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The indictment's market impact highlights the influence of legal proceedings on financial speculation and procedural expectations.
The post James Comey indictment prompts arrest speculation amid market certainty appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#prediction markets

The closure heightens geopolitical tensions, potentially disrupting global oil markets and increasing the risk of military conflict.
The post Iran closes Strait of Hormuz, threatens action if provoked appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#prediction markets

Bennett's plan highlights potential political instability, with market skepticism indicating challenges in shifting leadership dynamics swiftly.
The post Bennett unveils plan to replace Netanyahu with new alliance by June 30 appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#prediction markets

Amazon's stock decline highlights investor concerns over its strategies, potentially easing NVIDIA's path to becoming the market cap leader.
The post Amazon stock drops 6% despite Q1 earnings beat; Nvidia eyes top market cap spot appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#prediction markets

Amazon's strong earnings could challenge NVIDIA's market cap dominance, influencing trader sentiment and future market dynamics.
The post Amazon Q1 EPS beats estimates, net sales reach $181.5B appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#prediction markets

Amazon's earnings beat could challenge Nvidia's market cap dominance, signaling potential shifts in tech sector leadership dynamics.
The post Amazon Q1 earnings beat raises questions on Nvidia’s market cap lead appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#podcast #podcast notes #this week in startups

Non-invasive brain-computer interfaces revolutionize thought-to-text translation, opening new frontiers in communication technology.
The post Rahul Chhabra: Ownership drives community success, activating the top 1% can transform startups, and non-invasive BCIs are revolutionizing brain imaging | TWIST appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#defi #security #exploits #exchanges #web3 #smart contracts #decentralized infrastructure #companies #crypto ecosystems

Blockaid estimates the attacker stole roughly 13.71 billion SWEAT, about 65% of the total supply, worth about $3.5 million at the time.

#artificial intelligence

The Labor Department unveils an online hub to help workers and employers build AI skills amid a quickly changing jobs market.

#bitcoin #btc price #crypto #bitcoin price #btc #crypto market #bitcoin news #bitcoin options #btcusdt #crypto news #btc news #breaking news ticker #bitcoin options market

Bitcoin (BTC) failed again to push back above the $80,000 level this week, a price point that has remained stubbornly resistant since early February. After struggling through the latest attempt to break higher, BTC retraced to around $75,400 on Wednesday. Bloomberg attributes part of this stagnation to a less visible but powerful force: positioning in the options market. According to the report, a concentrated set of call options has built up around the $80,000 strike on Deribit. Why Bitcoin Keeps Stalling Near $80,000 As Andy Baehr, managing director of asset management at GSR, explained in the report, many speculators are choosing to sell calls at $80,000 because it is viewed as a “safe” area to monetize premiums. The other side of those trades is where the pressure begins.  Dealers who buy the calls often hedge by selling Bitcoin, creating what Baehr described as an “electric fence” effect—an arrangement that makes it harder for BTC to surge through the strike level without an unusual catalyst. That helps explain why Bitcoin has still struggled to clear $80,000.  Related Reading: Galaxy Digital Posts $200M Quarterly Loss—Did Hyperliquid Help Avoid New Crisis? The options picture is reinforced by activity levels in broader markets. The report also points to on-chain data and platform metrics suggesting that the group (retail) that drove the earlier rally has largely stepped back. Instead, many are said to be nursing losses or waiting for clearer signals.  At the same time, a persistently bearish Bitcoin futures market and slowing spot demand have encouraged some traders to underwrite more call options, aiming to capture premium income on the expectation that Bitcoin will not meaningfully trade above the $80,000 strike over the coming months. May Expiries, Rolling Calls, And Stock-Driven Volatility Deribit’s $80,000 Bitcoin calls appear especially concentrated in the late May and June expiries. According to market data provider Kaiko, out of roughly $1.5 billion in notional call open interest, contracts totaling $160 million are set to expire on May 1, with an additional $566 million expiring on May 29.  Those clustering dates can matter because they concentrate both hedging activity and speculative behavior into specific time windows. Thomas Erdösi, head of product at CF Benchmarks, said the pattern suggests persistent call selling and evidence of “systematic rolling.” In other words, rather than allowing positions to roll off naturally, market participants may keep moving risk forward in a way that maintains pressure near the strike.  Erdösi also cautioned that options positioning alone does not tell the whole story, noting there are signs of profit-taking into the $80,000 area for Bitcoin as well. Related Reading: XRP Price Target At $18,000: Expert Says—Only One Condition Must Be Met Finally, the report flags that volatility outside crypto may spill into Bitcoin’s price action. With equities showing sharper movement in recent sessions, BTC has tended to follow along.  Bohan Jiang, senior derivatives trader at FalconX, suggested that this could contribute to a more stabilizing pattern around $80,000. In his view, with stocks “chopping around” recently, Bitcoin’s behavior has mirrored that uncertainty—helping explain why attempts to break through the level keep stalling. Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com 

#prediction markets

Powell's decision to remain could stabilize market expectations, but potential future events may still influence his tenure's trajectory.
The post Powell to remain Fed governor despite Trump’s ‘unprecedented’ criticism appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#artificial intelligence #markets #news

The four Mag 7 giants reported quarterly results on Wednesday, showing that they are still on track to spend multi-billion on AI. Here is what it means for crypto.

#prediction markets

Heightened tensions and threats from Iran could escalate military conflict, complicating diplomatic efforts and impacting global markets.
The post Iran threatens to capture US soldiers, sink ships amid deadlock appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#press releases

RealOpen, the leading platform for buying real estate with crypto, today announced the conclusion of its collaborative "Fast Moves, Fast Payments" Holiday Campaign with TRON

#ai #tech #exchanges #web3 #okx #internet #decentralized infrastructure #companies #crypto ecosystems

OKX's Agent Payments Protocol (APP) is designed to support entire bot business cycles, from making offers to disputing transactions.

#health

The AI model analyzes subtle tissue changes on routine CT scans invisible to human specialists, detecting pancreatic cancer up to three years earlier than doctors can.

#prediction markets

Eurozone's economic woes may heighten global recession risks, while Bitcoin's stability suggests a decoupling from traditional markets.
The post Eurozone confidence hits low as Bitcoin market remains steady above $68K appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

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The call highlights the complexities of diplomatic negotiations, with markets reflecting skepticism about immediate conflict resolution.
The post Trump discusses Ukraine ceasefire with Putin in phone call appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

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Rising rate hike odds reflect heightened economic uncertainty, potentially impacting investment strategies and consumer borrowing costs.
The post Fed rate hike odds rise amid memory shortage, energy disruptions appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

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Iran's military alignment with SCO allies diminishes prospects for US-Iran diplomacy, increasing skepticism about near-term ceasefire.
The post Iran offers combat insights to SCO allies, impacting US-Iran ceasefire outlook appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

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Iran's leadership instability and threats of retaliation could heighten regional tensions, impacting global markets and geopolitical dynamics.
The post Iran threatens retaliation for Khamenei’s killing amid leadership instability appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#bitcoin #btc price #bitcoin price #btc #bitcoin news #btcusd #btcusdt #btc news #higher-timeframe #htf

Bitcoin’s price structure is starting to look less like a clean recovery to $80,000 and more like a battleground between $76,000 and $78,000, where every rally is being tested, and every dip is being watched. A new technical outlook from a crypto analyst known as Guru is now adding an interesting angle to that uncertainty, outlining a path where Bitcoin could first lure in late buyers before unwinding into a 50% decline before the end of the year. Next Bitcoin Move Bitcoin’s recent price action in April has led to bullish momentum slowly creeping in, and many analysts are now looking at bullish price targets at the end of the year. However, in a post shared on the social media platform X, crypto analyst Guru laid out a revised multi-stage roadmap for Bitcoin that culminates in a crash to as low as $30,000 by year-end, a drawdown of as much as 61% from current levels.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Bulls Should Be Wary Of This Level Or Investors Risk Getting Trapped The chart accompanying the post is a weekly timeframe chart that projects the full arc of the move: a compression zone, a rally, and then a terminal decline that would take Bitcoin to price levels last seen in late 2023.  According to the weekly chart, Bitcoin is currently transitioning into a high-timeframe redistribution phase. Guru’s original prediction anticipated a simpler two-act sequence involving a flush to $55,000 followed by a direct rally to $80,000. That scenario has now been superseded, though the analyst is clear that the broader conclusion has not changed. The updated plan introduces a higher-timeframe (HTF) consolidation and redistribution phase first, which is likely to trap traders on both sides. The prediction based on this updated plan is that Bitcoin will reverse soon to find a local bottom in the $62,000-$65,000 zone before staging a rally to $85,000. It is that rally, Guru argues, that is the real danger. “The 85k pump will be the ultimate exit liquidity trap,” the analyst wrote. A Year-End Slide To $30,000 The most interesting part of the prediction is what is expected to happen once Bitcoin undergoes the projected rally to $85,000. Once the liquidity above is taken and the market exhausts buying pressure, the analyst anticipates a move lower, targeting a broad range between $50,000 on the higher end and $30,000 on the lower end before the end of the year. Related Reading: Bitcoin To $140,000 And XRP To $7? Here’s When It Will Happen Despite the severity of the forecast, Guru has been explicit about what would invalidate it. A weekly close above $98,000 would render the entire bearish scenario void.  At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $77,000, which means a drop to $50,000 would represent a decline of roughly 35%, while a deeper slide to $30,000 would translate to an approximate 61% loss from current levels. On the other hand, a move to the analyst’s invalidation level at $98,000 would require a rally of about 27%. Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com

#prediction markets

Powell's stance reinforces the Fed's commitment to data-driven decisions, potentially stabilizing markets amid political and geopolitical tensions.
The post Powell defends Fed autonomy amid political pressure for rate cuts appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#podcast #podcast notes #dwarkesh podcast

Efficient batching in AI models can slash costs and boost performance by up to a thousand times.
The post Reiner Pope: Batch size dramatically impacts AI latency and cost, kv cache is key for autoregressive models, and efficient inference can save resources | Dwarkesh appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

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Turkey's demining role could signal broader regional cooperation, potentially easing tensions and impacting future geopolitical dynamics.
The post Turkey eyes demining role in Strait of Hormuz amid Iran-US peace talks appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

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Institutional interest in Bitcoin ETFs suggests potential for market growth, but geopolitical tensions and low trading volumes may hinder price surges.
The post Bitcoin ETFs see $823M inflows led by BlackRock’s IBIT amid US-Iran tensions appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#markets #federal reserve #policy #central banks #the block #u.s. policymaking #market updates #bitcoin-price #interest-rates

A split 8-4 vote initially spooked markets, creating uncertainty around the Federal Reserve's future policy moves.

#podcast #podcast notes #forward guidance

AI's rapid adoption and utility could drive an investment cycle surpassing the crypto bubble's magnitude.
The post Steve Hou: The AI bubble is rapidly adopted and could eclipse the crypto bubble, traditional knowledge may lose market value, and AI is transforming investment cycles | Forward Guidance appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

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The destruction of military assets in civilian areas suggests escalating tensions, reducing the likelihood of a near-term ceasefire agreement.
The post IDF destroys Hezbollah rocket launcher in civilian building, escalating conflict appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

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Warsh's FOMC leadership may delay rate cuts, linking monetary policy more closely to geopolitical energy and tariff developments.
The post Kevin Warsh to become FOMC Chair as Powell stays on as Fed Governor appeared first on Crypto Briefing.