Rising market odds of US intervention in Iran suggest heightened geopolitical tensions, impacting global stability and economic forecasts.
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The FIFA World Cup will feature a prediction market platform built on ADI Chain, with the network’s token hitting a new high Friday.
The incident escalates tensions, potentially leading to increased U.S. military involvement and impacting geopolitical stability and markets.
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Iran's rejection of US ceasefire demands underscores the challenges in achieving a swift diplomatic resolution, impacting market confidence.
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The executive order may strain US-EU trade relations, potentially impacting global markets and economic conditions through retaliatory measures.
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Institutional adoption via BlackRock's ETF could drive Bitcoin's mainstream acceptance, influencing future price stability and growth.
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Crypto analyst Jordan has predicted that the Bitcoin price could rally to $80,000 in the short term. The analyst pointed to a February bullish trend that could spark this rally for the leading crypto. Bitcoin Price Eyes Rally To $80,000 Based On This Trend In an X post, Jordan predicted that the Bitcoin price could rally to $80,000, citing a bullish trend that began in February. This was around when BTC formed a new local low of $60,000. Since then, the leading crypto has rebounded to as high as $76,000. The analyst noted that BTC has bounced every time the price has tested support in the lower $60,000 range. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Is Only Halfway To The Bottom And Will Crash Below $40,000, Here’s Why Jordan said that if the Bitcoin price can hold this level, then there could be a momentum push towards the $80,000 to $84,000 CME gap. He added that it is interesting that the price has remained above key support levels despite the U.S.-Iran war. Crypto analyst Doctor Profit also indicated that BTC could rally above $80,000 in the short term. In an X post, he stated that he will look to enter new shorts between $79,000 and $84,000 if the Bitcoin price revisits that zone. He further remarked that he sees a high medium probability that BTC will reach this zone. However, he added that, given the geopolitical situation with the war in Iran, he doesn’t think the risk-reward is worth it to go long in hopes that BTC will rally above $80,000. Doctor Profit also reiterated that the Bitcoin price is in a bear market and that the price hasn’t bottomed yet. As such, he believes that placing short orders between $79,000 and $84,000 is a much safer bet with targets below $50,000. Not Yet Time To Buy BTC Crypto analyst CrypFlow stated that this is not yet the time to buy BTC, as the Bitcoin price has not yet bottomed. He noted that the 2-month stochastic RSI bullish cross is one signal that has consistently marked the best buying opportunities every cycle. The analyst explained that under this pattern, momentum resets below 20, sentiment turns negative, and a bullish cross later confirms the shift. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Headed To $120,000? Why This Analyst Thinks It’s A Good Time To Buy CrypFlow further remarked that the cross marked the start of the bull run in the 2015, 2019, and 2023 cycles. However, that cross has yet to happen this time around. He noted that the stochastic RSI is resetting again and that the setup is building, but that the signal hasn’t triggered, signaling that the Bitcoin price could still drop lower. At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $66,800, up in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com
Bitcoin (BTC) faces a stark downside risk that could send prices below the previous bear market lows, according to a new analysis from blockchain data firm CryptoQuant. The firm warns that a confluence of geopolitical shocks, macroeconomic repricing, and fragile derivatives positioning could push the largest cryptocurrency as low as $10,000 in a worst‑case scenario — far beneath the last bear‑market trough near $15,000. Political Shock From Trump Speech CryptoQuant’s note comes against the backdrop of a substantial pullback from Bitcoin’s record highs. After peaking at roughly $126,000 last October, Bitcoin has retraced about 45% and has entered a months‑long consolidation range between $66,000 and $70,000. Related Reading: New Bitcoin Crash Ahead? Bloomberg Strategist Forecasts Return To $10,000 – Here’s Why The firm highlights recent political developments as an immediate catalyst for the downside potential. CryptoQuant points to President Donald Trump’s April 1 speech on Iran as a market‑moving event that abruptly reset expectations. By signaling the possibility of intensified military action within the coming weeks, the speech undermined hopes for de‑escalation and prompted a broad risk‑off reaction. In CryptoQuant’s view, this was not merely a geopolitical scare — it forced a repricing of macro conditions that matter to risk assets like Bitcoin. As oil prices rise, inflationary pressures can return; a firmer dollar tightens dollar liquidity globally. CryptoQuant notes rising volatility — with the VIX near 25 — and widening Treasury spreads, both of which are symptomatic of deteriorating liquidity. Three Possible Bitcoin Outcomes CryptoQuant lays out a range of possible outcomes. In a moderate stress event, the firm estimates Bitcoin could fall from the $70,000 area to roughly $50,000 — a 25–30% decline. If Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) outflows continue and spot demand remains soft, the medium‑term downside expands substantially, with prices potentially sliding into the $30,000–$20,000 range, representing declines of 60–70% from current levels. Related Reading: ICBA Opposes OCC’s Conditional Nod For Coinbase National Trust Bank Charter In the extreme scenario — for example, a prolonged closure of the Strait of Hormuz or a sustained major conflict — global liquidity could seize up more completely. CryptoQuant suggests that in such circumstances, equities could plunge more than 30% and oil could spike to $150–$200 per barrel, conditions that could drive Bitcoin toward the $10,000 mark, an 85% drop from current trading prices. Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com
Trump's diplomatic focus may stabilize long-term US-Iran ceasefire odds, but immediate progress remains uncertain amid market caution.
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Qatar's absence from talks undermines diplomatic efforts, reducing ceasefire prospects and highlighting the fragility of regional peace.
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Schwab's crypto trading launch may legitimize digital assets, spurring institutional adoption and potentially driving Bitcoin prices higher.
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Bitcoin, once promoted by some investors as a hedge against geopolitical turmoil, is behaving like a liquidity-sensitive risk asset at a time when energy prices are climbing, and macro stress is spreading. This comes as the conflict between the United States and Iran deepens, with shock rippling through oil, the dollar, and broader financial conditions […]
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On-chain investigator ZachXBT has published a detailed investigation alleging delays or failures in USDC stablecoin issuer Circle to freeze theft proceeds worth over $420 million since 2022. Dubbed the “Circle $USDC files,” the X thread highlights 15 cases in which the company took little to no action regarding illicit funds. USDC issuer Circle faulted for …
The financial services giant with almost $12 trillion in client assets is moving closer to direct crypto trading, offering subscription for early access to the Schwab Crypto account.
HypurrFi alerted users against interacting with its website and lending platform while it investigates a potential domain hijacking.
In a recent Cointelegraph interview, macro investor James Lavish explains why markets are pricing in a quick end to the Iran war — and what could happen if that assumption is wrong.
Iran's rejection of the ceasefire proposal exacerbates geopolitical tensions, diminishing hopes for swift diplomatic resolutions.
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Prominent blockchain sleuth ZachXBT alleged faster action by Circle could have limited crypto losses, but freezing asset without legal authorization carries legal risks.
After the collapse of Terra, Leap Wallet pivoted to provide support for the wider multi-chain Cosmos ecosystem.
Earlier this year, JPMorgan expected flows to rise further in 2026 after a record inflow of nearly $130 billion in 2025.
The proposal's lack of official backing highlights the challenges in achieving diplomatic progress amid market skepticism and geopolitical tensions.
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The proposal's limited impact highlights the challenges of achieving diplomatic breakthroughs without official backing, affecting market confidence.
The post Iran’s ex-foreign minister proposes nuclear limits for sanctions relief and ceasefire appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
Iran's rejection and Qatar's stance highlight geopolitical complexities, reducing short-term resolution prospects and impacting market stability.
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Rising tensions in the Strait of Hormuz could disrupt global oil markets and necessitate urgent diplomatic interventions.
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XRP is entering a critical phase where short-term weakness meets a potentially explosive macro setup. With price coiling within a larger expansion pattern, the current move may be less about direction and more about building pressure for a much bigger breakout ahead. A Coiling Within Explosive Expansion Setup In an XRP update, EGRAG CRYPTO emphasized that the market is approaching a critical moment, describing the current setup as an “elastic coil” nearing its breaking point. The broader structure is defined by a descending broadening wedge, a formation often associated with powerful expansion phases rather than weakness. Related Reading: XRP Price Meets Resistance, Tough Challenge Caps Upside Momentum The setup highlights a clear macro structure, with XRP maintaining a strong base around the $0.90 level while price continues to compress near the upper boundary. This tightening action signals building pressure, suggesting that the market may be preparing for a significant directional move. From a probability standpoint, the outlook leans slightly bullish, eyeing a 55%–60% upside expansion. A confirmed breakout above $3.30 could open the door to higher targets at $5, $8, and potentially $13 or beyond. There is also a potential of a 40%–45% breakdown scenario, where the price briefly dips below $0.90. A full bearish failure remains the least likely outcome, estimated at just 10%–15%, and would only come into play if the structure breaks down completely without any meaningful recovery. The key takeaway is that the descending broadening wedge represents controlled volatility rather than instability, with longer compression typically leading to a more explosive move. Key levels remain clearly defined, with $3.30 acting as the primary breakout trigger and $0.90 serving as the critical support line. The overall message is straightforward: the current price action reflects a volatility expansion setup, where structure holds greater importance than short-term noise. XRP Confirms Textbook TCT Distribution Setup According to crypto analyst The Composite Trader, XRP confirmed a textbook TCT Model 1 distribution schematic during the New York PM session, a setup that had been developing throughout the day. The confirmation came with a clean and decisive bearish break, as the expert anticipates a bearish order flow observed across major cryptocurrencies. Related Reading: XRP Eyes Massive Breakout, But Not Before A Potential Shakeout Following the breakdown, price continued to move efficiently toward its projected technical target, completing the anticipated reversal overnight. This follow-through reinforced the validity of the distribution model, allowing for a partial take-profit (TP1) of 25% to be secured. The reaction highlights how structured setups, when aligned with market context, can deliver precise and measurable outcomes. Focus now shifts to the next phase, as the analyst watches closely to see whether XRP can break below its current lows. A successful move lower from here could signal a deeper, higher-timeframe reversal. With volatility starting to increase and momentum building, Q2 is already showing signs of becoming an active and opportunity-filled period. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com
Block's Bitcoin faucet revival could boost crypto adoption, highlighting the potential for decentralized finance to reach broader audiences.
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Iran's absence from talks signals prolonged tensions, diminishing hopes for near-term diplomacy and impacting market confidence.
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Iran's stance complicates diplomatic efforts, increasing market skepticism and highlighting geopolitical tensions with uncertain outcomes.
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President Trump insisted that the Strait of Hormuz could easily be reopened "with a little more time."
Bitcoin's rising safe-haven status amid geopolitical tensions highlights its potential as a fiat alternative, though market caution persists.
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