While altcoin interest on social media is at its lowest in 24 months, it could pick up again once Bitcoin’s rally starts to fade, according to crypto trader Michaël van de Poppe.
The strategy aims to build upside exposure in March and April while minimizing upfront cost.
A crypto trader known as Sillytuna was reportedly violently extorted, resulting in the theft of about $23.6 million in aEthUSDC from his wallet. Blockchain tracking shows the attacker quickly converted most of the stolen funds into around $20.34 million in DAI, while a smaller portion was bridged to Arbitrum and later moved to Hyperliquid. The …
U.S. spot bitcoin ETFs added another $155 Million on Wednesday, continuing a two week run of institutional inflows even as Glassnode warns underlying demand remains fragile.
The US government is sitting on roughly 378,372 Bitcoin worth more than $24 billion, according to data from Arkham Research. Yet more than a year after US President Donald Trump signed an executive order establishing a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, no new Bitcoin has been purchased. Related Reading: Iran’s Crypto Market Shaken As Outflows Skyrocket 700% The government has not gone beyond the digital assets it already held from criminal seizures. David Bailey, a former crypto advisor to the Trump administration, says that gap tells the whole story. Liking Is Not Enough: Bailey “Liking Bitcoin is not enough,” Bailey said last week at the Bitcoin Investor Week Conference in New York City. He was direct about what he sees as the difference between political goodwill and real action. His view: Trump’s support for Bitcoin has been real, but support alone does not move markets or policy. Spending Political Capital Is The Hard Part Bailey said the administration made an important first step. But first steps, he argued, do not automatically lead to second ones. Without a willingness to push through resistance — from budget hawks, from skeptical lawmakers, from a political system that does not easily bend to new financial ideas — the reserve order remains mostly symbolic. Reports say the White House’s own AI and crypto coordinator, David Sacks, acknowledged the challenge early. Just two months after the executive order was signed, Sacks said adding to the government’s Bitcoin holdings would require a “budget-neutral” approach — meaning no new taxes and no new debt. That constraint has proven difficult to work around. No framework for how to meet it has been made public. Bailey did not spare the hard language. “Unless you’re willing to bear the political capital necessary to mobilize the different gears necessary to move the ball forward,” he said, the outcome is the same whether a politician likes Bitcoin or not. He called out the difference between voicing an opinion and doing the work to back it up. Bailey Says Bitcoin Wins Either Way Despite the criticism, Bailey stopped well short of pessimism. He told the conference audience that Bitcoin does not need government action to survive or grow. The question, as he framed it, is only one of timing. Related Reading: Long-Term Bitcoin Holders Buy $14 Billion In BTC As Retail Headed For The Exit “Whether it’s four years from now, or 10 years from now, or 20 years from now,” he said, “we will get to the point where we actually have a government that is conducive to the rules we need for Bitcoin to be successful.” Bailey now runs KindlyMD, a Bitcoin treasury company, and he made clear his focus is on expanding ownership rather than waiting on Washington. More Bitcoin owners means more voters who have a personal stake in pro-Bitcoin policy — and that, he argued, is what makes adoption inevitable over time. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from TradingView
The senator has slammed predictions markets betting on war in the Middle East, accusing White House officials of corruption.
Selling pressure across the crypto market is easing as Bitcoin has surged past the $73,000 mark for the first time in several weeks. The move has improved overall market sentiment, with Ethereum and other major altcoins like XRP also showing renewed strength. As Bitcoin regains momentum, capital is gradually flowing back into the broader crypto …
Solana started a fresh increase above the $88 zone. SOL price is now consolidating above $90 and might aim for more gains above the $95 zone. SOL price started a fresh upward move above the $85 and $88 levels against the US Dollar. The price is now trading above $90 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is a bullish trend line forming with support at $89 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could extend gains if it clears the $95 resistance zone. Solana Price Regains Traction Solana price started a decent increase after it settled above the $85 zone, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. SOL climbed above the $88 level to enter a short-term positive zone. The price even smashed the $90 resistance. The bulls were able to push the price above $92. A high was formed at $94.10, and the price is now consolidating gains. There was a minor decline below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent upward move from the $82.50 swing low to the $94.10 high. Solana is now trading above $90 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There is also a bullish trend line forming with support at $89 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair. On the upside, the price is facing resistance near $92. The next major resistance is near the $95 level. The main resistance could be $100. A successful close above the $100 resistance zone could set the pace for another steady increase. The next key resistance is $108. Any more gains might send the price toward the $112 level. Downside Correction In SOL? If SOL fails to rise above the $92 resistance, it could start another decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $90 zone. The first major support is near the $88.50 level and the trend line or the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent upward move from the $82.50 swing low to the $94.10 high. A break below the $88.50 level might send the price toward the $84 support zone. If there is a close below the $84 support, the price could decline toward the $78 support in the near term. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for SOL/USD is losing pace in the bullish zone. Hourly Hours RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for SOL/USD is above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $90 and $88.50 Major Resistance Levels – $92 and $95.
The protocol has repurchased about 1.83 Billion SKY tokens with USDS while a March 2 governance proposal reduced staking emissions and expanded credit infrastructure around its USDS stablecoin.
The crypto venture giant has launched a fifth fund with plans to close by mid-2026, according to sources.
Bitcoin is regaining momentum after reclaiming the $70,000 level, signaling renewed strength following weeks of consolidation and volatile price action. The move above this key psychological threshold has helped stabilize sentiment across the market, as investors assess whether the recent correction has begun to transition into a new accumulation phase. Related Reading: The Quiet Accumulation: 13,500 Bitcoin Leaving Binance Signals A Strategic Whale Pivot at $66,000 At the same time, new on-chain data is providing insight into how certain entities are positioning within the network. According to blockchain analytics platform Arkham, American Bitcoin — the mining operation associated with the Trump family — is actively mining Bitcoin and retaining the newly generated coins in its on-chain wallets rather than distributing them immediately to the market. This behavior is noteworthy because miner activity plays an important role in Bitcoin’s supply dynamics. When miners choose to hold rather than sell their rewards, the immediate circulating supply available to exchanges decreases. Over time, this can influence market liquidity and contribute to tightening supply conditions, particularly if sustained across multiple participants in the mining sector. The development also intersects with the broader conversation around the concept of a strategic Bitcoin reserve. Mining operations that accumulate rather than liquidate their output effectively transform operational activity into long-term treasury positioning within the Bitcoin ecosystem. American Bitcoin Expands Mining Capacity While Building a Large BTC Treasury Arkham data further illustrates the scale of American Bitcoin’s current mining and accumulation strategy. According to the platform, the operation has mined approximately 766 BTC so far this year, representing roughly $54.39 million at current market prices. Rather than immediately distributing these rewards to cover operational costs, the mined coins appear to be held in on-chain wallets, reinforcing the company’s accumulation-oriented approach. In total, American Bitcoin’s holdings now stand at around 6,100 BTC, with a combined value exceeding $433.7 million. For a mining operation, maintaining reserves of this magnitude signals a strategic treasury position rather than a purely transactional mining model. Historically, miners often sell a portion of their rewards to finance infrastructure, electricity, and operational expenses. Holding a large share of mined Bitcoin instead reflects confidence in the asset’s long-term value proposition. The company is also expanding its operational capacity. Arkham reports that American Bitcoin recently acquired an additional 11,000 Bitcoin mining machines to scale its future hash power. Increasing hardware capacity allows the operation to compete more effectively for block rewards and transaction fees as the network’s mining difficulty continues to evolve. Combined, these developments highlight how some mining entities are increasingly integrating production with long-term Bitcoin accumulation strategies. Related Reading: Surpassing FTX-Era Lows: 38% Of Altcoins Hit Record Lows As Liquidity Abandons The Crypto Fringe Bitcoin Tests Key Long-Term Support After Sharp Pullback Bitcoin’s weekly chart shows the market attempting to stabilize after a significant correction from the cycle highs set earlier in the year. Price is currently trading around $70,000, following a sharp rejection from the $110,000–$115,000 region, which marked the local top of the recent bullish expansion phase. From a structural perspective, the correction has pushed Bitcoin back toward the confluence of major moving averages that historically act as dynamic support during bull markets. The price is now hovering near the 50-week moving average, while the 100-week moving average sits slightly below current levels. These zones often function as equilibrium areas where long-term participants reassess positioning. Related Reading: The $650M Wave: Why XRP’s Record Inflow To Binance Signals A Massive Institutional Retreat Importantly, the 200-week moving average remains far below the current market price, continuing to slope upward. This suggests that, despite the recent drawdown, the broader macro trend still maintains a constructive long-term structure. Volume patterns on the chart indicate that selling pressure intensified during the initial breakdown from the highs but has gradually decreased as price approached the $65,000–$70,000 region. This decline in aggressive selling activity may indicate that the bulk of forced liquidations has already occurred. If Bitcoin can consolidate above this zone, it could establish a base for renewed accumulation. However, a sustained breakdown below the $65,000 area would expose the market to deeper retracement toward the $60,000 region. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com
The company said its validator network grew to 33,568 unique wallets in February, up from about 31,000 announced earlier in the month.
Bitwise has tasked Bitcoin Brink, OpenSats and the Human Rights Foundation with deciding where to allocate its second annual donation to support Bitcoin.
The stablecoin issuer led a $50 million funding round for Eight Sleep as the companies explore AI-driven health monitoring and sleep optimization.
In the recent downtrend, as crypto assets struggle amid war tensions, Vitalik Buterin, Ethereum Co-Founder, has sparked a fresh debate about the future direction of Ethereum after sharing two major concerns that have dominated discussions within the crypto community over the past year. In a detailed social media post, Buterin explained that many developers, researchers, …
XRP price started a decent increase above $1.420. The price is now consolidating gains and might aim for more gains above the $1.450 zone. XRP price started a decent upward move above the $1.4320 zone. The price is now trading above $1.420 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at $1.3880 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could continue to move up if it settles above $1.450. XRP Price Extends Gains XRP price started a decent upward move above $1.40 and $1.420, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price gained pace for a clear move above the $1.450 resistance. There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at $1.3880 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair. The bulls even pumped the price toward the $1.4650 zone. A high was formed at $1.4739 and the price started a consolidation phase. There was a drop below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $1.3362 swing low to the $1.4739 high. The price is now trading above $1.40 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. If there is a fresh upward move, the price might face resistance near the $1.4420 level. The first major resistance is near the $1.450 level, above which the price could rise and test $1.4750. A clear move above the $1.4750 resistance might send the price toward the $1.50 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $1.520 resistance. The next major hurdle for the bulls might be near $1.550. Downside Correction? If XRP fails to clear the $1.4420 resistance zone, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $1.420 level. The next major support is near the $1.4050 level or the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $1.3362 swing low to the $1.4739 high. If there is a downside break and a close below the $1.4050 level, the price might continue to decline toward $1.3880. The next major support sits near the $1.3680 zone, below which the price could continue lower toward $1.350. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for XRP/USD is now losing pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for XRP/USD is now above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $1.420 and $1.4050. Major Resistance Levels – $1.4420 and $1.4750.
Police say scammers used RCMP branding to target a Nanaimo victim in a crypto recovery scheme after an earlier fraud.
LeakBase followed RaidForums, a cybercrime marketplace seized by authorities in 2022 that once hosted leaked data from Ledger users.
Anthropic's potential exclusion from defense contracts could hinder AI innovation and raise ethical concerns about military AI use.
The post Anthropic chief seeks last-minute Pentagon deal to keep AI in military supply chain appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
Paraguay’s state‑owned electricity monopoly, Administración Nacional de Electricidad (ANDE), has signed a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) with infrastructure firm Morphware to launch a government‑run Bitcoin mining program powered by thousands of confiscated mining machines and surplus hydroelectric power. Related Reading: Bitcoin Slides Again as Iran War Jitters Hit BTC, Risk Assets What Does This Entail? In a first‑of‑its‑kind move, Paraguay state power company is about to become a Bitcoin miner. ANDE has signed a formal agreement with Morphware to to build a state‑run mining program that uses two things the country already has in abundance: seized mining rigs and cheap hydroelectric power from the Itaipú dam. In practice, ANDE will host and own the mining operations. Instead of exporting that energy at low, treaty‑defined prices, the utility will route part of it into Bitcoin mining facilities it controls. Morphware will act as a technical advisor rather than a speculative partner: according to Morphware founder and CEO Kenso Trabing, because ANDE has no experience mining Bitcoin, the company’s role will be “an advisory one. The pilot phase will plug in about 1,500 seized miners at existing utility buildings located next to substations, which can be converted into basic mining facilities with ventilation, transformers, distribution units, and proper metering. Related Reading: Next “Binance Killer”? Hyperliquid Now Dominates DeFi Derivatives, New Report Shows Seizing Background This decision follows a series of nationwide raids since early 2024, as ANDE moved against unmetered and fraudulent high‑voltage connections used by illegal miners. Most of the machines going into this program were seized between May and June 2024, when authorities intensified inspections in mining hotspots. In Salto del Guairá alone, ANDE confiscated 2,738 mining rigs after detecting an unmetered high‑load connection worth roughly 1.1 billion guaraníes (around 146,000 dollars) in stolen power every month, alongside dozens of similar operations that pushed the total stockpile of seized ASICs close to 30,000 units. Another State Turning To Bitcoin Paraguay’s move slots into a small but growing group of states that appear to be trying to turn energy policy into hash rate. El Salvador has already folded Bitcoin into its official toolkit, pointing geothermal power from state‑run plants into mining facilities and adding those coins to a government‑controlled BTC stockpile alongside its “volcano bond” ambitions, as reported by our sister website Bitcoinist. Further east, Bhutan’s sovereign wealth fund has quietly operated hydro‑powered mining since at least 2019, using surplus electricity from its dams to accumulate Bitcoin on the kingdom’s balance sheet and, more recently, to back new digital‑asset and “mindfulness city” projects. Paraguay’s ANDE–Morphware experiment is the hydro‑rich, Latin American version of that same playbook: keep the energy domestic, own the infrastructure, and let the state, not just private miners, capture the upside. BTC's price trends to the upside on the daily chart. Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview Cover image from ChatGPT, BTCUSD chart from Tradingview
The SEC has submitted commission-level interpretive guidance, which is currently at the prerule stage undergoing interagency review.
Tycoon 2FA accounted for 62% of phishing attempts Microsoft blocked by mid last year, including over 30 million emails in a single month.
Amazon, Google, Meta, Microsoft, OpenAI, Oracle, and xAI agreed to fund electricity supply and grid upgrades as AI energy demands spike.
US President Donald Trump says AI data centers “need some PR help,” promising that tech giants will pay for their own power to run the energy-intensive projects.
Ethereum price started a fresh increase above $2,120. ETH is now correcting gains from $2,200 and might decline further below $2,100. Ethereum started a downside correction from the $2,200 zone. The price is trading above $2,080 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a key bullish trend line forming with support at $2,020 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could start a fresh decline if it stays below the $2,180 zone. Ethereum Price Rallies Over 8% Ethereum price started a fresh increase above the $2,050 resistance, like Bitcoin. ETH price rallied above the $2,080 and $2,120 resistance levels. The bulls even pumped the price above $2,150. A high was formed at $2,200 before there was a downside correction. The price dipped below $2,150 and the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $1,929 swing low to the $2,200 high. Ethereum price is now trading above $2,080 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is also a key bullish trend line forming with support at $2,020 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD. If the bulls remain in action above $2,020, the price could attempt another increase. Immediate resistance is seen near the $2,150 level. The first key resistance is near the $2,180 level. The next major resistance is near the $2,200 level. A clear move above the $2,200 resistance might send the price toward the $2,250 resistance. An upside break above the $2,250 region might call for more gains in the coming days. In the stated case, Ether could rise toward the $2,320 resistance zone or even $2,350 in the near term. Downside Correction In ETH? If Ethereum fails to clear the $2,150 resistance, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $2,080 level. The first major support sits near the $2,065 zone or the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $1,929 swing low to the $2,200 high. A clear move below the $2,065 support might push the price toward the $2,020 support. Any more losses might send the price toward the $1,980 region. The main support could be $1,920. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for ETH/USD is losing momentum in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI – The RSI for ETH/USD is now above the 50 zone. Major Support Level – $2,065 Major Resistance Level – $2,180
Several crypto companies have secured OCC conditional approval for a banking charter since the GENIUS Act was passed in July, including Circle, Ripple, Bridge and Stripe.
Bitcoin is showing tentative signs of relief after reclaiming the $70,000 level. A move that haskeepingsed selling pressure following weeks of volatile trading. The recovery comes as markets continue to react to macro uncertainty and geopolitical tensions. Which have kept liquidity fragile and investor sentiment cautious. While the push above $70K offers a short-term improvement in momentum, the underlying data suggests that a significant portion of market participants remain under pressure. Related Reading: The Quiet Accumulation: 13,500 Bitcoin Leaving Binance Signals A Strategic Whale Pivot at $66,000 According to a recent CryptoQuant report, holders of spot Bitcoin ETFs — which broadly reflect institutional and retail demand through regulated investment vehicles — are currently positioned below their estimated average realized price. Calculated at roughly $79,000, this cost basis leaves the average ETF investor holding a loss despite the recent rebound. Treat this metric as a reference point, not as a precise measurement of individual investor behavior. ETF flows can obscure internal reallocations between participants, and the estimate cannot perfectly capture every underlying transaction within the funds. Nevertheless, it provides a useful approximation of the aggregate entry level for ETF capital. ETF Outflows Ease After Record $8.9B Drawdown as Bitcoin Attempts Stabilization Darkfost’s analysis highlights the scale of the recent pressure across spot Bitcoin ETFs. With Bitcoin trading below the $70,000 threshold during much of the correction, these funds recorded the largest drawdown since their all-time high in terms of invested value. In dollar terms, more than $8.9 billion flowed out of the ETF ecosystem as investors reduced exposure during the downturn. The pressure was particularly visible in the largest product in the market. BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT), which once held more than 806,000 BTC at its peak, saw substantial withdrawals throughout the correction. According to the data, over 42,000 BTC exited the fund, reflecting a clear wave of distribution as market sentiment deteriorated and price momentum weakened. These outflows represented a significant source of selling pressure during the decline, reinforcing the broader weakness across spot markets. When large ETFs experience withdrawals, they often need to redeem Bitcoin to meet redemptions, increasing supply on the market. However, recent data suggests the situation may be stabilizing. The cumulative drawdown from ETF holdings has improved from roughly −$8.9 billion to around −$7.8 billion from the peak. While still negative, this shift indicates that the pace of outflows is slowing. A renewed wave of demand from ETF investors would likely help Bitcoin establish a stronger structural base moving forward. Related Reading: Surpassing FTX-Era Lows: 38% Of Altcoins Hit Record Lows As Liquidity Abandons The Crypto Fringe Bitcoin Reclaims $70K as Short-Term Momentum Improves On the 4-hour chart, Bitcoin is showing short-term recovery momentum after pushing above the $70,000 level. Price has managed to reclaim the 50-period moving average (blue) and is now testing the 100-period moving average (green), signaling improving short-term strength after weeks of consolidation and lower highs. The recent move above $70K represents an important psychological shift. Throughout late February, the $69,000–$70,000 region acted as a consistent rejection zone where sellers repeatedly capped upside attempts. The latest breakout suggests that buyers are beginning to absorb that supply, at least in the short term. Related Reading: Bloodbath Or Buy-Zone? Bitcoin’s $66K Stagnation Hits The 25% Loss Threshold Historically Tied To Market Bottoms However, the broader structure remains cautious. Bitcoin is still trading below the 200-period moving average (red), currently positioned near the mid-$70K range. This level continues to represent the key resistance that would need to be reclaimed to confirm a stronger trend reversal. Volume has modestly increased during the breakout attempt, indicating renewed participation, though not yet at levels typically associated with sustained bullish expansions. From a technical perspective, holding above $69,000 will be critical for maintaining momentum. If this level flips into support, BTC could attempt a move toward the $73,000–$75,000 region. Conversely, a failure to hold above $69K could return the price to the broader consolidation range around $66,000–$67,000. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com
Bitcoin price started a steady increase above $70,000 and $72,000. BTC is now consolidating and might aim for more gains above $72,800. Bitcoin started a fresh increase after it settled above the $68,800 support. The price is trading above $70,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. There is a bullish trend line forming with support at $68,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might dip again if it trades below the $72,000 and $70,800 levels. Bitcoin Price Rallies Above $70,000 Bitcoin price managed to form a base above the $67,500 zone. BTC started a fresh increase and was able to surpass the $68,800 resistance zone. The price even rallied above the $70,000 resistance. Finally, the bears appeared near $74,000. A high was formed at $74,062, and the price recently corrected some gains. There was a move below $73,000, and the price declined toward the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $66,164 swing low to the $74,062 high. Bitcoin is now trading above $70,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. There is also a bullish trend line forming with support at $68,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. If the price remains stable above $70,000, it could attempt a fresh increase. Immediate resistance is near the $72,800 level. The first key resistance is near the $73,500 level. A close above the $73,500 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $74,000 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $75,000 level. The next barrier for the bulls could be $76,800 and $77,200. Downside Correction In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $72,800 resistance zone, it could start another decline. Immediate support is near the $72,200 level. The first major support is near the $72,000 level. The next support is now near the $70,000 zone or the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $66,164 swing low to the $74,062 high. Any more losses might send the price toward the $68,800 support in the near term. The main support now sits at $68,000, below which BTC might struggle to recover in the near term. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now losing pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $72,000, followed by $70,000. Major Resistance Levels – $72,800 and $73,500.
Screenshots posted by William Shatner reveal cashback rewards, yield on deposits and FDIC-insured accounts for Musk’s new payment platform.
Arthur Hayes was wrong before. In December, the BitMEX co-founder predicted Bitcoin would hit $200,000 by March 2026. It didn’t. Bitcoin is trading near $71,000. Hayes is now calling for $500,000 to $750,000 by the end of the year, and his reasoning runs straight through the Middle East. Related Reading: Iran’s Crypto Market Shaken As Outflows Skyrocket 700% War, Spending, And The Fed Hayes argues that a prolonged US military conflict involving Iran would put severe pressure on federal finances. As government spending climbs, he believes policymakers would face little choice but to cut interest rates and pump more money into the financial system. That combination — loose monetary policy and expanding liquidity — is what he thinks sends Bitcoin sharply higher. The argument is grounded in history, at least partially. During the 1990 Gulf War, Federal Open Market Committee members openly cited Middle East instability as a factor in their deliberations. Crypto billionaire Arthur Hayes is predicting a $500k – $750k Bitcoin by end of 2026??? Trump admin + Iran conflict + Fed easing = ???????? He explains: pic.twitter.com/AU23sd216a — Altcoin Daily (@AltcoinDaily) March 2, 2026 By late 1990, the Fed had cut rates as economic confidence dropped. After the September 11 attacks in 2001, then-Fed Chair Alan Greenspan pushed for an emergency 50-basis-point cut, which was implemented almost immediately. Markets steadied shortly after. Hayes draws a direct line from those episodes to what he sees unfolding now. Large military operations cost hundreds of billions. Fiscal pressure builds. The Fed eventually eases. Risk assets, including Bitcoin, rise. A Pattern Hayes Has Bet On Before He made this case publicly in a Substack post, where he wrote that investors could find a meaningful entry point once the Fed begins cutting rates or expanding the money supply. He named Bitcoin and a handful of what he called high-quality altcoins as the assets best positioned to benefit once that shift begins. The key moment, in his view, is not the conflict itself but what comes after. Rate cuts and fresh liquidity, he argues, are what actually move prices. Related Reading: Long-Term Bitcoin Holders Buy $14 Billion In BTC As Retail Headed For The Exit The Gap Between The Forecast And The Chart Bitcoin’s current price tells a different story from Hayes’ projections. The coin sits roughly half its October peak of $126,000. While gold and oil climbed after US and Israeli strikes killed Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, Bitcoin did not follow. It sold off initially before recovering to current levels. That disconnect — commodities rallying while Bitcoin lags — has not shaken Hayes’ outlook. His $500,000 to $750,000 call remains intact, pinned to the belief that monetary policy, not headlines, is what ultimately drives the price. Whether the Fed moves in that direction depends on how long and how costly the conflict becomes. Featured image from US Air Force, chart from TradingView