The crypto market has been showing signs of recovery, with the Bitcoin price trying to reclaim the psychological $70,000 over the past few days. Interestingly, the latest on-chain data suggests that the crypto market might just have the required liquidity to kickstart a resurgence. Stablecoin Inflows Surge During Key Support Retest In a recent QuickTake post on the CryptoQuant platform, market analyst CryptoOnchain revealed a dramatic increase in TRC-20 USDT balances on Binance, the largest cryptocurrency exchange by trading volume. Quoting data from CryptoQuant’s data, the on-chain analyst revealed that USDT reserves climbed from approximately $385 million on December 24 to about $5.2 billion as of February 21. What’s more interesting is, this roughly $4.8 billion spike in the stablecoin reserve on Binance occurred all under a month. Related Reading: Bitcoin Options Update: Market Panic Fades But Traders Remain Defensive – Details The crypto pundit highlighted that this significant rise in the TRC-20 UDST reserves on Binance actually coincides with the Bitcoin and Ethereum price approaching key support levels. This is typically a sign that demand is rising and positioning activity is ongoing, both of which often lead to the absorption of selling pressure. Typically, a significant increase in stablecoin accumulation on exchanges — especially during periods of price weakness — signals that liquidity is being rotated, and not completely exiting the market. According to CryptoOnchain, this means that more capital is being positioned for potential reentry into the Bitcoin or Ethereum market (among other assets). TRC-20 Usage Points To Increasing Retail Participation The on-chain analyst further highlighted that the adoption of TRC-20 USDT is often characteristic of a certain investor class, known as the retail participants. It is also widely known that large institutions — which do not typically chase cost-efficient transactions — often use the ERC20 network. Hence, CryptoOnchain concluded that “the increase in TRC-20 reserves may indicate stronger retail engagement during the correction.” Related Reading: Bitcoin Trades Below ETF Cost-Basis As MVRV Signals Mounting Pressure While stablecoin reserves indicate that market participants may be preparing for a bullish reversal of the Bitcoin price, it is worth noting that an immediate rebound is not guaranteed. This is because elevated reserves only reflect the presence of inert demand (known as dry powder), rather than real demand. Nonetheless, if the present market conditions should see stability in the near-term, this “dry powder” that waits on the sidelines could quickly become fuel to drive prices to the upside. Moreover, the Bitcoin apparent demand metric recently flipped positive, suggesting that a reversal might be imminent. As of this writing, Bitcoin is valued at around $67,971, reflecting no significant movement in the past 24 hours. Featured image from iStock, chart from TradingView
Forget OpenAI and Google. New decentralized networks are putting an end to Big Tech's monopoly.
The liquidation makes Bitdeer the largest publicly traded bitcoin miner by self-mining hashrate to hold no BTC on its balance sheet.
Futures traders slashed bearish Bitcoin bets last month, a shift that preceded a 70% rally in 2025 and a 190% increase in the BTC price in 2023.
Bank of America's latest market call reads less like a typical bear forecast and more like a structural warning about what happens when markets stop paying premium multiples, even if profits keep growing. The firm argues that the S&P 500 remains “statistically expensive” on 18 of 20 valuation metrics, with four near-record highs, and expects […]
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SBI Holdings has quietly rolled out a new on-chain bond designed to give ordinary investors direct exposure to XRP while keeping the product inside Japan’s regulated market. Related Reading: XRP Tipped As Central Bank Bridge Asset — Bigger Than Bitcoin? Reports say the issue by the Japan-headquartered financial group totals 10 billion yen and is being recorded, issued and managed on a blockchain system rather than through the usual securities infrastructure. SBI Starts A New Kind Of Bond Based on reports, the bonds — nicknamed the “SBI Start Bonds” in some coverage — are being tokenized on a platform called ibet for Fin, a system built by BoosTry to register and manage securities onchain. Investors who buy into the offering receive XRP roughly at the time their purchase clears. The firm has also scheduled additional XRP benefits to be paid on interest dates stretching through 2029. How The Trading Will Work Trading of these security tokens is set to occur on a proprietary system operated by Osaka Digital Exchange, with secondary market activity expected to begin on March 25, 2026. Reports indicate the bonds carry a modest yield range, with some outlets citing an indicative coupon band in the low single digits — a feature that blends a fixed-income payout with crypto rewards. Japan’s SBI Holdings has launched a ¥10 billion ($64.5M) on-chain bond issuance that rewards investors with $XRP. https://t.co/X9U0nW3sd2 pic.twitter.com/b7hwHJTiEG — ????????????????XRP (@BankXRP) February 21, 2026 Who Can Get The XRP Eligibility rules are strict. Reports note that holders must be domestic residents and must hold an account with SBI VC Trade to collect the XRP benefit; there’s a procedural deadline for completing receipt steps by mid-May. In short, this is not an open global giveaway — the offer is aimed at onshore retail investors inside Japan and tied to local account requirements. Market Reaction And Possible Effects Based on reports and market commentary, the structure could nudge demand for XRP because the issuer needs to supply the token for distribution and future payouts. Related Reading: Bitcoin Market Bleeds $1 Trillion, Saylor Signals Strongest Crypto Conviction Yet Some market watchers point out that while the initial sum — about $64.5 million by rough conversion — is limited against the size of global crypto markets, the product matters more for what it represents: a mainstream financial group packaging a digital asset into a regulated bond product. That may make other Japanese firms think about similar moves. Featured image from Trade Brains, chart from TradingView
As quantum computing inches closer to reality, nearly 7 million bitcoin, including Satoshi Nakamoto’s 1 million coins, are potentially at risk.
President Donald Trump raised the global tariff rate to 15% despite a Supreme Court ruling against earlier emergency trade measures, keeping pressure on China and other partners.
Past capitulation waves have preceded sharp recoveries, but this time price is still fighting technical resistance even as ledger activity surges.
Bitcoin's path to quantum safety may be smoother than expected, with proactive steps already underway.
The post Matt Corallo: Most crypto wallets are quantum-safe, Bitcoin’s soft fork could require proof of seed phrase ownership, and the Ethereum Foundation is leading in quantum threat response | Unchained appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
Analysts speculated that a large issuer like Circle might be moving reserve assets en masse into the ETF, but data show otherwise.
CME's Cardano futures went live on Feb. 9, and that date may matter more for ETFs than for trading. Under the SEC's new generic listing standards for commodity-based trust shares, one of the clearest fast lanes for a spot crypto ETP is having regulated futures on a CFTC-supervised venue for at least six months. That […]
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Over the past few weeks, the Dogecoin price has largely been moving sideways in a critical range around $0.09 to $0.10. The meme coin has been oscillating between key support and resistance zones, as the bulls and bears can’t seem to decide the next price direction. The latest on-chain evaluation has identified a specific support level to watch out for the Dogecoin price in the coming days. Support Levels To Watch In a February 21 post on the social media platform X, crypto analyst Ali Martinez identified a major critical support level around $0.096 and $0.074, with the latter price level seen as a deep demand wall for Dogecoin. This on-chain evaluation is based on the UTXO Realized Price Distribution (URPD), which tracks the amount of a cryptocurrency purchased at different price levels. Related Reading: Ethereum Price Looks Bullish, But Only On The Inverted Chart As the price of Doge approaches a decisive technical moment, traders are closely watching the two critical price levels ($0.096 and $0.074). These URPD support levels often serve as psychological and structural anchors, while offering insight into the next move for an asset’s price. Technically, the real concern starts if DOGE drops below the minor support threshold around $0.096. A breakdown below this cushion could imply weakening short-term buyer confidence, suggesting a sentiment shift from careful optimism to high bearish pressure. While this does not guarantee a major sell-off, especially considering the relatively low relevance of the $0.096, it does signal that sellers gained slight control of price action. However, if the Dogecoin price drops below the first support level, $0.074 becomes the next major floor to watch – a level where buyers might step in heavily. Market dynamics often intensify at the critical point, and it could pay off to watch whether buyers will absorb selling pressure aggressively enough to create a rebound. If buying demand is high, the $0.074 support may hold, forming a base for recovery. On the flip side, if the support level fails to hold, the breach could trigger additional selling momentum. It is worth mentioning that these price levels are not guarantees of reversal or continuation. Ultimately, Dogecoin now stands at a technical crossroads; holding above $0.096 would maintain short-term structural stability and could encourage renewed buying interest. Meanwhile, a break below that level shifts attention decisively towards $0.074, with the market reaction at these levels potentially shaping Dogecoin’s next significant move. Dogecoin Price At A Glance As of this writing, the price of DOGE stands around $0.098, reflecting a 6.46% increase in the past 24 hours. Related Reading: XRP Tipped As Central Bank Bridge Asset — Bigger Than Bitcoin? Featured image from iStock, chart from TradingView
Bitcoin past performance gave 88% odds of higher prices by early 2027, the latest in a series of new bullish BTC price predictions.
An area of blockchain-based finance focused on increasing fans' engagement with sports teams, SportFi uses tokens to grant access to privileges such as limited voting rights and exclusive rewards.
More than 80% of 2025 token launches trade below listing price while IPO funding and M&A in the crypto sector surge, suggesting that investors prefer equity exposure.
Bitcoin trades sideways as Trump cites Trade Act for 15% tariffs after Supreme Court limits IEEPA authority, and the market starts watching the 150-day clock It is one of those rare weekend sessions where the chart barely moves… yet it still feels like something is about to snap. Bitcoin is hovering around $68,000, chopping inside […]
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OpenClaw creator Peter Steinberger confirmed that users can be removed for mentioning Bitcoin and crypto on Discord.
Bitcoin is trading like a rates product now because real yields are the new “gravity” Earlier this month, we saw the macro picture shift in a very real and tangible way. The record of last year's job level changed significantly, and markets treated that update as fresh information to trade on. Two days later, inflation […]
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Over the past two weeks, the Bitcoin market saw an overwhelming sellers’ dominance, with no significant input from the bulls influencing the price. As the flagship cryptocurrency slipped into a downturn, investors increasingly fled the market out of fear, further pushing prices downwards. However, as the Bitcoin price seems to have found stability, an interesting on-chain revelation has also surfaced. If this change proves sustainable, it could mean something positive for the world’s leading cryptocurrency. Related Reading: Bitcoin Trades Below ETF Cost-Basis As MVRV Signals Mounting Pressure Accelerating OTC Outflows, Sign Of Possible Reversal? In their latest post on the CryptoQuant platform, CoinNiel shares an exciting hypothesis for the Bitcoin price, based on data from the Bitcoin: Total OTC Desk Balance. The analyst points out that the Bitcoin price might be at a point where a reversal is imminent. For context, the Bitcoin: Total OTC Desk Balance metric measures the total amount of Bitcoin currently being held in wallets associated with over-the-counter (OTC) trading desks. When the balance is rising, it often implies that more BTC is being moved to these OTC desks. This is also a telltale sign of increasing sell appetite among Bitcoin’s large holders. On the contrary, falling values on this metric typically indicate that Bitcoin is being withdrawn from OTC desks. By extension, it could imply that institutional demand is growing, or that large holders are no longer positioning for sales. According to the chart shared below, the Total OTC Desk Balance has taken on a sharp downtrend, meaning that there has been a significant amount of BTC sent out of the OTC market. Notably, this switch in investor behavior is happening around the same time as when Bitcoin regained its $68,000 footing. As a result, the BTC market sentiment appears to be shifting from pessimistic to slightly optimistic: instead of accumulating BTC for sale, OTC balances are instead contracting. This could be caused by increased buying from large holders or due to reduced selling appetite among Bitcoin’s market participants. In the scenario where there is increased institutional accumulation of Bitcoin, it could be a sign that the Bitcoin price would soon make a big upside move. On the other hand, reduced selling activity is also good for the Bitcoin price, as it translates as reduced selling pressure, allowing for the short-term recovery of the flagship cryptocurrency’s price. CoinNiel, therefore, states as a caveat that the true drivers behind this dynamic remain to be confirmed. As a result, investors and other market participants should be alert when engaging with the Bitcoin market. Related Reading: Saylor Makes Bold $1M Bitcoin Call — “It’s Zero Or A Million” Bitcoin Price At A Glance At press time, Bitcoin holds a value of $67,953, reflecting a 24-hour devaluation of 0.17% per CoinMarketCap data. Since the past seven days, the flagship cryptocurrency has so far lost about 2.81% of its value. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from Tradingview
Bitcoin miner Bitdeer liquidated 943 BTC from reserves and sold newly mined coins, cutting corporate holdings to zero.
A modest claim. A bold number. Both are on the table for Bitcoin this week as a debate over how to read short-term streaks in price gains grows louder. Related Reading: Bitcoin Market Bleeds $1 Trillion, Saylor Signals Strongest Crypto Conviction Yet Crypto analyst Timothy Peterson has pointed out that half of the last 24 months showed positive returns. Based on reports, he then gave a nearly 90% chance that Bitcoin would be higher in 10 months. That leap from a simple count to a firm probability is the headline grabber. It should be met with careful questions about how the odds were calculated and what assumptions were built into the model. Counting Positive Months Peterson based his view on a review of monthly performance data. Figures compiled by CoinGlass show that Bitcoin closed six months of 2025 in positive territory, while the remaining six finished lower. According to the data, 50% of the past 24 months ended with gains. Peterson said he tracks this rolling two-year window to spot potential turning points in price trends. 50% of the past 24 months have been positive. This implies a 88% chance that Bitcoin will be higher 10 months from now. The average return is exp(60%)-1 = 82% => $122,000. Data goes back to 2011. https://t.co/k4IjTisuTH pic.twitter.com/ZxfTyequjt — Timothy Peterson (@nsquaredvalue) February 21, 2026 Market Odds And Betting An exchange of bets shows a very different view. Polymarket currently prices December as only a 17% shot at being the best month of 2026, with November a hair higher. Those numbers answer a different question from Peterson’s: they reflect market bets on which month will outperform others, not whether the price will simply be higher at a future date. Betting markets can be blunt tools, but they do pack the collective view of many traders into a single number. Bitcoin Price Action Price has not been calm. Bitcoin traded in a roughly $67,000–$68,000 band this week as geopolitical tension in the Middle East tightened. Safe-haven assets like gold and oil jumped on news flows, and Bitcoin felt the squeeze as some buyers stepped back. At the same time, live tickers showed the token about 20% below its level at the start of the year, a reminder that headline percentages hide wide intraday swings. Analysts Are Split Voices from the trading desk are divided. Michael van de Poppe suggested near-term green candles could be coming, urging traders to watch for a lift. On the other hand, Peter Brandt has argued a deeper low may not arrive until late 2026. Both views rest on different sets of signals — one on momentum and chart structure, the other on longer cycle patterns and risk of macro shocks. Sentiment Still Down Meanwhile, flow data from spot ETF purchases, derivatives positioning, and on-chain liquidity figures would add weight to any forecast. Related Reading: XRP Tipped As Central Bank Bridge Asset — Bigger Than Bitcoin? Peterson’s forecast comes as crypto market sentiment continues to decline, with reports noting that discussion and activity around Bitcoin predictions have slowed. Traders appear cautious, weighing past trends against current uncertainty in the market. Featured image from Vecteezy, chart from TradingView
Bitcoin sometimes sells off hard on days with no crypto headlines. A recurring driver sits outside crypto: a yen-funded carry unwind that forces cross-asset deleveraging, then transmits into BTC through thinner liquidity, wider spreads, and fast position reduction in derivatives. Here's the core mechanism in one line: if USD/JPY moves fast enough to trigger margin […]
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Robinhood’s head of crypto, Johann Kerbrat, pointed out that crypto investors are looking for more ways to explore crypto beyond just holding tokens amid market uncertainty.
Bitcoin is once again testing an important resistance zone, and traders are watching closely to see what happens next. On the daily chart, Bitcoin recently faced rejection near the $68,300 to $69,800 resistance area. This is not the first time price has struggled in this zone. Sellers have stepped in here before, and we are …
XRP has just printed its largest on-chain realized loss spike since 2022 — and the last time this happened, the outcome shocked the market. According to on-chain data, XRP recently recorded roughly $900 million in weekly realized losses, marking the biggest capitulation event in nearly three years. The previous major spike occurred 39 months ago, …
The project's creator nearly deleted the viral AI agent after crypto scammers hijacked his accounts, launched a fake token that hit $16 million, and harassed him for weeks.
There’s a lot happening in crypto right now, and one date keeps coming up: March 1. Some investors are wondering if that could mark the beginning of the next altcoin rally. The reason? Major regulatory movement in Washington. March 1 Could Be a Turning Point The White House has set a March 1 deadline to …
A set of new ETF filings wants to turn election outcomes into brokerage-account tickers. If approved, they’d also make “political risk” a tradable product on the same rails that already carry spot Bitcoin ETFs, pulling attention, liquidity, and regulatory pressure into the same lane. Roundhill, GraniteShares, and Bitwise’s PredictionShares brand propose funds that track binary […]
The post Election odds, but with an ETF wrapper: the “ambient gambling” shift coming to brokerage accounts appeared first on CryptoSlate.
Market analyst Michaël van de Poppe has noted an important on-chain development that implies a brewing market rebound. This market insight comes as Bitcoin continues to consolidate below $70,000, reporting a 2.38% loss in the past week. Related Reading: Bitcoin Whale Profit-Taking Sees 7th Surge Since 2024 — What To Expect Bitcoin Short-Term Sharpe Ratio Indicates Bear Market End In an X post on February 21, van de Poppe shares a bullish view on the Bitcoin market, referencing historical data of the Bitcoin Sharpe Ratio – an on-chain metric that measures how much excess return Bitcoin generates per unit of volatility. The Sharpe Ratio is cyclical. It’s highly positive during bull markets but turns negative during extended drawdowns. According to data shared by de Poppe, the Bitcoin Sharpe Ratio has dropped to -38.38 in the short term, which is historically recognized as a low risk accumulation zone. De Poppe explains that the Sharpe Ratio has touched similar levels in the past thrice, in early 2015, early 2019, and late 2022. Each time, this dip has preceded a major price rally. This is because a crash to these extremely low levels on the short-term chart suggests Bitcoin is underperforming in terms of risk-to-reward ratio, presenting the ideal point for a market entry. Over the past five months, Bitcoin has experienced a steep bear market, resulting in a total decline of 45.86% compared to its all-time high in October. In February alone, BTC prices have fallen by over 23% as prices dipped as low as $60,000 at the beginning of the month. De Poppe’s analysis shows that this recent crash has also negatively altered the BTC to Gold ratio, creating a potentially market opportunity due to the imbalance between both assets. Going by the historical price reaction to such conditions, the market expert explains that the Sharpe Ratio has highlighted this opportunity, which he described as super bullish. Related Reading: XRP Tipped As Central Bank Bridge Asset — Bigger Than Bitcoin? Bitcoin Market Overview At the time of writing, Bitcoin trades at $68,299, representing a 0.72% gain in the past day. However, the daily trading volume is down by 50.04% and is valued at $19.15 billion. Notably, market analyst KillaXBT expects Bitcoin to retrace to around $67,800 on Monday in an effort to fill the CME gap created over the weekend. The premier cryptocurrency has shown a solid record on this front, with 96% of the CME gaps observed since 2022 getting filled within a maximum of two weeks. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from Tradingview