The halt in oil shipments heightens US-Iran tensions, reducing chances for diplomatic resolution and impacting regional stability.
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The threat against the Trump family highlights escalating tensions and could influence geopolitical dynamics amid Iran's domestic unrest.
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Increased security in Islamabad signals Pakistan's proactive stance, potentially influencing regional stability amid US-Iran tensions.
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John Bollinger, the creator of Bollinger Bands, used a sharply worded post on X on April 21 to argue that Bitcoin, XRP and the broader crypto market need a break from what he sees as capital being pulled out of the sector by Washington. Bollinger did not cite a dataset or name a specific policy move, but his reference to the “current administration” landed in a market already primed to read that as a swipe at President Donald Trump’s orbit and the crypto ventures tied to it. “Can’t help but wonder if the current administration is done sucking capital out of the crypto space. Perhaps one of you can figure out how much capital they have removed from the space and make an estimate of the impact.” He then added the line that gave the post its sting: “Be nice to get back to business!” Bollinger tagged BTC, ETH, LTC and XRP, making clear he was talking about market-wide conditions rather than a single trade or narrative pocket. The Story Behind Bollinger’s Bitcoin, XRP And Crypto Thesis Bollinger’s complaint, read in context, is that crypto has spent too much time functioning as a political extraction machine and not enough time trading on its own fundamentals. That is an inference from his post, not a quantified claim by Bollinger himself, but it fits a period in which Trump-linked projects have absorbed enormous attention, liquidity and fee generation. Related Reading: XRP Indicator Turns Bullish Again After 3 Months: What’s The Next Price Target? The clearest example was the TRUMP meme coin. Entities behind the token accumulated close to $100 million in trading fees in less than two weeks after launch, while tens of thousands of smaller traders lost money. 80% of the token supply was owned by CIC Digital, a Trump business affiliate, and another related entity, meaning a large share of the economics sat with insiders from the start. Then there is World Liberty Financial, the Trump family-backed crypto venture that has become a much larger and more durable capital sink. World Liberty raised more than $550 million through sales of WLFI governance tokens, that the Trump family took a 60% stake in the business and rights to 75% of net token-sale revenue and 60% of operating revenue, and that only about 5% of the funds raised were left to build the platform itself. New token sales still send 75% of proceeds to the Trump family, even as the project proposed tighter lockups for early investors and faces a fresh lawsuit by TRON founder Justin Sun. Related Reading: 4 Signs XRP Is Moving From Bearish to Bullish: Analyst That does not prove that money flowing into Trump-linked projects is money directly taken from Bitcoin or XRP on a one-to-one basis. But it does support the broader market argument Bollinger was making: in a cycle where capital is finite, politically branded tokens, insider-heavy token sales and fee-rich speculative launches can divert risk appetite away from liquid majors and the business of trading them. If that dynamic eases, Bollinger’s call for “relief” may resonate most with investors who think Bitcoin and XRP have spent the last year competing not just with macro headwinds, but with the administration’s own crypto cash registers. At press time, XRP traded at $1.45. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Escalating tensions in Lebanon could hinder US-Iran diplomatic efforts, impacting regional stability and complicating international relations.
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Delayed rate cuts heighten recession risks, complicating economic stability amid geopolitical tensions and persistent inflation pressures.
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Codex-powered tools automate reports, code, Slack replies, and other workplace tasks.
A key US crypto policy bill, the CLARITY Act, is now moving through its final stages in the Senate, with potential action tied to the Senate Banking Committee’s last markup expected in May. But Morgan Creek Capital CEO Mark Yusko says the legislation—despite broad praise from much of the crypto industry—could actually prolong the current downturn in digital assets. Bear Market Could Extend Beyond October In a YouTube interview with Paul Barron published Tuesday, Yusko described the CLARITY Act as “a horrible bill,” warning that if it passes, it would not trigger the bullish shift many investors are hoping for. Instead, he argued that bearish conditions could continue well beyond September and October. Yusko also questioned the motivations behind the bill, saying it appears to have been written by “big incumbents,” which he further clarified as large banks. Related Reading: Bitcoin Bottom At $63,000? Grayscale Research Flags Feb. 5 As This Cycle’s Low During the interview, the executive pointed to remarks attributed to Bank of America CEO Brian Moynihan, claiming the bank would “lose trillions of dollars of deposits” if customers were able to earn stablecoin yields. Yusko said this is exactly the kind of incentive that would push large financial institutions to resist competition, arguing that if people can earn yield in alternative places, they will move their capital. “There’s no mystery about it,” Yusko suggested, implying that big banks are signaling their priorities more openly than many expect. He also said he was confused by what he called a political reversal he noticed around Senator Cynthia Lummis. Yusko referenced her earlier support for President Trump’s strategic Bitcoin reserve plan, then contrasted it with her backing of the CLARITY Act. In his view, the shift doesn’t make sense in light of what many see as the bill’s likely direction. Lummis Rejects Further CLARITY Act Delays On Tuesday, Senator Thom Tillis told reporters that he doesn’t expect a CLARITY Act markup in April and said the committee should instead focus on May. If that is the case, the week of May 11 would become the first possible window, especially since the Senate is scheduled to be in recess before then. Crypto In America reported that for a next-week markup to occur, the committee would need to notify members by this Friday. That notification reportedly has not happened, which the report ties to signals from the stablecoin-yield negotiation process. Related Reading: XRP Indicator Turns Bullish Again After 3 Months: What’s The Next Price Target? Lummis, however, has publicly pushed back on the idea of further delay in the CLARITY Act passage. In a statement to Crypto In America, she said, “Further delay is unacceptable.” She added that she is “really proud of the bipartisan progress we’ve made” and that she won’t allow colleagues to sacrifice substantive and good progress for what she described as the pursuit of a “perfect bill” that will never come. The pro-crypto Senator also warned that the “offshore risk is real” and that the window for action is closing. “It’s time to finally get this done,” she concluded. Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com
The prediction market platform, which has been caught in the middle of a regulatory battle between the feds and the states, is seeking to demonstrate strong controls.
The Shariah-compliant stablecoin backed by Gulf currencies expands to a new Layer 2 network aimed at institutional settlement in the Middle East.
A crypto analyst has presented a new analysis, forecasting Bitcoin’s (BTC) next all-time high and potential market bottom. According to the analyst, BTC’s long-term price outlook could depend heavily on where its current market bottom forms. The analysis draws on historical cycle patterns and bear markets that preceded BTC’s explosive upward rallies. Based on these patterns, the expert projects that if BTC has found a bottom near $60,000, then the next likely top could be around $200,000. Bitcoin Cycle Analysis Points To Final Market Bottom Crypto market expert Ardi has shared a new outlook on X, examining Bitcoin’s long-term cycle behavior and the implications of a possible market bottom. He noted that over the last four market cycles, Bitcoin’s bottom-to-top expansion has steadily compressed, with each cycle delivering only about 40%-50% of the upside seen in the previous one. Related Reading: Analyst Says Bitcoin Is Going To $170,000: Here’s When To Buy And When To Sell For added emphasis, he explained that if the last cycle recorded a roughly 7-8x upside off the price bottom, then the next market cycle could statistically see a 3-4x upside, based on his 40-50% theory. This pattern suggests a maturing market with gradually declining exponential returns as adoption and market size increase. Mathematically, Ardi presents his predictive model for Bitcoin’s cycle bottom and peak as: Next cycle top ≈ this cycle bottom x (previous multiple x k) The previous multiple is estimated at 7-8x from the 2022 bear market lows to the 2025 peak, while the k factor represents a historical diminishing factor of 0.4-0.5 derived from earlier Bitcoin cycles. Based on this framework, Ardi explained that if $60,000 is Bitcoin’s official bottom this cycle, then this level could serve as a key reference point for mapping the next phase of market development and potential bullish structure. Notably, BTC crashed to $60,000 earlier in February 2026 after the U.S. and Israel launched strikes on Iran that same month, causing oil prices to skyrocket. This was the first time BTC reached this level after hitting an ATH above $126,000 in October 2025, although the cryptocurrency had been in a downtrend since that peak. BTC Cycle Model Projects $200,000 ATH Using the mathematical model, Ardi outlined that a $60,000 price floor would place Bitcoin’s next cycle base-case peak at $190,000 to $200,000. This zone is presented as the analyst’s expected outcome under normal diminishing returns conditions. The projection also includes a stronger extension phase, during which euphoric market momentum could push Bitcoin to $240,000, marking its true supercycle. Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Could See Another Crash, But What Is The Long-Term Prognosis? On the other hand, if the market bottom forms closer to $50,000, the cycle model will adjust lower, placing BTC’s base case peak near $160,000. Meanwhile, euphoric momentum could extend BTC toward the $200,000 region. Ardi emphasized that as long as the broader cycle structure remains intact, these projected ranges will continue to define where BTC’s next major bull rally could conclude. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com
US military intercepts Iranian oil tankers, escalating the Strait of Hormuz crisis. Ceasefire by April 30 at 16.5% YES.
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Moran, a candidate running for U.S. Senate in Virginia, previously described self-wagers as “free advertising.”
Institutional interest in tokenization could drive significant Bitcoin price increases, impacting broader financial markets and regulatory landscapes.
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Crypto's identity crisis deepens as trust issues and broken assets challenge industry growth.
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Increased instability in Iran could lead to heightened military tensions, impacting regional security and global diplomatic efforts.
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Five weeks after MiMo-V2-Pro stunned the AI world, Xiaomi is back with a model that adds eyes and ears—at half the price.
The UN's endorsement highlights diplomatic challenges, as market skepticism suggests limited confidence in achieving a ceasefire soon.
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The company's bitcoin stash remained at 11,509 BTC, worth about $880 million at bitcoin's current price of around $78,000.
AngelList's new USVC fund allows non-accredited retail investors to gain exposure to major private firms like Anthropic and OpenAI.
The letter to four US government agencies said banks needed 60 more days for comment after OCC stablecoin rulemaking had been finalized.
American Bitcoin (ABTC) originally purchased the mining rigs in March, weeks after reporting a $59 million loss for Q4 2025.
New York Governor Kathy Hochul signed an executive order banning state employees from using insider information to bet on prediction markets.
Predictive algorithms in hiring and finance risk perpetuating systemic biases and unfair decision-making.
The post Carissa Véliz: Predictive technologies require enlightened decision-making, algorithmic hiring can perpetuate biases, and academic fraud undermines integrity | Big Technology appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
Crypto's identity crisis deepens as trust issues and ideology clash in the mainstream transition.
The post Mike Ippolito: Crypto’s identity crisis amid mainstream acceptance, the urgent need to rebuild trust, and the clash between ideology and reality | Empire appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
The states banned government employees from trading on insider information—a growing concern as prediction markets related to politics surge in popularity.
A crypto analyst has suggested that Bitcoin (BTC) is still in a bear market despite its recent price rally, warning that the cryptocurrency could be headed for a deeper correction below $60,000. The call comes amid repeated failed breakouts and weakening momentum, raising doubts about any near-term recovery. According to the analyst, the current price structure suggests bears remain firmly in control, with downside risks continuing to build. Why Bitcoin Is Still Bearish Despite Recent Rebounds A technical analyst known as JDK Analysis on X has shared fresh insights into Bitcoin’s current price action and potential next moves. In his post, he stated that Bitcoin’s recent price rally above $75,000 marked its fourth fakeout. He argued that, rather than a sustained price recovery, the latest upward moves may signal weakness, reinforcing his base case that BTC is currently in a short-term reaccumulation phase within a broader bear market. Related Reading: Why The PEPE Price Could Stage A 55X Rally To Reach New $0.0001 ATH JDK Analysis noted that the current re-accumulation phase lacked the key signals typically seen at true market bottoms, which often precede a sustained price reversal. As a result, he suggests that any near-term upside will likely be limited until a final price floor is reached. The analyst explained that strong market bottoms do not emerge suddenly. Instead, they form after an extended downtrend with multiple processes involved. He stated that large-scale investors cannot simply “buy the bottom” like most retail traders because their investments are substantial enough to move the market and influence prices. He added that buying only occurs when enough traders are willing to sell coins, making it even harder for big players to enter positions. If they decide to place large buy orders even when there are not enough sellers available, they could end up pushing prices higher and buying at even worse levels. To address this, JDK Analysis noted that most large players typically seek out liquidity by targeting areas with clustered orders. He said that it also helps when many traders are caught on the wrong side of the market, as their positions provide easy exit liquidity for whales. He called this process liquidity engineering, noting that it explains why Bitcoin’s price often moves up and down within a range, appearing as though it is recovering. The analyst added that the same process also applies when Bitcoin experiences sudden drops. During sharp moves, traders often panic and sell, leading to downside fakeouts in which prices briefly fall before reversing or stabilizing. Overall, JDK Analysis remains firm in his view that the market is not in a recovery stage. Instead, he argues that bears are still largely in control, with no confirmed bottom in place and the possibility of another major price crash still ahead. BTC Faces Possible Crash Below $60,000 While he maintains that the market is still bearish, JDK Analysis has explained what a true bottom should look like. He stated that a real bottom forms after several failed attempts to push prices lower. He emphasized that during repeated downside moves, trading volume typically declines, signaling that selling pressure is fading as sellers become exhausted. Once this happens, the market begins to shift before a fresh bullish trend begins. Related Reading: The Bitcoin Playbook: Analyst Says These 4 Numbers Are Your Entire Week However, the analyst argues that current market conditions are showing opposite behavior. Instead of exhaustion, prices continue to test the upper range before getting rejected. He also noted that BTC’s overall supply appears to be dominating demand, with each upward push accompanied by declining trading volume. The analyst views this as a major bearish signal. His chart shows that once Bitcoin breaks further below $75,000, the cryptocurrency could be heading toward its next crash level around $59,000. If this support fails, the analyst predicts an even deeper correction below $56,000, possibly marking its final bottom. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
The US naval blockade heightens economic pressure on Iran, potentially destabilizing the regime and affecting geopolitical dynamics.
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Top prediction market platforms, including Kalshi and Polymarket, are rushing to offer highly leveraged crypto derivatives at the exact moment state and federal authorities are clashing in court over whether the industry’s core products constitute illegal betting or legitimate financial instruments. Over the past year, these companies have gained national prominence by facilitating wagers on […]
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AI Detector Developer Pangram Labs’ browser extension tagged several posts from the Pope’s X account.