Bitcoin price may be showing signs of holding steady, but that alone does not confirm a bottom is in place. A recent post by crypto analyst @CryptoTice_ argues that the current market phase does not yet meet the conditions historically associated with a true Bitcoin price bottom. Instead of focusing on short-term stability, he points to what investors should actually be watching before calling the cycle complete. BTC Price Cycles Suggest A Later Bottom Formation One of the clearest signals highlighted by the analyst is timing within Bitcoin’s well-known four-year cycle. The chart he shared alongside his analysis compares previous cycles following the 2012, 2016, 2020, and 2024 halvings, revealing a consistent structure. In each case, a Bitcoin price bottomed after extended declines and a period of consolidation. Related Reading: XRP Whales Are Rapidly Buying While Retail Is Panicking, Do They Know Something You Don’t? In the current cycle, a key region is identified between roughly 800 and 950 days after the halving, marking the stage where previous cycles began to approach their final lows. This portion of the chart is further reinforced by a vertical marker that aligns this phase more closely with the last quarter of 2026. This timing is significant because it challenges the growing belief that a bottom could form earlier in the year. Historically, there is no clear precedent for a Q1, Q2, or Q3 bottom within this cycle structure. Instead, past patterns consistently show prolonged declines followed by a delayed period of stabilization before the market fully bottoms out. What this means in practical terms is simple: if the cycle remains consistent, the market is still too early. The timing alone suggests that the process of forming a true bottom has not yet fully played out. What To Watch Before Calling The Bottom Timing is only part of the picture. The second, and equally important factor, is market behavior. According to the analysis, bottoms are also defined by how participants react as the market declines. A recurring pattern can be observed across cycles. Price tends to fall first, followed by narratives that attempt to explain the drop. After that comes capitulation, where confidence fades, and weaker participants exit. Only then does a lasting bottom take shape. Related Reading: 2018 Footage Of Ripple CEO Saying They’re Taking Over SWIFT Resurfaces, But How Have They Fared Since Then? Right now, that final phase does not appear to be complete. Market sentiment still shows signs of confidence, with participants buying aggressively and expecting a near-term recovery. This behavior often indicates that the market has not yet reached its lowest point. For investors, the takeaway is clear: rather than focusing solely on whether the price has stopped falling, attention should shift to signs of exhaustion such as declining confidence, rising volatility, and a broader sense of capitulation. Until these conditions align with the later stage of the cycle, the likelihood that the market has already formed a bottom remains low. Ultimately, identifying a Bitcoin price bottom requires alignment between timing and sentiment. Based on both historical patterns and current behavior, those signals are not yet fully in place. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
US markets have opened Monday with Bitcoin trading at $70,925.76, down 0.78% over the last 24 hours, as traders digest President Trump’s order for a naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz following the collapse of US-Iran peace talks over the weekend. The Iran war escalation sets a volatile backdrop for what is already a …
TRX price is doing something most traders didn’t expected today, but it’s staying calm while chaos unfolds right next to it. And not just any chaos. We’re talking about a full-blown public clash between Justin Sun and World Liberty Financial (WLFI), complete with allegations of hidden backdoors and threats of legal action. Yet somehow, TRX …
The SEC's conditional framework for crypto apps may foster innovation while highlighting the need for comprehensive regulatory clarity.
The post SEC sets conditions for crypto trading apps to stay outside broker rules appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
As the U.S. blockade of the Strait of Hormuz goes into effect, reports say Iran is considering the abandonment of uranium enrichment as a way to end the war.
The SEC said certain user interfaces that allow users to transact and use their crypto wallets may not need to register as broker-dealer.
The European Central Bank said tokenization could improve EU capital markets, but only with central bank money, interoperable infrastructure and resilient regulation.
The U.K.- and EU-regulated credit institution gains crypto-asset service provider status and said it will connect clients to regulated stablecoin rails over Circle Mint
Most visited crypto after Bitcoin today isn’t some blue-chip altcoin like ETH, SOL or XRP but today’s gems are JUNO and RAVE, two names that suddenly found themselves sitting just behind BTC on CoinMarketCap. And yeah, that raises eyebrows as next to BTC shining are thos two. Because when obscure or mid-tier tokens start competing …
Most visited crypto after Bitcoin today isn’t some blue-chip altcoin like ETH, SOL or XRP but today’s gems are JUNO and RAVE, two names that suddenly found themselves sitting just behind BTC on CoinMarketCap. And yeah, that raises eyebrows as next to BTC shining are thos two. Because when obscure or mid-tier tokens start competing …
The White House said the banking industry was wrong about stablecoin yield. The banking industry just said the White House asked the wrong question entirely. The American Bankers Association published a formal rebuttal today to the White House Council of Economic Advisers’ stablecoin report, pushing back on its core framing and warning that policymakers are …
Bitmine expanded its Ethereum treasury to 4.87 million ETH, controlling 4% of supply as total holdings climb to $11.8 billion.
Bernstein says Bitcoin’s selloff already reflects quantum risk and that developers still have time to agree on a post-quantum upgrade path.
Understanding past financial crises can guide effective policy responses and prevent future economic disasters.
The post Kris Mitchener: Historical crises shape economic institutions, timely policy responses prevent calamity, and money is a social construct | Macro Musings appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
Bitmine's aggressive Ethereum accumulation and staking strategy could significantly influence market dynamics and blockchain adoption trends.
The post Bitmine acquires 71,524 Ethereum, reaching 81% of its ETH supply accumulation goal appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
Data shows the XRP social media sentiment has dropped to its third-worst level in the past two years, a sign that the crowd has turned bearish on the asset. XRP Positive/Negative Sentiment Has Declined Recently According to data from on-chain analytics firm Santiment, the Positive/Negative Sentiment has plummeted for XRP. This indicator tells us about how the degree of positive sentiment surrounding a given asset compares to that of the negative one on major social media platforms. Related Reading: Bitcoin Surges To $72,000, But Remains Stuck In Key Supply Zone The metric works by filtering for social media posts/threads/messages containing mentions of the asset and putting them through a machine-learning algorithm to separate between bullish and bearish comments. Then, it counts up the number of each and finds their ratio. Now, here is the chart shared by Santiment that shows the trend in the Positive/Negative Sentiment for XRP over the last couple of years: As displayed in the above graph, the XRP Positive/Negative Sentiment shot up to high levels in December and January, implying that social media users became optimistic about a market turnaround following a pause in the bearish momentum. This optimism, however, didn’t pay off as the price drawdown picked back up at the end of January. While sentiment initially deteriorated after this decline, the dominance of positive posts returned again, although to a notably lower degree than the earlier highs. This suggests that social media users still didn’t entirely turn bearish about the cryptocurrency. That is, until the past week rolled around. From the chart, it’s visible that the Positive/Negative Sentiment has plummeted for XRP, a potential sign that the drawn-out consolidation has finally broken trader conviction. Currently, the metric is sitting at 1.02, which suggests that there are about as many positive posts related to the asset as negative ones. While this still doesn’t signal an outright shift to a bearish dominance, it’s still a pretty low level when compared to the last two years. “According to our weekly social data for crypto’s #4 market cap, FUD is at its 3rd highest point in the past 2 years,” noted the analytics firm. The two instances in this window where a bearish mentality was more dominant occurred in February and October of last year. Both of these led to price rebounds. This is actually a pattern that has been witnessed time and again in digital asset markets: prices often move against the expectations of the majority. Related Reading: Top Toncoin Whales Silently Accumulate 189,730 TON Despite Market Weakness The effect tends to be the strongest inside the “FUD” and “FOMO” zones highlighted by Santiment in the chart. The latest decline in the Positive/Negative Sentiment has taken XRP into the former of the two regions. “Historically, when bullish comments get replaced by this level of bearish ones, the probability of a relief rally climbs significantly higher,” explained the analytics firm. XRP Price At the time of writing, XRP is floating around $1.32, down 1% in the last seven days. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView.com
World Liberty Financial (WLFI), the decentralized finance platform backed by President Donald Trump, is navigating a deepening crisis as a precipitous drop in its token price collides with a bitter public dispute involving Tron founder Justin Sun. The turbulence centers on two distinct but compounding controversies: accusations from Sun that the protocol's team used centralized […]
The post World Liberty Financial threatens top token holder with legal action as WLFI loses $700M amid token scandal appeared first on CryptoSlate.
XRP is flat over the past 24 hours, but down more than 60% from its summer 2025 peak.
The company now holds 4.04% of all ether in existence and currently earns $212 million in annualized revenue from staking.
Polkadot (DOT) declined 11.5% and Cardano (ADA) dropped 6.8%, leading the index lower over the weekend.
Ethereum is starting to flash signals that have historically marked the beginning of major rallies. Whales are back in profit, over $135 million in ETH has quietly moved off exchanges, and price is now tightening just below a key resistance zone. With pressure building and positioning shifting: Is Ethereum price on the verge of its …
Analysts said bitcoin ETF inflows and a cleaner derivatives setup are keeping the market from breaking down.
Michael Saylor’s Strategy acquired 13,927 Bitcoin for $1 billion last week, funding the purchase through STRC share sales, lifting the company’s holdings to 780,897 BTC.
The mining pool comes alongside the unveiling of Zcashinfo.com, a block explorer with real-time network and mining data.
Crypto exchange Coinone has been fined $3.5 million and hit with a three-month partial suspension over AML violations in South Korea.
The mint and a simultaneous $3 million burn come days after the venture said it had repaid $25 million of the borrowing position that left depositors unable to withdraw from a DeFi lending pool.
Strategy's massive Bitcoin acquisition underscores the growing trend of corporations using cryptocurrency as a strategic asset, influencing market dynamics.
The post Strategy buys $1 billion worth of Bitcoin, holdings top 780K BTC appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
After a brief rally, Bitcoin price yet again faced a significant pullback and is entering a phase where price action looks quiet. After weeks of choppy movement around the $70,000–$71,000 range, Bitcoin has shifted into a tightening formation, compressing between a descending resistance trendline and rising support. At first glance, this looks like indecision. In …
StarkWare CEO Eli Ben-Sasson said the company will split into two units as it adopts a faster and leaner “startup mode.”
Nigel Farage-backed Stack BTC bought $2.7 million of Bitcoin, deepening the Reform UK leader’s crypto ties as the UK moves to curb crypto donations.