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#prediction markets

Iran's leadership instability and threats of retaliation could heighten regional tensions, impacting global markets and geopolitical dynamics.
The post Iran threatens retaliation for Khamenei’s killing amid leadership instability appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#bitcoin #btc price #bitcoin price #btc #bitcoin news #btcusd #btcusdt #btc news #higher-timeframe #htf

Bitcoin’s price structure is starting to look less like a clean recovery to $80,000 and more like a battleground between $76,000 and $78,000, where every rally is being tested, and every dip is being watched. A new technical outlook from a crypto analyst known as Guru is now adding an interesting angle to that uncertainty, outlining a path where Bitcoin could first lure in late buyers before unwinding into a 50% decline before the end of the year. Next Bitcoin Move Bitcoin’s recent price action in April has led to bullish momentum slowly creeping in, and many analysts are now looking at bullish price targets at the end of the year. However, in a post shared on the social media platform X, crypto analyst Guru laid out a revised multi-stage roadmap for Bitcoin that culminates in a crash to as low as $30,000 by year-end, a drawdown of as much as 61% from current levels.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Bulls Should Be Wary Of This Level Or Investors Risk Getting Trapped The chart accompanying the post is a weekly timeframe chart that projects the full arc of the move: a compression zone, a rally, and then a terminal decline that would take Bitcoin to price levels last seen in late 2023.  According to the weekly chart, Bitcoin is currently transitioning into a high-timeframe redistribution phase. Guru’s original prediction anticipated a simpler two-act sequence involving a flush to $55,000 followed by a direct rally to $80,000. That scenario has now been superseded, though the analyst is clear that the broader conclusion has not changed. The updated plan introduces a higher-timeframe (HTF) consolidation and redistribution phase first, which is likely to trap traders on both sides. The prediction based on this updated plan is that Bitcoin will reverse soon to find a local bottom in the $62,000-$65,000 zone before staging a rally to $85,000. It is that rally, Guru argues, that is the real danger. “The 85k pump will be the ultimate exit liquidity trap,” the analyst wrote. A Year-End Slide To $30,000 The most interesting part of the prediction is what is expected to happen once Bitcoin undergoes the projected rally to $85,000. Once the liquidity above is taken and the market exhausts buying pressure, the analyst anticipates a move lower, targeting a broad range between $50,000 on the higher end and $30,000 on the lower end before the end of the year. Related Reading: Bitcoin To $140,000 And XRP To $7? Here’s When It Will Happen Despite the severity of the forecast, Guru has been explicit about what would invalidate it. A weekly close above $98,000 would render the entire bearish scenario void.  At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $77,000, which means a drop to $50,000 would represent a decline of roughly 35%, while a deeper slide to $30,000 would translate to an approximate 61% loss from current levels. On the other hand, a move to the analyst’s invalidation level at $98,000 would require a rally of about 27%. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com

#prediction markets

Powell's stance reinforces the Fed's commitment to data-driven decisions, potentially stabilizing markets amid political and geopolitical tensions.
The post Powell defends Fed autonomy amid political pressure for rate cuts appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#podcast #podcast notes #dwarkesh podcast

Efficient batching in AI models can slash costs and boost performance by up to a thousand times.
The post Reiner Pope: Batch size dramatically impacts AI latency and cost, kv cache is key for autoregressive models, and efficient inference can save resources | Dwarkesh appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#prediction markets

Turkey's demining role could signal broader regional cooperation, potentially easing tensions and impacting future geopolitical dynamics.
The post Turkey eyes demining role in Strait of Hormuz amid Iran-US peace talks appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#prediction markets

Institutional interest in Bitcoin ETFs suggests potential for market growth, but geopolitical tensions and low trading volumes may hinder price surges.
The post Bitcoin ETFs see $823M inflows led by BlackRock’s IBIT amid US-Iran tensions appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#markets #federal reserve #policy #central banks #the block #u.s. policymaking #market updates #bitcoin-price #interest-rates

A split 8-4 vote initially spooked markets, creating uncertainty around the Federal Reserve's future policy moves.

#podcast #podcast notes #forward guidance

AI's rapid adoption and utility could drive an investment cycle surpassing the crypto bubble's magnitude.
The post Steve Hou: The AI bubble is rapidly adopted and could eclipse the crypto bubble, traditional knowledge may lose market value, and AI is transforming investment cycles | Forward Guidance appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#prediction markets

The destruction of military assets in civilian areas suggests escalating tensions, reducing the likelihood of a near-term ceasefire agreement.
The post IDF destroys Hezbollah rocket launcher in civilian building, escalating conflict appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#prediction markets

Warsh's FOMC leadership may delay rate cuts, linking monetary policy more closely to geopolitical energy and tariff developments.
The post Kevin Warsh to become FOMC Chair as Powell stays on as Fed Governor appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#latest news

Businesses can now allocate idle cash to a government-backed fund via Stable Sea, as tokenized Treasury products gain traction in corporate finance.

#markets #news

Speaking at Bitcoin Las Vegas 2026, the American Bitcoin co-founder declared the last six months a turning point.

#prediction markets

Trump's rhetoric heightens geopolitical tensions, increasing market speculation on potential US-Iran conflict, impacting diplomatic efforts.
The post Trump hints at further action against Iran after military strikes appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#podcast #the wolf of all streets #podcast notes

Bitcoin's potential to hit $300,000 challenges gold as the ultimate inflation hedge amid market shifts.
The post Paul Tudor Jones: Bitcoin’s value is rising amid dollar decline, predicting $200,000 to $300,000 by year-end, and DeFi faces increasing risks | The Wolf Of All Streets appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#markets

Bitcoin’s sell-off accelerated leading into this week’s FOMC, but charts highlight some positives for BTC and altcoins.

#law and order #celsius-degree-token

The settlement represents a massive reduction from an initial $4.7 billion judgment against the Celsius founder.

#artificial intelligence

Talkie-1930 is a 13-billion-parameter model that has never heard of the internet, World War II, or modern politics. The results are fascinating, funny, and occasionally unsettling.

#banking #legislation #adoption #analysis #culture #market #enterprise #featured

This month, Israel and Pakistan supplied a quieter test for crypto than the one playing out in US capital markets. What if the more important 2026 shift is happening where digital assets meet local money and bank accounts? Israeli crypto firm Bits of Gold said Israel's Capital Market Authority approved the issuance and distribution of […]
The post Everyone is watching America’s crypto boom but Israel and Pakistan may be showing what comes next appeared first on CryptoSlate.

#markets #defi #policy #people #stablecoins #governance #tokens #donald trump #token projects #crypto ecosystems #governance votes

Pre-sale investors argue that introducing a two-year cliff and linear investing schedule for their locked tokens is a bait-and-switch.

#business

Stripe partners with Google to bring AI shopping into Gemini and AI Mode as it unveils 288 products for agents and AI payments.
The post Stripe partners with Google to bring AI shopping into Gemini and AI Mode appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#prediction markets

Iran's unified security council decisions bolster regime stability, reducing the likelihood of political upheaval and market volatility.
The post Iran security council unifies on war decisions, reinforcing regime stability appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#prediction markets

Persistent inflation and geopolitical tensions may necessitate a reevaluation of monetary policy expectations, impacting economic stability.
The post Fed signals elevated inflation, no rate cuts expected in 2026 amid energy price rise appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#solana #infrastructure #usdc #stablecoins #wallets #meta #facebook #instagram #stripe #companies #crypto ecosystems #layer 1s

The social media giant suggests a host of popular wallets creators can use including MetaMask, Phantom, and Binance.

#markets #news

During a press conference following the Fed's interest rate decision, Powell said ongoing scrutiny and political tension forced him to stay, despite his plans to step down.

#prediction markets

The unprecedented FOMC dissent signals potential for abrupt policy shifts, impacting market stability and economic forecasting.
The post Fed meeting sees highest dissent since 1992, no rate cut expected appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#finance #news #stablecoins #solana news #stripe

The tech giant is first offering the feature to select creators in Colombia and the Philippines.

#prediction markets

The Fed's cautious stance amid geopolitical tensions highlights the complexity of balancing inflation control with economic stability.
The post Fed holds rates at 3.50-3.7% amid Middle East uncertainty appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#prediction markets

The Fed's steady rate decision underscores a focus on inflation and labor data, with future policy shifts hinging on Powell's successor.
The post Fed holds rates steady at Powell’s final meeting as chairman appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#the block

Tassat and Lynq explain how real-time settlement, on-chain yield, and Avalanche infrastructure are transforming institutional finance.

#prediction markets

The defense deals suggest Ukraine is preparing for prolonged conflict, impacting market perceptions of a near-term ceasefire resolution.
The post Ukraine inks defense deals with Germany, Norway, Netherlands amid conflict appeared first on Crypto Briefing.