As Bitcoin (BTC) attempts to turn the $110,000 resistance into support, some analysts believe its price discovery rally has just started, forecasting new highs for the flagship crypto. Related Reading: Avalanche Slides Off The Edge – What Comes After The 4H Trendline Snap? Bitcoin Starts Second Price Discovery Uptrend Last week, Bitcoin’s momentum propelled its price to its new all-time high (ATH) of $111,814 before retracing to its current range. Over the weekend, Bitcoin confirmed its breakout into its second Price Discovery Uptrend, following its successful retest of the $104,500 mark as support. The cryptocurrency has been in a significant market recovery for over a month, rallying nearly 50% from April lows. Analyst Rekt Capital noted that BTC ended its downside deviation period and positioned itself for a retest of its key re-accumulation range during early May’s surge, which was successfully reclaimed and surpassed. The analyst considers that its new Price Discovery Uptrend has “only just begun,” as Bitcoin starts Week 2 of this phase. Rekt Capital highlighted that this cycle has been “a story of Re-Accumulation Ranges,” which signals that a new range will likely form after this Price Discovery. Meanwhile, history suggests a second Price Discovery Correction is ahead as Bitcoin transitions into its new Price Discovery Uptrend. During its future correction, BTC will likely retrace between 25%-35% “to produce yet another Downside Deviation below the Re-Accumulation Range Low (future orange circle) before resuming upside into a likely Price Discovery Uptrend 3.” In the meantime, “All Bitcoin needs to do is hold above the Re-accumulation Range High of $104,500” to continue its price discovery rally. $110,000 Breakout Next? Notably, the flagship crypto has been retesting the range high as support over the past two weeks, confirming the breakout. As such, dipping into the previous $92,000-$104,500 range’s upper zone could happen as “part of normal volatility.” Moreover, it turned another key resistance, the $102,500 mark, into support during this period, which it had previously been rejected from in January 2025. With these levels as support, Rekt Capital considers that only the December 2024 and January 2025 upwicks, at $108,353 and $109,588, stand in the way of additional Price Discovery. Trader Daan Crypto Trades noted that Bitcoin is “still strong but fighting around its previous all-time high from earlier this year.” He pointed out that price action looks “very choppy” in the lower timeframes, but it shouldn’t be concerning for investors if the price remains within its current range. Related Reading: XRP ETF At 83% Approval Odds—Is The SEC Losing Grip? Analyst MacroCRG affirmed that Bitcoin must officially reclaim the $110,000 level to continue its rally, as it marks the previous ATH and the Value Area High (VAH) from last week. “Acceptance above and we likely squeeze straight into price discovery again,” CRG stated. Currently, Bitcoin is retesting its Weekly opening of $109,004 as support, which could set the stage for a breakout above the $110,000 mark if held. Meanwhile, rejection from this area could send BTC price to the $106,000-$108,000 area. As of this writing, Bitcoin trades at $109,181, a 1.4% increase in the daily timeframe. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin’s momentum, which pushed the asset to a fresh all-time high of over $111,000 earlier this week, appears to have paused slightly heading into the weekend. As of the time of writing, BTC is trading at $108,499, marking a 2.5% decline over the past 24 hours. Despite this short-term retracement, the overall market trend remains positive. Bitcoin has held most of its recent gains and remains just below its record peak set yesterday. The recent price action has coincided with an increase in on-chain signals, suggesting that large players are returning to the market. Notably, analysts are closely monitoring activity from major crypto exchanges like Binance, which have historically played a significant role in price discovery and market direction. Related Reading: Bitcoin Smashes Past $111K, But Are Traders About to Dump? Bitcoin Whale Activity on Binance Sparks Volatility Watch A recent analysis by CryptoQuant contributor Crazzyblockk highlighted a surge in whale activity on Binance. In his QuickTake post titled “Binance Whale Activity Spikes — Eyes on the Market,” the analyst pointed out that the Binance Whale Activity Score has seen a sharp rise. This metric, which measures inflow and outflow behavior of the top 10 whale wallets on Binance, indicates that large holders are actively repositioning. These movements can be early indicators of upcoming volatility and directional shifts in the market. The analyst explained that inflow spikes from whales may point to potential distribution or strategic selling, while outflow surges often signal accumulation or redeployment of capital to other platforms. The significance of these whale movements lies in their historical tendency to precede major price developments. According to Crazzyblockk, Binance remains a central venue for price formation, making it critical to observe whale patterns there. He concluded that these inflow-outflow fluctuations could introduce higher liquidity and possibly increased volatility in the short term. Spot Market Data Points to Renewed Buyer Interest Complementing these observations is a report from another CryptoQuant analyst, Ibrahimcosar, who identified a positive shift in spot market behavior. According to the analyst, the Spot Taker CVD (Cumulative Volume Delta) over the past 90 days has turned green again. This metric reflects the difference between taker buy and taker sell volumes and serves as a proxy for real-time demand. A green phase indicates that market buy orders have become dominant, suggesting that buyers are regaining control. The analyst noted that in previous months, the same chart showed mostly red values, indicating a prevalence of sell orders and downward price pressure. The recent transition back into green territory may suggest the emergence of new demand as Bitcoin challenges its previous highs. Related Reading: Bitcoin From Pizza Day Era Still On The Move, Glassnode Reveals With price levels remaining elevated, the presence of buying pressure is interpreted as a potentially bullish signal. While cautious sentiment remains, these dynamics hint at the possibility of further upward movement if momentum continues to build in the days ahead. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
Bitcoin is trading less than 2.5% below its all-time high near $112,000, signaling growing momentum and the potential start of a new impulsive phase in price discovery. After weeks of steady gains and strong consolidation above the $100K level, BTC appears ready to break higher and extend its macro uptrend. The market is watching closely, as a clean move above $112K could trigger a wave of bullish continuation and renewed institutional interest. Related Reading: Bitcoin Liquidity Builds At $105K Level – Sweep Before New Highs? On-chain insights from CryptoQuant add important context to this moment. Specifically, the analysis of UTXOs—Unspent Transaction Outputs—provides a deeper understanding of the state of unrealized profits across the network. UTXOs are the core technical structure that ensures a single bitcoin can only be spent once. But beyond that, they offer critical insight into the profitability of held coins. Currently, the market is nearing the 99% threshold, meaning 99% of all BTC holdings are in profit. This level historically aligns with periods of market euphoria and strong uptrend, but can also signal potential overheating if sustained too long. As Bitcoin inches toward new highs, this metric reinforces the strength of the rally while reminding investors that such high profitability often comes with increased volatility. Bitcoin Thrives In Volatile Times As Market Nears 99% Profit Threshold Bitcoin is showing remarkable strength as it flirts with new highs this week, trading just below $112,000. While global markets react to rising U.S. Treasury yields and persistent inflation, Bitcoin appears to be thriving in the chaos, solidifying its role as both a risk asset and a macro hedge. As traditional markets face pressure, BTC continues to lead with resilience, even as geopolitical and policy-related uncertainty clouds investor sentiment. Top analyst Darkfost shared fresh insights on Bitcoin’s on-chain condition, focusing on the utility of UTXOs (Unspent Transaction Outputs). UTXOs are the technical mechanism that ensures a single BTC can only be spent once on the blockchain. But beyond that, they serve as a powerful tool for assessing unrealized profits across all held BTC. One key metric derived from UTXOs is the percentage of BTC supply in profit. Currently, Bitcoin is approaching the critical 99% threshold, meaning nearly all coins are in unrealized gain territory. Historically, this level is associated with periods of market euphoria and sustained uptrends, but it also comes with a warning: elevated unrealized profits often precede spikes in profit-taking. While BTC’s structure remains bullish, macro uncertainty—especially around the Trump administration’s policy direction—keeps risk-on conviction muted. As Darkfost notes, “We’re not fully euphoric yet, but we’re entering a zone where late buyers should be cautious.” If the 99% profit signal drops, it may trigger a wave of selling as gains shrink and weaker hands capitulate. For now, though, Bitcoin remains strong, and the uptrend is intact. The market is watching closely because in times like these, BTC tends to move first. Related Reading: Bitcoin Profit-Taking Remains Healthy – Data Shows No Signs Of Overheating BTC Holds Steady Near Highs As Momentum Builds Bitcoin is currently trading at $109,679 on the 4-hour chart, consolidating just below its all-time high after reclaiming short-term support. The price recently bounced off the 100 SMA ($105,586) and is now hovering above the 34 EMA ($108,280), signaling continued bullish momentum. All key moving averages are aligned to the upside, reflecting a strong and healthy trend. Volume has remained relatively stable during the pullback and recovery, suggesting no major distribution phase is underway. The 50 SMA ($107,679) also acted as dynamic support during the recent dip, reinforcing the strength of the $107K–$108K zone. The $103,600 level, previously a major resistance, continues to serve as solid structural support. As long as BTC remains above this zone, the broader uptrend remains intact. Short-term resistance now sits near the $110,200–$112,000 range. A breakout above this level would likely trigger the next leg higher, potentially toward the $120,000 mark. Related Reading: Bitcoin Pulls Back To Daily EMA 8 – Can Bulls Hold Momentum? With Bitcoin holding above key EMAs and moving averages on the 4-hour timeframe, bulls remain in control. If price continues to build above $108K, the likelihood of retesting and surpassing all-time highs grows significantly in the coming sessions. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView
Bitcoin finally broke through its all-time highs this week, reaching $112,000 and holding firm above the key psychological level of $100,000. After weeks of steady momentum and bullish consolidation, the breakout marks a major shift in market structure, confirming that bulls are now in full control. The move has reignited optimism across the market, with sentiment turning decisively positive as BTC enters price discovery once again. Related Reading: Tron Bulls Regain Control – On-Chain Data Shows Fresh Buying Pressure The breakout wasn’t just technical—it was backed by strong positioning across derivatives markets. According to data from Coinglass, Bitcoin’s weekly liquidation heatmap reveals a dense cluster of liquidity around the $105,700 level. This area could act as a magnet in the short term, with some traders expecting a brief sweep into that zone before BTC resumes its upward trajectory. This environment now favors bulls, with both technical levels and on-chain data aligning to support further upside. As long as Bitcoin continues to close above $100K and dips remain shallow, the path of least resistance appears to be higher. With liquidity, momentum, and macro sentiment aligning, the coming weeks could be critical as BTC sets the tone for the rest of the market—and potentially the start of a full-blown bullish phase. Bitcoin Remains Strong Amid Tight Conditions Bitcoin posted another bullish week, reaching a new all-time high of $112,000 before pulling back slightly to hold above the key $100,000 level. Despite the strength, market sentiment has yet to flip fully euphoric. A cautiously bullish tone dominates as macroeconomic conditions remain tight, with high US Treasury yields and growing instability in global trade continuing to weigh on risk assets. Unlike many altcoins, which are still trading well below their previous cycle highs, Bitcoin appears to be thriving in this high-stress environment. Its resilience is being closely watched, as capital continues to favor BTC over smaller, more volatile assets. This relative strength reinforces Bitcoin’s status as a macro hedge, especially in uncertain economic conditions. Top analyst Ted Pillows added to the discussion by highlighting data from Coinglass, which shows significant liquidity sitting around the $105,700 level on the BTC weekly liquidation heatmap. According to Pillows, this cluster could serve as a short-term magnet, suggesting that a quick sweep of that zone may occur before Bitcoin resumes its upward move. “Liquidity at $105K is thick. A dip into that area could clear out late longs before the next leg higher,” he noted. With Bitcoin holding key levels and sentiment remaining grounded, the setup is favorable for continuation, but not without potential volatility. If BTC can defend the $100K–$105K range and reclaim $110K, the next push toward new highs may arrive sooner than expected. For now, bulls remain in control, but traders are staying alert as global markets remain on edge. Related Reading: Bitcoin Pulls Back To Daily EMA 8 – Can Bulls Hold Momentum? BTC Holds Above Key Averages Bitcoin is trading at $108,249 on the 4-hour chart after a strong push to $112,000 earlier in the week. The chart shows BTC currently consolidating above a confluence of key moving averages, including the 34 EMA ($108,046), 50 SMA ($106,840), and 100 SMA ($105,109), all of which are trending upward. These levels now serve as dynamic support zones, keeping the short-term structure bullish as long as price remains above them. Despite the rejection near $112K, BTC has avoided any aggressive selloff and continues to respect the mid-range levels of its recent breakout. The $103,600 level, marked in yellow, is a key horizontal support and previously acted as a resistance ceiling. It now provides a strong base if any deeper correction occurs. Volume has declined during this pullback phase, indicating that the selling pressure is likely corrective rather than the start of a trend reversal. If bulls can maintain control above $106K and reclaim momentum above $110K, a retest of the recent highs is likely. Related Reading: Ethereum Climbs Back To $2,700 – Bulls Ready For A Breakout? For now, the 4-hour trend remains intact. All eyes are on whether Bitcoin can hold above the clustered support and continue building a base for the next leg higher. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView
Bitcoin is wrapping up the week with strength, trading above the $105,000 mark after a sharp rally that pushed prices to a new all-time high near $112,000. The move reignited bullish momentum across the market, with traders and analysts now turning their focus to what could be the next phase of this cycle. Related Reading: Tron Bulls Regain Control – On-Chain Data Shows Fresh Buying Pressure Despite the aggressive push higher, on-chain data suggests the market remains healthy. Top analyst Darkfost highlighted that net realized profits are still within normal levels for a bull run. According to his analysis, profit-taking is not a sign of weakness—it’s a necessary part of market structure during uptrends. “This is what keeps investors engaged and prevents parabolic exhaustion,” he noted. The recent price action points to a potential shift in market dynamics, as Bitcoin breaks out of its post-halving consolidation phase. With weekly support forming above $105K and realized profit metrics staying in check, bulls are eyeing higher levels. If this momentum holds, the $112K rejection may only be a short-term hurdle. As always, volatility remains in play—but this week’s close sends a strong signal: the bull market structure is still intact. Bitcoin Has Room To Grow As It Prepares For Historic Weekly Close Bitcoin is on track to record its highest weekly close in history, signaling growing strength as it prepares for what many believe could be the next major bullish phase. After surging to a new all-time high near $112,000 earlier this week, BTC is now stabilizing above the $105,000 level—positioning itself above key short-term support going into next week. Still, while price action paints a bullish picture, macroeconomic conditions continue to pose risks. High interest rates, tightening financial conditions, and broader market uncertainty remain major factors. Investors are cautiously optimistic, but volatility could quickly return if global risk sentiment deteriorates. On-chain data offers a more grounded view of the current cycle. According to Darkfost, CryptoQuant data shows that realized profits currently stand at 104,000 BTC, or around $11 billion. While that number may seem large, it’s still well below the historical danger zone of 350,000 BTC—a level that typically signals euphoric conditions or overheating. This suggests the market remains in a healthy profit-taking zone. “Profit-taking is not a red flag during a bull market,” Darkfost noted. “It’s necessary. It helps maintain momentum and keeps participants engaged.” The coming week will be critical. A confirmed weekly close above $105K could solidify this level as new support and set the stage for further upside. But if bulls fail to hold ground, the rally risks losing steam. For now, Bitcoin appears strong, but the market is entering a zone where conviction will be tested. Related Reading: Bitcoin Pulls Back To Daily EMA 8 – Can Bulls Hold Momentum? BTC Holds Key Support After Rejection From New ATH Bitcoin is currently trading around $107,750 after a volatile week that saw prices hit a new all-time high near $112,000. The daily chart shows BTC pulling back from overbought conditions but holding firmly above the 34-day EMA at $100,886—a level that has consistently acted as dynamic support during this uptrend. Price remains well above the 50, 100, and 200-day SMAs, confirming a strong bullish structure. The key horizontal support at $103,600—now reclaimed—is another crucial zone. This level previously acted as a resistance ceiling during the March-April range and now serves as a potential launchpad if BTC consolidates above it. Volume appears to be declining slightly on the pullback, which may suggest this is a healthy retrace rather than a reversal. As long as Bitcoin maintains above the $103,600–$105,000 zone, bulls remain in control. A deeper correction would find initial support around the 34 EMA and then the 100 SMA near $91,000. Related Reading: Ethereum Holds Above Key Prices – Data Points To $2,900 Level As Bullish Trigger For now, the bullish trend remains intact. However, rejection at $112K and slowing momentum call for caution. A weekly close above $105K would confirm strength, while a break below $103K could trigger short-term weakness. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView
Bitcoin surged past its previous all-time highs this week, reaching $112,000 on Thursday after breaking through resistance on Wednesday. The move marked a historic moment for the market, solidifying bullish momentum and pushing BTC into a new price discovery phase. However, the excitement was short-lived. Following comments from US President Donald Trump, who threatened to impose a 50% tariff on European Union imports, global markets turned cautious, causing a broad risk-off sentiment that sent Bitcoin prices lower. Related Reading: Ethereum Holds Above Key Prices – Data Points To $2,900 Level As Bullish Trigger The sell-off came swiftly, pulling BTC back below local highs as investors reacted to rising geopolitical and economic uncertainty. While this retracement is not unusual after such a strong rally, it underscores the sensitivity of crypto markets to macro headlines. Top analyst Big Cheds shared a technical perspective, noting that Bitcoin has now returned to the daily EMA 8. Holding this moving average could signal that bulls remain in control and that this pullback is simply part of a healthy consolidation. Bitcoin Steady As Market Uncertainty Grows Bitcoin continues to show resilience in the face of persistent macroeconomic uncertainty. As US Treasury yields remain elevated and volatility sweeps across global stock markets, BTC has managed to hold strong after recently pushing into new all-time highs. While many risk assets falter under these conditions, Bitcoin is proving its narrative as a macro hedge, attracting interest from institutional and retail investors alike. However, despite its recent breakout to $112,000, the rally has not yet been confirmed as a sustainable bullish phase. Analysts widely agree that a clean break above $115,000 is essential to trigger the next leg of price discovery. Without that confirmation, the current move could be seen as an overextension, especially amid broader market instability. Cheds shared a key technical insight this week, noting that Bitcoin is now back at the daily EMA 8 level—a moving average that has acted as reliable support since the $80K range. This suggests that the current pullback could be a healthy retest of trend support rather than the start of a deeper correction. If BTC manages to bounce from this level, bullish momentum could resume quickly. But if the EMA 8 fails, downside risk may increase, especially if traditional markets continue to slide. For now, all eyes remain on how Bitcoin reacts at this technical crossroads. Related Reading: Ethereum Climbs Back To $2,700 – Bulls Ready For A Breakout? BTC Retests Key Level As Uptrend Pauses Bitcoin is currently retesting key technical levels following its sharp rally to a new all-time high near $112,000. As shown in the 4-hour chart, BTC has pulled back to the 34-period EMA (currently around $107,800), a level that has served as reliable dynamic support during this uptrend. The latest candle action shows buyers stepping in slightly above this area, suggesting it’s still holding. Price is also hovering just above the 50-SMA at $106,273, reinforcing this zone as a confluence of support. Volume has picked up slightly on the pullback, which could indicate healthy profit-taking rather than panic selling if this level holds, a continuation toward the previous high, and potentially a push above $112K remains on the table. Related Reading: Ethereum Consolidates Above $2,500 While BTC Leads the Charge – Key Levels To Watch However, if the support fails and BTC dips below $106K, eyes will shift toward the next major horizontal support at $103,600. A drop to this region would still be technically valid within the broader uptrend but could shake short-term bullish momentum. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView
Yesterday, Bitcoin (BTC) made a fresh all-time high (ATH) of $111,880 on Binance crypto exchange following months of downward action during the first quarter of the year. The leading cryptocurrency has rebounded over 45% from its April 6 low of approximately $76,000, and recent whale behavior suggests that long-term holders see further upside potential. Bitcoin ATH Sees Mixed Reaction From Whales According to a recent CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Crazzyblockk, new whales – wallets that have held substantial BTC amounts for less than 30 days – have been aggressively taking profits during the current price rally, contributing to increased selling pressure. Related Reading: Bitcoin Retail Demand Rises 3.4% As Small Investors Return To The Market – New ATH Soon? In contrast, old whales – wallets holding significant BTC for over six months – have shown minimal selling activity. This indicates long-term confidence in Bitcoin and expectations of continued price appreciation. Meanwhile, whales active between 7 to 30 days ago have engaged in moderate profit-taking, suggesting cautious participation in the ongoing rally. While the restrained activity from old whales is a positive signal, some indicators point to caution regarding the rally’s sustainability. For example, the Net Realized Profit/Loss (NRPL) during the current price surge is significantly lower than levels observed during previous 2024-2025 market tops. This indicates weaker overall profit-taking momentum among investors. For the uninitiated, NRPL measures the net profit or loss investors are locking in when they sell their Bitcoin, based on the price difference between acquisition and sale. A high NRPL indicates strong profit-taking behavior, while a low or negative NRPL suggests reduced enthusiasm or capitulation. Is The Market Headed Further Up? Although a low NRPL may imply that the market is not yet euphoric – a potentially healthy sign – it also raises concerns about the strength and sustainability of the ongoing rally. These dynamics could influence BTC’s price trajectory across different timeframes. Related Reading: Buy Bitcoin, Ditch The Banks Before It’s Too Late—Kiyosaki In the short-term, continued profit-taking by new whales may trigger a price correction to neutralize overheated market conditions. A drop in price could send BTC back to the $100,000-$105,000 support zone. In contrast, in the mid-term, the ongoing inactivity of old whales coupled with low NRPL levels could support a bullish continuation after a consolidation phase. Investors may view pullbacks as opportunities to accumulate more BTC. To conclude, while a short-term price correction remains possible, the mid-term outlook for Bitcoin is largely optimistic – assuming old whales maintain their positions and NRPL remains low. This aligns with recent on-chain analyses showing that many new BTC investors are sitting on solid unrealized gains and are not showing signs of panic selling, despite Bitcoin trading close to ATHs. At press time, BTC trades at $111,500, up 4.2% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant and TradingView.com
Bitcoin (BTC) has hit a new all-time high (ATH) after a 4% daily breakout above the $109,000 mark. As the flagship crypto nears the next barrier, some analysts suggest that this cycle’s top isn’t in yet. Related Reading: SUI Preparing For Another Leg Up – Is $5 The Next Target? Bitcoin Hits New All-Time High On Wednesday, Bitcoin hit a new ATH of $109,800 after breaking out of the $107,000 short-term resistance, eyeing the $110,000 barrier as its next target. The cryptocurrency has significantly recovered over the last seven weeks, surging around 47% from its five-month low of $74,000 toward its current levels. Amid its May rally, BTC couldn’t break the crucial $106,000 resistance, trading between the $102,000-$105,000 range for nearly two weeks. However, its consolidation ended over the weekend as Bitcoin Weekly Closed above this barrier for the first time in history. Since reclaiming this crucial level on Monday, Analyst Ali Martinez pointed out that the flagship crypto appeared to be forming an ascending triangle pattern in the lower timeframes, which suggested a rally toward the $115,000 level once the price broke above the $107,000 mark. In the early hours of Wednesday, BTC’s bullish breakout saw it retest the $108,000 barrier, facing rejection toward the $106,000 support before bouncing and smashing this barrier and rallying toward its new ATH. Rekt Capital affirmed that the Second Price Discovery Uptrend is ahead for the cryptocurrency, as its First Price Discovery Correction is finally over. The analyst previously highlighted that Bitcoin would rally to a new ATH after Weekly Closing above its re-accumulation range and post-breakout retest. BTC Preparing For Another 20%-30% Jump? Analyst crypto Jelle suggested that BTC’s news target is around the $140,000 mark, pointing to a Power of Three (PO3) setup on Bitcoin’s chart. The pattern divides the price action into three phases: accumulation, manipulation, and distribution. In the first phase, a consolidation near the recent high occurs after a strong price performance. This is followed by a token’s price falling below the accumulation phase’s support level in the second phase, trading within a range below the recently lost zone. Lastly, the distribution phase consists of a strong price breakout, with momentum building and participants entering the market. Based on this setup, the flagship crypto started the accumulation phase during the Q4 2024 rally, entering the next phase during the March-April retraces. Amid its late April-May rally, Bitcoin has arrived at the setup’s final phase, with the analyst forecasting $140,000 as the next target after breaking above the $108,500 mark. Related Reading: Solana Rejected From Key ‘Inflection Point’, But Multi-Year Trend Suggests New Highs Similarly, Sjuul from AltCryptoGems highlighted the same Po3 pattern on BTC’s chart, affirming that investors could expect a “strong expansion” toward the $125,000-$130,000 levels after breaking out of its previous ATH levels. He previously pointed out that “BTC is clearly repeating the summer 2021 price action and trading in a perfectly bullish structure on high time frame,” which could suggest that the cycle’s top isn’t in yet. As of this writing, Bitcoin trades 1.8% below its new ATH, at $107,502. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin is facing growing risks of a pullback as bullish momentum begins to fade near key resistance. After weeks of impressive gains, BTC is now consolidating in a tight range just below its all-time high, with buyers struggling to push the price into price discovery. This ongoing indecision has raised concerns among traders and analysts, who are closely watching for signs of either a breakout or a deeper retracement. Related Reading: Ethereum Multi-Year Consolidation Could Spark A Parabolic Move – Details Crypto analyst Daan offered a broader perspective on the situation, noting that Bitcoin initially surged in response to the recent tariff-related tensions, significantly outperforming equities in the process. However, as trade uncertainty began to ease and traditional markets regained momentum, Bitcoin lost steam and failed to follow through. While stocks continued their uptrend, BTC stalled—an unusual divergence that suggests caution may be creeping back into the crypto space. With the price now hovering around the $103K mark and key resistance near $105K remaining untouched, bulls must act decisively to reclaim control. A failure to do so could trigger a larger correction, especially if macro conditions shift or equity markets show renewed weakness. For now, all eyes are on the range — and which side breaks first. Bitcoin Bulls Eye Breakout But Caution Grows Near Resistance Bitcoin is just 5% away from its all-time high of around $109,000, trading near $103K as bulls attempt to reclaim momentum. After weeks of strong upward movement and consolidation above key levels, many analysts believe BTC is preparing for a decisive breakout. If price can clear the $105K resistance, it could trigger a new leg into price discovery and signal the start of a powerful bull phase. However, selling pressure at current levels remains strong. Bitcoin has struggled to break higher, and some traders see this consolidation as a sign of potential exhaustion. Daan offered insights on the recent behavior, noting that BTC surged sharply following the tariff-related macro drama, outperforming equities in the process. Yet, as some trade uncertainty faded, stocks kept climbing while BTC stalled near resistance. Daan considers $90K his “line in the sand” for long-term spot exposure. If Bitcoin were to drop below that mark, it would suggest a structural breakdown that hasn’t occurred during this cycle. For now, he remains cautiously bullish while BTC stays above that level, but admits the risk-reward was more attractive when BTC was 20–30% cheaper. He also warns that if equities correct after their aggressive rallies—many stocks have surged 30–50% in a single month—it could drag Bitcoin lower in a short-term flush. With BTC showing relative weakness near resistance, the next move will be critical for confirming either continued upside or the start of a broader pullback. Related Reading: Dogecoin Whales Accumulate 1 Billion DOGE In A Month: Fueling Price Surge Speculation Tight 4H Range Signals Imminent Price Breakout The 4-hour chart shows Bitcoin consolidating tightly between $105,700 resistance and $100,700 support, creating a narrow range that suggests a strong move is imminent. Price has been ranging sideways for several days, with multiple failed breakout attempts above $103,600. This level continues to act as a key barrier for bulls. Notably, Bitcoin remains above both the 200 EMA ($96,121) and the 200 SMA ($94,622), reinforcing the medium-term bullish structure. Momentum is neutral in the short term, as shown by the indecisive price action and declining volume. However, the trend remains intact as long as BTC holds above $100,000 — the psychological and technical line in the sand. If price breaks above $103,600 with volume, it could trigger a move toward the $105,000–$109,000 range and initiate a push into price discovery. On the other hand, failure to hold this support zone could open the door for a quick flush to retest the $98,000–$96,000 area, where the moving averages align. Related Reading: Solana Sees Renewed Demand As Capital Flows Turn Positive – Details Traders should watch for a clear breakout or breakdown, especially as moving averages and prior highs converge. This tight setup rarely lasts long, and a decisive move could define Bitcoin’s trend for the rest of the month. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView
After jumping by 10% over the past week, Bitcoin (BTC) has hit a crucial resistance level, which could push or momentarily halt the flagship crypto’s rally toward a new all-time high (ATH). Related Reading: Bitcoin Stays Resilient While Wall Street Stumbles – Details Bitcoin Hits Key Level Bitcoin recently jumped above the $100,000 barrier for the first time since February. During its significant weekly performance, BTC has surged over 10% to hit a three-month high of $105,500 on Monday, fueling investors’ sentiment regarding a new ATH rally. On Monday, Analyst Rekt Capital highlighted that the flagship crypto rallied across the entire re-accumulation range, concluding its downside deviation and the first price discovery correction. After surging to its range high of $104,500, Bitcoin has faced rejection from this key level, momentarily pausing its rally. He pointed out that Bitcoin already had its first Price Discovery Uptrend and Price Discovery Correction. The cryptocurrency is now attempting to confirm its second Price Discovery Uptrend, but needs to reclaim the $104,500 level as support to confirm this phase. As the analyst explained, this level is currently acting as resistance after it closed the week at $104,118, just below the range high. He added that “technically BTC can try to confirm an uptrend beyond this point by Daily Closing above $104.5k and then holding it as support, so it will be worth watching for this lower timeframe confirmation.” However, “until that confirmation is in, this resistance will continue to act as one. And as resistances do, they tend to reject price.” According to Rekt Capital, Bitcoin has repeated some key elements from its Post-halving range in its current range, suggesting that if BTC continues to reject from this level, it could face a post-breakout retest of its lower high resistance. One Dip Left Before ATHs? Previously, the analyst detailed that BTC could be repeating its Q4 2024 performance, where the cryptocurrency recovered from its downside deviation to hit a new ATH. BTC initially got rejected at its lower high resistance and fell to the range’s lows before breaking above the lower high, retesting it as support, and soaring to a new ATH. For history to repeat, BTC must get rejected at $99,000, hold $93,500 as support, and break the $97,000-$99,000 range before being rejected at the $104,500 resistance, which is the level “to turn into support for Bitcoin to breakout into its second Price Discovery Uptrend.” Notably, BTC followed this path closely over the past week, getting rejected near $99,000 and retesting the $93,500 support before jumping above the $100,000 mark. To continue this performance, the cryptocurrency must fall to the $97,000-$99,000 range and hold it as support for a similar breakout to new ATHs. Related Reading: Ethereum Price Completes Bullish Structure Break – $3,000 Comes Next In his Monday analysis, Rekt Capital shared that BTC’s lower high resistance is at the $98,500 level, signaling that a 5% drop could be ahead. However, he noted that the retest “doesn’t need to happen at all,” as Bitcoin could Daily Close above the key resistance, hold this level, and rally to new ATHs. “But in the event of a dip, turning the Lower High resistance into a new support could fully confirm the break of this Lower High, turn it into new support, and in doing so, solidify BTC’s positioning in the $98.5k-$104.5k portion of the ReAccumulation Range,” he concluded. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin is trading confidently above the $100,000 mark, having recently marked a local high near $104,300. After months of choppy action and uncertainty, bulls are now firmly in control, reigniting momentum across the broader crypto market. As BTC retests key supply levels last seen near the previous all-time high, optimism is building that this breakout could be the beginning of a sustained move higher. Related Reading: Bitcoin Whale Entry Prices Diverge Sharply – Confidence Builds At Higher Levels The entire market appears to be waking up, with altcoins following Bitcoin’s lead and liquidity flowing back into risk assets. Traders are watching closely to see if BTC can maintain this strength and convert $100K into solid support. Top analyst Big Cheds shared a technical update highlighting the current 4-hour chart structure, noting that BTC is exhibiting a bullish consolidation. This pattern typically signals continuation, as price compresses just below resistance before attempting a breakout. With no signs of exhaustion yet, the setup suggests that Bitcoin may have more room to run, especially if bulls can maintain momentum through the weekend. Bitcoin Tests Key Resistance Amid Bullish Momentum Bitcoin has surged with strength over the past few days, breaking through multiple resistance levels and reclaiming the $100K mark with conviction. Now trading near $104,000, BTC is facing a critical resistance zone that could determine whether the rally continues toward new all-time highs—or pauses for consolidation. This level coincides with the upper boundary of a previous supply zone and has become a focal point for both bulls and bears. While price action remains clearly bullish, macroeconomic conditions still pose risks. Persistent global uncertainty, concerns about inflation, and tight monetary policies from central banks could weigh on risk assets in the short term. If sentiment shifts or external shocks hit the market, Bitcoin may experience a pullback despite the strong structure it’s built recently. Cheds offered insights into Bitcoin’s current setup, highlighting that the 4-hour chart is showing a “high and tight” bullish consolidation—a classic continuation pattern. According to Cheds, this formation reflects strength, as BTC consolidates at elevated levels rather than pulling back, suggesting that buyers remain in control and are absorbing any sell pressure. If Bitcoin can push above the $104K mark with volume, the next logical target would be a retest of the previous all-time high around $109K. However, traders should remain cautious. Despite the bullish technical setup, short-term volatility and external market risks could lead to sudden reversals. For now, Bitcoin holds a bullish bias, and as long as it continues consolidating above $100K, the case for a continuation higher remains intact. The next few sessions will be crucial in determining whether BTC has the strength to break out or needs more time to build. Related Reading: Ethereum Breaks Key Resistance In One Massive Move – Higher High Confirms Momentum Price Analysis: Forming A Bullish Structure Bitcoin is currently trading just above $103,000, consolidating after tagging the $104,300 level earlier in the day. The price action confirms that bulls are firmly in control, having reclaimed the $100K level with strength and cleared multiple layers of resistance. However, the chart shows that BTC is now testing a major supply zone between $103K and $103.6K — a level that previously acted as resistance in January and February. Volume has spiked in recent days, signaling strong demand behind this breakout. Still, the latest candle shows a long upper wick, hinting at some short-term selling pressure as BTC faces overhead resistance. If bulls manage to push above $103.6K with sustained volume, a breakout toward the $109K all-time high could follow. Related Reading: Cardano Approaches Critical Resistance – Break Above Could Trigger Move To $0.80 On the downside, the $100K level now acts as immediate support. Below that, the $95K and $90K zones — previously consolidation areas — could offer additional structural backing. The daily 200-day simple moving average (SMA) at $91,227 and the 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) at $87,004 remain well below the current price, reinforcing the strong bullish trend. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView
Bitcoin’s recent surge has kept its price firmly above the $100,000 price level, reflecting ongoing investor confidence. At the time of writing, BTC is trading at $103,527, posting a 4.3% gain in the past 24 hours and climbing 33% over the last month. While still approximately 5% below its all-time high recorded in January, the market has displayed consistent upward momentum, with technical and on-chain signals indicating continued accumulation. Related Reading: Bitcoin Derivatives In The Driver’s Seat For $100,000 Rally, Data Shows On-Chain Metrics Reflect Growing Confidence This latest rally comes amid broader economic uncertainty and renewed geopolitical activity. According to data shared by CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost, current market patterns mirror a period last seen almost 5 years ago, marked by high volatility and conflicting economic narratives. While central banks such as the Federal Reserve have maintained a cautious stance, investor sentiment appears to be shifting toward risk-on, as headlines around trade agreements and fiscal maneuvering spark a surge in buying interest. Darkfost points to the Bitcoin Growth Rate indicator, which has returned to bullish territory alongside BTC reclaiming the $100,000 level. The analyst notes that current market dynamics resemble the June 2020 cycle, particularly in how external political developments influence asset flows. For example, recent trade talks initiated by the Trump administration and aggressive posturing on global policy are fueling rapid investor reactions across equities and crypto alike. This sentiment-driven environment, according to Darkfost, makes it challenging to rely solely on traditional metrics for forecasting price trends. Complicating the picture is the impact of news-driven narratives. Darkfost wrote: This can notably be explained by all the headline-driven effects, like the one we saw today (“You should buy stocks now”), but also by the fact that Trump is starting to pursue trade deals with various countries, such as the agreements made today with the U.K. These signals may be pushing investors into crypto assets as part of broader diversification strategies. Despite the Federal Reserve’s warning for continued caution, the market seems to be faced with a fear of missing out, creating further upside volatility. Bitcoin Whales Continue to Accumulate as Retail Lags In a related analysis, another CryptoQuant analyst caueconomy revealed that large-scale Bitcoin holders have remained active throughout the recent price recovery. Over the last month, wallets classified as “whales” have added roughly 41,300 BTC to their balances. This steady accumulation, especially from institutional investors and corporations, indicates that strategic positioning continues regardless of mixed macroeconomic signals. According to caueconomy, this accumulation is not being driven by retail speculation but by institutional entities using corporate resources such as retained earnings and debt issuance. This form of capital inflow, often described as “passive” accumulation, can generate sustained demand pressure independent of market cycles. As a result, Bitcoin’s recent gains may be supported by a structurally different class of buyers than in previous bull markets. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
Bitcoin has surged to $104,300, confirming the uptrend and reinforcing the bullish outlook that many analysts projected for 2025. This move places BTC deep into range-highs territory, with the next major challenge now clearly in sight: the all-time high at $109,000. The market’s strength comes on the back of strong technical performance and increasingly optimistic sentiment, as BTC continues to lead the crypto rally and altcoins follow suit. Related Reading: Cardano Approaches Critical Resistance – Break Above Could Trigger Move To $0.80 On-chain data from CryptoQuant adds further weight to the bullish narrative. One standout metric highlights the growing confidence among large holders: the absolute difference between the Realized Price of new whales and old whales now stands at $59.7K. Specifically, new whales have entered the market at an average price of $91.9K, while old whales’ basis remains at $32.2K. This translates to a 185% relative spread to the long-term holder (LTH) basis—a massive divergence. This wide gap signals that a new wave of high-conviction buyers is entering the market at significantly elevated prices. Unlike the cautious whale accumulation during previous cycle lows, this phase reflects strong belief in continued upside, even at premium levels. It’s a clear sign that institutional FOMO may be kicking in. Bitcoin Faces Resistance At $104K As Whale Activity Signals Growing FOMO Bitcoin is currently encountering resistance around the $104,000 mark—a level that may take time to break as it represents a critical barrier before entering price discovery above the all-time high near $109,000. The recent rally has shown remarkable strength, but as BTC consolidates just below its ATH, some selling pressure is expected. A successful breakout could lead to a swift surge beyond $109K; however, failure to do so may result in short-term consolidation or retracement. Top analyst Axel Adler shared key on-chain insights on X that highlight the evolving psychology of Bitcoin’s largest holders. According to Adler, the absolute difference between the Realized Price of new whales ($91.9K) and old whales ($32.2K) is $59.7K, representing a 185% relative spread to the long-term holder (LTH) basis. This sharp divergence reveals that new “whales” are entering the market at nearly three times the price of early entrants. In comparison, the same spread in November 2022 was only 62%, indicating more cautious accumulation near the market bottom. The current surge to 185% reflects rising confidence and FOMO, with large buyers willing to accumulate even at elevated prices. For context, during the 2021 cycle peak at $63K, the spread widened to 437%. Related Reading: Ethereum ‘Extremely Undervalued Against BTC’ – Supply Pressure May Delay Recovery This trend suggests that the market is entering a more aggressive accumulation phase, where belief in higher prices is driving demand despite the premium. If bulls manage to absorb the resistance around $104K, it could mark the start of a parabolic move—fueled not just by momentum, but by conviction from both retail and institutional players betting on a new Bitcoin all-time high. BTC Price Analysis: Key Levels To Watch Bitcoin is trading around $103,000 after reaching a high of $104,300 earlier today. The 4-hour chart shows BTC facing resistance at the $103,600 level, which aligns with a key supply zone from late December 2024 and early January 2025. This area acted as a previous rejection point during the last major rally and is now being tested again as potential resistance. BTC’s recent surge from the $87K–$90K consolidation zone has been aggressive, breaking above both the 200 EMA and 200 SMA (currently at $91,806 and $89,400, respectively) with strong volume. This confirms bullish strength and trend continuation, suggesting that buyers are still in control. However, the current range between $103K and $104K is historically significant, and bulls may need to absorb selling pressure before attempting a move toward the all-time high near $109K. Related Reading: XRP Bulls Expect A Breakout As Price Compresses Between Key Levels – Details If BTC consolidates above $100K and holds this level as new support, it would strengthen the case for continued upside. On the flip side, failure to break above $103,600 cleanly could lead to a short-term pullback. Market structure remains bullish overall, but this resistance zone will be critical in determining whether Bitcoin enters price discovery or pauses for accumulation. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView
Bitcoin’s price has finally reclaimed the $100,000 milestone after ranging below it for several weeks. This latest surge signals renewed momentum in the broader crypto market. At the time of writing, the asset trades at $100,383, reflecting a 3.5% gain over the past 24 hours. Despite this climb, Bitcoin remains roughly 8.4% % below its all-time high of $109,000 reached in January 2025, highlighting room for further upside if buying interest persists. Related Reading: Bitcoin Investors Are Taking Profits Aggressively – Signs Of A Local Top? Buy-Side Pressure Mounts as Key Metric Hits Bullish Threshold A CryptoQuant analyst has reported that the Taker Buy-Sell Ratio on Binance, which reflects the level of aggressive buying versus selling, is currently trending upward. Crazzyblockk highlighted key insights into this trend and what it may signal for Bitcoin’s price trajectory. According to the post titled “Binance Taker Buy-Sell Ratio – Your Smart Money Radar,” the ratio currently stands at 1.131, suggesting a dominant presence of market buyers over sellers. The seven-day average has trended up to 1.045, while the 30-day average shows a 12.1% surge. These readings signal bullish sentiment, although the associated z-score of 2.45 suggests that market conditions may be approaching short-term overbought levels. Crazzyblockk notes that Binance remains one of the most reliable platforms for gauging sentiment due to its deep liquidity and trading volume. The platform’s scale provides an accurate reflection of institutional and high-volume trader behavior. The analysis suggests that if the taker ratio stays above 1.1 and Bitcoin sustains the $99,000 level, bullish continuation is likely. However, a dip below 1.05 could hint at profit-taking and potential consolidation. The elevated price volatility also provides opportunities for short-term traders looking to capitalize on market swings. Bitcoin New Whales Reshape Ownership Dynamics in 2025 In a separate analysis, CryptoQuant contributor OnChainSchool has observed notable changes in the makeup of Bitcoin’s largest holders. Using on-chain data, the analyst identified a substantial increase in the number of wallets holding more than 1,000 BTC with coins aged less than 155 days, typically considered new whales. The ratio of new to old whales has risen from 0.16 to 0.28 this year, marking a 75.6% increase in their relative presence. These new wallets have collectively added over 430,000 BTC to their holdings, while older whales have trimmed their exposure by around 24,000 BTC. Despite the dynamic nature of wallet categorization, where new whales age out after 155 days, the upward trend in balances points to an influx of capital from newer, high-value investors. Related Reading: Bitcoin’s Realized Cap Hits Record High as Accumulation Continues Interestingly, this coincides with the recent report of an all-time high recorded in Bitcoin’s realized cap, which signals growing confidence in BTC among holders. Bitcoin Breaks Realized Cap All-Time High for the Third Consecutive Week “This pattern reflects growing confidence among both Long-Term Holders and Short-Term Holders, who are strengthening their positions as the market shows signs of recovery.” – By @oro_crypto pic.twitter.com/rQoWq1zqHy — CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) May 8, 2025 Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
Bitcoin is finally showing signs of strength as it attempts to push above the $98,000 level, signaling a potential end to months of volatility and selling pressure. For the first time in weeks, bulls appear firmly in control, reclaiming momentum and building a case for a sustained uptrend. After a prolonged period of uncertainty, BTC is now trading within a pivotal range that could shape its next major move. Related Reading: Ethereum Consolidates As Accumulation Trend Develops – New Bullish Phase Ahead? A drop below the $90,000 support zone would threaten the current structure and potentially confirm bearish momentum. On the other hand, a clean breakout and daily close above $100,000 would likely open the door to a powerful rally and renewed market confidence. This makes the coming sessions especially critical for traders and investors alike. Top analyst Big Cheds recently highlighted Bitcoin’s strong technical setup, pointing to the 4-hour chart where BTC is showing “beautiful strength” as it tests the upper bounds of its trading range. This could be the beginning of a breakout phase if bulls can maintain pressure and flip resistance into support. Bitcoin Triggers Investor Frustration As $100K Breakout Remains Elusive Bitcoin is testing investors’ patience once again as it continues to struggle below the key psychological level of $100,000. Despite strong price action in recent weeks, BTC has failed to reclaim this milestone, leaving the market divided over what comes next. While some analysts maintain that the bull run is far from over and expect Bitcoin to break its previous all-time high at $109K, others argue that this current rally is nothing more than a relief bounce within a broader bear market structure. Following months of heavy selling pressure and macro uncertainty, Bitcoin has shown renewed strength, reclaiming key support levels and climbing back above $97K. This move has reignited bullish hopes, especially as price action forms higher lows and approaches the top of a multi-week range. Cheds has weighed in with a more optimistic take, highlighting Bitcoin’s “beautiful 4H strength” as the price continues to press against range highs. Cheds noted that BTC is showing more resilience than he initially expected, a sign that bulls still have control, at least for now. However, the $100K level remains a major resistance zone. A confirmed breakout above it could validate a full-scale continuation of the bull market. Until then, the market remains at a standstill, caught between anticipation and doubt. Traders are watching closely for either a breakout above $100K to trigger new upside momentum, or a breakdown below $92K–$90K to confirm a deeper correction. Related Reading: Cardano Struggles At Resistance – Expert Sees A Retest of Lower Support Levels In short, Bitcoin’s structure is promising, but indecision dominates. Whether this is a setup for new highs or the calm before renewed downside remains to be seen, the next move could define sentiment for the months ahead. Technical Details: BTC Testing Critical Supply Bitcoin is trading at $96,959 after bouncing strongly from support near $94,000 and reclaiming short-term momentum. The 4-hour chart shows a clear attempt by bulls to retest the $98,000 level, a key resistance zone just below the psychological $100K barrier. Price is trending well above both the 200-period simple moving average (SMA) at $88,387 and the 200-period exponential moving average (EMA) at $90,723, reinforcing the bullish structure that has been developing since mid-April. The recent move confirms higher lows and a sustained bullish trend, as BTC continues to build upward pressure against range highs. Volume has picked up slightly during the latest breakout attempt, suggesting fresh demand entering the market. However, the $98K–$100K area has historically triggered selling interest, so a decisive break and close above $100K will be essential to confirm a true breakout. Related Reading: Avalanche Bounces Off Key Price Level: Top Indicator Flashes A Buy Signal If bulls manage to reclaim $100K, Bitcoin could quickly extend toward its previous all-time high near $109K. On the downside, holding above the $94K–$95K zone will be critical to preserving bullish momentum. For now, Bitcoin appears to be setting the stage for a breakout, but traders should watch closely as price compresses just under resistance. The next move will likely set the tone for the broader market. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView
Bitcoin’s recent recovery has encountered resistance as the asset remains range-bound between $93,000 and $97,000. After briefly climbing late last month, Bitcoin has struggled to maintain upward momentum since then. At the time of writing, BTC is trading at approximately $94,305, reflecting a modest 1.3% decline over the past day. While price action has slowed, activity on the backend of the market suggests underlying shifts in investor behavior. New on-chain data points to a significant decrease in Bitcoin reserves held on Binance, the world’s largest cryptocurrency exchange by trading volume. Related Reading: Bitcoin ATH Incoming? Analyst Flags Indicators That Preceded Every Major BTC Rally One of CryptoQuant’s contributors, Amr Taha, highlighted the development in a recent QuickTake post, signaling that over 51,000 BTC have been withdrawn from Binance wallets since mid-April. This drop from roughly 595,000 BTC to around 544,500 BTC could indicate a recalibration in investor strategy, with growing interest in long-term holding or redeployment of assets outside centralized platforms. What’s Driving the Bitcoin Outflows from Binance? According to Taha, multiple factors may be contributing to this steep decline in exchange-held reserves. One explanation involves institutional investors and long-term holders moving their Bitcoin into cold storage. This off-exchange behavior is typically interpreted as a signal of longer-term conviction, as these participants seek to secure assets while reducing the likelihood of short-term selling. Given the rise of custodial solutions and more institutional-grade wallets, this trend may reflect maturing market behavior. Another key factor could be the increasing use of Bitcoin within decentralized finance (DeFi) and cross-platform arbitrage strategies. Taha noted that entities may be withdrawing BTC to access yield opportunities or deploy capital in other blockchain ecosystems. Additionally, the recent positive flows into Bitcoin spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs), especially between April 21 and May 1, where daily net inflows crossed the $2 billion mark on several occasions, may have encouraged larger players to accumulate and withdraw Bitcoin in anticipation of further price appreciation. Exchange Reserve Trends Offer Signals Amid Price Consolidation Though Bitcoin’s price has remained largely stagnant over the past week, the shift in exchange reserve data could carry significant implications for future price action. Historically, a decrease in exchange reserves, particularly from major venues like Binance, has been associated with supply tightening. As fewer coins are readily available for sale, reduced liquidity can amplify the impact of incoming demand, especially in bullish phases. Taha emphasized that while short-term market performance may appear indecisive, tracking reserve metrics offers important clues about underlying sentiment. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Trading Within Dense Supply Cluster — What Lies Beyond $100K? A consistent drawdown of BTC from exchange platforms often sets the stage for renewed price movement, especially when accompanied by institutional accumulation and long-term holding behavior. If these patterns persist, they may contribute to reduced sell-side pressure, enabling Bitcoin to challenge its next resistance zones, including the psychological $100,000 level. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
Bitcoin is inching closer to the $100,000 milestone, continuing a steady upward trend that has characterized its recent market behavior. As of the time of writing, the asset is trading at approximately $96,091, marking a 3.6% increase over the past week. This sustained climb follows a correction seen in early April and suggests that the broader market remains engaged, with momentum gradually building. As price action intensifies, analysts are increasingly focused on the indicators shaping short- to mid-term expectations. Among them is CryptoQuant contributor Axel Adler Jr., who recently shared new data indicating that Bitcoin’s on-chain momentum has entered what he calls the “start” rally zone, with a momentum ratio of approximately 0.8. This threshold is considered critical in assessing whether Bitcoin is likely to push higher or enter a period of consolidation. Related Reading: Bitcoin Sentiment Nearly Back To Neutral—Green Sign For Rally? Three Scenarios Shaping the Road Ahead In a QuickTake post titled “Bitcoin is warming up – 3 scenarios that could shape the next rally,” Adler outlined a set of possibilities based on current network data and previous cycle patterns. He describes an “optimistic” case where the momentum ratio climbs above 1.0 and holds, indicating a potential rally toward the $150,000–$175,000 range. This scenario mirrors historical breakout phases observed in 2017 and 2021, where a decisive break in key metrics sparked extended bullish runs. The “base case,” as Adler frames it, assumes that the momentum ratio stabilizes between 0.8 and 1.0, keeping Bitcoin in a broad trading range between $90,000 and $110,000. In this instance, market participants hold their positions but remain cautious about increasing exposure. A more conservative view, the “pessimistic” scenario, would be triggered if the ratio drops toward 0.75. This would suggest that short-term holders may begin taking profits, potentially leading to a correction in the $70,000–$85,000 zone. Adler emphasized, however, that with a recent correction already priced in, the optimistic and base case outcomes appear more plausible at present. Bitcoin Short-Term Holder Activity Signals Accumulation A separate analysis from CryptoQuant analyst Crypto Dan suggests further support for a bullish outlook. Dan notes that Bitcoin’s current structure bears similarities to past accumulation phases observed earlier in 2024. He highlights that in both January and October, rising activity from short-term holders—those who keep their coins for between one day and one week—preceded significant rallies. This behavioral trend has returned in recent days, which, according to Dan, often signals that the market is positioning for a larger move. Related Reading: Traders Rush Into Bitcoin Options as Implied Volatility Drops, Is a Big Move Coming? These patterns have historically emerged just before major surges not only in Bitcoin but also in the altcoin space. If current activity mirrors past cycles, Bitcoin may be preparing to surpass the $100,000 mark and transition into a renewed uptrend. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
As the broader crypto asset market takes a breather following its recent rally beyond a $3 trillion market capitalization, traders are increasingly seeking leverage through options contracts on Bitcoin and Ethereum. This surge in derivatives activity comes as both BTC and ETH prices consolidate in a narrow trading range, with Bitcoin holding between $94,000 and $95,000 during the same period. Related Reading: Bitcoin To Explode To $210,000 This Year, Says Quant Powerhouse Presto The tight price action is reflected in falling implied volatility (IV) levels. Bitcoin’s 7-day IV dropped from 53% to 38% midweek, while the 30-day IV declined to 43%, down from 50%. Ethereum’s volatility metrics mirrored the trend, with 7-day and 30-day IV retreating from 74% to 61% and 69% to 63%, respectively. This declining volatility is creating what some analysts describe as a low-cost environment for leverage, prompting traders to take advantage of options pricing dynamics. Options Traders Favor Bullish Exposure Despite Diverging Sentiment Dr. Sean Dawson, head of research at Derive.xyz, noted a strong bias toward bullish positioning among options traders on the platform. Dawson said: A staggering 73% of all BTC options premiums are being used to buy calls, with Ethereum seeing an even higher percentage at 81.8%. According to Dawson, calls are outpacing puts by a 3:1 ratio for Bitcoin and 4:1 for Ethereum on Derive. However, he cautioned that Derive activity may not fully reflect sentiment across the broader market. Options data from Deribit, a major crypto derivatives exchange, indicated a more balanced positioning, with normalized delta skew suggesting mixed sentiment. While Derive users appear to be positioning for upward price movement, other venues reflect more hedged strategies. Still, Dawson maintained that in the absence of any major shocks, BTC and ETH could remain near current levels through the end of May. Dawson wrote: In terms of price predictions, the outlook for BTC remains stable, but the likelihood of a downside is becoming more bullish. The chance of BTC settling above $110K by May 30 remains at 11%, while the likelihood of BTC dropping below $80K has decreased from 11% to 8%. For ETH, the chance of it settling above $2,300 by May 30 remains at 9%, with the chance of it falling below $1,600 has dropped from 24% to 21% in the last 24 hours. Bitcoin On-Chain Data Shows Strengthening Fundamentals In parallel to the derivatives market activity, on-chain indicators suggest strengthening investor confidence. A CryptoQuant analyst known as Yonsei Dent highlighted renewed momentum in Bitcoin’s Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio. As Bitcoin’s price recovered to $94,000, the MVRV ratio rose to 2.12, nearing its 365-day moving average of 2.15. According to Dent, this implies that holders are currently sitting on an average unrealized gain of approximately 112%, a level that has historically aligned with strong market positioning. Dent added that if the 30-day moving average of the MVRV crosses above the 365-day trend in what is known as a “golden cross,” it could act as a confirmation of resuming bullish momentum. Related Reading: Bitcoin Battles Key Resistance Level – Is A Breakdown Imminent? Such patterns have preceded significant rallies in previous cycles. However, Dent also emphasized the importance of continued observation of the MVRV trajectory to evaluate the sustainability of the trend. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
Bitcoin’s recovery continues to show momentum, with the asset currently trading at $94,288 after gaining 1.6% over the past 24 hours. The price has now risen nearly 15% over the past two weeks, reversing a previous correction phase and pushing BTC closer to retesting the $100,000 price mark. Amid the price performance, recent market analysis points to diverging signals between BTC’s funding rate behavior and growing confidence among US-based investors. Related Reading: Bitcoin Whales Back In ‘Full Force’ For The Rally, Glassnode Reveals Bitcoin Funding Rates Drop Despite Rising Prices According to Nino, an analyst from CryptoQuant, the Bitcoin funding rate—typically used to gauge sentiment in the perpetual futures BTC market has again dipped into negative territory, even as whale accumulation continues on major exchanges like Binance and Coinbase. Nino particularly identified a notable development in Bitcoin’s derivatives market. The 72-hour average of BTC funding rates, including moving average indicators (MA, EMA, WMA), has entered negative territory for the fourth time this year. Funding rates refer to periodic payments made between long and short positions on perpetual futures contracts, with negative rates meaning short positions are paying long positions. This generally reflects that the market is either positioning defensively or becoming cautious at current price levels. What makes this instance notable is that previous dips into negative funding rates occurred at lower price levels, whereas the current shift has taken place above $94,000. Nino suggests this may point to potential market exhaustion or a phase of profit-taking, where short traders are more active despite upward price movement. If volatility increases and funding rates remain suppressed, a spike in liquidations could follow, especially if open interest in leveraged positions expands rapidly. Coinbase Premium and Whale Behavior Reflect US Investor Activity In a separate analysis, CryptoQuant analyst Crypto Dan noted a trend reversal beginning around April 21, accompanied by renewed buying from large holders, or “whales.” Notably, these purchases were first identified on Binance and were soon followed by similar activity on Coinbase. According to Dan, this pattern may indicate rising confidence among US-based investors and growing participation from institutions or high-net-worth individuals. One supporting metric is the Coinbase premium, which tracks the price difference between BTC on Coinbase and other global exchanges. A positive premium typically reflects stronger demand from US investors. Related Reading: Bitcoin Metrics on Binance Show Shift That Could Precede Market Squeeze As of now, this premium remains in positive territory, suggesting that US market participants are contributing to BTC’s recent momentum. Dan concludes that the current phase may signal more than a typical price rebound and could represent a broader shift in market structure, driven by renewed capital inflows and institutional positioning. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
Bitcoin has reclaimed the $90,000 mark, fueling renewed optimism across the crypto market. With sentiment shifting and bullish calls returning, many investors are once again eyeing a move toward six figures. However, not everything is as it seems beneath the surface. Despite the impressive price surge, risks remain, particularly as global tensions between the United States and China escalate. The ongoing trade war and geopolitical friction are injecting volatility into markets, creating a fragile backdrop for risk assets like Bitcoin. Related Reading: Ethereum Forms ‘A Huge Inverse Head & Shoulders’ – $20K Target In Sight? Top analyst Maartunn shared a stark view of the current state of the Bitcoin network, revealing on-chain metrics that paint a different picture. According to his analysis, the latest move higher is primarily driven by leverage and derivatives rather than strong organic demand. He noted that the Bitcoin network is, in his words, “a ghost town,” with very little new activity or visible inflows from real users. This disconnect between price and on-chain fundamentals suggests that the current rally may lack sustainability. As such, investors should approach the next phase of Bitcoin’s price action with caution, especially if macroeconomic conditions worsen or derivative positions begin to unwind. Bitcoin Faces Resistance: On-Chain Activity Lags Behind Bitcoin is now facing critical resistance as bulls attempt to reclaim the $95,000 level, a zone that could define short-term momentum. The recent breakout above the $88,600 resistance marked a key shift in market sentiment, with bulls taking control and pushing price action into a new range. However, to maintain this momentum, sustained demand will be essential. Analysts warn that a healthy retracement may occur before the next leg up, especially considering current market conditions. Volatility and uncertainty continue to dominate the landscape, with fear still lingering despite the recent rally. Much of this caution stems from ongoing global tensions and the unstable macro environment that has unfolded since US President Donald Trump’s re-election in November 2024. With tariffs rising and trade negotiations with China growing increasingly tense, investors remain hesitant to commit fully to risk assets. Top analyst Maartunn shared a sobering on-chain analysis on X, highlighting a disconnect between Bitcoin’s price action and network activity. According to his findings, the recent surge is largely driven by ETF flows and rising open interest in the derivatives market—factors that often precede a reversal rather than a sustainable rally. Maartunn describes the current state of the Bitcoin network as a “ghost-town,” noting a lack of new visible on-chain demand. This divergence between price and network fundamentals raises questions about the sustainability of the current move. For Bitcoin to push convincingly past $95K and set up a run toward $100K, stronger spot demand and an uptick in real user activity will likely be necessary. Until then, traders should remain cautious and watch key support levels closely. Related Reading: Bitcoin Reclaims Key Levels – New ATHs May Be Closer Than Expected Price Action Details: $95K In Sight Bitcoin is trading at $93,600 after several days of bullish price action that saw it reclaim key resistance levels. The price has now entered a consolidation phase around the $93K level, as bulls prepare for a potential breakout toward $95K. A sustained move above that mark would open the door for a push toward the highly anticipated $100K milestone, signaling renewed strength across the crypto market. However, the path forward remains uncertain. While short-term sentiment appears optimistic, Bitcoin must hold above the $90K support level to maintain bullish structure. A failure to do so could trigger a drop back toward the 200-day moving average near $88K—a level that has served as a key pivot for market structure over the past months. Related Reading: HBAR Breaks Above Massive Falling Wedge – Expert Sets $0.38 Target This zone is being closely watched by both traders and long-term holders, as a breakdown below $90K would likely undermine the current recovery momentum. As consolidation continues, the next few sessions will be critical in determining whether BTC has enough strength to break higher or if a short-term correction is in store. For now, all eyes are on $95K as the next hurdle in Bitcoin’s push to reclaim market dominance. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView
Bitcoin has seen a modest decline in price after climbing above $94,000 earlier in the week. At the time of writing, BTC is trading at $92,775, reflecting a 1.3% decrease over the past 24 hours. The move comes after a multi-day rally that saw Bitcoin gain nearly 10% since the beginning of the week, raising questions about whether the recent momentum is sustainable or a temporary uptick amid broader market uncertainty. While price action has stalled slightly, on-chain data and exchange behavior are beginning to shape a clearer narrative for Bitcoin’s short-term outlook. Related Reading: Bitcoin Explodes Above $94,000 — What’s Igniting The Fire? Shift in Exchange Flows Signals Accumulation and Reduced Selling Pressure According to a new analysis from CryptoQuant contributor Novaque Research, investor behavior on Binance, currently one of the largest retail-focused crypto exchanges, may offer valuable insight into what comes next for BTC, particularly regarding liquidity conditions, positioning, and potential short-term price squeezes. Novaque Research pointed to notable changes in exchange flow patterns that appear to coincide with Bitcoin’s recent price behavior. Between April 6 and April 10, Bitcoin inflows into Binance exceeded 15,000 BTC. During this same period, Bitcoin’s price hovered in the $85,000 to $87,000 range. The analysts interpret this as indicative of increased sell-side pressure, likely driven by short-term traders liquidating positions or preparing for tax-related obligations. In contrast, between April 19 and April 23, Binance experienced over 15,000 BTC in outflows as the price moved above $93,000. This activity suggests a shift toward accumulation, with investors moving assets into self-custody—a trend often viewed as bullish since it implies reduced short-term selling risk. Supporting this view, the Exchange Reserve metric shows a declining trend since April 18, while the Exchange Whale Ratio fell below 0.3 on April 23, suggesting that large-volume traders are stepping back, and the market is becoming more influenced by retail behavior. Bitcoin Short Squeeze Potential Emerges as Leverage and Whale Activity Decline Alongside changes in exchange flows, Novaque Research notes that the structure of Bitcoin’s leveraged positions has also evolved. According to the analysis, leveraged long positions were largely flushed out in the $82,000 to $88,000 range, indicating that many short-term traders exited during the recent price swings. At the same time, short positions remain concentrated just above the $92,000 level, which could make them vulnerable to a short squeeze if the market gains further upward momentum. Related Reading: Bitcoin Buyers Take Control on Binance, But Funding Rates Flash a Warning The report concludes that market conditions are now more balanced, with fewer large players influencing price direction and thinner liquidity zones above current levels. The CryptoQuant contributor noted: With the market structure cleaned up and liquidity thin above present levels, any trigger (ETF flows, Fed pivot , EM weakness) may rapidly propel BTC above $98K-$100K. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
Recent positive price action has propelled Bitcoin (BTC) above the short-term holders’ realized price of $91,000. This development has prompted some crypto analysts to question whether BTC’s newfound strength is sustainable – or merely a bull trap ahead of a major pullback. Is Bitcoin About To Rally Or Will It Double Top? US President Donald Trump’s recent statement that tariffs on China will be “substantially” lower than the proposed 145% provided a boost to risk-on assets. Both equity and crypto markets responded positively, with BTC up 5.6% over the past 24 hours. Related Reading: Bitcoin Rally Ahead? Analysts Say These Key Indicators Look Bullish Bitcoin is currently trading in the low $90,000s for the first time since March, renewing hopes for an extended rally that could push it past the $100,000 mark. However, CryptoQuant contributor Avocado_onchain urges caution. In a recent CryptoQuant Quicktake post, the on-chain analyst provided insights into the behavior of the 1–3 month holder cohort. This group typically enters the market during bullish phases and tends to hold their BTC through price corrections. The analyst shared the following chart, illustrating how these short-term participants often transition into the 3–6 month holding category – highlighted with a yellow arrow – during extended drawdowns. Conversely, during strong rallies – highlighted with a green arrow – this group tends to take profits by selling to new market entrants. As the market nears the final stages of a rally – highlighted with a red circle – this cohort usually grows significantly in size. When a drawdown begins, these short-term holders often exit the market as prices approach their realized cost basis. Avocado_onchain also shared another chart showing how the peaks of previous BTC halving cycles have consistently surpassed the average realized price of 1–3 month holders. Further, the analyst warned that the current market cycle may mirror the double top formation witnessed in 2021. They added: When Bitcoin hit its all-time high of $109,000 in January 2025, it significantly exceeded this realized price level, suggesting that may have been the first top of a potential double top formation. Hence, rather than chasing the rally, it may be wiser for current holders to adopt a more cautious approach. Macro Headwinds Could Derail BTC Momentum The analyst further cautioned that limited market liquidity and macroeconomic factors – such as US-China tariff tensions – could weigh heavily on risk-on assets like BTC. That said, market sentiment can shift rapidly, and the entry of fresh liquidity could reignite a full-scale bull market. Related Reading: Bitcoin Following Gold’s Footsteps? Analyst Sets Mid-Term Target At $155,000 Meanwhile, crypto analyst Xanrox recently warned that BTC’s breakout from a falling wedge pattern may be a whale-driven trap designed to lure retail investors before another leg down. At press time, Bitcoin is trading at $93,754, up 5.6% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant and Tradingview.com
Bitcoin has finally reclaimed the psychologically $90,000 level once again following a recent period of significant correction that brought it to trade as low as $74,000 in recent weeks. So far, BTC has now steadily rebounded, rising by 13.1% in the past two weeks to currently trade at $90,279, marking a 3.3% increase in the past day. This price movement has coincided with notable changes in derivatives data and on-chain behavior. CryptoQuant analysts have particularly pointed to the rise in funding rates on Bitcoin futures, alongside diverging actions between long-term and short-term holders. Related Reading: Bitcoin Rally Ahead? Analysts Say These Key Indicators Look Bullish Bitcoin Funding Rate Reversal Suggests Further Upward Move CryptoQuant analyst known as ShayanBTC has drawn attention to the recent trend in Bitcoin futures funding rates, which have rebounded sharply following the market’s prior correction. According to his analysis, the simultaneous decline in both price and funding rates during the sell-off pointed to a reduction in speculative positioning. This pattern bears resemblance to conditions between March and September 2024—a period marked by sideways movement before a notable rally. Now that funding rates are rising again, it suggests that traders are becoming more aggressive in opening long positions. This shift may indicate growing confidence in continued upside potential. If this trend sustains, Shayan notes that Bitcoin could test the $93,000 resistance level, a key area to watch before any attempt to challenge its all-time highs. Funding rates are often viewed as sentiment indicators within the derivatives market, with positive rates reflecting increased demand for long exposure among traders. Long-Term Holders Accumulate as Short-Term Participants Exit A separate analysis from another CryptoQuant analyst, IT Tech, highlights a clear divergence in the behavior of different investor groups. Long-term holders (LTHs), defined as those holding BTC for more than 155 days, have resumed net accumulation for the first time since the last local market peak. This shift suggests that experienced participants are beginning to reposition, potentially in anticipation of a broader recovery. LTH activity is typically associated with strategic investment decisions rather than short-term trading. In contrast, short-term holders (STHs) continue to exit the market, with net position change data showing negative outflows. These movements are often driven by immediate price action and short-term volatility, and such capitulation has historically coincided with local market bottoms. The combination of renewed LTH accumulation and STH exits may point toward the early stages of a re-accumulation phase—a setup that has previously supported future upward momentum in Bitcoin’s price. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
Bitcoin has now been seeing a consistent price increase, indicating a resumption in upward momentum. So far, the asset has regained some of its losses from its recent period of correction, with its price now trading above $87,000, closing in on the $90,000 psychological level. At the time of writing, BTC trades at $87,361, surging a 3.4% in the past day. Interestingly, despite the positive price movement, underlying activity in the broader Bitcoin market presents a more complex narrative. While spot price action appears relatively stable, significant outflows have been recorded from Bitcoin spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs), suggesting that institutional flows may not be aligning with the current rally. This contrast has led analysts to examine market dynamics beyond just price, particularly through the lens of on-chain behavior and historical patterns. Related Reading: Bitcoin Enters New Phase: Analyst Predicts Positive Movement In 2025 Bitcoin Spot ETF Outflows Reach Record Levels Amid Steady Price Action Recent analysis from CryptoQuant contributor Darkfost highlights an ongoing trend of capital outflows from spot Bitcoin ETFs. According to the data, over $4.8 billion has exited these products since they reached their cumulative inflow peak. Notably, this marks the largest drawdown since the ETFs were launched, signaling a shift in institutional behavior. However, Bitcoin’s price has shown limited sensitivity to this decline in ETF holdings, maintaining relative stability despite what might otherwise be interpreted as bearish pressure. Darkfost contextualized this by noting that ETF volumes currently represent around 1.5% of the total aggregated trading volume when factoring in both spot and futures markets. This suggests that although the ETF outflows are numerically significant, their overall impact on market structure may be limited due to the broader scale of liquidity available through other instruments. The data imply that short-term fluctuations in ETF holdings may not directly dictate market direction, particularly in periods of strong retail or futures-driven participation. Historical On-Chain Indicators Suggest a Potential Cycle Repeat Another CryptoQuant analyst, BilalHuseynov, examined long-term on-chain indicators and noted similarities between the current cycle and previous market phases. Drawing comparisons between 2018 and 2025, the analyst highlighted how Bitcoin’s recent price movement mirrors the behavior observed at the end of the 2018 bear market. According to the analysis, historical patterns suggest a potential turning point, where bearish sentiment transitions into a longer-term bullish trend. BilalHuseynov wrote: After an extended period in the red zone, Bitcoin is once again approaching a key threshold. The structure of the recovery and sentiment indicators appears aligned with those seen in previous transitions from downturn to uptrend. While the analyst acknowledged that macroeconomic variables and market sentiment can still alter the outcome, the pattern recognition suggests that historical precedent could offer insight into the present market state. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
Bitcoin’s price action continues to draw attention as it briefly surpassed $87,000 in today’s trading session, marking a notable 3.3% increase over the past 24 hours. Though it has since slightly pulled back to around $86,815 at the time of writing, the asset’s gradual recovery since last week appears to be building a foundation for potential upward movement. Analysts now seem to be monitoring technical and on-chain trends as sentiment begins to lean toward a short-term bullish outlook. Particularly, on-chain data platform CryptoQuant has highlighted notable shifts in market behavior, including insights into funding rates, investor positioning, and psychological resistance levels. Despite the gains, not all investor groups are experiencing profits, with short-term holders still facing unrealized losses. Related Reading: What’s Next For Bitcoin After Crossing $87,000? Expert Discusses Possible Outcomes Several Bitcoin Bullish Signals Identified A recent analysis shared by CryptoQuant contributor EgyHash outlines several indicators suggesting that Bitcoin could be preparing for another upward leg. The analyst points out a significant $6 billion rise in open interest across derivatives markets over the past two weeks. Open interest measures the total value of outstanding futures contracts, and its growth typically reflects increased participation or confidence in the direction of price movement. This metric, coupled with a rise in funding rates, indicates an uptick in long-position interest among traders. Another key metric, exchange inflows, which track how much Bitcoin is being moved onto centralized exchanges, has declined notably during this same period. When fewer coins are sent to exchanges, it can imply reduced intent to sell, as holders typically deposit assets to liquidate them. This reduction in exchange inflow has been interpreted as a decrease in selling pressure, potentially supporting a more stable price environment in the short term. These on-chain metrics collectively hint at a market that may be gearing up for a continuation of its current trend, assuming external variables remain favorable. New Investors In Profit While Short-Term Holders Face Struggle While certain metrics lean bullish, a deeper look at investor categories reveals diverging outcomes. Another CryptoQuant analyst, Crazzyblockk, points out that Short-Term Holders (STHs), or those who purchased BTC within the last six months, remain in an unrealized loss position. Their average acquisition price stands at approximately $91,000, forming a key resistance level that may influence upcoming price movement. As long as Bitcoin trades below this level, latent sell pressure could persist, especially if upward momentum stalls. Conversely, new investors — defined as those who entered the market within the past month — have recently returned to profit. With a realized gain of 3.73%, this group is showing signs of renewed confidence, potentially contributing to near-term price support. Related Reading: Bitcoin Surges Above $87,000 In Sudden Move — Here’s The Catalyst However, according to the analyst, the current risk zone remains active until Bitcoin firmly closes above the $91,000 mark. Crazzyblockk wrote: Until BTC closes above the $91K threshold, Short-Term Holders remain in loss. This may sustain latent sell pressure, especially if price momentum weakens — reinforcing the importance of a decisive breakout above STH realized price to neutralize this overhang. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
Amid the market volatility, Bitcoin (BTC) has been unable to reclaim the $85,000-$86,000 zone despite its weekly performance. However, some analysts suggest that a breakout from the key resistance level might be around the corner. Related Reading: On-Chain Experiment Or Rug Pull? Base Faces Backlash After Unofficial Memecoin Crashes 90% Bitcoin To Resume Its Bullish Rally? Over the past week, Bitcoin has traded between the $83,000-$86,000 price range, recovering from the sub-$80,000 correction at the start of the month. Notably, the flagship crypto experienced significant volatility last week due to the ongoing trade tariff war between the US and dozens of countries. BTC’s recent recovery began after the US President Donald Trump paused the tariff on over 75 countries for 90 days, which sent BTC’s price back above the $80,000 mark. Amid the volatility, Bitcoin retested the key $78,500 as support and its four-month downtrend resistance, compressing between these two levels. According to market watcher Daan Crypto Trades, Bitcoin has been moving within a significant area, as it was retesting its downtrend line as well as the Daily 200 Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and Moving Average (MA), which “has been a tough price region to crack in recent weeks.” Amid Thursday’s pump, BTC is finally breaking out of its downtrend, which could lead to a surge toward the “ultimate level to break for the bulls,” the $90,000-$91,000 barrier, as he suggested that the sideways move in the mid-$80,000 region won’t continue for much longer. Nonetheless, the trader considers that the coming days might not have significant swings due to the Easter weekend, with low volumes and liquidity expected. “Likely going to be quite boring absent any major new headlines,” he asserted, adding that “we’ll see where this wants to go next week.” BTC’s Key Levels To Reclaim Analyst Sjuul from AltCryptoGems pointed out that Bitcoin is trapped below the 50-day EMA, which is “what separated us from a bull run resumption.” He explained that the cryptocurrency has been moving between $78,000-$95,000 since March, with the 50 EMA coinciding with the price range’s mid-zone and seemingly acting as resistance for the past week. Breaking out of the mid-range, between $85,000-$86,000 levels, could send BTC’s price above the $90,000 mark and toward the range’s high. Related Reading: Aptos (APT) To Continue Moving In ‘No Man’s Land’ – Can It Reclaim $5? According to the post, Bitcoin’s current price action resembles May 2021’s performance, before the bull run resumed. At the time, BTC reclaimed the 50 EMA on the daily chart, which “right now, just as back then, (…) has been the line in the sand between the bull and bear markets.” The analyst explained that strong spot buying pressure is necessary to break this resistance and resume BTC’s rally. “Should we finally have this spot buying pressure, and should we finally see the EMA 50 Daily being flipped, all you want next is for that liquidity wall at $87K to be properly broken,” he concluded. As of this writing, Bitcoin trades at $84,521, a 1.2% increase in the weekly timeframe. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin’s recent price action has shown signs of stagnation, with the asset hovering around the $84,000 mark after rebounding above it earlier this week. As of the time of writing, BTC is trading at $84,449, down 0.7% in the past 24 hours. Despite recovering from previous corrections, the price has struggled to break through the current resistance level, signaling weak buying momentum and cautious sentiment among traders. Related Reading: Bitcoin At $1 Million? BPI Says One US Move Could Make It Happen Bitcoin STH-SOPR and Realized Price Indicate Capitulation The current phase of consolidation follows weeks of volatile swings driven by broader macroeconomic uncertainty and mixed signals across risk assets. While long-term holders remain steady, short-term participants in the market appear to be under pressure. Insights into the behavior of these short-term holders may offer valuable clues on the overall direction of the market and possible entry or exit points for investors. According to a recent analysis shared by CryptoQuant contributor CryptoMe, data from short-term holders (STHs) reveals key indicators that could help define Bitcoin’s current cycle. The first metric highlighted is the STH Spent Output Profit Ratio (STH-SOPR), which measures whether STHs are selling at a profit (above 1.0) or at a loss (below 1.0). Currently, this metric is below 1.0 based on a 14-day moving average, indicating that many STHs are offloading BTC at a loss—a signal often associated with capitulation phases. While this suggests bearish sentiment in the short term, CryptoMe points out that similar dips in STH-SOPR during past bull markets often presented accumulation opportunities. Historically, these periods of loss-taking by STHs have marked temporary bottoms, with prices rebounding shortly after as stronger hands absorb supply. Accumulation Opportunities and Strategy Outlook Another key metric shared is the STH Realized Price, currently around $92,000. This figure represents the average cost basis for coins held by short-term investors. When Bitcoin trades below this level, it can indicate undervaluation relative to recent buyer activity. In CryptoMe’s view, red zones (in the chart), periods when the spot price dips below the realized price, have often coincided with long-term accumulation zones during previous bullish phases. However, CryptoMe cautions that these indicators do not confirm a market bottom. Instead, they suggest that some investors are exiting positions under stress, creating potential buying opportunities for those with a long-term outlook. Related Reading: Bitcoin Faces Pressure As Report Flags Chinese Sell-Off Plans Given the broader macroeconomic pressures, the analyst maintains a hedged strategy: accumulating in spot markets while maintaining short positions in derivatives to manage downside risk. He concludes by stating that if macroeconomic conditions improve and liquidity returns to the market, Bitcoin could resume its upward trajectory. Until then, the data suggests patience and risk management may be prudent for market participants awaiting a clearer trend reversal. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
On the higher time frame, Bitcoin appears to still be in a bearish market with the asset recording a 21.7% decrease away from its all-time high (ATH) above $109,000 recorded in January. However, when slightly zoomed in, it is seen that the asset is seeing a gradual and steady rebound surging 6.8% in the past week to bring its asset closer to the psychological $90,000 mark with a current trading price hovering above $85,000. The latest analysis from CryptoQuant analyst Crypto Dan offers context for this cautious optimism. In a post titled “Why does this cycle feel so boring?”, Dan explained that, unlike previous bull cycles that featured fast-paced rallies and surging interest from short-term participants, the current cycle appears subdued. Related Reading: Bitcoin Lags Gold As Wall Street Doubts Persist, Claims Expert Why The Current Cycle Is Different One major indicator supporting Dan’s observation is the notably lower percentage of Bitcoin held for short durations (1 week to 1 month), reflecting minimal engagement from newer market entrants. Dan attributes this behavioral shift to two primary structural changes. First is the macroeconomic environment. In contrast to the aggressive liquidity injections and near-zero interest rates of the 2020–2021 period, the current market faces tight liquidity and high interest rates, reducing the pace and scale of capital inflows. Second is the transition in market leadership from retail traders to institutional investors. The approval and growing adoption of Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have transformed the nature of capital movement into the space, making price movements more measured and incremental. As a result, the market’s development is more cautious, lacking the euphoria typically seen in previous cycles. Dan emphasized that while some on-chain metrics may suggest a cycle top, the current structure could instead be pointing to a more extended and gradual market evolution. He suggested that long-term patience, rather than short-term speculation, may yield better outcomes under these conditions, noting: In times like this, what matters most isn’t chasing quick pumps— It’s understanding the slower structure and having the patience to stay with it. Bitcoin On-Chain Metrics Signal Strength Despite Unusual Cycle Supporting this longer-term perspective, another CryptoQuant analyst elcryptotavo noted that a key on-chain metric remains strong. According to his analysis, over 70% of the Bitcoin supply remains in profit—a level historically associated with price stability. This metric tracks the percentage of circulating BTC with a cost basis below the current market price. A supply-in-profit ratio that remains elevated, particularly above the 70% mark, has often served as a foundation for further upward momentum. Elcryptotavo added that the next target is to push this metric back toward the 80% level, which would reinforce bullish momentum and possibly sustain the current upward trend. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Forms This Bullish Pennant On Daily Chart That Could Trigger Rise To $137,000 If this threshold is achieved alongside improving macro conditions and continued ETF inflows, Bitcoin could see renewed strength even in the absence of speculative enthusiasm. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
Bitcoin has experienced a notable rebound over the past week, following a brief period of downside pressure earlier this month. After dropping below $80,000 amid the tariff turmoil, the asset has regained its losses and is now trading above $85,000. This recovery marks a nearly 10% surge over the last seven days and comes as investors reassess macroeconomic cues and on-chain signals. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Forecast: What Experts Anticipate Following The Jump Toward $85,000 Bitcoin On-Chain Trends Indicate Continued Uptrend The market’s resilience appears to be underpinned by several important metrics. According to a recent post by CryptoQuant analyst BorisVest, various on-chain indicators continue to suggest that Bitcoin remains undervalued in the current cycle. The analysis points to declining exchange reserves, a stablecoin supply ratio that suggests available liquidity for new purchases, and normalized funding rates that may indicate a reduced risk of overheated market conditions. One of the striking observations in BorisVest’s analysis is the ongoing reduction in exchange-held Bitcoin reserves, which have now returned to levels not seen since 2018. The total number of BTC on exchanges stands at around 2.43 million, significantly down from the 3.4 million observed during the 2021 bull market peak. This reduction implies a shift toward long-term holding behavior among investors, limiting available supply for immediate sale and potentially contributing to upward price pressure. In addition, the Stablecoin Supply Ratio (SSR) currently stands at 14.3. The SSR is a metric used to gauge the purchasing power available in the market via stablecoins. A lower SSR indicates higher purchasing power and potential for further buying activity. Since the SSR has not reached the elevated levels seen during the last cycle’s peak, the data implies that capital remains on the sidelines and could be deployed as prices stabilize or rise. Normalized Funding Rates and Bullish Implications Another significant factor highlighted in the report is the normalization of funding rates. During Bitcoin’s recent all-time highs, funding rates spiked as long positions accumulated rapidly, suggesting an overheated market and increased short-term risk. However, since the correction, these rates have returned to neutral territory, now hovering between 0.00% and 0.01%. This return to balance is interpreted as a reset of market sentiment, reducing the likelihood of immediate downside caused by over-leveraged longs. The report concludes that the combination of declining exchange reserves, a stable SSR, and subdued funding rates supports a constructive outlook for Bitcoin in the near term. Related Reading: Strategy’s Bitcoin Portfolio Grows To Nearly 600,000 BTC After Recent Purchase While broader macroeconomic factors, such as the global tariff environment and monetary policy, will continue to influence sentiment, current on-chain dynamics suggest that investor confidence remains intact. The focus now shifts to whether these conditions will translate into sustained upward momentum or if a period of consolidation will take hold before the next major move. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
Bitcoin has shown signs of stabilization following its earlier correction this month, which saw the asset fall to as low as $74,000. Over the past week, Bitcoin has rebounded strongly, gaining nearly 10%, and now trades above $84,000. This upward movement has reignited optimism among investors, though some analysts remain cautious about calling this a definitive trend reversal. Related Reading: Bitcoin’s Last Drawdown To $74,000 A ‘Healthy Correction’ — Analyst Says Bull Cycle Is Still On Apparent Demand Shows Recovery, But Trend Reversal Uncertain According to recent on-chain data, the current recovery in BTC may be linked to improving demand indicators. However, it is suggested that the broader market structure still needs to confirm whether this bounce reflects a sustainable rally or is merely a temporary pause in the ongoing correction. CryptoQuant contributor Kripto Mevsimi particularly drew attention to Bitcoin’s Apparent Demand metric, specifically the 30-day sum, which has started to rebound from negative territory. This trend is being observed as a potential sign of changing market dynamics. However, Mevsimi warns against assuming this is the start of a new bullish cycle, drawing parallels to Bitcoin’s behavior during the latter part of the 2021 cycle. During that period, demand remained suppressed for an extended timeframe, even as prices temporarily recovered. Only after a long consolidation phase did the market experience a genuine structural shift. Mevsimi highlights that although momentum may be improving, more time and confirmation are necessary before a macro-level trend reversal can be confirmed. Bitcoin Short-Term Holder Selling Pressure Declines on Binance Another market signal worth watching comes from Binance, one of the largest crypto exchanges by trading volume. CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost reports that inflows of Bitcoin from short-term holders (STHs) to Binance have been steadily decreasing, suggesting a decline in immediate selling pressure. The data indicates that average realized prices for STHs currently hover around $92,800, meaning many recent sellers have exited at a loss. Darkfost notes that inflows from STHs dropped from approximately 17,000 BTC in November to around 9,000 BTC more recently. This downtrend in selling could provide some support for Bitcoin’s current price levels. Related Reading: Bitcoin Lags Gold As Wall Street Doubts Persist, Claims Expert Still, the analyst emphasizes the need for continued monitoring to determine if this reduction in selling pressure persists. The easing of short-term holder activity could reduce overhead resistance and contribute to market stability, but confirmation of accumulation or a broader bullish phase remains elusive. STH selling pressure declining on Binance???? Tracking $BTC inflows on Binance is a useful way to visualize potential selling pressure, as the platform handles significant trading volumes. Short Term Holders have been under considerable stress recently, with many even ending up… pic.twitter.com/lwOe45H7L3 — Darkfost (@Darkfost_Coc) April 13, 2025 Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView