The crypto market has been under pressure for months. The selling has been relentless. And the world outside the chart is not making it easier. Top analyst Darkfost has published an assessment that places the current market environment in its full context: the geopolitical situation is deteriorating, not stabilizing. Despite announcements from the Trump administration suggesting a path toward de-escalation, the attacks and bombings have not stopped. The conflict is escalating. The consequences are spreading across every asset class without exception. Related Reading: An XRP Key Indicator Just Flipped Bullish — and Most Traders Are Not Watching It The damage is not limited to crypto. The 60-40 portfolio — the stocks-and-bonds allocation that has defined institutional risk management for decades and survived every major market stress of the past thirty years — is experiencing its worst performance since 2022. When the most robust mainstream strategy is breaking down, the environment for risk assets is not merely difficult. It is structurally hostile. Crypto has not been spared. But Darkfost notes something that the headlines are missing: relative to the scale of the macro dislocation, the crypto market has shown a degree of resilience over recent weeks that deserves attention rather than dismissal. That resilience is not a recovery. It is a signal worth watching in a market where most signals have been pointing in one direction for months. The Bleeding on Binance Has Stopped. What Comes Next Is the Question Darkfost’s on-chain data introduces the first constructive development in weeks. Amid the macro pressure and the sustained selling environment, Binance — the platform recording the highest trading volumes globally — is showing a clear increase in stablecoin inflows. The shift is measurable, dateable, and significant enough to warrant serious attention. The historical contrast makes the current reading more meaningful. On December 11, Binance recorded net stablecoin outflows of -$3.4 billion — capital leaving, liquidity contracting, the market voting with its feet. On February 15, that figure deteriorated further to -$6.7 billion, the largest single outflow reading in the period under review. Those two dates marked the depths of investor withdrawal from the platform. Today, the stablecoin netflow on Binance stands at +$2.4 billion. The direction has reversed. Capital that was leaving is now entering. The $9.1 billion swing from the February low to the current reading is not a footnote — it is the largest behavioral shift visible in the flow data this quarter. Darkfost’s qualification is precise and should not be dismissed: the signal is encouraging, but it needs to hold and build. A single positive reading is a data point. A sustained trend is a signal. The difference between the two is what the next several sessions will determine. Related Reading: Crypto Market Open Interest Hits $30 Billion, Highest Since January: Leverage Returns To The Market The Entire Crypto Bull Run Is Being Weighed Against a Single Support Level The total crypto market cap stands at $2.3 trillion, up 1.85% on the week — a candle that opened at $2.26 trillion, reached $2.32 trillion, and is holding above the week’s low of $2.25 trillion. The green candle is real. The context surrounding it is sobering. The macro picture requires no interpretation. Total market cap peaked near $4.05 trillion in January 2026 — the highest level in crypto’s history — and has retraced 43% over three months, erasing the entirety of the second half of 2025’s advance. The speed of that decline is as significant as its magnitude: what took eighteen months to build was unwound in twelve weeks. Related Reading: $2.3 Billion Ethereum Has Left OKX And Binance This Quarter: The Sell-Side Supply Is Thinning The weekly moving average structure tells the most important structural story visible on this chart. Price has broken below the 50-week MA and is now testing the 100-week MA — the green line, currently ascending through the $2.85–$2.9 trillion region — from well below it, having failed to reclaim it in recent weeks. Both the 50-week and 100-week MAs are now turning lower. The 200-week MA continues its long-term ascent near $2.1 trillion — the last structural support this chart offers and the level that has never been violated since 2023. Current level at $2.3 trillion sits in the gap between the 200-week MA below and the 100-week MA above. Reclaiming $2.85 trillion is the minimum requirement for any credible recovery argument. Until that level is reclaimed on a weekly close, the market remains in a confirmed downtrend on its most reliable long-term timeframe. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com
The move follows Trump's August executive order directing the Labor Department to facilitate the inclusion of crypto in 401(k) plans.
Prosecutors allege the stolen funds were used to purchase collectibles, including Pokémon cards, antique Roman coins and a piece of fabric from the Wright brothers' plane.
Binance will unveil 24/7 perpetual futures trading in WTI crude (CLUSDT), Brent crude (BZUSDT), and natural gas (NATGASUSDT) on April 1. The three contracts, all USD-margined and settled in USDT, will each have up to 100x leverage. The first two will represent 1,000 barrels of crude oil each, while the last will represent 10,000 MMBtu …
The week opens with crypto markets focused on the macro backdrop: while several protocol-level events are scheduled, developments around the Iran conflict and Fed signaling are likely to remain the dominant drivers. Reuters reported Sunday that the Pentagon is preparing for possible weeks of ground operations in Iran, though Trump has not approved those plans, and by Monday AP reported he was floating the idea of seizing Iran’s Kharg Island oil terminal even as diplomacy was still being discussed. Brent settled last Friday at $112.57, up 4.2% on the day. BREAKING: President Trump says the US is in “serious discussions with a new and more reasonable regime to end our military operations in Iran.” Trump also says that if a deal is not made, the US will “blow up and completely obliterate all of their electric generating plants, oil… pic.twitter.com/UAsFbQuWWF — The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) March 30, 2026 Powell is due to speak later Monday, March 30, at Harvard, where markets will look for any signal on how the Fed is assessing the current oil-driven shock. With the Iran conflict pushing energy prices higher, policymakers are facing a familiar trade-off between inflation risks and slowing growth. Related Reading: Crypto Prices Under Pressure As Bond Market Stress Overtakes Oil Shock As in recent weeks, macro developments are likely to remain the dominant driver for crypto. Any escalation in Iran or a shift in Powell’s forward guidance could quickly feed through into broader risk markets, including crypto assets. Crypto Events To Watch This Week In crypto land, the AAVE gets the spotlight this week. The project is set to activate Aave V4 on Ethereum mainnet. Aave V4 is already beyond the rumor stage and through the ARFC process, with the forum proposal laying out a “security-first” rollout, conservative risk parameters, and a narrower initial hub-and-spoke setup. For ETH, the calendar matters less as a one-day catalyst than as a sentiment and narrative checkpoint. EthCC[9] begins March 30 in Cannes and bills itself as the largest and longest-running annual European Ethereum event, running through April 2. The adjacent EthCC Week schedule also includes “The Agora” on March 31, an institutional forum focused on market infrastructure, operational efficiency, and capital deployment. JUP’s watchpoint is product expansion. Jupiter’s Offerbook is already in private beta, with registration open, and the pitch is unusually direct: “Onchain finance needs onchain credit. Time-based P2P loans, without price-based liquidations.” The product lets borrowers and lenders create fixed-term orders with customizable collateral, APR, loan size, and duration. Related Reading: Crypto Analysts Warn: Traders Misreading The Clarity Act Could Miss The Real Opportunity SUSHI is lining up a derivatives push. The official Sushi account has set April 2 for perps, while Sushi’s own site already shows a dedicated perps page telling users “Perps on Sushi Coming Soon” and collecting waitlist signups. That matters because perps remain one of the deepest and stickiest revenue arenas in crypto, and Sushi has been framing derivatives as a strategic priority since Sushi Labs outlined its roadmap. FTX is also back on the radar because cash is about to move. FTX Recovery Trust said it will begin its fourth distribution on March 31, totaling about $2.2 billion for eligible creditors in the convenience and non-convenience classes who completed the required steps, with funds expected via BitGo, Kraken, or Payoneer within one to three business days. The market question is straightforward: how much of that recovered capital, if any, makes its way back into crypto trading once claims are paid. Based, a Hyperliquid-powered DEX, will launch its token on March 30. The project confirmed its March 30 TGE on X, and KuCoin has already scheduled BASED/USDT trading for 10:00 UTC on Monday, with withdrawals opening a day later. KuCoin describes Based as a non-custodial DeFi “SuperApp” spanning crypto, equities, commodities, and spending rails. At press time, the total crypto market cap stood at $2.32 trillion. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Historical data shows Bitcoin bear markets deepening when oil prices rally to record highs. Will Monday’s $105 WTI price lead to a BTC crash?
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XRP is struggling at $1.35. The market is bracing for a volatile week. And quietly, the data on Binance is telling a story the price chart has not yet decided to believe. An Arab Chain report tracking supply dynamics on Binance has identified a reading that stands out against the current bearish backdrop: XRP’s scarcity indicator has reached 0.59 — its highest level since 2024. That number reflects something specific and consequential. The supply of XRP available for immediate sale on the platform is contracting, not expanding. Related Reading: An XRP Key Indicator Just Flipped Bullish — and Most Traders Are Not Watching It Coins are leaving exchanges. Investors are withdrawing to private wallets, locking positions for the long term, and removing liquidity from the market’s most accessible selling venue. The historical context sharpens the significance. This same indicator spent months in deeply negative territory — registering its worst readings during the periods of heaviest selling pressure and peak exchange inflows earlier in the cycle. The move into positive territory, and now toward a multi-year high, represents a behavioral reversal: the sellers who were flooding the market are stepping back, and the holders who are replacing them are not selling. XRP at $1.35 looks fragile. The scarcity data says the floor beneath it is quietly being reinforced. One of them will prove correct first. The Sellers Are Stepping Back. The Question Is Whether Buyers Are Ready to Step Forward Arab Chain’s behavioral read of the scarcity data is where the report becomes most consequential. A scarcity indicator climbing to its highest level since 2024 is not just a supply metric — it is a behavioral fingerprint. It reflects who is currently holding XRP and what they intend to do with it. The answer, according to the data, is that the short-term sellers who dominated earlier in the cycle are being replaced by a different category of participant entirely: long-term holders, accumulating quietly, withdrawing from exchanges, and removing their coins from the available sell-side pool. That shift has a name in market structure analysis. It is called an accumulation phase, and the scarcity index reaching a multi-year high is one of its clearest on-chain signatures. Short-term selling pressure is declining. Investor confidence, at least among those moving coins off exchanges, is increasing. The balance of the market is tilting toward buyers. The report is careful about what comes next. The accumulation thesis holds only if two conditions persist: overall market sentiment continues to improve, and exchange supply continues to contract. If both hold, the setup for a stronger price movement builds gradually but structurally. XRP at $1.35 is the price the market is offering. The scarcity data suggest fewer and fewer participants are willing to sell it there. Related Reading: Crypto Market Open Interest Hits $30 Billion, Highest Since January: Leverage Returns To The Market The XRP Chart Has Not Changed Its Mind. XRP is trading at $1.3510, up 1.75% on the day — a green candle that opened at $1.3279, reached $1.3669, and is holding modest gains into the afternoon session. On any other chart, a 1.75% daily gain would be unremarkable. On this one, it barely registers against the damage accumulated since July. The daily structure is unambiguous and has been for months. XRP peaked near $3.90 in late July 2025 and has traced a textbook descending staircase ever since — lower highs in August, October, January, and March, each rally sold into at a lower level than the one before. The February capitulation wick to $1.15, accompanied by the heaviest sell volume on the entire chart, established the floor the market is currently defending. That defense has held. It has not yet become a foundation. Related Reading: Unknown Wallet Buys $107 Million In Ethereum – Purchase Pattern Points To Bitmine All three moving averages confirm the structural damage. The 50-day MA has crossed below the 100-day MA — a death cross on the intermediate timeframe — and both are accelerating lower toward the $1.60–$1.80 region. The 200-day MA descends from approximately $2.10, so distant from the current price that reclaiming it is a medium-term ambition, not a near-term target. Today’s candle is constructive. The trend surrounding it is not. XRP needs a daily close above $1.45 to begin suggesting the post-capitulation range is building a base rather than forming a continuation pattern toward lower levels. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin (BTC) mining firm American Bitcoin now holds over 7,000 Bitcoin, worth over $467 million at press time (BTC price of $66,754). Following a prior accumulation of 416 BTC, the company is now the 16th-largest publicly traded Bitcoin Treasury in the world. The development also marks 186.53% growth in the company’s holdings, given that it …
A notable bid-ask imbalance for Bitcoin exists near $66,000, possibly raising the chance for a relief rally to $71,000.
Polymarket pundits are giving just a 15% chance that Bitcoin will reclaim $120,000 in 2026, while veteran trader Peter Brandt said he doesn't expect a new high until Q2 2027.
Ethereum is trading just above the important $2,000 psychological level, but the apparent stabilization may be deceptive. According to a technical analysis published on TradingView by crypto analyst RLinda, what looks like a recovery attempt is, in fact, a counter-trend correction, a bear market bounce that could be setting bulls up for a painful flush lower. Crypto Winter Tightens Its Grip RLinda’s analysis opens with a direct assessment of how the crypto winter is still in play and support might break down around $2,000. Technical analysis of the 2-hour timeframe chart shows that Ethereum has already printed a series of lower highs and lower lows following its rejection around $2,380 in mid-March. The most recent lower low saw the Ethereum price drop to the $1,960-$1,990 zone over the weekend, which confirms that sellers are still battling for control, forcing the market into what RLinda describes as a counter-trend correction. Related Reading: Ethereum Accumulation Map Reveals Price Roadmap To $20,000 This type of correction often creates the illusion of recovery. Price begins to grind upward or move sideways, but within the context of a broader bearish structure. The charts reflect this clearly, with Ethereum now attempting a modest rebound after establishing a local bottom just below $2,000 over the weekend. Making matters worse is the macro backdrop relating to Bitcoin. Bitcoin, which had been staging what appeared to be a recovery attempt to $72,000 last week, has failed to hold those gains and reversed to as low as $65,810 over the weekend. Bears have reasserted control and Bitcoin’s weakness is cascading directly into altcoins. This, in turn, might cause the Ethereum price to bear the brunt of that spillover pressure in the coming days. Price Battlegrounds To Watch Out For The immediate focus on the 2-hour chart is a tight resistance cluster formed between $2,024 and $2,062. This zone coincides with multiple technical factors visible on the chart, including prior support turned resistance, Fibonacci retracement levels around 0.5 and 0.618, and a descending trendline pressing down on lower highs in March. Related Reading: Here’s The Latest On The US-Iran War And How It Could Affect Bitcoin, Ethereum Prices According to RLinda, Ethereum may test the 2025 to 2038 liquidity zones. A short squeeze would provide a good signal for a potential decline. Price resistance levels to watch in this case are at $2,025, $2,037, and $2,062. The point of interest (POI) at $2,062.50, which is also shown on the chart above, is the most important one. A retest of this resistance zone, followed by a false breakout and consolidation in the short zone, will confirm bear dominance. Should that confirmation materialize, it could create a counter-trend correction that leads to a new round of selling pressure that pushes the Ethereum price to a support point of interest around $1,900. At the time of writing, Ethereum is trading at $2,050. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com
The Labor Department on Monday proposed a rule following an executive order from President Donald Trump that directed regulators to expand access to digital assets in retirement portfolios.
Bitcoin and altcoins sold off as the Monday US market open reflected traders’ fear over oil prices, US employment data and the future of the US and Israel-Iran war.
Members of the House and Senate asked the CFTC and federal ethics office to remind government employees it's illegal to make insider derivatives trades.
The XRP ecosystem has taken a major step forward in global adoption with its entry into the regulated United Arab Emirates market, following a landmark approval for Ripple in Dubai. This milestone marks the first time a blockchain-enabled payments provider has received such authorization in one of the world’s leading financial hubs, the Dubai International Financial Centre. This is a new level of regulatory recognition for crypto-based financial infrastructure. When Did Ripple Break New Ground In Middle East Financial Markets The builder of the XRP ecosystem, Ripple, has achieved a major regulatory milestone, becoming the first blockchain payment provider licensed in Dubai. An analyst known as XFinanceBull has revealed on X that Ripple established its Middle East headquarters in the Dubai International Financial Centre (DIFC) back in 2020. This is the region’s regulated financial hub connecting the Middle East, Africa, and South Asia. Related Reading: XRP Positioned At The Center Of Wall Street’s Tokenization Boom — Is A Rally Emerging? In March 2025, Ripple secured full approval from the Dubai Financial Services Authority (DFSA), representing a formal regulatory license rather than a simple partnership announcement. That groundwork has now translated into real adoption. Zand Bank and Mamo are already utilizing Ripple payments within the UAE. At the same time, Dubai launched its real estate tokenization, with title deeds expected to integrate with the XRP ledger. Further strengthening its position, Ripple’s stablecoin is now recognized within the DIFC framework, placing it inside a regulated financial ecosystem. With the Middle East investing trillions in next-generation financial infrastructure, Ripple’s early and active presence in the region underscores its strategic positioning. XFinanceBull concluded that this is why XRP remains on his radar, even during a broader market slowdown. The SBI Remit is ramping up its partnership with Ripple, betting big on digital technology to transform how money moves across borders worldwide. Crypto Trader Skipper stated that as global cross-border payment flows continue to expand, Ripple’s platform is opening new revenue streams. By leveraging Ripple’s infrastructure, transactions that were once slow and expensive are becoming faster and more seamless. Whether it’s individuals sending money to family abroad or businesses managing international payments, the technology is streamlining processes that have traditionally faced significant friction. This development has underscored a broader shift in the financial landscape, with real-world adoption of Ripple’s XRP blockchain-based payment solutions accelerating. An established player like SBI Remit is leading the charge to modernize remittances. Franklin Templeton Signals Strong Outlook For XRP Trader Skipper has also noted that the global investment giant Franklin Templeton sees a strong outlook for XRP, emphasizing that the asset is doing far more than simply surviving the industry challenges. Related Reading: Pundit Says Real XRP Adoption Is Here, What Investors Are Missing Furthermore, the firm’s digital assets leadership pointed out that XRP’s strength lies in years of investment capital to partner with real-world businesses, as countries build their digital economies. At the center of this progress is Ripple, which continues to build out infrastructure, and its ongoing work aligns with how nations are embracing digital finance. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com
Bitcoin (BTC) has been consolidating between $68,000 and $66,000 over the weekend after falling below $70K last Thursday. At press time, Bitcoin was trading at $66,386, up just 0.02% over the past 24 hours and down 6.27% over the past week. Several indicators signal the coin’s upcoming capitulation but also point to an eventual recovery …
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Rolling out over the coming month, a Block executive said Bitcoin payments at point-of-sale will be automatically enabled and settled in US dollars by default.
Midnight maintains its own ledger, consensus mechanism, smart contract environment, and dual-token system.
Analyst Willy Woo has highlighted how some old-school Bitcoin on-chain models could suggest a bottoming zone for the asset in the current cycle. Bitcoin Bottomed Between Realized Price & CVDD In Past Bear Markets In a new post on X, analyst Willy Woo has talked about where the Bitcoin bottom could lie according to two on-chain models. The models in question are the Realized Price and CVDD. Related Reading: KPMG, PwC Involved In Tether’s First-Ever Audit: Report First, the “Realized Price” keeps track of the cost basis or acquisition value of the average token part of the cryptocurrency’s circulating supply. Whenever the spot price is above this metric, the investors as a whole could be assumed to be in a state of net unrealized profit. Similarly, the asset being below the level can imply the dominance of loss on the blockchain. As shown in the chart shared by Woo, the Bitcoin Realized Price has been sliding down recently, meaning that average investor cost basis has been declining. In other words, the average capital invested per holder is down, so some net capital could be considered to have left the cryptocurrency. Following the drawdown in the Realized Price since November, its value has dropped to around $54,200. So far in the latest bearish market phase, Bitcoin has yet to retest this level. From the chart, it’s visible that past bear markets found their bottoms when BTC was below the indicator. Interestingly, the other model in the chart, the CVDD, served as a sort of lower bound across these cycles, with BTC never dipping below it. The CVDD, standing for Cumulative Value Days Destroyed, is an indicator created by Woo that derives from the popular Coin Days Destroyed (CDD) metric. A “coin day” is a quantity that 1 BTC accumulates after being dormant on the blockchain for 1 day. When a token dormant for some number of days is moved, its coin days reset back to zero and are said to be destroyed. The CDD measures the number of coin days being reset across the network in this manner. The CVDD goes a step further and attaches a USD value to each of these coin days, based on the BTC price at the time, and takes their cumulative sum. Additionally, it applies a normalization factor by taking the sum’s ratio with the total age of the market (in days). Related Reading: Bitcoin Unrealized Loss Hits 15% Of Market Cap—Still Below FTX Capitulation Levels Today, the Bitcoin CVDD is sitting at $45,500. If the pattern from the last few cycles is anything to go by, it’s possible that BTC could find a bottom somewhere between this level and the Realized Price at $54,200. That said, the analyst also added a caution, noting: Models use past behaviour… there’s only been 4 prior bear markets and they have been inside a secular bull market in risk equities. If that foundation collapses, we will be in uncharted territory (deeper bear). BTC Price Bitcoin has again failed to maintain its recovery as its price has slipped to the $67,200 mark. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView.com
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