Iran's warning may hinder diplomatic progress, complicating nuclear talks and impacting geopolitical stability in the region.
The post Iran warns of dire consequences if US reneges on negotiation promises appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
A potential US-Iran thaw could stabilize regional tensions, boost economic prospects, and reshape geopolitical alliances in the Middle East.
The post Ceasefires and Hormuz reopening signal potential US-Iran thaw appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
The mine threat in the Strait of Hormuz could lead to prolonged shipping disruptions, impacting global trade and regional stability.
The post US Navy warns ships of mine threat in Strait of Hormuz, advises avoidance appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
Bitwise Research has shed light on how holding durations can impact the ROI and outcomes of Bitcoin (BTC) investments, revealing a major distinction between short-term risk and long-term performance. The data shows that while short holding periods carry significant chances of loss, extended investment timeframes dramatically reduce downside risks. The findings are drawing significant attention in the crypto community as investors reassess their strategy in the ongoing bear market. Why Holding Bitcoin For Long Carries Less Risk New research compiled by Bitwise and shared by crypto analyst Bitcoin Archive indicates that the probability of incurring losses on Bitcoin declines as the holding period increases, based on historical performance spanning more than a decade. The chart, sourced from Glassnode, shows that short-term exposure to BTC carries the highest level of uncertainty and the greatest likelihood of loss. Related Reading: XRP Sentiment Is Sitting At Levels That Have Led To A Price Rally, But Is This Time Different? The numbers on the chart highlight just how unstable the Bitcoin price can be in the near term. If someone buys and sells within a day, their chances of losing money increase substantially. Even holding for a month does not improve things much, suggesting that short term price movements are largely unpredictable and driven by noise, speculation, and rapid sentiment shifts. Looking at the chart’s numbers, a one-day holding period has a 47.1% chance of loss, while a one-week period shows a similar risk of 44.7%. Even at monthly intervals, the probability of loss stays elevated, reflecting the risks faced by active traders. Bitwise shows that holding BTC for just one month results in a marginal decline to 43.2%, underscoring the strong volatility across shorter timeframes. However, as the holding period increases, the risk begins to decline noticeably. By the time an investor holds Bitcoin for several months or up to a year, the probability of loss drops, but remains significant. The chart shows that at the quarterly level, the probability of loss decreases to 37.6%. For over a year, the likelihood of loss drops further to 24.3%, highlighting a clear contrast when holding for just a day. Bitcoin Loss Probability During Multi-Year Holds Most success stories and outsized returns in the crypto market typically come from whales or investors who have held BTC for 5 to more than 10 years. The profit margins of these investors are significantly larger than those of short-term traders who move in and out of positions based on market conditions and short-term hype. Related Reading: XRP Analyst Says It’s ‘Almost Certain’ That Price Will Reach $1,000 In This Timeframe Bitwise research data confirms this trend, showing that meaningful reductions in loss probability only appear over multi-year holding periods. Investors who hold BTC for over three years see their probability of loss fall sharply to 0.7%, while holding for beyond five years reduces it further to 0.2%. Across the ten-year range covered by the data, there were no recorded instances of investors selling at a loss, indicating that all observed holding periods of that length resulted in gains. The findings suggest that while Bitcoin remains highly unpredictable in the short term, its long-term performance has consistently and historically favored patient investors. Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
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Nvidia's AI framework could enhance global nuclear tech collaboration, potentially boosting its market position and influence in AI sectors.
The post Nvidia unveils PhysicsNeMo AI framework for nuclear reactor design appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
French minister urges European banks to expand euro stablecoins and tokenized deposits as dollar-pegged supply tops $300 billion.
Increased USDC minting on Solana boosts liquidity but fails to drive price surge, highlighting the need for broader market catalysts.
The post Circle mints $500M USDC on Solana, weekly total hits $3.2B appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
Morpho price didn’t just wake up bullish, it kicked the door open. A sharp 20% intraday surge pushed Morpho price cleanly above the $2.0 resistance, and suddenly, a protocol once quietly building is now sitting in the spotlight with a “DeFi unicorn” badge stamped by France’s Ministry of Finance. Morpho Declared France’s First DeFi Unicorn …
Geopolitical developments can significantly influence cryptocurrency markets, impacting investor sentiment and potentially stabilizing global economies.
The post Bitcoin hits highest price since February amid US-Iran optimism appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
After nearly two months of conflict between the US, Israel, and Iran, Iran finally declared the Strait of Hormuz “completely open” for all commercial vessels on April 17, 2026, sending a wave of relief across global markets. Bitcoin responded almost instantly, jumping from around $75,000 to $78,000, a surge of nearly 5.2%, as investors rushed …
MicroStrategy's significant unrealized gains highlight the growing institutional confidence and potential volatility in the crypto market.
The post Bitcoin rise boosts Strategy’s unrealized gains to $1.8B appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
Kraken's acquisition of Bitnomial could significantly enhance US crypto derivatives infrastructure, potentially reshaping market dynamics.
The post Kraken owner to buy Bitnomial for up to $500M appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
The involvement of Pakistani mediators in US-Iran talks highlights regional complexities and underscores the fragile nature of diplomatic progress.
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The reopening of the Strait of Hormuz alleviates global oil supply concerns, fostering potential diplomatic progress and economic stability.
The post Iran reopens Strait of Hormuz, oil prices drop over 10% appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
The potential reopening of the Strait of Hormuz could ease geopolitical tensions, impacting global oil markets and US-Iran relations.
The post Trump: Iran agrees to keep Strait of Hormuz open appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
Bitcoin price is back in the spotlight and not quietly either. After weeks of chop and hesitation, the broader crypto market flipped risk-on almost overnight, and suddenly, Bitcoin price is pushing into territory that traders were doubting just days ago. So what changed? Not the charts alone. This one’s macro-driven. Middle East Calm Sparks Risk-On …
The Pakistani escort highlights regional tensions, potentially stalling diplomatic progress and impacting market perceptions of conflict risk.
The post Iranian negotiators escorted by Pakistan amid Israeli attack fears appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
The potential deal could significantly ease US-Iran tensions, impacting global diplomacy and economic markets amid ongoing geopolitical shifts.
The post US-Iran negotiations may lead to $20B fund release for uranium stockpile deal appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
The easing of US-Iran tensions could stabilize oil markets, but any diplomatic setbacks may quickly reintroduce volatility and risk premiums.
The post US oil prices fall below $80/barrel, down 32% in 9 days as tensions ease appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
The Iran conflict's impact on airlines and oil markets highlights vulnerabilities in global supply chains and potential economic instability.
The post Iran conflict pressures European airlines, oil markets brace for $90 crude appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
The US blockade heightens geopolitical instability, potentially disrupting global oil supply and prompting international military responses.
The post US blockades Iranian ports, escalating tensions in Strait of Hormuz appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
Market optimism reflects potential diplomatic shifts, but Tehran's denials and speculative trading highlight ongoing geopolitical uncertainty.
The post Trump hints at US-Iran nuclear deal progress, Tehran denies uranium handover appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
The cautious market response highlights uncertainty in geopolitical stability and potential economic impacts on global trade routes.
The post Iran, US declare Strait of Hormuz open; traders cautious on April 30 timeline appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
The ceasefire fosters a diplomatic opportunity, potentially stabilizing regional tensions and influencing geopolitical dynamics in the Middle East.
The post Israel and Hezbollah confirm ceasefire, opening path for diplomatic talks appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
The ongoing blockade impacts global trade dynamics, highlighting the gap between political rhetoric and economic realities, affecting market confidence.
The post US blockade keeps Strait of Hormuz traffic near zero despite White House claims appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
Bitcoin's surge reflects market confidence, but institutional dominance and priced-in stability limit short-term speculative opportunities.
The post Bitcoin surges past $77K, traders see stability above $62K already priced in appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
Israel's admission highlights the complexity of regional stability, emphasizing diplomacy over military action to address Hezbollah's influence.
The post Israel admits disarming Hezbollah requires full Lebanon occupation appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
Radev's potential victory could shift Bulgaria's foreign policy towards Russia, impacting EU relations and regional geopolitical dynamics.
The post Rumen Radev leads polls ahead of Bulgaria’s parliamentary elections appeared first on Crypto Briefing.
The cautious ceasefire commitment may temporarily ease tensions, but its sustainability hinges on mutual concessions and regional stability.
The post Hezbollah commits to cautious ceasefire with Israel, demands halt to attacks appeared first on Crypto Briefing.