Geopolitical tensions and rising oil prices drive economic uncertainty, prompting investors to favor safer assets over volatile cryptocurrencies.
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Geopolitical tensions from Cuba's stance may disrupt global oil supply chains, potentially driving WTI crude prices higher amid market uncertainty.
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The UAE's OPEC exit may destabilize global oil markets, heightening geopolitical risks and potentially leading to increased oil price volatility.
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Iran's proposal may escalate geopolitical tensions, potentially impacting global oil prices and complicating US-Iran relations further.
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US arms shipment delays may weaken European military readiness, affecting geopolitical stability and reducing ceasefire prospects in key conflicts.
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OpenAI's financial sustainability is in question as power supply issues threaten AI industry growth.
The post OpenAI’s financial sustainability is at risk, power supply constraints threaten AI growth, and the market is evolving towards a ChatGPT and Google showdown | All-In Podcast appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
Exxon's output decline underscores the broader economic risks of geopolitical tensions, potentially influencing global inflation and market stability.
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The troop withdrawal may signal a shift towards diplomacy, potentially easing NATO tensions and reducing the likelihood of military conflict.
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Hezbollah's stance heightens regional tensions, complicating diplomatic efforts and potentially escalating military actions involving Iran.
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JP Morgan's acceptance of Bitcoin as collateral signals growing institutional trust, potentially boosting long-term crypto adoption and integration.
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The indictment could intensify political tensions, influence prediction markets, and raise significant First Amendment legal challenges.
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The formation of the "Together" bloc signals potential shifts in Israel's political landscape, challenging Netanyahu's long-standing dominance.
The post Bennett, Lapid form “Together” bloc, challenging Netanyahu ahead of 2026 elections appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
CryptoCred, the prominent trader and educator behind Breakout, has warned that crypto’s old market structure may no longer offer the broad, reflexive upside that defined previous cycles. In a blunt assessment posted on X, Cred argued that participation alone is no longer enough, with market quality, liquidity, correlation and speculative attention all deteriorating at the same time. “Crypto’s current state is a bit shit,” Cred wrote, setting the tone for a critique that went beyond short-term price weakness. His argument was not simply that markets are down or that altcoins have underperformed. It was that the assumptions traders carried from earlier cycles may now be structurally less reliable. Crypto Has A Brutal New Problem At the center of his thesis is the idea that market capitalization has become a poor proxy for quality. Cred argued that much of the top 50 now consists of “ghost coins or bloated governance slop” that has underperformed and is difficult to treat as investable. That matters because previous cycles often allowed traders to use size and liquidity as rough filters for relative safety. In his view, that shortcut has become less useful. Related Reading: CEO Behind $4.7 Billion Crash Banned From Crypto, But How Will This Work? The problem is even sharper further down the risk curve. Cred said the long tail of speculative crypto assets has shifted from a high-risk, high-reward arena into something more predatory and time-sensitive, where holding for too long can mean getting caught by insiders, mercenary liquidity or violent rotations. The result is a market where speculation still exists, but the distribution of risk and reward has changed. “Everything is extremely correlated and you can’t meaningfully make bets based on sectors as it all converges into a tightly correlated mush, especially to the downside,” he wrote. “Broad brush alt season is an artefact of the past that’s very hard to replicate given that there are simply too many coins and the excess of speculation doesn’t really happen on centralised exchanges anymore.” That point cuts directly against one of crypto’s most durable cycle narratives: that capital eventually rotates from Bitcoin into majors, then into mid-caps, then into the speculative long tail. Cred’s argument is that the market has become too fragmented for that rotation to work cleanly. With too many tokens competing for attention and much of the highest-velocity speculation happening away from centralized exchanges, the classic “alt season” wealth effect becomes harder to reproduce. He also pointed to a reputational shift. Crypto, in his view, is no longer the obvious frontier for speculative capital. Institutional demand has moved toward artificial intelligence, while retail appetite has been absorbed by 0DTE options, single-name equities and other high-beta venues. That does not mean crypto has no bid. It means it may no longer monopolize the appetite for asymmetric risk. Related Reading: April’s Crypto Carnage: North Korea Hit Twice And Snagged 76% Of 2026 Hack Value The most important part of Cred’s post may be his claim that convexity has flattened. Even assets once treated as relatively safe crypto beta, including BTC and ETH, have disappointed some of the old cycle expectations, he argued. The familiar logic of buying deep drawdowns because new highs and explosive upside were assumed to follow has become harder to justify if the magnitude and reliability of those rebounds are weakening. “Convexity has flattened,” Cred wrote. “Even a lot of the historically safe blue chip stuff has underperformed and the historical anchor of ‘buy deep drawdowns because all-time highs are guaranteed and explosive’ has disappointed. All the shit we used to put up with because of the accessibly massive trend and momentum effects is now harder to justify because those same effects are getting neutered or siphoned off into other arenas.” Cred acknowledged the obvious counterargument: cycles. Crypto has repeatedly gone through periods where market structure looked broken before liquidity returned and risk appetite revived. But he said the most recent cycle itself supports his concern, because gains were “extremely concentrated” rather than broad-based, and “something very obviously broke after 10/10.” His conclusion was that trading crypto now requires more precision than it did in earlier eras. Timing alone may no longer be enough if the rising tide does not lift the entire market. Selection matters more. So does actual trading skill. “Participation alone can be an edge if the asset class is early enough and/or mispriced enough,” Cred wrote. “I don’t think that holds either, and we might actually have to learn how to trade.” At press time, the total crypto market cap stood at $2.57 trillion. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
The conflict's economic strain may prompt swift military resolutions, impacting global markets and reducing diplomatic engagement prospects.
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The stablecoin yield deal may enhance regulatory clarity, potentially boosting institutional crypto adoption and influencing Bitcoin's market dynamics.
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The blockade exacerbates regional instability, complicating diplomatic efforts and potentially prolonging economic and geopolitical tensions.
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The Iranian regime's harsh measures may signal growing instability, potentially increasing the likelihood of regime change by mid-year.
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The uncertain uranium deal highlights ongoing geopolitical tensions and potential instability in US-Iran relations despite conflict resolution.
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The blockade exacerbates economic strain on Iran, potentially escalating regional tensions and complicating diplomatic resolutions.
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Prolonged US military presence in Iran may hinder diplomatic efforts, increase regional instability, and affect geopolitical market dynamics.
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Accelerated AI security deadlines may enhance US cyber defenses, impacting global AI strategies and intensifying US-China tech rivalry.
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Dogecoin’s largest holders are becoming more active just as a widely followed analyst says DOGE printed its third clear monthly bullish morning star pattern. The overlap matters because the signal is not only technical: Santiment’s on-chain data shows whale activity and whale balances rising at the same time as DOGE rebounds from recent lows. Santiment Intelligence said Dogecoin whales recorded their busiest day in six months, with 739 transfers worth at least $100,000 in a single 24-hour span. The firm also noted that the largest DOGE wallets have continued to accumulate. Related Reading: Dogecoin Surges 11%: Is This Parallel Channel Resistance Next? “On-chain data indicates that Dogecoin’s whales have just hit a 6-month high in activity, with 739 $100K+ transfers in just a 1-day span. Additionally, of the 149 whale wallets holding at least 100M Dogecoin, they now collectively hold an all-time high of 108.52B DOGE (worth $11.6B). The memecoin’s +14% price rise over the past 10 days is very likely not just a coincidence.” Dogecoin Monthly Chart Signals Possible Reversal That on-chain backdrop coincides with Cantonese Cat’s monthly Dogecoin chart, which marks what the analyst described as “the third clear monthly bullish morning star pattern for DOGE.” A morning star is a three-candle reversal formation. In the DOGE chart, the first candle is a red down candle (February), the second is a smaller candle (March) that reflects hesitation after the selloff, and the third is a green candle (April) that closes back above the midpoint of the first candle. In crypto markets, where trading is continuous and traditional equity-style gaps are less clean, analysts often focus more on the structure: a sharp monthly decline, a compression or indecision candle, and then a strong recovery candle that shifts control back toward buyers. Related Reading: Dogecoin Looks Cheap On-Chain, But Leverage Is Building Fast Cantonese Cat’s DOGE chart highlights two previous comparable monthly formations. The first appeared from September to November 2017, after Dogecoin consolidated after a major 2,000% rally and just before the token’s major run into the 2017–2018 cycle peak. The second appeared from September to November 2020, shortly before DOGE broke into its historic 2021 rally. The analyst also used Bitcoin as a reference point for why he views the pattern as relevant. In a separate BTC monthly chart, Cantonese Cat wrote that a bullish monthly morning star had “marked 3 out of 4 past cycle bottoms,” “2 very important local bottoms,” and produced “2 false signals,” giving it a stated success rate of 71.4% for Bitcoin. That comparison does not guarantee the same outcome for DOGE, but it frames the pattern as one he treats as historically meaningful across major crypto charts, and again, Bitcoin could be a leading indicator. At press time, DOGE traded at $0.10897. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
The compromise on the crypto bill may enhance regulatory clarity, boosting institutional confidence and potentially stabilizing crypto markets.
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Trump's stance may hinder US-Iran peace prospects, emphasizing military solutions over diplomacy, impacting geopolitical stability.
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The text released Friday blocks crypto firms from offering stablecoin yield offerings that look like bank deposits, but "bona fide" transactions are allowed.
The intensified IDF operations suggest prolonged military engagement in Lebanon, impacting market expectations of an Israeli withdrawal.
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Dogecoin (DOGE) whale activity just hit a 6-month high after transfers worth $100,000+ rose to 739 in a single day this week. More so, the 149 whale wallets holding at least 100 million DOGE now collectively hold 108.52 billion DOGE. This marks an all-time high for collective whale accumulation, with an estimated worth of $11.80 …
The bill, which bans AI tools that generate fake nudity and lets victims sue their creators, will go to Governor Walz for his signature.
Bitcoin chases $80,000 as rising spot volumes and futures open interest suggest the market has shifted back in the bulls’ favor.
Two US senators introduced the Prediction Market Act of 2026, which would create a more complete regulatory framework for prediction markets and event contracts. The legislation is being presented as a bipartisan effort, sponsored by Republican Senator Dave McCormick and Democratic Senator Kirsten Gillibrand, and it lays out a series of rule changes intended to modernize oversight in the sector. The Prediction Market Act’s Safety Checklist At the core of the bill is an effort to reduce uncertainty by clearly defining key terms. The Prediction Market Act would define what an event contract is, what qualifies as public interest, and other relevant terminology. The goal is to narrow ambiguity in how these markets operate, especially when they relate to matters that could carry higher stakes. Related Reading: Hyperliquid Jumps Into The Betting Boom With New ‘Outcome Tokens’ For Real-World Events The proposal also includes a requirement for additional scrutiny for certain contracts. Under the bill, event contracts involving enumerated activities—including violence—would require individual review, using newly established criteria to determine how the public interest standard should be applied. The bill further aims to strengthen how these markets are offered to the public. It would establish enhanced certification standards for exchanges that list event contracts, along with disclosures designed to be easier for retail customers to understand. Beyond disclosures, the Prediction Market act would require exchanges such as Polymarket and Kalshi to implement additional operational safeguards, including measures related to advertising, and Know-Your-Customer (KYC) requirements, with the intent of improving protections around how they interact with customers funds. Key Institutional Pieces Of The Bill The Prediction Market Act also includes conflict-of-interest rules for public officials. It would prohibit lawmakers and high-ranking government officials from owning event contracts. The act would also establish a Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) Office of the Retail Advocate to support retail investors’ interests. It would also form an Advisory Council on Consumer Protection, tasked with analyzing potential gaps in safeguards and recommending additional protections for customers. Related Reading: US Rep. Calls Bitcoin A ‘Geopolitical Weapon Used By Multiple Adversaries’ In addition, the act would create an Innovation Advisory Committee to advise the commission on policy questions at the intersection of technology and finance, reflecting the way these markets rely on modern systems. Finally, the Prediction Market Act would require the CFTC to stay on top of changes by studying and reporting back to Congress on developments in these fast-moving markets. The intent, according to the framing of the bill, is to ensure oversight keeps pace with how prediction markets evolve rather than lag behind new practices. Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com