Strategy’s market net asset value (mNAV) compared to Bitcoin (BTC) its holdings dropped to 1.174 on Oct. 10, the lowest level in almost two years. The company’s shares fell 3% to $307.95 amid broader weakness in the crypto market, translating to a market cap of $88.4 billion. Strategy is the 121st-largest US public company, holding […]
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New Bitcoin (BTC) price forecasts suggest that the leading cryptocurrency could cross $140,000 before the end of October. Based on historical data and advanced empirical modeling, a crypto analyst has confirmed that the probability of Bitcoin finishing the month above this key level appears increasingly likely. Bitcoin Price Set For Major October Rally According to a price prediction shared by crypto analyst and economist Timothy Peterson on X social media, Bitcoin’s trajectory in October appears promising. His AI-based bootstrapped simulation chart also suggests that half of the month’s gains may have already been realised. Related Reading: Can The Bitcoin Price Explode To $200,000? The Gold Chart That Tells It All The empirical model, which draws on data from October 2015 to 2024, reveals a 50% probability that BTC could end the month above $140,000, representing a roughly 15% surge from current levels of around $121,000. Additionally, the model indicates a 43% probability that the Bitcoin price will finish below $136,000 within the same time frame. Peterson’s chart displays observed daily prices leading into October 2025 and a projected range extending into early November. The model’s mean prediction, represented by the dashed blue line, suggests a gradual climb from the $120,000 range toward the $140,000 mark. The 68% confidence interval remains comfortably positioned above $130,000 for much of the forecast period. The model also includes a 95% confidence interval, shown by the wider orange band, which highlights the full range of likely outcomes. It suggests that Bitcoin has only a slight chance, about 5%, of finishing October below $110,000 and above $170,000. Interestingly, Peterson noted in an earlier post that October has historically been one of Bitcoin’s strongest months. His analysis highlights that specific days within the month, including the 9th, 20th, and 28th, have been bullish 71% of the time, while the 29th has seen gains 78% of the time since 2015. This historical tendency of October surges lends additional weight to the analyst’s bullish Bitcoin price forecast, suggesting that recurring patterns could help propel the cryptocurrency to new all-time highs soon. Long-Term BTC Setup Supports Steady Growth Toward $200,000 In another report, Peterson presented a chart illustrating Bitcoin’s long-term price structure since 2022. While he clarified that he is not a proponent of traditional technical analysis, he emphasized his belief in repeating market cycle patterns. The chart depicts Bitcoin’s price movement within two parallel red trend lines, showing a consistent upward trajectory since the market bottom. Related Reading: Here’s The Best Time To Buy Bitcoin As Impulse Wave Sets Path To $150,000 Within this framework, several green upward segments indicate recurring phases of rapid price appreciation. According to this cyclical model, Bitcoin remains firmly within an established growth channel, projecting a potential rise toward $200,000 within the next 170 days. Peterson assigned this bullish scenario a “better than 50/50 chance,” suggesting that current market structure and historical recovery patterns support the case of continued Bitcoin price appreciation well into 2026. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com
An $11 billion Bitcoin whale returned to crypto markets this week, likely seeking trading opportunities tied to October’s historic crypto rallies and uncertainty in the US.
The Venezuelan opposition leader has championed Bitcoin as a lifeline for individuals trying to protect their wealth or attempting to flee the country.
The following article is adapted from The Block’s newsletter, The Daily, which comes out on weekday afternoons.
The Arbitrum Foundation has hired Brendan Ma, formerly of Immutable and Goldman Sachs, as its head of investment strategy.
A Hyperliquid trader lost $21 million in a private key exploit, raising new concerns about DeFi security and user vigilance amid growing DEX activity.
The wider crypto market followed major stock indexes with notable losses on Friday following renewed trade feud between China and the United States. The crypto market cap dropped around 2% on Friday to hover about $4 trillion at press time. Bitcoin (BTC) price slipped 3% to trade below $119k while Ethereum (ETH) price dropped over …
The odds of the eventual Nobel Peace Prize winner’s victory surged on the prediction market from near-zero to over 70%, several hours before the news was made public.
Canary Capital is inching closer to getting the SEC's sign-off as it moves to update two of its registration statements for XRP and SOL ETFs.
According to Coinbase’s internal metrics shared by community figure Moonkie, XRP drew 32,000 searches on the exchange in the past 24 hours, making it the most searched token on the platform. Related Reading: XRP Fear Index Spikes To 6-Month High, And That Could Spark Its Next Breakout Bitcoin trailed with 26,000 searches, BNB pulled 22,000, and Ethereum recorded 18,000. The spike in search activity comes amid rising debate about whether retail interest will turn into real buying pressure. Search Interest Surges Based on reports, search trends can sometimes foreshadow market moves. Traders and new investors often look up tokens before placing orders. Some observers tied the rush of queries to hopes for an XRP-focused spot ETF, with a final SEC decision originally expected later this month. The US government shutdown has been flagged as a factor that could delay the regulator’s timeline. Also, the SEC’s adoption of Generic Listing Standards has blurred strict deadlines, leaving approval windows more flexible than before. XRP is the most searched asset on Coinbase in the past 24h pic.twitter.com/bRsAnZCCqH — moonkie ???? (@xmoonkie) October 8, 2025 Strong Yearly Gains, Recent Pullback XRP has enjoyed a remarkable run over the past year. Price climbed from about $0.51 to $2.82, a jump that equals roughly 440% growth. Reports show XRP outpaced Bitcoin by 162% and beat Ethereum by 188% over that same period, numbers that have captured investor attention. Still, momentum has cooled a bit. XRP slipped below $3 and is trading at $2.81 now, down 5% across the last week and down 1.05% in the past 24 hours. Trading Volume Lags Volume figures underline mixed market signals. Market screens show XRP’s 24-hour volume fell to $4.50 billion. Of that, $180 million — about 3.90% — was recorded on Coinbase. On the exchange, XRP ranks as the fourth most traded asset, behind Solana, Ethereum, and Bitcoin, which posted $265 million, $578 million, and $716 million respectively. Coinbase’s reserve of XRP rose to 16 million tokens, marking a 3% increase when compared with the figure reported on October 6, 2025. Related Reading: Sinking In Minutes: Binance Alpha Token Plunges 99% In Shocking Price Meltdown Whales Are Selling Large holders are adding pressure. Based on Whale Flow data using a 30-day moving average, roughly $50 million worth of XRP leaves whale wallets every day. For this metric, whales are those holding more than 1,000 tokens. CryptoQuant charts have shown sustained net outflows since early 2024, which analysts say could keep the market biased toward selling even if ETF news turns out positive. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from TradingView
Financial markets sold off on Friday after U.S. President Donald Trump threatened a "massive" tariff hike on China.
Square Bitcoin lets U.S. merchants accept BTC with no fees until 2027, a move Mizuho analysts say could reshape consumer payments.
Traders exit positions as cryptocurrency breaks key technical levels amid broader market uncertainty.
The group of banks said the stablecoin initiative would explore the “benefits of digital assets” in bringing new products to the market.
Some on-chain investment funds may arrive packaged as “innovation” but conceal higher costs, weaker protections, or unnecessary complexity, Prometheum’s co-CEO Aaron Kaplan argues.
“We’re looking into it,” Nobel Institute spokesperson Erik Aasheim told reporters asking about suspicious trading activity on Polymarket.
Crypto commentator Zach Rector argues that XRP’s months-long malaise is nearing a turning point, contending that selling pressure has largely run its course and that a fresh wave of institutional demand is lining up on the other side of the ledger. “XRP sellers are exhausted,” Rector said in a video analysis published late on October 9, adding that “the downside action and the consolidation that we’ve seen over the past few months is coming to an end and the suits are now getting ready to sell it with slideshow presentations.” Reasons To Be Bullish On XRP Rector’s central thesis is that structurally constrained float and prospective exchange-traded products could catalyze a supply squeeze. He framed the timeline around a US government shutdown, asserting that approval activity would not resume until after a reopening: “ETFs are set to go live for XRP as soon as the government shutdown ends. No, I am not anticipating the SEC to approve the ETFs while the government is shut down.” He characterized the post-shutdown period as a potential “tidal wave of XRP, crypto, and other related ETFs,” while acknowledging that the precise sequencing depends on regulators returning to normal operations. Related Reading: XRP Could Retest Triangle Support At $2.72, Analyst Warns Pointing to what he sees as a template in other assets, Rector highlighted a recent trading episode he attributed to BlackRock’s Ethereum ETF. In his telling, “Jane Street… spark[ed] a massive momentum ignition selloff just in time for BlackRock’s ETF to buy the most Ether in 2 months,” with $437 million of inflows arriving on a day of heavy price weakness. “While they’re hitting the sell button, panicking… the investors at BlackRock are saying, ‘Thank you very much,’” he said. He extrapolated from this to XRP, claiming “the suits have the champagne on ice cuz they know that they’re about to go break records with the XRP ETFs.” Beyond the ETFs, Rector emphasized on-chain and DeFi dynamics that he believes reduce liquid supply. He cited activity around Flare’s FXRP mechanism, describing wallet flows and escrowed balances as visible on public ledgers: “So far, Flare has already locked up almost $60 million worth of XRP. That’s equivalent to about 20 million XRP.” Rector broadened his supply-tightening thesis to digital asset treasury (DAT) companies, asserting they had “already actually acquired 10% of the overall Ethereum supply” and were now “coming for XRP.” XRP Momentum Builds He also alluded to tokenization and payments initiatives he associates with Ripple and the XRP Ledger, asserting that “they really are going to tokenize on the XRP Ledger” and bring “flows of liquidity that are valued in the trillions of dollars” onto the network. As evidence of institutional momentum, he pointed to European and Middle Eastern developments. Citing a post from VanEck’s Matthew Sigel, he said “Luxembourg becomes the first EU sovereign wealth fund to buy Bitcoin with a 1% position via ETF,” and noted recent meetings between Ripple executives and Luxembourg’s finance minister. He also referenced Ripple’s expansion in the Middle East, including Bahrain, as reinforcing an institutional pipeline. Related Reading: XRP Bull Run Reloaded: Analyst Says Momentum Mirrors 2017’s Explosive Rally On market structure, Rector said the recent intraday push lower found support above a level he is monitoring. “I zoomed out… to when we last back tested $2.70 just to show you… support,” he said, noting a visit to “about 2.77… people are front running that $2.70 level… we’re up to $2.81.” For investors worried that a peak is already in, he pushed back: “Was that the end of the XRP bull run? Did I just miss the top at 3.66? Absolutely not… imagine thinking that now’s the time to sell when Wall Street’s about to start selling it for you.” Rector’s explicit forward targets were sweeping. He said newcomers could “still… triple it up at least by next year,” and that a “10x” remained plausible under his “$20 to $30 base case,” characterizing “double-digit XRP” as “easily done.” Throughout, he tied the outlook to a cluster of catalysts—“ETFs, digital asset treasury companies, and institutional adoption”—and to what he regards as a steady constriction of tradable float via DeFi lockups. “That’s what leads to a supply shock,” he said. “This party’s just getting started.” At press time, XRP traded at $2.815. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Increased market volatility and forced liquidations highlight the fragility of leveraged trading, potentially deterring investor confidence.
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The crypto markets are being jostled between bullish and bearish forces, which have been exerting pressure at frequent intervals. Bitcoin recently topped at $126,199, following which a plunge dragged the levels below $120,000 for a while. However, the start token continues to remain under bullish influence, but this popular DeFi token is feared to lose …
The collaboration could accelerate the integration of blockchain in traditional finance, enhancing competition and efficiency in global payments.
The post Goldman Sachs, Deutsche Bank, and other banking giants unite to explore reserve-backed digital money appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
Cryptos came under pressure as a potential U.S.-China trade war once again on the table.
Stablecoin market is currently dominated by crypto-native firms like Tether and Circle, both of which issue USD-pegged tokens.
A high-stakes capital race has redefined the prediction market. Kalshi’s $300 million raise at a $5 billion valuation positioned it as the most valuable CFTC-regulated event-contract exchange in history. The firm’s expansion into 140 countries and growing list of macro and cultural markets seemed to cement its place as the global leader. Around the same […]
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The regulator cited industry feedback to a consultation on the changes, and the need for global alignment on prudential standards.
The Ethereum Foundation and Keyring are raising a legal defense fund for Tornado Cash developers Roman Storm and Alexey Pertsev.
Ruling preserves CoinSwitch's ability to recover frozen funds, dismisses WazirX appeal on loss-sharing restructuring scheme.
The global cryptocurrency market cap stands at $4.13 trillion, up 0.53% in the past 24 hours, with moderate trading volumes suggesting a balanced market tone. Altcoin activity remains mixed, with the Altcoin Season Index at 50/100, showing that neither Bitcoin nor altcoins are dominating market performance. Bitcoin trades around $120,700, up 0.57% on the day, …
American Ventures LLC, of which Dominari is a member, made an undisclosed investment in the Hemispheres Foundation, the principal stewards of the Hemi project.
The proposed tariff hike could exacerbate global supply chain disruptions, impacting industries reliant on rare earth elements and escalating US-China tensions.
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