Rising odds of US military action in Iran could destabilize regional geopolitics, impacting global markets and diplomatic relations significantly.
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The heightened market prediction reflects increased geopolitical tensions, potentially leading to significant military and economic repercussions.
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Iran's rejection of US demands exacerbates market volatility and dims prospects for diplomatic resolution, impacting geopolitical stability.
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Iran's stance heightens regional tensions, complicating diplomatic efforts and increasing the likelihood of military confrontations.
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The XRP price structure is not giving a clear bullish signal, and there are questions as to whether the current range will hold up and whether there’s going to be another leg down. Crypto analyst Hov, who has been tracking XRP’s structure on the weekly timeframe, laid out a detailed Elliott Wave count on X that identifies exactly where the price stands and what it needs to do in the coming sessions to avoid a more serious breakdown. XRP Wave Structure Is Sending A Warning Signal Crypto analyst Hov pointed out that the XRP price action coming off the recent lows lacks the kind of impulsive strength traders look for when a reversal is going on. Related Reading: The Last Time XRP Made This Move Against Bitcoin, It Led To A 500% Increase To $3.3 Hov’s chart, drawn on the weekly timeframe, traces out an expansive Elliott Wave sequence beginning from XRP’s 2018 cycle top through the corrective lows of 2019/2020, recovering across the 2021 bull cycle, and extending into the current setup. What the analyst observed is interesting: the XRP price action from the recent swing low is printing a series of threes, not a clean five-wave impulsive structure. In Elliott Wave theory, a sequence of three-wave moves is corrective by nature. It implies that the dominant trend may not have fully reversed and that price could still be responding to a larger downward cycle. The expectation earlier was that XRP would push into a fifth wave off the lows to confirm bullish intent. That move has not materialized. As long as the price structure is corrective, then there are risks of continuation to the downside. Major Price Levels To Watch As it stands, XRP has spent the past few days trading in a range between $1.30 and $1.35. This zone has acted as a pivot in recent price action, and losing it could lead to a deeper move lower. Hov specifically warned that a higher timeframe below this support would increase the likelihood of a breakdown. Related Reading: XRP Price Move Below $1: Analyst Warns That Another Crash Is Coming The 12-hour chart also shows a deeper support region closer to the $1.15 range, which is based on the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level. If the current level fails, that area becomes the next logical target. There is still room for the bullish scenario to play out, but the window is narrowing. “That doesn’t mean we can’t recover it just means we gotta do it quickly because we are just barely holding our key level on HTF,” Hov said. That important higher-timeframe level is visible in the chart as the lower boundary of a wide cyan support zone between $1.45 and $1.70. The bullish scenario will play out as long as the XRP price holds above the sub-wave 1 high from mid-2023, which is around $0.88. The first and more immediately bullish scenario requires XRP to reclaim the white box at $1.50 and achieve a higher-timeframe close above it. A sustained close above this zone would set off the price action to $1.80. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com
Google's quantum paper made headlines with that number. Here's what it means, what's actually at risk, and why 6.9 million bitcoin are more exposed than the rest.
Ethereum could outpace Bitcoin by a wide margin over the next four years — at least according to one of the most bullish forecasts to come out of traditional banking. That is the view from Geoff Kendrick, Global Head of Digital Assets Research at Standard Chartered, who laid out the projection in a recent podcast appearance. Ethereum’s Potential Gain Towers Over Bitcoin’s While Bitcoin grabs the bigger headline number, the math actually favors Ethereum. Kendrick’s base case puts Bitcoin at $500,000 by 2030 — roughly 7.5 times its current price of $66,400. Ethereum, sitting at $2,034, would need to hit $40,000 to meet his target. That works out to about 20 times its current value. In other words, Ethereum holders would see nearly three times the relative return compared to Bitcoin investors, if the forecast holds. Related Reading: Bitcoin Stumbles Hard: The Worst Q1 In Years Raises Big Questions Kendrick flagged the ETH/BTC ratio as one indicator to watch. That ratio currently sits at around 0.03. His outlook has it climbing to 0.04 in the near term, a signal that Ethereum would be gaining ground on Bitcoin in relative terms. He also offered a more immediate checkpoint: if Bitcoin gets back to $100,000 by the end of 2026, Ethereum should be trading near $4,000. That would represent gains of roughly 50% for Bitcoin and 95% for Ethereum from where both assets currently stand. Global Head of Digital Assets Research at Standard Chartered: “I’ve got $500K Bitcoin by 2030 and $40K Ethereum by 2030 – a massive outperformance.” That’s ~20x on $ETH from here. pic.twitter.com/p7dFwPrTzG — Milk Road (@MilkRoad) April 1, 2026 Banks Are Choosing Ethereum First One reason why Kendrick believes in the bullishness of Ethereum is that the financial sector has been joining the blockchain revolution. From Kendrick’s point of view, large asset management firms and banks usually begin their blockchain ventures by developing products based on Ethereum since it has a reputation for safety and reliability. For instance, BlackRock started creating blockchain products using Ethereum first before venturing into other blockchain networks. This pattern, Kendrick argues, gives Ethereum a durable edge. As more institutions follow the same playbook, demand for the network could build steadily through the end of the decade. He described this as the “first phase” of real-world adoption playing out primarily on Ethereum, even if activity eventually spreads to competing blockchains. Related Reading: XRP Could Soon Enter Arizona’s Treasury — Here’s What’s Happening Network Usage Seen As A Price Driver Beyond institutional adoption, Kendrick pointed to raw network activity as a key factor in his price outlook. Rising transaction fees on Ethereum-based applications are seen as a gauge of demand. As stablecoins, decentralized finance, and tokenized real-world assets continue to grow on the network, that increased usage could push the token’s value higher. The forecast was shared during an interview on the Milk Road podcast with host John Gillen. Standard Chartered has not publicly released a formal research note tied to these specific figures, but Kendrick’s comments drew wide attention across the crypto community following the appearance. Featured image from Meta, chart from TradingView
The surge in prediction markets signals heightened geopolitical tensions and potential for prolonged US military engagement in the region.
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The incident underscores heightened tensions, diminishing diplomatic resolution prospects and impacting market confidence in ceasefire outcomes.
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XRP is struggling around key demand levels. The market is preparing for a decisive move. And the data beneath the price is describing a contest between two groups of participants who have reached completely opposite conclusions about what comes next. Related Reading: XRP Whales Move $592 Million From Exchanges In Two Days. Discover What Triggered It A CryptoQuant report has identified a divergence in XRP’s market structure that makes the current price level more consequential than it appears on the surface. Spot CVD on Binance has climbed to $451 million — real capital, exchanged for real XRP, building steadily on the buy side. The participants behind that number believe in the current price. They are putting money behind that belief. Simultaneously, Binance Perpetual CVD sits at approximately -$1.5 billion, while All CEX Perpetual CVD hovers near -$1 billion. The derivatives market is not neutral. It is actively bearish — leveraged traders positioned for XRP to fall, with conviction strong enough to sustain nearly $1.5 billion in negative cumulative positioning. Two markets. Two verdicts. One price level caught between them. The spot buyers are absorbing what the derivatives traders are betting against. That dynamic — real demand meeting leveraged skepticism at the same price — is not a stable condition. One side is accumulating fuel for the other’s forced exit. The article ahead explains which side history tends to favor. The Spot Side Is Absorbing What the Derivatives Side Is Selling. That Is Not Nothing. The report’s forward interpretation is where the divergence becomes most consequential. Spot demand building against bearish futures positioning does not simply represent two groups of participants disagreeing — it represents a structural dynamic in which one side’s losses become the other side’s catalyst. When spot buyers absorb sell pressure that derivatives traders are generating, the supply available to push the price lower diminishes. When it diminishes enough, the bearish leveraged positions that were supposed to profit from the decline become a liability — and the process of unwinding them adds buying pressure rather than selling pressure. That mechanism — commonly known as a short squeeze — does not require a fundamental catalyst to trigger. It requires only that spot demand continues building while bearish positioning remains crowded. The report identifies liquidation activity as an additional signal pointing to the same fragility: derivatives positioning is not just bearish, it is exposed. The report is precise about what this does and does not confirm. It is not a bullish signal. It is a pre-bullish structure — spot support forming beneath a market that leveraged traders are still betting against. Those are different things, and the distinction matters. The gap between $451 million in spot buying and $1.5 billion in bearish futures positioning is the distance between current reality and potential forced reaction. If spot demand keeps building and that gap keeps widening, the bearish derivatives bias stops being a headwind and starts being the fuel. Related Reading: Ethereum Absorbs $1B In An Hour As Trump Signals Escalation XRP Drifts Lower as Sellers Maintain Control XRP is trading near $1.31, continuing to show signs of weakness after failing to reclaim higher levels following the February breakdown. The chart reflects a sustained downtrend, with price consistently forming lower highs and lower lows over the past several months, indicating that selling pressure remains dominant. After the sharp capitulation event in early February — marked by a significant spike in volume — XRP entered a consolidation range between roughly $1.25 and $1.50. However, this range has not produced a meaningful recovery. Instead, recent price action shows a gradual drift toward the lower end of the range, suggesting that demand is weakening rather than strengthening. Related Reading: $11.4 Billion in XRP Has Left Binance. Here Is What Happens When Demand Returns The 50-day and 100-day moving averages are both trending downward above the price. Acting as a dynamic resistance and capping any short-term rallies. The 200-day moving average remains significantly higher, reinforcing the broader bearish structure and confirming that XRP has not yet established a reversal. Volume has declined during this consolidation phase, indicating reduced participation and limited conviction from buyers. This lack of demand is evident in repeated failures to sustain moves above $1.40. Unless XRP can reclaim key moving averages and break out of this range with strength, the current structure favors continued pressure, with a potential retest of lower support levels. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com
The declining ceasefire odds highlight escalating tensions, potentially destabilizing the region and impacting global diplomatic efforts.
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Crypto pundit Chad has drawn a connection between Ripple and XRP with SWIFT. This comes as Ripple continues to expand its payment services and other operations, further integrating XRP and RLUSD into traditional finance (TradFi). Pundit Draws Attention To The Connection Between Ripple And XRP In an X post, Chad noted that Ripple Treasury and XRP are now connected directly to SWIFT. This came as he highlighted Ripple’s listing of SWIFT as one of its connectivity partners for payments. The treasury management firm stated that it is part of the SWIFT Certified Partner Program. Related Reading: XRP Analyst Shares What To Expect Once Ripple Taps This $12.5 Trillion Industry As part of the SWIFT Certified Partner Program, Ripple Treasury stated that it offers global bank connectivity and hosting options for SWIFT’s Alliance Lite2 platform. As part of the Ripple, XRP connection with SWIFT, Ripple Treasury has also partnered to offer SWIFTRef data for IBAN and ABA lookups directly from within its workflow. Additionally, Ripple Treasury has partnered with Fides, which works closely with platforms such as SWIFT. Fides helps Ripple Treasury to extend multi-bank connectivity to customers around the globe. Meanwhile, Chad also pointed out how Ripple and XRP, by proxy, are basically integrated into the financial system. This is through Ripple Treasury’s ClearConnect connectivity layer, which provides connectivity to banks worldwide. The pundit noted that for any bank not yet connected, it now takes only 7 days to install the API and connect. At the moment, Ripple Treasury is connected to NetSuite, Oracle, SAP, Infor, Workday, and MS Dynamics. It is worth noting that this Ripple Treasury’s connectivity layer enables customers who hold crypto assets across multiple platforms to connect to these providers, so they can view their entire portfolio on their treasury management system without needing separate systems. Acquiring GTreasury Was Ripple’s Biggest Move In another X post, Chad stated that GTreasury was the “single biggest move” that Ripple has ever made. This came as he alluded to Ripple’s latest move to launch the first management system with native on-chain capabilities. This move integrates XRP and RLUSD into the Ripple Treasury, allowing customers to use these crypto assets in the same environment as fiat. Related Reading: Why SWIFT’s Latest Global Payments Infrastructure Is Bullish For XRP Holders The pundit remarked that Ripple doesn’t need the CLARITY Act to operate, as the crypto firm continues to integrate XRP into mainstream finance. It is worth noting that Ripple is also close to becoming a national trust bank, which could further give the crypto firm access to the U.S. banking system. Additionally, the firm has applied for a Fed Master account, which would enable it to use the Federal Reserve’s payment rails for its stablecoin operations. At the time of writing, the XRP price is trading at around $1.31, up in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com
The strong US employment data reduces the likelihood of a Fed rate cut, impacting market dynamics and creating contrarian trading opportunities.
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Gold ($2.15B) and Silver ($1.98B) futures on Binance have surged to rank fourth and fifth, respectively, in terms of trading volume, surpassed only by Bitcoin ($21.5B), Ethereum ($18.1B), and Solana ($3.0B). Cumulative trading for gold and silver contracts surpassed $130 billion by early March 2026. The milestone achievement is notable, given that the exchange launched …
Bitcoin is often celebrated as a decentralized network, with mining power distributed globally to ensure security and neutrality. However, a closer look at mining activity suggests that this decentralization may not be as evenly distributed as it appears. While individual theories can participate in mining, the majority of the network’s hash power is concentrated among a relatively small number of large mining pools and geographic regions. Why Bitcoin’s Mining Distribution Deserves A Closer Look Bitcoin mining is not as globally decentralized as many assume. Analyst Lucky revealed on X that while the network is technically permissionless, a significant share of its hashpower is still concentrated in a few regions. Related Reading: Bitcoin Mining Nationalized? US Senators Float Bold New Reserve-Backed Bill Furthermore, estimates suggest that roughly 68% BTC mining power is distributed across three major countries: the United States, China, and Russia. This concentration is not coincidental but driven by fundamental factors such as infrastructure, energy access, and regulatory dynamics. Currently, the US has emerged as a leader due to the rise of institutional-scale mining operations, strong access to capital markets, and relatively stable regulatory clarity in states like Texas. Despite the official bans, China continues to contribute to global hashpower through underground or relocated mining operations, often supported by inexpensive hydro and coal energy. Meanwhile, Russia benefits from abundant low-cost electricity and colder regions where cooling costs are minimal. This dynamic highlights an important reality where BTC decentralization exists, but its mining ecosystem is shaped by real-world power, policy, and energy economics. Ultimately, following the distribution of hashpower offers a clearer picture of where BTC influence within the network truly resides. How New Tariffs Could Pressure Bitcoin And Risk Assets US President Donald Trump is back in focus with a new wave of tariff plans, proposing a 25% levy on the full value of goods that use imported steel and aluminum. An investor known as Sjuul AltCryptoGems on X has outlined that during earlier tariff announcements of Trump, Bitcoin and the broader crypto market dropped hard. Meanwhile, this time, uncertainty is already elevated due to the war. Sjuul pointed out that if these policies escalate into a full-scale conflict, it could amplify volatility across financial markets. During the period, the Bitcoin whales were actively placing resistance in the market, and making it clear that the price would not break above the $70,000 level as the US trading session advanced. According to Crypto Seth, as news surrounding tensions involving Iran emerged, BTC whales appeared to use the event as a catalyst to push the market lower, triggering a wave of liquidations. Related Reading: Bitcoin Whales Still Favoring Short Positions Amid Sideways Price Action In total, 185,806 traders were liquidated, with losses reaching approximately $406,52 million. Crypto Seth noted that this wasn’t random volatility but a calculated move, where 100x Degen longs were caught offside. At the same time, data shows that short leverage is building above the $69,000 level, as indicated by heatmap activity. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com
Rising odds of U.S. forces entering Iran signal potential geopolitical instability, impacting global markets and strategic military dynamics.
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The non-profit foundation has staked 69,500 ETH, nearly reaching the goal it unveiled at the end of February, less than two months ago.
Gold (XAU) and silver (XAG) futures have climbed into the top five by trading volume on Binance Futures. Binance Metal Rush Doesn’t Leave Crypto Behind Just weeks after Binance rolled out gold and silver perpetual futures settled in USDT, the cumulative volume across the metals contracts already reached the tens of billions of dollars, a CryptoQuant report from yesterday claims. However, CryptoQuant’s analyst Marteen assures that Binance is still overwhelmingly crypto‑native. Bitcoin leads the futures volume around the low‑$20‑billion range with Ethereum following behind at $18.1B and Solana at a distant third at $3.0B. But the metals’ rise into the top bucket shows non‑crypto assets are no longer a sideshow. Gold is already in 4th place at $2.15B, and silver is right behind it at $1.98B. Related Reading: Bitcoin Liquidations Dethroned? A Tokenized Bet Just Posted Crypto’s Biggest Loss Marteen’s conclusion is simple. Binance still leans heavily toward crypto, but it has outgrown being a pure crypto venue. Commodities have soaked up liquidity at speed, and equity‑linked products are now starting to see meaningful flow as well. [Binance] – Snapshot Futures Volume – April 1st, 2026. Source: CryptoQuant. Binance Joins The Oil Rush Too According to WuBlockchain, Binance’s new “TradFi” futures suite (gold, silver and stock‑linked products) has rapidly captured a meaningful share of overall derivatives activity on the platform. On April 2, the first full trading day after launch on Binance, USDⓈ-margined perpetual contracts for crude oil assets CL and BZ recorded trading volumes of $760 million and $358 million respectively, ranking third and fourth among Binance TradFi perpetual products. Meanwhile,… pic.twitter.com/PoROHzQsur — Wu Blockchain (@WuBlockchain) April 3, 2026 Crude oil benchmarks CL and BZ posted volumes of $760 million and $358 million dollars respectively, placing them third and fourth among Binance’s traditional‑finance perpetual products. Daily Volume by Symbol. Binance TradFi-USDT Perp. Source: WuBlockchain. Trading activity, however, remains dominated by gold (XAU) and silver (XAG), which together generated $5.58 billion in daily volume, makin up more than 70% of the total. Are Crypto Venues Morphing Into Multi‑Asset Trading Hubs? Let’s keep in mind that Binance is not the only crypto venue experiencing such a dramatic shift. In recent weeks, Hyperliquid has been under the spotlight for many reasons, but one of the main ones is that the leading perp DEX’s combined HIP-3 (oil, gold and silver) open interest reached all-time highs. The platform is now trading more volume in tokenized commodities than digital assets. Just yesterday, NewsBTC reported that tokenized Brent oil futures on Hyperliquid generated about $46.6 million in liquidations in 24 hours, making oil the third‑most liquidated asset on the decentralized exchange. Gold Perpetual Contracts on Binance right now, showing the performance. They are trading for almost $4.7k Source: XAUUSDT.P on Tradingview. Gold and silver have been ripping on the back of inflation worries, rate‑cut bets and geopolitical stress. Binance is joining the 24/7 RWA’s trading hub bandwagon by effectively letting traders express those macro views with high leverage and stablecoin collateral, instead of using legacy commodity exchanges. Related Reading: Hyperliquid Puts Wall Street Onchain — Will This Warp Crypto Volatility Next? Gold and silver breaking into the top five on Binance Futures is a signal that the line between crypto and TradFi markets is dissolving, with liquidity, speculation and hedging all moving onto the same rails. A portion of derivatives capital rotating into metals and stock‑linked contracts can thin order books and amplify volatility in smaller altcoins during risk‑off episodes. Silver Perpetual Contracts on Binance right now, showing the performance and technicals. They are trading for almost $73. Source: XAGUSDT.P on Tradingview. Sophisticated players might use metals futures on Binance as a hedge against crypto drawdowns. Correlation regimes between BTC and gold (as the one between oil and Bitcoin explained by NewsBTC yesterday) could shift as both trade on the same venue. Ignoring this new macro layer on Binance’s futures board could mean missing an important signal about where “smart” derivatives flow is going. At the moment of writing, BTC trades for almost $67k on the daily chart. Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview. Cover image from Perplexity. All charts from Tradingview.
Rising market odds of US intervention in Iran suggest heightened geopolitical tensions, impacting global stability and economic forecasts.
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The FIFA World Cup will feature a prediction market platform built on ADI Chain, with the network’s token hitting a new high Friday.
The incident escalates tensions, potentially leading to increased U.S. military involvement and impacting geopolitical stability and markets.
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The draft bill, yet to be signed into law by the king, marked a significant policy change for Cambodia officials in addressing scam centers.
Iran's rejection of US ceasefire demands underscores the challenges in achieving a swift diplomatic resolution, impacting market confidence.
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The executive order may strain US-EU trade relations, potentially impacting global markets and economic conditions through retaliatory measures.
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Institutional adoption via BlackRock's ETF could drive Bitcoin's mainstream acceptance, influencing future price stability and growth.
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Crypto analyst Jordan has predicted that the Bitcoin price could rally to $80,000 in the short term. The analyst pointed to a February bullish trend that could spark this rally for the leading crypto. Bitcoin Price Eyes Rally To $80,000 Based On This Trend In an X post, Jordan predicted that the Bitcoin price could rally to $80,000, citing a bullish trend that began in February. This was around when BTC formed a new local low of $60,000. Since then, the leading crypto has rebounded to as high as $76,000. The analyst noted that BTC has bounced every time the price has tested support in the lower $60,000 range. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Is Only Halfway To The Bottom And Will Crash Below $40,000, Here’s Why Jordan said that if the Bitcoin price can hold this level, then there could be a momentum push towards the $80,000 to $84,000 CME gap. He added that it is interesting that the price has remained above key support levels despite the U.S.-Iran war. Crypto analyst Doctor Profit also indicated that BTC could rally above $80,000 in the short term. In an X post, he stated that he will look to enter new shorts between $79,000 and $84,000 if the Bitcoin price revisits that zone. He further remarked that he sees a high medium probability that BTC will reach this zone. However, he added that, given the geopolitical situation with the war in Iran, he doesn’t think the risk-reward is worth it to go long in hopes that BTC will rally above $80,000. Doctor Profit also reiterated that the Bitcoin price is in a bear market and that the price hasn’t bottomed yet. As such, he believes that placing short orders between $79,000 and $84,000 is a much safer bet with targets below $50,000. Not Yet Time To Buy BTC Crypto analyst CrypFlow stated that this is not yet the time to buy BTC, as the Bitcoin price has not yet bottomed. He noted that the 2-month stochastic RSI bullish cross is one signal that has consistently marked the best buying opportunities every cycle. The analyst explained that under this pattern, momentum resets below 20, sentiment turns negative, and a bullish cross later confirms the shift. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Headed To $120,000? Why This Analyst Thinks It’s A Good Time To Buy CrypFlow further remarked that the cross marked the start of the bull run in the 2015, 2019, and 2023 cycles. However, that cross has yet to happen this time around. He noted that the stochastic RSI is resetting again and that the setup is building, but that the signal hasn’t triggered, signaling that the Bitcoin price could still drop lower. At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $66,800, up in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com
Bitcoin (BTC) faces a stark downside risk that could send prices below the previous bear market lows, according to a new analysis from blockchain data firm CryptoQuant. The firm warns that a confluence of geopolitical shocks, macroeconomic repricing, and fragile derivatives positioning could push the largest cryptocurrency as low as $10,000 in a worst‑case scenario — far beneath the last bear‑market trough near $15,000. Political Shock From Trump Speech CryptoQuant’s note comes against the backdrop of a substantial pullback from Bitcoin’s record highs. After peaking at roughly $126,000 last October, Bitcoin has retraced about 45% and has entered a months‑long consolidation range between $66,000 and $70,000. Related Reading: New Bitcoin Crash Ahead? Bloomberg Strategist Forecasts Return To $10,000 – Here’s Why The firm highlights recent political developments as an immediate catalyst for the downside potential. CryptoQuant points to President Donald Trump’s April 1 speech on Iran as a market‑moving event that abruptly reset expectations. By signaling the possibility of intensified military action within the coming weeks, the speech undermined hopes for de‑escalation and prompted a broad risk‑off reaction. In CryptoQuant’s view, this was not merely a geopolitical scare — it forced a repricing of macro conditions that matter to risk assets like Bitcoin. As oil prices rise, inflationary pressures can return; a firmer dollar tightens dollar liquidity globally. CryptoQuant notes rising volatility — with the VIX near 25 — and widening Treasury spreads, both of which are symptomatic of deteriorating liquidity. Three Possible Bitcoin Outcomes CryptoQuant lays out a range of possible outcomes. In a moderate stress event, the firm estimates Bitcoin could fall from the $70,000 area to roughly $50,000 — a 25–30% decline. If Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) outflows continue and spot demand remains soft, the medium‑term downside expands substantially, with prices potentially sliding into the $30,000–$20,000 range, representing declines of 60–70% from current levels. Related Reading: ICBA Opposes OCC’s Conditional Nod For Coinbase National Trust Bank Charter In the extreme scenario — for example, a prolonged closure of the Strait of Hormuz or a sustained major conflict — global liquidity could seize up more completely. CryptoQuant suggests that in such circumstances, equities could plunge more than 30% and oil could spike to $150–$200 per barrel, conditions that could drive Bitcoin toward the $10,000 mark, an 85% drop from current trading prices. Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com
Trump's diplomatic focus may stabilize long-term US-Iran ceasefire odds, but immediate progress remains uncertain amid market caution.
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Qatar's absence from talks undermines diplomatic efforts, reducing ceasefire prospects and highlighting the fragility of regional peace.
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Schwab's crypto trading launch may legitimize digital assets, spurring institutional adoption and potentially driving Bitcoin prices higher.
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