As Bitcoin (BTC) continues to trade within its local range, the cryptocurrency eyes a trend continuation, aiming to go on uncharted territory again. Despite the bullish setup, an analyst suggests that investors start to become more cautious as the weeks progress. Related Reading: Injective Targets $25 Amid Crucial Breakout Attempt – New Highs In Sight? Bitcoin Bull Flag To Determine Next Move Since the early July breakout, Bitcoin has been trading within a crucial price range, hitting its latest all-time high during this period. The flagship crypto has been hovering between $114,000-$120,000, retesting the local lows on Friday before recovering the range highs over the weekend. Amid this performance, market watcher Crypto Patel highlighted that BTC is trading inside a bull flag formation in the 4H chart, which could lead to an 8%-12% move once broken out. According to the analysis, if the cryptocurrency successfully breaks above the pattern’s descending resistance, near the $120,000 mark, its price could see a surge toward the $130,000 barrier for the first time. On the contrary, a rejection from this area could send Bitcoin toward the bull flag’s support, around $114,000, once more. The analyst warned that despite the key support’s strength, a breakdown below this level would invalidate the bullish pattern and risk a drop to the $100,000 level or below. In a Monday analysis, analyst Rekt Capital also discussed BTC’s bull flag in the weekly chart. He noted that Bitcoin closed last week above the bull flag top despite the Friday drop, “preparing and positioning itself for a confirmed breakout.” Therefore, the start-of-week pullback could be considered a volatile post-breakout retest if the cryptocurrency closes this week above $119,200. The analyst explained that “price has an entire week to do that; in fact, price could downside wick below the Bull Flag bottom to form a potential Diamond-Shaped candlestick formation in the downside wicks.” “It makes sense why price needs to dip,” he detailed, “it also makes sense for price to dip via the perspective of the newly formed Weekly CME Gap.” BTC’s Rally Running Out Of Time? As Daan Crypto Trades pointed out, BTC opened the week with a new CME Gap between $118,297 and $120,035, which was immediately closed on Monday, as the price retraced to the $117,000 mark. Notably, the flagship crypto has been closing its CME Gaps at the start of the week for the past five weeks, “building quite the streak at this point.” To the trader, “the longer this goes on, the more of a self-fulfilling prophecy it will become.” Rekt Capital also highlighted that Bitcoin has entered Week 4 of its second Price Discovery Uptrend, asserting that if BTC confirms a breakout from the weekly bullish flag, then “trend continuation in Price Discovery Uptrend 2 would be achieved.” Related Reading: Bitcoin’s Rally Might Be Running on Fumes, Analyst Warns of August Turning Point He warned that the second Uptrend could not last much longer. According to the analyst, the trend continuation could fail in the coming weeks, as the cryptocurrency transitions into the Weeks 5-7 of this phase. It’s worth noting that this cycle’s first Price Discovery uptrend lasted around 6-7 weeks before reaching the local top. As a result, he considers it “would be conservative thus to become increasingly cautious as time goes on,” starting to become “cautiously optimistic” from this week on. As of this writing, Bitcoin is trading at $117,161, a 2.1% decline in the weekly timeframe. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin’s price is beginning to recover after a brief period of stagnation, trading at $118,945 at the time of writing. This marks a 1% increase over the past 24 hours, with the asset briefly reaching a high of $119,754 during the same period. The recent upward movement suggests a cautious return of buying interest, though analysts warn that market participants should remain aware of deeper trends influencing price action. Among the key voices weighing in is CryptoQuant contributor Yonsei Dent, who highlighted a familiar pattern in Bitcoin’s current on-chain metrics. Related Reading: Bitcoin Endures One Of The Most Intense Bear Weeks Of This Bull Cycle – Details MVRV Ratio Signals Possible Peak by Late August According to Dent, the 365-day moving average (DMA) of the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio has proven to be a historically useful indicator of market cycle tops. Drawing parallels to 2021, when the MVRV 365DMA formed a double-top pattern followed by the start of a bear market, Dent suggested that Bitcoin could be approaching a similar inflection point. In his analysis titled “MVRV Points to a Potential Cycle Peak — Late August May Be the Real Turning Point,” Dent noted that the structure of the current cycle resembles the double-top formation seen in 2021. He projects that if the same six-month interval is applied, the market could experience a peak by around September 10. However, Dent emphasized that the MVRV ratio is a lagging indicator, and thus a reversal in Bitcoin’s trend may begin as early as late August. The analyst also linked this potential turning point to broader macroeconomic narratives, such as speculation around Federal Reserve interest rate cuts. While Dent did not predict an exact price top, he urged market participants to treat this period as one that requires heightened attention to risk management. “Let on-chain timing guide your strategy — now is the time to tighten risk management and stay nimble,” he advised. Bitcoin Liquidity Metrics Suggest Potential Saturation In a separate post, CryptoQuant contributor Arab Chain examined the Bitcoin Stablecoin Supply Ratio (SSR) as another tool to evaluate current market strength. The SSR compares Bitcoin’s market capitalization to that of all stablecoins, offering a window into liquidity dynamics within the crypto ecosystem. Arab Chain explained that stablecoins act as the fiat-equivalent within the market, and their supply levels relative to Bitcoin help measure the purchasing power available to fuel price movements. According to Arab Chain, a rising SSR indicates a lower presence of stablecoins relative to Bitcoin, which could mean that price gains are occurring despite limited liquidity. This scenario suggests that the current upward momentum may be encountering diminishing support from new capital inflows. Related Reading: $4B Increase In Bitcoin Open Interest Fueled By Whale Transfers To Exchanges – Details “A continued rise in the indicator may indicate that buying momentum may weaken in the future due to low liquidity,” he wrote, adding that unless stablecoin reserves grow meaningfully in the coming days, Bitcoin’s rally could face resistance. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
Bitcoin continues to consolidate between $115,000 and $120,000, with bulls maintaining control despite the lack of a breakout above $123,000. What stands out in this range-bound structure is the clear demand concentration around $117,000. According to Glassnode’s BTC Cost Basis Distribution Heatmap, this level has consistently attracted buying interest, acting as a key area where capital rotates into Bitcoin. Related Reading: Bitcoin Endures One Of The Most Intense Bear Weeks Of This Bull Cycle – Details The heatmap reveals dense clusters of cost basis activity near key price levels. This reinforces its role as short-term support and a psychological anchor for bulls. As long as this zone holds, the risk of a full breakdown remains limited—even as BTC struggles to reach new highs. However, repeated rejections near $120K and muted momentum raise concerns that upside exhaustion could eventually lead to deeper downside. If demand at $117K begins to fade, price may quickly revisit lower levels in search of fresh support. For now, though, on-chain data shows that accumulation remains healthy, and this zone could be the foundation for Bitcoin’s next attempt to reclaim the highs. $117K Becomes Bitcoin’s Accumulation Stronghold as Market Shifts Bitcoin’s $117,000 level has emerged as a key accumulation zone, with approximately 73,000 BTC now held at this cost basis, according to the latest data from Glassnode. This reinforces the idea that buyers continue to step in on every dip, absorbing selling pressure and stabilizing price action within the current range. The BTC Cost Basis Distribution Heatmap shows a consistent buildup of demand in this area, highlighting investor confidence around this support zone. What makes this cycle particularly unique is the presence of legal clarity and accelerating institutional adoption in the US. Unlike previous cycles, where price action was often driven by retail speculation and extreme volatility, today’s structure appears more measured. Regulatory progress—especially around spot Bitcoin ETFs and clearer custody frameworks—has attracted a wave of long-term capital. This influx of institutional demand is not only stabilizing the market but also making it less reactive to short-term swings. However, Bitcoin’s calm price action may not last much longer. As Ethereum gains momentum, driven by rising open interest and on-chain activity, capital is beginning to rotate into altcoins. Historically, such transitions have marked the end of Bitcoin-led phases and the beginning of broader market expansions. If ETH and altcoins continue to accelerate, Bitcoin’s tight trading range could break—either leading to a catch-up rally or a temporary pause as capital rotates elsewhere. Related Reading: Ethereum CME Futures Open Interest Hits Record $7.85B – Is ETH Overheating? BTC Range Narrows As Price Holds Between Key Levels The 8-hour chart shows Bitcoin consolidating tightly between $115,724 and $122,077, with the price currently hovering around $118,762. Despite a lack of strong momentum, the structure remains bullish as BTC holds above all major moving averages—the 50 SMA ($118,185), 100 SMA ($113,521), and 200 SMA ($109,754). This alignment signals continued trend strength, with short-term dips being supported by buyers. Volume has declined during the consolidation, a typical sign of a neutral phase where market participants await a breakout. Notably, each pullback toward the lower boundary near $115,700 has been met with strong demand, confirming this zone as key support. Meanwhile, resistance at $122,000 continues to cap bullish attempts, forming a clear range that will likely define Bitcoin’s next move. Related Reading: TRON Sees $1B USDT Mint: Liquidity Wave Incoming? If BTC can reclaim $120,000 with a strong surge in volume, a breakout toward new all-time highs above $123,000 becomes likely. Conversely, a breakdown below $115,700 could trigger a sharper correction toward the 100 SMA around $113,500. For now, all eyes remain on whether bulls can sustain pressure and flip resistance, or if sellers regain control near the top of the range. The current setup favors patient accumulation as the market prepares for its next directional move. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView
Bitcoin experienced heightened volatility on Friday, briefly dipping to a local low of around $114,700 before stabilizing within a tight consolidation range. The price remains capped below the psychological $120,000 mark, with bulls and bears locked in a tug-of-war that has intensified speculation across the market. Despite the pullback, Bitcoin is holding key support, suggesting resilience in the current bullish structure. Related Reading: TRON Drops Q2 Report: Revenue, USDT Dominance Lead Multi-Quarter Highs According to CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler, this week stands out as one of the most aggressive selling periods of the current bull cycle. Adler notes that only 12 weeks—about 7.3% of the entire cycle—have shown equal or greater selling pressure. This context highlights just how intense the recent market activity has been, with significant profit-taking from investors but no full breakdown in price. The combination of strong selling and price stability has introduced a high level of uncertainty. Market participants are watching closely for confirmation of either a deeper correction or a renewed push to break the $120K barrier. As the week closes, Bitcoin’s ability to maintain its consolidation range could determine the pace and direction of the next major move in this cycle. Bitcoin Holds Strong Amid Heavy Selling Adler highlighted that this week ranks among the top 7% of the most extreme in terms of selling volume during the current Bitcoin bull cycle. Despite the intense selling pressure, Bitcoin has shown notable resilience, recovering to $117,000 by week’s end. This rebound is seen as a positive signal, reflecting bullish strength in the face of aggressive distribution. While Bitcoin remains in a tight consolidation range, its dominance is starting to weaken relative to Ethereum and other major altcoins. This shift has caught the attention of analysts who now view this week as a pivotal moment. A continued decrease in Bitcoin dominance paired with growing strength in altcoins could mark the beginning of the long-anticipated altseason—a period where capital rotates from Bitcoin into alternative cryptocurrencies, driving strong gains across the sector. Still, Bitcoin’s recent recovery and consolidation above key support suggest that its bullish momentum may not be over. If buyers continue to defend the current range, BTC could be gearing up for another leg higher, putting pressure on shorts and reigniting market confidence. Related Reading: $4B Increase In Bitcoin Open Interest Fueled By Whale Transfers To Exchanges – Details BTC Retests Resistance After Strong Recovery Bitcoin (BTC) is currently trading around $117,867 on the 4-hour chart after recovering sharply from the $115,724 support level. This area has proven to be a critical short-term demand zone, with bulls stepping in aggressively to defend it following a recent dip. The price is now pressing against the 100-period SMA ($117,822), attempting to reclaim this level as support. The structure of the chart shows BTC remains locked in a well-defined consolidation range between $115,724 and $122,077. This week’s retest of the lower boundary and subsequent bounce signals continued interest from buyers, despite strong selling pressure earlier in the week. Volume remains elevated, suggesting active market participation during the recent recovery. Related Reading: Ethereum Whales Accumulate Over $4.1B In ETH In Two Weeks – Details The key to watch now is whether BTC can flip the 100 SMA and hold above $118,000. If confirmed, the next major test will be the upper range resistance at $122,077. A clean breakout above this level could set the stage for new all-time highs. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView
Bitcoin faced renewed volatility after a minor pullback interrupted two weeks of tight consolidation just below its all-time high of $123,000. The price briefly dipped near the $115,000 support level but has already begun to recover, signaling that bullish momentum remains intact despite recent selling pressure. Market participants appear to be reacting calmly, with strong demand quickly absorbing the dip. Related Reading: Bitcoin Pullback Remains Within Normal Volatility Range: Drawdown Analysis Shows No Signs Of Panic According to fresh data from CryptoQuant, today’s price movement coincides with a significant increase in open interest across major exchanges. Binance, Bybit, and Gate all recorded sharp spikes in open interest within the last 24 hours, suggesting that traders are positioning aggressively. Notably, these exchanges were among the recipients of large Bitcoin transfers earlier in the day, likely tied to institutional or whale activity. This alignment of price recovery and rising open interest hints at a shift in sentiment. Short-term traders are re-entering the market, while bulls appear ready to defend key levels. As volatility picks up, Bitcoin’s ability to hold and reclaim recent support will determine whether it resumes its upward march or remains range-bound. The coming days could be critical for setting the tone of the next leg in Bitcoin’s price action. Rising Open Interest Signals Growing Volatility According to Julio Moreno, CryptoQuant’s head of research, over the last 24 hours, open interest surged by approximately $4 billion, indicating that leveraged positions—particularly shorts—have entered the market in large numbers. This spike coincided with significant Bitcoin transfers to major exchanges like Binance and Bybit, which received a substantial portion of today’s large-volume transactions. These developments suggest increased speculative activity as traders anticipate further price movement. The inflow of coins to exchanges, combined with rising open interest, typically signals upcoming volatility. Short sellers appear to be betting on continued downside, but with Bitcoin already recovering from its recent $115,000 dip, this could lead to a short squeeze if momentum shifts back in favor of the bulls. This market shift comes as Ethereum and altcoins show notable strength. Since May, Ethereum has consistently outperformed Bitcoin, aided by institutional accumulation and clearer regulatory signals in the US. As ETH leads the altcoin rally, investors are watching closely to see whether capital rotation from BTC into altcoins continues. Related Reading: Ethereum Whales Accumulate Over $4.1B In ETH In Two Weeks – Details Bitcoin Holds Key Support After Minor Pullback The daily Bitcoin chart shows that BTC remains in a bullish structure despite recent volatility. After briefly consolidating near the $122,000 resistance zone and reaching an all-time high just above that level, the price retraced toward the $115,700–$117,000 support band. This zone, marked by the horizontal yellow range, also aligns closely with the 50-day simple moving average (SMA), currently at $117,593.23, reinforcing its role as a strong technical support. The overall uptrend that started in early May remains intact, with higher highs and higher lows clearly visible on the chart. Notably, BTC continues to trade well above the 100-day (green) and 200-day (red) SMAs, which sit at $112,547.95 and $109,436.38, respectively. These levels serve as deeper support zones if selling pressure intensifies. Volume has increased slightly on red candles, indicating some sell pressure, but there is no sign of panic. As long as BTC holds above the $115,700 level, bulls maintain the advantage. A breakout above $122,000 would signal trend continuation and could open the path to new highs. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView
Bitcoin is making its first meaningful move since breaking its all-time highs and reaching the $123,000 level. After consolidating in a tight range for nearly two weeks, the price is now pulling back toward $115,000—marking a 6% decline from recent highs. While this retracement has stirred caution among short-term traders, data suggests there is little cause for concern at this stage. Related Reading: Bitcoin LTHs Start Distributing: CDD Ratio Hits Historic Levels According to CryptoQuant’s Bitcoin Price Drawdown Analysis chart, the current 6% pullback remains well within the normal volatility range observed during prior bull phases. This suggests the move is more likely a healthy market reset than the beginning of a deeper correction. As Bitcoin tests the lower boundary of its former range, investors will closely watch for renewed strength or signs of distribution. For now, fundamentals and long-term holder data remain supportive, keeping bullish sentiment intact despite short-term volatility. The next few sessions may determine whether BTC can bounce decisively or enter a broader consolidation phase. Bitcoin Volatility Remains Within Norms As Market Enters Critical Phase According to top analyst Axel Adler, Bitcoin’s recent price action may appear sharp at first glance, but deeper analysis shows that current volatility remains well within normal historical ranges. Over the past quarter, Bitcoin’s most notable intraday drops on the 5-minute timeframe reached -10% in early June and -12% in mid-June. Meanwhile, the average weekly drawdown, represented by the green line on Adler’s chart, remains stable at 3.8%. The current -6% pullback—following Bitcoin’s recent breakout to $123K and its retrace toward $115K—sits only 2.2% deeper than this weekly average and is still far from the panic-triggering extremes seen in previous months. Despite the dramatic visual appearance, Adler emphasizes that the current correction aligns with a standard consolidation cycle often seen during bull markets. What makes this moment especially relevant is how other parts of the crypto market are behaving. While altcoins retraced heavily yesterday, today they are holding above key support levels, signaling potential strength and a possible shift in market dynamics. This resilience across major altcoins could mark a rotation of capital within the market, rather than an exit. Related Reading: Bitcoin STH Realized Price Chart Reveals Key Defense Zones Amid Volatility BTC Falls Below Key Support as Volume Spikes Bitcoin has broken below the tight consolidation range it maintained for over two weeks, with price dropping sharply to a local low of $115,009 before slightly recovering to $115,759. This marks a clear technical breakdown of the horizontal channel between $115,724 and $122,077, as shown in the 4-hour chart. The breach below the lower bound coincided with a spike in volume, signaling decisive selling pressure from market participants. The drop pushed BTC below the 50-day (blue) and 100-day (green) simple moving averages (SMAs), both of which previously acted as dynamic support. The price is now hovering just above the $115,724 horizontal support zone, which is now being retested. A failure to hold this level could open the door to deeper retracements toward the 200-day SMA near $112,104, which could act as the next major support level. Related Reading: Ethereum Adoption Accelerates As Daily Transactions Set 2025 Record Technically, a bearish structure is developing in the short term, especially after the breakdown from the triangle-like compression (marked in blue). However, the elevated volume accompanying the move may also suggest capitulation from weak hands, which can precede a reversal. In the coming sessions, Bitcoin’s ability to reclaim the $118K level will determine whether bulls can regain control. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView
Bitcoin is currently consolidating between $115,000 and its all-time high of $123,000, forming a tight range that has kept both bulls and bears on edge. Despite the recent surge, price action has slowed, and while bulls are holding strong above key levels, market participants are growing cautious about the potential for a correction. Related Reading: Ethereum Enters Top 30 Global Assets With $416B Market Cap – What’s Next? Adding to the uncertainty is the resurfacing of a Satoshi-era whale. Top analyst Darkfost has been tracking this long-dormant wallet, which recently transferred 80,000 BTC to Galaxy Digital, a major player in digital assets and AI infrastructure. The move immediately triggered speculation across the crypto space, as such large transfers are often associated with upcoming sales. The timing of this transfer is crucial. It coincides with increased exchange inflows and rising discussions of institutional profit-taking. With the market already in a delicate position, the possibility that a portion of this massive BTC stack could be sold has analysts and investors bracing for elevated volatility. Whale Starts Selling: 1,500 BTC Sent To Binance Darkfost has confirmed that Galaxy Digital has just moved 1,500 BTC to a Binance deposit address. These coins were previously part of the massive 80,000 BTC linked to a Satoshi-era whale who recently reactivated their wallet. The latest transfer suggests that a portion of this historic stash is officially up for sale. At current prices, the 1,500 BTC represents around $180 million in market value. More importantly, it marks one of the fastest and most significant offloads ever recorded from a single wallet, with the total 80K BTC valued at roughly $9.54 billion. While they have only moved a small fraction to exchanges so far, the sale could signal larger intentions. Some view this transfer as a potential warning sign, especially given the current consolidation above $115K. In their view, such high-volume activity from a long-term holder might precede further profit-taking or even a broader correction. Others, however, see it as a smart and well-timed move from an investor who has held since Bitcoin’s earliest days and is finally realizing some gains. Related Reading: Coinbase Premium Signals Aggressive Ethereum Accumulation: Institutional Demand Accelerates BTC Price Holds Tight Range After ATH Bitcoin is currently trading at $118,000, consolidating within a tight range between $115,730 and $123,230, as shown in the 12-hour chart. This comes after a strong breakout earlier this month that pushed BTC to a new all-time high of $123,230. Since then, price action has shown signs of cooling without a major pullback, suggesting bulls remain in control, but short-term momentum is slowing. The chart displays a healthy structure, with BTC trading well above its 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day simple moving averages, which are currently at $111,819, $108,563, and $102,963. This confirms strong trend support from long-term holders and momentum investors. Related Reading: Altcoins Reclaim Key Technical Level – Can Momentum Sustain This Time? Volume has increased during the move higher, indicating conviction behind the breakout, but the last few candles show lower follow-through volume, consistent with a consolidation phase. If BTC holds above $115,730, the structure remains bullish and could lead to another breakout toward $130,000 and beyond. A break below this level, however, could open the door for a deeper retracement, with the $112K–$111K zone acting as key moving average support. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView
Bitcoin is testing uncharted territory after breaking past its previous all-time high of $112,000 last Thursday, igniting a powerful new phase in the bull market. With the price currently hovering above $117,000, bulls are firmly in control as optimism spreads across the crypto market. The breakout comes after weeks of tight consolidation, signaling renewed confidence among investors and traders. Related Reading: Bitcoin Dominance Continues Historic Climb – Altcoins Struggle To Gain Ground On-chain data from CryptoQuant adds further support to the bullish narrative. The Coin Days Destroyed (CDD) metric—used to assess whether long-term holders are selling—has returned to a relatively low average despite the rise in price. This suggests that experienced holders are not offloading their positions, but instead continuing to hold through the rally. With long-term holders largely inactive and momentum accelerating, Bitcoin appears to be entering a decisive phase. As macroeconomic conditions remain favorable for risk assets, and with institutional demand rising, all eyes are now on how BTC behaves at these new highs—and whether the rest of the crypto market will follow its lead. Bitcoin Prepares For A Massive Surge Bitcoin continues to trade above key psychological and technical levels, signaling that the market is entering an expansion phase with the potential for a massive surge. After clearing its previous all-time high and consolidating around $117,000, Bitcoin’s structure looks increasingly bullish. Analysts and traders are closely watching on-chain indicators to confirm whether long-term holders are beginning to exit, but so far, the data suggests they are not. Top analyst Darkfost shared relevant insights regarding the Coin Days Destroyed (CDD) metric, a key tool used to assess long-term holder activity. CDD calculates how long a Bitcoin stays unmoved before a transfer, revealing long-term participants’ behavior. Recently, the metric saw a sharp spike, raising initial concerns about possible distribution. However, it was later confirmed that the move involved 80,000 BTC in an internal transfer — no actual selling occurred. Since that event, the CDD has returned to its previous low range, especially when compared to Bitcoin’s soaring price. This signals that long-term holders are still sitting tight, showing no urgency to sell into strength. Their conviction reflects growing expectations of higher prices ahead, supported by macro conditions, increasing adoption, and rising institutional interest. With strong hands holding firm and momentum building, Bitcoin appears poised for continuation. As long as key support levels are maintained and long-term holders remain inactive, the setup favors an explosive move that could redefine price discovery in this cycle. Related Reading: Crypto Founder Pushes Ethereum As ‘World Reserve Asset’ – Details Price Discovery Kicks In: Momentum Accelerates Bitcoin’s three‑day chart shows a textbook breakout from eight weeks of compression. Thursday’s candle closed firmly above the former record cluster at $109,300, opening the door for a vertical push that carried price to $118,800 on the very next print. The candle body towers well above the 50‑period SMA, while the 100‑ and 200‑period averages slope higher beneath, confirming a bullish long‑term structure. The old resistance band between $105,000 and $109,300 now flips into first demand; any orderly retest that wicks into that zone would likely attract sidelined buyers. Below it, $103,600—the mid‑range support that capped drawdowns all spring—remains the line in the sand for the current trend. Related Reading: Ethereum Targets Liquidity Above $3,000 – Price Magnet Forming Upside projections derive from the height of the year‑long range (~$15 k). Adding that measure to the breakout point targets $124–125 k as the next logical objective, with the psychological $120 k round number a potential interim stall area. Momentum oscillators on medium time‑frames are stretched but not at extreme levels, suggesting room for continuation before a cooling period becomes necessary. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView
Bitcoin has officially entered a new chapter in its bull market, surging to fresh all-time highs near $118,800 after weeks of tight consolidation. This decisive breakout marks a pivotal shift in momentum, with analysts pointing to a potential explosive leg higher as bullish sentiment returns. The move above previous highs has not only reignited interest in BTC but also fueled optimism across the broader crypto market. Related Reading: Ethereum Targets Liquidity Above $3,000 – Price Magnet Forming One of the most telling indicators of the current cycle’s strength is Bitcoin Dominance. According to top analyst On-Chain Mind, BTC dominance has climbed to 65% since the beginning of this bull market. This sharp increase highlights a clear preference among investors for Bitcoin over altcoins, solidifying its position as the market’s anchor in times of volatility and growth. As Bitcoin leads the charge, market watchers believe the breakout could trigger a wave of institutional inflows and renewed attention from sidelined retail investors. With momentum building and confidence growing, the breakout above $118K may just be the start of an even larger move, one that could define the next phase of the 2025 crypto bull cycle. Bitcoin Leads The Charge After weeks of sideways consolidation below the $110,000 mark, Bitcoin has finally broken out, launching a new bullish phase and pushing the broader crypto market into motion. Altcoins, which had lagged in recent months, are now climbing above key resistance levels as confidence spreads. This coordinated move comes amid a backdrop of macroeconomic shifts, with market participants increasingly anticipating a weakening US dollar and the return of inflationary policies under US President Donald Trump’s administration. With expectations of rate cuts looming and pressure mounting on the Federal Reserve, the market sees crypto—especially Bitcoin—as a natural hedge. However, caution still lingers. US Treasury yields remain elevated, continuing to flash warnings of systemic stress in the traditional financial system. That tension has only strengthened Bitcoin’s appeal as a non-sovereign, hard-capped monetary asset. Bitcoin dominance tells the story clearly. “At the start of this bull market, it sat at 40%. Today? 65%,” noted On-Chain Mind, emphasizing how investor preference has overwhelmingly leaned toward BTC. This dominance reflects a trend that has barely flinched, even as Ethereum and other altcoins attempt to catch up. As BTC leads the market higher, its dominance reinforces its role as the primary beneficiary of macro uncertainty. While the altcoin space is beginning to show signs of life, it’s clear that Bitcoin remains the anchor, and investors aren’t ready to rotate just yet. Related Reading: Bitcoin MVRV Oscillator Predicts First Sell Pressure Level At $130,900 – Details 4‑Hour Chart: Post‑Breakout Cooling Bitcoin’s 4-hour chart shows a clean breakout followed by consolidation, a typical sign of strength after an impulsive move. Price surged from the long-standing resistance at $109,300 to a local high of $118,000 in less than twelve hours, marking an 8% rally. This breakout flipped prior resistance into support and triggered strong volume, validating the move. Volume has decreased during this period, which is characteristic of a bullish consolidation rather than distribution. The 50-period moving average (blue) has crossed above the 100-period (green), forming a short-term golden cross near $109K. This crossover supports a bullish outlook, with the 200-period moving average (red) trending upward from $105K, reinforcing the structure of higher lows. Related Reading: Altcoins Jump Off Critical Support Level – Relief Or Reversal? As long as Bitcoin remains above $112K, bulls are firmly in control. A drop below $109K would invalidate the breakout and raise short-term risks. However, if price can break above $118K with conviction, it could open the door to a run toward the $120K psychological level. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView
Bitcoin has officially broken through its previous all-time high of $112,000, surging to $118,000 just hours ago and entering uncharted territory for the first time since late May. The breakout confirms bullish momentum after weeks of consolidation and failed attempts, with price action now showing clear strength. With the psychological and technical barrier of $112K cleared, many analysts believe this move could mark the beginning of Bitcoin’s next expansive rally. Related Reading: Altcoins Jump Off Critical Support Level – Relief Or Reversal? Bulls are firmly in control, and on-chain metrics support this breakout narrative. According to fresh data from CryptoQuant, the MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) Extreme Deviation Pricing Bands currently stand at 2.25. Historically, Bitcoin enters the overheated zone around 3.0 or higher, suggesting there is still room for growth before reaching excessive valuation territory. This metric, which measures the deviation between market price and realized value, helps identify when BTC is overbought or undervalued relative to past performance. At current levels, the data points to continued upside potential without major overheating concerns, fueling confidence that this breakout could extend further. Bitcoin Enters Expansion Phase As Market Eyes $130K After weeks of tight consolidation below the $110,000 mark, Bitcoin has finally broken out, signaling the start of a new market phase. The breakout above previous highs has reignited investor optimism, not only for BTC but also for the broader altcoin market, with many altcoins now pushing above key resistance levels for the first time in months. This move comes amid growing anticipation of a weakening US dollar and renewed inflationary pressures as Washington adopts looser fiscal policies. The market is increasingly pricing in the effects of tax cuts, high government spending, and dovish political rhetoric—all of which create a favorable environment for risk assets like Bitcoin. Still, the macro backdrop is not without risks. US Treasury yields remain elevated, flashing warnings of underlying systemic stress in credit markets. This tension underscores the fragility of the current rally and the importance of monitoring fundamental shifts. Top analyst Axel Adler shared insights using the MVRV oscillator, a model that compares Bitcoin’s market value to its realized value. According to Adler, historical data over the last four years suggests that when MVRV reaches 2.75, Bitcoin tends to face its first wave of meaningful selling pressure. If the same pattern holds true in this cycle, Bitcoin could reach approximately $130,900 before seeing notable profit-taking activity. While the current MVRV reading remains below that threshold, the model offers a clear signal of where long-term holders may begin offloading. Until then, the breakout sets the stage for a potential leg higher, with bulls now in control, pushing toward price discovery and a possible test of the $130K zone. Related Reading: Ethereum Back At Range Highs: Breakout Above $2,800 Could Ignite Altseason BTC Enters Uncharted Territory With Strong Momentum Bitcoin has officially broken into price discovery after blasting through its all-time high resistance near $112,000. The 3-day chart shows a massive bullish candle pushing BTC up to $118,683, representing an 8.94% gain in the last session. This breakout is the first clear sign of a strong bullish continuation after weeks of sideways consolidation below key resistance. The chart highlights a textbook breakout structure. BTC respected the $103,600 and $109,300 support zones multiple times throughout May and June before finally gaining enough momentum to pierce through the upper resistance. The recent surge came with a noticeable spike in volume, adding confidence to the breakout’s sustainability. Moving averages also confirm the bullish trend. The 50, 100, and 200 SMA lines remain aligned upward with increasing separation, suggesting that market structure remains strong and trend continuation is likely. Bitcoin is now trading well above all major moving averages, reinforcing the strength of the rally. Related Reading: Bitcoin 30-Day Average Funding Rate Drops – Bullish Setup Takes Shape With no historical resistance levels above, BTC enters a price discovery phase. The next psychological target for bulls will likely be $120,000, followed by the MVRV-based resistance level around $130,900. As long as BTC holds above $112K, the momentum remains decisively in favor of the bulls. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView
Bitcoin continues to consolidate just below its all-time high of $112K, holding firmly above key support at $105K despite repeated bearish attempts to push the price lower. This tight trading range reflects market uncertainty, yet the structure favors bulls as long as support levels remain intact. Related Reading: Ethereum Turns Key Resistance Into Support – Momentum Builds For Range Breakout Meanwhile, macroeconomic conditions are evolving rapidly. The US Congress recently passed President Donald Trump’s “big, beautiful” economic package ahead of the self-imposed July 4 deadline, signaling a new phase of fiscal stimulus marked by tax cuts and aggressive spending. Combined with strong job reports, these factors suggest inflation may soon accelerate — a trend that historically supports Bitcoin as a hedge against fiat devaluation. On the market sentiment side, funding rates provide a crucial clue. According to top analyst On-Chain Mind, the 30-day average of Bitcoin perpetual funding rates is currently very low. This reflects a lack of excessive greed and typically marks a favorable setup for bullish continuation. Historically, periods of low funding rates have preceded major upward moves, especially when paired with strong macro tailwinds. With economic pressure building and Bitcoin still in a bullish structure, the coming days could define the next major move for the world’s largest cryptocurrency. Calm Before The Breakout: Bitcoin Gains Strength Above $107K Bitcoin is up more than 3% since the start of July, holding firmly above the $107,000 local low despite repeated resistance at the $110,000 level. This sustained strength signals underlying buyer support and growing momentum as BTC continues to consolidate just below all-time highs. The $110K resistance remains a critical ceiling — once breached, analysts expect a strong move into price discovery as bullish momentum builds. So far, the market has digested a wave of macroeconomic and geopolitical developments. Global trade dynamics — including rising tariffs, export restrictions, and deglobalization trends — continue to shape sentiment. Yet, compared to the sharp volatility seen earlier this year, both Bitcoin and US equities appear more resilient. This suggests that much of the uncertainty has already been priced in, reducing the downside risk for risk assets like BTC. A key technical factor reinforcing the bullish case is the low 30-day average of funding rates. This indicator reflects a neutral-to-cautiously optimistic market environment — a stark contrast to overheated bullish phases that often precede corrections. Calm periods like this often set the stage for explosive moves, particularly when supply squeezes and strong demand meet a macro environment ripe for risk-taking. With BTC coiling tightly and sentiment balanced, a breakout could be imminent. Related Reading: ERC-20 Stablecoin Supply Hits All-Time High At $121B – Liquidity On The Rise BTC Holds Steady as Bulls Eye $109,300 Breakout The 4-hour chart shows Bitcoin (BTC) consolidating within a tight range, holding above the key support at $107,000 and testing resistance around $109,300. This price level has consistently acted as a local ceiling, with several failed breakout attempts in late June and early July. However, the bulls continue to defend higher lows, signaling strength and setting the stage for a potential breakout. The 50, 100, and 200 simple moving averages (SMAs) are stacked close together and gradually trending upward, suggesting the consolidation phase could soon transition into a more directional move. Volume remains low, which often precedes a volatility spike, especially near key resistance levels. Related Reading: Ethereum Risks Downside If Resistance Holds: $2,700 Level Is Critical The $103,600 support remains the crucial line in the sand for bulls. A breakdown below that level would invalidate the short-term bullish structure and likely lead to a deeper retrace. On the upside, a daily close above $109,300 with volume confirmation could trigger a rally toward price discovery above the all-time high. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView
After achieving its highest weekly close to date, Bitcoin (BTC) is now attempting to confirm two crucial levels as support before continuing its rally to new highs. Some analysts have suggested that the cryptocurrency may be experiencing a “calm before the storm” phase. Related Reading: Brazil’s Central Bank Hacked—$40M In Crypto Washed In Aftermath Bitcoin Set For Key Support Confirmations Bitcoin managed to close above two crucial levels over the past few days, recording its highest weekly close in history. Last week, the flagship crypto positioned itself for a reclaim of its final major weekly resistance around $109,000 after nearing this area for four days. On Sunday, BTC surged above the key barrier and closed the week around the $109,200 mark, also successfully confirming its diagonal daily trendline as support. Now, the cryptocurrency is retesting the final resistance to confirm the breakout. Rekt Capital affirmed that the goal is to turn this resistance into support, as it could push BTC to new all-time highs (ATH). He explained that “given how price barely Weekly Closed above the final Weekly resistance, it offers very little chance for price to cleanly retest this level into support; that is, this retest is likely going to be a volatile one.” Nonetheless, the analyst noted that the cryptocurrency has significant High Timeframe (HTF) support beneath it that “should act as a demand area to springboard price into Price Discovery Uptrend 2 over time.” Notably, Bitcoin reclaimed and held the high zone of its re-accumulation range, around the $104,400 mark, as support over the past two weeks. Meanwhile, June Monthly Closed above the $102,464 level and retested it post-breakout “to enable this current July upside candle,” setting it as a monthly support. Additionally, the $107,244 level also emerged as a crucial area after last month’s close, driving BTC “back to its retesting phase.” BTC To Breakout After The Summer? Rekt Capital considers BTC’s current phase as “the calm before the storm,” adding that “for as long as the post-breakout retest will continue, Bitcoin will continue to be positioned for its second Price Discovery Uptrend.” However, he pointed out that it is currently locked between $104,400 and $111,000 levels so far this month. Daan Crypto Trader warned investors that the upcoming days could be crucial for BTC’s price action this month. He highlighted that Bitcoin has tended to set its monthly high or low within the first 12 days over 80% of the time, before price trends around 20% in the opposite direction. Remarkably, June was an exception after Bitcoin remained relatively stable with only small moves in each direction. Now, the analyst thinks it’s time to be “on the lookout again for any big move up or down within the first 12 days” to potentially determine BTC’s trend for the rest of the month. “For now, there has been little action in July yet,” Daan stated, but added that “technically, we’re still looking perfectly” around the current levels. He asserted that, with the slower pace during the summer, BTC could remain within its current range until a real move up begins at the end of Q3 and start of Q4. Related Reading: Analyst Predicts XRP Price Will Reach $20-$30 — Elliott Wave Theory Holds The Key The trader concluded that the cryptocurrency must officially break out of its range before investors get excited for “much higher later this year.” As of this writing, Bitcoin is trading at $107,973, a 1% decline in the daily timeframe. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin is facing resistance just below its $112,000 all-time high, struggling to break into price discovery as the market gains momentum. After reaching a high of $110,500 yesterday, BTC has retraced over 2%, but price action remains bullish. Traders are closely watching this consolidation, which may act as a springboard for a decisive move upward. Related Reading: Ethereum Forms Rising Wedge Pattern – $2,200 Support Back In Focus? According to top analyst Ted Pillows, multiple technical indicators support a bullish outlook. Notably, Bitcoin has just confirmed a bullish MACD crossover on the daily timeframe, which is often a precursor to upside continuation. Adding to the bullish case is Bitcoin’s highest monthly close in history, a key psychological milestone that could bring new inflows and spark renewed interest from sidelined investors. The current setup points to a market that’s primed for upside, provided buyers can reclaim the $112K level. As macroeconomic uncertainty fades and bullish momentum builds across the crypto space, Bitcoin could soon enter uncharted territory. All eyes are on the next few sessions as BTC tests critical levels with strong technical backing. Bitcoin Nears Crucial Breakout Phase Amid Bullish Momentum Bitcoin has gained over 10% since June 22, climbing from local lows near $98,000 to current levels around $108,000. This steady advance reflects renewed optimism across the crypto market, but the asset now enters a critical phase. Price action has stalled just below the $112,000 all-time high—a resistance level that has capped Bitcoin’s upside since late May. The coming days will be decisive, as a breakout above this level could trigger price discovery, while a rejection may open the door for a broader pullback. Despite the short-term uncertainty, the long-term outlook remains firmly bullish. Many analysts argue that an eventual move beyond $112K is inevitable, driven by favorable macro trends, strong institutional interest, and growing demand for spot ETFs. Still, caution is warranted. A failure to hold current support levels—especially the $105,000–$106,000 zone—could lead to a drop below $100,000 and shake out overleveraged positions. Ted Pillows remains confident, stating, “You can’t be bearish on Bitcoin now.” His view is based on a confluence of technical factors: a confirmed bullish MACD crossover, a clean support retest, and Bitcoin’s highest monthly close on record. These signals, combined with steady momentum, suggest that a new all-time high could be just days away. Related Reading: Chainlink Consolidates Above Key Support – Bulls Eye $20 Range BTC Faces Rejection At $109K, Eyes Key Support At $106K Bitcoin’s price is consolidating after failing to hold above the $109,300 resistance level, as seen on the 4-hour chart. After briefly tapping above $110,000, BTC retraced and is now hovering around $107,961. This rejection suggests that the all-time high zone remains a major obstacle for bulls despite the ongoing uptrend. Price is now testing the 50 SMA (blue line), currently acting as dynamic support, while the 100 and 200 SMAs (green and red) below provide a broader safety net in the $106,000–$106,500 region. The key level to watch remains $109,300. A decisive break and close above this level on strong volume would likely signal the start of price discovery. However, if bears manage to push BTC below $106,000, we could see a retest of the $103,600 support—an area that has held multiple times since late May. Related Reading: Ethereum Looks Strong Despite Volatility – $10,000 Price Target Gains Momentum Volume is relatively low compared to previous impulse moves, indicating that the current pullback may be a healthy pause rather than a trend reversal. For now, Bitcoin’s structure remains bullish, with higher highs and higher lows intact. If bulls can defend this support zone and regain momentum, a new attempt at breaking $112,000 may come sooner rather than later. The next 48–72 hours will be critical. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView
The Bitcoin market now appears to be seeing a notable surge in its momentum, with the asset finally breaching the $110,000 mark to inch really close to its all-time high. The asset has so far registered a 24-hour high of $110,117, less than 3% increase away from its all-time high of $111,814 registered in May. At the time of writing, BTC trades back at $109,000 levels, marking a 1.3% increase in the past day. While the price action alone has fueled speculation of an imminent breakout, several analysts suggest that deeper structural shifts within the market are at play. On-chain data particularly reveals changes in whale activity, exchange flows, and stablecoin dynamics that could offer clues about the market’s next move. Related Reading: Bitwise Just Sounded The Alarm—Bitcoin Could Explode Soon Signs of Reduced Bitcoin Selling Pressure and Upward Bias CryptoQuant analyst Crypto Dan shared a detailed view of the current state of Bitcoin’s price structure, emphasizing a broader directional change in the market that began in April. According to the analyst, Bitcoin’s recent price resilience can be attributed to a noticeable decline in selling pressure from US-based institutional investors and whales. These large players, who were previously offloading significant holdings, have shifted into accumulation mode in recent months. Dan explained that Bitcoin appears to be in a transitional phase. He observed a gradual fade in sell-side activity from major US wallets since April, and that drop has been met with stable buying pressure. This suggests that institutions are no longer offloading positions but are maintaining or adding to their holdings. Dan added that the current consolidation, marked by Bitcoin’s price hovering above the $100,000 range, is allowing short-term overheated indicators to cool down. Dan noted: While the possibility of a correction remains, the broader market direction continues to be upward, so I will maintain my perspective and look forward to the second half of 2025. Overall, this could mean that the ongoing price action in the market may be the calm before a longer-term move upward, assuming macro conditions remain supportive. Exchange Outflows and Liquidity Trends Paint a Risk-On Picture Adding further context, another CryptoQuant contributor, Novaque Research, pointed to recent shifts in on-chain flows and broader liquidity conditions. According to their data, exchange outflows have picked up notably since late June, with some days seeing over 10,000 BTC withdrawn. Such behavior typically signals long-term investor confidence and a reduced likelihood of near-term sell pressure. Additionally, the report noted that miners have remained largely inactive in terms of selling despite BTC trading above $100,000. Related Reading: Whales Are Quietly Repositioning, Here’s What Bitcoin’s $107K Price Isn’t Telling You This suggests confidence in price sustainability and possible anticipation of more favorable financial conditions. Meanwhile, stablecoin activity has also shown key changes. Both USDC and USDT supply ratios on exchanges have been trending downward since mid-June, indicating capital is sitting idle rather than flowing into spot markets. Novaque noted that investors may be on the sidelines waiting for confirmation, but the structural behavior is leaning toward accumulation. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
Bitcoin’s upward momentum has returned, with the asset briefly crossing the $110,000 threshold before pulling back slightly. After hitting a 24-hour high of $110,117, Bitcoin now trades at $109,386, reflecting a 1.8% increase in the past day. This recent push places the asset about $2,000 surge away from its all-time high of $111,814, recorded in May 2025, prompting renewed attention from traders and analysts. While price movements often attract headlines, on-chain data has started signaling deeper market activity. Related Reading: Bitcoin Realized Dominance Signals Weak Hands Capitulating, Strong Hands Rising Binance Sees 3,400 Bitcoin in Outflows as Spot Volume Surges According to CryptoQuant analyst Amr Taha, a substantial volume of BTC has recently been moved off Binance, one of the world’s largest crypto exchanges. The shift aligns with anticipation around a series of US macroeconomic indicators, which historically tend to influence risk-on assets like Bitcoin. Taha highlighted that Binance recorded a net outflow of over 3,400 BTC in a single day. This occurred shortly after Bitcoin’s price breached the $109,000 mark. Large-scale withdrawals from exchanges such as Binance are often interpreted as a sign that holders may be preparing to hold their assets longer-term, or shielding their positions from potential short-term volatility. Simultaneously, Binance’s share of the global Bitcoin spot volume surged significantly, from 41% to 56% in just one session. Taha noted that this spike indicates increased reliance on Binance’s liquidity by traders seeking exposure to Bitcoin ahead of anticipated market-moving economic data. The outflow trend, paired with rising spot volume, suggests that traders are actively responding to broader market signals, especially from traditional finance. US Jobs Report Drives Market Positioning The current surge in Bitcoin activity coincides with heightened market focus on US labor market data, including the Non-Farm Employment Change, Unemployment Rate, and Average Hourly Earnings figures. These indicators are closely watched by investors as they influence inflation expectations and the Federal Reserve’s approach to interest rate adjustments. Shifts in rate expectations often have direct consequences for risk assets like Bitcoin, as changes in the cost of capital affect liquidity and investor appetite. Related Reading: Bitcoin Seasonality: Why Summer 2025 Will Catch Everyone Off Guard Taha suggests that the recent Binance outflows may reflect investor positioning ahead of potential macro-driven market volatility. “Bitcoin outflows from Binance alongside the sharp rise in spot trading activity… appear to show that investors are positioning for potential upside volatility,” he wrote. A favorable labor report could amplify bullish sentiment across both equity and crypto markets if it strengthens expectations of a rate cut or an extended pause in rate hikes. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
Bitcoin has experienced heightened volatility over the past few days, moving between critical levels as market participants await a clear breakout or breakdown. After testing $105,000 as support, BTC rebounded strongly and pushed back toward the $109,000 resistance zone—an area that has capped upward momentum for several weeks. While bulls remain in control of the broader structure, price action continues to show hesitation just below the all-time high, leaving the market in a state of uncertainty. Related Reading: Solana Hits New Milestone: Wallets Holding 0.1+ SOL Reach Record High To confirm the next leg of the long-term trend, Bitcoin needs to break into price discovery territory above $112,000 with strong volume and follow-through. Until that happens, the current range-bound conditions could persist, especially as traders weigh macro factors and profit-taking activity increases. Top analyst Jelle shared a technical analysis pointing to another strong bounce from the 50-day moving average and exponential moving average (MA/EMA) cluster, key dynamic support levels that have repeatedly triggered bullish reactions. This bounce reinforces the underlying strength in the current trend, suggesting that buyers continue to step in at crucial levels. As long as BTC holds above this support zone, the path toward a breakout remains intact—but confirmation is still needed. Bitcoin Prepares For Expansion Phase Bitcoin appears poised to enter a new expansive phase, with a breakout above its all-time high potentially triggering a fresh wave of bullish momentum, not just for BTC, but for the broader crypto market. After weeks of grinding just below the $112,000 resistance level, Bitcoin has struggled to push decisively higher. However, the structure remains bullish, and buyers have consistently defended key demand zones around $105,000. This ability to maintain higher lows during a period of consolidation signals strong market control by the bulls. According to Jelle, Bitcoin has just seen another powerful bounce from the 50-day moving average and exponential moving average (MA/EMA) cluster—an area that has historically acted as a dynamic support zone. Each time BTC has touched this cluster in recent months, it has rebounded with renewed strength, and the latest bounce is no exception. Jelle believes this reaction confirms the uptrend remains intact, with conditions aligning for a breakout. “The trend is up—new all-time highs are very much on the menu this week,” Jelle noted, emphasizing the importance of sustained momentum above current resistance. If Bitcoin can close decisively above $112K, it would likely ignite a surge in altcoins, many of which have lagged during BTC’s dominance-driven phase. With bulls maintaining control and technical support holding firm, the market is now watching for confirmation that Bitcoin is ready to enter price discovery once again. A successful breakout could mark the beginning of the next major leg in the crypto cycle. Related Reading: Tron Shows Adoption Strength As Volume Still Led By Big Transfers – Details BTC Tests Resistance Again After Volatile Bounce Bitcoin is once again pushing toward the critical $109,300 resistance level after bouncing strongly from the $105,000 support zone. The 12-hour chart shows a series of failed breakouts above the $109K level in recent weeks, highlighting the strength of this resistance zone. However, bulls have continued to defend higher lows, maintaining overall market structure and preventing deeper corrections. The latest candle shows a 1.93% surge, reclaiming the 50- and 100-period moving averages around $106,000, a key short-term cluster that previously acted as support. Volume also picked up during this bounce, suggesting renewed buying interest as Bitcoin tries to establish bullish momentum. Related Reading: Strong Ethereum Accumulation Detected: LTH Buying Heavy During June Consolidation Still, the rejection just below $109,300 remains a concern. If BTC fails to break and close above this range soon, the risk of a return to the $103,600 demand zone increases, especially in the face of rising volatility and profit-taking across the network. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView
Bitcoin briefly pushed into the $108,800 level a few hours ago but was once again unable to reclaim higher prices, reinforcing the key resistance just below its all-time high. This rejection has left the market in a state of caution, with investors expecting increased volatility in the coming sessions. As BTC continues to hover below the $109,300 mark, traders are watching closely for signs of either a confirmed breakout or a potential pullback. Related Reading: Bitcoin Struggles Below ATH After Weeks Of Failed Attempts – $109K Level In Focus Adding a new layer to the current setup, top analyst Ted Pillows shared a notable development in Bitcoin dominance. According to Pillows, the Bitcoin Dominance chart is now showing a daily bearish divergence—a classic signal that often precedes a shift in momentum from Bitcoin to altcoins. This divergence occurs when BTC dominance trends higher while momentum indicators begin to weaken, suggesting that Bitcoin’s relative strength may be peaking. For altcoin investors, this could be an early signal of a shift. Historically, bearish divergences in dominance have lead to strong altcoin rallies, as capital begins flowing from BTC into higher-beta assets. While Bitcoin consolidates near resistance, attention may soon shift toward altcoins, setting the stage for a possible altseason. Bitcoin Consolidates As Charts Signal Altcoin Rotation Following the resolution of global tensions between the US, Israel, and Iran, Bitcoin surged above the $105,000 level, signaling renewed confidence across global risk markets. The move marked a key recovery from previous uncertainty, with BTC taking back critical support and shifting focus back toward the $110,000 resistance zone. However, despite the initial breakout, Bitcoin has struggled to push into uncharted territory. Price action remains choppy and directionless, with the market hesitating ahead of what many believe could be a decisive move. Analysts continue to call for a breakout, citing strong accumulation trends, improving macroeconomic conditions, and a bullish long-term structure. Yet the inability to break above the $109,300–$110,000 range raises concerns about weakening momentum. The longer Bitcoin remains capped below resistance, the more likely it is that capital may begin to rotate into other parts of the market. Top analyst Ted Pillows recently shared key insights supporting that thesis. According to Pillows, Bitcoin dominance is showing a daily bearish divergence—a classic sign of impending trend reversal. As BTC dominance climbs but momentum weakens, it suggests that Bitcoin’s recent strength may be fading, and a shift toward altcoins could be underway. Historically, bearish divergences in BTC dominance have often preceded sharp corrections in Bitcoin and explosive rallies across the altcoin market. As Bitcoin consolidates and its dominance loses strength, conditions may be forming for the next big altseason. While nothing is guaranteed, the combination of geopolitical relief, market indecision, and technical signals suggests that a sharp rotation could be close. Traders are now watching both BTC price and dominance levels closely, knowing that once momentum shifts, the move could be swift and powerful. Related Reading: Ethereum Sees $269M In Net Inflows In 24H – Bullish Momentum Accelerates ETH/BTC Chart Shows Signs Of Reversal The ETH/BTC weekly chart reveals a prolonged downtrend that has persisted since late 2022, with Ethereum consistently underperforming against Bitcoin. Since peaking above 0.085 BTC in late 2022, the pair has steadily declined, now trading around 0.0228 BTC—a level not seen since 2020. This confirms that Bitcoin has been the clear market leader for nearly two years, adding most of the capital inflow during bullish phases while altcoins, including Ethereum, lagged behind. However, current price action shows early signs that this trend may be nearing its end. ETH/BTC appears to have found a local bottom, just above the 0.02 BTC zone, after a steep drop. Although the pair remains well below the 50 (weekly), 100, and 200 moving averages, the selling momentum has clearly slowed, and volume has begun to stabilize. Related Reading: Ethereum Holds Critical Long-Term Channel – Next Move Could Be Parabolic This phase suggests that a swing could be forming. If Ethereum can reclaim higher support levels and Bitcoin dominance continues to show bearish divergence—as noted in recent market analyses—the ETH/BTC ratio could start trending higher once again. A rotation from Bitcoin into Ethereum and other altcoins may soon follow, potentially marking the beginning of a new phase in the crypto cycle where altcoins start to outperform. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView
Bitcoin has been consolidating in a wide range between $100,000 and $112,000, facing heightened volatility driven by rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and growing macroeconomic uncertainty. Despite these external pressures, Bitcoin has held strong above the six-figure mark, signaling resilience as it prepares for a decisive move. Market sentiment is cautiously optimistic, with many traders expecting a breakout in the coming weeks. Related Reading: ONDO Breaks Out Of Ascending Channel – Analyst Sets $0.29 Target Top analyst Daan shared a technical analysis highlighting that Bitcoin is now trading just below its all-time high, but continues to face strong resistance around the $109,000–$112,000 zone. Price has tested this level multiple times over the past month, but each attempt has failed to produce a confirmed breakout. During this period, altcoins have suffered sharp drawdowns, with many falling between 10% and 50%, underscoring Bitcoin’s dominance and investor focus. Despite the rejections, bullish momentum is gradually building. Bitcoin’s ability to stay elevated in such a volatile environment suggests that buyers are accumulating, waiting for the right moment to push higher. A confirmed breakout above resistance could trigger a sharp move into price discovery, while failure to hold key support may lead to deeper consolidation before the next leg up. Bitcoin Bulls Push Toward Breakout Bitcoin has gained over 15% since early May, extending a bullish trend that began in April when the price rebounded sharply from the $75,000 level. Since then, buyers have remained in control, consistently defending higher lows and reclaiming key technical levels. This steady rise in momentum has fueled speculation that Bitcoin may soon break into new all-time highs, as market sentiment improves and capital continues flowing into crypto. Analysts are now closely watching the $110,000–$112,000 resistance zone—a level that has held strong despite multiple breakout attempts. Daan noted that Bitcoin is trading just below its all-time high, but has already faced several failed moves above this barrier. Over the past month, price has hovered near resistance, yet hasn’t delivered a confirmed breakout. During this period, altcoins have struggled, with many dropping between 10% and 50%, further highlighting Bitcoin’s dominance and traders’ caution. While the setup looks bullish, risks remain. A proper breakout will require not just a brief wick above $110K, but a strong weekly close or at least two consecutive daily closes above resistance. Until then, it’s wise to stay patient. Chasing before confirmation can lead to getting caught in a false breakout. Once Bitcoin breaks and holds above this level, the probability of a larger move increases significantly. In the meantime, Bitcoin’s ability to hold near highs while absorbing macro volatility and altcoin weakness is a strong sign of underlying demand. Momentum is building—but timing matters. A confirmed breakout will be the signal that the next leg up is ready to begin. Until then, smart traders are watching and waiting. Related Reading: Ethereum Holds Critical Long-Term Channel – Next Move Could Be Parabolic BTC Weekly Chart Shows Strong Structure Bitcoin is currently trading at $107,319 on the weekly chart, continuing to hover just below the crucial $109,300 resistance level. Despite multiple attempts, BTC has failed to close a weekly candle above this zone—a critical milestone needed to confirm a breakout and signal the next phase of upward momentum. The $103,600 level now serves as strong weekly support, holding firm through recent pullbacks. The long-term structure remains bullish. Price continues to trend above all major moving averages, including the 50-week SMA ($85,147), the 100-week SMA ($66,505), and the 200-week SMA ($49,239), all of which are sloping upward. This alignment reflects solid long-term strength, even as Bitcoin consolidates just below all-time highs. Volume, however, remains relatively muted compared to the breakout seen in late 2024, suggesting that traders are waiting for confirmation before committing to new positions. Until BTC can close a weekly candle above $109,300, this range will remain intact. Related Reading: Ethereum Staking Hits Record High: 29.02% Of Supply Locked Signals Long-Term Conviction If bulls succeed, the market could enter price discovery and spark renewed inflows. But if rejection continues, the $103K–$105K zone becomes critical to hold. For now, Bitcoin’s bullish structure is intact, but confirmation is still required before a larger move can begin. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView
Bitcoin is showing resilience above the $105,000 mark, holding firm despite ongoing volatility and economic uncertainty. While bulls struggle to break above the all-time high at $112,000, the market remains in a high-stakes consolidation phase. Macroeconomic conditions remain unstable, with weak global growth forecasts and elevated inflation pushing investors into risk-off assets. Still, Bitcoin appears to be thriving under these pressures, strengthening its case as a hedge against traditional financial instability. Related Reading: Ethereum Fakes Out Bears – Altcoin Rally Depends On Key Level Breakout Top analyst Carl Runefelt recently highlighted a compelling technical development: Bitcoin is forming a massive inverse head and shoulders pattern spanning the last four years. This rare and long-term formation typically signals a bullish reversal and, if confirmed, could mark the beginning of a powerful breakout into price discovery. Runefelt notes that the neckline of this pattern aligns with current resistance just below $112K, making the coming weeks crucial for market direction. As the crypto market digests geopolitical tensions, central bank policy shifts, and on-chain accumulation trends, Bitcoin’s ability to stay elevated signals growing investor conviction. All eyes are now on whether BTC can complete this historic pattern and launch the next leg of the bull run. Bitcoin At A Critical Crossroads Bitcoin is trading at a pivotal level that could determine the market’s next major move — a breakout into new all-time highs or a retrace toward lower demand zones. After surging over 10% since last Sunday, the bullish sentiment is building rapidly, but the price remains stuck in a tight range between $100,000 and $110,000. Bulls are confident and in control of momentum, yet they’ve repeatedly failed to push BTC above the key $110K resistance. At the same time, bears have been unable to take the price below the $100K psychological support, signaling equilibrium and mounting pressure for a breakout. This standoff has kept volatility high, with macroeconomic uncertainty and geopolitical instability adding fuel to the fire. Still, the current market structure appears constructive for Bitcoin. If bulls can finally break above the $110K level and push into price discovery, it would confirm the strength behind this rally and potentially spark a new phase of exponential growth. Carl Runefelt believes a major breakout may be on the horizon. His technical analysis reveals a massive inverse head and shoulders pattern forming over the last four years — a rare and highly bullish setup. According to Runefelt, traders should be “ready for a crazy pump” if Bitcoin breaks through the neckline near $112K. Historically, this type of pattern precedes explosive rallies, and given the long-term nature of this one, the upside potential could be significant. As long-term holders accumulate and market liquidity builds, the coming weeks may determine whether Bitcoin cements its breakout or returns to test deeper support. Either way, this moment is shaping up to be one of the most decisive junctures in the current bull cycle. Related Reading: Ethereum Reclaims $2,444 Level – Bullish Continuation In Focus BTC Price Analysis: Key Resistance Blocks Price Discovery Bitcoin is currently trading at $107,144 on the daily chart, showing modest gains but facing strong resistance as it nears the $109,300 level. The chart highlights a clearly defined horizontal structure between $103,600 and $109,300 — a range Bitcoin has respected for nearly two months. Bulls remain in control short term, having reclaimed all three major moving averages: the 50-day ($105,800), 100-day ($96,784), and 200-day ($96,136) SMAs. The most recent bounce off the $103,600 support zone was followed by rising volume, indicating a potential shift in momentum back to the upside. However, BTC has yet to close convincingly above $109,300, which continues to cap any price discovery attempts. A breakout above this level could open the door to new all-time highs and trigger an aggressive bullish continuation. Related Reading: Chainlink Reclaims Key Structure – Quiet Accumulation Could Fuel $25–$30 Surge On the downside, failure to breach resistance and a drop below $105K could reintroduce bearish pressure and trigger a retest of the lower range. For now, Bitcoin remains range-bound with bullish bias, but buyers need to follow through with strong volume and a clean break above the $109K barrier to fully confirm market intent. Until then, caution is warranted as indecision prevails near key resistance. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView
Following a quick drop to nearly $98,000 over the weekend, Bitcoin (BTC) has recovered most of its recent losses and is now trading above $107,000 at the time of writing. Fresh on-chain data suggests that the short-term holder (STH) floor for BTC has been steadily rising toward the $100,000 level. Bitcoin STH Floor Approaching $100,000 According to a recent CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor unchained, Bitcoin’s STH Realized Price has been making its slow grind up toward the psychologically important $100,000 level. Notably, the analyst had earlier dubbed this metric as the “fault line” to watch. Related Reading: Bitcoin Binary CDD Hints At Healthy Consolidation, Not A Top For the uninitiated, the STH Realized Price represents the average price at which all Bitcoin held for less than 155 days was acquired. It acts as both a key psychological and technical support level. When the market price stays above it, STH are in profit and more confident, whereas if it falls below, fear and selling pressure often increase. Currently, the STH Realized Price hovers around $98,000. The analyst notes that each $500 rise in the STH Realized Price effectively resets the “new buyers’ comfort floor.” As this metric nears six figures, the mental stop-loss for newer investors also moves upward. The following chart illustrates two recent instances where BTC bounced sharply after touching the blue STH Realized Price line. This price action suggests a bullish structure, where selling pressure diminishes as soon as BTC revisits its average cost basis. Meanwhile, the premium – the difference between BTC’s spot price and STH Realized Price – currently hovers around 7.2%. A shrinking premium, typically under 10%, has historically signalled reduced market froth and often preceded the next leg up once open interest began to rebuild. On the long-term side, the long-term holder (LTH) Realized Price remains largely unchanged at $32,000, roughly one-third of the STH Realized Price. The analyst observes that these long-term coins are likely held in cold storage, indicating “strong hands” with little incentive to sell. They concluded: The blue line is climbing relentlessly; as long as BTC lives above it, the prevailing tide is still higher-lows, higher-highs. Lose it on a daily close, and we get our first real gut-check since April – otherwise the bull engine is merely cooling its cylinders. Experts Predict New High For BTC As BTC’s STH Realized Price continues to surge higher – resulting in a higher floor price for the digital asset – several crypto experts seem to agree that the cryptocurrency may soon reach a new all-time high (ATH) in the coming months. Related Reading: Bitcoin May Surprise Bears: $100K–$110K Range Shows Rising Short Interest For instance, Bitcoin is forming a bullish inverse head and shoulders pattern on the three-day chart, eyeing a potential ATH of as high as $150,000. At press time, BTC trades at $107,711, up 2.1% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant and TradingView.com
Bitcoin is trading above the $105,000 level after a sharp rebound triggered by the announcement of a ceasefire between Israel and Iran. The geopolitical relief provided a strong tailwind for risk assets, and BTC responded with a powerful surge, regaining a critical psychological level that had previously flipped into resistance. Now, as bulls regain momentum, Bitcoin is flirting with a potential breakout above the $110,000 mark — a key level that capped rallies throughout June. Related Reading: Bitcoin Battles Key Support: Daily EMA-100 Must Hold to Prevent Deep Correction This renewed strength comes after several days of volatility and fear, where BTC dipped to as low as $98,200 amid escalating conflict in the Middle East. However, the swift recovery has shifted sentiment back in favor of the bulls. According to on-chain data from CryptoQuant, there has been a heavy spike in Taker Buy Volume over the past 48 hours — a strong signal that aggressive market participants are stepping in with conviction. These buy-side imbalances suggest that institutional and high-conviction traders are positioning for further upside. As the market heats up and risk appetite grows, a breakout above the $110K resistance could confirm the start of a new bullish impulse. For now, all eyes are on whether BTC can hold and extend above current levels. Bitcoin Faces Uncertainty As Bulls Defend Structure Bitcoin is currently facing a critical test, trading in a tight range after failing to break above its all-time high. Although bulls have managed to defend the overall structure and keep BTC above key moving averages, the price action has not provided a clear directional signal. The asset is roughly 6% down from its $112K peak, and while some traders expect an imminent breakout toward new highs, others warn of a potential retrace below the $100K psychological level. This divide among analysts stems from ongoing geopolitical instability — particularly in the Middle East — and tightening macroeconomic conditions. The Fed’s commitment to elevated interest rates and rising US Treasury yields continues to weigh on risk sentiment, making it difficult for BTC to build sustained momentum. Despite the uncertainty, buyers have shown signs of strength, with many looking to confirm the recent bounce as a solid bottom. Top analyst Maartunn highlighted one key bullish signal: heavy spikes in Taker Buy Volume, which indicate aggressive market orders being filled on the buy side. This suggests that high-conviction buyers are stepping in at current levels, potentially front-running a larger move to the upside. While this is a positive sign for short-term sentiment, Bitcoin must still reclaim the $109K–$112K range to invalidate the risk of a broader correction. Until then, traders remain cautious. If BTC closes a daily candle below the $103.6K support or loses the $100K level again, it could trigger a wave of liquidations and send prices lower. On the other hand, holding above $105K and building volume could set the stage for the next leg up. The coming days will be crucial in defining Bitcoin’s path forward. Related Reading: Ethereum Holds Critical Support – $2,350 Level Could Define The Next Move BTC Surges Above Key Support As Buyers Step In The 12-hour chart for Bitcoin reveals a strong bullish reaction after a brief dip below the $103,600 support level. The price rebounded sharply, reclaiming both the 100 and 50-period moving averages (green and blue lines, respectively), with BTC now trading around $105,357. This move confirms the importance of the $103,600 zone as a high-demand area, which has acted as a launchpad multiple times since early May. Volume surged on the recent bounce, indicating aggressive buying activity. The spike suggests whales and institutional buyers likely absorbed the panic selling triggered by geopolitical events earlier in the week. Price is now approaching the $109,300 resistance level, a key ceiling that capped multiple rallies in May and June. Related Reading: Solana Cracks Below Key Structure – Head And Shoulders Breakdown Points To $106 The short-term momentum remains constructive as long as BTC holds above the moving averages. However, a rejection near $109K could confirm a broader consolidation range between $103K and $109K. If bulls manage to flip $109,300 into support, the path to retest the all-time highs around $112K opens up. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView
Bitcoin briefly fell below the critical $100,000 level over the weekend, reaching a low of approximately $98,200 and triggering a wave of panic selling across crypto markets. The sharp drop came after news broke of US military strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities, a move that significantly escalated the already volatile conflict between Israel and Iran. The geopolitical shock sent global markets into risk-off mode, with Bitcoin reacting quickly to the growing uncertainty. Related Reading: Solana Cracks Below Key Structure – Head And Shoulders Breakdown Points To $106 Despite the weekend dip, BTC has since reclaimed the $100K mark, but sentiment remains fragile. Investors are now watching key technical levels closely to determine the next move. According to top analyst Ted Pillows, Bitcoin must hold the daily EMA-100 to avoid further downside pressure. A decisive close below this level could open the door for a deeper correction, especially if macroeconomic and geopolitical risks persist. As volatility spikes and fear grows, Bitcoin’s ability to maintain support at these levels may define whether the bull cycle continues or enters a prolonged consolidation phase. All eyes are now on the $100K zone, which has become a critical battleground for bulls and bears in a market driven by both technicals and global tension. Bulls Defend $100K As Dominance Rises and Market Faces Crucial Test Bitcoin is once again at a pivotal moment. After dipping below the psychological $100,000 level over the weekend amid growing geopolitical tensions, BTC quickly reclaimed this critical threshold, offering a glimmer of hope to market participants. Although bulls managed to push the price back up, the overall structure remains fragile, and technical indicators now carry more weight than ever. Ted Pillows noted in a recent update that Bitcoin must hold its daily EMA-100 to preserve bullish momentum. A daily close below $99,000 would confirm a break below this key support zone, likely triggering a retest of the $92,000–$94,000 region. Such a move could create significant downside pressure, particularly on altcoins, which are already lagging behind in performance. In Pillows’ words, “If Bitcoin loses this level, alts will be annihilated.” Despite the looming risks, fundamentals remain solid. Bitcoin dominance continues to hover near its highest levels of the year, reflecting growing investor preference for BTC over high-beta assets during uncertain times. On-chain metrics still indicate strong holder conviction, and macro narratives continue to favor Bitcoin as a hedge amid fiat instability and rising geopolitical uncertainty. If Bitcoin can hold the $100K level and reclaim momentum, it could lead to renewed strength and eventually a push toward the $109K resistance zone. For now, however, bulls are on the defensive. Price action over the next few days will likely define the trajectory for the remainder of Q3, with a close watch on EMA support, macro headlines, and risk sentiment across global markets. Related Reading: Ethereum Weekly Chart Nears Tower Top Formation As US Launches Attack On Iran – Details Bitcoin Struggles Below Resistance Amid Bearish Price Structure The 12-hour chart for Bitcoin reveals a bearish structure following the breakdown below the $103,600 support zone. After forming a symmetrical triangle throughout mid-June, BTC failed to break upward and instead reversed direction, confirming a downward breakout. This move triggered a sharp decline to $98,200 over the weekend, followed by a modest recovery to the current $101,250 level. The price is now trading below both the 50 and 100-period simple moving averages, which are beginning to curl downward, signaling a shift in momentum away from bulls. The 200-period SMA, currently near $95,600, stands as the next major support if downside pressure continues. Volume has picked up notably on the red candles, adding weight to the bearish case and confirming active selling during the recent drop. Related Reading: Ethereum Charts Signal Potential Bottom – All Eyes On Next Move Bitcoin must reclaim the $103,600 zone and hold above it to invalidate the bearish pattern and regain control. Failure to do so could result in further downside toward $95,000 and possibly even $92,000. As long as BTC remains below the broken triangle support and the $103K resistance, the path of least resistance remains downward. Bulls face an uphill battle, and confidence may erode quickly if the $100K psychological level is breached again. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView
Bitcoin (BTC) has seen a moderate price correction since June 11, falling from around $111,000 to just above $104,000 at the time of writing. While rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East may be weighing on the asset, several analysts maintain that BTC’s long-term bullish trajectory remains intact. Bitcoin To Top At $205,000? In a recent CryptoQuant Quicktake post, contributor Carmelo Aleman pointed to the Bitcoin Yearly Percentage Trend as a signal of strong potential growth in BTC’s price through the rest of 2025. Related Reading: Bitcoin Sees Negative Funding On Binance – A Classic Setup For A Short Squeeze? For the uninitiated, the Bitcoin Yearly Percentage Trend tracks BTC’s annual price performance since 2011, revealing a recurring pattern of three bullish years followed by one year of consolidation. This trend aligns closely with Bitcoin’s four-year halving cycle, helping investors identify long-term market phases beyond short-term volatility. Aleman shared the following chart to support his outlook for 2025. If BTC maintains the growth pace typically seen in the third year of this cycle, it could climb 120% in 2025. Such a surge would take BTC from $93,226 at the beginning of the year to as high as $205,097 – potentially marking the cycle top for this year. If realized, this would make 2025 the third consecutive year of gains and complete another full bullish cycle. This scenario suggests that BTC is currently in the final phase of its ongoing cycle, giving investors limited time to adjust their strategies to align with the market’s growth trajectory. Supporting this outlook, other cyclical metrics – such as Realized Cap – continue to post new all-time highs in 2025. Aleman concluded: The Bitcoin Yearly Percentage Trend is a tool that allows us to filter out daily market noise and reconnect with Bitcoin’s true cyclical nature. It reminds us that beyond micro metrics and short-term candles, Bitcoin adheres to a structural rhythm that repeats with striking consistency: three years of expansion followed by one of compression. On-Chain Indicators Suggest More Upside Beyond the Yearly Percentage Trend, several on-chain metrics continue to support a bullish case for BTC. Notably, both whale and retail BTC inflows to Binance have dropped to cycle-lows – often a sign that investors are holding in anticipation of further gains. Related Reading: Bitcoin Following ABCD Pattern? Analyst Sees Path To $137,000 Whales also appear to be accumulating ahead of a potential breakout. According to CryptoQuant analyst Amr Taha, Bitcoin whales withdrew 4,500 BTC from Binance on June 16 – a move historically associated with price rallies. Still, caution remains warranted. On-chain data indicates that short-term holders have been selling into the recent dip, which could temporarily suppress price momentum. At press time, BTC trades at $104,079, down 1.6% over the past 24 hours. Featured image with Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant and TradingView.com
Bitcoin is navigating a highly volatile environment, as escalating Middle East conflicts and intensifying macroeconomic risks dominate global headlines. Despite mounting uncertainty, BTC continues to hold firm above the $104K level, signaling strong buyer interest at key support zones. Bulls remain in control for now, but hawkish macro conditions—such as elevated US Treasury yields, persistent inflation concerns, and geopolitical turmoil—pose serious risks that could drive BTC below the critical $100K mark. Related Reading: Ethereum Golden Cross Approaching – Will History Repeat? The market is divided on what comes next. Some analysts point to strong fundamentals and institutional adoption as fuel for a massive bull run, while others warn of a deeper correction before any upward continuation. Top analyst Darkfost emphasized the importance of monitoring on-chain behavior during such periods of uncertainty. According to CryptoQuant data, realized profits on Bitcoin (7-day moving average) show no major warning signs. Current profit-taking activity remains below $1 billion—similar to levels seen following the October 2024 correction—indicating that investors are neither panicking nor overly euphoric. This muted profit realization could be a sign that long-term holders are still confident in the broader trend, setting the stage for an eventual breakout once macro conditions stabilize. On-Chain Metrics Signal Calm Bitcoin Consolidates As the conflict between Israel and Iran escalates, fears of a broader war—and the possibility of US intervention—continue to weigh heavily on global markets. Investors remain on edge, with rising oil prices and weakening economic confidence feeding into macro uncertainty. Yet, Bitcoin seems largely unfazed. Despite the heightened geopolitical tension, BTC continues to consolidate just below its all-time high, showing resilience that has both bulls and bears second-guessing their next move. Fundamentally, Bitcoin remains strong. Institutional adoption is steadily increasing, and exchange supply continues to decline, reflecting a trend toward long-term holding and off-exchange accumulation. In many ways, BTC appears to thrive in this environment of volatility and uncertainty. According to on-chain data shared by Darkfost, realized profits on Bitcoin—measured by the 7-day moving average (7DMA)—show no major warning signs. Current profit levels remain under $1 billion, a range not seen since the end of the October 2024 correction. Even during the recent ATH surge, realized profits stayed well below the January 2025 peak. This lack of aggressive profit-taking suggests that most investors are still holding strong, neither panicking nor rushing to sell. That restrained behavior is playing a key role in Bitcoin’s ongoing consolidation. Without a wave of profit realization, there’s little pressure to force the market down—yet no catalyst strong enough to push it decisively higher either. Monitoring these on-chain signals will be critical in the coming days. If realized profits spike or exchange inflows surge, it may mark the beginning of a new phase. Related Reading: Bitcoin Holds Strong Despite Israel-Iran Tensions – Weekly Resistance Begins To Crack BTC Technical Analysis: Key Support Being Tested The 12-hour chart of Bitcoin (BTC/USD) shows the asset currently trading at $104,292, just above a crucial support level at $103,600. This area, which corresponds to the previous all-time high set in late 2024, has become a key battleground for bulls and bears. BTC has repeatedly bounced from this level in recent weeks, and its ability to hold could determine the direction of the next major move. BTC failed to break through the $109,300 resistance, forming a series of lower highs since tapping the $112,000 level. This suggests a weakening bullish momentum and highlights the importance of current price action around the 50-period SMA, which is now acting as short-term dynamic resistance. Volume has remained relatively stable but showed slight upticks during recent pullbacks, hinting at cautious selling rather than full-blown capitulation. The 100-period and 200-period SMAs, currently sitting at $104,065 and $94,617, respectively, offer additional support beneath the current range, with the 100-SMA now directly aligned with the horizontal $103,600 level. Related Reading: Ethereum Holds Key Range Support – Bulls Set Sights on Higher Levels If BTC breaks and closes below this demand zone with volume confirmation, it could trigger a move toward the $100K psychological support. Conversely, a strong bounce from here would reinforce the ongoing consolidation and keep the path open for another test of $109,300. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView
Bitcoin has weathered a wave of volatility in recent days, triggered by the escalating conflict between Israel and Iran. As geopolitical tensions rise and global markets grapple with uncertainty, risk assets like BTC have faced increased pressure. Yet despite this turbulent backdrop, Bitcoin has managed to maintain its footing above key support levels, demonstrating notable resilience. Related Reading: Ethereum Consolidation Continues – Altseason May Follow A Clean Break Above Resistance Currently trading just under its all-time high, Bitcoin is in a consolidation phase that many analysts view as the calm before a potential breakout. Top analyst Rekt Capital shared insights indicating that the final major Weekly resistance, which has previously capped price rallies, may now be weakening as a point of rejection. If confirmed, this shift could signal a critical turning point in the market structure and open the door to price discovery. Investors are watching closely as BTC holds strong while macro headwinds—including rising US Treasury yields and fears of energy disruptions—continue to swirl. With the broader market bracing for further developments in the Middle East, Bitcoin’s ability to maintain higher lows and approach resistance with momentum suggests that the bulls may soon reclaim full control. The coming days could prove pivotal for the next phase of BTC’s market cycle. Bitcoin Awaits Clarity As Middle East Tensions Shape Market Sentiment The conflict between Israel and Iran continues to dominate headlines and exert influence over global markets. As tensions escalate, investors remain cautious, closely monitoring geopolitical developments and their macroeconomic ripple effects. In this uncertain environment, Bitcoin has entered a consolidation phase, with neither bulls nor bears fully in control. The lack of a clear direction stems from diverging investor expectations. Optimistic market participants anticipate that a diplomatic resolution may be reached in the coming days or weeks. A peace deal could reduce market anxiety, drive oil prices lower, and reignite momentum across risk assets—Bitcoin included. On the other hand, more cautious investors fear that the situation could worsen. Prolonged conflict may spark volatility in the energy sector, push inflation higher, and strain economic stability, particularly in regions dependent on oil imports. This week may prove decisive for Bitcoin’s next major move. Price action remains tightly bound, but all eyes are on the long-standing Weekly resistance. According to Rekt Capital, the final major Weekly resistance—once a strong rejection point—now appears to be weakening. This shift in structure suggests that Bitcoin may be preparing for a breakout into price discovery territory, should macro conditions stabilize. Related Reading: Ethereum Holds Key Range Support – Bulls Set Sights on Higher Levels BTC Price Holds Above Key Support Amid Consolidation The 12-hour chart for Bitcoin shows that BTC continues to trade within a tight range, holding above the critical $103,600 support while struggling to break cleanly through the $109,300 resistance. This zone has repeatedly acted as a ceiling for price action since early May, with sellers stepping in around $109K and buyers defending dips near $104K. The recent bounce from just above the $103,600 level reflects ongoing buyer interest at that range, reinforced by the 100-day SMA (green), which is providing dynamic support. Meanwhile, the 50-day SMA (blue) is curling slightly upward, showing early signs of positive momentum, although the price has yet to clearly reclaim and hold above it. Volume remains moderate, indicating a lack of strong conviction on either side. For bulls to regain full control, BTC must push through the $109,300 resistance with sustained volume and hold that breakout level. A failure to do so may result in another rejection and a potential retest of the lower boundary near $103,600. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView
Bitcoin is trading just above the critical $104K level after enduring multiple days of selling pressure triggered by escalating tensions in the Middle East. The recent attacks between Israel and Iran have injected fresh volatility across financial markets, but BTC has shown notable resilience. Currently down about 5% from its all-time high of $112K, Bitcoin continues to trade within a broader consolidation range as macroeconomic uncertainty persists. Related Reading: Whales Dump Over 270 Million Cardano In One Week – Bearish Signal Or Shakeout? Despite the geopolitical instability and rising bond yields, Bitcoin’s structure remains bullish, with bulls defending key support zones. According to top analyst Ali Martinez, the $104,124 level is a crucial threshold to watch. He highlights that this level aligns with a strong cluster of Unspent Transaction Outputs (UTXOs) based on the Realized Price Distribution metric. This suggests a heavy concentration of buyers who acquired BTC at or near this range, potentially reinforcing it as a solid support base. Holding above this level could mark a turning point, paving the way for another push toward price discovery. However, a breakdown below this zone could trigger a deeper correction toward lower demand levels. For now, all eyes remain on Bitcoin’s reaction to this key level as global risks continue to evolve. Bitcoin Holds The Line Above $100K Amid Geopolitical Risks Bitcoin is showing notable resilience amid global turmoil, holding above the $100K mark despite rising uncertainty linked to escalating Middle East tensions. As the market heads into Monday, investors are bracing for potentially volatile sessions, depending on further developments between Israel and Iran. A sharp rise in oil prices could add additional macro pressure, making the start of the week a decisive moment for risk assets. BTC continues to trade within a consolidation range after falling 5% from its all-time high of $112K. Analysts widely agree that Bitcoin is in a transitional phase—either preparing for an explosive breakout into price discovery or setting the stage for a deeper retracement. Many believe that a confirmed breakout above $112K could trigger the next major leg higher, marking the beginning of a new expansion cycle for the entire crypto market. However, caution remains critical at current levels. Martinez pointed to key on-chain data from the UTXO Realized Price Distribution, identifying $104,124 as a pivotal support zone. This price level is where a large volume of BTC last moved, suggesting strong buyer interest. If BTC holds this level, it could form a solid base for continuation. But if it breaks down, the next area of interest lies around $97,405—potentially sparking broader fear across the market. In the coming days, Bitcoin’s response to geopolitical news and macroeconomic signals, particularly oil price movements and bond yield reactions, will be crucial. For now, the bulls remain in control, but the path forward demands close attention and calculated positioning. Related Reading: Ethereum Holds $2,500 Support – History Signals $4,000 As Potential Target BTC Price Analysis: Bulls Defend Key Support Bitcoin is currently trading at $105,502, showing signs of strength after defending the crucial $103,600 support level. This price zone has acted as a consistent floor over the past week and continues to be a key pivot for short-term market structure. After a steep drop from the $112K high, BTC bounced off this support with a strong wick on high volume, signaling buyer interest and a potential short-term bottom. The chart shows that Bitcoin is consolidating between $103,600 and $109,300, with the 50, 100, and 200-period SMAs converging just above the current price, indicating a decision point is near. A clear break above $106,800 could trigger momentum to test $109,300 again, while a failure to hold above $104,500 would expose BTC to downside risk. Related Reading: Solana Approaches Critical Support Amid Middle East Conflicts – Can Demand Hold? Volume remains relatively muted compared to the spike during the June 13 drop, suggesting that most of the panic selling has cooled for now. However, price remains below the 200 SMA, reinforcing that bulls must reclaim this zone to confirm continuation. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView
Bitcoin (BTC) is trying to reclaim a crucial area amid its recent price recovery, which could propel the flagship crypto toward new highs. Some analysts suggested that BTC is preparing for the “final resistance,” while others warned that it still risks a potential pullback to lower levels. Related Reading: Solana Triangle Formation Breakout Targets Rally To $164 – Is A Recovery Around The Corner? Bitcoin Rally Eyes Next Resistance Bitcoin has finally regained significant bullish momentum after printing a massive daily candle on Monday. The flagship crypto recently lost its post-all-time high (ATH) range of $106,800-$109,700, sparking concern among some investors. Amid the recent market pullbacks, which began in late May, the flagship crypto also registered some volatility, losing key levels as support and hitting a one-month low near the $100,000 level last week. However, BTC reclaimed the $105,000 mark over the weekend before surging above the $106,800 crucial resistance on Monday. Following this performance, analyst Rekt Capital stated that Bitcoin has successfully retested the $104,400 re-accumulation range high resistance as new support for four weeks. He highlighted that BTC was “rebounding from this new support base in an effort to transition into Price Discovery again.” Additionally, Bitcoin ended its two-week downtrend, recording a Daily Close around the $110,500 area. Per the analyst, BTC “has skipped through the $106,600-$109,443 Daily Range entirely,” and is “once again positioning itself like in late May for a retest” of the range’s high as support, which propelled the price to its ATH last month. A daily close above the $109,443 level would set up BTC for a revisit of the “final Daily resistance,” around the $111,723 mark, before a new ATH. The analyst also affirmed that reclaiming the “final weekly resistance” of $108,900 as support would also add to BTC’s momentum. BTC In A ‘Dangerous Area’? Analyst Crypto Jelle suggested that turning the $108,000 price area into support could send Bitcoin to the price discovery phase, potentially targeting the $120,000 mark. He noted that previous unsuccessful breakout attempts failed to reclaim this level, but that the cryptocurrency is currently holding this area. Based on a multi-month pattern, Jelle also reaffirmed its $140,000-$150,000 target for BTC’s cycle top. The analyst highlighted a major inverted Head and Shoulders pattern forming since the end of 2024. According to the post, the pattern is “nearing completion” after the recent price drop formed the right shoulder, while the neckline sits around the $111,000 mark. A breakout above this level could send Bitcoin to Jelle’s cycle top target. Related Reading: Ethereum Price Eyes 38% Jump To $3,500 As 50EMA Swims Into View Altcoin Sherpa considers that BTC’s chart “looks pretty good” in the high-time timeframes, suggesting that he will be “bullish until shown otherwise.” However, he warned that Bitcoin is “still in a dangerous area” as it could drop to lower levels if it doesn’t reclaim the $110,000 level. To Sherpa, “it’s logical to assume some sort of pullback is going to come in the red supply zone,” which sits between the key resistance line and its ATH level. Meanwhile, Ali Martinez highlighted on X that BTC’s most important support area sits between the $102,770 and $106,090 levels, where 2.21 million addresses bought 1.39 million BTC. As of this writing, Bitcoin trades at $109,995, a 3.6% increase in the weekly timeframe. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin has faced renewed volatility since late May, with the market retracing from recent highs and injecting a fresh dose of uncertainty across the board. While price action has cooled, BTC continues to hold above key levels that bulls are watching closely. The broader sentiment remains fragile, and many investors are on edge, unsure if this is a healthy pause or a setup for deeper downside. Related Reading: Solana Key Indicator Flashes Buy Signal On Daily Chart – Rally Ahead? Analysts are calling for a decisive move above the all-time high to confirm trend continuation, but so far, momentum remains limited. The risk of a further decline still hangs over the market, especially with macro headwinds unresolved and liquidity tight. Top analyst Daan shared a timely technical update, highlighting that both Bitcoin and Ethereum have tested their respective 4-hour 200MA and EMA and bounced. These moving averages are closely watched for short-term trend shifts. The fact that both assets respected them as support could be a subtle but important signal. Still, this bounce needs follow-through. Without a strong push higher, traders may lose conviction, and the window for reclaiming bullish momentum could narrow quickly in the days ahead. Bitcoin Outperforms But Market Risks Loom Bitcoin continues to trade in a tight range just below its all-time high, struggling to break out with conviction but showing clear resilience. Despite repeated attempts from bears, BTC has held above the critical $100,000 psychological level — a key sign of strength as many altcoins lag behind or lose momentum. While some traders remain cautious, Bitcoin’s relative outperformance is beginning to stand out, hinting at the possibility of a decisive move brewing beneath the surface. This strength, however, comes amid rising uncertainty in the broader macro environment. The US economy is entering a more fragile phase, with tightening credit conditions, stubborn inflation, and weakening labor data adding pressure. These developments raise the stakes for risk assets, including Bitcoin, which has historically thrived during expansionary periods but often struggles when liquidity tightens. Daan shared a critical technical update that could help map Bitcoin’s short- and mid-term direction. According to his analysis, both BTC and ETH recently tested their respective 4-hour 200 moving averages (MA) and exponential moving averages (EMA), and successfully bounced from those levels. These indicators are often seen as key dynamic supports during trend formation. If price continues to hold above them, bulls remain in control. But if these levels give way, momentum could flip quickly, opening the door to deeper retracements. For now, the structure still favors the bulls, but the margin for error is shrinking. With Bitcoin holding steady while macro conditions wobble, the next move could set the tone for the rest of the summer. Traders and long-term holders alike should keep an eye on how BTC reacts to these key support zones in the coming days. Related Reading: Ethereum Holds Key Range Support After Pullback – Bulls Eye $3,000 Level Bulls Reclaim Key Levels Bitcoin is showing signs of recovery after bouncing from the $103,600 support zone, as seen in the 4-hour chart. The recent drop to this level was met with strong buying interest, triggering a swift rebound. Price is now consolidating around $105,600, having reclaimed both the 200 EMA ($104,924) and the 200 SMA ($104,816), which had previously acted as dynamic resistance during the pullback. This reclaim is a notable technical development and suggests bulls are regaining short-term control. Volume spikes during the bounce add weight to the move, while shorter-term moving averages like the 34 EMA and 50 SMA are now sloping upward, further supporting the bullish case. Still, BTC must break decisively above $106,600 — a recent lower high — to confirm a shift in trend structure. Related Reading: Bitcoin Sees Largest Net Taker Volume Drop Of 2025 – Traders React To Trump-Elon Clash Above that, the $109,300 resistance stands as the final barrier before retesting all-time highs. On the downside, holding $103,600 remains critical. Losing that level would invalidate the current bounce and open the door to a deeper correction below $100,000. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView
Bitcoin is showing signs of recovery after a brief but sharp dip triggered by recent market turbulence linked to public tensions between Donald Trump and Elon Musk. The price of BTC had dropped to nearly $100,000 during the height of the reaction, but has since rebounded. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $104,891, marking a steady recovery from the 24-hour low. While the broader crypto market continues to digest the fallout, new data suggests that another force, miner activity, is beginning to shape the near-term outlook. Related Reading: Bitcoin Pullback or Setup? On-Chain Metrics Hint at What’s Coming Next Bitcoin Surge in Miner Inflows Could Pressure Price Action According to on-chain analytics published by CryptoQuant contributor CryptoOnchain, Bitcoin miners have dramatically increased the volume of BTC transferred to exchanges. Between May 19 and May 28, miner-to-exchange inflows exceeded $1 billion per day, levels not seen in previous market cycles. These inflows are often viewed as a proxy for miners’ intent to sell, which could influence short-term supply dynamics and introduce added volatility to BTC’s spot market performance. The rise in realized inflows from miners to exchanges is interpreted as a sign of growing sell-side pressure. Since miners are key liquidity providers in the Bitcoin ecosystem, large-scale transfers to exchanges are typically seen as preparations to offload BTC. Historically, spikes in miner outflows have preceded periods of downward price pressure, particularly when they occur alongside fragile market conditions. CryptoOnchain emphasizes that while miner selling isn’t inherently negative, it can impact short-term price stability. As a result, traders and investors often monitor these flows to better assess potential risks. When miner inflows surge, it reflects the sector’s sentiment regarding profitability, operational stress, or anticipated price changes. CryptoOnchain noted: Paying close attention to these inflows—especially during historical peaks like the current phase—can help with risk management and more informed trading decisions. Hash Ribbon Signal Suggests Longer-Term Opportunity Amid rising sell pressure, another indicator is flashing a potential opportunity. CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost noted that Bitcoin’s Hash Ribbons indicator, a metric derived from comparing 30-day and 60-day moving averages of network hashrate, has recently produced a new buy signal. This metric is used to evaluate miner stress and recovery phases, and is generally interpreted as a signal that miners have gone through a period of capitulation and are now stabilizing or recovering. This signal has historically aligned with favorable long-term entry points, except in unique events like China’s 2021 mining ban. While the short-term effects of mining stress may contribute to price weakness, analysts suggest that these periods often set the stage for longer-term rallies. When miner capitulation resolves, it can clear excess supply from the market and establish stronger support levels. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
Bitcoin has continued to show strength amid rising macroeconomic uncertainty, with surging U.S. bond yields and escalating global tensions keeping markets on edge. However, recent political drama has injected new volatility into the crypto space. The world’s leading cryptocurrency experienced a sharp 5% pullback after a highly publicized clash between Elon Musk and US President Donald Trump unfolded on the social platform X. The dispute, centered around the “Big Beautiful Bill” criticized by Musk, quickly triggered reactions across financial markets. Related Reading: Solana Horizontal Support Under Pressure – Bearish Target At $142 According to top analyst Darkfost, last night marked the most significant shift in trader behavior on Binance so far in 2025. As the political spat gained attention, traders responded rapidly, viewing the event as a risk-off signal. The fallout was immediate in the derivatives market, where Binance’s net taker volume plunged from $20 million to -$135 million in under eight hours. This dramatic shift marks the largest net taker volume decline of the year, highlighting just how sensitive crypto traders remain to political developments. While Bitcoin holds key levels for now, market participants are watching closely to see if this pullback will deepen or become a launchpad for the next move higher. Bitcoin Rebounds From $100K Support But Faces Resistance Ahead Bitcoin is once again at a pivotal point after rebounding from the $100,000 support level and climbing to the $103,000 range, showing resilience despite recent volatility. The move signals strength among bulls, but the broader market remains cautious as all eyes turn to the $112,000 all-time high. A breakout above that level could ignite a new leg up, but failure to maintain momentum may lead to a deeper correction below current demand levels. Macroeconomic conditions continue to weigh on market sentiment, with rising US bond yields and escalating geopolitical tensions—particularly the public clash between Elon Musk and US President Donald Trump—injecting uncertainty into global risk assets. The reaction was clearly visible in the crypto derivatives market. Top analyst Darkfost reported that the net taker volume on Binance experienced a record shift, plunging from $20 million to -$135 million in under eight hours. This marks the largest decline in directional sentiment seen in 2025. The net taker volume reflects the imbalance between aggressive longs and shorts, and such a steep drop points to traders rapidly flipping bearish. This sharp reversal indicates fear-driven positioning. However, should Bitcoin rebound convincingly, it could trigger a cascade of short liquidations, potentially fueling a strong rally toward new highs. Related Reading: Ethereum Mirrors Bitcoin 2020 Breakout Setup – Historic Run Incoming? Price Action Details: Testing Key Level The 4-hour Bitcoin chart shows a strong rebound after briefly breaking below the $103,600 support level. BTC dipped as low as $101,159 before buyers stepped in aggressively, driving the price back to $103,826 at the time of writing. This bounce came precisely at the 200-period moving average (red line), signaling that bulls are still defending key demand zones despite recent volatility. The recovery candle printed with rising volume, suggesting renewed interest and a potential short-term trend reversal. However, Bitcoin still faces critical resistance ahead, with the 50, 100, and 200 EMAs (green, blue, purple lines) now acting as dynamic resistance between $104,600 and $107,000. A close above these levels would confirm strength and could open the door for a retest of the $109,300 resistance. Related Reading: Solana Analyst Sets $300 Target – Can Bulls Sustain A Rally? For now, the price action indicates a high-stakes battle between bulls and bears. If BTC holds above $103,600 and builds momentum, the market could regain confidence and push higher. However, failure to reclaim the moving averages may signal exhaustion and expose the price to another retest of the $100K psychological level. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView