Bitcoin is currently at a crossroads, caught between bullish hopes and bearish pressure. Bulls are struggling to reclaim the $115K level, while bears have been unable to keep BTC below $110K, leaving the market in a tense state of uncertainty. This indecision comes as volatility increases ahead of the upcoming US Federal Reserve meeting, where investors expect a possible announcement on interest rate cuts. Such a decision could significantly impact risk assets, including Bitcoin, by shaping liquidity conditions in global markets. Related Reading: Ethereum Dominates Trading Volume Despite Market Cool-Off – Details Top analyst Axel Adler highlights that as of today, it has been 504 days since the last halving, a milestone that places the market in a mature phase of the bull regime. By comparing the current cycle with the previous two, Adler suggests that Bitcoin is showing characteristics consistent with late-cycle behavior. While this phase often brings heightened volatility and profit-taking, it also underscores the broader strength of the cycle, supported by institutional demand and long-term adoption trends. Bitcoin Redistribution Patterns Signal A Sustainable Cycle Adler explains that in this cycle, Bitcoin has displayed a unique redistribution pattern compared to past bull runs. In March, when BTC traded near $70,000, the market witnessed an extreme spike in Value Days Destroyed (VDD), a signal of significant long-term holder (LTH) activity. This was followed by two additional, but more moderate, distribution waves near $98,000 and $117,000. Importantly, these later waves did not surpass the March extremum, suggesting that selling pressure from LTHs has been segmented and less overwhelming than in prior cycles. This behavior points toward more sustainable redistribution, primarily due to institutional demand. Rather than one explosive top driven by panic or retail frenzy, supply is exiting in batches after each new all-time high. Institutional buyers, ETFs, and corporate treasuries are absorbing this selling, which spreads peaks across a longer period and creates stretched-out cycle dynamics. Looking ahead, final conclusions about the cycle’s ultimate peak hinge on the emergence of the Peak Flag, a well-established late-cycle signal. The Peak Flag is triggered when the spot price trades at roughly 11 times higher than the LTH realized price. Historically, this ratio indicates that the market price has far outpaced the steadily climbing base cost of long-term holders. Based on current trajectories, the nearest window for such a setup is October–November 2025. However, this depends on conditions aligning: a surge in major LTH spending, a spike in short-term volatility, and then a gradual fading of that volatility. Related Reading: Bitcoin LTH Aging Velocity Turns Negative: Distribution Phase Unfolds Price Testing Short-Term Resistance Bitcoin is trading at $112,952, staging a rebound after holding above the $110K support zone. The chart shows BTC attempting to build momentum, but clear resistance lies around $114K, in line with the 100-day moving average (green line). A sustained move above this level would be critical to validate further upside. The 50-day moving average (blue line) is trending downward, currently acting as dynamic resistance and compressing price action. Until BTC reclaims it decisively, momentum remains fragile. On the downside, the 200-day moving average (red line) around $101,900 offers a deeper layer of long-term support, far below current levels. Related Reading: Old Bitcoin Supply Unlocks: 7,626 BTC Aged 3–5 Years Moves Onchain Structurally, BTC is forming a short-term higher low compared to early September, hinting at stabilization. However, bulls face the challenge of reclaiming lost ground quickly before bears reassert pressure. The broader resistance zone between $115K and $117K will likely determine whether BTC continues its consolidation or mounts a stronger recovery attempt. Holding above $110K keeps the bullish case intact, but without a breakout over $114K–$115K, Bitcoin risks slipping back into a choppy range. Traders should watch for volume confirmation on any breakout attempt. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView
BTC price strength starts to convince traders that new highs are back on the table, but Bitcoin still needs spot-market support.
The debate over U.S. interest rate cuts may reach a turning point at the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting on September 16-17, 2025. Markets are betting that the Fed could deliver as many as three cuts this year, starting with a possible 50 basis point reduction next week. Three Rate Cuts in the US? Analysts from …
Ethereum price today is trading at $4,356.94, with a 1.53% gain in the past 24 hours. Despite a negligible 0.39% dip over the week, traders appear optimistic, with 24-hour trading volume jumping nearly 70% to $33.94 billion. The surge comes as developers finalize testnet plans for the much-anticipated Fusaka hard fork, slated for Q4 this …
Ethena Labs, a leading DeFi protocol, is making big moves in the crypto space. With new milestones, growing adoption, and ongoing developments, the team is steadily expanding its ecosystem. In a recent update, it has secured a listing on a major exchange. Here’s why it’s such a big deal! Binance to List USDe on September …
Stablecoin issuer Tether is one of the largest corporate accumulators of Bitcoin over the last 12 months, adding more coins to its treasury than nearly all spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs). On Sept. 8, Tether CEO Paolo Ardoino shared data showing that the stablecoin issuer secured more than 27,700 BTC in the past year. Of that […]
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Ripple will provide crypto custody services to Spain’s BBVA bank, expanding its existing partnership amid MiCA-driven adoption by European banks.
Dogecoin price could rise toward $0.50 next, then $1 or higher once a spot DOGE ETF is launched, unlocking institutional capital.
The United States sanctioned 19 entities in Myanmar and Cambodia tied to cyber-fraud compounds that target victims worldwide, adding new names to the OFAC sanctions list. The move raises immediate compliance requirements for banks, payment firms, and crypto venues that could touch these actors through correspondent flows or dollar-linked stablecoins. Sanctions block property and prohibit […]
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Nasdaq will buy $50 million worth of Gemini shares in a private placement at the time of its IPO, two people familiar with the matter reportedly said.
Gemini has secured Nasdaq as an investor in its $317 million IPO, with Nasdaq purchasing $50 million in shares as part of a strategic partnership.
Nasdaq plans to invest $50 million in Gemini, the cryptocurrency exchange founded by the Winklevoss twins, ahead of Gemini’s upcoming IPO. The exchange aims to raise up to $317 million and trade under the ticker “GEMI.” The partnership will give Nasdaq clients access to Gemini’s crypto custody and staking services, while Gemini’s institutional users can …
Ledger’s CTO said a massive npm supply-chain attack from Monday failed with only about $503 stolen before detection halted the spread.
Michael Saylor’s Bitcoin fortress faces Peter Thiel’s Ether agility. Two giants, two treasuries — who’s making the smarter bet?
Listing the protocol's USDe token on major exchanges like Binance is a key requirement to enable a mechanism to share protocol revenues with token holders.
Analysts see pressure in the short term, yet rising illiquid holdings, ETF flows, and corporate treasuries suggest a structural uptrend.
According to reports, Michael Saylor told viewers that most equity analysts expect Bitcoin to top $150,000 by Christmas. Related Reading: MemeCore Explodes 3,800% For ATH — But Is A Collapse Around The Corner? From a current price of $113,050, that would require an increase of about 35%. There are roughly three months left until December 25. The figures set a clear benchmark for what traders now call the year-end race. Analysts Back A $150,000 Target Saylor tied the call to wider adoption. He said during a CNBC interview more firms adding Bitcoin to their balance sheets and more people learning about the asset will lift demand. Because Bitcoin’s supply is fixed, that demand pressure, he argued, could push prices higher. The tone was confident, and the math was simple: move from $113k to $150,000, an over 30% gain, and the target is met. Tom Lee Puts A Higher Number On The Table Tom Lee, Head of Research at Fundstrat Global, raised the stakes with a $200,000 projection for Christmas 2025. He linked the outlook to macro policy, pointing to the September 17 FOMC meeting as a potential trigger if interest rates are cut. Lee also suggested that gains in small-cap crypto tokens could lift Ethereum, because ETH has often tracked broader risk appetite. A move to $200,000 from $113 would be much larger — roughly a 70% increase — and would likely need strong macro support. At the same time, seasonal patterns matter: Bitcoin often sees strong performance in the fourth quarter. Those two factors together are why some analysts are comfortable with bold targets. But timing is tight. Three months is a short window for large moves, and unexpected events could derail the path. Odds, Research Firms And Other Voices Other voices have weighed in. Canary CEO Steven McClurg put the odds of reaching $150,000 this year at 50%. Large banks like Standard Chartered have even flagged $200,000 as a possible level for 2025. These projections show a clustering of bullish views, though they span different timeframes and rely on different assumptions. Related Reading: Altcoins Feel The Pinch As Crypto Market Sentiment Sours Market Reaction And Caveats Bitcoin was up about 1% in the past 24 hours. Price moves of 30% to 70% in short stretches have happened before in crypto, but they are not commonplace and they bring big risks. Traders and investors will have to weigh those forecasts against market data, policy signals from the US Federal Reserve, and daily price action. The quarter ahead looks busy, and outcomes will depend on more than one forecast coming true. Featured image from Meta, chart from TradingView
The memecoin market is witnessing a surge as liquidity flows into M, PENGU, BRETT, BONK, and FARTCOIN, driving double-digit gains. What’s fueling this sudden spike in interest? Could social media hype and community engagement push these tokens even higher? Are retail investors jumping in, or is this momentum backed by larger players? With volatility at …
Shiba Inu rose over 3% in the past 24 hours, outperforming the whole crypto market’s 1.58% gain. $SHIB’s price climbed to approximately $0.000013. Right now, the token has a market cap of $7.69B with a 24-hour trading volume at roughly $267M. Overall, the past 7-day performance has shown a clear upward price movement despite fluctuations, signalling the token’s potential resurgence. Moreover, the RSI for $SHIB, although still neutral, is also showing bullish divergence building. The EMA, meanwhile, is flashing buy signals as $SHIB’s price is testing support at $0.000013 and approaching new key resistance levels. If traders establish support at $0.000013, this could fuel a new rally, helping $SHIB recover to early 2025 levels. Shiba Inu’s resurgence and new bullish momentum are rekindling interest in dog-themed memecoins, steering more speculative capital toward newcomers like Maxi Doge ($MAXI). Maxi Doge’s gym-bro branding, meme-first marketing, and aggressive presale may do well from spillover demand. In fact, the project is already attracting new whale buys, which have pushed the ICO close to $2M. Increased Retail and Whale Interest in Dog Meme Tokens – What Does It Mean? Most top meme coins, particularly those related to Doge, have seen an upward trend in retail and whale interest recently. The meme sector saw a ~4% increase in market cap today, but doge tokens like $DOGE, $SHIB, and $BONK are ahead of the curve, sporting gains of up to 14% in the last week alone. Additionally, the spike in trading volume strongly indicates momentum is building for these tokens. Investors are now looking to benefit from the speculative hype, with high-risk, high-reward low cap coins making the best risk-on choice for diversification. Maxi Doge ($MAXI) is one such example of a booming doge-themed token with strong community support. Although still in presale, this new meme coin is positioning itself as the next big thing in the Doge sector, signalling potential for strong growth in the near future. Maxi Doge ($MAXI) Smashes Records Amid Doge Sector Boom — Presale Nears $2M Milestone Maxi Doge ($MAXI), an Ethereum-based meme coin, is a bit different from your typical cutesy Doge token. Based on a 1000x leverage trading philosophy and high-energy “gym bro” culture, this token comes with dynamic staking rewards (161% APY right now) and futures trading competitions (rolling out after listing). $MAXI’s trading competitions will be possible thanks to trading platforms partnerships. Not only do they make leverage maxing and derivative trading engaging, but the regular contests will also include community prizes, handed out to the top ROI users. Its utility and attractive staking demands do a lot to promote user participation and build an active community. And it’s working. Since launching in July, the presale raised over $1.9M, making it one of the fastest-growing meme ICOs of the year. The most recent whale buy came on September 5 – just over $10K. But we’ve also seen other investors pouring in as much as $37K earlier in August. So far, the presale has over 12,700 transactions recorded, showing a steady increase in early holders. Early adopters get the best discounted prices; $MAXI is now available for $0.0002565, with the next price increase due in just two days. You can claim your tokens in full after the presale ends. At that point, $MAXI will list on Uniswap first thing, giving early investors the opportunity to trade and benefit from $MAXI’s momentum right away. Join $MAXI’s presale before the next price increase. Shiba Inu Recovery Fuels Doge Token Frenzy Recent Shiba Inu technical indicators flash solid buy signals, and the token price is now testing new resistance levels. As Shiba Inu is ready to soar, the rest of the Doge sector is seemingly ready to follow. Maxi Doge is heating up as more early investors and whales join the ICO. The project’s upcoming holder competitions, investor incentives, and booming presale position it as one of the strong contenders in the meme coin landscape in 2025. Now’s the time to slide in early before the real FOMO kicks in. But remember: meme coins are high-risk, high-reward speculative investments. There are no guarantees with coins based on sentiment and hype. Do your own research before investing in any crypto. This article isn’t financial advice. Authored by Aaron Walker, NewsBTC — https://www.newsbtc.com/news/doge-meme-coins-takeover-maxi-doge-whale-activity/
Roughly 192,600 SOL was drained from a counterparty wallet tied to a SOL Earn product on Swissborg. The crypto exchange committed to making the losses whole.
Robinhood joins Coinbase in the S&P 500, expanding crypto access for index funds, pensions and institutions amid rising institutional interest.
Nasdaq's investment in Gemini signals a growing institutional interest in digital assets, potentially boosting market credibility and innovation.
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Nebius surges 47%, Cipher Mining and IREN both advance on speculation of more AI infrastructure partnerships.
Lawmakers in Washington are weighing how the federal government should approach custody of Bitcoin and other digital assets. A new bill, HR 1566, directs the Treasury Department to prepare a comprehensive report on the feasibility of creating both a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve and a wider Digital Asset Stockpile. The measure forms part of the financial […]
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The move supports BBVA's crypto trading and custody service for BTC and ETH, which was recently made available to retail customers in Spain.
The U.S. Congress is taking a closer look at how digital assets could be included in the country’s financial system. In a recent move, lawmakers introduced a bill directing the Treasury to study the feasibility of setting up a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve and a U.S. digital asset stockpile, marking a significant step toward wider crypto …
Real Vision analyst Jamie Coutts argues that the current bitcoin market is being driven less by the asset’s four-year issuance cadence and far more by a broadening tide of global liquidity that is only now beginning to roll. In a wide-ranging interview with “Crypto Kid,” Coutts laid out a cycle framework anchored in policy, bank credit, and balance-sheet dynamics, while cautioning that classic momentum warnings and a cooling of corporate-treasury buying warrant respect. Why This Bitcoin Cycle Is Different “From a first-principles basis, global liquidity…drives risk assets,” Coutts said, adding that when he regresses bitcoin against his preferred liquidity composite—built from central-bank balance sheets, global money supply, FX reserves and elements of commercial/shadow banking—“you find that there’s explanatory power.” The danger, he warned, is over-fitting a moving relationship. “Markets are non-stationary… The correlation itself is a moving target, so I wouldn’t get too tied up in charts where you’re fine-tuning the lag. That lag period will change all the time.” Even so, he called the connection between liquidity and risk “as good as anything I’ve ever seen.” Related Reading: Bitcoin’s Most Resolute Diamond Hands Are Only Growing Older, Data Shows The interview opened on a point of contention in recent months: short-term divergences between rising global liquidity gauges and bitcoin’s price since US spot ETFs launched. Coutts pushed back on the idea that the linkage has “broken,” arguing that, sized to bitcoin’s volatility, the current gap is unremarkable. “Within the volatility scope of the asset, [there’s] nothing to worry about,” he said, while noting that his own dollar-sensitive proxy has “been flatlining for a little bit longer” than some popular versions. The right question, he stressed, is not micromanaging a lag but asking whether liquidity is rising on a multi-quarter view—and why. That macro lens leads directly to policy. Coutts expects an imminent inflection in Western central-bank posture, with rates likely headed lower and balance-sheet tightening at least tapering. “I think it’s very likely we’ll see interest-rate cuts in the September meeting,” he said. “The question is will the Fed also announce the end of QT or further tapering of QT?” Behind the pivot, in his view, is “fiscal dominance”: the US government’s outsized deficits and refinancing needs compelling monetary authorities to ensure smooth absorption of Treasury supply. “You can forget what they tell you about stable prices and unemployment. They are there to hold up the financial system… and now they are very much tied to the hip of the US government.” Crucially, Coutts reminded viewers that most money creation comes not from central banks but from commercial banks extending credit. “They’re responsible for around 85% to 90% of all the new money supply,” he said. In practice, liquidity can be “supercharged” when central banks also expand their own balance sheets or alter regulations to encourage banks to accumulate more Treasuries. He also framed Washington’s friendlier posture toward crypto and stablecoins through this prism, calling dollar stablecoins a potential new distribution rail for US debt. The result is a structural backdrop that, in his view, favors higher liquidity over time even if the near-term path is noisy. The Business Cycle On top of policy, Coutts layered the business cycle. He argued that the US is edging back into expansion—with recent ISM readings above 50 cited during the discussion—and that the “Goldilocks” setup emerges when an upturn in growth overlaps with a turn higher in liquidity. This, he suggested, is the deeper driver behind the familiar four-year bitcoin rhythm: “Are we really looking at a liquidity cycle that’s dressed up as a bitcoin halving cycle?” As issuance declines over successive halvings, he said, the supply-shock effect becomes “less significant,” while liquidity and growth conditions dominate allocations to “anti-debasement assets.” In that race, he added, “Bitcoin is the emergent anti-debasement asset of the present and the future,” with Ethereum alongside it on longer-horizon performance. China features prominently in Coutts’ map. He highlighted the People’s Bank of China’s rising balance sheet amid a property-led debt deflation and the government’s push to revive risk assets. “They’re really the only central bank that’s going up,” he said, linking that liquidity to improving Chinese equities and surging gold in yuan terms. In prior cycles, he noted, late-stage bitcoin strength lined up with Chinese equity peaks, and he currently sees “an inverse double head-and-shoulders” pattern pointing to roughly 5,100 on a key China equity benchmark. Two cycles are not “statistically significant,” he conceded, but the mechanism is straightforward: “What’s driving Chinese equities, what’s driving bitcoin? The same thing—it’s liquidity.” Related Reading: Bitcoin Bear Case Says Price Is Headed Below $100,000, But Bulls Still Have A Chance, Here’s How If the structural message is supportive, the tape still demands humility. Coutts called out a weekly-timeframe bearish divergence in bitcoin’s momentum as a genuine risk signal. “Divergences are warning signals… The trend is losing momentum,” he said, recalling similar set-ups ahead of the 2008 crisis and the 2020 pandemic shock. Such signals are probabilistic, not fate, but he urged investors to consider “countervailing circumstances” and risk-management overlays rather than dismissing them. Why This Bitcoin Cycle is DIFFERENT! (Explained by @Jamie1Coutts) Timestamps: 00:00 Intro 01:05 Global Liquidity and M2 Money Supply 07:19 Fed’s Balance Sheet 14:45 Liquidity Cycles or Halving Cycles 19:04 Chinese Equities and Bitcoin 23:25 The Bearish Divergences 35:08… pic.twitter.com/VIuA5BFTyu — Crypto Kid (@CryptoKidcom) September 6, 2025 Bitcoin Momentum Fades (For Now) Related to momentum, he flagged a cooling in the marginal demand engine that powered much of 2024: corporate-treasury accumulation of bitcoin, led by MicroStrategy and followed by a long tail of imitators. “The marginal buyer of bitcoin has been treasury companies and ETFs,” he said, but the “intensity of buying” by treasury vehicles “peaked in Q4 of 2024.” As premiums compress and capital-markets windows narrow, “they can’t buy at the same intensity anymore,” which acts as a drag at the margin. The host noted that MicroStrategy’s market-to-NAV premium had recently been around 1.5%, adding that Michael Saylor has suggested issuance is far more attractive above roughly 2.0; Coutts’ broader point was that a proliferation of copycats diluted the strategy and left many smaller names trading below intrinsic value—potential acquisition fodder for stronger operators if discounts persist. ETFs, he said, are a steadier bid but lack the leverage-like reflexivity of equity issuance. On “altseason,” Coutts was blunt that this time will not rhyme with 2021’s helicopter-money mania. He argued that crypto has now found product-market fit, with higher-quality networks boasting users, cash flows and token-burn mechanics that make sense to traditional allocators, while indiscriminate speculation fades. “The new buyers are much more discerning. They’re not going to buy the 15th or 16th L1, the 10th L2,” he said, predicting concentration in a handful of credible platforms and real-world use cases. He hopes the industry will “never say the word ‘altseason’ again,” preferring to describe what’s coming as a broader “asset-class bull market” with far greater dispersion. The prior “banana zone,” he added, was a creature of lockdowns and stimulus checks; the “velocity of stimulus is different” now, so expectations should be, too. At press time, BTC traded at $112,946. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
GIWA includes the GIWA Chain, a layer-2 blockchain built on Optimistic Rollup technology, and the GIWA Wallet, a crypto wallet with support for multiple blockchains.
Major cryptocurrencies are flashing bullish price patterns.
Dogecoin is the talk of the town, with traders speculating on the upcoming launch of the Rex-Osprey DOGE ETF ($DOJE). If approved, this would be the first Dogecoin ETF in the U.S., offering investors a way to gain exposure to DOGE without actually holding possession of the token. The hype surrounding $DOJE is lifting both …