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Indiana has become the first state in the US to legalize the inclusion of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies into state-managed retirement and savings plans. On March 3, Indiana Governor Mike Braun signed this into law underHouse Bill 1042, titled “Regulation and Investment of Cryptocurrency.” Henceforth, state-managed retirement and savings plans are mandated to provide at …

#policy #sec #people #cftc #regulation #donald trump #cynthia lummis

Trump took a side on the ongoing debate over stablecoin yield that is holding up the passage of broad crypto market structure legislation.

#bitcoin #btc price #bitcoin price #btc #bitcoin price prediction #bitcoin news #btc news

Joe Burnett, VP of Bitcoin Strategy at Strive (Nasdaq: ASST), is arguing that bitcoin could reach $11 million by the first quarter of 2036, not because it replaces the financial system, but because it becomes the dominant long-duration savings asset in an economy reshaped by AI-led deflation and repeated monetary expansion. His thesis, laid out in a March 2 Substack note, frames bitcoin less as a speculative trade and more as the asset most likely to absorb excess liquidity in a world of falling production costs and chronic policy intervention. Burnett’s base case implies a bitcoin network value of roughly $230 trillion by 2036. He sets that against a global financial asset base that he estimates could grow from more than $1 quadrillion today to about $1.97 quadrillion over the next decade, assuming 7% annual compounding. In that framework, bitcoin would account for around 12% of global financial assets. “That outcome reflects a measured repricing of global wealth toward the only monetary asset with absolute scarcity,” Burnett wrote. “Bitcoin does not need to replace all currencies. It does not need universal daily transactional use. It only needs to become the primary long-duration savings asset in a world defined by monetary expansion and technology deflation.” The Bitcoin 2036 AI-Deflation Thesis At the center of the argument is what Burnett calls the “AI deflation engine.” His view is that artificial intelligence will compress labor costs, speed up output and intensify competition across both digital and physical industries, creating sustained downward pressure on prices. He compares the shift to the automobile’s displacement of horses, but argues that this time the target is white-collar labor. AI, he wrote, is already drafting contracts, analyzing financials, writing code and handling research once performed by junior professionals, while robotics continue pushing into logistics, manufacturing and agriculture. Related Reading: Bitcoin Prints Fifth Straight Red Month; Previous Streak Was Followed By 300% Surge In a neutral monetary system, he argues, that kind of productivity boom would simply raise real purchasing power. In a debt-based fiat system, it becomes destabilizing. Falling wages, weaker asset prices and fixed nominal liabilities do not mix well. “As AI drives real-economy deflation, central banks and fiscal authorities expand liquidity to prevent a deflationary spiral,” Burnett wrote. “The more effective AI becomes at reducing costs, the more aggressive the monetary response becomes to prevent debt deflation.” That policy reflex is the bridge to bitcoin. Burnett argues that every deflationary shock begins with a move into cash and sovereign bonds, but that phase tends to give way to rate cuts, balance-sheet expansion, credit support and fiscal transfers. He points to earlier episodes in 1987, 2001, 2008, 2020 and 2022 as evidence that policymakers do not tolerate sustained deflation. In his telling, the long-run result is persistent productivity deflation paired with persistent monetary expansion, a mix that leaves capital searching for an asset whose supply cannot be politically expanded. From there, Burnett widens the lens. Equities, in his view, are increasingly exposed to AI-driven creative destruction. Real estate retains scarcity value, but technology could accelerate design, permitting and construction, limiting long-run upside. Sovereign bonds, meanwhile, offer nominal stability while remaining tied to currencies subject to ongoing dilution. Bitcoin, he argues, sits in a different category because its supply cap, divisibility, portability and verifiability make it uniquely suited to absorb global liquidity over time. He also ties that thesis to a newer market structure he calls “Digital Credit” — income-generating securities backed by large bitcoin balance sheets. Burnett cites publicly traded instruments such as STRC and SATA as examples of vehicles that offer dollar income to credit investors while channeling capital into additional bitcoin accumulation. That, he argues, could create a reflexive loop between global yield demand and bitcoin buying. Related Reading: Bitcoin Sentiment On Wall Street Has Turned Negative, Galaxy’s Thorn Says The note leans heavily on scarcity math. Burnett writes that by 2036, fewer than 41,000 new BTC will be issued over the entire year. If global financial assets reach roughly $2 quadrillion and only 1% of one year’s incremental capital formation seeks monetary preservation in bitcoin, that would still amount to $1.4 trillion competing for that limited new supply — or roughly $34 million of demand per newly issued coin. “The path will not be smooth, but the conclusion will become increasingly obvious,” Burnett wrote. “Bitcoin’s trajectory toward eight-figure price levels reflects structural monetary conditions rather than speculative enthusiasm and ‘belief.’ As liquidity continues expanding within a technologically deflationary world, capital will concentrate into assets capable of preserving value across time.” His closing point is less about straight-line appreciation than timing. Markets, he argues, still price bitcoin as a volatile cyclical asset. The next decade, in his view, will increasingly price it as monetary infrastructure. Whether that transition plays out anywhere near his $11 million target, Burnett’s thesis is clear: if AI keeps driving abundance and policymakers keep offsetting it with liquidity, bitcoin may be where a growing share of global capital ends up. At press time, Bitcoin traded at $66,958. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

#news #policy #stablecoins #donald trump #breaking news #market structure legislation

U.S. President Donald Trump said in a post on Truth Social that the banking industry is trying to undermine the stablecoin bill he signed into law last year.

#markets

Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan says the Iran attack weekend showed how onchain markets like Hyperliquid are becoming key venues for global trading.
The post Bitwise CIO says weekend Iran strike exposed advantage of 24/7 markets like Hyperliquid appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#latest news

SEC Chair Paul Atkins and CFTC Chair Michael Selig addressed market structure, prediction markets and perpetual futures at a Tuesday event.

#latest news

MARA has "fact checked" claims it adopted a Bitcoin sell-off strategy, clarifying its filing allows flexible sales but does not signal a majority liquidation.

#policy #sec #cftc #congress #regulation #legal #treasury department #senate banking committee #house financial services committee #house agriculture committee #u.s. policymaking #senate agriculture committee

Top Republican Rep. French Hill has some advice for his colleagues in the Senate on how to unstick its stablecoin yield problem. 

#people #vitalik buterin #companies

Ethereum could help with “de-totalization;” fending off the possibility that any single actor achieves total control.

#ai

Google launches Gemini 3.1 Flash Lite, a fast low cost AI model for developers with improved speed, benchmarks and scalable API pricing.
The post Google launches Gemini 3.1 Flash Lite as fastest and cheapest Gemini 3 model appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#ai

OpenAI releases GPT-5.3 Instant for ChatGPT with fewer refusals, improved web answers, and reduced hallucinations across major benchmarks.
The post OpenAI releases GPT-5.3 Instant with fewer refusals and improved web answers appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#ethereum

Vitalik Buterin urges Ethereum to expand beyond finance and help build open technologies that protect privacy and digital coordination.
The post Vitalik Buterin urges Ethereum to focus on sanctuary technologies beyond finance appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#infrastructure #tech #security #zkevm #rollups #developer tools #companies #crypto ecosystems #layer 2s and scaling #a16z-crypto

A16z added the NovaBlindFold folding scheme to the open-source Jolt zkVM, “rendering it suitable for privacy applications.”

#jp morgan #news #policy #coinbase #clarity act

Dimon argued stablecoin issuers paying interest should meet bank standards as talks continue in Washington about the CLARITY Act.

#bitcoin #btc price #bitcoin price #btc #fomo #bitcoin news #btcusd #btcusdt #btc news #ltf #joao wedson #lp #alphractal

The Bitcoin market appears to be entering a decisive holding phase, with on-chain data signaling a steady contraction in active supply.  Rather than aggressive selling or speculative rotation, a growing portion of circulating BTC is moving into long-term storage, reducing the amount readily available for trading. This tightening liquidity dynamic reflects rising investor conviction, as holders choose accumulation over distribution. How Volatility Compression Tightens Bitcoin’s Range In a recent post on X, Joao Wedson, the founder and CEO of Alphractal, noted that the Bitcoin 30-Day active supply has dropped sharply in recent weeks, which is a clear signal that fewer BTC have moved across the network over the past month. Due to this BTC drop, active participation has decreased, and the market has become quieter, with fewer units changing hands in the short to medium term. Related Reading: Bitcoin’s Turbulent Ride: How BTC’s Price Has Fared With Escalating Mid-East Conflicts Wedson explains that when this 30-day active supply indicator spikes higher, it typically reflects that short-term holders and retail investors are experiencing strong emotions. The high peaks in the 30-day active supply often coincide with strong retail moments driven by euphoria or panic. This is when more coins return to circulation, whether driven by FOMO during rallies or capitulation during sharp corrections. Thus, when the indicator declines downward, it generally signals the volatility compression, low supply rotation, and market participants appear more patient. In simple terms, the high 30-day active supply would show emotion, rotation, and active retail engagement.  Meanwhile, the low 30-day active supply would show apathy, holding behavior, and tighter market structural conditions. This 30-day active supply is an excellent metric for capturing the market’s monthly behavioral pulse. BTC Enters A Decision Level With Statistical Significance The Bitcoin price action is approaching its next pivot on the 3rd, a level that has historically produced meaningful reactions. According to a crypto trader known as LP on X, reviewing the last eight pivot occurrences, five have resulted in local lows. Statistically, that move gives the current Low-Time Frame (LTF) pivot a slight tendency to form a bottom, but the context matters. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Explodes Higher, $70K Level Faces Fresh Bullish Assault However, if the price sells off into a pivot, the probability of it acting as the local low increases. Then, if the price rallies into the pivot, the odds would shift toward marking a local high. Over the past several days, the price has been volatile but generally has been grinding higher into the upcoming pivot, slightly increasing the risk of a level that could form a high. Historically, reactions from this pivot have led to moves in the 7% and 9% range, suggesting that whichever direction is confirmed could result in a meaningful expansion. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com

#latest news

The rollout enables banks and fintechs in 30 European markets to embed licensed custody, payments on- and off-ramps and trading through API-based infrastructure.

#market analysis

US Dollar Index strength, fear that BTC miners may liquidate their reserves and Bitcoin’s performance compared to stocks raise concerns among investors.

#markets #usdc #stablecoins #circle #the block #equities #companies #crypto ecosystems #equity movers #public equities #analyst reports

Mizuho said shifting Fed expectations may matter more for Circle’s valuation multiple than for near-term revenue.

#policy #sec #cftc #congress #regulation #stablecoins #senate banking committee #house financial services committee #house agriculture committee #occ #companies #crypto ecosystems #u.s. policymaking #finance firms #investment firms #senate finance committee #tradfi banks #senate agriculture committee

"To us, the banks will eventually lose on this issue politically as they are arguing against consumers getting paid money."

#artificial intelligence

OpenAI's latest ChatGPT update targets tone and accuracy, aiming to make everyday AI conversations smoother and more useful.

#news #bitcoin #crypto news

Citizens of Iran are heavily purchasing Bitcoin (BTC) and directing it to self-custody wallets.  A 2026 report from blockchain analytics firm Chainalysis showed an uptick in Iran’s crypto system valuation from $7.4 billion in 2024 to $7.8 billion in 2025.  The report also highlighted that users withdrew roughly $10.3 million worth of cryptocurrencies from major …

#tokenization #coinbase #brian armstrong #people #infrastructure #exchanges #web3 #base #wallets #companies #crypto ecosystems #layer 2s and scaling

Last year, Coinbase relaunched the noncustodial Base App with social features like Creator Coins that have since been phased out.

#politics #regulation #legislation #cardano #stablecoins #tradfi #featured #charles hoskinson #clarity act

Washington’s push for a federal crypto rulebook reignited a long-running industry debate over what “regulatory clarity” actually delivers and who it helps. At the center of the debate is H.R. 3633, the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025, a bill that supporters present as a long-awaited replacement for years of regulation by enforcement. The […]
The post White House stablecoin deadline slips as Hoskinson warns CLARITY Act could push US crypto founders offshore appeared first on CryptoSlate.

#latest news

The upgrade integrates custody, treasury automation and settlement tools as Ripple pushes deeper into institutional cross-border payments.

#crypto #bnb #bnb chain #cryptocurrency #bnb price #crypto news #bnbusdt #bnb news #bnb chain news #bnb chain ecosystem #bnb chain ai agents

As major tech firms from traditional finance focus on building closed artificial intelligence (AI) systems, the BNB Chain is now releasing production-ready “skills” designed specifically for autonomous AI agents, enabling them to operate directly on blockchain infrastructure rather than through centralized intermediaries. These newly deployed capabilities allow AI agents to access live on-chain data, execute real transactions, manage wallets independently, and establish permanent on-chain identities using the ERC-8004 standard, or “Trustless Agents.”  BNB Chain Advances Agent Economy With these Ethereum-standard tools, AI agents can implement automated trading strategies, rebalance portfolios, participate in decentralized governance, and conduct continuous data analysis.  In practice, this means agents can execute tasks such as swapping 100 USDT for BNB on PancakeSwap when a specific price threshold is reached — completing the transaction securely and autonomously, without human involvement.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Prints Fifth Straight Red Month; Previous Streak Was Followed By 300% Surge BNB Chain has increasingly become a preferred execution environment for this type of development. Several structural characteristics contribute to that momentum, including comparatively low transaction fees, faster block times, and access to deep liquidity. The introduction of agent-oriented standards such as ERC-8004 has further strengthened the network’s appeal by providing a framework for persistent, verifiable on-chain identities tailored to AI entities.  At the same time, ecosystem support and builder acceleration programs are encouraging teams to experiment and deploy agent-native applications. Agent-Focused Projects Grow The infrastructure is already operational across widely used AI development environments, including Cursor, Claude Desktop, OpenClaw, and other MCP-compatible platforms.  Initiatives such as OpenClaw have reportedly attracted more than 600 builders and supported over 200 projects centered on agent-focused infrastructure, reflecting growing developer interest in the concept. Related Reading: Bitcoin Slides Again as Iran War Jitters Hit BTC, Risk Assets Proponents describe the agent economy as a major emerging narrative within crypto. In this vision, autonomous agents operate around the clock, managing DeFi strategies, coordinating NFT launches, participating in DAO governance, providing automated customer support, and even conducting cross-chain arbitrage.  For AI developers, the shift represents a move from experimental prototypes to fully operational agents capable of handling real value on-chain. BNB Chain is actively supporting this transition by funding and accelerating ecosystem teams that are building and open-sourcing early versions of agent skills. At the time of writing, Binance Coin (BNB), crypto exchange Binance’s native token, is trading at $635. This represents a slight 1% drop for the cryptocurrency, which failed to surpass its nearest resistance wall at $640 on Monday.  According to CoinGecko data, such price action has left Binance Coin 53% below its all-time high of $1,369, reached last year, with further losses of 16% on the monthly time frame, mirroring the broader bearish conditions seen in the rest of the market.  Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com 

#opinion #sec #donald trump

As the CLARITY Act faces a stalemate on Capitol Hill, the Trump administration is pivoting toward executive workarounds and family-backed stablecoins to reshape the financial system without waiting for a vote, argues Dale.

#ethereum #solana #dogecoin #ton #elon musk #stablecoins #doge #meme coin #x #spacex #google #telegram #hester peirce #xai #doge price #us securities and exchange commission #doge news #dogecoin news #dogecoin price #dogeusd #dogeusdt #us sec #faq #spot dogecoin etfs

Recent market dynamics, most especially the launch of Spot Dogecoin ETFs, have seen Dogecoin slowly transitioning out of its meme coin status. Notably, a crypto pundit on X is of the notion that the transition is now at a tipping point. According to the pundit, there are three major reasons as to how Dogecoin could transition from a speculative asset into something far more functional as real money. If this plays out, the analyst believes Dogecoin’s price could rise from around $0.30 to $1.20 in a short time.  Network Activation Through X Dogecoin has always been linked as a possible payment method on the social media platform X, and this is mostly due to Elon Musk’s public support for the cryptocurrency and his ambition to turn X into a combined financial and social platform. Related Reading: Dogecoin Vs. Shiba Inu: What Meme Coin Should You Buy For Most Returns In 2026? According to crypto pundit Sean Park on X, the scale of a potential integration as a payment method on X is the first way in which Dogecoin transitions into real money. This outlook is based on the upcoming X payments beta and the ambitions of Elon Musk’s ecosystem, including X, xAI, and SpaceX. If Dogecoin is introduced as a native or primary payment option, then it could become the beginning of what would become the greatest bullish phase for the meme coin. This means that deeper payment integration could strengthen user engagement, transaction data, and AI model training. Integrating DOGE as X’s native payment coin would activate the meme coin community, creating a cascade of “pay with DOGE” activity across the platform.  Interestingly, Dogecoin’s fees are about one-tenth of competing networks like Solana or Ethereum, meaning users who try it once tend to keep using it. That surge in activity will ultimately generate a mountain of real-world transaction data.  The result creates an effect where xAI grows smarter and more valuable at the same time X becomes stickier, locking out rivals like Google from the space. Two wins from one move, and without it, the analyst contends, an IPO at the $1.75 trillion target for X will be impossible. Infrastructure, Stablecoin Integration, And Competitive Timing The second reason is based on recent regulatory clarity from the US Securities and Exchange Commission, specifically an FAQ issued by SEC Commissioner Hester Peirce, regarding the way for easy swaps between US dollars and cryptocurrencies like Dogecoin. Stablecoins are expected to be fully integrated across major platforms by May or June 2026, and this is projected to create a system where USD-DOGE swaps become instant. Related Reading: This Analyst Predicted The Dogecoin Price Crash, But There’s More To The Forecast The third reason, which is perhaps the most urgent, has more to do with which social media platform becomes the go-to money app. The most pressure is coming from Telegram, which is building out its TON blockchain-based payment ecosystem. Without a native payment coin, X will remain, as the pundit puts it bluntly, “just a tweet place.” Adding Dogecoin changes the platform’s fundamental identity from a social network to a financial hub. The Dogecoin fanbase, which is already one of the most vocal and engaged communities in crypto, would become X’s de facto marketing army, spreading the social media platform’s adoption organically. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

#ai

X will suspend creators from revenue sharing for 90 days for posting undisclosed AI war videos, with repeat violations leading to removal.
The post X to suspend creators from revenue-sharing program over undisclosed AI war videos appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#markets #bitcoin #defi #policy #people #blackrock #aave #daos #governance #bitcoin etf #funds #jpmorgan #token projects #mining companies #crypto infrastructure #companies #crypto ecosystems #finance firms #international policymaking #tradfi banks #governance votes

The following article is adapted from The Block’s newsletter, The Daily, which comes out on weekday afternoons.

#market analysis

Ether reserves held on exchanges fell to a new multi-year low as ETH price struggles to trade above $2,000. Will the supply crunch benefit bulls or bears?