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Bitcoin rebounded toward $79,000 after dipping below $75,000 over the weekend, as traders weighed heavy liquidation-driven selling against macro tailwinds and a potential inflection point for crypto markets.

#ripple #xrp #xrpusd #xrpusdt #xrpbtc

XRP price extended losses and traded below $1.550. The price is now attempting to recover but faces hurdles near $1.650 and $1.70. XRP price started a recovery wave from the $1.50 zone. The price is now trading below $1.620 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $1.6150 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken). The pair could continue to move down if it stays below $1.650. XRP Price Faces Resistance XRP price failed to stay above $1.650 and extended its decline, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price declined below $1.620 and $1.60 to enter a short-term bearish zone. The price even spiked below $1.520. A low was formed at $1.50, and the price is now attempting to recover. There was a move above the $1.5750 level. The price surpassed the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $1.9388 swing high to the $1.50 low. The price is now trading below $1.620 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. If there is a fresh upward move, the price might face resistance near the $1.620 level. There is also a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $1.6150 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair. The first major resistance is near the $1.650 level. A close above $1.650 could send the price to $1.720 or the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $1.9388 swing high to the $1.50 low. The next hurdle sits at $1.750. A clear move above the $1.750 resistance might send the price toward the $1.780 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $1.80 resistance. The next major hurdle for the bulls might be near $1.825. Another Drop? If XRP fails to clear the $1.650 resistance zone, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $1.5760 level. The next major support is near the $1.550 level. If there is a downside break and a close below the $1.550 level, the price might continue to decline toward $1.5250. The next major support sits near the $1.50 zone, below which the price could continue lower toward $1.4650. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for XRP/USD is now losing pace in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for XRP/USD is now below the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $1.5760 and $1.550. Major Resistance Levels – $1.6150 and $1.650.

#bitcoin #btc price #bitcoin price #btc #bitcoin news #btc news

Bitcoin’s latest drawdown is being framed less as a technical breakdown and more as a liquidity problem, with Ki Young Ju arguing that the key inputs that sustained the rally fresh capital inflows have stalled. In that setup, he says, calls for a full-cycle, -70% style capitulation hinge on a single variable: whether Strategy turns from buyer to meaningful seller. Will Bitcoin Experience Another -70% Bear Market? In a Feb. 1 post, Ki said “Bitcoin is dropping as selling pressure persists, with no fresh capital coming in.” He pointed to a flatlining Realized Cap as evidence that incremental money is no longer entering the market, and tied that directly to market structure. “Realized Cap” has flatlined, meaning no fresh capital. When market cap falls in that environment, it’s not a bull market.” His read is that the profit-taking has been there for a while, it was simply absorbed. Early holders, he wrote, were “sitting on big unrealized gains thanks to ETFs and MSTR buying,” and “have been taking profits since early last year, but strong inflows kept Bitcoin near 100K.” The change now, in his telling, is that the bid that mattered most has faded: “Now those inflows have dried up.” Related Reading: Bitcoin LTH Supply Rises Again Amid Bearish Market Dynamics That’s where the crash math changes. Ki described Strategy (MSTR) as “a major driver of this rally,” but argued the reflexive downside seen in prior cycles is unlikely without a decisive reversal from the company’s balance sheet strategy. “Unless Saylor significantly dumps his stack, we won’t see a -70% crash like previous cycles,” he wrote, carving out an explicit condition rather than presenting the drawdown as inevitable. Even so, he didn’t claim the market has found a floor. “Selling pressure is still ongoing, so the bottom isn’t clear yet,” Ki said, adding that the more probable path is time, not a straight-line liquidation. His base case is “a wide-ranging sideways consolidation,” a regime where volatility can persist but direction becomes harder to sustain without new marginal buyers. Stablecoin Liquidity Dries Up CryptoQuant contributor Darkfost added color on what “no fresh capital” looks like in the plumbing. He argued stablecoin activity, often treated as a near-term proxy for deployable crypto liquidity, has rolled over sharply as uncertainty stays elevated. Related Reading: Is The Bitcoin Bottom In? CMT Reveals What Investors Need To See Now “The crypto market is currently going through a delicate phase, marked by a structural lack of liquidity in a context of persistently high uncertainty,” he wrote, calling it an environment “not conducive to risk taking,” especially relative to assets like precious metals and equities that are still drawing flows. Darkfost said the stablecoin market had expanded by more than $140 billion since 2023, but that total stablecoin market capitalization began declining in December, “putting an end to this sustained growth trend.” The more actionable signal, he argued, is exchange flows: “Strong inflows generally indicate a willingness to gain exposure to the market, while outflows instead suggest capital preservation and a reduction in risk.” He highlighted October as the last clear liquidity-heavy month, when “average monthly stablecoin netflows exceeded $9.7B,” with nearly $8.8B concentrated on Binance alone—conditions that “supported Bitcoin’s rally toward a new all time high.” Since November, he said, those inflows have been “largely wiped out,” with an initial $9.6 billion drop, then a brief stabilization, followed by renewed net outflows of more than $4 billion, including $3.1 billion from Binance. At press time, BTC traded at $78,280. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

#bitcoin

Rising Bitcoin supply in loss suggests structural market weakening, indicating potential prolonged bearish conditions and unresolved downside risks.
The post Bitcoin supply in loss signals early bear market conditions: CryptoQuant appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

Tether first announced plans for an open-source mining OS in June last year as it wanted Bitcoin miners to "enter the game" without expensive third-party vendors.

Ether has fallen despite strong fundamentals as leverage remained absent and precious metals diverted risk appetite, according to Fundstrat's research head.

#bullish #circle #companies #finance firms #ark-invest #cathie-wood #bitmine

Ark purchased $9.4 million worth of Circle, $6.25 million in Bitmine, and $6 million in Bullish crypto exchange.

#ethereum #eth #ethbtc #ethusd #ethusdt

Ethereum price extended its decline below $2,420 and $2,300. ETH is now attempting to recover from $2,150 but faces many hurdles near $2,365. Ethereum failed to stay above $2,350 and started a fresh decline. The price is trading below $2,350 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is a major bearish trend line forming with resistance at $2,350 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken). The pair could start a fresh decline if it stays below the $2,400 zone. Ethereum Price Eyes Another Decline Ethereum price failed to remain stable above $2,500 and extended losses, like Bitcoin. ETH price traded below $2,420 to enter a bearish zone. The bears even pushed the price below $2,200. A low was formed at $2,155 and the price is now attempting to recover. There was a move above $2,250. The price tested the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $3,040 swing high to the $2,155 low. However, the bears are active near $2,365. There is also a major bearish trend line forming with resistance at $2,350 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD. Ethereum price is now trading below $2,350 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. If the bulls remain in action above $2,250, the price could attempt another increase. Immediate resistance is seen near the $2,350 level. The first key resistance is near the $2,365 level. The next major resistance is near the $2,450 level. A clear move above the $2,450 resistance might send the price toward the $2,600 resistance or the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $3,040 swing high to the $2,155 low. An upside break above the $2,600 region might call for more gains in the coming days. In the stated case, Ether could rise toward the $2,700 resistance zone or even $2,720 in the near term. Another Decline In ETH? If Ethereum fails to clear the $2,365 resistance, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $2,250 level. The first major support sits near the $2,220 zone. A clear move below the $2,220 support might push the price toward the $2,150 support. Any more losses might send the price toward the $2,120 region. The main support could be $2,000. Technical Indicators Hourly MACD – The MACD for ETH/USD is gaining momentum in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI – The RSI for ETH/USD is now below the 50 zone. Major Support Level – $2,220 Major Resistance Level – $2,365

The reported World Liberty Financial deal, said to have been made four days before the president’s inauguration, would make the UAE company the largest WLFI shareholder.

#bitcoin #crypto #btc #etfs #digital currency #fed #btcusd #clarity act

Bitcoin slid hard over the weekend and stayed low into Monday, leaving traders on edge and pushing many to reduce risk. Prices slipped from roughly $84,000 to about $74,600 in a matter of days, a drop that erased a chunk of recent gains and forced quick reassessments across markets. Nervousness around Federal Reserve leadership, rising job worries, and fresh geopolitical flashpoints all piled up at once. Related Reading: Gold Vs. XRP: One Asset Just Added 20x The Other’s Market Value Average ETF Price Above Market According to Coinglass, the combined assets of US spot Bitcoin ETFs sit near $113 billion, while reports note they hold around 1.28 million BTC. Based on those figures, the typical ETF buying price works out to an average of roughly $87,830 per coin — well above current trading levels. That gap means many ETF positions are showing losses on paper right now. Some funds kept buying earlier and are holding positions that are underwater. BTC is trading below the U.S. ETFs avg cost basis after the 2nd & 3rd biggest outflow weeks ever (last week and week before) (and last week’s outflow will increase after IBIT reports friday’s numbers tomorrow) this means the average bitcoin ETF purchase is underwater pic.twitter.com/XowzrnBaSM — Alex Thorn (@intangiblecoins) February 2, 2026 Outflows Pick Up Over the last two weeks, investors pulled close to $3 billion from the 11 spot ETFs, with one week seeing $1.50 billion leave and the prior week $1.30 billion, according to CoinGlass. Those moves suggest some market participants are locking in gains or cutting exposure after the recent run-up. At the same time, cumulative ETF inflows remain materially lower than earlier peaks; buying has not fully come back even as some holders remain steady. Technical Signals And Bear Fears Reports note that spot BTC is down roughly 40% from its October peak while ETF AUM has fallen by about 31%. That divergence has analysts warning that sustained weak demand could push Bitcoin into a deeper downtrend. Technical charts show longer-term sell pressure building in certain measures. If demand fails to reappear, momentum could carry prices lower and extend selling across crypto markets. Policy, Politics, And Market Mood Market watchers point to extra uncertainty around monetary policy and geopolitics as fuel for the recent moves. Reports have disclosed that the proposed US Clarity Act stalled in Washington. At the same time, headlines about tensions in the Middle East and trade friction added to a rush for traditional safe havens like gold and the dollar. Even a hint of policy change matters: US President Donald Trump’s choice for the next Fed chair was discussed by investors as another factor shaping expectations. Related Reading: Crypto Funds Bleed $1.80 Billion As Metals Rally Heats Up Liquidity And The Road Ahead Institutional holders have not all capitulated. Many have been described as holding on, which can cushion sharp drops. But when the average cost basis for major ETF holders is above the current market price, confidence can be fragile. Liquidity has thinned in certain windows, and that makes price swings larger. A recovery requires renewed buying from both retail and big investors, otherwise sellers may dictate direction for longer. Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView

FTX users filed the lawsuit in 2023, accusing the law firm of playing “a key and crucial role" in "how the FTX fraud was accomplished.”

Multiple charts and historical data suggest that Bitcoin’s recovery from its weekend crash below $75,000 could take at least 6 months.

#bitcoin #bitcoin price #btc #btcusd #btcusdt #xbtusd

Bitcoin price extended its decline below $78,000. BTC is now attempting to recover from $74,500 but faces many hurdles near $80,000. Bitcoin is attempting to recover above $77,000 and $78,000. The price is trading below $80,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. There was a break above a bearish trend line with resistance at $78,400 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair might dip again if it trades below the $77,000 and $76,000 levels. Bitcoin Price Faces Resistance Bitcoin price failed to remain stable above the $82,000 zone. BTC extended its decline below the $80,000 and $79,500 levels. The bears were able to push the price below $78,000. It spared major bearish moves, pushing the price below $76,000. A low was formed at $74,543, and the price is now attempting to recover. There was a move above $78,000. The price surpassed the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $90,440 swing high to the $74,543 low. Besides, there was a break above a bearish trend line with resistance at $78,400 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. Bitcoin is now trading below $80,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. If the price remains stable above $77,000, it could attempt a fresh increase. Immediate resistance is near the $79,200 level. The first key resistance is near the $80,000 level. A close above the $80,000 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $82,500 resistance or the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $90,440 swing high to the $74,543 low. Any more gains might send the price toward the $84,000 level. The next barrier for the bulls could be $85,000 and $85,500. Another Decline In BTC? If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $79,200 resistance zone, it could start another decline. Immediate support is near the $78,000 level. The first major support is near the $77,000 level. The next support is now near the $76,000 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $74,500 support in the near term. The main support sits at $72,000, below which BTC might struggle to recover in the near term. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now losing pace in the bearish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 50 level. Major Support Levels – $77,000, followed by $76,000. Major Resistance Levels – $79,200 and $80,000.

#markets #news #btc price #btc

Crypto could be getting ready to gallop as the year of the horse sets up a fresh run higher across ETH, BTC, and other digital assets.

#artificial intelligence

Elon Musk says power and cooling constraints on Earth are pushing AI compute into orbit, with Starship central to the plan.

#ethereum #eth #ethusd

Ethereum (ETH) has entered a decisive phase after a sharp sell-off erased much of its recent gains and pushed the price toward the closely watched $2,200 level. The move followed repeated failures to break above the $2,500–$2,550 zone, triggering liquidations. Related Reading: Crypto Hacks Explode: $370 Million Stolen In January Alone: Researchers With large holders taking opposing positions and on-chain data flashing caution, ETH is now at a point where both downside risk and rebound potential remain firmly in play. ETH's price records major losses across the board. Source: ETHUSD on Tradingview Ethereum Price Structure Weakens as $2,200 Comes Into Focus Ethereum (ETH) has fallen more than 20% from recent highs, briefly trading below $2,220 before stabilizing. The drop pushed ETH below the $2,300–$2,400 range and under key short-term moving averages, shifting near-term control toward sellers. Technical data shows a developing bearish trend line around $2,400–$2,420, an area that would need to be reclaimed to ease downside pressure. The $2,200 zone is now acting as the main support. A sustained break below this level could expose deeper downside toward $2,050 or psychological $2,000 mark. Momentum indicators remain cautious, with the hourly RSI below 50 and MACD still aligned with bearish momentum, suggesting buyers have yet to regain control. Exchange Inflows and Liquidations Signal Distribution Risk On-chain data has added to concerns. Exchange inflows surged ahead of the breakdown, with roughly 600,000 ETH moving onto major exchanges in a single day, including a sharp spike into Binance. Such inflows are often associated with selling, hedging, or risk reduction rather than accumulation. At the same time, derivatives markets saw heavy stress. ETH-related liquidations reached about $280 million over 24 hours, surpassing Bitcoin and confirming that long positions were crowded near recent highs. The unwind’s speed suggests structural weakness, as spot demand failed to absorb forced selling once support levels gave way. Whale Longs Add a Bullish Counterweight Despite bearish flow data, whale activity tells a more mixed story. According to on-chain analysts, dormant wallets reactivated after five years and posted over 45,000 ETH as collateral to open a large coin-margined long, borrowing roughly $100 million. This move highlights growing divergence at current levels, with some institutions deleveraging while certain large holders add exposure. Related Reading: Is The Bitcoin Bottom In? CMT Reveals What Traders Need To See Now This clash between whale longs and bearish exchange flows shows the uncertainty around $2,200. A rebound above $2,420 could shift momentum back toward buyers, while failure to hold current support may confirm that distribution pressure remains dominant. Cover image from ChatGPT, ETHUSD on Tradingview

#artificial intelligence

OpenClaw hit 147,000 GitHub stars in a matter of weeks and spawned an entire ecosystem of AI agents. But just how much is revolutionary tech?

The rise and fall of the manufacturing index from mid-2020 through 2023 closely mirrored Bitcoin and the broader crypto market’s price movements over the same timeframe.

#markets #news #bitcoin etf

Further downside would likely require a U.S. equity bear market, analysts say, as bitcoin tests weak support.

#xrp #glassnode #xrp news #xrpusdt

As XRP slides below $1.60, on-chain analytics firm Glassnode has highlighted how the current structure is looking similar to that of April 2022. XRP Is Fast Approaching Its Realized Price In a new post on X, Glassnode has talked about where XRP is currently trading with respect to its Realized Price. This on-chain indicator measures the cost basis or acquisition price of the average address on the blockchain. When the spot price of the cryptocurrency is trading above this metric, it means the investors as a whole can be assumed to be in a state of profit. On the other hand, it being below the indicator suggests the majority of the supply is underwater. Related Reading: Bitcoin Death Cross That Last Preceded A 66% Drop Is Back Now, here is the chart shared by Glassnode that shows the trend in the XRP Realized Price over the last several years: As is visible in the above graph, the XRP spot price has been above the Realized Price since 2024, indicating that holders have been enjoying net unrealized gains. The degree of profitability, however, hasn’t been constant in this period. The asset’s price had the largest gap over the metric back in late 2024, owing to a fast bull rally. Then, over the first three quarters of 2025, profitability gradually dropped as tokens changed hands at higher levels, leading to an increase in the Realized Price. The indicator hit a plateau in the last quarter of the year, but the bearish shift in the asset meant that it was now the price’s turn to approach the line, cutting back on average investor profits further. This trend has deepened recently. Following the sector-wide crash during the past week, XRP has come dangerously close to the Realized Price, which now sits at $1.48. “The current market structure is very similar to that of April 2022,” noted the analytics firm. Back then, the asset was transitioning to a bear market and its price fell to the Realized Price. That retest failed, and what followed was a steep move down that eventually led to the cycle low. Given the proximity that the current XRP price has to the indicator, it now remains to be seen whether a retest will occur in the near future and if it would lead to further bearish action like in 2022. Related Reading: Bitcoin Supply In Loss Turns Upward—Early Bear Market Signal? In the scenario that the cryptocurrency’s decline continues, technical support levels pointed out by analyst Ali Martinez may come into play. As displayed in the chart, Martinez has drawn levels based on a parallel channel pattern. “For XRP, resistance sits at $1.86, while support is at $1.38 and $1.02,” noted the analyst. XRP Price At the time of writing, XRP is trading around $1.60, down nearly 15% over the last week. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView.com

#solana #sol #sol price #solusd

The Solana price has entered the new month under pressure after losing a level that had acted as a psychological anchor for much of the past year. The token’s drop below $100 shifted market attention from recovery narratives to damage control. Related Reading: Crypto Hacks Explode: $370 Million Stolen In January Alone: Researchers Traders are now closely watching whether upcoming support levels can halt a decline that has accelerated amid overall weakness in the crypto market. Although network activity and institutional interest continue to draw attention, short-term price movements have clearly shifted into a bearish trend. SOL's price trends to the downside on the daily chart. Source: SOLUSD on Tradingview Solana Price Breaks $100 as Selling Pressure Builds Before bouncing back to the current $102 level, the Solana price dipped to around $98, marking its lowest point in nearly ten months and extending losses to nearly 20% over the past week and approximately 25% over the last month. Trading activity has thinned as prices fell, with spot volume and derivatives participation both declining. Data from CoinGlass shows falling open interest, suggesting long positions are being unwound rather than a surge in aggressive short selling. The move has not occurred in isolation. A wave of market-wide liquidations over the weekend, combined with thin liquidity, amplified downside moves across major cryptocurrencies. Macroeconomic concerns have also weighed on sentiment after renewed expectations of tighter U.S. monetary policy following President Trump’s nomination of Kevin Warsh as the next Federal Reserve chair, a choice viewed as hawkish by markets. Technical Outlook Points to Lower Support Levels From a technical perspective, Solana’s structure has weakened. The break below $100 confirmed a pattern of lower highs and lower lows, with the Solana price hovering well beneath its declining short-term moving averages. Bollinger Bands are widening, and Solana price action remains near the lower band, suggesting downward momentum remains dominant rather than stabilizing. Momentum indicators underline the pressure. The daily relative strength index is hovering near 25, placing SOL deep in oversold territory. While this increases the probability of short-term bounces, it does not, on its own, signal a trend reversal. On the downside, traders are watching the $95 area closely, followed by a broader $92–90 zone. Below that, $85 and $80 stand out as larger historical support levels. Some on-chain and pattern analyses suggest that if selling accelerates, thinner support could expose deeper zones later in the year. Fundamentals Remain Active Despite Weak Price Action Despite the bearish price forecast, Solana’s underlying network metrics remain comparatively strong. January transaction counts rose sharply, and recent data shows continued growth in on-chain activity and stablecoin usage. Institutional interest has been mixed but not absent, with earlier January inflows offset by more recent Solana ETF outflows. Related Reading: Is The Bitcoin Bottom In? CMT Reveals What Traders Need To See Now Currently, the technical picture dominates. Solana would need to reclaim $110 and hold above key moving averages to ease bearish pressure. Until that happens, rallies are likely to be viewed as corrective moves within a broader downtrend, leaving the next support levels as the market’s immediate test. Cover image from ChatGPT, SOLUSD chart from Tradingview

#finance #news #binance #changpeng zhao #cz

The exchange co-founder's post comes amid renewed scrutiny over Binance’s alleged role in October’s crypto flash crash.

#business #ai

SpaceX acquires xAI as Musk pitches orbital AI data centers while reports flag mid June IPO talks targeting a $1.5 trillion valuation.
The post SpaceX acquires xAI as Musk pitches orbital data centers ahead of $1 trillion IPO appeared first on Crypto Briefing.

#policy #coinbase #congress #regulation #stablecoins #legal #exchanges #senate banking committee #2024 elections #companies #crypto ecosystems #u.s. policymaking #senate agriculture committee

Crypto advocacy groups called a White House meeting on Monday to discuss an intensely contested topic on how to treat stablecoin rewards.

#finance #artificial intelligence #news

The combined company is expected to price its IPO at a valuation of $1.25 trillion, according to Bloomberg.

Bitcoin flashed a major discount signal after capital outflows increased following BTC’s abrupt drop below $75,000. Historical data now points to a potential 10% rebound rally in the short-term.

#bitcoin #crypto #bitcoin news #crypto market news #raoul pal #crypto news #cryptocurrency market news

Raoul Pal is pushing back on the idea that crypto’s current drawdown signals a broken market cycle, arguing instead that bitcoin and high-beta risk are being hit by a temporary US liquidity air pocket tied to Treasury cash management and government shutdown dynamics. In a weekend post on X framed as a takedown of “false narratives,” the Global Macro Investor founder said the prevailing story—“that BTC and crypto are broken. The cycle is over”—has become an “alluring narrative trap,” especially as “prices [are] puking each and every fucking day.” But Pal said a separate question from a GMI hedge fund client about beaten-down SaaS equities prompted him to re-check the data and rethink the driver. “What I found destroyed both the BTC narrative and the SaaS narrative,” Pal wrote. “SaaS and BTC are the EXACT same chart. Huh? That means there is another factor at play that we have all missed…” Crypto Slide Due To US Liquidity Drain? Pal’s answer is liquidity. He argues US liquidity has been “held back” by two shutdown episodes and “issues with US plumbing,” adding that the drain of the Fed’s reverse repo facility was “essentially completed in 2024.” Related Reading: White House To Host Crypto And Banking Leaders In Push To Break Regulatory Deadlock That, he said, left the Treasury General Account (TGA) rebuild in July and August without the kind of offset that would normally soften the impact, turning it into a net drain. In his telling, the same lack of liquidity helps explain why macro activity gauges have looked weak, writing that “lackluster liquidity is the reason why the ISM has been so low.” While Pal said he typically tracks global total liquidity because of its long-term correlation with bitcoin and US tech, he argued the US measure is dominating this phase of the cycle because the US remains the system’s key liquidity supplier. That matters, he said, because the assets most exposed to a withdrawal of liquidity are long-duration, high-volatility exposures—exactly where bitcoin and SaaS sit in many portfolios. “Those are both the longest duration assets that exist and both got discounted because liquidity was temporarily withdrawing,” Pal wrote, tying their drawdowns to the same macro impulse rather than project-specific failure or a broken crypto “cycle.” He also pointed to gold’s rally as an additional constraint on marginal flows. “The rally in gold essentially sucked all marginal liquidity out of the system that would have flowed into BTC and SaaS,” Pal said. “There was not enough liquidity to support all these assets, so the riskiest got hit.” Pal described the latest shutdown as a further headwind, claiming the Treasury “hedged” by not drawing down the TGA after the prior shutdown and instead “added more to it,” deepening the drain. That, he said, is the “current air pocket” behind the “brutal price action” across risk. But he also argued the squeeze is close to clearing. “However, the signs are that this shutdown will get resolved this week and that is the FINAL liquidity hurdle out of the way,” Pal wrote, adding that the next phase could bring a “liquidity flood” from factors he listed including changes around eSLR, partial TGA drawdowns, fiscal stimulus and rate cuts. Related Reading: Crypto Bears Beware: Global Liquidity Cycle May Be The Longest On Record He extended the “false narrative” theme to Fed expectations, rejecting the idea that Kevin Warsh would run policy as a hawk. “On the subject of rate cuts, there is another false narrative going around that Kevin Warsh is a hawk,” Pal wrote. “It is utter fucking nonsense. These were comments mainly from 18 years ago.” Pal argued Warsh’s mandate would align with what he called the “Greenspan era playbook”—cutting rates, letting the economy run hotter, and leaning on productivity gains to restrain core inflation—while avoiding balance-sheet moves that could collide with reserve constraints and destabilize lending. Pal included a mea culpa, acknowledging GMI “was not seeing the US liquidity as the current driving factor,” after years of emphasizing global measures. “There is no disconnect,” he wrote. “It’s just that the confluence of events Reverse Repo drained >TGA rebuild > Shutdown > Gold rally > Shutdown was not forecastable by us, or in any event we missed the impact.” His bottom line was less about calling the exact bottom and more about time-in-cycle. “Often in these full cycle trades, it is time that is more important than price,” he wrote, urging “PATIENCE!” and reiterating he remains “HUGE” bullish on 2026 if the policy and liquidity playbook he expects materializes. At press time, BTC traded at $77,510. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

#finance #news #russia #crypto-mining #bitriver

An En+ subsidiary has filed an insolvency claim against the crypto mining firm, adding to pressure from energy debts, regulatory curbs and internal turmoil.

#news #policy #donald trump #white house #crypto lobbying #market structure legislation

Industry insiders met with David Sacks and others in President Donald Trump's administration to try to hash out the impasse over the Senate's crypto bill.

The meeting came more than two weeks after the Senate Banking Committee postponed a markup on the CLARITY Act, adding that everyone “remains at the table“ to work on the bill.