World’s largest asset manager, BlackRock, with AUM of $14 trillion, has limited withdrawals from its $26 billion lending fund after investors rushed to pull out $1.2 billion, far above the allowed limit.The move has raised liquidity concerns for BlackRock. Many in the financial world are now asking why the firm has limited withdrawals and Is …
Bitcoin (BTC) began the week with a sharp rebound that briefly lifted the world’s largest cryptocurrency back toward the $74,000 mark on Wednesday for the first time in more than a month. However, as the week comes to a close, that momentum has faded, with BTC sliding back to roughly $68,260. Even with the choppy price action, on-chain analytics firm Amber Data argues that the broader outlook for Bitcoin remains constructive. In its latest market report, the firm suggests that new all-time highs are still possible this year. Post-Liquidation Reset Amber Data describes Bitcoin as entering 2026 in an unusual position. The market, it says, has been “de-risked” following October’s liquidation event, which they assert flushed out excessive leverage from the market. In the report, they contend that open interest had climbed to “unsustainable levels,” the basis trade had become overcrowded, and funding rates reflected stretched positioning. Related Reading: Bank Resistance Puts 2026 Passage Of Crypto Market Structure Bill In Doubt, Reuters When headlines surrounding President Donald Trump’s tariff policies hit the market, the overleveraged structure was unable to withstand the selling pressure. The result was a cascade of liquidations that wiped out weak hands and reset positioning. While painful, the correction served a purpose. Valuations have since normalized, leverage has been largely cleared from the system, and the Bitcoin market structure appears healthier, Amber Data noted. Yet the recovery remains fragile. Liquidity is still impaired, and the carry trade — once a major driver of activity — is no longer especially attractive. In Amber Data’s view, the market is now structurally sound but lacks a clear catalyst to define its next major move. ‘Muddle Through’ Phase In its base case, which it assigns a 50% probability, Bitcoin trades between $90,000 and $120,000. This outcome envisions extended consolidation until a meaningful macro catalyst emerges. Under this “muddle through” scenario, conditions neither worsen dramatically nor improve significantly. Volatility compresses, enthusiasm cools, and both bullish breakout expectations and bearish collapse predictions are repeatedly frustrated. Early signs supporting this scenario would include basis annual percentage rates recovering to 8–10%, spot Bitcoin ETF inflows turning consistently positive, order book depth returning toward pre-crash conditions, and funding rates stabilizing in positive territory. 25% Chance Bitcoin Breakout To $180,000 Amber Data assigns a 25% probability to a more optimistic outcome, with Bitcoin climbing between $120,000 and $180,000. In this bull case, institutional participation accelerates alongside sovereign adoption, creating a feedback loop of expanding flows. Early confirmation signals would include weekly Bitcoin ETF inflows exceeding $1 billion, basis rates expanding beyond 15% as leverage demand surges, and new accumulation cohorts appearing in HODL wave data, indicating fresh capital entering at scale. Bear Case Targets $60,000 On the downside, Amber Data assigns a 20% probability to a bearish scenario in which Bitcoin trades between $60,000 and $80,000. This would occur if macroeconomic conditions deteriorate more sharply than currently expected and global markets shift decisively into risk-off mode. Warning signs would include sustained ETF outflows exceeding $1 billion per week, basis yields collapsing below 3%, widespread stablecoin redemptions signaling capital flight, and a potential test of the $80,000 ETF cost basis level. Related Reading: XRP Faces High Risk Of Breakdown Below $1.30, Expert Flags Bitcoin As Main Threat Finally, the firm outlines a 5% probability “volatility and chop” scenario, in which Bitcoin trades between $75,000 and $110,000 with no sustained directional trend. Indicators would include sharply fluctuating funding rates, repeated spikes and collapses in open interest as positions are liquidated on both sides, and inconsistent ETF flows alternating between inflows and outflows without a clear pattern. Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com
Most majors gave back Friday's gains, with solana down 4%, ether falling 4.4%, and 43% of bitcoin's supply now sitting at a loss according to Glassnode data.
Bitcoin whales have sold about 66% of the Bitcoin they recently accumulated since Wednesday, according to crypto sentiment platform Santiment.
On-chain data shows the Bitcoin Exchange Whale Ratio has witnessed a sharp increase recently, indicating that large deposit transactions have gained dominance. Bitcoin Exchange Whale Ratio Has Seen Its 30-Day SMA Value Hit 0.6 In a new post on X, CryptoQuant community analyst Maartunn has talked about the latest trend in the Bitcoin Exchange Whale Ratio. This on-chain indicator measures the ratio between the sum of the top 10 exchange inflows and the total exchange inflow. Related Reading: Bitcoin Faces On-Chain Air Gap To $81,000: Will Momentum Build? The ten largest transactions going toward exchanges are generally representative of deposit activity from the whale entities, so the Exchange Whale Ratio essentially tells us about how the inflows from these giants compare with that of the entire market. When the value of the metric is high, it means the whales make up for a large share of the exchange inflows. As one of the main reasons why investors deposit to these platforms is for selling-related purposes, this kind of trend can be a sign that big-money holders are potentially distributing. On the other hand, the indicator having a low value suggests the whales are making up for a relatively healthy portion of the total market deposits, which can be either neutral or bullish for the cryptocurrency. Now, here is the chart shared by Maartunn that shows the trend in the 30-day simple moving average (SMA) of the Bitcoin Exchange Whale Ratio over the past decade: As displayed in the above graph, the 30-day SMA of the Bitcoin Exchange Whale Ratio floated around the 0.45 mark during 2025, suggesting whale-sized transactions were making up for less than 50% of the exchange deposit activity. Recently, however, the indicator has witnessed a sharp increase. This surge arrived as BTC saw its leg down to $60,000 in early February, but the metric’s value hasn’t calmed down even as the asset has stabilized. Today, the Bitcoin Exchange Whale Ratio has a value of 0.6, meaning that the ten largest deposit transactions alone add up to 60% of the exchange inflow volume. It now remains to be seen how the BTC price will develop in the near future, given this possible selling pressure being applied by the large hands. In some other news, the Bitcoin Inter-exchange Flow Pulse (IFP) has just seen a trend flip, as the analyst has highlighted in another X post. The IFP keeps track of the flows occurring between spot and derivatives exchanges. Earlier, this metric fell under its 90-day SMA and entered into a period of downtrend, implying speculative activity was declining. Related Reading: Bitcoin Spot ETFs See 14-Day Netflows Surge: Demand Returning? From the chart, it’s visible that the IFP has recently turned back up and crossed beyond the 90-day, implying derivatives flows could be making a comeback. BTC Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin is floating around $68,400, up more than 4% in the last seven days. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView.com
The crypto market is under pressure again after a brief recovery attempt earlier this week. Bitcoin had surged toward $73,000, sparking optimism that the broader market could regain bullish momentum heading into March. That optimism did not last long. As of March 7, the crypto market has turned lower again. Bitcoin has dropped toward $68,000, …
Bitcoin is now firmly in a deep bear market and could fall another 30% in 2026, firm said.
Mixers, privacy coins and the threat quantum computing could pose to Bitcoin were all points of speculation across the industry following the release of Trump’s Cyber Strategy.
As the broader crypto market retraces, Solana (SOL) has erased its recent gains despite strong institutional demand for investment products based on the cryptocurrency. Some analysts have now suggested that the altcoin risks a deeper pullback similar to its 2022 correction. Related Reading: Ethereum ETFs Record Best Single-Day Performance Since January With $169M Inflows Solana Loses Mid-Week Gains As Market Wobbles On Friday, Solana dropped 7% intraday to retest the $84 area again, retracing most of its intraweek gains. The cryptocurrency had been trading between $78-$88 since the early February crash, attempting to break out of its local range but ultimately failing. Amid the ongoing market volatility, driven by the US-Israel war with Iran, the altcoin jumped 13% on Wednesday, reaching a multi-week high of $94.05 before stabilizing between the $88-$92 area. Market observer Trader Tardigrade affirmed that Solana could target the $100 barrier if the breakout confirmed. He noted that the cryptocurrency was retesting the consolidation range breakout area as support, which could form a base for a climb to higher levels. Nonetheless, SOL’s price has now fallen back into its one-month accumulation range after failing to hold the breakout level on Friday morning. Rekt Capital observed that broader market conditions resemble early-stage Bear Market behavior, which could suggest Solana may be preparing for a deeper correction. Per the analysis, the altcoin has historically deviated below the $123.28 historical support when it was lost on the monthly timeframe. In 2022, after losing this level, SOL produced a deviation below it and traded below the $99.06 psychological level before rejecting from this area. Therefore, a new monthly close below both $123.28 and $99.06 could signal that these levels have been officially lost as support. However, it also opens the door to a rally back into them to retest them as resistance, similar to 2022. Shallow rebounds could lead to rejection from the $99.06 region quickly, he explained. Meanwhile, a stronger relief rally could allow Solana to revisit the $123.28 level before determining whether additional downside continuation is next. SOL ETFs ‘Defy Physics’ Despite its recent price decline, experts have emphasized the positive sentiment exhibited by traditional investors toward Solana, as evidenced by the performance of investment products that track the altcoin’s price. In an X post, Eric Balchunas, Bloomberg Intelligence Senior ETF Analyst, stressed that although the cryptocurrency’s price is currently 57% down from when its spot Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) first launched in July, the category has accumulated $1.5 billion in flows and has “not really given any of it up.” He noted that half of those inflows have come from institutional investors, which he deemed a “serious investor base” and “really good signs” for the category’s future. “In reality/history of ETFs launching into that kind of downturn is near impossible to get inflows. Most wouldn’t even make it to age one or two if they went down 57% in the first six months. Timing is very important. Solana is defying physics here,” he explained. Related Reading: Bitcoin Reclaims $73,000 Amid Iran War Volatility, But Analyst Issues Key Warning Additionally, he offered a broader perspective by adjusting SOL’s $50 billion market capitalization to Bitcoin’s (BTC) $1.4 trillion market cap. As he detailed, Solana ETFs have seen the equivalent of $54 billion in net new flows, approximately double what Bitcoin ETFs experienced at the same stage post-launch, when BTC was in an uptrend. However, it’s worth noting that the category experienced its first negative day in over a month on Thursday, with $5.23 million in outflows, according to SoSoValue data. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin’s latest rebound to $74,050 on Thursday is running into immediate selling pressure as short-term holders move coins to exchanges in large volumes, suggesting the market’s most reactive cohort remains unconvinced by the recovery. On-chain data shared by CryptoQuant contributors indicates that traders who bought Bitcoin only weeks ago are now locking in gains rather than holding through the bounce, creating a fresh pocket of supply just as the market attempts to stabilize. Bitcoin Short-Term Holders Cash In According to CryptoQuant contributor Darkfost, more than 27,000 BTC in profits were sent to exchanges by short-term holders (STHs) over the past 24 hours, one of the largest spikes recorded in recent months. The metric tracks coins moved to exchanges by investors who are currently in profit, often interpreted as a precursor to potential selling pressure. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Suppressed By Shadow Banking Rehypothecation, Saylor Says “Despite the slight recovery of Bitcoin, STHs (Short Term Holders) do not seem convinced and prefer to take profits quickly,” Darkfost wrote. “Over the past 24 hours, STHs have sent more than 27,000 BTC in profit to exchanges, which ranks among the highest levels observed in recent months.” The dynamic appears concentrated among the most recent buyers. According to the analysis, the only cohort currently able to realize meaningful gains consists of investors who accumulated Bitcoin between one week and one month ago, with a realized price near $68,000. That positioning places them directly in the money after Bitcoin’s latest bounce toward the low-$70,000 range, creating a natural incentive to exit positions quickly. “STH are known for being reactive and emotionally driven, especially the youngest cohorts,” Darkfost noted. “Current news flow and macroeconomic projections remain rather negative in the short term, which makes this behavior relatively understandable and, in this case, fairly rational.” Related Reading: Bitcoin To $11 Million By 2036? This AI-Deflation Thesis Is Turning Heads For now, that behavior translates into near-term supply. “This represents selling pressure to monitor, as STH do not yet appear willing to hold their positions for longer,” he added. Repeated Pattern Around Range Highs Separate market structure analysis points to another pattern that may be reinforcing the selling. CryptoQuant contributor Maartunn highlighted a recurring technical setup that has played out multiple times in recent months: brief breakouts above key resistance levels followed by swift reversals. “Deviations above the Range High keep getting sold,” Maartunn wrote. “Over the last few months, BTC has shown the same pattern three times: break above the range high, short-lived deviation, sharp move lower.” The most recent instance occurred as Bitcoin briefly pushed above a range ceiling near $71,000 before stalling. “The latest deviation just occurred around $71K,” he noted. “If history repeats, this level may again act as a trap for late longs.” The pattern was visible in early-October 2025 and mid-January 2026. Breakouts above local range highs were followed by rapid pullbacks, reinforcing the idea that liquidity above resistance levels has been used primarily as an exit point for sellers. At press time, Bitcoin traded at $70,127. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin is testing the $70,000 level after briefly surging toward $74,000, as the market attempts to stabilize following a volatile period marked by geopolitical uncertainty and rapid price swings. While the recent rally helped restore short-term momentum, analysts are closely monitoring on-chain data to determine whether the move reflects a broader shift in market structure or simply a temporary recovery within an ongoing consolidation phase. Related Reading: The $73,000 Test: Crowded Shorts And Negative Funding Fueled Bitcoin’s 15% Recovery According to top analyst Axel Adler, recent exchange flow data reveals a notable development that could signal underlying accumulation. An unusually large Bitcoin outflow was recorded this week, with approximately 31,900 BTC leaving exchanges in a single day. Historically, events of this magnitude have often been associated with large-scale transfers into cold storage, suggesting that some market participants may be moving coins off trading platforms for longer-term holding. Over the past seven days, Bitcoin netflows from exchanges have remained consistently negative. Daily outflows included roughly 2,867 BTC on February 27, 1,205 BTC on February 28, 251 BTC on March 1, 6,129 BTC on March 2, 1,819 BTC on March 3, a sharp 31,900 BTC on March 4, and 3,478 BTC on March 5. In total, approximately 47,700 BTC exited exchanges during the week, one of the largest weekly outflow figures observed over the past year. Stablecoin Flows Reveal Liquidity Deployment Into Bitcoin The report also examines stablecoin activity across exchanges, highlighting an important shift in liquidity dynamics during early March. Data from the All Stablecoins (ERC20) Exchange Netflow metric tracks the daily net movement of stablecoins across trading platforms and provides insight into how capital flows into and out of the crypto market. For most of 2025, stablecoin netflows displayed a largely neutral pattern, characterized by alternating inflows and outflows without a sustained directional trend. Several notable spikes occurred during the year, including inflows of roughly $2.7 billion in July and approximately $2.4 billion in September. However, a more significant regime shift emerged in early March 2026. Related Reading: The $1.35 Floor: How Extreme Negative Funding Is Priming XRP For A High-Velocity Trend Reversal At that time, the chart recorded a large stablecoin inflow of about $1.1 billion entering exchanges. Within just a few days, the trend reversed, with netflow falling to around -$37.5 million. While the current outflow is not extreme relative to historical swings, the rapid transition from inflow to outflow suggests that incoming liquidity was quickly deployed. According to the analysis, this movement likely connects directly to the anomalous Bitcoin outflow observed on March 4. The sequence suggests that stablecoins were first deposited onto exchanges, converted into Bitcoin through spot purchases, and then withdrawn into cold storage. Large-scale accumulators trigger this behavior, buying Bitcoin on exchanges and immediately transferring it to long-term custody. Bitcoin Tests Key Level Around $70K The 4-hour chart shows Bitcoin consolidating near the $70,000 level after a sharp recovery from the late-February lows around $63,000. Following the geopolitical-driven selloff, BTC entered a sideways structure for several weeks before breaking higher in early March and briefly reaching the $74,000 region. This move pushed the price above the short-term moving averages, signaling improving momentum. Currently, Bitcoin is testing the confluence of several technical levels near $70K. The price has pulled back from the recent local high and is now hovering around the descending 200-period moving average, which is acting as immediate resistance. The 50-period and 100-period moving averages are slightly below the current price, forming a short-term support cluster in the $68,000–$69,000 range. Related Reading: Manufacturing The Bitcoin Reserve: Inside The Trump Family’s 11,000-Miner Expansion At American Bitcoin From a structural perspective, the recent breakout shifted the market from a short-term downtrend into a consolidation phase with slightly higher lows. However, the rejection near $74,000 indicates that bullish momentum still faces overhead pressure. If Bitcoin manages to hold above the $69K support zone, the market could attempt another push toward the $73K–$74K resistance area. A decisive break above that region would confirm renewed bullish momentum. Conversely, losing the $68K support cluster could trigger another retest of the $65K–$66K range where strong buying previously emerged. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com
If the crypto industry and community banks cannot find common ground on the CLARITY Act, the only winners will be the “big banks,” according to crypto executive Austin Campbell.
Ethereum’s co-founder Vitalik Buterin has called for “bolder and more open‑minded” experimentation at Ethereum’s application layer while keeping the core principles untouched. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Shakes Iran Fear as ETF Inflows Drive Short Squeeze Into The Vital $70K Level A Bolder Path For Ethereum In a long post on the social network X on March 5, Vitalik Buterin is doubling down on rethinking the future of Ethereum. After his warning that Ethereum should not lose itself into a memecoin-chasing and yield-farming casino, he is now asking that builders have a “more bold and open mindset to many things” referring this time especially to the “application layer and how we see ourselves in the world”. An Open Mindset Before getting into his deep dive, Buterin clarifies that this open mindset shouldn’t leave people insecure about the network’s security protocols. Ethereum’s co-founder ties back to his previous concerns regarding Ethereum’s role beyond DeFi, reminding users once again what the project ethos is about: technological and financial tools to give people more freedom. We should not compromise on core properties: censorship resistance, open source, privacy, security (CROPS). We should not have “open mindedness” of the type that leaves people with no confidence of what security properties the L1 will have one year from now “Issues of Tecnological Direction” Buterin first tackles what he calls the “technological direction” of the project. He believes that, regarding the layer of applications and Ethereum’s interface to the world, “should be willing to radically rethink various concepts and step outside our comfort zone”. Related Reading: Culper Shorts Ethereum, Says Buterin Selling Signals More Pain Ahead The first aspect to revisit should be the application stack, “because the entire stack so far has not been built around privacy”, he claims. Ethereum’s base layer is finally becoming a robust, efficient settlement engine, but the layers on top, such as L2s, wallets, DeFi, oracles and even future AI agents, are often re‑centralizing the very risks Ethereum was built to remove. Buterin calls to build radically new AI‑native, privacy‑first apps, but do it in a way that cannot override the chain’s cryptographic guarantees. “It Also Includes Culture” Then, he moves to another critique on the short-term casino culture that seems to be taking over Ethereum. Referencing the Milady NFT’s, he calls the attention out to a very specific crypto vibe: the hyper‑online, irony‑poisoned, degenerate, meme‑driven speculation. For Buterin, Milady represents an environment where attention, aesthetics and in‑group memes matter more than building tools that help people under capital controls, censorship, or real economic stress. By invoking Milady, he’s asking: are we going to keep optimizing Ethereum for this kind of self‑referential, nihilistic fun, or are we finally going to ship “sanctuary tech” that someone in a crisis would actually rely on?. He says: Yes, it’s a silly meme. Yes, I find the political takes of some milady partisans cringe and sometimes outright bootlickerish (though other milady partisans are quite the opposite). But the core underlying subtext, the message behind the message, is: rip off the suit and tie. If you have your suit and tie on, be willing to grab the nearest wine glass and spill it all over your suit and tie, so you have no choice but to rip it off and reclaim your body’s full flexibility and freedom. “How Ethereum Can Grow Back Stronger” At the end of his reflection, Vitalik Buterin makes it very clear. Recognizing the “solid position” the project now has, and all the “amazing” things Ethereum has achieved, the goal for it should no longer be searching for “the next step to make it one step better”, but to ask “what are the most valuable things to build, knowing what we know now?”. Ethereum can only grow back stronger, Buterin says, if builders treat its base layer as untouchable public infrastructure and push all the wild experimentation into AI‑native, privacy‑first apps and L2s that still inherit its full trustless guarantees. ETH's price trends to the downside on the daily chart. Source: ETHUSD on Tradingview Cover image from ChatGPT, ETHUSD chart from Tradingview
On March 6, the Florida Senate unanimously passed Bill 314, which details comprehensive regulations regarding payment stablecoins. The pro-crypto state is the first in the US to develop such a framework, which now awaits signing into law by Governor Ron DeSantis. Florida Senate passes stablecoin legislation Florida’s framework borrows greatly from the nation’s GENIUS Act …
Bitcoin has experienced a modest recovery after several weeks of persistent selling pressure, allowing the asset to stabilize as broader market sentiment begins to improve. While volatility remains elevated across the crypto market, XRP has recently shown signs of short-term relief, with price action attempting to consolidate after an extended period of downside movement. The shift comes as analysts begin to examine on-chain data for clues about how supply dynamics within exchanges may be evolving. Related Reading: The $73,000 Test: Crowded Shorts And Negative Funding Fueled Bitcoin’s 15% Recovery According to CryptoQuant data, exchange reserve metrics can provide valuable insight into market behavior by tracking how assets move between private wallets and trading platforms. These flows often reveal subtle changes in investor positioning, liquidity conditions, and potential shifts in supply available for trading. The report highlights the XRP Binance Exchange Daily Flow as a critical indicator. This metric tracks billions of dollars in XRP reserves to reveal how the asset moves across the exchange. Unlike simple token balance metrics that only count the number of coins stored on the platform, this indicator also incorporates the market price of XRP. As a result, the reserve value reflects two interacting components: the number of XRP tokens held on Binance and the prevailing market price of the asset, providing a more complete view of liquidity dynamics. Binance Reserve Decline Points To Changing Supply Dynamics The report further explains that exchange reserve data can act as a proxy for available market liquidity. When large amounts of a cryptocurrency remain on trading platforms, those balances represent potential sell-side supply. Conversely, declining reserves often suggest that investors are withdrawing assets from exchanges, reducing the amount immediately available for sale. CryptoQuant’s analysis highlights a notable shift in Binance’s XRP reserves. The total dollar value of XRP held on the exchange has fallen sharply, reaching approximately $3.9 billion by March 6. This represents a significant contraction compared with previous peaks observed during the cycle. Looking back at historical periods provides useful context. The highest levels of XRP reserves on Binance occurred in January and July 2025, when the total value of reserves exceeded $10 billion. During that period, a large quantity of XRP remained on the exchange, indicating abundant liquidity and significant potential selling pressure. Following those peaks, the market entered a prolonged decline, with XRP eventually dropping more than 60% and trading below $1.35. From a structural perspective, the current reduction in reserves may alter supply dynamics. When XRP leaves exchanges, the immediately tradable supply decreases. If market demand remains stable while exchange balances shrink, the reduced availability of tokens can gradually ease selling pressure and create conditions that support price stabilization or recovery. Related Reading: The $1.35 Floor: How Extreme Negative Funding Is Priming XRP For A High-Velocity Trend Reversal XRP Consolidates After Sharp Correction The chart shows XRP trading near $1.40 following a steep correction that pushed the asset significantly below its previous cycle highs. After peaking above $3.40 during the mid-2025 rally, XRP entered a prolonged downtrend characterized by a sequence of lower highs and sustained selling pressure. Technically, the asset recently broke below its 100-day moving average and remains well under the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, indicating that the broader trend is still tilted to the downside. The sharp drop in early 2026 forced XRP briefly below the $1.20 region before buyers stepped in, triggering a short-term rebound and allowing the price to stabilize in the $1.30–$1.45 range. Related Reading: Manufacturing The Bitcoin Reserve: Inside The Trump Family’s 11,000-Miner Expansion At American Bitcoin This zone is now acting as a temporary consolidation area as the market attempts to absorb the heavy selling pressure that defined the previous weeks. However, the inability to reclaim the $1.50 level highlights that bullish momentum remains limited in the short term. From a structural perspective, XRP must reclaim the descending moving averages to signal a stronger recovery. The first major resistance sits near the $1.90–$2.00 region, where the 200-day moving average is currently trending. On the downside, the $1.25–$1.30 zone remains the closest support. Losing that level could reopen the path toward the recent lows near $1.20 if selling pressure intensifies again. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com
Exhausted sellers may be giving Bitcoin some breathing room — but analysts say that’s a long way from a recovery. Related Reading: SEC Vs. Justin Sun Case Ends In $10M Settlement, Traders Eye TRX Price Reaction US Buyers Return, Pushing Prices Off Multi-Week Lows Data from on-chain analytics firm CryptoQuant shows the Coinbase Bitcoin Premium — a measure of US-based buying demand — has flipped from its most negative readings in early February to its highest point since October. That shift helped carry Bitcoin to a one-month high of $74,000 on Thursday, briefly touching the 50-day exponential moving average. It didn’t last. By Friday morning, the price had dropped more than $3,000, sliding back below $71,000 as momentum faded almost as fast as it built. The rally came alongside a wave of ETF inflows and what Nick Ruck, director of LVRG Research, called “renewed risk appetite.” But even as buyers stepped in, the broader conditions hadn’t changed. Ruck said that the advance “quickly faced headwinds,” with macro uncertainty and softer economic signals pulling the market back down. Bitcoin is still in a bear market despite the recent rally. Our Bull Score Index remains at 10/100, deep in bearish territory. The current move is likely just a relief rally, not the start of a new bull phase. pic.twitter.com/bh4O6jQPD6 — CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) March 5, 2026 Bear Market Indicators Remain At Historic Lows CryptoQuant’s Bull Score Index — a composite reading of Bitcoin’s technical and fundamental health — sits at just 10 out of 100. That places it, by the firm’s own assessment, deep in negative territory. Reports from the firm say the number hasn’t moved despite the recent price action. “Even after the recent price rally, fundamental and technical indicators still point to a bear market environment,” CryptoQuant stated Thursday. The firm was blunt about what the brief climb likely represents: a short-term release of pressure, not a turning point. Unrealized losses among traders and long-term holders had reached levels last seen in July 2022 before the recent easing. That kind of exhaustion can slow a slide without reversing it. One signal pointing to easing pressure emerged Friday, when analysts said market momentum appears to be approaching a “critical shift.” According to their assessment, Bitcoin may be moving out of a phase marked by peak negative momentum — a stage that has often preceded broader changes in market direction. What follows that shift, and how quickly it unfolds, remains uncertain. Related Reading: Solana Stablecoins Hit $650 Billion In Monthly Transactions Macro Headwinds Keep A Lid On Any Optimism February nonfarm payrolls data, expected to show a slowdown, loomed as an added weight on sentiment. Analysts pointed to those “softer macro signals” as a reason cryptocurrencies remain open to fresh downside. Liquidity conditions had been supportive enough to spark the relief move, but not strong enough to sustain it. Bitcoin’s brief climb above $74,000 drew attention. The pullback drew more. With the Bull Score Index anchored near the floor and macro conditions still unsettled, analysts are watching for whether US buying demand holds — or fades just like the rally did. Featured image from Defenders of Wildlife, chart from TradingView
AI is raising demand for builders, not erasing them In February, a Citadel Securities analysis using Indeed data showed software-engineer job postings rising while overall job postings stayed weaker. That split does not mean AI is creating jobs across the whole economy. However, one of the clearest fears around large language models may be somewhat […]
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Kalshi and Polymarket discuss new funding rounds that could value each prediction market platform near $20 billion.
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A new outlook from market analyst Luke Suther shows a long-term valuation path for the XRP price, stretching from its current value of under $1.5 to over $18, $100, $500, and even $10,000 per coin. The projection ties price to real-world adoption and institutional use rather than speculation, highlighting how XRP’s value could grow as payment infrastructure integrates blockchain settlement. XRP Price Ladder From $2 To $100 In his post on X, Suther laid out a detailed price ladder for XRP, arguing that the cryptocurrency’s progress toward major milestones reflects real-world utility and institutional adoption. At the $2 mark, the framework begins with early-adopter corridors opening and pilot programs demonstrating genuine bank participation. In this stage, financial institutions begin experimenting with XRP, testing whether blockchain-based settlement can improve speed and reduce cost compared to traditional banking systems. Related Reading: Analyst Predicts 1,500% XRP Price Increase To $15 If This Is A Wave 2 From there, the path to $18 is built on the scaling of cross-border payments, with activity expected to expand significantly. This target is also supported by improvements in regulatory clarity that enable financial flows to move more freely and give institutions confidence in the legal framework surrounding XRP. The next major milestone arrives at $100. At this level, Suther expects XRP to serve as a core bridge asset for global payments, meaning it would be regularly used to convert value between different national currencies during international transactions. In such a scenario, liquidity becomes the driving force behind the price rally. As more institutions tap into the XRP Ledger (XRPL), deeper pools of XRP would be needed to ensure that payments move instantly across corridors connecting banks and financial markets. XRP Price Expansion From $500 To Over $10,000 Following its projected price rally to $100, Suther has set $500 as XRP’s next ambitious target. The analyst has stated that for XRP to reach this level, the asset would need to support deep liquidity pools capable of handling multi-trillion dollar flows. At this stage, he says the network effect would also become a powerful growth driver. Related Reading: Pundit Says XRP Price At $100 Is Not Insane If You Understand This The next target after the $500 target is $1000. By this level, the analyst stated that systemic reliance on XRP would begin to form. In that environment, banks, multinational corporations, and payment providers would conduct routine financial operations directly on rails powered by XRP’s liquidity. Such reliance would mean XRP would no longer be treated as a speculative token but a digital asset supporting real economic activity. For his final and most dramatic target, Suther predicts an explosive surge above $10,000. In this stage, XRP is expected to serve as a global settlement backbone used across international financial systems. He stressed that the cryptocurrency’s price growth would not be based on hype or market excitement. Instead, it would reflect structural demand that highlights the scale of utility underpinning the XRPL network. Featured image from Freepik, chart from Tradingview.com
Bitcoin’s price volatility tends to scare off buyers, but data shows investors who hold for at least three years have a higher chance of locking in significant returns.
Following a three-day streak above $70K, Bitcoin (BTC) has fallen below this resistance level, trading at $68,131 (down 3.96% in 24) at the time of writing. Blockchain analytics firm CryptoQuant shows that Bitcoin selling pressure among short-term holders (STHs), or people who hold BTC for less than 155 days, has recently spiked. In the last …
Kalshi is facing a class action lawsuit based on its handling of a recent market related to Iranian leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.
Susquehanna backed crypto trading firm BlockFills seeks restructuring after losses, frozen withdrawals, and a lawsuit from a customer.
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Apollo Crypto has made Hyperliquid its largest altcoin position, with head of research Pratik Kala arguing that the protocol stands apart not only because of its product-market fit, but because its token design and expanding market structure give traders something few crypto venues currently offer: usable, revenue-linked infrastructure. In comments shared via X, Kala described Hyperliquid in unusually direct terms. “Hyperliquid is our biggest altcoin position in the fund. Why? Because it is phenomenal. The product works,” he said. For Apollo, the case appears to rest on two pillars: the exchange’s traction as a trading venue, and a token model Kala framed as cleaner and more transparent than much of the industry’s recent experimentation. He contrasted Hyperliquid’s buyback structure with the more convoluted token systems that defined earlier market cycles. “The tokenomics is refreshing. It uses 97 to 99%, depending on how you want to calculate it, of all the revenues to buy back its token in a very transparent manner. No governance mumbo-jumbo. No, you know, a token feeding into some other token and some dynamic inflation, burning, minting stuff that has destroyed many people’s capital and brains, to be frank, over the last few years.” Related Reading: Next “Binance Killer”? Hyperliquid Now Dominates DeFi Derivatives, New Report Shows That framing is central to Apollo’s thesis. Kala’s argument is not simply that Hyperliquid has momentum, but that it has paired a working product with a token accrual model that traders can actually follow. In a sector where valuation stories often hinge on future governance or vague utility, he presented Hyperliquid as comparatively straightforward: trading activity generates revenue, and that revenue feeds token buybacks. He also pointed to adoption trends. According to Kala, “a lot of the volumes are going there,” while market makers and funds are increasingly using the platform. He argued that Hyperliquid has been superior “in many, many ways,” particularly in how it handles new listings, pre-markets and other product extensions. A major part of the bullish case, though, is HIP-3, which Kala said is already opening up tradable opportunities outside the usual crypto schedule. He described a weekend trade tied to news that OpenAI had secured a contract after Anthropic would not allow its AI technology to be used by the Department of Defense. Because the development broke while traditional markets were closed, Kala said most market participants were effectively stuck on the sidelines. “Personally, I made 50%. How? Because HIP3, OpenAI, Anthropic were both trading on HIP3,” he said. “Liquidity is not fantastic, but OpenAI went up 50% on the weekend. Anthropic was static, could have expected that you could have taken a spread trade where you can short Anthropic and long open AI. Do it on HIP3, you can make money, you can generate alpha.” That example gets to the broader point Apollo is making. HIP-3 is not being pitched merely as another product vertical, but as a venue where traders can express event-driven views in assets that are normally inaccessible when news breaks. Kala said the market now includes private-market trading as well as listed equities and commodities such as oil, gold and silver on weekends. Related Reading: Hyperliquid (HYPE) Eyes Native Token Issuance With Latest Upgrade Plan He offered one data point to show early traction: during a recent silver mania, HIP-3 briefly accounted for 1% to 2% of global silver volumes, despite having launched only around a month to six weeks earlier. For Kala, that signals not retail novelty but serious engagement from hedge funds, sophisticated investors and active portfolio managers looking for round-the-clock execution. He added that HIP-3 revenues are split 50-50 between deployed markets and Hyperliquid, with Hyperliquid’s share feeding back into HYPE buybacks. From Apollo’s perspective, that strengthens the flywheel rather than diluting it. Kala also flagged what could come next. He said HIP-4, focused on prediction markets and options, could push the platform further, while regulatory shifts in the US may eventually open a path for a KYC-compliant version there. Competition exists, he acknowledged, including from rival platforms such as Lighter. But in Apollo’s view, Hyperliquid has already done something harder than launching a new venue: it has captured trader attention, liquidity and, increasingly, loyalty. At press time, HYPE traded at $30.485. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
The bill establishes Florida-centric consumer protections and safeguards against money laundering
Nevin Shetty was convicted of wire fraud related to secretly moving $35 million in funds from a Seattle startup to his own crypto platform in 2022 to use for DeFi investments.
Google says Anthropic AI models will remain available on Google Cloud despite Pentagon restrictions limiting defense use of Claude systems.
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Grammarly's “Expert Review” feature uses AI to give feedback through the lens of noted writers and scholars—some of whom are no longer living.
Washington lawmakers are moving on multiple fronts to curb the most politically toxic corners of prediction markets after millions of dollars flowed into bets tied to US-linked military action in Iran. Over the past week, several Democratic lawmakers have been pursuing multiple paths to rein in the fast-rising business. One effort, led by Rep. Mike […]
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Florida passes stablecoin bill creating licensing and compliance rules for issuers awaiting Gov. Ron DeSantis signature.
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