The Commodity Futures Trading Commission staff provided answers to frequently asked questions about the agency’s expectations around a crypto collateral pilot.
According to a recent on-chain data evaluation, the Bitcoin price might not be seeing a start to renewed price expansion in the near-term. Interestingly, this hypothesis seems to align with the multiple recovery attempts by the flagship cryptocurrency over the past few weeks. BTC Net Realized Profit Peak At $17M/hr Before Swift Price Downturn In a March 20 post on the social media platform X, on-chain research firm Glassnode revealed what was behind Bitcoin’s recent reversal from what initially looked like an expansion move. This is based on the Net Realized Profit/Loss (NRPL) (24h Moving Average) metric, which reflects whether the market is predominantly realizing profits or losses, by tracking (and comparing) the amount of either that has been realized by holders over 24 hours. Related Reading: Bitcoin Shark & Whale Wallets Jump Despite Bearish Price Action Glassnode highlighted that readings on the NRPL metric recently reached a high of approximately $17 million/hr before the price of Bitcoin started moving downwards again. This trend was outlined as one of the drivers behind the flagship cryptocurrency’s loss of its $70,000 footing. According to the analytics firm, the heightened profit-taking activity among Bitcoin’s investors has continued to absorb bullish momentum, thereby converting it to bearish pressure. Notably, this pattern has repeated itself at multiple moments in the current cycle, specifically as Bitcoin attempts to rally to the upside. Glassnode further explained that the degree of uncertainty currently in the geopolitical world has caused “demand depth” to compress. As a result, realization events like the last one have become too much for the market to absorb, explaining the recent slip below $70,000. Interestingly, this is not a standalone reason behind BTC’s activity. After Bitcoin fell below the $85,000 support, a surge in on-chain activity was observed due to liquidity repositioning by investors. However, the waning market liquidity in recent weeks suggests that BTC price recovery is buoyed by seller exhaustion rather than by strong and consistent demand. Hence, the life of the recovery is truncated whenever sellers enter the market Short-Term Holders Realize Losses As Price Nears $74K For instance, crypto analyst Darkfost highlighted that Bitcoin’s short-term investors are locking in more losses in recent weeks. This is reflected in readings from the Short-Term Holder P&L to Exchanges Sum metric. In their post on X, Darkfost revealed that more than 28,000 BTC have recently been sent to exchanges, with these investors seemingly cutting their losses. These losses, pointed out the analyst, continued to grow as the Bitcoin price went into a steady decline. For this reason, it is safe to expect more bearish pressure from this investor cohort, as additional panic-driven sales would likely contribute more bearish momentum to the Bitcoin market. Thus, rather than a hopeful story of positive expectations, the Bitcoin price seems to be giving warning signs to investors. As of this writing, Bitcoin holds a valuation of about $70,532, reflecting no significant movement in the past day. Related Reading: Bitcoin Just Got A $1 Million Nudge, But Will Morgan Stanley’s MSBT ETF Really Move The Needle? Featured image from iStock, chart from TradingView
Solana is flashing mixed signals as price tightens beneath key resistance while early signs of momentum weakness begin to emerge. A clean breakout above $95 could ignite a swift move toward the $100–$105 zone, but fading RSI suggests underlying strength may be weakening. Pressure Builds As Solana Holds Firm Below Resistance Solana is tightening just beneath a resistance zone, and the pressure is becoming harder to ignore with each passing move. According to crypto analyst Marcus Corvinus, repeated rejections around the $92–$95 range have not triggered any meaningful breakdown so far. That resilience keeps the bullish structure intact despite multiple tests of resistance. Related Reading: Solana Key Indicator Flashes First Bullish Signal Since January – Market Rebound Incoming? An ascending trendline is steadily guiding the price higher. Buyers are stepping in earlier on each dip, preventing deeper pullbacks and gradually compressing prices into the resistance zone. Such action is rarely random; rather, it signals that strength is building beneath the surface as accumulation continues quietly. A clean break and sustained hold above $95 could act as a trigger for momentum to expand rapidly, potentially sending Solana toward the $100–$105 region in a relatively short time. On the flip side, if the ascending trendline gives way, it would open the door for a sharp drop into the $78–$75 demand zone, where buyers may attempt to regain control. Current conditions indicate a classic squeeze setup, where tightening price action often leads to a strong directional move. Once either side gives in, the resulting breakout or breakdown is unlikely to be gradual. Rare Divergence: Momentum Breaks On USDT While BTC Pair Holds In a recent analysis, Umair Crypto highlighted an emerging weakness in Solana’s structure, noting that the RSI on the USDT pair is already fading while the BTC pair has yet to follow. Once the point of control (POC) at $12,573 breaks, both pairs are likely to decline in sync, setting the stage for a broader move lower. Related Reading: Solana (SOL) Loses Critical Support as Crypto Weakness Deepens, Fresh Lows Ahead? Solana is showing a rare divergence, where the RSI trendline has broken on the USDT pair first, but the BTC pair still reflects strength. Under normal conditions, weakness tends to appear on the BTC pair. However, when the USDT pair leads, it suggests that momentum is deteriorating faster than relative strength can conceal. Price recently surged toward $97 and is now retesting the 50 SMA, but the move lacks strong volume support. A push toward $101 remains possible, and such a move could form a bearish divergence. Rather than strength, that scenario would likely act as a setup, hinting that upside may be limited. Once the BTC pair breaks below the $12,573 POC, both pairs are expected to lose structure simultaneously, creating a powerful double-confirmation signal that could accelerate downside momentum. Initial targets sit around $77, with a deeper move toward $67 also in play. Despite the US Securities and Exchange Commission classifying SOL as a digital commodity on March 18, the fading RSI suggests the market is not reacting with strength. Featured image from iStock, chart from Tradingview.com
The SEC and CFTC just gave crypto its clearest and most straightforward regulatory guidance in years. Most crypto assets will no longer be treated as presumptive securities, and the agencies drew a sharper line between open crypto markets and tokenized versions of traditional financial products. Under normal conditions, that kind of clarity should have been […]
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The South American country will hold its presidential election in October 2026, and incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva is running for re-election.
Difficulty is now nearly 10% below where it started the year, despite a sharp 14.7% rebound in February after weather-related disruptions subsided.
Crypto analyst X Finance Bull has laid out a detailed theory explaining why XRP’s large token supply, often criticized as a weakness, could actually serve as a powerful mechanism for institutional adoption. His analysis comes as XRP community members continue to burn tokens to help reduce supply. In contrast, others demand that Ripple burn its escrowed holdings to drive scarcity and trigger a price spike. The XRP Supply Is A “Catalyst”, Not a “Problem” In an X post on March 18, X Finance Bull observed that many people tend to look at XRP’s substantial supply of 100 billion tokens and, as a result, become alarmed, often describing it as a problem. He explained that the main concern about XRP’s supply stems from the belief that Ripple still controls a large portion of the tokens, estimated at between 39 billion and 44 billion XRP. Related Reading: Pundit’s XRP Projection For Next Bull Cycle Shows When Rally To $100 Is Coming However, instead of seeing this as a negative, the analyst suggested that XRP’s large supply could actually be a “catalyst.” He argued that Ripple’s current concentration of XRP places the company above a key threshold discussed in the CLARITY Act, which evaluates whether an affiliated group holds 20% or more of a digital asset. X Finance Bull explained that Ripple’s large reserve creates a strategic opportunity to distribute between 20 million and 25 million XRP to institutional partners. Some of these include banks, liquidity providers, payment companies, central bank infrastructure partners, and tokenization platforms. As these tokens gradually move from escrow into operational use, the analyst expects Ripple’s total XRP holdings to drop below 20% eventually. Consequently, this shift could strengthen decentralization, increase regulatory comfort, and open the door to broader institutional participation. Building on this outlook, X Finance Bull outlined what XRP’s supply structure could look like after Ripple completes its distribution. He projected that the crypto company would hold around 18 billion XRP after the transfer. At the same time, banks would own 12 billion, liquidity providers roughly 10 billion, exchanges around 8 billion, payment firms about 6 billion, and public holders retaining approximately 46 billion. The analyst further argued that when institutions receive these tokens, they would not sell them but would instead use them to power real global settlement activities. In a real-world scenario, he said liquidity providers would maintain large pools of XRP, while payment companies would operate live corridors, all of which would sustain operational demand for XRP. At the same time, he expects XRP to function as a bridge asset for cross-border liquidity, tightening its circulating supply and supporting its price growth as demand expands. The Broader Case For XRP’s Projected Institutional Future Beyond supply dynamics, X Finance Bull noted that several real-world developments already support the framework he described. He pointed to XRP’s commodity classification, which he noted is already active, along with approximately $1.4 billion in ETF inflows and around $2.3 billion in tokenized real-world assets (RWAs). Related Reading: XRP Negative Funding Continues, Crashes To Levels Not Seen Since 2022 The analyst also mentioned the pending national bank charter for Ripple and the company’s continued global expansion and corporate acquisitions as signs that the institutional layer is actively forming around XRP. Furthermore, as the CLARITY Act approaches, the new framework could play a significant role in shaping how institutions view XRP and other digital assets. Featured image from Freepik, chart from Tradingview.com
Wall Street has spent months debating when the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates. Now, traders are considering if the next move could be a hike. Two days past the Fed's Mar. 18 decision to hold its target range at 3.50%-3.75%, markets moved in the opposite direction. Bloomberg-based pricing climbed above 60% odds of a […]
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The consultation was expected to address the tax treatment of crypto transactions following central bank regulations finalized last year.
The Bitcoin market remains subject to high uncertainty, with bearish sentiments at heightened levels. In the last week, the premier cryptocurrency attempted another failed breakout as prices faced stiff resistance at the $75,000 level. With Bitcoin now back to around $70,000, Glassnode data on the options market shows that traders are pushing for more downside protection alongside expectations of low market volatility. Related Reading: Pundit Shares Everything To Understand About Bitcoin, ‘This Cycle IS Different’ Bitcoin Open Interest Hits New ATH – What Does It Mean? In an X post on March 20, Glassnode provides an update on the Bitcoin options market covering developments on positioning, volatility expectations, and market sentiments. In terms of positioning, the analytics platform reported that Bitcoin options Open Interest (OI) reached a new all-time high value ahead of the expected expiry order on Friday. While a rise in OI typically represents an increase in market participation, Glassnode analysts explain that this recent positioning spike may still be indicative of short-term hedging flows. However, the after-effects of quarterly expiry on March 27 would provide more clarity on the recent positioning spike and the long-term sentiment. Meanwhile, the 1-week Implied Volatility (IV) declined from 70% to 53%, while options with longer maturities are also down by ~10 vols. This indicates that options are anticipating less dramatic price swings, despite the unstable macro environment. Related Reading: Binance Leads XRP Whale Exodus As 530M Tokens Exit In Single-Day Surge Bitcoin Put Options In Demand As Traders Hedge Against Price Fall According to Glassnode, the Bitcoin Options Skew, which measures the demand difference between put options (bearish protection) and call options (bullish bets), has stabilized. However, Bitcoin’s rejection at $75,000 has pushed the 25 Delta Skew into the 15-20% range, indicating increased put option demand. This development suggests a rise in market caution as options traders are paying a premium to protect against any potential downside. This creeping market fear is further confirmed by the 24-hour taker flow chart, which shows that options traders’ positioning has now turned defensive. Puts Bought activity is dominating the flows chart with a 30.7% share, while Calls Bought accounts for around 20.9%. Meanwhile, the Put/Call Ratio had also indicated a potential rejection at $75,000. Put actions dominated flows activity above $72,000, indicating that traders lacked belief in the breakout. Following the pullback, traders attempted to buy the dip with a spike in call options, but it was short-lived. At the time of writing, Bitcoin trades at $70,668 following a minor 0.33% gain in the last day. Meanwhile, daily trading volume has declined by 17.30% and is now valued at $36.67 billion. Featured image from Flickr, chart from Tradingview
Despite stabilizing spot prices, investors remain defensive, with leveraged speculation cooling and realized volatility dropping from 80 to 50, suggesting a cautious market sentiment.
The average Bitcoin retail investor who recently discovered crypto might never have considered a stablecoin that pays yield on an idle balance. That fight, buried inside Senate negotiations over the CLARITY Act, is about to matter to them anyway. Politico reported this week that senators and White House advisers have reached an agreement in principle […]
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A wave of crypto job cuts in early 2026 exposes the gap between two convenient narratives: macro headwinds and AI transformation.
OpenAI's workforce expansion may intensify industry competition, but it risks financial strain if enterprise adoption lags behind expectations.
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The SEC's digital asset market taxonomy, which classifies most cryptocurrencies and tokens as non-securities, is a major step for US regulators.
Crypto analyst Ardi has pointed to a bear market divergence to explain what has been going on with Bitcoin’s price for a while now. His analysis comes just as BTC continues to struggle to hold above $70,000 amid the U.S.-Iran war and rising oil prices. Analyst Explains What Is Happening With Bitcoin as Price Struggles In an X post, Ardi noted that this is the first time in this bear market that Bitcoin’s price and open interest have diverged on an intermediate timeframe. BTC has climbed over the last six weeks to a low of around $60,000 while its open interest has declined during the same period. He stated that this indicates the recent rally wasn’t driven by new buyers entering, but rather by a large part of it being shorts closing their positions. Related Reading: How Low Can Bitcoin Price Go? Analyst Shares Worst-Case Scenario The analyst further remarked that traders who shorted the Bitcoin top like saw the drop to $60,000 and felt it was a good position to take profits. “They locked profit. They exited. That exit pressure pushed the price up,” he said. However, Ardi added that this development is not the same as fresh demand, which is sufficient for a reversal. He said that open interest typically rises when the Bitcoin rally has real strength, as shorts close and longs open to replace them. Meanwhile, new capital enters, forming the foundation for the bullish reversal in BTC. Ardi declared that none of that has happened in this range, with trading activity one-sided even as the leading crypto climbed to as high as $75,000 last week. Ardi said that the problem is that short covering has a ceiling, and once the last short has closed, the source of upward pressure is gone, leaving no other factor to sustain the move to the upside. How It Could Play Out For BTC In The Near Term Crypto analyst Colin noted that Bitcoin has been tracking inside the channel of a bear flag since the February 6 low. In line with this, he opined that BTC will eventually break down and that it is not a question of if but when. The analyst also questioned how high the leading crypto will rise before it suffers this breakdown. Related Reading: Analyst Says Bitcoin Price Is Showing Dangerous Weakness, Here’s Why Colin opined that the highest price Bitcoin might reach before this projected breakdown is around $80,000. He described this as the best-case scenario at this point and that BTC might not even reach this psychological level. However, the analyst also admitted that there are some outlier outcomes, like BTC rising above $80,000 if the U.S.-Iran war suddenly ends. At the time of writing, the Bitcoin price is trading at around $70,700, up in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com
The real institutional prize isn’t about tokenized assets. It’s about programmable yield.
The Hyperliquid network has seen significant growth, with weekly derivatives trading volume exceeding $50 billion and 24-hour fee revenue of $1.6 million.
Bitcoin ETF outflows are too small to signal a bearish pivot from traders, but worsening US macroeconomic conditions and high oil prices keep BTC traders on the hedge.
ETH price could climb toward $2,750 by June and above $3,200 by September if the historical whale-profit signal plays out again.
When social media declared Netanyahu dead, crypto prediction markets priced it at 5%. The money was right — and Washington wants to shut it down.
The FAQ aligns the CFTC's framework with the SEC's recent haircut guidance, setting a 20% charge for bitcoin and ether and 2% for payment stablecoins.
Worldcoin's OTC sales and upcoming token unlock could significantly impact market dynamics and investor confidence in crypto projects.
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Following the recent market trend, the XRP price has maintained its hold on an important trendline over the years. This trendline leans bullish, and as long as the cryptocurrency holds above it, the likelihood of a recovery remains high. However, a break below this multi-year trendline could signal doom, with crypto analyst CrypFlow forecasting how low the digital asset could go before eventually finding a bottom. Bears Threaten XRP’s Multi-Year Trendline According to crypto analyst CrypFlow, the XRP multi-year trendline that began back in the year 2017 is currently still in play. In fact, with the price trading well above the $1.2 level, it continues to hold up well. So far, this has suggested that bulls still have some strength left, and this trendline has been a beacon. Related Reading: Signal That Led To Last 2 Altcoin Seasons Has Returned, And Here’s How Bitcoin Fits In From here on out, the XRP price would only need to actually complete a breakout to maintain its uptrend. This breakout would not only need to happen, but it would need to do so with momentum. As CrypFlow explains, for momentum to follow, the XRP price needs to do two things. The first of these is that the XRP price needs to break out of the descending resistance. This descending resistance had begun back in 2025, continuing on into 2026. As long as this resistance remains, the price remains bearish. But a break towards $2 invalidates it. Next on the list is that the XRP RSI downtrend needs to be broken as well. A breakout above $2 will complete this, ensuring that there is enough momentum for the cryptocurrency to follow. Such a move, the crypto analyst believes, would send the XRP price toward its 2018 highs of $3.8. However, in the case that the bulls are unable to complete a breakout within moments, then the bears could take control once again. Such a scenario would see the price lose its multi-year trend and eventually fall below $1. Related Reading: Analyst Says Bitcoin Price Is Showing Dangerous Weakness, Here’s Why Once this happens, then there is little cushion left for the cryptocurrency. As the price falls, the analyst highlights what they call the ‘discount zone,’ where XRP would be seemingly cheap to buy, and this lies around the $0.6-$0.8 level. Nevertheless, once the decline is over, the price is expected to rebound again. Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com
First-quarter purchases have reached 89,618 BTC so far, the most since fourth-quarter 2024, and the quarter is not yet over.
Qualifying for Trump’s crypto gala can cost as little as $70,000 or as much as several million, with rankings driven by timing and strategy rather than sheer holdings.
Hong Kong police say a 66-year-old retiree was duped three times in six months by self-styled “crypto investment experts,” as scammers promised easy gains and help to recover losses.
Bitcoin is hovering near the $71,000 mark, consolidating after recent swings as the market digests key liquidity zones. While price remains contained, underlying technical signals suggest a larger move may be brewing, with both upside breakouts and downside sweeps on the horizon. A Bounce Back To $71,000 After Channel Support Holds Crypto analyst Columbus highlighted Bitcoin’s resilience following a successful bounce from its channel boundary support. This technical reaction has allowed the price to grind steadily higher, reclaiming the $71,000 level. While the explosive momentum has begun to decelerate after that first reaction, the overall market structure remains decidedly constructive for the bulls as long as this newly reclaimed territory is defended as support. Related Reading: Bitcoin Stalls Near $75K As Traders Move Coins To Exchanges According to the MMT Heatmap, the path toward further upside is clearly defined by a significant stack of liquidity resting just above the current price. A sustained push through the immediate overhead supply would effectively clear the way for a continuation move toward higher liquidity clusters concentrated around the $75,000 to $76,000 region. However, the analysis also cautions that the current level is a precarious battleground for the asset. Should Bitcoin fail to maintain its footing above this support region, the market would likely undergo another sweep into lower liquidity pockets to find sufficient buying interest before any meaningful attempt at higher expansion. Ultimately, the short-term outlook hinges on whether the current support holds or if the slowing momentum leads to a structural failure. For now, this area is key to determining if the market is preparing for a breakout toward the mid-70s or a temporary retreat. Bitcoin Consolidates Mid-Range After Recent Range Breakout BTC is consolidating in the mid-range, according to Lennaert Snyder’s post on X. The market recently experienced a range breakout, which effectively acted as a push-to-fill on Bitcoin, moving the price toward key liquidity zones. Related Reading: Bitcoin Shows Early Trend Reversal Signs After Major Support Hold Snyder is already positioned short, but he is prepared to add to his position on the next weekly candle if the price pushes into the fair value gap (FVG) around $72,400. This level represents a potential trigger zone for further downside, aligning with his bearish strategy. He plans to short the bearish market structure break (MSB) when the conditions above are met, targeting the liquidity around the $65,580 low. While lower prices are possible, he intends to manage risk carefully and will be roughly 80% positioned at that level. For long positions, Snyder cautions that BTC is trading mid-range and is currently exhausted from the recent drop. Thus, he is waiting for significant liquidity to be mitigated at the range low or for higher time frame (HTF) levels to be gained before considering any new long entries. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com
The jailed founder of bankrupt crypto exchange FTX is fueling growing speculation that he is seeking a presidential pardon.
Bitcoin’s mining difficulty just logged its second sizeable cut of 2026, easing conditions for remaining miners as competition from artificial intelligence data centers rises.