Crypto analyst Kevin (Kev Capital TA) told viewers late on September 25 that Bitcoin’s pullback is tracking a familiar seasonal and structural script—and that the market’s next major impulse hinges on a clearly defined support range. “Hold $107k to $98K,” he said, calling the zone the fulcrum for the bull cycle’s next leg. “That’s it. It’s that simple.” Opening his stream amid a rush of bearish sentiment as BTC price dipped to $108,651, Kevin argued the drawdown should not surprise disciplined traders. He framed the current move in the context of months of caution dating back to early August, when he began highlighting weekly bearish divergences across Bitcoin, Ethereum and the total altcoin market (Total2), into what he described as four-plus-year resistance zones. “Everyone thinks these symmetrical triangle patterns after a move higher are continuation patterns,” he said, “but in reality, in the crypto market, very, very rarely do these break out to the upside.” He pointed to a progression of smaller impulse highs since late 2023 and reiterated that despite sharp rallies in select altcoins, the majors failed to clear “any major resistance levels.” Bitcoin Top In Until Proven Otherwise The anchor of Kevin’s case is confluence on higher time frames. On Bitcoin’s weekly chart, he outlined rising price highs against falling momentum—“simple strength and momentum indicators,” not signals by themselves but context that “has been dwindling for a very long time.” Related Reading: Bitcoin Funding Dynamics Shift As Binance Premium Signals Aggressive Longs Total2, he added, registered “a triple top on the weekly” beneath roughly $1.71–$1.74 trillion—“the all-be-all resistance level”—with weekly RSI and MACD rolling over. Stocks of momentum, in his read, are resetting precisely where they should amid historically thin late-summer liquidity. “Q3 is never a good quarter for crypto,” Kevin said. “August, September are terrible months. They always are.” Against that backdrop, he argued that USDT dominance remains the most reliable inter-market compass. “USDT dominance is the greatest chart ever. There is no better chart,” he said, walking through a macro descending triangle with a flat-bottom support near 3.9–3.7% and repeated rallies to a falling trendline that have mapped crypto cycle lows and highs for two years. Each approach to the flat bottom, he noted, has carved a W- or inverse-head-and-shoulders-style base in USDT.D while Bitcoin distributed near local tops; each rejection at the downtrend has coincided with crypto inflections. “You literally don’t need any chart in all of crypto,” he said. “All you need is Bitcoin and USDT dominance and you would have played this cycle absolutely perfectly.” From a tactical standpoint, Kevin flagged a three-month BTC liquidity “heat map” shelf near $106.8K and the 21-week EMA—the bull-market support band—near $109.2K as natural magnets, with the lower weekly Bollinger Band sitting around $101K. He stressed he doesn’t want to see “Bitcoin lose 106.8K” if the cycle remains intact, though a wick into that area to “swipe the liquidity” would be consistent with prior resets. He framed $98K as the line that should not break decisively. “There’s a whole lot of support in that range,” he said. “I’d be pretty shocked if Bitcoin wasn’t able to bounce in there somewhere.” All Eyes On Q4 Seasonality Kevin tied structural signals to an explicit macro checklist, arguing that lasting cycle tops and bottoms align with fundamental catalysts rather than charts alone. He cited 2021’s inflation spike and the onset of the Fed’s hiking cycle as the driver of that cycle’s 55–60% drawdown, the 2017 CME Bitcoin futures launch as a blow-off top catalyst, and the FTX collapse as the final capitulation in 2022 amid weekly bullish divergence. “There’s always a macro-related reason that correlates with the charts,” he said. By contrast, he sees no such cycle-ending macro trigger today: inflation gauges have been “very choppy” but contained; the Fed is widely expected to ease into year-end provided labor softens; and seasonality favors Q4. Related Reading: Bitcoin Days Away From Blowoff Or Cycle Top, Veteran Analyst Warns He underscored the near-term calendar—core PCE, CPI and labor data in the first half of October—as decisive for risk appetite. “Sometime in mid-October… we’ll start to have an idea of where this market is really going to go,” he said. “If we get to mid-October and Bitcoin’s holding key support… and we get good macroeconomic data, we get another rate cut… the probabilities favor that Bitcoin will [go higher]—and then you’re in Q4.” Volatility positioning, he added, argues for a sharp directional move once the reset completes. On the weekly Bollinger Band Width, Kevin said BTC has printed record-low readings three times this cycle—each in Q3—and each episode began with a downside break of 18–29% before surging to fresh highs. “There is a massive move coming for Bitcoin soon. It has not happened yet,” he said, noting spot volumes have declined since November while bands have tightened to historic extremes. A test of the lower weekly band near $101K “is possible,” but not required, in his view; the key is that the broader $107K–$98K corridor functions as a springboard. Kevin was equally explicit about invalidation and upside triggers. He labeled $125K “a major top for now” and said the market needs weekly and monthly closes above that level to confirm trend continuation. On dominance, he highlighted 59.0% and 60.28% as near-term resistance that could fuel a BTC-led phase if reclaimed; otherwise, he expects leadership to rotate back to altcoins once Bitcoin bases and USDT dominance prints a lower high. “Stop looking at the altcoins” until those inter-market signals flip, he advised, emphasizing patience, risk management and taking profits into resistance. His bottom line combines restraint with opportunism. “Hold $107k to 98K,” he repeated. “Go into October. Get through the first couple of weeks of macroeconomic data… Bitcoin will inevitably find a low on the back of that data and then eventually go higher.” But he warned that if macro arrives benign and “Bitcoin is still deteriorating,” traders should be ready to reassess the cycle thesis. Until then, Kevin’s message remains unapologetically unglamorous: respect the seasonal chop, track the inter-market tells, and let the higher-time-frame levels do the talking. “Being right is the best pat on the back you can get,” he said. “Not just saying things that get you a lot of clicks.” At press time, BTC traded at $109,607. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Korean actor Hwang Jung-eum was sentenced to two years in prison, suspended for four years, for embezzling $3 million to invest in crypto.
A huge crypto selloff has shaken the market again, pushing Ethereum, the second-largest cryptocurrency, down to a two-month low, trading below $3,900. This has sparked concern among traders and investors alike, as Veteran crypto analyst Ted Pillows says ETH could drop even further, possibly reaching around $3,500 before it starts to recover. Ethereum Leads the …
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The cryptocurrency market faced another dip today as Bitcoin price movements dragged altcoins lower. Despite the decline, many analysts say these fluctuations are part of a broader Bitcoin trading range, not a market collapse. Investors often describe the process as “five steps forward, two steps back,” highlighting the cyclical nature of Bitcoin and crypto markets. …
Pi Network has been developing for years with a mobile-first approach and a mining community, yet it struggles to gain significant market traction. Dogecoin, a meme coin with little real utility, continues to dominate in recognition and liquidity. DOGE trades at $0.227 with a market cap of $34.4 billion, while Pi sits at $0.263 with …
As we approach the final quarter of 2025, key charts provide valuable insights to help crypto traders navigate the evolving market landscape.
The crypto market is flashing red once again. As of September 26, global market cap sits at $3.74 trillion, down 2.27% in 24 hours. The Fear & Greed Index has slipped to 32 (Fear), showing clear risk-off sentiment. Altcoins are particularly hit, with the average RSI at 35.85 indicating oversold conditions. XRP is no exception, …
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On September 25, the SEC’s Crypto Task Force met with VanEck to review pressing issues in digital asset regulation. The agenda covered crypto ETF rules, liquid staking tokens, fund tokenization, DeFi oversight, and custody requirements for digital assets. The meeting reflects the SEC’s effort to engage directly with major market players as it works toward …
Crypto exchange Kraken has secured $500 million in new funding, valuing the company at $15 billion. The round, structured by Kraken without a single lead investor, saw participation from investment firms, venture capital funds, and Tribe Capital, led by CEO Arjun Sethi, who also invested personally. The fresh capital will fuel Kraken’s global expansion and …
XRP available on major exchanges has fallen dramatically in recent months. Coinbase, a key custodian, holds only around 100 million XRP, down nearly 90% from previous levels. This sharp drop sets the stage for a supply squeeze, as institutions preparing for spot ETFs accumulate tokens. Institutional Moves Creating Market Ripples Large firms filing for XRP …
Dogecoin (DOGE), the leading memecoin in the cryptocurrency space, has faced significant challenges this week, experiencing a 22% decline. According to data from CoinGecko, DOGE is nearly 70% lower than its all-time high of $0.73. Despite these setbacks, analysts remain optimistic about Dogecoin’s future price performance. Dogecoin On Track For Major Rally The anticipated onset of an altcoin season in the last quarter of the year, combined with critical support levels, has contributed to a bullish sentiment among market watchers. Related Reading: All-Time Highs For Gold, S&P500; Crypto Stands Alone In The Red – What’s The Root Cause? Analysts at Bitcoinsensus have boldly asserted on social media site X (formerly Twitter), that Dogecoin is on the cusp of a significant upward movement, citing the cryptocurrency’s ascending trendline support visible on its weekly chart. Their analysis indicates that Dogecoin is mirroring the patterns of previous rallies that saw price increases of 300% and 500% between September and November of last year. This suggests that even with the current corrections pushing the price below $0.20, DOGE remains well-positioned to resume its upward momentum at any time. The crucial support level they identified stands at $0.14, a threshold that, if maintained, could lead to a rapid rebound. Bitcoinsensus forecasts a potential target of $1.30 for Dogecoin, implying an extraordinary rally of 800% for bullish investors. This is reinforced by the broader economic context, particularly in light of recent jobless claims and gross domestic products (GDP) reports. Path To Recovery, Key Support And Resistance Levels Analysts from The Motley Fool noted that weekly jobless claims for the week ending September 20 showed a decrease to 218,000, falling below expectations and indicating a resilient labor market. Meanwhile, the US Commerce Department revised its second-quarter gross domestic product estimate upward to 3.8%, reflecting robust consumer spending, the strongest quarterly growth seen in over two years. Such economic indicators could positively influence cryptocurrency prices, as investors often rotate from traditional assets like the Nasdaq and S&P 500 into riskier assets, including Dogecoin. This movement could potentially spark a new altcoin season, provided that sufficient liquidity enters the market. Related Reading: Ethereum Thesis From Tom Lee Torched As ‘Retarded’ By VC Firm Boss Looking ahead, Dogecoin faces key resistance levels that need to be overcome for a sustained recovery. The memecoin’s price has been rejected at $0.24 three times, with additional obstacles at $0.27 and $0.28. Achieving a breakthrough in these areas could set the stage for a move toward the $0.30 mark. Conversely, should DOGE retrace, strong psychological support is seen at $0.14, with further levels at $0.21, $0.19, and $0.16, which have historically acted as significant bounce points for the token. At the time of writing, the memecoin’s price attempts to stop its ongoing correction at $0.222. Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
Ethereum co-founder Jeffrey Wilcke seemingly still holds hundreds of millions worth of Ether across multiple wallets.
Nasdaq-listed AlphaTON Capital Corp has marked a major milestone by completing $71 million in financing and making its first large-scale purchase of TON tokens. With this strategic step, the company is positioning itself as a leading institutional force within the Telegram and TON blockchain ecosystem, aiming to turn its treasury strategy into sustainable long-term growth. …
CryptoQuant said crypto treasury companies that cut deals to sell new shares to private investors face downside risks due to incoming selling pressure.
Bitcoin, the pioneer cryptocurrency, has slipped to a four-week low, trading under $109,500, leaving many traders anxious about its next move. But veteran analyst Timothy Peterson believes the drop could just be part of a bigger setup. Using Bitcoin’s 10-year seasonality trends, he suggests the BTC to climb as high as $200,000 by June 2026, …
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The post Kraken completes $500M funding round, eyes 2026 IPO appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
The actor received a two-year suspended sentence after embezzling millions from her own agency to invest in crypto.
SEC officials have cautioned some companies about potential violations of Regulation Fair Disclosure, according to WSJ.
On September 25, both spot Bitcoin ETFs and Ethereum ETFs recorded heavy outflow, SoSoValue reports. Bitcoin ETFs saw $258.46 million outflow, with only one ETF reporting inflow, while Ethereum ETFs posted $251.20 million with no inflow. Bitcoin ETF Breakdown Bitcoin ETFs posted a net outflow of $258.46 million, with Fidelity’s FBTC leading $114.81 million. Bitwise …
The crypto market remains volatile. Bitcoin trades near $109,400, and Ethereum sits around $3,950. XRP is making headlines as it moves beyond its traditional role as a payment token and enters the broader DeFi ecosystem. Axelar’s Interchain Token Service (ITS) now connects XRP to more than 80 blockchains. This allows XRP to operate across multiple …
Solana started a fresh decline from the $232 zone. SOL price is now showing bearish signs and might even decline toward the $180 support. SOL price started a fresh decline below $232 and $220 against the US Dollar. The price is now trading below $200 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $204 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The price could extend losses if it stays below $204 and $212. Solana Price Dips Sharply Solana price failed to stay above $232 and started a fresh decline, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. SOL traded below the $220 and $212 support levels to enter a bearish zone. The bears even pushed the price below $200 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. A low was formed at $191 and the price is now consolidating losses below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $242 swing high to the $191 low. Solana is now trading below $200 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. Besides, there is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $204 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair. If there is a recovery wave, the price could face resistance near the $200 level. The next major resistance is near the $204 level or the trend line. The main resistance could be $215 or the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $242 swing high to the $191 low. A successful close above the $215 resistance zone could set the pace for another steady increase. The next key resistance is $220. Any more gains might send the price toward the $232 level. More Losses In SOL? If SOL fails to rise above the $204 resistance, it could continue to move down. Initial support on the downside is near the $192 zone. The first major support is near the $188 level. A break below the $188 level might send the price toward the $180 support zone. If there is a close below the $180 support, the price could decline toward the $174 support in the near term. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for SOL/USD is gaining pace in the bearish zone. Hourly Hours RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for SOL/USD is below the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $192 and $188. Major Resistance Levels – $204 and $215.
A cryptocurrency analyst has explained how a Chainlink triangle breakout setup could point to a massive $100 target for the asset’s price. Chainlink Is Coiling Inside A Triangle Right Now In a new post on X, analyst Ali Martinez has talked about a triangle pattern forming in the weekly price of Chainlink. Triangles refer to consolidation channels from technical analysis (TA) that involve an asset trading between two converging trendlines. Like any other consolidation channel, the upper trendline acts a source of resistance, while the lower one that of support. In other words, tops can be likely to occur on retests of the former and bottoms at the latter. Related Reading: Dogecoin Down 18%, But Whale Withdraws 122 Million DOGE From Binance There are a few different types of triangles, with some of the popular ones being the ascending, descending, and symmetrical variations. The orientation of the trendlines decides which type a particular triangle falls into. Ascending and descending triangles have one trendline parallel to the time-axis: upper line in the former and lower one in the latter. Symmetrical triangles lie between the two, having both lines at a roughly equal and opposite slope. Chainlink has potentially been trading inside a triangle over the last few years, but as the below chart shared by Martinez shows, this particular triangle doesn’t cleanly fit into any of these types. From the graph, it’s visible that Chainlink’s triangle lies is angled upward, but not fully, so it lies somewhere between a symmetrical triangle and an ascending one. LINK made a retest of the upper line of the pattern earlier in the year and ended up finding rejection. The cryptocurrency is now on the way down, but the analyst thinks an extended drawdown may not actually be so bad. “A dip to $16 on Chainlink $LINK would be a gift,” says Martinez. This price is where the 0.5 Fibonacci level lies. Fibonacci Extension/Retracement levels are lines drawn using ratios derived from the famous Fibonacci series. The analyst has taken LINK’s top and bottom from the last few years as the 1 and 0 levels, respectively, and has drawn retracement levels between them. The $16 mark happens to be where one such key retracement level lies. Martinez has highlighted in the chart what path the asset could end up following if it bounces off this level. It would appear that in the analyst’s view, a rebound from the line could end up leading to a breakout from the triangle and set a potential target at the 1.272 extension level, drawn up from the 1 level (top). In Chainlink price terms, this level corresponds to almost $100. Related Reading: Bitcoin HODLers Booked $120 Million In Profits During Price Crash: Data It now remains to be seen whether LINK will break out of the triangle in the near future, and whether a setup similar to the analyst’s would play out. LINK Price At the time of writing, Chainlink is floating around $20.25, down over 17% in the last seven days. Featured image from Dall-E, charts from TradingView.com
OpenAI has launched ChatGPT Pulse to deliver customized daily updates to users based on their interests. It could even be helpful for cryptocurrency investors.
Bitcoin dropped to under $109,000 as long-term holders realized 3.4 million Bitcoin profits and ETF inflows slowed, signalling potential cycle exhaustion.
XRP price attempted a recovery wave above the $2.850 zone but failed. The price is again moving lower and might decline again below the $2.720 zone. XRP price is moving lower below the $2.850 support zone. The price is now trading below $2.840 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There was a break below a connecting bullish trend line with support at $2.850 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could continue to move down if it dips below $2.720. XRP Price Dips Below Support XRP price attempted a recovery wave above the $2.90 level, beating Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price was able to surpass the $2.90 and $2.92 resistance levels before the bears appeared. A high was formed at $2.995 and the price started a fresh decline. There was a drop below the $2.90 support. Besides, there was a break below a connecting bullish trend line with support at $2.850 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair. A low was formed at $2.724 and the price is now consolidating below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $2.995 swing high to the $2.724 low. The price is now trading below $2.850 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. On the upside, the price might face resistance near the $2.788 level. The first major resistance is near the $2.850 level and the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $2.995 swing high to the $2.724 low. A clear move above the $2.850 resistance might send the price toward the $2.920 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $2.950 resistance. The next major hurdle for the bulls might be near $3.00. Another Decline? If XRP fails to clear the $2.850 resistance zone, it could continue to move down. Initial support on the downside is near the $2.720 level. The next major support is near the $2.680 level. If there is a downside break and a close below the $2.680 level, the price might continue to decline toward $2.6150. The next major support sits near the $2.60 zone, below which the price could gain bearish momentum. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for XRP/USD is now gaining pace in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for XRP/USD is now below the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $2.720 and $2.680. Major Resistance Levels – $2.850 and $2.920.