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After months of silence, the altcoin market is finally showing signs of life. The Altcoin Season Index has climbed from 34 to 50 in just a few weeks, a clear hint that momentum is building. Popular crypto trader VirtualBacon believes we may already be in the early stages of an altcoin season, even if it …

#crypto news #short news

Acting CFTC Chair Caroline D. Pham has introduced a new initiative to enable spot crypto asset contracts to be listed on CFTC-registered designated contract markets (DCMs). This step is intended to clarify how retail crypto trading can take place using leverage, margin, or financing under current laws. The initiative aims to improve regulatory transparency and …

#federal reserve #policy #crypto #people #regulation #central banks #web3 #donald trump #fdic #the block #occ #companies #crypto ecosystems #u.s. policymaking

A draft of the order reportedly directs regulators to investigate if banks have violated any laws and threatens to fine firms involved.

#technology

A digitally generated avatar of Parkland victim Joaquin Oliver appeared on Jim Acosta’s show, prompting debate over the ethical use of AI.

#solana #technical analysis #sol #solusd #solusdt #solbtc

Solana started a fresh increase above the $162 zone. SOL price is now consolidating gains and might aim for more gains above the $172 zone. SOL price started a fresh upward move above the $160 and $162 levels against the US Dollar. The price is now trading above $162 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a key bullish trend line forming with support at $165 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could start a fresh increase if it clears the $172 resistance zone. Solana Price Eyes Fresh Move To $180 Solana price started a decent increase after it found support near the $155 zone, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. SOL climbed above the $160 level to enter a short-term positive zone. The price even smashed the $162 resistance. The bulls were able to push the price above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $182 swing high to the $155 low. There is also a key bullish trend line forming with support at $165 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair. Solana is now trading above $162 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. On the upside, the price is facing resistance near the $170 level. It is close to the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $182 swing high to the $155 low. The next major resistance is near the $172 level. The main resistance could be $180. A successful close above the $180 resistance zone could set the pace for another steady increase. The next key resistance is $182. Any more gains might send the price toward the $192 level. Are Downsides Supported In SOL? If SOL fails to rise above the $172 resistance, it could start another decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $165 zone and the trend line. The first major support is near the $162 level. A break below the $162 level might send the price toward the $155 support zone. If there is a close below the $150 support, the price could decline toward the $145 support in the near term. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for SOL/USD is gaining pace in the bullish zone. Hourly Hours RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for SOL/USD is above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $165 and $162. Major Resistance Levels – $172 and $182.

#price analysis #altcoins

Litecoin (LTC) price is at a pivotal point, trading just above the crucial $120 support zone after a strong breakout in recent sessions. The price action reflects mounting bullish pressure, but the real test lies in whether this level can hold amid increasing resistance. A successful defense of $120 could act as a launchpad for …

Strategy has amassed 60% of its total holdings since Trump’s election, with its third-largest dollar-value purchase last week.

#crypto regulations #cryptocurrency regulation

As of 2025, Ghana is actively developing its cryptocurrency landscape. It is drafting roadmaps for creating licenses for crypto exchanges and platforms. The Bank of Ghana is establishing a dedicated unit focused on digital assets to manage the regulatory process. Before 2025, cryptocurrency was effectively illegal or unregulated in Ghana. The Bank of Ghana issued …

#ripple #xrp #xrpusd #xrpusdt #xrpbtc

XRP price started a decent increase above $3.00 zone. The price is now facing resistance at $3.10 and might correct some gains in the near term. XRP price is attempting to start a fresh increase above the $3.00 zone. The price is now trading above $2.980 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There was a break below a bullish trend line with support at $3.065 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could start another increase if it stays above the $2.920 zone. XRP Price Faces Resistance XRP price started a fresh increase above the $2.820 zone, beating Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price was able to surpass the $2.920 and $2.950 resistance levels. The price even cleared the $3.00 resistance level. Finally, the bears appeared near the $3.10 zone. A high was formed at $3.106 and the price is now correcting gains. There was a break below a bullish trend line with support at $3.065 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair. The price is now trading above $3.00 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. It is also above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $2.730 swing low to the $3.106 high. On the upside, the price might face resistance near the $3.10 level. The first major resistance is near the $3.120 level. A clear move above the $3.120 resistance might send the price toward the $3.150 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $3.20 resistance or even $3.2120 in the near term. The next major hurdle for the bulls might be near the $3.250 zone. Another Drop? If XRP fails to clear the $3.10 resistance zone, it could start another decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $3.00 level. The next major support is near the $2.950 level. If there is a downside break and a close below the $2.950 level, the price might continue to decline toward the $2.920 support and the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $2.730 swing low to the $3.106 high. The next major support sits near the $2.880 zone where the bulls might take a stand. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for XRP/USD is now losing pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for XRP/USD is now above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $3.00 and $2.920. Major Resistance Levels – $3.10 and $3.120.

US Representative Dina Titus has asked the CFTC to investigate Brian Quintenz, Donald Trump’s pick to run the agency, over his ties to Kalshi.

#news #price analysis #altcoins #crypto news

Cardano’s native token ADA has been making headlines recently. From development updates to big announcements, the token seems to be gearing up for a big move. According to AltcoinBuzz, ADA could be eyeing a price rally, and here are three key reasons why. Cardano Connects with Bitcoin Cardano recently made a big move by connecting …

#markets #news #tron #justin sun #trx #tron foundation

After finally taking his $28 million Blue Origin ride, the Tron founder says the view from space changed his perspective and strengthened his commitment to innovation.

#base #base layer 2 #crypto ecosystems #layer 2s and scaling

While the network did not explain the issue that caused the outage, Base has been seeing a surge in activity after Base App launched.

#ethereum #eth #ethbtc #ethusd #ethusdt

Ethereum price found support near the $3,400 zone. ETH is now rising and might soon aim for a move toward the $3,800 zone. Ethereum started a fresh increase above the $3,440 and $3,550 levels. The price is trading above $3,550 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a key bullish trend line forming with support at $3,620 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could start a fresh increase if it remains supported above the $3,600 zone in the near term. Ethereum Price Eyes More Gains Ethereum price started a downside correction from the $3,880 level, like Bitcoin. ETH price declined below the $3,750 and $3,500 support levels. Finally, the price spiked below $3,400 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. It tested the $3,365 support zone. A low was formed at $3,369 and the price is now rising. There was a move above the $3,450 and $3,500 resistance levels. The price surpassed the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $3,877 swing high to the $3,369 low. Ethereum price is now trading above $3,550 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is also a key bullish trend line forming with support at $3,620 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD. On the upside, the price could face resistance near the $3,720 level. The next key resistance is near the $3,750 level. It is close to the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $3,877 swing high to the $3,369 low. The first major resistance is near the $3,800 level. A clear move above the $3,800 resistance might send the price toward the $3,880 resistance. An upside break above the $3,880 resistance might call for more gains in the coming sessions. In the stated case, Ether could rise toward the $4,000 resistance zone or even $4,120 in the near term. Another Drop In ETH? If Ethereum fails to clear the $3,750 resistance, it could start a downside correction. Initial support on the downside is near the $3,620 level. The first major support sits near the $3,600 zone. A clear move below the $3,600 support might push the price toward the $3,550 support. Any more losses might send the price toward the $3,500 support level in the near term. The next key support sits at $3,450. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for ETH/USD is gaining momentum in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI – The RSI for ETH/USD is now above the 50 zone. Major Support Level – $3,600 Major Resistance Level – $3,750

#bitcoin #btc #bitcoin analysis #crypto market #bitcoin market #cryptocurrency #bitcoin news #btcusdt

Bitcoin (BTC) has experienced a steady price decline over the past week, falling by approximately 3.7% as trading activity shows signs of a possible sell-off or profit-taking phase. After peaking above $123,000 earlier last month, the leading cryptocurrency has been trading within the $113,000 to $114,000 range in the past day. At the time of writing, BTC is valued at $114,420, reflecting uncertainty in market momentum. Market analysts point to weakening liquidity and inconsistent institutional demand as key factors contributing to the price drop. A recent analysis shared by Arab Chain, a contributor to CryptoQuant’s QuickTake platform, highlights several on-chain dynamics that have limited Bitcoin’s ability to maintain price stability despite reduced available supply. Related Reading: Top Analyst Says Bitcoin Is Trapped: ‘Nothing To Do Until October’ Liquidity Constraints and Market Fragility According to Arab Chain’s analysis, a sharp collapse in the liquidity inventory ratio began in mid-July, falling to levels representing just over three months of available supply on major trading platforms. This metric tracks how much Bitcoin is accessible for sale relative to the pace of market activity. Normally, reduced supply would lead to upward price pressure. However, Arab Chain notes that insufficient new demand left the market vulnerable, resulting in the opposite effect. “When liquidity is thin and there is no consistent buying activity from large investors or ETFs, even small sell orders can lead to significant price drops,” Arab Chain explained. This behavior mirrors “thin market” conditions, where limited order book depth magnifies volatility and makes prices more susceptible to sudden downward moves. The analysis suggests that market fragility could persist unless fresh demand enters the market. Historically, periods of constrained liquidity combined with a lack of large-scale buyers have led to prolonged corrections in Bitcoin’s price trajectory. ETF Demand Volatility and Weak Accumulation Another factor influencing the recent decline has been the erratic demand for Bitcoin-linked exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Arab Chain observed sharp fluctuations in ETF inflows, with rapid surges followed by strong outflows, leaving no consistent institutional support to stabilize prices. This inconsistent participation from ETFs, which have become a major driver of Bitcoin demand since their approval, contributed to weaker price resilience during sell-offs. Additionally, on-chain data showed that “smart portfolios,” or high-value addresses typically associated with strategic accumulation, exhibited only modest buying activity during the recent downturn. Related Reading: Bitcoin Investors Selling More Aggressively As Bull Cycle Matures: Risk Appetite Fades? Although accumulation signals long-term confidence, its slow and limited pace failed to counterbalance selling pressure in real time. This lack of immediate demand further weakened market support. Additionally, while investors closely monitor liquidity conditions, ETF flows, and long-term holder activity for signs of a potential rebound. Analysts suggest that sustained institutional buying or an uptick in accumulation from large addresses could help restore stability. Until then, Bitcoin may remain in a vulnerable position, with its price movement largely dependent on shifts in demand and available liquidity. Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

A key priority of the proposed PAC would be to send the Bitcoin price to $10 million, according to Bailey, and positioning “for the long term.”

#ethereum #defi #staking #crypto ecosystems #layer 1s #layer 2s and scaling

This feature is expected to solve the issue of fragmented incentives in the current DeFi model, Linea said.

#markets #bitcoin etf #funds #ethereum etf

Spot Ethereum ETFs in the U.S. saw $465.1 million in net outflows on Monday, marking the largest single-day outflows since their launch. 

#news #crypto news #ripple (xrp)

The Ripple vs SEC lawsuit is again at the center of attention as crypto experts and legal analysts express growing frustration about the delay in dismissing the SEC’s appeal. While the SEC has been quick to wrap up lawsuits against other crypto companies like Coinbase, many are questioning why the process is dragging on when …

#bitcoin #btc #bitcoin news #btcusdt #bitcoin fear & greed index #bitcoin sentiment

Data shows the Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index has rebounded from the neutral zone, a sign that market indecisiveness was short-lived. Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index Is Back In Greed Region The “Fear & Greed Index” refers to an indicator created by Alternative that keeps track of the net sentiment present among the traders in the Bitcoin and wider cryptocurrency markets. Related Reading: XRP MVRV Flashes Death Cross: More Decline Ahead? The metric uses data of these five factors to determine the investor mentality: trading volume, volatility, market cap dominance, social media sentiment, and Google Trends. To represent the sentiment, it uses a numerical scale running from zero to hundred. All values above 54 correspond to greed among the investors, while those under 46 to fear in the market. The region between the two cutoffs corresponds to a net neutral trader sentiment. Besides these three main zones, there are also two ‘extreme’ territories called the extreme greed and extreme fear. The former occurs above 75 and the latter below 25. Historically, Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies have tended to move in the direction that goes contrary to the expectations of the majority. The likelihood of such a contrary moving occurring has also only gone up the more sure the investors have become of the asset’s direction. As such, when the Fear & Greed Index is in the extreme zones, tops and bottoms can be probable to occur. Investors using a trading technique called contrarian investing exploit this fact. Warren Buffet’s famous quote encapsulates the idea: “be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful.” Now, here is how the current cryptocurrency market sentiment looks, according to the Fear & Greed Index: As is visible above, the Fear & Greed Index has a value of 64, which suggests that the investors as a whole share a sentiment of greed. The picture was different just yesterday, when the market held a neutral mentality. The weekend low of 53 in the metric was likely a result of the bearish action in Bitcoin that took its price to $112,000. Similarly, the return of greed may be caused by the slight recovery in the asset. The Fear & Greed Index spent July in and around the extreme greed zone, ending the month at a value of 72. Given this trend, the plunge this month may be an effect of the streak of optimism among the investors. Related Reading: Bitcoin Plunge Below $115,000 Wipes Out $700M In Crypto Longs With sentiment now observing a reset, it remains to be seen how Bitcoin will develop from here on out and whether market sentiment would get overheated once more. BTC Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin is floating around $114,900, down around 2.5% in the last seven days. Featured image from Dall-E, alternative.me, chart from TradingView.com

#bitcoin #bitcoin price #btc #btcusd #btcusdt #xbtusd

Bitcoin price is recovering from the $112,000 support zone. BTC is rising and might attempt to clear the $115,500 resistance zone to gain bullish momentum. Bitcoin started a decent upward move from the $112,000 zone. The price is trading above $114,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is a bullish trend line forming with support at $114,600 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might start another increase if it clears the $115,500 resistance zone. Bitcoin Price Eyes Upside Break Bitcoin price started a downward move from the $118,000 zone. BTC declined below the $115,000 and $113,500 support levels to enter a short-term bearish zone. The price tested the $112,000 zone. A base was formed and the price is now attempting to recover. There was a move above the $113,500 and $114,200 levels. The price surpassed the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $118,918 swing high to the $112,000 low. Bitcoin is now trading above $114,200 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is also a bullish trend line forming with support at $114,600 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. Immediate resistance on the upside is near the $115,500 level. It is close to the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $118,918 swing high to the $112,000 low. The first key resistance is near the $116,250 level. The next resistance could be $116,800. A close above the $116,800 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $118,500 resistance level. Any more gains might send the price toward the $120,500 level. The main target could be $121,200. Another Decline In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $115,500 resistance zone, it could start another decline. Immediate support is near the $114,600 level. The first major support is near the $113,500 level. The next support is now near the $112,000 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $110,500 support in the near term. The main support sits at $108,500, below which BTC might continue to move down. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now gaining pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $114,600, followed by $113,500. Major Resistance Levels – $115,500 and $116,800.

#news #crypto news #ripple (xrp)

XRP has shown some bullish action in the short term, climbing back above key support levels. However, a closer look at long-term technical indicators reveals that this rally may be temporary. According to recent analysis, XRP could be entering a period of correction that may last several weeks or even months. Bearish Divergence on the …

#bitcoin #crypto #btc #bitcoin analysis #crypto market #bitcoin market #bitcoin news #cryptoquant #btcusdt

Bitcoin experienced a pullback over the weekend, briefly dipping to $112,296 on Saturday before stabilizing around $114,420 at the time of writing. The asset has seen a nearly 4% decline in the past week, marking one of the more notable short-term corrections in recent weeks. Market analysts suggest that, while short-term volatility persists, Bitcoin’s broader outlook remains influenced by whale activity and long-term holder behavior. Recent on-chain data provided by CryptoQuant highlights significant movement among high-volume Bitcoin traders. Crazzyblockk, a contributor to CryptoQuant’s QuickTake platform, analyzed transactions of 1,000 BTC or more and identified a pattern in where large-scale investors, often referred to as whales, prefer to trade. The data shows Binance is the dominant exchange for these transactions, processing both the highest total volume and the largest number of individual whale-level trades across the market. Related Reading: Top Analyst Says Bitcoin Is Trapped: ‘Nothing To Do Until October’ Binance Emerges as Primary Venue for Whale Transactions According to Crazzyblockk’s analysis, Binance leads other exchanges by a substantial margin when it comes to whale activity. Over 30 million BTC have moved through Binance in both inflows and outflows, far exceeding figures recorded on competing platforms such as HTX Global and Kraken. While volume alone highlights the scale of transactions, Binance’s leadership becomes even clearer when measuring transaction count. Data indicates more than 56 million whale transactions have taken place on Binance, compared to roughly 16 million on HTX, making it the most active platform for high-frequency, large-scale trades. This dominance suggests Binance provides unmatched liquidity for big players in the market. As Crazzyblockk noted, “The concentration of whale activity on Binance provides it with unparalleled liquidity. For traders, this means tighter spreads and a greater ability to execute large orders with minimal price impact.” The findings indicate that monitoring Binance’s order book can offer valuable insights into institutional sentiment and potential market movements. Bitcoin Long-Term Holders Sustain Bullish Trend Despite Correction While whale activity dominates short-term price movements, broader market sentiment remains supported by long-term holders (LTH). Another CryptoQuant analyst, Abrahamchart, pointed out that long-term investors continue to hold significant unrealized profits, with the Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) ratio staying above 0.5. This indicates that long-term holders are not rushing to sell, helping sustain price support near the $104,000 range. Short-term holders (STH), on the other hand, appear to be taking profits during rallies, contributing to temporary selling pressure and minor corrections such as the latest dip below $113,000. Related Reading: Spot Bitcoin ETFs Bleed Over $800 Million: Second‑Largest Exit Ever – Details Abrahamchart noted that while the short-term market may experience fluctuations, the underlying trend remains intact due to the conviction of long-term participants. Featured iamegc created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView

#law and order

The CFTC is weighing a plan to let U.S. futures exchanges host spot crypto trading, but some warn it could trigger legal and regulatory risks.

The CFTC is seeking feedback on how to more effectively regulate spot crypto trading as it moves to implement recommendations from the Trump administration.

#regulation

The executive order could reshape banking practices, ensuring crypto firms receive equitable financial services and challenging political biases.
The post Trump could soon sign executive order to penalize banks for discriminating against crypto firms appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#markets #news #bitcoin #btc

BTC recovers from Friday’s macro-led rout as Bitwise reports net inflows. But Polymarket traders give even odds of a drop below $100K, underscoring lingering market fragility.

#policy #sec #regulation

The guidance suggests that USD stablecoins could be classified as cash equivalents contingent on having guaranteed redemption mechanisms.

#markets #exchanges #venture capital #asia #strategic investments #deals #companies #crypto ecosystems

The deal is part of MEXC’s broader push into Southeast Asia, a region the firm sees as a major growth market for digital assets.

#bitcoin #crypto #cryptocurrency #cryptocurrency news #crypto market news #crypto news #cryptocurrency market news #crypto prices

Macro analyst Alex Krüger says the weekend’s sell-off has likely marked a tradable low for the crypto market, arguing that the move closely mirrors the 2024 “August crash” that bottomed on a Monday. “I see the current move as a smaller scale replay of last year’s August crash (which bottomed on Monday),” Krüger wrote on late-Friday in a post on X, adding that he would “be looking to add to longs on Monday, ideally before the US cash open,” if the overnight session remained panicky. He framed the decline as a classic shakeout rather than the start of a new downtrend. Krüger’s read hinges on macro first, crypto second. He notes that 2024’s August break came in a sequence—BoJ tightening, a hawkish FOMC, then weak payrolls—and he sees the present sequence as “similar.” There was no carry-trade impulse this time, he said, but markets digested a modestly hawkish Fed, mixed Big Tech earnings, a hotter-than-expected PCE inflation print, and finally a “horrid” US payrolls report—after which risk assets slid in tandem and crypto tracked equities lower. The latest PCE data, released July 31, showed headline inflation accelerating to 2.6% year over year and core PCE at 2.8%, a notch above forecasts—what Krüger summarized as “slightly hot.” Related Reading: Crypto Hacks Surge 27% In July: $142M Stolen As 2025 Trend Continues Earnings tape-bombs reinforced the risk-off mood. Microsoft and Meta beat estimates and initially rallied, while Apple’s reception was cooler and Amazon’s results were “very poorly received,” with AMZN sliding about 7–8% as investors questioned AWS’s momentum. Coinbase’s report landed at the other extreme for crypto beta: revenue missed expectations and the stock fell, a backdrop Krüger called “dreadful” for sentiment. “Even though the aforementioned concerns emboldened bears, this week’s move has been mainly a macro story, given how crypto traded mostly in line with equity indices,” he wrote. He also flagged an unusual political and geopolitical coda to this weekend’s rout. After the weak jobs report—plus an unusually stark revision by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, May and June were revised down by a combined 258,000 jobs—markets lurched, and the White House’s subsequent decision to reposition two US nuclear submarines amid heated exchanges with Moscow added to stress, he said. Kremlin officials later tried to downplay escalation risk, calling the submarine moves “routine.” Krüger called the nuclear rhetoric and presidential barbs at the Fed “noise” for markets, but said the combination likely helped flush leveraged positions into the close. On crypto-specific drivers, Krüger listed a cluster of narratives that, in his view, amplified bearish conviction without changing the macro center of gravity: disappointing Coinbase results; debate around whether MicroStrategy could curtail its at-the-market equity issuance, limiting incremental BTC buys; questions about the sustainability of “DATs” (digital-asset treasury companies) tied to ETH; and, on the other side of the ledger, the SEC’s new “Project Crypto,” a policy push to modernize securities rules and move more market infrastructure on-chain—“an extremely bullish development that should drive inflows later in the year,” as he put it. The SEC’s chair outlined “American Leadership in the Digital Finance Revolution” last week, framing tokenization and on-chain market plumbing as a regulatory priority. Related Reading: Trump-Appointed Group Calls For Easier Crypto Regulations From Federal Authorities Krüger’s base case is timing-driven: either crypto “bottomed after today’s close, given the sheer violence of that final dump, or will be bottoming together with equities on Monday.” In his plan, the trigger to add risk was early Monday—assuming the overnight remained disorderly—on the view that the analog to August 2024 would rhyme at the turn of the week. “A violent shakeout,” he wrote, not a regime change. He remains constructive into the fourth quarter, citing three pillars: a still-solid US economy, the start of Fed rate cuts, and a steadily improving regulatory climate that should broaden institutional and retail participation. Policy churn could amplify that path. Krüger pointed to Fed Governor Adriana Kugler’s resignation—effective this month—as a potentially market-relevant shift because it hands the White House an earlier-than-expected Board vacancy, and to former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh’s call for a new “Treasury–Fed accord” as a signpost for constraints on central-bank independence. On Monday he added, “This will prove to be very important later on,” citing Warsh’s argument about “limits on the Fed’s independence to help the govt with its finances.” Whether those institutional dynamics translate into earlier or deeper rate cuts remains open, but markets have already moved to price odds to 85% for a September cut following the payrolls miss. Krüger’s longer arc is unabashedly bullish but explicitly conditional on the macro. “I remain bullish on crypto into Q4,” he wrote, while warning that ETH-linked treasury plays could “lose momentum dramatically” later in the year if goods inflation re-accelerates as corporates pass tariffs through. He set a one-year Bitcoin target for mid-2026 at $200,000–$250,000—“extreme, but possible”—on the premise that a more dovish Fed in 2026 would coincide with ongoing adoption. For now, he is treating last week’s cascade as an echo of 2024’s Monday bottom. As he put it: “Now let’s see how this ages.” At press time, BTC recovered to $ Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com