Bitcoin (BTC) has entered an extreme oversold phase, with momentum indicators dropping to levels that historically signal market exhaustion and a trend reversal. Researchers tracking macro conditions and long-term price behavior say that the current drawdown reflects a reset in positioning, not the end of the bull market. Based on past recovery patterns, the analyst believes that Bitcoin could soon forge a path toward a new all-time high. Bitcoin Enters Extreme Oversold Territory Thomas Lee, Co-founder and Chief Investment Officer (CIO) of Fundstrat Capital, has flagged Bitcoin’s latest market condition as a key technical development. He pointed to data from Bittel Julien, head of macro research at Global Macro Investor, which highlights how deeply oversold Bitcoin has become within the current cycle and the cryptocurrency’s potential to reach a new ATH. Related Reading: Why This Week Could Be Transformational For The XRP Price In his post on X, Lee publicly commended Julien’s analysis, emphasizing that historically extreme oversold conditions in BTC have often been followed by meaningful bounces. Julien, who also shared his report on X this Wednesday, explained that his analysis responds to frequent requests for updates on a long-running market model that tracks Bitcoin’s behavior following major momentum breakdowns. According to him, the model examines BTC’s average price path after the Relative Strength Index (RSI) falls below 30, a level widely considered to indicate extreme oversold conditions. The analyst stated that Bitcoin’s recent price action has closely followed technical historical patterns, provided the broader bull market structure remains intact. The accompanying chart compares current Bitcoin price behavior with the average historical trajectory observed after the last five instances in which the cryptocurrency entered oversold territory. The point at which RSI declines below 30 is marked as “time zero.” In previous cycles, this moment typically followed a period of stabilization and a strong upward recovery over the following weeks and months. Based on historical averages, Julien sees a potential path toward new all-time highs if Bitcoin continues to track past recovery patterns. While the market researcher cautions that the chart is not perfect, he argues that it remains a useful analytical framework, particularly if the four-year cycle thesis continues to play out. BTC Cycle Could Extend Into 2026 As 4-Year Pattern Breaks Julien’s analysis also suggests that the current Bitcoin cycle could extend well into 2026 and challenge the relevance of the traditional four-year cycle thesis. According to the market researcher, the BTC cycle has never been driven by halving events, contrary to what the broader crypto community believes. Instead, he stated that the cycle is fueled by public debt refinancing, which was delayed by a year after COVID. Related Reading: Private Investment Firm Shares Why XRP Is Their Leading Investment He highlighted that Bitcoin’s four-year cycle is now officially broken due to an increase in the weighted average maturity of the debt term structure. He also noted that liquidity conditions and ongoing interest expense monetization, which far exceed GDP growth, support a prolonged cycle. Furthermore, Julien emphasized that Bitcoin’s price bases usually take time to form and often include periods of volatility before a significant upward move occurs. The market researcher explained that his analysis was not a signal of an immediate market decline but rather a framework that assumes the bull market is still firmly in place. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
Kraken is launching its xStocks product on the TON blockchain, now available through Telegram’s TON Wallet. This integration lets users trade tokenized stocks directly within Telegram, offering a simple and familiar interface. By combining Kraken’s robust trading platform with TON’s fast blockchain and Telegram’s large user base, the move aims to make digital assets more …
The SEC has refreshed its crypto asset FAQs, clarifying how broker-dealers like Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, and others can satisfy custody and capital requirements for crypto asset securities, and addressing how the framework applies to Bitcoin and Ethereum ETF activity. The update appears on the Trading and Markets FAQ index as “Frequently Asked Questions Relating […]
The post New SEC rules lets Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sach legally “control” your private keys without the safety net you assume exists appeared first on CryptoSlate.
Bitcoin’s Taproot usage is declining, signaling wider concerns around its quantum future, as the leading cryptographers race to solve the quantum threat in 2026.
This move could enhance Oslo's appeal as a tech-savvy destination, potentially boosting tourism and setting a precedent for global airports.
The post Travel Retail Norway starts accepting Bitcoin at Oslo Airport via Lightning Network appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
Your day-ahead look for Dec. 18, 2025
The team argues that targeted incentives are needed to sustain that momentum in what it described as an increasingly crowded stablecoin landscape.
Blowout Micron results reignite AI optimism, lifting tech futures and stabilising bitcoin even as parts of the AI equity complex remain under pressure.
The US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for November will be released today at 8:30 AM ET, following the cancellation of the October report due to the government shutdown. Analysts anticipate a 3.1 % headline CPI and 3.0 % core CPI, with month-over-month growth around 0.3 %. With no monthly CPI data available, investors are closely watching the annual figures …
Ethereum blockspace trading platform ETHGas announced a $12 million raise shortly after ETH co-founder Vitalik Buterin endorsed the idea, promising 50ms transaction times.
Bitcoin rose since midnight UTC, while remaining locked in the $86,000-$90,000 range. Against gold, however, it's still falling.
Bitcoin price is hovering around the $86,600 mark, but the calm comes after a sharp reminder of how fragile the market remains. Earlier this week, BTC briefly surged close to $90,000 before reversing just as quickly, underscoring that selling pressure still sits just beneath the surface. This isn’t a sign of collapsing fundamentals, but rather …
JPMorgan just took a step that would have sounded unlikely a few years ago. The banking giant has moved its tokenized deposit product, JPM Coin (JPMD), off its private blockchain and onto Base, Coinbase’s public Ethereum layer-2 network. The reason is straightforward: institutional clients want to move money, post collateral, and settle trades directly on …
The proposal could enhance WLFI's market position and governance influence, potentially reshaping stablecoin competition dynamics.
The post Trump-backed World Liberty proposes using 5% of WLFI treasury to boost USD1 growth appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
Bitcoin and crypto traders are hedging for lower prices as 2025 draws to a close and macro uncertainty persists, according to analysts.
Travel Retail Norway has become the first duty-free chain in the world to accept Bitcoin for Click and Collect purchases at Oslo Airport arrivals. Customers can pay easily using QR codes and Lightning Network wallets with no extra fees. Payments are displayed in Norwegian kroner, settled in real time, and issued with standard receipts, demonstrating …
World Liberty Financial is considering a major treasury move that could reshape the future of its USD1 stablecoin, and the community is split. The Trump family-backed crypto project has proposed using $120 million from its WLFI token treasury to expand adoption of its U.S. dollar–pegged stablecoin, USD1, as competition in the stablecoin market heats up. …
The proposal would activate protocol fee switches, burn 100 million UNI, and formally align Uniswap Labs with governance.
Kyrgyzstan has entered the global stablecoin race with the launch of USDKG, a gold-backed digital currency. The token is live on the Tron blockchain and is backed by real gold, with plans to grow reserves to $500 million, aiming to make cross-border payments faster and cheaper. Kyrgyzstan Launches Gold-Backed USDKG Stablecoin According to official announcements, …
The price movement comes after the DTCC announced it would adopt Canton Network for the issuance of tokenized securities.
Fidelity's FBTC recorded a top five inflow day as the ETFs took in a combined $457 million amid sharp BTC price swings.
Coinbase expands in Poland with PPro to support Blik, making crypto transactions faster and easier amid stalled local regulations.
While the crypto market saw a brief rally during the U.S. morning, the gains were short-lived and the largest cryptocurrencies ended the day lower.
Bitcoin surged $3,000 in an hour on Dec. 17, reclaiming $90,000 as $120 million in short positions vaporized, then collapsed to $86,000 as $200 million in longs liquidated, completing a $140 billion market-cap swing in two hours. The movement was driven by leverage, making it seem that leveraged positions are out of control. However, Glassnode's […]
The post Bitcoin is facing a hidden “supply wall” at $93,000 that creates a ceiling no rally can break right now appeared first on CryptoSlate.
The US Securities and Exchange Commission outlined how tokenized equities can exist inside US market safeguards, favoring broker-led custody over crypto-native self-custody.
XRP looked increasingly bearish below $2, with multiple indicators suggesting that a downward move toward $1 was possible in the coming weeks.
Coinbase is making it clear that it no longer wants to be seen as just a crypto exchange. In its Coinbase System Update for 2025, the company laid out a broader plan to rebuild finance on crypto rails, arguing that the current system is slow, expensive, and limited by banking hours. Coinbase conveyed the clear …
Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin said the network still falls short of being truly “trustless,” arguing that decentralization is not just about open-source code or distributed validators, but also about how many people can understand how the system works. According to Buterin, when only a small group of experts can fully follow the protocol, trust quietly …
Veteran chartist Peter Brandt is flagging what he calls a “potential double top” on XRP’s weekly chart, a classic reversal setup that, if confirmed, would argue for materially lower prices — even as other traders point to a washed-out weekly RSI reading that has historically aligned with prior bottom zones. Peter Brandt Flags XRP Double Top Pattern Brandt posted the chart to X on Dec. 17 and didn’t bother softening the message for XRP’s online faithful. “I know in advance that all you Riplosts $XRP will forever remind me of this post — ask me if I care,” he wrote, before adding: “This is a potential double top. Sure, it may fail, and I will deal with this if it does. But for now this has bearish implications. Love it or not — you need to deal with it.” The chart shows XRP-USDT on Binance in weekly bars, with two highs clustered around $3.40 and $3.66 and a clearly marked support shelf near $2.00. In classical chart terms, that $2 region functions as the neckline: lose it with follow-through, and the market is no longer in “pullback inside a range” territory — it’s in “failed structure” territory. Related Reading: XRP Price Falls To Critical Support Level, Is It Time To Panic? That distinction matters because double tops tend to be less about the second peak itself and more about what happens at the midpoint low between the two peaks. Brandt’s framing reflects that: the pattern is “potential” until either support holds and price reclaims prior levels, or the neckline breaks and the market accepts lower. In this case, Brandt’s chart is already showing XRP trading below the $2.00 line, with the most recent marker around $1.8859. That puts the focus squarely on whether the breakdown becomes a sustained weekly close-and-hold below support, or whether the move gets reversed quickly enough to treat it as a bear trap. Or Is The XRP Bottom In? Not everyone reading the same tape is leaning into the bearish conclusion. Trader Cryptollica posted a separate XRP/USD weekly chart (Bitstamp) on Dec. 15 highlighting the weekly RSI at roughly 33, accompanied by the comment: “$XRP WEEKLY RSI : 33 ????”. The chart highlights that, in the past five cases, similarly low readings in XRP’s weekly RSI have tended to occur around market bottoming zones. Brandt was receptive to the conditional logic — specifically, the idea that a failed double top can flip from bearish to bullish if the breakdown doesn’t stick. Responding, he wrote: “Yea, if this dbl top fails then this could become exciting. I agree. I am not championing a bear case — just showing charts for what they are.” Related Reading: Best XRP Buy Zone? Analyst Breaks Down The Key Levels That exchange captures the actual tension here. Momentum measures like RSI can identify stretched conditions and recurring historical zones, but they do not, on their own, invalidate a price-structure breakdown. Notably, Brandt did not provide a price target in his comment. But the chart he shared contains enough structure to infer the standard “textbook” projection many technicians would use. With peaks near $3.60 and a neckline near $2.00, the pattern height is about $1.60. The conventional measured move subtracts that height from the neckline after a break, implying a target in the neighborhood of $0.40 if the setup fully plays out. That is not a forecast, and it’s not a promise the market will cooperate — it’s simply the arithmetic implied by the pattern Brandt is pointing at. The more immediate question is whether XRP can reclaim the $2.00 area decisively enough to turn the breakdown into a failed move. If it can’t, the chart conversation shifts from “potential double top” to “confirmed break,” and the downside math stops being hypothetical in traders’ positioning models. At press time, XRP traded at $1.83. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
The Wall Street titan’s recent embrace of a public blockchain is a harbinger of things to come.