Bitcoin price started a steady increase above $70,000 and $72,000. BTC is now consolidating and might aim for more gains above $72,800. Bitcoin started a fresh increase after it settled above the $68,800 support. The price is trading above $70,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. There is a bullish trend line forming with support at $68,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might dip again if it trades below the $72,000 and $70,800 levels. Bitcoin Price Rallies Above $70,000 Bitcoin price managed to form a base above the $67,500 zone. BTC started a fresh increase and was able to surpass the $68,800 resistance zone. The price even rallied above the $70,000 resistance. Finally, the bears appeared near $74,000. A high was formed at $74,062, and the price recently corrected some gains. There was a move below $73,000, and the price declined toward the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $66,164 swing low to the $74,062 high. Bitcoin is now trading above $70,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. There is also a bullish trend line forming with support at $68,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. If the price remains stable above $70,000, it could attempt a fresh increase. Immediate resistance is near the $72,800 level. The first key resistance is near the $73,500 level. A close above the $73,500 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $74,000 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $75,000 level. The next barrier for the bulls could be $76,800 and $77,200. Downside Correction In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $72,800 resistance zone, it could start another decline. Immediate support is near the $72,200 level. The first major support is near the $72,000 level. The next support is now near the $70,000 zone or the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $66,164 swing low to the $74,062 high. Any more losses might send the price toward the $68,800 support in the near term. The main support now sits at $68,000, below which BTC might struggle to recover in the near term. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now losing pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $72,000, followed by $70,000. Major Resistance Levels – $72,800 and $73,500.
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Arthur Hayes was wrong before. In December, the BitMEX co-founder predicted Bitcoin would hit $200,000 by March 2026. It didn’t. Bitcoin is trading near $71,000. Hayes is now calling for $500,000 to $750,000 by the end of the year, and his reasoning runs straight through the Middle East. Related Reading: Iran’s Crypto Market Shaken As Outflows Skyrocket 700% War, Spending, And The Fed Hayes argues that a prolonged US military conflict involving Iran would put severe pressure on federal finances. As government spending climbs, he believes policymakers would face little choice but to cut interest rates and pump more money into the financial system. That combination — loose monetary policy and expanding liquidity — is what he thinks sends Bitcoin sharply higher. The argument is grounded in history, at least partially. During the 1990 Gulf War, Federal Open Market Committee members openly cited Middle East instability as a factor in their deliberations. Crypto billionaire Arthur Hayes is predicting a $500k – $750k Bitcoin by end of 2026??? Trump admin + Iran conflict + Fed easing = ???????? He explains: pic.twitter.com/AU23sd216a — Altcoin Daily (@AltcoinDaily) March 2, 2026 By late 1990, the Fed had cut rates as economic confidence dropped. After the September 11 attacks in 2001, then-Fed Chair Alan Greenspan pushed for an emergency 50-basis-point cut, which was implemented almost immediately. Markets steadied shortly after. Hayes draws a direct line from those episodes to what he sees unfolding now. Large military operations cost hundreds of billions. Fiscal pressure builds. The Fed eventually eases. Risk assets, including Bitcoin, rise. A Pattern Hayes Has Bet On Before He made this case publicly in a Substack post, where he wrote that investors could find a meaningful entry point once the Fed begins cutting rates or expanding the money supply. He named Bitcoin and a handful of what he called high-quality altcoins as the assets best positioned to benefit once that shift begins. The key moment, in his view, is not the conflict itself but what comes after. Rate cuts and fresh liquidity, he argues, are what actually move prices. Related Reading: Long-Term Bitcoin Holders Buy $14 Billion In BTC As Retail Headed For The Exit The Gap Between The Forecast And The Chart Bitcoin’s current price tells a different story from Hayes’ projections. The coin sits roughly half its October peak of $126,000. While gold and oil climbed after US and Israeli strikes killed Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, Bitcoin did not follow. It sold off initially before recovering to current levels. That disconnect — commodities rallying while Bitcoin lags — has not shaken Hayes’ outlook. His $500,000 to $750,000 call remains intact, pinned to the belief that monetary policy, not headlines, is what ultimately drives the price. Whether the Fed moves in that direction depends on how long and how costly the conflict becomes. Featured image from US Air Force, chart from TradingView
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Bitcoin climbed back above $71,000 on Wednesday, reaching its highest level since February 8, even as broader geopolitical risk remained elevated. The move appears to have been triggered by a sudden shift in macro sentiment around Iran, but market structure inside crypto had already left BTC primed for a sharp reversal. Why Is The Bitcoin Price Up Today? The immediate catalyst came from a report cited by The Kobeissi Letter, which said the New York Times had reported that Iran made a “secret” offer to the US to negotiate an end to the war. According to Kobeissi, the proposed framework included Iran abandoning or sharply curtailing its ballistic missile and nuclear programs, as well as reducing support for proxy groups, while President Donald Trump had “suggested” Iran’s surviving leaders could remain in power under a so-called “Venezuela model.” Related Reading: Bitcoin To $11 Million By 2036? This AI-Deflation Thesis Is Turning Heads Kobeissi added that “it remains unclear if a deal is feasible at this point in time,” but the timing matched a rapid risk-on reaction across US stock futures markets as well as Bitcoin. That macro headline helps explain the spark. It does not fully explain why Bitcoin reacted more forcefully than stocks and gold. For that, the positioning backdrop matters. BREAKING: US stock market futures surge as the New York Times reports that Iran made a “secret” offer to the US to negotiate a deal to end the war. Potential terms include: 1. Iran to abandon or drastically curtail its ballistic missile and nuclear programs 2. Iran to abandon… https://t.co/IsF3saWl1A — The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) March 4, 2026 Vetle Lunde, head of research at K33 Research, argued that Bitcoin entered the latest week in an unusually compressed state after months of persistent weakness. “Bitcoin entered the weekend heavily oversold, heavily shorted, and significantly underowned,” Lunde wrote. “First and foremost, the context for BTC ahead of the war in Iran is wildly different from other asset classes. Bitcoin had fallen 50% after five continuous months of downside. The weekly RSI fell to its third lowest reading ever, meaning BTC entered the week uniquely oversold.” In other words, Bitcoin was not coming into the geopolitical shock from a position of strength. It was coming in after a deep washout. Lunde also noted that institutional exposure had already been cut back materially, with spot ETFs seeing outflows of nearly 100,000 BTC and notional CME open interest falling 30% from October levels. That matters because investors most likely to use BTC as a hedge against uncertainty had, in his view, already reduced exposure, loosening the asset’s correlation to traditional macro trades. Related Reading: Bitcoin Sentiment On Wall Street Has Turned Negative, Galaxy’s Thorn Says Inside derivatives, the setup looked even more asymmetric. Lunde said perpetual funding rates had been unusually low and that traders had spent much of February paying a premium to stay short. “This is atypical market behavior for BTC, an asset with a distinct long bias,” he wrote. “Similar funding rate regimes have often appeared during bottoming phases and have historically reflected imbalances, overcrowding, and sell-side exhaustion.” That imbalance began to unwind quickly as price turned. In a follow-up post, Lunde said Binance BTCUSDT perpetual open interest had risen by 7,547 BTC in just four hours, a jump he said had not been seen on a comparable 4-hour basis since 2023. That suggests the rally was not just a spot reaction to headlines, but also a derivatives-led repositioning event. Crypto contributor Darkfost pointed to similar evidence. He noted that Bitcoin’s rebound above $70,000 came alongside five consecutive days of spot ETF inflows and a decisive turn in aggressive derivatives buying. On Binance, the BTC Taker Buy Sell Ratio reached 1.18, its highest reading of the year, while taker buy volume exceeded $1 billion per hour multiple times during the session. Taken together, those signals suggest buyers are no longer simply absorbing selling pressure; they are beginning to dictate short-term price action. At press time, BTC traded at $70,851. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
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XRP is approaching a pivotal technical moment as it pushes against the 200 EMA while holding firm at the base of a descending channel. With support still intact and momentum building near resistance, the chart is compressing into a potential breakout setup. A confirmed move above the EMA could shift short-term sentiment, while failure would keep the broader corrective structure in play. XRP Tests The 200 EMA Barrier According to technical analyst Egrag Crypto, XRP is currently attempting a significant breakthrough as it pushes against the 200 EMA. This move has the community questioning if the bulls finally have enough momentum to sustain the climb. While the immediate price action is encouraging, the next few days are critical for determining whether this is a genuine trend shift or merely a temporary spike. Related Reading: XRP Price Begins Consolidation, Breakout Pressure Gradually Builds The primary condition for a bullish transition is a weekly candle close above the 200 EMA and the $1.55 horizontal resistance. Achieving this would signal a surge in short-term strength and a meaningful shift in market momentum. Despite this push, XRP remains confined within a long-term descending channel, suggesting the broader macro structure is still technically corrective. Egrag highlights two major upside targets for those looking for a “bullish expansion.” First, the $1.55 level must be reclaimed and held to solidify current strength. If successful, the next major milestone is a weekly close above $2.20, which would likely trigger a more aggressive upward move. A rejection at or below the $1.55 mark would likely result in a liquidity sweep toward the $1.26 level. If the selling pressure intensifies from there, the downside risk extends much further, with potential targets sitting in the $0.95–$0.85 range. Channel Floor Holding — Buyers Step In In a recent market update, analyst Jonathan Carter revealed that XRP’s descending channel support is holding remarkably strong. The altcoin is currently trading near the lower boundary of this multi-month descending channel on the daily chart, a zone that has historically acted as a springboard for price recoveries. Related Reading: XRP Triangle Could Point To Support Between $0.60 And $0.90 The focus for traders now shifts to a confirmed bounce from this support level. If the daily chart can print a strong reversal candle, it would validate the channel’s integrity and signal the start of a new upward leg. Should the bulls successfully ignite this bounce, Carter has outlined a series of ambitious price targets. The initial recovery would likely target $1.50 and $1.80, with a successful breach of those levels opening the door for a climb toward $2.35 and $2.70. In a full bullish extension, the analysis points to macro targets at $3.10 and $3.55. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com
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On March 4, US President Donald Trump officially nominated Kevin Warsh as Chairman of the US Federal Reserve. Following Senate approval, Warsh will succeed Jerome Powell, whose second four-year term expires on May 15, 2026. Bitcoin and other markets’ reaction to the announcement In the past decade, Warsh has compared Bitcoin to gold on several …
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Ripple’s push into traditional finance appears to have taken another step forward after its institutional brokerage platform, Hidden Road, was listed in the National Securities Clearing Corporation (NSCC) directory under the Depository Trust & Clearing Corporation (DTCC). The implications of this development, which recently went live, are massive for both Ripple and XRP. Members of the XRP community are seeing the development as a signal that Ripple is steadily positioning itself inside the infrastructure that powers conventional financial markets. Hidden Road’s DTCC Listing Places Ripple Inside Wall Street’s Infrastructure On March 2, 2026, a quiet but seismic event occurred in the crypto world. The Depository Trust & Clearing Corporation, the backbone of the US securities market, officially added Hidden Road Partners CIV US LLC to its National Securities Clearing Corporation (NSCC) Market Participant Identifiers directory. Related Reading: Ripple Exec Clears The Air On Blocked XRP Transactions – When Does It Happen? Ripple’s decision to acquire Hidden Road was already one of the boldest moves the crypto industry had ever seen. Hidden Road, now operating as Ripple Prime following Ripple’s $1.25 billion acquisition in 2025, is a global prime brokerage. Before Ripple acquired the company, Hidden Road was already processing financing trades for over 300 institutional clients, moving approximately $3 trillion annually. Gaining a listing on the NSCC directory grants a firm direct operational standing within the post-trade workflows used by the world’s largest financial institutions. Ripple has done something no crypto company has done before: it has embedded itself into the very machinery of Wall Street. The NSCC listing means Ripple Prime can now process over-the-counter trades through the NSCC’s centralized clearing system. Ripple’s former CTO, David Schwartz, also acknowledged the development on X, responding to a post about the update with the short remark: “Seems important.” Interestingly, Schwartz also noted that the update comes from something that’s been in the works since a bit before Ripple’s acquisition of Hidden Road and rebranding to Ripple Prime was 100% final. XRP Holders See The Writing On The Wall The XRP community’s reaction has been a mix of serious institutional analysis and unmistakable excitement. Many holders see the DTCC listing as the clearest signal yet that Ripple is no longer building toward mainstream finance but is now arriving inside it. That perspective gained further traction after David Schwartz publicly reacted to the update with his brief response. Related Reading: The Uncomfortable Truth About XRP That Shows How High Price Can Actually Go “Important milestone for Ripple Prime,” wrote one X user. Another X user known as SMQKE noted that Ripple’s Hidden Road acquisition and the recent move will supercharge XRP’s utility. The contention is that Ripple Prime will start to gradually move parts of its post-trade processes onto the XRP Ledger. Even if only a portion of that institutional volume were to eventually move through XRPL-based settlement systems, the development could significantly increase blockchain activity tied to Ripple’s ecosystem. Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com
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A slowdown in profit-taking and defending the 200-week EMA support at $68,000 are prerequisites for BTC to break the next big hurdle at $75,000.
Data shows social media mentions related to “altseason” have hit a low recently, something that has often been relevant for Dogecoin in the past. Altseason Social Volume Has Plummeted In a new post on X, analytics firm Santiment has talked about the latest trend in the Social Volume of “altseason.” The Social Volume refers to an indicator that tracks the weekly total number of posts/messages/threads on the major social media platforms that contain mentions of a given term or topic. Related Reading: Solana’s Next Major Support Levels Sit At $50, $22, And $10: Analyst Since Santiment has filtered the metric for altseason here, its value would provide a look into the amount of comments that are discussing the possibility of an altcoin season. As the below chart shows, this indicator’s value has declined recently, indicating that interest in the altcoin market has gone down. In the same graph, the analytics firm has also attached the data for the Dogecoin price. Santiment’s reasoning behind doing so is that “‘altseason’ is synonymous with FOMO and greed toward more speculative, emotionally driven assets like $DOGE, meme coins, or hyper-volatile and often mid to lower cap altcoins.” As such, the Social Volume of the term altseason can contain hints about interest around DOGE itself. Historically, digital asset markets have often tended to be affected by the sentiment among the retail crowd. The relationship between the two, however, has generally been an inverse one, meaning that hype can lead to tops while despair to bottoms. This same pattern has emerged in this chart as well. It would appear that a high value on the altseason Social Volume has been bearish for Dogecoin during the last two years, while low levels have acted as local bottom signals. With the recent decline in the altseason Social Volume, its value has dropped to an extreme low. Considering the past pattern, it’s possible that this market disinterest could allow the memecoin to rebound. It only remains to be seen, however, how Dogecoin and other altcoins will develop in the near future. Santiment has cautioned that the metric isn’t a perfect trading signal, noting that “disinterest in altcoins doesn’t always necessarily justify an imminent alt surge.” Related Reading: Bitcoin LTH Selling Cools: Is Months-Long Distribution Finally Ending? In related news, social media sentiment related to Bitcoin saw a sharp surge just before the asset’s Monday rally to levels near $70,000, as the analytics firm has highlighted in another X post. While Bitcoin initially rallied, that specific run fizzled out, which could be a potential consequence of it being fueled by retail greed. DOGE Price At the time of writing, Dogecoin is floating around $0.093, down 1% in the last seven days. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView.com
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Bitcoin’s recovery picked up steam on Wednesday as the cryptocurrency rallied above $74,000 amid consistent inflows into the spot Bitcoin ETFs. Do technical charts support the move in BTC and altcoins?