Mike Novogratz said “of course” Bitcoin could reach $200,000 if the Federal Reserve adopts a highly dovish stance following a leadership change.
A recent report from Bloomberg has unveiled a striking decline in corporate investment in crypto treasuries, highlighting a significant shift in this new trend that has considerably taken the market by storm throughout the year. Purchases by publicly traded digital-asset treasuries have plummeted dramatically, from 64,000 Bitcoin (BTC) in July to just 12,600 in August, with September’s figures currently at around 15,500. This drop represents a major 76% decrease from the fervor of early summer. Crypto Treasury Firms Valuation Sinks The broader cryptocurrency market has faced additional challenges, with Bitcoin experiencing nearly a 6% decline over the past week, exacerbated by a broader selloff characterized by sudden liquidations. Shares in some treasuries that previously raised capital through PIPE (Private Investment in Public Equity) deals have seen valuations plummet, with some trading down as much as 97% below their initial issuance prices. Related Reading: Dogecoin (DOGE) On The Brink Of A Major Breakout: 800% Rally In Sight One of the reasons behind this shift is regulatory scrutiny, with reports indicating that US authorities are now investigating “unusual trading activity” within digital-asset treasury shares ahead of their acquisitions. Markus Thielen, head of 10x Research, alleges that there is limited transparency regarding the crypto acquisition prices of the underlying tokens and the actual share counts, particularly since many PIPE deals include warrants that complicate matters with their volatility and dilution effects. The valuations of some treasury firms, which once enjoyed high market premiums, have drastically declined, with their market value approaching the actual Bitcoin they hold. This shift is measured by the market-cap-to-NAV (net asset value) multiple, which now reflects a concerning trend: the disconnect between stock prices and the value of Bitcoin reserves is closing. Diminished Institutional Support As corporate buyers retreat, Bloomberg asserts that the crypto market is experiencing a “feedback loop” that diminishes institutional support. The report alleges that this absence of a stable capital source undermines demand, leading to a more precarious market environment. The current landscape has given rise to a “two-speed market.” On one hand, derivative markets exhibit significant stress, with demand for longer-dated futures collapsing and $275 million worth of Bitcoin longs liquidated in just 24 hours. Related Reading: Expert Prediction: Bitcoin Price Could Hit $200,000 By June 2026, Claiming 50% Probability Conversely, crypto-related products continue to attract investment, as evidenced by the iShares Bitcoin Trust exchange-traded fund (ETF), which garnered $2.5 billion in inflows in September, a substantial increase from $707 million the previous month. Jeff Dorman, chief investment officer at Arca, emphasized that the current weakness in the crypto market is likely a consequence of diminished activity from digital asset treasuries rather than a direct cause of selling pressure. The reduction of these major buyers, he contends, has created a more cautious market environment. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
The cryptocurrency derivatives market has been hit hard by the latest bearish continuation in Bitcoin and others as mass liquidations have hit exchanges. Crypto Liquidations Have Neared $1 Billion Over The Last 24 Hours According to data from CoinGlass, a massive amount of liquidations have occurred in the cryptocurrency derivatives market during the past day. A “liquidation” occurs when an open contract exceeds a certain loss threshold defined by the exchange and undergoes forceful closure. Related Reading: Chainlink (LINK) Triangle Setup Points To $100, Says Analyst Due to the volatility that Bitcoin and other assets have experienced over the last 24 hours, a huge amount of contracts have crossed this threshold. Below is a table that breaks down the relevant numbers related to these liquidations. As is visible, cryptocurrency liquidations have totaled at $967 million inside this window, which is a pretty significant amount. Since the price action in the past day has majorly been in the bearish direction, the positions most affected would be the bullish bets. And indeed, as the data shows, $849 million of the liquidations, representing almost 88% of the total, involved long investors. Ethereum has recently been dominating speculative activity in the market, and it seems the asset has topped the charts during this derivatives flush as well, with $309 million in liquidations. Bitcoin has come second with around $246 million. A mass liquidation event like this latest one isn’t a rare occurrence in the cryptocurrency sector, mainly due to two reasons: coins can be volatile on the regular and extreme amounts of leverage can be easily accessible. Such an event, where a cascade of liquidations occurs, is known as a squeeze. As longs were the party most seriously affected in the latest squeeze, the event would be termed as a long squeeze. This is the second long squeeze that the market has suffered this week, with the other one arriving during Bitcoin’s Monday plummet to $112,000. Here is a chart shared by on-chain analytics firm Glassnode that shows how the previous long squeeze compared against this latest one for Bitcoin: According to Glassnode, the two large long squeezes could actually help prevent more such events in the near future. “This flush of leverage reflects a broad deleveraging event, often resetting market positioning and easing the risk of further cascades,” explains the analytics firm. Related Reading: Dogecoin Down 18%, But Whale Withdraws 122 Million DOGE From Binance It now remains to be seen whether the liquidations will be enough to bring a calm to the market, or if there is more volatility ahead for Bitcoin and others. Bitcoin Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading around $109,200, down more than 6% over the last week. Featured image from Dall-E, CoinGlass.com, Glassnode.com, chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin’s spot price movement throughout the third quarter of 2025 and its recent dip align closely with the cycle structure seen in 2017. Throughout the summer, Bitcoin oscillated in a consolidation range between $100,000 and $115,000, forming a technical base at $107,000 while market momentum mirrored the 2017 correction and subsequent rally. Bitcoin has held […]
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Raoul Pal believes the crypto cycle is not nearing a peak but entering a longer, more powerful expansion that can run well into 2026, driven by a global liquidity uptrend tied to government debt dynamics. In a special Sept. 25 “Everything Code” masterclass with Global Macro Investor (GMI) head of macro research Julien Bittel, the Real Vision co-founder laid out a tightly interlocked framework connecting demographics, debt, liquidity and the business cycle to asset returns—arguing that crypto and tech remain the only asset classes structurally capable of outpacing what he calls the hidden debasement of fiat. Everything Code: Liquidity Is Crypto’s Master Switch “The biggest macro variable of all time,” Pal said, “is that global governments and central banks are increasing liquidity to manage debt at 8% a year.” He separated that ongoing debasement from measured inflation, warning investors to think in hurdle rates, not headlines: “You’ve got an 11% hurdle rate on any investment that you have. If your investments are not hitting 11% you are getting poorer.” Pal and Bittel’s “Everything Code” starts with trend GDP as the sum of population growth, productivity and debt growth. With working-age populations declining and productivity subdued, public debt has filled the gap—structurally lifting debt-to-GDP and hard-wiring the need for liquidity. “Demographics are destiny,” Pal said, pointing to a falling labor-force participation rate that, in GMI’s work, mirrors the inexorable rise in government debt as a share of GDP. The bridge between the two, they argue, is the liquidity toolkit—balance sheets, the Treasury General Account (TGA), reverse repos and banking-system channels—deployed in cycles to finance interest costs that the economy cannot organically bear. “If trend growth is ~2% and rates are 4%, that gap has to be monetized,” Pal said. “It’s a story as old as the hills.” Related Reading: All-Time Highs For Gold, S&P500; Crypto Stands Alone In The Red – What’s The Root Cause? Bittel then mapped what he called the “dominoes.” GMI’s Financial Conditions Index—an econometric blend of commodities, the dollar and rates—leads total liquidity by roughly three months; total liquidity leads the ISM manufacturing index by about six months; and the ISM, in turn, sets the tone for earnings, cyclicals and crypto beta. “Our job is to live in the future,” Bittel said. “Financial conditions lead the ISM by nine months. Liquidity leads by six. That sequence is what risk markets actually trade.” In that sequence, crypto is not an outlier but a high-beta macro asset. “Bitcoin is the ISM,” Bittel said, noting that the same diffusion-index dynamics that govern small-cap equities, cyclicals, crude and emerging markets also map onto BTC and ETH. As the cycle accelerates from sub-50 ISM toward the high-50s, risk appetite migrates down the curve: first from BTC into ETH, then into large alternative L1s and, only later, into smaller caps—coinciding with falling BTC dominance. Pal cautioned investors who expect “instant altseason” that they are fighting the phasing of the real economy: “It always goes into the next safest asset first… only when the ISM is really pushing higher and dominance is falling hard do you get the rest.” Part of the recent “sideways chop,” they argued, reflected a sharp TGA rebuild—an exogenous liquidity drain that disproportionately impacts the far end of the risk curve. Bittel highlighted that the $500 billion rate of change since mid-July effectively removed fuel that otherwise would have buoyed crypto prices, while stressing that the drain is nearing an inflection. He also flagged DeMark timing signals pointing to a reversal in the TGA’s contribution to net liquidity. “That should now reverse and work lower into year-end, which then will drive our liquidity composites higher,” he said, adding that the People’s Bank of China’s balance sheet at all-time highs has partially offset US drags. Against that backdrop, the pair contend that the forthcoming 12 months are critical. “We’ve got $9 trillion of debt to roll over the next 12 months,” Pal said. “This is the 12 months where maximum money printing comes.” Their base case has policy rates moving lower into a still-subdued but improving cycle, with central banks focused on lagging mandates—unemployment and core services inflation—while early-cycle inflation breadth remains contained. Bittel underscored the sequencing inside inflation itself: commodities first, then goods, with shelter disinflation mechanically lagging, giving central banks cover to cut even as growth accelerates. The implication for portfolio construction, Pal argued, is radical. “Diversification is dead. The best thing is hyper-concentration,” he said, framing the choice not as a taste for volatility but as arithmetic survival against debasement. In GMI’s long-horizon tables, most traditional assets underperform the combined debasement-plus-inflation hurdle, while the Nasdaq earns excess returns over liquidity and Bitcoin dwarfs both. “What is the point of owning any other asset?” Pal asked rhetorically. “This is the super-massive black hole of assets, which is why we personally are all-in on crypto… It’s the greatest macro trade of all time.” Related Reading: Crypto Bloodbath Shakes Market—But Is The Real Storm Still To Come? Bittel overlaid Bitcoin’s log-regression channel—what Pal called the “network adoption rails”—on the ISM to illustrate how time and cycle amplitude interact. Because adoption drifts price targets higher through time, longer cycles mechanically point to higher potential outcomes. He showed illustrative channel levels tied to hypothetical ISM prints to explain the mechanism, from mid-$200Ks if the ISM rises into the low-50s to materially higher if the cycle extends toward the low-60s. The numbers were not presented as forecasts but as a map for how cycle strength translates into range-bound fair value bands. Macro Liquidity Extends The Crypto Bull Run Critically, Pal and Bittel argued the current cycle differs from 2020–2021, when both liquidity and the ISM peaked in March 2021, truncating the run. Today, they say, liquidity is re-accelerating into the debt-refinancing window and the ISM is still below 50 with forward indicators pointing up, setting up a 2017-style Q4 impulse with seasonal tailwinds—and, unlike 2017, a higher probability that strength spills into 2026 because the refinancing cycle itself has lengthened. “It is extremely unlikely that it tops this year,” Pal said. “The ISM just isn’t there, and global liquidity isn’t either.” The framework also locates crypto within a broader secular S-curve. Pal contrasted fiat debasement, which lifts asset prices, with GDP-anchored earnings and wages, which lag—explaining why traditional valuation optics look stretched and why owning long-duration, network-effect assets becomes existential. He placed crypto’s user growth at roughly double the internet’s at a comparable stage and argued that tokens uniquely allow investors to own the infrastructure layer of the next web. On total addressable value, he applied the same log-trend framing to the entire digital asset market, sketching a path from roughly $4 trillion today toward a potential $100 trillion by the early 2030s if the space tracks its “fair value” adoption channel, with Bitcoin ultimately occupying a role analogous to gold inside a much larger digital asset stack. Pal closed with operational advice consistent with a longer, liquidity-driven expansion: maintain exposure to proven, large-cap crypto networks, avoid leverage that forces capitulation during routine 20–30% drawdowns, and match time horizon to the macro clock rather than headlines. “We’re four percent of the way there,” he said. “Your job is to not mess this up.” At press time, the total crypto market cap stood at $3.67 trillion. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Circle's on-chain refund protocol could enhance trust and adoption of stablecoins by aligning blockchain transactions with traditional banking safeguards.
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Bitcoin struggles to recover and rally despite favorable macroeconomic trends that have sent stock prices higher. What will it take to overcome $110,000?
The strong debut of T-Rex's ETF highlights increasing institutional interest in leveraged crypto products, signaling a shift in investment trends.
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Bitcoin and Gold as stores of value often boil down to a single, critical distinction in the digital era of mobility. This portability transforms BTC from just a digital gold narrative into a living, breathing monetary network that gold can never match. According to mhar_leeck’s perspective on X, the true evolution of BTC lies in its capacity as a platform for innovation, to move, evolve, and even teach. Unlike gold, which stays locked away, this narrative confines the asset to a passive role. The Build on Bitcoin (BOB) layer 2 solution is presented as the crucial technology that enables this shift. Build On Bitcoin Powering The Narrative Furthermore, by creating a new, more expressive layer on top of BTC, BOB turns the theory of a programmable BTC into a practical reality. This combination is often referred to as a hybrid L2, which allows builders to transition from simply reading about decentralized finance (DeFi) to experimenting, testing, and creating in real-time. Related Reading: Bitcoin Poised To Rival Gold In Central Bank Vaults By 2030: Deutsche Bank The unlocking of BTC’s liquidity extends beyond its use in high-throughput applications. It is about unlocking a space for true innovation, where every project sparks, and momentum keeps building. Mhar_leeck noted that the most exciting next chapter for BTC is not about simply holding the asset, but about actively building on it. Crypto Sinan has also stated that he has been in BOB for a while now, and the ride has been nothing short of exciting. The promise of BTC actually working across DeFi with one click highlights the focus on user experience, and no wrapped tokens or shady bridges that introduce new trust assumptions. However, by bridging the liquidity of both BTC security and ETH-grade flexibility, BOB opens the door to a wide range of yield-generating opportunities. As a result of allowing native BTC moves to earn multichain yield without the risks of opaque wrapping solutions, and a growing community that feels like it is building the future in real-time. “If you still think BTC is only a static store of value, maybe BOB is the place where you will finally see the digital gold become productive gold.” Crypto Sinan mentioned. The Biggest Profit-Take In Bitcoin History Bitcoin continues to experience bearish action, impacting investors’ sentiment. Niels, the co-founder of Tedlabsio, has revealed that Bitcoin’s Long-Term Holders (LTHs) are cashing in a historic amount of coins than ever before. Related Reading: Bitcoin Is Not Done Yet Despite Price Crash To $112,000, Here’s Why In this cycle, BTC Long-Term Holders have realized a record amount of profit, totaling an enormous 3.4 million BTC, larger than the profit realized in any previous bull run. However, in past cycles, sell pressure has barely dented the price structure, which signifies that despite seasoned investors taking record profits, the underlying demand is absorbing it all. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com
XRP consolidated near $2.75 with bearish pressure looming. Onchain data and liquidity compression suggest a possible dip before a price rebound.
Demand for XRP on the CME derivatives exchange continues to rise, providing a bullish outlook for the altcoin. This comes ahead of the potential approval of the XRP ETFs, which could further spark institutional demand for XRP. CME XRP Futures Hit New Milestone In an X post, the CME group announced that it has hit its four-month milestone for XRP futures, with a notional trading volume of $18.3 billion, 6 billion XRP traded, and 397,000 contracts traded. This again highlights the demand for the altcoin, with the derivatives exchange previously stating that the altcoin’s futures products have shown demand from both institutional and retail participants. Related Reading: Institutional Investors Are Heavily Accumulating XRP And Solana – Here Are The Numbers Notably, the CME XRP futures crossed $1 billion in open interest (OI) last month, with the altcoin becoming the fastest-ever contract to do so, having hit the mark in just three months. Amid the demand for the altcoin on the derivatives exchange, CME has announced plans to launch options trading on the XRP futures on October 13. This is expected to further boost the demand on the CME exchange, which is a positive for the altcoin. This new milestone for XRP futures comes just ahead of the potential launch of XRP ETFs under the 33 Act, which will also elevate institutional interest in the altcoin. Fund issuers are expected to file amendments for their respective funds as soon as the end of this week. This comes amid the SEC’s approval of the generic listing standards, which could enable these XRP ETFs to launch earlier. If that doesn’t happen, the focus will shift to Grayscale’s October 18 deadline, which is the first final deadline among all seven XRP filings. The commission could approve these funds simultaneously, just as it did with the Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs. Massive Demand Expected For The ETFs It is worth mentioning that market expert Nate Geraci had previously alluded to the success of the CME XRP futures as one of the reasons he believes people are underestimating the demand the spot XRP ETFs may record. He also noted at the time that there was already over $800 million in futures-based XRP ETFs. Related Reading: XRP Goes Head-To-Head With Bitcoin In This Metric As South Korean Market Wakes Up In another X post, Geraci doubled down on his statement that people are “severely” underestimating the investor demand for the spot XRP ETFs. He noted how a similar thing happened with the spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs, which have so far exceeded expectations. Canary Capital CEO Steven McClurg also has high expectations for the XRP ETFs, predicting that they could record up to $5 billion in inflows in their first month. He also believes that they could outperform the Ethereum ETFs in the process. At the time of writing, the altcoin price is trading at around $2.75, down over 3% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from iStock, chart from Tradingview.com
Moody’s warns “cryptoization” is undermining monetary policy and bank deposits in emerging markets amid uneven regulatory oversight.
Story Protocol says that it can turn intellectual property into Legos, but some users’ dreams were shattered on Thursday.
MGX, which previously bought $2 billion of World Liberty Financial's USD1, and Oracle will control nearly half of TikTok’s U.S. arm as American firms secure majority ownership.
Plasma’s XPL token posted a 113% recovery to $1.54 within hours of crashing from $0.93 to $0.7218 following its Sept. 25 mainnet launch. The initial crash likely resulted from selling pressure as users who received network airdrops liquidated their positions. Overcoming sell pressure According to reports on X, users received a minimum of 9,304 XPL […]
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Though she said she was joking about “becoming an NFT creator” after her time at the SEC, the commissioner signaled she was working “to get crypto policy right” first.
High stablecoin market growth in 2025 signals a $1.9 trillion base case and a $4 trillion bull case by 2030, Citi's analysts said.
As Ethereum (ETH) fell below $4,000 for the first time since August 8, amid a market-wide pullback, the exchange reserves of the cryptocurrency also recorded a sharp decline. Notably, leading crypto exchanges like Binance and Coinbase Advanced witnessed a sharp increase in ETH outflows. Ethereum Reserves On Binance, Coinbase Advanced Dwindle According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor CryptoOnchain, Ethereum outflows across all leading crypto exchanges have surged. In August-September 2025, the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) netflow fell below -40,000 ETH per day, the lowest level since February 2023. Related Reading: Ethereum Close To Local Bottom? Analyst Flags Drop In Binance Open Interest The 50-day SMA dropping below -40,000 ETH per day signified reduced spot market supply and potential upward price pressure. The analyst shared the following chart to explain this dynamic. Meanwhile, data from Binance crypto exchange shows netflow fluctuations over the past two years, oscillating between positive and negative values. However, a clear move towards heavy outflows has emerged in recent months. The following chart shows how the 50-day SMA has reached its lowest level in two years on Binance. This indicates diminished liquid holdings on Binance, in line with the broader market trend. A similar trend can be observed on Coinbase Advanced, a top crypto trading platform that primarily serves institutional investors and US-based clients. Here, the 50-day SMA has dropped to around -20,000 to -25,000 ETH, recording the lowest level ever for this exchange. The CryptoQuant contributor noted that the significant decline on Coinbase Advanced since early summer 2025 indicates large-scale asset transfers. Presumably, these are done by institutional investors into cold wallets or non-custodial platforms. CryptoOnchain concluded by saying that the combination of multi-year lows at Binance, coupled with all-time lows at Coinbase Advanced, signals a structural, market-wide trend of ETH withdrawals from exchanges. They added: This kind of liquidity drain typically reduces immediate supply and sets the stage for potential medium‑term bullish moves – provided demand in the market rises. ETH Whales Preparing For Another Rally? Although ETH’s momentum has turned bearish over the past few weeks, on-chain data reveals that ETH whales – wallets with significant ETH holdings – are quietly accumulating the digital asset ahead of another potential rally. Related Reading: Ethereum On-Chain Bloodbath: Rugs And Scams Erode Retail Confidence, What To Know Most recently, crypto analyst Darkfost highlighted that ETH accumulator addresses are rising at an unprecedented rate. Notably, close to 400,000 ETH was added to these specialized wallets on September 24. ETH whales accumulating the digital asset despite its subpar price performance over the past few weeks is not surprising, as bullish macroeconomic prospects point toward a potential upcoming rally for the cryptocurrency. At press time, ETH trades at $3,900, down 2.8% in the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant and TradingView.com
China has launched a new operations center in Shanghai dedicated to advancing the digital yuan. The People’s Bank of China announced the opening on Sept. 25, describing it as a step to expand the digital yuan’s role in global finance. The center will focus on cross-border payments, blockchain services, and digital asset platforms. According to […]
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Bitcoin is down 5%, its sharpest weekly drop since March, but October seasonality and long-term holder stability suggest a potential recovery ahead.
SoftBank and ARK are reportedly eyeing an investment in Tether, a move that could value the stablecoin issuer at up to $500 billion as it diversifies beyond USDT.
The industry’s largest stablecoin issuer, Tether (USDT), is reportedly in discussions with a series of leading firms including SoftBank Group and Ark Investment Management, for a significant funding round aimed at raising between $15 billion and $20 billion. This capital influx could potentially value the company at an astonishing $500 billion. Bloomberg News first reported these developments, indicating that Tether is exploring private placement opportunities to solidify its position in the market. SoftBank And Ark Invest’s Potential Involvement Per the report, the involvement of SoftBank and Ark could significantly enhance Tether’s credibility in the eyes of mainstream investors, particularly as the company seeks to overcome previous scrutiny regarding its role in the cryptocurrency ecosystem. Amidst this search for funding, Tether is also expanding its investment horizons beyond digital assets, venturing into sectors such as artificial intelligence (AI), telecommunications, cloud computing, and real estate. Related Reading: Dogecoin (DOGE) On The Brink Of A Major Breakout: 800% Rally In Sight Adding to the momentum, Tether recently appointed Bo Hines, a former advisor to President Trump on cryptocurrency matters, as CEO of its US division. This move aligns with Tether’s vision to establish a new operation in the US, adhering to the new regulatory environment, particularly following the introduction of a new dollar-pegged cryptocurrency aimed at businesses and institutions, dubbed “USAT.” Tether And US Regulatory Standards As NewsBTC reported recently, the new token adheres to the regulatory framework established by the GENIUS Act, the first stablecoin legislation signed into law by President Trump, highlighting Tether’s focus on aligning with US regulatory standards. Related Reading: Expert Prediction: Bitcoin Price Could Hit $200,000 By June 2026, Claiming 50% Probability Paolo Ardoino, Tether’s CEO, noted that the firm’s USDT stablecoin serves as a crucial financial tool for millions in emerging markets, showcasing how digital assets can foster trust, resilience, and financial freedom on a global scale. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
According to Grayscale, some market sectors benefited from significant changes to US policy in the third quarter, but Bitcoin underperformed compared to Ether and others.
A strategic investor is talking to Kraken about investing $200 million to $300 million at a $20 billion valuation.
BlackRock’s Global Allocation Fund increased its holdings in the firm’s spot Bitcoin ETF (IBIT) by 38.4% during the second quarter, according to a Sept. 26 SEC filing. As of July 31, the diversified fund held 1,000,808 IBIT shares valued at $66.4 million, up from 723,332 shares on Apr. 30. The addition of 277,476 shares represents […]
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Fetch.ai Agentverse MCP accelerates AI agent creation and deployment on decentralized AI infrastructure like OpenxAI Network and Claude AI.
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Two Nasdaq-listed DATs are investing in The Open Network's native token, allocating millions to token reserves even as the asset and their share prices decline.
Wall Street leans into crypto: E*Trade to add BTC, ETH and SOL, JPMorgan cools on stablecoin risks, and CFTC tests tokenized collateral.
Kraken's potential $20B valuation signals strong investor confidence, potentially boosting its market position ahead of its 2026 IPO.
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The SEC's Hester Peirce alluded to regulators turning a new chapter for cryptocurrency and urged "quick progress" for the industry's growth.