitcoin’s stability and growth potential compared to the volatility and unpredictability of the altcoin market. Moving forward, the current market conditions suggest that investors may continue to approach Bitcoin with measured optimism while maintaining a cautious stance toward altcoins. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Bitcoin is currently trading above $107,000 following a recent peak that saw the asset touch a new all-time high above $111,000. Although this marks a 3.9% drop from its highest level, the broader monthly trend remains positive, with BTC still recording a gain of over 10% in the last 30 days. The market, however, has shifted its attention from price movement to on-chain dynamics, particularly the behavior of new and long-term holders. Related Reading: Bitcoin Surges With Low Retail Interest – Is A Second Wave Coming? Bitcoin Long-Term Holders Selling, New Entrants Still Cautious On-chain analyst Avocado Onchain, writing on CryptoQuant’s QuickTake platform, examined Unspent Transaction Output (UTXO) data to assess investor trends during this stage of the cycle. In a post titled “UTXO Age Band Analysis: Sluggish Inflow of New Investors May Limit Bitcoin’s Upside,” he explored whether BTC’s continued rally can be sustained without fresh capital inflows from newer market participants. His findings suggest that while older coins are being sold, the inflow of newer investors remains low, a factor that has historically limited momentum in previous cycles. The UTXO age distribution reveals that a significant portion of the BTC supply remains with holders who have kept their assets for over six months. The 6–12 month age band has increased, suggesting a large share of market participants still fall into the mid- to long-term holding category. Historically, when the proportion of these holders started to shrink, it often preceded major tops in Bitcoin’s price cycle, driven by a transition of coins from long-term to new investors. However, despite Bitcoin reaching new highs, the percentage of UTXOs held by investors with a holding period of less than one month remains well below the historical threshold seen near previous market tops. During earlier bull cycles, new investor participation often surged past 50%. Currently, that figure sits around 20%, even lower than the peak levels during this recent rally. Avocado Onchain warns that without a notable increase in participation from newer investors, the market may struggle to maintain upward momentum. Large Holders Accumulate as Retail Stays on Sidelines While retail inflows appear to be lacking, large-scale accumulation is continuing in the background. A recent update from CryptoQuant on X highlighted that Bitcoin addresses holding between 1,000 and 10,000 BTC, excluding exchanges and miners, have been steadily increasing. Large holders are accumulating. Addresses holding 1K–10K BTC (excl. exchanges & miners) are rising, a sign of growing investor confidence. Historically linked to higher prices. pic.twitter.com/vCCml3GfHB — CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) May 29, 2025 These entities are often associated with institutional investors or long-term strategic holders, and their accumulation is often interpreted as a signal of growing confidence in BTC’s long-term prospects. Related Reading: US Set To Reign As ‘Bitcoin Superpower,’ Declares Trump’s Digital Assets Chief Although retail remains largely inactive, institutional behavior may serve as a foundation for price support. The current dynamics reflect a market in a transitional phase, with potential for upside if broader participation begins to increase. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Bitcoin (BTC) has recently experienced a slight slowdown after its impressive upward run, trading at $108,012 at the time of writing. Over the past week, Bitcoin has recorded a 3.1% decline, indicating a moderate pullback from recent highs. However, despite this short-term downtrend, the asset continues to hold steady above significant support levels, suggesting minimal selling pressure from market participants. Amid the current pullback phase, analysts have started to express caution regarding Bitcoin’s immediate outlook. In particular, one CryptoQuant analyst known by the handle Crazzyblockk highlighted the emergence of an elevated market risk signal through the “Standardized 60-Day Realized Cap Volatility (RCV)” metric. This indicator, frequently monitored by investors to assess risk levels, has reportedly crossed a critical historical threshold. Related Reading: Bitcoin $106,800 Support Retest To Determine Next Move – Breakout Or Breakdown Ahead? Understanding the Elevated Risk Signal The 60-Day Standardized RCV, as explained by Crazzyblockk, measures the variance between Bitcoin’s realized capitalization, essentially the cumulative value at which all coins last moved, and its market capitalization. This metric is normalized to account for volatility, thus helping investors detect significant shifts in market sentiment. Currently, the Standardized RCV value has reached 1.9, surpassing the 1.5 threshold traditionally viewed as indicative of high market risk. Historically, when the 60-Day Standardized RCV exceeds values between 1.5 and 1.9, it has often preceded local market peaks or considerable corrections. According to the analyst, these elevated readings indicate periods when investor behavior, characterized by increased profit-taking and speculative activities, diverges notably from Bitcoin’s fundamental valuation. Implications for Bitcoin Investors The current Standardized RCV reading suggests that Bitcoin’s market might be approaching a point of heightened caution. Although this indicator alone is not a definitive sell signal, it does suggest investors should adopt a more conservative risk management approach, especially in regard to new positions or leveraged trades. This cautious stance aligns with historical data from other widely monitored metrics like the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio and the Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR), both of which currently reflect similarly heightened risk levels. For investors, the present scenario necessitates careful consideration of market conditions before making strategic moves. The Standardized RCV indicator serves as a precise gauge to navigate market volatility, advising investors to consider reducing exposure, tightening stop-losses, or potentially waiting for a clearer alignment of price with underlying fundamentals before making substantial commitments. Crazzyblockk noted: Now is a time for risk management, not euphoria. Investors may consider reducing exposure, tightening stops, or awaiting a retest of fundamentals before re-entry. Standardized RCV continues to be a precision tool in navigating crypto volatility. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Bitcoin is currently trading at $109,000, marking a marginal decline of 0.6% over the past 24 hours. Despite this short-term dip, the broader market trend remains intact, with Bitcoin recording an approximate 15% gain over the past month. This performance comes after BTC set a new all-time high just above the $111,000 mark a few days ago, continuing its strong upward momentum through Q2 2025. Burak Kesmeci, a contributor on CryptoQuant’s QuickTake platform, recently discussed the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio in his latest analysis, “Bitcoin MVRV: Will the Long-Term Downtrend Break This Time?” The MVRV ratio compares Bitcoin’s market value to its realized value, effectively measuring holders’ profitability and offering insights into market sentiment and potential turning points. Related Reading: Bitcoin Holds Above $109K as Long-Term Holders Accumulate Amid Liquidations MVRV Ratio Approaches Crucial Resistance In his analysis, Kesmeci highlighted the importance of the 365-day Simple Moving Average (SMA365) as a benchmark for the MVRV metric. Historically, when Bitcoin’s MVRV crosses above and maintains weekly closes over the SMA365, it typically signals sustained upward momentum. Kesmeci provided the example from April 2025, when the MVRV ratio exceeded the SMA365, corresponding with Bitcoin’s substantial price increase from around $94,000 to $111,000, subsequently setting a new record high. Currently, the MVRV stands at 2.36, comfortably above the SMA365 level of 2.14. However, the analyst points out a significant resistance looming at 2.93, a critical historical level where previous rallies encountered headwinds. The upcoming test at this resistance could indicate whether Bitcoin will sustain its upward trajectory or experience a period of stabilization or correction. Kesmeci emphasized caution, suggesting that traders carefully monitor the MVRV behavior, as approaching these levels often prompts market participants to reassess risk. Bitcoin Retail Investors Remain Cautiously Absent Another factor shaping Bitcoin’s market conditions is the noticeable lack of retail investor engagement. Kesmeci observed that despite Bitcoin achieving new record highs in the second quarter of 2025, retail investor participation, measured by transfer volumes in smaller denominations (under $10,000), remains relatively subdued. While Bitcoin’s price trajectory has remained robust, retail volumes have seen minimal increases, indicating the current rally is primarily driven by institutional or large-scale investors. Historically, retail investor participation has served as an essential driver for sustained bull markets, amplifying price movements initially propelled by institutional investments. Related Reading: US Set To Reign As ‘Bitcoin Superpower,’ Declares Trump’s Digital Assets Chief Kesmeci notes that past major rallies, such as the one observed in 2020-2021, gained significant momentum when retail investors actively joined in. Thus, a critical aspect moving forward will be monitoring retail activity. Any uptick in retail investment could potentially catalyze further Bitcoin appreciation, reinforcing recent gains and setting the stage for a broader market rally. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Bitcoin maintains upward momentum despite a recent market retracement that briefly pulled the asset off its all-time highs. After climbing past the $111,000 level last week to set a new record, the cryptocurrency experienced a modest correction. BTC trades at $109,874 at the time of writing, reflecting a 2.3% daily increase. The move comes amid broader bullish sentiment in the crypto market, with traders weighing recent volatility against long-term structural trends. Meanwhile, analysts tracking on-chain activity suggest that the recent price pullback may have cleared the path for more sustainable market behavior. Related Reading: $200,000 Bitcoin ‘Is Real’ By Year-End, Says Top Researcher High Leverage Triggers Liquidations Below Key Support Levels Amr Taha, a contributor to CryptoQuant’s QuickTake platform, highlighted how Bitcoin’s price action flushed out over-leveraged traders while presenting an opportunity for long-term investors to reinforce their positions. His post titled “Late Longs Wiped Out — Long-Term Holders Seize the Opportunity to Accumulate Bitcoin” points to distinct market behavior unfolding in real time. Taha noted that Bitcoin’s recent drop below the psychological $111,000 threshold led to two significant long liquidation clusters on Binance. The first wave occurred around the $110,900 mark, wiping out over $97 million in long positions. Shortly after, a second wave hit as the price breached $109,000, resulting in a further $88 million in liquidated positions. These back-to-back events reflected cascading margin calls from traders using high leverage, a pattern often seen during sharp short-term corrections. Notably, liquidation clusters tend to emerge when rapid price movements force the automatic closure of margin positions, intensifying sell pressure in the process. This volatility tends to shake out speculative positions and can signal a temporary pause or consolidation phase in the broader trend. According to Taha, while the market absorbed these liquidations, it simultaneously witnessed a contrasting pattern among long-term holders (LTHs), who remained active throughout the volatility. Long-Term Holders Accumulate as Liquidations Unfold While short-term participants absorbed the brunt of the sell-off, LTHs appeared to interpret the price dip as a buying opportunity. Taha highlighted on-chain metrics showing that the LTH realized cap, a measure of the total value paid for held coins by long-term investors, has surged past $28 billion. This level had not been observed since April, reinforcing the narrative that seasoned market participants are increasing their exposure during moments of market dislocation. Related Reading: Is The Bitcoin Rally Over After $111,900 ATH? Global M2 Money Supply Is Still Going The behavior of long-term holders is often seen as a barometer for market health. Their steady accumulation during liquidation events suggests confidence in Bitcoin’s long-term value trajectory. Historically, accumulation by LTHs during volatile periods has coincided with later upward price expansions, as coins are removed from circulation and selling pressure is reduced. With leveraged positions reset and structural accumulation underway, the groundwork may be forming for Bitcoin to attempt another breakout beyond its previous highs. Featured image created with DALLE, Chart from TradingView

Bitcoin’s momentum, which pushed the asset to a fresh all-time high of over $111,000 earlier this week, appears to have paused slightly heading into the weekend. As of the time of writing, BTC is trading at $108,499, marking a 2.5% decline over the past 24 hours. Despite this short-term retracement, the overall market trend remains positive. Bitcoin has held most of its recent gains and remains just below its record peak set yesterday. The recent price action has coincided with an increase in on-chain signals, suggesting that large players are returning to the market. Notably, analysts are closely monitoring activity from major crypto exchanges like Binance, which have historically played a significant role in price discovery and market direction. Related Reading: Bitcoin Smashes Past $111K, But Are Traders About to Dump? Bitcoin Whale Activity on Binance Sparks Volatility Watch A recent analysis by CryptoQuant contributor Crazzyblockk highlighted a surge in whale activity on Binance. In his QuickTake post titled “Binance Whale Activity Spikes —  Eyes on the Market,” the analyst pointed out that the Binance Whale Activity Score has seen a sharp rise. This metric, which measures inflow and outflow behavior of the top 10 whale wallets on Binance, indicates that large holders are actively repositioning. These movements can be early indicators of upcoming volatility and directional shifts in the market. The analyst explained that inflow spikes from whales may point to potential distribution or strategic selling, while outflow surges often signal accumulation or redeployment of capital to other platforms. The significance of these whale movements lies in their historical tendency to precede major price developments. According to Crazzyblockk, Binance remains a central venue for price formation, making it critical to observe whale patterns there. He concluded that these inflow-outflow fluctuations could introduce higher liquidity and possibly increased volatility in the short term. Spot Market Data Points to Renewed Buyer Interest Complementing these observations is a report from another CryptoQuant analyst, Ibrahimcosar, who identified a positive shift in spot market behavior. According to the analyst, the Spot Taker CVD (Cumulative Volume Delta) over the past 90 days has turned green again. This metric reflects the difference between taker buy and taker sell volumes and serves as a proxy for real-time demand. A green phase indicates that market buy orders have become dominant, suggesting that buyers are regaining control. The analyst noted that in previous months, the same chart showed mostly red values, indicating a prevalence of sell orders and downward price pressure. The recent transition back into green territory may suggest the emergence of new demand as Bitcoin challenges its previous highs. Related Reading: Bitcoin From Pizza Day Era Still On The Move, Glassnode Reveals With price levels remaining elevated, the presence of buying pressure is interpreted as a potentially bullish signal. While cautious sentiment remains, these dynamics hint at the possibility of further upward movement if momentum continues to build in the days ahead. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Bitcoin has surpassed its previous all-time high again, registering a new peak above $111,000 amid continued bullish momentum across the crypto market. As of the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $111,226, reflecting a 2.2% increase in the past 24 hours. This upward movement has pushed the asset beyond the psychological threshold of $110,000, reinforcing optimism in its medium-term trajectory. However, analysts are monitoring underlying market data that may signal emerging risks beneath the surface of the rally. Related Reading: Binance Bitcoin Outflows and MVRV Ratio Point to Sustained Bullish Setup, Analyst Reveals Bitcoin Exchange Inflows and Leverage Ratios Reflect Growing Caution CryptoQuant contributor Amr Taha recently published a detailed analysis highlighting key metrics from Binance, including net flows, open interest, and leverage levels. These metrics, when taken together, reveal a familiar setup reminiscent of December 2024, a period that preceded short-term corrections. While Bitcoin’s price action has remained positive, the presence of high exchange inflows and speculative positioning could indicate that some investors are preparing for profit-taking. According to Taha, Binance has observed a notable increase in inflows, with approximately 3,000 BTC and 60,000 ETH entering the exchange as Bitcoin broke its all-time high. This shift from net outflows to inflows suggests that investors may be transferring assets to trading platforms with the intent to sell or adjust their positions. Historically, large net inflows during price peaks have been linked to increased selling activity, particularly when market participants aim to secure gains after extended uptrends. Taha also noted that open interest (OI) on Binance has climbed back above $12 billion levels last seen in December 2024. Open interest refers to the total value of outstanding futures contracts and is often viewed as an indicator of speculative engagement in the market. While rising OI can support upward continuation during bullish phases, it may also increase the risk of volatility if not supported by fresh spot market demand. Compounding this, Binance’s estimated leverage ratio has returned to 0.20, mirroring previous highs and suggesting that many traders are utilizing significant leverage. Elevated leverage levels tend to heighten sensitivity to price fluctuations and can amplify liquidations during abrupt corrections. Related Reading: Bitcoin Shows Elevated Unrealized Profits Without Signs Of Panic Selling – New ATH Soon? Are Market Conditions Echoing December’s Setup? Taha concluded his analysis, revealing that while none of these indicators are inherently bearish on their own, their simultaneous occurrence around a new all-time high could point toward short-term instability. In previous cycles, such combinations of high leverage, rising OI, and exchange inflows have been associated with increased profit-taking and localized pullbacks. Taha wrote: These are not inherently bearish signals in isolation. However, when combined, they historically correlate with profit-taking behavior and often precede volatility spikes or corrections. Traders and investors should remain alert: these same conditions marked the beginning of localized tops in late 2024, especially after periods of aggressive upside. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Bitcoin continues to show upward momentum as it has now finally reclaimed a critical price mark. As of the latest data, BTC briefly traded above $109,000; however, it has since retraced, now trading at $108,959, marking a 3.5% increase over the past 24 hours. This puts the asset less than 1% away from its all-time high of $109,958 recorded in January. The rally builds on weeks of gradual price appreciation, suggesting persistent bullish sentiment among investors. However, while price action appears strong on the surface, market metrics suggest a more nuanced picture underneath. New data from CryptoQuant analyst Maartunn sheds light on a shift in trading behavior, particularly on Binance, the world’s largest cryptocurrency exchange by volume. Related Reading: Is Bitcoin Ready For New ATHs? What The Charts Say Bitcoin Futures Activity Surges as Spot-to-Futures Ratio Hits 1.5-Year High In Maartunn’s recent QuickTake post titled “Spot to Futures Ratio (Binance) Hits 1.5-Year High,” the analyst pointed out that the ratio between spot and futures volume has reached 4.9, its highest level in 18 months. On May 12, Binance recorded $30.17 billion in spot trading volume versus $115.56 billion in futures trading. This 4.9x difference indicates that speculative interest, often driven by leverage, currently far exceeds direct buying pressure seen in spot markets. The Spot to Futures Ratio provides insight into the balance between actual asset purchases and derivative-based speculation. A higher ratio means that trading is more heavily concentrated in futures markets, where traders bet on price movements without owning the underlying asset. This pattern often reflects short-term sentiment and positioning rather than long-term conviction. While elevated futures activity can amplify market moves in either direction, it may also signal caution, as traders hedge rather than accumulate. The sustained gap between spot and futures volumes indicates that speculative leverage is playing a central role in Bitcoin’s current rally. Balanced Profitability Suggests Market Stability Meanwhile, on-chain metrics presented by another CryptoQuant analyst, Crazzyblockk, further contextualize the broader market sentiment. According to his data, profitability across investor cohorts remains high: wallets holding BTC for less than one month are up 6.9% in unrealized gains, while short-term holders (less than six months) are seeing 10.7% gains. Despite these elevated profit margins, there has been no significant sign of mass profit-taking or distressed selling. The Unrealized Profit/Loss (UPL) Ratio reveals that while the majority of the network is in profit, the distribution of gains across different investor groups remains relatively balanced. Related Reading: This Bitcoin Level Could Be To Watch In The Short Term, Glassnode Says This type of evenly distributed profitability has historically been associated with reduced volatility and a lower risk of sudden corrections. Crazzyblockk noted that, in previous cycles, extreme profit concentration among one group, typically short-term holders, often preceded major selloffs. However, the current structure appears more stable, with no signs of excessive selling pressure. Although macroeconomic risks and external volatility remain factors to watch, the combination of strong price action, steady accumulation, and limited distribution suggests that the market may be preparing for a new phase, potentially leading to a breakout beyond Bitcoin’s existing all-time high. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

The broader cryptocurrency market has been on an upward trajectory over the past few weeks, partly driven by improving global macroeconomic conditions. Recent policy shifts between the United States and China, two of the world’s largest economies, have helped fuel investor sentiment. Both countries have agreed to temporarily reduce tariffs: the US cut rates from 145% to 30%, while China lowered its own from 125% to 10%, each over 90 days. These decisions have been interpreted by some as a step toward easing global trade tensions, supporting risk-on assets such as Bitcoin. In response to the broader bullish environment, Bitcoin has seen a steady rise, currently trading at $106,574, up 1.7% in the last 24 hours. The price earlier reached a 24-hour high of $107,844 before retreating slightly. Despite the pullback, Bitcoin remains just 2% below its all-time high of $109,000, recorded in January 2025. The consistent climb has led analysts and traders to monitor on-chain metrics more closely to gauge market behavior and possible future movements. Related Reading: Binance Bitcoin Outflows and MVRV Ratio Point to Sustained Bullish Setup, Analyst Reveals Realized Capitalization Surges as Accumulation Phase Strengthens A recent analysis from CryptoQuant contributor Carmelo Alemán has brought attention to Bitcoin’s realized capitalization, a metric that measures the total value of Bitcoin based on the price at which each coin last moved on-chain. According to Alemán, the realized cap jumped by more than $3 billion in a single day, marking a 0.33% increase in the total capital invested in Bitcoin. This significant uptick signals renewed capital inflows, and more importantly, it points to a recurring pattern of accumulation and consolidation. Alemán identified a repeating cycle beginning in April, where Bitcoin has shown sharp price increases followed by sideways movements lasting 8 to 10 days. These lateral phases, supported by rising realized cap, form a staircase-like chart structure with each step building upon the previous one. From an on-chain perspective, the steady climb in realized cap suggests buyers are entering the market at higher levels, lifting the network’s aggregate cost basis and demonstrating long-term confidence in the asset. On-Chain Trends Suggest Investors Are Positioning for Continuation Alemán also highlighted that the behavior of realized capitalization in the current market mirrors patterns seen in previous bull cycles. Historically, spikes in this metric during consolidation phases have preceded large-scale price movements. The current rise indicates that capital entering the market is doing so with a long-term view, rather than speculative short-term intent. This positions the market for a potential continuation, especially as accumulation appears to intensify around the psychological $106,000–$109,000 range. Related Reading: $3.8 Billion In Capital Inflows Behind Ethereum’s Post-Pectra Surge, Data Shows The analyst concluded that tracking realized cap in the days ahead will be essential to confirm whether the current phase evolves into another upward price impulse. If the trend persists, it could support another leg higher, reinforcing the view that Bitcoin remains in a broader accumulation structure. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Bitcoin (BTC) has seen a slight retreat after reaching an intraday high of $106,704. At the time of writing, the asset trades at $104,686, reflecting a mere 0.4% increase in the last 24 hours. Despite this slight pullback, BTC remains within 3.8% of its all-time high of $109,000 set in January, indicating that bullish momentum is still largely intact. Amid this price performance, data suggests that BTC’s price behavior remains supported by strategic accumulation patterns rather than short-term speculation. The return of large-scale withdrawals from centralized exchanges like Binance and Kraken may be contributing to this reduced sell-side pressure. Related Reading: Bitcoin Market Update: Spot Demand Climbs As Short-Term Profits Lose Steam Exchange Outflows and MVRV Ratio Support Accumulation Thesis Amr Taha, a contributor to CryptoQuant’s QuickTake platform, highlighted a noteworthy shift in investor behavior. According to Taha’s latest analysis, over 3,090 BTC, valued at approximately $325 million, were withdrawn from Binance in a single day. This followed an earlier 76,000 ETH withdrawal from Binance and a separate 170,000 ETH exit from Kraken. These movements suggest investors are increasingly transferring assets off exchanges, a behavior typically linked to long-term holding strategies. Taha notes that this trend aligns with broader developments in the industry, such as Circle’s reported IPO plans and acquisition discussions involving Coinbase and Ripple. Taha’s analysis also emphasizes the importance of the MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) ratio in gauging market sentiment. Currently standing at 2.33, the MVRV remains below the 2.75 threshold that has historically triggered major corrections. The last instance of MVRV crossing that level coincided with a prolonged five-month downturn. In contrast, the current level suggests that Bitcoin is not yet in overheated territory, which could give the market room to move higher before heavy profit-taking begins. Bitcoin Market Structure Points to Reduced Sell Pressure Taha concludes that the market remains in an accumulation phase, driven by reduced exchange reserves and a neutral MVRV reading. The decline in exchange-held BTC supply lowers the risk of large-scale sell-offs, especially if buyer demand holds steady. This dynamic could help sustain the current uptrend, barring unexpected external shocks. Moreover, the combination of falling exchange balances and a sub-critical MVRV ratio paints a picture of a market not yet near euphoric excess. Instead, the conditions suggest a cautious optimism among investors, with many choosing to store rather than liquidate their holdings, according to Taha. Related Reading: This Bitcoin Level Could Be To Watch In The Short Term, Glassnode Says The analyst added that the gradual offloading of exchange balances supports the view that institutional and large retail participants are still positioning for future upside. Should the MVRV ratio climb toward the historical trigger point of 2.75, that sentiment may begin to shift, but for now, on-chain indicators suggest that Bitcoin’s rally may still have room to grow. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Bitcoin (BTC) continues to show signs of strength despite experiencing a minor pullback in its most recent trading session. After briefly reaching a 24-hour high of $106,518, the asset retraced slightly and now trades at $104,820, reflecting a modest 0.5% decrease over the past day. Still, the cryptocurrency remains just 3.8% below its all-time high of $109,000 set in January, keeping traders and analysts closely focused on its next move. Notably, the current price action comes as changes in trading behavior emerge across major exchanges. Related Reading: Bitcoin Bulls Face Make-Or-Break Moment At $106,500 Resistance – Details Binance Spot Volume Signals Renewed Interest Amid Controlled Market Activity One notable development is the return of positive spot net volume delta on Binance, according to a new analysis by CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost. This metric, which measures the net difference between buying and selling volume on spot markets, suggests that spot demand for Bitcoin is increasing once again. Darkfost emphasizes that while rising spot volume can reflect growing interest, sharp spikes, especially during euphoric rallies or profit-taking phases, can sometimes coincide with local tops. Darkfost notes that previous surges in Binance spot volume were often linked to key market tops, driven by rapid sentiment shifts. Such volume expansions tend to result from two primary drivers: enthusiasm that leads traders to chase price action, and experienced investors taking profits after breaching key resistance zones. While these volume shifts don’t necessarily point to imminent reversals, they highlight periods where risk management becomes increasingly important. In the current cycle, however, the uptick in volume appears more gradual, which the analyst views as a healthier sign for market continuation rather than a sign of overheating. Binance’s position as the top global crypto exchange gives these trends additional weight. According to data referenced in Darkfost’s analysis, Binance accounts for more than 26% of global spot volume, far outpacing other platforms like Coinbase. Monitoring activity on such a dominant exchange provides useful insights into broader market sentiment, especially in periods where Bitcoin approaches key psychological levels like $100,000 or higher. Bitcoin MVRV Momentum Divergence Highlights Short-Term Risk Pockets In a separate report, another CryptoQuant analyst, Crazzyblockk, examined the market through the lens of MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) momentum across both short- and long-term holders. The analysis found that while both groups are sitting on significant unrealized profits, short-term holders have seen their weekly MVRV momentum decline. This means that those who entered the market recently may not be achieving expected returns, which could increase the likelihood of short-term sell pressure. Related Reading: Bitcoin Up $18,000, But HODLer Profits Same As On April 1—Here’s Why The divergence in MVRV momentum between long-term and short-term holders is often seen as an early signal of a shift in market dynamics. If long-term holders begin to distribute profits while newer market entrants grow frustrated, short bursts of volatility could emerge. However, broader positive momentum and the resilience of spot market demand suggest that Bitcoin remains positioned for continued strength, provided these emerging risk signals do not escalate in the near term. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Bitcoin has resumed its upward trajectory in the early hours of Monday, briefly surpassing the $106,000 mark before encountering resistance and experiencing a minor pullback. As of the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $104,153, representing a 1% decline over the past 24 hours. Despite this dip, the asset remains in a strong position overall, having posted significant gains over the past several weeks and retaining proximity to its all-time high levels. This price action follows a brief consolidation phase late last week, during which Bitcoin paused after climbing above $104,000. Amid this price performance, CryptoQuant analyst Avocado Onchain recently shared his interpretation of the trend based on derivatives and spot market data. Related Reading: Are Bitcoin Whales About to Cash Out? Key Metric Signals Possible Profit-Taking Ahead Market Buy Volume and Funding Rates Show a Shift in Rally Behavior In his recent analysis, “Bitcoin’s Rebound Without Overheating Is a Clear Sign of a Healthy Bull Market,” Avocado Onchain pointed to a shift in Bitcoin’s behavior around key price milestones. In previous breakout attempts, he noted that Bitcoin’s surge to new all-time highs was often accompanied by a sharp rise in Binance’s market buy volume and funding rates, both of which signaled overheated conditions. These conditions typically resulted in short-term corrections, as traders locked in profits and leverage unwound. However, the analyst observed that the current rebound is unfolding differently. Funding rates on Binance remain stable, and market buy volume is trending downward, which Avocado interprets as a sign of restraint rather than weakness. He argued that, unlike the sharp speculative rallies seen in prior phases, the present environment reflects cautious optimism and sustained accumulation. According to him, this more tempered recovery could be less vulnerable to abrupt pullbacks and instead support a more stable path to potential new highs. ???? 과열 없는 비트코인 반등, 건강한 강세장의 신호(Bitcoin’s Rebound Without Overheating Is a Clear Sign of a Healthy Bull Market) 이번 시즌 비트코인 가격이 신고가를 갱신할 때마다 바이낸스 시장가 매수 거래량과 펀딩비는 크게 상승하였고, 그 후 과열로 인한 조정기간이 찾아오는 유사한… pic.twitter.com/c0JCPzgbfY — Avocado (@avocado_onchain) May 19, 2025 Bitcoin On-Chain Trends Point to Continued Accumulation Avocado further emphasized that although buying activity is not surging at the same rate as in prior runs, the overall trend in market buy volume has been gradually increasing since 2023. He referred to on-chain data that shows a consistent uptrend, suggesting that longer-term investor appetite remains intact. With sentiment still recovering from recent corrections and derivatives markets appearing less overheated, he suggested the market structure is favorable for additional upward momentum in the near to mid-term. Related Reading: Bitcoin Exchange Stablecoins Ratio Surges—A Warning For Investors? While the analyst did not make a specific prediction regarding when Bitcoin might surpass its previous record, he highlighted that the current market conditions do not resemble previous overheated peaks. This, he noted, makes for a more constructive setup and potentially more durable gains if the trend continues. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Bitcoin’s recent climb appears to have momentarily slowed following a period of consistent upward momentum. After briefly trading above $104,000 earlier in the week, the price has since retraced to around $102,004, reflecting a modest 1.2% dip in the past 24 hours. Despite the pullback, BTC remains up nearly 20% over the past month and is currently trading 6.4% below its all-time high of $109,000 reached in January. CryptoQuant contributor Carmelo Alemán shared insights into the activity of long-term holders (LTHs), suggesting a potential link between the recent pullback and increasing realized profits among seasoned investors. Related Reading: Bitcoin Exchange Stablecoins Ratio Surges—A Warning For Investors? Bitcoin SOPR and Profit-Taking Behavior Signal Distribution Trends According to Alemán, the Bitcoin SOPR (Spent Output Profit Ratio) for LTHs has risen significantly since March 12, marking a 71.33% growth in realized profits. This trend may reflect strategic profit-taking among investors who accumulated Bitcoin at lower prices during previous consolidation phases. Alemán’s analysis highlights how Bitcoin’s long-term holders, those who have held BTC for more than 150 days, have steadily increased their profit margins over the past two months. As of May 13, the SOPR for LTHs reached 2.27409, indicating that coins moved by these investors were sold at an average return of 227.41%. In practical terms, an investor who bought BTC for $50,000 would have realized roughly $113,705, with $64,000 in profit. This behavior may point to a period of cautious distribution, as experienced holders seek to lock in gains ahead of potential market corrections. Historically, such spikes in SOPR values tend to align with the later stages of market rallies, when price volatility increases and profit-taking accelerates. Alemán suggests that while the market has yet to reach its full cycle peak, LTHs may be preparing for such a scenario by adjusting their positions accordingly. This cautious profit-taking could influence near-term price movements, particularly if short-term traders follow the lead of more seasoned market participants. Related Reading: Bitcoin Will Hit $1 Million By 2028 As Capital Controls Kick In: Top Expert Mixed Signals from LTH Behavior: Selling Slows Despite Price Nearing ATH In contrast to Alemán’s observation, another CryptoQuant analyst, ShayanMarkets, presented a different view of LTH behavior. According to Shayan, while the Bitcoin market is experiencing some profit-taking pressure, long-term holders are not contributing significantly to the selling activity. This view is supported by the declining SOPR metric among LTHs, which suggests that these investors are either holding or continuing to accumulate. This divergence may indicate a shift in the market’s dynamics. Whereas prior rallies were often met with widespread distribution from early adopters, the current trend could be characterized by stronger conviction among institutional or strategic holders. If this behavior continues, Bitcoin may resume its upward momentum once short-term selling pressure subsides. Shayan wrote: Based on this behavior, Bitcoin is likely to resume its bullish trend following this pause, potentially leading to a fresh impulsive rally and new all-time highs in the mid-term. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Bitcoin’s recent market movement reflects ongoing upward momentum, even as short-term fluctuations suggest some cooling. As of today, BTC trades at $103,485, reflecting a slight 0.6% dip in the last 24 hours and a near 10% decline over the past week. However, the asset remains just under 5% below its all-time high of $109,000 reached in January, continuing to hold a position near record levels. This pattern suggests Bitcoin may be entering a consolidation phase, supported by long-term bullish fundamentals. Amid this price performance, renewed activity among long-term holders is generating interest about the sustainability of the current price range and the potential for future volatility. Related Reading: Bitcoin Near ATH, But Still No Extreme Greed: Green Sign For Bull Run? Bitcoin Binary CDD Signals Potential Market Rotation CryptoQuant analyst Avocado Onchain recently highlighted a key indicator known as Binary Coin Days Destroyed (CDD), which helps assess the behavior of long-dormant Bitcoin. Binary CDD increases when older coins are moved after extended periods of inactivity, typically a sign of long-term holders re-entering the market or preparing to sell. Historically, spikes in Binary CDD have coincided with market tops or phases where distribution from early holders to newer market participants increases. According to Avocado, applying a 30-day moving average to Binary CDD smooths the data and provides a clearer view of macro trends. During previous Bitcoin rallies, including in late 2021 and during the twin peaks of 2024, the Binary CDD rose past the 0.8 threshold. That level historically signaled elevated movement from long-term holders, often aligning with increased selling pressure or profit-taking behavior. Currently, the indicator sits near 0.6 and is trending upward as Bitcoin attempts to retest its highs. If Binary CDD crosses the 0.8 mark again, it may suggest another wave of distribution is underway. Monitoring Profit Realization Behavior What makes Binary CDD useful is its ability to reflect potential shifts in market structure. When long-term holders begin moving large volumes of BTC, it often signals the start of profit-taking, especially if accompanied by high prices and strong market sentiment. However, the indicator alone does not confirm sell-offs; context, such as exchange inflows and broader trading data, is necessary to interpret it fully. In a broader sense, the current uptick in Binary CDD may point to Bitcoin entering a transitional stage. Rather than signaling the end of an uptrend, it could indicate that notable investors are gradually rotating capital or responding to price action in anticipation of near-term changes. In a separate market signal, another CryptoQuant analyst, EgyHash, highlighted concerns arising from the Exchange Stablecoins Ratio (USD), a metric that compares Bitcoin reserves to stablecoin holdings on exchanges. According to EgyHash, this ratio has climbed to around 5.3, surpassing the threshold of 5.0, which previously coincided with distribution phases in the market. A similar level in late January led to a pullback, and the current reading suggests that more traders may be preparing to sell, possibly rotating BTC holdings back into stablecoins or fiat equivalents. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Bitcoin has continued its steady ascent, with the asset now trading above $103,000. This marks a 0.4% decrease over the last 24 hours and more than 20% over the past month. While the rally has reaffirmed bullish sentiment in broader markets, recent data points to a shift in the sources driving this momentum. A CryptoQuant analyst has observed a growing disparity between regional and global market behavior, especially regarding the price of Bitcoin across different exchanges. Related Reading: Bitcoin Treasury Firms Are This Cycle’s Bubble, Experts Warn Upward Momentum as Global Investors Take the Lead CryptoQuant analyst Avocado Onchain recently analyzed a key metric known as the “Korea Premium,” which tracks the price difference between Bitcoin on Korean exchanges and international platforms. Despite Bitcoin’s rising market price, the Korea Premium has been on a consistent downward trend. This suggests the ongoing rally is largely being driven by institutional flows and investor sentiment in markets outside Korea, rather than from the historically active Korean retail segment. In previous cycles, particularly in 2017 and 2021, South Korean exchanges often traded BTC at a premium due to local demand surges, sometimes up to 20% higher than international prices. These periods were typically seen as signals of retail-driven euphoria. Avocado explains that this change in market dynamics reflects a new phase of capital distribution in the crypto space. With spot Bitcoin ETFs now operational in the US, and growing interest from corporations and even sovereign wealth entities, a larger share of trading activity is being driven by institutional strategies rather than retail speculation. This is reflected in the subdued Korea Premium, which failed to spike even as BTC crossed major resistance levels in recent months. Institutional Activity Redefines Bitcoin’s Market Drivers According to Avocado, even if a rebound occurs, any Korea Premium near 10%—once considered modest—should now be interpreted as elevated. The absence of excessive domestic premiums highlights that Asian retail is no longer setting the pace in Bitcoin markets. Instead, global institutional actors, armed with new vehicles like ETFs and custodial platforms, appear to be the primary drivers of demand. This shift is significant because it may signal more sustained and less volatile growth for Bitcoin, in contrast to previous boom-and-bust cycles fueled by retail enthusiasm. Related Reading: Buyers Take Control: Indicator That Predicted Previous Bitcoin Rallies Fires Again Avocado’s observations suggest a maturation of the crypto market. With retail sentiment lagging and institutional interest rising, Bitcoin’s price trajectory may now be more responsive to global macroeconomic events, policy shifts, and capital allocation trends from major asset managers. This evolving dynamic could also change how traders interpret volume spikes and volatility, especially as retail signals like the Korea Premium lose some of their predictive power. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Bitcoin has been able to climb above the $104,000 level, following a notable double-digit increase over the past week. At the time of writing, BTC trades at $104,271, narrowing the gap to its all-time high of $109,000. This recent price surge is not occurring in isolation. Instead, it appears closely tied to broader macroeconomic developments, most notably, the recent easing of trade tensions between the US and China, with both countries reducing tariffs on certain imports and exports. Market participants have responded positively to these policy shifts, signaling renewed risk appetite across traditional and digital asset markets. Bitcoin’s rally over the weekend reflects this optimism, with analysts identifying key technical indicators pointing toward rising buyer strength. One such indicator, the Taker Buy Sell Ratio, is gaining attention for marking previous turning points in Bitcoin’s price history. Related Reading: Bitcoin Nears All-Time High as $312M BTC Exit Binance Following US-China Trade Deal Bitcoin Taker Buy-Sell Ratio Signals Renewed Bullish Control CryptoQuant contributor G a a h highlighted that the Taker Buy Sell Ratio, a metric measuring the ratio of market buy orders to sell orders, has climbed to a significant threshold of 1.02. Historically, similar levels have coincided with crucial inflection points in Bitcoin’s price movement. For instance, this metric reached comparable highs during the late 2022 lows between $15,000 and $20,000, and again in October 2023 as Bitcoin broke through the $30,000 resistance level. According to G a a h, this recent breakout above the 1.00 line reflects an increase in aggressive buying activity, with market takers once again asserting short-term control. This suggests upward momentum may persist in the near term. However, the analyst also cautioned that these same conditions have previously been followed by volatility spikes, marking both the start and reversal of market trends. The analyst wrote: It’s worth noting that in previous periods, this same level has coincided with reversal zones or strong volatility, marking both the start and end of trends. We are therefore facing a scenario where buyer appetite could continue to drive BTC towards new highs. Realized Price Trends Confirm Ongoing Market Strength In a separate analysis, CryptoQuant analyst Crypto Dan examined Bitcoin’s realized price, a metric that reflects the average purchase price of all circulating BTC, as a tool to gauge market sentiment and directional strength. According to the report, the realized price is still on the rise, indicating that investors are increasingly accumulating BTC at higher prices. This trend differs significantly from previous cycles, where a reversal in the realized price preceded steep corrections. Crypto Dan attributes the current rise to institutional inflows, particularly through spot Bitcoin ETFs and corporate balance sheet purchases. These channels have brought in sustained capital, elevating the average acquisition price and reinforcing market structure. Related Reading: Why The US-China 90-Day Tariff Slash Can Push Bitcoin Price Above $110,000 As institutional players continue to allocate capital into Bitcoin, the realized price trend suggests that the ongoing rally may have more room to extend. With macroeconomic support from tariff reductions and on-chain indicators flashing green, the broader setup remains constructive for Bitcoin’s continued strength in the near term. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Bitcoin has continued its upward trend, recording a weekly price increase of 10.4% and currently trading at $103,881. The asset has surged over 24% in the last month, fueled by growing optimism across both crypto and traditional markets. Although still about 4% below its January all-time high, the latest developments suggest that bullish momentum may be building again. This renewed price strength appears to be supported by significant capital movements, including a notable Bitcoin outflow from the Binance exchange. Related Reading: Bitcoin 6-Month Flight Plan To $188,000, Here’s The Roadmap Bitcoin Exchange Outflows Suggest Accumulation Phase According to recent data shared on CryptoQuant’s QuickTake platform by analyst Amr Taha, over 3,000 BTC, valued at approximately $312 million, was withdrawn from Binance on May 12, marking one of the largest daily outflows in recent months. This coincided with a key macroeconomic development: a new trade agreement between the United States and China, which also sparked a sharp rebound in US equity markets, with the S&P 500 jumping more than 3%. Taha’s analysis indicates that this substantial Bitcoin withdrawal is part of a broader trend. Binance’s BTC reserves have declined consistently, falling from approximately 595,000 BTC in late February to 541,400 BTC by mid-May. The ongoing reduction in exchange balances typically signals a preference among investors for cold storage solutions or private wallets. Historically, such moves are viewed as indicative of accumulation behavior, suggesting lower near-term selling pressure and a more bullish medium-term outlook. The timing of the withdrawal, immediately following a geopolitical breakthrough between two of the world’s largest economies, adds further context. Taha highlights that capital markets responded positively to the easing of US-China tariff tensions, and the corresponding activity in the crypto space suggests Bitcoin investors are aligning their strategies accordingly. With macro uncertainty temporarily subdued, large holders appear to be repositioning for potential future gains, removing liquidity from exchanges to mitigate exposure and reduce immediate sell-side pressure. Macro Trends Influence Market Positioning The analyst further noted that market participants seem to be increasingly responsive to macro signals. The scale of the BTC withdrawal on May 12, paired with rising equity markets, illustrates how capital is shifting across asset classes in response to broader economic developments. Taha suggests this coordinated movement reflects renewed risk appetite and a possible recalibration of investor strategies in light of improving global trade dynamics. Related Reading: Are Bitcoin Bears Losing Out? $31 Million Wiped Out In BTC Shorts Liquidation While it remains to be seen whether this momentum can be sustained, recent patterns support the view that long-term holders and institutional participants are gaining confidence in Bitcoin’s role within a diversified investment strategy. As traditional markets recover and geopolitical risks ease, Bitcoin’s reduced exchange reserves and growing off-exchange holdings may lay the groundwork for another test of its all-time high. The coming weeks will likely be crucial in determining whether current inflows translate into a full-scale breakout or a period of consolidation. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Bitcoin has revisited the $100,000 mark for the first time in months, gaining nearly 5% in the past week. As of the time of writing, BTC is trading at $102,922, up 3.5% on the day and just 5.2% shy of its all-time high of $109,000 recorded in January. The latest push above this critical psychological threshold marks a renewed phase of bullish market behavior, following weeks of range-bound trading between $93,000 and $98,000. Related Reading: Massive Buy Pressure Hits Binance as Bitcoin Reclaims $100,000 Short Liquidation Clusters Ignite Rally According to insights shared by CryptoQuant contributor Amr Taha, the recent rally has been driven in part by a sequence of short liquidation events on Binance. These events not only removed downward pressure from the market but also flipped the derivatives funding market, signaling a possible change in trader sentiment. Taha explained that a large cluster of short positions had accumulated in recent days, creating conditions ripe for a squeeze. Taha noted that the first key liquidation occurred at the $97,000 level, where a large number of short positions were wiped out, totaling approximately $360 million. Traders had positioned themselves for a local top, but instead, BTC broke through this zone, triggering a cascade of short covers and forced liquidations. This resulted in a rapid price acceleration as sellers were pushed to close their positions. Shortly after this surge, the price consolidated below the $101,000 mark, where another dense cluster of short interest had formed. This acted as a magnet for a second liquidation wave. When BTC breached $101,000, nearly $240 million in shorts were liquidated, contributing to a breakout that pushed the price toward $104,000. Data from liquidation heatmaps highlighted both $97,000 and $101,000 as high-liquidity targets, reinforcing the narrative that these were calculated liquidation sweeps. Bitcoin Funding Rate Shift Signals Bullish Sentiment The impact of these events extended beyond spot price movement. Taha pointed to Binance’s funding rate chart, showing that prior to the liquidation events, the funding rate was negative, a reflection of bearish bias among traders who were paying to maintain short positions. Following the twin liquidation waves, the funding rate flipped to +0.01%, a key signal that demand for long exposure was increasing. This transition from negative to positive funding is often interpreted as a shift in market structure, from bear-dominated to bull-dominated sentiment. It suggests that many traders now expect further upside, at least in the near term. Related Reading: Trump’s $6 Billion Trade Deal With The UK Pushes Bitcoin Past $100,000 Additionally, the rapid adjustment in funding rates highlights the impact that derivative market positioning can have on spot price behavior, especially during periods of thin liquidity or elevated leverage. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Bitcoin’s price has finally reclaimed the $100,000 milestone after ranging below it for several weeks. This latest surge signals renewed momentum in the broader crypto market. At the time of writing, the asset trades at $100,383, reflecting a 3.5% gain over the past 24 hours. Despite this climb, Bitcoin remains roughly 8.4% % below its all-time high of $109,000 reached in January 2025, highlighting room for further upside if buying interest persists. Related Reading: Bitcoin Investors Are Taking Profits Aggressively – Signs Of A Local Top? Buy-Side Pressure Mounts as Key Metric Hits Bullish Threshold A CryptoQuant analyst has reported that the Taker Buy-Sell Ratio on Binance, which reflects the level of aggressive buying versus selling, is currently trending upward. Crazzyblockk highlighted key insights into this trend and what it may signal for Bitcoin’s price trajectory. According to the post titled “Binance Taker Buy-Sell Ratio – Your Smart Money Radar,” the ratio currently stands at 1.131, suggesting a dominant presence of market buyers over sellers. The seven-day average has trended up to 1.045, while the 30-day average shows a 12.1% surge. These readings signal bullish sentiment, although the associated z-score of 2.45 suggests that market conditions may be approaching short-term overbought levels. Crazzyblockk notes that Binance remains one of the most reliable platforms for gauging sentiment due to its deep liquidity and trading volume. The platform’s scale provides an accurate reflection of institutional and high-volume trader behavior. The analysis suggests that if the taker ratio stays above 1.1 and Bitcoin sustains the $99,000 level, bullish continuation is likely. However, a dip below 1.05 could hint at profit-taking and potential consolidation. The elevated price volatility also provides opportunities for short-term traders looking to capitalize on market swings. Bitcoin New Whales Reshape Ownership Dynamics in 2025 In a separate analysis, CryptoQuant contributor OnChainSchool has observed notable changes in the makeup of Bitcoin’s largest holders. Using on-chain data, the analyst identified a substantial increase in the number of wallets holding more than 1,000 BTC with coins aged less than 155 days, typically considered new whales. The ratio of new to old whales has risen from 0.16 to 0.28 this year, marking a 75.6% increase in their relative presence. These new wallets have collectively added over 430,000 BTC to their holdings, while older whales have trimmed their exposure by around 24,000 BTC. Despite the dynamic nature of wallet categorization, where new whales age out after 155 days, the upward trend in balances points to an influx of capital from newer, high-value investors. Related Reading: Bitcoin’s Realized Cap Hits Record High as Accumulation Continues Interestingly, this coincides with the recent report of an all-time high recorded in Bitcoin’s realized cap, which signals growing confidence in BTC among holders. Bitcoin Breaks Realized Cap All-Time High for the Third Consecutive Week “This pattern reflects growing confidence among both Long-Term Holders and Short-Term Holders, who are strengthening their positions as the market shows signs of recovery.” – By @oro_crypto pic.twitter.com/rQoWq1zqHy — CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) May 8, 2025 Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Bitcoin is currently trading just under the $100,000 psychological threshold, maintaining a sideways trajectory in recent weeks. At the time of writing, the asset trades at $97,005, reflecting a modest 2.6% gain over the past seven days and a 3.3% increase in the last 24 hours. While volatility remains subdued, recent on-chain data highlights a steady rise in investor activity that could hint at future price movement. Related Reading: Bitcoin In The Middle Of A Decision Point, Analyst Says—Here’s Why Bitcoin Investor Confidence Reflected in On-Chain Metrics CryptoQuant contributor Carmelo Alemán has outlined an ongoing trend that points to sustained investor interest. In a recent QuickTake post, Alemán noted that Bitcoin’s Realized Cap, representing the aggregate value of coins based on their last movement, has reached an all-time high for the third consecutive week. The metric, calculated by multiplying each unspent transaction output (UTXO) by its purchase price, rose to $890.7 billion, indicating growing capital inflow into the asset. According to Alemán, the consistent climb in Bitcoin’s Realized Cap demonstrates a continuation of accumulation by both long-term and short-term holders. The increased capital invested in BTC over the past few weeks suggests that market participants are positioning themselves for a potential price breakout. This pattern of capital inflow may be laying the groundwork for a stronger bullish phase if sustained investment continues. Long-Term Holders (LTHs) and Short-Term Holders (STHs) appear to be increasing their stakes during this consolidation period. Alemán emphasized that the rising Realized Cap does more than reflect price, as it also captures market conviction. The metric signals a growing belief in Bitcoin’s longer-term value proposition when paired with steady accumulation trends. If historical patterns repeat, the market may be in the early stages of forming a new uptrend. Coinbase Premium Gap Signals Localized Pressure Despite the on-chain optimism, other indicators suggest reasons for caution. Another CryptoQuant analyst, Abramchart, recently highlighted the Coinbase Premium Gap as a sign of regional bearish sentiment. The gap, which was at -5.07 at the time of reporting, means Bitcoin is trading lower on Coinbase, an exchange largely dominated by US investors, compared to global platforms. This negative gap is often interpreted as an indicator of selling pressure from American participants. Abramchart noted that although the premium had previously recovered, the recent decline aligns with Bitcoin’s failure to push beyond the $97,000 level. Persistent negative values in the premium gap typically signal weak demand in the US market, which could act as a headwind to upward momentum. If the gap continues to trend downward, it may reinforce current price stagnation despite broader accumulation trends. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Bitcoin’s recent recovery has encountered resistance as the asset remains range-bound between $93,000 and $97,000. After briefly climbing late last month, Bitcoin has struggled to maintain upward momentum since then. At the time of writing, BTC is trading at approximately $94,305, reflecting a modest 1.3% decline over the past day. While price action has slowed, activity on the backend of the market suggests underlying shifts in investor behavior. New on-chain data points to a significant decrease in Bitcoin reserves held on Binance, the world’s largest cryptocurrency exchange by trading volume. Related Reading: Bitcoin ATH Incoming? Analyst Flags Indicators That Preceded Every Major BTC Rally One of CryptoQuant’s contributors, Amr Taha, highlighted the development in a recent QuickTake post, signaling that over 51,000 BTC have been withdrawn from Binance wallets since mid-April. This drop from roughly 595,000 BTC to around 544,500 BTC could indicate a recalibration in investor strategy, with growing interest in long-term holding or redeployment of assets outside centralized platforms. What’s Driving the Bitcoin Outflows from Binance? According to Taha, multiple factors may be contributing to this steep decline in exchange-held reserves. One explanation involves institutional investors and long-term holders moving their Bitcoin into cold storage. This off-exchange behavior is typically interpreted as a signal of longer-term conviction, as these participants seek to secure assets while reducing the likelihood of short-term selling. Given the rise of custodial solutions and more institutional-grade wallets, this trend may reflect maturing market behavior. Another key factor could be the increasing use of Bitcoin within decentralized finance (DeFi) and cross-platform arbitrage strategies. Taha noted that entities may be withdrawing BTC to access yield opportunities or deploy capital in other blockchain ecosystems. Additionally, the recent positive flows into Bitcoin spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs), especially between April 21 and May 1, where daily net inflows crossed the $2 billion mark on several occasions, may have encouraged larger players to accumulate and withdraw Bitcoin in anticipation of further price appreciation. Exchange Reserve Trends Offer Signals Amid Price Consolidation Though Bitcoin’s price has remained largely stagnant over the past week, the shift in exchange reserve data could carry significant implications for future price action. Historically, a decrease in exchange reserves, particularly from major venues like Binance, has been associated with supply tightening. As fewer coins are readily available for sale, reduced liquidity can amplify the impact of incoming demand, especially in bullish phases. Taha emphasized that while short-term market performance may appear indecisive, tracking reserve metrics offers important clues about underlying sentiment. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Trading Within Dense Supply Cluster — What Lies Beyond $100K? A consistent drawdown of BTC from exchange platforms often sets the stage for renewed price movement, especially when accompanied by institutional accumulation and long-term holding behavior. If these patterns persist, they may contribute to reduced sell-side pressure, enabling Bitcoin to challenge its next resistance zones, including the psychological $100,000 level. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Bitcoin continues to extend its recent recovery, gaining over 15% in the past two weeks to reach a market price of $97,559 at the time of writing. This renewed momentum brings the asset closer to the $100,000 psychological level, marking a potential turning point for investor sentiment in the broader crypto market. While short-term price action often generates mixed reactions, some market analysts believe that key long-term indicators may be aligning for a larger move ahead. One of those voices is Bitcoin maxi Robert Breedlove, who shared a series of observations on X about indicators that could point toward a sustained bull run. Related Reading: Bitcoin HODLer Selling Expected Around This Level, Report Says Miner Costs and Long-Term Holder Behavior Point to Market Strength Citing analysis from Blockware, Breedlove pointed to the “industry average” miner cost of production — a model that aggregates various operational metrics such as electricity prices and hardware efficiency. According to this metric, Bitcoin has historically bottomed out when its market price approached or dipped below the average production cost. The model previously aligned with six significant market lows, and Breedlove notes it is flashing a bottom signal once again. In addition to mining economics, Breedlove referenced long-term holder supply data as another crucial input. This metric tracks the amount of Bitcoin that has remained unmoved on-chain for at least 155 days, a proxy for investor conviction and potential supply constraints. Over the past 30 days alone, long-term holders have added approximately 150,000 BTC to their balances. Historically, such accumulation during periods of price consolidation or retracement has preceded upward price movements due to the resulting decrease in sell-side pressure. With Bitcoin trading between $80,000 and $100,000, Breedlove suggests that fewer holders appear willing to exit their positions, potentially reducing available supply at these levels. Rising Liquidity and Macro Trends Add Fuel to Bullish Outlook on Bitcoin Another major factor is global fiat liquidity, which Breedlove highlights as a key demand-side component in Bitcoin’s price dynamics. The analyst points to the role of increasing dollar and international currency liquidity, driven by expanding access to Bitcoin through financial instruments like exchange-traded funds (ETFs), public company treasury holdings, and convertible bond offerings. He argues that greater access to capital and simplified exposure pathways have enhanced Bitcoin’s correlation with broader liquidity trends, increasing the likelihood of upward movement as fiat liquidity rises. Related Reading: Bitcoin Sentiment Nearly Back To Neutral—Green Sign For Rally? Breedlove concluded by reaffirming that Bitcoin’s fundamentals remain unchanged — fixed supply, 10-minute blocks, and predictable halving events — but external factors such as liquidity, regulation, and institutional adoption continue to influence its price action. Lastly, and most importantly, is USD liquidity. This effectively represents the “demand” side of the equation. More dollars in the system means more potential bidders. Bitcoin is highly correlated to fiat liquidity – and that’s becoming increasingly more of the case as ETFs,… pic.twitter.com/i5iE6NzM55 — Robert ₿reedlove (@Breedlove22) May 1, 2025 Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Bitcoin continues to edge closer to the $100,000 psychological price mark, trading at $96,857 at the time of writing. Although the asset pulled back slightly from a 24-hour high above $97,000, it still recorded a 2.4% increase over the past week, maintaining its broader uptrend. Recent on-chain data points to a growing sense of bullish sentiment in the market. Notably, a sharp increase in the taker buy/sell ratio on Binance suggests that traders are becoming more aggressive in their buying behavior. Some analysts are interpreting this shift as a potential prelude to further upside movement, especially as exchange outflows signal a tightening supply. Related Reading: Traders Rush Into Bitcoin Options as Implied Volatility Drops, Is a Big Move Coming? Bitcoin Taker Buy/Sell Ratio Points to Aggressive Buying Behavior Amr Taha, a contributor to the QuickTake platform by CryptoQuant, highlighted that the taker buy/sell ratio on Binance recently spiked to 1.142—its highest point in recent history. This metric compares the volume of market buy orders (taker buys) to market sell orders (taker sells). A value above 1 indicates that market participants are executing more aggressive buy orders than sell orders, suggesting a growing eagerness to enter the market even at higher price levels. Taha’s analysis also referenced a visual spike on Binance’s order book, signaling a wave of taker buys that reflect immediate interest in BTC accumulation. The timing of this spike coincided with Bitcoin’s recent move above $96,000. At the same time, data from CryptoQuant’s Whales Screener revealed a $200 million BTC outflow from centralized exchanges. This withdrawal likely represents a shift from liquid trading platforms to cold storage, implying reduced selling pressure and heightened confidence among large holders. Futures Traders That Drove October Rally Return In a separate update, another CryptoQuant analyst known as Mignolet pointed to the re-emergence of entities in the futures market that were active during Bitcoin’s sharp rally in October 2023. These futures participants, often institutional or high-frequency traders, played a notable role in driving momentum during that rally. According to Mignolet, similar entities have started showing signs of activity again since late April. Related Reading: North Carolina Passes Bill To Integrate Bitcoin Into $127 Billion Pension Fund The return of these futures players could suggest that leveraged long positions are being reopened in anticipation of another breakout. Combined with the recent net exchange outflows and aggressive spot buying on Binance, this resurgence could provide additional fuel for Bitcoin’s climb toward six-figure territory. Overall, while volatility remains a notable feature of crypto markets, current indicators suggest strong bullish undertones may be building beneath the surface. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Bitcoin is inching closer to the $100,000 milestone, continuing a steady upward trend that has characterized its recent market behavior. As of the time of writing, the asset is trading at approximately $96,091, marking a 3.6% increase over the past week. This sustained climb follows a correction seen in early April and suggests that the broader market remains engaged, with momentum gradually building. As price action intensifies, analysts are increasingly focused on the indicators shaping short- to mid-term expectations. Among them is CryptoQuant contributor Axel Adler Jr., who recently shared new data indicating that Bitcoin’s on-chain momentum has entered what he calls the “start” rally zone, with a momentum ratio of approximately 0.8. This threshold is considered critical in assessing whether Bitcoin is likely to push higher or enter a period of consolidation. Related Reading: Bitcoin Sentiment Nearly Back To Neutral—Green Sign For Rally? Three Scenarios Shaping the Road Ahead In a QuickTake post titled “Bitcoin is warming up – 3 scenarios that could shape the next rally,” Adler outlined a set of possibilities based on current network data and previous cycle patterns. He describes an “optimistic” case where the momentum ratio climbs above 1.0 and holds, indicating a potential rally toward the $150,000–$175,000 range. This scenario mirrors historical breakout phases observed in 2017 and 2021, where a decisive break in key metrics sparked extended bullish runs. The “base case,” as Adler frames it, assumes that the momentum ratio stabilizes between 0.8 and 1.0, keeping Bitcoin in a broad trading range between $90,000 and $110,000. In this instance, market participants hold their positions but remain cautious about increasing exposure. A more conservative view, the “pessimistic” scenario, would be triggered if the ratio drops toward 0.75. This would suggest that short-term holders may begin taking profits, potentially leading to a correction in the $70,000–$85,000 zone. Adler emphasized, however, that with a recent correction already priced in, the optimistic and base case outcomes appear more plausible at present. Bitcoin Short-Term Holder Activity Signals Accumulation A separate analysis from CryptoQuant analyst Crypto Dan suggests further support for a bullish outlook. Dan notes that Bitcoin’s current structure bears similarities to past accumulation phases observed earlier in 2024. He highlights that in both January and October, rising activity from short-term holders—those who keep their coins for between one day and one week—preceded significant rallies. This behavioral trend has returned in recent days, which, according to Dan, often signals that the market is positioning for a larger move. Related Reading: Traders Rush Into Bitcoin Options as Implied Volatility Drops, Is a Big Move Coming? These patterns have historically emerged just before major surges not only in Bitcoin but also in the altcoin space. If current activity mirrors past cycles, Bitcoin may be preparing to surpass the $100,000 mark and transition into a renewed uptrend. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Bitcoin continues its gradual recovery, currently trading above the $94,000 level at the time of writing. This upward trend follows a recent correction that pushed prices down earlier this month. Despite the recent gains, Bitcoin remains about 12.7% below its all-time high set in January. While investors monitor price resistance levels around the psychological $100,000 mark, on-chain metrics are beginning to show significant changes in market behavior that may influence short- and mid-term sentiment. A key development recently highlighted is the rising proportion of the Bitcoin supply that is currently in profit. As the market edges closer to historic euphoria thresholds, some analysts suggest that while this trend may support continued bullish movement, it could also introduce volatility as market participants assess when to lock in gains. The shift in profitability levels is also being evaluated alongside other indicators such as leverage and RSI behavior, which are offering mixed signals. Related Reading: Bitcoin Whales Back In ‘Full Force’ For The Rally, Glassnode Reveals Bitcoin Supply in Profit Nears Euphoria Levels CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost shared a recent outlook on Bitcoin’s on-chain dynamics, emphasizing the behavior of the “supply in profit” metric. According to the analyst, the supply in profit, meaning the percentage of Bitcoin in circulation currently valued higher than its purchase price, has climbed back above 85%. This metric fell to around 75% during the last correction but has now recovered in line with the recent price rebound. Historically, supply in profit levels above 90% have coincided with euphoric phases in past market cycles. While this level has yet to be reached in the current cycle, the upward trajectory suggests it may be approaching. Darkfost noted that such phases often trigger accelerated price rallies, but also tend to precede short- to mid-term pullbacks. The analyst emphasized how far sentiment has shifted from recent lows: It’s also worth noting that during past cycles, the lowest supply in profit levels were around 45–50%, which corresponded to deep bear market conditions. Notably, in this context, monitoring this metric may be important for anticipating potential trend reversals or periods of elevated volatility. Leverage Ratio and RSI Indicate Reduced Market Aggression In a separate post, another CryptoQuant analyst, Crypto Lion, addressed the behavior of the leverage ratio in combination with relative strength index (RSI) data. The analyst referenced a custom metric developed by CryptoQuant that multiplies RSI by an open interest-to-reserve ratio. This approach is designed to assess speculative positioning across the market. Related Reading: Bitcoin Trades At 40% Discount As ‘Triple Put’ Unfolds: Hedge Fund Founder Crypto Lion observed that RSI swings are currently higher than they were during the 2021 summer period, though leverage dynamics suggest that the market is not currently as overheated. According to the post, the market appears to be slowly decoupling from aggressive leverage, potentially signaling a shift toward more organic spot-driven movement. The analyst concluded: I am concerned about what will happen after the next high, whether the original indicator was declining or not, which is not surprising. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Bitcoin’s recent upward momentum appears to have slowed after climbing nearly 10% over the past week. Following a move above $95,000, Bitcoin is currently trading at $94,686, reflecting a modest 0.7% gain over the past 24 hours. Although the asset has demonstrated resilience following its recent correction, its latest price action indicates a pause in its upward momentum as market participants reassess near-term direction. So far, analysts have looked into BTC’s spot market activity and key on-chain indicators to determine whether Bitcoin can sustain its broader recovery. New insights from CryptoQuant analysts particularly highlight important developments related to buying and selling behavior on major exchanges, alongside critical metrics that could influence the confirmation of a continued bullish trend. These metrics may provide clues as to whether Bitcoin can maintain its current levels or if additional corrective phases are possible. Related Reading: Bitcoin MVRV At Critical Breakout Point – Is A Price Rally Imminent? Binance Spot Buying Volume Outpaces Selling for the First Time in Six Months According to CryptoQuant analyst Joao Wedson, a significant shift has occurred in Bitcoin’s spot trading activity on Binance. For the first time in six months, the Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) on Binance spot markets has turned positive, meaning cumulative buying volume is now exceeding selling volume. The CVD measures the accumulated difference between buy and sell volumes, providing insight into the net pressure in the spot market over time. Wedson noted that since Bitcoin’s recent low around $75,000, the Binance Spot CVD has been trending upward, suggesting growing buying interest relative to selling. Historically, Binance’s spot CVD has shown a consistent downtrend since 2021, with limited periods of sustained positive momentum.  Given Binance’s influence as the largest global exchange, the recovery of the CVD metric is being viewed as an important development to gauge risk appetite and broader market sentiment. Bitcoin STH-Realized Price Emerges as a Key Threshold for Bull Run Confirmation In a separate analysis, another CryptoQuant analyst, CryptoMe, emphasized the importance of Bitcoin’s relationship to the Short-Term Holder Realized Price (STH-Realized Price) when evaluating the sustainability of a bull market. The STH-Realized Price represents the average purchase price of coins held by short-term holders, typically considered an important support or resistance level during market cycles. CryptoMe explained that during historical bull runs, Bitcoin tends to maintain its price above the STH-Realized Price. In the current environment, Bitcoin is testing this level, and its ability to decisively break above it could signal a continuation of bullish momentum. Related Reading: Bitcoin Perpetual Swaps Signal Short Bias Amid Price Rebound – Details The analyst advised that as long as Bitcoin remains below the STH-Realized Price, maintaining a hedge in derivatives markets could be a prudent strategy. Conversely, if the price moves above this threshold, closing hedge positions and focusing on spot investments could align with market structure trends. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

Bitcoin gradual recovery continues, with the asset currently trading at $95,409 after posting a 1.7% gain over the past 24 hours. In the last two weeks, BTC has climbed nearly 15%, recovering steadily from its recent period of correction. While the momentum appears measured compared to past breakouts, the underlying market data suggests that structural shifts are underway that could influence the next major move. So far, several indicators are pointing toward improving sentiment, particularly within the derivatives market, which now dominates Bitcoin’s overall trading volume. Recent observations from analysts highlight a shift in the balance of trading activity, hinting that long positions are regaining strength over shorts. Meanwhile, updated cycle models suggest Bitcoin may still have room to extend its current trend, with structural similarities emerging between the present market and the 2017 cycle. Related Reading: Bitcoin Sees Highest Exchange Outflows In 2 Years, What This Means For Price Bitcoin Net Taker Volume Turns Positive, What Does It Signal? According to CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost, the 30-day moving average of Bitcoin’s Net Taker Volume has returned firmly to positive territory. Net Taker Volume is an indicator that compares the relative size of long and short positions in the derivatives market over a given period. A positive reading indicates that buying pressure (long positions) outweighs selling pressure (short positions), while a negative reading suggests the opposite. Darkfost noted that derivatives markets now account for roughly 90% of total Bitcoin trading volume, surpassing spot and exchange-traded (ETF) volumes. As a result, shifts in derivatives sentiment can often foreshadow broader price movements. The return of the Net Taker Volume into positive territory suggests that speculative participants are positioning for continued upside. This realignment in the derivatives market, if sustained, could act as a catalyst to reinforce Bitcoin’s recent gains and set the stage for further price discovery. Cycle Model Adjustments Point to Uptrend Continuation In a separate analysis, CryptoQuant analyst Mignolet provided insight into Bitcoin’s longer-term trend outlook. Using a refined cycle model based on market capitalization data, Mignolet suggested that traditional cycle indicators have been slow to reflect the latest recovery. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Sees Short-Term Dip — Bulls Plot Their Next Move To address this lag, adjustments were made to the model’s time series to detect earlier shifts in market behavior. Mignolet observed that what appeared to be a “bear market” zone under traditional models was, in reality, a buying opportunity within an ongoing upward cycle. The current market structure, according to Mignolet, resembles the later stages of the 2017 bull market rather than the early phases of a new downturn. If this parallel holds, Bitcoin could still have significant upside potential before entering a major correction phase. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView