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#prediction markets

The EU's call for reopening the Strait of Hormuz highlights its role in stabilizing global trade and supporting diplomatic resolutions.
The post EU calls for Strait of Hormuz reopening amid US-Iran ceasefire appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#ethereum #crypto #eth #eth price #ethereum price analysis #crypto news #ethereum news #ethereum price forecast #ethereum price chart #ethereum price news #eth price news

Ethereum (ETH) slid on Tuesday, trading just above $2,080 as the wider crypto market weakened — a level well shy of a critical threshold identified by expert Ali Martinez as the trigger for a sustained macro bull run.  In a breakdown shared on social media platform X, Martinez argued that reclaiming a realized price near $2,500 would mark the moment the average holder returns to profit and signal the end of the market’s “cooling period,” opening the door to a renewed, extended rally. Technical Crossroads For Ethereum Martinez framed the current price action in technical terms, suggesting Ethereum could be forming an ascending triangle. In that scenario, he places a “line in the sand” at roughly $1,800, and notes that this figure overlaps closely with the 0.80 MVRV pricing band at about $1,880.  MVRV, or Market Value to Realized Value, compares an asset’s market price with the average price paid for the asset by holders; Martinez describes the 0.80 band as an “Average Receipt” indicator that has historically marked cycle bottoms.  When the band is reached, he said, Ethereum and the broader cryptocurrency market is often in a state of “extreme pain,” a phase in which selling tends to exhaust itself and long-term holders step in. Related Reading: Bitcoin Rainbow Chart Says Price Is Ranging Above $60,000 For A Reason, Here’s Why Beyond the ascending triangle scenario, Martinez acknowledged a more bearish alternative. If Ethereum’s price is actually confined within a parallel channel rather than an ascending triangle, he warned that a deeper reset is possible.  In that case, he is watching the channel’s outer limits at approximately $1,550 and $1,070. To support these observations, he pointed to the URPD — the UTXO Realized Price Distribution, a tool that maps the prices at which existing ETH last moved.  Martinez calls this distribution “the market’s memory,” because it identifies levels where large clusters of coins were acquired and where defending buy pressure is likely to appear. $4,900 Near‑Term And $5,900 Longer‑Term  According to Martinez’s URPD read, the most significant buy walls below the 0.80 MVRV band are at roughly $1,584, $1,238, and $1,089. These price clusters, if tested, could generate meaningful support as holders who bought at those levels attempt to defend their positions.  Martinez believes accumulation is likely to occur in the “low‑thousands”; however, he asserted that the “start engine” for the next major upward leg is Ethereum reclaiming its realized price at $2,500.  If Ethereum can break and sustain above $2,500, Martinez says the technical and on‑chain signals would point toward a “target‑rich environment.”  Related Reading: Underdog Bitcoin Miner Bags $210,000 BTC In Stunning Block Discovery His analysis places a near-term upside toward $4,900— a level he ties to the structure of the ascending triangle — and ultimately toward the 2.40 MVRV band, near $5,900, which would represent a new all-time high for the Ethereum price.  Reaching those zones, in the expert’s view, would confirm that average holders are back in profit and that the market has shifted decisively from accumulation to a broader speculative phase. Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com

#price analysis #altcoins

The Zcash price has displayed an exceptional rise of nearly 23% in the past 24 hours, reaching $322.50 with a nearly 200% increase in volume. The token is pushing higher, but this isn’t the breakout that traders were hoping for. After weeks of consolidation, the price has surged into a critical resistance zone near $330. …

#ethereum #bitcoin #price analysis #crypto news

The crypto rally is accelerating, with Bitcoin price sprinting toward $72,000 as markets react to a sharp improvement in global sentiment following ceasefire developments. This shift has triggered a risk-on wave across financial markets, with crypto leading the move. Unlike previous rebounds, this rally is showing clear strength and follow-through, not hesitation. But what exactly …

#prediction markets

The intensified SERE training underscores the likelihood of prolonged military engagement, with significant geopolitical and market implications.
The post US forces intensify SERE training amid heightened Iran conflict risks appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#latest news

Ethereum could see $850 billion in “new flows” by 2030 if the trend continues, according to Token Terminal.

#latest news

Lookonchain noted that the “yes” bets were placed at probabilities between 2.9% and 10.3%, with the three wallets placing their first bets within 26 hours of the announcement.

#latest news

Australia passed legislation on April 1, bringing digital asset and tokenized custody platforms under its financial services licensing regime.

#crypto etf #short news

On April 7, major crypto ETFs saw uneven investor activity. Bitcoin spot ETFs recorded a $159 million net outflow, and Ethereum spot ETFs shed $64.67 million, reflecting short-term selling pressure. Solana (SOL) spot ETFs also saw a $15.40 million outflow, while XRP spot ETFs bucked the trend with a $3.32 million net inflow, showing selective …

#policy #sec #regulation

The SEC said it addressed past enforcement flaws by dismissing seven crypto cases, including those against Binance and Coinbase.

#prediction markets

The planned talks could stabilize regional tensions, but Iran's demands and military losses may complicate achieving a lasting peace agreement.
The post Iran plans US talks in Islamabad, claims war objectives mostly achieved appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#markets #news #bitcoin news

Morgan Stanley's bitcoin ETF could start trading on NYSE on Wednesday under the ticker MSBT.

#cardano #ada #adausdt #cardano whales

On-chain data shows the Cardano network has witnessed a surge in large wallets over the last couple of months, a sign that big-money hands have flowed in. Cardano Wallets With More Than 10 Million Tokens Have Grown In Count As highlighted by on-chain analytics firm Santiment in an X post, Cardano whales have hit a 4-month high count. The indicator of interest here is the “Supply Distribution,” which measures the total number of addresses that belong to a particular coin group. Related Reading: XRP 1-Year MVRV Falls To -41%, Lowest Since FTX Crash Investors are divided into these cohorts based on the number of tokens that they are carrying in their balance. The 1 to 10 coins group, for example, includes all addresses holding between 1 and 10 ADA. In the context of the current topic, the cohort of interest is the one with a lower limit of 10 million ADA and no upper limit. At the current exchange rate, its cutoff converts to $2.4 million, which is a sizeable amount. Thus, only the big-money holders will be able to qualify for it. Such investors are popularly known as the whales. Now, here is the chart shared by Santiment that shows the trend in the Supply Distribution of the Cardano whales over the last few months: As displayed in the above graph, the Cardano Supply Distribution for the 10 million+ ADA holders has risen recently, suggesting that new large traders have joined the network. Over the last nine weeks, the indicator has gone up by 5.2%, reaching a high of 424. This is the most number of whales on the ADA network since December 6th. Naturally, the larger presence of the whales can be bullish for the cryptocurrency. “Even though it has not decoupled from other altcoins yet in 2026, its market value is +11% since it bottomed out back on February 5th,” explained the analytics firm. Though, while whales have have been flowing into the network over the last couple of months, the Supply Distribution could still be to keep an eye on, as it often doesn’t take much for a quick reversal to occur. From the chart, it’s visible that the metric saw a sudden plunge back at the end of January, coinciding with the market crash. Related Reading: These 3 Signals Mark Bear Market Exits—Bitcoin Has Yet To Trigger Them Cardano isn’t the only altcoin that has witnessed movement from the whales recently. As pointed out by analyst Ali Martinez in an X post, Dogecoin whales participated in net buying of 500 million tokens last week. This accumulation came while the DOGE spot price was facing a classic squeeze from the Bollinger Bands. “When whales buy during a squeeze, they are usually positioning for the breakout,” noted Martinez. ADA Price At the time of writing, Cardano is floating around $0.24, down more than 4% in the last 24 hours. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView.com

#market analysis

Ethereum analysts said buyers were back in control, but holding the $2,000 support was key to reversing the market structure.

#news #tech

One paper finds that attacking the bitcoin blockchain through quantum mining would demand the energy output of a star. Another replicates every major "quantum factoring breakthrough" using a 1981 home computer and a dog.

#prediction markets

The incident underscores Iran's strategic pressure tactics, impacting market perceptions of regime stability and regional conflict dynamics.
The post Iran drone attack on Bahraini facility extinguished with no casualties appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#prediction markets

Iran's sustained influence amid military setbacks complicates geopolitical stability, challenging ceasefire prospects and market predictions.
The post Iran maintains regional influence despite military setbacks, complicating ceasefire appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#solana #technical analysis #sol #solusd #solusdt #solbtc

Solana started a fresh increase above the $82 zone. SOL price is now consolidating near $85 and might aim for more gains above the $88 zone. SOL price started a fresh upward move above the $82 and $85 levels against the US Dollar. The price is now trading above $82 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There was a break above a bullish flag pattern with resistance at $80.00 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could extend gains if it clears the $88 resistance zone. Solana Price Rallies Over 5% Solana price started a decent increase after it settled above the $82 zone, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. SOL climbed above the $85 level to enter a short-term positive zone. Earlier, there was a break above a bullish flag pattern with resistance at $80.00 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair. The price even smashed the $86.50 resistance. A high was formed at $87.04, and the price is now consolidating gains. There was a minor decline below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent upward move from the $78.38 swing low to the $87.04 high. Solana is now trading above $82 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. On the upside, the price is facing resistance near $85. The next major resistance is near the $88 level. The main resistance could be $95. A successful close above the $95 resistance zone could set the pace for another steady increase. The next key resistance is $102. Any more gains might send the price toward the $112 level. Downside Correction In SOL? If SOL fails to rise above the $88 resistance, it could start another decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $83.75 zone. The first major support is near the $82.70 level and the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent upward move from the $78.38 swing low to the $87.04 high. A break below the $82.70 level might send the price toward the $80 support zone. If there is a close below the $80 support, the price could decline toward the $75 support in the near term. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for SOL/USD is losing pace in the bullish zone. Hourly Hours RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for SOL/USD is above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $82.70 and $80.00 Major Resistance Levels – $85.00 and $88.00.

#prediction markets

The ceasefire signals a potential shift towards diplomacy, impacting global oil markets and reducing speculative trading opportunities.
The post Iran agrees to 14-day ceasefire contingent on Strait of Hormuz reopening appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#crypto #stablecoin #stablecoins #crypto market #cryptocurrency #fdic #stablecoin bill #crypto news #stablecoin news #genius act #genius act news

The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) has moved to translate the country’s first crypto bill for stablecoins, the GENIUS Act, into concrete regulatory guidance for banks and their fintech subsidiaries that wish to use or issue stablecoins.  In a notice of proposed rulemaking approved by the FDIC Board, the agency lays out “a prudential framework” for FDIC‑supervised permitted payment stablecoin issuers (PPSIs) and for insured depository institutions (IDIs) that provide custodial or safekeeping services tied to payment stablecoins. FDIC Issues GENIUS Act Rules The proposal addresses several core areas required under the GENIUS Act, including the composition and treatment of reserve assets, redemption mechanics, capital considerations, and enterprise‑level risk management expectations.  It also clarifies how deposit insurance will apply to funds held as reserves backing payment stablecoins: the FDIC would make clear whether pass‑through insurance applies in those circumstances.  Related Reading: Ethereum Ascending Channel Puts Price At $5,700, Analyst Reveals When To Sell In addition, the rule states that tokenized deposits that meet the statutory definition of “deposit” will be treated under the Federal Deposit Insurance Act the same as any other deposits, removing uncertainty about whether digital‑native forms of deposits would face different treatment. The FDIC’s rulemaking is narrowly focused on entities subject to its supervision: subsidiaries of insured State nonmember banks and state savings associations, collectively described as FDIC‑supervised IDIs, that receive approval to issue stablecoins through a subsidiary.  Last December, the agency published a prior notice of proposed rulemaking under section 5 of the GENIUS Act to establish application procedures for such IDIs seeking approval to issue payment stablecoins. AML Certification For Stablecoin Issuers On capital, the FDIC is not yet prescribing a specific minimum capital amount, ratio, or an objective framework for minimum capital requirements. Instead, the agency is soliciting feedback on whether to create such a framework in future regulations.  The proposed rule would also require a permitted payment stablecoin issuer to certify that it has implemented anti‑money‑laundering (AML) and sanctions compliance programs reasonably designed to prevent the issuer from facilitating money laundering or the financing of terrorism.  Related Reading: Forget XRP Price Weakness, Investors Are Still Pouring In, And Wallet Figures Just Hit An Impressive Target The 197-page proposal further addresses technical and supervisory questions that have been a source of concern among stablecoin issuers, while leaving open some of the more complex calibration issues, like minimum capital quantification, for further consideration through the public comment process. By proposing this package of rules, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation is advancing the statutory mandate under the GENIUS Act to build a federal regulatory framework for payment stablecoins.  The act requires the FDIC, alongside the other primary federal payment stablecoin regulators and the Department of the Treasury, to promulgate regulations establishing prudential standards for supervised entities that issue or materially support payment stablecoins. Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com 

#policy #crime #legal #roman storm #crypto ecosystems #tornado-cash

Prosecutors said the Supreme Court ruling cited by attorneys representing Tornado Cash developer Roman Storm was 'inapposite' to the case.

#markets #news

Breakout backed by institutional flows and whale buying, though broader downtrend and weak ETF demand cap conviction.

#latest news

The Morgan Stanley Bitcoin Trust will be the cheapest Bitcoin ETF on the market at an ultra-low 0.14% fee.

#prediction markets

Shifting trader sentiment and geopolitical tensions may drive volatility, influencing Bitcoin's future trajectory and market dynamics.
The post Bitcoin spot ETFs see $159M outflow, XRP ETFs gain $3.3M appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#prediction markets

The missile launch underscores escalating tensions, reinforcing the likelihood of U.S. military involvement in Iran, impacting regional stability.
The post Islamic Resistance in Iraq targets US bases with Al-Arqab missile launch appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#prediction markets

Congressional approval demand highlights potential checks on executive military power, impacting U.S. foreign policy and market stability.
The post Republicans urge Trump to seek Congress approval for Iran military actions appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#latest news

AI models have reached a level of coding capability where they can surpass all but the most skilled humans at finding and exploiting software vulnerabilities, Anthropic said.

#ripple #xrp #xrpusd #xrpusdt #xrpbtc

XRP price started a decent increase above $1.3650. The price is now consolidating gains and might aim for more gains above the $1.40 zone. XRP price started a steady upward move above the $1.380 zone. The price is now trading above $1.3550 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There was a break above a bearish trend line with resistance at $1.3350 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could continue to move up if it settles above $1.40. XRP Price Recovers Some Ground XRP price started a fresh upward move above $1.350 and $1.3550, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price gained pace for a clear move above the $1.3650 resistance. There was a break above a bearish trend line with resistance at $1.3350 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair. The bulls even pumped the price toward the $1.3880 zone. A high was formed at $1.3963 and the price started a minor pullback. There was a drop below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $1.2940 swing low to the $1.3963 high. The price is now trading above $1.3550 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. If there is a fresh upward move, the price might face resistance near the $1.3820 level. The first major resistance is near the $1.3880 level, above which the price could rise and test $1.40. A clear move above the $1.40 resistance might send the price toward the $1.4250 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $1.4450 resistance. The next major hurdle for the bulls might be near $1.4650. Downside Correction? If XRP fails to clear the $1.3880 resistance zone, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $1.3575 level. The next major support is near the $1.3330 level or the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $1.2940 swing low to the $1.3963 high. If there is a downside break and a close below the $1.3330 level, the price might continue to decline toward $1.3080. The next major support sits near the $1.3020 zone, below which the price could continue lower toward $1.2880. The main support could be $1.2750. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for XRP/USD is now losing pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for XRP/USD is now above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $1.3575 and $1.3330. Major Resistance Levels – $1.3880 and $1.40.

#markets #news

Short sellers betting on continued war escalation lost $427 million in 24 hours as bitcoin vaulted past $72,000 on the ceasefire announcement.

#prediction markets

Trump's statement significantly alters geopolitical dynamics, increasing market confidence in a sustained US-Iran ceasefire, yet risks remain.
The post Trump’s Iran uranium statement boosts ceasefire prospects appeared first on Crypto Briefing.