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#prediction markets

Trump's ultimatum to Iran underscores the fragile state of peace talks, with markets reflecting skepticism about a swift resolution.
The post Trump gives Iran 48 hours to negotiate deal as ceasefire odds plummet to 1% appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#prediction markets

The ultimatum heightens geopolitical tensions, potentially destabilizing markets and reducing prospects for diplomatic resolutions.
The post Trump issues 48-hour ultimatum to Iran amid dwindling ceasefire odds appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#bitcoin #btcusd #btcusdt #bitcoin short-term holders #bitcoin long-term holders

Bitcoin traded within a range-bound spell throughout March, with prices briefly rallying to $75,000 before falling back within the boundaries of the $63,000-$71,000 range. However, despite this, Bitcoin price struggles within this consolidation phase; the underlying dynamics are telling an interesting story concerning who the current distributors of Bitcoin are. Related Reading: Bitcoin Mining Not As Globally Decentralized As It Appears — Here’s Why Short-Term Holders Dominate Sell-Side Pressure In a QuickTake post on CryptoQuant, pseudonymous analyst TeddyVision reveals that, while price appears stagnant, Bitcoin’s most-reactive investor group, i.e., the Short-Term Holders (STH), is still selling their holdings. This revelation is based on readings from the Bitcoin: Exchange Inflow – Spent Output Age Bands – Spot Exchanges metric. For context, this metric shows the age distribution of BTC being sent into spot exchanges, thereby revealing whether recently acquired coins or long-held coins are being deposited for potential selling. Per the analyst, the dominant flow of BTC into spot exchanges is coming from its 0-12 month cohorts, collectively referred to as the short-term holders, and sometimes includes transition participants. While the Bitcoin STHs are behind the extant sell pressure, TeddyVision points out that older cohorts (above 12 months) are, for the most part, inactive. The analyst explains that while there have been occasional spikes seen in the investors’ activity, these are at best described as event-driven, rather than long-term distribution activities. As such, the dynamic becomes clear that weak hands are selling, thereby supplying the market, while stronger hands are holding firm. Based on historical patterns, this dynamic is sensible, as long-term holders tend to sell during periods of strong upward momentum, rather than during consolidation. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price To $80,000: How The February Bullish Trend Can Push It 20% Higher Market Absorbs STH Supply As Structural Strength Builds Up Notably, what’s interesting about this scenario is how Bitcoin has maintained a constant price range, despite increasing Short-term Holder distribution.  For context, sustained sell pressure from short-term holders has often caused sharp downturns in the Bitcoin price. This has been observed even in the present market until February 6, when the consolidation commenced. Data from the Coinbase Premium Index reinforces TeddyVision’s proposed idea of a growing market backing. TeddyVision explains that conditions in the US spot market forced the index underwater for extended periods. However, as the consolidation range formed, the premium retracted from these negative extremes, and the price stopped responding to downside pressure. From a big picture perspective, the Bitcoin market seems to be at a transitional phase where the prevalent STH exit reveals the market’s growing resilience. Nonetheless, market participants should be aware that this does not promise a reversal or price rebound. As of press time, Bitcoin holds a valuation of $66,930, reflecting no significant movement over the past 24 hours. Featured image from Investopedia, chart from Tradingview

#price analysis #meme coins #altcoins #crypto news

LOL token price just did what memecoins do best which is steal the spotlight when no one’s looking. In the past 24 hours, it quietly climbed to the top of the most-visited charts, overtaking even the usual heavyweights like Bitcoin on Coinmarketcap especially. Not bad for a project sitting at a $9.56 million market cap …

#prediction markets

Iran's openness to diplomacy suggests potential for future de-escalation, but market skepticism highlights ongoing geopolitical tensions.
The post Iran open to bilateral diplomacy as ceasefire odds remain low: FT appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#prediction markets

Trump's ultimatum may strain US-Iran relations, impacting global oil markets and increasing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.
The post Trump gives Iran 10 days to negotiate or face Strait of Hormuz reopening appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#prediction markets

The downing of the aircraft underscores Iran's military resilience, complicating predictions of regime instability and affecting market confidence.
The post Iran regime fall odds drop to 13.5% after US military aircraft downed appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#prediction markets

Iran's robust air defenses complicate regime change scenarios, highlighting the regime's resilience and reducing expectations of imminent collapse.
The post Iranian regime collapse odds drop to 13.5% after US aircraft losses appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#markets #news #defi #nyse

Round-the-clock markets promise freedom for investors and pressure for intermediaries who traditionally wielded immense power during off-hours

#prediction markets

The diplomatic stalemate underscores the challenges in achieving a timely resolution, impacting market confidence and geopolitical stability.
The post Iran’s denial of US negotiations drops April 7 ceasefire odds to 1% appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#prediction markets

Iran's stance heightens market skepticism, indicating prolonged conflict and delaying potential diplomatic resolutions.
The post Iran’s rejection of US demands fuels skepticism in ceasefire markets appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#latest news

The judge said Kalshi’s event contracts are indistinguishable from sports betting, supporting the state’s position that the platform requires a gaming license.

#ethereum #price analysis #crypto news

Ethereum is flashing a rare market signal, and it’s not showing up in price yet. While the broader crypto market remains stuck in consolidation, ETH supply on exchanges has dropped to multi-year lows, just as early signs of buy-side pressure begin to reappear. This type of divergence doesn’t last. When supply tightens and demand quietly …

#artificial intelligence

Researchers say internal emotion-like signals shape how large language models make decisions.

#bitcoin #btc price #bitcoin price #btc #bitcoin news #coinmarketcap #btcusd #btcusdt #btc news #dca #doctor profit #stochastic rsi #crypflow

Crypto analyst Doctor Profit, who called the Bitcoin top, has predicted that BTC could still rally to $200,000, marking a new all-time high (ATH) for the leading crypto. However, the analyst suggested now isn’t a good time to buy as BTC is still likely to drop lower.  Bitcoin Still Going To Rally To $200,000 But Will Drop Lower First In an X post, Doctor Profit indicated that Bitcoin would rally to $200,000, but that now is not a good time to buy, as BTC is likely to drop further, presenting a better buying opportunity. He explained that someone who buys at the current price would get fewer coins than someone who waits for BTC to drop to around $40,000.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Price To $80,000: How The February Bullish Trend Can Push It 20% Higher The analyst criticized those who might argue that buying today is the same as buying at any other time, since there is an expectation that Bitcoin will still rally to $200,000. He described this as “absolutely dangerous thinking.” Doctor Profit suggested that the focus should be on maximizing profit, since someone who buys at a lower price will make more money than someone using a DCA strategy.  Also, Doctor Profit suggested that there is no point in timing the bottom and that it was better to set buy orders within a range. He stated that his buy orders will most likely be between $40,000 and $50,000. The analyst added that it is not a good decision to set buy orders above $60,000 or even close to $70,000. He recently reiterated that Bitcoin was still in a bear market, though he noted there could be a short-term relief rally to above $80,000.  The Signal Says It’s Not Yet Time To Buy BTC Crypto analyst CrypFlow pointed to the 2-month Stochastic RSI bullish cross, noting that it has consistently marked the best buying opportunities in every cycle. He noted that the pattern isn’t there yet and hasn’t made the cross, signaling that it is not yet time to buy Bitcoin. Typically, the momentum resets below 20, sentiment turns negative, and then the bullish cross confirms the shift.  This cross is said to have marked the start of the bull run in the 2015, 2019, and 2023 cycles. At the moment, the stochastic RSI is resetting again, and the setup is building, but the signal hasn’t triggered. The analyst added that he isn’t trying to time the bottom but that he will build exposure slowly and add more on weakness. However, the real confirmation comes with this bullish cross.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Is Only Halfway To The Bottom And Will Crash Below $40,000, Here’s Why At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $66,800, up in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

#crypto news #short news

Crypto investment activity slowed significantly in the first quarter of 2026, with total inflows estimated at around 11 billion dollars, far below last year’s pace. When annualized, this trend suggests roughly $44 billion, compared to $130 billion in 2025. Most new capital came from corporate Bitcoin purchases and venture funding, while retail and institutional participation …

#news

Circle, the issuer of USDC, is facing criticism after blockchain investigator ZachXBT shared a detailed thread called “Welcome to Circle Files.” Over the past three years, Circle’s handling of USDC has reportedly resulted in losses totaling over $420 million, involving multiple high-profile hacks and thefts.ZachXBT questioned why Circle didn’t use its power to freeze stolen …

#bitcoin #binance #btcusdt #bitcoin retail demand #darkfost

Amid the ongoing bear market, crypto analyst Darkfost reports that trading activity among Bitcoin retail investors has reached a new low, suggesting a notable decline in participation. However, broader on-chain data provides deeper context to this trend, pointing to a mix of both constructive and concerning underlying drivers. Related Reading: Bitcoin Sharks & Whales Capitulate: Realized Loss Exceeds $200M Decoding Puzzling Moves By Bitcoin Retail Traders In an X post on April 3, Darkfost shares that Bitcoin retail activity has established a record low, i.e, transactions of less than 1 BTC have reduced significantly. This analysis is based on data from Binance, which is the largest exchange by trading volume and the most patronized trading platform by retail market participants, also known as shrimps. As of the time of the report, Darkfost states that the 30-day moving average of retail investors’ BTC inflows to Binance has fallen to 332 BTC, representing the lowest level since the launch of the exchange in 2017. Such a crash in retail investor activity is typically associated with a market of low interest, lacking hype or potential for a strong price momentum. However, more data provided by Darkfost sheds light on the contributing factors for this recent observation. Firstly, more retail participants have opted to keep their holdings on exchanges, despite events like the FTX collapse. Therefore, while there is a drop in BTC inflows/activity, they remain active investors in the market. Furthermore, there has been significant adoption of the Bitcoin spot ETFs by retail investors who prefer an indirect exposure to the digital asset. For context, BTC inflows from retail investors as of the launch of these ETFs in January 2024 stood at 1000 BTC, i.e., 3x today’s value. Meanwhile, other retail investors have actually left the Bitcoin market, rotating their capital into other financial markets like equities and commodities, which have seen strong rallies in recent times. Another interesting factor highlighted by Darkfost is that a small number of these retail participants have increased their holdings, automatically moving into a higher-ranking cohort. Going by the factors mentioned above, the observed drop in Bitcoin retail activity is driven by mixed developments. However, it appears that most retail investors are adapting their participation strategy as Bitcoin matures, rather than exiting the market amid the bear season. Related Reading: Bitcoin Mining Not As Globally Decentralized As It Appears — Here’s Why Bitcoin Price Overview At the time of writing, Bitcoin trades at $66,889, reflecting a minor 0.11% loss in the past day. On the monthly chart, the premier cryptocurrency reports a larger loss of 8.08%, highlighting the continuous struggles of the bear market that commenced in October 2025. Featured image from Freepik, chart from Tradingview

#news #tech #solana news

While Bitcoin developers scramble to find a solution and Ethereum prepares for 'Q-day,' Solana is trying to get ahead of that scenario.

#features

Prediction markets are expanding into Asia’s largest economies, but unclear legal definitions and strict gambling laws may limit how far they can go.

#news #altcoins

Something unusual is unfolding in crypto. Over 20 funded projects have shut down in Q1 2026, not scams or rug pulls, but real platforms that couldn’t survive current market conditions. Data highlighted by Defi Scribbler shows this is less about failure and more about a market reset. Projects That Shut Down or Scaled Back Here’s …

#market analysis

Bitcoin is poised for a reversal if ETF demand returns or a ceasefire occurs, potentially crushing short sellers in a massive price squeeze.

#news

“Bitcoin going to zero” searches have been trending lately, and Scott Melker says that’s exactly why he’s buying. In a new interview on Binance’s Inside the Blockchain 100, the Wolf of All Streets made a case that most people caught in the current drawdown aren’t considering: the bear market playbook doesn’t apply to a cycle …

#news #price analysis #crypto news #ripple (xrp)

Ripple’s connection with Japan is once again grabbing attention, and this time, it’s not just about partnerships but bold expectations around XRP’s future. As institutional ties grow stronger, fresh comments from market voices are adding to the conversation, especially with Japan playing a central role in Ripple’s expansion strategy. Japan’s Bold XRP Claim Crypto user, …

#news #bitcoin

Crypto isn’t exactly exciting right now. Prices are choppy, traders are cautious, and many are still waiting for another drop. But zoom out a bit, and a different picture starts to form. In a recent breakdown, Altcoin Daily points out that while charts look messy, adoption is quietly picking up pace. Surveys show both retail …

#markets #news

CryptoQuant data shows overall bitcoin demand is contracting at -63,000 BTC per month even as institutional buyers accelerate purchases, with large holders distributing nearly 188,000 BTC over the past year.

#price analysis #altcoins #crypto news

SIREN price has posted a sharp 30% rebound today from recent lows of $0.14, reacting precisely from a key demand zone after an extended correction phase. While such moves are often short-lived, the current setup stands out due to its timing and positioning context. The recovery is unfolding at a level where selling pressure previously …

#bitcoin #futures #options #analysis #market #derivatives #oil #featured #macro #brent

On March 31, 2026, Wall Street saw its best trading day in nearly a year. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained over 1,100 points, the S&P 500 rose 2.9% for its best single-day performance since last May, and the Nasdaq jumped 3.8%. The mood, as one market recap cheerfully dubbed it, was “Hormuz Hope,” a […]
The post Bitcoin derivatives flash warning as $46B market pulls back from Iran ceasefire rally appeared first on CryptoSlate.

#prediction markets

Escalating US-Iran tensions and military actions undermine diplomatic efforts, increasing market volatility and reducing ceasefire prospects.
The post Ceasefire odds drop sharply amid escalating US-Iran tensions and military strikes: FT appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#prediction markets

The diminishing ceasefire odds highlight escalating regional tensions and skepticism about achieving peace in the near term.
The post Ceasefire odds drop as Iran faces attacks, April 7 now at 1.1% YES appeared first on Crypto Briefing.