A potential final sell-off in Bitcoin is back in focus after market analyst Aaron Dishner warned that the asset appears structurally close to capitulation. Based on cycle timing, historical drawdowns, and converging technical signals, he argues the market may be nearing its last downside move before a longer-term bottom forms. He urges investors to brace for volatility as this “bottom year” unfolds. Bitcoin’s Past Fractal Points To One More Flush Dishner’s framework centers on a structural comparison to May 2022. On the weekly BTC/USDT chart, he outlines a sequence mirroring prior bear market endings: a major high, a liquidation-driven drop, a failed relief rally forming a bear flag, and a breakdown into new lows. After that breakdown, the price typically moves sideways before a final aggressive sell-off. Related Reading: AI Explains What’s Driving The Ethereum Price Volatility, Can It Rise Above $3,000 Again? He projects a downside target around $35,000–$40,000, aligning with historical drawdowns of 70% to 75% from all-time highs. Previous cycles support this range: the 2013–2015 decline lasted about 59 weeks with an 87% drawdown; the 2017–2018 cycle spanned roughly a year with an 84% decline; and the 2021–2022 bear phase retraced around 77% over 54 weeks. Based on this pattern, he expects the current cycle to extend at least 52 weeks from its peak, placing a potential bottom near October 2026. Moreover, weekly RSI has reached deeply oversold territory, levels historically associated with capitulation events such as late 2018 and the COVID crash. While not at the most extreme historical lows, RSI is within the zone that previously preceded large downside wicks and sharp sell-offs. Volume metrics also show deterioration. On-balance volume across major exchanges reflects persistent distribution, resembling conditions seen before prior cycle lows. The broader takeaway is that price structure, momentum, and volume are converging toward what Dishner describes as a final flush. Stablecoin Dominance And S&P Risk Add Pressure Dishner also highlights combined stablecoin dominance, specifically USDT and USDC. Historically, sharp increases in stablecoin dominance have coincided with heavy Bitcoin sell-offs. He notes dominance is approaching resistance near 13%, and previous breakout clusters preceded steep downside moves in BTC. RSI behavior on the dominance chart mirrors pre-capitulation setups from 2022. In that cycle, a spike in dominance aligned with Bitcoin’s June decline, followed by weeks of choppy consolidation before recovery attempts. Related Reading: Dogecoin’s Third Time Breakout Could Send Price On 2,000% Rally To $2 Macro risk compounds the outlook. Dishner points to bearish divergence signals on the S&P 500, referencing clusters of downside momentum warnings seen near prior equity tops. An 8% pullback is viewed as plausible, with a deeper 20%–25% correction representing a high-impact scenario. In his assessment, a significant equity drawdown would transmit stress into digital assets, intensifying margin pressure and accelerating Bitcoin’s decline. Even after capitulation, history suggests the market may not immediately reverse. Prior cycles required 19 to 40 weeks of sideways or unstable price action before sustained recovery began. If the pattern holds, Bitcoin may be entering its final sell-off phase, potentially bottoming around October. Until then, Dishner maintains conditions remain structurally bearish, with elevated risk across crypto and traditional markets. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
As artificial intelligence races ahead, some crypto executives believe it could become the force that finally pushes blockchain infrastructure into widespread use. Others aren’t convinced the leap is so straightforward.
Payments giant Stripe made a tender offer valuing the firm at $159 billion as payments and stablecoin volumes rise.
Shedding over 17,000 BTC worth of bitcoin ETF shares, Brevan Howard was the firm that reduced its exposure most.
Bitcoin spent the last two days sliding down a familiar set of shelves, and the order book kept printing lower bids as liquidity thinned. By this morning, it sat at $63,214, a level that places the price inside the lower band on my two-year channel map. The receipts are straightforward, and the consequences sit inside […]
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Weeks after giving another $5 million to a pro-Trump PAC, the exchange received lawsuit aid from the CFTC and a bank charter from the Treasury Department.
Comparisons between AI’s explosive consumer adoption and crypto’s trajectory misunderstand the nature of the products, Dragonfly's Haseeb Qureshi told CoinDesk in an interview.
The Wall Street Journal, The New York Times and Fortune all reported that investigators had been let go after identifying sanctions-violating transactions.
Bitcoin remains pinned below $65,000 as random bouts of intense selling pressure persist, but one onchain indicator has stabilized, providing insight into when spot market demand may return.
Users placed more than $7 million betting on the outcome of the crypto sleuth's investigation, expected to be announced on Thursday.
The Ethereum price is hovering near a critical long-term zone as whales reshuffle billions of dollars in holdings, adding fresh uncertainty to an already fragile market. While price action remains weak in the short term, analysts say the asset has returned to a historical accumulation range. Related Reading: Here’s What’s Driving The Bitcoin Price Crash Toward $60,0000 Recent on-chain activity shows a surge in whale transfers, liquidations, and strategic repositioning, all unfolding as Ethereum (ETH) struggles to defend support near the $1,800 level, a price area many traders now view as decisive for the next market direction. XRP's price trends to the downside on the daily chart. Source: XRPUSD on Tradingview Ethereum Price Tests Long-Term Demand Zone Market analysts note that the Ethereum price has fallen back into a five-year demand area previously seen during the 2022–2023 bear market and the brief April 2025 crash. Historically, this range has attracted accumulation rather than distribution, suggesting long-term investors may be stepping in despite weak momentum. Currently, Ethereum trades around $1,828, down roughly 3.1% over the past 24 hours, with a market cap near $220 billion and elevated derivatives activity signaling continued volatility. Futures trading volume has exceeded $51 billion in a single day, while more than $100 million in leveraged positions were liquidated. Technically, ETH remains below key resistance levels. Price recently slipped under $1,900 and the 100-hour moving average, with analysts identifying $1,820 as immediate support and $1,900–$1,920 as a major resistance zone. A sustained break below support could expose downside targets near $1,780 or even $1,720. Whale Activity Signals Market Stress Large holders have played a major role in recent price pressure. One whale liquidated 7,200 ETH worth about $13.4 million at a loss exceeding $600,000 after exiting a position opened at higher prices. Another long-term holder sold nearly 23,924 ETH valued at over $45 million before opening leveraged long positions, indicating expectations of further short-term volatility. Meanwhile, a separate wallet transferred 12,000 ETH to a major exchange, potentially locking in losses exceeding $29 million if sold. Exchange inflows are often interpreted as potential sell signals because they increase market supply. Adding to the narrative, Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin has sold more than 8,800 ETH this month, though analysts say the transactions are tied to funding ecosystem development rather than a shift in long-term confidence. Institutions Accumulate Despite Weak Price Action While some whales reduce exposure, institutional players appear to be moving in the opposite direction. Mining and infrastructure firm BitMine Immersion Technologies recently acquired 51,162 ETH for its corporate treasury and continues expanding its holdings through staking strategies designed to generate yield. This divergence between insider selling, whale repositioning, and institutional accumulation reflects a market caught between short-term fear and long-term conviction. Related Reading: Bitcoin Capitulation Persists As Short-Term Holders Realize $0.48B Daily Losses In the short run, the Ethereum price outlook hinges on whether buyers can defend the $1,800 region. Holding this level could reinforce the idea of a multi-year accumulation phase, while a breakdown may trigger another wave of liquidations across leveraged markets. Cover image from ChatGPT, ETHUSD chart on Tradingview
A spokesperson from the White House has confirmed that U.S. President Donald Trump will offer no clemency to Sam Bankman-Fried (SBF), the founder and former CEO of the now-defunct FTX cryptocurrency exchange. The spokesperson added that Trump is the sole decider on a mercy release, and he is firmly rooted in granting no pardon to …
An Australian national was said to sell cyber tools designed for the U.S. government and its allies to a Russian company known as Operation Zero.
Bitcoin is heading toward an uncomfortable milestone, a potential fifth consecutive monthly decline if February closes in the red, and the setup is starting to look less like a crypto-specific drawdown and more like a macro-driven repricing. This five-month losing streak would be notable in the post-ETF era and would also be Bitcoin’s longest stretch […]
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TruStage and Block Time Financial are collaborating on a dollar-pegged stablecoin pilot geared for U.S. credit unions.
Despite former FTX CEO Sam Bankman-Fried's near-daily posting on X, his efforts to sway President Trump seem not to be working.
Ether whale order sizes are shrinking, while a $2 billion short cluster near $2,000 frame a tightening liquidity scenario for ETH after a sixth week of red price action.
The following article is adapted from The Block’s newsletter, The Daily, which comes out on weekday afternoons.
Euphoria's Casey Craig & MegaETH's Bread discuss consumer DeFi, UX abstraction and turning on-chain options into a one-tap mobile experience.
A 9.8% shareholder has doubled down on calls for Empery Digital to sell its BTC holdings, return capital to investors and remove its CEO and board.
XRP developers have proposed a new amendment that would introduce Batch Transactions on the XRP Ledger (XRPL). Vet, an XRPL dUNL validator, has revealed that the amendment was still under voting by validators. He also shared key insights into the proposed amendment, highlighting the main benefits it would bring to the ecosystem and some recent challenges it has faced. About The New XRP Ledger Amendment The new amendment, XLS-56d: Batch Transactions, was created by Denis Angell, a software engineer at XRPL Labs. According to reports, the amendment will make it even easier for developers to build applications that can generate revenue directly on-chain. It will also simplify the process of offering paid features and help automate transaction flows. Related Reading: A Major XRP Ledger Win That Most Investors Might Have Missed Notably, Vet stated that the highly anticipated amendment would enable developers to execute multiple transactions atomically. He explained that this capability would support project monetization, trustless swaps, and enable businesses to issue service charges more sustainably. Additionally, it would help settle multiple accounts and assets atomically. To provide further context on the new amendment, Vet referenced a publication by Shawn Xie, a developer at RippleX. In the article, Xie explained the concept of atomic execution and outlined how the new batch amendment would enhance the XRPL ecosystem. He explained that Batch Transactions allow developers to bundle up to eight transactions into a single atomic package, ensuring that all transfers are executed according to the set rules. This approach delivers more predictable, reliable outcomes, representing a significant advancement in programmability without relying on smart contracts. For the XRP Ledger, Xie has stated that the amendment would create opportunities for cleaner code and safer applications. He emphasized that it would improve user experience by eliminating issues such as partial mints, broken offers, or failed transfers. Additionally, it will allow transactions to be grouped logically and signed together. Other benefits of the proposed amendment include introducing new monetization paths and design patterns. Xie also noted that Batch Transactions would enable immediate utility across many real-world sectors, including platform fees, DEX swaps, trustless multi-account swaps, fallback withdrawals, and NFT minting/offerings. Batch Amendment Runs Into Bug Issues While still under validator voting, the XRP Ledger Foundation reported that the Batch amendment had run into a bug, discovered through the platform’s Bug Bounty program, before activation. The foundation has revealed that the issue has been resolved and the XRPL network remains unaffected and fully secure. Related Reading: What Happens Now That The XRP Price Has Revisited The October 10 Lows? The foundation has advised XRPL validators to veto the Batch amendment while the team reviews the community-submitted bug report. They said the community’s collaboration was instrumental in catching the issue early and preventing potential disruptions. Following this, Vet has shared an update, announcing that a new XRP software update will arrive next week, deprecating the current Batch amendment. He said follow-ups will likely include a detailed bug report and another software release introducing a fixed version of the amendment. Featured image from Free3D, chart from Tradingview.com
The proposal would cut the risk factor from Fed oversight and bar supervisors from pushing banks to cut off disfavored businesses, including in crypto.
After a defining year for the ecosystem, the BNB Chain is stepping up its efforts to build on its 2025 momentum and continue scaling its performance, execution capacity, and infrastructure strength amid sustained usage growth. Related Reading: Bitcoin Positioned For More Pain Following Weekly Close Below This Critical Level BNB Chain 2025 Technical Outcomes Pave The Way On Monday, the BNB Chain shared its Tech Roadmap 2026, outlining plans to continue operating at a large scale while supporting sustained growth across trading activity, stablecoins, and real-world assets (RWA). The roadmap noted that 2025 was a “defining year” for the ecosystem, with major milestones achieved without downtime. As they explained, the BNB chain focused on reliability, speed, cost efficiency, and fairness as the four core technical priorities of the year. “These goals translated into tangible network outcomes,” the BNB Chain affirmed, highlighting a 40.5% increase in total value locked (TVL), a 150% year-over-year (YoY) growth in daily transactions, a surge in trading volume and stablecoin market capitalization, and reaching the highest daily active users across blockchains. A recent report by CoinDesk Research pointed out that the BNB Smart Chain (BSC) leads the pack in stablecoin annual growth, soaring 133% YoY. The BSC significantly contributed to the surge in DEX volume, with its annual DEX trading volume surging by over 100% in 2025. The network also overtook Solana and Ethereum in daily volume during peak periods, capturing nearly 30% of the total DEX market share at one point. Meanwhile, the BNB Chain also led in app revenue growth YoY, increasing 48%. At the protocol level, the roadmap emphasized that BNB Chain’s performance improvements were driven by four major hardforks, which reduced block time from 3 seconds to 0.45 seconds and finality from 7.5 seconds to 1.125 seconds, while doubling network bandwidth to 133 million gas per second. Following these changes, the network has “consistently handled up to 5 trillion gas used per day, equivalent to approximately 238 million native transfers.” Meanwhile, gas Price dropped roughly 20 times, from 1Gwei to 0.05Gwei. Building The ‘Next-Generation’ Trading Chain Now, the BNB Chain is working on multiple network optimizations in 2026 to establish the BSC as a “highly optimized EVM trading chain.” It seeks to achieve 20,000 transactions per second (TPS) with sub-second finality, further reduce gas fees through software optimizations, and push finality deeper into sub-second territory with advanced consensus and network latency improvements. The BNB Chain plans to make enhancements for a “performance-optimized” EVM execution engine. These include a new execution engine “focused on best-in-class single-core performance using register-based interpretation and AOT/JIT techniques,” and “conflict-less parallel execution during block chasing using EIP-7928 (BAL).” The network is also planning to redesign storage systems for parallel-friendly access and continue developing middleware to reduce complexity for advanced applications, such as a privacy framework and an AI agent framework. In addition, the BNB Chain shared a long-term plan to design the “next-generation trading chain to support extreme performance requirements” between 2026 and 2028. Related Reading: Investors In Trump Family Memecoins Record $4.3 Billion In Losses As Tokens Sink The main goals include targeting approximately 1 million TPS, requiring sustained execution capacity of ~20 GGas per second; achieving near-instant transaction confirmation, with a best-case target of 150m; adopting a hybrid off-chain and on-chain compute architecture using execution proofs and attestations; strengthening decentralization through improved validator models and fault tolerance; and delivering best-in-class security and production reliability. “The next phase focuses on ensuring that this performance remains sustainable, fair, and extensible as the network continues to grow,” the roadmap concluded. Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com
The decision underscores the growing regulatory scrutiny and political complexities surrounding the cryptocurrency industry.
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The bank said rising volumes, tighter market structure and early institutional engagement are pushing prediction markets beyond their gambling roots toward a new asset class.
WisdomTree is enabling instant settlement for its tokenized money market fund, indicating its product won't be limited by Wall Street’s pace.
Coinbase opens US stock trading with 24/5 access and partners with Yahoo Finance for seamless research to execution.
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As Bitcoin trades in the low-$60,000s, the ledger shows nearly half of holders are sitting on losses. Newhedge’s percent supply in profit gauge shows 51.78% of coins are in profit with BTC around $63,275, implying roughly 10.35 million BTC in profit versus 9.64 million BTC in loss. However, this weekend, analyst DurdenBTC’s supply in profit […]
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Stripe reaches $159B valuation as payment volume hits $1.9T in 2025, doubling stablecoin activity and expanding into blockchain and AI.
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Sellers are taking a breather as bitcoin's Fear & Greed Index plunged to levels never seen before.