Fed may hike rates twice in 2026, with a 36% chance. Rate hike by September 2026 at 62% YES.
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Asian stocks expected to decline as oil prices surge past $100. Crude oil reaches new all-time high by December 31 at 20% YES.
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Ukraine's Defense Minister resigns amid strategic disputes; France pledges military aid. Russia entering Sloviansk by December 31, 2026 at 15% YES.
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Iran sent military gear and commanders to Houthi rebels in Yemen. Military action against a Gulf state by July 30 at 44.5% YES.
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Iran intercepted a US Tomahawk missile, escalating tensions. Full airspace closure by August 31 at 60.5% YES.
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Somali pirates seized a Tanzanian-flagged ship off Yemen. Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30 at 22.5% YES.
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Iran escalates conflict with attacks on U.S. allies. U.S.-Iran deal with reconstruction funding in 2026 at 29% YES.
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FLUX 3 is the German AI lab’s first video model, and the same system is already teaching robots to work an Audi assembly line.
OPEC+ plans to increase oil output despite production shortfalls. Crude oil reaching a new all-time high by September 30 at 13% YES.
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Cruz says Trump will avoid long-term troop deployment in Iran. Ceasefire by August 31 at 65.5% YES.
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Ripple has launched Ripple Mint, an institutional-grade platform that consolidates institutional management of the company’s official stablecoin, Ripple USD (RLUSD). Previously, corporate entities had to conduct their RLUSD-related transactions manually on fragmented platforms. This increased difficulty in organizing and coordinating their crypto activities. Ripple Mint solves all this by presenting itself as a unified central …
The Bitcoin donation can be used to support Donald Trump as a New York court considers whether to reverse a $5 million settlement between the CFTC and Gemini.
Japan’s Crypto Law Changes Put Bitcoin ETF Hopes On A Longer Track - Read the full analysis.
OpenAI adds full duplex voice control to Codex and ChatGPT apps. OpenAI having the best AI model by December 2026 at 9% YES.
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IMO condemns Red Sea shipping attacks, raising supply chain concerns. Bab el-Mandeb Strait closure by September 30 at 23% YES.
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US House passes $1.1T defense bill with US-Israel tech cooperation. Houthi military action against Israel by July 31, 2026 at 14.5% YES.
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The exchange also introduced AI trading tools and a developer kit as part of a broader push to build financial infrastructure for autonomous AI agents.
The Clarity Act may enter Senate floor consideration before the August recess, but its chances of passing in 2026 are fading as lawmakers remain divided.
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Alphabet reports a $5.9B cash burn, raising concerns about its market position. Alphabet as the second-largest company by July 31 at 2% YES.
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Iran rapidly rebuilds infrastructure after US and Israeli strikes. Full airspace closure by August 31 at 59% YES.
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Trump approves a 30-year nuclear deal with Saudi Arabia, raising proliferation concerns. U.S.-Iran final nuclear deal by August 13, 2026 at 2.9% YES.
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Solomon's endorsement splits with JP Morgan's Jamie Dimon and banking trade groups, who warn the bill's stablecoin-yield provisions could pull deposits away from traditional lenders.
Kraken’s UK Setup Shows Why Crypto Regulation Is More Complicated Than A Simple License - Read the full analysis.
US House votes to halt military actions against Iran. Reconstruction funding in a US-Iran deal by 2026 at 28.5% YES.
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Bitcoin price forecasts diverge as US-Iran war tensions fueled an ongoing oil and bond-market surge, while July Fed rate-hike odds neared 40%.
Trump signals potential escalation in military actions against Iran. U.S. invasion of Iran before 2027 at 30.5% YES.
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Iran's missile accuracy raises concerns over targeting U.S. troops. Military action against a Gulf state on July 30 at 44.5% YES.
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Clarity Act faces delays and is unlikely to pass before summer break. Clarity Act signed into law in 2026 at 36.5% YES.
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The deadline to get the crypto market structure bill done before senators scatter will likely be missed, says Majority Leader Thune, though it may get a start before then.
Strike on Saudi tanker raises oil prices above $100. Crude oil reaching a new all-time high by December 31 at 19.5% YES.
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