Dogecoin started a fresh decline below the $0.0950 zone against the US Dollar. DOGE is now consolidating losses and might face hurdles near $0.0920 and $0.0932. DOGE price started a fresh decline below the $0.0950 level. The price is trading below the $0.0935 level and the 100-hourly simple moving average. There was a break below a bullish trend line with support at $0.0920 on the hourly chart of the DOGE/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The price could extend losses if it stays below $0.0920 and $0.0932. Dogecoin Price At Risk of More Downside Dogecoin price started a fresh decline after it closed below $0.10, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. DOGE declined below the $0.0950 and $0.0932 support levels. The price even traded below $0.0920. Besides, there was a break below a bullish trend line with support at $0.0920 on the hourly chart of the DOGE/USD pair. A low was formed near $0.0885, and the price is now showing bearish signs. There was a recovery wave above $0.0900, but the price stayed below the 38.2% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $0.0977 swing high to the $0.0885 low. Dogecoin price is now trading below the $0.0932 level and the 100-hourly simple moving average. If there is a recovery wave, immediate resistance on the upside is near the $0.0920 level. The first major resistance for the bulls could be near the $0.0932 level and the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $0.0977 swing high to the $0.0885 low. The next major resistance is near the $0.0950 level. A close above the $0.0950 resistance might send the price toward the $0.0975 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $0.10 level. The next major stop for the bulls might be $0.1020. Downside Break In DOGE? If DOGE’s price fails to climb above the $0.0932 level, it could continue to move down. Initial support on the downside is near the $0.0885 level. The next major support is near the $0.0850 level. The main support sits at $0.0820. If there is a downside break below the $0.0820 support, the price could decline further. In the stated case, the price might slide toward the $0.0800 level or even $0.0750 in the near term. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for DOGE/USD is now gaining momentum in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for DOGE/USD is now below the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $0.0885 and $0.0850. Major Resistance Levels – $0.0920 and $0.0932.
The largest cryptocurrency briefly reclaimed the top of its range on Tuesday before sellers pushed it back to $67,000, while South Korean stocks posted their worst two-day drop since 2008.
Trump's advocacy for crypto legislation could accelerate regulatory clarity, potentially boosting U.S. competitiveness in digital finance.
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MARA Holdings, one of the largest Bitcoin (BTC) mining companies in the world, has signaled a major shift in strategy that could have significant implications for the broader BTC market. In a recent filing with the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), the company disclosed an update to its treasury policy that would allow it to sell Bitcoin from its balance sheet — a notable departure from its long-standing commitment to holding the asset as a long-term investment. Bitcoin Miner MARA May Sell Reserves Under the new policy, MARA is no longer strictly committed to retaining all of the Bitcoin it mines. Instead, it has opened the door to potentially liquidating part or even all of its holdings if circumstances require it. MARA currently holds 53,822 BTC, making it the second-largest publicly traded corporate holder of Bitcoin, according to data from BitcoinTreasuries.net. At current market prices, the company’s reserves are valued at approximately $3.59 billion. Only Michael Saylor’s Strategy — formerly known as MicroStrategy — holds more, with over 720,000 BTC. Related Reading: Bitcoin Prints Fifth Straight Red Month; Previous Streak Was Followed By 300% Surge In its filing, MARA acknowledged that prolonged weakness in Bitcoin’s price could materially affect its financial position. If the price remains depressed or declines further, the value of its holdings could fall significantly, weighing on its balance sheet and liquidity. Because Bitcoin mining represents the company’s primary source of revenue, extended price declines could make it increasingly difficult to cover operational costs, meet debt obligations, or fund strategic initiatives. The company also pointed to upcoming financial obligations, including the potential need to repurchase outstanding convertible senior notes in 2027. Meeting such obligations would require substantial cash resources. Under those circumstances — including liquidity pressures or adverse market conditions — MARA said it may decide to sell a portion or the entirety of its Bitcoin reserves. Potential ‘Supply Bomb’ Looms Market analyst Shanaka Anslem offered a detailed breakdown of the company’s current challenges. According to Anslem, MARA’s production cost now stands at approximately $87,000 per Bitcoin, while the asset is trading around $66,690. That gap means the company is effectively losing money on each block it mines. At the same time, hashprice — a key measure of mining profitability — has dropped to a record low of $35 per petahash. Anslem also highlighted MARA’s 2025 open-market purchases. During that year, the company acquired 4,267 BTC at an average price of $111,034 per coin. With current prices significantly lower, those purchases are now roughly 38% underwater. Related Reading: CME Capitalizes On ADA, XLM, LINK In Crypto Strategy: Key Figures Exposed Looking ahead, Anslem suggested that blockchain data will provide critical clues about whether MARA’s policy shift translates into actual selling. If the company’s wallets show no meaningful outflows over the next 90 days, he argued, the announcement may amount to little more than optional flexibility, and the perceived supply overhang could prove illusory. However, if substantial transfers begin — particularly in a market environment characterized by a Fear and Greed Index reading of 15 and Bitcoin already down 22% year-to-date — the psychological and price impact could be significant. In that scenario, other miners with large treasuries might also come under scrutiny, creating what he described as a potential “supply bomb” effect. Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com
The company added managed custody, virtual account collections, and fiat-to-stablecoin settlement capabilities, positioning itself as a single provider for enterprise digital asset payments across 60 markets.
Bitwise’s Matt Hougan called it the “weekend that changed finance” as investors clambered onto Hyperliquid to trade the Israel-Iran conflict.
XRP price failed to stay above $1.420 and started a downside correction. The price is now holding the $1.3320 support and might aim for another increase. XRP price started a downside correction and declined below $1.380. The price is now trading below $1.3740 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a new bearish trend line forming with resistance at $1.3880 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could start another increase if it stays above $1.3320. XRP Price Dips To Support XRP price failed to stay above $1.40 and started a downside correction, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price dipped below the $1.3920 and $1.3880 levels to enter a negative zone. The price even dipped below the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $1.2702 swing low to the $1.4330 high. Besides, there is a new bearish trend line forming with resistance at $1.3880 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair. The bulls are now active above the $1.3320 zone. The price is now trading below $1.3750 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. If there is a fresh upward move, the price might face resistance near the $1.370 level. The first major resistance is near the $1.3880 level, above which the price could rise and test $1.40. A clear move above the $1.40 resistance might send the price toward the $1.4320 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $1.450 resistance. The next major hurdle for the bulls might be near $1.50. Downside Break? If XRP fails to clear the $1.3880 resistance zone, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $1.3320 level or the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $1.2702 swing low to the $1.4330 high. The next major support is near the $1.3085 level. If there is a downside break and a close below the $1.3085 level, the price might continue to decline toward $1.2880. The next major support sits near the $1.2650 zone, below which the price could continue lower toward $1.250. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for XRP/USD is now losing pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for XRP/USD is now below the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $1.3320 and $1.3085. Major Resistance Levels – $1.3880 and $1.4000.
Nuclear weapon-themed markets aren’t new on the prediction market platform, but public outcry about the contracts has apparently forced the platform to delete them.
Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan says the recent Bitcoin dip is being read very differently inside institutional circles than it is on crypto social media. In a March 2 interview with Scott Melker, Hougan said many professional allocators that missed the first leg of ETF-driven adoption are now treating lower prices as an opening, not a warning sign. Bitcoin Dip Draws Rush From Institutional Buyers The clearest example was a prospective client Hougan said had been in discussions with Bitwise for roughly two years before finally committing $11 million. For Hougan, that was less a story about sudden conviction than about how institutions actually move. “The average Bitwise client takes eight meetings before they allocate, which is brutal. But they meet quarterly. We’re about two years into the ETF boom. So they’re just now getting ready to allocate.” Bitcoin Insider Reveals Why Institutions Are Scrambling To Buy The Dip! | @Matt_Hougan pic.twitter.com/KUKndfw0mP — The Wolf Of All Streets (@scottmelker) March 2, 2026 That lag, he argued, is being mistaken for hesitation when it is often just an institutional process. “They’re not surprised that crypto is volatile,” Hougan said. “Like, wow, crypto is volatile, right? They’ve been waiting for an entry point.” He highlighted that spot ETFs saw net inflows during sharp down weeks, which he took as evidence that institutions remain “the marginal buyer” and are likely to keep entering the market. Related Reading: Bitcoin Prints Fifth Straight Red Month; Previous Streak Was Followed By 300% Surge Hougan drew a distinction between crypto-native sentiment and the way wealth managers, RIAs and larger institutions frame the asset. Retail, he said, has slipped into a full bear-market mindset, pointing to the crypto Fear & Greed Index falling to 5. But institutions are operating on a different clock. “These people are making allocations for the next five or 10 years,” he said. “Even if you talk to the most bearish, despairing person on crypto Twitter and you ask them where Bitcoin will be in 10 years, they’re going to be pretty bullish.” That helps explain why falling prices are not necessarily slowing adoption. In many cases, Hougan said, advisors first buy Bitcoin personally, hold it for about a year, then begin allocating to a small group of clients before scaling up. “Typically what they do is they take their first 10 clients who have been asking them relentlessly about crypto for the last 10 years and they allocate on their behalf,” he said. “The big game comes when they go from 10 to 100.” Related Reading: Bitcoin Sentiment On Wall Street Has Turned Negative, Galaxy’s Thorn Says The distribution channels are also opening wider. Hougan said that, as of Q4, three of the four major wire houses can now proactively discuss Bitcoin with clients, while the fourth is expected to follow. Still, he estimated that roughly 20% to 25% of wealth managers remain closed to crypto exposure, underscoring that institutional access is still being rolled out rather than fully saturated. For Hougan, that is why the market may be underestimating what comes next. “Eventually Bitcoin ETFs, I think, will at some point have a trillion dollars of assets in them,” he said. “They’re not going to go down from here. It just takes time.” He was equally emphatic that this cycle feels different from prior drawdowns. “In previous bear markets, in FTX, the bear market felt existential,” Hougan said. “This winter doesn’t feel like that. Most people look at this as an attractive entry point. They don’t see death and despair. They see the world getting more digital, they see rising concern about fiat currency, they see a four-year cycle that would naturally mean we have a pullback.” If that view holds, the current drawdown may matter less as a test of conviction than as a transfer point: from fast-moving retail traders to slower, deeper pools of capital that are still early in their allocation process. At press time, BTC traded at $66,360. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
A Bitcoin Policy Institute study of 36 AI models found Bitcoin was the top monetary choice in 48% of responses, but more than half preferred stablecoins for payment scenarios.
Ethereum price started a fresh increase but failed near $2,080. ETH is now correcting gains and might decline further below $1,920. Ethereum started a downside correction from the $2,080 zone. The price is trading below $1,950 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a key rising channel forming with support at $1,960 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could start a fresh decline if it stays below the $2,050 zone. Ethereum Price Dips To Support Ethereum price attempted a fresh increase above the $2,000 resistance, like Bitcoin. ETH price rallied above the $2,020 and $2,050 resistance levels. The bulls even pumped the price above $2,080. A high was formed at $2,089 before there was a downside correction. The price dipped below $2,000 and the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $1,835 swing low to the $2,089 high. Ethereum price is now trading above $1,960 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is also a key rising channel forming with support at $1,960 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD. If the bulls remain in action above $1,920, the price could attempt another increase. Immediate resistance is seen near the $2,020 level. The first key resistance is near the $2,050 level. The next major resistance is near the $2,080 level. A clear move above the $2,080 resistance might send the price toward the $2,120 resistance. An upside break above the $2,120 region might call for more gains in the coming days. In the stated case, Ether could rise toward the $2,200 resistance zone or even $2,220 in the near term. Downside Break In ETH? If Ethereum fails to clear the $2,050 resistance, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $1,960 level. The first major support sits near the $1,932 zone or the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $1,835 swing low to the $2,089 high. A clear move below the $1,932 support might push the price toward the $1,895 support. Any more losses might send the price toward the $1,850 region. The main support could be $1,820. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for ETH/USD is gaining momentum in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI – The RSI for ETH/USD is now below the 50 zone. Major Support Level – $1,932 Major Resistance Level – $2,050
The Cathie Wood-led firm bought around $4.09 million worth of Coinbase shares and $12.06 million in Robinhood shares.
Bitcoin price started a decent increase above $68,500 but failed at $70,000. BTC is now consolidating and might aim for more gains above $68,800. Bitcoin started a fresh increase after it settled above the $68,000 support. The price is trading above $68,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. There is a contracting triangle forming with resistance at $68,400 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might dip again if it trades below the $67,000 and $66,550 levels. Bitcoin Price Corrects Lower From $70,000 Bitcoin price managed to form a base above the $66,500 zone. BTC started a fresh increase and was able to surpass the $67,400 resistance zone. The price even rallied above the $68,800 resistance. Finally, the bears appeared near $70,000. A high was formed at $70,100, and the price recently corrected some gains. There was a move below $68,000, and the price tested the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $63,030 swing low to the $70,100 high. Bitcoin is now trading above $68,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. If the price remains stable above $67,400, it could attempt a fresh increase. Immediate resistance is near the $68,500 level. There is also a contracting triangle forming with resistance at $68,400 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. The first key resistance is near the $69,550 level. A close above the $69,550 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $70,000 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $70,500 level. The next barrier for the bulls could be $70,850 and $71,200. Downside Break In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $68,800 resistance zone, it could start another decline. Immediate support is near the $67,400 level. The first major support is near the $66,550 level. The next support is now near the $65,000 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $64,700 support in the near term. The main support now sits at $63,000, below which BTC might struggle to recover in the near term. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now losing pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $67,400, followed by $66,550. Major Resistance Levels – $68,800 and $70,000.
Indiana Governor Mike Braun signed House Bill 1042 into law on Tuesday, allowing certain state retirement programs to offer crypto exposure.
Bitcoin will eventually reach a point where the US government creates the conditions it needs to succeed, whether that takes 10 or 20 years, according to a Bitcoin executive.
Market maker Enflux says traders are not pricing catastrophe or resolution to the conflict in the Middle East, while Glassnode data shows improving spot demand but cautious derivatives positioning.
Binance's APAC expansion could enhance its global influence, emphasizing compliance and innovation in the rapidly growing crypto market.
The post Binance doubles down on APAC, plans 5 new licenses this year to expand global footprint appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
Bitcoin has entered a phase of heightened volatility as escalating conflicts in the Middle East inject fresh uncertainty into global markets. Risk assets have reacted unevenly, with crypto trading as a real-time barometer of macro stress while traditional markets intermittently close or gap. Price swings have become sharper, liquidity thinner, and short-term positioning more defensive as participants reassess exposure amid geopolitical risk. Related Reading: Bloodbath Or Buy-Zone? Bitcoin’s $66K Stagnation Hits The 25% Loss Threshold Historically Tied To Market Bottoms Despite this challenging backdrop, on-chain data presents a more nuanced picture. According to analysis from CryptoQuant, Bitcoin netflow dynamics suggest that accumulation may be quietly unfolding beneath the surface. Exchange netflows — which measure the balance between coins moving onto and off trading platforms — are often a leading indicator of investor intent. Sustained outflows typically imply that participants are withdrawing assets into cold storage or long-term custody, reducing immediately available sell-side supply. In recent sessions, netflow patterns have tilted toward outflows rather than aggressive inflows, even as headlines intensified. This divergence between price uncertainty and subdued exchange deposits hints at restrained distribution behavior. Sustained Exchange Outflows Signal Quiet Accumulation Phase The exchange-level data adds a concrete dimension to the accumulation thesis. On Binance — which custodies roughly 665,000 BTC, or about 25% of total exchange reserves — netflows have flipped decisively negative since February 21. Outflows have dominated on most trading days, producing a cumulative withdrawal of approximately 13,500 BTC. A single session accounted for 3,848 BTC leaving the platform, a meaningful movement in the context of tightening liquidity. Importantly, this pattern is not isolated. Aggregated across major exchanges, netflows have remained negative for seven consecutive days. Such persistence reduces the probability of statistical noise and instead suggests coordinated positioning behavior. When coins exit exchanges, they typically move into cold storage or long-term custody solutions, mechanically reducing the immediately tradable supply. This shift is occurring after an approximate 50% correction from cycle highs. Historically, deep retracements tend to recalibrate risk-reward perceptions. The current price zone appears to be viewed by some participants as strategically attractive rather than structurally broken. That said, accumulation does not guarantee immediate upside. In the short term, sustained outflows can underpin range-bound conditions as supply tightens, but demand remains measured. Whether this evolves into expansion depends on the durability of inflows into spot markets. Related Reading: The $650M Wave: Why XRP’s Record Inflow To Binance Signals A Massive Institutional Retreat Bitcoin Compresses Below Key Averages as $69K Caps Upside Attempts On the 4-hour chart, Bitcoin remains locked in a corrective structure following the sharp early-February breakdown. Price is consolidating around the $66,800 region, but the broader short-term trend remains tilted to the downside. BTC continues to trade below the 50, 100, and 200-period moving averages, all of which are sloping downward — a configuration that confirms persistent bearish pressure. The $68,000–$69,000 zone is acting as immediate resistance, aligning with the 100-period moving average (green). Multiple attempts to reclaim this level have failed, reinforcing it as a supply area. Above that, the 200-period moving average (red), currently near the low-$70Ks, represents a stronger structural ceiling. Related Reading: Ethereum’s Market Order Imbalance Hits Record Negatives: $1,850 Is Now The Line In The Sand On the downside, the $63,000–$64,000 region remains key support. Previous liquidity wicks into that area, triggering sharp rebounds, suggesting the presence of reactive buyers. However, the pattern of lower highs within the range indicates that upside momentum lacks conviction. Volume has contracted compared to the breakdown phase, signaling equilibrium rather than accumulation. The market is compressing within a narrowing band, often a precursor to expansion. A decisive 4-hour close above $69K would challenge the bearish bias. Conversely, a clean break below $63K would likely reopen downside toward the next liquidity pocket. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com
AI agents are beginning to tackle increasingly complex financial and commercial operations. However, these autonomous bots run into walls when it comes to setting up bank accounts or other payment methods, requiring human intervention. They also need access to fast, cheap, high-volume transactions which traditional payment systems simply cannot provide. To address this, Coinbase created […]
A fresh political push for crypto legislation is stirring debate across Washington and the digital asset industry. U.S. President Donald Trump issued a forceful statement backing the CLARITY Act and warning that major banks should not undermine what he described as America’s crypto agenda. In his remarks, Trump said the “Genius Act” was being threatened …
ARK Invest's move signals confidence in Robinhood's growth potential, highlighting a strategic shift towards comprehensive financial services.
The post ARK Invest loads up Robinhood stock ahead of its “Take Flight” event appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
In a March 3 report titled “Stablecoins and Monetary Policy Transmission”, the European Central Bank (ECB) warned that increased stablecoin adoption was undermining financial stability and policy effectiveness in the eurozone. ECB outlines the cascade of risks imposed by stablecoins According to the ECB, as more people swap the euro for these virtual currencies, banks …
Australia is on a trajectory for only $710 million in annual economic gains from crypto by 2030 unless there's a substantial change, the Digital Finance Cooperative Research Centre says.
Hours after explosions were reported in Tehran, digital money began moving. Reports say cryptocurrency withdrawals from Iran’s largest exchange jumped sharply as news of US and Israeli airstrikes spread across the country. Related Reading: Crypto’s Quietest Month In Nearly A Year — But Hackers Haven’t Gone Away Blockchain data reviewed by analytics firms shows outflows rising about 700% in a short window, a spike that stood out against normal daily activity. Crypto Rush Follows Airstrikes According to blockchain tracking firm Elliptic, wallets linked to Nobitex, Iran’s biggest crypto trading platform, sent out far more funds than usual within minutes of the first strike. In less than an hour, transfers climbed into the millions of dollars. The surge was quick. It was also brief. The timing caught attention. Based on reports, the jump began almost immediately after confirmation of military action. Digital assets were shifted to external wallets and, in some cases, to overseas exchanges. For many Iranians who already face sanctions and banking limits, crypto has become one of the few ways to move value across borders. Nobitex has long operated in a gray zone shaped by sanctions and capital controls. Crypto use in the country has grown over the years as access to global finance tightened. During past waves of unrest, similar patterns were recorded, though not always at this scale. Internet Blackout Slows The Flow The rush did not last. Reports note that internet connectivity across Iran dropped by about 99% shortly after the strikes, limiting further transfers. With connections cut or heavily restricted, the stream of outgoing crypto transactions slowed to a trickle. TRM Labs, another blockchain analytics firm, said the spike may reflect short-term panic rather than an organized effort to move large pools of capital. A sharp move from a low base can look dramatic in percentage terms. Some transactions were completed before the blackout. Others appear to have stalled. Transfers can be initiated quickly, but they still depend on access to the internet and functioning platforms. When connectivity disappears, so does that option. Weakened Currency Iran’s economy has been under strain for years. Sanctions tied to its nuclear program and regional policies have limited trade and weakened the national currency. Crypto mining and trading, at times tolerated and at other times restricted, have offered an alternative path for some citizens and businesses. Related Reading: Wall Street Giant JPMorgan Sees Clarity Act Driving Second-Half Upside There has been no public sign that the spike altered broader crypto prices. Bitcoin and other major tokens reacted more to global risk sentiment than to activity inside Iran alone. Still, the 700% surge serves as another example of how quickly digital money can respond to geopolitical shocks. For a few tense hours, crypto became a lifeline for some users in Iran. Then the cables went dark, and the flow slowed. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from TradingView
Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan wrote that the US military strikes on Iran, announced Sunday morning, accelerated the shift toward onchain finance.
Trump's push for crypto collaboration may reshape financial regulations, challenging traditional banks and potentially boosting US crypto leadership.
The post Trump pressures banks to make deal with crypto firms over market structure bill appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
Trump has urged banking groups to “make a good deal” with the crypto industry and said undermining the GENIUS Act is “unacceptable.”
Altcoins have endured a prolonged structural decline since the peak of the 2021 bull cycle. While Bitcoin has managed to preserve portions of its macro uptrend, most alternative tokens have printed persistent lower highs and lower lows across multiple timeframes. For many projects, what began as a cyclical correction has evolved into a multi-year erosion of capital, liquidity, and investor confidence. Related Reading: Bloodbath Or Buy-Zone? Bitcoin’s $66K Stagnation Hits The 25% Loss Threshold Historically Tied To Market Bottoms Recent data shared by analyst Darkfost underscores the severity of the situation: approximately 38% of altcoins are now trading near their all-time lows. This figure exceeds the stress levels observed in the immediate aftermath of the FTX collapse, highlighting that the current weakness is not merely episodic but systemic. The broader macro environment remains hostile to speculative positioning. Liquidity conditions are fragile, and capital allocation appears increasingly selective. Instead of rotating into higher-beta crypto assets, flows are gravitating toward equities and commodities, where volatility and narrative clarity are currently stronger. In such an environment, altcoins — which depend heavily on surplus liquidity and risk appetite — tend to suffer disproportionately. Altcoins at Cycle Lows as Structural Regression Peaks Darkfost highlights that the “percentage of altcoins near ATL” metric provides a direct measure of structural stress across the broader crypto market. At current levels, roughly 38% of altcoins are trading near their historical lows — marking the most severe regression observed during this cycle. This is not a localized correction in a handful of weak tokens; it reflects a widespread contraction in valuations across the altcoin spectrum. For context, the metric previously peaked around 35% in April 2025 and reached approximately 37.8% in the immediate aftermath of the FTX collapse. The fact that the present reading exceeds both of those periods underscores how persistent the pressure has become. Despite intermittent rebounds, capital rotation into altcoins has failed to materialize in a sustained manner. The chart effectively captures the prevailing sentiment: investors remain defensive, liquidity is selective, and speculative appetite is subdued. In such phases, altcoins — typically higher-beta instruments — are disproportionately affected. Yet historically, extreme deterioration has often preceded inflection points. When positioning becomes overly compressed and expectations are deeply pessimistic, asymmetry begins to develop. While timing remains uncertain, structurally depressed conditions are also the environments in which longer-term opportunities tend to emerge. Related Reading: The $650M Wave: Why XRP’s Record Inflow To Binance Signals A Massive Institutional Retreat Altcoin Market Cap Pressures Key Weekly Support as Breadth Weakens The weekly chart of the total crypto market cap excluding the top 10 assets highlights the structural fragility of the broader altcoin segment. Currently hovering near $169 billion, the index has retraced significantly from its 2025 highs and is now pressing into a historically sensitive demand zone. Technically, price has fallen below the 50-week (blue) and 100-week (green) moving averages, both of which have begun to roll over. This alignment signals a loss of medium-term momentum. The 200-week moving average (red), positioned slightly above current levels, is now acting as dynamic resistance rather than support — a notable shift compared to the recovery phase seen in 2023 and early 2024. Related Reading: The Distribution Trap: Why Bitcoin’s Reserve Growth Proves Sellers Still Hold The Tape The structure resembles a lower-high formation following the 2025 peak, suggesting distribution rather than accumulation. Volume expanded during major selloffs, particularly on large red weekly candles, indicating forced exits and liquidity stress rather than orderly consolidation. From a cyclical perspective, the $160–$170 billion region represents a key inflection area. A sustained break below this zone would open the path toward the $130–$140 billion range, revisiting 2023 support levels. Conversely, a weekly reclaim of the 200-week average would be required to signal structural stabilization. Featured image from ChatGPT, chart from TradingView.com
Colombia's top criminal court cited AI detectors to reject a lawyer's appeal. An attorney then ran the court's ruling through the same software and got a 93% match.
Ray Dalio says that gold is a better safe-haven asset in times of conflict compared to Bitcoin, and raised concerns about the cryptocurrency’s lack of privacy.