The analyst’s predictions come shortly after Bitcoin staged the best weekly return since the 2023 US banking crisis.
Bitcoin has continued with its strong bullish momentum, trading at highs that have never before been seen. Today, the asset has achieved a new all-time high of roughly $93,477. This ATH was achieved not long ago following an earlier dip today to $85,000. However, at the time of writing, BTC has seen a slight pullback, now down 0.5% from its peak to currently trade at $92,544, albeit still up 5.6% in the past day. Related Reading: Is Bitcoin Now Overheating? Key Metrics Reveal Crucial Insights For Investors Bitcoin Finally At Its Peak? Amid the price surge in BTC, market analysts have offered their perspectives on Bitcoin’s potential trajectory. Crazzyblockk, a CryptoQuant analyst, addressed questions regarding whether Bitcoin has reached its peak by evaluating market profitability indicators. According to Crazzyblockk, two key metrics are essential for assessing Bitcoin’s profitability: the number of Bitcoin addresses currently in profit and the overall profitability rate for these addresses. The analyst observed that nearly all Bitcoin addresses are profitable, indicating heightened market risk. However, he also noted that current profit margins across different holding periods remain below those observed during previous bull markets, such as the 2019-2020 and 2021 uptrends, where profit margins reached 800-900%. Despite concerns about potential short-term price corrections due to elevated market risks, Crazzyblockk expressed confidence in Bitcoin’s long-term upward trajectory. He emphasized that strategies such as Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) and maintaining a long-term investment approach could benefit capital growth in this environment. More Room For Gains? In a separate analysis, CryptoQuant analyst Avocado Onchain highlighted miner activity and its implications for Bitcoin’s price movement. Avocado noted that some Bitcoin miners have already begun taking profits, but this does not necessarily indicate a weakening of Bitcoin’s overall upward potential. He pointed to the Miner Position Index (MPI), which tracks Bitcoin outflows from miners’ wallets relative to the annual average. A high MPI suggests increased miner selling activity, which can signal that Bitcoin’s price may be approaching a cycle peak. Related Reading: Short-Term Bitcoin Holders Move Millions To Binance—Is A Market Correction Imminent? So far, recent data showed a slight increase in MPI as Bitcoin reached new all-time highs. Avocado explained that this could represent early positioning for the next market cycle. By converting MPI to a 30-day moving average, clearer signals emerge regarding market cycles. The analyst identified patterns of profit-taking by miners near cycle tops, often followed by subsequent price increases and, eventually, longer-term downtrends. Avocado Onchain also highlighted additional data supporting the potential for further Bitcoin price growth. The hashrate and mining difficulty, key indicators of mining activity and network security, have reached new highs, reflecting strong miner participation and overall network health. This data, combined with continued market interest and growing liquidity, suggests that Bitcoin’s price could experience further upside in this cycle, as suggested by Avocado’s analysis. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
In comparison, Bitcoin’s second-best daily gain occurred in August 2021, when the price rose over $7,576 in 24 hours, from $38,871 to $46,448.
Increasingly more analysts expect Bitcoin to breach the $100,000 mark before the end of 2024 as investor appetite was bolstered by Trump’s presidential victory.
Bitcoin is on a record-breaking run, reaching new all-time highs for three consecutive days following Donald Trump’s victory in the US election and a recent 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve. This combination of political and economic shifts has fueled a renewed wave of investor interest in BTC, driving prices into uncharted […]
Bitcoin recent price movements amid the US presidential election 2024 have led to its price currently standing at around $69,092, following a drop below the $70,000 level last week. This relatively low volatility has marked a calm period for Bitcoin, allowing it to stabilize in the $68,000 to $69,000 range over the past few days. The steady price trend has prompted analysts to forecast possible upward movement, pointing to various technical patterns and indicators suggesting a potential rally. Related Reading: Bitcoin May Slide To $65,000 As Critical Support Level Fails – Details 30% Bitcoin Rally In Play Among the analysts forecasting bullish momentum for Bitcoin, a renowned crypto analyst known as Captain Faibik recently shared insights on X regarding a technical pattern called a “Descending Broadening Wedge.” Faibik highlighted that Bitcoin has completed a breakout from this pattern on a weekly chart and is now in a “retest” phase. A Descending Broadening Wedge is typically considered a bullish reversal pattern in technical analysis. The pattern forms as price action creates lower highs and lower lows within diverging trendlines, implying that the downward momentum may weaken. If the price breaks upward through the resistance, it can indicate that the asset will likely see a price surge. Faibik expects a successful retest of the recent breakout of this pattern from BTC and has set a midterm target of $88,000, forecasting a potential 30% increase in Bitcoin’s value by the end of the year. Bullish Divergence And Long-Term Holder Behaviour Alongside Faibik’s observations, another well-known analyst, Javon Marks, pointed to signs of bullish divergence on Bitcoin’s chart. In technical analysis, bullish divergence occurs when an asset’s price makes lower lows while a technical indicator, such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI), creates higher lows. This divergence can suggest a potential reversal as buying momentum begins to build. According to Marks, this divergence indicates that Bitcoin’s bulls may be preparing for a move, which could translate to regained dominance in the market. Marks’ view supports the possibility of an upward trend in the medium term, even if the short-term market conditions seem uncertain. Meanwhile, IntoTheBlock, a prominent blockchain analytics firm, recently reported interesting trends in Bitcoin’s holder’s balance metrics. Related Reading: Bitcoin Long-Term Holders Offload Over 177k BTC: Is A Price Surge Or Correction Next? According to their data, while long-term Bitcoin holders are currently selling, the scale of these sell-offs appears moderate compared to previous bull cycles. In prior cycles, long-term holders often sold more aggressively, signaling a peak in market sentiment. This time, however, the selling trend among long-term holders has been more restrained, which may reflect a cautious approach amid Bitcoin’s current market conditions. IntoTheBlock speculates that this cautious behavior could signal a shift in the cycle dynamics, potentially pointing to a new market phase for Bitcoin. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
Bitcoin appears primed for new highs before 2025, according to numerous BTC price metrics.
“Bitcoin is currently being used as a liquid proxy to hedge a Trump win,” which was previously seen as “underpriced,” according to an analyst.
Bitcoin has shown robust price action over the past few weeks and is pushing toward the critical $69,500 resistance level, with eyes set on previous all-time highs. A significant shift in market dynamics accompanies this surge, as data from CryptoQuant reveals that American investors now hold 4.9% of the total Bitcoin supply through spot ETFs. […]
Bitcoin has experienced a volatile week, with prices oscillating between a local high of $69,500 and a low of $65,000. After weeks of excitement and upward momentum, the market has cooled off, and BTC is currently consolidating below the critical $70,000 level. This consolidation phase is crucial as traders assess the next potential move for Bitcoin. Related Reading: Ethereum Whale Activity Spikes To 6-Week High – Smart Money Accumulation? Analyst Ali Martinez has shared significant data from Binance, highlighting the high risk for short positions at the $68,500 mark. When such risk levels are present, the price often seeks liquidity, which suggests that it may gravitate toward supply zones. This behavior indicates that the market is potentially targeting areas where sellers may be positioned, which could lead to further fluctuations in price. The interplay between these resistance and support levels will determine Bitcoin’s trajectory. A decisive move above these levels could signal Bitcoin’s next phase, making it critical for investors to remain vigilant. Bitcoin Short Squeeze Looms Bitcoin is reaching a pivotal moment, with the market buzzing with expectations for a potential push toward all-time highs. Martinez recently shared crucial data on X, revealing that a significant number of short positions are at risk of liquidation, particularly around the $68,598 mark. The cumulative short liquidation leverage at this price level is approximately $452.36 million, indicating that a substantial amount of capital could be affected if the price continues to rise. This scenario sets the stage for a bullish outlook, as overleveraged short positions suggest that Bitcoin could find liquidity at supply levels. This could trigger a cascade of buying pressure. When the price breaks above the key $69,000 mark, it could lead to a wave of Fear of Missing Out (FOMO) among traders and investors watching from the sidelines. The liquidation of these short positions could propel Bitcoin’s price higher, strengthening the bullish narrative. Market participants closely monitor this critical threshold, as a decisive break above $69,000 could ignite a surge toward previously untested highs. Related Reading: Solana Breakout From Bullish Pattern Could ‘Send SOL To The Moon’ – Crypto Analyst Maintaining awareness of both market dynamics and key price levels is essential for traders looking to navigate the volatility. The next few days could prove crucial as Bitcoin approaches this significant moment, and how it reacts to these overleveraged positions may determine its trajectory in the coming weeks. BTC Liquidity Levels Bitcoin (BTC) is currently trading at $67,100 after a week marked by volatility and uncertainty. The price has pushed above the $66,000 level, signaling strength and hinting at a potential rally in the coming weeks. This upward movement reflects renewed optimism in the market, as investors look for signs of sustained bullish momentum. However, it’s essential for BTC to maintain its position above the $65,000 mark. If the price fails to hold this level, a sideways consolidation may occur, allowing the market to gather liquidity before making its next move. This consolidation phase could set the stage for a surge in buying activity as traders look to capitalize on potential opportunities. Related Reading: Dogecoin Liquidity Sweep Signals DOGE Is Ready For A Rally A break above the key $70,000 level would further strengthen the bullish outlook, potentially initiating a new uptrend. Such a movement could attract additional investment and excitement in the market, as traders and investors respond to the breakout. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView
Bitcoin has had a volatile week, with its price fluctuating between a local high of $69,500 and a low of $65,000. Following weeks of strong bullish momentum, the market has now cooled, and BTC is consolidating just below the crucial $70,000 level. This key threshold is seen as a trigger for intensified buying pressure if Bitcoin manages to break above it. Related Reading: Solana Breakout From Bullish Pattern Could ‘Send SOL To The Moon’ – Crypto Analyst According to CryptoQuant data, there’s still room for further growth, as short-term holder (STH) coins are trading at a 6.2% net asset value (NAV) premium. This premium is often viewed as a gauge of market sentiment, reflecting the optimism of short-term holders who are willing to pay above the current market value to acquire Bitcoin. A higher NAV premium generally suggests that investors expect continued price appreciation and are positioning themselves for future gains. As BTC stabilizes in its current range, all eyes are on the $70,000 mark as a potential breakout level that could pave the way for a fresh rally. With positive market sentiment and supportive data, Bitcoin’s outlook for the coming weeks remains encouraging, fueled by both technical signals and strong buyer interest. Retail Buying Bitcoin (Again) Bitcoin is experiencing growing demand from short-term holders as its price consolidates below key supply levels, close to all-time highs. Analyst Axler Adler recently shared critical insights on X, showing that Bitcoin’s net asset value (NAV) premium among short-term holders has climbed to 6.2%. This 6.2% NAV premium indicates that Bitcoin’s current market price is trading 6.2% above the average acquisition cost for short-term holders. Essentially, these investors are valuing Bitcoin at a premium, suggesting optimism about the potential for further gains. Adler explains that this metric acts as a bullish signal, highlighting room for continued price growth. An NAV premium of 25% or higher typically points to an overheated market, implying that demand has yet to reach excessive levels. According to Adler’s analysis, the NAV premium is an important gauge of market sentiment. A moderate premium like 6.2% reflects healthy demand among short-term holders, aligning with an accumulation phase rather than a peak. This is especially relevant as Bitcoin’s price consolidates under significant resistance levels, potentially setting the stage for a breakout. Related Reading: On-Chain Indicator Signals Bitcoin Cycle Top Is Far Ahead – Data Confirms Bullish Outlook Bitcoin’s consolidation below its key supply levels and rising demand among short-term holders reflects a favorable environment for potential price appreciation. If short-term holder demand continues to grow, it could fuel BTC’s ascent to new highs. The balance between premium demand and manageable NAV levels could signal sustained upward momentum. There is a potential rally on the horizon if buying pressure strengthens at current levels. Technical Level To Watch Bitcoin is trading at $66,900 after establishing solid support around $65,000. The price action signals resilience as it consolidates above this crucial level. This support around $65,000 marks a significant pivot, as holding above it reflects underlying strength and fuels optimism among investors. However, for Bitcoin to keep bullish momentum, a push above $70,000 is essential to confirm the uptrend. If Bitcoin loses the $65,000 level, analysts foresee a retrace toward the 200-day moving average (MA) at $63,274. This level is relevant as a long-term support zone. A pullback to this area could attract new buyers, reinforcing it as a major support if tested. Related Reading: Dogecoin Liquidity Sweep Signals DOGE Is Ready For A Rally Investors view the 200-day MA as a key anchor for Bitcoin’s bullish structure. If BTC can hold above $65,000 and eventually break $70,000, it would indicate a continuation of the current bullish phase. Conversely, a dip below these supports would shift focus to the 200-day MA. Holding above this moving average is crucial to prevent a bearish reversal. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView
Bitcoin currently ranges between $65,000 and $69,500 following two weeks of bullish price action, sparking renewed optimism among analysts and investors. The prevailing sentiment is that BTC is on the verge of reaching new all-time highs in the coming weeks, with confidence building that March’s cycle top predictions may have been premature. Related Reading: Dogecoin Liquidity Sweep Signals DOGE Is Ready For A Rally Key metrics from CryptoQuant reveal that Bitcoin is still far from typical cycle-top conditions, instead signaling a bullish outlook as we move into November. As the U.S. election approaches November 5 and macroeconomic factors continue to shift, price action is expected to remain unpredictable and volatile. Market participants are watching closely, expecting that geopolitical and economic events could influence BTC’s trajectory. Given this context, many believe the next major move for Bitcoin could catalyze a fresh leg up, potentially breaking through previous highs. Bitcoin Calm Before The Storm? Bitcoin is holding firm above $67,000, showing resilience as it edges to a potential breakout above $70,000. However, the current price action indicates that Bitcoin may consolidate below this key level before moving up to new highs in the next leg. Market participants closely watch BTC’s behavior around these price levels, as a sustained push above $70,000 could set the stage for significant gains. CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler recently shared critical insights on X, highlighting the current Long-Term Holder (LTH) to Short-Term Holder (STH) SOPR Ratio, which sits at 1.8. This metric is often used to gauge selling pressure and market sentiment, with higher levels indicating increased profit-taking that could signal a market peak. According to Adler, when this ratio climbs to around 7, Bitcoin will be nearing a cycle culmination. The ratio’s bullish cross with its 90-day moving average reflects a positive outlook, supporting the narrative that BTC remains well below its cycle top. Related Reading: Number Of Bitcoin Bulls Increases As Funding Rate Shows Steady Growth – Details This metric’s movement and broader market strength paint a favorable picture for Bitcoin’s price action in the coming weeks. The data suggests that Bitcoin still has room to grow within this cycle, providing confidence to long-term holders and investors looking for continued upside. BTC Technical Levels Bitcoin is trading at $67,500, facing challenges after failing to maintain its bullish structure on the 4-hour chart. The price couldn’t set a new high above $69,500, marking a potential shift in momentum. A crucial support level now sits at $65,000, the local low that previously held the bullish trend intact. Holding above this level is essential to prevent a broader retrace and maintain confidence among bulls. Currently, price action remains indecisive, leaving the direction for the coming days unclear. A breakout above $69,500 would restore the bullish structure, likely drawing more buyers into the market and signaling another rally attempt. Conversely, a break below the $65,000 support would signal a retrace, potentially leading BTC to lower demand zones as bulls look to regroup. Related Reading: Solana Stays Strong Despite BTC Drop – $176 Next? The current consolidation phase highlights the importance of these levels in determining Bitcoin’s short-term trajectory. With both bulls and bears vying for control, BTC’s ability to hold above $65,000 will be crucial to retaining bullish sentiment. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView
Bitcoin recent decline has led to a slight pushback in investor confidence and increased anticipation within the crypto community, with many now craving a rally back above $70,000 more than before. Amid this, a new analysis suggests that although the Bitcoin market could be on the brink of a major breakout, it hinges on a major indicator that concerns new investors. Related Reading: Bitcoin’s Network Fundamentals Turn Bullish—Here Are The Details New Investors Hold the Key According to a CryptoQuant analyst, Avocado Onchain, new market investors could drive the next significant upward price movement. The analyst shared these insights on the CryptoQuant QuickTake platform, highlighting key data trends that point to a potential price surge. Avocado Onchain’s analysis focuses on “Unspent Transaction Outputs (UTXOs),” specifically those under six months old. UTXOs represent the amount of cryptocurrency that remains unspent after a transaction, and they can provide valuable insights into market sentiment. According to the analyst, the decline in UTXOs under six months has stopped and is now leveling off. Currently, only 8.6% of Bitcoin investors are at a loss based on the present price of the cryptocurrency. In past market cycles, when the decline in UTXOs halted and showed an increase, Bitcoin’s price often surged, marking the beginning of a new bull run. Bitcoin Historical Patterns And Market Sentiment The CryptoQuanat analyst further highlighted that the data from previous Bitcoin market cycles reveals a pattern in which the percentage of investors holding losses converged toward zero before significant price increases occurred. Avocado points out that in those instances, as the number of investors in loss diminished, new investors entered the market in large numbers, driven by rising optimism. This influx of new participants tends to trigger a sharp price rise as new buyers increase demand for Bitcoin and fuel further upward momentum. For Bitcoin’s price to reach new heights, the analyst suggests that market sentiment must shift more favorably. This positive sentiment is typically fuelled by the entry of new investors who tend to buy in when market conditions are improving. Related Reading: Bitcoin Profitability Index Hits 202%: Is This Enough For A Top? Avocado also highlights that these new investors often show increased interest when Bitcoin nears or breaks through its previous all-time high, leading to an “explosive influx” of new buyers. If Bitcoin’s current market conditions align with historical patterns, the cryptocurrency could be on the verge of a significant breakout. The CryptoQuant analyst further notes that while Bitcoin’s price has recently been in a downtrend, this leveling off of UTXO data is a key sign that could indicate a reversal. The analyst noted: If history repeats itself, the current price of Bitcoin could be seen as being on the verge of an explosive breakout. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
Despite this week’s Bitcoin price drop, whales continued to add to their balance and the current v-shaped BTC recovery could be a sign that new highs are coming.
As Bitcoin experiences a gradual recovery in its price performance, a new analysis sheds light on the cryptocurrency’s broader market stance. A CryptoQuant analyst known as “Crazzyblockk” recently shared an in-depth study on Bitcoin’s quarterly performance, focusing on key metrics like the asset’s market capitalization and realized capitalization. According to the analyst, examining these metrics every quarter can offer valuable insights into long-term trends and potential future price movements. Related Reading: Bitcoin Signal That Led To At Least 70% Surge Has Formed Again Current Market Signals Resemble 2021 Boom The analysis highlights how fluctuations in Bitcoin’s market cap and realized cap signal bullish and bearish trends over time. Market cap refers to the total value of all BTC in circulation, while realized cap measures the value based on the price at which each Bitcoin last moved. Historically, when the market cap grows faster than the realized cap, it often signals the beginning of selling pressure, leading to bear markets. Conversely, when the market cap declines while the realized cap holds steady or rises, Bitcoin tends to find its price bottom, indicating potential buying opportunities. Crazzyblockk’s analysis parallels Bitcoin’s current market situation and behavior during the 2021 boom. During that period, rapid market cap growth led to significant selling pressure, eventually correcting prices. According to the analyst, Bitcoin is currently in a similar position. While the market cap has seen a notable increase, the realized cap continues to rise, indicating the possibility of another major price correction on the horizon. The analyst’s study also points out that sustained growth in the realized cap, without corresponding support from the market cap, tends to trigger corrections as investors realize their profits. This phenomenon is particularly relevant in the current market environment, where Bitcoin’s price has surged in recent months but faces challenges in maintaining its upward trajectory. Crazzyblockk warns that a correction may be inevitable if Bitcoin’s market cap cannot sustain its current levels. Bitcoin Market Performance Meanwhile, Bitcoin appears to be seeing a cooling-off in the positive price performance seen earlier in recent weeks. So far, the asset has increased by nearly 10% in the past 14 days, reclaiming major highs and even approaching the $70,000 price mark with a high of $69,227 seen yesterday. Related Reading: Bitcoin Retail Activity Soars After 4-Month Slump—Would A 72% Rally Follow? However, the past-day performance of Bitcoin suggests a cool-off of this price increase. Over this period, Bitcoin had fallen below $67,000 with a current trading price of $66,980. Regardless of this price correction, some analysts remain bullish. Particularly, a renowned crypto analyst known as Moustache on X has recently highlighted in a recent post that “Bitcoin has broken out of a falling channel that has been in place for over 7 months.” The analyst added that this price action is “reminiscent” of 2020 before the rally. Commenting on the ongoing decline in BTC, the analyst said: “Are bears celebrating a retest? They will be surprised soon. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
Bitcoin is at a pivotal moment after surging past the $68,000 mark and setting a new local high, confirming its bullish uptrend. Analysts and investors closely monitor the next steps, searching for signs of a continued rally or a potential retrace from higher supply levels. While the excitement is palpable, there is caution as traders prepare for possible resistance. Related Reading: Strong Buy Signal For DogWifHat (WIF) – Key Indicator Hints At Rally To $4 Top analyst Daan shared a technical analysis highlighting that Bitcoin has broken out of an accumulation channel, suppressing the price. According to Daan, this breakout above the $68,000 resistance level signals a potential for further upside as Bitcoin moves into uncharted territory. The next few days will determine whether BTC can maintain its momentum or will face a healthy pullback from these higher levels. With euphoria clashing with fear of a correction, investors are keen to see whether Bitcoin can continue its upward trajectory or if the market will see a pause in the rally. Bitcoin Break Out: New ATH Next? The crypto market is optimistic, as Bitcoin and most altcoins have surged from yearly lows to yearly highs in just a few weeks. Analysts are now speculating that this could be the start of something big—a rally that could propel prices to new highs and deliver massive gains to investors. Despite the excitement, there is also a lingering fear of an impending correction. Historically, Bitcoin has struggled to maintain momentum above supply near $70,000, often facing strong rejections that lead to sharp declines. However, top crypto analyst and investor Daan recently shared a technical analysis on X, explaining why this recent breakout might differ. According to Daan, Bitcoin has finally broken out of a 7-month accumulation pattern that had kept prices down, signaling a significant shift in market dynamics. Furthermore, BTC has managed to break well above the Daily 200 moving average (MA) and exponential moving average (EMA), key technical indicators that had previously caused resistance since the summer. Related Reading: Cardano Bullish Pattern Suggests A Breakout – Can ADA Reach $0.54? With the short-to-mid timeframe trend firmly up, Daan believes this bullish outlook may suggest that Bitcoin could avoid another rejection near $70,000. Instead, BTC might be gearing up for a powerful surge, with investors eyeing new all-time highs in the coming weeks. BTC Technical Analysis Since Monday, Bitcoin has tested a crucial supply zone following a strong 9% surge. The price is trading well above the Daily 200 moving average (MA) and exponential moving average (EMA), signaling strength and maintaining bullish momentum with no immediate signs of a retrace. This indicates buyers remain in control for now, with a potential push to break above the psychological $70,000 level. However, there’s still a risk that Bitcoin could fail to break and hold the $70,000 mark, which is critical for bulls to maintain upward momentum. A rejection at this level could signal a shift in market sentiment, potentially leading to profit-taking and consolidation. Historically, such moments of euphoria in the market often end with a discouraging move that cools down excitement, and a healthy retrace is possible. Related Reading: Bitcoin ETFs See $1.6B Inflows This Week – Is BTC Reaching A New ATH Soon? Should BTC experience a pullback, it’s likely to find strong support at the daily 200 MA around $63,304. This level has acted as a key indicator of support in previous uptrends. It could provide a solid foundation for the next leg up if the price corrects before resuming its bullish trajectory. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView
Multiple onchain metrics showed a surge in activity as Bitcoin price rallied to $68,000, possibly signaling that the price momentum is sustainable.
After briefly rising above $63,000 in recent days, renewing investor’s hope on “uptober,” Bitcoin has once again dampened this excitement by decreasing to as low as the $60,000 region today. This unappealing performance has led to a CryptoQuant analyst, Aytekin, raising and sharing insight on an important question: “Is it reasonable to expect a final shakeout before the next big move?” Related Reading: Is The Worst Over For Bitcoin? Analyst Suggests Local Bottom May Be Here Bitcoin Next Move: Major Correction Looming? In a recent post on the CryptoQuant QuickTake platform, the analyst explained that Bitcoin is currently in a high open interest zone, having exceeded the critical $18 billion level. Historically, when open interest levels reached this point, major corrections followed. The analyst mentioned that the current market sentiment appears divided, noting: The market seems indecisive in many aspects, with some believing that the next big upside move is on the horizon, while others think BTC’s downward trend remains strong. A common belief is that BTC may need a final shakeout before surging to a new all-time high (ATH). Aytekin added that funding rates, though slightly above the 200-day simple moving average (SMA), suggest that long traders are still dominant. However, significant price corrections in the past often occurred when funding rates turned negative, which hasn’t happened yet. Aytekin concluded that, while a final shakeout might occur, the depth of the correction may not be as severe given the relatively moderate funding rates. BTC Price Outlook As Bitcoin has struggled to break through key resistance levels, its recent price action reflects ongoing market indecision. Over the past few weeks, Bitcoin maintained stability above the $60,000 mark, but failed to make a major move to reclaim $70,000. In the past 24 hours, Bitcoin has slipped by 2.9%, currently trading at $60,485. This decline follows the asset’s brief surge to $63,774 earlier in the week, which sparked optimism for a possible move toward the $65,000 and then $70,000 mark. Prominent crypto analyst Ali recently commented on Bitcoin’s price action, noting that Bitcoin is still trading within a “descending parallel channel.” According to Ali, the asset was rejected at the upper boundary of this channel, signalling the potential for further downside. “We might see a drop to the middle boundary at $58,000 or even the lower boundary at $52,000,” Ali noted in a post on X. Related Reading: Bitcoin’s Path To $80,000 “Melt-Up” In Q4 2024 – Details Inside He emphasized that a bullish breakout is unlikely unless Bitcoin clears the $66,000 level, a price point that has acted as a significant resistance point in recent weeks. #Bitcoin remains stuck in a descending parallel channel. After the recent rejection at the upper boundary, we might see a drop to the middle boundary at $58,000 or even the lower boundary at $52,000. A bullish breakout won’t happen until $BTC clears $66,000! pic.twitter.com/yFvS6jxmKB — Ali (@ali_charts) October 9, 2024 Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
Bitcoin has recently seen quite an interesting trend in its key metrics suggesting a significant movement ahead, according to a post by CryptoQuant analyst Amr Taha. The post, shared on the CryptoQuant QuickTake platform, highlights notable changes in both long-term and short-term holder behaviour of Bitcoin, as well as in realized profit and loss figures. Related Reading: Bitcoin’s Non-Realized Profits Hit Negative Levels—What Does This Mean for Investors? Key Bitcoin Metrics Suggesting Market Shifts Taha begins by explaining the fundamental difference between short-term and long-term Bitcoin holders. Short-term holders (STH) are traders who engage in brief buying and selling activities, often employing strategies like day trading or swing trading to capitalize on Bitcoin’s price fluctuations. On the other hand, long-term holders (LTH) adopt a buy-and-hold strategy, aiming for long-term gains by holding onto their Bitcoin for extended periods. This distinction sets the stage for understanding the recent changes in market activity. In his analysis, Taha noted a sharp decline in the realized capitalization for long-term holders, which dropped from $19 billion to -$5 billion. This indicates that long-term holders have been taking profits or closing their positions, potentially signalling reduced confidence in further price gains. On the flip side, short-term holders have increased their buying activity, with their realized capitalization rising from -$17 billion to $11 billion. This suggests that short-term traders either take on more risk or bet on potential price increases, creating a more volatile market environment. Additionally, Taha touched on the Korea Premium Index, often called the “Kimchi Premium.” This index tracks the price difference between Bitcoin traded on South Korean and global exchanges. Currently, the index is near zero or negative, meaning Bitcoin is trading at a lower price in South Korea than the rest of the world. This implies reduced buying pressure from Korean traders, who have historically played a large role in increasing cryptocurrency prices due to the local trading culture. A negative premium suggests low demand from South Korean investors, potentially adding to the market’s uncertainty. Net Realized Profit And Loss Trends Another key metric Taha focused on is Bitcoin’s net realized profit and loss (NRPL), which tracks market participants’ total net profit or loss. Positive NRPL values indicate that more investors are taking profits, while negative values suggest more losses are being realized. Currently, the NRPL is approaching a critical $4 billion mark. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Forecast: This Week’s Trends And Historical Patterns For Q4 Taha highlighted that crossing the $4 billion threshold in past market cycles has often coincided with significant market peaks or troughs. The red line marking the $4 billion level across the chart (above) represents a key point of market activity. According to the analyst, when NRPL crosses this line, it can indicate a surge in trading activity as more investors either lock in their profits or cut their losses. Taha further pointed out that these points have historically been pivotal moments in Bitcoin’s price action, and the current proximity to this level suggests that another significant market movement could be on the horizon. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
A veteran trader says Bitcoin is following a “perfect script” that terminates with a potential $150,000 cycle high.
A CryptoQuant analyst known as “caueconomy” recently published a post indicating that Bitcoin (BTC) may have reached a local bottom. The analyst points to a significant liquidation event as a key sign that a short-term recovery could be on the horizon. Although caueconomy acknowledged that Bitcoin has been going through a period marked by bearish price sentiment and technical indicators suggesting potential further decline, the analyst also highlighted that emerging signs may indicate a stabilization in the asset’s price. Related Reading: Bitcoin Miner Selloff Is Calming Down: Green Sign For Rally To Continue? How Is BTC Long Liquidations Suggesting Local Bottom? The post by caueconomy on the CryptoQuant QuickTake platform titled “Liquidation of long positions may have established a local bottom” sheds light on how long-position liquidations in the futures market could influence Bitcoin’s price. Caueconomy elaborates that in the face of notable price declines, long contracts bought on future exchanges tend to experience sharp reductions due to mass liquidations. This process, in turn, diminishes the selling pressure that often exacerbates price drops, potentially setting the stage for a recovery in the asset’s price in the short term. On October 1st, over 4,000 BTC long positions were liquidated, marking the second-largest liquidation event of 2024 based on data compiled by CryptoQuant. The analyst mentioned that such significant liquidation events often indicate potential market reversals or local bottoms, as the selling pressure from these positions is removed from the market. However, caueconomy points out that it is crucial to keep a close eye on the buying strength to gauge whether it can offset the decline and facilitate recovery. The analyst advises that although the current range may be sustained in the short term, the potential for upward movement is contingent on renewed buying interest and market activity. The analyst concluded in the post: At this point, the price is likely to sustain the current range in the short term, but it will be necessary to watch the buying strength to be able to recover the decline. Is there Any Sign Of Buying Interest In Bitcoin Currently? So far, Bitcoin appears to be seeing a gradual rebound in price registering a 3.5% increase in the past day to reclaim the $62,000 mark. At the time of writing, the asset currently trades for $62,238. This increase in BTC has been reflected in the overall crypto market, with the global crypto market cap now up by 2% in the past day to a current valuation of 2.26 trillion. Meanwhile, a renowned crypto analyst known as Ali on X recently reported a form of Bitcoin buying interest ongoing on an exchange. Related Reading: Is Bitcoin On The Brink Of A Reversal? Here’s What This Key Indicator Suggests In a post uploaded earlier today on X, Ali pointed out that there has been a surge in the Taker Buy/Sell Ratio on OKX, the fourth-largest cryptocurrency exchange by 24-hour trading volume. There was a spike in the #Bitcoin Taker Buy/Sell Ratio on @okx! This indicates a surge in aggressive buying — a sign of upward momentum ahead! pic.twitter.com/QgZ9qkhSls — Ali (@ali_charts) October 4, 2024 This spike in the ratio indicates an increase in aggressive buying activity within the market, a potential sign of renewed upward momentum. Such behavior often reflects increased confidence from buyers, hinting at the possibility of a price recovery or a new upward trend. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
Bitcoin has been experiencing some interesting developments in its market indicators, and a recent analysis points to the NVT (Network Value to Transactions) Golden Cross signaling a potential short-term local top. According to a CryptoQuant analyst known as Darkfost, the NVT Golden Cross—a key metric used to determine market valuation relative to transaction volume—has reached a major level. Related Reading: Is This Bitcoin’s Last Big Drop? Expert Points To Key Indicator Local Top Spotted, What Next? The CryptoQuant analyst revealed that Bitcoin’s NVT Golden Cross has recently reached the 2.9 level, suggesting that the market cap, or price, of Bitcoin, may be outpacing its transaction volume. Particularly, Darkfost explained that a value above 2.2 indicates the possibility of reversing the mean, suggesting that the current valuation could be overextended. On the other hand, a value below -1.6 would indicate that the market is potentially undervalued. For context, the NVT Golden Cross compares the market cap of Bitcoin to the volume of transactions on its network, providing a measure of whether Bitcoin is being traded at a fair value. The signals become stronger when the metric moves deeper into its upper or lower zones. At a current value of 2.9, the indication is that Bitcoin may face short-term price resistance, possibly pointing to a local top at around $65,800, Darkforst revealed. The analyst adds that such levels can gauge potential long and short positions, especially when viewed alongside global chart trends and broader market behaviour. Bitcoin On The Verge Of Major Correction? While the NVT Golden Cross presents a perspective of potential market overvaluation, another CryptoQuant analyst, CryptoOnchain, offers additional insights by analyzing Bitcoin’s movement between exchanges. The recent data shows a significant outflow of Bitcoin from centralized exchanges. This trend of Bitcoin being withdrawn from exchanges is seen across all three key moving averages: 30-day, 50-day, and 100-day. The analyst revealed that such an outflow hasn’t been observed at this scale since November 2022. Notably, a decrease in Bitcoin held on exchanges can be interpreted in multiple ways. Firstly, it often suggests that investors move their assets to more secure storage, such as cold wallets, to hold rather than trade. Related Reading: Is Bitcoin On The Brink Of A Reversal? Here’s What This Key Indicator Suggests This behavior can signal confidence in the asset, as holders may expect its value to increase over time. With fewer BTC available on exchanges for immediate sale, the potential for downward price pressure may decrease, which could set the stage for a bullish momentum in the longer term. However, it can also indicate that traders prepare to exit their positions, anticipating a correction if they foresee market instability or overvaluation. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
Recently, a CryptoQuant analyst using the pseudonym “datascope” provided insight into the relationship between Bitcoin price and the Long/Short Volume to Open Interest Ratio. According to the analyst, this ratio is a key metric for understanding market behavior and investor sentiment, making it a valuable tool for predicting potential price trends. Related Reading: Is Bitcoin Gearing Up For A Bigger Rally? Here’s What On-Chain Data Reveals The Long/Short Ratio And Its Role In Market Sentiment As investor sentiment shifts between optimism and pessimism, the Long/Short ratio measures the balance of the market’s long (buy) and short (sell) positions. The dynamic ratio indicates the prevailing sentiment—whether the market expects the price to increase or decrease. Understanding these signals is crucial as it can hint at potential price movements and market turning points. To further understand the concept behind this indicator, the CryptoQuant analyst elaborated, noting: The Long/Short ratio indicates the distribution of long and short positions held by investors. A high Long ratio means that investors generally expect a price rise, indicating positive sentiment, while a high Short ratio suggests expectations of a price decline. Analyzing Bitcoin’s historical data, datascope pointed out how the ratio correlates with price changes. The chart provided in the analysis showed Bitcoin’s price trajectory, represented by a white line, along with the Long/Short ratio indicated by green and red lines. The analyst used Red and green boxes to highlight periods of extremely long or short positions, providing a visual representation of when market sentiment reached heightened levels of either optimism or fear. These extreme positions often serve as indicators for potential price reversals. For instance, when the ratio shows excessive long positions (highlighted in red boxes), it may signal that market optimism is too high, often leading to corrections as overly confident investors trigger a sell-off. On the other hand, a rise in short positions (highlighted in green boxes) may suggest that fear and pessimism have peaked, often marking a turning point for a price recovery. Current Bitcoin Market Shifts Using The Long/Short Ratio According to the chart shared by Datascope, so far, Bitcoin’s long positions now appear to be excessive, thereby signaling a potential reversal to the downside. However, datascope mentioned that it is essential to approach this ratio with caution. The analyst emphasized that although the Long/Short ratio is a powerful tool for understanding market sentiment, it should not be relied upon in isolation. The CryptoQuant analyst concluded: Investors should use market sentiment alongside other technical indicators for more reliable signals, as relying solely on this ratio can be misleading. Featured image created with DALLE, Chart from TradingView
Bitcoin has seen an uptick in price enough to recover from the losses in value from August. So far, the asset has surged by nearly 10% in the past two weeks alone, registering a 24-hour high of $66,000 earlier today, although BTC has now seen a slight retracement, currently trading at $63,508. Amid this price performance, Axel Adler Jr, an analyst from the on-chain analytics platform CryptoQuant, has shed light on the potential for Bitcoin to see a bigger rally shortly based on key indicators. Related Reading: Bitcoin Set For Biggest September Gains In A Decade: Here’s Why Bitcoin Key Indicator Pointing To A Bigger Rally According to Adler, a significant shift observed in Bitcoin’s market activity appears to suggest that the crypto market might be gearing up for a bullish momentum soon. One of the focal points of Adler’s analysis is the “Exchange Flow Multiple,” which plays a crucial role in understanding the movement of Bitcoin on exchanges. This indicator measures the ratio between short-term (30-day) and long-term (365-day) Bitcoin inflows and outflows on exchanges. When this multiple declines, short-term exchange movements are considerably lower than long-term ones, which could point to decreased volatility. Adler Jr elaborates on this by highlighting two primary factors that influence the decline of Bitcoin Exchange Flow Multiple. The CryptoQuant analyst mentioned Long-Term Holders Retaining Assets as the first factor. Also referred to as “HODLers,” long-term Bitcoin holders when not actively trading their assets, preferring to hold onto them with the expectation of future price increases, can lead to a decline in exchange flow multiple. The analyst also draws attention to the natural market correction and recovery process. The market typically needs time to stabilize after significant drops in Bitcoin’s price. This stabilization period reduces exchange activity as investors wait for a clearer price direction. Adler Jr noted that a low exchange flow multiple in such contexts might reflect a “wait-and-see” attitude among investors, anticipating a favorable price shift before they re-enter the market actively. Drawing Parallels To 2023’s Bull Market Adler Jr’s analysis further indicates that the current behavior of the Exchange Flow Multiple resembles patterns seen before previous rallies. Notably, similar low levels of the indicator were observed before the major market uptrend in 2023. Related Reading: Bitcoin Breaks $66,000, But Analyst Warns Against Fresh Longs—Here’s Why The CryptoQuant analyst disclosed that if history were to repeat itself, the current situation might set the stage for the next significant upward movement in Bitcoin’s price. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
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